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Add historical financial forecasting MCQ (5,443 q; forecast/blind/revealed)

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README.md ADDED
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+ ---
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+ license: mit
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+ task_categories:
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+ - multiple-choice
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+ - question-answering
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ tags:
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+ - finance
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+ - forecasting
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+ - macroeconomics
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+ - recall-vs-reasoning
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+ - time-series
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+ size_categories:
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+ - 1K<n<10K
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+ configs:
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+ - config_name: default
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+ data_files:
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+ - split: train
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+ path: mcq_all.parquet
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+ ---
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+
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+ # pre_test — Historical Financial Forecasting MCQ
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+
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+ A 5,443-question multiple-choice benchmark built from **50 US macro / market indicators**
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+ (FRED, 1999–2026). Every correct answer is a **real historical value** independently
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+ re-derivable from raw FRED data — not model-generated.
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+
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+ The dataset is designed to **separate genuine forecasting from memorized recall**: by
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+ comparing a model's accuracy across years (especially 2026, which is past most models'
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+ training cutoff and acts as a clean baseline), and across "blind" vs "revealed" framings
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+ of the same shock event.
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+
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+ ## Composition
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+
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+ | `condition` | count | what it tests |
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+ |---|---|---|
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+ | `forecast` | 3,297 | periodic numeric forecast of an indicator (recurrent) |
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+ | `blind` | 1,073 | aftermath of a market shock, **event name hidden** — clean recall probe |
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+ | `revealed` | 1,073 | the same question, **event name given** — situational reasoning |
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+
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+ `blind` and `revealed` rows are paired 1:1 via `pair_id` (same options, same answer).
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+ Answer letters are balanced: A/B/C/D ≈ 25% each.
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+
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+ ## Fields
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+
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+ **Input to the model:**
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+ - `question` — the full prompt, options already appended.
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+ - `options` — the four `"A) …"` strings (also for programmatic use).
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+
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+ **The answer:**
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+ - `answer_letter` — `"A"`/`"B"`/`"C"`/`"D"`.
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+ - `answer_raw` — the numeric value of the correct option (e.g. `"+0.32pp"`).
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+
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+ **Metadata / analysis labels (NOT shown to the model):**
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+ - `condition` — `forecast` / `blind` / `revealed` (the 3 experiment types above).
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+ - `subtype` — `recurrent` / `shock_aftermath`.
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+ - `forecastType` — `Recurrent` / `Non-Recurrent`.
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+ - `indicator` — FRED series id (e.g. `CPIAUCSL`).
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+ - `transform` — `level` / `yoy_pct` / `yoy_pp`.
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+ - `target_period`, `info_cutoff` — what is being predicted, and the information cutoff
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+ (strictly before the target → it is forecasting, not lookup).
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+ - `unit`, `year`.
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+ - `pair_id`, `event_label`, `event_date` — present on shock rows; link the blind/revealed twins.
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+
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+ ## Recommended analysis
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+
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+ 1. **Accuracy vs. year** — group by `year`; a cliff at 2026 (→ ~25% chance level) is the
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+ clean signal that pre-2026 accuracy is partly memorization.
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+ 2. **Blind vs. revealed** — join on `pair_id`; a gap suggests the model relies on the event
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+ name (memory) rather than the pre-cutoff numbers (reasoning). (Auxiliary signal — note
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+ the date itself can leak event identity.)
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+
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+ ## Files
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+
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+ - `mcq_all.parquet` — all rows (default config).
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+ - `mcq_all.jsonl` — same, one JSON object per line.
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+ - `mcq_all.json` — same, single JSON array.
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+ - `mcq_<year>.json` — per-year splits (1999–2026).
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+
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+ ## Provenance
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+
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+ Indicators and values from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Questions, distractors,
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+ and answer-letter balancing generated by the OpenFinArena `competitions_historical`
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+ pipeline. 100/100 stratified audit re-derived every sampled answer from raw FRED.
mcq_1999.json ADDED
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1
+ [
2
+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-19990615",
4
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
5
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
6
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
7
+ "transform": "level",
8
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
9
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
10
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.39pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) +0.25pp",
11
+ "options": [
12
+ "A) +0.32pp",
13
+ "B) +0.39pp",
14
+ "C) +0.47pp",
15
+ "D) +0.25pp"
16
+ ],
17
+ "answer_letter": "A",
18
+ "answer_raw": "+0.32pp",
19
+ "unit": "pp",
20
+ "condition": "forecast",
21
+ "year": 1999
22
+ },
23
+ {
24
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-19990901",
25
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
26
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
27
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
28
+ "transform": "level",
29
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
30
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
31
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,738K\nB) 1,635K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 1,601K",
32
+ "options": [
33
+ "A) 1,738K",
34
+ "B) 1,635K",
35
+ "C) 1,566K",
36
+ "D) 1,601K"
37
+ ],
38
+ "answer_letter": "B",
39
+ "answer_raw": "1,635K",
40
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
41
+ "condition": "forecast",
42
+ "year": 1999
43
+ },
44
+ {
45
+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-19990615",
46
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
47
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
48
+ "indicator": "DGS30",
49
+ "transform": "level",
50
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
52
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%",
53
+ "options": [
54
+ "A) 6.47%",
55
+ "B) 5.50%",
56
+ "C) 6.11%",
57
+ "D) 5.75%"
58
+ ],
59
+ "answer_letter": "C",
60
+ "answer_raw": "6.11%",
61
+ "unit": "%",
62
+ "condition": "forecast",
63
+ "year": 1999
64
+ },
65
+ {
66
+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-19990615",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
68
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "DGS5",
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
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+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
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+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 5.87%",
74
+ "options": [
75
+ "A) 5.39%",
76
+ "B) 6.35%",
77
+ "C) 5.55%",
78
+ "D) 5.87%"
79
+ ],
80
+ "answer_letter": "D",
81
+ "answer_raw": "5.87%",
82
+ "unit": "%",
83
+ "condition": "forecast",
84
+ "year": 1999
85
+ },
86
+ {
87
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-19990901",
88
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
90
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
91
+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "September 1999",
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+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 76.05\nC) 77.53\nD) 71.62",
95
+ "options": [
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+ "A) 73.84",
97
+ "B) 76.05",
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+ "C) 77.53",
99
+ "D) 71.62"
100
+ ],
101
+ "answer_letter": "A",
102
+ "answer_raw": "73.84",
103
+ "unit": "index",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
105
+ "year": 1999
106
+ },
107
+ {
108
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-19990901",
109
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
110
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
111
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
112
+ "transform": "level",
113
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
114
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
115
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $-25,462M\nB) $-22,699M\nC) $-18,555M\nD) $-26,843M",
116
+ "options": [
117
+ "A) $-25,462M",
118
+ "B) $-22,699M",
119
+ "C) $-18,555M",
120
+ "D) $-26,843M"
121
+ ],
122
+ "answer_letter": "B",
123
+ "answer_raw": "$-22,699M",
124
+ "unit": "usd_million",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 1999
127
+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-19990901",
130
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
131
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
133
+ "transform": "level",
134
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
136
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,395B\nB) $7,119B\nC) $6,912B\nD) $6,704B",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) $7,395B",
139
+ "B) $7,119B",
140
+ "C) $6,912B",
141
+ "D) $6,704B"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "C",
144
+ "answer_raw": "$6,912B",
145
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
147
+ "year": 1999
148
+ },
149
+ {
150
+ "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-19990615",
151
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
152
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
153
+ "indicator": "ICSA",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
157
+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 296,936\nB) 310,808\nC) 269,192\nD) 290,000",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) 296,936",
160
+ "B) 310,808",
161
+ "C) 269,192",
162
+ "D) 290,000"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "D",
165
+ "answer_raw": "290,000",
166
+ "unit": "count",
167
+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 1999
169
+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-19990615",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
173
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
174
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
175
+ "transform": "level",
176
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
178
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,318B\nB) $4,102B\nC) $4,448B\nD) $4,232B",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) $4,318B",
181
+ "B) $4,102B",
182
+ "C) $4,448B",
183
+ "D) $4,232B"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "A",
186
+ "answer_raw": "$4,318B",
187
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 1999
190
+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-19990615",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
199
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.94/bbl\nB) $18.61/bbl\nC) $22.28/bbl\nD) $21.06/bbl",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) $14.94/bbl",
202
+ "B) $18.61/bbl",
203
+ "C) $22.28/bbl",
204
+ "D) $21.06/bbl"
205
+ ],
206
+ "answer_letter": "B",
207
+ "answer_raw": "$18.61/bbl",
208
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
209
+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 1999
211
+ },
212
+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-19990901",
214
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
217
+ "transform": "level",
218
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
220
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $557M\nD) $2,400,000M",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) $4,300,000M",
223
+ "B) $6,200,000M",
224
+ "C) $557M",
225
+ "D) $2,400,000M"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "C",
228
+ "answer_raw": "$557M",
229
+ "unit": "usd_million",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 1999
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-19990615",
235
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
238
+ "transform": "level",
239
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
241
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,465.11\nB) 2,313.78\nC) 2,566.00\nD) 2,414.67",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) 2,465.11",
244
+ "B) 2,313.78",
245
+ "C) 2,566.00",
246
+ "D) 2,414.67"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "D",
249
+ "answer_raw": "2,414.67",
250
+ "unit": "index",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 1999
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-19990615",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
259
+ "transform": "level",
260
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
262
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.91\nB) 29.80\nC) 22.02\nD) 27.21",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 25.91",
265
+ "B) 29.80",
266
+ "C) 22.02",
267
+ "D) 27.21"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "A",
270
+ "answer_raw": "25.91",
271
+ "unit": "index",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
273
+ "year": 1999
274
+ },
275
+ {
276
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-19990901",
277
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
279
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
280
+ "transform": "level",
281
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,465K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,616K\nD) 1,508K",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 1,465K",
286
+ "B) 1,551K",
287
+ "C) 1,616K",
288
+ "D) 1,508K"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "B",
291
+ "answer_raw": "1,551K",
292
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 1999
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-19990615",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
301
+ "transform": "level",
302
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
304
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 6.45%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 5.51%",
307
+ "B) 5.67%",
308
+ "C) 5.98%",
309
+ "D) 6.45%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "C",
312
+ "answer_raw": "5.98%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 1999
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-19990615",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
322
+ "transform": "level",
323
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
325
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.09%\nB) 7.83%\nC) 7.47%\nD) 7.65%",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) 8.09%",
328
+ "B) 7.83%",
329
+ "C) 7.47%",
330
+ "D) 7.65%"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "D",
333
+ "answer_raw": "7.65%",
334
+ "unit": "%",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 1999
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-19990901",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
343
+ "transform": "level",
344
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
346
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.00\nB) 124.16\nC) 130.56\nD) 134.40",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) 128.00",
349
+ "B) 124.16",
350
+ "C) 130.56",
351
+ "D) 134.40"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "A",
354
+ "answer_raw": "128.00",
355
+ "unit": "index",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 1999
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-19990901",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
364
+ "transform": "level",
365
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,480M\nB) $63,231M\nC) $60,794M\nD) $64,855M",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) $66,480M",
370
+ "B) $63,231M",
371
+ "C) $60,794M",
372
+ "D) $64,855M"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "B",
375
+ "answer_raw": "$63,231M",
376
+ "unit": "usd_million",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 1999
