pre_test / mcq_2007.json
lfqian's picture
Add per-year unpredictable-event floor (FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/VIX/NASDAQ): 10,014 -> 12,838 q; every year 25-51% unpredictable
a63e93b verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 4.83%",
"options": [
"A) 6.67%",
"B) 6.06%",
"C) 4.22%",
"D) 4.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) +4.60pp\nB) -8.08pp\nC) +13.06pp\nD) -3.86pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.60pp",
"B) -8.08pp",
"C) +13.06pp",
"D) -3.86pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) +2.22pp\nB) +0.35pp\nC) +1.60pp\nD) -0.27pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.22pp",
"B) +0.35pp",
"C) +1.60pp",
"D) -0.27pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.35pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 2.32%",
"options": [
"A) 1.86%",
"B) 2.55%",
"C) 2.09%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,675B\nB) $6,445B\nC) $7,824B\nD) $7,134B",
"options": [
"A) $6,675B",
"B) $6,445B",
"C) $7,824B",
"D) $7,134B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$7,134B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.21%\nB) 6.73%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 6.56%",
"options": [
"A) 6.21%",
"B) 6.73%",
"C) 6.04%",
"D) 6.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.84%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 6.02%",
"options": [
"A) 2.84%",
"B) 4.75%",
"C) 4.11%",
"D) 6.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.4944\nB) 1.5920\nC) 1.3479\nD) 1.2014",
"options": [
"A) 1.4944",
"B) 1.5920",
"C) 1.3479",
"D) 1.2014"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.3479",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.47pp\nB) -0.96pp\nC) +1.07pp\nD) +0.05pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.47pp",
"B) -0.96pp",
"C) +1.07pp",
"D) +0.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.05pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 5.17%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 4.03%",
"options": [
"A) 4.41%",
"B) 5.17%",
"C) 3.65%",
"D) 4.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.67%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 11.30%\nD) 3.40%",
"options": [
"A) 8.67%",
"B) 6.03%",
"C) 11.30%",
"D) 3.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.96%",
"options": [
"A) 1.80%",
"B) 2.50%",
"C) 2.27%",
"D) 2.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.39%",
"options": [
"A) 3.44%",
"B) 2.74%",
"C) 2.04%",
"D) 2.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -23.76%\nB) -8.18%\nC) -39.34%\nD) -47.13%",
"options": [
"A) -23.76%",
"B) -8.18%",
"C) -39.34%",
"D) -47.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-23.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 179.60\nB) 173.30\nC) 154.40\nD) 167.00",
"options": [
"A) 179.60",
"B) 173.30",
"C) 154.40",
"D) 167.00"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "173.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,789K\nB) 1,884K\nC) 1,598K\nD) 1,503K",
"options": [
"A) 1,789K",
"B) 1,884K",
"C) 1,598K",
"D) 1,503K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,598K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.28pp\nB) -0.52pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) -0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.28pp",
"B) -0.52pp",
"C) -0.03pp",
"D) -0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $10,413B\nB) $11,096B\nC) $10,071B\nD) $9,387B",
"options": [
"A) $10,413B",
"B) $11,096B",
"C) $10,071B",
"D) $9,387B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$10,413B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) -1.90%\nB) -2.91%\nC) -3.92%\nD) -3.59%",
"options": [
"A) -1.90%",
"B) -2.91%",
"C) -3.92%",
"D) -3.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 122.9008\nB) 116.0792\nC) 119.4900\nD) 109.2577",
"options": [
"A) 122.9008",
"B) 116.0792",
"C) 119.4900",
"D) 109.2577"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "119.4900",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,789K\nB) 1,394K\nC) 1,592K\nD) 1,493K",
"options": [
"A) 1,789K",
"B) 1,394K",
"C) 1,592K",
"D) 1,493K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,493K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) $71.30/bbl\nB) $63.24/bbl\nC) $47.12/bbl\nD) $79.36/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $71.30/bbl",
"B) $63.24/bbl",
"C) $47.12/bbl",
"D) $79.36/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$71.30/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 130,682K\nB) 137,560K\nC) 134,809K\nD) 140,311K",
"options": [
"A) 130,682K",
"B) 137,560K",
"C) 134,809K",
"D) 140,311K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "137,560K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) $8,055B\nB) $7,157B\nC) $8,504B\nD) $7,606B",
"options": [
"A) $8,055B",
"B) $7,157B",
"C) $8,504B",
"D) $7,606B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,504B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 196.19\nB) 212.26\nC) 188.16\nD) 204.23",
"options": [
"A) 196.19",
"B) 212.26",
"C) 188.16",
"D) 204.23"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "204.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $17.50/hr\nB) $16.45/hr\nC) $17.85/hr\nD) $18.20/hr",
"options": [
"A) $17.50/hr",
"B) $16.45/hr",
"C) $17.85/hr",
"D) $18.20/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$17.50/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 6.96%",
"options": [
"A) 7.14%",
"B) 6.62%",
"C) 6.45%",
"D) 6.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $-66,980M\nB) $-47,448M\nC) $-57,214M\nD) $-71,863M",
"options": [
"A) $-66,980M",
"B) $-47,448M",
"C) $-57,214M",
"D) $-71,863M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-57,214M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 10.28%\nB) 33.15%\nC) -35.46%\nD) -1.16%",
"options": [
"A) 10.28%",
"B) 33.15%",
"C) -35.46%",
"D) -1.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.4639\nB) 1.5989\nC) 1.2389\nD) 1.3739",
"options": [
"A) 1.4639",
"B) 1.5989",
"C) 1.2389",
"D) 1.3739"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.4639",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.66%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 68.29%",
"options": [
"A) 61.66%",
"B) 66.30%",
"C) 64.31%",
"D) 68.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 6.76%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 3.58%",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 6.76%",
"C) 5.17%",
"D) 3.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 77.40%\nB) 84.04%\nC) 75.19%\nD) 80.72%",
"options": [
"A) 77.40%",
"B) 84.04%",
"C) 75.19%",
"D) 80.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "80.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -2.63%\nC) -3.72%\nD) -2.27%",
"options": [
"A) -3.36%",
"B) -2.63%",
"C) -3.72%",
"D) -2.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 64.79%",
"options": [
"A) 59.75%",
"B) 62.90%",
"C) 61.01%",
"D) 64.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 3.54%",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 0.20%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 3.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 6.70%\nC) 6.50%\nD) 6.30%",
"options": [
"A) 5.70%",
"B) 6.70%",
"C) 6.50%",
"D) 6.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 6.59%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 6.42%",
"options": [
"A) 6.24%",
"B) 6.59%",
"C) 5.89%",
"D) 6.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 5.04%\nD) 0.74%",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 2.46%",
"C) 5.04%",
"D) 0.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.41%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.64%",
"options": [
"A) 1.41%",
"B) 5.29%",
"C) 3.35%",
"D) 4.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.74pp\nB) +21.89pp\nC) +17.66pp\nD) +9.20pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.74pp",
"B) +21.89pp",
"C) +17.66pp",
"D) +9.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+9.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 5.56%",
"options": [
"A) 4.70%",
"B) 3.84%",
"C) 5.28%",
"D) 5.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $10,323B\nB) $9,956B\nC) $9,222B\nD) $8,855B",
"options": [
"A) $10,323B",
"B) $9,956B",
"C) $9,222B",
"D) $8,855B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$9,956B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 98.24\nB) 106.96\nC) 101.73\nD) 110.45",
"options": [
"A) 98.24",
"B) 106.96",
"C) 101.73",
"D) 110.45"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "101.73",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 20.23\nB) 35.89\nC) 25.45\nD) 28.06",
"options": [
"A) 20.23",
"B) 35.89",
"C) 25.45",
"D) 28.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "28.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.22\nB) 20.85\nC) 13.76\nD) 17.31",
"options": [
"A) 10.22",
"B) 20.85",
"C) 13.76",
"D) 17.31"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "10.22",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,964B\nB) $9,686B\nC) $10,408B\nD) $9,325B",
"options": [
"A) $8,964B",
"B) $9,686B",
"C) $10,408B",
"D) $9,325B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$9,686B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.01%\nB) -8.97%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 5.91%",
"options": [
"A) -4.01%",
"B) -8.97%",
"C) -1.53%",
"D) 5.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 91.17\nC) 82.33\nD) 86.12",
"options": [
"A) 88.64",
"B) 91.17",
"C) 82.33",
"D) 86.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "86.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 5.40%",
"options": [
"A) 2.68%",
"B) 1.32%",
"C) 4.04%",
"D) 5.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 220.28\nB) 211.12\nC) 195.85\nD) 205.01",
"options": [
"A) 220.28",
"B) 211.12",
"C) 195.85",
"D) 205.01"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "211.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,882B\nB) $10,951B\nC) $10,595B\nD) $11,664B",
"options": [
"A) $9,882B",
"B) $10,951B",
"C) $10,595B",
"D) $11,664B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,595B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $17.80/hr\nB) $18.77/hr\nC) $16.19/hr\nD) $17.16/hr",
"options": [
"A) $17.80/hr",
"B) $18.77/hr",
"C) $16.19/hr",
"D) $17.16/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$17.16/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 85.58\nB) 91.60\nC) 88.59\nD) 81.07",
"options": [
"A) 85.58",
"B) 91.60",
"C) 88.59",
"D) 81.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "85.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 35.07%\nB) 0.04%\nC) -34.99%\nD) -23.31%",
"options": [
"A) 35.07%",
"B) 0.04%",
"C) -34.99%",
"D) -23.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $11,173B\nB) $10,115B\nC) $10,467B\nD) $11,525B",
"options": [
"A) $11,173B",
"B) $10,115B",
"C) $10,467B",
"D) $11,525B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,467B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 185.49\nB) 206.14\nC) 154.51\nD) 175.16",
"options": [
"A) 185.49",
"B) 206.14",
"C) 154.51",
"D) 175.16"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "175.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) +1.45pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) -0.09pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.42pp",
"B) +1.45pp",
"C) -1.12pp",
"D) -0.09pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.42pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 86.64\nB) 89.44\nC) 93.64\nD) 82.44",
"options": [
"A) 86.64",
"B) 89.44",
"C) 93.64",
"D) 82.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "89.44",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $830M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $830M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$830M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $17.26/hr\nB) $18.73/hr\nC) $16.89/hr\nD) $17.63/hr",
"options": [
"A) $17.26/hr",
"B) $18.73/hr",
"C) $16.89/hr",
