| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.59%\nB) 76.21%\nC) 82.54%\nD) 80.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.59%", |
| "B) 76.21%", |
| "C) 82.54%", |
| "D) 80.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "78.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -5.61%\nB) -2.05%\nC) -3.23%\nD) -4.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.61%", |
| "B) -2.05%", |
| "C) -3.23%", |
| "D) -4.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,398K\nB) 1,500K\nC) 1,347K\nD) 1,245K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,398K", |
| "B) 1,500K", |
| "C) 1,347K", |
| "D) 1,245K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,347K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.69%", |
| "B) 2.84%", |
| "C) 3.47%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 103.37\nB) 106.84\nC) 99.90\nD) 109.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 103.37", |
| "B) 106.84", |
| "C) 99.90", |
| "D) 109.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "103.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) -6.85pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +10.85pp\nD) -0.95pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.85pp", |
| "B) +2.00pp", |
| "C) +10.85pp", |
| "D) -0.95pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 187.49\nB) 207.01\nC) 199.20\nD) 214.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187.49", |
| "B) 207.01", |
| "C) 199.20", |
| "D) 214.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "199.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 16.23%\nB) -18.78%\nC) 33.73%\nD) -1.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.23%", |
| "B) -18.78%", |
| "C) 33.73%", |
| "D) -1.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 60.70%\nB) 63.74%\nC) 62.52%\nD) 58.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.70%", |
| "B) 63.74%", |
| "C) 62.52%", |
| "D) 58.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 2.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) 1.97%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 2.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 141,802K\nB) 155,908K\nC) 150,618K\nD) 147,092K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 141,802K", |
| "B) 155,908K", |
| "C) 150,618K", |
| "D) 147,092K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "150,618K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 96.11\nB) 85.59\nC) 83.49\nD) 89.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.11", |
| "B) 85.59", |
| "C) 83.49", |
| "D) 89.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "89.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) $13,814B\nB) $15,145B\nC) $13,371B\nD) $14,701B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,814B", |
| "B) $15,145B", |
| "C) $13,371B", |
| "D) $14,701B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,814B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 215.34\nB) 199.00\nC) 205.53\nD) 192.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 215.34", |
| "B) 199.00", |
| "C) 205.53", |
| "D) 192.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "199.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,979.95\nB) 2,715.25\nC) 2,847.60\nD) 3,244.66", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,979.95", |
| "B) 2,715.25", |
| "C) 2,847.60", |
| "D) 3,244.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,847.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 87.85\nB) 100.38\nC) 91.43\nD) 96.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.85", |
| "B) 100.38", |
| "C) 91.43", |
| "D) 96.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "96.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 14.91\nB) 17.06\nC) 12.76\nD) 21.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.91", |
| "B) 17.06", |
| "C) 12.76", |
| "D) 21.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 4.49%\nC) -4.56%\nD) 10.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.50%", |
| "B) 4.49%", |
| "C) -4.56%", |
| "D) 10.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 9.92\nB) 16.31\nC) 12.05\nD) 14.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.92", |
| "B) 16.31", |
| "C) 12.05", |
| "D) 14.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 238.93\nB) 247.56\nC) 261.95\nD) 253.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 238.93", |
| "B) 247.56", |
| "C) 261.95", |
| "D) 253.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "253.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $-38,786M\nB) $-45,354M\nC) $-40,975M\nD) $-34,407M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-38,786M", |
| "B) $-45,354M", |
| "C) $-40,975M", |
| "D) $-34,407M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-38,786M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 280.38\nB) 262.22\nC) 273.11\nD) 251.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 280.38", |
| "B) 262.22", |
| "C) 273.11", |
| "D) 251.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "262.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,843.47\nB) 3,535.94\nC) 3,120.46\nD) 2,981.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,843.47", |
| "B) 3,535.94", |
| "C) 3,120.46", |
| "D) 2,981.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,120.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.92%", |
| "B) 2.96%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 28,004.89\nB) 32,415.35\nC) 30,945.20\nD) 29,475.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28,004.89", |
| "B) 32,415.35", |
| "C) 30,945.20", |
| "D) 29,475.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "28,004.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 3.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.90%", |
| "B) 3.48%", |
| "C) 3.09%", |
| "D) 3.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.58%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 6.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.58%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 5.28%", |
| "D) 6.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 62.42%\nC) 59.39%\nD) 60.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.63%", |
| "B) 62.42%", |
| "C) 59.39%", |
| "D) 60.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "60.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $23.83/hr\nB) $21.64/hr\nC) $25.14/hr\nD) $22.52/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.83/hr", |
| "B) $21.64/hr", |
| "C) $25.14/hr", |
| "D) $22.52/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.83/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,480B\nB) $14,353B\nC) $13,978B\nD) $15,104B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,480B", |
| "B) $14,353B", |
| "C) $13,978B", |
| "D) $15,104B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,353B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +3.40pp\nC) +0.44pp\nD) -1.54pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.55pp", |
| "B) +3.40pp", |
| "C) +0.44pp", |
| "D) -1.54pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.44pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.68%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.68%", |
| "B) 2.13%", |
| "C) 1.74%", |
| "D) 2.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 256.04\nB) 262.56\nC) 246.25\nD) 239.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 256.04", |
| "B) 262.56", |
| "C) 246.25", |
| "D) 239.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "256.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) $26.85/bbl\nB) $55.58/bbl\nC) $46.00/bbl\nD) $36.42/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $26.85/bbl", |
| "B) $55.58/bbl", |
| "C) $46.00/bbl", |
| "D) $36.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$55.58/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 112.48\nB) 120.40\nC) 116.44\nD) 106.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.48", |
| "B) 120.40", |
| "C) 116.44", |
| "D) 106.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "116.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 154,596K\nB) 159,737K\nC) 147,742K\nD) 151,169K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 154,596K", |
| "B) 159,737K", |
| "C) 147,742K", |
| "D) 151,169K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "151,169K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 8.11%\nC) 11.83%\nD) -10.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.67%", |
| "B) 8.11%", |
| "C) 11.83%", |
| "D) -10.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.47%\nB) -2.21%\nC) 9.31%\nD) -13.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.47%", |
| "B) -2.21%", |
| "C) 9.31%", |
| "D) -13.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) -12.06%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 15.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.16%", |
| "B) -12.06%", |
| "C) 4.60%", |
| "D) 15.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 61.40%\nB) 64.57%\nC) 66.47%\nD) 63.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.40%", |
| "B) 64.57%", |
| "C) 66.47%", |
| "D) 63.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "63.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 4.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.26%", |
| "B) 3.69%", |
| "C) 5.99%", |
| "D) 4.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) $48.16/bbl\nB) $54.51/bbl\nC) $67.20/bbl\nD) $41.82/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $48.16/bbl", |
| "B) $54.51/bbl", |
| "C) $67.20/bbl", |
| "D) $41.82/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$54.51/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.94%", |
| "B) 3.27%", |
| "C) 2.60%", |
| "D) 1.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.06pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +0.51pp\nD) +0.40pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.06pp", |
| "B) +0.74pp", |
| "C) +0.51pp", |
| "D) +0.40pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 7,822.15\nB) 7,233.98\nC) 8,998.48\nD) 8,410.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,822.15", |
| "B) 7,233.98", |
| "C) 8,998.48", |
| "D) 8,410.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,822.15", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 105.25\nB) 102.96\nC) 107.53\nD) 99.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.25", |
| "B) 102.96", |
| "C) 107.53", |
| "D) 99.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "102.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 20.75\nB) 12.13\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.75", |
| "B) 12.13", |
| "C) 16.44", |
| "D) 22.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $-53,147M\nB) $-46,846M\nC) $-57,348M\nD) $-51,047M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-53,147M", |
| "B) $-46,846M", |
| "C) $-57,348M", |
| "D) $-51,047M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-51,047M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.14%", |
| "B) 2.26%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) 2.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $211,408M\nB) $224,565M\nC) $237,722M\nD) $244,300M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $211,408M", |
| "B) $224,565M", |
| "C) $237,722M", |
| "D) $244,300M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$224,565M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 3.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.19%", |
| "B) 4.55%", |
| "C) 4.37%", |
| "D) 3.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.40%", |
| "B) 1.53%", |
| "C) 1.66%", |
| "D) 1.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) -18.41%\nB) 14.76%\nC) -35.00%\nD) -68.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -18.41%", |
| "B) 14.76%", |
| "C) -35.00%", |
| "D) -68.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-18.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 117.1875\nB) 108.8000\nC) 111.5958\nD) 106.0042", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 117.1875", |
| "B) 108.8000", |
| "C) 111.5958", |
| "D) 106.0042" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "108.8000", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.24pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.56pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.24pp", |
| "B) +0.16pp", |
| "C) +0.40pp", |
| "D) +0.56pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.11%", |
| "B) 0.92%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 1.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.7680\nB) 6.3662\nC) 7.4376\nD) 7.1698", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.7680", |
| "B) 6.3662", |
| "C) 7.4376", |
| "D) 7.1698" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.7680", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) -0.62pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.34pp", |
| "B) +0.21pp", |
| "C) +1.04pp", |
| "D) -0.62pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.21pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,494K\nB) 1,259K\nC) 1,353K\nD) 1,306K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,494K", |
| "B) 1,259K", |
| "C) 1,353K", |
| "D) 1,306K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,353K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,897.55\nB) 3,019.50\nC) 3,141.45\nD) 2,775.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,897.55", |
| "B) 3,019.50", |
| "C) 3,141.45", |
