| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 0.19%", |
| "C) 2.38%", |
| "D) 3.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -2.65pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.03pp", |
| "B) -0.15pp", |
| "C) -1.40pp", |
| "D) -2.65pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 227.92\nB) 212.40\nC) 234.13\nD) 221.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 227.92", |
| "B) 212.40", |
| "C) 234.13", |
| "D) 221.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "221.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 220.78\nB) 230.84\nC) 237.54\nD) 210.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 220.78", |
| "B) 230.84", |
| "C) 237.54", |
| "D) 210.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "220.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.48%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 5.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.48%", |
| "B) 4.02%", |
| "C) 2.52%", |
| "D) 5.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 12.83%\nC) -0.35%\nD) 8.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.04%", |
| "B) 12.83%", |
| "C) -0.35%", |
| "D) 8.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.73\nB) 92.08\nC) 85.55\nD) 89.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.73", |
| "B) 92.08", |
| "C) 85.55", |
| "D) 89.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "89.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.16%\nB) 0.98%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.16%", |
| "B) 0.98%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 1.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) -0.71pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.09pp", |
| "B) -0.50pp", |
| "C) -1.12pp", |
| "D) -0.71pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.24pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.52pp", |
| "B) -0.16pp", |
| "C) -0.70pp", |
| "D) -1.24pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 1.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.95%", |
| "B) 0.77%", |
| "C) 3.36%", |
| "D) 1.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.48%\nB) 40.68%\nC) 48.78%\nD) 16.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.48%", |
| "B) 40.68%", |
| "C) 48.78%", |
| "D) 16.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 869K\nB) 594K\nC) 1,419K\nD) 1,144K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 869K", |
| "B) 594K", |
| "C) 1,419K", |
| "D) 1,144K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "594K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2873\nB) 1.1234\nC) 1.2327\nD) 1.3420", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2873", |
| "B) 1.1234", |
| "C) 1.2327", |
| "D) 1.3420" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2327", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0432\nB) 6.5693\nC) 7.6214\nD) 6.8323", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0432", |
| "B) 6.5693", |
| "C) 7.6214", |
| "D) 6.8323" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.8323", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $-44,333M\nB) $-31,527M\nC) $-50,736M\nD) $-37,930M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-44,333M", |
| "B) $-31,527M", |
| "C) $-50,736M", |
| "D) $-37,930M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-44,333M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -29.86%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 22.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -29.86%", |
| "B) 1.54%", |
| "C) 12.00%", |
| "D) 22.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.96%", |
| "B) -0.08%", |
| "C) 3.04%", |
| "D) 4.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +28.40pp\nB) +34.44pp\nC) +22.35pp\nD) +16.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +28.40pp", |
| "B) +34.44pp", |
| "C) +22.35pp", |
| "D) +16.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+16.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 1.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.61%", |
| "B) 2.33%", |
| "C) 2.89%", |
| "D) 1.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.75%\nB) 36.79%\nC) 27.77%\nD) 45.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.75%", |
| "B) 36.79%", |
| "C) 27.77%", |
| "D) 45.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 0.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.62%", |
| "B) 3.27%", |
| "C) 2.44%", |
| "D) 0.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -15.02%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 8.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.36%", |
| "B) -15.02%", |
| "C) 4.42%", |
| "D) 8.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.06%\nB) -1.99%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -11.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -16.06%", |
| "B) -1.99%", |
| "C) 7.39%", |
| "D) -11.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.5487\nB) 80.3842\nC) 91.2500\nD) 96.6829", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.5487", |
| "B) 80.3842", |
| "C) 91.2500", |
| "D) 96.6829" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "91.2500", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $65.14/bbl\nB) $85.44/bbl\nC) $44.83/bbl\nD) $75.29/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $65.14/bbl", |
| "B) $85.44/bbl", |
| "C) $44.83/bbl", |
| "D) $75.29/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$75.29/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.88%\nB) 64.93%\nC) 46.25%\nD) -28.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.88%", |
| "B) 64.93%", |
| "C) 46.25%", |