"D) $17.63/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$17.63/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.5850\nB) 7.7921\nC) 7.3779\nD) 7.9992",
"options": [
"A) 7.5850",
"B) 7.7921",
"C) 7.3779",
"D) 7.9992"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.5850",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) -49.52%\nB) -30.16%\nC) -43.07%\nD) -23.70%",
"options": [
"A) -49.52%",
"B) -30.16%",
"C) -43.07%",
"D) -23.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-30.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 83.92%\nB) 24.65%\nC) 60.21%\nD) 36.50%",
"options": [
"A) 83.92%",
"B) 24.65%",
"C) 60.21%",
"D) 36.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "60.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.34%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 1.88%",
"C) 3.02%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 179.00\nB) 191.82\nC) 198.23\nD) 185.41",
"options": [
"A) 179.00",
"B) 191.82",
"C) 198.23",
"D) 185.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "179.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 2.87%",
"options": [
"A) 1.97%",
"B) 2.42%",
"C) 1.08%",
"D) 2.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -7.06%\nB) 2.54%\nC) -2.26%\nD) -4.66%",
"options": [
"A) -7.06%",
"B) 2.54%",
"C) -2.26%",
"D) -4.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 809K\nB) 938K\nC) 1,585K\nD) 1,197K",
"options": [
"A) 809K",
"B) 938K",
"C) 1,585K",
"D) 1,197K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,197K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.07pp\nC) -0.18pp\nD) -0.05pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.30pp",
"B) +0.07pp",
"C) -0.18pp",
"D) -0.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.81%\nB) 1.83%\nC) -1.99%\nD) -9.64%",
"options": [
"A) -5.81%",
"B) 1.83%",
"C) -1.99%",
"D) -9.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 5.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.70%",
"B) 4.85%",
"C) 5.00%",
"D) 5.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.86%",
"B) 5.37%",
"C) 3.61%",
"D) 4.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 4.15%",
"options": [
"A) 2.98%",
"B) 1.22%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 4.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $18.33/hr\nB) $17.34/hr\nC) $15.68/hr\nD) $16.35/hr",
"options": [
"A) $18.33/hr",
"B) $17.34/hr",
"C) $15.68/hr",
"D) $16.35/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$17.34/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) -21.43%\nB) 35.20%\nC) 12.55%\nD) -10.11%",
"options": [
"A) -21.43%",
"B) 35.20%",
"C) 12.55%",
"D) -10.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) +2.34pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -0.19pp\nD) +0.82pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.34pp",
"B) -0.70pp",
"C) -0.19pp",
"D) +0.82pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.82pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 85.41\nB) 89.03\nC) 81.79\nD) 91.44",
"options": [
"A) 85.41",
"B) 89.03",
"C) 81.79",
"D) 91.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "85.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.13pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) +1.36pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.37pp",
"B) -0.13pp",
"C) -1.12pp",
"D) +1.36pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.13pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) 273,524\nB) 370,984\nC) 332,000\nD) 351,492",
"options": [
"A) 273,524",
"B) 370,984",
"C) 332,000",
"D) 351,492"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "332,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.65%\nC) -0.46%\nD) 1.61%",
"options": [
"A) 0.57%",
"B) 2.65%",
"C) -0.46%",
"D) 1.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.37pp\nC) +0.54pp\nD) +0.03pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.20pp",
"B) +0.37pp",
"C) +0.54pp",
"D) +0.03pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,100.94\nB) 2,618.51\nC) 2,963.56\nD) 2,445.99",
"options": [
"A) 2,100.94",
"B) 2,618.51",
"C) 2,963.56",
"D) 2,445.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,618.51",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.20pp",
"B) -0.80pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 1.90%",
"options": [
"A) 0.59%",
"B) 2.55%",
"C) 3.86%",
"D) 1.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.75%\nB) 6.29%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 5.06%",
"options": [
"A) 8.75%",
"B) 6.29%",
"C) 12.43%",
"D) 5.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "8.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.52\nB) 83.40\nC) 89.17\nD) 74.75",
"options": [
"A) 80.52",
"B) 83.40",
"C) 89.17",
"D) 74.75"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "83.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $834M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $834M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$834M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) +0.63pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.32pp",
"B) -0.61pp",
"C) +0.63pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) -3.29%\nC) 4.46%\nD) -5.23%",
"options": [
"A) -1.35%",
"B) -3.29%",
"C) 4.46%",
"D) -5.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) $81.20/bbl\nB) $57.92/bbl\nC) $34.64/bbl\nD) $50.16/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $81.20/bbl",
"B) $57.92/bbl",
"C) $34.64/bbl",
"D) $50.16/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$57.92/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 4.43%",
"options": [
"A) 5.89%",
"B) 5.41%",
"C) 4.92%",
"D) 4.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 202.32\nB) 206.58\nC) 219.35\nD) 210.83",
"options": [
"A) 202.32",
"B) 206.58",
"C) 219.35",
"D) 210.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "210.83",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.67%",
"options": [
"A) 1.98%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 1.51%",
"D) 1.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 4.77%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 6.62%",
"options": [
"A) 2.92%",
"B) 4.77%",
"C) 6.00%",
"D) 6.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 64.02%",
"options": [
"A) 69.96%",
"B) 67.98%",
"C) 66.00%",
"D) 64.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 198.64\nB) 222.98\nC) 214.87\nD) 206.75",
"options": [
"A) 198.64",
"B) 222.98",
"C) 214.87",
"D) 206.75"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "206.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 8.38%",
"options": [
"A) 6.47%",
"B) 5.20%",
"C) 5.84%",
"D) 8.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $72,591M\nB) $63,735M\nC) $60,783M\nD) $57,831M",
"options": [
"A) $72,591M",
"B) $63,735M",
"C) $60,783M",
"D) $57,831M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$63,735M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 6.42%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 7.05%",
"options": [
"A) 5.79%",
"B) 6.42%",
"C) 5.17%",
"D) 7.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 65.20%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 66.47%\nD) 63.30%",
"options": [
"A) 65.20%",
"B) 61.40%",
"C) 66.47%",
"D) 63.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "63.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) $54.25/bbl\nB) $77.88/bbl\nC) $62.13/bbl\nD) $30.62/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $54.25/bbl",
"B) $77.88/bbl",
"C) $62.13/bbl",
"D) $30.62/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$54.25/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) $9,272B\nB) $7,981B\nC) $7,120B\nD) $8,411B",
"options": [
"A) $9,272B",
"B) $7,981B",
"C) $7,120B",
"D) $8,411B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$7,981B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $75,499M\nB) $60,109M\nC) $66,265M\nD) $57,031M",
"options": [
"A) $75,499M",
"B) $60,109M",
"C) $66,265M",
"D) $57,031M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$66,265M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 89.33\nB) 84.16\nC) 80.29\nD) 86.75",
"options": [
"A) 89.33",
"B) 84.16",
"C) 80.29",
"D) 86.75"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "86.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) $7,930B\nB) $8,766B\nC) $6,676B\nD) $8,348B",
"options": [
"A) $7,930B",
"B) $8,766B",
"C) $6,676B",
"D) $8,348B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$7,930B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 133,856K\nB) 138,013K\nC) 131,085K\nD) 140,784K",
"options": [
"A) 133,856K",
"B) 138,013K",
"C) 131,085K",
"D) 140,784K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "138,013K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 0.97%\nD) -0.43%",
"options": [
"A) 0.03%",
"B) 1.43%",
"C) 0.97%",
"D) -0.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.22%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 4.88%",
"options": [
"A) 5.22%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 5.05%",
"D) 4.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $-60,682M\nB) $-65,146M\nC) $-51,754M\nD) $-47,291M",
"options": [
"A) $-60,682M",
"B) $-65,146M",
"C) $-51,754M",
"D) $-47,291M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-60,682M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 4.00%\nD) -1.32%",
"options": [
"A) 5.07%",
"B) 1.88%",
"C) 4.00%",
"D) -1.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 89.83\nB) 92.67\nC) 94.56\nD) 97.39",
"options": [
"A) 89.83",
"B) 92.67",
"C) 94.56",
"D) 97.39"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "94.56",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 4.69%",
"options": [
"A) 4.09%",
"B) 5.09%",
"C) 4.49%",
"D) 4.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 138,290K\nB) 135,427K\nC) 142,585K\nD) 132,563K",
"options": [
"A) 138,290K",
"B) 135,427K",
"C) 142,585K",
"D) 132,563K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "138,290K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 89.95%\nB) 55.99%\nC) 33.36%\nD) 78.63%",
"options": [
"A) 89.95%",
"B) 55.99%",
"C) 33.36%",
"D) 78.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "55.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.37%",
"options": [
"A) 4.62%",
"B) 4.44%",
"C) 4.81%",
"D) 5.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 3.71%",
"options": [
"A) 3.34%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 2.60%",
"D) 3.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 166.80\nB) 173.11\nC) 179.43\nD) 147.86",
"options": [
"A) 166.80",
"B) 173.11",
"C) 179.43",
"D) 147.86"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "166.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $344,834M\nB) $370,776M\nC) $396,718M\nD) $383,747M",
"options": [
"A) $344,834M",
"B) $370,776M",
"C) $396,718M",
"D) $383,747M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$370,776M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 14.46%\nC) 12.01%\nD) 7.11%",
"options": [
"A) 4.66%",
"B) 14.46%",
"C) 12.01%",
"D) 7.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.16pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) +1.14pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.16pp",
"B) +0.63pp",
"C) -0.39pp",
"D) +1.14pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.14pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) $93.37/bbl\nB) $117.57/bbl\nC) $85.30/bbl\nD) $109.51/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $93.37/bbl",
"B) $117.57/bbl",
"C) $85.30/bbl",
"D) $109.51/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$93.37/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 4.68%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 3.94%",
"options": [
"A) 5.42%",
"B) 4.68%",
"C) 5.78%",
"D) 3.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.79%\nB) -19.50%\nC) -25.36%\nD) -37.08%",
"options": [
"A) -7.79%",
"B) -19.50%",
"C) -25.36%",
"D) -37.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-25.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 5.99%\nC) -0.10%\nD) 2.94%",
"options": [
"A) 3.96%",
"B) 5.99%",
"C) -0.10%",