| "D) 2,775.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,775.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 1.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.40%", |
| "B) 0.36%", |
| "C) 2.44%", |
| "D) 1.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) 2.93%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -15.84%\nB) -1.63%\nC) -8.73%\nD) 1.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.84%", |
| "B) -1.63%", |
| "C) -8.73%", |
| "D) 1.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.2651\nB) 6.2228\nC) 6.4833\nD) 6.8742", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.2651", |
| "B) 6.2228", |
| "C) 6.4833", |
| "D) 6.8742" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.8742", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) $63.32/bbl\nB) $45.75/bbl\nC) $75.03/bbl\nD) $80.89/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $63.32/bbl", |
| "B) $45.75/bbl", |
| "C) $75.03/bbl", |
| "D) $80.89/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$63.32/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 197.51\nB) 211.66\nC) 232.88\nD) 218.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 197.51", |
| "B) 211.66", |
| "C) 232.88", |
| "D) 218.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "211.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.10%\nB) -16.88%\nC) -7.29%\nD) -0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.10%", |
| "B) -16.88%", |
| "C) -7.29%", |
| "D) -0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 24,141.92\nB) 22,704.44\nC) 28,454.34\nD) 25,579.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24,141.92", |
| "B) 22,704.44", |
| "C) 28,454.34", |
| "D) 25,579.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25,579.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,621,000\nB) 1,883,910\nC) 1,752,455\nD) 1,226,634", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,621,000", |
| "B) 1,883,910", |
| "C) 1,752,455", |
| "D) 1,226,634" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,621,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.46%", |
| "B) 2.31%", |
| "C) 2.61%", |
| "D) 2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 271.98\nB) 243.19\nC) 261.19\nD) 253.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 271.98", |
| "B) 243.19", |
| "C) 261.19", |
| "D) 253.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "261.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) 163,168\nB) 179,112\nC) 226,944\nD) 211,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 163,168", |
| "B) 179,112", |
| "C) 226,944", |
| "D) 211,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "211,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.65%\nB) -15.29%\nC) -19.10%\nD) -0.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.65%", |
| "B) -15.29%", |
| "C) -19.10%", |
| "D) -0.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.45%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 0.57%\nD) -5.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.45%", |
| "B) 3.53%", |
| "C) 0.57%", |
| "D) -5.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.93%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 3.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.93%", |
| "B) 4.30%", |
| "C) 3.75%", |
| "D) 3.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 3.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.39%", |
| "B) 3.61%", |
| "C) 2.84%", |
| "D) 3.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 1.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.86%", |
| "B) 2.66%", |
| "C) 2.25%", |
| "D) 3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) 7.71%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 6.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.71%", |
| "B) 8.54%", |
| "C) 6.05%", |
| "D) 6.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0296\nB) 1.2296\nC) 1.1546\nD) 1.1046", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0296", |
| "B) 1.2296", |
| "C) 1.1546", |
| "D) 1.1046" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1046", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 17.66%\nB) 28.56%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 34.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.66%", |
| "B) 28.56%", |
| "C) 6.75%", |
| "D) 34.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) 185,332\nB) 215,000\nC) 259,502\nD) 170,498", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 185,332", |
| "B) 215,000", |
| "C) 259,502", |
| "D) 170,498" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "215,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,947,215\nB) 1,334,177\nC) 1,702,000\nD) 2,069,823", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,947,215", |
| "B) 1,334,177", |
| "C) 1,702,000", |
| "D) 2,069,823" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,702,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,724.67\nB) 3,229.82\nC) 2,598.38\nD) 2,850.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,724.67", |
| "B) 3,229.82", |
| "C) 2,598.38", |
| "D) 2,850.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,850.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.28%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.88%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 4.28%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 6.90%\nC) 7.32%\nD) 6.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.64%", |
| "B) 6.90%", |
| "C) 7.32%", |
| "D) 6.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $16,888B\nB) $14,938B\nC) $16,400B\nD) $15,425B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,888B", |
| "B) $14,938B", |
| "C) $16,400B", |
| "D) $15,425B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,400B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 114.34\nB) 124.91\nC) 122.26\nD) 118.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.34", |
| "B) 124.91", |
| "C) 122.26", |
| "D) 118.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "118.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 118.60\nB) 115.61\nC) 112.62\nD) 121.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 118.60", |
| "B) 115.61", |
| "C) 112.62", |
| "D) 121.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "118.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) $14,320B\nB) $13,405B\nC) $12,491B\nD) $12,948B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,320B", |
| "B) $13,405B", |
| "C) $12,491B", |
| "D) $12,948B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,405B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 206.15\nB) 188.78\nC) 199.20\nD) 181.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 206.15", |
| "B) 188.78", |
| "C) 199.20", |
| "D) 181.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "199.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,317B\nB) $15,499B\nC) $13,923B\nD) $14,711B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,317B", |
| "B) $15,499B", |
| "C) $13,923B", |
| "D) $14,711B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,711B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.1268\nB) 1.2154\nC) 1.3483\nD) 0.9939", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1268", |
| "B) 1.2154", |
| "C) 1.3483", |
| "D) 0.9939" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1268", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 101.47\nB) 103.67\nC) 106.97\nD) 99.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.47", |
| "B) 103.67", |
| "C) 106.97", |
| "D) 99.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "103.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) $100.02/bbl\nB) $46.16/bbl\nC) $73.09/bbl\nD) $55.14/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $100.02/bbl", |
| "B) $46.16/bbl", |
| "C) $73.09/bbl", |
| "D) $55.14/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$73.09/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 142,894K\nB) 146,481K\nC) 155,447K\nD) 150,067K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 142,894K", |
| "B) 146,481K", |
| "C) 155,447K", |
| "D) 150,067K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "150,067K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $-47,570M\nB) $-51,679M\nC) $-45,516M\nD) $-43,461M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-47,570M", |
| "B) $-51,679M", |
| "C) $-45,516M", |
| "D) $-43,461M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-47,570M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) $52.67/bbl\nB) $57.54/bbl\nC) $42.94/bbl\nD) $47.81/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $52.67/bbl", |
| "B) $57.54/bbl", |
| "C) $42.94/bbl", |
| "D) $47.81/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$57.54/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.64%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.64%", |
| "B) 1.09%", |
| "C) 1.48%", |
| "D) 1.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 4.28%", |
| "C) 3.26%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 3.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.60%", |
| "B) 4.71%", |
| "C) 2.49%", |
| "D) 3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.10%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) 2.43%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) -2.31%\nB) 9.66%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.31%", |
| "B) 9.66%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) 3.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 1.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) 3.24%", |
| "C) 1.02%", |
| "D) 1.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 1.13%", |
| "C) 0.29%", |
| "D) 2.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) -4.35%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 11.78%\nD) 17.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.35%", |
| "B) 6.40%", |
| "C) 11.78%", |
| "D) 17.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $24.60/hr\nB) $22.60/hr\nC) $23.40/hr\nD) $21.41/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.60/hr", |
| "B) $22.60/hr", |
| "C) $23.40/hr", |
| "D) $21.41/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.40/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.32%", |
| "B) 2.13%", |
| "C) 1.92%", |
| "D) 1.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) -0.10%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 16.08%\nD) 10.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.10%", |
| "B) 5.29%", |
| "C) 16.08%", |
| "D) 10.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 1.60%\nD) -5.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.27%", |
| "B) -0.74%", |
| "C) 1.60%", |
| "D) -5.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $216,414M\nB) $225,708M\nC) $230,355M\nD) $235,002M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $216,414M", |
| "B) $225,708M", |
| "C) $230,355M", |
| "D) $235,002M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$230,355M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,679,739\nB) 1,972,261\nC) 1,533,478\nD) 1,826,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,679,739", |
| "B) 1,972,261", |
| "C) 1,533,478", |
| "D) 1,826,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,826,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.80%\nB) 57.76%\nC) 62.02%\nD) 59.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.80%", |
| "B) 57.76%", |
| "C) 62.02%", |
| "D) 59.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) 178,850\nB) 207,000\nC) 249,224\nD) 235,150", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 178,850", |
| "B) 207,000", |
| "C) 249,224", |
| "D) 235,150" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "207,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 118.6577\nB) 103.5282\nC) 109.5800\nD) 115.6318", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 118.6577", |
| "B) 103.5282", |
| "C) 109.5800", |
| "D) 115.6318" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "109.5800", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) $86.95/bbl\nB) $37.11/bbl\nC) $78.64/bbl\nD) $62.03/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $86.95/bbl", |
| "B) $37.11/bbl", |
| "C) $78.64/bbl", |
| "D) $62.03/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$62.03/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.04pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.56pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.04pp", |
| "B) -0.73pp", |
| "C) +0.30pp", |
| "D) +0.56pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $71,197M\nB) $68,101M\nC) $69,649M\nD) $63,456M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $71,197M", |
| "B) $68,101M", |
| "C) $69,649M", |
| "D) $63,456M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$68,101M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 284.27\nB) 254.32\nC) 265.55\nD) 273.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 284.27", |
| "B) 254.32", |
| "C) 265.55", |
| "D) 273.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "265.55", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.15%\nB) -15.58%\nC) 11.58%\nD) -4.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.15%", |
| "B) -15.58%", |
| "C) 11.58%", |
| "D) -4.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 103.44\nB) 108.61\nC) 100.33\nD) 106.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 103.44", |
| "B) 108.61", |
| "C) 100.33", |
| "D) 106.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "103.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 74.02%\nB) 78.00%\nC) 75.61%\nD) 79.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.02%", |
