pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2005.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 5.98%",
"options": [
"A) 6.37%",
"B) 4.42%",
"C) 5.20%",
"D) 5.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 166.30\nB) 158.10\nC) 174.49\nD) 162.20",
"options": [
"A) 166.30",
"B) 158.10",
"C) 174.49",
"D) 162.20"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "162.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,151K\nB) 2,248K\nC) 2,441K\nD) 1,958K",
"options": [
"A) 2,151K",
"B) 2,248K",
"C) 2,441K",
"D) 1,958K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,151K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.62%\nB) 10.88%\nC) 8.13%\nD) 19.11%",
"options": [
"A) 13.62%",
"B) 10.88%",
"C) 8.13%",
"D) 19.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.92\nB) 201.99\nC) 193.10\nD) 187.17",
"options": [
"A) 207.92",
"B) 201.99",
"C) 193.10",
"D) 187.17"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "193.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.34\nB) 91.62\nC) 93.55\nD) 96.45",
"options": [
"A) 99.34",
"B) 91.62",
"C) 93.55",
"D) 96.45"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "96.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +1.04pp\nC) -0.04pp\nD) +1.31pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.50pp",
"B) +1.04pp",
"C) -0.04pp",
"D) +1.31pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +0.59pp\nD) +0.01pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.40pp",
"B) +0.30pp",
"C) +0.59pp",
"D) +0.01pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.31%\nB) 11.35%\nC) 14.23%\nD) 13.27%",
"options": [
"A) 12.31%",
"B) 11.35%",
"C) 14.23%",
"D) 13.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 3.00%",
"options": [
"A) 5.53%",
"B) 2.16%",
"C) 3.84%",
"D) 3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 2.23%",
"options": [
"A) 4.06%",
"B) 4.98%",
"C) 5.89%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +7.16pp\nB) -3.20pp\nC) -18.74pp\nD) -13.56pp",
"options": [
"A) +7.16pp",
"B) -3.20pp",
"C) -18.74pp",
"D) -13.56pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $788M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $788M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$788M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,884B\nB) $9,454B\nC) $10,025B\nD) $9,169B",
"options": [
"A) $8,884B",
"B) $9,454B",
"C) $10,025B",
"D) $9,169B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$9,169B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $54.12/bbl\nB) $45.79/bbl\nC) $41.63/bbl\nD) $49.96/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $54.12/bbl",
"B) $45.79/bbl",
"C) $41.63/bbl",
"D) $49.96/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$54.12/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.06%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%",
"options": [
"A) 64.06%",
"B) 62.80%",
"C) 61.54%",
"D) 65.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.18pp\nB) -22.42pp\nC) -17.30pp\nD) -27.53pp",
"options": [
"A) -12.18pp",
"B) -22.42pp",
"C) -17.30pp",
"D) -27.53pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-17.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.29pp\nD) -0.10pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.00pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) -0.29pp",
"D) -0.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.61\nB) 187.53\nC) 207.36\nD) 167.70",
"options": [
"A) 177.61",
"B) 187.53",
"C) 207.36",
"D) 167.70"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "177.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.70\nB) 81.38\nC) 78.13\nD) 83.54",
"options": [
"A) 85.70",
"B) 81.38",
"C) 78.13",
"D) 83.54"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "81.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.03%",
"options": [
"A) 2.34%",
"B) 5.10%",
"C) 3.72%",
"D) 3.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 2,249K\nC) 1,875K\nD) 2,062K",
"options": [
"A) 1,782K",
"B) 2,249K",
"C) 1,875K",
"D) 2,062K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,062K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $55.53/bbl\nB) $51.16/bbl\nC) $59.90/bbl\nD) $68.63/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $55.53/bbl",
"B) $51.16/bbl",
"C) $59.90/bbl",
"D) $68.63/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$55.53/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.94pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) +0.42pp\nD) -1.62pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.94pp",
"B) -0.60pp",
"C) +0.42pp",
"D) -1.62pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 190.69\nC) 201.30\nD) 206.61",