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-19990901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
385
+ "transform": "level",
386
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.56\nB) 110.42\nC) 107.20\nD) 103.98",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 112.56",
391
+ "B) 110.42",
392
+ "C) 107.20",
393
+ "D) 103.98"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "C",
396
+ "answer_raw": "107.20",
397
+ "unit": "index",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 1999
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-19990615",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "DEXCHUS",
406
+ "transform": "level",
407
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
409
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.8576\nB) 8.0298\nC) 8.5264\nD) 8.2781",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 8.8576",
412
+ "B) 8.0298",
413
+ "C) 8.5264",
414
+ "D) 8.2781"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "D",
417
+ "answer_raw": "8.2781",
418
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 1999
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-19990901",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "TCU",
427
+ "transform": "level",
428
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
430
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 79.74%\nD) 82.99%",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) 81.36%",
433
+ "B) 84.62%",
434
+ "C) 79.74%",
435
+ "D) 82.99%"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "A",
438
+ "answer_raw": "81.36%",
439
+ "unit": "%",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 1999
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-19990901",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
448
+ "transform": "level",
449
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.98%\nB) 67.00%\nC) 64.99%\nD) 69.01%",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) 62.98%",
454
+ "B) 67.00%",
455
+ "C) 64.99%",
456
+ "D) 69.01%"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "B",
459
+ "answer_raw": "67.00%",
460
+ "unit": "%",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 1999
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-19990615",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
469
+ "transform": "level",
470
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
472
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 124.1342\nB) 115.3737\nC) 120.6300\nD) 127.6384",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 124.1342",
475
+ "B) 115.3737",
476
+ "C) 120.6300",
477
+ "D) 127.6384"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "C",
480
+ "answer_raw": "120.6300",
481
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 1999
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-19990615",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
490
+ "transform": "level",
491
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
493
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0920\nB) 0.9170\nC) 0.9670\nD) 1.0420",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) 1.0920",
496
+ "B) 0.9170",
497
+ "C) 0.9670",
498
+ "D) 1.0420"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "D",
501
+ "answer_raw": "1.0420",
502
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 1999
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-19990901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
511
+ "transform": "level",
512
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,910M\nB) $192,688M\nC) $183,243M\nD) $198,356M",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) $188,910M",
517
+ "B) $192,688M",
518
+ "C) $183,243M",
519
+ "D) $198,356M"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "A",
522
+ "answer_raw": "$188,910M",
523
+ "unit": "usd_million",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 1999
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-19990901",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
532
+ "transform": "level",
533
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
535
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,340B\nB) $4,569B\nC) $4,477B\nD) $4,660B",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) $4,340B",
538
+ "B) $4,569B",
539
+ "C) $4,477B",
540
+ "D) $4,660B"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "B",
543
+ "answer_raw": "$4,569B",
544
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 1999
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-19990901",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
553
+ "transform": "level",
554
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.86%",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 5.08%",
559
+ "B) 5.44%",
560
+ "C) 5.22%",
561
+ "D) 4.86%"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "C",
564
+ "answer_raw": "5.22%",
565
+ "unit": "%",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 1999
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-19990901",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
574
+ "transform": "level",
575
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 3.70%",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) 3.31%",
580
+ "B) 4.09%",
581
+ "C) 2.52%",
582
+ "D) 3.70%"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "D",
585
+ "answer_raw": "3.70%",
586
+ "unit": "%",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 1999
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-19990901",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
595
+ "transform": "level",
596
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,771K\nB) 121,985K\nC) 133,664K\nD) 125,878K",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) 129,771K",
601
+ "B) 121,985K",
602
+ "C) 133,664K",
603
+ "D) 125,878K"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "A",
606
+ "answer_raw": "129,771K",
607
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 1999
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-19990901",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
616
+ "transform": "level",
617
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
619
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 181.36\nB) 177.80\nC) 186.69\nD) 174.24",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) 181.36",
622
+ "B) 177.80",
623
+ "C) 186.69",
624
+ "D) 174.24"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "B",
627
+ "answer_raw": "177.80",
628
+ "unit": "index",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 1999
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-19990901",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
637
+ "transform": "level",
638
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
640
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.43/hr\nB) $14.02/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $13.20/hr",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) $14.43/hr",
643
+ "B) $14.02/hr",
644
+ "C) $13.61/hr",
645
+ "D) $13.20/hr"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "C",
648
+ "answer_raw": "$13.61/hr",
649
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 1999
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-19990901",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
658
+ "transform": "level",
659
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
661
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $247,378M\nB) $267,780M\nC) $262,680M\nD) $255,029M",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) $247,378M",
664
+ "B) $267,780M",
665
+ "C) $262,680M",
666
+ "D) $255,029M"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "D",
669
+ "answer_raw": "$255,029M",
670
+ "unit": "usd_million",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 1999
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-19990615",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
679
+ "transform": "level",
680
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
682
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,215,000\nB) 2,148,550\nC) 2,104,250\nD) 2,259,300",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 2,215,000",
685
+ "B) 2,148,550",
686
+ "C) 2,104,250",
687
+ "D) 2,259,300"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "A",
690
+ "answer_raw": "2,215,000",
691
+ "unit": "count",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 1999
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-19990901",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
700
+ "transform": "level",
701
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
703
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 70.23\nB) 72.41\nC) 74.58\nD) 76.03",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) 70.23",
706
+ "B) 72.41",
707
+ "C) 74.58",
708
+ "D) 76.03"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "B",
711
+ "answer_raw": "72.41",
712
+ "unit": "index",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 1999
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-19990615",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
724
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.12/bbl\nB) $17.44/bbl\nC) $16.33/bbl\nD) $13.01/bbl",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) $14.12/bbl",
727
+ "B) $17.44/bbl",
728
+ "C) $16.33/bbl",
729
+ "D) $13.01/bbl"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "C",
732
+ "answer_raw": "$16.33/bbl",
733
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 1999
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-19990901",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "PCE",
742
+ "transform": "level",
743
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,770B\nB) $6,195B\nC) $6,578B\nD) $6,386B",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) $6,770B",
748
+ "B) $6,195B",
749
+ "C) $6,578B",
750
+ "D) $6,386B"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "D",
753
+ "answer_raw": "$6,386B",
754
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 1999
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-19990901",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
763
+ "transform": "level",
764
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.20%\nB) 62.27%\nC) 59.71%\nD) 66.13%",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) 64.20%",
769
+ "B) 62.27%",
770
+ "C) 59.71%",
771
+ "D) 66.13%"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "A",
774
+ "answer_raw": "64.20%",
775
+ "unit": "%",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 1999
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-19990615",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
784
+ "transform": "level",
785
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
787
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 5.00%",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 4.58%",
790
+ "B) 4.74%",
791
+ "C) 4.90%",
792
+ "D) 5.00%"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "B",
795
+ "answer_raw": "4.74%",
796
+ "unit": "%",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 1999
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-19990901",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
805
+ "transform": "level",
806
+ "target_period": "September 1999",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
808
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 4.07%",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) 4.33%",
811
+ "B) 3.95%",
812
+ "C) 4.20%",
813
+ "D) 4.07%"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "C",
816
+ "answer_raw": "4.20%",
817
+ "unit": "%",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 1999
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-19990615",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
826
+ "transform": "level",
827
+ "target_period": "1999-06-15",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
829
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 5.66%",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) 5.53%",
832
+ "B) 6.05%",
833
+ "C) 5.27%",
834
+ "D) 5.66%"
835
+ ],
836
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849
+ "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 167.80\nB) 162.77\nC) 177.87\nD) 172.83",
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868
+ "transform": "level",
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mcq_2000.json ADDED
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+ "target_period": "September 2000",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%",
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+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%",
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+ "C) 8.88%",
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+ "D) 9.76%"
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+ "target_period": "March 2000",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
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+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80",
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+ "options": [
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "September 2000",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25",
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+ "options": [
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+ "B) 112.72",
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+ {
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+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
157
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02",
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+ "B) 74.25",
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+ "C) 79.45",
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+ "D) 72.02"
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+ ],
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+ "answer_letter": "B",
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+ },
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
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+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
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+ "target_period": "September 2000",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp",
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+ "C) -0.10pp",
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+ "D) -0.18pp"
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+ "answer_letter": "C",
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+ "year": 2000
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+ {
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
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+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
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+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
199
+ "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) 11.31%",
202
+ "B) 10.20%",
203
+ "C) 10.76%",
204
+ "D) 9.65%"
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+ ],
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+ "answer_letter": "D",
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+ "answer_raw": "9.65%",
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+ "unit": "%",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2000
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "DGS5",
217
+ "transform": "level",
218
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
220
+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 6.26%",
223
+ "B) 7.18%",
224
+ "C) 5.34%",
225
+ "D) 6.57%"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "A",
228
+ "answer_raw": "6.26%",
229
+ "unit": "%",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 2000
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
238
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
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+ "target_period": "September 2000",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
241
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) -4.13%",
244
+ "B) 1.23%",
245
+ "C) -0.56%",
246
+ "D) 6.58%"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "B",
249
+ "answer_raw": "1.23%",
250
+ "unit": "%",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2000
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
259
+ "transform": "level",
260
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
262
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 2.60%",
265
+ "B) 3.40%",
266
+ "C) 3.80%",
267
+ "D) 4.20%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "C",
270
+ "answer_raw": "3.80%",
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+ "unit": "%",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2000
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
280
+ "transform": "level",
281
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 76.06",
286
+ "B) 72.33",
287
+ "C) 78.30",
288
+ "D) 74.57"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "D",
291
+ "answer_raw": "74.57",
292
+ "unit": "index",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2000
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
301
+ "transform": "level",
302
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
304
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 92.15",
307
+ "B) 96.76",
308
+ "C) 94.91",
309
+ "D) 89.39"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "A",
312
+ "answer_raw": "92.15",
313
+ "unit": "index",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2000
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
322
+ "transform": "level",
323
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
325
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) $212,511M",
328
+ "B) $199,947M",
329
+ "C) $187,383M",
330
+ "D) $195,759M"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "B",
333
+ "answer_raw": "$199,947M",
334
+ "unit": "usd_million",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2000
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
343
+ "transform": "level",
344
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
346
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) 104.84",
349
+ "B) 109.36",
350
+ "C) 107.10",
351
+ "D) 101.45"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "C",
354
+ "answer_raw": "107.10",
355
+ "unit": "index",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2000
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
364
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
365
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) +0.29pp",
370
+ "B) +0.10pp",
371
+ "C) +0.19pp",
372
+ "D) +0.00pp"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "D",
375
+ "answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
376
+ "unit": "pp",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2000
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
385
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
386
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 5.84%",
391
+ "B) 16.42%",
392
+ "C) 12.89%",
393
+ "D) -1.21%"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "A",
396
+ "answer_raw": "5.84%",
397
+ "unit": "%",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2000
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
406
+ "transform": "level",
407
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
409
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 6.12%",