| "B) 78.00%", |
| "C) 75.61%", |
| "D) 79.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) -23.86%\nC) -13.01%\nD) -7.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.27%", |
| "B) -23.86%", |
| "C) -13.01%", |
| "D) -7.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-13.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 100.9123\nB) 120.1677\nC) 116.9585\nD) 110.5400", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.9123", |
| "B) 120.1677", |
| "C) 116.9585", |
| "D) 110.5400" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "110.5400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +0.17pp\nD) +0.72pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.50pp", |
| "B) +0.83pp", |
| "C) +0.17pp", |
| "D) +0.72pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.86%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 1.98%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) -2.54%\nC) -1.34%\nD) -0.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.26%", |
| "B) -2.54%", |
| "C) -1.34%", |
| "D) -0.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.98%\nB) 27.86%\nC) 12.60%\nD) 16.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.98%", |
| "B) 27.86%", |
| "C) 12.60%", |
| "D) 16.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.69%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.35%", |
| "B) 2.69%", |
| "C) 2.24%", |
| "D) 2.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.55%", |
| "B) 3.87%", |
| "C) 3.21%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 118.44\nB) 108.10\nC) 114.99\nD) 111.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 118.44", |
| "B) 108.10", |
| "C) 114.99", |
| "D) 111.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "114.99", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.53%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 2.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.53%", |
| "B) 2.77%", |
| "C) 1.25%", |
| "D) 2.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 117.22\nB) 122.27\nC) 112.17\nD) 109.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 117.22", |
| "B) 122.27", |
| "C) 112.17", |
| "D) 109.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "117.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,422K\nB) 1,375K\nC) 1,328K\nD) 1,234K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,422K", |
| "B) 1,375K", |
| "C) 1,328K", |
| "D) 1,234K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,375K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.15%\nB) 7.85%\nC) 8.50%\nD) 7.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.15%", |
| "B) 7.85%", |
| "C) 8.50%", |
| "D) 7.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.24%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 1.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.85%", |
| "B) 2.24%", |
| "C) 1.59%", |
| "D) 1.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 3.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.82%", |
| "B) 2.68%", |
| "C) 2.55%", |
| "D) 3.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 12.21%\nB) 6.18%\nC) 9.19%\nD) 15.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.21%", |
| "B) 6.18%", |
| "C) 9.19%", |
| "D) 15.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) -7.07%\nC) -0.05%\nD) 4.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.29%", |
| "B) -7.07%", |
| "C) -0.05%", |
| "D) 4.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,233K\nB) 1,392K\nC) 1,127K\nD) 1,286K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,233K", |
| "B) 1,392K", |
| "C) 1,127K", |
| "D) 1,286K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,286K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.37%", |
| "B) 1.97%", |
| "C) 1.77%", |
| "D) 2.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $13,790B\nB) $14,558B\nC) $14,942B\nD) $15,710B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,790B", |
| "B) $14,558B", |
| "C) $14,942B", |
| "D) $15,710B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,558B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 99.75\nB) 105.92\nC) 102.84\nD) 109.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.75", |
| "B) 105.92", |
| "C) 102.84", |
| "D) 109.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "102.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.14%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 7.73%\nD) 6.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.14%", |
| "B) 7.31%", |
| "C) 7.73%", |
| "D) 6.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $3,271M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $3,271M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,271M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.97pp\nB) -1.98pp\nC) -0.99pp\nD) -2.98pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.97pp", |
| "B) -1.98pp", |
| "C) -0.99pp", |
| "D) -2.98pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.98pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,354M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $3,354M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,354M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,378,516\nB) 1,754,242\nC) 1,253,273\nD) 1,629,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,378,516", |
| "B) 1,754,242", |
| "C) 1,253,273", |
| "D) 1,629,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,629,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 25,883.25\nB) 23,160.74\nC) 24,521.99\nD) 21,799.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25,883.25", |
| "B) 23,160.74", |
| "C) 24,521.99", |
| "D) 21,799.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25,883.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2536\nB) 1.1106\nC) 1.1964\nD) 1.0534", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2536", |
| "B) 1.1106", |
| "C) 1.1964", |
| "D) 1.0534" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1106", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -9.36%\nB) 0.03%\nC) -6.23%\nD) -15.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.36%", |
| "B) 0.03%", |
| "C) -6.23%", |
| "D) -15.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 17.19%\nB) -8.90%\nC) -3.68%\nD) 6.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.19%", |
| "B) -8.90%", |
| "C) -3.68%", |
| "D) 6.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) -6.18%\nC) -1.59%\nD) 7.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) -6.18%", |
| "C) -1.59%", |
| "D) 7.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.00%\nB) -11.71%\nC) 2.42%\nD) -2.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.00%", |
| "B) -11.71%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) -2.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-11.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.69%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 2.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.69%", |
| "B) 1.13%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 2.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 2.69%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 2.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 2.69%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 2.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.25%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 7.67%\nD) -7.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.25%", |
| "B) 4.70%", |
| "C) 7.67%", |
| "D) -7.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 7.4066\nB) 7.0075\nC) 6.6084\nD) 7.6726", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.4066", |
| "B) 7.0075", |
| "C) 6.6084", |
| "D) 7.6726" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.0075", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.59%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.59%", |
| "B) 3.40%", |
| "C) 3.80%", |
| "D) 4.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $13,698B\nB) $16,214B\nC) $13,195B\nD) $14,704B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,698B", |
| "B) $16,214B", |
| "C) $13,195B", |
| "D) $14,704B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,704B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 101.94\nB) 107.03\nC) 98.88\nD) 105.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.94", |
| "B) 107.03", |
| "C) 98.88", |
| "D) 105.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "101.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.00%", |
| "B) 2.76%", |
| "C) 1.62%", |
| "D) 2.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 3.10%\nD) 2.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.34%", |
| "B) 1.86%", |
| "C) 3.10%", |
| "D) 2.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 19.04\nB) 14.75\nC) 16.89\nD) 21.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.04", |
| "B) 14.75", |
| "C) 16.89", |
| "D) 21.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) 229,000\nB) 187,955\nC) 270,045\nD) 256,363", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 229,000", |
| "B) 187,955", |
| "C) 270,045", |
| "D) 256,363" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "229,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 0.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 2.07%", |
| "C) 2.79%", |
| "D) 0.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $3,316M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $3,316M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,316M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) -9.57%\nB) -5.06%\nC) 8.49%\nD) 3.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.57%", |
| "B) -5.06%", |
| "C) 8.49%", |
| "D) 3.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,293K\nB) 1,343K\nC) 1,192K\nD) 1,444K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,293K", |
| "B) 1,343K", |
| "C) 1,192K", |
| "D) 1,444K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,293K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.24%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.24%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 1.77%", |
| "D) 1.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 3.87%\nD) 5.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.49%", |
| "B) 2.73%", |
| "C) 3.87%", |
| "D) 5.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 0.78%\nD) 2.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.66%", |
| "B) 3.40%", |
| "C) 0.78%", |
| "D) 2.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 1.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.13%", |
| "B) 0.88%", |
| "C) 2.96%", |
| "D) 1.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 66.25%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 64.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.25%", |
| "B) 63.10%", |
| "C) 61.21%", |
| "D) 64.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "63.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.22pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.47pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.22pp", |
| "B) +0.38pp", |
| "C) +0.30pp", |
| "D) +0.47pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.54%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.54%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 3.25%", |
| "D) 1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 15.51%\nB) 4.54%\nC) 11.85%\nD) 22.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.51%", |
| "B) 4.54%", |
| "C) 11.85%", |
| "D) 22.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "15.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,995B\nB) $14,117B\nC) $15,240B\nD) $14,492B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,995B", |
| "B) $14,117B", |
| "C) $15,240B", |
| "D) $14,492B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,117B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 8,041.64\nB) 6,333.95\nC) 7,472.41\nD) 5,764.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,041.64", |
| "B) 6,333.95", |
| "C) 7,472.41", |
| "D) 5,764.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,472.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.10%\nB) -6.59%\nC) -2.92%\nD) 4.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.10%", |
| "B) -6.59%", |
| "C) -2.92%", |
| "D) 4.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.62%\nB) 1.30%\nC) -10.54%\nD) 4.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.62%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) -10.54%", |
| "D) 4.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.2944\nB) 7.0327\nC) 6.6402\nD) 7.6869", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.2944", |
| "B) 7.0327", |
| "C) 6.6402", |
| "D) 7.6869" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.0327", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 16.69%\nB) -53.11%\nC) -18.21%\nD) -35.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.69%", |
| "B) -53.11%", |
| "C) -18.21%", |
| "D) -35.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-18.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 9,581.49\nB) 7,161.66\nC) 8,976.53\nD) 7,766.62", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,581.49", |
| "B) 7,161.66", |
| "C) 8,976.53", |
| "D) 7,766.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7,766.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 12.37%\nC) 9.38%\nD) 0.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.39%", |