"options": [
"A) 195.99",
"B) 190.69",
"C) 201.30",
"D) 206.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "201.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.88/hr\nB) $15.36/hr\nC) $14.76/hr\nD) $15.97/hr",
"options": [
"A) $16.88/hr",
"B) $15.36/hr",
"C) $14.76/hr",
"D) $15.97/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15.97/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $10,315B\nC) $8,877B\nD) $9,740B",
"options": [
"A) $9,452B",
"B) $10,315B",
"C) $8,877B",
"D) $9,740B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$9,452B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.75\nB) 81.74\nC) 86.69\nD) 84.71",
"options": [
"A) 79.75",
"B) 81.74",
"C) 86.69",
"D) 84.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "81.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 8.05%\nC) 6.70%\nD) 4.67%",
"options": [
"A) 5.35%",
"B) 8.05%",
"C) 6.70%",
"D) 4.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.95%\nB) 85.44%\nC) 77.98%\nD) 80.46%",
"options": [
"A) 82.95%",
"B) 85.44%",
"C) 77.98%",
"D) 80.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "80.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) -7.08%\nC) 7.85%\nD) -2.10%",
"options": [
"A) 2.87%",
"B) -7.08%",
"C) 7.85%",
"D) -2.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 8.81%\nD) 3.70%",
"options": [
"A) 7.53%",
"B) 4.98%",
"C) 8.81%",
"D) 3.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.98\nB) 79.94\nC) 76.90\nD) 86.02",
"options": [
"A) 82.98",
"B) 79.94",
"C) 76.90",
"D) 86.02"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "76.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.00%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -19.15%\nD) -6.71%",
"options": [
"A) -15.00%",
"B) 1.59%",
"C) -19.15%",
"D) -6.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-6.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.19/hr\nB) $15.33/hr\nC) $17.34/hr\nD) $16.76/hr",
"options": [
"A) $16.19/hr",
"B) $15.33/hr",
"C) $17.34/hr",
"D) $16.76/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$16.19/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $356,977M\nB) $336,600M\nC) $306,035M\nD) $326,412M",
"options": [
"A) $356,977M",
"B) $336,600M",
"C) $306,035M",
"D) $326,412M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$336,600M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 3.53%",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.13%",
"C) 3.83%",
"D) 3.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.82%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -6.03%\nD) -2.23%",
"options": [
"A) -9.82%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) -6.03%",
"D) -2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -2.34%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 4.33%",
"C) 0.32%",
"D) -2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $-59,915M\nB) $-64,882M\nC) $-49,981M\nD) $-74,816M",
"options": [
"A) $-59,915M",
"B) $-64,882M",
"C) $-49,981M",
"D) $-74,816M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-64,882M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.66%",
"options": [
"A) 1.19%",
"B) 2.17%",
"C) 1.92%",
"D) 2.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 1.54%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 0.93%",
"C) 0.32%",
"D) 1.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 47.76%\nB) 32.91%\nC) 18.05%\nD) 77.48%",
"options": [
"A) 47.76%",
"B) 32.91%",
"C) 18.05%",
"D) 77.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "47.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 5.11%",
"options": [
"A) 5.86%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) 4.00%",
"D) 5.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.82%",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 1.94%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 1.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.21%",
"options": [
"A) 2.82%",
"B) 2.04%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 3.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.99pp\nB) +4.46pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) +0.06pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.99pp",
"B) +4.46pp",
"C) +5.92pp",
"D) +0.06pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.99pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 1.86%",
"C) 0.77%",
"D) 1.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 5.35%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 3.90%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.07pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.20pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.07pp",
"B) -0.33pp",