"D) 2.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $7,255B\nB) $7,946B\nC) $6,793B\nD) $7,716B",
"options": [
"A) $7,255B",
"B) $7,946B",
"C) $6,793B",
"D) $7,716B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$7,255B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.00pp\nD) -0.99pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.19pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.00pp",
"D) -0.99pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 83.61\nB) 80.49\nC) 86.72\nD) 89.83",
"options": [
"A) 83.61",
"B) 80.49",
"C) 86.72",
"D) 89.83"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "86.72",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,213K\nB) 1,516K\nC) 1,314K\nD) 1,415K",
"options": [
"A) 1,213K",
"B) 1,516K",
"C) 1,314K",
"D) 1,415K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,415K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) -7.12pp\nC) +5.66pp\nD) +14.17pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.40pp",
"B) -7.12pp",
"C) +5.66pp",
"D) +14.17pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+1.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.83pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +0.63pp\nD) -0.34pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.83pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) +0.63pp",
"D) -0.34pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $59,330M\nB) $56,262M\nC) $65,466M\nD) $68,534M",
"options": [
"A) $59,330M",
"B) $56,262M",
"C) $65,466M",
"D) $68,534M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$65,466M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.86%\nB) 0.88%\nC) -7.36%\nD) -4.61%",
"options": [
"A) -1.86%",
"B) 0.88%",
"C) -7.36%",
"D) -4.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.37%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 3.78%",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 4.37%",
"C) 4.56%",
"D) 3.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $201,063M\nB) $220,962M\nC) $250,810M\nD) $240,861M",
"options": [
"A) $201,063M",
"B) $220,962M",
"C) $250,810M",
"D) $240,861M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$220,962M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 220.21\nB) 216.03\nC) 207.67\nD) 195.13",
"options": [
"A) 220.21",
"B) 216.03",
"C) 207.67",
"D) 195.13"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "207.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 146,272K\nB) 142,132K\nC) 133,852K\nD) 137,992K",
"options": [
"A) 146,272K",
"B) 142,132K",
"C) 133,852K",
"D) 137,992K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "137,992K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) 2,609,000\nB) 2,816,596\nC) 3,024,193\nD) 3,231,789",
"options": [
"A) 2,609,000",
"B) 2,816,596",
"C) 3,024,193",
"D) 3,231,789"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,609,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.5219\nB) 7.7545\nC) 8.2973\nD) 7.9871",
"options": [
"A) 7.5219",
"B) 7.7545",
"C) 8.2973",
"D) 7.9871"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.7545",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 7.69%\nC) 5.92%\nD) 7.10%",
"options": [
"A) 5.33%",
"B) 7.69%",
"C) 5.92%",
"D) 7.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,494K\nB) 819K\nC) 1,089K\nD) 1,224K",
"options": [
"A) 1,494K",
"B) 819K",
"C) 1,089K",
"D) 1,224K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,224K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) $8,202B\nB) $8,639B\nC) $7,327B\nD) $9,077B",
"options": [
"A) $8,202B",
"B) $8,639B",
"C) $7,327B",
"D) $9,077B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$8,202B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 92.48\nB) 94.50\nC) 98.55\nD) 96.52",
"options": [
"A) 92.48",
"B) 94.50",
"C) 98.55",
"D) 96.52"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,902,328\nB) 2,991,781\nC) 2,556,000\nD) 2,338,109",
"options": [
"A) 1,902,328",
"B) 2,991,781",
"C) 2,556,000",
"D) 2,338,109"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,556,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $376,147M\nB) $389,209M\nC) $402,271M\nD) $363,085M",
"options": [
"A) $376,147M",
"B) $389,209M",
"C) $402,271M",
"D) $363,085M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$363,085M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,330K\nB) 1,669K\nC) 1,443K\nD) 1,556K",
"options": [
"A) 1,330K",
"B) 1,669K",
"C) 1,443K",
"D) 1,556K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,330K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,767K\nB) 1,480K\nC) 1,193K\nD) 1,672K",
"options": [
"A) 1,767K",
"B) 1,480K",
"C) 1,193K",
"D) 1,672K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,480K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.4363\nB) 7.9513\nC) 7.6938\nD) 8.1229",
"options": [
"A) 7.4363",
"B) 7.9513",
"C) 7.6938",
"D) 8.1229"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.6938",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) 6.87%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.95%",
"options": [
"A) 3.04%",
"B) 6.87%",
"C) 4.32%",
"D) 4.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) -13.48%\nB) -48.47%\nC) 21.51%\nD) -36.81%",
"options": [
"A) -13.48%",
"B) -48.47%",
"C) 21.51%",
"D) -36.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-13.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.76%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 10.99%",
"options": [
"A) 7.76%",
"B) 1.29%",
"C) 4.53%",
"D) 10.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 170.80\nB) 205.80\nC) 182.47\nD) 194.13",
"options": [
"A) 170.80",
"B) 205.80",
"C) 182.47",
"D) 194.13"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "182.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.4673\nB) 1.2533\nC) 1.5208\nD) 1.3603",
"options": [
"A) 1.4673",
"B) 1.2533",
"C) 1.5208",
"D) 1.3603"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3603",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.62%\nB) 7.03%\nC) 7.74%\nD) 6.33%",
"options": [
"A) 5.62%",
"B) 7.03%",
"C) 7.74%",
"D) 6.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 1.11%\nD) 4.04%",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 2.58%",
"C) 1.11%",
"D) 4.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 5.30%",
"options": [
"A) 4.91%",
"B) 4.12%",
"C) 4.71%",
"D) 5.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 204.20\nB) 218.85\nC) 198.33\nD) 210.06",
"options": [
"A) 204.20",
"B) 218.85",
"C) 198.33",
"D) 210.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "210.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) $63.16/bbl\nB) $85.94/bbl\nC) $55.57/bbl\nD) $70.75/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $63.16/bbl",
"B) $85.94/bbl",
"C) $55.57/bbl",
"D) $70.75/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$63.16/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -40.69%\nB) -21.63%\nC) -8.92%\nD) -15.27%",
"options": [
"A) -40.69%",
"B) -21.63%",
"C) -8.92%",
"D) -15.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-21.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 7.38%\nC) 6.78%\nD) 7.98%",
"options": [
"A) 5.58%",
"B) 7.38%",
"C) 6.78%",
"D) 7.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 7.1810\nB) 6.8150\nC) 7.6690\nD) 7.4250",
"options": [
"A) 7.1810",
"B) 6.8150",
"C) 7.6690",
"D) 7.4250"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.4250",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 2.22%",
"options": [
"A) 3.21%",
"B) 3.70%",
"C) 1.73%",
"D) 2.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 6.79%\nD) 5.64%",
"options": [
"A) 3.91%",
"B) 5.06%",
"C) 6.79%",
"D) 5.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 69.96%",
"options": [
"A) 67.98%",
"B) 64.02%",
"C) 66.00%",
"D) 69.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.46%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.13%",
"options": [
"A) 4.46%",
"B) 3.12%",
"C) 3.79%",
"D) 4.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.50%\nD) 3.44%",
"options": [
"A) 4.14%",
"B) 5.20%",
"C) 4.50%",
"D) 3.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,637.79\nB) 2,458.83\nC) 2,279.87\nD) 2,816.74",
"options": [
"A) 2,637.79",
"B) 2,458.83",
"C) 2,279.87",
"D) 2,816.74"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,458.83",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,593B\nB) $10,938B\nC) $10,266B\nD) $11,274B",
"options": [
"A) $9,593B",
"B) $10,938B",
"C) $10,266B",
"D) $11,274B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,266B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 94.24\nB) 100.07\nC) 91.33\nD) 97.16",
"options": [
"A) 94.24",
"B) 100.07",
"C) 91.33",
"D) 97.16"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 3.38%",
"options": [
"A) 4.21%",
"B) 5.04%",
"C) 2.56%",
"D) 3.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,550K\nB) 1,321K\nC) 1,436K\nD) 977K",
"options": [
"A) 1,550K",
"B) 1,321K",
"C) 1,436K",
"D) 977K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,321K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.44%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 0.98%\nD) -4.00%",
"options": [
"A) 8.44%",
"B) 3.46%",
"C) 0.98%",
"D) -4.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,931,502\nB) 2,857,499\nC) 2,394,501\nD) 2,626,000",
"options": [
"A) 1,931,502",
"B) 2,857,499",
"C) 2,394,501",
"D) 2,626,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,626,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.81%\nB) 83.85%\nC) 75.75%\nD) 78.78%",
"options": [
"A) 80.81%",
"B) 83.85%",
"C) 75.75%",
"D) 78.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "80.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $246,460M\nB) $235,758M\nC) $257,163M\nD) $214,353M",
"options": [
"A) $246,460M",
"B) $235,758M",
"C) $257,163M",
"D) $214,353M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$235,758M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 0.65%",
"options": [
"A) 3.79%",
"B) -0.40%",
"C) 2.74%",
"D) 0.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.60%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.97%",
"options": [
"A) 7.60%",
"B) 12.33%",
"C) 10.76%",
"D) 9.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 2.64%",
"options": [
"A) 2.34%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 2.79%",
"D) 2.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 64.48%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 67.12%\nD) 62.51%",
"options": [
"A) 64.48%",
"B) 65.80%",
"C) 67.12%",
"D) 62.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "65.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 4.60%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 3.78%",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 4.60%",
"C) 2.14%",
"D) 3.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.21%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 2.80%",
"options": [
"A) 3.50%",
"B) 4.21%",
"C) 0.69%",
"D) 2.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.39%\nB) -4.39%\nC) 3.11%\nD) -26.89%",
"options": [
"A) -19.39%",
"B) -4.39%",
"C) 3.11%",
"D) -26.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-19.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) -4.00%\nB) -3.45%\nC) -2.91%\nD) -1.82%",
"options": [
"A) -4.00%",
"B) -3.45%",
"C) -2.91%",
"D) -1.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 97.07\nB) 82.46\nC) 88.30\nD) 91.22",
"options": [
"A) 97.07",
"B) 82.46",
"C) 88.30",
"D) 91.22"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "88.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.12%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 0.83%\nD) 3.30%",
"options": [
"A) 4.12%",
"B) 1.65%",
"C) 0.83%",
"D) 3.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 102.34\nB) 106.09\nC) 92.97\nD) 98.60",
"options": [
"A) 102.34",
"B) 106.09",
"C) 92.97",
"D) 98.60"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 37.12%\nB) 7.73%\nC) 17.53%\nD) -2.07%",
"options": [
"A) 37.12%",
"B) 7.73%",
"C) 17.53%",
"D) -2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $208,469M\nB) $218,653M\nC) $228,836M\nD) $239,019M",
"options": [
"A) $208,469M",
"B) $218,653M",