| "B) 12.37%", |
| "C) 9.38%", |
| "D) 0.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $-53,100M\nB) $-48,676M\nC) $-50,888M\nD) $-46,464M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-53,100M", |
| "B) $-48,676M", |
| "C) $-50,888M", |
| "D) $-46,464M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-48,676M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 2.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.87%", |
| "B) 4.79%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 2.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 188.56\nB) 216.23\nC) 230.07\nD) 209.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 188.56", |
| "B) 216.23", |
| "C) 230.07", |
| "D) 209.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "209.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 255.30\nB) 270.26\nC) 264.28\nD) 249.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 255.30", |
| "B) 270.26", |
| "C) 264.28", |
| "D) 249.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "255.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 0.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.23%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 3.95%", |
| "D) 0.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 2.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.02%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 2.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 4.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.91%", |
| "B) 3.21%", |
| "C) 5.48%", |
| "D) 4.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 0.74%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.43%", |
| "B) 1.77%", |
| "C) 0.74%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $14,694B\nB) $16,066B\nC) $16,523B\nD) $17,437B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,694B", |
| "B) $16,066B", |
| "C) $16,523B", |
| "D) $17,437B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,066B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $500,173M\nB) $475,397M\nC) $512,561M\nD) $524,949M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $500,173M", |
| "B) $475,397M", |
| "C) $512,561M", |
| "D) $524,949M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$512,561M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,576K\nB) 1,529K\nC) 1,341K\nD) 1,482K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,576K", |
| "B) 1,529K", |
| "C) 1,341K", |
| "D) 1,482K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,482K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,001B\nB) $15,555B\nC) $15,108B\nD) $16,895B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,001B", |
| "B) $15,555B", |
| "C) $15,108B", |
| "D) $16,895B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,001B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 4.66%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 3.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.09%", |
| "B) 4.66%", |
| "C) 5.24%", |
| "D) 3.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) 1.13%", |
| "C) 1.50%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) -13.00%\nB) -30.44%\nC) 39.32%\nD) 4.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.00%", |
| "B) -30.44%", |
| "C) 39.32%", |
| "D) 4.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $514,215M\nB) $552,761M\nC) $539,912M\nD) $475,669M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $514,215M", |
| "B) $552,761M", |
| "C) $539,912M", |
| "D) $475,669M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$514,215M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 4.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.77%", |
| "B) 3.61%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 4.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $70,339M\nB) $62,582M\nC) $67,236M\nD) $71,890M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $70,339M", |
| "B) $62,582M", |
| "C) $67,236M", |
| "D) $71,890M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$67,236M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 28.08%\nB) 44.73%\nC) 11.43%\nD) -5.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.08%", |
| "B) 44.73%", |
| "C) 11.43%", |
| "D) -5.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) $13,234B\nB) $13,700B\nC) $12,768B\nD) $11,836B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,234B", |
| "B) $13,700B", |
| "C) $12,768B", |
| "D) $11,836B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,234B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 3.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.04%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 3.11%", |
| "D) 3.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 2.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 1.41%", |
| "C) 1.84%", |
| "D) 2.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.72%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -3.51%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.72%", |
| "B) -8.12%", |
| "C) -3.51%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $231,710M\nB) $225,157M\nC) $251,368M\nD) $238,263M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $231,710M", |
| "B) $225,157M", |
| "C) $251,368M", |
| "D) $238,263M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$231,710M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 100.45\nB) 104.09\nC) 110.16\nD) 107.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.45", |
| "B) 104.09", |
| "C) 110.16", |
| "D) 107.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.33pp\nB) +0.41pp\nC) +0.50pp\nD) +0.59pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.33pp", |
| "B) +0.41pp", |
| "C) +0.50pp", |
| "D) +0.59pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.96%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.37%\nD) -1.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.96%", |
| "B) 0.70%", |
| "C) 5.37%", |
| "D) -1.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 257.88\nB) 251.00\nC) 244.12\nD) 264.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 257.88", |
| "B) 251.00", |
| "C) 244.12", |
| "D) 264.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "257.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 113.46\nB) 117.20\nC) 110.97\nD) 119.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.46", |
| "B) 117.20", |
| "C) 110.97", |
| "D) 119.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "117.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.26pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.13pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.26pp", |
| "B) -0.38pp", |
| "C) +0.00pp", |
| "D) +0.13pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 24.71%\nB) 19.64%\nC) 29.79%\nD) 14.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.71%", |
| "B) 19.64%", |
| "C) 29.79%", |
| "D) 14.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 1.80%\nD) 4.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.08%", |
| "B) 2.44%", |
| "C) 1.80%", |
| "D) 4.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $23.96/hr\nB) $23.19/hr\nC) $25.12/hr\nD) $22.03/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.96/hr", |
| "B) $23.19/hr", |
| "C) $25.12/hr", |
| "D) $22.03/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.19/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 1.47%\nD) 2.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.51%", |
| "B) 0.77%", |
| "C) 1.47%", |
| "D) 2.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.61%", |
| "B) 3.04%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.49pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.10pp", |
| "B) +0.49pp", |
| "C) -0.03pp", |
| "D) +0.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.31%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 5.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.31%", |
| "B) 5.74%", |
| "C) 4.04%", |
| "D) 5.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 3.28%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 2.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.70%", |
| "B) 3.28%", |
| "C) 2.49%", |
| "D) 2.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 9,159.62\nB) 7,303.24\nC) 7,922.04\nD) 8,540.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,159.62", |
| "B) 7,303.24", |
| "C) 7,922.04", |
| "D) 8,540.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8,540.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.83%\nB) 7.51%\nC) 8.36%\nD) 3.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.83%", |
| "B) 7.51%", |
| "C) 8.36%", |
| "D) 3.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) -2.06%\nC) 6.84%\nD) -10.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.99%", |
| "B) -2.06%", |
| "C) 6.84%", |
| "D) -10.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.66pp\nB) -9.58pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) +8.18pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.66pp", |
| "B) -9.58pp", |
| "C) -0.70pp", |
| "D) +8.18pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $3,244M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $3,244M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,244M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.05pp\nC) -0.35pp\nD) -0.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.20pp", |
| "B) -0.05pp", |
| "C) -0.35pp", |
| "D) -0.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 1.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.14%", |
| "B) 2.42%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 1.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 85.58\nB) 91.06\nC) 93.80\nD) 96.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 85.58", |
| "B) 91.06", |
| "C) 93.80", |
| "D) 96.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "93.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.65%", |
| "B) 4.91%", |
| "C) 3.21%", |
| "D) 4.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 77.95%\nB) 73.27%\nC) 80.29%\nD) 75.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.95%", |
| "B) 73.27%", |
| "C) 80.29%", |
| "D) 75.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "77.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 97.6517\nB) 106.1200\nC) 114.5883\nD) 103.2972", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 97.6517", |
| "B) 106.1200", |
| "C) 114.5883", |
| "D) 103.2972" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "106.1200", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 0.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 2.84%", |
| "C) 1.52%", |
| "D) 0.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $15,013B\nB) $14,000B\nC) $15,520B\nD) $14,506B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,013B", |
| "B) $14,000B", |
| "C) $15,520B", |
| "D) $14,506B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,506B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 102.39\nB) 99.32\nC) 107.51\nD) 105.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 102.39", |
| "B) 99.32", |
| "C) 107.51", |
| "D) 105.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "102.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.04%", |
| "B) 2.43%", |
| "C) 1.64%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $24.45/hr\nB) $22.35/hr\nC) $23.61/hr\nD) $21.51/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.45/hr", |
| "B) $22.35/hr", |
| "C) $23.61/hr", |
| "D) $21.51/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$23.61/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.87%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.62%", |
| "B) 1.87%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 151,667K\nB) 143,273K\nC) 155,024K\nD) 148,310K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 151,667K", |
| "B) 143,273K", |
| "C) 155,024K", |
| "D) 148,310K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "151,667K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,662B\nB) $16,238B\nC) $14,815B\nD) $16,713B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,662B", |
| "B) $16,238B", |
| "C) $14,815B", |
| "D) $16,713B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,238B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) +0.23pp\nD) -0.51pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.72pp", |
| "B) -0.02pp", |
| "C) +0.23pp", |
| "D) -0.51pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.23pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 107.53\nB) 92.47\nC) 105.02\nD) 100.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.53", |
| "B) 92.47", |
| "C) 105.02", |
| "D) 100.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "100.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) -0.15pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.10pp", |
| "B) -0.06pp", |
| "C) +0.18pp", |
| "D) -0.15pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 99.56\nB) 102.64\nC) 105.72\nD) 108.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.56", |
| "B) 102.64", |
| "C) 105.72", |
| "D) 108.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "102.64", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) $55.36/bbl\nB) $96.52/bbl\nC) $65.65/bbl\nD) $86.23/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $55.36/bbl", |
| "B) $96.52/bbl", |
| "C) $65.65/bbl", |
| "D) $86.23/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$65.65/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 108.57\nB) 100.22\nC) 106.18\nD) 103.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.57", |