"C) +0.73pp",
"D) +0.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,448B\nB) $5,904B\nC) $5,632B\nD) $6,176B",
"options": [
"A) $6,448B",
"B) $5,904B",
"C) $5,632B",
"D) $6,176B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$6,448B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $774M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $774M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$774M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.03\nB) 89.08\nC) 95.30\nD) 92.81",
"options": [
"A) 99.03",
"B) 89.08",
"C) 95.30",
"D) 92.81"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,464K\nB) 1,961K\nC) 2,364K\nD) 2,263K",
"options": [
"A) 2,464K",
"B) 1,961K",
"C) 2,364K",
"D) 2,263K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,263K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.51%",
"options": [
"A) 5.63%",
"B) 6.38%",
"C) 6.00%",
"D) 4.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,411B\nB) $6,698B\nC) $6,124B\nD) $5,837B",
"options": [
"A) $6,411B",
"B) $6,698B",
"C) $6,124B",
"D) $5,837B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$6,698B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,866B\nB) $9,134B\nC) $8,598B\nD) $9,402B",
"options": [
"A) $8,866B",
"B) $9,134B",
"C) $8,598B",
"D) $9,402B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,598B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%",
"options": [
"A) 64.27%",
"B) 65.52%",
"C) 60.53%",
"D) 62.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "62.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -2.79pp\nC) +1.88pp\nD) -4.35pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.32pp",
"B) -2.79pp",
"C) +1.88pp",
"D) -4.35pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.32pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.60%",
"options": [
"A) 1.85%",
"B) 2.35%",
"C) 2.86%",
"D) 2.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 14.16%\nC) 9.82%\nD) 3.31%",
"options": [
"A) 7.65%",
"B) 14.16%",
"C) 9.82%",
"D) 3.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 365,437\nB) 343,219\nC) 298,781\nD) 321,000",
"options": [
"A) 365,437",
"B) 343,219",
"C) 298,781",
"D) 321,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "321,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $-53,134M\nB) $-66,007M\nC) $-48,843M\nD) $-61,716M",
"options": [
"A) $-53,134M",
"B) $-66,007M",
"C) $-48,843M",
"D) $-61,716M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-53,134M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.53%",
"options": [
"A) 3.09%",
"B) 4.72%",
"C) 7.15%",
"D) 5.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 2.26%",
"options": [
"A) 1.52%",
"B) 3.01%",
"C) 2.63%",
"D) 2.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 15.94%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 8.25%",
"options": [
"A) 4.41%",
"B) 15.94%",
"C) -3.28%",
"D) 8.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 1.46%",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 5.52%",
"C) 6.88%",
"D) 1.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.71%\nC) 11.07%\nD) 5.62%",
"options": [
"A) 12.43%",
"B) 9.71%",
"C) 11.07%",
"D) 5.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.63%",
"options": [
"A) 2.16%",
"B) 3.34%",
"C) 2.75%",
"D) 3.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.74%\nB) 41.33%\nC) 85.10%\nD) 55.92%",
"options": [
"A) 26.74%",
"B) 41.33%",
"C) 85.10%",
"D) 55.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "55.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.2765\nB) 8.4420\nC) 8.6903\nD) 8.0282",
"options": [
"A) 8.2765",
"B) 8.4420",
"C) 8.6903",
"D) 8.0282"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "8.2765",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,953K\nB) 1,864K\nC) 1,775K\nD) 1,596K",
"options": [
"A) 1,953K",
"B) 1,864K",
"C) 1,775K",
"D) 1,596K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,864K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.33%",
"options": [
"A) 3.74%",
"B) 1.26%",
"C) 2.50%",
"D) 3.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $175,867M\nB) $197,349M\nC) $181,237M\nD) $186,608M",
"options": [
"A) $175,867M",
"B) $197,349M",
"C) $181,237M",
"D) $186,608M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$186,608M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2106\nB) 1.2907\nC) 1.1305\nD) 1.0504",
"options": [
"A) 1.2106",
"B) 1.2907",
"C) 1.1305",
"D) 1.0504"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.2106",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.83\nB) 11.46\nC) 21.58\nD) 8.09",
"options": [
"A) 14.83",
"B) 11.46",
"C) 21.58",