"C) $228,836M",
"D) $239,019M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$228,836M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,662.87\nB) 2,994.41\nC) 1,999.79\nD) 2,497.10",
"options": [
"A) 2,662.87",
"B) 2,994.41",
"C) 1,999.79",
"D) 2,497.10"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,497.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) $73.36/bbl\nB) $96.20/bbl\nC) $65.75/bbl\nD) $88.59/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $73.36/bbl",
"B) $96.20/bbl",
"C) $65.75/bbl",
"D) $88.59/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$73.36/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) 256,972\nB) 321,000\nC) 299,657\nD) 278,314",
"options": [
"A) 256,972",
"B) 321,000",
"C) 299,657",
"D) 278,314"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "321,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 8.09%\nC) 9.00%\nD) 9.90%",
"options": [
"A) 6.27%",
"B) 8.09%",
"C) 9.00%",
"D) 9.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 200.54\nB) 223.46\nC) 217.73\nD) 209.13",
"options": [
"A) 200.54",
"B) 223.46",
"C) 217.73",
"D) 209.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "209.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 7.19%\nC) 5.11%\nD) 3.03%",
"options": [
"A) 4.07%",
"B) 7.19%",
"C) 5.11%",
"D) 3.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,162B\nB) $7,454B\nC) $7,218B\nD) $6,745B",
"options": [
"A) $8,162B",
"B) $7,454B",
"C) $7,218B",
"D) $6,745B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$7,454B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 88.17\nB) 90.62\nC) 85.72\nD) 82.04",
"options": [
"A) 88.17",
"B) 90.62",
"C) 85.72",
"D) 82.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "85.72",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.70%",
"options": [
"A) 4.48%",
"B) 5.35%",
"C) 4.27%",
"D) 4.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) -7.79%\nB) -9.69%\nC) -5.89%\nD) -10.64%",
"options": [
"A) -7.79%",
"B) -9.69%",
"C) -5.89%",
"D) -10.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-7.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.49pp\nD) +0.09pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.29pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) -0.49pp",
"D) +0.09pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 169.35\nB) 147.57\nC) 180.23\nD) 158.46",
"options": [
"A) 169.35",
"B) 147.57",
"C) 180.23",
"D) 158.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "180.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 93.93\nB) 90.90\nC) 83.31\nD) 86.35",
"options": [
"A) 93.93",
"B) 90.90",
"C) 83.31",
"D) 86.35"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "86.35",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.39%\nB) -12.80%\nC) -1.21%\nD) 45.16%",
"options": [
"A) 10.39%",
"B) -12.80%",
"C) -1.21%",
"D) 45.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "10.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.18%\nD) -0.40%",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 0.18%",
"D) -0.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $-43,557M\nB) $-70,249M\nC) $-59,572M\nD) $-64,910M",
"options": [
"A) $-43,557M",
"B) $-70,249M",
"C) $-59,572M",
"D) $-64,910M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-59,572M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 3.83%",
"options": [
"A) 3.43%",
"B) 4.22%",
"C) 4.62%",
"D) 3.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.48pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.76pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.20pp",
"B) -0.48pp",
"C) -1.03pp",
"D) -0.76pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 92.53\nB) 87.78\nC) 84.62\nD) 81.45",
"options": [
"A) 92.53",
"B) 87.78",
"C) 84.62",
"D) 81.45"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "87.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $826M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $826M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$826M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.04pp\nB) -28.96pp\nC) -24.64pp\nD) -16.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.04pp",
"B) -28.96pp",
"C) -24.64pp",
"D) -16.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-16.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.36%",
"options": [
"A) 3.60%",
"B) 3.85%",
"C) 3.34%",
"D) 4.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) 300,629\nB) 321,000\nC) 280,257\nD) 361,743",
"options": [
"A) 300,629",
"B) 321,000",
"C) 280,257",
"D) 361,743"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "321,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.43%\nB) 5.63%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 3.23%",
"options": [
"A) 6.43%",
"B) 5.63%",
"C) 4.83%",
"D) 3.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 2.35%",
"options": [
"A) 1.40%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 2.03%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) $90.32/bbl\nB) $107.19/bbl\nC) $81.88/bbl\nD) $73.45/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $90.32/bbl",
"B) $107.19/bbl",
"C) $81.88/bbl",
"D) $73.45/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$90.32/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 7.67%",
"options": [
"A) 3.64%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 6.06%",
"D) 7.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 0.90%\nD) 0.48%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 0.07%",
"C) 0.90%",
"D) 0.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $820M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $820M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$820M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $9,799B\nB) $10,530B\nC) $9,068B\nD) $10,164B",
"options": [
"A) $9,799B",
"B) $10,530B",
"C) $9,068B",
"D) $10,164B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$9,799B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 2.28%",
"options": [
"A) 1.12%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 2.67%",
"D) 2.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 100.14\nB) 82.46\nC) 91.30\nD) 94.25",
"options": [
"A) 100.14",
"B) 82.46",
"C) 91.30",
"D) 94.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "91.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) -2.33%\nB) 29.42%\nC) -12.92%\nD) 18.84%",
"options": [
"A) -2.33%",
"B) 29.42%",
"C) -12.92%",
"D) 18.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -27.14%\nB) -6.28%\nC) -41.04%\nD) -34.09%",
"options": [
"A) -27.14%",
"B) -6.28%",
"C) -41.04%",
"D) -34.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-27.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 3.56%",
"options": [
"A) 2.28%",
"B) 2.71%",
"C) 3.99%",
"D) 3.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) 5.17%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 3.74%",
"options": [
"A) 4.89%",
"B) 5.17%",
"C) 4.60%",
"D) 3.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.89%\nB) 66.15%\nC) 61.11%\nD) 63.00%",
"options": [
"A) 64.89%",
"B) 66.15%",
"C) 61.11%",
"D) 63.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "63.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) $66.74/bbl\nB) $74.59/bbl\nC) $58.89/bbl\nD) $82.44/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $66.74/bbl",
"B) $74.59/bbl",
"C) $58.89/bbl",
"D) $82.44/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66.74/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 105.54\nB) 101.86\nC) 98.19\nD) 111.05",
"options": [
"A) 105.54",
"B) 101.86",
"C) 98.19",
"D) 111.05"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "101.86",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 9.35%\nC) 10.62%\nD) 14.43%",
"options": [
"A) 8.08%",
"B) 9.35%",
"C) 10.62%",
"D) 14.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.04%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 5.30%",
"options": [
"A) 8.04%",
"B) 2.56%",
"C) 7.13%",
"D) 5.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $356,545M\nB) $343,551M\nC) $369,539M\nD) $330,556M",
"options": [
"A) $356,545M",
"B) $343,551M",
"C) $369,539M",
"D) $330,556M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$356,545M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.70%",
"options": [
"A) 4.23%",
"B) 4.50%",
"C) 5.30%",
"D) 3.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 3.24%",
"options": [
"A) 3.62%",
"B) 5.50%",
"C) 4.37%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.41\nB) 37.18\nC) 20.90\nD) 30.67",
"options": [
"A) 27.41",
"B) 37.18",
"C) 20.90",
"D) 30.67"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) $64,975M\nB) $61,966M\nC) $70,994M\nD) $67,984M",
"options": [
"A) $64,975M",
"B) $61,966M",
"C) $70,994M",
"D) $67,984M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$64,975M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 13.51%\nB) -9.66%\nC) 25.10%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 13.51%",
"B) -9.66%",
"C) 25.10%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-9.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) -7.89%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 3.37%",
"options": [
"A) 9.00%",
"B) -7.89%",
"C) 0.56%",
"D) 3.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.03%\nB) -2.85%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 3.09%",
"options": [
"A) 9.03%",
"B) -2.85%",
"C) 5.07%",
"D) 3.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 6.80%",
"options": [
"A) 5.26%",
"B) 6.03%",
"C) 4.49%",
"D) 6.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.41%",
"options": [
"A) 2.24%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) -4.68%\nC) 0.53%\nD) -2.94%",
"options": [
"A) 2.27%",
"B) -4.68%",
"C) 0.53%",
"D) -2.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 1.87%",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 1.61%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 1.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.22pp\nC) +0.27pp\nD) +0.15pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.10pp",
"B) -0.22pp",
"C) +0.27pp",
"D) +0.15pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.52pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +0.84pp\nD) -0.24pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.52pp",
"B) +0.30pp",
"C) +0.84pp",
"D) -0.24pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 4.95%",
"options": [
"A) 3.85%",
"B) 5.23%",
"C) 4.40%",
"D) 4.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.54%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 2.93%",
"options": [
"A) 5.54%",
"B) 8.15%",
"C) 0.32%",
"D) 2.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) -2.24pp\nC) -1.45pp\nD) +2.46pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.11pp",
"B) -2.24pp",
"C) -1.45pp",
"D) +2.46pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.11pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,013,412\nB) 2,465,000\nC) 2,239,206\nD) 1,787,619",
"options": [
"A) 2,013,412",
"B) 2,465,000",
"C) 2,239,206",
"D) 1,787,619"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,465,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.10%",
"options": [
"A) 4.39%",
"B) 4.69%",
"C) 4.54%",
"D) 4.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 7.44%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 5.17%",
"options": [
"A) 3.66%",
"B) 7.44%",
"C) 5.93%",
"D) 5.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 65.84%\nD) 60.82%",
"options": [
"A) 62.70%",
"B) 64.58%",
"C) 65.84%",
"D) 60.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 76.10\nC) 67.34\nD) 79.02",
"options": [
"A) 70.26",
"B) 76.10",
"C) 67.34",
"D) 79.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "76.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 7.60%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 6.74%",
"options": [
"A) 4.16%",
"B) 7.60%",
"C) 5.02%",
"D) 6.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.90%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 2.39%",
"options": [
"A) 0.90%",
"B) 3.39%",
"C) 1.89%",
"D) 2.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 117.1900\nB) 108.5882\nC) 122.9246\nD) 120.0573",
