| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) -2.12pp\nC) +0.51pp\nD) -6.08pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.44pp", |
| "B) -2.12pp", |
| "C) +0.51pp", |
| "D) -6.08pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.12pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.43%\nD) 1.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.64%", |
| "B) 1.74%", |
| "C) 1.43%", |
| "D) 1.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 4.36%\nC) 6.37%\nD) 3.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.34%", |
| "B) 4.36%", |
| "C) 6.37%", |
| "D) 3.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $655M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $655M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$655M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.91%", |
| "B) 1.69%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 1.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 7.27%\nD) 10.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.29%", |
| "B) 1.31%", |
| "C) 7.27%", |
| "D) 10.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 3.08%", |
| "C) 2.41%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) 389,000\nB) 300,028\nC) 448,315\nD) 477,972", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 389,000", |
| "B) 300,028", |
| "C) 448,315", |
| "D) 477,972" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "389,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 2.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.81%", |
| "B) 2.55%", |
| "C) 2.72%", |
| "D) 2.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 108.6660\nB) 125.8940\nC) 117.2800\nD) 130.2010", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.6660", |
| "B) 125.8940", |
| "C) 117.2800", |
| "D) 130.2010" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "117.2800", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 78.41\nB) 81.46\nC) 73.85\nD) 76.13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.41", |
| "B) 81.46", |
| "C) 73.85", |
| "D) 76.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "76.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.24%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.24%", |
| "B) 1.65%", |
| "C) 0.03%", |
| "D) 0.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 4.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.13%", |
| "B) 5.40%", |
| "C) 6.67%", |
| "D) 4.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $277,270M\nB) $301,822M\nC) $283,408M\nD) $264,994M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $277,270M", |
| "B) $301,822M", |
| "C) $283,408M", |
| "D) $264,994M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$283,408M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.0285\nB) 8.6906\nC) 8.5251\nD) 8.2768", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.0285", |
| "B) 8.6906", |
| "C) 8.5251", |
| "D) 8.2768" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2768", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) $21.47/bbl\nB) $27.34/bbl\nC) $12.66/bbl\nD) $24.41/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.47/bbl", |
| "B) $27.34/bbl", |
| "C) $12.66/bbl", |
| "D) $24.41/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$21.47/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) +2.54pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) +1.15pp\nD) +1.85pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.54pp", |
| "B) +1.50pp", |
| "C) +1.15pp", |
| "D) +1.85pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 0.39%\nC) 0.68%\nD) 1.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.97%", |
| "B) 0.39%", |
| "C) 0.68%", |
| "D) 1.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 4.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.83%", |
| "B) 3.09%", |
| "C) 4.02%", |
| "D) 4.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 128.40\nB) 140.08\nC) 133.07\nD) 123.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 128.40", |
| "B) 140.08", |
| "C) 133.07", |
| "D) 123.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "128.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.17%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 2.17%", |
| "C) -0.56%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,873K\nB) 1,728K\nC) 1,764K\nD) 1,800K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,873K", |
| "B) 1,728K", |
| "C) 1,764K", |
| "D) 1,800K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,764K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.47%", |
| "B) 1.05%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) 1.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) -26.94%\nB) -52.27%\nC) 49.05%\nD) -1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -26.94%", |
| "B) -52.27%", |
| "C) 49.05%", |
| "D) -1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-26.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 187.87\nB) 180.50\nC) 173.13\nD) 168.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187.87", |
| "B) 180.50", |
| "C) 173.13", |
| "D) 168.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "180.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.01%", |
| "B) 3.70%", |
| "C) 3.28%", |
| "D) 2.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) -19.63%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -8.77%\nD) -3.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19.63%", |
| "B) 2.09%", |
| "C) -8.77%", |
| "D) -3.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $172,406M\nB) $154,844M\nC) $184,114M\nD) $166,552M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $172,406M", |
| "B) $154,844M", |
| "C) $184,114M", |
| "D) $166,552M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$172,406M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 88.24\nB) 90.97\nC) 96.43\nD) 93.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.24", |
| "B) 90.97", |
| "C) 96.43", |
| "D) 93.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "90.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.02%\nD) 2.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.30%", |
| "B) 1.84%", |
| "C) 2.02%", |
| "D) 2.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 137.98\nB) 111.48\nC) 129.15\nD) 124.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137.98", |
| "B) 111.48", |
| "C) 129.15", |
| "D) 124.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "124.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.47%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 8.06%\nD) 8.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.47%", |
| "B) 9.70%", |
| "C) 8.06%", |
| "D) 8.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 2.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.61%", |
| "B) 2.88%", |
| "C) 3.12%", |
| "D) 2.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -1.00pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -2.21pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.00pp", |
| "B) -0.39pp", |
| "C) -1.30pp", |
| "D) -2.21pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 64.38%\nB) 60.00%\nC) 61.25%\nD) 62.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.38%", |
| "B) 60.00%", |
| "C) 61.25%", |
| "D) 62.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) $5,395B\nB) $4,928B\nC) $5,084B\nD) $5,551B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,395B", |
| "B) $4,928B", |
| "C) $5,084B", |
| "D) $5,551B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,395B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.46%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 5.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.46%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 3.31%", |
| "D) 5.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.03%\nB) 12.85%\nC) 9.22%\nD) 14.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.03%", |
| "B) 12.85%", |
| "C) 9.22%", |
| "D) 14.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.0628\nB) 0.9004\nC) 0.7787\nD) 0.9816", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0628", |
| "B) 0.9004", |
| "C) 0.7787", |
| "D) 0.9816" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9816", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $7,225B\nB) $7,402B\nC) $6,694B\nD) $7,048B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,225B", |
| "B) $7,402B", |
| "C) $6,694B", |
| "D) $7,048B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,225B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $194,907M\nB) $177,126M\nC) $171,199M\nD) $165,272M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $194,907M", |
| "B) $177,126M", |
| "C) $171,199M", |
| "D) $165,272M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$177,126M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) -54.75%\nB) 15.03%\nC) -31.49%\nD) 38.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -54.75%", |
| "B) 15.03%", |
| "C) -31.49%", |
| "D) 38.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-31.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $14.59/hr\nB) $13.76/hr\nC) $15.99/hr\nD) $15.15/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.59/hr", |
| "B) $13.76/hr", |
| "C) $15.99/hr", |
| "D) $15.15/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.15/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.43%\nB) 19.42%\nC) 12.76%\nD) 16.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.43%", |
| "B) 19.42%", |
| "C) 12.76%", |
| "D) 16.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 92.66\nB) 89.96\nC) 96.26\nD) 87.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 92.66", |
| "B) 89.96", |
| "C) 96.26", |
| "D) 87.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "89.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) $15.17/bbl\nB) $26.05/bbl\nC) $23.33/bbl\nD) $28.77/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.17/bbl", |
| "B) $26.05/bbl", |
| "C) $23.33/bbl", |
| "D) $28.77/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.33/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 15.78%\nB) -8.19%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 3.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.78%", |
| "B) -8.19%", |
| "C) -4.20%", |
| "D) 3.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0082\nB) 1.1658\nC) 1.0870\nD) 0.9294", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0082", |
| "B) 1.1658", |
| "C) 1.0870", |
| "D) 0.9294" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0082", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.18pp\nD) +0.46pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.14pp", |
| "B) -0.50pp", |
| "C) -0.18pp", |
| "D) +0.46pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 83.58\nB) 110.22\nC) 96.90\nD) 88.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.58", |
| "B) 110.22", |
| "C) 96.90", |
| "D) 88.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "96.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.98%\nD) 3.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.94%", |
| "B) 1.96%", |
| "C) 0.98%", |
| "D) 3.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 191.90\nB) 204.58\nC) 186.83\nD) 196.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 191.90", |
| "B) 204.58", |
| "C) 186.83", |
| "D) 196.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "191.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.69pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) +1.13pp\nD) +0.04pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.69pp", |
| "B) +0.40pp", |
| "C) +1.13pp", |
| "D) +0.04pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) -8.88%\nB) -3.91%\nC) -1.42%\nD) 1.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.88%", |
| "B) -3.91%", |
| "C) -1.42%", |
| "D) 1.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.7042\nB) 0.9996\nC) 0.7886\nD) 0.8730", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.7042", |
| "B) 0.9996", |
| "C) 0.7886", |
| "D) 0.8730" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.8730", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.2771\nB) 8.0288\nC) 8.4426\nD) 8.6082", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.2771", |
| "B) 8.0288", |
| "C) 8.4426", |
| "D) 8.6082" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2771", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) +21.11pp\nB) +4.90pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +15.70pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +21.11pp", |
| "B) +4.90pp", |
| "C) -0.50pp", |
| "D) +15.70pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 116.1517\nB) 128.8067\nC) 120.3700\nD) 107.7150", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 116.1517", |
| "B) 128.8067", |
| "C) 120.3700", |
