| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $5,737B\nB) $5,279B\nC) $6,423B\nD) $5,965B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,737B", |
| "B) $5,279B", |
| "C) $6,423B", |
| "D) $5,965B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,965B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $15.28/hr\nB) $13.81/hr\nC) $15.87/hr\nD) $14.69/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.28/hr", |
| "B) $13.81/hr", |
| "C) $15.87/hr", |
| "D) $14.69/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.28/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.02%", |
| "B) 1.03%", |
| "C) 4.00%", |
| "D) 3.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 129.56\nB) 145.90\nC) 138.90\nD) 134.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 129.56", |
| "B) 145.90", |
| "C) 138.90", |
| "D) 134.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "138.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 7.52%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 5.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 7.52%", |
| "C) 4.84%", |
| "D) 5.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.0799\nB) 1.0008\nC) 1.2776\nD) 1.1985", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0799", |
| "B) 1.0008", |
| "C) 1.2776", |
| "D) 1.1985" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0799", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) -33.76%\nB) 27.81%\nC) -13.24%\nD) 48.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -33.76%", |
| "B) 27.81%", |
| "C) -13.24%", |
| "D) 48.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,889B\nB) $8,642B\nC) $8,395B\nD) $9,136B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,889B", |
| "B) $8,642B", |
| "C) $8,395B", |
| "D) $9,136B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,395B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 80.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 73.38\nD) 78.43", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.45", |
| "B) 75.40", |
| "C) 73.38", |
| "D) 78.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "78.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 22.98%\nC) 8.67%\nD) 19.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.25%", |
| "B) 22.98%", |
| "C) 8.67%", |
| "D) 19.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 80.21\nB) 77.50\nC) 74.80\nD) 82.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.21", |
| "B) 77.50", |
| "C) 74.80", |
| "D) 82.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "77.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.05%\nB) 1.10%\nC) -0.33%\nD) 1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.05%", |
| "B) 1.10%", |
| "C) -0.33%", |
| "D) 1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 65.43\nB) 75.08\nC) 89.55\nD) 79.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 65.43", |
| "B) 75.08", |
| "C) 89.55", |
| "D) 79.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "79.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,918K\nB) 1,805K\nC) 2,031K\nD) 2,087K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,918K", |
| "B) 1,805K", |
| "C) 2,031K", |
| "D) 2,087K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,918K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 6.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.94%", |
| "B) 5.80%", |
| "C) 4.51%", |
| "D) 6.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 98.57%\nB) 9.69%\nC) 76.35%\nD) 120.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.57%", |
| "B) 9.69%", |
| "C) 76.35%", |
| "D) 120.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 0.56%\nD) -0.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.90%", |
| "B) 1.23%", |
| "C) 0.56%", |
| "D) -0.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $15.33/hr\nB) $16.25/hr\nC) $14.41/hr\nD) $13.80/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.33/hr", |
| "B) $16.25/hr", |
| "C) $14.41/hr", |
| "D) $13.80/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.33/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $15.74/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $16.39/hr\nD) $15.10/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.74/hr", |
| "B) $15.42/hr", |
| "C) $16.39/hr", |
| "D) $15.10/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.42/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 138.74\nB) 123.12\nC) 128.33\nD) 112.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 138.74", |
| "B) 123.12", |
| "C) 128.33", |
| "D) 112.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "128.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 6.66%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 6.66%", |
| "C) 5.14%", |
| "D) 5.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) 370,000\nB) 399,373\nC) 311,253\nD) 428,747", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 370,000", |
| "B) 399,373", |
| "C) 311,253", |
| "D) 428,747" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "370,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 2,138K\nB) 2,083K\nC) 2,248K\nD) 2,028K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,138K", |
| "B) 2,083K", |
| "C) 2,248K", |
| "D) 2,028K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,083K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 14.25\nB) 16.75\nC) 19.24\nD) 11.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.25", |
| "B) 16.75", |
| "C) 19.24", |
| "D) 11.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.11%\nB) 17.71%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 8.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.11%", |
| "B) 17.71%", |
| "C) 2.03%", |
| "D) 8.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.35\nB) 74.36\nC) 75.96\nD) 80.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.35", |
| "B) 74.36", |
| "C) 75.96", |
| "D) 80.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "78.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,543K\nB) 1,629K\nC) 1,715K\nD) 1,586K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,543K", |
| "B) 1,629K", |
| "C) 1,715K", |
| "D) 1,586K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,629K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,251.90\nB) 2,722.67\nC) 1,310.37\nD) 1,781.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,251.90", |
| "B) 2,722.67", |
| "C) 1,310.37", |
| "D) 1,781.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,310.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) 7.47%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 5.83%\nD) 6.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.47%", |
| "B) 7.06%", |
| "C) 5.83%", |
| "D) 6.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 3.18%\nC) 0.06%\nD) 2.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.62%", |
| "B) 3.18%", |
| "C) 0.06%", |
| "D) 2.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.23%\nB) 4.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 6.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.23%", |
| "B) 4.51%", |
| "C) 2.14%", |
| "D) 6.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 169.89\nB) 178.66\nC) 184.50\nD) 190.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 169.89", |
| "B) 178.66", |
| "C) 184.50", |
| "D) 190.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "184.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 6.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.49%", |
| "B) 5.38%", |
| "C) 3.61%", |
| "D) 6.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.89%", |
| "B) 0.60%", |
| "C) 2.33%", |
| "D) 3.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $61,648M\nB) $52,318M\nC) $55,428M\nD) $42,988M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $61,648M", |
| "B) $52,318M", |
| "C) $55,428M", |
| "D) $42,988M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$52,318M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $701M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $701M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$701M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 8.71%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 6.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.06%", |
| "B) 8.71%", |
| "C) 4.33%", |
| "D) 6.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) $5,644B\nB) $6,200B\nC) $5,087B\nD) $5,273B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,644B", |
| "B) $6,200B", |
| "C) $5,087B", |
| "D) $5,273B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,644B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 74.37%\nB) 75.98%\nC) 80.82%\nD) 79.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.37%", |
| "B) 75.98%", |
| "C) 80.82%", |
| "D) 79.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "75.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 137,962K\nB) 126,248K\nC) 130,153K\nD) 134,058K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137,962K", |
| "B) 126,248K", |
| "C) 130,153K", |
| "D) 134,058K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "130,153K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 74.56%\nB) 77.84%\nC) 81.13%\nD) 76.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.56%", |
| "B) 77.84%", |
| "C) 81.13%", |
| "D) 76.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "76.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) +1.31pp\nB) -2.88pp\nC) -0.08pp\nD) +2.71pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.31pp", |
| "B) -2.88pp", |
| "C) -0.08pp", |
| "D) +2.71pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 6.81%\nD) 7.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.88%", |
| "B) 4.96%", |
| "C) 6.81%", |
| "D) 7.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 10.46%\nD) 13.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.06%", |
| "B) 6.26%", |
| "C) 10.46%", |
| "D) 13.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 10.01%\nB) 9.14%\nC) 8.27%\nD) 9.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.01%", |
| "B) 9.14%", |
| "C) 8.27%", |
| "D) 9.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.30%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 60.43%\nD) 64.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.30%", |
| "B) 59.18%", |
| "C) 60.43%", |
| "D) 64.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.06pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) +1.38pp\nD) +0.73pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.06pp", |
| "B) +0.40pp", |
| "C) +1.38pp", |
| "D) +0.73pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 5.71%\nC) 6.10%\nD) 7.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.88%", |
| "B) 5.71%", |
| "C) 6.10%", |
| "D) 7.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.70%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 1.05%\nD) -0.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.70%", |
| "B) 0.36%", |
| "C) 1.05%", |
| "D) -0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.12%\nB) -64.34%\nC) -40.52%\nD) 30.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.12%", |
| "B) -64.34%", |
| "C) -40.52%", |
| "D) 30.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.15%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.15%", |
| "B) 5.30%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 4.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 108.50\nB) 78.90\nC) 93.70\nD) 103.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.50", |
| "B) 78.90", |
| "C) 93.70", |
| "D) 103.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "93.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 16.12%\nB) -15.45%\nC) 5.60%\nD) 0.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.12%", |
| "B) -15.45%", |
| "C) 5.60%", |
| "D) 0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 5.42%\nD) 4.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.21%", |
| "B) 4.79%", |
| "C) 5.42%", |
| "D) 4.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $721M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$721M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.88pp\nB) -25.68pp\nC) -10.80pp\nD) -5.84pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.88pp", |
| "B) -25.68pp", |
| "C) -10.80pp", |
| "D) -5.84pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) 484,808\nB) 514,713\nC) 365,192\nD) 425,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 484,808", |
| "B) 514,713", |
| "C) 365,192", |
| "D) 425,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "425,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.66%", |
| "B) 2.91%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 3.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,606B\nB) $6,076B\nC) $5,280B\nD) $5,810B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,606B", |
| "B) $6,076B", |
| "C) $5,280B", |
| "D) $5,810B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,076B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 8.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 4.81%", |
| "C) 3.18%", |
| "D) 8.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) +3.92pp\nB) +3.40pp\nC) +0.84pp\nD) +2.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.92pp", |
| "B) +3.40pp", |
| "C) +0.84pp", |