"options": [
"A) 117.1900",
"B) 108.5882",
"C) 122.9246",
"D) 120.0573"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "117.1900",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) -44.50%\nB) -23.29%\nC) -9.15%\nD) -16.22%",
"options": [
"A) -44.50%",
"B) -23.29%",
"C) -9.15%",
"D) -16.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-23.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 228.42\nC) 212.66\nD) 203.20",
"options": [
"A) 218.96",
"B) 228.42",
"C) 212.66",
"D) 203.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "212.66",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,924B\nB) $10,639B\nC) $8,851B\nD) $9,566B",
"options": [
"A) $9,924B",
"B) $10,639B",
"C) $8,851B",
"D) $9,566B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$9,566B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.63%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 5.36%\nD) 3.90%",
"options": [
"A) 4.63%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 5.36%",
"D) 3.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.77%",
"options": [
"A) 4.00%",
"B) 4.89%",
"C) 5.33%",
"D) 5.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $402,900M\nB) $389,826M\nC) $363,676M\nD) $350,601M",
"options": [
"A) $402,900M",
"B) $389,826M",
"C) $363,676M",
"D) $350,601M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$363,676M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 3.28%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.04%",
"options": [
"A) 3.66%",
"B) 3.28%",
"C) 2.90%",
"D) 4.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.33pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) +0.58pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.20pp",
"B) +0.33pp",
"C) +0.45pp",
"D) +0.58pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.26%",
"options": [
"A) 3.41%",
"B) 2.72%",
"C) 3.18%",
"D) 2.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) $205,349M\nB) $259,489M\nC) $227,005M\nD) $216,177M",
"options": [
"A) $205,349M",
"B) $259,489M",
"C) $227,005M",
"D) $216,177M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$227,005M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 2.95%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 4.27%",
"options": [
"A) 4.93%",
"B) 2.95%",
"C) 2.29%",
"D) 4.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.91%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 6.31%",
"options": [
"A) 5.91%",
"B) 6.71%",
"C) 4.71%",
"D) 6.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) $-41,806M\nB) $-58,479M\nC) $-47,364M\nD) $-52,921M",
"options": [
"A) $-41,806M",
"B) $-58,479M",
"C) $-47,364M",
"D) $-52,921M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-58,479M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +1.49pp\nC) -0.04pp\nD) +0.47pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.55pp",
"B) +1.49pp",
"C) -0.04pp",
"D) +0.47pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.04pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) 79.19%\nB) 83.97%\nC) 85.89%\nD) 81.11%",
"options": [
"A) 79.19%",
"B) 83.97%",
"C) 85.89%",
"D) 81.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "81.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) -5.45%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -29.32%\nD) 18.41%",
"options": [
"A) -5.45%",
"B) -17.39%",
"C) -29.32%",
"D) 18.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-5.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20071115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-08.)\n\nA) 105.3077\nB) 110.7800\nC) 102.5715\nD) 108.0438",
"options": [
"A) 105.3077",
"B) 110.7800",
"C) 102.5715",
"D) 108.0438"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "110.7800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.1312\nB) 1.3749\nC) 1.3140\nD) 1.4968",
"options": [
"A) 1.1312",
"B) 1.3749",
"C) 1.3140",
"D) 1.4968"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.3140",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 216.21\nB) 170.44\nC) 159.00\nD) 181.88",
"options": [
"A) 216.21",
"B) 170.44",
"C) 159.00",
"D) 181.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "181.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 81.00%\nB) 75.69%\nC) 84.20%\nD) 77.81%",
"options": [
"A) 81.00%",
"B) 75.69%",
"C) 84.20%",
"D) 77.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "81.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 123.1206\nB) 120.2200\nC) 128.9218\nD) 114.4188",
"options": [
"A) 123.1206",
"B) 120.2200",
"C) 128.9218",
"D) 114.4188"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "120.2200",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 8.02%\nC) 4.52%\nD) -0.72%",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 8.02%",
"C) 4.52%",
"D) -0.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 10.17%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.94%",
"options": [
"A) 11.28%",
"B) 10.17%",
"C) 6.83%",
"D) 7.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 100.78\nB) 97.33\nC) 107.67\nD) 104.22",
"options": [
"A) 100.78",
"B) 97.33",
"C) 107.67",
"D) 104.22"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "100.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) 165.96\nB) 172.40\nC) 153.07\nD) 178.84",
"options": [
"A) 165.96",
"B) 172.40",
"C) 153.07",
"D) 178.84"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "172.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 2.90%",
"options": [
"A) 2.05%",
"B) 2.39%",
"C) 2.56%",
"D) 2.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 2.80%",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 1.40%",
"C) 3.50%",
"D) 2.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,525.29\nB) 2,175.32\nC) 3,050.24\nD) 2,000.34",
"options": [
"A) 2,525.29",
"B) 2,175.32",
"C) 3,050.24",
"D) 2,000.34"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,525.29",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.19%\nD) 2.37%",
"options": [
"A) 2.91%",
"B) 1.28%",
"C) 0.19%",
"D) 2.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-08.)\n\nA) 17.58\nB) 6.88\nC) 14.01\nD) 21.14",
"options": [
"A) 17.58",
"B) 6.88",
"C) 14.01",
"D) 21.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.01",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-01.)\n\nA) $7,859B\nB) $8,091B\nC) $6,930B\nD) $7,395B",
"options": [
"A) $7,859B",
"B) $8,091B",
"C) $6,930B",
"D) $7,395B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$7,395B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20071101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-01.)\n\nA) -20.26%\nB) -5.57%\nC) -12.91%\nD) 1.78%",
"options": [
"A) -20.26%",
"B) -5.57%",
"C) -12.91%",
"D) 1.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-20.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2007-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 19.31%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 30.50%\nD) -36.67%",
"options": [
"A) 19.31%",
"B) -3.09%",
"C) 30.50%",
"D) -36.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2007-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 338,038\nB) 255,962\nC) 297,000\nD) 235,444",
"options": [
"A) 338,038",
"B) 255,962",
"C) 297,000",
"D) 235,444"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "297,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 32.08\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 32.08\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 29.58",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 30.83",
"B) 34.59",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 30.83",
"B) 34.59",
"C) 27.07",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 30.83\nC) 28.32\nD) 32.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 27.07",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 28.32",
"D) 32.08"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 30.83\nC) 28.32\nD) 32.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 27.07",
"B) 30.83",
"C) 28.32",
"D) 32.08"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 33.34\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 33.34",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 30.83",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 33.34\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 33.34",
"B) 32.08",
"C) 30.83",
"D) 28.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.08\nB) 27.07\nC) 34.59\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 32.08",
"B) 27.07",
"C) 34.59",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.08\nB) 27.07\nC) 34.59\nD) 30.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 32.08",
"B) 27.07",
"C) 34.59",
"D) 30.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 31.09\nB) 33.60\nC) 27.33\nD) 34.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 31.09",
"B) 33.60",
"C) 27.33",
"D) 34.85"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "31.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 31.09\nB) 33.60\nC) 27.33\nD) 34.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 31.09",
"B) 33.60",
"C) 27.33",
"D) 34.85"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "31.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.60%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 4.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 4.60%",
"C) 4.73%",
"D) 4.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.60%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 4.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 4.60%",
"C) 4.73%",
"D) 4.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.87%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 5.00%",
"C) 4.60%",
"D) 4.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.87%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.20%",
"B) 5.00%",
"C) 4.60%",
"D) 4.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.38%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.98%",
"B) 4.65%",
"C) 4.51%",
"D) 4.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.38%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.98%",
"B) 4.65%",
"C) 4.51%",
"D) 4.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 4.47%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 4.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 4.47%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 4.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 3.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 4.31%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) 3.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 3.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 4.31%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) 3.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 3.51%\nD) 3.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.24%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 3.51%",
"D) 3.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 3.51%\nD) 3.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 3.24%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 3.51%",
"D) 3.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.24%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 4.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.24%",
"B) 5.24%",
"C) 4.49%",
"D) 4.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.24%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 4.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.24%",
"B) 5.24%",
"C) 4.49%",
"D) 4.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 4.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.24%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 4.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 4.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.24%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 4.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.24%\nD) 4.99%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.49%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) 4.24%",
"D) 4.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.24%\nD) 4.99%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.49%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) 4.24%",