| "D) 107.7150" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "120.3700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,585.15\nB) 1,295.77\nC) 3,014.94\nD) 1,725.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,585.15", |
| "B) 1,295.77", |
| "C) 3,014.94", |
| "D) 1,725.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,725.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.65pp\nB) -3.29pp\nC) -1.93pp\nD) -8.72pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.65pp", |
| "B) -3.29pp", |
| "C) -1.93pp", |
| "D) -8.72pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.65pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $7,957B\nC) $8,547B\nD) $7,367B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,154B", |
| "B) $7,957B", |
| "C) $8,547B", |
| "D) $7,367B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,957B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.73%\nB) 8.93%\nC) 9.33%\nD) 8.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.73%", |
| "B) 8.93%", |
| "C) 9.33%", |
| "D) 8.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 9.12%\nD) 6.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.38%", |
| "B) 6.13%", |
| "C) 9.12%", |
| "D) 6.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 19.94%\nB) -47.15%\nC) 64.67%\nD) -2.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.94%", |
| "B) -47.15%", |
| "C) 64.67%", |
| "D) -2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.21%\nB) 3.90%\nC) -4.31%\nD) -8.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.21%", |
| "B) 3.90%", |
| "C) -4.31%", |
| "D) -8.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 80.99\nB) 74.44\nC) 76.90\nD) 78.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.99", |
| "B) 74.44", |
| "C) 76.90", |
| "D) 78.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 77.45%\nB) 79.10%\nC) 70.85%\nD) 75.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.45%", |
| "B) 79.10%", |
| "C) 70.85%", |
| "D) 75.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "75.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.90%", |
| "B) 64.16%", |
| "C) 66.05%", |
| "D) 61.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "62.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 45.39%\nB) -8.83%\nC) -35.93%\nD) -90.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.39%", |
| "B) -8.83%", |
| "C) -35.93%", |
| "D) -90.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 82.52\nC) 77.84\nD) 80.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.51", |
| "B) 82.52", |
| "C) 77.84", |
| "D) 80.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "77.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) 367,860\nB) 426,140\nC) 455,279\nD) 397,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 367,860", |
| "B) 426,140", |
| "C) 455,279", |
| "D) 397,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "397,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) 3,580,000\nB) 3,069,450\nC) 3,324,725\nD) 2,814,175", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,580,000", |
| "B) 3,069,450", |
| "C) 3,324,725", |
| "D) 2,814,175" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,580,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) 501,230\nB) 411,000\nC) 471,154\nD) 380,923", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 501,230", |
| "B) 411,000", |
| "C) 471,154", |
| "D) 380,923" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "411,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 132.2966\nB) 123.5434\nC) 127.9200\nD) 114.7902", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 132.2966", |
| "B) 123.5434", |
| "C) 127.9200", |
| "D) 114.7902" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "127.9200", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.41%\nB) 12.90%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 7.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.41%", |
| "B) 12.90%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 7.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 181.50\nB) 173.81\nC) 189.19\nD) 194.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 181.50", |
| "B) 173.81", |
| "C) 189.19", |
| "D) 194.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "181.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 18.99%\nB) -25.75%\nC) 41.36%\nD) -3.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.99%", |
| "B) -25.75%", |
| "C) 41.36%", |
| "D) -3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-25.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.50%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 3.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.50%", |
| "B) 4.00%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 3.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.17%", |
| "B) 1.79%", |
| "C) 3.63%", |
| "D) 2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $171,854M\nB) $154,117M\nC) $165,942M\nD) $189,591M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $171,854M", |
| "B) $154,117M", |
| "C) $165,942M", |
| "D) $189,591M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$171,854M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $5,015B\nB) $5,528B\nC) $5,699B\nD) $5,357B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,015B", |
| "B) $5,528B", |
| "C) $5,699B", |
| "D) $5,357B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,528B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 78.16%\nB) 76.57%\nC) 74.99%\nD) 79.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.16%", |
| "B) 76.57%", |
| "C) 74.99%", |
| "D) 79.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "74.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) -78.74%\nB) -3.71%\nC) -53.73%\nD) -28.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -78.74%", |
| "B) -3.71%", |
| "C) -53.73%", |
| "D) -28.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-28.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -10.46%\nB) -4.41%\nC) -16.51%\nD) -22.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.46%", |
| "B) -4.41%", |
| "C) -16.51%", |
| "D) -22.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) +10.97pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -5.33pp\nD) -10.77pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +10.97pp", |
| "B) +0.10pp", |
| "C) -5.33pp", |
| "D) -10.77pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -2.87%\nB) -0.88%\nC) -1.54%\nD) -2.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.87%", |
| "B) -0.88%", |
| "C) -1.54%", |
| "D) -2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 142.22\nB) 137.65\nC) 123.95\nD) 130.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 142.22", |
| "B) 137.65", |
| "C) 123.95", |
| "D) 130.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "130.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $-32,501M\nB) $-25,057M\nC) $-27,539M\nD) $-34,982M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-32,501M", |
| "B) $-25,057M", |
| "C) $-27,539M", |
| "D) $-34,982M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-32,501M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.34pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.11pp\nD) -0.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.34pp", |
| "B) +0.00pp", |
| "C) -0.11pp", |
| "D) -0.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 203.02\nB) 183.95\nC) 191.10\nD) 198.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 203.02", |
| "B) 183.95", |
| "C) 191.10", |
| "D) 198.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "191.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 7.35%\nC) 10.49%\nD) 4.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 7.35%", |
| "C) 10.49%", |
| "D) 4.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.94%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 5.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.94%", |
| "B) 4.99%", |
| "C) 6.57%", |
| "D) 5.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 3.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.79%", |
| "B) 4.59%", |
| "C) 5.39%", |
| "D) 3.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) -2.03pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +1.87pp\nD) +4.46pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.03pp", |
| "B) +0.57pp", |
| "C) +1.87pp", |
| "D) +4.46pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.87pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 20.44\nB) 18.52\nC) 16.59\nD) 22.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.44", |
| "B) 18.52", |
| "C) 16.59", |
| "D) 22.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "22.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 19.19\nB) 25.03\nC) 13.35\nD) 21.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.19", |
| "B) 25.03", |
| "C) 13.35", |
| "D) 21.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 4.05%", |
| "C) 3.38%", |
| "D) 4.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 6.33%\nC) 5.82%\nD) 6.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.65%", |
| "B) 6.33%", |
| "C) 5.82%", |
| "D) 6.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 1.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.77%", |
| "B) 1.55%", |
| "C) 1.88%", |
| "D) 1.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 4.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.91%", |
| "B) 3.36%", |
| "C) 2.64%", |
| "D) 4.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 6.39%\nD) -0.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.92%", |
| "B) 2.29%", |
| "C) 6.39%", |
| "D) -0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.73%", |
| "B) 2.06%", |
| "C) 1.22%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 127.16\nB) 140.19\nC) 135.84\nD) 131.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 127.16", |
| "B) 140.19", |
| "C) 135.84", |
| "D) 131.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "131.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) -1.51%\nC) 3.92%\nD) -2.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.21%", |
| "B) -1.51%", |
| "C) 3.92%", |
| "D) -2.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 5.72%\nD) 5.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.85%", |
| "B) 5.37%", |
| "C) 5.72%", |
| "D) 5.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.76%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 5.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.94%", |
| "B) 4.76%", |
| "C) 5.12%", |
| "D) 5.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -11.04%\nB) 0.19%\nC) -2.06%\nD) -6.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.04%", |
| "B) 0.19%", |
| "C) -2.06%", |
| "D) -6.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 77.41\nB) 80.51\nC) 75.86\nD) 78.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.41", |
| "B) 80.51", |
| "C) 75.86", |
| "D) 78.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "77.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,926B\nB) $7,289B\nC) $7,833B\nD) $7,470B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,926B", |
| "B) $7,289B", |
| "C) $7,833B", |
| "D) $7,470B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,289B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 79.55\nB) 93.50\nC) 84.20\nD) 98.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.55", |
| "B) 93.50", |
| "C) 84.20", |
| "D) 98.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "84.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.29%\nB) 9.82%\nC) 9.05%\nD) 7.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.29%", |
| "B) 9.82%", |
| "C) 9.05%", |
| "D) 7.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.50pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) +0.77pp\nD) +1.13pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.50pp", |
| "B) +0.40pp", |
| "C) +0.77pp", |
| "D) +1.13pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.55\nB) 78.11\nC) 74.21\nD) 80.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.55", |
| "B) 78.11", |
| "C) 74.21", |
| "D) 80.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,369B\nB) $5,962B\nC) $5,758B\nD) $5,147B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,369B", |
| "B) $5,962B", |
| "C) $5,758B", |
| "D) $5,147B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,758B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) $4,801B\nB) $5,508B\nC) $5,367B\nD) $5,084B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,801B", |
| "B) $5,508B", |
| "C) $5,367B", |
| "D) $5,084B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,084B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.70%", |
| "B) 5.20%", |
| "C) 6.20%", |
| "D) 4.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 184.86\nB) 178.00\nC) 189.43\nD) 171.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 184.86", |
| "B) 178.00", |
