| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.9566\nB) 1.0816\nC) 1.1566\nD) 1.0316", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9566", |
| "B) 1.0816", |
| "C) 1.1566", |
| "D) 1.0316" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0816", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $248,097M\nB) $219,797M\nC) $226,872M\nD) $205,647M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $248,097M", |
| "B) $219,797M", |
| "C) $226,872M", |
| "D) $205,647M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$226,872M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 2.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.69%", |
| "B) 2.48%", |
| "C) 2.15%", |
| "D) 2.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 123.60\nB) 128.97\nC) 118.23\nD) 132.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 123.60", |
| "B) 128.97", |
| "C) 118.23", |
| "D) 132.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "123.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 19.66\nB) 31.89\nC) 44.12\nD) 35.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.66", |
| "B) 31.89", |
| "C) 44.12", |
| "D) 35.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.17%", |
| "B) 1.55%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) 0.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.48pp\nB) -0.41pp\nC) -4.66pp\nD) -3.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.48pp", |
| "B) -0.41pp", |
| "C) -4.66pp", |
| "D) -3.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 2.87%\nD) 2.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.58%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 2.87%", |
| "D) 2.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) -0.06%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 1.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.17%", |
| "B) -0.06%", |
| "C) 4.78%", |
| "D) 1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 206.16\nB) 199.14\nC) 213.18\nD) 192.13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 206.16", |
| "B) 199.14", |
| "C) 213.18", |
| "D) 192.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "213.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 24.73%\nC) 20.14%\nD) 15.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 24.73%", |
| "C) 20.14%", |
| "D) 15.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.90%\nB) 0.97%\nC) -13.82%\nD) -16.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.90%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) -13.82%", |
| "D) -16.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 986K\nB) 1,039K\nC) 932K\nD) 879K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 986K", |
| "B) 1,039K", |
| "C) 932K", |
| "D) 879K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,039K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 22.78%\nB) 14.11%\nC) 18.45%\nD) 9.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.78%", |
| "B) 14.11%", |
| "C) 18.45%", |
| "D) 9.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 180.95\nB) 187.62\nC) 204.31\nD) 194.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 180.95", |
| "B) 187.62", |
| "C) 204.31", |
| "D) 194.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "194.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 4.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.62%", |
| "B) 2.78%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 4.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -14.53%\nB) -7.76%\nC) 2.38%\nD) -4.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.53%", |
| "B) -7.76%", |
| "C) 2.38%", |
| "D) -4.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,040B\nB) $15,232B\nC) $14,828B\nD) $13,616B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,040B", |
| "B) $15,232B", |
| "C) $14,828B", |
| "D) $13,616B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,828B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) +9.88pp\nB) +9.18pp\nC) +8.91pp\nD) +9.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +9.88pp", |
| "B) +9.18pp", |
| "C) +8.91pp", |
| "D) +9.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+9.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 19.43%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.41%", |
| "B) 4.74%", |
| "C) 19.43%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,506K\nB) 1,455K\nC) 1,556K\nD) 1,607K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,506K", |
| "B) 1,455K", |
| "C) 1,556K", |
| "D) 1,607K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,455K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 13,288.96\nB) 10,262.75\nC) 11,019.30\nD) 11,775.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,288.96", |
| "B) 10,262.75", |
| "C) 11,019.30", |
| "D) 11,775.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,019.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -37.56%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -13.67%\nD) -19.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -37.56%", |
| "B) -1.72%", |
| "C) -13.67%", |
| "D) -19.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-19.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 13.20%\nB) 14.06%\nC) 12.91%\nD) 12.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.20%", |
| "B) 14.06%", |
| "C) 12.91%", |
| "D) 12.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 24,855.20\nB) 27,931.02\nC) 31,006.84\nD) 26,393.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24,855.20", |
| "B) 27,931.02", |
| "C) 31,006.84", |
| "D) 26,393.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27,931.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.67%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.97%", |
| "B) 0.67%", |
| "C) 1.32%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) $18.10/bbl\nB) $46.45/bbl\nC) $40.78/bbl\nD) $29.44/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18.10/bbl", |
| "B) $46.45/bbl", |
| "C) $40.78/bbl", |
| "D) $29.44/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$29.44/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -27.70pp\nB) -22.61pp\nC) -32.79pp\nD) -35.34pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -27.70pp", |
| "B) -22.61pp", |
| "C) -32.79pp", |
| "D) -35.34pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-27.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) 13.14%\nC) 9.01%\nD) 0.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.87%", |
| "B) 13.14%", |
| "C) 9.01%", |
| "D) 0.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -11.05%\nB) -7.61%\nC) -5.89%\nD) -2.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.05%", |
| "B) -7.61%", |
| "C) -5.89%", |
| "D) -2.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 108.69\nB) 106.32\nC) 100.38\nD) 103.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.69", |
| "B) 106.32", |
| "C) 100.38", |
| "D) 103.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "103.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 196.70\nB) 206.53\nC) 186.87\nD) 180.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 196.70", |
| "B) 206.53", |
| "C) 186.87", |
| "D) 180.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "196.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) $13,481B\nB) $15,026B\nC) $15,542B\nD) $16,572B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,481B", |
| "B) $15,026B", |
| "C) $15,542B", |
| "D) $16,572B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,026B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 14,524.17\nB) 9,324.09\nC) 11,924.13\nD) 11,057.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14,524.17", |
| "B) 9,324.09", |
| "C) 11,924.13", |
| "D) 11,057.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,924.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $13,579B\nB) $15,450B\nC) $13,953B\nD) $14,702B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,579B", |
| "B) $15,450B", |
| "C) $13,953B", |
| "D) $14,702B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,702B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $24.80/hr\nB) $25.33/hr\nC) $25.86/hr\nD) $23.21/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.80/hr", |
| "B) $25.33/hr", |
| "C) $25.86/hr", |
| "D) $23.21/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.80/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.92%\nD) 3.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.84%", |
| "B) 3.47%", |
| "C) 2.92%", |
| "D) 3.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $503,844M\nB) $440,356M\nC) $478,449M\nD) $516,542M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $503,844M", |
| "B) $440,356M", |
| "C) $478,449M", |
| "D) $516,542M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$478,449M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.24%\nB) 5.43%\nC) 6.23%\nD) 5.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.24%", |
| "B) 5.43%", |
| "C) 6.23%", |
| "D) 5.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.7700\nB) 107.0348\nC) 112.5052\nD) 117.9757", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 109.7700", |
| "B) 107.0348", |
| "C) 112.5052", |
| "D) 117.9757" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "109.7700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.24%\nD) 1.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.53%", |
| "B) 1.67%", |
| "C) 1.24%", |
| "D) 1.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 98.33\nB) 104.41\nC) 101.37\nD) 107.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.33", |
| "B) 104.41", |
| "C) 101.37", |
| "D) 107.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "101.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 61.75%\nB) 64.78%\nC) 55.68%\nD) 58.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.75%", |
| "B) 64.78%", |
| "C) 55.68%", |
| "D) 58.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "58.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 119.50\nB) 122.78\nC) 127.71\nD) 114.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 119.50", |
| "B) 122.78", |
| "C) 127.71", |
| "D) 114.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "119.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 110.84\nB) 104.87\nC) 107.26\nD) 101.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 110.84", |
| "B) 104.87", |
| "C) 107.26", |
| "D) 101.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $-56,065M\nB) $-51,925M\nC) $-53,995M\nD) $-60,205M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-56,065M", |
| "B) $-51,925M", |
| "C) $-53,995M", |
| "D) $-60,205M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-53,995M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) $16,259B\nB) $15,798B\nC) $15,338B\nD) $14,877B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,259B", |
| "B) $15,798B", |
| "C) $15,338B", |
| "D) $14,877B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,877B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $5,149M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,149M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,149M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 0.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.45%", |
| "B) 1.16%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 0.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 1.93%", |
| "C) 1.70%", |
| "D) 2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 25.87%\nD) 14.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.73%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 25.87%", |
| "D) 14.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) -8.42%\nB) -2.96%\nC) 7.97%\nD) -24.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.42%", |
| "B) -2.96%", |
| "C) 7.97%", |
| "D) -24.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,447.46\nB) 3,626.91\nC) 3,806.36\nD) 3,985.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,447.46", |
| "B) 3,626.91", |
| "C) 3,806.36", |
| "D) 3,985.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,626.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $19,451B\nB) $18,439B\nC) $17,933B\nD) $18,945B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19,451B", |
| "B) $18,439B", |
| "C) $17,933B", |
| "D) $18,945B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,933B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.94%\nB) 0.48%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.94%", |
| "B) 0.48%", |
| "C) 1.90%", |
| "D) 1.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $237,115M\nB) $244,201M\nC) $215,856M\nD) $222,942M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $237,115M", |
| "B) $244,201M", |
| "C) $215,856M", |
| "D) $222,942M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$237,115M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 6.95%\nC) -9.35%\nD) 12.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.51%", |
| "B) 6.95%", |
| "C) -9.35%", |
| "D) 12.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -19.12%\nC) -52.38%\nD) -35.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.49%", |
| "B) -19.12%", |
| "C) -52.38%", |
| "D) -35.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-52.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 58.62%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 59.85%\nD) 61.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 58.62%", |
| "B) 62.93%", |
| "C) 59.85%", |
| "D) 61.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "61.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 198.30\nB) 188.43\nC) 181.85\nD) 208.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 198.30", |
| "B) 188.43", |
| "C) 181.85", |
| "D) 208.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "198.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 71.26%\nB) 74.26%\nC) 75.76%\nD) 69.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 71.26%", |
| "B) 74.26%", |
| "C) 75.76%", |
| "D) 69.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "74.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 54.28%\nB) 51.12%\nC) 52.70%\nD) 55.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 54.28%", |
| "B) 51.12%", |
| "C) 52.70%", |
| "D) 55.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "52.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.5740\nB) 94.4551\nC) 98.4890\nD) 104.5400", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.5740", |
| "B) 94.4551", |
| "C) 98.4890", |
| "D) 104.5400" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "104.5400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 21.96%\nB) 20.63%\nC) 21.29%\nD) 19.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.96%", |
| "B) 20.63%", |
| "C) 21.29%", |
| "D) 19.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -6.89%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -0.52%\nD) -9.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.89%", |
| "B) -4.76%", |
| "C) -0.52%", |
| "D) -9.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 24.55%\nB) 54.42%\nC) 46.95%\nD) 61.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.55%", |
| "B) 54.42%", |
| "C) 46.95%", |
| "D) 61.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "46.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.57%\nB) 0.97%\nC) -0.96%\nD) 0.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.57%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) -0.96%", |
| "D) 0.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 0.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.58%", |
| "B) 2.80%", |
| "C) 0.77%", |
| "D) 0.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 20.67%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 18.41%\nD) 16.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.67%", |
| "B) 13.90%", |
| "C) 18.41%", |
| "D) 16.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -10.96%\nB) -12.09%\nC) -11.67%\nD) -11.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.96%", |
| "B) -12.09%", |
| "C) -11.67%", |
| "D) -11.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-11.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $-66,593M\nB) $-59,468M\nC) $-68,968M\nD) $-61,843M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-66,593M", |
| "B) $-59,468M", |
| "C) $-68,968M", |
| "D) $-61,843M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-61,843M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 3.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.30%", |
| "B) 2.86%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 3.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 0.49%\nC) -0.13%\nD) 0.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.11%", |