"D) 4.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 5.50%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.99%",
"B) 3.98%",
"C) 4.74%",
"D) 5.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 5.50%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.99%",
"B) 3.98%",
"C) 4.74%",
"D) 5.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 4.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 5.50%",
"B) 4.99%",
"C) 5.24%",
"D) 4.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 4.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 5.50%",
"B) 4.99%",
"C) 5.24%",
"D) 4.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.49%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 5.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.49%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 5.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.49%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 5.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 4.49%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 5.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-max",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,199.94\nB) 2,451.07\nC) 2,534.78\nD) 2,283.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,199.94",
"B) 2,451.07",
"C) 2,534.78",
"D) 2,283.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,199.94\nB) 2,451.07\nC) 2,534.78\nD) 2,283.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,199.94",
"B) 2,451.07",
"C) 2,534.78",
"D) 2,283.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,367.36\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,451.07\nD) 2,283.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,367.36",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,451.07",
"D) 2,283.65"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,367.36\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,451.07\nD) 2,283.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,367.36",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,451.07",
"D) 2,283.65"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,283.65\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,618.49\nD) 2,451.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,283.65",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,618.49",
"D) 2,451.07"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,283.65\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,618.49\nD) 2,451.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,283.65",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,618.49",
"D) 2,451.07"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,451.07\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,702.20\nD) 2,367.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,451.07",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,702.20",
"D) 2,367.36"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,451.07\nB) 2,199.94\nC) 2,702.20\nD) 2,367.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,451.07",
"B) 2,199.94",
"C) 2,702.20",
"D) 2,367.36"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,199.94\nB) 2,451.07\nC) 2,283.65\nD) 2,618.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,199.94",
"B) 2,451.07",
"C) 2,283.65",
"D) 2,618.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,199.94\nB) 2,451.07\nC) 2,283.65\nD) 2,618.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,199.94",
"B) 2,451.07",
"C) 2,283.65",
"D) 2,618.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,451.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,459.69\nB) 2,543.40\nC) 2,292.27\nD) 2,375.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,459.69",
"B) 2,543.40",
"C) 2,292.27",
"D) 2,375.98"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,292.27",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,459.69\nB) 2,543.40\nC) 2,292.27\nD) 2,375.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,459.69",
"B) 2,543.40",
"C) 2,292.27",
"D) 2,375.98"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,292.27",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)",
"event_date": "2007-08-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-min",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-01-31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-28",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-01-31, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-28.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 5.26%",
"options": [
"A) 3.72%",
"B) 6.03%",
"C) 2.94%",
"D) 5.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-03-21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "April 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-18",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-03-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-18.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 3.64%",
"options": [
"A) 5.25%",
"B) 6.06%",
"C) 4.44%",
"D) 3.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-05-09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "June 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-05-09, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.58%\nD) 7.76%",
"options": [
"A) 6.09%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 3.58%",
"D) 7.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-06-28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "July 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-25",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-06-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-25.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.56%",
"options": [
"A) 6.11%",
"B) 2.72%",
"C) 5.26%",
"D) 3.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-08-07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-04",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-08-07, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-04.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.94%",
"options": [
"A) 5.81%",
"B) 6.67%",
"C) 3.21%",
"D) 4.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-09-18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "October 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-15",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-09-18, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-15.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 5.63%\nC) 6.51%\nD) 2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 4.76%",
"B) 5.63%",
"C) 6.51%",
"D) 2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-10-31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-28",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-10-31, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-28.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.49%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 7.12%",
"options": [
"A) 5.37%",
"B) 4.49%",
"C) 1.86%",
"D) 7.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2007-12-11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "January 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-08",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2007-12-11, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-08.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 5.68%",
"options": [
"A) 6.55%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 3.94%",
"D) 5.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200701",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "January 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2007 (released around 2007-02-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-26.)\n\nA) 16K\nB) 85K\nC) 430K\nD) 223K",
"options": [
"A) 16K",
"B) 85K",
"C) 430K",
"D) 223K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "223K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "February 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-23",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2007 (released around 2007-03-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-23.)\n\nA) 88K\nB) 290K\nC) 223K\nD) -114K",
"options": [
"A) 88K",
"B) 290K",
"C) 223K",
"D) -114K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "88K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200703",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2007 (released around 2007-04-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-30.)\n\nA) 22K\nB) 224K\nC) 157K\nD) 426K",
"options": [
"A) 22K",
"B) 224K",
"C) 157K",
"D) 426K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "224K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200704",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "April 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2007 (released around 2007-05-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-27.)\n\nA) 129K\nB) 260K\nC) 63K\nD) -68K",
"options": [
"A) 129K",
"B) 260K",
"C) 63K",
"D) -68K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "63K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200705",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "May 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2007 (released around 2007-06-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-25.)\n\nA) 210K\nB) 276K\nC) 14K\nD) 145K",
"options": [
"A) 210K",
"B) 276K",
"C) 14K",
"D) 145K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "145K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "June 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2007 (released around 2007-07-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-29.)\n\nA) 78K\nB) 208K\nC) -52K\nD) 274K",
"options": [
"A) 78K",
"B) 208K",
"C) -52K",
"D) 274K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200707",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "July 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2007 (released around 2007-08-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-27.)\n\nA) 167K\nB) -26K\nC) 103K\nD) 38K",
"options": [
"A) 167K",
"B) -26K",
"C) 103K",
"D) 38K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-26K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200708",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "August 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-31",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2007 (released around 2007-09-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-31.)\n\nA) 98K\nB) -160K\nC) -31K\nD) 34K",
"options": [
"A) 98K",
"B) -160K",
"C) -31K",
"D) 34K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-31K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2007 (released around 2007-10-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-28.)\n\nA) 23K\nB) 149K\nC) 276K\nD) 86K",
"options": [
"A) 23K",
"B) 149K",
"C) 276K",
"D) 86K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "86K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200710",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "October 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2007 (released around 2007-11-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-26.)\n\nA) 76K\nB) 13K\nC) -114K\nD) -51K",
"options": [
"A) 76K",
"B) 13K",
"C) -114K",
"D) -51K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "76K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200711",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "November 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2007 (released around 2007-12-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-30.)\n\nA) -74K\nB) 115K\nC) -11K\nD) 178K",
"options": [
"A) -74K",
"B) 115K",
"C) -11K",
"D) 178K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "115K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200712",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "December 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2007 (released around 2008-01-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-28.)\n\nA) 286K\nB) 225K\nC) 105K\nD) 165K",
"options": [
"A) 286K",
"B) 225K",
"C) 105K",