| "C) 189.43", |
| "D) 171.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "178.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.15%\nB) 5.72%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 5.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.15%", |
| "B) 5.72%", |
| "C) 4.86%", |
| "D) 5.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,067B\nB) $7,263B\nC) $6,860B\nD) $7,464B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,067B", |
| "B) $7,263B", |
| "C) $6,860B", |
| "D) $7,464B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,464B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.35%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 6.74%\nD) 13.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.35%", |
| "B) 4.94%", |
| "C) 6.74%", |
| "D) 13.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 71.02%\nB) 74.01%\nC) 69.52%\nD) 78.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 71.02%", |
| "B) 74.01%", |
| "C) 69.52%", |
| "D) 78.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "74.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.42%\nB) 6.73%\nC) 9.91%\nD) 16.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.42%", |
| "B) 6.73%", |
| "C) 9.91%", |
| "D) 16.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.46%", |
| "B) 1.82%", |
| "C) 1.58%", |
| "D) 1.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) $28.17/bbl\nB) $22.48/bbl\nC) $19.64/bbl\nD) $33.86/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $28.17/bbl", |
| "B) $22.48/bbl", |
| "C) $19.64/bbl", |
| "D) $33.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.17/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 3.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) 1.74%", |
| "C) 1.06%", |
| "D) 3.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.14%", |
| "B) 1.52%", |
| "C) 3.37%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 5.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.50%", |
| "B) 5.66%", |
| "C) 4.68%", |
| "D) 5.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 190.00\nB) 196.52\nC) 183.48\nD) 200.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 190.00", |
| "B) 196.52", |
| "C) 183.48", |
| "D) 200.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "190.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 31.62\nB) 29.43\nC) 27.24\nD) 25.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.62", |
| "B) 29.43", |
| "C) 27.24", |
| "D) 25.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "29.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $15.81/hr\nB) $13.70/hr\nC) $15.02/hr\nD) $14.23/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.81/hr", |
| "B) $13.70/hr", |
| "C) $15.02/hr", |
| "D) $14.23/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.02/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,655K\nB) 1,869K\nC) 1,808K\nD) 1,716K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,655K", |
| "B) 1,869K", |
| "C) 1,808K", |
| "D) 1,716K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,716K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) -3.55%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.54%", |
| "B) -3.55%", |
| "C) 3.24%", |
| "D) 4.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.67%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 5.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.67%", |
| "B) 4.27%", |
| "C) 3.07%", |
| "D) 5.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 15.24%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 9.85%\nD) 8.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.24%", |
| "B) 6.26%", |
| "C) 9.85%", |
| "D) 8.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 5.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.84%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 4.44%", |
| "D) 5.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.71%\nB) 0.98%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 2.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.71%", |
| "B) 0.98%", |
| "C) 6.45%", |
| "D) 2.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $53,427M\nB) $50,680M\nC) $45,186M\nD) $47,933M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53,427M", |
| "B) $50,680M", |
| "C) $45,186M", |
| "D) $47,933M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$50,680M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 78.88\nB) 73.43\nC) 76.54\nD) 74.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.88", |
| "B) 73.43", |
| "C) 76.54", |
| "D) 74.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 1.87%\nC) -1.16%\nD) -0.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.11%", |
| "B) 1.87%", |
| "C) -1.16%", |
| "D) -0.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $285,884M\nB) $267,938M\nC) $279,902M\nD) $297,848M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $285,884M", |
| "B) $267,938M", |
| "C) $279,902M", |
| "D) $297,848M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$285,884M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $669M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $669M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$669M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -1.20%\nC) -3.04%\nD) 2.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.88%", |
| "B) -1.20%", |
| "C) -3.04%", |
| "D) 2.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 4.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.09%", |
| "B) 6.08%", |
| "C) 5.08%", |
| "D) 4.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 8.72%\nD) 10.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.43%", |
| "B) 4.85%", |
| "C) 8.72%", |
| "D) 10.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) +1.25pp\nB) +2.14pp\nC) +0.81pp\nD) +2.58pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.25pp", |
| "B) +2.14pp", |
| "C) +0.81pp", |
| "D) +2.58pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.14pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 141.16\nB) 112.13\nC) 126.64\nD) 121.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 141.16", |
| "B) 112.13", |
| "C) 126.64", |
| "D) 121.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "126.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $-26,630M\nB) $-38,957M\nC) $-29,095M\nD) $-34,026M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-26,630M", |
| "B) $-38,957M", |
| "C) $-29,095M", |
| "D) $-34,026M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-34,026M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 1.38%\nD) -5.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.43%", |
| "B) 3.19%", |
| "C) 1.38%", |
| "D) -5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 136.7306\nB) 132.7600\nC) 124.8189\nD) 144.6717", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136.7306", |
| "B) 132.7600", |
| "C) 124.8189", |
| "D) 144.6717" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "132.7600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) $31.74/bbl\nB) $20.73/bbl\nC) $28.99/bbl\nD) $26.24/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $31.74/bbl", |
| "B) $20.73/bbl", |
| "C) $28.99/bbl", |
| "D) $26.24/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.99/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.26%\nD) 63.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.15%", |
| "B) 61.11%", |
| "C) 64.26%", |
| "D) 63.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "63.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) $20.76/bbl\nB) $17.81/bbl\nC) $29.62/bbl\nD) $14.85/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20.76/bbl", |
| "B) $17.81/bbl", |
| "C) $29.62/bbl", |
| "D) $14.85/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$20.76/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $-42,139M\nB) $-39,515M\nC) $-31,644M\nD) $-36,891M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-42,139M", |
| "B) $-39,515M", |
| "C) $-31,644M", |
| "D) $-36,891M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-39,515M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.92%\nD) 3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.35%", |
| "B) 2.50%", |
| "C) 2.92%", |
| "D) 3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 108.96\nB) 132.61\nC) 112.91\nD) 120.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.96", |
| "B) 132.61", |
| "C) 112.91", |
| "D) 120.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "120.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 75.56\nB) 71.78\nC) 74.05\nD) 77.07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.56", |
| "B) 71.78", |
| "C) 74.05", |
| "D) 77.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "75.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $290,334M\nB) $278,869M\nC) $261,671M\nD) $296,067M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $290,334M", |
| "B) $278,869M", |
| "C) $261,671M", |
| "D) $296,067M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$278,869M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $7,471B\nB) $7,878B\nC) $8,082B\nD) $8,489B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,471B", |
| "B) $7,878B", |
| "C) $8,082B", |
| "D) $8,489B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,082B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 68.60%\nB) 61.94%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 66.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.60%", |
| "B) 61.94%", |
| "C) 64.60%", |
| "D) 66.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "66.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) +1.95pp\nB) +2.80pp\nC) +2.37pp\nD) +3.22pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.95pp", |
| "B) +2.80pp", |
| "C) +2.37pp", |
| "D) +3.22pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.95pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 31.68\nB) 26.65\nC) 24.13\nD) 19.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.68", |
| "B) 26.65", |
| "C) 24.13", |
| "D) 19.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "26.65", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.21pp\nB) +0.42pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.01pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.21pp", |
| "B) +0.42pp", |
| "C) +0.10pp", |
| "D) -0.01pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 1.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) 4.01%", |
| "C) 0.82%", |
| "D) 1.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.06%", |
| "B) 5.57%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 0.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.52%\nB) 1.16%\nC) -0.18%\nD) 5.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.52%", |
| "B) 1.16%", |
| "C) -0.18%", |
| "D) 5.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.45%", |
| "B) 2.79%", |
| "C) 2.54%", |
| "D) 2.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $7,220B\nB) $7,605B\nC) $7,798B\nD) $7,413B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,220B", |
| "B) $7,605B", |
| "C) $7,798B", |
| "D) $7,413B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,413B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $5,638B\nB) $5,260B\nC) $5,071B\nD) $6,206B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,638B", |
| "B) $5,260B", |
| "C) $5,071B", |
| "D) $6,206B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,638B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 5.29%\nD) -1.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 2.66%", |
| "C) 5.29%", |
| "D) -1.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.83%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.37%", |
| "B) 0.83%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 1.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 21.53%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 12.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.53%", |
| "B) 3.58%", |
| "C) 6.57%", |
| "D) 12.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 133.10\nB) 143.65\nC) 126.77\nD) 137.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 133.10", |
| "B) 143.65", |
| "C) 126.77", |
| "D) 137.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "133.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 6.51%\nD) 6.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.65%", |
| "B) 6.22%", |
| "C) 6.51%", |
| "D) 6.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.51pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.61pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.20pp", |
| "B) -0.51pp", |
| "C) -0.30pp", |
| "D) -0.61pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 0.90%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.27%", |
| "B) 2.58%", |