| "D) +2.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.38pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.2773\nB) 8.0290\nC) 8.6912\nD) 8.4428", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.2773", |
| "B) 8.0290", |
| "C) 8.6912", |
| "D) 8.4428" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2773", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 3.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.83%", |
| "B) 0.95%", |
| "C) 0.01%", |
| "D) 3.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.53%\nD) 1.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.80%", |
| "B) 1.66%", |
| "C) 1.53%", |
| "D) 1.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $265,649M\nB) $291,045M\nC) $303,743M\nD) $284,696M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $265,649M", |
| "B) $291,045M", |
| "C) $303,743M", |
| "D) $284,696M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$284,696M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 1.23%\nD) -0.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.82%", |
| "B) 5.12%", |
| "C) 1.23%", |
| "D) -0.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 6.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.44%", |
| "B) 6.03%", |
| "C) 4.79%", |
| "D) 6.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -9.75pp\nB) +5.09pp\nC) -4.80pp\nD) -14.69pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.75pp", |
| "B) +5.09pp", |
| "C) -4.80pp", |
| "D) -14.69pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 197.85\nB) 187.15\nC) 181.80\nD) 192.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 197.85", |
| "B) 187.15", |
| "C) 181.80", |
| "D) 192.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "192.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 3.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.38%", |
| "B) 2.89%", |
| "C) 3.13%", |
| "D) 3.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.32%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 6.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.32%", |
| "B) 4.48%", |
| "C) 1.63%", |
| "D) 6.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.05%\nB) 7.70%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 3.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.05%", |
| "B) 7.70%", |
| "C) 5.93%", |
| "D) 3.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.57%\nB) 8.72%\nC) 7.86%\nD) 6.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.57%", |
| "B) 8.72%", |
| "C) 7.86%", |
| "D) 6.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.40%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 7.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.40%", |
| "B) 2.83%", |
| "C) 4.55%", |
| "D) 7.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $14.79/hr\nB) $15.46/hr\nC) $15.80/hr\nD) $15.12/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.79/hr", |
| "B) $15.46/hr", |
| "C) $15.80/hr", |
| "D) $15.12/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.46/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,551B\nB) $7,153B\nC) $7,852B\nD) $8,085B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,551B", |
| "B) $7,153B", |
| "C) $7,852B", |
| "D) $8,085B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,852B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.72%", |
| "B) 1.94%", |
| "C) 1.83%", |
| "D) 1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $7,650B\nB) $8,086B\nC) $7,868B\nD) $7,215B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,650B", |
| "B) $8,086B", |
| "C) $7,868B", |
| "D) $7,215B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,650B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 9.95%\nD) -2.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.92%", |
| "B) 6.93%", |
| "C) 9.95%", |
| "D) -2.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) -16.93%\nB) -62.95%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 29.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -16.93%", |
| "B) -62.95%", |
| "C) 6.07%", |
| "D) 29.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $187,340M\nB) $170,375M\nC) $192,995M\nD) $181,685M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $187,340M", |
| "B) $170,375M", |
| "C) $192,995M", |
| "D) $181,685M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$181,685M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.79%\nB) 7.27%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 8.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.79%", |
| "B) 7.27%", |
| "C) 6.03%", |
| "D) 8.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) 338,169\nB) 398,000\nC) 308,253\nD) 487,747", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 338,169", |
| "B) 398,000", |
| "C) 308,253", |
| "D) 487,747" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "398,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $5,410B\nB) $5,192B\nC) $5,848B\nD) $6,505B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,410B", |
| "B) $5,192B", |
| "C) $5,848B", |
| "D) $6,505B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,848B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) $32.44/bbl\nB) $35.11/bbl\nC) $21.79/bbl\nD) $29.78/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $32.44/bbl", |
| "B) $35.11/bbl", |
| "C) $21.79/bbl", |
| "D) $29.78/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$29.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.26pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) -1.17pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.60pp", |
| "B) +0.26pp", |
| "C) -0.03pp", |
| "D) -1.17pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) 4,002,076\nB) 3,331,000\nC) 3,666,538\nD) 4,337,614", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,002,076", |
| "B) 3,331,000", |
| "C) 3,666,538", |
| "D) 4,337,614" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,331,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.79pp\nB) -0.21pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.79pp", |
| "B) -0.21pp", |
| "C) -0.50pp", |
| "D) +0.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -12.58pp\nB) -3.06pp\nC) +11.22pp\nD) +1.70pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.58pp", |
| "B) -3.06pp", |
| "C) +11.22pp", |
| "D) +1.70pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 130,480K\nB) 134,394K\nC) 137,004K\nD) 127,870K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,480K", |
| "B) 134,394K", |
| "C) 137,004K", |
| "D) 127,870K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "130,480K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 35.11\nB) 32.62\nC) 40.09\nD) 27.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.11", |
| "B) 32.62", |
| "C) 40.09", |
| "D) 27.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) $6,140B\nB) $6,345B\nC) $5,730B\nD) $5,525B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,140B", |
| "B) $6,345B", |
| "C) $5,730B", |
| "D) $5,525B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,730B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $308,976M\nB) $302,524M\nC) $276,714M\nD) $289,619M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $308,976M", |
| "B) $302,524M", |
| "C) $276,714M", |
| "D) $289,619M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$289,619M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,275B\nB) $8,996B\nC) $8,756B\nD) $8,515B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,275B", |
| "B) $8,996B", |
| "C) $8,756B", |
| "D) $8,515B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,275B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.97%", |
| "B) 1.63%", |
| "C) 1.74%", |
| "D) 1.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $59,870M\nB) $41,024M\nC) $50,447M\nD) $44,165M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $59,870M", |
| "B) $41,024M", |
| "C) $50,447M", |
| "D) $44,165M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$50,447M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) -2.42%\nC) -0.96%\nD) -0.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.51%", |
| "B) -2.42%", |
| "C) -0.96%", |
| "D) -0.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) 3,716,000\nB) 4,044,216\nC) 3,387,784\nD) 3,059,568", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,716,000", |
| "B) 4,044,216", |
| "C) 3,387,784", |
| "D) 3,059,568" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,716,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) $6,016B\nB) $5,503B\nC) $5,332B\nD) $4,990B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,016B", |
| "B) $5,503B", |
| "C) $5,332B", |
| "D) $4,990B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,503B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.63%", |
| "B) 3.11%", |
| "C) 1.46%", |
| "D) 2.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) 508,337\nB) 390,554\nC) 449,446\nD) 420,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 508,337", |
| "B) 390,554", |
| "C) 449,446", |
| "D) 420,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "420,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) 11.02%\nB) 12.31%\nC) 13.60%\nD) 7.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.02%", |
| "B) 12.31%", |
| "C) 13.60%", |
| "D) 7.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.44%\nB) 9.01%\nC) 8.57%\nD) 10.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.44%", |
| "B) 9.01%", |
| "C) 8.57%", |
| "D) 10.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.80%\nD) 2.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) 1.14%", |
| "C) 1.80%", |
| "D) 2.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $5,607B\nB) $5,357B\nC) $6,357B\nD) $6,107B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,607B", |
| "B) $5,357B", |
| "C) $6,357B", |
| "D) $6,107B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,107B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) -4.65%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 10.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.44%", |
| "B) -4.65%", |
| "C) 0.39%", |
| "D) 10.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) -26.19%\nB) 36.75%\nC) -5.21%\nD) 15.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -26.19%", |
| "B) 36.75%", |
| "C) -5.21%", |
| "D) 15.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "36.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 5.63%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 4.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.91%", |
| "B) 5.63%", |
| "C) 5.20%", |
| "D) 4.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.27%\nB) 26.38%\nC) 30.15%\nD) 18.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.27%", |
| "B) 26.38%", |
| "C) 30.15%", |
| "D) 18.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.2768\nB) 8.5251\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.0285", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.2768", |
| "B) 8.5251", |
| "C) 7.8630", |
| "D) 8.0285" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2768", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) 11.47%\nB) 8.94%\nC) 10.21%\nD) 5.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.47%", |
| "B) 8.94%", |
| "C) 10.21%", |
| "D) 5.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $-29,784M\nB) $-33,153M\nC) $-39,892M\nD) $-46,631M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-29,784M", |
| "B) $-33,153M", |
| "C) $-39,892M", |
| "D) $-46,631M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-39,892M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.33%\nB) 11.04%\nC) 8.48%\nD) 9.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.33%", |
| "B) 11.04%", |
| "C) 8.48%", |
| "D) 9.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -10.93%\nB) -7.44%\nC) -21.41%\nD) -0.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.93%", |
| "B) -7.44%", |
| "C) -21.41%", |
| "D) -0.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 3.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.94%", |
| "B) 1.18%", |
| "C) 2.06%", |
| "D) 3.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.12%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.12%", |
| "B) 8.38%", |
| "C) 6.75%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,894K\nB) 1,734K\nC) 1,814K\nD) 1,854K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,894K", |
| "B) 1,734K", |
| "C) 1,814K", |
| "D) 1,854K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,854K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,966K\nB) 1,919K\nC) 1,826K\nD) 1,872K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,966K", |
| "B) 1,919K", |
| "C) 1,826K", |
| "D) 1,872K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,966K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.85%\nB) -0.74%\nC) -4.29%\nD) 6.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.85%", |
| "B) -0.74%", |
| "C) -4.29%", |
| "D) 6.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +6.34pp\nC) +2.19pp\nD) +4.95pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.57pp", |
| "B) +6.34pp", |
| "C) +2.19pp", |
| "D) +4.95pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.19pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.55pp\nB) +3.03pp\nC) +3.51pp\nD) +2.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.55pp", |
| "B) +3.03pp", |