| "B) 0.49%", |
| "C) -0.13%", |
| "D) 0.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 6.81%\nD) 3.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.00%", |
| "B) 4.43%", |
| "C) 6.81%", |
| "D) 3.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -13.61%\nB) -12.39%\nC) -17.27%\nD) -16.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.61%", |
| "B) -12.39%", |
| "C) -17.27%", |
| "D) -16.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-16.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 6.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.66%", |
| "B) 5.76%", |
| "C) 3.01%", |
| "D) 6.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 22,129.99\nB) 23,685.42\nC) 26,796.28\nD) 20,574.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22,129.99", |
| "B) 23,685.42", |
| "C) 26,796.28", |
| "D) 20,574.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23,685.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.56%\nC) 6.80%\nD) 7.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.22%", |
| "B) 8.56%", |
| "C) 6.80%", |
| "D) 7.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.1339\nB) 1.2089\nC) 1.0089\nD) 1.0839", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1339", |
| "B) 1.2089", |
| "C) 1.0089", |
| "D) 1.0839" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0839", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.9501\nB) 6.3557\nC) 6.5934\nD) 7.3068", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.9501", |
| "B) 6.3557", |
| "C) 6.5934", |
| "D) 7.3068" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.9501", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $16,561B\nB) $18,997B\nC) $17,373B\nD) $19,809B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,561B", |
| "B) $18,997B", |
| "C) $17,373B", |
| "D) $19,809B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,997B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.38%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.38%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.12%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,108,166\nB) 1,992,111\nC) 1,643,945\nD) 1,760,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,108,166", |
| "B) 1,992,111", |
| "C) 1,643,945", |
| "D) 1,760,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,760,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.10%\nB) 59.88%\nC) 58.05%\nD) 62.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.10%", |
| "B) 59.88%", |
| "C) 58.05%", |
| "D) 62.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "61.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.49%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 77.40\nB) 80.69\nC) 74.10\nD) 83.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.40", |
| "B) 80.69", |
| "C) 74.10", |
| "D) 83.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "74.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.80%", |
| "B) 3.20%", |
| "C) 4.41%", |
| "D) 3.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 16.23%\nB) 28.94%\nC) 11.99%\nD) 3.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.23%", |
| "B) 28.94%", |
| "C) 11.99%", |
| "D) 3.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "16.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.33pp\nB) -4.30pp\nC) -1.38pp\nD) -6.25pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.33pp", |
| "B) -4.30pp", |
| "C) -1.38pp", |
| "D) -6.25pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,093M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $5,093M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,093M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) $56.56/bbl\nB) $35.79/bbl\nC) $21.94/bbl\nD) $42.71/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $56.56/bbl", |
| "B) $35.79/bbl", |
| "C) $21.94/bbl", |
| "D) $42.71/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$42.71/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.84%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.84%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 3.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 87.80\nB) 97.08\nC) 93.37\nD) 102.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.80", |
| "B) 97.08", |
| "C) 93.37", |
| "D) 102.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "97.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) $47.90/bbl\nB) $30.35/bbl\nC) $42.05/bbl\nD) $53.75/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $47.90/bbl", |
| "B) $30.35/bbl", |
| "C) $42.05/bbl", |
| "D) $53.75/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$42.05/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.61%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 5.56%\nD) 5.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.61%", |
| "B) 3.47%", |
| "C) 5.56%", |
| "D) 5.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.79%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.79%", |
| "B) 5.45%", |
| "C) 2.84%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 6.62%\nB) 8.72%\nC) 5.58%\nD) 9.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.62%", |
| "B) 8.72%", |
| "C) 5.58%", |
| "D) 9.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 14.76%\nB) 20.33%\nC) 9.19%\nD) 3.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.76%", |
| "B) 20.33%", |
| "C) 9.19%", |
| "D) 3.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,586K\nB) 1,820K\nC) 1,644K\nD) 1,703K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,586K", |
| "B) 1,820K", |
| "C) 1,644K", |
| "D) 1,703K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,703K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 11.15%\nC) -8.13%\nD) -0.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.44%", |
| "B) 11.15%", |
| "C) -8.13%", |
| "D) -0.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,870,535\nB) 2,176,000\nC) 3,217,803\nD) 1,481,465", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,870,535", |
| "B) 2,176,000", |
| "C) 3,217,803", |
| "D) 1,481,465" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,176,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 101.38\nB) 104.99\nC) 95.95\nD) 92.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.38", |
| "B) 104.99", |
| "C) 95.95", |
| "D) 92.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "95.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.47%\nB) 7.33%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 8.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.47%", |
| "B) 7.33%", |
| "C) 6.26%", |
| "D) 8.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.26\nB) 102.86\nC) 108.85\nD) 99.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.26", |
| "B) 102.86", |
| "C) 108.85", |
| "D) 99.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "105.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $58,213M\nB) $62,719M\nC) $65,723M\nD) $67,225M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $58,213M", |
| "B) $62,719M", |
| "C) $65,723M", |
| "D) $67,225M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$62,719M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 0.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.37%", |
| "B) 2.52%", |
| "C) 1.66%", |
| "D) 0.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 26.70%\nB) -4.94%\nC) 33.03%\nD) 14.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.70%", |
| "B) -4.94%", |
| "C) 33.03%", |
| "D) 14.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 218.45\nB) 225.23\nC) 211.67\nD) 204.88", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 218.45", |
| "B) 225.23", |
| "C) 211.67", |
| "D) 204.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "218.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,031B\nB) $18,411B\nC) $20,481B\nD) $19,791B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,031B", |
| "B) $18,411B", |
| "C) $20,481B", |
| "D) $19,791B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,411B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -3.82%\nC) -0.66%\nD) -5.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.24%", |
| "B) -3.82%", |
| "C) -0.66%", |
| "D) -5.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -6.46pp\nB) -1.25pp\nC) -8.19pp\nD) -2.99pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.46pp", |
| "B) -1.25pp", |
| "C) -8.19pp", |
| "D) -2.99pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.99pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 117.20\nB) 122.25\nC) 125.62\nD) 112.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 117.20", |
| "B) 122.25", |
| "C) 125.62", |
| "D) 112.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "117.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 108.14\nB) 104.57\nC) 98.62\nD) 101.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.14", |
| "B) 104.57", |
| "C) 98.62", |
| "D) 101.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 3.35%\nC) -1.26%\nD) -3.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) 3.35%", |
| "C) -1.26%", |
| "D) -3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 22.52%\nB) 7.09%\nC) -0.63%\nD) 10.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.52%", |
| "B) 7.09%", |
| "C) -0.63%", |
| "D) 10.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 10.13%\nC) -7.71%\nD) -1.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.21%", |
| "B) 10.13%", |
| "C) -7.71%", |
| "D) -1.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,301,212\nB) 927,000\nC) 2,049,635\nD) 178,577", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,301,212", |
| "B) 927,000", |
| "C) 2,049,635", |
| "D) 178,577" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "927,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,889B\nB) $12,103B\nC) $13,282B\nD) $14,067B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,889B", |
| "B) $12,103B", |
| "C) $13,282B", |
| "D) $14,067B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,282B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $23.12/hr\nC) $24.94/hr\nD) $24.03/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.76/hr", |
| "B) $23.12/hr", |
| "C) $24.94/hr", |
| "D) $24.03/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.03/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,372.85\nB) 3,210.10\nC) 3,047.35\nD) 3,698.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,372.85", |
| "B) 3,210.10", |
| "C) 3,047.35", |
| "D) 3,698.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,372.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 12.91%\nB) -0.44%\nC) -4.89%\nD) -9.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.91%", |
| "B) -0.44%", |
| "C) -4.89%", |
| "D) -9.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.46\nB) 15.79\nC) 13.68\nD) 20.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.46", |
| "B) 15.79", |
| "C) 13.68", |
| "D) 20.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -24.61%\nB) -14.51%\nC) -11.14%\nD) -17.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -24.61%", |
| "B) -14.51%", |
| "C) -11.14%", |
| "D) -17.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-17.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.61\nB) 103.17\nC) 111.70\nD) 109.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.61", |
| "B) 103.17", |
| "C) 111.70", |
| "D) 109.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "105.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.40%\nB) 63.30%\nC) 65.20%\nD) 66.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.40%", |
| "B) 63.30%", |
| "C) 65.20%", |
| "D) 66.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "63.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) -0.31pp\nB) +0.65pp\nC) +0.17pp\nD) +0.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.31pp", |
| "B) +0.65pp", |
| "C) +0.17pp", |
| "D) +0.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.17pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,430K\nB) 1,636K\nC) 1,378K\nD) 1,533K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,430K", |
| "B) 1,636K", |
| "C) 1,378K", |
| "D) 1,533K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,533K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 60.80%\nB) 59.58%\nC) 62.02%\nD) 58.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.80%", |
| "B) 59.58%", |
| "C) 62.02%", |
| "D) 58.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.10%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 9.01%\nD) 1.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.10%", |
| "B) 3.55%", |
| "C) 9.01%", |
| "D) 1.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) 1.21%\nC) -0.17%\nD) 1.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.54%", |
| "B) 1.21%", |
| "C) -0.17%", |
| "D) 1.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) $11.22/bbl\nB) $24.37/bbl\nC) $17.79/bbl\nD) $30.95/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11.22/bbl", |
| "B) $24.37/bbl", |
| "C) $17.79/bbl", |
| "D) $30.95/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$30.95/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 107.2700\nB) 104.6482\nC) 115.1354\nD) 102.0264", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.2700", |
| "B) 104.6482", |
| "C) 115.1354", |
| "D) 102.0264" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "107.2700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.87%\nB) 53.61%\nC) 44.34%\nD) 81.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.87%", |
| "B) 53.61%", |
| "C) 44.34%", |
| "D) 81.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "53.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 3,333.16\nB) 3,176.67\nC) 2,863.70\nD) 3,020.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,333.16", |
| "B) 3,176.67", |
| "C) 2,863.70", |
| "D) 3,020.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,863.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.32%\nB) 3.62%\nC) -6.31%\nD) -0.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.32%", |
| "B) 3.62%", |
| "C) -6.31%", |
| "D) -0.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +1.28pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.91pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.72pp", |
| "B) +1.28pp", |
| "C) +0.53pp", |
| "D) +0.91pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.72pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.14%", |
| "C) 1.29%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.00%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) 1.72%", |
| "D) 1.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 101.9111\nB) 104.2005\nC) 113.3584\nD) 106.4900", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.9111", |
| "B) 104.2005", |
| "C) 113.3584", |
| "D) 106.4900" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "106.4900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 104.71\nB) 107.17\nC) 110.86\nD) 101.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.71", |
| "B) 107.17", |
| "C) 110.86", |
| "D) 101.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "104.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.82%", |
| "B) 1.45%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 1.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.31%\nC) -6.85%\nD) -11.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.38%", |
| "B) -5.31%", |
| "C) -6.85%", |
| "D) -11.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $16,278B\nB) $18,783B\nC) $18,282B\nD) $17,781B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,278B", |
| "B) $18,783B", |
| "C) $18,282B", |
| "D) $17,781B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,781B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) 9.78%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 6.77%\nD) 7.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.78%", |
| "B) 8.78%", |
| "C) 6.77%", |
| "D) 7.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 203.07\nB) 224.01\nC) 237.97\nD) 210.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 203.07", |
| "B) 224.01", |
| "C) 237.97", |
| "D) 210.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "224.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -2.28%\nB) -1.60%\nC) -0.93%\nD) -0.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.28%", |
| "B) -1.60%", |
| "C) -0.93%", |
| "D) -0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 1.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.19%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 1.50%", |