412
+ "B) 6.44%",
413
+ "C) 6.76%",
414
+ "D) 7.41%"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "B",
417
+ "answer_raw": "6.44%",
418
+ "unit": "%",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2000
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
427
+ "transform": "level",
428
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
430
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) $5,055B",
433
+ "B) $4,722B",
434
+ "C) $4,855B",
435
+ "D) $5,188B"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "C",
438
+ "answer_raw": "$4,855B",
439
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2000
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
448
+ "transform": "level",
449
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) $14.41/hr",
454
+ "B) $13.71/hr",
455
+ "C) $14.70/hr",
456
+ "D) $14.13/hr"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "D",
459
+ "answer_raw": "$14.13/hr",
460
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2000
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
469
+ "transform": "level",
470
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
472
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 66.90%",
475
+ "B) 64.89%",
476
+ "C) 62.89%",
477
+ "D) 68.91%"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "A",
480
+ "answer_raw": "66.90%",
481
+ "unit": "%",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2000
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
490
+ "transform": "level",
491
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
493
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) $38.68/bbl",
496
+ "B) $29.77/bbl",
497
+ "C) $35.71/bbl",
498
+ "D) $23.83/bbl"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "B",
501
+ "answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl",
502
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2000
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "TCU",
511
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
512
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) +0.62pp",
517
+ "B) +0.23pp",
518
+ "C) +0.04pp",
519
+ "D) -0.34pp"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "C",
522
+ "answer_raw": "+0.04pp",
523
+ "unit": "pp",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2000
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
532
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
533
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
535
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) 6.65%",
538
+ "B) 6.46%",
539
+ "C) 6.85%",
540
+ "D) 6.27%"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "D",
543
+ "answer_raw": "6.27%",
544
+ "unit": "%",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2000
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
553
+ "transform": "level",
554
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 180.00",
559
+ "B) 174.60",
560
+ "C) 167.40",
561
+ "D) 185.40"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "A",
564
+ "answer_raw": "180.00",
565
+ "unit": "index",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2000
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
574
+ "transform": "level",
575
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) $7,032B",
580
+ "B) $7,250B",
581
+ "C) $7,467B",
582
+ "D) $7,612B"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "B",
585
+ "answer_raw": "$7,250B",
586
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2000
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
595
+ "transform": "level",
596
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) $293,541M",
601
+ "B) $256,712M",
602
+ "C) $270,523M",
603
+ "D) $279,730M"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "C",
606
+ "answer_raw": "$270,523M",
607
+ "unit": "usd_million",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2000
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
616
+ "transform": "level",
617
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
619
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) $183,846M",
622
+ "B) $200,414M",
623
+ "C) $205,937M",
624
+ "D) $192,130M"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "D",
627
+ "answer_raw": "$192,130M",
628
+ "unit": "usd_million",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2000
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
637
+ "transform": "level",
638
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
640
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) 64.60%",
643
+ "B) 66.54%",
644
+ "C) 63.31%",
645
+ "D) 61.37%"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "A",
648
+ "answer_raw": "64.60%",
649
+ "unit": "%",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2000
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
658
+ "transform": "level",
659
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
661
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) $4,806B",
664
+ "B) $4,712B",
665
+ "C) $4,947B",
666
+ "D) $4,617B"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "B",
669
+ "answer_raw": "$4,712B",
670
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2000
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
679
+ "transform": "level",
680
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
682
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 116.5666",
685
+ "B) 109.8689",
686
+ "C) 106.5200",
687
+ "D) 113.2177"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "C",
690
+ "answer_raw": "106.5200",
691
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2000
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
700
+ "transform": "level",
701
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
703
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) $-35,757M",
706
+ "B) $-25,357M",
707
+ "C) $-27,090M",
708
+ "D) $-30,557M"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "D",
711
+ "answer_raw": "$-30,557M",
712
+ "unit": "usd_million",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2000
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
724
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) 5.84%",
727
+ "B) 6.38%",
728
+ "C) 5.30%",
729
+ "D) 6.65%"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "A",
732
+ "answer_raw": "5.84%",
733
+ "unit": "%",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2000
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
742
+ "transform": "level",
743
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
745
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) 177.07",
748
+ "B) 173.60",
749
+ "C) 168.39",
750
+ "D) 164.92"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "B",
753
+ "answer_raw": "173.60",
754
+ "unit": "index",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2000
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
763
+ "transform": "level",
764
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) $-30,888M",
769
+ "B) $-25,998M",
770
+ "C) $-33,333M",
771
+ "D) $-28,443M"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "C",
774
+ "answer_raw": "$-33,333M",
775
+ "unit": "usd_million",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2000
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
784
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
785
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
787
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 2.90%",
790
+ "B) 2.66%",
791
+ "C) 2.43%",
792
+ "D) 2.55%"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "D",
795
+ "answer_raw": "2.55%",
796
+ "unit": "%",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2000
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
805
+ "transform": "level",
806
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
808
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) 92.98",
811
+ "B) 88.33",
812
+ "C) 95.77",
813
+ "D) 90.19"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "A",
816
+ "answer_raw": "92.98",
817
+ "unit": "index",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2000
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "PCE",
826
+ "transform": "level",
827
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) $7,129B",
832
+ "B) $6,889B",
833
+ "C) $6,289B",
834
+ "D) $6,529B"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "B",
837
+ "answer_raw": "$6,889B",
838
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2000
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
847
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
848
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
850
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) 27.25%",
853
+ "B) 63.11%",
854
+ "C) 51.16%",
855
+ "D) 75.07%"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "C",
858
+ "answer_raw": "51.16%",
859
+ "unit": "%",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2000
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
868
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
869
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
871
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 7.45%",
874
+ "B) 6.15%",
875
+ "C) 2.25%",
876
+ "D) 4.85%"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "D",
879
+ "answer_raw": "4.85%",
880
+ "unit": "%",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2000
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
889
+ "transform": "level",
890
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) 67.30%",
895
+ "B) 63.93%",
896
+ "C) 69.32%",
897
+ "D) 65.95%"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "A",
900
+ "answer_raw": "67.30%",
901
+ "unit": "%",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2000
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
910
+ "transform": "level",
911
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
913
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) 6.14%",
916
+ "B) 5.85%",
917
+ "C) 6.28%",
918
+ "D) 5.71%"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "B",
921
+ "answer_raw": "5.85%",
922
+ "unit": "%",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2000
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
931
+ "transform": "level",
932
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
934
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) -0.03pp",
937
+ "B) -0.15pp",
938
+ "C) -0.39pp",
939
+ "D) -0.27pp"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "C",
942
+ "answer_raw": "-0.39pp",
943
+ "unit": "pp",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2000
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
952
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
953
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
955
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) 0.94%",
958
+ "B) -1.98%",
959
+ "C) -10.75%",
960
+ "D) -7.83%"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "D",
963
+ "answer_raw": "-7.83%",
964
+ "unit": "%",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2000
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
973
+ "transform": "level",
974
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
976
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) 3.90%",
979
+ "B) 3.75%",
980
+ "C) 4.05%",
981
+ "D) 4.27%"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "A",
984
+ "answer_raw": "3.90%",
985
+ "unit": "%",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2000
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
994
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
995
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
997
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) 1.74%",
1000
+ "B) 1.85%",
1001
+ "C) 1.96%",
1002
+ "D) 1.68%"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "1.85%",
1006
+ "unit": "%",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2000
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
1015
+ "transform": "level",
1016
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) 7.67%",
1021
+ "B) 8.49%",
1022
+ "C) 8.22%",
1023
+ "D) 7.95%"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "8.22%",
1027
+ "unit": "%",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2000
1030
+ },
1031
+ {
1032
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
1033
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1034
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1035
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
1036
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1037
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1038
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1039
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%",
1040
+ "options": [
1041
+ "A) 9.42%",
1042
+ "B) 7.40%",
1043
+ "C) 8.20%",
1044
+ "D) 8.61%"
1045
+ ],
1046
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1047
+ "answer_raw": "8.61%",
1048
+ "unit": "%",
1049
+ "condition": "forecast",
1050
+ "year": 2000
1051
+ },
1052
+ {
1053
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615",
1054
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1055
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1056
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
1057
+ "transform": "level",
1058
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1059
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
1060
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848",
1061
+ "options": [
1062
+ "A) 2,041,000",
1063
+ "B) 1,998,576",
1064
+ "C) 2,168,272",
1065
+ "D) 2,125,848"
1066
+ ],
1067
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1068
+ "answer_raw": "2,041,000",
1069
+ "unit": "count",
1070
+ "condition": "forecast",
1071
+ "year": 2000
1072
+ },
1073
+ {
1074
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615",
1075
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1076
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1077
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
1078
+ "transform": "level",
1079
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1080
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1081
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87",
1082
+ "options": [
1083
+ "A) 19.28",
1084
+ "B) 20.68",
1085
+ "C) 17.89",
1086
+ "D) 24.87"
1087
+ ],
1088
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1089
+ "answer_raw": "20.68",
1090
+ "unit": "index",
1091
+ "condition": "forecast",
1092
+ "year": 2000
1093
+ },
1094
+ {
1095
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301",
1096
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1097
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1098
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1099
+ "transform": "level",
1100
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1101
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1102
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%",
1103
+ "options": [
1104
+ "A) 83.85%",
1105
+ "B) 80.56%",
1106
+ "C) 82.20%",
1107
+ "D) 78.91%"
1108
+ ],
1109
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1110
+ "answer_raw": "82.20%",
1111
+ "unit": "%",
1112
+ "condition": "forecast",
1113
+ "year": 2000
1114
+ },
1115
+ {
1116
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301",
1117
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1118
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1119
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1120
+ "transform": "level",
1121
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1122
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1123
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M",
1124
+ "options": [
1125
+ "A) $279,542M",
1126
+ "B) $286,558M",
1127
+ "C) $258,496M",
1128
+ "D) $269,019M"
1129
+ ],
1130
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1131
+ "answer_raw": "$269,019M",
1132
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1133
+ "condition": "forecast",
1134
+ "year": 2000
1135
+ },
1136
+ {
1137
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
1138
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1139
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1140
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1141
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1142
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1143
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1144
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%",
1145
+ "options": [
1146
+ "A) 3.82%",
1147
+ "B) 3.51%",
1148
+ "C) 3.70%",
1149
+ "D) 3.94%"
1150
+ ],
1151
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1152
+ "answer_raw": "3.82%",
1153
+ "unit": "%",
1154
+ "condition": "forecast",
1155
+ "year": 2000
1156
+ },
1157
+ {
1158
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901",
1159
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1160
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1161
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1162
+ "transform": "level",
1163
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1164
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1165
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M",
1166
+ "options": [
1167
+ "A) $71,016M",
1168
+ "B) $66,733M",
1169
+ "C) $68,161M",
1170
+ "D) $63,878M"
1171
+ ],
1172
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1173
+ "answer_raw": "$66,733M",
1174
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1175
+ "condition": "forecast",
1176
+ "year": 2000
1177
+ },
1178
+ {
1179
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301",
1180
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1181
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1182
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1183
+ "transform": "level",
1184
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1185
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1186
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M",
1187
+ "options": [
1188
+ "A) $60,066M",
1189
+ "B) $67,218M",
1190
+ "C) $63,642M",
1191
+ "D) $69,602M"
1192
+ ],
1193
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1194
+ "answer_raw": "$63,642M",
1195
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1196
+ "condition": "forecast",
1197
+ "year": 2000
1198
+ },
1199
+ {
1200
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901",
1201
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1202
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1203
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1204
+ "transform": "level",
1205
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1206
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1207
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M",
1208
+ "options": [
1209
+ "A) $6,200,000M",
1210
+ "B) $2,400,000M",
1211
+ "C) $4,300,000M",
1212
+ "D) $584M"
1213
+ ],
1214
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1215
+ "answer_raw": "$584M",
1216
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1217
+ "condition": "forecast",
1218
+ "year": 2000
1219
+ },
1220
+ {
1221
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301",
1222
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1223
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1224
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1225
+ "transform": "level",
1226
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1227
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1228
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
