| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 83.61\nB) 80.09\nC) 94.19\nD) 88.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.61", |
| "B) 80.09", |
| "C) 94.19", |
| "D) 88.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "88.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.71%\nB) 0.89%\nC) -1.24%\nD) -2.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.71%", |
| "B) 0.89%", |
| "C) -1.24%", |
| "D) -2.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $7,240B\nB) $7,725B\nC) $6,997B\nD) $7,482B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,240B", |
| "B) $7,725B", |
| "C) $6,997B", |
| "D) $7,482B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,725B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.65%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) 2.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -18.59%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -1.23%\nD) -8.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -18.59%", |
| "B) 2.24%", |
| "C) -1.23%", |
| "D) -8.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,885B\nB) $9,533B\nC) $9,182B\nD) $10,237B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,885B", |
| "B) $9,533B", |
| "C) $9,182B", |
| "D) $10,237B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,885B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.21%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 2.62%", |
| "D) 3.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $18.74/hr\nB) $17.88/hr\nC) $18.31/hr\nD) $19.61/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18.74/hr", |
| "B) $17.88/hr", |
| "C) $18.31/hr", |
| "D) $19.61/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$18.31/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $-55,066M\nB) $-73,385M\nC) $-66,058M\nD) $-62,394M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-55,066M", |
| "B) $-73,385M", |
| "C) $-66,058M", |
| "D) $-62,394M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-62,394M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) 424,000\nB) 466,712\nC) 409,763\nD) 395,526", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 424,000", |
| "B) 466,712", |
| "C) 409,763", |
| "D) 395,526" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "424,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $10,557B\nB) $10,930B\nC) $9,813B\nD) $12,046B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,557B", |
| "B) $10,930B", |
| "C) $9,813B", |
| "D) $12,046B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,930B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $300,148M\nB) $343,281M\nC) $332,498M\nD) $310,931M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $300,148M", |
| "B) $343,281M", |
| "C) $332,498M", |
| "D) $310,931M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$332,498M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) $9,642B\nB) $10,130B\nC) $10,618B\nD) $9,154B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,642B", |
| "B) $10,130B", |
| "C) $10,618B", |
| "D) $9,154B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,154B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -3.04%\nC) -7.83%\nD) 6.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.64%", |
| "B) -3.04%", |
| "C) -7.83%", |
| "D) 6.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.69%", |
| "B) 2.33%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,699.67\nB) 2,205.37\nC) 2,452.52\nD) 2,328.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,699.67", |
| "B) 2,205.37", |
| "C) 2,452.52", |
| "D) 2,328.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,452.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.06%\nB) 72.28%\nC) 75.39%\nD) 77.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.06%", |
| "B) 72.28%", |
| "C) 75.39%", |
| "D) 77.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "77.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.28%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -4.12%\nD) -10.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.28%", |
| "B) -0.97%", |
| "C) -4.12%", |
| "D) -10.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.2877\nB) 6.8649\nC) 7.0763\nD) 7.4991", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.2877", |
| "B) 6.8649", |
| "C) 7.0763", |
| "D) 7.4991" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.8649", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 21.87\nB) 24.16\nC) 19.58\nD) 15.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.87", |
| "B) 24.16", |
| "C) 19.58", |
| "D) 15.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.3964\nB) 1.6510\nC) 1.6001\nD) 1.5492", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3964", |
| "B) 1.6510", |
| "C) 1.6001", |
| "D) 1.5492" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.5492", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 1.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.39%", |
| "B) 2.78%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 1.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.21%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 2.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.21%", |
| "B) 4.42%", |
| "C) 3.82%", |
| "D) 2.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 59.66%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.54%", |
| "B) 59.66%", |
| "C) 62.80%", |
| "D) 64.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 65.74%\nB) 39.45%\nC) 78.89%\nD) 52.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 65.74%", |
| "B) 39.45%", |
| "C) 78.89%", |
| "D) 52.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "52.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 100.27\nB) 91.03\nC) 96.57\nD) 103.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.27", |
| "B) 91.03", |
| "C) 96.57", |
| "D) 103.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "100.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,229K\nB) 844K\nC) 266K\nD) 1,422K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,229K", |
| "B) 844K", |
| "C) 266K", |
| "D) 1,422K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "844K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 193.14\nB) 140.89\nC) 167.01\nD) 184.43", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 193.14", |
| "B) 140.89", |
| "C) 167.01", |
| "D) 184.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "167.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2176\nB) 1.3840\nC) 1.3286\nD) 1.2731", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2176", |
| "B) 1.3840", |
| "C) 1.3286", |
| "D) 1.2731" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2731", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 4.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.86%", |
| "B) 5.10%", |
| "C) 3.56%", |
| "D) 4.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) 1.39%", |
| "C) 1.73%", |
| "D) 1.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.22pp\nB) -0.13pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.04pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.22pp", |
| "B) -0.13pp", |
| "C) +0.40pp", |
| "D) +0.04pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) -17.22%\nB) -3.77%\nC) -71.02%\nD) -44.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -17.22%", |
| "B) -3.77%", |
| "C) -71.02%", |
| "D) -44.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-44.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -0.47%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.09%", |
| "B) -0.47%", |
| "C) 3.43%", |
| "D) -1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 2.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) 2.78%", |
| "D) 2.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 2.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.07%", |
| "B) 2.37%", |
| "C) 1.22%", |
| "D) 2.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 4.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.84%", |
| "B) 5.38%", |
| "C) 4.99%", |
| "D) 4.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $17.80/hr\nB) $17.42/hr\nC) $18.57/hr\nD) $17.03/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17.80/hr", |
| "B) $17.42/hr", |
| "C) $18.57/hr", |
| "D) $17.03/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.80/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) $69.54/bbl\nB) $57.18/bbl\nC) $32.46/bbl\nD) $44.82/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $69.54/bbl", |
| "B) $57.18/bbl", |
| "C) $32.46/bbl", |
| "D) $44.82/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$57.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) -0.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.30pp", |
| "B) +0.10pp", |
| "C) -0.50pp", |
| "D) -0.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 152.33\nB) 160.48\nC) 168.64\nD) 176.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 152.33", |
| "B) 160.48", |
| "C) 168.64", |
| "D) 176.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "176.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $66,142M\nB) $63,225M\nC) $57,392M\nD) $74,892M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $66,142M", |
| "B) $63,225M", |
| "C) $57,392M", |
| "D) $74,892M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$66,142M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) $69.10/bbl\nB) $95.57/bbl\nC) $104.39/bbl\nD) $86.75/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $69.10/bbl", |
| "B) $95.57/bbl", |
| "C) $104.39/bbl", |
| "D) $86.75/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$95.57/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.92%\nC) 3.69%\nD) 2.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.51%", |
| "B) 4.92%", |
| "C) 3.69%", |
| "D) 2.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $7,484B\nB) $7,755B\nC) $8,842B\nD) $8,027B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,484B", |
| "B) $7,755B", |
| "C) $8,842B", |
| "D) $8,027B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,027B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.10%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.10%", |
| "B) 2.49%", |
| "C) 1.27%", |
| "D) 1.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $848M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $848M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$848M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 214.80\nB) 175.30\nC) 199.00\nD) 183.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 214.80", |
| "B) 175.30", |
| "C) 199.00", |
| "D) 183.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "199.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $66,213M\nB) $58,032M\nC) $55,305M\nD) $60,759M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $66,213M", |
| "B) $58,032M", |
| "C) $55,305M", |
| "D) $60,759M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$60,759M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 72.77%\nB) 61.24%\nC) 95.83%\nD) 49.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 72.77%", |
| "B) 61.24%", |
| "C) 95.83%", |
| "D) 49.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "72.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.15%", |
| "B) 4.47%", |
| "C) 4.31%", |
| "D) 4.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.80pp\nB) +0.43pp\nC) +1.38pp\nD) +0.91pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.80pp", |
| "B) +0.43pp", |
| "C) +1.38pp", |
| "D) +0.91pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.38pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 0.08%\nC) -0.41%\nD) 1.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.53%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) -0.41%", |
| "D) 1.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 13.44%\nB) 14.77%\nC) 17.42%\nD) 10.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.44%", |
| "B) 14.77%", |
| "C) 17.42%", |
| "D) 10.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 176.19\nB) 182.70\nC) 169.68\nD) 163.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 176.19", |
| "B) 182.70", |
| "C) 169.68", |
| "D) 163.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "182.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 49.69\nB) 66.53\nC) 55.30\nD) 60.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 49.69", |
| "B) 66.53", |
| "C) 55.30", |
| "D) 60.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "55.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $69,620M\nB) $75,724M\nC) $57,412M\nD) $66,568M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $69,620M", |
| "B) $75,724M", |
| "C) $57,412M", |
| "D) $66,568M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$66,568M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 137,851K\nB) 130,640K\nC) 142,178K\nD) 133,524K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137,851K", |
| "B) 130,640K", |
| "C) 142,178K", |
| "D) 133,524K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "137,851K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 641K\nB) 995K\nC) 818K\nD) 1,349K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 641K", |
| "B) 995K", |
| "C) 818K", |
| "D) 1,349K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "995K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 99.6629\nB) 113.0081\nC) 107.6700\nD) 115.6771", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.6629", |
| "B) 113.0081", |
| "C) 107.6700", |
| "D) 115.6771" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "107.6700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $402,432M\nB) $389,664M\nC) $376,895M\nD) $364,126M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $402,432M", |
| "B) $389,664M", |
| "C) $376,895M", |
| "D) $364,126M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$364,126M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -20.50pp\nB) -29.80pp\nC) -34.45pp\nD) -11.20pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -20.50pp", |
| "B) -29.80pp", |
| "C) -34.45pp", |
| "D) -11.20pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-20.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.77%\nB) -7.19%\nC) -2.34%\nD) -14.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.77%", |
| "B) -7.19%", |
| "C) -2.34%", |
| "D) -14.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 4.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.74%", |
| "B) 4.38%", |
| "C) 4.22%", |
| "D) 4.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $17.20/hr\nB) $18.37/hr\nC) $19.16/hr\nD) $17.98/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17.20/hr", |
| "B) $18.37/hr", |
| "C) $19.16/hr", |
| "D) $17.98/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.98/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.80%\nB) 8.64%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.80%", |
| "B) 8.64%", |
| "C) 6.19%", |
| "D) 5.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -4.90%\nB) -8.85%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -0.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.90%", |
| "B) -8.85%", |
| "C) -12.81%", |
| "D) -0.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $224,177M\nB) $256,756M\nC) $235,037M\nD) $267,616M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $224,177M", |
| "B) $256,756M", |
| "C) $235,037M", |
| "D) $267,616M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$235,037M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 6.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.85%", |
| "B) 7.01%", |
| "C) 6.36%", |
| "D) 6.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 25.02\nB) 22.57\nC) 17.68\nD) 20.13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.02", |
| "B) 22.57", |
| "C) 17.68", |
| "D) 20.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) 6.31%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 5.97%\nD) 6.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.31%", |
| "B) 6.14%", |
| "C) 5.97%", |
| "D) 6.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $341,396M\nB) $376,219M\nC) $364,611M\nD) $353,003M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $341,396M", |
| "B) $376,219M", |
| "C) $364,611M", |
| "D) $353,003M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$364,611M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 99.6062\nB) 90.7677\nC) 93.7138\nD) 96.6600", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.6062", |
| "B) 90.7677", |
| "C) 93.7138", |
| "D) 96.6600" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "96.6600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 8.30%\nC) -24.65%\nD) -16.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.06%", |
| "B) 8.30%", |
| "C) -24.65%", |
| "D) -16.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.5840\nB) 1.4695\nC) 1.4122\nD) 1.6413", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5840", |
| "B) 1.4695", |
| "C) 1.4122", |
| "D) 1.6413" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4695", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.73%", |
