pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2013.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 0.65%",
"options": [
"A) 1.88%",
"B) 1.06%",
"C) 3.12%",
"D) 0.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,935M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $2,935M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$2,935M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $204,111M\nB) $244,218M\nC) $217,480M\nD) $190,742M",
"options": [
"A) $204,111M",
"B) $244,218M",
"C) $217,480M",
"D) $190,742M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$217,480M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,092K\nB) 780K\nC) 858K\nD) 936K",
"options": [
"A) 1,092K",
"B) 780K",
"C) 858K",
"D) 936K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "936K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,996,000\nB) 3,985,263\nC) 3,490,631\nD) 4,479,894",
"options": [
"A) 2,996,000",
"B) 3,985,263",
"C) 3,490,631",
"D) 4,479,894"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,996,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 10.61%\nC) 16.87%\nD) 20.01%",
"options": [
"A) 4.35%",
"B) 10.61%",
"C) 16.87%",
"D) 20.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.74\nB) 101.97\nC) 108.90\nD) 113.06",
"options": [
"A) 104.74",
"B) 101.97",
"C) 108.90",
"D) 113.06"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "108.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +8.87pp\nB) -2.43pp\nC) -8.08pp\nD) +0.39pp",
"options": [
"A) +8.87pp",
"B) -2.43pp",
"C) -8.08pp",
"D) +0.39pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.39pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -5.90pp\nC) +9.40pp\nD) +4.30pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.80pp",
"B) -5.90pp",
"C) +9.40pp",
"D) +4.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) +1.85pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.60pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.60pp",
"B) +1.85pp",
"C) +1.10pp",
"D) +1.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.85pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $438,003M\nB) $396,065M\nC) $410,044M\nD) $451,982M",
"options": [
"A) $438,003M",
"B) $396,065M",
"C) $410,044M",
"D) $451,982M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$410,044M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 393,816\nB) 434,632\nC) 312,184\nD) 353,000",
"options": [
"A) 393,816",
"B) 434,632",
"C) 312,184",
"D) 353,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "353,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 147.95\nB) 134.35\nC) 143.42\nD) 157.02",
"options": [
"A) 147.95",
"B) 134.35",
"C) 143.42",
"D) 157.02"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "147.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.16%\nB) 16.13%\nC) 30.78%\nD) 60.07%",
"options": [
"A) -13.16%",
"B) 16.13%",
"C) 30.78%",
"D) 60.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,487M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $3,487M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,487M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.71\nB) 221.35\nC) 229.36\nD) 234.70",
"options": [
"A) 242.71",
"B) 221.35",
"C) 229.36",
"D) 234.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "234.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $65,898M\nB) $76,016M\nC) $55,780M\nD) $69,271M",
"options": [
"A) $65,898M",
"B) $76,016M",
"C) $55,780M",
"D) $69,271M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$65,898M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.80\nB) 77.50\nC) 81.20\nD) 66.39",
"options": [
"A) 73.80",
"B) 77.50",
"C) 81.20",
"D) 66.39"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "77.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.28%",
"options": [
"A) 1.04%",
"B) 2.46%",
"C) 1.75%",
"D) 1.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) -0.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.87%",
"B) -0.83%",
"C) 2.59%",
"D) 1.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 2.11%",
"options": [
"A) 1.53%",
"B) 0.95%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 2.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,726B\nB) $10,862B\nC) $9,998B\nD) $11,294B",
"options": [
"A) $11,726B",
"B) $10,862B",
"C) $9,998B",
"D) $11,294B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$10,862B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.87%\nB) 69.21%\nC) 34.38%\nD) 86.62%",
"options": [
"A) -17.87%",
"B) 69.21%",
"C) 34.38%",
"D) 86.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "34.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.45\nB) 93.73\nC) 95.87\nD) 100.16",
"options": [
"A) 104.45",
"B) 93.73",
"C) 95.87",
"D) 100.16"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "100.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) -0.26pp\nD) -0.82pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.40pp",