1229
+ "options": [
1230
+ "A) $577M",
1231
+ "B) $4,300,000M",
1232
+ "C) $6,200,000M",
1233
+ "D) $2,400,000M"
1234
+ ],
1235
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1236
+ "answer_raw": "$577M",
1237
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1238
+ "condition": "forecast",
1239
+ "year": 2000
1240
+ },
1241
+ {
1242
+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615",
1243
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1244
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1245
+ "indicator": "DGS30",
1246
+ "transform": "level",
1247
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1248
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1249
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%",
1250
+ "options": [
1251
+ "A) 5.39%",
1252
+ "B) 5.93%",
1253
+ "C) 6.11%",
1254
+ "D) 5.75%"
1255
+ ],
1256
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1257
+ "answer_raw": "5.93%",
1258
+ "unit": "%",
1259
+ "condition": "forecast",
1260
+ "year": 2000
1261
+ },
1262
+ {
1263
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901",
1264
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1265
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1266
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1267
+ "transform": "level",
1268
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1269
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1270
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K",
1271
+ "options": [
1272
+ "A) 1,471K",
1273
+ "B) 1,435K",
1274
+ "C) 1,507K",
1275
+ "D) 1,615K"
1276
+ ],
1277
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1278
+ "answer_raw": "1,507K",
1279
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1280
+ "condition": "forecast",
1281
+ "year": 2000
1282
+ },
1283
+ {
1284
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301",
1285
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1286
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1287
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1288
+ "transform": "level",
1289
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1290
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1291
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K",
1292
+ "options": [
1293
+ "A) 1,689K",
1294
+ "B) 1,491K",
1295
+ "C) 1,547K",
1296
+ "D) 1,604K"
1297
+ ],
1298
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1299
+ "answer_raw": "1,604K",
1300
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1301
+ "condition": "forecast",
1302
+ "year": 2000
1303
+ },
1304
+ {
1305
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301",
1306
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1307
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1308
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1309
+ "transform": "level",
1310
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1311
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1312
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87",
1313
+ "options": [
1314
+ "A) 171.00",
1315
+ "B) 179.55",
1316
+ "C) 176.13",
1317
+ "D) 165.87"
1318
+ ],
1319
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1320
+ "answer_raw": "171.00",
1321
+ "unit": "index",
1322
+ "condition": "forecast",
1323
+ "year": 2000
1324
+ },
1325
+ {
1326
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901",
1327
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1328
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1329
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1330
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1331
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1332
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1333
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp",
1334
+ "options": [
1335
+ "A) -0.24pp",
1336
+ "B) -0.30pp",
1337
+ "C) -0.13pp",
1338
+ "D) -0.42pp"
1339
+ ],
1340
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1341
+ "answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
1342
+ "unit": "pp",
1343
+ "condition": "forecast",
1344
+ "year": 2000
1345
+ },
1346
+ {
1347
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301",
1348
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1349
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1350
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1351
+ "transform": "level",
1352
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1353
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1354
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%",
1355
+ "options": [
1356
+ "A) 3.88%",
1357
+ "B) 3.76%",
1358
+ "C) 4.00%",
1359
+ "D) 4.18%"
1360
+ ],
1361
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1362
+ "answer_raw": "4.00%",
1363
+ "unit": "%",
1364
+ "condition": "forecast",
1365
+ "year": 2000
1366
+ },
1367
+ {
1368
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901",
1369
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1370
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1371
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1372
+ "transform": "level",
1373
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1374
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1375
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%",
1376
+ "options": [
1377
+ "A) 62.27%",
1378
+ "B) 68.05%",
1379
+ "C) 66.13%",
1380
+ "D) 64.20%"
1381
+ ],
1382
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1383
+ "answer_raw": "64.20%",
1384
+ "unit": "%",
1385
+ "condition": "forecast",
1386
+ "year": 2000
1387
+ },
1388
+ {
1389
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901",
1390
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1391
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1392
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1393
+ "transform": "level",
1394
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1395
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1396
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K",
1397
+ "options": [
1398
+ "A) 1,570K",
1399
+ "B) 1,474K",
1400
+ "C) 1,538K",
1401
+ "D) 1,602K"
1402
+ ],
1403
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1404
+ "answer_raw": "1,570K",
1405
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1406
+ "condition": "forecast",
1407
+ "year": 2000
1408
+ },
1409
+ {
1410
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901",
1411
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1412
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1413
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
1414
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1415
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1416
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1417
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%",
1418
+ "options": [
1419
+ "A) 3.11%",
1420
+ "B) 3.97%",
1421
+ "C) 4.82%",
1422
+ "D) 3.68%"
1423
+ ],
1424
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1425
+ "answer_raw": "3.97%",
1426
+ "unit": "%",
1427
+ "condition": "forecast",
1428
+ "year": 2000
1429
+ },
1430
+ {
1431
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301",
1432
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1433
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1434
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1435
+ "transform": "level",
1436
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1437
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1438
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K",
1439
+ "options": [
1440
+ "A) 1,600K",
1441
+ "B) 1,702K",
1442
+ "C) 1,651K",
1443
+ "D) 1,753K"
1444
+ ],
1445
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1446
+ "answer_raw": "1,651K",
1447
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1448
+ "condition": "forecast",
1449
+ "year": 2000
1450
+ },
1451
+ {
1452
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901",
1453
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1454
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1455
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1456
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1457
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1458
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1459
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%",
1460
+ "options": [
1461
+ "A) 6.91%",
1462
+ "B) 3.56%",
1463
+ "C) 8.59%",
1464
+ "D) 6.08%"
1465
+ ],
1466
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1467
+ "answer_raw": "6.08%",
1468
+ "unit": "%",
1469
+ "condition": "forecast",
1470
+ "year": 2000
1471
+ },
1472
+ {
1473
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301",
1474
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1475
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1476
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1477
+ "transform": "level",
1478
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1479
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1480
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K",
1481
+ "options": [
1482
+ "A) 131,604K",
1483
+ "B) 128,972K",
1484
+ "C) 135,552K",
1485
+ "D) 138,184K"
1486
+ ],
1487
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1488
+ "answer_raw": "131,604K",
1489
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1490
+ "condition": "forecast",
1491
+ "year": 2000
1492
+ },
1493
+ {
1494
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901",
1495
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1496
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1497
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1498
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1499
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1500
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1501
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%",
1502
+ "options": [
1503
+ "A) 2.26%",
1504
+ "B) 2.53%",
1505
+ "C) 2.71%",
1506
+ "D) 2.80%"
1507
+ ],
1508
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1509
+ "answer_raw": "2.53%",
1510
+ "unit": "%",
1511
+ "condition": "forecast",
1512
+ "year": 2000
1513
+ },
1514
+ {
1515
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615",
1516
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1517
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1518
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
1519
+ "transform": "level",
1520
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1521
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1522
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083",
1523
+ "options": [
1524
+ "A) 1.0462",
1525
+ "B) 0.8598",
1526
+ "C) 0.9530",
1527
+ "D) 1.1083"
1528
+ ],
1529
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1530
+ "answer_raw": "0.9530",
1531
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1532
+ "condition": "forecast",
1533
+ "year": 2000
1534
+ },
1535
+ {
1536
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615",
1537
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1538
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1539
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
1540
+ "transform": "level",
1541
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1542
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1543
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl",
1544
+ "options": [
1545
+ "A) $26.96/bbl",
1546
+ "B) $41.32/bbl",
1547
+ "C) $24.08/bbl",
1548
+ "D) $32.70/bbl"
1549
+ ],
1550
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1551
+ "answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl",
1552
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
1553
+ "condition": "forecast",
1554
+ "year": 2000
1555
+ },
1556
+ {
1557
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901",
1558
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1559
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1560
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1561
+ "transform": "level",
1562
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1563
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1564
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83",
1565
+ "options": [
1566
+ "A) 134.70",
1567
+ "B) 140.18",
1568
+ "C) 129.22",
1569
+ "D) 143.83"
1570
+ ],
1571
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1572
+ "answer_raw": "134.70",
1573
+ "unit": "index",
1574
+ "condition": "forecast",
1575
+ "year": 2000
1576
+ },
1577
+ {
1578
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901",
1579
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1580
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1581
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1582
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1583
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1584
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1585
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%",
1586
+ "options": [
1587
+ "A) 3.63%",
1588
+ "B) 3.46%",
1589
+ "C) 3.98%",
1590
+ "D) 2.93%"
1591
+ ],
1592
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1593
+ "answer_raw": "3.46%",
1594
+ "unit": "%",
1595
+ "condition": "forecast",
1596
+ "year": 2000
1597
+ },
1598
+ {
1599
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301",
1600
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1601
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1602
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1603
+ "transform": "level",
1604
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1605
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1606
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35",
1607
+ "options": [
1608
+ "A) 97.59",
1609
+ "B) 107.93",
1610
+ "C) 101.47",
1611
+ "D) 105.35"
1612
+ ],
1613
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1614
+ "answer_raw": "101.47",
1615
+ "unit": "index",
1616
+ "condition": "forecast",
1617
+ "year": 2000
1618
+ },
1619
+ {
1620
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901",
1621
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1622
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1623
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1624
+ "transform": "level",
1625
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1626
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1627
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14",
1628
+ "options": [
1629
+ "A) 111.31",
1630
+ "B) 102.96",
1631
+ "C) 117.57",
1632
+ "D) 107.14"
1633
+ ],
1634
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1635
+ "answer_raw": "107.14",
1636
+ "unit": "index",
1637
+ "condition": "forecast",
1638
+ "year": 2000
1639
+ },
1640
+ {
1641
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901",
1642
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1643
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1644
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1645
+ "transform": "level",
1646
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1647
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1648
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46",
1649
+ "options": [
1650
+ "A) 75.20",
1651
+ "B) 80.47",
1652
+ "C) 72.95",
1653
+ "D) 77.46"
1654
+ ],
1655
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1656
+ "answer_raw": "75.20",
1657
+ "unit": "index",
1658
+ "condition": "forecast",
1659
+ "year": 2000
1660
+ },
1661
+ {
1662
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301",
1663
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1664
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1665
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1666
+ "transform": "level",
1667
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1668
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1669
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr",
1670
+ "options": [
1671
+ "A) $14.27/hr",
1672
+ "B) $13.85/hr",
1673
+ "C) $13.16/hr",
1674
+ "D) $13.43/hr"
1675
+ ],
1676
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1677
+ "answer_raw": "$13.85/hr",
1678
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
1679
+ "condition": "forecast",
1680
+ "year": 2000
1681
+ },
1682
+ {
1683
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901",
1684
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1685
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1686
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
1687
+ "transform": "level",
1688
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1689
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1690
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B",
1691
+ "options": [
1692
+ "A) $7,751B",
1693
+ "B) $7,140B",
1694
+ "C) $7,507B",
1695
+ "D) $8,117B"
1696
+ ],
1697
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1698
+ "answer_raw": "$7,507B",
1699
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1700
+ "condition": "forecast",
1701
+ "year": 2000
1702
+ },
1703
+ {
1704
+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615",
1705
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1706
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1707
+ "indicator": "DEXCHUS",
1708
+ "transform": "level",
1709
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1710
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1711
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768",
1712
+ "options": [
1713
+ "A) 8.5251",
1714
+ "B) 8.0285",
1715
+ "C) 7.8630",
1716
+ "D) 8.2768"
1717
+ ],
1718
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1719
+ "answer_raw": "8.2768",
1720
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1721
+ "condition": "forecast",
1722
+ "year": 2000
1723
+ },
1724
+ {
1725
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615",
1726
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1727
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1728
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
1729
+ "transform": "level",
1730
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1731
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
1732
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B",
1733
+ "options": [
1734
+ "A) $4,735B",
1735
+ "B) $5,107B",
1736
+ "C) $4,958B",
1737
+ "D) $4,586B"
1738
+ ],
1739
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1740
+ "answer_raw": "$4,735B",
1741
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1742
+ "condition": "forecast",
1743
+ "year": 2000
1744
+ },
1745
+ {
1746
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615",
1747
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1748
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1749
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
1750
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1751
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1752
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1753
+ "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%",
1754
+ "options": [
1755
+ "A) 16.01%",
1756
+ "B) 85.48%",
1757
+ "C) 108.64%",
1758
+ "D) 62.32%"
1759
+ ],
1760
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1761
+ "answer_raw": "85.48%",
1762
+ "unit": "%",
1763
+ "condition": "forecast",
1764
+ "year": 2000
1765
+ },
1766
+ {
1767
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615",
1768
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1769
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1770