| "B) 5.04%", |
| "C) 4.58%", |
| "D) 4.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 3.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.22%", |
| "B) 3.84%", |
| "C) 3.47%", |
| "D) 3.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,103K\nB) 799K\nC) 1,407K\nD) 647K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,103K", |
| "B) 799K", |
| "C) 1,407K", |
| "D) 647K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,103K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 10.63%\nB) 12.92%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 17.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.63%", |
| "B) 12.92%", |
| "C) 6.04%", |
| "D) 17.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) -5.52%\nB) -1.74%\nC) -4.26%\nD) -6.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.52%", |
| "B) -1.74%", |
| "C) -4.26%", |
| "D) -6.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $248,615M\nB) $206,125M\nC) $259,238M\nD) $227,370M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $248,615M", |
| "B) $206,125M", |
| "C) $259,238M", |
| "D) $227,370M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$227,370M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 61.40%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 60.17%\nD) 62.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.40%", |
| "B) 64.47%", |
| "C) 60.17%", |
| "D) 62.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "61.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 92.96\nB) 98.11\nC) 103.27\nD) 89.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 92.96", |
| "B) 98.11", |
| "C) 103.27", |
| "D) 89.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "98.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $830M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $830M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$830M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) -0.33%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.06%", |
| "B) -0.33%", |
| "C) 0.14%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -36.54%\nB) -27.68%\nC) -63.14%\nD) -54.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -36.54%", |
| "B) -27.68%", |
| "C) -63.14%", |
| "D) -54.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-36.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 73.00\nB) 63.00\nC) 58.00\nD) 77.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.00", |
| "B) 63.00", |
| "C) 58.00", |
| "D) 77.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "63.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 204.49\nB) 209.22\nC) 218.69\nD) 228.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 204.49", |
| "B) 209.22", |
| "C) 218.69", |
| "D) 228.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "218.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $209,905M\nB) $200,454M\nC) $172,101M\nD) $181,552M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $209,905M", |
| "B) $200,454M", |
| "C) $172,101M", |
| "D) $181,552M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$181,552M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.99%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -2.79%\nD) -1.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.99%", |
| "B) -1.59%", |
| "C) -2.79%", |
| "D) -1.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -58.28%\nB) -33.36%\nC) -16.74%\nD) -41.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -58.28%", |
| "B) -33.36%", |
| "C) -16.74%", |
| "D) -41.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-33.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 142,764K\nB) 139,988K\nC) 137,211K\nD) 134,434K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 142,764K", |
| "B) 139,988K", |
| "C) 137,211K", |
| "D) 134,434K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "137,211K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.3311\nB) 1.6946\nC) 1.5583\nD) 1.4674", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3311", |
| "B) 1.6946", |
| "C) 1.5583", |
| "D) 1.4674" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4674", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 375,694\nC) 357,347\nD) 394,042", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 339,000", |
| "B) 375,694", |
| "C) 357,347", |
| "D) 394,042" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "339,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -43.66%\nB) -35.05%\nC) -9.23%\nD) -52.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -43.66%", |
| "B) -35.05%", |
| "C) -9.23%", |
| "D) -52.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-35.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 95.52\nB) 85.13\nC) 88.59\nD) 92.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.52", |
| "B) 85.13", |
| "C) 88.59", |
| "D) 92.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "88.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $1,442M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $1,442M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$1,442M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 93.47\nB) 96.66\nC) 90.28\nD) 99.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.47", |
| "B) 96.66", |
| "C) 90.28", |
| "D) 99.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "93.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.75\nB) 59.80\nC) 70.37\nD) 56.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.75", |
| "B) 59.80", |
| "C) 70.37", |
| "D) 56.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "59.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.63%\nB) -6.28%\nC) -7.60%\nD) -8.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.63%", |
| "B) -6.28%", |
| "C) -7.60%", |
| "D) -8.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.56pp\nB) +1.38pp\nC) +1.19pp\nD) +1.00pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.56pp", |
| "B) +1.38pp", |
| "C) +1.19pp", |
| "D) +1.00pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 89.18\nB) 84.30\nC) 94.06\nD) 81.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.18", |
| "B) 84.30", |
| "C) 94.06", |
| "D) 81.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "89.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,309K\nB) 626K\nC) 854K\nD) 398K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,309K", |
| "B) 626K", |
| "C) 854K", |
| "D) 398K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "626K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) +3.32pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +2.34pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.36pp", |
| "B) +3.32pp", |
| "C) +1.85pp", |
| "D) +2.34pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.85pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.66%", |
| "B) 5.10%", |
| "C) 2.83%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 3.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.35%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 3.20%", |
| "D) 3.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.66%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.66%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 4.14%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $19.43/hr\nB) $19.02/hr\nC) $18.18/hr\nD) $17.76/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19.43/hr", |
| "B) $19.02/hr", |
| "C) $18.18/hr", |
| "D) $17.76/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$18.18/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 107.6634\nB) 118.9298\nC) 102.0302\nD) 110.4800", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.6634", |
| "B) 118.9298", |
| "C) 102.0302", |
| "D) 110.4800" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "110.4800", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.76%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 2.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.76%", |
| "B) 3.13%", |
| "C) 1.66%", |
| "D) 2.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 216.72\nB) 196.60\nC) 210.01\nD) 176.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 216.72", |
| "B) 196.60", |
| "C) 210.01", |
| "D) 176.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "196.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) $9,651B\nB) $10,135B\nC) $8,683B\nD) $9,167B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,651B", |
| "B) $10,135B", |
| "C) $8,683B", |
| "D) $9,167B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,683B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $7,546B\nB) $8,325B\nC) $7,026B\nD) $7,806B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,546B", |
| "B) $8,325B", |
| "C) $7,026B", |
| "D) $7,806B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,806B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) -42.07%\nB) -66.99%\nC) -58.68%\nD) -33.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -42.07%", |
| "B) -66.99%", |
| "C) -58.68%", |
| "D) -33.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-42.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -54.57%\nB) -45.53%\nC) -63.60%\nD) -27.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -54.57%", |
| "B) -45.53%", |
| "C) -63.60%", |
| "D) -27.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-45.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $10,492B\nB) $9,773B\nC) $10,132B\nD) $9,054B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,492B", |
| "B) $9,773B", |
| "C) $10,132B", |
| "D) $9,054B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,132B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 3.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.65%", |
| "B) 4.30%", |
| "C) 3.47%", |
| "D) 3.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 216.39\nB) 226.65\nC) 199.30\nD) 206.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 216.39", |
| "B) 226.65", |
| "C) 199.30", |
| "D) 206.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "216.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 6.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.04%", |
| "B) 5.56%", |
| "C) 6.06%", |
| "D) 6.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.07%\nB) 13.34%\nC) 9.53%\nD) 10.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.07%", |
| "B) 13.34%", |
| "C) 9.53%", |
| "D) 10.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 222K\nB) 867K\nC) 437K\nD) 652K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 222K", |
| "B) 867K", |
| "C) 437K", |
| "D) 652K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "652K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 1.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.15%", |
| "B) 2.46%", |
| "C) 0.92%", |
| "D) 1.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 148.82\nB) 164.28\nC) 172.00\nD) 187.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 148.82", |
| "B) 164.28", |
| "C) 172.00", |
| "D) 187.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "164.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.08%\nB) 4.31%\nC) -1.23%\nD) 2.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.08%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) -1.23%", |
| "D) 2.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 3.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.69%", |
| "B) 4.56%", |
| "C) 3.40%", |
| "D) 3.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 4.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.09%", |
| "B) 3.67%", |
| "C) 3.25%", |
| "D) 4.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -41.81%\nB) -25.47%\nC) -33.64%\nD) -49.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -41.81%", |
| "B) -25.47%", |
| "C) -33.64%", |
| "D) -49.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-25.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 74.62\nB) 70.47\nC) 66.31\nD) 58.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.62", |
| "B) 70.47", |
| "C) 66.31", |
| "D) 58.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.75%\nB) 65.62%\nC) 61.25%\nD) 62.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.75%", |
| "B) 65.62%", |
| "C) 61.25%", |
| "D) 62.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) $50.70/bbl\nB) $63.12/bbl\nC) $25.87/bbl\nD) $13.45/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $50.70/bbl", |
| "B) $63.12/bbl", |
| "C) $25.87/bbl", |
| "D) $13.45/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$50.70/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 89.32\nB) 87.18\nC) 85.05\nD) 82.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.32", |
| "B) 87.18", |
| "C) 85.05", |
| "D) 82.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "87.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.29%\nB) -0.23%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 0.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.29%", |
| "B) -0.23%", |
| "C) -0.58%", |
| "D) 0.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 135,408K\nB) 142,710K\nC) 132,488K\nD) 138,329K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 135,408K", |
| "B) 142,710K", |
| "C) 132,488K", |
| "D) 138,329K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "138,329K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 6.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.01%", |
| "B) 5.83%", |
| "C) 5.48%", |
| "D) 6.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.22pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) -0.15pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.22pp", |
| "B) +0.10pp", |
| "C) +0.47pp", |
| "D) -0.15pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.52%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.52%", |
| "B) 2.93%", |
| "C) 3.73%", |
| "D) 4.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.8158\nB) 6.4589\nC) 6.6373\nD) 6.9943", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8158", |
| "B) 6.4589", |
| "C) 6.6373", |
| "D) 6.9943" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.9943", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.74%\nB) 7.62%\nC) 9.29%\nD) 10.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.74%", |
| "B) 7.62%", |
| "C) 9.29%", |
| "D) 10.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 74.21%\nB) 59.83%\nC) 88.59%\nD) 16.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.21%", |
| "B) 59.83%", |
| "C) 88.59%", |
| "D) 16.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "59.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 142.28\nB) 135.38\nC) 156.07\nD) 169.86", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 142.28", |
| "B) 135.38", |
| "C) 156.07", |
| "D) 169.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "156.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) -0.46%\nC) -1.27%\nD) 1.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.35%", |
| "B) -0.46%", |
| "C) -1.27%", |
| "D) 1.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.69%\nB) 8.63%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 9.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.69%", |
| "B) 8.63%", |
| "C) 8.16%", |
| "D) 9.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,640,701\nB) 2,837,000\nC) 3,425,896\nD) 3,033,299", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,640,701", |
| "B) 2,837,000", |
| "C) 3,425,896", |
| "D) 3,033,299" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,837,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 9.89%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 7.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.06%", |
| "B) 9.89%", |
| "C) 5.34%", |
| "D) 7.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 82.56%\nB) 78.96%\nC) 84.36%\nD) 80.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.56%", |
| "B) 78.96%", |
| "C) 84.36%", |
| "D) 80.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "80.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.02%", |
| "B) 2.61%", |
| "C) 2.22%", |
| "D) 1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.16pp\nB) -7.32pp\nC) -5.49pp\nD) -10.08pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.16pp", |
| "B) -7.32pp", |
| "C) -5.49pp", |
| "D) -10.08pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.32pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 84.54\nB) 89.82\nC) 87.18\nD) 80.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 84.54", |
| "B) 89.82", |
| "C) 87.18", |
| "D) 80.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "87.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.36%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.96%", |
| "B) 4.36%", |
| "C) 3.56%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 79.56%\nB) 77.09%\nC) 83.67%\nD) 82.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.56%", |
| "B) 77.09%", |
| "C) 83.67%", |
| "D) 82.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "79.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.16%\nB) 6.00%\nC) 6.58%\nD) 7.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.16%", |
| "B) 6.00%", |
| "C) 6.58%", |