| "C) +3.51pp", |
| "D) +2.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.07pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,833K\nB) 1,691K\nC) 1,880K\nD) 1,928K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,833K", |
| "B) 1,691K", |
| "C) 1,880K", |
| "D) 1,928K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,833K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -6.38%\nB) -1.30%\nC) -11.46%\nD) 13.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.38%", |
| "B) -1.30%", |
| "C) -11.46%", |
| "D) 13.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.70%", |
| "B) 2.75%", |
| "C) 1.93%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.60pp", |
| "B) -0.20pp", |
| "C) -0.70pp", |
| "D) -0.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.02pp\nC) -0.09pp\nD) -0.62pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.30pp", |
| "B) +0.02pp", |
| "C) -0.09pp", |
| "D) -0.62pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.13%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 10.63%\nD) 7.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.13%", |
| "B) 6.11%", |
| "C) 10.63%", |
| "D) 7.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 5.70%\nD) 4.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.45%", |
| "B) 6.12%", |
| "C) 5.70%", |
| "D) 4.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 127.0486\nB) 115.3357\nC) 107.5270\nD) 119.2400", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 127.0486", |
| "B) 115.3357", |
| "C) 107.5270", |
| "D) 119.2400" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "119.2400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $731M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $731M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$731M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -2.93%\nD) -10.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.91%", |
| "B) 0.99%", |
| "C) -2.93%", |
| "D) -10.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $52,247M\nB) $55,366M\nC) $49,128M\nD) $46,009M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $52,247M", |
| "B) $55,366M", |
| "C) $49,128M", |
| "D) $46,009M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49,128M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 89.47\nB) 85.78\nC) 95.00\nD) 92.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.47", |
| "B) 85.78", |
| "C) 95.00", |
| "D) 92.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "92.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 10.00%\nB) -11.10%\nC) 52.20%\nD) 31.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.00%", |
| "B) -11.10%", |
| "C) 52.20%", |
| "D) 31.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -11.73%\nB) -0.18%\nC) -7.88%\nD) -4.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.73%", |
| "B) -0.18%", |
| "C) -7.88%", |
| "D) -4.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) 2,933,369\nB) 4,272,631\nC) 3,603,000\nD) 3,937,816", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,933,369", |
| "B) 4,272,631", |
| "C) 3,603,000", |
| "D) 3,937,816" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,603,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) $39.25/bbl\nB) $28.26/bbl\nC) $22.77/bbl\nD) $31.01/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.25/bbl", |
| "B) $28.26/bbl", |
| "C) $22.77/bbl", |
| "D) $31.01/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$31.01/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.01%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) 1.06%", |
| "D) 1.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 9.15%\nC) 10.48%\nD) 8.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.59%", |
| "B) 9.15%", |
| "C) 10.48%", |
| "D) 8.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) $31.18/bbl\nB) $39.33/bbl\nC) $36.61/bbl\nD) $42.04/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $31.18/bbl", |
| "B) $39.33/bbl", |
| "C) $36.61/bbl", |
| "D) $42.04/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$36.61/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.05%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 4.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.05%", |
| "B) 3.39%", |
| "C) 4.64%", |
| "D) 4.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.71pp\nD) -0.19pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.40pp", |
| "B) -0.50pp", |
| "C) -0.71pp", |
| "D) -0.19pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 81.66\nB) 79.00\nC) 83.43\nD) 76.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.66", |
| "B) 79.00", |
| "C) 83.43", |
| "D) 76.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "79.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 18.06%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 6.86%\nD) -0.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.06%", |
| "B) 3.13%", |
| "C) 6.86%", |
| "D) -0.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.22pp\nB) -1.42pp\nC) -1.14pp\nD) -0.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.22pp", |
| "B) -1.42pp", |
| "C) -1.14pp", |
| "D) -0.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 68.08%\nC) 69.41%\nD) 64.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.10%", |
| "B) 68.08%", |
| "C) 69.41%", |
| "D) 64.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "66.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 188.48\nB) 182.90\nC) 168.94\nD) 174.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 188.48", |
| "B) 182.90", |
| "C) 168.94", |
| "D) 174.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "182.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.3523\nB) 1.2162\nC) 1.1255\nD) 0.9894", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3523", |
| "B) 1.2162", |
| "C) 1.1255", |
| "D) 0.9894" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1255", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.9398\nB) 1.0633\nC) 1.2692\nD) 1.1457", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9398", |
| "B) 1.0633", |
| "C) 1.2692", |
| "D) 1.1457" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1457", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 4.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 3.17%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 4.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 191.09\nB) 185.00\nC) 178.91\nD) 197.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 191.09", |
| "B) 185.00", |
| "C) 178.91", |
| "D) 197.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "185.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 94.08\nB) 89.52\nC) 91.34\nD) 86.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.08", |
| "B) 89.52", |
| "C) 91.34", |
| "D) 86.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "91.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $44,598M\nB) $41,473M\nC) $60,225M\nD) $50,849M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $44,598M", |
| "B) $41,473M", |
| "C) $60,225M", |
| "D) $50,849M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$50,849M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.52%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.52%", |
| "B) 0.79%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 1.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) -22.02%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -43.87%\nD) -65.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -22.02%", |
| "B) -0.17%", |
| "C) -43.87%", |
| "D) -65.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,176.00\nB) 1,234.66\nC) 1,705.33\nD) 3,117.33", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,176.00", |
| "B) 1,234.66", |
| "C) 1,705.33", |
| "D) 3,117.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,705.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) -50.58%\nB) 14.41%\nC) -7.25%\nD) -28.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -50.58%", |
| "B) 14.41%", |
| "C) -7.25%", |
| "D) -28.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-28.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 0.95%\nD) 2.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.84%", |
| "B) 0.07%", |
| "C) 0.95%", |
| "D) 2.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $-36,425M\nB) $-39,898M\nC) $-43,371M\nD) $-32,951M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-36,425M", |
| "B) $-39,898M", |
| "C) $-43,371M", |
| "D) $-32,951M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-39,898M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -13.43%\nB) 5.11%\nC) -2.30%\nD) -9.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.43%", |
| "B) 5.11%", |
| "C) -2.30%", |
| "D) -9.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $277,324M\nB) $314,172M\nC) $306,803M\nD) $299,433M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $277,324M", |
| "B) $314,172M", |
| "C) $306,803M", |
| "D) $299,433M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$299,433M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 137.60\nB) 131.36\nC) 143.84\nD) 127.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137.60", |
| "B) 131.36", |
| "C) 143.84", |
| "D) 127.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "137.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 141.11\nB) 136.70\nC) 145.52\nD) 130.08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 141.11", |
| "B) 136.70", |
| "C) 145.52", |
| "D) 130.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "136.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.59%", |
| "B) 2.70%", |
| "C) 3.15%", |
| "D) 1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.32%", |
| "B) 0.87%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 115.9400\nB) 107.9146\nC) 127.9781\nD) 103.9019", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.9400", |
| "B) 107.9146", |
| "C) 127.9781", |
| "D) 103.9019" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "115.9400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.87%", |
| "B) 1.31%", |
| "C) 1.50%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 96.37\nB) 93.65\nC) 90.92\nD) 88.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.37", |
| "B) 93.65", |
| "C) 90.92", |
| "D) 88.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "90.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) +2.79pp\nB) +1.87pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +2.33pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.79pp", |
| "B) +1.87pp", |
| "C) +1.40pp", |
| "D) +2.33pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.33pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 120.4100\nB) 116.2868\nC) 112.1635\nD) 124.5332", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 120.4100", |
| "B) 116.2868", |
| "C) 112.1635", |
| "D) 124.5332" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "120.4100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) -8.51%\nB) 64.82%\nC) 138.14%\nD) 113.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.51%", |
| "B) 64.82%", |
| "C) 138.14%", |
| "D) 113.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "64.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 8.2768\nD) 7.8630", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.5251", |
| "B) 8.0285", |
| "C) 8.2768", |
| "D) 7.8630" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2768", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 9.69%\nD) 8.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.26%", |
| "B) 7.63%", |
| "C) 9.69%", |
| "D) 8.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) -0.11%\nC) -2.35%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) -0.11%", |
| "C) -2.35%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) $35.02/bbl\nB) $32.31/bbl\nC) $40.44/bbl\nD) $29.60/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $35.02/bbl", |
| "B) $32.31/bbl", |
| "C) $40.44/bbl", |
| "D) $29.60/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$32.31/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $7,760B\nB) $8,181B\nC) $7,549B\nD) $7,970B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,760B", |
| "B) $8,181B", |
| "C) $7,549B", |
| "D) $7,970B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,549B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.22pp\nB) -1.05pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.22pp", |
| "B) -1.05pp", |
| "C) +0.53pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 138.00\nB) 144.79\nC) 126.68\nD) 131.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 138.00", |
| "B) 144.79", |
| "C) 126.68", |
| "D) 131.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "138.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 4.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.28%", |
| "B) 5.09%", |
| "C) 5.65%", |
| "D) 4.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 2.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.04%", |
| "B) 5.27%", |
| "C) 3.42%", |
| "D) 2.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,836K\nB) 1,878K\nC) 1,666K\nD) 1,751K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,836K", |
| "B) 1,878K", |
| "C) 1,666K", |
| "D) 1,751K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,751K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.80%", |