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
1771
+ "transform": "level",
1772
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1773
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1774
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%",
1775
+ "options": [
1776
+ "A) 6.85%",
1777
+ "B) 5.52%",
1778
+ "C) 6.05%",
1779
+ "D) 5.78%"
1780
+ ],
1781
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1782
+ "answer_raw": "6.05%",
1783
+ "unit": "%",
1784
+ "condition": "forecast",
1785
+ "year": 2000
1786
+ },
1787
+ {
1788
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615",
1789
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1790
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1791
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
1792
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1793
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1794
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1795
+ "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%",
1796
+ "options": [
1797
+ "A) 114.63%",
1798
+ "B) 56.26%",
1799
+ "C) 134.08%",
1800
+ "D) 75.71%"
1801
+ ],
1802
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1803
+ "answer_raw": "75.71%",
1804
+ "unit": "%",
1805
+ "condition": "forecast",
1806
+ "year": 2000
1807
+ },
1808
+ {
1809
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901",
1810
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1811
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1812
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1813
+ "transform": "level",
1814
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1815
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1816
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%",
1817
+ "options": [
1818
+ "A) 6.52%",
1819
+ "B) 5.53%",
1820
+ "C) 6.19%",
1821
+ "D) 7.18%"
1822
+ ],
1823
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1824
+ "answer_raw": "6.52%",
1825
+ "unit": "%",
1826
+ "condition": "forecast",
1827
+ "year": 2000
1828
+ },
1829
+ {
1830
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901",
1831
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1832
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1833
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1834
+ "transform": "level",
1835
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1836
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1837
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%",
1838
+ "options": [
1839
+ "A) 79.78%",
1840
+ "B) 81.41%",
1841
+ "C) 77.34%",
1842
+ "D) 83.85%"
1843
+ ],
1844
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1845
+ "answer_raw": "81.41%",
1846
+ "unit": "%",
1847
+ "condition": "forecast",
1848
+ "year": 2000
1849
+ },
1850
+ {
1851
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615",
1852
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1853
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1854
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
1855
+ "transform": "level",
1856
+ "target_period": "2000-06-15",
1857
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
1858
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93",
1859
+ "options": [
1860
+ "A) 5,003.16",
1861
+ "B) 4,231.55",
1862
+ "C) 3,845.74",
1863
+ "D) 3,459.93"
1864
+ ],
1865
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1866
+ "answer_raw": "3,845.74",
1867
+ "unit": "index",
1868
+ "condition": "forecast",
1869
+ "year": 2000
1870
+ },
1871
+ {
1872
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901",
1873
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1874
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1875
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1876
+ "transform": "level",
1877
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1878
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1879
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30",
1880
+ "options": [
1881
+ "A) 191.42",
1882
+ "B) 176.83",
1883
+ "C) 187.77",
1884
+ "D) 182.30"
1885
+ ],
1886
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1887
+ "answer_raw": "182.30",
1888
+ "unit": "index",
1889
+ "condition": "forecast",
1890
+ "year": 2000
1891
+ },
1892
+ {
1893
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901",
1894
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1895
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1896
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1897
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1898
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1899
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1900
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%",
1901
+ "options": [
1902
+ "A) 7.86%",
1903
+ "B) 8.42%",
1904
+ "C) 8.14%",
1905
+ "D) 8.70%"
1906
+ ],
1907
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1908
+ "answer_raw": "7.86%",
1909
+ "unit": "%",
1910
+ "condition": "forecast",
1911
+ "year": 2000
1912
+ },
1913
+ {
1914
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901",
1915
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1916
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1917
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1918
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1919
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1920
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1921
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%",
1922
+ "options": [
1923
+ "A) 6.57%",
1924
+ "B) 5.23%",
1925
+ "C) 3.90%",
1926
+ "D) 5.68%"
1927
+ ],
1928
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1929
+ "answer_raw": "5.23%",
1930
+ "unit": "%",
1931
+ "condition": "forecast",
1932
+ "year": 2000
1933
+ },
1934
+ {
1935
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901",
1936
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1937
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1938
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1939
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1940
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1941
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1942
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%",
1943
+ "options": [
1944
+ "A) 2.19%",
1945
+ "B) 1.76%",
1946
+ "C) 1.98%",
1947
+ "D) 2.30%"
1948
+ ],
1949
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1950
+ "answer_raw": "1.98%",
1951
+ "unit": "%",
1952
+ "condition": "forecast",
1953
+ "year": 2000
1954
+ },
1955
+ {
1956
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901",
1957
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1958
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1959
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1960
+ "transform": "level",
1961
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
1962
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
1963
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K",
1964
+ "options": [
1965
+ "A) 136,307K",
1966
+ "B) 129,690K",
1967
+ "C) 138,954K",
1968
+ "D) 132,337K"
1969
+ ],
1970
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1971
+ "answer_raw": "132,337K",
1972
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1973
+ "condition": "forecast",
1974
+ "year": 2000
1975
+ },
1976
+ {
1977
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301",
1978
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1979
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1980
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1981
+ "transform": "level",
1982
+ "target_period": "March 2000",
1983
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
1984
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B",
1985
+ "options": [
1986
+ "A) $6,686B",
1987
+ "B) $6,843B",
1988
+ "C) $7,000B",
1989
+ "D) $6,530B"
1990
+ ],
1991
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1992
+ "answer_raw": "$6,686B",
1993
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1994
+ "condition": "forecast",
1995
+ "year": 2000
1996
+ },
1997
+ {
1998
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901",
1999
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2000
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2001
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2002
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2003
+ "target_period": "September 2000",
2004
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
2005
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp",
2006
+ "options": [
2007
+ "A) -1.70pp",
2008
+ "B) -0.40pp",
2009
+ "C) +0.90pp",
2010
+ "D) +3.51pp"
2011
+ ],
2012
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2013
+ "answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
2014
+ "unit": "pp",
2015
+ "condition": "forecast",
2016
+ "year": 2000
2017
+ },
2018
+ {
2019
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
2020
+ "condition": "blind",
2021
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
2022
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2023
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2024
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2025
+ "transform": "level",
2026
+ "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
2027
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2028
+ "options": [
2029
+ "A) 5,956.03",
2030
+ "B) 5,606.43",
2031
+ "C) 4,907.24",
2032
+ "D) 5,256.84"
2033
+ ],
2034
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2035
+ "answer_raw": "4,907.24",
2036
+ "unit": "index",
2037
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2038
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2039
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
2040
+ "year": 2000
2041
+ },
2042
+ {
2043
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
2044
+ "condition": "revealed",
2045
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
2046
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2047
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2048
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2049
+ "transform": "level",
2050
+ "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
2051
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2052
+ "options": [
2053
+ "A) 5,956.03",
2054
+ "B) 5,606.43",
2055
+ "C) 4,907.24",
2056
+ "D) 5,256.84"
2057
+ ],
2058
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2059
+ "answer_raw": "4,907.24",
2060
+ "unit": "index",
2061
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2062
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2063
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
2064
+ "year": 2000
2065
+ },
2066
+ {
2067
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
2068
+ "condition": "blind",
2069
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
2070
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2071
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2072
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2073
+ "transform": "level",
2074
+ "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
2075
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2076
+ "options": [
2077
+ "A) 3,914.24",
2078
+ "B) 4,263.84",
2079
+ "C) 5,662.22",
2080
+ "D) 4,963.03"
2081
+ ],
2082
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2083
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2084
+ "unit": "index",
2085
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2086
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2087
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
2088
+ "year": 2000
2089
+ },
2090
+ {
2091
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
2092
+ "condition": "revealed",
2093
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
2094
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2095
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2096
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2097
+ "transform": "level",
2098
+ "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
2099
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2100
+ "options": [
2101
+ "A) 3,914.24",
2102
+ "B) 4,263.84",
2103
+ "C) 5,662.22",
2104
+ "D) 4,963.03"
2105
+ ],
2106
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2107
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2108
+ "unit": "index",
2109
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2110
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2111
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
2112
+ "year": 2000
2113
+ },
2114
+ {
2115
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
2116
+ "condition": "blind",
2117
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
2118
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2119
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2120
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2121
+ "transform": "level",
2122
+ "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
2123
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2124
+ "options": [
2125
+ "A) 4,963.03",
2126
+ "B) 4,613.43",
2127
+ "C) 6,011.82",
2128
+ "D) 3,914.24"
2129
+ ],
2130
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2131
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2132
+ "unit": "index",
2133
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2134
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2135
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
2136
+ "year": 2000
2137
+ },
2138
+ {
2139
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
2140
+ "condition": "revealed",
2141
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
2142
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2143
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2144
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2145
+ "transform": "level",
2146
+ "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
2147
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2148
+ "options": [
2149
+ "A) 4,963.03",
2150
+ "B) 4,613.43",
2151
+ "C) 6,011.82",
2152
+ "D) 3,914.24"
2153
+ ],
2154
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2155
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2156
+ "unit": "index",
2157
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2158
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2159
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
2160
+ "year": 2000
2161
+ },
2162
+ {
2163
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
2164
+ "condition": "blind",
2165
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
2166
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2167
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2168
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2169
+ "transform": "level",
2170
+ "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
2171
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2172
+ "options": [
2173
+ "A) 4,613.43",
2174
+ "B) 4,963.03",
2175
+ "C) 3,914.24",
2176
+ "D) 6,011.82"
2177
+ ],
2178
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2179
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2180
+ "unit": "index",
2181
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2182
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2183
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
2184
+ "year": 2000
2185
+ },
2186
+ {
2187
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
2188
+ "condition": "revealed",
2189
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
2190
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2191
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2192
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2193
+ "transform": "level",
2194
+ "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
2195
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2196
+ "options": [
2197
+ "A) 4,613.43",
2198
+ "B) 4,963.03",
2199
+ "C) 3,914.24",
2200
+ "D) 6,011.82"
2201
+ ],
2202
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2203
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2204
+ "unit": "index",
2205
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2206
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2207
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
2208
+ "year": 2000
2209
+ },
2210
+ {
2211
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
2212
+ "condition": "blind",
2213
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
2214
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2215
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2216
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2217
+ "transform": "level",
2218
+ "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
2219
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2220
+ "options": [
2221
+ "A) 5,662.22",
2222
+ "B) 3,914.24",
2223
+ "C) 4,963.03",
2224
+ "D) 4,613.43"
2225
+ ],
2226
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2227
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2228
+ "unit": "index",
2229
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2230
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2231
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
2232
+ "year": 2000
2233
+ },
2234
+ {
2235
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
2236
+ "condition": "revealed",
2237
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
2238
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2239
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2240
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2241
+ "transform": "level",
2242
+ "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
2243
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2244
+ "options": [
2245
+ "A) 5,662.22",
2246
+ "B) 3,914.24",
2247
+ "C) 4,963.03",
2248
+ "D) 4,613.43"
2249
+ ],
2250
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2251
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2252
+ "unit": "index",
2253
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2254
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2255
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
2256
+ "year": 2000
2257
+ },
2258
+ {
2259
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
2260
+ "condition": "blind",
2261
+ "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
2262
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2263
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2264
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2265
+ "transform": "level",
2266
+ "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
2267
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2268
+ "options": [
2269
+ "A) 5,662.22",
2270
+ "B) 4,263.84",
2271
+ "C) 3,914.24",
2272
+ "D) 4,963.03"
2273
+ ],
2274
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2275
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2276
+ "unit": "index",
2277
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2278
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2279
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
2280
+ "year": 2000
2281
+ },
2282
+ {
2283
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
2284
+ "condition": "revealed",
2285
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
2286
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2287
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2288
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2289
+ "transform": "level",
2290
+ "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