| "D) 1.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 1.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.48%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 1.22%", |
| "D) 1.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $27.28/hr\nB) $24.98/hr\nC) $24.06/hr\nD) $25.90/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.28/hr", |
| "B) $24.98/hr", |
| "C) $24.06/hr", |
| "D) $25.90/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.98/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 8.72%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.32%", |
| "B) 8.72%", |
| "C) 5.12%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,126B\nB) $15,125B\nC) $16,125B\nD) $16,626B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,126B", |
| "B) $15,125B", |
| "C) $16,125B", |
| "D) $16,626B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,626B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 116.42\nB) 113.08\nC) 124.77\nD) 119.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 116.42", |
| "B) 113.08", |
| "C) 124.77", |
| "D) 119.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "116.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 8,339,197\nB) 6,088,000\nC) 1,585,605\nD) 12,841,592", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,339,197", |
| "B) 6,088,000", |
| "C) 1,585,605", |
| "D) 12,841,592" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,088,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 47.39%\nB) 18.79%\nC) 30.23%\nD) 35.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 47.39%", |
| "B) 18.79%", |
| "C) 30.23%", |
| "D) 35.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "30.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.78pp\nB) +0.15pp\nC) +0.36pp\nD) +0.57pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.78pp", |
| "B) +0.15pp", |
| "C) +0.36pp", |
| "D) +0.57pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.57pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 268.42\nB) 279.64\nC) 253.47\nD) 260.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 268.42", |
| "B) 279.64", |
| "C) 253.47", |
| "D) 260.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "268.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.40%\nB) -6.51%\nC) -0.34%\nD) -8.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.40%", |
| "B) -6.51%", |
| "C) -0.34%", |
| "D) -8.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,454M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $3,454M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,454M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 254.03\nB) 239.52\nC) 246.78\nD) 232.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 254.03", |
| "B) 239.52", |
| "C) 246.78", |
| "D) 232.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "232.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.47%\nB) -8.70%\nC) -6.24%\nD) -5.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.47%", |
| "B) -8.70%", |
| "C) -6.24%", |
| "D) -5.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.8052\nB) 6.5830\nC) 6.2497\nD) 6.0275", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8052", |
| "B) 6.5830", |
| "C) 6.2497", |
| "D) 6.0275" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.5830", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 18.31%\nB) 1.70%\nC) -31.52%\nD) -14.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.31%", |
| "B) 1.70%", |
| "C) -31.52%", |
| "D) -14.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-31.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2333\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.1083\nD) 1.1833", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2333", |
| "B) 1.3083", |
| "C) 1.1083", |
| "D) 1.1833" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1833", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 267.37\nB) 248.42\nC) 259.79\nD) 278.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 267.37", |
| "B) 248.42", |
| "C) 259.79", |
| "D) 278.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "267.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -15.74pp\nB) -19.90pp\nC) -32.38pp\nD) -11.58pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.74pp", |
| "B) -19.90pp", |
| "C) -32.38pp", |
| "D) -11.58pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-19.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 30,960.47\nB) 34,085.26\nC) 29,398.08\nD) 26,273.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30,960.47", |
| "B) 34,085.26", |
| "C) 29,398.08", |
| "D) 26,273.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "29,398.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) 21,424,411\nB) 16,881,589\nC) 18,017,294\nD) 19,153,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21,424,411", |
| "B) 16,881,589", |
| "C) 18,017,294", |
| "D) 19,153,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19,153,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 56.50%\nB) 53.78%\nC) 59.22%\nD) 51.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 56.50%", |
| "B) 53.78%", |
| "C) 59.22%", |
| "D) 51.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "56.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 266.50\nB) 255.80\nC) 237.97\nD) 245.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 266.50", |
| "B) 255.80", |
| "C) 237.97", |
| "D) 245.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "255.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 28,378.61\nB) 33,094.09\nC) 29,950.44\nD) 25,234.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28,378.61", |
| "B) 33,094.09", |
| "C) 29,950.44", |
| "D) 25,234.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "29,950.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) -2.36%\nC) -4.90%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.26%", |
| "B) -2.36%", |
| "C) -4.90%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,250K\nB) 1,201K\nC) 1,299K\nD) 1,347K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,250K", |
| "B) 1,201K", |
| "C) 1,299K", |
| "D) 1,347K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,250K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 9,069.30\nB) 9,731.18\nC) 10,393.06\nD) 11,054.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,069.30", |
| "B) 9,731.18", |
| "C) 10,393.06", |
| "D) 11,054.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9,731.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 272.92\nB) 250.39\nC) 265.41\nD) 257.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 272.92", |
| "B) 250.39", |
| "C) 265.41", |
| "D) 257.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "265.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,115,366\nB) 360,634\nC) 1,492,731\nD) 738,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,115,366", |
| "B) 360,634", |
| "C) 1,492,731", |
| "D) 738,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "738,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 9,014.56\nB) 6,973.60\nC) 10,375.20\nD) 7,653.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,014.56", |
| "B) 6,973.60", |
| "C) 10,375.20", |
| "D) 7,653.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9,014.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) -41.12%\nB) -24.00%\nC) -6.88%\nD) -75.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -41.12%", |
| "B) -24.00%", |
| "C) -6.88%", |
| "D) -75.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-24.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 277.08\nB) 266.42\nC) 259.32\nD) 252.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 277.08", |
| "B) 266.42", |
| "C) 259.32", |
| "D) 252.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "259.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 0.59%\nD) 0.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.99%", |
| "B) 1.40%", |
| "C) 0.59%", |
| "D) 0.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.64%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 1.17%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 49.47%\nB) 38.18%\nC) 43.83%\nD) 21.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 49.47%", |
| "B) 38.18%", |
| "C) 43.83%", |
| "D) 21.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "38.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $15,984B\nB) $15,357B\nC) $17,239B\nD) $18,494B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,984B", |
| "B) $15,357B", |
| "C) $17,239B", |
| "D) $18,494B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,239B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 3.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) 2.70%", |
| "C) 3.67%", |
| "D) 3.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $-64,349M\nB) $-55,668M\nC) $-58,562M\nD) $-70,136M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-64,349M", |
| "B) $-55,668M", |
| "C) $-58,562M", |
| "D) $-70,136M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-64,349M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.44%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 11.46%\nD) -2.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.44%", |
| "B) 3.01%", |
| "C) 11.46%", |
| "D) -2.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) 11.87%\nB) 13.65%\nC) 10.98%\nD) 9.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.87%", |
| "B) 13.65%", |
| "C) 10.98%", |
| "D) 9.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 1.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 2.03%", |
| "D) 1.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -15.06%\nB) -12.02%\nC) -5.93%\nD) -24.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.06%", |
| "B) -12.02%", |
| "C) -5.93%", |
| "D) -24.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-15.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) -74.89%\nB) -57.57%\nC) -5.61%\nD) -40.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -74.89%", |
| "B) -57.57%", |
| "C) -5.61%", |
| "D) -40.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-57.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 70.10%\nB) 77.40%\nC) 73.02%\nD) 75.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.10%", |
| "B) 77.40%", |
| "C) 73.02%", |
| "D) 75.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "73.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 5.32%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.88%", |
| "B) 5.32%", |
| "C) 5.80%", |
| "D) 4.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $4,807M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,807M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$4,807M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.55pp\nD) +0.08pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.03pp", |
| "B) +0.20pp", |
| "C) +0.55pp", |
| "D) +0.08pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -1.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.12%", |
| "B) 2.03%", |
| "C) 0.76%", |
| "D) -1.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) +2.46pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +8.31pp\nD) +4.80pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.46pp", |
| "B) +1.29pp", |
| "C) +8.31pp", |
| "D) +4.80pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 1.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.22%", |
| "B) 1.43%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 1.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $544,304M\nB) $530,735M\nC) $571,442M\nD) $490,028M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $544,304M", |
| "B) $530,735M", |
| "C) $571,442M", |
| "D) $490,028M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$530,735M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 23.19%\nB) 23.79%\nC) 22.60%\nD) 24.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.19%", |
| "B) 23.79%", |
| "C) 22.60%", |
| "D) 24.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.53%", |
| "B) 1.26%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 0.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 6.65%\nC) 7.92%\nD) 6.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.50%", |
| "B) 6.65%", |
| "C) 7.92%", |
| "D) 6.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.81%\nB) -1.46%\nC) 8.58%\nD) 5.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.81%", |
| "B) -1.46%", |
| "C) 8.58%", |
| "D) 5.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 107.68\nB) 102.80\nC) 105.24\nD) 110.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.68", |
| "B) 102.80", |
| "C) 105.24", |
| "D) 110.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "105.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 5.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.78%", |
| "B) 4.41%", |
| "C) 4.89%", |
| "D) 5.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -12.81pp\nB) -9.54pp\nC) -14.99pp\nD) -13.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.81pp", |
| "B) -9.54pp", |
| "C) -14.99pp", |
| "D) -13.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.81pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 145,693K\nB) 152,293K\nC) 148,993K\nD) 157,243K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 145,693K", |
| "B) 152,293K", |
| "C) 148,993K", |
| "D) 157,243K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "152,293K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) -1.85%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 15.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.42%", |
| "B) -1.85%", |
| "C) 6.60%", |
| "D) 15.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $66,957M\nB) $60,369M\nC) $58,722M\nD) $62,016M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $66,957M", |
| "B) $60,369M", |
| "C) $58,722M", |
| "D) $62,016M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$62,016M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) 13,910,000\nB) 9,786,892\nC) 15,971,554\nD) 20,094,662", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,910,000", |
| "B) 9,786,892", |
| "C) 15,971,554", |
| "D) 20,094,662" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13,910,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) $40.08/bbl\nB) $57.37/bbl\nC) $68.90/bbl\nD) $74.66/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $40.08/bbl", |
| "B) $57.37/bbl", |
| "C) $68.90/bbl", |
| "D) $74.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$57.37/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 25.06%\nB) 29.28%\nC) 22.95%\nD) 27.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.06%", |
| "B) 29.28%", |
| "C) 22.95%", |
| "D) 27.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 258.78\nB) 251.32\nC) 281.18\nD) 269.98", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 258.78", |
| "B) 251.32", |
| "C) 281.18", |
| "D) 269.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "269.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $15,493B\nB) $14,992B\nC) $15,995B\nD) $14,491B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,493B", |
| "B) $14,992B", |
| "C) $15,995B", |
| "D) $14,491B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,493B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.96%", |
| "B) 1.42%", |
| "C) 0.88%", |
| "D) 1.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $489,073M\nB) $541,587M\nC) $515,330M\nD) $502,201M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $489,073M", |
| "B) $541,587M", |
| "C) $515,330M", |
| "D) $502,201M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$515,330M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -0.72pp\nC) +0.12pp\nD) -0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.16pp", |
| "B) -0.72pp", |
| "C) +0.12pp", |
| "D) -0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 72.30\nB) 77.92\nC) 76.05\nD) 74.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 72.30", |
| "B) 77.92", |
| "C) 76.05", |
| "D) 74.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "72.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.24%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.84%\nD) 0.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.24%", |
| "B) 0.05%", |
| "C) 0.84%", |
| "D) 0.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 69.53\nB) 65.85\nC) 76.90\nD) 80.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.53", |
| "B) 65.85", |
| "C) 76.90", |
| "D) 80.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.68%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 2.00%\nD) 3.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.68%", |
| "B) 0.16%", |
| "C) 2.00%", |