| "B) 2.03%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 1.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.88%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 3.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.88%", |
| "B) 0.95%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) 3.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) $30.54/bbl\nB) $38.70/bbl\nC) $33.26/bbl\nD) $35.98/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.54/bbl", |
| "B) $38.70/bbl", |
| "C) $33.26/bbl", |
| "D) $35.98/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.26/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 80.33\nB) 82.81\nC) 77.02\nD) 78.67", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.33", |
| "B) 82.81", |
| "C) 77.02", |
| "D) 78.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "78.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.05%\nB) 7.60%\nC) 9.16%\nD) 4.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.05%", |
| "B) 7.60%", |
| "C) 9.16%", |
| "D) 4.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 74.25\nB) 78.08\nC) 79.99\nD) 76.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.25", |
| "B) 78.08", |
| "C) 79.99", |
| "D) 76.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 78.87%\nB) 70.72%\nC) 75.61%\nD) 77.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.87%", |
| "B) 70.72%", |
| "C) 75.61%", |
| "D) 77.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "75.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 1.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.80%", |
| "B) 2.88%", |
| "C) 1.97%", |
| "D) 1.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 4.67%\nD) 3.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.95%", |
| "B) 2.87%", |
| "C) 4.67%", |
| "D) 3.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.51%", |
| "B) 3.02%", |
| "C) 3.76%", |
| "D) 2.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.76%\nB) 10.44%\nC) 7.09%\nD) 2.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.76%", |
| "B) 10.44%", |
| "C) 7.09%", |
| "D) 2.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.91%", |
| "B) 4.97%", |
| "C) 3.44%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) $29.18/bbl\nB) $31.87/bbl\nC) $37.25/bbl\nD) $34.56/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $29.18/bbl", |
| "B) $31.87/bbl", |
| "C) $37.25/bbl", |
| "D) $34.56/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$29.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.71%", |
| "B) 1.49%", |
| "C) 1.27%", |
| "D) 1.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,919K\nC) 1,835K\nD) 1,961K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,877K", |
| "B) 1,919K", |
| "C) 1,835K", |
| "D) 1,961K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,835K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.26pp\nB) -0.85pp\nC) +3.36pp\nD) +0.55pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.26pp", |
| "B) -0.85pp", |
| "C) +3.36pp", |
| "D) +0.55pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.55pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,665B\nB) $9,221B\nC) $8,943B\nD) $8,387B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,665B", |
| "B) $9,221B", |
| "C) $8,943B", |
| "D) $8,387B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,665B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 125.81\nB) 138.77\nC) 158.19\nD) 132.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 125.81", |
| "B) 138.77", |
| "C) 158.19", |
| "D) 132.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "138.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $313,351M\nB) $292,712M\nC) $299,592M\nD) $320,231M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $313,351M", |
| "B) $292,712M", |
| "C) $299,592M", |
| "D) $320,231M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$299,592M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.9354\nB) 1.0309\nC) 1.2699\nD) 1.1743", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9354", |
| "B) 1.0309", |
| "C) 1.2699", |
| "D) 1.1743" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1743", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 77.53\nB) 74.08\nC) 75.80\nD) 79.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.53", |
| "B) 74.08", |
| "C) 75.80", |
| "D) 79.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "77.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 4.94%\nC) -1.93%\nD) 9.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.65%", |
| "B) 4.94%", |
| "C) -1.93%", |
| "D) 9.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.08%\nB) 65.07%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 68.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.08%", |
| "B) 65.07%", |
| "C) 66.40%", |
| "D) 68.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) -52.86%\nB) -31.92%\nC) 51.84%\nD) -10.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -52.86%", |
| "B) -31.92%", |
| "C) 51.84%", |
| "D) -10.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 66.40%\nB) 65.07%\nC) 67.73%\nD) 69.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.40%", |
| "B) 65.07%", |
| "C) 67.73%", |
| "D) 69.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "66.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.4425\nB) 8.2770\nC) 7.8631\nD) 8.1115", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.4425", |
| "B) 8.2770", |
| "C) 7.8631", |
| "D) 8.1115" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2770", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 9.28\nB) 22.05\nC) 16.94\nD) 24.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.28", |
| "B) 22.05", |
| "C) 16.94", |
| "D) 24.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 3.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.57%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 3.81%", |
| "D) 3.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.60%", |
| "B) 2.27%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) +3.69pp\nB) +2.70pp\nC) +2.21pp\nD) +1.71pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.69pp", |
| "B) +2.70pp", |
| "C) +2.21pp", |
| "D) +1.71pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) $21.30/bbl\nB) $32.24/bbl\nC) $26.77/bbl\nD) $18.56/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.30/bbl", |
| "B) $32.24/bbl", |
| "C) $26.77/bbl", |
| "D) $18.56/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$26.77/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 129.97\nB) 123.97\nC) 153.96\nD) 135.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 129.97", |
| "B) 123.97", |
| "C) 153.96", |
| "D) 135.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "135.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $174,113M\nB) $162,170M\nC) $192,027M\nD) $156,199M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $174,113M", |
| "B) $162,170M", |
| "C) $192,027M", |
| "D) $156,199M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$174,113M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.30%", |
| "B) 3.53%", |
| "C) 3.14%", |
| "D) 2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 5.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.88%", |
| "B) 4.50%", |
| "C) 4.69%", |
| "D) 5.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) +19.06pp\nB) +23.84pp\nC) -0.06pp\nD) +9.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +19.06pp", |
| "B) +23.84pp", |
| "C) -0.06pp", |
| "D) +9.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+9.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 18.27\nB) 10.75\nC) 15.76\nD) 25.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.27", |
| "B) 10.75", |
| "C) 15.76", |
| "D) 25.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) $5,954B\nB) $5,735B\nC) $6,392B\nD) $6,173B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,954B", |
| "B) $5,735B", |
| "C) $6,392B", |
| "D) $6,173B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,735B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.10pp", |
| "B) -0.61pp", |
| "C) -0.30pp", |
| "D) -0.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.68%\nD) 6.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.15%", |
| "B) 4.91%", |
| "C) 7.68%", |
| "D) 6.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 77.11%\nB) 72.36%\nC) 78.70%\nD) 75.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.11%", |
| "B) 72.36%", |
| "C) 78.70%", |
| "D) 75.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "77.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 1.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.77%", |
| "B) 2.05%", |
| "C) 1.22%", |
| "D) 1.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 3.45%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.30%", |
| "B) 3.45%", |
| "C) 2.91%", |
| "D) 3.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $177,439M\nB) $189,233M\nC) $165,645M\nD) $171,542M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $177,439M", |
| "B) $189,233M", |
| "C) $165,645M", |
| "D) $171,542M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$171,542M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 130,197K\nB) 136,707K\nC) 134,103K\nD) 127,593K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,197K", |
| "B) 136,707K", |
| "C) 134,103K", |
| "D) 127,593K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "130,197K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.55pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.50pp", |
| "B) +0.20pp", |
| "C) -0.15pp", |
| "D) +0.55pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.73pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) -0.04pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.73pp", |
| "B) -0.39pp", |
| "C) +0.30pp", |
| "D) -0.04pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) 13.01%\nC) 10.04%\nD) 15.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.06%", |
| "B) 13.01%", |
| "C) 10.04%", |
| "D) 15.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) -1.57%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 2.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) -1.57%", |
| "C) 4.34%", |
| "D) 2.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 0.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 1.85%", |
| "C) 4.46%", |
| "D) 0.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 93.25\nB) 85.10\nC) 90.54\nD) 87.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.25", |
| "B) 85.10", |
| "C) 90.54", |
| "D) 87.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "90.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 6.06%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 2.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.77%", |
| "B) 6.06%", |
| "C) -0.56%", |
| "D) 2.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 7.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.57%", |
| "B) -13.07%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 7.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) 4,068,862\nB) 3,423,000\nC) 3,100,069\nD) 2,777,138", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,068,862", |
| "B) 3,423,000", |
| "C) 3,100,069", |
| "D) 2,777,138" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,423,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 202.94\nB) 179.10\nC) 194.00\nD) 185.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 202.94", |
| "B) 179.10", |
| "C) 194.00", |
| "D) 185.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "194.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,418B\nB) $7,427B\nC) $8,666B\nD) $7,923B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,418B", |
| "B) $7,427B", |
| "C) $8,666B", |
| "D) $7,923B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,923B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 2.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.00%", |
| "B) 2.61%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 2.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.73%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.07%", |
| "B) 1.73%", |
| "C) 1.96%", |
| "D) 1.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) $23.02/bbl\nB) $25.79/bbl\nC) $28.57/bbl\nD) $31.35/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.02/bbl", |
| "B) $25.79/bbl", |
| "C) $28.57/bbl", |
| "D) $31.35/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.57/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 199.37\nB) 187.83\nC) 205.15\nD) 193.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 199.37", |
| "B) 187.83", |
| "C) 205.15", |
| "D) 193.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "193.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.4300\nB) 116.1327\nC) 96.8759\nD) 119.9841", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.4300", |
| "B) 116.1327", |
| "C) 96.8759", |
| "D) 119.9841" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "108.4300", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.51%\nB) 3.75%\nC) -2.42%\nD) 13.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.51%", |
| "B) 3.75%", |
| "C) -2.42%", |
| "D) 13.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 47.31%\nB) 6.27%\nC) 26.79%\nD) 67.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.31%", |
| "B) 6.27%", |