"B) -0.12pp",
"C) -0.26pp",
"D) -0.82pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.77%\nB) -0.24%\nC) 10.28%\nD) 3.26%",
"options": [
"A) -10.77%",
"B) -0.24%",
"C) 10.28%",
"D) 3.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,980K\nB) 134,085K\nC) 136,821K\nD) 140,926K",
"options": [
"A) 129,980K",
"B) 134,085K",
"C) 136,821K",
"D) 140,926K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "136,821K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.04%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 61.94%\nD) 63.20%",
"options": [
"A) 60.04%",
"B) 65.10%",
"C) 61.94%",
"D) 63.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "63.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 1.48%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) 1.70%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 15.94%\nB) -5.17%\nC) -12.21%\nD) -26.28%",
"options": [
"A) 15.94%",
"B) -5.17%",
"C) -12.21%",
"D) -26.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.36\nB) 115.18\nC) 109.30\nD) 112.24",
"options": [
"A) 106.36",
"B) 115.18",
"C) 109.30",
"D) 112.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "109.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.86%\nB) -9.47%\nC) 5.20%\nD) -2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 8.86%",
"B) -9.47%",
"C) 5.20%",
"D) -2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.21%\nB) 73.49%\nC) 79.07%\nD) 75.35%",
"options": [
"A) 77.21%",
"B) 73.49%",
"C) 79.07%",
"D) 75.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "77.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,803B\nB) $10,584B\nC) $9,771B\nD) $9,364B",
"options": [
"A) $11,803B",
"B) $10,584B",
"C) $9,771B",
"D) $9,364B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$10,584B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.30%\nB) 29.00%\nC) 0.35%\nD) -42.62%",
"options": [
"A) -28.30%",
"B) 29.00%",
"C) 0.35%",
"D) -42.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 988K\nB) 642K\nC) 919K\nD) 850K",
"options": [
"A) 988K",
"B) 642K",
"C) 919K",
"D) 850K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "850K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.49\nB) 89.76\nC) 93.20\nD) 98.92",
"options": [
"A) 95.49",
"B) 89.76",
"C) 93.20",
"D) 98.92"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "95.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,088K\nB) 1,010K\nC) 1,166K\nD) 854K",
"options": [
"A) 1,088K",
"B) 1,010K",
"C) 1,166K",
"D) 854K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,010K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 3.11%",
"options": [
"A) 1.97%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) 1.40%",
"D) 3.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.02%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.14%",
"options": [
"A) -0.02%",
"B) 1.72%",
"C) 2.89%",
"D) 1.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.10/bbl\nB) $129.45/bbl\nC) $92.92/bbl\nD) $68.57/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $105.10/bbl",
"B) $129.45/bbl",
"C) $92.92/bbl",
"D) $68.57/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$105.10/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.78/hr\nB) $20.23/hr\nC) $19.40/hr\nD) $18.84/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.78/hr",
"B) $20.23/hr",
"C) $19.40/hr",
"D) $18.84/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$20.23/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 0.01%",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 0.29%",
"D) 0.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 75.18%\nB) 55.69%\nC) -41.78%\nD) 16.70%",
"options": [
"A) 75.18%",
"B) 55.69%",
"C) -41.78%",
"D) 16.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.42%\nB) 44.77%\nC) 56.95%\nD) -3.94%",
"options": [
"A) 20.42%",
"B) 44.77%",
"C) 56.95%",
"D) -3.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.26%",
"options": [
"A) 1.43%",
"B) 1.04%",
"C) 1.82%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,760K\nB) 131,618K\nC) 135,689K\nD) 145,187K",
"options": [
"A) 139,760K",
"B) 131,618K",
"C) 135,689K",
"D) 145,187K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "135,689K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.07%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -12.03%\nD) -0.10%",
"options": [
"A) -4.07%",
"B) -8.05%",
"C) -12.03%",
"D) -0.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.50%\nB) 82.56%\nC) 79.19%\nD) 74.14%",
"options": [
"A) 77.50%",
"B) 82.56%",
"C) 79.19%",
"D) 74.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "77.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.17pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.83pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.17pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -0.83pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.46%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 62.81%",