"D) 8.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "11.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 191.83\nB) 213.89\nC) 200.10\nD) 208.37",
"options": [
"A) 191.83",
"B) 213.89",
"C) 200.10",
"D) 208.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "200.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 160.02\nB) 144.22\nC) 150.54\nD) 153.70",
"options": [
"A) 160.02",
"B) 144.22",
"C) 150.54",
"D) 153.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "153.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 13.88%",
"options": [
"A) 7.41%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 0.93%",
"D) 13.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.76%",
"options": [
"A) 5.09%",
"B) 4.12%",
"C) 4.44%",
"D) 4.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 19.25%\nC) 3.77%\nD) -11.72%",
"options": [
"A) -1.40%",
"B) 19.25%",
"C) 3.77%",
"D) -11.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.66\nB) 85.52\nC) 89.03\nD) 83.17",
"options": [
"A) 79.66",
"B) 85.52",
"C) 89.03",
"D) 83.17"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "83.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $326,179M\nB) $351,547M\nC) $317,723M\nD) $309,267M",
"options": [
"A) $326,179M",
"B) $351,547M",
"C) $317,723M",
"D) $309,267M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$326,179M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.45%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.75%",
"options": [
"A) 9.45%",
"B) 6.03%",
"C) 4.89%",
"D) 3.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.31\nB) 85.51\nC) 82.42\nD) 80.37",
"options": [
"A) 78.31",
"B) 85.51",
"C) 82.42",
"D) 80.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "82.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $221,023M\nB) $186,971M\nC) $215,347M\nD) $203,997M",
"options": [
"A) $221,023M",
"B) $186,971M",
"C) $215,347M",
"D) $203,997M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$203,997M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,074.92\nB) 1,756.66\nC) 2,393.18\nD) 3,029.71",
"options": [
"A) 2,074.92",
"B) 1,756.66",
"C) 2,393.18",
"D) 3,029.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,074.92",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 2.03%",
"options": [
"A) 2.59%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 2.37%",
"D) 2.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 3.92%",
"options": [
"A) 6.03%",
"B) 3.21%",
"C) 4.62%",
"D) 3.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,124B\nB) $6,096B\nC) $6,353B\nD) $6,610B",
"options": [
"A) $7,124B",
"B) $6,096B",
"C) $6,353B",
"D) $6,610B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$6,610B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 134,552K\nB) 141,280K\nC) 131,861K\nD) 137,243K",
"options": [
"A) 134,552K",
"B) 141,280K",
"C) 131,861K",
"D) 137,243K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "134,552K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $51,073M\nB) $56,576M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $62,079M",
"options": [
"A) $51,073M",
"B) $56,576M",
"C) $64,831M",
"D) $62,079M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$56,576M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,580M\nB) $65,051M\nC) $58,344M\nD) $62,816M",
"options": [
"A) $60,580M",
"B) $65,051M",
"C) $58,344M",
"D) $62,816M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$58,344M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.00%",
"options": [
"A) 3.81%",
"B) 1.40%",
"C) 2.60%",
"D) 2.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,900B\nB) $8,309B\nC) $8,605B\nD) $9,788B",
"options": [
"A) $8,900B",
"B) $8,309B",
"C) $8,605B",
"D) $9,788B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$8,900B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.03%",
"options": [
"A) 5.65%",
"B) 5.00%",
"C) 5.32%",
"D) 4.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.59%",
"options": [
"A) 6.53%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 4.16%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.37%\nB) -29.82%\nC) -13.09%\nD) 3.64%",
"options": [
"A) 20.37%",
"B) -29.82%",
"C) -13.09%",
"D) 3.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.05pp\nC) +0.65pp\nD) -1.10pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.40pp",
"B) -0.05pp",
"C) +0.65pp",
"D) -1.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 12.91%\nC) 25.13%\nD) 16.98%",
"options": [
"A) 4.77%",
"B) 12.91%",
"C) 25.13%",
"D) 16.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) -6.56%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 6.17%",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) -6.56%",
"C) -0.19%",