| "C) 26.79%", |
| "D) 67.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "26.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 187.39\nB) 198.41\nC) 179.13\nD) 192.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187.39", |
| "B) 198.41", |
| "C) 179.13", |
| "D) 192.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "192.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 79.37\nB) 84.02\nC) 82.16\nD) 77.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.37", |
| "B) 84.02", |
| "C) 82.16", |
| "D) 77.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "79.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 9.34%\nD) 10.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.47%", |
| "B) 7.90%", |
| "C) 9.34%", |
| "D) 10.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 64.84%\nB) -24.58%\nC) 20.13%\nD) -2.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.84%", |
| "B) -24.58%", |
| "C) 20.13%", |
| "D) -2.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 69.41%\nB) 64.78%\nC) 67.42%\nD) 66.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.41%", |
| "B) 64.78%", |
| "C) 67.42%", |
| "D) 66.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "66.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 5.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.57%", |
| "B) 4.94%", |
| "C) 5.78%", |
| "D) 5.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,377B\nB) $8,640B\nC) $7,851B\nD) $9,166B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,377B", |
| "B) $8,640B", |
| "C) $7,851B", |
| "D) $9,166B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,640B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.30%\nB) 8.09%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 3.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.30%", |
| "B) 8.09%", |
| "C) 5.65%", |
| "D) 3.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $-44,208M\nB) $-47,371M\nC) $-37,882M\nD) $-41,045M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-44,208M", |
| "B) $-47,371M", |
| "C) $-37,882M", |
| "D) $-41,045M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-41,045M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 4.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.00%", |
| "B) 3.03%", |
| "C) 2.01%", |
| "D) 4.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 5.82%\nD) 5.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.33%", |
| "B) 5.45%", |
| "C) 5.82%", |
| "D) 5.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 0.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.37%", |
| "B) 2.64%", |
| "C) 2.22%", |
| "D) 0.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -2.22pp\nC) -3.64pp\nD) +0.62pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.80pp", |
| "B) -2.22pp", |
| "C) -3.64pp", |
| "D) +0.62pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.62pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.50%\nB) 60.62%\nC) 63.75%\nD) 59.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.50%", |
| "B) 60.62%", |
| "C) 63.75%", |
| "D) 59.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "62.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $714M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $714M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$714M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 6.57%\nC) 3.87%\nD) 4.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.97%", |
| "B) 6.57%", |
| "C) 3.87%", |
| "D) 4.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.90%", |
| "B) 1.27%", |
| "C) 3.08%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.55%", |
| "B) 5.38%", |
| "C) 3.30%", |
| "D) 4.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 61.05%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.05%", |
| "B) 62.30%", |
| "C) 59.18%", |
| "D) 64.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 178.24\nB) 188.96\nC) 183.60\nD) 170.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 178.24", |
| "B) 188.96", |
| "C) 183.60", |
| "D) 170.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "183.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 11.81%\nC) 9.49%\nD) 7.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.20%", |
| "B) 11.81%", |
| "C) 9.49%", |
| "D) 7.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 89.30\nB) 84.31\nC) 99.28\nD) 94.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.30", |
| "B) 84.31", |
| "C) 99.28", |
| "D) 94.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "89.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 76.86\nB) 92.10\nC) 81.94\nD) 97.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.86", |
| "B) 92.10", |
| "C) 81.94", |
| "D) 97.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "92.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) $161,473M\nB) $167,259M\nC) $173,044M\nD) $178,829M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $161,473M", |
| "B) $167,259M", |
| "C) $173,044M", |
| "D) $178,829M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$173,044M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.82%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.41%", |
| "B) 4.59%", |
| "C) 5.82%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-08.)\n\nA) 1,536.03\nB) 2,961.61\nC) 2,486.41\nD) 1,060.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,536.03", |
| "B) 2,961.61", |
| "C) 2,486.41", |
| "D) 1,060.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,536.03", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 0.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 1.26%", |
| "C) 4.05%", |
| "D) 0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20031101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) -0.73pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.07pp", |
| "B) -1.00pp", |
| "C) -0.20pp", |
| "D) -0.73pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.46%\nB) 2.24%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 0.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.46%", |
| "B) 2.24%", |
| "C) 3.85%", |
| "D) 0.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 6.55%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 6.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.86%", |
| "B) 6.55%", |
| "C) 5.17%", |
| "D) 6.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20031115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2003-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,316.37\nB) 1,930.26\nC) 1,006.19\nD) 2,392.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,316.37", |
| "B) 1,930.26", |
| "C) 1,006.19", |
| "D) 2,392.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,930.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 63.96%\nB) 60.24%\nC) 62.10%\nD) 66.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.96%", |
| "B) 60.24%", |
| "C) 62.10%", |
| "D) 66.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) $-43,056M\nB) $-31,159M\nC) $-37,108M\nD) $-40,082M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-43,056M", |
| "B) $-31,159M", |
| "C) $-37,108M", |
| "D) $-40,082M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-40,082M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-31.)\n\nA) 131.84\nB) 120.96\nC) 137.28\nD) 148.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 131.84", |
| "B) 120.96", |
| "C) 137.28", |
| "D) 148.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "131.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-01.)\n\nA) 123,919K\nB) 130,441K\nC) 127,832K\nD) 134,354K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 123,919K", |
| "B) 130,441K", |
| "C) 127,832K", |
| "D) 134,354K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "130,441K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 5.26%\nC) 6.10%\nD) 5.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.36%", |
| "B) 5.26%", |
| "C) 6.10%", |
| "D) 5.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.02/bbl\nB) $29.15/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.02/bbl", |
| "B) $29.15/bbl", |
| "C) $31.29/bbl", |
| "D) $33.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.02/bbl\nB) $29.15/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.02/bbl", |
| "B) $29.15/bbl", |
| "C) $31.29/bbl", |
| "D) $33.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $27.02/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $33.42/bbl", |
| "B) $39.82/bbl", |
| "C) $27.02/bbl", |
| "D) $29.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $27.02/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $33.42/bbl", |
| "B) $39.82/bbl", |
| "C) $27.02/bbl", |
| "D) $29.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.02/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $39.82/bbl\nD) $37.69/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.02/bbl", |
| "B) $33.42/bbl", |
| "C) $39.82/bbl", |
| "D) $37.69/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.02/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $39.82/bbl\nD) $37.69/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.02/bbl", |
| "B) $33.42/bbl", |
| "C) $39.82/bbl", |
| "D) $37.69/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $35.55/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $35.55/bbl", |
| "B) $31.29/bbl", |
| "C) $33.42/bbl", |
| "D) $27.02/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $35.55/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $35.55/bbl", |
| "B) $31.29/bbl", |
| "C) $33.42/bbl", |
| "D) $27.02/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.82/bbl", |
| "B) $37.69/bbl", |
| "C) $31.29/bbl", |
| "D) $33.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.82/bbl", |
| "B) $37.69/bbl", |
| "C) $31.29/bbl", |
| "D) $33.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $27.02/bbl\nC) $37.69/bbl\nD) $31.29/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $33.42/bbl", |
| "B) $27.02/bbl", |
| "C) $37.69/bbl", |
| "D) $31.29/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $27.02/bbl\nC) $37.69/bbl\nD) $31.29/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $33.42/bbl", |
| "B) $27.02/bbl", |
| "C) $37.69/bbl", |
| "D) $31.29/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.55/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $21.66/bbl\nD) $29.52/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.55/bbl", |
| "B) $25.59/bbl", |
| "C) $21.66/bbl", |
| "D) $29.52/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.55/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $21.66/bbl\nD) $29.52/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.55/bbl", |
| "B) $25.59/bbl", |
| "C) $21.66/bbl", |
| "D) $29.52/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $19.70/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $29.52/bbl", |
| "B) $21.66/bbl", |
| "C) $25.59/bbl", |
| "D) $19.70/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $19.70/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $29.52/bbl", |
| "B) $21.66/bbl", |
| "C) $25.59/bbl", |
| "D) $19.70/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $30.28/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $22.43/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.28/bbl", |
| "B) $18.50/bbl", |
| "C) $22.43/bbl", |
| "D) $24.39/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $30.28/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $22.43/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.28/bbl", |
| "B) $18.50/bbl", |
| "C) $22.43/bbl", |
| "D) $24.39/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $17.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.23/bbl", |
| "B) $27.16/bbl", |
| "C) $25.19/bbl", |
| "D) $17.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $17.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.23/bbl", |
| "B) $27.16/bbl", |
| "C) $25.19/bbl", |
| "D) $17.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $21.27/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $17.34/bbl\nD) $19.30/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.27/bbl", |
| "B) $23.23/bbl", |
| "C) $17.34/bbl", |
| "D) $19.30/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $21.27/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $17.34/bbl\nD) $19.30/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.27/bbl", |
| "B) $23.23/bbl", |
| "C) $17.34/bbl", |
| "D) $19.30/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $25.19/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.19/bbl", |
| "B) $27.16/bbl", |
| "C) $23.23/bbl", |
| "D) $29.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $25.19/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.19/bbl", |
| "B) $27.16/bbl", |
| "C) $23.23/bbl", |
| "D) $29.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 36.52\nC) 27.40\nD) 30.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 36.52", |
| "C) 27.40", |
| "D) 30.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 36.52\nC) 27.40\nD) 30.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 36.52", |
| "C) 27.40", |
| "D) 30.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 30.44\nB) 21.32\nC) 24.36\nD) 27.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.44", |