| "C) 0.90%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 90.70\nB) 99.64\nC) 104.11\nD) 77.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 90.70", |
| "B) 99.64", |
| "C) 104.11", |
| "D) 77.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "90.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.36%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.67%\nD) 5.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.36%", |
| "B) 5.70%", |
| "C) 4.67%", |
| "D) 5.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $45,229M\nB) $42,287M\nC) $51,112M\nD) $59,937M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $45,229M", |
| "B) $42,287M", |
| "C) $51,112M", |
| "D) $59,937M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$51,112M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.5252\nB) 7.6975\nC) 8.0286\nD) 8.2769", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.5252", |
| "B) 7.6975", |
| "C) 8.0286", |
| "D) 8.2769" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2769", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) 399,000\nB) 339,538\nC) 309,807\nD) 458,462", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 399,000", |
| "B) 339,538", |
| "C) 309,807", |
| "D) 458,462" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "399,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 68.70%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.70%", |
| "B) 66.70%", |
| "C) 65.37%", |
| "D) 63.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "66.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 70.52%\nB) 80.35%\nC) 75.43%\nD) 77.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.52%", |
| "B) 80.35%", |
| "C) 75.43%", |
| "D) 77.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "75.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) -68.20%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 28.22%\nD) -19.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -68.20%", |
| "B) 4.12%", |
| "C) 28.22%", |
| "D) -19.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-19.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 5.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.90%", |
| "B) 4.82%", |
| "C) 6.26%", |
| "D) 5.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $680M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $680M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$680M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.43%\nB) 5.16%\nC) 7.61%\nD) 9.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.43%", |
| "B) 5.16%", |
| "C) 7.61%", |
| "D) 9.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.25%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 7.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.25%", |
| "B) 0.91%", |
| "C) 3.24%", |
| "D) 7.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 130,737K\nB) 134,659K\nC) 126,815K\nD) 137,274K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,737K", |
| "B) 134,659K", |
| "C) 126,815K", |
| "D) 137,274K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "130,737K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -22.66%\nD) -11.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.70%", |
| "B) -5.64%", |
| "C) -22.66%", |
| "D) -11.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.78%\nB) 8.61%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 11.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.78%", |
| "B) 8.61%", |
| "C) 9.43%", |
| "D) 11.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 1.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.62%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) 2.27%", |
| "D) 1.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $14.78/hr\nB) $15.49/hr\nC) $14.07/hr\nD) $13.60/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.78/hr", |
| "B) $15.49/hr", |
| "C) $14.07/hr", |
| "D) $13.60/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14.78/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,790B\nB) $8,131B\nC) $8,350B\nD) $7,472B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,790B", |
| "B) $8,131B", |
| "C) $8,350B", |
| "D) $7,472B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,131B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) 4,273,513\nB) 3,116,487\nC) 3,695,000\nD) 3,405,744", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,273,513", |
| "B) 3,116,487", |
| "C) 3,695,000", |
| "D) 3,405,744" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,695,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 87.87%\nB) 61.74%\nC) 35.61%\nD) 9.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.87%", |
| "B) 61.74%", |
| "C) 35.61%", |
| "D) 9.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) $27.17/bbl\nB) $35.75/bbl\nC) $32.89/bbl\nD) $24.31/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.17/bbl", |
| "B) $35.75/bbl", |
| "C) $32.89/bbl", |
| "D) $24.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$27.17/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 124,052K\nB) 130,581K\nC) 134,498K\nD) 126,664K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 124,052K", |
| "B) 130,581K", |
| "C) 134,498K", |
| "D) 126,664K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "130,581K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) +3.09pp\nB) +2.30pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +1.13pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.09pp", |
| "B) +2.30pp", |
| "C) +1.91pp", |
| "D) +1.13pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.91pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 2.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.62%", |
| "B) 2.18%", |
| "C) 2.09%", |
| "D) 2.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 90.58\nB) 86.05\nC) 92.39\nD) 88.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 90.58", |
| "B) 86.05", |
| "C) 92.39", |
| "D) 88.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "90.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) $-33,853M\nB) $-36,385M\nC) $-41,449M\nD) $-43,981M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-33,853M", |
| "B) $-36,385M", |
| "C) $-41,449M", |
| "D) $-43,981M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-36,385M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 36.83%\nB) 64.94%\nC) -19.38%\nD) -75.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.83%", |
| "B) 64.94%", |
| "C) -19.38%", |
| "D) -75.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-19.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) $23.89/bbl\nB) $18.35/bbl\nC) $29.43/bbl\nD) $26.66/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.89/bbl", |
| "B) $18.35/bbl", |
| "C) $29.43/bbl", |
| "D) $26.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$26.66/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 130,616K\nB) 133,228K\nC) 135,841K\nD) 126,698K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,616K", |
| "B) 133,228K", |
| "C) 135,841K", |
| "D) 126,698K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "130,616K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.0748\nB) 0.9074\nC) 0.9911\nD) 0.7818", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0748", |
| "B) 0.9074", |
| "C) 0.9911", |
| "D) 0.7818" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9074", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 5.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.94%", |
| "B) 4.13%", |
| "C) 6.00%", |
| "D) 5.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.61%\nB) 7.44%\nC) 7.72%\nD) 6.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.61%", |
| "B) 7.44%", |
| "C) 7.72%", |
| "D) 6.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 3.99%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.76%", |
| "B) 3.99%", |
| "C) 2.50%", |
| "D) 3.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.16%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.16%", |
| "B) 5.60%", |
| "C) 4.29%", |
| "D) 4.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.08%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 6.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.08%", |
| "B) 3.88%", |
| "C) 5.20%", |
| "D) 6.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.74pp\nB) +1.38pp\nC) +11.94pp\nD) -3.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19.74pp", |
| "B) +1.38pp", |
| "C) +11.94pp", |
| "D) -3.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.32%\nB) -16.34%\nC) -7.66%\nD) -12.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.32%", |
| "B) -16.34%", |
| "C) -7.66%", |
| "D) -12.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $7,531B\nB) $8,221B\nC) $8,911B\nD) $7,991B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,531B", |
| "B) $8,221B", |
| "C) $8,911B", |
| "D) $7,991B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,221B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 3.53%", |
| "C) 2.22%", |
| "D) 2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 90.32\nB) 85.85\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.53", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 90.32", |
| "B) 85.85", |
| "C) 84.06", |
| "D) 88.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "88.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $278,966M\nB) $284,755M\nC) $273,177M\nD) $296,332M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $278,966M", |
| "B) $284,755M", |
| "C) $273,177M", |
| "D) $296,332M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$278,966M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) +10.55pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -9.95pp\nD) +15.68pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +10.55pp", |
| "B) +0.30pp", |
| "C) -9.95pp", |
| "D) +15.68pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 1,874.89\nB) 2,802.40\nC) 1,411.14\nD) 2,338.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,874.89", |
| "B) 2,802.40", |
| "C) 1,411.14", |
| "D) 2,338.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,411.14", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.48%\nB) 5.86%\nC) 7.79%\nD) 6.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.48%", |
| "B) 5.86%", |
| "C) 7.79%", |
| "D) 6.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 179.50\nB) 184.16\nC) 174.84\nD) 188.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 179.50", |
| "B) 184.16", |
| "C) 174.84", |
| "D) 188.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "179.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) -1.34%\nC) -2.06%\nD) -0.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.83%", |
| "B) -1.34%", |
| "C) -2.06%", |
| "D) -0.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) $5,189B\nB) $4,775B\nC) $5,051B\nD) $4,913B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,189B", |
| "B) $4,775B", |
| "C) $5,051B", |
| "D) $4,913B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,051B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) +2.25pp\nB) +0.80pp\nC) +2.62pp\nD) +1.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.25pp", |
| "B) +0.80pp", |
| "C) +2.62pp", |
| "D) +1.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.89pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) -4.15%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.06%", |
| "B) -4.15%", |
| "C) 5.47%", |
| "D) -1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $47,880M\nB) $50,422M\nC) $55,506M\nD) $45,338M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $47,880M", |
| "B) $50,422M", |
| "C) $55,506M", |
| "D) $45,338M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$50,422M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 124.51\nB) 109.33\nC) 116.92\nD) 128.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 124.51", |
| "B) 109.33", |
| "C) 116.92", |
| "D) 128.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "116.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,076.42\nB) 2,652.68\nC) 1,381.46\nD) 1,805.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,076.42", |
| "B) 2,652.68", |
| "C) 1,381.46", |
| "D) 1,805.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,805.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $49,620M\nB) $43,532M\nC) $55,708M\nD) $58,751M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $49,620M", |
| "B) $43,532M", |
| "C) $55,708M", |
| "D) $58,751M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$49,620M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 0.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.45%", |
| "B) 1.14%", |
| "C) 2.16%", |
| "D) 0.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-08.)\n\nA) -50.11%\nB) 47.17%\nC) -1.47%\nD) -74.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -50.11%", |
| "B) 47.17%", |
| "C) -1.47%", |
| "D) -74.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) 9.14%\nC) -8.87%\nD) -4.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.14%", |