"options": [
"A) 60.46%",
"B) 56.94%",
"C) 58.70%",
"D) 62.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "58.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,079K\nB) 1,228K\nC) 929K\nD) 1,004K",
"options": [
"A) 1,079K",
"B) 1,228K",
"C) 929K",
"D) 1,004K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,004K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 6.09%\nD) 8.72%",
"options": [
"A) 7.41%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 6.09%",
"D) 8.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $-24,883M\nB) $-34,314M\nC) $-43,745M\nD) $-39,030M",
"options": [
"A) $-24,883M",
"B) $-34,314M",
"C) $-43,745M",
"D) $-39,030M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-34,314M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.91/hr\nB) $19.11/hr\nC) $20.01/hr\nD) $18.51/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.91/hr",
"B) $19.11/hr",
"C) $20.01/hr",
"D) $18.51/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$20.01/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,448B\nB) $10,179B\nC) $9,010B\nD) $9,741B",
"options": [
"A) $9,448B",
"B) $10,179B",
"C) $9,010B",
"D) $9,741B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$9,741B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 1.83%",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) -0.37%",
"C) 0.36%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,573B\nB) $12,272B\nC) $11,671B\nD) $13,173B",
"options": [
"A) $12,573B",
"B) $12,272B",
"C) $11,671B",
"D) $13,173B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$12,272B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.77\nB) 93.45\nC) 95.98\nD) 89.66",
"options": [
"A) 99.77",
"B) 93.45",
"C) 95.98",
"D) 89.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $210,369M\nB) $251,055M\nC) $223,931M\nD) $237,493M",
"options": [
"A) $210,369M",
"B) $251,055M",
"C) $223,931M",
"D) $237,493M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$237,493M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) -7.44pp\nC) +3.84pp\nD) -1.80pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.02pp",
"B) -7.44pp",
"C) +3.84pp",
"D) -1.80pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+1.02pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.36%",
"options": [
"A) 1.63%",
"B) 1.89%",
"C) 2.41%",
"D) 1.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +22.08pp\nB) +8.96pp\nC) +2.40pp\nD) -17.28pp",
"options": [
"A) +22.08pp",
"B) +8.96pp",
"C) +2.40pp",
"D) -17.28pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+2.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 85.5872\nB) 107.4692\nC) 89.9636\nD) 94.3400",
"options": [
"A) 85.5872",
"B) 107.4692",
"C) 89.9636",
"D) 94.3400"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "94.3400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.00\nB) 197.92\nC) 210.08\nD) 222.23",
"options": [
"A) 204.00",
"B) 197.92",
"C) 210.08",
"D) 222.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "204.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 0.43%",
"options": [
"A) 1.60%",
"B) 1.02%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 0.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.54pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) +0.98pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.54pp",
"B) +0.14pp",
"C) -0.70pp",
"D) +0.98pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.25%\nB) 6.29%\nC) -0.07%\nD) 3.11%",
"options": [
"A) -3.25%",
"B) 6.29%",
"C) -0.07%",
"D) 3.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,446B\nB) $11,184B\nC) $12,231B\nD) $11,969B",
"options": [
"A) $11,446B",
"B) $11,184B",
"C) $12,231B",
"D) $11,969B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,446B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) +1.77pp\nD) -1.77pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.59pp",
"B) +0.00pp",
"C) +1.77pp",
"D) -1.77pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.92\nB) 210.23\nC) 203.90\nD) 197.57",
"options": [
"A) 184.92",
"B) 210.23",
"C) 203.90",
"D) 197.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "203.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.7598\nB) 6.0070\nC) 6.5014\nD) 6.1306",
"options": [
"A) 5.7598",
"B) 6.0070",
"C) 6.5014",
"D) 6.1306"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.1306",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,459M\nB) $56,369M\nC) $69,822M\nD) $63,096M",
"options": [
"A) $66,459M",
"B) $56,369M",
"C) $69,822M",
"D) $63,096M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66,459M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 5.88%",
"options": [
"A) 4.15%",
"B) 5.30%",
"C) 3.57%",
"D) 5.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.73%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -0.38%\nD) 1.85%",
"options": [
"A) 0.73%",
"B) -3.73%",
"C) -0.38%",
"D) 1.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 16.97%\nC) 26.42%\nD) -1.92%",