| "B) 100.22", |
| "C) 106.18", |
| "D) 103.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "103.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $67,781M\nB) $64,659M\nC) $70,903M\nD) $72,464M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $67,781M", |
| "B) $64,659M", |
| "C) $70,903M", |
| "D) $72,464M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$67,781M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $204,969M\nB) $218,719M\nC) $223,302M\nD) $209,552M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $204,969M", |
| "B) $218,719M", |
| "C) $223,302M", |
| "D) $209,552M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$218,719M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 1.11%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.14%", |
| "B) 2.36%", |
| "C) 1.11%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 98.26\nB) 106.33\nC) 100.56\nD) 104.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.26", |
| "B) 106.33", |
| "C) 100.56", |
| "D) 104.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "104.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $65,331M\nB) $63,824M\nC) $69,851M\nD) $62,317M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $65,331M", |
| "B) $63,824M", |
| "C) $69,851M", |
| "D) $62,317M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$65,331M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 26.71%\nB) -6.45%\nC) 10.13%\nD) -39.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.71%", |
| "B) -6.45%", |
| "C) 10.13%", |
| "D) -39.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.95%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 2.16%", |
| "D) 2.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 4.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 4.25%", |
| "C) 3.89%", |
| "D) 4.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) -8.74%\nB) -43.60%\nC) 8.69%\nD) 43.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.74%", |
| "B) -43.60%", |
| "C) 8.69%", |
| "D) 43.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) $528,408M\nB) $504,741M\nC) $492,908M\nD) $540,241M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $528,408M", |
| "B) $504,741M", |
| "C) $492,908M", |
| "D) $540,241M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$504,741M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.79\nB) 123.41\nC) 118.60\nD) 110.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.79", |
| "B) 123.41", |
| "C) 118.60", |
| "D) 110.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "118.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 66.05%\nB) 61.64%\nC) 64.79%\nD) 62.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.05%", |
| "B) 61.64%", |
| "C) 64.79%", |
| "D) 62.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.90pp\nB) -14.48pp\nC) -11.62pp\nD) -0.18pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.90pp", |
| "B) -14.48pp", |
| "C) -11.62pp", |
| "D) -0.18pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) $15,472B\nB) $14,974B\nC) $14,477B\nD) $15,969B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,472B", |
| "B) $14,974B", |
| "C) $14,477B", |
| "D) $15,969B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,974B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.97%", |
| "B) 3.76%", |
| "C) 3.54%", |
| "D) 3.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.54pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) +0.54pp\nD) -2.52pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.54pp", |
| "B) -4.56pp", |
| "C) +0.54pp", |
| "D) -2.52pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.52pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) -1.12%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 3.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.02%", |
| "B) -1.12%", |
| "C) 2.45%", |
| "D) 3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) -29.61%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 36.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -29.61%", |
| "B) -13.07%", |
| "C) 3.46%", |
| "D) 36.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-13.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) $515,362M\nB) $456,334M\nC) $491,751M\nD) $468,140M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $515,362M", |
| "B) $456,334M", |
| "C) $491,751M", |
| "D) $468,140M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$491,751M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -22.74%\nB) 3.57%\nC) -6.95%\nD) -12.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -22.74%", |
| "B) 3.57%", |
| "C) -6.95%", |
| "D) -12.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 6.53%\nC) 7.69%\nD) 8.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.30%", |
| "B) 6.53%", |
| "C) 7.69%", |
| "D) 8.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.17pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.57pp\nD) -0.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.17pp", |
| "B) -0.20pp", |
| "C) -0.57pp", |
| "D) -0.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) -9.04%\nC) -2.06%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) -9.04%", |
| "C) -2.06%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) $13,144B\nB) $12,250B\nC) $14,485B\nD) $13,591B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,144B", |
| "B) $12,250B", |
| "C) $14,485B", |
| "D) $13,591B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,591B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -2.65%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -6.28%\nD) 8.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.65%", |
| "B) -9.90%", |
| "C) -6.28%", |
| "D) 8.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.14%", |
| "B) 1.26%", |
| "C) 1.03%", |
| "D) 1.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,067K\nB) 1,282K\nC) 1,121K\nD) 960K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,067K", |
| "B) 1,282K", |
| "C) 1,121K", |
| "D) 960K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,121K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 220.66\nB) 209.28\nC) 190.32\nD) 201.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 220.66", |
| "B) 209.28", |
| "C) 190.32", |
| "D) 201.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "201.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 9.19%\nC) 5.03%\nD) 5.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.70%", |
| "B) 9.19%", |
| "C) 5.03%", |
| "D) 5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) -4.50%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 10.20%\nD) 6.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.50%", |
| "B) 2.85%", |
| "C) 10.20%", |
| "D) 6.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) +2.20pp\nB) -2.73pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -3.71pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.20pp", |
| "B) -2.73pp", |
| "C) -0.76pp", |
| "D) -3.71pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.76pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 1.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.23%", |
| "B) 1.96%", |
| "C) 1.15%", |
| "D) 1.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1208\nB) 1.0097\nC) 1.3060\nD) 1.2319", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1208", |
| "B) 1.0097", |
| "C) 1.3060", |
| "D) 1.2319" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1208", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) -10.63%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 11.16%\nD) 3.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.63%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 11.16%", |
| "D) 3.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 233.50\nB) 204.93\nC) 212.07\nD) 219.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 233.50", |
| "B) 204.93", |
| "C) 212.07", |
| "D) 219.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "212.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.21%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 9.67%\nD) 0.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.21%", |
| "B) 3.71%", |
| "C) 9.67%", |
| "D) 0.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 77.25%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.71%\nD) 81.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.25%", |
| "B) 79.57%", |
| "C) 75.71%", |
| "D) 81.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "77.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 183.48\nB) 204.39\nC) 211.37\nD) 197.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 183.48", |
| "B) 204.39", |
| "C) 211.37", |
| "D) 197.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "204.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 105.92\nB) 99.75\nC) 102.84\nD) 95.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.92", |
| "B) 99.75", |
| "C) 102.84", |
| "D) 95.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "102.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 256.49\nB) 271.27\nC) 278.65\nD) 263.88", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 256.49", |
| "B) 271.27", |
| "C) 278.65", |
| "D) 263.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "263.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 3.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.60%", |
| "B) 3.07%", |
| "C) 4.13%", |
| "D) 3.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 22,846.82\nB) 25,648.02\nC) 28,449.22\nD) 21,446.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22,846.82", |
| "B) 25,648.02", |
| "C) 28,449.22", |
| "D) 21,446.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25,648.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.50%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 1.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.63%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 3.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.63%", |
| "B) 3.00%", |
| "C) 2.19%", |
| "D) 3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 14.55%\nB) 22.56%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 6.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.55%", |
| "B) 22.56%", |
| "C) 2.54%", |
| "D) 6.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.38%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.11%\nD) 0.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.38%", |
| "B) 1.65%", |
| "C) 1.11%", |
| "D) 0.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.99%", |
| "B) 61.21%", |
| "C) 63.10%", |
| "D) 59.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "63.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.48pp\nB) +0.06pp\nC) -0.66pp\nD) -0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.48pp", |
| "B) +0.06pp", |
| "C) -0.66pp", |
| "D) -0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) -0.74pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.43pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.14pp", |
| "B) -0.74pp", |
| "C) -0.15pp", |
| "D) +0.43pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.14pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,799B\nB) $15,296B\nC) $14,303B\nD) $16,786B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,799B", |
| "B) $15,296B", |
| "C) $14,303B", |
| "D) $16,786B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,296B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.90%", |
| "B) 3.39%", |
| "C) 3.64%", |
| "D) 2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 5.64%\nD) 3.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.09%", |
| "B) 2.35%", |
| "C) 5.64%", |
| "D) 3.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.71pp\nC) +0.14pp\nD) -0.54pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.20pp", |
| "B) -0.71pp", |
| "C) +0.14pp", |
| "D) -0.54pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.17%\nB) 61.00%\nC) 62.83%\nD) 56.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.17%", |
| "B) 61.00%", |
| "C) 62.83%", |
| "D) 56.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "61.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-08.)\n\nA) 122.03\nB) 118.94\nC) 115.86\nD) 125.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 122.03", |
| "B) 118.94", |
| "C) 115.86", |
| "D) 125.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 21.05%\nC) -2.43%\nD) 11.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.27%", |
| "B) 21.05%", |
| "C) -2.43%", |
| "D) 11.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "11.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.36%", |
| "B) 1.70%", |
| "C) 1.25%", |
| "D) 1.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,636K\nB) 1,535K\nC) 1,686K\nD) 1,485K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,636K", |
| "B) 1,535K", |
| "C) 1,686K", |
| "D) 1,485K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,535K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 7.09%\nD) 7.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.53%", |
| "B) 5.96%", |
| "C) 7.09%", |
| "D) 7.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 3.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.90%", |
| "B) 2.74%", |
| "C) 5.44%", |
| "D) 3.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-01.)\n\nA) -6.40pp\nB) +2.28pp\nC) -9.29pp\nD) -0.61pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.40pp", |
| "B) +2.28pp", |
| "C) -9.29pp", |
| "D) -0.61pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2019-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-08.)\n\nA) $64.48/bbl\nB) $57.37/bbl\nC) $78.69/bbl\nD) $36.05/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $64.48/bbl", |