| "D) -28.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 3.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.42%", |
| "B) 2.29%", |
| "C) 4.15%", |
| "D) 3.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.27pp\nB) -11.79pp\nC) -5.30pp\nD) +1.19pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -18.27pp", |
| "B) -11.79pp", |
| "C) -5.30pp", |
| "D) +1.19pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5,276,657\nB) 5,947,313\nC) 2,594,030\nD) 4,606,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,276,657", |
| "B) 5,947,313", |
| "C) 2,594,030", |
| "D) 4,606,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,606,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.90%\nB) 66.85%\nC) 61.66%\nD) 63.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.90%", |
| "B) 66.85%", |
| "C) 61.66%", |
| "D) 63.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "64.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,131K\nB) 563K\nC) 1,416K\nD) 847K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,131K", |
| "B) 563K", |
| "C) 1,416K", |
| "D) 847K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "563K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 56.96%\nB) 62.35%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 60.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 56.96%", |
| "B) 62.35%", |
| "C) 58.50%", |
| "D) 60.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "58.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.10%", |
| "B) 2.12%", |
| "C) 3.13%", |
| "D) 0.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,305.88\nB) 2,623.74\nC) 2,782.67\nD) 2,146.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,305.88", |
| "B) 2,623.74", |
| "C) 2,782.67", |
| "D) 2,146.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,305.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 209.45\nB) 217.35\nC) 237.10\nD) 225.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 209.45", |
| "B) 217.35", |
| "C) 237.10", |
| "D) 225.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "217.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,201B\nB) $11,936B\nC) $11,405B\nD) $11,670B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,201B", |
| "B) $11,936B", |
| "C) $11,405B", |
| "D) $11,670B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,405B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $1,961M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $1,961M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$1,961M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.07%", |
| "B) 1.24%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 3.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 1.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.59%", |
| "B) 2.19%", |
| "C) 2.80%", |
| "D) 1.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 26.51%\nC) 13.39%\nD) 6.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 26.51%", |
| "C) 13.39%", |
| "D) 6.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.41%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 14.91%\nD) 33.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.41%", |
| "B) 5.40%", |
| "C) 14.91%", |
| "D) 33.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,327B\nB) $11,298B\nC) $9,939B\nD) $10,716B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,327B", |
| "B) $11,298B", |
| "C) $9,939B", |
| "D) $10,716B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,327B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25\nB) 73.60\nC) 92.13\nD) 79.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.25", |
| "B) 73.60", |
| "C) 92.13", |
| "D) 79.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "73.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 56.63%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 53.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.30%", |
| "B) 56.63%", |
| "C) 58.50%", |
| "D) 53.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "58.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 136.86\nB) 152.35\nC) 129.11\nD) 144.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136.86", |
| "B) 152.35", |
| "C) 129.11", |
| "D) 144.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "144.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.30%", |
| "B) 6.84%", |
| "C) 3.76%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 927K\nB) 636K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 345K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 927K", |
| "B) 636K", |
| "C) 1,217K", |
| "D) 345K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "636K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.42pp\nB) +13.55pp\nC) +5.95pp\nD) +0.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.42pp", |
| "B) +13.55pp", |
| "C) +5.95pp", |
| "D) +0.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+5.95pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.66%", |
| "B) 5.36%", |
| "C) 3.84%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.37%", |
| "B) 3.86%", |
| "C) 4.61%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 125,822K\nB) 129,866K\nC) 133,910K\nD) 136,606K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 125,822K", |
| "B) 129,866K", |
| "C) 133,910K", |
| "D) 136,606K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "129,866K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 77.27%\nC) 74.71%\nD) 79.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.59%", |
| "B) 77.27%", |
| "C) 74.71%", |
| "D) 79.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "74.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 93.43\nB) 97.98\nC) 91.16\nD) 95.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.43", |