| "D) 7.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 5.18%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.62%", |
| "B) 5.18%", |
| "C) 4.90%", |
| "D) 4.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 2.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.06%", |
| "B) 1.84%", |
| "C) 2.72%", |
| "D) 2.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.50pp\nB) +1.95pp\nC) +1.73pp\nD) +0.82pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.50pp", |
| "B) +1.95pp", |
| "C) +1.73pp", |
| "D) +0.82pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $-51,505M\nB) $-64,225M\nC) $-59,985M\nD) $-55,745M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-51,505M", |
| "B) $-64,225M", |
| "C) $-59,985M", |
| "D) $-55,745M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-64,225M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $-35,690M\nB) $-41,985M\nC) $-45,132M\nD) $-54,574M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-35,690M", |
| "B) $-41,985M", |
| "C) $-45,132M", |
| "D) $-54,574M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-45,132M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.86pp\nB) -1.07pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.86pp", |
| "B) -1.07pp", |
| "C) -1.71pp", |
| "D) -1.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 213.15\nB) 208.28\nC) 218.03\nD) 198.53", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 213.15", |
| "B) 208.28", |
| "C) 218.03", |
| "D) 198.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "213.15", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.41%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 0.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.41%", |
| "B) 2.21%", |
| "C) 4.61%", |
| "D) 0.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.50pp\nD) +2.93pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.65pp", |
| "B) +2.07pp", |
| "C) +2.50pp", |
| "D) +2.93pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.22pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.02pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.22pp", |
| "B) -0.33pp", |
| "C) +0.02pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.30%", |
| "B) 2.53%", |
| "C) 2.07%", |
| "D) 2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 0.56%\nC) -0.59%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.70%", |
| "B) 0.56%", |
| "C) -0.59%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 139,607K\nB) 132,830K\nC) 135,541K\nD) 128,764K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 139,607K", |
| "B) 132,830K", |
| "C) 135,541K", |
| "D) 128,764K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "135,541K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.74%\nB) -2.73%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.74%", |
| "B) -2.73%", |
| "C) 3.24%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.55pp\nC) +0.05pp\nD) -0.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.30pp", |
| "B) +0.55pp", |
| "C) +0.05pp", |
| "D) -0.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 4.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.46%", |
| "B) 3.84%", |
| "C) 3.26%", |
| "D) 4.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.61%\nB) 67.88%\nC) 65.90%\nD) 63.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.61%", |
| "B) 67.88%", |
| "C) 65.90%", |
| "D) 63.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "65.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 67.98%\nD) 66.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.38%", |
| "B) 64.02%", |
| "C) 67.98%", |
| "D) 66.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "66.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) 4,002,000\nB) 3,541,062\nC) 4,309,292\nD) 4,155,646", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,002,000", |
| "B) 3,541,062", |
| "C) 4,309,292", |
| "D) 4,155,646" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,002,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.01%\nB) -10.32%\nC) -11.63%\nD) -12.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.01%", |
| "B) -10.32%", |
| "C) -11.63%", |
| "D) -12.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.66%", |
| "B) 2.82%", |
| "C) 1.98%", |
| "D) 1.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 210.01\nB) 203.07\nC) 223.88\nD) 216.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 210.01", |
| "B) 203.07", |
| "C) 223.88", |
| "D) 216.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "216.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $11,322B\nB) $12,030B\nC) $10,261B\nD) $12,384B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,322B", |
| "B) $12,030B", |
| "C) $10,261B", |
| "D) $12,384B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,322B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $9,094B\nB) $10,176B\nC) $11,258B\nD) $10,536B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,094B", |
| "B) $10,176B", |
| "C) $11,258B", |
| "D) $10,536B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,176B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 92.09\nB) 87.36\nC) 89.72\nD) 82.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 92.09", |
| "B) 87.36", |
| "C) 89.72", |
| "D) 82.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "89.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 5.67%\nD) 5.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.87%", |
| "B) 6.20%", |
| "C) 5.67%", |
| "D) 5.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) $10,938B\nB) $11,309B\nC) $11,681B\nD) $9,823B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,938B", |
| "B) $11,309B", |
| "C) $11,681B", |
| "D) $9,823B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,938B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 83.90\nB) 87.95\nC) 92.00\nD) 94.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.90", |
| "B) 87.95", |
| "C) 92.00", |
| "D) 94.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "87.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 3.27%\nD) 3.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.00%", |
| "B) 3.54%", |
| "C) 3.27%", |
| "D) 3.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 17.14%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 15.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.29%", |
| "B) 17.14%", |
| "C) 12.00%", |
| "D) 15.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -48.86%\nB) -66.52%\nC) -31.19%\nD) -57.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -48.86%", |
| "B) -66.52%", |
| "C) -31.19%", |
| "D) -57.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-48.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.12%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 68.08%\nD) 69.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.12%", |
| "B) 66.10%", |
| "C) 68.08%", |
| "D) 69.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "66.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.77%", |
| "B) 2.37%", |
| "C) 2.07%", |
| "D) 2.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -23.69pp\nB) -14.06pp\nC) -18.87pp\nD) -28.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -23.69pp", |
| "B) -14.06pp", |
| "C) -18.87pp", |
| "D) -28.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-28.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.42pp\nC) -0.05pp\nD) -0.18pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.30pp", |
| "B) -0.42pp", |
| "C) -0.05pp", |
| "D) -0.18pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 90.17\nC) 85.06\nD) 95.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.65", |
| "B) 90.17", |
| "C) 85.06", |
| "D) 95.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "90.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 96.29\nB) 98.63\nC) 100.97\nD) 93.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.29", |
| "B) 98.63", |
| "C) 100.97", |
| "D) 93.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "100.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 7.05%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 6.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.55%", |
| "B) 7.05%", |
| "C) 6.30%", |
| "D) 6.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.04pp\nB) -1.48pp\nC) +1.56pp\nD) +0.54pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.04pp", |
| "B) -1.48pp", |
| "C) +1.56pp", |
| "D) +0.54pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 1,271.20\nB) 1,516.85\nC) 1,639.68\nD) 1,148.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,271.20", |
| "B) 1,516.85", |
| "C) 1,639.68", |
| "D) 1,148.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,516.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 4.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.08%", |
| "B) 4.24%", |
| "C) 4.56%", |
| "D) 4.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.83%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.49%\nD) 73.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.83%", |
| "B) 75.31%", |
| "C) 71.49%", |
| "D) 73.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "73.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 88.38\nB) 80.29\nC) 83.52\nD) 91.62", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.38", |
| "B) 80.29", |
| "C) 83.52", |
| "D) 91.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "88.38", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) $125.86/bbl\nB) $113.46/bbl\nC) $150.65/bbl\nD) $88.66/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $125.86/bbl", |
| "B) $113.46/bbl", |
| "C) $150.65/bbl", |
| "D) $88.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.46/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 3.31%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.52%", |
| "B) 3.31%", |
| "C) 3.72%", |
| "D) 3.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 2.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 3.84%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 2.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 169.19\nB) 140.55\nC) 188.28\nD) 197.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 169.19", |
| "B) 140.55", |
| "C) 188.28", |
| "D) 197.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "169.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -23.16%\nB) -20.02%\nC) -10.61%\nD) -13.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -23.16%", |
| "B) -20.02%", |
| "C) -10.61%", |
| "D) -13.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-20.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.21%\nB) 4.76%\nC) 6.49%\nD) 5.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.21%", |
| "B) 4.76%", |
| "C) 6.49%", |
| "D) 5.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) 3,369,901\nB) 3,546,852\nC) 3,192,951\nD) 3,016,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,369,901", |
| "B) 3,546,852", |
| "C) 3,192,951", |
| "D) 3,016,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,016,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -10.90%\nB) -2.31%\nC) 1.99%\nD) -15.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.90%", |
| "B) -2.31%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) -15.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) 10.11%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 8.46%\nD) 5.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.11%", |
| "B) 7.63%", |
| "C) 8.46%", |
| "D) 5.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) +1.22pp\nB) +2.39pp\nC) +2.10pp\nD) +2.69pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.22pp", |
| "B) +2.39pp", |
| "C) +2.10pp", |
| "D) +2.69pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 100.68%\nB) 76.90%\nC) 88.79%\nD) 65.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.68%", |
| "B) 76.90%", |
| "C) 88.79%", |
| "D) 65.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "65.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.09pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) +0.11pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.50pp", |
| "B) -0.09pp", |
| "C) -0.91pp", |
| "D) +0.11pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) -9.57%\nB) -38.76%\nC) -67.95%\nD) -53.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.57%", |
| "B) -38.76%", |
| "C) -67.95%", |
| "D) -53.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-38.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -14.56pp\nB) -37.91pp\nC) -20.40pp\nD) -2.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.56pp", |
| "B) -37.91pp", |
| "C) -20.40pp", |
| "D) -2.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-20.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 1.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.33%", |
| "B) -0.40%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) 1.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 212.69\nB) 208.30\nC) 217.08\nD) 203.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 212.69", |
| "B) 208.30", |
| "C) 217.08", |
| "D) 203.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "212.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -11.00%\nB) -8.67%\nC) -6.34%\nD) -9.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.00%", |
| "B) -8.67%", |
| "C) -6.34%", |
| "D) -9.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $835M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $835M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$835M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) $7,748B\nB) $10,135B\nC) $7,271B\nD) $8,703B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,748B", |
| "B) $10,135B", |
| "C) $7,271B", |
| "D) $8,703B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,703B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $368,255M\nB) $392,475M\nC) $344,035M\nD) $404,585M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $368,255M", |
| "B) $392,475M", |
| "C) $344,035M", |
| "D) $404,585M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$368,255M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.68pp\nB) -3.08pp\nC) -4.88pp\nD) -1.88pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.68pp", |
| "B) -3.08pp", |
| "C) -4.88pp", |
| "D) -1.88pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.08pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.14%\nB) 63.86%\nC) 62.00%\nD) 58.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.14%", |
| "B) 63.86%", |
| "C) 62.00%", |
| "D) 58.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.94%\nB) -2.45%\nC) -0.42%\nD) -1.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.94%", |
| "B) -2.45%", |
| "C) -0.42%", |
| "D) -1.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 0.34%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 1.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.32%\nB) 6.58%\nC) 7.74%\nD) 7.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.32%", |
| "B) 6.58%", |
| "C) 7.74%", |
| "D) 7.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.67%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.67%", |
| "B) 5.07%", |
| "C) 3.86%", |
| "D) 4.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,260.12\nB) 2,670.54\nC) 2,944.15\nD) 2,533.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,260.12", |
| "B) 2,670.54", |
| "C) 2,944.15", |
| "D) 2,533.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,533.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.11%", |
| "B) 3.80%", |
| "C) 2.76%", |
| "D) 3.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,835,726\nB) 3,385,000\nC) 3,685,484\nD) 3,084,516", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,835,726", |
| "B) 3,385,000", |
| "C) 3,685,484", |
| "D) 3,084,516" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,385,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) 498,234\nB) 479,351\nC) 536,000\nD) 573,766", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 498,234", |
| "B) 479,351", |
| "C) 536,000", |
| "D) 573,766" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "536,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -4.54%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 4.17%\nD) -0.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.54%", |
| "B) 1.99%", |
| "C) 4.17%", |
| "D) -0.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) -0.08pp\nD) -1.32pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.70pp", |
| "B) -0.29pp", |
| "C) -0.08pp", |
| "D) -1.32pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 110.2434\nB) 104.6100\nC) 96.1599\nD) 113.0601", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 110.2434", |
| "B) 104.6100", |
| "C) 96.1599", |
| "D) 113.0601" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.6100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $59,539M\nB) $71,411M\nC) $68,443M\nD) $62,507M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $59,539M", |
| "B) $71,411M", |
| "C) $68,443M", |