2291
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2292
+ "options": [
2293
+ "A) 5,662.22",
2294
+ "B) 4,263.84",
2295
+ "C) 3,914.24",
2296
+ "D) 4,963.03"
2297
+ ],
2298
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2299
+ "answer_raw": "4,963.03",
2300
+ "unit": "index",
2301
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2302
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2303
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
2304
+ "year": 2000
2305
+ },
2306
+ {
2307
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
2308
+ "condition": "blind",
2309
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
2310
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2311
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2312
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2313
+ "transform": "level",
2314
+ "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
2315
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2316
+ "options": [
2317
+ "A) 20.77",
2318
+ "B) 16.62",
2319
+ "C) 24.92",
2320
+ "D) 23.54"
2321
+ ],
2322
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2323
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2324
+ "unit": "index",
2325
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2326
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2327
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
2328
+ "year": 2000
2329
+ },
2330
+ {
2331
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
2332
+ "condition": "revealed",
2333
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
2334
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2335
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2336
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2337
+ "transform": "level",
2338
+ "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
2339
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2340
+ "options": [
2341
+ "A) 20.77",
2342
+ "B) 16.62",
2343
+ "C) 24.92",
2344
+ "D) 23.54"
2345
+ ],
2346
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2347
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2348
+ "unit": "index",
2349
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2350
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2351
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
2352
+ "year": 2000
2353
+ },
2354
+ {
2355
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
2356
+ "condition": "blind",
2357
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
2358
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2359
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2360
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2361
+ "transform": "level",
2362
+ "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
2363
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2364
+ "options": [
2365
+ "A) 23.54",
2366
+ "B) 20.77",
2367
+ "C) 24.92",
2368
+ "D) 16.62"
2369
+ ],
2370
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2371
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2372
+ "unit": "index",
2373
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2374
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2375
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
2376
+ "year": 2000
2377
+ },
2378
+ {
2379
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
2380
+ "condition": "revealed",
2381
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
2382
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2383
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2384
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2385
+ "transform": "level",
2386
+ "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
2387
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2388
+ "options": [
2389
+ "A) 23.54",
2390
+ "B) 20.77",
2391
+ "C) 24.92",
2392
+ "D) 16.62"
2393
+ ],
2394
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2395
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2396
+ "unit": "index",
2397
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2398
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2399
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
2400
+ "year": 2000
2401
+ },
2402
+ {
2403
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
2404
+ "condition": "blind",
2405
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
2406
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2407
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2408
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2409
+ "transform": "level",
2410
+ "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
2411
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2412
+ "options": [
2413
+ "A) 23.54",
2414
+ "B) 18.00",
2415
+ "C) 20.77",
2416
+ "D) 16.62"
2417
+ ],
2418
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2419
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2420
+ "unit": "index",
2421
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2422
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2423
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
2424
+ "year": 2000
2425
+ },
2426
+ {
2427
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
2428
+ "condition": "revealed",
2429
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
2430
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2431
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2432
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2433
+ "transform": "level",
2434
+ "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
2435
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2436
+ "options": [
2437
+ "A) 23.54",
2438
+ "B) 18.00",
2439
+ "C) 20.77",
2440
+ "D) 16.62"
2441
+ ],
2442
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2443
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2444
+ "unit": "index",
2445
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2446
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2447
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
2448
+ "year": 2000
2449
+ },
2450
+ {
2451
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
2452
+ "condition": "blind",
2453
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
2454
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2455
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2456
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2457
+ "transform": "level",
2458
+ "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
2459
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2460
+ "options": [
2461
+ "A) 16.62",
2462
+ "B) 22.15",
2463
+ "C) 23.54",
2464
+ "D) 20.77"
2465
+ ],
2466
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2467
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2468
+ "unit": "index",
2469
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2470
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2471
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
2472
+ "year": 2000
2473
+ },
2474
+ {
2475
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
2476
+ "condition": "revealed",
2477
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
2478
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2479
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2480
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2481
+ "transform": "level",
2482
+ "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
2483
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2484
+ "options": [
2485
+ "A) 16.62",
2486
+ "B) 22.15",
2487
+ "C) 23.54",
2488
+ "D) 20.77"
2489
+ ],
2490
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2491
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2492
+ "unit": "index",
2493
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2494
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2495
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
2496
+ "year": 2000
2497
+ },
2498
+ {
2499
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
2500
+ "condition": "blind",
2501
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
2502
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2503
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2504
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2505
+ "transform": "level",
2506
+ "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
2507
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2508
+ "options": [
2509
+ "A) 20.77",
2510
+ "B) 23.54",
2511
+ "C) 24.92",
2512
+ "D) 19.39"
2513
+ ],
2514
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2515
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2516
+ "unit": "index",
2517
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2518
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2519
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
2520
+ "year": 2000
2521
+ },
2522
+ {
2523
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
2524
+ "condition": "revealed",
2525
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
2526
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2527
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2528
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2529
+ "transform": "level",
2530
+ "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
2531
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2532
+ "options": [
2533
+ "A) 20.77",
2534
+ "B) 23.54",
2535
+ "C) 24.92",
2536
+ "D) 19.39"
2537
+ ],
2538
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2539
+ "answer_raw": "20.77",
2540
+ "unit": "index",
2541
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2542
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2543
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
2544
+ "year": 2000
2545
+ },
2546
+ {
2547
+ "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
2548
+ "condition": "blind",
2549
+ "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
2550
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2551
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2552
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2553
+ "transform": "level",
2554
+ "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
2555
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2556
+ "options": [
2557
+ "A) 13.76",
2558
+ "B) 16.53",
2559
+ "C) 15.15",
2560
+ "D) 12.38"
2561
+ ],
2562
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2563
+ "answer_raw": "16.53",
2564
+ "unit": "index",
2565
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2566
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2567
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
2568
+ "year": 2000
2569
+ },
2570
+ {
2571
+ "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
2572
+ "condition": "revealed",
2573
+ "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
2574
+ "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
2575
+ "subtype": "shock_aftermath",
2576
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2577
+ "transform": "level",
2578
+ "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
2579
+ "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
2580
+ "options": [
2581
+ "A) 13.76",
2582
+ "B) 16.53",
2583
+ "C) 15.15",
2584
+ "D) 12.38"
2585
+ ],
2586
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2587
+ "answer_raw": "16.53",
2588
+ "unit": "index",
2589
+ "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
2590
+ "event_date": "2000-03-10",
2591
+ "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
2592
+ "year": 2000
2593
+ }
2594
+ ]
mcq_2001.json ADDED
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mcq_2003.json ADDED
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mcq_2004.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,2501 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ [
2
+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615",
4
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
5
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
6
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
7
+ "transform": "level",
8
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
9
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
10
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%",
11
+ "options": [
12
+ "A) 5.55%",
13
+ "B) 3.83%",
14
+ "C) 3.40%",
15
+ "D) 4.69%"
16
+ ],
17
+ "answer_letter": "D",
18
+ "answer_raw": "4.69%",
19
+ "unit": "%",
20
+ "condition": "forecast",
21
+ "year": 2004
22
+ },
23
+ {
24
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901",
25
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
26
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
27
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
28
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
29
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
30
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
31
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%",
32
+ "options": [
33
+ "A) -1.75%",
34
+ "B) -9.96%",
35
+ "C) -5.86%",
36
+ "D) -14.06%"
37
+ ],
38
+ "answer_letter": "A",
39
+ "answer_raw": "-1.75%",
40
+ "unit": "%",
41
+ "condition": "forecast",
42
+ "year": 2004
43
+ },
44
+ {
45
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301",
46
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
47
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
48
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
49
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
50
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
52
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%",
53
+ "options": [
54
+ "A) 7.90%",
55
+ "B) 15.76%",
56
+ "C) 23.62%",
57
+ "D) 19.69%"
58
+ ],
59
+ "answer_letter": "B",
60
+ "answer_raw": "15.76%",
61
+ "unit": "%",
62
+ "condition": "forecast",
63
+ "year": 2004
64
+ },
65
+ {
66
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901",
67
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
68
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
69
+ "indicator": "TCU",
70
+ "transform": "level",
71
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
72
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
73
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%",
74
+ "options": [
75
+ "A) 74.38%",
76
+ "B) 85.40%",
77
+ "C) 78.51%",
78
+ "D) 82.64%"
79
+ ],
80
+ "answer_letter": "C",
81
+ "answer_raw": "78.51%",
82
+ "unit": "%",
83
+ "condition": "forecast",
84
+ "year": 2004
85
+ },
86
+ {
87
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301",
88
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
89
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
90
+ "indicator": "PCE",
91
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
92
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
93
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
94
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%",
95
+ "options": [
96
+ "A) 3.89%",
97
+ "B) 4.73%",
98
+ "C) 8.91%",
99
+ "D) 6.40%"
100
+ ],
101
+ "answer_letter": "D",
102
+ "answer_raw": "6.40%",
103
+ "unit": "%",
104
+ "condition": "forecast",
105
+ "year": 2004
106
+ },
107
+ {
108
+ "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615",
109
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
110
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
111
+ "indicator": "ICSA",
112
+ "transform": "level",
113
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
114
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
115
+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824",
116
+ "options": [
117
+ "A) 339,000",
118
+ "B) 422,472",
119
+ "C) 255,528",
120
+ "D) 366,824"
121
+ ],
122
+ "answer_letter": "A",
123
+ "answer_raw": "339,000",
124
+ "unit": "count",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 2004
127
+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901",
130
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
131
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
133
+ "transform": "level",
134
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
136
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) 85.35",
139
+ "B) 80.10",
140
+ "C) 83.25",
141
+ "D) 76.96"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "B",
144
+ "answer_raw": "80.10",
145
+ "unit": "index",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
147
+ "year": 2004
148
+ },
149
+ {
150
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301",
151
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
152
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
153
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
157
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) $9,378B",
160
+ "B) $9,666B",
161
+ "C) $8,803B",
162
+ "D) $8,227B"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "C",
165
+ "answer_raw": "$8,803B",
166
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
167
+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 2004
169
+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
173
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
174
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
175
+ "transform": "level",
176
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
178
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) 98.14",
181
+ "B) 95.36",
182
+ "C) 89.81",
183
+ "D) 92.59"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "D",
186
+ "answer_raw": "92.59",
187
+ "unit": "index",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 2004
190
+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
199
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) $9,035B",
202
+ "B) $9,319B",
203
+ "C) $8,181B",
204
+ "D) $9,604B"
205
+ ],
206
+ "answer_letter": "A",
207
+ "answer_raw": "$9,035B",
208
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
209
+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 2004
211
+ },
212
+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
214
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
217
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
218
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
220
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 6.23%",
223
+ "B) 5.44%",
224
+ "C) 7.80%",
225
+ "D) 3.86%"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "B",
228
+ "answer_raw": "5.44%",
229
+ "unit": "%",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 2004
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615",
235
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
238
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
239
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
241
+ "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) 8.68%",
244
+ "B) 11.28%",
245
+ "C) 7.38%",
246
+ "D) 9.98%"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "C",
249
+ "answer_raw": "7.38%",
250
+ "unit": "%",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2004
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
259
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
260
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
262
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 4.22%",
265
+ "B) 6.72%",
266
+ "C) 7.55%",
267
+ "D) 5.89%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "D",
270
+ "answer_raw": "5.89%",
271
+ "unit": "%",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
273
+ "year": 2004
274
+ },
275
+ {
276
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301",
277
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
279