| "B) 97.98", |
| "C) 91.16", |
| "D) 95.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "95.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.50%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 16.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.54%", |
| "B) -1.50%", |
| "C) 13.57%", |
| "D) 16.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -4.39%\nD) -0.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.19%", |
| "B) -1.98%", |
| "C) -4.39%", |
| "D) -0.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.55/hr\nB) $18.67/hr\nC) $19.11/hr\nD) $19.99/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19.55/hr", |
| "B) $18.67/hr", |
| "C) $19.11/hr", |
| "D) $19.99/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.11/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.26%\nB) 74.33%\nC) 64.19%\nD) 71.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.26%", |
| "B) 74.33%", |
| "C) 64.19%", |
| "D) 71.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "71.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,148M\nB) $167,280M\nC) $211,883M\nD) $137,545M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $182,148M", |
| "B) $167,280M", |
| "C) $211,883M", |
| "D) $137,545M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$182,148M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.23%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 4.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.00%", |
| "B) 4.23%", |
| "C) 4.69%", |
| "D) 4.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.89%\nB) 62.66%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 67.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 65.89%", |
| "B) 62.66%", |
| "C) 64.60%", |
| "D) 67.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "64.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,751B\nB) $11,445B\nC) $12,058B\nD) $11,138B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,751B", |
| "B) $11,445B", |
| "C) $12,058B", |
| "D) $11,138B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,138B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.10%", |
| "B) 8.53%", |
| "C) 5.29%", |
| "D) 4.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.12%\nC) -0.76%\nD) 3.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.06%", |
| "B) 1.12%", |
| "C) -0.76%", |
| "D) 3.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 9.50%\nD) 12.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.30%", |
| "B) 8.40%", |
| "C) 9.50%", |
| "D) 12.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,752M\nB) $53,354M\nC) $50,222M\nD) $56,487M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $62,752M", |
| "B) $53,354M", |
| "C) $50,222M", |
| "D) $56,487M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$56,487M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,341K\nB) 138,192K\nC) 125,630K\nD) 133,481K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,341K", |
| "B) 138,192K", |
| "C) 125,630K", |
| "D) 133,481K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "130,341K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $332,339M\nB) $346,974M\nC) $354,291M\nD) $361,609M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $332,339M", |
| "B) $346,974M", |
| "C) $354,291M", |
| "D) $361,609M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$346,974M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.09%\nB) 3.10%\nC) 6.35%\nD) -0.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.09%", |
| "B) 3.10%", |
| "C) 6.35%", |
| "D) -0.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) -4.40%\nC) 27.41%\nD) 14.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.96%", |
| "B) -4.40%", |
| "C) 27.41%", |
| "D) 14.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,134M\nB) $53,710M\nC) $66,558M\nD) $69,769M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $60,134M", |
| "B) $53,710M", |
| "C) $66,558M", |
| "D) $69,769M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$60,134M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 6.20%\nC) -1.59%\nD) 17.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.00%", |
| "B) 6.20%", |
| "C) -1.59%", |
| "D) 17.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.13%\nB) -36.26%\nC) 8.93%\nD) -58.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 54.13%", |
| "B) -36.26%", |
| "C) 8.93%", |
| "D) -58.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.80pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) -2.56pp\nD) -0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.80pp", |
| "B) +1.20pp", |
| "C) -2.56pp", |
| "D) -0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.94%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 45.47%\nD) 35.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.94%", |
| "B) 6.41%", |
| "C) 45.47%", |
| "D) 35.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.20%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 52.46%\nD) -53.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.20%", |
| "B) 9.93%", |
| "C) 52.46%", |
| "D) -53.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 211.50\nB) 235.22\nC) 218.28\nD) 228.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 211.50", |
| "B) 235.22", |
| "C) 218.28", |
| "D) 228.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "218.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.24\nB) 90.10\nC) 101.53\nD) 92.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.24", |
| "B) 90.10", |
| "C) 101.53", |
| "D) 92.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "92.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,719B\nB) $9,748B\nC) $8,032B\nD) $7,689B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,719B", |