"D) 6.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 3.62%",
"options": [
"A) 1.17%",
"B) 6.07%",
"C) 2.80%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 164.58\nB) 173.04\nC) 181.50\nD) 189.96",
"options": [
"A) 164.58",
"B) 173.04",
"C) 181.50",
"D) 189.96"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "164.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 137,149K\nB) 133,154K\nC) 139,812K\nD) 130,491K",
"options": [
"A) 137,149K",
"B) 133,154K",
"C) 139,812K",
"D) 130,491K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "133,154K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 5.70%",
"options": [
"A) 0.58%",
"B) 3.65%",
"C) 2.63%",
"D) 5.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 205.02\nB) 183.26\nC) 189.48\nD) 198.80",
"options": [
"A) 205.02",
"B) 183.26",
"C) 189.48",
"D) 198.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "198.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.83%\nB) 73.37%\nC) 76.65%\nD) 82.11%",
"options": [
"A) 78.83%",
"B) 73.37%",
"C) 76.65%",
"D) 82.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 6.17%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.40%",
"options": [
"A) 3.85%",
"B) 6.17%",
"C) 6.94%",
"D) 5.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 5.93%",
"options": [
"A) 4.65%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 5.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.60%",
"options": [
"A) 2.25%",
"B) 1.55%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 2.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,602,000\nB) 3,107,288\nC) 2,349,356\nD) 2,854,644",
"options": [
"A) 2,602,000",
"B) 3,107,288",
"C) 2,349,356",
"D) 2,854,644"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,602,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.53\nB) 92.60\nC) 84.47\nD) 80.40",
"options": [
"A) 88.53",
"B) 92.60",
"C) 84.47",
"D) 80.40"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "92.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.88%\nB) 63.92%\nC) 65.90%\nD) 62.61%",
"options": [
"A) 67.88%",
"B) 63.92%",
"C) 65.90%",
"D) 62.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "65.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.4987\nB) 97.1813\nC) 113.3929\nD) 109.3400",
"options": [
"A) 121.4987",
"B) 97.1813",
"C) 113.3929",
"D) 109.3400"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "109.3400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 68.08%\nD) 69.41%",
"options": [
"A) 66.10%",
"B) 64.12%",
"C) 68.08%",
"D) 69.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "66.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 7.71%",
"options": [
"A) 1.93%",
"B) 5.40%",
"C) 6.56%",
"D) 7.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.70pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.47pp",
"B) +0.83pp",
"C) +0.40pp",
"D) +1.70pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 15.73%\nC) 12.08%\nD) 14.51%",
"options": [
"A) 10.86%",
"B) 15.73%",
"C) 12.08%",
"D) 14.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2005-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2005-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.44%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.25%",
"options": [
"A) 4.44%",
"B) 5.00%",
"C) 3.88%",
"D) 4.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $60.94/bbl",
"B) $65.83/bbl",
"C) $70.72/bbl",
"D) $51.17/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $60.94/bbl",
"B) $65.83/bbl",
"C) $70.72/bbl",
"D) $51.17/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $58.29/bbl",
"B) $48.52/bbl",
"C) $63.18/bbl",
"D) $68.07/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $58.29/bbl",
"B) $48.52/bbl",
"C) $63.18/bbl",
"D) $68.07/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $67.80/bbl",
"B) $58.02/bbl",
"C) $72.68/bbl",
"D) $62.91/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $67.80/bbl",
"B) $58.02/bbl",
"C) $72.68/bbl",
"D) $62.91/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $60.63/bbl",
"B) $50.86/bbl",
"C) $75.29/bbl",
"D) $55.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $60.63/bbl",
"B) $50.86/bbl",
"C) $75.29/bbl",
"D) $55.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $65.97/bbl",
"B) $56.20/bbl",
"C) $70.86/bbl",
"D) $41.54/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $65.97/bbl",
"B) $56.20/bbl",
"C) $70.86/bbl",
"D) $41.54/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $46.43/bbl",
"B) $51.31/bbl",
"C) $56.20/bbl",
"D) $65.97/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $46.43/bbl",
"B) $51.31/bbl",
"C) $56.20/bbl",
"D) $65.97/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $61.80/bbl",
"B) $56.81/bbl",