| "B) 21.32", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 27.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 30.44\nB) 21.32\nC) 24.36\nD) 27.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.44", |
| "B) 21.32", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 27.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 30.44\nC) 27.40\nD) 36.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 30.44", |
| "C) 27.40", |
| "D) 36.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 30.44\nC) 27.40\nD) 36.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 30.44", |
| "C) 27.40", |
| "D) 36.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 24.36\nC) 30.44\nD) 27.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.32", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 30.44", |
| "D) 27.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 24.36\nC) 30.44\nD) 27.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.32", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 30.44", |
| "D) 27.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 33.48\nB) 27.40\nC) 24.36\nD) 30.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.48", |
| "B) 27.40", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 30.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 33.48\nB) 27.40\nC) 24.36\nD) 30.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.48", |
| "B) 27.40", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 30.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 30.44\nB) 24.36\nC) 39.56\nD) 36.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.44", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 39.56", |
| "D) 36.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 30.44\nB) 24.36\nC) 39.56\nD) 36.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.44", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 39.56", |
| "D) 36.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-max", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,064.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,520.26", |
| "B) 1,368.37", |
| "C) 1,216.48", |
| "D) 1,064.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,368.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,064.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,520.26", |
| "B) 1,368.37", |
| "C) 1,216.48", |
| "D) 1,064.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,368.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,660.14\nB) 1,204.48\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,660.14", |
| "B) 1,204.48", |
| "C) 1,356.37", |
| "D) 1,052.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,356.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,660.14\nB) 1,204.48\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,660.14", |
| "B) 1,204.48", |
| "C) 1,356.37", |
| "D) 1,052.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,356.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,201.85\nB) 1,657.51\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,353.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,201.85", |
| "B) 1,657.51", |
| "C) 1,505.63", |
| "D) 1,353.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,201.85\nB) 1,657.51\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,353.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,201.85", |
| "B) 1,657.51", |
| "C) 1,505.63", |
| "D) 1,353.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,505.63\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,657.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,353.74", |
| "B) 1,505.63", |
| "C) 1,201.85", |
| "D) 1,657.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,505.63\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,657.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,353.74", |
| "B) 1,505.63", |
| "C) 1,201.85", |
| "D) 1,657.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,201.85\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,657.51\nD) 1,505.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,201.85", |
| "B) 1,353.74", |
| "C) 1,657.51", |
| "D) 1,505.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,201.85\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,657.51\nD) 1,505.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,201.85", |
| "B) 1,353.74", |
| "C) 1,657.51", |
| "D) 1,505.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,657.51\nB) 1,809.40\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,657.51", |
| "B) 1,809.40", |
| "C) 1,353.74", |
| "D) 1,201.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,657.51\nB) 1,809.40\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,657.51", |
| "B) 1,809.40", |
| "C) 1,353.74", |
| "D) 1,201.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Iraq War begins", |
| "event_date": "2003-03-19", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-01-29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-26", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-01-29, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-26.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 1.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.05%", |
| "B) 2.19%", |
| "C) 0.33%", |
| "D) 1.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-03-18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-15", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-03-18, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 0.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 4.12%", |
| "C) 2.21%", |
| "D) 0.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-05-06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "June 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-03", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-05-06, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-03.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 3.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 1.22%", |
| "C) 0.25%", |
| "D) 3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-06-25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-22", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-06-25, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.03%", |
| "B) 3.95%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-08-12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-09", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-08-12, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-09.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 1.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 0.01%", |
| "D) 1.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-09-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-09-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-13.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.01%", |
| "B) 3.02%", |
| "C) 4.03%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-10-28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-25", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-10-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-25.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 3.03%\nD) 4.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.01%", |
| "B) 1.00%", |
| "C) 3.03%", |
| "D) 4.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2003-12-09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2004", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-06", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2003-12-09, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-06.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 4.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.05%", |
| "B) 2.03%", |
| "C) 1.00%", |
| "D) 4.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2003 (released around 2003-02-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-31.)\n\nA) 8K\nB) 208K\nC) -191K\nD) 108K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8K", |
| "B) 208K", |
| "C) -191K", |
| "D) 108K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "108K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200302", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2003 (released around 2003-03-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-28.)\n\nA) -132K\nB) -430K\nC) -33K\nD) -331K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -132K", |
| "B) -430K", |
| "C) -33K", |
| "D) -331K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-132K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200303", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2003 (released around 2003-04-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-28.)\n\nA) -306K\nB) -206K\nC) -6K\nD) -406K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -306K", |
| "B) -206K", |
| "C) -6K", |
| "D) -406K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-206K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2003 (released around 2003-05-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-25.)\n\nA) 137K\nB) 37K\nC) -62K\nD) 236K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137K", |
| "B) 37K", |
| "C) -62K", |
| "D) 236K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-62K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200305", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2003 (released around 2003-06-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-30.)\n\nA) 320K\nB) 123K\nC) 221K\nD) 24K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 320K", |
| "B) 123K", |
| "C) 221K", |
| "D) 24K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200306", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2003 (released around 2003-07-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-27.)\n\nA) -11K\nB) 87K\nC) -304K\nD) -109K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11K", |
| "B) 87K", |
| "C) -304K", |
| "D) -109K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-11K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2003 (released around 2003-08-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-25.)\n\nA) -196K\nB) -2K\nC) -292K\nD) 95K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -196K", |
| "B) -2K", |
| "C) -292K", |
| "D) 95K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200308", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2003 (released around 2003-09-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-29.)\n\nA) -223K\nB) 257K\nC) -31K\nD) -127K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -223K", |
| "B) 257K", |
| "C) -31K", |
| "D) -127K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-31K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200309", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2003 (released around 2003-10-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-26.)\n\nA) 4K\nB) 385K\nC) 194K\nD) 99K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4K", |
| "B) 385K", |
| "C) 194K", |
| "D) 99K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "99K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200310", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2003 (released around 2003-11-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-31.)\n\nA) 187K\nB) 282K\nC) -3K\nD) 377K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187K", |
| "B) 282K", |
| "C) -3K", |
| "D) 377K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "187K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200311", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2003 (released around 2003-12-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-28.)\n\nA) -53K\nB) 41K\nC) 135K\nD) -241K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -53K", |
| "B) 41K", |
| "C) 135K", |
| "D) -241K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "41K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200312", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2003 (released around 2004-01-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-26.)\n\nA) -171K\nB) 202K\nC) 109K\nD) 296K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -171K", |
| "B) 202K", |
| "C) 109K", |
| "D) 296K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "109K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2003 (released around 2003-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 1.44%\nD) 2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.88%", |
| "B) 3.19%", |
| "C) 1.44%", |
| "D) 2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200303", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2003 (released around 2003-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.03%", |
| "B) 3.88%", |
| "C) 1.74%", |
| "D) 3.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2003 (released around 2003-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.03%", |
| "B) 2.18%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200306", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2003 (released around 2003-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-06.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 3.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.53%", |
| "B) 2.79%", |
| "C) 1.95%", |
| "D) 3.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2003 (released around 2003-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 2.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.47%", |