| "B) 9.14%", |
| "C) -8.87%", |
| "D) -4.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.86%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 7.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.86%", |
| "B) 6.03%", |
| "C) 7.42%", |
| "D) 7.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) -20.28%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -43.66%\nD) 49.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -20.28%", |
| "B) 3.09%", |
| "C) -43.66%", |
| "D) 49.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 7.33%\nC) 2.54%\nD) -2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.15%", |
| "B) 7.33%", |
| "C) 2.54%", |
| "D) -2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.94pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) +1.56pp\nD) +0.80pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.94pp", |
| "B) -0.34pp", |
| "C) +1.56pp", |
| "D) +0.80pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,531,000\nB) 2,603,090\nC) 2,912,393\nD) 3,840,303", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,531,000", |
| "B) 2,603,090", |
| "C) 2,912,393", |
| "D) 3,840,303" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,531,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) +3.74pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) +1.20pp\nD) -1.33pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.74pp", |
| "B) -0.06pp", |
| "C) +1.20pp", |
| "D) -1.33pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.06pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.46%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.46%", |
| "B) 3.11%", |
| "C) 1.34%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 73.17\nB) 75.48\nC) 78.56\nD) 77.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.17", |
| "B) 75.48", |
| "C) 78.56", |
| "D) 77.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "77.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.09%\nB) -1.85%\nC) -2.62%\nD) -0.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.09%", |
| "B) -1.85%", |
| "C) -2.62%", |
| "D) -0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $175,944M\nB) $170,023M\nC) $152,261M\nD) $187,785M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $175,944M", |
| "B) $170,023M", |
| "C) $152,261M", |
| "D) $187,785M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$170,023M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -10.88%\nB) -29.02%\nC) -16.93%\nD) -22.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.88%", |
| "B) -29.02%", |
| "C) -16.93%", |
| "D) -22.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-16.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 133,245K\nB) 137,164K\nC) 126,713K\nD) 130,632K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 133,245K", |
| "B) 137,164K", |
| "C) 126,713K", |
| "D) 130,632K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "130,632K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) $25.50/bbl\nB) $20.09/bbl\nC) $28.21/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.50/bbl", |
| "B) $20.09/bbl", |
| "C) $28.21/bbl", |
| "D) $22.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.50/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,631K\nB) 1,695K\nC) 1,759K\nD) 1,823K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,631K", |
| "B) 1,695K", |
| "C) 1,759K", |
| "D) 1,823K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,695K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 7.65%\nD) 8.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.37%", |
| "B) 7.23%", |
| "C) 7.65%", |
| "D) 8.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 64.80%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 66.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.80%", |
| "B) 68.80%", |
| "C) 62.79%", |
| "D) 66.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "66.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) +0.07pp\nC) -1.87pp\nD) -1.55pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.90pp", |
| "B) +0.07pp", |
| "C) -1.87pp", |
| "D) -1.55pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 4.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.52%", |
| "B) 6.10%", |
| "C) 5.25%", |
| "D) 4.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) $5,042B\nB) $5,624B\nC) $5,187B\nD) $5,478B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,042B", |
| "B) $5,624B", |
| "C) $5,187B", |
| "D) $5,478B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,187B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.65%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 0.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.32%", |
| "B) 0.65%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 0.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 87.60\nB) 96.40\nC) 92.00\nD) 83.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.60", |
| "B) 96.40", |
| "C) 92.00", |
| "D) 83.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "87.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $688M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $688M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$688M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 184.98\nB) 178.79\nC) 189.10\nD) 195.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 184.98", |
| "B) 178.79", |
| "C) 189.10", |
| "D) 195.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "189.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.64%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.64%", |
| "B) 1.09%", |
| "C) 5.02%", |
| "D) 3.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) $5,490B\nB) $5,331B\nC) $5,650B\nD) $5,809B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,490B", |
| "B) $5,331B", |
| "C) $5,650B", |
| "D) $5,809B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,490B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,830K\nB) 1,753K\nC) 1,791K\nD) 1,638K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,830K", |
| "B) 1,753K", |
| "C) 1,791K", |
| "D) 1,638K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,753K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.25%", |
| "B) 2.06%", |
| "C) 2.62%", |
| "D) 2.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 0.12%\nC) -1.52%\nD) 3.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.06%", |
| "B) 0.12%", |
| "C) -1.52%", |
| "D) 3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.67%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.92%", |
| "B) 2.67%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 3.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 67.73%\nB) 66.40%\nC) 69.06%\nD) 65.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 67.73%", |
| "B) 66.40%", |
| "C) 69.06%", |
| "D) 65.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "66.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,667K\nB) 1,894K\nC) 1,829K\nD) 1,732K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,667K", |
| "B) 1,894K", |
| "C) 1,829K", |
| "D) 1,732K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,829K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) 4,077,444\nB) 2,478,834\nC) 2,798,556\nD) 3,438,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,077,444", |
| "B) 2,478,834", |
| "C) 2,798,556", |
| "D) 3,438,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,438,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.2768\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.5251", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.2768", |
| "B) 8.0285", |
| "C) 7.8630", |
| "D) 8.5251" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2768", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 1.19%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.38%", |
| "B) 2.97%", |
| "C) 1.19%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 99.07%\nB) 49.00%\nC) 23.96%\nD) 74.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.07%", |
| "B) 49.00%", |
| "C) 23.96%", |
| "D) 74.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "23.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,682.85\nB) 2,236.90\nC) 1,790.96\nD) 1,345.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,682.85", |
| "B) 2,236.90", |
| "C) 1,790.96", |
| "D) 1,345.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,345.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2002-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.89%", |
| "B) 6.23%", |
| "C) 8.91%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,667K\nB) 1,771K\nC) 1,910K\nD) 1,841K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,667K", |
| "B) 1,771K", |
| "C) 1,910K", |
| "D) 1,841K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,771K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.55%\nB) 7.46%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 12.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.55%", |
| "B) 7.46%", |
| "C) 4.95%", |
| "D) 12.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.54%", |
| "B) 2.06%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 3.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.39%\nB) 2.95%\nC) -6.83%\nD) -11.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.39%", |
| "B) 2.95%", |
| "C) -6.83%", |
| "D) -11.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 6.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.37%", |
| "B) 5.80%", |
| "C) 5.51%", |
| "D) 6.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.82%\nB) 65.84%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 64.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.82%", |
| "B) 65.84%", |
| "C) 62.70%", |
| "D) 64.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.62pp\nB) -0.41pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.62pp", |
| "B) -0.41pp", |
| "C) -0.51pp", |
| "D) -0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 6.14%\nD) 4.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.19%", |
| "B) 1.23%", |
| "C) 6.14%", |
| "D) 4.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.19pp\nD) -1.42pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.11pp", |
| "B) -0.50pp", |
| "C) -0.19pp", |
| "D) -1.42pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,670K\nB) 1,559K\nC) 1,633K\nD) 1,596K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,670K", |
| "B) 1,559K", |
| "C) 1,633K", |
| "D) 1,596K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,633K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,873K\nB) 1,930K\nC) 1,730K\nD) 1,787K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,873K", |
| "B) 1,930K", |
| "C) 1,730K", |
| "D) 1,787K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,787K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-31.)\n\nA) $14.88/hr\nB) $13.90/hr\nC) $14.39/hr\nD) $15.37/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.88/hr", |
| "B) $13.90/hr", |
| "C) $14.39/hr", |
| "D) $15.37/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14.88/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,135.39\nB) 1,382.62\nC) 1,006.23\nD) 2,511.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,135.39", |
| "B) 1,382.62", |
| "C) 1,006.23", |
| "D) 2,511.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,382.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,135.39\nB) 1,382.62\nC) 1,006.23\nD) 2,511.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,135.39", |
| "B) 1,382.62", |
| "C) 1,006.23", |
| "D) 2,511.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,382.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,526.41\nB) 2,150.02\nC) 1,397.25\nD) 1,773.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,526.41", |
| "B) 2,150.02", |
| "C) 1,397.25", |
| "D) 1,773.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,397.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,526.41\nB) 2,150.02\nC) 1,397.25\nD) 1,773.64", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,526.41", |
| "B) 2,150.02", |
| "C) 1,397.25", |
| "D) 1,773.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,397.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,773.64\nC) 1,020.86\nD) 1,397.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,150.02", |
| "B) 1,773.64", |
| "C) 1,020.86", |
| "D) 1,397.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,397.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,773.64\nC) 1,020.86\nD) 1,397.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,150.02", |
| "B) 1,773.64", |
| "C) 1,020.86", |
| "D) 1,397.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,397.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,422.95\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,046.56\nD) 2,175.72", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,422.95", |