| "D) 3.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 104.40\nB) 108.06\nC) 98.31\nD) 101.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.40", |
| "B) 108.06", |
| "C) 98.31", |
| "D) 101.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "104.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,225.56\nB) 3,380.16\nC) 3,843.96\nD) 3,070.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,225.56", |
| "B) 3,380.16", |
| "C) 3,843.96", |
| "D) 3,070.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,380.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 128,293K\nB) 125,128K\nC) 133,040K\nD) 136,205K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 128,293K", |
| "B) 125,128K", |
| "C) 133,040K", |
| "D) 136,205K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "133,040K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) -19.74%\nC) 1.16%\nD) -7.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.34%", |
| "B) -19.74%", |
| "C) 1.16%", |
| "D) -7.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 0.50%\nC) -2.73%\nD) 13.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.73%", |
| "B) 0.50%", |
| "C) -2.73%", |
| "D) 13.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $226,415M\nB) $240,355M\nC) $254,295M\nD) $263,588M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $226,415M", |
| "B) $240,355M", |
| "C) $254,295M", |
| "D) $263,588M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$240,355M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.44%\nB) 11.15%\nC) 9.52%\nD) 10.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.44%", |
| "B) 11.15%", |
| "C) 9.52%", |
| "D) 10.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.58%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 5.92%\nD) 6.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.58%", |
| "B) 6.20%", |
| "C) 5.92%", |
| "D) 6.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 3.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.96%", |
| "B) 2.31%", |
| "C) 3.18%", |
| "D) 3.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) $61.47/bbl\nB) $52.03/bbl\nC) $42.59/bbl\nD) $66.20/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $61.47/bbl", |
| "B) $52.03/bbl", |
| "C) $42.59/bbl", |
| "D) $66.20/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$52.03/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 269.97\nB) 252.10\nC) 259.25\nD) 244.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 269.97", |
| "B) 252.10", |
| "C) 259.25", |
| "D) 244.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "259.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 79.08%\nB) 74.47%\nC) 71.40%\nD) 76.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.08%", |
| "B) 74.47%", |
| "C) 71.40%", |
| "D) 76.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "76.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 118.60\nB) 111.85\nC) 115.22\nD) 123.66", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 118.60", |
| "B) 111.85", |
| "C) 115.22", |
| "D) 123.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "118.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.19%", |
| "B) 2.34%", |
| "C) 1.92%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 69.02%\nB) 62.89%\nC) 65.19%\nD) 66.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.02%", |
| "B) 62.89%", |
| "C) 65.19%", |
| "D) 66.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "65.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.25pp\nB) +0.17pp\nC) +0.55pp\nD) +0.40pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.25pp", |
| "B) +0.17pp", |
| "C) +0.55pp", |
| "D) +0.40pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,345B\nB) $16,735B\nC) $19,175B\nD) $17,955B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,345B", |
| "B) $16,735B", |
| "C) $19,175B", |
| "D) $17,955B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,345B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) 183,107\nB) 209,000\nC) 247,839\nD) 196,054", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 183,107", |
| "B) 209,000", |
| "C) 247,839", |
| "D) 196,054" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "209,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 122.24\nB) 113.41\nC) 116.94\nD) 108.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 122.24", |
| "B) 113.41", |
| "C) 116.94", |
| "D) 108.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "116.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.3749\nB) 6.7266\nC) 7.6342\nD) 6.9859", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.3749", |
| "B) 6.7266", |
| "C) 7.6342", |
| "D) 6.9859" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.9859", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) -4.73%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -0.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.57%", |
| "B) -4.73%", |
| "C) 1.74%", |
| "D) -0.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $519,503M\nB) $533,941M\nC) $562,816M\nD) $490,628M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $519,503M", |
| "B) $533,941M", |
| "C) $562,816M", |
| "D) $490,628M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$533,941M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,277K\nB) 1,575K\nC) 1,396K\nD) 1,336K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,277K", |
| "B) 1,575K", |
| "C) 1,396K", |
| "D) 1,336K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,396K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) $38.06/bbl\nB) $24.45/bbl\nC) $58.47/bbl\nD) $44.86/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $38.06/bbl", |
| "B) $24.45/bbl", |
| "C) $58.47/bbl", |
| "D) $44.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$44.86/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) $-39,931M\nB) $-33,409M\nC) $-42,105M\nD) $-44,279M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-39,931M", |
| "B) $-33,409M", |
| "C) $-42,105M", |
| "D) $-44,279M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-39,931M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.67pp\nB) -15.70pp\nC) -7.76pp\nD) -11.73pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19.67pp", |
| "B) -15.70pp", |
| "C) -7.76pp", |
| "D) -11.73pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-15.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 11.20%\nB) 27.07%\nC) 23.11%\nD) 15.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.20%", |
| "B) 27.07%", |
| "C) 23.11%", |
| "D) 15.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "23.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 105.18\nB) 110.37\nC) 119.02\nD) 113.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.18", |
| "B) 110.37", |
| "C) 119.02", |
| "D) 113.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "113.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.1844\nB) 1.3094\nC) 1.2594\nD) 1.1094", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1844", |
| "B) 1.3094", |
| "C) 1.2594", |
| "D) 1.1094" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1844", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.56%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.56%", |
| "B) 0.91%", |
| "C) 1.96%", |
| "D) 1.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.19%\nD) 0.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.70%", |
| "B) 0.93%", |
| "C) 1.19%", |
| "D) 0.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.93\nB) 26.34\nC) 13.46\nD) 22.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.93", |
| "B) 26.34", |
| "C) 13.46", |
| "D) 22.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "22.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.46%\nB) 1.87%\nC) -6.79%\nD) -0.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.46%", |
| "B) 1.87%", |
| "C) -6.79%", |
| "D) -0.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 0.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.22%", |
| "B) 1.00%", |
| "C) 0.77%", |
| "D) 0.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 136,179K\nB) 149,287K\nC) 142,733K\nD) 153,657K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136,179K", |
| "B) 149,287K", |
| "C) 142,733K", |
| "D) 153,657K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "142,733K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $189,359M\nB) $169,591M\nC) $199,243M\nD) $184,417M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $189,359M", |
| "B) $169,591M", |
| "C) $199,243M", |
| "D) $184,417M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$184,417M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -4.93pp\nB) +0.17pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) -3.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.93pp", |
| "B) +0.17pp", |
| "C) -1.53pp", |
| "D) -3.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.93pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,493K\nB) 1,549K\nC) 1,605K\nD) 1,661K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,493K", |
| "B) 1,549K", |
| "C) 1,605K", |
| "D) 1,661K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,549K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.72%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 2.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.34\nB) 92.09\nC) 95.66\nD) 101.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 106.34", |
| "B) 92.09", |
| "C) 95.66", |
| "D) 101.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "101.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 24.20%\nB) 29.79%\nC) 27.00%\nD) 18.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.20%", |
| "B) 29.79%", |
| "C) 27.00%", |
| "D) 18.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 14.29%\nB) 1.53%\nC) -17.61%\nD) 7.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.29%", |
| "B) 1.53%", |
| "C) -17.61%", |
| "D) 7.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 2.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.78%", |
| "B) 1.06%", |
| "C) 1.42%", |
| "D) 2.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $23.27/hr\nB) $26.05/hr\nC) $25.50/hr\nD) $24.94/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $23.27/hr", |
| "B) $26.05/hr", |
| "C) $25.50/hr", |
| "D) $24.94/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.94/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 8.94%\nD) 4.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.70%", |
| "B) 3.34%", |
| "C) 8.94%", |
| "D) 4.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 58.42%\nB) 61.50%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 59.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 58.42%", |
| "B) 61.50%", |
| "C) 63.34%", |
| "D) 59.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "61.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.4698\nB) 7.4802\nC) 7.1013\nD) 6.7224", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4698", |
| "B) 7.4802", |
| "C) 7.1013", |
| "D) 6.7224" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.1013", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) +4.34pp\nB) +6.83pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +3.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.34pp", |
| "B) +6.83pp", |
| "C) +0.61pp", |
| "D) +3.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.29%", |
| "B) 0.63%", |
| "C) 1.32%", |
| "D) 0.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 13.65\nB) 22.45\nC) 26.85\nD) 18.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.65", |
| "B) 22.45", |
| "C) 26.85", |
| "D) 18.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 2.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 1.59%", |
| "D) 2.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 0.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.01%", |
| "B) 0.61%", |
| "C) 0.91%", |
| "D) 0.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) $14,920B\nB) $15,412B\nC) $13,935B\nD) $13,442B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,920B", |
| "B) $15,412B", |
| "C) $13,935B", |
| "D) $13,442B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,920B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.90%\nB) -1.42%\nC) -3.75%\nD) 2.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.90%", |
| "B) -1.42%", |
| "C) -3.75%", |
| "D) 2.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.69pp\nB) -0.54pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -1.97pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.69pp", |
| "B) -0.54pp", |
| "C) -1.40pp", |
| "D) -1.97pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 55.47%\nB) 60.29%\nC) 53.55%\nD) 57.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 55.47%", |
| "B) 60.29%", |
| "C) 53.55%", |
| "D) 57.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "57.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.19%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.45%", |
| "B) 1.19%", |
| "C) 1.97%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.32%\nB) -6.49%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -13.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.32%", |
| "B) -6.49%", |
| "C) -2.14%", |
| "D) -13.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 35.83%\nB) 29.79%\nC) 41.88%\nD) 53.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.83%", |
| "B) 29.79%", |
| "C) 41.88%", |
| "D) 53.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "41.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 1.65%", |
| "C) 0.40%", |
| "D) 0.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.90pp\nB) -4.20pp\nC) -6.83pp\nD) -1.40pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.90pp", |
| "B) -4.20pp", |
| "C) -6.83pp", |
| "D) -1.40pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 52.96%\nB) 39.61%\nC) 32.94%\nD) 46.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.96%", |
| "B) 39.61%", |
| "C) 32.94%", |
| "D) 46.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "39.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.69%\nB) 1.36%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 2.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.69%", |
| "B) 1.36%", |
| "C) 1.69%", |
| "D) 2.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 268.02\nB) 243.14\nC) 250.25\nD) 260.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 268.02", |
| "B) 243.14", |
| "C) 250.25", |
| "D) 260.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "260.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) $41.14/bbl\nB) $53.02/bbl\nC) $47.08/bbl\nD) $58.95/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $41.14/bbl", |
| "B) $53.02/bbl", |
| "C) $47.08/bbl", |
| "D) $58.95/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$41.14/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 147,320K\nB) 140,821K\nC) 132,156K\nD) 136,488K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 147,320K", |
| "B) 140,821K", |
| "C) 132,156K", |
| "D) 136,488K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "140,821K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) -18.37%\nB) -34.64%\nC) -2.09%\nD) -50.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -18.37%", |
| "B) -34.64%", |
| "C) -2.09%", |
| "D) -50.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 7.53%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 5.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.45%", |
| "B) 7.53%", |
| "C) 4.26%", |
| "D) 5.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,462B\nB) $15,603B\nC) $14,082B\nD) $14,843B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,462B", |
| "B) $15,603B", |
| "C) $14,082B", |
| "D) $14,843B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,462B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.27pp\nB) -1.81pp\nC) -4.93pp\nD) -3.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.27pp", |
| "B) -1.81pp", |
| "C) -4.93pp", |
| "D) -3.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.81pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.90%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 0.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.90%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) 0.10%", |
| "D) 0.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) -75.28%\nB) -44.09%\nC) 18.27%\nD) -28.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -75.28%", |
| "B) -44.09%", |
| "C) 18.27%", |
| "D) -28.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-28.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) +7.20pp\nB) +12.59pp\nC) +1.81pp\nD) +9.89pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +7.20pp", |