| "D) $62,507M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$68,443M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 65.91%\nB) 70.55%\nC) 79.85%\nD) 72.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 65.91%", |
| "B) 70.55%", |
| "C) 79.85%", |
| "D) 72.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "72.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) $122.76/bbl\nB) $153.77/bbl\nC) $112.42/bbl\nD) $102.09/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $122.76/bbl", |
| "B) $153.77/bbl", |
| "C) $112.42/bbl", |
| "D) $102.09/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$122.76/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.29%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) 1.71%", |
| "D) 2.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 0.96%\nC) -0.10%\nD) 0.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.61%", |
| "B) 0.96%", |
| "C) -0.10%", |
| "D) 0.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) -14.76pp\nB) -8.71pp\nC) -32.89pp\nD) -20.80pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.76pp", |
| "B) -8.71pp", |
| "C) -32.89pp", |
| "D) -20.80pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-20.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20081115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.8236\nB) 6.5866\nC) 6.1127\nD) 6.3496", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8236", |
| "B) 6.5866", |
| "C) 6.1127", |
| "D) 6.3496" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.8236", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 204.14\nB) 213.94\nC) 197.61\nD) 220.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 204.14", |
| "B) 213.94", |
| "C) 197.61", |
| "D) 220.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "213.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) $71.23/bbl\nB) $96.28/bbl\nC) $108.80/bbl\nD) $121.32/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $71.23/bbl", |
| "B) $96.28/bbl", |
| "C) $108.80/bbl", |
| "D) $121.32/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$108.80/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,653B\nB) $10,012B\nC) $11,450B\nD) $10,731B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,653B", |
| "B) $10,012B", |
| "C) $11,450B", |
| "D) $10,731B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,731B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20081101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 4.45%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 3.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.23%", |
| "B) 4.45%", |
| "C) 2.63%", |
| "D) 3.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,264K\nB) 858K\nC) 655K\nD) 452K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,264K", |
| "B) 858K", |
| "C) 655K", |
| "D) 452K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "858K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) -21.07%\nB) -44.28%\nC) -36.55%\nD) -13.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -21.07%", |
| "B) -44.28%", |
| "C) -36.55%", |
| "D) -13.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-36.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) -39.74%\nB) -14.22%\nC) -56.76%\nD) -31.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -39.74%", |
| "B) -14.22%", |
| "C) -56.76%", |
| "D) -31.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-31.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) 9.05%\nB) 10.59%\nC) 11.36%\nD) 9.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.05%", |
| "B) 10.59%", |
| "C) 11.36%", |
| "D) 9.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 68.74%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 67.42%\nD) 64.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.74%", |
| "B) 66.10%", |
| "C) 67.42%", |
| "D) 64.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "66.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) 319,979\nB) 335,653\nC) 367,000\nD) 351,326", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 319,979", |
| "B) 335,653", |
| "C) 367,000", |
| "D) 351,326" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "367,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) -10.90%\nB) -9.74%\nC) -6.25%\nD) -8.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.90%", |
| "B) -9.74%", |
| "C) -6.25%", |
| "D) -8.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.44%\nB) 2.10%\nC) -0.25%\nD) 11.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.44%", |
| "B) 2.10%", |
| "C) -0.25%", |
| "D) 11.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) $115.30/bbl\nB) $96.96/bbl\nC) $78.62/bbl\nD) $124.48/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $115.30/bbl", |
| "B) $96.96/bbl", |
| "C) $78.62/bbl", |
| "D) $124.48/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$96.96/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.73%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 4.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.73%", |
| "B) 4.90%", |
| "C) 3.00%", |
| "D) 4.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) 10.35%\nB) 6.51%\nC) 11.12%\nD) 8.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.35%", |
| "B) 6.51%", |
| "C) 11.12%", |
| "D) 8.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.68%\nB) -3.01%\nC) -5.69%\nD) -5.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.68%", |
| "B) -3.01%", |
| "C) -5.69%", |
| "D) -5.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) $244,262M\nB) $214,106M\nC) $224,158M\nD) $194,002M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $244,262M", |
| "B) $214,106M", |
| "C) $224,158M", |
| "D) $194,002M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$214,106M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.8861\nB) 7.3239\nC) 7.1780\nD) 7.6158", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8861", |
| "B) 7.3239", |
| "C) 7.1780", |
| "D) 7.6158" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.1780", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) $-74,382M\nB) $-54,262M\nC) $-70,358M\nD) $-62,310M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-74,382M", |
| "B) $-54,262M", |
| "C) $-70,358M", |
| "D) $-62,310M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-62,310M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) -7.02%\nB) 19.27%\nC) -33.31%\nD) -15.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.02%", |
| "B) 19.27%", |
| "C) -33.31%", |
| "D) -15.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) -1.45pp\nC) -0.93pp\nD) -2.99pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.10pp", |
| "B) -1.45pp", |
| "C) -0.93pp", |
| "D) -2.99pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.45pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.94%\nC) 5.31%\nD) 5.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.40%", |
| "B) 3.94%", |
| "C) 5.31%", |
| "D) 5.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) -16.61%\nB) 23.57%\nC) -8.57%\nD) -0.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -16.61%", |
| "B) 23.57%", |
| "C) -8.57%", |
| "D) -0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) -9.18%\nB) -1.55%\nC) -11.73%\nD) -4.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.18%", |
| "B) -1.55%", |
| "C) -11.73%", |
| "D) -4.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 81.28\nB) 88.03\nC) 83.98\nD) 90.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.28", |
| "B) 88.03", |
| "C) 83.98", |
| "D) 90.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "88.03", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 4.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.02%", |
| "B) 3.91%", |
| "C) 2.13%", |
| "D) 4.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) $134.39/bbl\nB) $144.52/bbl\nC) $103.98/bbl\nD) $124.25/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $134.39/bbl", |
| "B) $144.52/bbl", |
| "C) $103.98/bbl", |
| "D) $124.25/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$124.25/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.83%", |
| "B) 3.21%", |
| "C) 3.62%", |
| "D) 4.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.51\nB) 16.30\nC) 9.66\nD) 22.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.51", |
| "B) 16.30", |
| "C) 9.66", |
| "D) 22.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.86%\nC) 6.10%\nD) 5.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.34%", |
| "B) 5.86%", |
| "C) 6.10%", |
| "D) 5.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) +2.80pp\nB) +0.54pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.44pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.80pp", |
| "B) +0.54pp", |
| "C) +0.08pp", |
| "D) +1.44pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.44pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,321.80\nB) 1,999.70\nC) 2,643.90\nD) 2,804.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,321.80", |
| "B) 1,999.70", |
| "C) 2,643.90", |
| "D) 2,804.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,321.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,614B\nB) $9,982B\nC) $11,085B\nD) $10,717B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,614B", |
| "B) $9,982B", |
| "C) $11,085B", |
| "D) $10,717B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,982B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 2.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.04%", |
| "B) 5.05%", |
| "C) 3.85%", |
| "D) 2.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 47.89%\nB) 95.95%\nC) 71.92%\nD) 83.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.89%", |
| "B) 95.95%", |
| "C) 71.92%", |
| "D) 83.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "83.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 4.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.17%", |
| "B) 0.60%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.72%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 6.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.90%", |
| "B) 5.72%", |
| "C) 5.18%", |
| "D) 6.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 205.06\nB) 198.48\nC) 214.94\nD) 221.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 205.06", |
| "B) 198.48", |
| "C) 214.94", |
| "D) 221.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "214.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 2.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.61%", |
| "B) 2.48%", |
| "C) 2.09%", |
| "D) 2.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,014K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,485K\nD) 543K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,014K", |
| "B) 1,328K", |
| "C) 1,485K", |
| "D) 543K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,014K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.31%", |
| "B) 1.85%", |
| "C) 4.16%", |
| "D) 3.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 64.42\nB) 67.61\nC) 70.80\nD) 73.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.42", |
| "B) 67.61", |
| "C) 70.80", |
| "D) 73.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "70.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 3.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.84%", |
| "B) 2.45%", |
| "C) 2.73%", |
| "D) 3.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 13.75%\nD) 11.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.37%", |
| "B) 3.91%", |
| "C) 13.75%", |
| "D) 11.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 219.66\nB) 215.21\nC) 210.76\nD) 206.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 219.66", |
| "B) 215.21", |
| "C) 210.76", |
| "D) 206.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "215.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 96.16\nB) 105.64\nC) 101.84\nD) 92.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.16", |
| "B) 105.64", |
| "C) 101.84", |
| "D) 92.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "101.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 136.57%\nB) 111.24%\nC) 73.25%\nD) 98.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136.57%", |
| "B) 111.24%", |
| "C) 73.25%", |
| "D) 98.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "98.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.45%", |
| "B) 1.22%", |
| "C) 4.30%", |
| "D) 3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) $10,031B\nB) $8,629B\nC) $9,564B\nD) $7,226B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,031B", |
| "B) $8,629B", |
| "C) $9,564B", |
| "D) $7,226B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,629B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,140K\nB) 806K\nC) 973K\nD) 472K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,140K", |
| "B) 806K", |
| "C) 973K", |
| "D) 472K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "973K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) $7,363B\nB) $6,882B\nC) $8,326B\nD) $7,604B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,363B", |
| "B) $6,882B", |
| "C) $8,326B", |
| "D) $7,604B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,604B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-31.)\n\nA) 87.56\nB) 80.98\nC) 83.61\nD) 91.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.56", |
| "B) 80.98", |
| "C) 83.61", |
| "D) 91.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "87.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.36%\nD) 4.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.74%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 5.36%", |
| "D) 4.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 2.00%\nD) 2.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.19%", |
| "B) 4.44%", |
| "C) 2.00%", |
| "D) 2.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 35.06\nB) 26.59\nC) 40.71\nD) 32.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.06", |
| "B) 26.59", |
| "C) 40.71", |
| "D) 32.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 35.06\nB) 26.59\nC) 40.71\nD) 32.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.06", |
| "B) 26.59", |
| "C) 40.71", |
| "D) 32.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 37.89\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.24", |
| "B) 37.89", |
| "C) 35.06", |
| "D) 23.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 37.89\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.24", |
| "B) 37.89", |
| "C) 35.06", |
| "D) 23.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 26.59\nB) 32.24\nC) 40.71\nD) 23.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.59", |
| "B) 32.24", |
| "C) 40.71", |
| "D) 23.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 26.59\nB) 32.24\nC) 40.71\nD) 23.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.59", |
| "B) 32.24", |
| "C) 40.71", |
| "D) 23.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 29.42\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 35.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.42", |
| "B) 23.77", |
| "C) 32.24", |
| "D) 35.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 29.42\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 35.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.42", |
| "B) 23.77", |
| "C) 32.24", |
| "D) 35.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 26.59\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 32.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.59", |
| "B) 29.42", |
| "C) 35.06", |
| "D) 32.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 26.59\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 32.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.59", |
| "B) 29.42", |
| "C) 35.06", |
| "D) 32.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 40.71\nC) 29.42\nD) 35.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.24", |
| "B) 40.71", |
| "C) 29.42", |
| "D) 35.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 40.71\nC) 29.42\nD) 35.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.24", |
| "B) 40.71", |
| "C) 29.42", |
| "D) 35.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.92%", |
| "B) 3.34%", |
| "C) 2.72%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.92%", |
| "B) 3.34%", |
| "C) 2.72%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.76%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.76%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.76%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.76%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 3.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 2.92%", |
| "C) 3.55%", |
| "D) 3.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 3.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 2.92%", |
| "C) 3.55%", |
| "D) 3.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.34%", |
| "B) 3.76%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.34%", |
| "B) 3.76%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.55%", |
| "B) 3.34%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.55%", |