"D) 165K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "105K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200701",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "January 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2007 (released around 2007-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 2.08%",
"options": [
"A) 3.38%",
"B) 0.77%",
"C) 2.51%",
"D) 2.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200703",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2007 (released around 2007-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-06.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 1.53%\nD) 4.06%",
"options": [
"A) 2.80%",
"B) 3.22%",
"C) 1.53%",
"D) 4.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200704",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "April 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2007 (released around 2007-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.18%",
"options": [
"A) 1.36%",
"B) 2.59%",
"C) 1.77%",
"D) 2.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "June 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2007 (released around 2007-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-06.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.85%",
"options": [
"A) 1.92%",
"B) 3.08%",
"C) 2.69%",
"D) 3.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200707",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "July 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2007 (released around 2007-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-06.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.32%",
"options": [
"A) 1.93%",
"B) 1.16%",
"C) 1.55%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2007 (released around 2007-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-06.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 2.08%",
"options": [
"A) 2.83%",
"B) 3.59%",
"C) 3.96%",
"D) 2.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200710",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "October 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2007 (released around 2007-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.00%",
"options": [
"A) 2.83%",
"B) 3.61%",
"C) 3.22%",
"D) 4.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200712",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "December 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2007 (released around 2008-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 4.51%",
"options": [
"A) 2.89%",
"B) 5.33%",
"C) 4.11%",
"D) 4.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2007q1",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q1 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2007 (advance estimate released around 2007-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-14.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 1.58%",
"options": [
"A) 2.92%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 2.47%",
"D) 1.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2007q2",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q2 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2007 (advance estimate released around 2007-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-14.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.93%",
"B) 2.38%",
"C) 3.26%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2007q3",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q3 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2007 (advance estimate released around 2007-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-14.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 3.68%\nD) 3.24%",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.37%",
"C) 3.68%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2007q4",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q4 2007",
"info_cutoff": "2008-02-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2007 (advance estimate released around 2008-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-14.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 2.58%",
"options": [
"A) 3.03%",
"B) 0.78%",
"C) 2.13%",
"D) 2.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-05",
"info_cutoff": "2006-12-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2006-12-29.)\n\nA) 11.19\nB) 14.04\nC) 13.09\nD) 12.14",
"options": [
"A) 11.19",
"B) 14.04",
"C) 13.09",
"D) 12.14"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-12",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-05.)\n\nA) 12.00\nB) 13.90\nC) 11.05\nD) 10.10",
"options": [
"A) 12.00",
"B) 13.90",
"C) 11.05",
"D) 10.10"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-19",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-12.)\n\nA) 11.80\nB) 10.85\nC) 12.75\nD) 8.95",
"options": [
"A) 11.80",
"B) 10.85",
"C) 12.75",
"D) 8.95"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.85",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-26.)\n\nA) 8.57\nB) 14.33\nC) 11.45\nD) 9.53",
"options": [
"A) 8.57",
"B) 14.33",
"C) 11.45",
"D) 9.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-02.)\n\nA) 13.03\nB) 9.17\nC) 12.07\nD) 11.10",
"options": [
"A) 13.03",
"B) 9.17",
"C) 12.07",
"D) 11.10"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-09.)\n\nA) 11.61\nB) 9.67\nC) 12.58\nD) 10.64",
"options": [
"A) 11.61",
"B) 9.67",
"C) 12.58",
"D) 10.64"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070302",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-23",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-23.)\n\nA) 15.67\nB) 18.61\nC) 17.63\nD) 21.55",
"options": [
"A) 15.67",
"B) 18.61",
"C) 17.63",
"D) 21.55"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "18.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070309",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-02.)\n\nA) 22.63\nB) 16.63\nC) 19.63\nD) 17.63",
"options": [
"A) 22.63",
"B) 16.63",
"C) 19.63",
"D) 17.63"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070316",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-09.)\n\nA) 21.18\nB) 16.10\nC) 15.08\nD) 18.13",
"options": [
"A) 21.18",
"B) 16.10",
"C) 15.08",
"D) 18.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-06",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-30.)\n\nA) 14.53\nB) 17.64\nC) 12.46\nD) 15.57",
"options": [
"A) 14.53",
"B) 17.64",
"C) 12.46",
"D) 15.57"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.53",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070413",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-13",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-06.)\n\nA) 11.42\nB) 13.49\nC) 12.45\nD) 16.60",
"options": [
"A) 11.42",
"B) 13.49",
"C) 12.45",
"D) 16.60"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070420",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-13.)\n\nA) 14.61\nB) 13.58\nC) 12.54\nD) 9.43",
"options": [
"A) 14.61",
"B) 13.58",
"C) 12.54",
"D) 9.43"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.54",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070504",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-04",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-27.)\n\nA) 11.17\nB) 16.25\nC) 17.27\nD) 14.22",
"options": [
"A) 11.17",
"B) 16.25",
"C) 17.27",
"D) 14.22"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.22",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070511",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-11",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-04.)\n\nA) 13.60\nB) 10.57\nC) 12.59\nD) 11.58",
"options": [
"A) 13.60",
"B) 10.57",
"C) 12.59",
"D) 11.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070518",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-18",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-11.)\n\nA) 12.00\nB) 14.01\nC) 15.02\nD) 17.03",
"options": [
"A) 12.00",
"B) 14.01",
"C) 15.02",
"D) 17.03"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.01",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-01",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-25.)\n\nA) 14.53\nB) 11.53\nC) 13.53\nD) 12.53",
"options": [
"A) 14.53",
"B) 11.53",
"C) 13.53",
"D) 12.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.53",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070608",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-08",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-01.)\n\nA) 20.05\nB) 18.06\nC) 16.06\nD) 17.06",
"options": [
"A) 20.05",
"B) 18.06",
"C) 16.06",
"D) 17.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070615",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.67\nB) 14.66\nC) 18.68\nD) 15.66",
"options": [
"A) 16.67",
"B) 14.66",
"C) 18.68",
"D) 15.66"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-06",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-29.)\n\nA) 13.42\nB) 15.48\nC) 17.54\nD) 16.51",
"options": [
"A) 13.42",
"B) 15.48",
"C) 17.54",
"D) 16.51"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-13",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-06.)\n\nA) 20.67\nB) 18.60\nC) 17.57\nD) 19.64",
"options": [
"A) 20.67",
"B) 18.60",
"C) 17.57",
"D) 19.64"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070720",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-20",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-13.)\n\nA) 15.91\nB) 14.86\nC) 20.08\nD) 16.95",
"options": [
"A) 15.91",
"B) 14.86",
"C) 20.08",
"D) 16.95"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-03",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-27.)\n\nA) 25.16\nB) 26.26\nC) 21.85\nD) 22.95",
"options": [
"A) 25.16",
"B) 26.26",
"C) 21.85",
"D) 22.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-10",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-03.)\n\nA) 24.68\nB) 28.30\nC) 30.71\nD) 27.09",
"options": [
"A) 24.68",
"B) 28.30",
"C) 30.71",
"D) 27.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "28.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070817",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-17",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-10.)\n\nA) 32.16\nB) 26.84\nC) 30.83\nD) 34.82",
"options": [
"A) 32.16",
"B) 26.84",
"C) 30.83",
"D) 34.82"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.83",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070907",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-07",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-31",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-31.)\n\nA) 29.66\nB) 21.08\nC) 24.51\nD) 26.23",
"options": [
"A) 29.66",
"B) 21.08",
"C) 24.51",
"D) 26.23"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "26.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070914",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-14",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-07.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 32.73\nC) 22.03\nD) 23.82",
"options": [
"A) 27.38",
"B) 32.73",
"C) 22.03",
"D) 23.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "27.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20070921",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-21",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-14.)\n\nA) 30.23\nB) 26.48\nC) 20.86\nD) 24.61",
"options": [
"A) 30.23",
"B) 26.48",
"C) 20.86",
"D) 24.61"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "26.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071005",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-05",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-28",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-28.)\n\nA) 14.95\nB) 16.88\nC) 18.80\nD) 13.03",
"options": [
"A) 14.95",
"B) 16.88",
"C) 18.80",
"D) 13.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071012",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-12",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-05.)\n\nA) 16.95\nB) 13.08\nC) 15.01\nD) 18.88",
"options": [
"A) 16.95",
"B) 13.08",
"C) 15.01",
"D) 18.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071019",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-19",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-12.)\n\nA) 22.96\nB) 24.90\nC) 19.08\nD) 26.84",
"options": [
"A) 22.96",