"options": [
"A) 7.53%",
"B) 16.97%",
"C) 26.42%",
"D) -1.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3330\nB) 1.5321\nC) 1.2135\nD) 1.4127",
"options": [
"A) 1.3330",
"B) 1.5321",
"C) 1.2135",
"D) 1.4127"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.3330",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 243.92\nB) 233.54\nC) 216.25\nD) 226.63",
"options": [
"A) 243.92",
"B) 233.54",
"C) 216.25",
"D) 226.63"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "233.54",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.67%\nB) 88.35%\nC) 45.32%\nD) 74.01%",
"options": [
"A) 59.67%",
"B) 88.35%",
"C) 45.32%",
"D) 74.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "45.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 66.47%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.57%\nD) 63.30%",
"options": [
"A) 66.47%",
"B) 61.40%",
"C) 64.57%",
"D) 63.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "63.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 7.08%",
"options": [
"A) 3.92%",
"B) 2.35%",
"C) 0.77%",
"D) 7.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.99%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 9.70%\nD) -0.57%",
"options": [
"A) -3.99%",
"B) 2.85%",
"C) 9.70%",
"D) -0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 12.66%\nC) 3.18%\nD) -3.14%",
"options": [
"A) 6.34%",
"B) 12.66%",
"C) 3.18%",
"D) -3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $126.67/bbl\nB) $107.44/bbl\nC) $78.60/bbl\nD) $97.83/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $126.67/bbl",
"B) $107.44/bbl",
"C) $78.60/bbl",
"D) $97.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$97.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -1.71pp\nC) +0.57pp\nD) +1.14pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.00pp",
"B) -1.71pp",
"C) +0.57pp",
"D) +1.14pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.35\nB) 94.54\nC) 97.66\nD) 92.47",
"options": [
"A) 89.35",
"B) 94.54",
"C) 97.66",
"D) 92.47"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.54",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 240.42\nB) 245.51\nC) 232.79\nD) 225.17",
"options": [
"A) 240.42",
"B) 245.51",
"C) 232.79",
"D) 225.17"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "232.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,678.08\nB) 3,932.61\nC) 2,914.51\nD) 3,423.56",
"options": [
"A) 3,678.08",
"B) 3,932.61",
"C) 2,914.51",
"D) 3,423.56"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,423.56",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 10.16%\nD) 7.53%",
"options": [
"A) 6.22%",
"B) 3.59%",
"C) 10.16%",
"D) 7.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 5.46%",
"options": [
"A) 1.87%",
"B) 3.07%",
"C) 6.65%",
"D) 5.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.17\nB) 85.46\nC) 78.60\nD) 82.03",
"options": [
"A) 75.17",
"B) 85.46",
"C) 78.60",
"D) 82.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 50.77%\nB) -20.58%\nC) -6.31%\nD) 7.96%",
"options": [
"A) 50.77%",
"B) -20.58%",
"C) -6.31%",
"D) 7.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.27pp\nC) +2.00pp\nD) +1.13pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.60pp",
"B) +0.27pp",
"C) +2.00pp",
"D) +1.13pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 0.94%\nC) -0.19%\nD) -2.47%",
"options": [
"A) 2.08%",
"B) 0.94%",
"C) -0.19%",
"D) -2.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.25%",
"options": [
"A) 0.64%",
"B) 0.44%",
"C) 0.05%",
"D) 0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 3.98%",
"options": [
"A) 4.39%",
"B) 2.75%",
"C) 5.21%",
"D) 3.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $406,223M\nB) $441,778M\nC) $382,520M\nD) $429,926M",
"options": [
"A) $406,223M",
"B) $441,778M",
"C) $382,520M",
"D) $429,926M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$406,223M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.27%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 11.18%\nD) 18.22%",
"options": [
"A) 25.27%",
"B) 4.13%",
"C) 11.18%",
"D) 18.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,970B\nB) $10,837B\nC) $11,290B\nD) $11,743B",
"options": [
"A) $11,970B",
"B) $10,837B",
"C) $11,290B",
"D) $11,743B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$11,290B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.20%",
"options": [
"A) 6.24%",
"B) 7.68%",
"C) 8.16%",
"D) 7.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.96%\nB) -10.80%\nC) 48.48%\nD) 68.24%",
"options": [
"A) 8.96%",
"B) -10.80%",
"C) 48.48%",
"D) 68.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "8.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 150.16\nB) 159.66\nC) 175.50\nD) 169.17",
"options": [
"A) 150.16",
"B) 159.66",
"C) 175.50",
"D) 169.17"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "159.66",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 55.61%\nB) 60.66%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 57.06%",