| "B) 3.34%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 3.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.92%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 3.55%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 2.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.92%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 3.55%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 2.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 2,081.02\nD) 2,177.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,273.00", |
| "B) 1,889.03", |
| "C) 2,081.02", |
| "D) 2,177.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 2,081.02\nD) 2,177.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,273.00", |
| "B) 1,889.03", |
| "C) 2,081.02", |
| "D) 2,177.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 1,889.03\nD) 2,081.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,177.01", |
| "B) 2,273.00", |
| "C) 1,889.03", |
| "D) 2,081.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 1,889.03\nD) 2,081.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,177.01", |
| "B) 2,273.00", |
| "C) 1,889.03", |
| "D) 2,081.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,081.02\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,889.03\nD) 2,464.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,081.02", |
| "B) 2,177.01", |
| "C) 1,889.03", |
| "D) 2,464.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,081.02\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,889.03\nD) 2,464.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,081.02", |
| "B) 2,177.01", |
| "C) 1,889.03", |
| "D) 2,464.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 2,464.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,369.00", |
| "B) 2,081.02", |
| "C) 2,177.01", |
| "D) 2,464.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 2,464.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,369.00", |
| "B) 2,081.02", |
| "C) 2,177.01", |
| "D) 2,464.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,369.00", |
| "B) 1,889.03", |
| "C) 1,985.02", |
| "D) 2,177.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,369.00", |
| "B) 1,889.03", |
| "C) 1,985.02", |
| "D) 2,177.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,369.00\nC) 2,273.00\nD) 1,889.03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,177.01", |
| "B) 2,369.00", |
| "C) 2,273.00", |
| "D) 1,889.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,369.00\nC) 2,273.00\nD) 1,889.03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,177.01", |
| "B) 2,369.00", |
| "C) 2,273.00", |
| "D) 1,889.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,177.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.44%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.44%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 1.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 1.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.35%", |
| "B) 1.81%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.35%", |
| "B) 1.81%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 0.44%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 0.44%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.26%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.26%", |
| "B) 0.44%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", |
| "event_date": "2008-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.46\nB) 44.98\nC) 42.06\nD) 36.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.46", |
| "B) 44.98", |
| "C) 42.06", |
| "D) 36.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.46\nB) 44.98\nC) 42.06\nD) 36.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.46", |
| "B) 44.98", |
| "C) 42.06", |
| "D) 36.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 46.72\nB) 37.96\nC) 40.88\nD) 55.48", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.72", |
| "B) 37.96", |
| "C) 40.88", |
| "D) 55.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "46.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 46.72\nB) 37.96\nC) 40.88\nD) 55.48", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.72", |
| "B) 37.96", |
| "C) 40.88", |
| "D) 55.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "46.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 61.19\nB) 69.95\nC) 75.79\nD) 72.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.19", |
| "B) 69.95", |
| "C) 75.79", |
| "D) 72.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "69.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 61.19\nB) 69.95\nC) 75.79\nD) 72.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.19", |
| "B) 69.95", |
| "C) 75.79", |
| "D) 72.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "69.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 88.82\nB) 74.22\nC) 80.06\nD) 71.30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.82", |
| "B) 74.22", |
| "C) 80.06", |
| "D) 71.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "80.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 88.82\nB) 74.22\nC) 80.06\nD) 71.30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.82", |
| "B) 74.22", |
| "C) 80.06", |
| "D) 71.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "80.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 75.02\nB) 72.10\nC) 86.70\nD) 80.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.02", |
| "B) 72.10", |
| "C) 86.70", |
| "D) 80.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "80.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 75.02\nB) 72.10\nC) 86.70\nD) 80.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.02", |
| "B) 72.10", |
| "C) 86.70", |
| "D) 80.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "80.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 77.94\nC) 89.62\nD) 75.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.86", |
| "B) 77.94", |
| "C) 89.62", |
| "D) 75.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "80.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 77.94\nC) 89.62\nD) 75.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.86", |
| "B) 77.94", |
| "C) 89.62", |
| "D) 75.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "80.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.37%", |
| "B) 3.83%", |
| "C) 3.60%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.37%", |
| "B) 3.83%", |
| "C) 3.60%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.18%\nB) 3.42%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.11%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.18%", |
| "B) 3.42%", |
| "C) 3.88%", |
| "D) 4.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.18%\nB) 3.42%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.11%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.18%", |
| "B) 3.42%", |
| "C) 3.88%", |
| "D) 4.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.54%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.08%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.54%", |
| "B) 3.85%", |
| "C) 3.62%", |
| "D) 4.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.54%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.08%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.54%", |
| "B) 3.85%", |
| "C) 3.62%", |
| "D) 4.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.62%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.08%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) 4.78%", |
| "D) 3.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.62%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.08%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) 4.78%", |
| "D) 3.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 4.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.62%", |
| "B) 4.08%", |
| "C) 3.85%", |
| "D) 4.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 4.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.62%", |
| "B) 4.08%", |
| "C) 3.85%", |
| "D) 4.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.54%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.54%", |
| "B) 3.85%", |
| "C) 4.08%", |
| "D) 3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.54%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.54%", |
| "B) 3.85%", |
| "C) 4.08%", |
| "D) 3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,171.96\nB) 2,025.74\nC) 2,245.07\nD) 2,098.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,171.96", |
| "B) 2,025.74", |
| "C) 2,245.07", |
| "D) 2,098.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,098.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,171.96\nB) 2,025.74\nC) 2,245.07\nD) 2,098.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,171.96", |
| "B) 2,025.74", |
| "C) 2,245.07", |
| "D) 2,098.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,098.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,983.73\nB) 2,056.84\nC) 1,910.62\nD) 1,837.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,983.73", |
| "B) 2,056.84", |
| "C) 1,910.62", |
| "D) 1,837.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,983.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,983.73\nB) 2,056.84\nC) 1,910.62\nD) 1,837.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,983.73", |
| "B) 2,056.84", |
| "C) 1,910.62", |
| "D) 1,837.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,983.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,864.45\nB) 1,645.12\nC) 1,572.01\nD) 1,498.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,864.45", |
| "B) 1,645.12", |
| "C) 1,572.01", |
| "D) 1,498.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,645.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,864.45\nB) 1,645.12\nC) 1,572.01\nD) 1,498.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,864.45", |
| "B) 1,645.12", |
| "C) 1,572.01", |
| "D) 1,498.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,645.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,286.57\nB) 1,725.23\nC) 1,505.90\nD) 1,652.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,286.57", |
| "B) 1,725.23", |
| "C) 1,505.90", |
| "D) 1,652.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,505.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,286.57\nB) 1,725.23\nC) 1,505.90\nD) 1,652.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,286.57", |
| "B) 1,725.23", |
| "C) 1,505.90", |
| "D) 1,652.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,505.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,389.23\nB) 1,243.01\nC) 1,096.79\nD) 1,316.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,389.23", |
| "B) 1,243.01", |
| "C) 1,096.79", |
| "D) 1,316.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,389.23\nB) 1,243.01\nC) 1,096.79\nD) 1,316.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,389.23", |
| "B) 1,243.01", |
| "C) 1,096.79", |
| "D) 1,316.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,268.64\nB) 1,414.86\nC) 1,487.97\nD) 1,122.42", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,268.64", |
| "B) 1,414.86", |
| "C) 1,487.97", |
| "D) 1,122.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,268.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1,268.64\nB) 1,414.86\nC) 1,487.97\nD) 1,122.42", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,268.64", |
| "B) 1,414.86", |
| "C) 1,487.97", |
| "D) 1,122.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,268.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.55%", |
| "B) 1.28%", |
| "C) 2.01%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.55%", |
| "B) 1.28%", |
| "C) 2.01%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 2.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 2.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 1.28%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.55%", |
| "B) 2.74%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 1.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 1.28%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.55%", |
| "B) 2.74%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 1.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.55%\nD) 2.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 1.28%", |
| "C) 0.55%", |
| "D) 2.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.55%\nD) 2.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 1.28%", |
| "C) 0.55%", |
| "D) 2.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 3.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 3.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 3.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.74%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 3.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 0.39%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.79%", |
| "B) 1.09%", |
| "C) 2.49%", |
| "D) 0.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 0.39%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.79%", |
| "B) 1.09%", |
| "C) 2.49%", |
| "D) 0.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.86%\nD) 2.26%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 0.86%", |
| "D) 2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.86%\nD) 2.26%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 0.86%", |
| "D) 2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.25%", |
| "B) 0.15%", |
| "C) 0.85%", |
| "D) 1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.25%", |
| "B) 0.15%", |
| "C) 0.85%", |
| "D) 1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 114.5118\nB) 98.1754\nC) 104.7100\nD) 111.2446", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.5118", |
| "B) 98.1754", |
| "C) 104.7100", |
| "D) 111.2446" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "104.7100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 114.5118\nB) 98.1754\nC) 104.7100\nD) 111.2446", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.5118", |
| "B) 98.1754", |
| "C) 104.7100", |
| "D) 111.2446" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "104.7100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 114.5118\nB) 111.2446\nC) 94.9082\nD) 104.7100", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.5118", |
| "B) 111.2446", |
| "C) 94.9082", |
| "D) 104.7100" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "104.7100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 114.5118\nB) 111.2446\nC) 94.9082\nD) 104.7100", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.5118", |
| "B) 111.2446", |
| "C) 94.9082", |
| "D) 104.7100" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "104.7100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 99.4400\nB) 105.9746\nC) 109.2418\nD) 92.9054", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.4400", |
| "B) 105.9746", |
| "C) 109.2418", |
| "D) 92.9054" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "99.4400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 99.4400\nB) 105.9746\nC) 109.2418\nD) 92.9054", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.4400", |
| "B) 105.9746", |
| "C) 109.2418", |
| "D) 92.9054" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "99.4400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 86.1054\nB) 92.6400\nC) 95.9073\nD) 102.4418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.1054", |
| "B) 92.6400", |
| "C) 95.9073", |
| "D) 102.4418" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "92.6400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 86.1054\nB) 92.6400\nC) 95.9073\nD) 102.4418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.1054", |
| "B) 92.6400", |
| "C) 95.9073", |
| "D) 102.4418" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "92.6400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 85.4254\nB) 82.1582\nC) 91.9600\nD) 98.4946", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 85.4254", |
| "B) 82.1582", |
| "C) 91.9600", |
| "D) 98.4946" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "91.9600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 85.4254\nB) 82.1582\nC) 91.9600\nD) 98.4946", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 85.4254", |
| "B) 82.1582", |
| "C) 91.9600", |
| "D) 98.4946" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "91.9600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 94.3346\nB) 77.9982\nC) 81.2654\nD) 87.8000", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.3346", |
| "B) 77.9982", |
| "C) 81.2654", |
| "D) 87.8000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "87.8000", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 94.3346\nB) 77.9982\nC) 81.2654\nD) 87.8000", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.3346", |
| "B) 77.9982", |
| "C) 81.2654", |
| "D) 87.8000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "87.8000", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,862.96\nB) 1,937.26\nC) 2,085.86\nD) 1,714.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,862.96", |
| "B) 1,937.26", |
| "C) 2,085.86", |
| "D) 1,714.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,862.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,862.96\nB) 1,937.26\nC) 2,085.86\nD) 1,714.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,862.96", |