| "B) $57.37/bbl", |
| "C) $78.69/bbl", |
| "D) $36.05/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$57.37/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.73%\nB) 2.47%\nC) -0.01%\nD) 3.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.73%", |
| "B) 2.47%", |
| "C) -0.01%", |
| "D) 3.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.07%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 5.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.07%", |
| "B) 2.55%", |
| "C) 4.31%", |
| "D) 5.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.91%", |
| "B) 2.54%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 2.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.91%", |
| "B) 2.54%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 2.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 1.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.43%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 1.59%", |
| "D) 1.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 1.17%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.43%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 1.59%", |
| "D) 1.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.03%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.87%", |
| "B) 2.29%", |
| "C) 1.66%", |
| "D) 1.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.03%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.87%", |
| "B) 2.29%", |
| "C) 1.66%", |
| "D) 1.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.10%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 1.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.10%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 1.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.52%", |
| "B) 0.89%", |
| "C) 2.15%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.52%", |
| "B) 0.89%", |
| "C) 2.15%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.12%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 0.75%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.12%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 0.75%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 2.23%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) 1.60%", |
| "D) 2.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 2.23%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) 1.60%", |
| "D) 2.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 1.14%", |
| "D) 1.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.56%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 1.14%", |
| "D) 1.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) 1.18%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 0.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) 1.18%", |
| "C) 1.81%", |
| "D) 0.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 1.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.02%", |
| "B) 1.39%", |
| "C) 0.97%", |
| "D) 1.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 1.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.02%", |
| "B) 1.39%", |
| "C) 0.97%", |
| "D) 1.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 1.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 1.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 1.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 1.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.17%", |
| "B) 0.59%", |
| "C) 0.80%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.17%", |
| "B) 0.59%", |
| "C) 0.80%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 2.20%", |
| "C) 1.12%", |
| "D) 1.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 2.20%", |
| "C) 1.12%", |
| "D) 1.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 0.90%\nD) 1.98%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.12%", |
| "B) 1.55%", |
| "C) 0.90%", |
| "D) 1.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 0.90%\nD) 1.98%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.12%", |
| "B) 1.55%", |
| "C) 0.90%", |
| "D) 1.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.70%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 0.05%", |
| "D) 0.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.70%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 0.05%", |
| "D) 0.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-min", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 12.55\nB) 23.79\nC) 14.80\nD) 17.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.55", |
| "B) 23.79", |
| "C) 14.80", |
| "D) 17.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "17.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 12.55\nB) 23.79\nC) 14.80\nD) 17.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.55", |
| "B) 23.79", |
| "C) 14.80", |
| "D) 17.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "17.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 18.56\nB) 11.82\nC) 25.30\nD) 20.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.56", |
| "B) 11.82", |
| "C) 25.30", |
| "D) 20.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 18.56\nB) 11.82\nC) 25.30\nD) 20.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.56", |
| "B) 11.82", |
| "C) 25.30", |
| "D) 20.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.82\nB) 20.56\nC) 27.30\nD) 22.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.82", |
| "B) 20.56", |
| "C) 27.30", |
| "D) 22.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.82\nB) 20.56\nC) 27.30\nD) 22.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.82", |
| "B) 20.56", |
| "C) 27.30", |
| "D) 22.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 27.30\nB) 22.81\nC) 20.56\nD) 13.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.30", |
| "B) 22.81", |
| "C) 20.56", |
| "D) 13.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 27.30\nB) 22.81\nC) 20.56\nD) 13.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.30", |
| "B) 22.81", |
| "C) 20.56", |
| "D) 13.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.82\nB) 22.81\nC) 27.30\nD) 20.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.82", |
| "B) 22.81", |
| "C) 27.30", |
| "D) 20.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.82\nB) 22.81\nC) 27.30\nD) 20.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.82", |
| "B) 22.81", |
| "C) 27.30", |
| "D) 20.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 54.46\nB) 56.71\nC) 58.96\nD) 61.20", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 54.46", |
| "B) 56.71", |
| "C) 58.96", |
| "D) 61.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 54.46\nB) 56.71\nC) 58.96\nD) 61.20", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 54.46", |
| "B) 56.71", |
| "C) 58.96", |
| "D) 61.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Repo-market spike", |
| "event_date": "2019-09-17", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-max", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-01-30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-27", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-01-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-27.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-03-20", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-17", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-03-20, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.66%", |
| "B) 3.56%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 3.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-05-01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "June 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-28", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-05-01, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.20%\nD) 2.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.99%", |
| "B) 1.60%", |
| "C) 1.20%", |
| "D) 2.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-06-19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-16", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-06-19, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 2.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-07-31", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-28", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-07-31, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 1.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.88%", |
| "B) 2.13%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 1.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-09-18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-15", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-09-18, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-15.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.57%", |
| "B) 3.09%", |
| "C) 1.83%", |
| "D) 1.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-10-30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-27", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-10-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-27.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 1.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.81%", |
| "B) 1.97%", |
| "C) 0.29%", |
| "D) 1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2019-12-11", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-08", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2019-12-11, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 2.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 2.78%", |
| "C) 1.14%", |
| "D) 2.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201901", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2019 (released around 2019-02-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-25.)\n\nA) 172K\nB) 251K\nC) 370K\nD) 132K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 172K", |
| "B) 251K", |
| "C) 370K", |
| "D) 132K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "251K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201902", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-22", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2019 (released around 2019-03-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-22.)\n\nA) -76K\nB) 131K\nC) 7K\nD) -117K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -76K", |
| "B) 131K", |
| "C) 7K", |
| "D) -117K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201903", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2019 (released around 2019-04-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-29.)\n\nA) 187K\nB) 146K\nC) 310K\nD) 228K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 187K", |
| "B) 146K", |
| "C) 310K", |
| "D) 228K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "228K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201904", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2019 (released around 2019-05-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-26.)\n\nA) 296K\nB) 419K\nC) 214K\nD) 337K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 296K", |
| "B) 419K", |
| "C) 214K", |
| "D) 337K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "296K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201905", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2019 (released around 2019-06-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-31.)\n\nA) 112K\nB) 27K\nC) 70K\nD) -101K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112K", |
| "B) 27K", |
| "C) 70K", |
| "D) -101K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2019 (released around 2019-07-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-28.)\n\nA) 95K\nB) 303K\nC) 220K\nD) 178K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95K", |
| "B) 303K", |
| "C) 220K", |
| "D) 178K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "220K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201907", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2019 (released around 2019-08-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-26.)\n\nA) -28K\nB) 183K\nC) 141K\nD) 99K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -28K", |
| "B) 183K", |
| "C) 141K", |
| "D) 99K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "99K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201908", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2019 (released around 2019-09-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-30.)\n\nA) 232K\nB) 190K\nC) 147K\nD) 317K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 232K", |
| "B) 190K", |
| "C) 147K", |
| "D) 317K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "232K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2019 (released around 2019-10-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-27.)\n\nA) 71K\nB) 196K\nC) 112K\nD) 280K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 71K", |
| "B) 196K", |
| "C) 112K", |
| "D) 280K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "196K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201910", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2019 (released around 2019-11-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-25.)\n\nA) 222K\nB) 179K\nC) 95K\nD) 53K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 222K", |
| "B) 179K", |
| "C) 95K", |
| "D) 53K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "95K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201911", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2019 (released around 2019-12-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-29.)\n\nA) 82K\nB) 332K\nC) 124K\nD) 207K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82K", |