"options": [
"A) 55.61%",
"B) 60.66%",
"C) 58.50%",
"D) 57.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "58.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 1.52%",
"options": [
"A) 0.65%",
"B) 2.39%",
"C) 4.13%",
"D) 1.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 5.94%\nC) -7.70%\nD) -4.29%",
"options": [
"A) 2.53%",
"B) 5.94%",
"C) -7.70%",
"D) -4.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.70%\nB) 8.90%\nC) 11.30%\nD) 6.51%",
"options": [
"A) 13.70%",
"B) 8.90%",
"C) 11.30%",
"D) 6.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $-36,541M\nB) $-29,789M\nC) $-39,917M\nD) $-46,669M",
"options": [
"A) $-36,541M",
"B) $-29,789M",
"C) $-39,917M",
"D) $-46,669M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-39,917M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.38\nB) 5.66\nC) 22.89\nD) 17.15",
"options": [
"A) 34.38",
"B) 5.66",
"C) 22.89",
"D) 17.15"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.15",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 5.41%",
"options": [
"A) 7.50%",
"B) 6.80%",
"C) 8.20%",
"D) 5.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 2.92%",
"options": [
"A) 1.18%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 2.57%",
"D) 2.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.97%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 6.25%",
"options": [
"A) 6.97%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 4.80%",
"D) 6.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 0.08%",
"options": [
"A) 0.32%",
"B) 0.20%",
"C) 0.45%",
"D) 0.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 6.42%",
"options": [
"A) 2.69%",
"B) -1.03%",
"C) 1.45%",
"D) 6.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.45\nB) 99.19\nC) 105.94\nD) 103.69",
"options": [
"A) 92.45",
"B) 99.19",
"C) 105.94",
"D) 103.69"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "99.19",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.94%",
"options": [
"A) 4.30%",
"B) 3.96%",
"C) 3.28%",
"D) 2.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.81\nB) 98.76\nC) 91.94\nD) 93.89",
"options": [
"A) 96.81",
"B) 98.76",
"C) 91.94",
"D) 93.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "93.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,503B\nB) $12,809B\nC) $11,585B\nD) $13,421B",
"options": [
"A) $12,503B",
"B) $12,809B",
"C) $11,585B",
"D) $13,421B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$12,503B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 3.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.53%",
"B) 2.14%",
"C) 1.75%",
"D) 3.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 238.53\nB) 222.90\nC) 232.28\nD) 247.91",
"options": [
"A) 238.53",
"B) 222.90",
"C) 232.28",
"D) 247.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "232.28",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.29%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 0.61%\nD) 1.28%",
"options": [
"A) 3.29%",
"B) -0.74%",
"C) 0.61%",
"D) 1.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.51%\nB) -18.92%\nC) 37.94%\nD) -9.44%",
"options": [
"A) 9.51%",
"B) -18.92%",
"C) 37.94%",
"D) -9.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -25.38%\nB) 10.54%\nC) 28.50%\nD) 64.41%",
"options": [
"A) -25.38%",
"B) 10.54%",
"C) 28.50%",
"D) 64.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.86%",
"options": [
"A) 0.50%",
"B) 1.22%",
"C) 0.14%",
"D) 0.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2013",
"info_cutoff": "2013-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 4.09%\nC) -0.66%\nD) 1.71%",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 4.09%",
"C) -0.66%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20130615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2013-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2013-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 92.19\nB) 90.18\nC) 98.20\nD) 96.20",
"options": [
"A) 92.19",
"B) 90.18",
"C) 98.20",
"D) 96.20"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "92.19",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.76%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 2.74%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.76%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 2.74%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.75%",
"B) 1.96%",
"C) 2.16%",
"D) 2.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.75%",
"B) 1.96%",
"C) 2.16%",
"D) 2.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.61%",
"B) 2.21%",
"C) 1.82%",
"D) 2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.41%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.61%",
"B) 2.21%",
"C) 1.82%",
"D) 2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.41%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.73%",
"B) 2.93%",
"C) 2.53%",