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
280
+ "transform": "level",
281
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 62.20%",
286
+ "B) 57.85%",
287
+ "C) 64.07%",
288
+ "D) 60.33%"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "A",
291
+ "answer_raw": "62.20%",
292
+ "unit": "%",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2004
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
301
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
302
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
304
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 5.71%",
307
+ "B) 1.35%",
308
+ "C) 7.89%",
309
+ "D) -3.02%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "B",
312
+ "answer_raw": "1.35%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2004
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
322
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
323
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
325
+ "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) -13.66%",
328
+ "B) 7.45%",
329
+ "C) 28.56%",
330
+ "D) 91.89%"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "C",
333
+ "answer_raw": "28.56%",
334
+ "unit": "%",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2004
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
343
+ "transform": "level",
344
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
346
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) $64,268M",
349
+ "B) $58,086M",
350
+ "C) $51,904M",
351
+ "D) $54,995M"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "D",
354
+ "answer_raw": "$54,995M",
355
+ "unit": "usd_million",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2004
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
364
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
365
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) -0.10pp",
370
+ "B) -0.73pp",
371
+ "C) +0.53pp",
372
+ "D) +0.22pp"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "A",
375
+ "answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
376
+ "unit": "pp",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2004
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
385
+ "transform": "level",
386
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 67.12%",
391
+ "B) 65.80%",
392
+ "C) 62.51%",
393
+ "D) 64.48%"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "B",
396
+ "answer_raw": "65.80%",
397
+ "unit": "%",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2004
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
406
+ "transform": "level",
407
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
409
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 1.1545",
412
+ "B) 1.2733",
413
+ "C) 1.2139",
414
+ "D) 1.0952"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "C",
417
+ "answer_raw": "1.2139",
418
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2004
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
427
+ "transform": "level",
428
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
430
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) $7,176B",
433
+ "B) $6,902B",
434
+ "C) $5,803B",
435
+ "D) $6,352B"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "D",
438
+ "answer_raw": "$6,352B",
439
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2004
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
448
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
449
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) 1.63%",
454
+ "B) 4.50%",
455
+ "C) 5.94%",
456
+ "D) 0.19%"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "A",
459
+ "answer_raw": "1.63%",
460
+ "unit": "%",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2004
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
469
+ "transform": "level",
470
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
472
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 3.36%",
475
+ "B) 1.34%",
476
+ "C) 4.37%",
477
+ "D) 2.35%"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "B",
480
+ "answer_raw": "1.34%",
481
+ "unit": "%",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2004
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
490
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
491
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
493
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) +11.83pp",
496
+ "B) +1.17pp",
497
+ "C) +6.50pp",
498
+ "D) -4.17pp"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "C",
501
+ "answer_raw": "+6.50pp",
502
+ "unit": "pp",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2004
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
511
+ "transform": "level",
512
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) $302,187M",
517
+ "B) $325,075M",
518
+ "C) $340,334M",
519
+ "D) $317,446M"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "D",
522
+ "answer_raw": "$317,446M",
523
+ "unit": "usd_million",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2004
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
532
+ "transform": "level",
533
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
535
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) 144.08",
538
+ "B) 157.79",
539
+ "C) 130.37",
540
+ "D) 137.23"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "A",
543
+ "answer_raw": "144.08",
544
+ "unit": "index",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2004
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "TCU",
553
+ "transform": "level",
554
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 69.76%",
559
+ "B) 77.47%",
560
+ "C) 74.39%",
561
+ "D) 80.56%"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "B",
564
+ "answer_raw": "77.47%",
565
+ "unit": "%",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2004
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "TCU",
574
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
575
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) -2.76pp",
580
+ "B) -1.36pp",
581
+ "C) +1.44pp",
582
+ "D) +2.85pp"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "C",
585
+ "answer_raw": "+1.44pp",
586
+ "unit": "pp",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2004
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
595
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
596
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) 15.45%",
601
+ "B) 13.92%",
602
+ "C) 11.63%",
603
+ "D) 13.15%"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "D",
606
+ "answer_raw": "13.15%",
607
+ "unit": "%",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2004
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
616
+ "transform": "level",
617
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
619
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) 2,006.58",
622
+ "B) 1,089.22",
623
+ "C) 2,465.26",
624
+ "D) 1,547.90"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "A",
627
+ "answer_raw": "2,006.58",
628
+ "unit": "index",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2004
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
637
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
638
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
640
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) +7.90pp",
643
+ "B) +18.20pp",
644
+ "C) +28.50pp",
645
+ "D) +33.65pp"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "B",
648
+ "answer_raw": "+18.20pp",
649
+ "unit": "pp",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2004
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
658
+ "transform": "level",
659
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
661
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) $14.83/hr",
664
+ "B) $16.42/hr",
665
+ "C) $15.78/hr",
666
+ "D) $15.46/hr"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "C",
669
+ "answer_raw": "$15.78/hr",
670
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2004
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
679
+ "transform": "level",
680
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
682
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 5.24%",
685
+ "B) 3.72%",
686
+ "C) 2.96%",
687
+ "D) 4.10%"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "D",
690
+ "answer_raw": "4.10%",
691
+ "unit": "%",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2004
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
700
+ "transform": "level",
701
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
703
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) $34.66/bbl",
706
+ "B) $32.45/bbl",
707
+ "C) $39.07/bbl",
708
+ "D) $30.25/bbl"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "A",
711
+ "answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl",
712
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2004
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
721
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
722
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
724
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) 1.60%",
727
+ "B) 1.90%",
728
+ "C) 1.01%",
729
+ "D) 2.19%"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "B",
732
+ "answer_raw": "1.90%",
733
+ "unit": "%",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2004
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
742
+ "transform": "level",
743
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) 69.96%",
748
+ "B) 64.02%",
749
+ "C) 66.00%",
750
+ "D) 67.98%"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "C",
753
+ "answer_raw": "66.00%",
754
+ "unit": "%",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2004
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
763
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
764
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) 1.58%",
769
+ "B) 0.94%",
770
+ "C) 2.22%",
771
+ "D) 1.90%"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "D",
774
+ "answer_raw": "1.90%",
775
+ "unit": "%",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2004
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
784
+ "transform": "level",
785
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
787
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 2,041K",
790
+ "B) 2,208K",
791
+ "C) 1,874K",
792
+ "D) 2,125K"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "A",
795
+ "answer_raw": "2,041K",
796
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2004
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
805
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
806
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
808
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) 14.51%",
811
+ "B) 17.59%",
812
+ "C) 20.66%",
813
+ "D) 11.43%"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "B",
816
+ "answer_raw": "17.59%",
817
+ "unit": "%",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2004
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
826
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
827
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) 6.20%",
832
+ "B) 5.02%",
833
+ "C) 7.39%",
834
+ "D) 3.83%"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "C",
837
+ "answer_raw": "7.39%",
838
+ "unit": "%",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2004
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
847
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
848
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
850
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) 6.90%",
853
+ "B) 3.67%",
854
+ "C) 2.06%",
855
+ "D) 4.48%"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "D",
858
+ "answer_raw": "4.48%",
859
+ "unit": "%",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2004
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
868
+ "transform": "level",
869
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
871
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 131,140K",
874
+ "B) 135,074K",
875
+ "C) 128,517K",
876
+ "D) 124,583K"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "A",
879
+ "answer_raw": "131,140K",
880
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2004
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
889
+ "transform": "level",
890
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) $62,259M",
895
+ "B) $56,227M",
896
+ "C) $47,178M",
897
+ "D) $50,195M"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "B",
900
+ "answer_raw": "$56,227M",
901
+ "unit": "usd_million",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2004
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
910
+ "transform": "level",
911
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
913
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) 183.20",
916
+ "B) 206.08",
917
+ "C) 197.50",
918
+ "D) 188.92"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "C",
921
+ "answer_raw": "197.50",
922
+ "unit": "index",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2004
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "PCE",
931
+ "transform": "level",
932
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
934
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) $8,598B",
937
+ "B) $7,828B",
938
+ "C) $8,085B",
939
+ "D) $8,342B"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "D",
942
+ "answer_raw": "$8,342B",
943
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2004
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
952
+ "transform": "level",
953
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
955
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) $6,158B",
958
+ "B) $5,885B",
959
+ "C) $5,339B",
960
+ "D) $6,704B"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "A",
963
+ "answer_raw": "$6,158B",
964
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2004
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
973
+ "transform": "level",
974
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
976
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) 2,036,330",
979
+ "B) 2,990,000",
980
+ "C) 2,354,220",
981
+ "D) 3,943,670"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "B",
984
+ "answer_raw": "2,990,000",
985
+ "unit": "count",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2004
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
994
+ "transform": "level",
995
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
997
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) 82.33",
1000
+ "B) 77.11",
1001
+ "C) 79.20",
1002
+ "D) 73.98"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "79.20",
1006
+ "unit": "index",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2004
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1015
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1016
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) +0.56pp",
1021
+ "B) +0.82pp",
1022
+ "C) +1.09pp",
1023
+ "D) +0.30pp"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
1027
+ "unit": "pp",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2004
1030
+ },
1031
+ {
1032
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301",
1033
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1034
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1035
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1036
+ "transform": "level",
1037
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1038
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1039
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K",
1040
+ "options": [
1041
+ "A) 2,066K",
1042
+ "B) 2,252K",
1043
+ "C) 1,942K",
1044
+ "D) 2,004K"
1045
+ ],
1046
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1047
+ "answer_raw": "2,066K",
1048
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1049
+ "condition": "forecast",
1050
+ "year": 2004
1051
+ },
1052
+ {
1053
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901",
1054
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1055
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1056
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1057
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1058
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1059
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1060
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%",
1061
+ "options": [
1062
+ "A) 8.77%",
1063
+ "B) 6.64%",
1064
+ "C) 2.38%",
1065
+ "D) 0.25%"
1066
+ ],
1067
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1068
+ "answer_raw": "6.64%",
1069
+ "unit": "%",
1070
+ "condition": "forecast",
1071
+ "year": 2004
1072
+ },
1073
+ {
1074
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301",
1075
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1076
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1077
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1078
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1079
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1080
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1081
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%",
1082
+ "options": [
1083
+ "A) 1.99%",
1084
+ "B) -0.60%",
1085
+ "C) 0.69%",
1086
+ "D) -1.25%"
1087
+ ],
1088
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1089
+ "answer_raw": "0.69%",
1090
+ "unit": "%",
1091
+ "condition": "forecast",
1092
+ "year": 2004
1093
+ },
1094
+ {
1095
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301",
1096
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1097
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1098
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1099
+ "transform": "level",
1100
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1101
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1102
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K",
1103
+ "options": [
1104
+ "A) 1,797K",
1105
+ "B) 1,931K",
1106
+ "C) 1,864K",
1107
+ "D) 1,998K"
1108
+ ],
1109
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1110
+ "answer_raw": "1,998K",
1111
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1112
+ "condition": "forecast",
1113
+ "year": 2004
1114
+ },
1115
+ {
1116
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
1117
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1118
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1119
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1120
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1121
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1122
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1123
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%",
1124
+ "options": [
1125
+ "A) 2.27%",
1126
+ "B) 1.98%",
1127
+ "C) 3.15%",
1128
+ "D) 1.40%"
1129
+ ],
1130
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1131
+ "answer_raw": "2.27%",
1132
+ "unit": "%",
1133
+ "condition": "forecast",
1134
+ "year": 2004
1135
+ },
1136
+ {
1137
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301",
1138
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1139
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1140
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1141
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1142
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1143
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1144
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%",
1145
+ "options": [
1146
+ "A) 2.19%",
1147
+ "B) 1.86%",
1148
+ "C) 1.64%",
1149
+ "D) 1.75%"
1150
+ ],
1151
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1152
+ "answer_raw": "1.86%",