| "B) 332K", |
| "C) 124K", |
| "D) 207K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "207K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2019 (released around 2020-01-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-27.)\n\nA) 127K\nB) 2K\nC) 210K\nD) 44K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 127K", |
| "B) 2K", |
| "C) 210K", |
| "D) 44K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "127K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201901", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2019 (released around 2019-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 0.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) 1.49%", |
| "C) 0.17%", |
| "D) 0.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201903", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2019 (released around 2019-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-06.)\n\nA) 2.76%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 0.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.76%", |
| "B) 2.32%", |
| "C) 1.88%", |
| "D) 0.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201904", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2019 (released around 2019-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.31%", |
| "B) 1.13%", |
| "C) 2.88%", |
| "D) 2.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2019 (released around 2019-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-06.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 2.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.67%", |
| "B) 1.24%", |
| "C) 0.36%", |
| "D) 2.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201907", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2019 (released around 2019-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-06.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 3.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.95%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) 3.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2019 (released around 2019-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-06.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.68%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201910", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2019 (released around 2019-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 0.86%\nD) 1.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.17%", |
| "B) 2.61%", |
| "C) 0.86%", |
| "D) 1.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201912", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2019 (released around 2020-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 3.17%", |
| "C) 1.89%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2019q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2019 (advance estimate released around 2019-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-14.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.61%", |
| "B) 1.93%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2019q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2019 (advance estimate released around 2019-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-14.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 3.20%", |
| "C) 2.24%", |
| "D) 2.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2019q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2019 (advance estimate released around 2019-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-14.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 2.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.46%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 2.13%", |
| "D) 2.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2019q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2019", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2019 (advance estimate released around 2020-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-14.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 2.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.35%", |
| "B) 2.72%", |
| "C) 3.67%", |
| "D) 2.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-28.)\n\nA) 30.06\nB) 25.45\nC) 20.84\nD) 32.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.06", |
| "B) 25.45", |
| "C) 20.84", |
| "D) 32.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-04.)\n\nA) 14.36\nB) 19.05\nC) 21.40\nD) 16.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.36", |
| "B) 19.05", |
| "C) 21.40", |
| "D) 16.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "21.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-11.)\n\nA) 16.71\nB) 23.80\nC) 11.98\nD) 19.07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.71", |
| "B) 23.80", |
| "C) 11.98", |
| "D) 19.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-25.)\n\nA) 19.13\nB) 11.99\nC) 21.51\nD) 23.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.13", |
| "B) 11.99", |
| "C) 21.51", |
| "D) 23.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-01.)\n\nA) 11.61\nB) 16.37\nC) 9.23\nD) 13.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.61", |
| "B) 16.37", |
| "C) 9.23", |
| "D) 13.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.08\nB) 11.46\nC) 16.22\nD) 18.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.08", |
| "B) 11.46", |
| "C) 16.22", |
| "D) 18.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-22", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-03-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-22.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 19.91\nC) 10.43\nD) 15.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.06", |
| "B) 19.91", |
| "C) 10.43", |
| "D) 15.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190308", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-03-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-01.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 14.22\nC) 23.70\nD) 21.33", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.59", |
| "B) 14.22", |
| "C) 23.70", |
| "D) 21.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "16.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190315", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-08.)\n\nA) 7.23\nB) 14.33\nC) 16.70\nD) 9.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.23", |
| "B) 14.33", |
| "C) 16.70", |
| "D) 9.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190405", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-04-05? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-29.)\n\nA) 6.67\nB) 9.02\nC) 13.74\nD) 16.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.67", |
| "B) 9.02", |
| "C) 13.74", |
| "D) 16.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190412", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-04-12? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-05.)\n\nA) 9.57\nB) 7.22\nC) 11.93\nD) 14.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.57", |
| "B) 7.22", |
| "C) 11.93", |
| "D) 14.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190419", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-04-19? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-12.)\n\nA) 12.60\nB) 5.53\nC) 10.24\nD) 14.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.60", |
| "B) 5.53", |
| "C) 10.24", |
| "D) 14.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190503", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-05-03? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-26.)\n\nA) 12.44\nB) 14.80\nC) 17.16\nD) 10.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.44", |
| "B) 14.80", |
| "C) 17.16", |
| "D) 10.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190510", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-03.)\n\nA) 17.05\nB) 14.70\nC) 19.40\nD) 12.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.05", |
| "B) 14.70", |
| "C) 19.40", |
| "D) 12.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190517", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-05-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-10.)\n\nA) 13.51\nB) 18.20\nC) 22.90\nD) 20.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.51", |
| "B) 18.20", |
| "C) 22.90", |
| "D) 20.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.55", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190607", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-06-07? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-31.)\n\nA) 18.86\nB) 11.85\nC) 16.52\nD) 25.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.86", |
| "B) 11.85", |
| "C) 16.52", |
| "D) 25.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190614", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-06-14? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-07.)\n\nA) 13.66\nB) 15.99\nC) 11.34\nD) 22.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.66", |
| "B) 15.99", |
| "C) 11.34", |
| "D) 22.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "15.99", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190621", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-06-21? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-14.)\n\nA) 17.72\nB) 22.36\nC) 15.40\nD) 10.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.72", |
| "B) 22.36", |
| "C) 15.40", |
| "D) 10.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "15.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190705", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-07-05? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-28.)\n\nA) 18.66\nB) 20.96\nC) 9.46\nD) 14.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.66", |
| "B) 20.96", |
| "C) 9.46", |
| "D) 14.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190712", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-07-12? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-05.)\n\nA) 14.09\nB) 11.80\nC) 7.21\nD) 16.38", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.09", |
| "B) 11.80", |
| "C) 7.21", |
| "D) 16.38" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190719", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-07-19? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-12.)\n\nA) 12.16\nB) 14.45\nC) 16.74\nD) 19.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.16", |
| "B) 14.45", |
| "C) 16.74", |
| "D) 19.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190802", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-08-02? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-26.)\n\nA) 13.35\nB) 20.13\nC) 17.87\nD) 22.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.35", |
| "B) 20.13", |
| "C) 17.87", |
| "D) 22.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-02.)\n\nA) 26.84\nB) 31.34\nC) 17.84\nD) 24.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.84", |
| "B) 31.34", |
| "C) 17.84", |
| "D) 24.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190816", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-08-16? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-09.)\n\nA) 22.10\nB) 15.34\nC) 24.35\nD) 26.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.10", |
| "B) 15.34", |
| "C) 24.35", |
| "D) 26.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "22.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-09-06? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-30.)\n\nA) 21.93\nB) 19.66\nC) 17.39\nD) 15.13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.93", |
| "B) 19.66", |
| "C) 17.39", |
| "D) 15.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190913", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-06.)\n\nA) 22.05\nB) 17.53\nC) 15.27\nD) 19.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.05", |
| "B) 17.53", |
| "C) 15.27", |
| "D) 19.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "15.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20190920", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-13.)\n\nA) 17.57\nB) 10.82\nC) 13.07\nD) 15.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.57", |
| "B) 10.82", |
| "C) 13.07", |
| "D) 15.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-10-04? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-27.)\n\nA) 20.56\nB) 16.12\nC) 22.78\nD) 27.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.56", |
| "B) 16.12", |
| "C) 22.78", |
| "D) 27.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-10-11? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-04.)\n\nA) 24.69\nB) 20.28\nC) 18.07\nD) 13.66", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.69", |
| "B) 20.28", |
| "C) 18.07", |
| "D) 13.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191018", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-10-18? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-11.)\n\nA) 18.95\nB) 12.38\nC) 14.57\nD) 8.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.95", |
| "B) 12.38", |
| "C) 14.57", |
| "D) 8.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "14.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-11-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-25.)\n\nA) 19.70\nB) 17.54\nC) 8.90\nD) 13.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.70", |
| "B) 17.54", |
| "C) 8.90", |
| "D) 13.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-01.)\n\nA) 13.10\nB) 10.95\nC) 6.65\nD) 8.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.10", |
| "B) 10.95", |
| "C) 6.65", |