"D) 3.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.73%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.73%",
"B) 2.93%",
"C) 2.53%",
"D) 3.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.73%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 3.43%",
"B) 2.84%",
"C) 2.64%",
"D) 2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.84%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 3.43%",
"B) 2.84%",
"C) 2.64%",
"D) 2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.84%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 3.57%",
"C) 2.98%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 3.57%",
"C) 2.98%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.43%",
"B) 0.22%",
"C) 0.37%",
"D) 0.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.43%",
"B) 0.22%",
"C) 0.37%",
"D) 0.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.32%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 0.38%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.32%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.32%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 0.38%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.32%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.40%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.25%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.40%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.25%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.37%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.43%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.37%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.43%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.58%",
"D) 0.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.43%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.58%",
"D) 0.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.43%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 0.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 0.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.99%",
"B) 3.81%",
"C) 3.45%",
"D) 3.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.81%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.99%",
"B) 3.81%",
"C) 3.45%",
"D) 3.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.81%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.37%",
"B) 4.27%",
"C) 3.91%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.91%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.37%",
"B) 4.27%",
"C) 3.91%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.91%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.62%",
"B) 4.34%",
"C) 3.80%",
"D) 3.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.98%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 3.62%",
"B) 4.34%",
"C) 3.80%",
"D) 3.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.98%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.51%",
"B) 4.15%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 4.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.51%",
"B) 4.15%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 4.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.76%",
"B) 4.58%",
"C) 4.40%",
"D) 5.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.76%",
"B) 4.58%",
"C) 4.40%",
"D) 5.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.40%",
"B) 4.04%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) 4.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-16",
"options": [
"A) 4.40%",
"B) 4.04%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) 4.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 11.16",
"B) 25.85",
"C) 7.48",
"D) 14.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 11.16",
"B) 25.85",
"C) 7.48",
"D) 14.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 17.50",
"B) 28.52",
"C) 10.15",
"D) 6.48"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 17.50",
"B) 28.52",
"C) 10.15",
"D) 6.48"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.16",
"B) 20.49",
"C) 27.84",
"D) 13.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.16",
"B) 20.49",
"C) 27.84",
"D) 13.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 13.14",
"B) 31.51",
"C) 20.49",
"D) 27.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 13.14",
"B) 31.51",
"C) 20.49",
"D) 27.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 27.84",
"B) 31.51",
"C) 24.16",
"D) 20.49"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 27.84",
"B) 31.51",
"C) 24.16",
"D) 20.49"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 20.49",
"B) 27.84",
"C) 13.14",
"D) 16.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22",
"info_cutoff": "2013-05-21",
"options": [
"A) 20.49",
"B) 27.84",
"C) 13.14",
"D) 16.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.49",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Taper Tantrum",
"event_date": "2013-05-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max",
"year": 2013
}
]