| "B) +12.59pp", |
| "C) +1.81pp", |
| "D) +9.89pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+7.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.46%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 5.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.46%", |
| "B) 3.90%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 5.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.65%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 1.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.65%", |
| "B) 1.52%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 1.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,671K\nB) 1,735K\nC) 1,607K\nD) 1,543K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,671K", |
| "B) 1,735K", |
| "C) 1,607K", |
| "D) 1,543K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,543K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.68%\nB) 10.10%\nC) 11.84%\nD) 12.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.68%", |
| "B) 10.10%", |
| "C) 11.84%", |
| "D) 12.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) $15,223B\nB) $13,906B\nC) $14,784B\nD) $13,029B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,223B", |
| "B) $13,906B", |
| "C) $14,784B", |
| "D) $13,029B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,906B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) $59,088M\nB) $53,017M\nC) $57,570M\nD) $54,535M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $59,088M", |
| "B) $53,017M", |
| "C) $57,570M", |
| "D) $54,535M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$57,570M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 115.08\nB) 110.10\nC) 121.72\nD) 118.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.08", |
| "B) 110.10", |
| "C) 121.72", |
| "D) 118.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "118.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-08.)\n\nA) -14.26%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 36.45%\nD) -64.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.26%", |
| "B) 2.65%", |
| "C) 36.45%", |
| "D) -64.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-14.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 83.22\nB) 85.96\nC) 81.40\nD) 87.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.22", |
| "B) 85.96", |
| "C) 81.40", |
| "D) 87.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "85.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.18pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.25pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.18pp", |
| "B) +0.01pp", |
| "C) +0.48pp", |
| "D) +0.25pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.48pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.32%\nB) 9.66%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 12.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.32%", |
| "B) 9.66%", |
| "C) 4.98%", |
| "D) 12.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.80pp\nB) -1.14pp\nC) -0.80pp\nD) -1.47pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.80pp", |
| "B) -1.14pp", |
| "C) -0.80pp", |
| "D) -1.47pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -6.12%\nB) -5.21%\nC) -4.30%\nD) -2.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.12%", |
| "B) -5.21%", |
| "C) -4.30%", |
| "D) -2.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20201115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 0.51%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.92%", |
| "B) 0.51%", |
| "C) 0.09%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20201101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-01.)\n\nA) $62,726M\nB) $69,326M\nC) $61,076M\nD) $64,376M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $62,726M", |
| "B) $69,326M", |
| "C) $61,076M", |
| "D) $64,376M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$64,376M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) 188.60\nB) 195.17\nC) 201.75\nD) 178.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 188.60", |
| "B) 195.17", |
| "C) 201.75", |
| "D) 178.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "188.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.75pp\nB) -2.10pp\nC) -1.98pp\nD) -2.45pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.75pp", |
| "B) -2.10pp", |
| "C) -1.98pp", |
| "D) -2.45pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 1.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 0.10%", |
| "D) 1.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 9.58%\nC) -5.21%\nD) -1.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.19%", |
| "B) 9.58%", |
| "C) -5.21%", |
| "D) -1.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-08.)\n\nA) -23.77%\nB) 8.77%\nC) 25.04%\nD) -40.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -23.77%", |
| "B) 8.77%", |
| "C) 25.04%", |
| "D) -40.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-23.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 7,605.93\nB) 8,566.48\nC) 8,886.66\nD) 7,926.11", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,605.93", |
| "B) 8,566.48", |
| "C) 8,886.66", |
| "D) 7,926.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8,566.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 7,605.93\nB) 8,566.48\nC) 8,886.66\nD) 7,926.11", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,605.93", |
| "B) 8,566.48", |
| "C) 8,886.66", |
| "D) 7,926.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8,566.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,270.86\nB) 8,591.05\nC) 7,950.68\nD) 7,630.50", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,270.86", |
| "B) 8,591.05", |
| "C) 7,950.68", |
| "D) 7,630.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,950.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,270.86\nB) 8,591.05\nC) 7,950.68\nD) 7,630.50", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,270.86", |
| "B) 8,591.05", |
| "C) 7,950.68", |
| "D) 7,630.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,950.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,540.49\nB) 7,821.22\nC) 7,180.85\nD) 6,860.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,540.49", |
| "B) 7,821.22", |
| "C) 7,180.85", |
| "D) 6,860.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,540.49\nB) 7,821.22\nC) 7,180.85\nD) 6,860.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,540.49", |
| "B) 7,821.22", |
| "C) 7,180.85", |
| "D) 6,860.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 6,540.49\nC) 6,220.30\nD) 7,821.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,860.67", |
| "B) 6,540.49", |
| "C) 6,220.30", |
| "D) 7,821.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 6,540.49\nC) 6,220.30\nD) 7,821.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,860.67", |
| "B) 6,540.49", |
| "C) 6,220.30", |
| "D) 7,821.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,220.30\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,540.49\nD) 7,501.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,220.30", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 6,540.49", |
| "D) 7,501.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,220.30\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,540.49\nD) 7,501.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,220.30", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 6,540.49", |
| "D) 7,501.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,540.49\nB) 7,821.22\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,220.30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,540.49", |
| "B) 7,821.22", |
| "C) 6,860.67", |
| "D) 6,220.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 6,540.49\nB) 7,821.22\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,220.30", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,540.49", |
| "B) 7,821.22", |
| "C) 6,860.67", |
| "D) 6,220.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,320.86\nB) 3,031.88\nC) 2,935.56\nD) 3,128.21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,320.86", |
| "B) 3,031.88", |
| "C) 2,935.56", |
| "D) 3,128.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,128.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,320.86\nB) 3,031.88\nC) 2,935.56\nD) 3,128.21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,320.86", |
| "B) 3,031.88", |
| "C) 2,935.56", |
| "D) 3,128.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,128.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,419.10\nC) 3,226.45\nD) 2,937.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,130.12", |
| "B) 3,419.10", |
| "C) 3,226.45", |
| "D) 2,937.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,419.10\nC) 3,226.45\nD) 2,937.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,130.12", |
| "B) 3,419.10", |
| "C) 3,226.45", |
| "D) 2,937.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 2,937.47\nD) 3,419.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,226.45", |
| "B) 3,130.12", |
| "C) 2,937.47", |
| "D) 3,419.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 2,937.47\nD) 3,419.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,226.45", |
| "B) 3,130.12", |
| "C) 2,937.47", |
| "D) 3,419.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 2,841.14\nB) 3,419.10\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 3,322.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,841.14", |
| "B) 3,419.10", |
| "C) 3,130.12", |
| "D) 3,322.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 2,841.14\nB) 3,419.10\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 3,322.77", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,841.14", |
| "B) 3,419.10", |
| "C) 3,130.12", |
| "D) 3,322.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 2,937.47\nC) 3,322.77\nD) 3,130.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 2,937.47", |
| "C) 3,322.77", |
| "D) 3,130.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 2,937.47\nC) 3,322.77\nD) 3,130.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 2,937.47", |
| "C) 3,322.77", |
| "D) 3,130.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,187.70\nC) 3,476.68\nD) 3,091.37", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,380.35", |
| "B) 3,187.70", |
| "C) 3,476.68", |
| "D) 3,091.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,380.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,187.70\nC) 3,476.68\nD) 3,091.37", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,380.35", |
| "B) 3,187.70", |
| "C) 3,476.68", |
| "D) 3,091.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,380.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 41.91\nB) 40.11\nC) 43.71\nD) 45.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.91", |
| "B) 40.11", |
| "C) 43.71", |
| "D) 45.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "40.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 41.91\nB) 40.11\nC) 43.71\nD) 45.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.91", |
| "B) 40.11", |
| "C) 43.71", |
| "D) 45.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "40.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 50.86\nB) 52.66\nC) 54.46\nD) 56.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.86", |
| "B) 52.66", |
| "C) 54.46", |
| "D) 56.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 50.86\nB) 52.66\nC) 54.46\nD) 56.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.86", |
| "B) 52.66", |
| "C) 54.46", |
| "D) 56.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 77.29\nB) 88.09\nC) 84.49\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.29", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 84.49", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 77.29\nB) 88.09\nC) 84.49\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.29", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 84.49", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 84.49\nC) 80.89\nD) 88.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 84.49", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 88.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 84.49\nC) 80.89\nD) 88.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 84.49", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 88.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 77.29\nB) 82.69\nC) 86.29\nD) 88.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.29", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 86.29", |
| "D) 88.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 77.29\nB) 82.69\nC) 86.29\nD) 88.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.29", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 86.29", |
| "D) 88.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 88.09\nB) 79.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 86.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.09", |
| "B) 79.09", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 86.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 88.09\nB) 79.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 86.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.09", |
| "B) 79.09", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 86.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.57%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 1.63%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.57%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 1.63%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.01%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.01%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 1.34%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.07%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.07%", |
| "B) 1.34%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 0.01%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 0.01%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.25%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 1.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.25%", |
| "C) 0.79%", |
| "D) 1.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.25%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 1.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.25%", |
| "C) 0.79%", |
| "D) 1.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $39.36/bbl\nB) $42.83/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.36/bbl", |
| "B) $42.83/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $49.78/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $39.36/bbl\nB) $42.83/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.36/bbl", |
| "B) $42.83/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $49.78/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $46.31/bbl\nD) $53.25/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $49.78/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $46.31/bbl", |
| "D) $53.25/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $46.31/bbl\nD) $53.25/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $49.78/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $46.31/bbl", |
| "D) $53.25/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $42.83/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $42.83/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $60.20/bbl\nD) $42.83/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $60.20/bbl", |
| "D) $42.83/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $42.83/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $56.73/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $42.83/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $56.73/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $42.83/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $56.73/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $42.83/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $56.73/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.26%", |
| "B) 0.69%", |
| "C) 0.47%", |
| "D) 0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.26%", |
| "B) 0.69%", |
| "C) 0.47%", |
| "D) 0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 0.29%", |
| "C) 0.50%", |
| "D) 0.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 0.29%", |
| "C) 0.50%", |