| "B) $9,748B", |
| "C) $8,032B", |
| "D) $7,689B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,719B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 12.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.95%", |
| "B) 9.90%", |
| "C) 7.05%", |
| "D) 12.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.66%\nB) 83.09%\nC) 26.24%\nD) 45.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.66%", |
| "B) 83.09%", |
| "C) 26.24%", |
| "D) 45.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "26.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $17.55/hr\nB) $18.00/hr\nC) $19.84/hr\nD) $18.92/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17.55/hr", |
| "B) $18.00/hr", |
| "C) $19.84/hr", |
| "D) $18.92/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$18.92/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 467,000\nB) 304,778\nC) 412,926\nD) 575,148", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 467,000", |
| "B) 304,778", |
| "C) 412,926", |
| "D) 575,148" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "467,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 7.30%\nD) 13.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.40%", |
| "B) 4.20%", |
| "C) 7.30%", |
| "D) 13.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $2,080M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $2,080M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$2,080M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.34%", |
| "B) 3.66%", |
| "C) 4.00%", |
| "D) 3.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.78%", |
| "B) 1.20%", |
| "C) 2.36%", |
| "D) 2.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 0.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.59%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) 0.71%", |
| "D) 0.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $-46,408M\nB) $-58,683M\nC) $-40,271M\nD) $-27,997M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-46,408M", |
| "B) $-58,683M", |
| "C) $-40,271M", |
| "D) $-27,997M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-40,271M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) +4.13pp\nB) +1.46pp\nC) +3.06pp\nD) +2.53pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.13pp", |
| "B) +1.46pp", |
| "C) +3.06pp", |
| "D) +2.53pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.53pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $76.84/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $108.25/bbl\nD) $55.90/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $76.84/bbl", |
| "B) $87.31/bbl", |
| "C) $108.25/bbl", |
| "D) $55.90/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$76.84/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,212B\nB) $8,524B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $9,556B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,212B", |
| "B) $8,524B", |
| "C) $8,179B", |
| "D) $9,556B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,524B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +1.62pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.81pp", |
| "B) -2.02pp", |
| "C) -0.20pp", |
| "D) +1.62pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,629B\nB) $10,865B\nC) $9,683B\nD) $10,156B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,629B", |
| "B) $10,865B", |
| "C) $9,683B", |
| "D) $10,156B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,156B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.90\nB) 179.61\nC) 195.48\nD) 200.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 184.90", |
| "B) 179.61", |
| "C) 195.48", |
| "D) 200.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "184.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) -1.20%\nC) -3.52%\nD) -5.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.13%", |
| "B) -1.20%", |
| "C) -3.52%", |
| "D) -5.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.39pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +3.71pp\nD) +6.03pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.39pp", |
| "B) -0.93pp", |
| "C) +3.71pp", |
| "D) +6.03pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.71pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 384K\nB) 1,595K\nC) 1,292K\nD) 687K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 384K", |
| "B) 1,595K", |
| "C) 1,292K", |
| "D) 687K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "687K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) -0.53%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.19%", |
| "B) -0.53%", |
| "C) 6.91%", |
| "D) 5.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.28\nB) 183.30\nC) 165.36\nD) 195.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 189.28", |
| "B) 183.30", |
| "C) 165.36", |
| "D) 195.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "183.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.50\nB) 93.13\nC) 89.58\nD) 86.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.50", |
| "B) 93.13", |
| "C) 89.58", |
| "D) 86.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "89.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.16\nB) 94.40\nC) 86.12\nD) 90.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 97.16", |
| "B) 94.40", |
| "C) 86.12", |
| "D) 90.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "90.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,924B\nB) $9,665B\nC) $10,035B\nD) $8,184B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,924B", |
| "B) $9,665B", |
| "C) $10,035B", |
| "D) $8,184B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,924B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 0.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.80%", |