| "B) 1.22%", |
| "C) 3.31%", |
| "D) 2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200309", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2003 (released around 2003-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-06.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.38%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 1.97%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200310", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2003 (released around 2003-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 0.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 2.04%", |
| "C) 2.86%", |
| "D) 0.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200312", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2003 (released around 2004-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-06.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.24%", |
| "B) 1.63%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 2.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2003q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2003 (advance estimate released around 2003-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-14.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 0.23%\nD) 1.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.41%", |
| "B) 0.95%", |
| "C) 0.23%", |
| "D) 1.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2003q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2003 (advance estimate released around 2003-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-14.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 1.24%\nD) 2.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.96%", |
| "B) 4.09%", |
| "C) 1.24%", |
| "D) 2.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2003q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2003 (advance estimate released around 2003-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-14.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 2.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.97%", |
| "B) 3.23%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 2.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2003q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2003", |
| "info_cutoff": "2004-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2003 (advance estimate released around 2004-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 6.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) 2.05%", |
| "C) 4.30%", |
| "D) 6.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-01-03? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-27.)\n\nA) 35.61\nB) 26.63\nC) 23.63\nD) 29.62", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.61", |
| "B) 26.63", |
| "C) 23.63", |
| "D) 29.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "29.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-01-10? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-03.)\n\nA) 25.53\nB) 34.51\nC) 31.52\nD) 22.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.53", |
| "B) 34.51", |
| "C) 31.52", |
| "D) 22.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030117", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-01-17? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-10.)\n\nA) 34.68\nB) 25.70\nC) 28.69\nD) 19.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.68", |
| "B) 25.70", |
| "C) 28.69", |
| "D) 19.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-02-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-31.)\n\nA) 25.01\nB) 28.01\nC) 34.01\nD) 43.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.01", |
| "B) 28.01", |
| "C) 34.01", |
| "D) 43.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030214", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-02-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-07.)\n\nA) 25.31\nB) 37.34\nC) 31.32\nD) 34.33", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.31", |
| "B) 37.34", |
| "C) 31.32", |
| "D) 34.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "34.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030221", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-02-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-14.)\n\nA) 31.31\nB) 34.32\nC) 22.27\nD) 40.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.31", |
| "B) 34.32", |
| "C) 22.27", |
| "D) 40.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-03-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-28.)\n\nA) 28.81\nB) 31.83\nC) 22.77\nD) 40.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.81", |
| "B) 31.83", |
| "C) 22.77", |
| "D) 40.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030314", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-03-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-07.)\n\nA) 30.58\nB) 39.66\nC) 33.61\nD) 42.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.58", |
| "B) 39.66", |
| "C) 33.61", |
| "D) 42.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030321", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-03-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-14.)\n\nA) 25.68\nB) 40.86\nC) 28.71\nD) 31.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.68", |
| "B) 40.86", |
| "C) 28.71", |
| "D) 31.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030404", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-04-04? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-28.)\n\nA) 29.15\nB) 26.12\nC) 38.25\nD) 20.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.15", |
| "B) 26.12", |
| "C) 38.25", |
| "D) 20.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "29.15", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030411", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-04-11? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-04.)\n\nA) 19.37\nB) 28.45\nC) 31.48\nD) 25.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.37", |
| "B) 28.45", |
| "C) 31.48", |
| "D) 25.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "28.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-04-18? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-11.)\n\nA) 26.43\nB) 32.47\nC) 23.41\nD) 17.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.43", |
| "B) 32.47", |
| "C) 23.41", |
| "D) 17.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "23.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030502", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-05-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-25.)\n\nA) 27.67\nB) 12.47\nC) 18.55\nD) 21.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.67", |
| "B) 12.47", |
| "C) 18.55", |
| "D) 21.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030509", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-05-09? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-02.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 27.34\nC) 30.40\nD) 24.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.24", |
| "B) 27.34", |
| "C) 30.40", |
| "D) 24.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030516", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-05-16? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-09.)\n\nA) 23.07\nB) 20.00\nC) 26.13\nD) 29.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.07", |
| "B) 20.00", |
| "C) 26.13", |
| "D) 29.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030606", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-06-06? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-30.)\n\nA) 30.53\nB) 18.16\nC) 21.25\nD) 15.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.53", |
| "B) 18.16", |
| "C) 21.25", |
| "D) 15.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "21.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030613", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-06-13? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 19.05\nB) 15.96\nC) 31.44\nD) 22.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.05", |
| "B) 15.96", |
| "C) 31.44", |
| "D) 22.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "22.15", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030620", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-06-20? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-13.)\n\nA) 20.22\nB) 29.50\nC) 17.13\nD) 23.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.22", |
| "B) 29.50", |
| "C) 17.13", |
| "D) 23.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "20.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030704", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-07-04? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-27.)\n\nA) 28.85\nB) 19.52\nC) 25.74\nD) 13.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.85", |
| "B) 19.52", |
| "C) 25.74", |
| "D) 13.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030711", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-07-11? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-04.)\n\nA) 10.73\nB) 29.39\nC) 20.06\nD) 16.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.73", |
| "B) 29.39", |
| "C) 20.06", |
| "D) 16.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030718", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-07-18? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-11.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 26.46\nC) 10.86\nD) 20.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.58", |
| "B) 26.46", |
| "C) 10.86", |
| "D) 20.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-08-01? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-25.)\n\nA) 20.75\nB) 17.60\nC) 27.06\nD) 14.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.75", |
| "B) 17.60", |
| "C) 27.06", |
| "D) 14.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "20.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030808", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-08-08? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 19.51\nB) 22.68\nC) 13.17\nD) 16.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.51", |
| "B) 22.68", |
| "C) 13.17", |
| "D) 16.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 13.42\nB) 22.92\nC) 19.75\nD) 16.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.42", |
| "B) 22.92", |
| "C) 19.75", |
| "D) 16.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030905", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-09-05? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-29.)\n\nA) 9.80\nB) 16.23\nC) 29.08\nD) 19.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.80", |
| "B) 16.23", |
| "C) 29.08", |
| "D) 19.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-09-12? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-05.)\n\nA) 20.01\nB) 13.55\nC) 29.70\nD) 16.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.01", |
| "B) 13.55", |
| "C) 29.70", |
| "D) 16.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "20.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20030919", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-09-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-12.)\n\nA) 22.52\nB) 19.28\nC) 25.77\nD) 29.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.52", |
| "B) 19.28", |
| "C) 25.77", |
| "D) 29.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-10-03? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-26.)\n\nA) 13.24\nB) 25.88\nC) 22.72\nD) 29.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.24", |
| "B) 25.88", |
| "C) 22.72", |
| "D) 29.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-10-10? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-03.)\n\nA) 22.66\nB) 13.21\nC) 16.36\nD) 19.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.66", |
| "B) 13.21", |
| "C) 16.36", |
| "D) 19.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031017", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-10-17? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-10.)\n\nA) 17.69\nB) 27.13\nC) 23.98\nD) 14.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.69", |
| "B) 27.13", |
| "C) 23.98", |
| "D) 14.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-11-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-31.)\n\nA) 20.09\nB) 16.93\nC) 10.60\nD) 26.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.09", |
| "B) 16.93", |
| "C) 10.60", |
| "D) 26.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-11-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.80\nB) 14.44\nC) 17.62\nD) 27.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.80", |
| "B) 14.44", |
| "C) 17.62", |
| "D) 27.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-11-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-14.)\n\nA) 9.88\nB) 25.88\nC) 13.08\nD) 19.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.88", |
| "B) 25.88", |
| "C) 13.08", |
| "D) 19.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-12-05? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-28.)\n\nA) 17.09\nB) 26.79\nC) 23.56\nD) 7.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.09", |
| "B) 26.79", |
| "C) 23.56", |
| "D) 7.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-12-12? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-05.)\n\nA) 8.09\nB) 17.87\nC) 27.65\nD) 14.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.09", |
