pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2007.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,399K\nC) 1,591K\nD) 1,687K",
"options": [
"A) 1,495K",
"B) 1,399K",
"C) 1,591K",
"D) 1,687K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,495K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $-56,625M\nB) $-62,183M\nC) $-73,298M\nD) $-45,510M",
"options": [
"A) $-56,625M",
"B) $-62,183M",
"C) $-73,298M",
"D) $-45,510M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-62,183M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 4.14%",
"options": [
"A) 3.24%",
"B) 1.91%",
"C) 2.80%",
"D) 4.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 6.74%",
"options": [
"A) 7.08%",
"B) 6.23%",
"C) 6.57%",
"D) 6.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.12\nB) 189.84\nC) 211.29\nD) 168.40",
"options": [
"A) 179.12",
"B) 189.84",
"C) 211.29",
"D) 168.40"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "179.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $199,678M\nB) $229,526M\nC) $219,577M\nD) $209,627M",
"options": [
"A) $199,678M",
"B) $229,526M",
"C) $219,577M",
"D) $209,627M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$229,526M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 0.46%",
"options": [
"A) 2.91%",
"B) 1.28%",
"C) 2.10%",
"D) 0.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $83.16/bbl\nB) $90.71/bbl\nC) $60.48/bbl\nD) $68.04/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $83.16/bbl",
"B) $90.71/bbl",
"C) $60.48/bbl",
"D) $68.04/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$68.04/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 2.95%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 6.01%",
"options": [
"A) 3.97%",
"B) 2.95%",
"C) 0.91%",
"D) 6.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.99\nB) 211.55\nC) 202.29\nD) 217.73",
"options": [
"A) 226.99",
"B) 211.55",
"C) 202.29",
"D) 217.73"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "211.55",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.27pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.15pp",
"B) +0.02pp",
"C) -0.10pp",
"D) +0.27pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $215,580M\nB) $237,366M\nC) $204,688M\nD) $226,473M",
"options": [
"A) $215,580M",
"B) $237,366M",
"C) $204,688M",
"D) $226,473M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$226,473M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 59.75%\nC) 64.16%\nD) 61.01%",
"options": [
"A) 62.90%",
"B) 59.75%",
"C) 64.16%",
"D) 61.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.03%",
"options": [
"A) 2.13%",
"B) 3.17%",
"C) 1.08%",
"D) 0.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -45.45%\nB) -9.38%\nC) -23.81%\nD) -2.17%",
"options": [
"A) -45.45%",
"B) -9.38%",
"C) -23.81%",
"D) -2.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-23.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.21%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 5.10%",
"options": [
"A) 5.84%",
"B) 6.21%",
"C) 4.73%",
"D) 5.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 1.31%",
"options": [
"A) 2.79%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 3.78%",
"D) 1.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.53\nB) 102.09\nC) 92.82\nD) 107.65",
"options": [
"A) 96.53",
"B) 102.09",
"C) 92.82",
"D) 107.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "102.09",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 2.13%",
"options": [
"A) 3.75%",
"B) 6.99%",
"C) 4.56%",
"D) 2.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,066K\nB) 1,534K\nC) 949K\nD) 1,183K",
"options": [
"A) 1,066K",
"B) 1,534K",
"C) 949K",
"D) 1,183K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,183K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.63%\nB) -5.86%\nC) -5.04%\nD) -4.22%",
"options": [
"A) -4.63%",
"B) -5.86%",
"C) -5.04%",
"D) -4.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-4.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +6.50pp\nB) -2.00pp\nC) -14.76pp\nD) -10.50pp",
"options": [
"A) +6.50pp",
"B) -2.00pp",
"C) -14.76pp",
"D) -10.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.42%",
"options": [
"A) 3.65%",
"B) 3.26%",
"C) 4.03%",
"D) 4.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.37\nB) 21.07\nC) 17.51\nD) 13.94",
"options": [
"A) 10.37",
"B) 21.07",
"C) 17.51",
"D) 13.94"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.94",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 2.57%",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 1.64%",
"C) 2.41%",
"D) 2.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.18\nB) 182.19\nC) 205.52\nD) 147.20",
"options": [
"A) 217.18",
"B) 182.19",
"C) 205.52",
"D) 147.20"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "182.19",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.84/hr\nB) $18.26/hr\nC) $17.55/hr\nD) $18.62/hr",
"options": [
"A) $16.84/hr",
"B) $18.26/hr",
"C) $17.55/hr",
"D) $18.62/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$17.55/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.93/hr\nB) $18.19/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $17.22/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.93/hr",
"B) $18.19/hr",
"C) $16.58/hr",
"D) $17.22/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$17.22/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -24.07%\nB) -36.98%\nC) -11.16%\nD) -43.44%",
"options": [
"A) -24.07%",
"B) -36.98%",
"C) -11.16%",
"D) -43.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-24.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.30%",