| "B) 1.42%", |
| "C) 2.90%", |
| "D) 0.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.00%", |
| "B) 1.55%", |
| "C) 2.10%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.01\nB) 163.97\nC) 157.18\nD) 143.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130.01", |
| "B) 163.97", |
| "C) 157.18", |
| "D) 143.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "143.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.20pp\nB) -0.35pp\nC) +3.53pp\nD) +0.42pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.20pp", |
| "B) -0.35pp", |
| "C) +3.53pp", |
| "D) +0.42pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 62.84%\nB) 26.95%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -8.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.84%", |
| "B) 26.95%", |
| "C) 50.87%", |
| "D) -8.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "26.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.75%\nB) 12.84%\nC) -7.55%\nD) -38.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -17.75%", |
| "B) 12.84%", |
| "C) -7.55%", |
| "D) -38.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.99\nB) 96.59\nC) 86.99\nD) 90.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 92.99", |
| "B) 96.59", |
| "C) 86.99", |
| "D) 90.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "90.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 8.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.92%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) 5.52%", |
| "D) 8.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $385,583M\nB) $352,179M\nC) $338,817M\nD) $365,541M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $385,583M", |
| "B) $352,179M", |
| "C) $338,817M", |
| "D) $365,541M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$352,179M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.81\nB) 95.77\nC) 90.29\nD) 82.08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 84.81", |
| "B) 95.77", |
| "C) 90.29", |
| "D) 82.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "90.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $186,813M\nB) $217,051M\nC) $232,170M\nD) $201,932M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $186,813M", |
| "B) $217,051M", |
| "C) $232,170M", |
| "D) $201,932M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$201,932M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 16.78%\nC) 20.65%\nD) 12.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.04%", |
| "B) 16.78%", |
| "C) 20.65%", |
| "D) 12.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 102.10\nC) 96.99\nD) 100.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.16", |
| "B) 102.10", |
| "C) 96.99", |
| "D) 100.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "102.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.16%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 12.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.16%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 6.40%", |
| "D) 12.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 62.56\nC) 51.27\nD) 68.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.84", |
| "B) 62.56", |
| "C) 51.27", |
| "D) 68.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "68.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 6.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.40%", |
| "B) 8.15%", |
| "C) 5.65%", |
| "D) 6.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20100615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2010-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.25\nB) 25.87\nC) 32.06\nD) 13.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.25", |
| "B) 25.87", |
| "C) 32.06", |
| "D) 13.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2010", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 2.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.14%", |
| "B) 1.15%", |
| "C) 0.16%", |
| "D) 2.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,438.90", |
| "B) 2,612.16", |
| "C) 2,785.43", |
| "D) 2,265.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,265.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,438.90", |
| "B) 2,612.16", |
| "C) 2,785.43", |
| "D) 2,265.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,265.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,204.01", |
| "B) 1,857.49", |
| "C) 2,030.75", |
| "D) 2,550.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,204.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,204.01", |
| "B) 1,857.49", |
| "C) 2,030.75", |
| "D) 2,550.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,204.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,542.40", |
| "B) 2,195.88", |
| "C) 2,369.14", |
| "D) 2,022.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,195.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,542.40", |
| "B) 2,195.88", |
| "C) 2,369.14", |
| "D) 2,022.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,195.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,745.27", |
| "B) 2,611.58", |
| "C) 2,091.79", |
| "D) 1,918.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,745.27", |
| "B) 2,611.58", |
| "C) 2,091.79", |
| "D) 1,918.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,438.31", |
| "B) 1,918.53", |
| "C) 2,611.58", |
| "D) 2,091.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,438.31", |
| "B) 1,918.53", |
| "C) 2,611.58", |
| "D) 2,091.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,091.79", |
| "B) 1,745.27", |
| "C) 2,265.05", |
| "D) 1,572.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,091.79", |
| "B) 1,745.27", |
| "C) 2,265.05", |
