| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.55%", |
| "B) 3.83%", |
| "C) 3.40%", |
| "D) 4.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.75%", |
| "B) -9.96%", |
| "C) -5.86%", |
| "D) -14.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.90%", |
| "B) 15.76%", |
| "C) 23.62%", |
| "D) 19.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "15.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.38%", |
| "B) 85.40%", |
| "C) 78.51%", |
| "D) 82.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.89%", |
| "B) 4.73%", |
| "C) 8.91%", |
| "D) 6.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 339,000", |
| "B) 422,472", |
| "C) 255,528", |
| "D) 366,824" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "339,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 85.35", |
| "B) 80.10", |
| "C) 83.25", |
| "D) 76.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "80.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,378B", |
| "B) $9,666B", |
| "C) $8,803B", |
| "D) $8,227B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,803B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.14", |
| "B) 95.36", |
| "C) 89.81", |
| "D) 92.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "92.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,035B", |
| "B) $9,319B", |
| "C) $8,181B", |
| "D) $9,604B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,035B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.23%", |
| "B) 5.44%", |
| "C) 7.80%", |
| "D) 3.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.68%", |
| "B) 11.28%", |
| "C) 7.38%", |
| "D) 9.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.22%", |
| "B) 6.72%", |
| "C) 7.55%", |
| "D) 5.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.20%", |
| "B) 57.85%", |
| "C) 64.07%", |
| "D) 60.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "62.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.71%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 7.89%", |
| "D) -3.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.66%", |
| "B) 7.45%", |
| "C) 28.56%", |
| "D) 91.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "28.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $64,268M", |
| "B) $58,086M", |
| "C) $51,904M", |
| "D) $54,995M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$54,995M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.10pp", |
| "B) -0.73pp", |
| "C) +0.53pp", |
| "D) +0.22pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 67.12%", |
| "B) 65.80%", |
| "C) 62.51%", |
| "D) 64.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "65.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1545", |
| "B) 1.2733", |
| "C) 1.2139", |
| "D) 1.0952" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2139", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,176B", |
| "B) $6,902B", |
| "C) $5,803B", |
| "D) $6,352B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,352B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 4.50%", |
| "C) 5.94%", |
| "D) 0.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.36%", |
| "B) 1.34%", |
| "C) 4.37%", |
| "D) 2.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +11.83pp", |
| "B) +1.17pp", |
| "C) +6.50pp", |
| "D) -4.17pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+6.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $302,187M", |
| "B) $325,075M", |
| "C) $340,334M", |
| "D) $317,446M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$317,446M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 144.08", |
| "B) 157.79", |
| "C) 130.37", |
| "D) 137.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "144.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.76%", |
| "B) 77.47%", |
| "C) 74.39%", |
| "D) 80.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "77.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.76pp", |
| "B) -1.36pp", |
| "C) +1.44pp", |
| "D) +2.85pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.44pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.45%", |
| "B) 13.92%", |
| "C) 11.63%", |
| "D) 13.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,006.58", |
| "B) 1,089.22", |
| "C) 2,465.26", |
| "D) 1,547.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,006.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +7.90pp", |
| "B) +18.20pp", |
| "C) +28.50pp", |
| "D) +33.65pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+18.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.83/hr", |
| "B) $16.42/hr", |
| "C) $15.78/hr", |
| "D) $15.46/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.78/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.24%", |
| "B) 3.72%", |
| "C) 2.96%", |
| "D) 4.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $34.66/bbl", |
| "B) $32.45/bbl", |
| "C) $39.07/bbl", |
| "D) $30.25/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.60%", |
| "B) 1.90%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 2.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.96%", |
| "B) 64.02%", |
| "C) 66.00%", |
| "D) 67.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.58%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 2.22%", |
| "D) 1.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,041K", |
| "B) 2,208K", |
| "C) 1,874K", |
| "D) 2,125K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,041K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.51%", |