| "D) 0.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.10%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.10%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 0.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.10%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.74%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 0.10%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 0.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.60%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.18%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.60%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.18%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 1.47%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 1.47%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.18%", |
| "B) 2.05%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.18%", |
| "B) 2.05%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 0.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 1.47%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.05%", |
| "B) 1.18%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 1.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 1.47%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.05%", |
| "B) 1.18%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) 1.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 1.47%", |
| "C) 1.18%", |
| "D) 2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 1.47%", |
| "C) 1.18%", |
| "D) 2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.47%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.47%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.47%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.47%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.08%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.08%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 1.08%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 1.08%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.81%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.00%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.27%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.00%", |
| "D) 0.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 85.78\nC) 82.69\nD) 73.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 85.78", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 73.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 85.78\nC) 82.69\nD) 73.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 85.78", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 73.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 88.86\nB) 76.52\nC) 79.60\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.86", |
| "B) 76.52", |
| "C) 79.60", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 88.86\nB) 76.52\nC) 79.60\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.86", |
| "B) 76.52", |
| "C) 79.60", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 73.43\nC) 76.52\nD) 88.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 73.43", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 88.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 73.43\nC) 76.52\nD) 88.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 73.43", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 88.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 82.69\nC) 76.52\nD) 85.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 85.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 82.69\nC) 76.52\nD) 85.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 85.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 73.43\nC) 82.69\nD) 76.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 73.43", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 76.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 73.43\nC) 82.69\nD) 76.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.60", |
| "B) 73.43", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 76.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 73.43\nB) 88.86\nC) 76.52\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.43", |
| "B) 88.86", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 73.43\nB) 88.86\nC) 76.52\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.43", |
| "B) 88.86", |
| "C) 76.52", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,334.78\nB) 7,986.24\nC) 6,683.32\nD) 8,311.96", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,334.78", |
| "B) 7,986.24", |
| "C) 6,683.32", |
| "D) 8,311.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,334.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,334.78\nB) 7,986.24\nC) 6,683.32\nD) 8,311.96", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,334.78", |
| "B) 7,986.24", |
| "C) 6,683.32", |
| "D) 8,311.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,334.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,820.36\nB) 7,797.54\nC) 8,449.00\nD) 7,146.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,820.36", |
| "B) 7,797.54", |
| "C) 8,449.00", |
| "D) 7,146.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,797.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,820.36\nB) 7,797.54\nC) 8,449.00\nD) 7,146.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,820.36", |
| "B) 7,797.54", |
| "C) 8,449.00", |
| "D) 7,146.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,797.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,866.69\nB) 7,540.96\nC) 8,192.42\nD) 9,169.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,866.69", |
| "B) 7,540.96", |
| "C) 8,192.42", |
| "D) 9,169.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8,192.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,866.69\nB) 7,540.96\nC) 8,192.42\nD) 9,169.60", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,866.69", |
| "B) 7,540.96", |
| "C) 8,192.42", |
| "D) 9,169.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8,192.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 8,540.88\nB) 9,843.80\nC) 9,518.07\nD) 9,192.34", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,540.88", |
| "B) 9,843.80", |
| "C) 9,518.07", |
| "D) 9,192.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9,192.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 8,540.88\nB) 9,843.80\nC) 9,518.07\nD) 9,192.34", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,540.88", |
| "B) 9,843.80", |
| "C) 9,518.07", |
| "D) 9,192.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9,192.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 9,953.75\nB) 9,302.29\nC) 10,605.21\nD) 10,279.48", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,953.75", |
| "B) 9,302.29", |
| "C) 10,605.21", |
| "D) 10,279.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9,953.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 9,953.75\nB) 9,302.29\nC) 10,605.21\nD) 10,279.48", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,953.75", |
| "B) 9,302.29", |
| "C) 10,605.21", |
| "D) 10,279.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9,953.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 11,079.26\nB) 12,056.44\nC) 11,730.71\nD) 12,382.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,079.26", |
| "B) 12,056.44", |
| "C) 11,730.71", |
| "D) 12,382.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,056.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 11,079.26\nB) 12,056.44\nC) 11,730.71\nD) 12,382.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,079.26", |
| "B) 12,056.44", |
| "C) 11,730.71", |
| "D) 12,382.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,056.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-7.84/bbl\nB) $-2.26/bbl\nC) $8.91/bbl\nD) $25.66/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "B) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "C) $8.91/bbl", |
| "D) $25.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-7.84/bbl\nB) $-2.26/bbl\nC) $8.91/bbl\nD) $25.66/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "B) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "C) $8.91/bbl", |
| "D) $25.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $3.33/bbl\nB) $-7.84/bbl\nC) $14.49/bbl\nD) $8.91/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $3.33/bbl", |
| "B) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "C) $14.49/bbl", |
| "D) $8.91/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $3.33/bbl\nB) $-7.84/bbl\nC) $14.49/bbl\nD) $8.91/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $3.33/bbl", |
| "B) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "C) $14.49/bbl", |
| "D) $8.91/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $8.91/bbl\nB) $-7.84/bbl\nC) $14.49/bbl\nD) $20.08/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8.91/bbl", |
| "B) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "C) $14.49/bbl", |
| "D) $20.08/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $8.91/bbl\nB) $-7.84/bbl\nC) $14.49/bbl\nD) $20.08/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8.91/bbl", |
| "B) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "C) $14.49/bbl", |
| "D) $20.08/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $25.66/bbl\nB) $8.91/bbl\nC) $20.08/bbl\nD) $3.33/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.66/bbl", |
| "B) $8.91/bbl", |
| "C) $20.08/bbl", |
| "D) $3.33/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $25.66/bbl\nB) $8.91/bbl\nC) $20.08/bbl\nD) $3.33/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.66/bbl", |
| "B) $8.91/bbl", |
| "C) $20.08/bbl", |
| "D) $3.33/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-7.84/bbl\nB) $3.33/bbl\nC) $8.91/bbl\nD) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "B) $3.33/bbl", |
| "C) $8.91/bbl", |
| "D) $-2.26/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-7.84/bbl\nB) $3.33/bbl\nC) $8.91/bbl\nD) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "B) $3.33/bbl", |
| "C) $8.91/bbl", |
| "D) $-2.26/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $20.08/bbl\nB) $-2.26/bbl\nC) $-7.84/bbl\nD) $8.91/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20.08/bbl", |
| "B) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "C) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "D) $8.91/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $20.08/bbl\nB) $-2.26/bbl\nC) $-7.84/bbl\nD) $8.91/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20.08/bbl", |
| "B) $-2.26/bbl", |
| "C) $-7.84/bbl", |
| "D) $8.91/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $9.12/bbl\nB) $27.54/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $21.40/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9.12/bbl", |
| "B) $27.54/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $21.40/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $9.12/bbl\nB) $27.54/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $21.40/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9.12/bbl", |
| "B) $27.54/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $21.40/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $2.98/bbl\nB) $9.12/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $27.54/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2.98/bbl", |
| "B) $9.12/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $27.54/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $2.98/bbl\nB) $9.12/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $27.54/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2.98/bbl", |
| "B) $9.12/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $27.54/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.26/bbl\nB) $21.40/bbl\nC) $9.12/bbl\nD) $2.98/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.26/bbl", |
| "B) $21.40/bbl", |
| "C) $9.12/bbl", |
| "D) $2.98/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.26/bbl\nB) $21.40/bbl\nC) $9.12/bbl\nD) $2.98/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.26/bbl", |
| "B) $21.40/bbl", |
| "C) $9.12/bbl", |
| "D) $2.98/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $27.54/bbl\nB) $2.98/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $9.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.54/bbl", |
| "B) $2.98/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $9.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $27.54/bbl\nB) $2.98/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $9.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $27.54/bbl", |
| "B) $2.98/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $9.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $9.12/bbl\nB) $2.98/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $27.54/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9.12/bbl", |
| "B) $2.98/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $27.54/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $9.12/bbl\nB) $2.98/bbl\nC) $15.26/bbl\nD) $27.54/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9.12/bbl", |
| "B) $2.98/bbl", |
| "C) $15.26/bbl", |
| "D) $27.54/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.26/bbl\nB) $9.12/bbl\nC) $27.54/bbl\nD) $2.98/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.26/bbl", |
| "B) $9.12/bbl", |
| "C) $27.54/bbl", |
| "D) $2.98/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.26/bbl\nB) $9.12/bbl\nC) $27.54/bbl\nD) $2.98/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.26/bbl", |
| "B) $9.12/bbl", |
| "C) $27.54/bbl", |
| "D) $2.98/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9.12/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-01-29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-26", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-01-29, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-26.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.39%", |
| "B) 1.99%", |
| "C) 1.58%", |
| "D) 2.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-03-03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-29", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-03-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 0.85%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 0.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.25%", |
| "B) 0.85%", |
| "C) 0.45%", |
| "D) 0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-03-15", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-12", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-03-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-12.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.85%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 1.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.05%", |
| "B) 0.85%", |
| "C) 0.45%", |
| "D) 1.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-04-29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-26", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-04-29, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-26.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.85%", |
| "B) 0.05%", |
| "C) 0.45%", |
| "D) 1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-06-10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-07", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-06-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-07.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 1.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.49%", |
| "C) 0.09%", |
| "D) 1.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-07-29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-26", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-07-29, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-26.)\n\nA) 0.90%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.90%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) 0.50%", |
| "D) 0.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-09-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-09-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-13.)\n\nA) 0.09%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.09%", |
| "B) 0.49%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 1.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-11-05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "December 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-02", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-11-05, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-02.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.49%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2020-12-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2020-12-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-13.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 0.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.30%", |
| "B) 0.49%", |
| "C) 0.09%", |