| "D) 1,572.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.65", |
| "B) 25.52", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 46.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.65", |
| "B) 25.52", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 46.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.45", |
| "B) 39.39", |
| "C) 25.52", |
| "D) 11.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.45", |
| "B) 39.39", |
| "C) 25.52", |
| "D) 11.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.39", |
| "B) 18.59", |
| "C) 32.45", |
| "D) 25.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.39", |
| "B) 18.59", |
| "C) 32.45", |
| "D) 25.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.95", |
| "B) 37.82", |
| "C) 17.02", |
| "D) 10.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "23.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.95", |
| "B) 37.82", |
| "C) 17.02", |
| "D) 10.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "23.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.88", |
| "B) 22.01", |
| "C) 28.94", |
| "D) 42.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.88", |
| "B) 22.01", |
| "C) 28.94", |
| "D) 42.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.58", |
| "B) 11.85", |
| "C) 18.78", |
| "D) 32.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.58", |
| "B) 11.85", |
| "C) 18.78", |
| "D) 32.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Flash Crash", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-06", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3602", |
| "B) 1.1828", |
| "C) 1.4932", |
| "D) 1.2715" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3602", |
| "B) 1.1828", |
| "C) 1.4932", |
| "D) 1.2715" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2715", |
| "B) 1.4045", |
| "C) 1.1385", |
| "D) 1.0498" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2715", |
| "B) 1.4045", |
| "C) 1.1385", |
| "D) 1.0498" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0498", |
| "B) 1.2715", |
| "C) 1.1385", |
| "D) 1.4045" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0498", |
| "B) 1.2715", |
| "C) 1.1385", |
| "D) 1.4045" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0942", |
| "B) 1.1828", |
| "C) 1.2715", |
| "D) 1.4045" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0942", |
| "B) 1.1828", |
| "C) 1.2715", |
| "D) 1.4045" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4569", |
| "B) 1.1466", |
| "C) 1.2352", |
| "D) 1.3239" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3239", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4569", |
| "B) 1.1466", |
| "C) 1.2352", |
| "D) 1.3239" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3239", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4066", |
| "B) 1.3179", |
| "C) 1.5396", |
| "D) 1.6283" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4066", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4066", |
| "B) 1.3179", |
| "C) 1.5396", |
| "D) 1.6283" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4066", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.10", |
| "B) 31.24", |
| "C) 52.03", |
| "D) 10.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.10", |
| "B) 31.24", |
| "C) 52.03", |
| "D) 10.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.72", |
| "B) 25.00", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 31.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.72", |
| "B) 25.00", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 31.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.58", |
| "B) 59.65", |
| "C) 31.93", |
| "D) 45.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.58", |
| "B) 59.65", |
| "C) 31.93", |
| "D) 45.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.79", |
| "B) 59.65", |
| "C) 31.93", |
| "D) 66.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.79", |
| "B) 59.65", |
| "C) 31.93", |
| "D) 66.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.86", |
| "B) 45.79", |
| "C) 25.00", |
| "D) 52.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.86", |
| "B) 45.79", |
| "C) 25.00", |
| "D) 52.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.72", |
| "B) 25.00", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 31.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.72", |
| "B) 25.00", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 31.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.33%", |
| "B) 4.26%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.33%", |
| "B) 4.26%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 4.03%", |
| "C) 4.26%", |
| "D) 2.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 4.03%", |
| "C) 4.26%", |
| "D) 2.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.33%", |
| "B) 3.56%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.33%", |
| "B) 3.56%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 2.86%", |
| "C) 3.56%", |
| "D) 3.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 2.86%", |
| "C) 3.56%", |
| "D) 3.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 3.79%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 3.79%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 4.26%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 4.26%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", |
| "event_date": "2010-05-10", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4648", |
| "B) 1.3302", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.1507" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4648", |
| "B) 1.3302", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.1507" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1956", |
| "B) 1.1059", |