"C) $81.79/bbl",
"D) $66.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $61.80/bbl",
"B) $56.81/bbl",
"C) $81.79/bbl",
"D) $66.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $66.80/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $56.81/bbl",
"D) $51.81/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $66.80/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $56.81/bbl",
"D) $51.81/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $56.81/bbl",
"B) $66.80/bbl",
"C) $81.79/bbl",
"D) $76.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $56.81/bbl",
"B) $66.80/bbl",
"C) $81.79/bbl",
"D) $76.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $71.80/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $66.80/bbl",
"D) $76.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $71.80/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $66.80/bbl",
"D) $76.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $56.81/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $61.80/bbl",
"D) $66.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $56.81/bbl",
"B) $81.79/bbl",
"C) $61.80/bbl",
"D) $66.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $66.80/bbl",
"B) $56.81/bbl",
"C) $76.79/bbl",
"D) $71.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) $66.80/bbl",
"B) $56.81/bbl",
"C) $76.79/bbl",
"D) $71.80/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 15.06",
"B) 12.60",
"C) 10.14",
"D) 13.83"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 15.06",
"B) 12.60",
"C) 10.14",
"D) 13.83"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 12.88",
"B) 14.11",
"C) 11.65",
"D) 7.96"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.65",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 12.88",
"B) 14.11",
"C) 11.65",
"D) 7.96"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.65",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 12.45",
"B) 14.91",
"C) 9.99",
"D) 11.22"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 12.45",
"B) 14.91",
"C) 9.99",
"D) 11.22"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 11.22",
"B) 9.99",
"C) 7.53",
"D) 14.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 11.22",
"B) 9.99",
"C) 7.53",
"D) 14.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 9.37",
"B) 10.60",
"C) 13.06",
"D) 14.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 9.37",
"B) 10.60",
"C) 13.06",
"D) 14.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 7.81",
"B) 11.50",
"C) 10.27",
"D) 9.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.27",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 7.81",
"B) 11.50",
"C) 10.27",
"D) 9.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.27",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,313.33",
"B) 2,020.39",
"C) 2,118.04",
"D) 2,166.86"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,166.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,313.33",
"B) 2,020.39",
"C) 2,118.04",
"D) 2,166.86"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,166.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,182.83",
"B) 2,036.36",
"C) 2,085.19",
"D) 2,280.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,182.83",
"B) 2,036.36",
"C) 2,085.19",
"D) 2,280.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,134.01",
"B) 2,182.83",
"C) 2,231.65",
"D) 2,036.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,134.01",
"B) 2,182.83",
"C) 2,231.65",
"D) 2,036.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,036.36",
"B) 2,231.65",
"C) 2,182.83",
"D) 2,329.30"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,036.36",
"B) 2,231.65",
"C) 2,182.83",
"D) 2,329.30"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,182.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,155.92",
"B) 2,204.74",
"C) 2,107.09",
"D) 2,253.56"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,253.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,155.92",
"B) 2,204.74",
"C) 2,107.09",
"D) 2,253.56"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,253.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,331.36",
"B) 2,184.89",
"C) 2,380.18",
"D) 2,282.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,331.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max",
"year": 2005
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29",
"info_cutoff": "2005-08-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,331.36",
"B) 2,184.89",
"C) 2,380.18",
"D) 2,282.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,331.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall",
"event_date": "2005-08-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max",
"year": 2005
}
]