| "B) 17.59%", |
| "C) 20.66%", |
| "D) 11.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.20%", |
| "B) 5.02%", |
| "C) 7.39%", |
| "D) 3.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.90%", |
| "B) 3.67%", |
| "C) 2.06%", |
| "D) 4.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 131,140K", |
| "B) 135,074K", |
| "C) 128,517K", |
| "D) 124,583K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "131,140K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $62,259M", |
| "B) $56,227M", |
| "C) $47,178M", |
| "D) $50,195M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$56,227M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 183.20", |
| "B) 206.08", |
| "C) 197.50", |
| "D) 188.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "197.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,598B", |
| "B) $7,828B", |
| "C) $8,085B", |
| "D) $8,342B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,342B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,158B", |
| "B) $5,885B", |
| "C) $5,339B", |
| "D) $6,704B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,158B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,036,330", |
| "B) 2,990,000", |
| "C) 2,354,220", |
| "D) 3,943,670" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,990,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.33", |
| "B) 77.11", |
| "C) 79.20", |
| "D) 73.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "79.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.56pp", |
| "B) +0.82pp", |
| "C) +1.09pp", |
| "D) +0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,066K", |
| "B) 2,252K", |
| "C) 1,942K", |
| "D) 2,004K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,066K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.77%", |
| "B) 6.64%", |
| "C) 2.38%", |
| "D) 0.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.99%", |
| "B) -0.60%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) -1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,797K", |
| "B) 1,931K", |
| "C) 1,864K", |
| "D) 1,998K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,998K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.27%", |
| "B) 1.98%", |
| "C) 3.15%", |
| "D) 1.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 1.86%", |
| "C) 1.64%", |
| "D) 1.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.81%", |
| "B) 6.35%", |
| "C) 4.93%", |
| "D) 5.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.47", |
| "B) 6.68", |
| "C) 17.84", |
| "D) 15.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.45%", |
| "B) 5.22%", |
| "C) -1.70%", |
| "D) 6.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 155.72", |
| "B) 147.70", |
| "C) 134.34", |
| "D) 139.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "147.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.37%", |
| "B) 4.94%", |
| "C) 5.80%", |
| "D) 4.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 210.59", |
| "B) 189.46", |
| "C) 204.55", |
| "D) 195.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "195.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $737M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$737M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.90/hr", |
| "B) $15.56/hr", |
| "C) $16.58/hr", |
| "D) $16.24/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.56/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.42%", |
| "B) 3.21%", |
| "C) 10.81%", |
| "D) -0.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.11%", |
| "B) 2.04%", |
| "C) 3.07%", |
| "D) 1.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,106B", |
| "B) $5,868B", |
| "C) $6,818B", |
| "D) $6,580B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,106B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,825K", |
| "B) 1,905K", |
| "C) 2,145K", |
| "D) 2,065K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,905K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.82%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 5.40%", |
| "D) 6.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 4.82%", |
| "C) 3.75%", |
| "D) 1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.50%", |
| "B) 4.11%", |
| "C) 5.29%", |
| "D) 3.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.01pp", |
| "B) -0.30pp", |
| "C) -0.40pp", |
| "D) -0.20pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.82%", |
| "B) 0.78%", |
| "C) 1.56%", |
| "D) 2.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.22%", |
| "B) -1.75%", |
| "C) 13.16%", |
| "D) 8.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.96%", |
| "B) 2.48%", |
| "C) 1.18%", |
| "D) 2.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 141,335K", |
| "B) 132,089K", |
| "C) 136,052K", |
| "D) 128,126K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "132,089K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.31%", |
| "B) 17.02%", |
| "C) 5.46%", |
| "D) 1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.31%", |
| "B) -8.89%", |
| "C) 21.40%", |
| "D) 6.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 109.5900", |
| "B) 101.5497", |
| "C) 97.5295", |
| "D) 113.6102" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "109.5900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $41.99/bbl", |
| "B) $37.18/bbl", |
| "C) $29.96/bbl", |
| "D) $39.59/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.62%", |
| "B) 2.06%", |
| "C) 1.95%", |