"options": [
"A) 3.64%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 0.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 6.63%\nD) 6.03%",
"options": [
"A) 5.44%",
"B) 4.85%",
"C) 6.63%",
"D) 6.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3879\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.2851\nD) 1.3365",
"options": [
"A) 1.3879",
"B) 1.2337",
"C) 1.2851",
"D) 1.3365"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3365",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 3.78%",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 3.44%",
"C) 5.12%",
"D) 3.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 0.33%",
"options": [
"A) 4.00%",
"B) 2.53%",
"C) 3.26%",
"D) 0.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 5.44%",
"options": [
"A) 4.58%",
"B) 5.88%",
"C) 5.01%",
"D) 5.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.94%",
"options": [
"A) 5.81%",
"B) 4.07%",
"C) 3.21%",
"D) 4.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.04%",
"options": [
"A) 2.38%",
"B) 2.89%",
"C) 2.55%",
"D) 2.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.45%",
"options": [
"A) 3.99%",
"B) 2.83%",
"C) 3.22%",
"D) 2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 5.70%",
"options": [
"A) 6.34%",
"B) 3.76%",
"C) 5.05%",
"D) 5.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 10.47%\nC) 14.29%\nD) 2.83%",
"options": [
"A) 6.65%",
"B) 10.47%",
"C) 14.29%",
"D) 2.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.00pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.20pp",
"B) -0.00pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) +0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +12.18pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -13.18pp\nD) -4.73pp",
"options": [
"A) +12.18pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -13.18pp",
"D) -4.73pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $352,089M\nB) $339,000M\nC) $365,178M\nD) $391,356M",
"options": [
"A) $352,089M",
"B) $339,000M",
"C) $365,178M",
"D) $391,356M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$365,178M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 5.16%",
"options": [
"A) 4.58%",
"B) 5.35%",
"C) 4.77%",
"D) 5.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.89\nB) 90.40\nC) 93.41\nD) 81.38",
"options": [
"A) 85.89",
"B) 90.40",
"C) 93.41",
"D) 81.38"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "85.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.03%\nB) -3.51%\nC) -10.93%\nD) 3.92%",
"options": [
"A) -1.03%",
"B) -3.51%",
"C) -10.93%",
"D) 3.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.30%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.76%\nD) 4.78%",
"options": [
"A) -10.30%",
"B) 2.27%",
"C) -2.76%",
"D) 4.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 32.74%\nB) 21.46%\nC) -23.66%\nD) 10.18%",
"options": [
"A) 32.74%",
"B) 21.46%",
"C) -23.66%",
"D) 10.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 169.30\nB) 175.61\nC) 150.36\nD) 181.93",
"options": [
"A) 169.30",
"B) 175.61",
"C) 150.36",
"D) 181.93"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "169.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $821M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $821M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$821M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $827M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $827M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$827M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,287M\nB) $74,712M\nC) $56,074M\nD) $65,393M",
"options": [
"A) $62,287M",
"B) $74,712M",
"C) $56,074M",
"D) $65,393M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$65,393M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,612B\nB) $8,539B\nC) $8,896B\nD) $9,969B",
"options": [
"A) $9,612B",
"B) $8,539B",
"C) $8,896B",
"D) $9,969B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$9,612B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) -2.37%\nC) -9.91%\nD) 5.17%",
"options": [
"A) 0.14%",
"B) -2.37%",
"C) -9.91%",
"D) 5.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $-53,397M\nB) $-48,636M\nC) $-58,158M\nD) $-43,875M",
"options": [
"A) $-53,397M",
"B) $-48,636M",
"C) $-58,158M",
"D) $-43,875M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-58,158M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.8075\nB) 7.4415\nC) 7.1671\nD) 7.6245",
"options": [
"A) 7.8075",
"B) 7.4415",
"C) 7.1671",
"D) 7.6245"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.6245",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 123.5500\nB) 126.3925\nC) 115.0225\nD) 120.7075",
"options": [
"A) 123.5500",
"B) 126.3925",
"C) 115.0225",
"D) 120.7075"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "123.5500",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,293K\nB) 138,099K\nC) 132,487K\nD) 142,308K",
"options": [
"A) 135,293K",
"B) 138,099K",
"C) 132,487K",
"D) 142,308K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "138,099K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 4.48%",
"options": [
"A) 3.78%",
"B) 7.30%",
"C) 5.89%",
"D) 4.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 3.31%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 2.53%",
"options": [
"A) 1.76%",
"B) 3.31%",
"C) 2.79%",
"D) 2.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 320,000\nB) 381,325\nC) 340,442\nD) 360,883",
"options": [
"A) 320,000",
"B) 381,325",
"C) 340,442",