| "D) 0.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202001", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2020 (released around 2020-02-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-31.)\n\nA) 112K\nB) 154K\nC) 320K\nD) 237K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112K", |
| "B) 154K", |
| "C) 320K", |
| "D) 237K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "237K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202002", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2020 (released around 2020-03-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-28.)\n\nA) 262K\nB) 304K\nC) 345K\nD) 220K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 262K", |
| "B) 304K", |
| "C) 345K", |
| "D) 220K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "262K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2020 (released around 2020-04-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-27.)\n\nA) -1,066K\nB) -1,398K\nC) -1,287K\nD) -1,177K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1,066K", |
| "B) -1,398K", |
| "C) -1,287K", |
| "D) -1,177K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1,398K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-24", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2020 (released around 2020-05-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-24.)\n\nA) -19,133K\nB) -16,460K\nC) -20,469K\nD) -21,805K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19,133K", |
| "B) -16,460K", |
| "C) -20,469K", |
| "D) -21,805K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-20,469K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202005", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2020 (released around 2020-06-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-29.)\n\nA) 1,266K\nB) 6,659K\nC) -82K\nD) 2,614K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,266K", |
| "B) 6,659K", |
| "C) -82K", |
| "D) 2,614K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,614K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202006", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2020 (released around 2020-07-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-26.)\n\nA) 4,631K\nB) 6,014K\nC) 482K\nD) 1,865K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,631K", |
| "B) 6,014K", |
| "C) 482K", |
| "D) 1,865K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,631K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2020 (released around 2020-08-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-31.)\n\nA) -2,612K\nB) 1,584K\nC) -1,213K\nD) 185K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2,612K", |
| "B) 1,584K", |
| "C) -1,213K", |
| "D) 185K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,584K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202008", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2020 (released around 2020-09-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-28.)\n\nA) 2,957K\nB) 175K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 4,347K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,957K", |
| "B) 175K", |
| "C) 1,566K", |
| "D) 4,347K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,566K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202009", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2020 (released around 2020-10-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-25.)\n\nA) -3,227K\nB) 2,341K\nC) 3,733K\nD) 949K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3,227K", |
| "B) 2,341K", |
| "C) 3,733K", |
| "D) 949K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "949K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2020 (released around 2020-11-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-30.)\n\nA) 690K\nB) -3,488K\nC) -2,095K\nD) 4,868K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 690K", |
| "B) -3,488K", |
| "C) -2,095K", |
| "D) 4,868K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "690K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2020 (released around 2020-12-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-27.)\n\nA) 3,058K\nB) 273K\nC) 4,451K\nD) -3,905K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,058K", |
| "B) 273K", |
| "C) 4,451K", |
| "D) -3,905K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "273K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202012", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2020 (released around 2021-01-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) -1,578K\nB) -4,363K\nC) -185K\nD) -2,970K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1,578K", |
| "B) -4,363K", |
| "C) -185K", |
| "D) -2,970K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-185K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202001", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2020 (released around 2020-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) 2.19%", |
| "C) 3.84%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202003", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2020 (released around 2020-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 0.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.49%", |
| "B) 2.28%", |
| "C) 0.32%", |
| "D) 0.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202004", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2020 (released around 2020-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.48%\nD) -0.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.09%", |
| "B) 0.31%", |
| "C) 1.48%", |
| "D) -0.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202006", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2020 (released around 2020-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-06.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -0.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.40%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 0.72%", |
| "D) -0.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2020 (released around 2020-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-06.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 1.72%\nC) -0.09%\nD) 1.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.28%", |
| "B) 1.72%", |
| "C) -0.09%", |
| "D) 1.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202009", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2020 (released around 2020-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-06.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 0.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.39%", |
| "B) 0.40%", |
| "C) 2.05%", |
| "D) 0.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202010", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2020 (released around 2020-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.87%", |
| "B) 1.23%", |
| "C) 2.19%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202012", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2020 (released around 2021-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-06.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 0.70%", |
| "C) 1.32%", |
| "D) 2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2020q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2020 (advance estimate released around 2020-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-14.)\n\nA) -2.04%\nB) 2.49%\nC) -0.91%\nD) 1.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.04%", |
| "B) 2.49%", |
| "C) -0.91%", |
| "D) 1.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2020q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2020 (advance estimate released around 2020-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-14.)\n\nA) -7.40%\nB) -3.84%\nC) -6.21%\nD) -5.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.40%", |
| "B) -3.84%", |
| "C) -6.21%", |
| "D) -5.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2020q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2020 (advance estimate released around 2020-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-14.)\n\nA) -2.59%\nB) -1.36%\nC) -0.14%\nD) 1.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.59%", |
| "B) -1.36%", |
| "C) -0.14%", |
| "D) 1.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2020q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2020 (advance estimate released around 2021-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-14.)\n\nA) -3.37%\nB) -4.59%\nC) -0.92%\nD) 0.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.37%", |
| "B) -4.59%", |
| "C) -0.92%", |
| "D) 0.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-01-03? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-27.)\n\nA) 10.72\nB) 20.97\nC) 8.67\nD) 14.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.72", |
| "B) 20.97", |
| "C) 8.67", |
| "D) 14.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-01-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-03.)\n\nA) 13.85\nB) 17.93\nC) 9.77\nD) 15.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.85", |
| "B) 17.93", |
| "C) 9.77", |
| "D) 15.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200117", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-01-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-10.)\n\nA) 18.47\nB) 12.42\nC) 14.44\nD) 16.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.47", |
| "B) 12.42", |
| "C) 14.44", |
| "D) 16.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-02-07? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-31.)\n\nA) 19.96\nB) 15.98\nC) 17.97\nD) 13.98", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.96", |
| "B) 15.98", |
| "C) 17.97", |
| "D) 13.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200214", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-02-14? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-07.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 11.36\nC) 19.00\nD) 15.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.45", |
| "B) 11.36", |
| "C) 19.00", |
| "D) 15.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200221", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-02-21? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-14.)\n\nA) 17.08\nB) 15.27\nC) 11.66\nD) 22.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.08", |
| "B) 15.27", |
| "C) 11.66", |
| "D) 22.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200306", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-03-06? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-28.)\n\nA) 37.96\nB) 41.94\nC) 35.97\nD) 47.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.96", |
| "B) 41.94", |
| "C) 35.97", |
| "D) 47.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "41.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200313", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-03-13? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-06.)\n\nA) 70.99\nB) 77.71\nC) 75.47\nD) 79.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.99", |
| "B) 77.71", |
| "C) 75.47", |
| "D) 79.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "75.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200320", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-03-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 79.61\nB) 88.85\nC) 73.45\nD) 82.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.61", |
| "B) 88.85", |
| "C) 73.45", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200403", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-04-03? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-27.)\n\nA) 57.08\nB) 47.51\nC) 61.86\nD) 52.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 57.08", |
| "B) 47.51", |
| "C) 61.86", |
| "D) 52.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "57.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200410", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-04-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-03.)\n\nA) 36.51\nB) 46.70\nC) 31.42\nD) 56.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.51", |
| "B) 46.70", |
| "C) 31.42", |
| "D) 56.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "46.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200417", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-04-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-10.)\n\nA) 51.63\nB) 30.71\nC) 41.17\nD) 35.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 51.63", |
| "B) 30.71", |
| "C) 41.17", |
| "D) 35.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "41.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-24", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-24.)\n\nA) 20.80\nB) 31.73\nC) 42.65\nD) 37.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.80", |
| "B) 31.73", |
| "C) 42.65", |
| "D) 37.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "37.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200508", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-05-08? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-01.)\n\nA) 35.97\nB) 47.00\nC) 52.52\nD) 19.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.97", |
| "B) 47.00", |
| "C) 52.52", |
| "D) 19.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "35.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 29.72\nB) 35.28\nC) 18.61\nD) 40.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.72", |
| "B) 35.28", |
| "C) 18.61", |
| "D) 40.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "35.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200605", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-06-05? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-29.)\n\nA) 17.01\nB) 22.62\nC) 28.23\nD) 11.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.01", |
| "B) 22.62", |
| "C) 28.23", |
| "D) 11.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "28.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200612", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-06-12? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-05.)\n\nA) 35.18\nB) 57.63\nC) 23.95\nD) 40.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.18", |
| "B) 57.63", |
| "C) 23.95", |
| "D) 40.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "40.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200619", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-12.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 46.40\nC) 40.76\nD) 29.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.12", |
| "B) 46.40", |
| "C) 40.76", |
| "D) 29.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "35.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200703", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-07-03? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-26.)\n\nA) 26.08\nB) 31.78\nC) 14.67\nD) 37.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.08", |
| "B) 31.78", |
| "C) 14.67", |
| "D) 37.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200710", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-07-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-03.)\n\nA) 17.98\nB) 12.26\nC) 29.43\nD) 35.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.98", |
| "B) 12.26", |
| "C) 29.43", |
| "D) 35.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "29.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200717", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-07-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-10.)\n\nA) 26.47\nB) 49.36\nC) 20.74\nD) 32.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.47", |
| "B) 49.36", |
| "C) 20.74", |
| "D) 32.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200807", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-08-07? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-31.)\n\nA) 24.28\nB) 35.70\nC) 18.57\nD) 29.99", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.28", |
| "B) 35.70", |
| "C) 18.57", |
| "D) 29.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200814", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-08-14? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-07.)\n\nA) 12.65\nB) 24.03\nC) 29.72\nD) 35.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.65", |
| "B) 24.03", |
| "C) 29.72", |
| "D) 35.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.03", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200821", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-08-21? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-14.)\n\nA) 5.69\nB) 28.40\nC) 22.72\nD) 11.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.69", |
| "B) 28.40", |
| "C) 22.72", |