| "B) 1,799.34", |
| "C) 1,046.56", |
| "D) 2,175.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,422.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,422.95\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,046.56\nD) 2,175.72", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,422.95", |
| "B) 1,799.34", |
| "C) 1,046.56", |
| "D) 2,175.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,422.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,046.56\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,046.56", |
| "B) 1,422.95", |
| "C) 1,799.34", |
| "D) 2,552.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,422.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,046.56\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,046.56", |
| "B) 1,422.95", |
| "C) 1,799.34", |
| "D) 2,552.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,422.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,111.55\nB) 1,864.33\nC) 1,487.94\nD) 2,617.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,111.55", |
| "B) 1,864.33", |
| "C) 1,487.94", |
| "D) 2,617.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,487.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,111.55\nB) 1,864.33\nC) 1,487.94\nD) 2,617.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,111.55", |
| "B) 1,864.33", |
| "C) 1,487.94", |
| "D) 2,617.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,487.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 41.16\nB) 38.91\nC) 34.39\nD) 36.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.16", |
| "B) 38.91", |
| "C) 34.39", |
| "D) 36.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.65", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 41.16\nB) 38.91\nC) 34.39\nD) 36.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.16", |
| "B) 38.91", |
| "C) 34.39", |
| "D) 36.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.65", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 44.92\nB) 51.69\nC) 49.43\nD) 42.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.92", |
| "B) 51.69", |
| "C) 49.43", |
| "D) 42.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "44.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 44.92\nB) 51.69\nC) 49.43\nD) 42.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.92", |
| "B) 51.69", |
| "C) 49.43", |
| "D) 42.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "44.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 45.08\nC) 40.57\nD) 51.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.34", |
| "B) 45.08", |
| "C) 40.57", |
| "D) 51.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 45.08\nC) 40.57\nD) 51.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.34", |
| "B) 45.08", |
| "C) 40.57", |
| "D) 51.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 38.31\nC) 45.08\nD) 51.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.34", |
| "B) 38.31", |
| "C) 45.08", |
| "D) 51.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 38.31\nC) 45.08\nD) 51.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.34", |
| "B) 38.31", |
| "C) 45.08", |
| "D) 51.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 51.85\nC) 47.34\nD) 45.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.31", |
| "B) 51.85", |
| "C) 47.34", |
| "D) 45.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 51.85\nC) 47.34\nD) 45.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.31", |
| "B) 51.85", |
| "C) 47.34", |
| "D) 45.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 51.85\nD) 38.31", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.08", |
| "B) 40.57", |
| "C) 51.85", |
| "D) 38.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 51.85\nD) 38.31", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.08", |
| "B) 40.57", |
| "C) 51.85", |
| "D) 38.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 5.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.94%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 4.36%", |
| "D) 5.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 5.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.94%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 4.36%", |
| "D) 5.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 4.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 4.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 5.14%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 5.14%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 5.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 4.36%", |
| "D) 5.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 5.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 4.17%", |
| "C) 4.36%", |
| "D) 5.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 4.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.14%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 5.33%", |
| "D) 4.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 4.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.14%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 5.33%", |
| "D) 4.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.14%", |
| "B) 5.33%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 4.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.14%", |
| "B) 5.33%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 4.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", |
| "event_date": "2002-07-09", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-01-30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-27", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-01-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-27.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) 1.06%", |
| "C) 0.38%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-03-19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-16", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-03-19, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-16.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.75%", |
| "B) 4.00%", |
| "C) 3.25%", |
| "D) 2.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-05-07", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "June 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-04", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-05-07, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-04.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 4.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.14%", |
| "B) 1.75%", |
| "C) 2.55%", |
| "D) 4.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-06-26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-23", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-06-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-23.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 3.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.20%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) 1.73%", |
| "D) 3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-08-13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-10", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-08-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-10.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.61%", |
| "B) 3.47%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 1.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-09-24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-21", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-09-24, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-21.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.75%", |
| "B) 0.88%", |
| "C) 2.62%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-11-06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "December 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-03", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-11-06, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-03.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 2.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.04%", |
| "B) 1.24%", |
| "C) 0.34%", |
| "D) 2.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2002-12-10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-07", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2002-12-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-07.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 1.24%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.07%", |
| "B) 2.16%", |
| "C) 1.24%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2002 (released around 2002-02-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-25.)\n\nA) -342K\nB) -233K\nC) -15K\nD) -124K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -342K", |
| "B) -233K", |
| "C) -15K", |
| "D) -124K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-124K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-22", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2002 (released around 2002-03-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-22.)\n\nA) -122K\nB) -13K\nC) -231K\nD) -449K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -122K", |
| "B) -13K", |
| "C) -231K", |
| "D) -449K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-122K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2002 (released around 2002-04-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-29.)\n\nA) -231K\nB) -15K\nC) 201K\nD) 308K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -231K", |
| "B) -15K", |
| "C) 201K", |
| "D) 308K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-15K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2002 (released around 2002-05-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-26.)\n\nA) -213K\nB) -428K\nC) -106K\nD) -321K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -213K", |
| "B) -428K", |
| "C) -106K", |
| "D) -321K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-106K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2002 (released around 2002-06-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-31.)\n\nA) 122K\nB) 334K\nC) -196K\nD) 16K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 122K", |
| "B) 334K", |
| "C) -196K", |
| "D) 16K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2002 (released around 2002-07-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-28.)\n\nA) 42K\nB) -272K\nC) -168K\nD) 356K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42K", |
| "B) -272K", |
| "C) -168K", |
| "D) 356K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "42K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2002 (released around 2002-08-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-26.)\n\nA) 119K\nB) -90K\nC) 223K\nD) 14K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 119K", |
| "B) -90K", |
| "C) 223K", |
| "D) 14K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-90K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2002 (released around 2002-09-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-30.)\n\nA) 100K\nB) 203K\nC) -3K\nD) -106K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100K", |
| "B) 203K", |
| "C) -3K", |
| "D) -106K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2002 (released around 2002-10-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-27.)\n\nA) 229K\nB) -284K\nC) 126K\nD) -79K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 229K", |
| "B) -284K", |
| "C) 126K", |
| "D) -79K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-79K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2002 (released around 2002-11-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-25.)\n\nA) 115K\nB) 14K\nC) 419K\nD) -88K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115K", |
| "B) 14K", |
| "C) 419K", |
| "D) -88K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "115K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2002 (released around 2002-12-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-29.)\n\nA) -302K\nB) -1K\nC) 300K\nD) -101K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -302K", |
| "B) -1K", |
| "C) 300K", |
| "D) -101K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2002 (released around 2003-01-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-27.)\n\nA) 50K\nB) 151K\nC) -151K\nD) -352K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50K", |
| "B) 151K", |
| "C) -151K", |
| "D) -352K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-151K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2002 (released around 2002-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-06.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.05%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.96%", |
| "D) 1.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2002 (released around 2002-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 0.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.36%", |