"D) 360,883"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "320,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.74pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.34pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.74pp",
"B) +0.20pp",
"C) -0.16pp",
"D) -0.34pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 3.87%",
"options": [
"A) 4.93%",
"B) 5.20%",
"C) 4.40%",
"D) 3.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.86%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.33%",
"options": [
"A) -1.86%",
"B) 2.40%",
"C) 3.46%",
"D) 1.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 2.79%",
"C) 1.42%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.60pp\nB) +0.03pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) -0.75pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.60pp",
"B) +0.03pp",
"C) -1.53pp",
"D) -0.75pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.03pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.19%\nB) 64.21%\nC) 66.20%\nD) 61.57%",
"options": [
"A) 68.19%",
"B) 64.21%",
"C) 66.20%",
"D) 61.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,007,103\nB) 1,784,154\nC) 2,898,897\nD) 2,453,000",
"options": [
"A) 2,007,103",
"B) 1,784,154",
"C) 2,898,897",
"D) 2,453,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,453,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,337B\nB) $11,009B\nC) $10,001B\nD) $9,665B",
"options": [
"A) $10,337B",
"B) $11,009B",
"C) $10,001B",
"D) $9,665B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$10,337B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.47%\nB) 1.03%\nC) -1.79%\nD) -7.42%",
"options": [
"A) 9.47%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) -1.79%",
"D) -7.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 61.38%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 64.02%",
"options": [
"A) 67.98%",
"B) 61.38%",
"C) 66.00%",
"D) 64.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 141,918K\nB) 144,673K\nC) 133,650K\nD) 137,784K",
"options": [
"A) 141,918K",
"B) 144,673K",
"C) 133,650K",
"D) 137,784K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "137,784K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.40\nB) 79.56\nC) 82.51\nD) 94.29",
"options": [
"A) 88.40",
"B) 79.56",
"C) 82.51",
"D) 94.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "88.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,792M\nB) $66,936M\nC) $63,984M\nD) $72,840M",
"options": [
"A) $75,792M",
"B) $66,936M",
"C) $63,984M",
"D) $72,840M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66,936M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.79\nB) 104.40\nC) 100.95\nD) 107.85",
"options": [
"A) 95.79",
"B) 104.40",
"C) 100.95",
"D) 107.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "100.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 5.26%",
"options": [
"A) 5.58%",
"B) 5.10%",
"C) 4.78%",
"D) 5.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,413B\nB) $7,880B\nC) $6,712B\nD) $7,647B",
"options": [
"A) $7,413B",
"B) $7,880B",
"C) $6,712B",
"D) $7,647B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$7,413B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.95%\nB) 80.94%\nC) 78.95%\nD) 83.93%",
"options": [
"A) 76.95%",
"B) 80.94%",
"C) 78.95%",
"D) 83.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,269.98\nB) 2,448.35\nC) 2,626.71\nD) 3,161.80",
"options": [
"A) 2,269.98",
"B) 2,448.35",
"C) 2,626.71",
"D) 3,161.80"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,626.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $47.95/bbl\nB) $87.41/bbl\nC) $63.74/bbl\nD) $71.63/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $47.95/bbl",
"B) $87.41/bbl",
"C) $63.74/bbl",
"D) $71.63/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$71.63/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 205.29\nB) 197.25\nC) 213.32\nD) 185.20",
"options": [
"A) 205.29",
"B) 197.25",
"C) 213.32",
"D) 185.20"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "205.29",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.38pp\nD) +0.13pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.13pp",
"B) +0.00pp",
"C) -0.38pp",
"D) +0.13pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,331B\nB) $8,898B\nC) $8,031B\nD) $6,732B",
"options": [
"A) $9,331B",
"B) $8,898B",
"C) $8,031B",
"D) $6,732B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,031B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.33%\nB) -35.72%\nC) 11.05%\nD) -0.64%",
"options": [
"A) -12.33%",
"B) -35.72%",
"C) 11.05%",
"D) -0.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.30%\nB) 65.20%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 66.47%",
"options": [
"A) 63.30%",
"B) 65.20%",
"C) 61.40%",
"D) 66.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "63.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 212.75\nB) 208.55\nC) 200.14\nD) 221.15",
"options": [
"A) 212.75",
"B) 208.55",
"C) 200.14",
"D) 221.15"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "208.55",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.78\nB) 97.46\nC) 94.62\nD) 100.30",
"options": [
"A) 91.78",
"B) 97.46",
"C) 94.62",
"D) 100.30"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "94.62",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,858B\nB) $6,708B\nC) $7,628B\nD) $7,168B",
"options": [
"A) $7,858B",
"B) $6,708B",
"C) $7,628B",
"D) $7,168B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$7,168B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,596K\nB) 1,310K\nC) 1,787K\nD) 1,691K",
"options": [
"A) 1,596K",
"B) 1,310K",
"C) 1,787K",