| "C) 1.3302", |
| "D) 1.4199" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1956", |
| "B) 1.1059", |
| "C) 1.3302", |
| "D) 1.4199" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2405", |
| "B) 1.4199", |
| "C) 1.1507", |
| "D) 1.3302" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2405", |
| "B) 1.4199", |
| "C) 1.1507", |
| "D) 1.3302" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3302", |
| "B) 1.4199", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.1059" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3302", |
| "B) 1.4199", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.1059" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5097", |
| "B) 1.3302", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.4199" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5097", |
| "B) 1.3302", |
| "C) 1.2405", |
| "D) 1.4199" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3302", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3169", |
| "B) 1.4963", |
| "C) 1.4066", |
| "D) 1.1823" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4066", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3169", |
| "B) 1.4963", |
| "C) 1.4066", |
| "D) 1.1823" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4066", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.74", |
| "B) 44.68", |
| "C) 30.79", |
| "D) 23.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.74", |
| "B) 44.68", |
| "C) 30.79", |
| "D) 23.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.95", |
| "B) 54.85", |
| "C) 47.90", |
| "D) 61.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "40.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.95", |
| "B) 54.85", |
| "C) 47.90", |
| "D) 61.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "40.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 45.79", |
| "C) 24.95", |
| "D) 38.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 45.79", |
| "C) 24.95", |
| "D) 38.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 31.89", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 66.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 31.89", |
| "C) 45.79", |
| "D) 66.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 31.89", |
| "C) 66.63", |
| "D) 45.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.69", |
| "B) 31.89", |
| "C) 66.63", |
| "D) 45.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.79", |
| "B) 66.63", |
| "C) 59.69", |
| "D) 52.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.79", |
| "B) 66.63", |
| "C) 59.69", |
| "D) 52.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.16%", |
| "B) 3.63%", |
| "C) 3.39%", |
| "D) 3.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.16%", |
| "B) 3.63%", |
| "C) 3.39%", |
| "D) 3.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.94%", |
| "B) 3.88%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.94%", |
| "B) 3.88%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.47%", |
| "B) 2.94%", |
| "C) 3.89%", |
| "D) 3.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.47%", |
| "B) 2.94%", |
| "C) 3.89%", |
| "D) 3.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 3.84%", |
| "D) 2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 3.84%", |
| "D) 2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.66%", |
| "B) 2.90%", |
| "C) 3.37%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.66%", |
| "B) 2.90%", |
| "C) 3.37%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.94%", |
| "B) 2.65%", |
| "C) 2.41%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.94%", |
| "B) 2.65%", |
| "C) 2.41%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,943.24", |
| "B) 1,905.26", |
| "C) 2,251.25", |
| "D) 2,424.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,424.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,943.24", |
| "B) 1,905.26", |
| "C) 2,251.25", |
| "D) 2,424.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,424.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,265.64", |
| "B) 1,919.64", |
| "C) 2,092.64", |
| "D) 2,438.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,265.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,265.64", |
| "B) 1,919.64", |
| "C) 2,092.64", |
| "D) 2,438.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,265.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,858.01", |
| "B) 2,204.01", |
| "C) 2,377.01", |
| "D) 2,723.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,204.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,858.01", |
| "B) 2,204.01", |
| "C) 2,377.01", |
| "D) 2,723.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,204.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,985.85", |
| "B) 1,812.85", |
| "C) 2,158.85", |
| "D) 2,504.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,158.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,985.85", |
| "B) 1,812.85", |
| "C) 2,158.85", |
| "D) 2,504.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,158.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,745.79", |
| "B) 1,572.80", |
| "C) 2,264.79", |
| "D) 2,091.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,745.79", |
| "B) 1,572.80", |
| "C) 2,264.79", |
| "D) 2,091.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,091.79", |
| "B) 2,610.78", |
| "C) 2,264.79", |
| "D) 1,918.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,091.79", |
| "B) 2,610.78", |
| "C) 2,264.79", |
| "D) 1,918.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,091.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", |
| "event_date": "2010-04-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", |
| "year": 2010 |
| } |
| ] |