| "B) 0.12%", |
| "C) 2.61%", |
| "D) 0.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2002 (released around 2002-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 0.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.08%", |
| "B) 1.64%", |
| "C) 2.94%", |
| "D) 0.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2002 (released around 2002-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-06.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.61%", |
| "B) 1.99%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 1.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2002 (released around 2002-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-06.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 1.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 1.93%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 1.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2002 (released around 2002-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-06.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 2.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.52%", |
| "B) 0.60%", |
| "C) 1.06%", |
| "D) 2.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2002 (released around 2002-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.39%", |
| "B) 2.03%", |
| "C) 2.48%", |
| "D) 2.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2002 (released around 2003-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 3.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.04%", |
| "B) 3.36%", |
| "C) 2.48%", |
| "D) 3.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2002q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2002 (advance estimate released around 2002-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-14.)\n\nA) -1.26%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.26%", |
| "B) 3.07%", |
| "C) 2.20%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2002q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2002 (advance estimate released around 2002-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-14.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) -0.32%\nC) 2.97%\nD) -1.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.33%", |
| "B) -0.32%", |
| "C) 2.97%", |
| "D) -1.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2002q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2002 (advance estimate released around 2002-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-14.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 2.15%\nC) -0.21%\nD) 0.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.36%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) -0.21%", |
| "D) 0.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2002q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2002", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2002 (advance estimate released around 2003-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) -0.27%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 0.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.75%", |
| "B) -0.27%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 0.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2001-12-28.)\n\nA) 28.11\nB) 30.27\nC) 17.33\nD) 23.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.11", |
| "B) 30.27", |
| "C) 17.33", |
| "D) 23.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-04.)\n\nA) 22.60\nB) 24.76\nC) 29.08\nD) 18.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.60", |
| "B) 24.76", |
| "C) 29.08", |
| "D) 18.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "22.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-11.)\n\nA) 27.90\nB) 23.58\nC) 25.74\nD) 21.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.90", |
| "B) 23.58", |
| "C) 25.74", |
| "D) 21.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-25.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.67\nC) 24.35\nD) 30.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.51", |
| "B) 28.67", |
| "C) 24.35", |
| "D) 30.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-01.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 19.61\nC) 23.93\nD) 26.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.25", |
| "B) 19.61", |
| "C) 23.93", |
| "D) 26.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "26.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) 22.37\nB) 20.21\nC) 18.05\nD) 28.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.37", |
| "B) 20.21", |
| "C) 18.05", |
| "D) 28.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "22.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-22", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-03-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-22.)\n\nA) 26.16\nB) 21.84\nC) 17.52\nD) 24.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.16", |
| "B) 21.84", |
| "C) 17.52", |
| "D) 24.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "21.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020308", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-03-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-01.)\n\nA) 18.33\nB) 22.67\nC) 20.50\nD) 27.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.33", |
| "B) 22.67", |
| "C) 20.50", |
| "D) 27.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020315", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-08.)\n\nA) 15.49\nB) 24.19\nC) 17.67\nD) 19.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.49", |
| "B) 24.19", |
| "C) 17.67", |
| "D) 19.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020405", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-04-05? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-29.)\n\nA) 20.20\nB) 22.42\nC) 26.87\nD) 24.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.20", |
| "B) 22.42", |
| "C) 26.87", |
| "D) 24.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "20.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020412", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-04-12? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-05.)\n\nA) 24.77\nB) 20.30\nC) 13.59\nD) 22.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.77", |
| "B) 20.30", |
| "C) 13.59", |
| "D) 22.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020419", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-04-19? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-12.)\n\nA) 17.58\nB) 15.33\nC) 19.82\nD) 24.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.58", |
| "B) 15.33", |
| "C) 19.82", |
| "D) 24.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020503", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-05-03? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-26.)\n\nA) 19.56\nB) 26.29\nC) 30.78\nD) 24.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.56", |
| "B) 26.29", |
| "C) 30.78", |
| "D) 24.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020510", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-03.)\n\nA) 22.56\nB) 24.80\nC) 27.05\nD) 29.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.56", |
| "B) 24.80", |
| "C) 27.05", |
| "D) 29.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "22.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020517", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-05-17? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-10.)\n\nA) 18.49\nB) 20.72\nC) 14.03\nD) 27.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.49", |
| "B) 20.72", |
| "C) 14.03", |
| "D) 27.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020607", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-06-07? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-31.)\n\nA) 26.41\nB) 28.66\nC) 24.16\nD) 30.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.41", |
| "B) 28.66", |
| "C) 24.16", |
| "D) 30.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020614", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-06-14? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-07.)\n\nA) 19.21\nB) 28.21\nC) 23.71\nD) 25.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.21", |
| "B) 28.21", |
| "C) 23.71", |
| "D) 25.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020621", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-06-21? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-14.)\n\nA) 27.48\nB) 25.23\nC) 22.98\nD) 20.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.48", |
| "B) 25.23", |
| "C) 22.98", |
| "D) 20.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020705", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-07-05? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-28.)\n\nA) 33.93\nB) 29.42\nC) 36.18\nD) 24.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.93", |
| "B) 29.42", |
| "C) 36.18", |
| "D) 24.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "29.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020712", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-07-12? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-05.)\n\nA) 36.35\nB) 27.34\nC) 34.10\nD) 31.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.35", |
| "B) 27.34", |
| "C) 34.10", |
| "D) 31.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020719", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-07-19? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-12.)\n\nA) 40.45\nB) 31.32\nC) 33.60\nD) 38.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.45", |
| "B) 31.32", |
| "C) 33.60", |
| "D) 38.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020802", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-08-02? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-26.)\n\nA) 41.29\nB) 43.77\nC) 38.81\nD) 48.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.29", |
| "B) 43.77", |
| "C) 38.81", |
| "D) 48.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "41.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-02.)\n\nA) 37.50\nB) 45.08\nC) 52.66\nD) 50.13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.50", |
| "B) 45.08", |
| "C) 52.66", |
| "D) 50.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020816", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-08-16? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-09.)\n\nA) 44.92\nB) 34.43\nC) 37.05\nD) 29.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.92", |
| "B) 34.43", |
| "C) 37.05", |
| "D) 29.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "37.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-09-06? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-30.)\n\nA) 32.14\nB) 45.19\nC) 47.80\nD) 39.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.14", |
| "B) 45.19", |
| "C) 47.80", |
| "D) 39.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "39.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020913", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-06.)\n\nA) 37.50\nB) 29.54\nC) 40.15\nD) 42.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.50", |
| "B) 29.54", |
| "C) 40.15", |
| "D) 42.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "37.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20020920", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-13.)\n\nA) 32.59\nB) 40.65\nC) 37.96\nD) 46.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.59", |
| "B) 40.65", |
| "C) 37.96", |
| "D) 46.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "40.65", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-10-04? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-27.)\n\nA) 42.49\nB) 48.09\nC) 39.69\nD) 34.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.49", |
| "B) 48.09", |
| "C) 39.69", |
| "D) 34.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "39.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-10-11? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-04.)\n\nA) 51.19\nB) 39.79\nC) 34.09\nD) 42.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 51.19", |
| "B) 39.79", |
| "C) 34.09", |
| "D) 42.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "42.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021018", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-10-18? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-11.)\n\nA) 36.04\nB) 27.26\nC) 44.82\nD) 38.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.04", |
| "B) 27.26", |
| "C) 44.82", |
| "D) 38.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "36.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-11-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-25.)\n\nA) 29.30\nB) 32.27\nC) 41.19\nD) 26.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.30", |
| "B) 32.27", |
| "C) 41.19", |