| "D) 8.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.65\nB) 13.05\nC) 10.92\nD) 8.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.65", |
| "B) 13.05", |
| "C) 10.92", |
| "D) 8.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-12-06? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-29.)\n\nA) 22.29\nB) 9.63\nC) 15.96\nD) 20.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.29", |
| "B) 9.63", |
| "C) 15.96", |
| "D) 20.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "15.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191213", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-12-13? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-06.)\n\nA) 22.15\nB) 13.76\nC) 17.96\nD) 15.86", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.15", |
| "B) 13.76", |
| "C) 17.96", |
| "D) 15.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20191220", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2019-12-20? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-13.)\n\nA) 12.58\nB) 10.50\nC) 8.42\nD) 18.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.58", |
| "B) 10.50", |
| "C) 8.42", |
| "D) 18.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-28.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.12%\nD) -2.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.45%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 0.12%", |
| "D) -2.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-01-11? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-04.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 5.14%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 6.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.68%", |
| "B) 5.14%", |
| "C) 2.17%", |
| "D) 6.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-01-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-01-18? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-11.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) -0.83%\nC) 5.13%\nD) 3.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.15%", |
| "B) -0.83%", |
| "C) 5.13%", |
| "D) 3.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-01-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-02-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-25.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) -0.49%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 5.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.51%", |
| "B) -0.49%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 5.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-02-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-01.)\n\nA) 0.84%\nB) -0.67%\nC) 3.86%\nD) -5.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.84%", |
| "B) -0.67%", |
| "C) 3.86%", |
| "D) -5.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190215", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) -0.71%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 0.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.69%", |
| "B) -0.71%", |
| "C) 2.25%", |
| "D) 0.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190301", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-02-22", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-03-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-22.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 3.42%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.98%", |
| "B) 3.42%", |
| "C) -2.34%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190308", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-03-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -6.53%\nC) -3.67%\nD) 0.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.24%", |
| "B) -6.53%", |
| "C) -3.67%", |
| "D) 0.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190315", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-08.)\n\nA) -2.56%\nB) 1.73%\nC) 6.01%\nD) -1.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.56%", |
| "B) 1.73%", |
| "C) 6.01%", |
| "D) -1.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190405", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-03-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-04-05? (Use only information available on or before 2019-03-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) -1.37%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 5.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.79%", |
| "B) -1.37%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 5.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190412", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-04-12? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-05.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.11%\nC) -3.71%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.47%", |
| "B) 3.11%", |
| "C) -3.71%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190419", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-04-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-04-19? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-12.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 1.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.28%", |
| "B) 2.97%", |
| "C) 4.32%", |
| "D) 1.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190503", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-04-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-05-03? (Use only information available on or before 2019-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 0.18%\nC) 2.85%\nD) -1.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.51%", |
| "B) 0.18%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) -1.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190510", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-03.)\n\nA) -6.54%\nB) -3.87%\nC) -2.54%\nD) 0.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.54%", |
| "B) -3.87%", |
| "C) -2.54%", |
| "D) 0.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190517", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-05-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-05-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-10.)\n\nA) -1.78%\nB) 4.88%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.78%", |
| "B) 4.88%", |
| "C) -0.45%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190607", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-05-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-06-07? (Use only information available on or before 2019-05-31.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 8.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.58%", |
| "B) 6.95%", |
| "C) 2.84%", |
| "D) 8.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190614", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-06-14? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-07.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) -0.34%\nC) 2.44%\nD) -1.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) -0.34%", |
| "C) 2.44%", |
| "D) -1.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190621", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-06-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-06-21? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-14.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.55%", |
| "B) 0.99%", |
| "C) 2.38%", |
| "D) 3.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190705", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-06-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-07-05? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-28.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.64%", |
| "B) 5.03%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) 0.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190712", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-07-12? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-05.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) -0.97%\nC) 5.95%\nD) 4.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.80%", |
| "B) -0.97%", |
| "C) 5.95%", |
| "D) 4.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190719", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-07-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-07-19? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-12.)\n\nA) -2.73%\nB) -1.35%\nC) 0.03%\nD) -5.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.73%", |
| "B) -1.35%", |
| "C) 0.03%", |
| "D) -5.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190802", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-07-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-08-02? (Use only information available on or before 2019-07-26.)\n\nA) -2.11%\nB) -0.72%\nC) -3.49%\nD) -7.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.11%", |
| "B) -0.72%", |
| "C) -3.49%", |
| "D) -7.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190809", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-02.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 7.16%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 3.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.78%", |
| "B) 7.16%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 3.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190816", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-08-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-08-16? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-09.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) -2.41%\nC) -1.00%\nD) -3.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.41%", |
| "B) -2.41%", |
| "C) -1.00%", |
| "D) -3.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190906", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-08-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-09-06? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-30.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 2.91%\nC) -0.01%\nD) 5.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.36%", |
| "B) 2.91%", |
| "C) -0.01%", |
| "D) 5.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190913", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-06.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 4.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.50%", |
| "B) 2.57%", |
| "C) 1.10%", |
| "D) 4.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20190920", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-13.)\n\nA) -3.37%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.95%\nD) -0.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.37%", |
| "B) 2.49%", |
| "C) 3.95%", |
| "D) -0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-09-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-10-04? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-27.)\n\nA) -0.21%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.21%", |
| "B) 4.19%", |
| "C) 1.26%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-10-11? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-04.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 1.27%\nC) -1.69%\nD) 5.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.22%", |
| "B) 1.27%", |
| "C) -1.69%", |
| "D) 5.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191018", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-10-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-10-18? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-11.)\n\nA) -3.85%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.51%\nD) -0.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.85%", |
| "B) 1.96%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) -0.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-10-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-11-01? (Use only information available on or before 2019-10-25.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) -2.06%\nC) -3.45%\nD) 0.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) -2.06%", |
| "C) -3.45%", |
| "D) 0.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-01.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 3.21%\nC) -3.57%\nD) -0.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.50%", |
| "B) 3.21%", |
| "C) -3.57%", |
| "D) -0.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 0.90%\nC) -3.11%\nD) 2.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.92%", |
| "B) 0.90%", |
| "C) -3.11%", |
| "D) 2.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-11-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-12-06? (Use only information available on or before 2019-11-29.)\n\nA) -1.50%\nB) -0.23%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 3.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.50%", |
| "B) -0.23%", |
| "C) 1.03%", |
| "D) 3.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191213", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-12-13? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-06.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) -1.16%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.02%", |
| "B) -1.16%", |
| "C) 2.55%", |
| "D) 1.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20191220", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2019-12-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2019-12-20? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-13.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 0.04%\nC) -2.40%\nD) 4.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) -2.40%", |
| "D) 4.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2019 |
| } |
| ] |