| "B) 1,937.26", |
| "C) 2,085.86", |
| "D) 1,714.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,862.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,570.82\nB) 1,645.12\nC) 1,868.02\nD) 1,422.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,570.82", |
| "B) 1,645.12", |
| "C) 1,868.02", |
| "D) 1,422.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,645.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,570.82\nB) 1,645.12\nC) 1,868.02\nD) 1,422.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,570.82", |
| "B) 1,645.12", |
| "C) 1,868.02", |
| "D) 1,422.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,645.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,654.50\nB) 1,431.60\nC) 1,505.90\nD) 1,728.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,654.50", |
| "B) 1,431.60", |
| "C) 1,505.90", |
| "D) 1,728.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,505.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,654.50\nB) 1,431.60\nC) 1,505.90\nD) 1,728.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,654.50", |
| "B) 1,431.60", |
| "C) 1,505.90", |
| "D) 1,728.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,505.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,241.82\nB) 1,539.02\nC) 1,390.42\nD) 1,316.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,241.82", |
| "B) 1,539.02", |
| "C) 1,390.42", |
| "D) 1,316.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,241.82\nB) 1,539.02\nC) 1,390.42\nD) 1,316.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,241.82", |
| "B) 1,539.02", |
| "C) 1,390.42", |
| "D) 1,316.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,316.12\nB) 1,539.02\nC) 1,167.52\nD) 1,241.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,316.12", |
| "B) 1,539.02", |
| "C) 1,167.52", |
| "D) 1,241.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,316.12\nB) 1,539.02\nC) 1,167.52\nD) 1,241.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,316.12", |
| "B) 1,539.02", |
| "C) 1,167.52", |
| "D) 1,241.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,316.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,417.24\nB) 1,268.64\nC) 1,120.04\nD) 1,491.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,417.24", |
| "B) 1,268.64", |
| "C) 1,120.04", |
| "D) 1,491.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,268.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,417.24\nB) 1,268.64\nC) 1,120.04\nD) 1,491.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,417.24", |
| "B) 1,268.64", |
| "C) 1,120.04", |
| "D) 1,491.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,268.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 48.59\nB) 36.32\nC) 39.39\nD) 45.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 48.59", |
| "B) 36.32", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 45.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 48.59\nB) 36.32\nC) 39.39\nD) 45.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 48.59", |
| "B) 36.32", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 45.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 42.46\nB) 45.52\nC) 36.32\nD) 39.39", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.46", |
| "B) 45.52", |
| "C) 36.32", |
| "D) 39.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 42.46\nB) 45.52\nC) 36.32\nD) 39.39", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.46", |
| "B) 45.52", |
| "C) 36.32", |
| "D) 39.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 36.32\nC) 42.46\nD) 48.59", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.39", |
| "B) 36.32", |
| "C) 42.46", |
| "D) 48.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 36.32\nC) 42.46\nD) 48.59", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39.39", |
| "B) 36.32", |
| "C) 42.46", |
| "D) 48.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 36.32\nB) 39.39\nC) 48.59\nD) 45.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.32", |
| "B) 39.39", |
| "C) 48.59", |
| "D) 45.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 36.32\nB) 39.39\nC) 48.59\nD) 45.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.32", |
| "B) 39.39", |
| "C) 48.59", |
| "D) 45.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 45.52\nB) 30.19\nC) 39.39\nD) 36.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.52", |
| "B) 30.19", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 36.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 45.52\nB) 30.19\nC) 39.39\nD) 36.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.52", |
| "B) 30.19", |
| "C) 39.39", |
| "D) 36.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "39.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 44.69\nB) 35.49\nC) 29.36\nD) 38.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.69", |
| "B) 35.49", |
| "C) 29.36", |
| "D) 38.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 44.69\nB) 35.49\nC) 29.36\nD) 38.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.69", |
| "B) 35.49", |
| "C) 29.36", |
| "D) 38.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.19%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 3.01%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 4.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.19%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 3.01%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 4.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.95%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 3.72%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.95%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 3.72%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 3.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.95%", |
| "B) 4.19%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 3.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 3.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.95%", |
| "B) 4.19%", |
| "C) 3.48%", |
| "D) 3.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.99%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.75%", |
| "B) 3.46%", |
| "C) 3.23%", |
| "D) 2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.99%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.75%", |
| "B) 3.46%", |
| "C) 3.23%", |
| "D) 2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.84%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.08%", |
| "B) 2.79%", |
| "C) 1.37%", |
| "D) 1.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.84%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.08%", |
| "B) 2.79%", |
| "C) 1.37%", |
| "D) 1.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.37%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 2.08%", |
| "C) 1.61%", |
| "D) 1.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.37%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 2.08%", |
| "C) 1.61%", |
| "D) 1.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", |
| "event_date": "2008-09-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.75%", |
| "B) 2.50%", |
| "C) 2.99%", |
| "D) 3.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.75%", |
| "B) 2.50%", |
| "C) 2.99%", |
| "D) 3.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 2.99%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 2.26%", |
| "C) 2.50%", |
| "D) 2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 2.99%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 2.26%", |
| "C) 2.50%", |
| "D) 2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.99%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 3.23%", |
| "D) 2.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.99%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 3.23%", |
| "D) 2.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.23%", |
| "B) 2.99%", |
| "C) 3.72%", |
| "D) 3.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.23%", |
| "B) 2.99%", |
| "C) 3.72%", |
| "D) 3.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 2.58%", |
| "C) 3.07%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.56%", |
| "B) 2.58%", |
| "C) 3.07%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.29%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.78%", |
| "B) 2.56%", |
| "C) 3.53%", |
| "D) 3.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.29%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.78%", |
| "B) 2.56%", |
| "C) 3.53%", |
| "D) 3.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 1.49%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.87%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 2.73%", |
| "D) 1.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 1.49%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.87%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 2.73%", |
| "D) 1.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 2.06%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.20%", |
| "B) 0.82%", |
| "C) 2.68%", |
| "D) 2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 2.06%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.20%", |
| "B) 0.82%", |
| "C) 2.68%", |
| "D) 2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.51%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) 0.65%", |
| "D) 1.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.51%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) 0.65%", |
| "D) 1.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.27%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 0.65%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.27%", |
| "B) 1.89%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 0.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.27%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 0.65%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.27%", |
| "B) 1.89%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 0.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 1.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.65%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 1.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 1.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.65%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 1.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.65%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 0.03%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.89%", |
| "B) 0.65%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 0.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.65%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 0.03%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.89%", |
| "B) 0.65%", |
| "C) 2.51%", |
| "D) 0.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 5.86%\nC) 5.47%\nD) 5.73%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.21%", |
| "B) 5.86%", |
| "C) 5.47%", |
| "D) 5.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 5.86%\nC) 5.47%\nD) 5.73%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.21%", |
| "B) 5.86%", |
| "C) 5.47%", |
| "D) 5.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.27%", |
| "B) 5.01%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 5.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.27%", |
| "B) 5.01%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 5.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 4.83%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.96%", |
| "B) 5.09%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) 4.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 4.83%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.96%", |
| "B) 5.09%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) 4.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 5.22%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.35%", |
| "B) 4.96%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) 5.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 5.22%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.35%", |
| "B) 4.96%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) 5.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 4.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.91%", |
| "B) 5.04%", |
| "C) 4.78%", |
| "D) 4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 4.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.91%", |
| "B) 5.04%", |
| "C) 4.78%", |
| "D) 4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5227\nB) 1.1868\nC) 1.3788\nD) 1.2828", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5227", |
| "B) 1.1868", |
| "C) 1.3788", |
| "D) 1.2828" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2828", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5227\nB) 1.1868\nC) 1.3788\nD) 1.2828", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5227", |
| "B) 1.1868", |
| "C) 1.3788", |
| "D) 1.2828" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2828", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3024\nB) 1.2064\nC) 1.4464\nD) 1.5423", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3024", |
| "B) 1.2064", |
| "C) 1.4464", |
| "D) 1.5423" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3024", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3024\nB) 1.2064\nC) 1.4464\nD) 1.5423", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3024", |
| "B) 1.2064", |
| "C) 1.4464", |
| "D) 1.5423" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3024", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3398\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.6277", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3398", |
| "B) 1.4358", |
| "C) 1.5318", |
| "D) 1.6277" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3398\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.6277", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3398", |
| "B) 1.4358", |
| "C) 1.5318", |
| "D) 1.6277" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3398\nB) 1.5318\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.1959", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3398", |
| "B) 1.5318", |
| "C) 1.4358", |
| "D) 1.1959" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3398\nB) 1.5318\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.1959", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3398", |
| "B) 1.5318", |
| "C) 1.4358", |
| "D) 1.1959" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.6277\nD) 1.4358", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5318", |
| "B) 1.2918", |
| "C) 1.6277", |
| "D) 1.4358" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.6277\nD) 1.4358", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5318", |
| "B) 1.2918", |
| "C) 1.6277", |
| "D) 1.4358" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.5798", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4358", |
| "B) 1.2918", |
| "C) 1.6757", |
| "D) 1.5798" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.5798", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4358", |
| "B) 1.2918", |
| "C) 1.6757", |
| "D) 1.5798" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4358", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", |
| "event_date": "2008-11-25", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-01-22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-19", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-01-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-19.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 3.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 2.98%", |
| "C) 1.26%", |
| "D) 3.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-01-30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-27", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-01-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-27.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.39%", |
| "B) 3.84%", |
| "C) 2.98%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-03-18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-15", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-03-18, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-15.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 1.44%\nD) 2.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.81%", |
| "B) 3.97%", |
| "C) 1.44%", |
| "D) 2.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-04-30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-27", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-04-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-27.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 4.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.98%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.14%", |
| "D) 4.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-06-25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-22", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-06-25, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 4.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.19%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 0.36%", |