"D) 1,691K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,596K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.02pp\nD) -0.34pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.47pp",
"B) +0.20pp",
"C) +1.02pp",
"D) -0.34pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.54\nB) 88.89\nC) 86.35\nD) 92.71",
"options": [
"A) 82.54",
"B) 88.89",
"C) 86.35",
"D) 92.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "86.35",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.75\nB) 79.23\nC) 82.36\nD) 87.05",
"options": [
"A) 91.75",
"B) 79.23",
"C) 82.36",
"D) 87.05"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "87.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 173.50\nB) 186.35\nC) 192.77\nD) 154.23",
"options": [
"A) 173.50",
"B) 186.35",
"C) 192.77",
"D) 154.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "173.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 3.03%",
"options": [
"A) 2.45%",
"B) 1.28%",
"C) 0.70%",
"D) 3.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 5.11%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 3.00%",
"D) 5.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.23pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.23pp",
"B) +0.01pp",
"C) -0.61pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -31.22%\nB) -16.04%\nC) -23.63%\nD) -8.44%",
"options": [
"A) -31.22%",
"B) -16.04%",
"C) -23.63%",
"D) -8.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-31.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.04%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.48%",
"options": [
"A) 0.04%",
"B) 0.93%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 0.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.88%",
"options": [
"A) 5.63%",
"B) 4.47%",
"C) 5.05%",
"D) 3.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.51%",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 2.28%",
"C) 2.05%",
"D) 2.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 3.60%",
"options": [
"A) 4.90%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 6.20%",
"D) 3.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 5.26%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 7.58%",
"options": [
"A) 2.94%",
"B) 5.26%",
"C) 6.03%",
"D) 7.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.07%\nB) -30.50%\nC) -24.65%\nD) -12.93%",
"options": [
"A) -7.07%",
"B) -30.50%",
"C) -24.65%",
"D) -12.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-24.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 59.39%\nB) -7.54%\nC) 14.77%\nD) 25.92%",
"options": [
"A) 59.39%",
"B) -7.54%",
"C) 14.77%",
"D) 25.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 10.32%",
"options": [
"A) 4.38%",
"B) 6.36%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 10.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%",
"options": [
"A) 3.84%",
"B) 4.70%",
"C) 4.13%",
"D) 4.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,586B\nB) $10,878B\nC) $10,524B\nD) $9,816B",
"options": [
"A) $11,586B",
"B) $10,878B",
"C) $10,524B",
"D) $9,816B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,524B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.46\nB) 83.08\nC) 87.91\nD) 85.49",
"options": [
"A) 79.46",
"B) 83.08",
"C) 87.91",
"D) 85.49"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "85.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.96%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 10.01%\nD) 4.88%",
"options": [
"A) 7.96%",
"B) 5.90%",
"C) 10.01%",
"D) 4.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.43pp\nB) +0.11pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +1.14pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.43pp",
"B) +0.11pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) +1.14pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.11pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,479B\nB) $9,112B\nC) $9,845B\nD) $8,745B",
"options": [
"A) $9,479B",
"B) $9,112B",
"C) $9,845B",
"D) $8,745B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$9,845B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.37%\nB) 84.01%\nC) 86.22%\nD) 80.69%",
"options": [
"A) 77.37%",
"B) 84.01%",
"C) 86.22%",
"D) 80.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "80.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) +2.01pp\nD) -1.04pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.49pp",
"B) -0.02pp",
"C) +2.01pp",
"D) -1.04pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.49pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 901K\nB) 1,261K\nC) 1,501K\nD) 1,021K",
"options": [
"A) 901K",
"B) 1,261K",
"C) 1,501K",
"D) 1,021K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,261K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $398,398M\nB) $372,409M\nC) $359,415M\nD) $385,404M",
"options": [
"A) $398,398M",
"B) $372,409M",
"C) $359,415M",
"D) $385,404M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$359,415M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.56%",
"options": [
"A) 3.26%",
"B) 2.91%",
"C) 3.61%",
"D) 2.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 6.99%\nD) 5.72%",
"options": [
"A) 5.08%",
"B) 4.44%",
"C) 6.99%",
"D) 5.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 6.83%",
"options": [
"A) 5.77%",
"B) 5.24%",
"C) 6.30%",
"D) 6.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.15\nB) 200.82\nC) 209.42\nD) 223.74",
"options": [
"A) 215.15",
"B) 200.82",
"C) 209.42",
"D) 223.74"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "209.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.52%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.91%\nD) -0.31%",
"options": [
"A) -5.52%",
"B) 1.43%",