| "D) 11.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200904", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-09-04? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-28.)\n\nA) 44.90\nB) 39.25\nC) 50.54\nD) 33.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.90", |
| "B) 39.25", |
| "C) 50.54", |
| "D) 33.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200911", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-04.)\n\nA) 31.46\nB) 48.39\nC) 25.82\nD) 37.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.46", |
| "B) 48.39", |
| "C) 25.82", |
| "D) 37.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20200918", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-09-18? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-11.)\n\nA) 32.11\nB) 26.46\nC) 37.76\nD) 43.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.11", |
| "B) 26.46", |
| "C) 37.76", |
| "D) 43.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "26.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201002", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-10-02? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-25.)\n\nA) 16.38\nB) 38.88\nC) 27.63\nD) 44.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.38", |
| "B) 38.88", |
| "C) 27.63", |
| "D) 44.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201009", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-10-09? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-02.)\n\nA) 46.32\nB) 23.87\nC) 12.64\nD) 29.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.32", |
| "B) 23.87", |
| "C) 12.64", |
| "D) 29.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "29.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201016", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-10-16? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-09.)\n\nA) 27.41\nB) 33.02\nC) 44.23\nD) 21.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.41", |
| "B) 33.02", |
| "C) 44.23", |
| "D) 21.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-11-06? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-30.)\n\nA) 31.47\nB) 37.13\nC) 20.14\nD) 25.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.47", |
| "B) 37.13", |
| "C) 20.14", |
| "D) 25.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "37.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201113", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-11-13? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) 42.80\nB) 31.43\nC) 25.75\nD) 14.38", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.80", |
| "B) 31.43", |
| "C) 25.75", |
| "D) 14.38" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201120", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-11-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-13.)\n\nA) 6.80\nB) 29.52\nC) 18.16\nD) 23.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.80", |
| "B) 29.52", |
| "C) 18.16", |
| "D) 23.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-12-04? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-27.)\n\nA) 21.28\nB) 32.63\nC) 15.60\nD) 38.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.28", |
| "B) 32.63", |
| "C) 15.60", |
| "D) 38.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-12-11? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-04.)\n\nA) 6.29\nB) 23.31\nC) 28.98\nD) 17.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.29", |
| "B) 23.31", |
| "C) 28.98", |
| "D) 17.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20201218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2020-12-18? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-11.)\n\nA) 19.05\nB) 13.38\nC) 24.72\nD) 30.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.05", |
| "B) 13.38", |
| "C) 24.72", |
| "D) 30.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2019-12-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-01-03? (Use only information available on or before 2019-12-27.)\n\nA) -2.40%\nB) -1.32%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 0.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.40%", |
| "B) -1.32%", |
| "C) -0.24%", |
| "D) 0.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-01-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-03.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) -2.07%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 4.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.18%", |
| "B) -2.07%", |
| "C) 0.10%", |
| "D) 4.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200117", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-01-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-01-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-10.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.22%", |
| "B) 1.24%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) -1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-02-07? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-31.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) -0.35%\nC) 2.66%\nD) 5.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.68%", |
| "B) -0.35%", |
| "C) 2.66%", |
| "D) 5.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200214", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-02-14? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-07.)\n\nA) -0.96%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.96%", |
| "B) 4.11%", |
| "C) 2.08%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200221", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-02-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-02-21? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-14.)\n\nA) -1.60%\nB) -4.63%\nC) -2.61%\nD) -3.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.60%", |
| "B) -4.63%", |
| "C) -2.61%", |
| "D) -3.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200306", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-03-06? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-28.)\n\nA) -1.97%\nB) -4.21%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -0.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.97%", |
| "B) -4.21%", |
| "C) -5.32%", |
| "D) -0.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200313", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-03-13? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-06.)\n\nA) -4.64%\nB) -2.18%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 2.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.64%", |
| "B) -2.18%", |
| "C) -0.95%", |
| "D) 2.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200320", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-03-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-03-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) -3.71%\nC) 2.99%\nD) -0.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.31%", |
| "B) -3.71%", |
| "C) 2.99%", |
| "D) -0.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200403", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-04-03? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-27.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) -11.46%\nC) 1.14%\nD) -7.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.16%", |
| "B) -11.46%", |
| "C) 1.14%", |
| "D) -7.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200410", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-04-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-03.)\n\nA) 0.90%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 7.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.90%", |
| "B) 3.04%", |
| "C) 5.18%", |
| "D) 7.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200417", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-04-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-04-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-10.)\n\nA) 7.80%\nB) 12.22%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 3.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.80%", |
| "B) 12.22%", |
| "C) 5.59%", |
| "D) 3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200501", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-24", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-24.)\n\nA) -3.69%\nB) 5.34%\nC) -5.95%\nD) -1.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.69%", |
| "B) 5.34%", |
| "C) -5.95%", |
| "D) -1.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200508", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-05-08? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-01.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 11.56%\nC) -2.14%\nD) 2.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.71%", |
| "B) 11.56%", |
| "C) -2.14%", |
| "D) 2.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200515", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 0.35%\nD) -6.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.63%", |
| "B) -1.93%", |
| "C) 0.35%", |
| "D) -6.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200605", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-05-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-06-05? (Use only information available on or before 2020-05-29.)\n\nA) 0.46%\nB) 9.59%\nC) 2.74%\nD) -1.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.46%", |
| "B) 9.59%", |
| "C) 2.74%", |
| "D) -1.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200612", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-06-12? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-05.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -5.66%\nC) -10.21%\nD) -3.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.93%", |
| "B) -5.66%", |
| "C) -10.21%", |
| "D) -3.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200619", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-06-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-12.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 6.87%\nC) 4.57%\nD) -0.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.26%", |
| "B) 6.87%", |
| "C) 4.57%", |
| "D) -0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200703", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-07-03? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-26.)\n\nA) 10.33%\nB) 3.38%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 1.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.33%", |
| "B) 3.38%", |
| "C) -3.57%", |
| "D) 1.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200710", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-07-10? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-03.)\n\nA) -2.89%\nB) -5.21%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 4.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.89%", |
| "B) -5.21%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 4.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200717", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-07-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-07-17? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-10.)\n\nA) -3.57%\nB) -1.25%\nC) -5.90%\nD) 1.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.57%", |
| "B) -1.25%", |
| "C) -5.90%", |
| "D) 1.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200807", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-07-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-08-07? (Use only information available on or before 2020-07-31.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 8.04%\nD) -6.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.99%", |
| "B) 5.69%", |
| "C) 8.04%", |
| "D) -6.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200814", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-08-14? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-07.)\n\nA) -6.54%\nB) 0.46%\nC) -4.20%\nD) -1.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.54%", |
| "B) 0.46%", |
| "C) -4.20%", |
| "D) -1.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200821", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-08-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-08-21? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-14.)\n\nA) -5.32%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 6.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.32%", |
| "B) -0.68%", |
| "C) 1.64%", |
| "D) 6.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200904", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-09-04? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-28.)\n\nA) -6.23%\nB) -1.62%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -3.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.23%", |
| "B) -1.62%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) -3.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200911", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-04.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.61%\nD) 4.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.05%", |
| "B) -2.28%", |
| "C) -4.61%", |
| "D) 4.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20200918", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-09-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-09-18? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-11.)\n\nA) -7.11%\nB) -2.38%\nC) 4.70%\nD) -0.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.11%", |
| "B) -2.38%", |
| "C) 4.70%", |
| "D) -0.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201002", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-09-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-10-02? (Use only information available on or before 2020-09-25.)\n\nA) -2.77%\nB) -5.15%\nC) -0.38%\nD) 2.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.77%", |
| "B) -5.15%", |
| "C) -0.38%", |
| "D) 2.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201009", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-10-09? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-02.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) -2.59%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 2.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.57%", |
| "B) -2.59%", |
| "C) -0.20%", |
| "D) 2.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201016", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-10-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-10-16? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-09.)\n\nA) -1.72%\nB) -4.12%\nC) 3.06%\nD) -8.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.72%", |
| "B) -4.12%", |
| "C) 3.06%", |
| "D) -8.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-10-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-11-06? (Use only information available on or before 2020-10-30.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 8.56%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 15.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.13%", |
| "B) 8.56%", |
| "C) 1.28%", |
| "D) 15.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201113", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-11-13? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-06.)\n\nA) -3.90%\nB) -6.35%\nC) 0.99%\nD) 5.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.90%", |
| "B) -6.35%", |
| "C) 0.99%", |
| "D) 5.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201120", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-11-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-11-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-13.)\n\nA) -3.03%\nB) 6.78%\nC) 1.87%\nD) -0.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.03%", |
| "B) 6.78%", |
| "C) 1.87%", |
| "D) -0.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-11-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-12-04? (Use only information available on or before 2020-11-27.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) -5.21%\nC) 9.56%\nD) -0.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.18%", |
| "B) -5.21%", |
| "C) 9.56%", |
| "D) -0.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-12-11? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-04.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) -1.13%\nC) -8.50%\nD) -3.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.78%", |
| "B) -1.13%", |
| "C) -8.50%", |
| "D) -3.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20201218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2020-12-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2020-12-18? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-11.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 9.91%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 9.91%", |
| "C) 2.54%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2020 |
| } |
| ] |