| "D) 1.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.72", |
| "B) 83.59", |
| "C) 85.54", |
| "D) 80.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "80.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $309,471M", |
| "B) $301,924M", |
| "C) $332,113M", |
| "D) $286,829M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$309,471M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,328B", |
| "B) $8,099B", |
| "C) $8,356B", |
| "D) $7,585B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,099B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.41%", |
| "B) 7.01%", |
| "C) 6.21%", |
| "D) 3.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 2.14%", |
| "C) 2.55%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.32%", |
| "B) 6.77%", |
| "C) 4.97%", |
| "D) 7.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.88%", |
| "B) 5.45%", |
| "C) 4.81%", |
| "D) 5.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.46%", |
| "B) 1.96%", |
| "C) 2.33%", |
| "D) 1.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.0283", |
| "B) 8.6904", |
| "C) 8.4421", |
| "D) 8.2766" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2766", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $188,444M", |
| "B) $193,974M", |
| "C) $177,383M", |
| "D) $171,853M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$188,444M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.70%", |
| "B) 2.54%", |
| "C) 3.32%", |
| "D) 2.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.52%", |
| "B) 12.33%", |
| "C) 11.42%", |
| "D) 10.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.29%", |
| "B) 2.88%", |
| "C) 7.11%", |
| "D) 5.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.30pp", |
| "B) -0.40pp", |
| "C) -0.60pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.31pp", |
| "B) -0.70pp", |
| "C) -1.71pp", |
| "D) -1.04pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-36,273M", |
| "B) $-50,248M", |
| "C) $-46,754M", |
| "D) $-57,235M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-46,754M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 138.36", |
| "B) 133.61", |
| "C) 147.84", |
| "D) 143.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "143.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.20", |
| "B) 107.67", |
| "C) 80.73", |
| "D) 85.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "94.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 56.01%", |
| "B) 17.21%", |
| "C) 36.61%", |
| "D) 75.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.85%", |
| "B) 0.93%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 4.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 90.93", |
| "B) 98.43", |
| "C) 96.56", |
| "D) 93.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "93.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.55%", |
| "B) -18.88%", |
| "C) 87.20%", |
| "D) 2.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "23.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.07", |
| "B) 79.93", |
| "C) 78.00", |
| "D) 82.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "79.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.03%", |
| "B) 2.65%", |
| "C) 1.41%", |
| "D) 0.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.54%", |
| "B) 0.07%", |
| "C) 5.93%", |
| "D) 4.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187.10", |
| "B) 193.30", |
| "C) 180.90", |
| "D) 171.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "187.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.43%", |
| "B) 62.30%", |
| "C) 59.18%", |
| "D) 64.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $762M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$762M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.36pp", |
| "B) +2.96pp", |
| "C) +0.88pp", |
| "D) +1.92pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.92pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 155.11", |
| "B) 178.23", |
| "C) 147.40", |
| "D) 170.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "155.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.65%", |
| "B) 4.08%", |
| "C) -5.78%", |
| "D) -2.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.72%", |
| "B) 2.68%", |
| "C) 6.20%", |
| "D) 7.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 198.70", |
| "B) 183.86", |
| "C) 174.96", |
| "D) 189.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "189.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.80", |
| "B) 81.24", |
| "C) 86.09", |
| "D) 105.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "95.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.59pp", |
| "B) +2.03pp", |
| "C) +4.90pp", |
| "D) +6.33pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.03pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2004-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.55%", |
| "B) 5.20%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 3.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-47,927M", |
| "B) $-44,168M", |
| "C) $-62,964M", |
| "D) $-51,686M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-51,686M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $190,869M", |
| "B) $207,499M", |
| "C) $196,412M", |
| "D) $201,956M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$190,869M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.98pp", |
| "B) -0.20pp", |
| "C) +0.58pp", |
| "D) +0.32pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2004 |
| } |
| ] |