| "D) 4.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-08-05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-02", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-08-05, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-02.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.42%", |
| "B) 2.62%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 1.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-09-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-09-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-13.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 0.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.36%", |
| "B) 0.17%", |
| "C) 2.56%", |
| "D) 0.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-10-08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-05", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-10-08, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-05.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 1.19%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 1.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.39%", |
| "B) 1.19%", |
| "C) 2.78%", |
| "D) 1.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-10-29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-26", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-10-29, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-26.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.39%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 1.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.99%", |
| "B) 0.39%", |
| "C) 2.78%", |
| "D) 1.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2008-12-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2009", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2008-12-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-13.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.97%", |
| "B) 1.79%", |
| "C) 0.15%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2008 (released around 2008-02-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-25.)\n\nA) 178K\nB) 118K\nC) -65K\nD) -4K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 178K", |
| "B) 118K", |
| "C) -65K", |
| "D) -4K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200802", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2008 (released around 2008-03-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-29.)\n\nA) -62K\nB) -6K\nC) 50K\nD) -118K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -62K", |
| "B) -6K", |
| "C) 50K", |
| "D) -118K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-62K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200803", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2008 (released around 2008-04-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-28.)\n\nA) -13K\nB) -70K\nC) -241K\nD) -184K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13K", |
| "B) -70K", |
| "C) -241K", |
| "D) -184K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-70K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200804", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2008 (released around 2008-05-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-25.)\n\nA) -279K\nB) -159K\nC) -219K\nD) -399K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -279K", |
| "B) -159K", |
| "C) -219K", |
| "D) -399K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-219K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200805", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2008 (released around 2008-06-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-30.)\n\nA) -252K\nB) 1K\nC) -379K\nD) -189K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -252K", |
| "B) 1K", |
| "C) -379K", |
| "D) -189K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-189K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2008 (released around 2008-07-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-27.)\n\nA) -151K\nB) -281K\nC) -216K\nD) 44K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -151K", |
| "B) -281K", |
| "C) -216K", |
| "D) 44K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-151K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200807", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2008 (released around 2008-08-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-25.)\n\nA) -67K\nB) -203K\nC) -407K\nD) -339K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -67K", |
| "B) -203K", |
| "C) -407K", |
| "D) -339K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-203K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200808", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2008 (released around 2008-09-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-29.)\n\nA) -214K\nB) -503K\nC) -286K\nD) -69K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -214K", |
| "B) -503K", |
| "C) -286K", |
| "D) -69K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-286K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2008 (released around 2008-10-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) -532K\nB) -289K\nC) -208K\nD) -451K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -532K", |
| "B) -289K", |
| "C) -208K", |
| "D) -451K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-451K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200810", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2008 (released around 2008-11-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-31.)\n\nA) -469K\nB) -200K\nC) -379K\nD) -648K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -469K", |
| "B) -200K", |
| "C) -379K", |
| "D) -648K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-469K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200811", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2008 (released around 2008-12-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-28.)\n\nA) -854K\nB) -750K\nC) -959K\nD) -437K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -854K", |
| "B) -750K", |
| "C) -959K", |
| "D) -437K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-750K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-200812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2008 (released around 2009-01-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-26.)\n\nA) -926K\nB) -346K\nC) -694K\nD) -810K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -926K", |
| "B) -346K", |
| "C) -694K", |
| "D) -810K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-694K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2008 (released around 2008-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-06.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 4.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.53%", |
| "B) 3.88%", |
| "C) 4.71%", |
| "D) 4.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200803", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2008 (released around 2008-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.97%", |
| "B) 4.81%", |
| "C) 3.13%", |
| "D) 4.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200804", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2008 (released around 2008-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 3.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 3.90%", |
| "C) 4.74%", |
| "D) 3.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2008 (released around 2008-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-06.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 4.94%\nD) 5.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.30%", |
| "B) 5.85%", |
| "C) 4.94%", |
| "D) 5.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200807", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2008 (released around 2008-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 5.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.55%", |
| "B) 5.03%", |
| "C) 4.08%", |
| "D) 5.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2008 (released around 2008-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-06.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 6.39%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 4.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.95%", |
| "B) 6.39%", |
| "C) 4.48%", |
| "D) 4.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200810", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2008 (released around 2008-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 2.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.24%", |
| "B) 3.73%", |
| "C) 4.22%", |
| "D) 2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-200812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2009-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2008 (released around 2009-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-06.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.02%\nD) -0.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.11%", |
| "B) -1.72%", |
| "C) -0.02%", |
| "D) -0.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2008q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2008 (advance estimate released around 2008-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-14.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 1.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.45%", |
| "B) 0.92%", |
| "C) 1.86%", |
| "D) 1.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2008q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2008 (advance estimate released around 2008-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-14.)\n\nA) 1.38%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 3.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.38%", |
| "B) 2.49%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 3.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2008q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2008 (advance estimate released around 2008-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-14.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.06%\nD) -2.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.31%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 1.06%", |
| "D) -2.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2008q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2008", |
| "info_cutoff": "2009-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2008 (advance estimate released around 2009-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2009-02-14.)\n\nA) -1.56%\nB) 0.40%\nC) -2.54%\nD) -4.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.56%", |
| "B) 0.40%", |
| "C) -2.54%", |
| "D) -4.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2007-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-28.)\n\nA) 26.30\nB) 21.58\nC) 28.67\nD) 23.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.30", |
| "B) 21.58", |
| "C) 28.67", |
| "D) 23.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-04.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 23.05\nC) 20.66\nD) 27.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.43", |
| "B) 23.05", |
| "C) 20.66", |
| "D) 27.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-11.)\n\nA) 26.04\nB) 28.46\nC) 30.88\nD) 23.63", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.04", |
| "B) 28.46", |
| "C) 30.88", |
| "D) 23.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "28.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-25.)\n\nA) 25.25\nB) 32.85\nC) 27.78\nD) 22.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.25", |
| "B) 32.85", |
| "C) 27.78", |
| "D) 22.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-01.)\n\nA) 26.38\nB) 34.14\nC) 21.21\nD) 28.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.38", |
| "B) 34.14", |
| "C) 21.21", |
| "D) 28.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "28.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 27.60\nB) 32.90\nC) 19.65\nD) 35.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.60", |
| "B) 32.90", |
| "C) 19.65", |
| "D) 35.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-03-07? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-29.)\n\nA) 22.09\nB) 27.55\nC) 30.28\nD) 19.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.09", |
| "B) 27.55", |
| "C) 30.28", |
| "D) 19.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.55", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080314", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-03-14? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-07.)\n\nA) 33.93\nB) 25.62\nC) 31.16\nD) 39.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.93", |
| "B) 25.62", |
| "C) 31.16", |
| "D) 39.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080321", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-03-21? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 37.88\nB) 26.60\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.88", |
| "B) 26.60", |
| "C) 29.42", |
| "D) 32.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080404", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-04-04? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-28.)\n\nA) 25.61\nB) 34.28\nC) 22.72\nD) 28.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.61", |
| "B) 34.28", |
| "C) 22.72", |
| "D) 28.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080411", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-04-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-04.)\n\nA) 32.15\nB) 23.46\nC) 29.25\nD) 26.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.15", |
| "B) 23.46", |
| "C) 29.25", |
| "D) 26.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-04-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-11.)\n\nA) 18.02\nB) 29.62\nC) 23.82\nD) 15.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.02", |
| "B) 29.62", |
| "C) 23.82", |
| "D) 15.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "23.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080502", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-05-02? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-25.)\n\nA) 23.68\nB) 15.02\nC) 29.45\nD) 20.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.68", |
| "B) 15.02", |
| "C) 29.45", |
| "D) 20.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080509", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-05-09? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-02.)\n\nA) 19.73\nB) 22.61\nC) 16.85\nD) 25.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.73", |
| "B) 22.61", |
| "C) 16.85", |
| "D) 25.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080516", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-05-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-09.)\n\nA) 23.71\nB) 17.98\nC) 9.38\nD) 20.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.71", |
| "B) 17.98", |
| "C) 9.38", |
| "D) 20.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080606", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-06-06? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-30.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 20.70\nC) 23.56\nD) 14.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.13", |
| "B) 20.70", |
| "C) 23.56", |
| "D) 14.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "23.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080613", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-06-13? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.54\nB) 26.98\nC) 32.70\nD) 24.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.54", |
| "B) 26.98", |
| "C) 32.70", |
| "D) 24.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080620", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-06-20? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-13.)\n\nA) 22.87\nB) 17.13\nC) 28.61\nD) 14.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.87", |
| "B) 17.13", |
| "C) 28.61", |
| "D) 14.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "22.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080704", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-07-04? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-27.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 25.92\nC) 17.26\nD) 34.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.03", |
| "B) 25.92", |
| "C) 17.26", |
| "D) 34.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080711", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-07-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-04.)\n\nA) 18.80\nB) 21.69\nC) 27.49\nD) 30.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.80", |
| "B) 21.69", |
| "C) 27.49", |
| "D) 30.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.49", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080718", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-07-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-11.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 31.46\nC) 37.29\nD) 28.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.62", |