"C) 4.91%",
"D) -0.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 83.40\nB) 86.31\nC) 89.21\nD) 80.49",
"options": [
"A) 83.40",
"B) 86.31",
"C) 89.21",
"D) 80.49"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "83.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 34.59",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 32.08",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 34.59",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 32.08",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 27.07",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 30.83",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 27.07",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 30.83",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 34.59",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 34.59",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 30.83",
"B) 28.32",
"C) 34.59",
"D) 32.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 30.83",
"B) 28.32",
"C) 34.59",
"D) 32.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 33.34",
"D) 34.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 33.34",
"D) 34.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 32.34",
"B) 34.85",
"C) 31.09",
"D) 33.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "31.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 32.34",
"B) 34.85",
"C) 31.09",
"D) 33.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "31.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 4.33%",
"C) 4.47%",
"D) 4.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 4.33%",
"C) 4.47%",
"D) 4.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.60%",
"B) 4.73%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.60%",
"B) 4.73%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.98%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 4.51%",
"D) 4.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.98%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 4.51%",
"D) 4.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.47%",
"C) 4.34%",
"D) 4.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.47%",
"C) 4.34%",
"D) 4.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.91%",
"B) 4.71%",
"C) 4.44%",
"D) 4.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.91%",
"B) 4.71%",
"C) 4.44%",
"D) 4.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.51%",
"B) 3.11%",
"C) 3.78%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.51%",
"B) 3.11%",
"C) 3.78%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.54%",
"B) 3.79%",
"C) 4.55%",
"D) 4.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.79%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.54%",
"B) 3.79%",
"C) 4.55%",
"D) 4.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.79%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.37%",
"B) 3.88%",
"C) 3.12%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.37%",
"B) 3.88%",
"C) 3.12%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.88%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.88%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.12%",
"B) 2.36%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.12%",
"B) 2.36%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) 3.12%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 3.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) 3.12%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 3.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2.72%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2.72%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,377.47",
"B) 2,628.60",
"C) 2,461.18",
"D) 2,544.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,544.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,377.47",
"B) 2,628.60",
"C) 2,461.18",
"D) 2,544.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,544.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,552.80",
"B) 2,385.38",
"C) 2,301.67",
"D) 2,720.22"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,552.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,552.80",
"B) 2,385.38",
"C) 2,301.67",
"D) 2,720.22"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,552.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,379.11",
"B) 2,630.24",
"C) 2,546.53",
"D) 2,881.37"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,630.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,379.11",
"B) 2,630.24",
"C) 2,546.53",
"D) 2,881.37"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,630.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,612.90",
"B) 2,529.19",
"C) 2,780.32",
"D) 2,864.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,780.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,612.90",
"B) 2,529.19",
"C) 2,780.32",
"D) 2,864.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,780.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3,026.54",
"B) 3,110.25",
"C) 2,607.99",
"D) 2,859.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,859.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3,026.54",
"B) 3,110.25",
"C) 2,607.99",
"D) 2,859.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,859.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,859.12",
"B) 3,110.25",
"C) 2,942.83",
"D) 2,607.99"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,859.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,859.12",
"B) 3,110.25",
"C) 2,942.83",
"D) 2,607.99"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,859.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
}
]