| "D) 26.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-01.)\n\nA) 40.37\nB) 25.45\nC) 31.42\nD) 28.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.37", |
| "B) 25.45", |
| "C) 31.42", |
| "D) 28.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 25.32\nB) 22.33\nC) 28.31\nD) 31.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.32", |
| "B) 22.33", |
| "C) 28.31", |
| "D) 31.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-12-06? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-29.)\n\nA) 30.10\nB) 36.09\nC) 27.10\nD) 39.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.10", |
| "B) 36.09", |
| "C) 27.10", |
| "D) 39.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021213", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-12-13? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-06.)\n\nA) 27.78\nB) 30.78\nC) 33.78\nD) 39.77", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.78", |
| "B) 30.78", |
| "C) 33.78", |
| "D) 39.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "30.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20021220", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2002-12-20? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-13.)\n\nA) 39.20\nB) 24.22\nC) 30.21\nD) 27.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.20", |
| "B) 24.22", |
| "C) 30.21", |
| "D) 27.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "30.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2001-12-28.)\n\nA) 14.64%\nB) 11.63%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 5.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.64%", |
| "B) 11.63%", |
| "C) 2.57%", |
| "D) 5.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-04.)\n\nA) -0.72%\nB) 4.90%\nC) -9.15%\nD) -3.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.72%", |
| "B) 4.90%", |
| "C) -9.15%", |
| "D) -3.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-11.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) -3.03%\nC) 2.49%\nD) -11.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.26%", |
| "B) -3.03%", |
| "C) 2.49%", |
| "D) -11.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-25.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 6.57%\nC) -1.68%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.82%", |
| "B) 6.57%", |
| "C) -1.68%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-01.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) -4.71%\nC) -7.45%\nD) -1.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.76%", |
| "B) -4.71%", |
| "C) -7.45%", |
| "D) -1.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-08.)\n\nA) -2.25%\nB) -10.45%\nC) -7.71%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.25%", |
| "B) -10.45%", |
| "C) -7.71%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-02-22", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-03-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-02-22.)\n\nA) 9.92%\nB) 1.86%\nC) -6.21%\nD) -3.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.92%", |
| "B) 1.86%", |
| "C) -6.21%", |
| "D) -3.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020308", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-03-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-01.)\n\nA) 11.84%\nB) -4.27%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.84%", |
| "B) -4.27%", |
| "C) 3.78%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020315", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-08.)\n\nA) -8.53%\nB) -5.85%\nC) 4.87%\nD) -3.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.53%", |
| "B) -5.85%", |
| "C) 4.87%", |
| "D) -3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020405", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-03-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-04-05? (Use only information available on or before 2002-03-29.)\n\nA) -4.97%\nB) -10.00%\nC) -12.52%\nD) 0.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.97%", |
| "B) -10.00%", |
| "C) -12.52%", |
| "D) 0.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020412", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-04-12? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-05.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) -1.66%\nC) 5.76%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.13%", |
| "B) -1.66%", |
| "C) 5.76%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020419", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-04-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-04-19? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-12.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 7.16%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.80%", |
| "B) 7.16%", |
| "C) 2.45%", |
| "D) -2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020503", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-04-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-05-03? (Use only information available on or before 2002-04-26.)\n\nA) -9.33%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 1.80%\nD) -2.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.33%", |
| "B) 4.03%", |
| "C) 1.80%", |
| "D) -2.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020510", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-03.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 3.63%\nD) -5.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.42%", |
| "B) 5.84%", |
| "C) 3.63%", |
| "D) -5.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020517", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-05-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-05-17? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-10.)\n\nA) 0.82%\nB) 5.38%\nC) -1.46%\nD) 9.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.82%", |
| "B) 5.38%", |
| "C) -1.46%", |
| "D) 9.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020607", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-05-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-06-07? (Use only information available on or before 2002-05-31.)\n\nA) -8.45%\nB) -3.97%\nC) -1.73%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.45%", |
| "B) -3.97%", |
| "C) -1.73%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020614", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-06-14? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-07.)\n\nA) -6.17%\nB) -3.93%\nC) 5.02%\nD) -1.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.17%", |
| "B) -3.93%", |
| "C) 5.02%", |
| "D) -1.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020621", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-06-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-06-21? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-14.)\n\nA) -7.23%\nB) -9.46%\nC) -0.54%\nD) -11.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.23%", |
| "B) -9.46%", |
| "C) -0.54%", |
| "D) -11.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020705", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-06-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-07-05? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-28.)\n\nA) 9.91%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 7.66%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.91%", |
| "B) 3.17%", |
| "C) 7.66%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020712", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-07-12? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-05.)\n\nA) -9.16%\nB) 2.30%\nC) -2.28%\nD) 4.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.16%", |
| "B) 2.30%", |
| "C) -2.28%", |
| "D) 4.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020719", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-07-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-07-19? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-12.)\n\nA) -9.15%\nB) -11.43%\nC) -0.03%\nD) -4.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.15%", |
| "B) -11.43%", |
| "C) -0.03%", |
| "D) -4.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020802", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-07-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-08-02? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-26.)\n\nA) -6.54%\nB) -13.48%\nC) 0.40%\nD) -1.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.54%", |
| "B) -13.48%", |
| "C) 0.40%", |
| "D) -1.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-02.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 8.30%\nC) 13.02%\nD) 10.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.22%", |
| "B) 8.30%", |
| "C) 13.02%", |
| "D) 10.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020816", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-08-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-08-16? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-09.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 8.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.64%", |
| "B) 1.75%", |
| "C) 4.15%", |
| "D) 8.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-08-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-09-06? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-30.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 4.91%\nD) 2.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.35%", |
| "B) 0.07%", |
| "C) 4.91%", |
| "D) 2.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020913", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-06.)\n\nA) -1.01%\nB) 3.89%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 1.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.01%", |
| "B) 3.89%", |
| "C) 6.35%", |
| "D) 1.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20020920", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-13.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -4.29%\nC) -1.85%\nD) -11.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.04%", |
| "B) -4.29%", |
| "C) -1.85%", |
| "D) -11.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-09-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-10-04? (Use only information available on or before 2002-09-27.)\n\nA) -5.10%\nB) -9.82%\nC) -2.74%\nD) -7.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.10%", |
| "B) -9.82%", |
| "C) -2.74%", |
| "D) -7.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-10-11? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-04.)\n\nA) 15.16%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 8.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.16%", |
| "B) 1.11%", |
| "C) 3.45%", |
| "D) 8.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021018", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-10-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-10-18? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-11.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 12.62%\nC) -1.58%\nD) 7.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.52%", |
| "B) 12.62%", |
| "C) -1.58%", |
| "D) 7.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-10-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-11-01? (Use only information available on or before 2002-10-25.)\n\nA) -3.75%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 8.18%\nD) 1.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.75%", |
| "B) 3.41%", |
| "C) 8.18%", |
| "D) 1.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-01.)\n\nA) -5.04%\nB) 2.08%\nC) -2.67%\nD) 4.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.04%", |
| "B) 2.08%", |
| "C) -2.67%", |
| "D) 4.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 14.07%\nC) 9.34%\nD) 6.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.24%", |
| "B) 14.07%", |
| "C) 9.34%", |
| "D) 6.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-11-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-12-06? (Use only information available on or before 2002-11-29.)\n\nA) -4.20%\nB) -1.79%\nC) 3.02%\nD) -11.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.20%", |
| "B) -1.79%", |
| "C) 3.02%", |
| "D) -11.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021213", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-12-13? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-06.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.35%\nC) -7.48%\nD) 4.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.03%", |
| "B) -0.35%", |
| "C) -7.48%", |
| "D) 4.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20021220", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2002-12-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2002-12-20? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-13.)\n\nA) -7.46%\nB) -9.85%\nC) -2.66%\nD) 2.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.46%", |
| "B) -9.85%", |
| "C) -2.66%", |
| "D) 2.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2002 |
| } |
| ] |