| "B) 31.46", |
| "C) 37.29", |
| "D) 28.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "28.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-08-01? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-25.)\n\nA) 24.23\nB) 18.32\nC) 27.18\nD) 21.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.23", |
| "B) 18.32", |
| "C) 27.18", |
| "D) 21.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080808", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-08-08? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 23.49\nC) 29.41\nD) 32.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.62", |
| "B) 23.49", |
| "C) 29.41", |
| "D) 32.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.49", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 18.59\nC) 21.55\nD) 24.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.63", |
| "B) 18.59", |
| "C) 21.55", |
| "D) 24.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "21.55", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080905", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-09-05? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-29.)\n\nA) 21.10\nB) 15.25\nC) 29.88\nD) 24.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.10", |
| "B) 15.25", |
| "C) 29.88", |
| "D) 24.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.03", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-09-12? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-05.)\n\nA) 25.66\nB) 34.42\nC) 19.82\nD) 22.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.66", |
| "B) 34.42", |
| "C) 19.82", |
| "D) 22.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20080919", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-09-19? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.45\nB) 36.22\nC) 39.14\nD) 33.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.45", |
| "B) 36.22", |
| "C) 39.14", |
| "D) 33.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "36.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-10-03? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 43.65\nB) 52.86\nC) 46.72\nD) 55.93", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 43.65", |
| "B) 52.86", |
| "C) 46.72", |
| "D) 55.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "46.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-10-10? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-03.)\n\nA) 73.23\nB) 60.11\nC) 76.51\nD) 69.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.23", |
| "B) 60.11", |
| "C) 76.51", |
| "D) 69.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "69.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081017", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-10-17? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-10.)\n\nA) 70.33\nB) 74.16\nC) 77.99\nD) 66.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.33", |
| "B) 74.16", |
| "C) 77.99", |
| "D) 66.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "70.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-11-07? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-31.)\n\nA) 47.40\nB) 63.68\nC) 52.83\nD) 79.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.40", |
| "B) 63.68", |
| "C) 52.83", |
| "D) 79.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "63.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-11-14? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-07.)\n\nA) 49.48\nB) 55.14\nC) 66.46\nD) 77.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 49.48", |
| "B) 55.14", |
| "C) 66.46", |
| "D) 77.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-11-21? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-14.)\n\nA) 62.89\nB) 86.85\nC) 68.88\nD) 80.86", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.89", |
| "B) 86.85", |
| "C) 68.88", |
| "D) 80.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "80.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-12-05? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-28.)\n\nA) 68.51\nB) 81.79\nC) 88.44\nD) 75.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.51", |
| "B) 81.79", |
| "C) 88.44", |
| "D) 75.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "68.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-12-12? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-05.)\n\nA) 79.62\nB) 58.91\nC) 65.81\nD) 52.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.62", |
| "B) 58.91", |
| "C) 65.81", |
| "D) 52.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "58.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20081219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2008-12-19? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-12.)\n\nA) 35.57\nB) 63.82\nC) 56.76\nD) 42.63", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.57", |
| "B) 63.82", |
| "C) 56.76", |
| "D) 42.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "56.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2007-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2007-12-28.)\n\nA) -9.17%\nB) -6.77%\nC) -1.96%\nD) -5.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.17%", |
| "B) -6.77%", |
| "C) -1.96%", |
| "D) -5.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-04.)\n\nA) -2.38%\nB) -6.09%\nC) -4.85%\nD) 1.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.38%", |
| "B) -6.09%", |
| "C) -4.85%", |
| "D) 1.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-11.)\n\nA) -4.33%\nB) -5.58%\nC) -6.83%\nD) -3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.33%", |
| "B) -5.58%", |
| "C) -6.83%", |
| "D) -3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-25.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 2.70%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.56%", |
| "B) 0.13%", |
| "C) 2.70%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-01.)\n\nA) -4.56%\nB) -7.15%\nC) 0.60%\nD) -3.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.56%", |
| "B) -7.15%", |
| "C) 0.60%", |
| "D) -3.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) -3.87%\nC) 2.70%\nD) -1.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.07%", |
| "B) -3.87%", |
| "C) 2.70%", |
| "D) -1.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080307", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-02-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-03-07? (Use only information available on or before 2008-02-29.)\n\nA) -6.00%\nB) -2.04%\nC) 1.91%\nD) -3.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.00%", |
| "B) -2.04%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) -3.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080314", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-03-14? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-07.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) 0.67%\nC) 1.99%\nD) -1.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.64%", |
| "B) 0.67%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) -1.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080321", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-03-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-03-21? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 7.78%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 3.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.08%", |
| "B) 7.78%", |
| "C) 2.37%", |
| "D) 3.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080404", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-03-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-04-04? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-28.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 1.19%\nD) 2.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 6.88%", |
| "C) 1.19%", |
| "D) 2.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080411", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-04-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-04.)\n\nA) -4.60%\nB) -3.15%\nC) -1.71%\nD) -6.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.60%", |
| "B) -3.15%", |
| "C) -1.71%", |
| "D) -6.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080418", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-04-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-04-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-11.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 8.50%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 4.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.68%", |
| "B) 8.50%", |
| "C) 5.59%", |
| "D) 4.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080502", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-04-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-05-02? (Use only information available on or before 2008-04-25.)\n\nA) 0.69%\nB) 6.61%\nC) -2.28%\nD) 2.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.69%", |
| "B) 6.61%", |
| "C) -2.28%", |
| "D) 2.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080509", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-05-09? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-02.)\n\nA) -0.75%\nB) 0.74%\nC) -5.23%\nD) -3.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.75%", |
| "B) 0.74%", |
| "C) -5.23%", |
| "D) -3.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080516", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-05-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-05-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-09.)\n\nA) -2.87%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 4.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.87%", |
| "B) 1.62%", |
| "C) 3.12%", |
| "D) 4.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080606", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-05-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-06-06? (Use only information available on or before 2008-05-30.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 2.32%\nC) -0.68%\nD) -5.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.18%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) -0.68%", |
| "D) -5.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080613", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-06-13? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) -3.25%\nB) -1.73%\nC) -4.77%\nD) -0.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.25%", |
| "B) -1.73%", |
| "C) -4.77%", |
| "D) -0.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080620", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-06-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-06-20? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-13.)\n\nA) -2.78%\nB) -7.36%\nC) -4.30%\nD) -1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.78%", |
| "B) -7.36%", |
| "C) -4.30%", |
| "D) -1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080704", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-06-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-07-04? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-27.)\n\nA) -6.74%\nB) -2.08%\nC) -0.52%\nD) 1.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.74%", |
| "B) -2.08%", |
| "C) -0.52%", |
| "D) 1.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080711", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-07-11? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-04.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) -4.88%\nC) -0.19%\nD) -1.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.37%", |
| "B) -4.88%", |
| "C) -0.19%", |
| "D) -1.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080718", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-07-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-07-18? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-11.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 6.32%\nD) 3.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.58%", |
| "B) 7.90%", |
| "C) 6.32%", |
| "D) 3.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080801", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-07-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-08-01? (Use only information available on or before 2008-07-25.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 6.86%\nC) -1.13%\nD) -2.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.06%", |
| "B) 6.86%", |
| "C) -1.13%", |
| "D) -2.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080808", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-08-08? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.23%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 10.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.23%", |
| "B) 5.62%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 10.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080815", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-08.)\n\nA) -4.31%\nB) 5.34%\nC) 0.52%\nD) -1.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.31%", |
| "B) 5.34%", |
| "C) 0.52%", |
| "D) -1.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080905", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-08-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-09-05? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-29.)\n\nA) 0.80%\nB) -8.74%\nC) -0.79%\nD) -3.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.80%", |
| "B) -8.74%", |
| "C) -0.79%", |
| "D) -3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-09-12? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-05.)\n\nA) -0.37%\nB) -5.17%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.37%", |
| "B) -5.17%", |
| "C) 2.83%", |
| "D) 4.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20080919", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-09-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-09-19? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 9.13%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) -0.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.13%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) 1.10%", |
| "D) -0.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-10-03? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) -5.29%\nB) 1.62%\nC) -1.83%\nD) -7.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.29%", |
| "B) 1.62%", |
| "C) -1.83%", |
| "D) -7.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-10-10? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-03.)\n\nA) -15.26%\nB) -9.56%\nC) -5.75%\nD) -11.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.26%", |
| "B) -9.56%", |
| "C) -5.75%", |
| "D) -11.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-11.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081017", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-10-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-10-17? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-10.)\n\nA) -7.21%\nB) -11.19%\nC) -3.23%\nD) -1.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.21%", |
| "B) -11.19%", |
| "C) -3.23%", |
| "D) -1.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-10-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-11-07? (Use only information available on or before 2008-10-31.)\n\nA) -11.86%\nB) -4.57%\nC) 0.28%\nD) -9.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.86%", |
| "B) -4.57%", |
| "C) 0.28%", |
| "D) -9.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-11-14? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-07.)\n\nA) -1.22%\nB) -8.66%\nC) -6.18%\nD) -11.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.22%", |
| "B) -8.66%", |
| "C) -6.18%", |
| "D) -11.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-11-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-11-21? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-14.)\n\nA) -14.24%\nB) 1.06%\nC) -4.04%\nD) -6.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.24%", |
| "B) 1.06%", |
| "C) -4.04%", |
| "D) -6.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-11-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-12-05? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-28.)\n\nA) 7.96%\nB) 5.28%\nC) 15.99%\nD) 10.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.96%", |
| "B) 5.28%", |
| "C) 15.99%", |
| "D) 10.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-12-12? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-05.)\n\nA) -4.76%\nB) -1.97%\nC) 6.39%\nD) -10.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.76%", |
| "B) -1.97%", |
| "C) 6.39%", |
| "D) -10.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20081219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2008-12-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2008-12-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2008-12-19? (Use only information available on or before 2008-12-12.)\n\nA) 12.15%\nB) -1.92%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 6.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.15%", |
| "B) -1.92%", |
| "C) 3.71%", |
| "D) 6.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2008 |
| } |
| ] |