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- license: odbl
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+ ---
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+ license: odbl
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+ ---
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+ # Predicting Whether a Nuclear Reactor Is PWR or BWR
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+
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+ ## Dataset Overview
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+ This project is based on the **Geo Nuclear Data** dataset from Kaggle.
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+ The dataset contains information about nuclear reactors around the world, including geographic and technical features such as:
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+
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+ - Country
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+ - Plant name
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+ - Latitude
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+ - Longitude
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+ - Reactor type
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+ - Capacity
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+ - Status
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+ - Construction and operational dates
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+
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+ The original dataset was cleaned and filtered in order to focus only on two reactor types:
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+ - **PWR**
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+ - **BWR**
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+
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+ ## Research Question
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+ **Can we predict whether a reactor is PWR or BWR?**
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+
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+ ## Data Wrangling and Cleaning
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+ After cleaning, the final dataset contained **573 rows**.
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+ ## Descriptive Statistics and Main Notes
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+ The cleaned dataset still showed class imbalance:
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+ - **PWR:** 483 reactors
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+ - **BWR:** 120 reactors
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+ This means the dataset contains many more PWR reactors than BWR reactors, which may affect classification performance.
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+ ## Research Questions, Visualizations, and Answers
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+
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+ ### Question 1: Is there a difference in capacity between PWR and BWR reactors?
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+ This question was explored using a bar chart comparing the **mean** and **median** capacity of each reactor type.
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+
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+ **Answer:**
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+ Yes. PWR reactors generally show higher capacity values than BWR reactors.
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+ Both the average and the median capacity are higher for PWR reactors, although the number of PWR reactors in the dataset is also much larger.
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+
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+ ### Question 2: Are PWR and BWR reactors distributed differently across geographic locations?
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+ This question was explored using a **world map** based on latitude and longitude.
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+ **Answer:**
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+ The map shows that nuclear reactors are highly concentrated near coastlines.
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+ There is some geographic difference between PWR and BWR reactors, but not a perfect separation.
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+ For example, many reactors in Russia and nearby regions appear to be PWR, and China also shows many PWR reactors.
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+ # in general i see that there is two teams here, team "washington" and team "russia/china" it's not super obvies but we can defenetly can see it from the map.
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+ # maybe i shuld improve my model by consider in which "team" the reactor is located.
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+
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+ ### Question 3: Which countries contain the highest numbers of PWR and BWR reactors?
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+ This question was explored using a **stacked bar chart** of reactor counts by country and reactor type.
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+ **Answer:**
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+ The United States and China appear to have the highest numbers of reactors, followed by countries such as Japan and France. russia is surprisingly low maybe because of chernobyl
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+ The distribution of PWR and BWR reactors is not the same in all countries, which suggests that country may be useful as a predictive feature.
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+ ### Question 4: How does the total global capacity compare between PWR and BWR reactors?
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+ This question was explored using a **bar chart** of total capacity by reactor type.
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+ **Answer:**
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+ PWR reactors contribute much more total global capacity than BWR reactors in this dataset.
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+ This matches the earlier findings that PWR reactors are both more common and usually larger in capacity.
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+
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+ ## Main Insights
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+ The main findings of the exploratory analysis were:
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+ - **Capacity** was the most informative feature in the dataset.
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+ - Geographic location was useful, but not strong enough on its own.
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+ - There was no single feature that perfectly separated PWR and BWR reactors.
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+ - The classification task seems to depend on a **combination of several features together**, not on one perfect variable.
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+ ## Decisions Made During the Analysis
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+ Several important decisions were made during the project:
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+ - I decided to focus only on **PWR** and **BWR** reactors.
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+ - I removed rows with missing values in important columns.
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+ - I removed rows with missing coordinates because location was relevant to the research question.
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+ - I filled missing values in `Capacity` using the median.
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+ - I checked skewness in `Capacity`, but did not apply transformation because the skewness was moderate and not extreme.
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+ - I compared several models before selecting the final one.
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+ ## Modeling
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+ The target variable was:
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+ - **ReactorType**
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+ - `0 = BWR`
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+ - `1 = PWR`
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+ The main engineered and selected features included:
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+ ### Numeric features
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+ - Capacity
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+ - Latitude
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+ - Longitude
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+ - AbsLatitude
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+ - ConstructionYear
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+ - OperationalYear
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+ - YearsToOperation
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+ - ReactorAge
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+ ### Categorical features
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+ - Status
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+ - Country
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+ - CountryCode
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+ The following models were tested:
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+ - Logistic Regression
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+ - Balanced Logistic Regression
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+ - Random Forest
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+ - Gradient Boosting
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+ ## Model Results
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+ The best model was **Random Forest**.
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+ ### Best Model: Random Forest
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+ - **Accuracy:** 0.8957
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+ - **Macro F1-score:** 0.8467
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+ - **BWR Recall:** 0.7917
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+ - **PWR Recall:** 0.9231
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+ **Interpretation:**
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+ Random Forest performed better than the other models because it was able to capture more complex patterns in the data.
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+ It also gave the best balance between overall performance and detection of both reactor types.
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+ ## Limitations
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+ This project has several limitations:
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+ - Some useful variables originally had missing values.
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+ - The dataset is imbalanced, with many more PWR reactors than BWR reactors.
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+ - Geographic coordinates alone do not clearly separate the two reactor types.
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+ - Some interesting geographic or political patterns may exist, but they would require further research beyond this dataset.
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+ ## Final Conclusion
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+ This project showed that it is possible to predict whether a nuclear reactor is PWR or BWR with good performance.
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+ The exploratory analysis showed that **Capacity** is the strongest single feature, while geographic location and country also provide useful information.
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+ However, no single feature perfectly separates the two classes.
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+ Among all tested models, **Random Forest** gave the best results and was selected as the final model.