| "B) 17.87", |
| "C) 27.65", |
| "D) 14.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20031219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2003-12-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-12.)\n\nA) 13.95\nB) 20.51\nC) 17.23\nD) 7.38", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.95", |
| "B) 20.51", |
| "C) 17.23", |
| "D) 7.38" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2002-12-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-01-03? (Use only information available on or before 2002-12-27.)\n\nA) -1.22%\nB) 10.71%\nC) -3.61%\nD) 3.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.22%", |
| "B) 10.71%", |
| "C) -3.61%", |
| "D) 3.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-01-10? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-03.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) -5.33%\nC) -2.93%\nD) -0.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) -5.33%", |
| "C) -2.93%", |
| "D) -0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030117", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-01-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-01-17? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-10.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) -4.83%\nC) -0.03%\nD) -12.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.37%", |
| "B) -4.83%", |
| "C) -0.03%", |
| "D) -12.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-01-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-02-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-31.)\n\nA) -11.52%\nB) 2.95%\nC) -4.28%\nD) -1.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.52%", |
| "B) 2.95%", |
| "C) -4.28%", |
| "D) -1.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030214", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-02-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-07.)\n\nA) -1.50%\nB) -6.30%\nC) 8.12%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.50%", |
| "B) -6.30%", |
| "C) 8.12%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030221", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-02-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-02-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-14.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 7.62%\nD) -4.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 5.21%", |
| "C) 7.62%", |
| "D) -4.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-02-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-03-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-02-28.)\n\nA) -7.71%\nB) -0.48%\nC) 1.93%\nD) -2.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.71%", |
| "B) -0.48%", |
| "C) 1.93%", |
| "D) -2.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030314", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-03-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-07.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 7.49%\nC) 5.11%\nD) 0.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 7.49%", |
| "C) 5.11%", |
| "D) 0.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030321", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-03-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-03-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-14.)\n\nA) 7.20%\nB) -4.82%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 2.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.20%", |
| "B) -4.82%", |
| "C) 4.80%", |
| "D) 2.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030404", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-03-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-04-04? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-28.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) -3.31%\nC) 6.44%\nD) -5.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) -3.31%", |
| "C) 6.44%", |
| "D) -5.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030411", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-04-11? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-04.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) -2.57%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 2.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.14%", |
| "B) -2.57%", |
| "C) 4.74%", |
| "D) 2.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-04-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-04-18? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-11.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 5.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.68%", |
| "B) 0.38%", |
| "C) 2.81%", |
| "D) 5.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030502", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-04-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-05-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-04-25.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 9.96%\nC) -4.67%\nD) 2.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.09%", |
| "B) 9.96%", |
| "C) -4.67%", |
| "D) 2.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030509", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-05-09? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-02.)\n\nA) 1.16%\nB) -3.71%\nC) -6.14%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.16%", |
| "B) -3.71%", |
| "C) -6.14%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030516", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-05-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-05-16? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-09.)\n\nA) -7.77%\nB) -0.65%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 6.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.77%", |
| "B) -0.65%", |
| "C) 1.72%", |
| "D) 6.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030606", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-05-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-06-06? (Use only information available on or before 2003-05-30.)\n\nA) -2.23%\nB) -4.57%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 4.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.23%", |
| "B) -4.57%", |
| "C) 2.44%", |
| "D) 4.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030613", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-06-13? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.67%\nB) -2.98%\nC) -0.65%\nD) 1.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.67%", |
| "B) -2.98%", |
| "C) -0.65%", |
| "D) 1.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030620", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-06-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-06-20? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-13.)\n\nA) -1.73%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 2.92%\nD) -8.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.73%", |
| "B) 5.25%", |
| "C) 2.92%", |
| "D) -8.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030704", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-06-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-07-04? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-27.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 7.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 2.44%", |
| "C) 0.13%", |
| "D) 7.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030711", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-07-11? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-04.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) -3.63%\nC) 0.94%\nD) -5.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.23%", |
| "B) -3.63%", |
| "C) 0.94%", |
| "D) -5.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030718", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-07-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-07-18? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-11.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) -8.74%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -1.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) -8.74%", |
| "C) 0.32%", |
| "D) -1.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-07-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-08-01? (Use only information available on or before 2003-07-25.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -5.94%\nC) -8.15%\nD) 0.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.53%", |
| "B) -5.94%", |
| "C) -8.15%", |
| "D) 0.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030808", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-08-08? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.62%\nB) -4.78%\nC) -9.11%\nD) 1.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.62%", |
| "B) -4.78%", |
| "C) -9.11%", |
| "D) 1.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030815", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 2.23%\nD) -4.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.47%", |
| "B) 4.35%", |
| "C) 2.23%", |
| "D) -4.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030905", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-08-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-09-05? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-29.)\n\nA) 2.54%\nB) -5.61%\nC) -1.54%\nD) 0.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.54%", |
| "B) -5.61%", |
| "C) -1.54%", |
| "D) 0.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-09-12? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-05.)\n\nA) -1.78%\nB) -7.81%\nC) 4.25%\nD) -3.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.78%", |
| "B) -7.81%", |
| "C) 4.25%", |
| "D) -3.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20030919", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-09-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-09-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-12.)\n\nA) -2.62%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 9.36%\nD) 7.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.62%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 9.36%", |
| "D) 7.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-09-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-10-03? (Use only information available on or before 2003-09-26.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) -2.27%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 5.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.69%", |
| "B) -2.27%", |
| "C) 3.67%", |
| "D) 5.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-10-10? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-03.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) -4.88%\nC) 6.96%\nD) 1.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) -4.88%", |
| "C) 6.96%", |
| "D) 1.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031017", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-10-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-10-17? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-10.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -6.48%\nC) 1.35%\nD) -4.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.61%", |
| "B) -6.48%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) -4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-10-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-11-07? (Use only information available on or before 2003-10-31.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) -0.02%\nC) 1.85%\nD) -3.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.58%", |
| "B) -0.02%", |
| "C) 1.85%", |
| "D) -3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-11-14? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-07.)\n\nA) -4.20%\nB) 5.09%\nC) -0.49%\nD) -6.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.20%", |
| "B) 5.09%", |
| "C) -0.49%", |
| "D) -6.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-11-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-11-21? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-14.)\n\nA) -3.57%\nB) 5.64%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 0.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.57%", |
| "B) 5.64%", |
| "C) 3.80%", |
| "D) 0.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-11-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-12-05? (Use only information available on or before 2003-11-28.)\n\nA) -2.73%\nB) 0.88%\nC) -0.92%\nD) -8.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.73%", |
| "B) 0.88%", |
| "C) -0.92%", |
| "D) -8.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-12-12? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-05.)\n\nA) -3.58%\nB) 0.00%\nC) -1.79%\nD) 1.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.58%", |
| "B) 0.00%", |
| "C) -1.79%", |
| "D) 1.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20031219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2003-12-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2003-12-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2003-12-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-12.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 7.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.28%", |
| "B) 3.49%", |
| "C) 1.71%", |
| "D) 7.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2003 |
| } |
| ] |