"B) 24.90",
"C) 19.08",
"D) 26.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "22.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-26.)\n\nA) 21.22\nB) 23.21\nC) 25.20\nD) 27.18",
"options": [
"A) 21.22",
"B) 23.21",
"C) 25.20",
"D) 27.18"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.21",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-02.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 30.52\nC) 28.50\nD) 32.54",
"options": [
"A) 24.46",
"B) 30.52",
"C) 28.50",
"D) 32.54"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "28.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-09.)\n\nA) 37.38\nB) 26.90\nC) 28.99\nD) 31.09",
"options": [
"A) 37.38",
"B) 26.90",
"C) 28.99",
"D) 31.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "31.09",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071207",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-07",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-30.)\n\nA) 23.79\nB) 19.20\nC) 16.90\nD) 26.09",
"options": [
"A) 23.79",
"B) 19.20",
"C) 16.90",
"D) 26.09"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "23.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071214",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-14",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-07.)\n\nA) 18.95\nB) 23.59\nC) 30.56\nD) 21.27",
"options": [
"A) 18.95",
"B) 23.59",
"C) 30.56",
"D) 21.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20071221",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-21",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2007-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-14.)\n\nA) 22.17\nB) 17.48\nC) 24.52\nD) 19.82",
"options": [
"A) 22.17",
"B) 17.48",
"C) 24.52",
"D) 19.82"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.52",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-05",
"info_cutoff": "2006-12-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2006-12-29.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 0.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.40%",
"B) 1.44%",
"C) 2.42%",
"D) 0.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-12",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-05.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 5.58%\nD) -0.28%",
"options": [
"A) 2.65%",
"B) 3.63%",
"C) 5.58%",
"D) -0.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-01-19",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-12.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) -1.86%\nC) -2.84%\nD) -3.81%",
"options": [
"A) 1.07%",
"B) -1.86%",
"C) -2.84%",
"D) -3.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-01-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-26.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 1.43%\nD) -1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 3.37%",
"C) 1.43%",
"D) -1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-02.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) -1.41%\nD) -0.44%",
"options": [
"A) 0.53%",
"B) 1.50%",
"C) -1.41%",
"D) -0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-02-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 4.77%",
"options": [
"A) 1.87%",
"B) -1.02%",
"C) 3.81%",
"D) 4.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070302",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-02-23",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-02-23.)\n\nA) -6.41%\nB) -5.45%\nC) -2.58%\nD) -3.53%",
"options": [
"A) -6.41%",
"B) -5.45%",
"C) -2.58%",
"D) -3.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070309",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-02.)\n\nA) -0.98%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.00%\nD) 1.01%",
"options": [
"A) -0.98%",
"B) 3.00%",
"C) 2.00%",
"D) 1.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070316",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-09.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) -3.24%\nC) -2.24%\nD) -1.23%",
"options": [
"A) 0.77%",
"B) -3.24%",
"C) -2.24%",
"D) -1.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-06",
"info_cutoff": "2007-03-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2007-03-30.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 4.06%",
"options": [
"A) 2.03%",
"B) 5.07%",
"C) 1.01%",
"D) 4.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070413",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-13",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-06.)\n\nA) -0.10%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 3.98%\nD) -2.14%",
"options": [
"A) -0.10%",
"B) 0.92%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) -2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070420",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-13.)\n\nA) -1.72%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -0.70%",
"options": [
"A) -1.72%",
"B) 3.38%",
"C) 0.32%",
"D) -0.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070504",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-04",
"info_cutoff": "2007-04-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2007-04-27.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) -0.16%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 3.88%",
"B) -0.16%",
"C) 4.89%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070511",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-11",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-04.)\n\nA) -0.34%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 0.67%\nD) 1.68%",
"options": [
"A) -0.34%",
"B) 2.70%",
"C) 0.67%",
"D) 1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070518",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-05-18",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-11.)\n\nA) -2.58%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 2.51%\nD) -1.56%",
"options": [
"A) -2.58%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 2.51%",
"D) -1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-01",
"info_cutoff": "2007-05-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2007-05-25.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 4.64%",
"options": [
"A) 0.62%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 4.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070608",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-08",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -4.68%\nC) -2.70%\nD) -1.71%",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) -4.68%",
"C) -2.70%",
"D) -1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070615",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 1.14%",
"options": [
"A) 2.12%",
"B) 4.09%",
"C) 0.16%",
"D) 1.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-06",
"info_cutoff": "2007-06-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.30%\nC) -0.60%\nD) 4.15%",
"options": [
"A) 2.25%",
"B) 1.30%",
"C) -0.60%",
"D) 4.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-13",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-06.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.23%",
"B) -1.38%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 0.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070720",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-07-20",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-13.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) -3.12%\nC) 1.48%\nD) -0.36%",
"options": [
"A) -1.28%",
"B) -3.12%",
"C) 1.48%",
"D) -0.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-03",
"info_cutoff": "2007-07-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2007-07-27.)\n\nA) -2.79%\nB) -3.70%\nC) -4.61%\nD) -5.51%",
"options": [
"A) -2.79%",
"B) -3.70%",
"C) -4.61%",
"D) -5.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-10",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-03.)\n\nA) 0.82%\nB) -0.10%\nC) -2.85%\nD) -1.01%",
"options": [
"A) 0.82%",
"B) -0.10%",
"C) -2.85%",
"D) -1.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070817",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-08-17",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-10.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 0.42%\nC) -1.46%\nD) -2.41%",
"options": [
"A) -3.35%",
"B) 0.42%",
"C) -1.46%",
"D) -2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070907",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-07",
"info_cutoff": "2007-08-31",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-31.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -5.41%\nC) -0.48%\nD) -2.45%",
"options": [
"A) -4.42%",
"B) -5.41%",
"C) -0.48%",
"D) -2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070914",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-14",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 0.69%\nC) -0.30%\nD) -1.29%",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 0.69%",
"C) -0.30%",
"D) -1.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20070921",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-09-21",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-14.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 5.44%",
"options": [
"A) 2.48%",
"B) 3.47%",
"C) 6.43%",
"D) 5.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071005",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-05",
"info_cutoff": "2007-09-28",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2007-09-28.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.43%\nD) -1.55%",
"options": [
"A) 4.42%",
"B) 0.44%",
"C) 1.43%",
"D) -1.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071012",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-12",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-05.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.65%\nD) 0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 3.64%",
"B) 1.65%",
"C) 2.65%",
"D) 0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071019",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-10-19",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-12.)\n\nA) -1.97%\nB) 1.03%\nC) -0.97%\nD) -4.98%",
"options": [
"A) -1.97%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) -0.97%",
"D) -4.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-02",
"info_cutoff": "2007-10-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2007-10-26.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -0.25%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 0.79%",
"options": [
"A) -3.36%",
"B) -0.25%",
"C) -2.32%",
"D) 0.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-09",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-02.)\n\nA) -8.07%\nB) -4.94%\nC) -5.98%\nD) -7.03%",
"options": [
"A) -8.07%",
"B) -4.94%",
"C) -5.98%",
"D) -7.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-5.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-11-16",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-09.)\n\nA) -1.19%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 2.06%",
"options": [
"A) -1.19%",
"B) 5.30%",
"C) 0.97%",
"D) 2.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071207",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-07",
"info_cutoff": "2007-11-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2007-11-30.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -0.84%\nC) 6.08%\nD) 3.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) -0.84%",
"C) 6.08%",
"D) 3.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071214",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-14",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-07.)\n\nA) -4.22%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.42%",
"options": [
"A) -4.22%",
"B) -3.06%",
"C) -1.90%",
"D) 0.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20071221",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2007-12-21",
"info_cutoff": "2007-12-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2007-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-14.)\n\nA) 6.92%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 5.74%",
"options": [
"A) 6.92%",
"B) 2.21%",
"C) 4.57%",
"D) 5.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2007
}
]