1153
+ "unit": "%",
1154
+ "condition": "forecast",
1155
+ "year": 2004
1156
+ },
1157
+ {
1158
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301",
1159
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1160
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1161
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1162
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1163
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1164
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1165
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%",
1166
+ "options": [
1167
+ "A) 2.81%",
1168
+ "B) 6.35%",
1169
+ "C) 4.93%",
1170
+ "D) 5.64%"
1171
+ ],
1172
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1173
+ "answer_raw": "4.93%",
1174
+ "unit": "%",
1175
+ "condition": "forecast",
1176
+ "year": 2004
1177
+ },
1178
+ {
1179
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615",
1180
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1181
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1182
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
1183
+ "transform": "level",
1184
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1185
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
1186
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05",
1187
+ "options": [
1188
+ "A) 9.47",
1189
+ "B) 6.68",
1190
+ "C) 17.84",
1191
+ "D) 15.05"
1192
+ ],
1193
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1194
+ "answer_raw": "15.05",
1195
+ "unit": "index",
1196
+ "condition": "forecast",
1197
+ "year": 2004
1198
+ },
1199
+ {
1200
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901",
1201
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1202
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1203
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
1204
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1205
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1206
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1207
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%",
1208
+ "options": [
1209
+ "A) 2.45%",
1210
+ "B) 5.22%",
1211
+ "C) -1.70%",
1212
+ "D) 6.60%"
1213
+ ],
1214
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1215
+ "answer_raw": "2.45%",
1216
+ "unit": "%",
1217
+ "condition": "forecast",
1218
+ "year": 2004
1219
+ },
1220
+ {
1221
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901",
1222
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1223
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1224
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1225
+ "transform": "level",
1226
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1227
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1228
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68",
1229
+ "options": [
1230
+ "A) 155.72",
1231
+ "B) 147.70",
1232
+ "C) 134.34",
1233
+ "D) 139.68"
1234
+ ],
1235
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1236
+ "answer_raw": "147.70",
1237
+ "unit": "index",
1238
+ "condition": "forecast",
1239
+ "year": 2004
1240
+ },
1241
+ {
1242
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301",
1243
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1244
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1245
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1246
+ "transform": "level",
1247
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1248
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1249
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%",
1250
+ "options": [
1251
+ "A) 5.37%",
1252
+ "B) 4.94%",
1253
+ "C) 5.80%",
1254
+ "D) 4.51%"
1255
+ ],
1256
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1257
+ "answer_raw": "5.80%",
1258
+ "unit": "%",
1259
+ "condition": "forecast",
1260
+ "year": 2004
1261
+ },
1262
+ {
1263
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301",
1264
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1265
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1266
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1267
+ "transform": "level",
1268
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1269
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1270
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50",
1271
+ "options": [
1272
+ "A) 210.59",
1273
+ "B) 189.46",
1274
+ "C) 204.55",
1275
+ "D) 195.50"
1276
+ ],
1277
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1278
+ "answer_raw": "195.50",
1279
+ "unit": "index",
1280
+ "condition": "forecast",
1281
+ "year": 2004
1282
+ },
1283
+ {
1284
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301",
1285
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1286
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1287
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1288
+ "transform": "level",
1289
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1290
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1291
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
1292
+ "options": [
1293
+ "A) $737M",
1294
+ "B) $4,300,000M",
1295
+ "C) $2,400,000M",
1296
+ "D) $6,200,000M"
1297
+ ],
1298
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1299
+ "answer_raw": "$737M",
1300
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1301
+ "condition": "forecast",
1302
+ "year": 2004
1303
+ },
1304
+ {
1305
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301",
1306
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1307
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1308
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1309
+ "transform": "level",
1310
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1311
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1312
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr",
1313
+ "options": [
1314
+ "A) $15.90/hr",
1315
+ "B) $15.56/hr",
1316
+ "C) $16.58/hr",
1317
+ "D) $16.24/hr"
1318
+ ],
1319
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1320
+ "answer_raw": "$15.56/hr",
1321
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
1322
+ "condition": "forecast",
1323
+ "year": 2004
1324
+ },
1325
+ {
1326
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301",
1327
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1328
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1329
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
1330
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1331
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1332
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1333
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%",
1334
+ "options": [
1335
+ "A) 18.42%",
1336
+ "B) 3.21%",
1337
+ "C) 10.81%",
1338
+ "D) -0.59%"
1339
+ ],
1340
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1341
+ "answer_raw": "10.81%",
1342
+ "unit": "%",
1343
+ "condition": "forecast",
1344
+ "year": 2004
1345
+ },
1346
+ {
1347
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301",
1348
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1349
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1350
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1351
+ "transform": "level",
1352
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1353
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1354
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%",
1355
+ "options": [
1356
+ "A) 4.11%",
1357
+ "B) 2.04%",
1358
+ "C) 3.07%",
1359
+ "D) 1.00%"
1360
+ ],
1361
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1362
+ "answer_raw": "1.00%",
1363
+ "unit": "%",
1364
+ "condition": "forecast",
1365
+ "year": 2004
1366
+ },
1367
+ {
1368
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615",
1369
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1370
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1371
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
1372
+ "transform": "level",
1373
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1374
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
1375
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B",
1376
+ "options": [
1377
+ "A) $6,106B",
1378
+ "B) $5,868B",
1379
+ "C) $6,818B",
1380
+ "D) $6,580B"
1381
+ ],
1382
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1383
+ "answer_raw": "$6,106B",
1384
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1385
+ "condition": "forecast",
1386
+ "year": 2004
1387
+ },
1388
+ {
1389
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901",
1390
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1391
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1392
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1393
+ "transform": "level",
1394
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1395
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1396
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K",
1397
+ "options": [
1398
+ "A) 1,825K",
1399
+ "B) 1,905K",
1400
+ "C) 2,145K",
1401
+ "D) 2,065K"
1402
+ ],
1403
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1404
+ "answer_raw": "1,905K",
1405
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1406
+ "condition": "forecast",
1407
+ "year": 2004
1408
+ },
1409
+ {
1410
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901",
1411
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1412
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1413
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1414
+ "transform": "level",
1415
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1416
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1417
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%",
1418
+ "options": [
1419
+ "A) 5.82%",
1420
+ "B) 4.14%",
1421
+ "C) 5.40%",
1422
+ "D) 6.66%"
1423
+ ],
1424
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1425
+ "answer_raw": "5.40%",
1426
+ "unit": "%",
1427
+ "condition": "forecast",
1428
+ "year": 2004
1429
+ },
1430
+ {
1431
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901",
1432
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1433
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1434
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1435
+ "transform": "level",
1436
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1437
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1438
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%",
1439
+ "options": [
1440
+ "A) 0.54%",
1441
+ "B) 4.82%",
1442
+ "C) 3.75%",
1443
+ "D) 1.61%"
1444
+ ],
1445
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1446
+ "answer_raw": "1.61%",
1447
+ "unit": "%",
1448
+ "condition": "forecast",
1449
+ "year": 2004
1450
+ },
1451
+ {
1452
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301",
1453
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1454
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1455
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
1456
+ "transform": "level",
1457
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1458
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1459
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%",
1460
+ "options": [
1461
+ "A) 4.50%",
1462
+ "B) 4.11%",
1463
+ "C) 5.29%",
1464
+ "D) 3.32%"
1465
+ ],
1466
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1467
+ "answer_raw": "4.50%",
1468
+ "unit": "%",
1469
+ "condition": "forecast",
1470
+ "year": 2004
1471
+ },
1472
+ {
1473
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301",
1474
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1475
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1476
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1477
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1478
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1479
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1480
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp",
1481
+ "options": [
1482
+ "A) +0.01pp",
1483
+ "B) -0.30pp",
1484
+ "C) -0.40pp",
1485
+ "D) -0.20pp"
1486
+ ],
1487
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1488
+ "answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
1489
+ "unit": "pp",
1490
+ "condition": "forecast",
1491
+ "year": 2004
1492
+ },
1493
+ {
1494
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301",
1495
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1496
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1497
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1498
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1499
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1500
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1501
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%",
1502
+ "options": [
1503
+ "A) 1.82%",
1504
+ "B) 0.78%",
1505
+ "C) 1.56%",
1506
+ "D) 2.33%"
1507
+ ],
1508
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1509
+ "answer_raw": "1.56%",
1510
+ "unit": "%",
1511
+ "condition": "forecast",
1512
+ "year": 2004
1513
+ },
1514
+ {
1515
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901",
1516
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1517
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1518
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1519
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1520
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1521
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1522
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%",
1523
+ "options": [
1524
+ "A) 3.22%",
1525
+ "B) -1.75%",
1526
+ "C) 13.16%",
1527
+ "D) 8.19%"
1528
+ ],
1529
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1530
+ "answer_raw": "8.19%",
1531
+ "unit": "%",
1532
+ "condition": "forecast",
1533
+ "year": 2004
1534
+ },
1535
+ {
1536
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901",
1537
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1538
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1539
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1540
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1541
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1542
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1543
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%",
1544
+ "options": [
1545
+ "A) 1.96%",
1546
+ "B) 2.48%",
1547
+ "C) 1.18%",
1548
+ "D) 2.22%"
1549
+ ],
1550
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1551
+ "answer_raw": "1.96%",
1552
+ "unit": "%",
1553
+ "condition": "forecast",
1554
+ "year": 2004
1555
+ },
1556
+ {
1557
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901",
1558
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1559
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1560
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1561
+ "transform": "level",
1562
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1563
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1564
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K",
1565
+ "options": [
1566
+ "A) 141,335K",
1567
+ "B) 132,089K",
1568
+ "C) 136,052K",
1569
+ "D) 128,126K"
1570
+ ],
1571
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1572
+ "answer_raw": "132,089K",
1573
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1574
+ "condition": "forecast",
1575
+ "year": 2004
1576
+ },
1577
+ {
1578
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901",
1579
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1580
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1581
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
1582
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1583
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1584
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1585
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%",
1586
+ "options": [
1587
+ "A) 9.31%",
1588
+ "B) 17.02%",
1589
+ "C) 5.46%",
1590
+ "D) 1.61%"
1591
+ ],
1592
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1593
+ "answer_raw": "5.46%",
1594
+ "unit": "%",
1595
+ "condition": "forecast",
1596
+ "year": 2004
1597
+ },
1598
+ {
1599
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301",
1600
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1601
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1602
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1603
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1604
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1605
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1606
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%",
1607
+ "options": [
1608
+ "A) 11.31%",
1609
+ "B) -8.89%",
1610
+ "C) 21.40%",
1611
+ "D) 6.26%"
1612
+ ],
1613
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1614
+ "answer_raw": "6.26%",
1615
+ "unit": "%",
1616
+ "condition": "forecast",
1617
+ "year": 2004
1618
+ },
1619
+ {
1620
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615",
1621
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1622
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1623
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
1624
+ "transform": "level",
1625
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1626
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
1627
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102",
1628
+ "options": [
1629
+ "A) 109.5900",
1630
+ "B) 101.5497",
1631
+ "C) 97.5295",
1632
+ "D) 113.6102"
1633
+ ],
1634
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1635
+ "answer_raw": "109.5900",
1636
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1637
+ "condition": "forecast",
1638
+ "year": 2004
1639
+ },
1640
+ {
1641
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615",
1642
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1643
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1644
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
1645
+ "transform": "level",
1646
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1647
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
1648
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl",
1649
+ "options": [
1650
+ "A) $41.99/bbl",
1651
+ "B) $37.18/bbl",
1652
+ "C) $29.96/bbl",
1653
+ "D) $39.59/bbl"
1654
+ ],
1655
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1656
+ "answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl",
1657
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
1658
+ "condition": "forecast",
1659
+ "year": 2004
1660
+ },
1661
+ {
1662
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901",
1663
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1664
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1665
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1666
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1667
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1668
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1669
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%",
1670
+ "options": [
1671
+ "A) 1.62%",
1672
+ "B) 2.06%",
1673
+ "C) 1.95%",
1674
+ "D) 1.84%"
1675
+ ],
1676
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1677
+ "answer_raw": "1.95%",
1678
+ "unit": "%",
1679
+ "condition": "forecast",
1680
+ "year": 2004
1681
+ },
1682
+ {
1683
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901",
1684
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1685
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1686
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1687
+ "transform": "level",
1688
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1689
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1690
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66",
1691
+ "options": [
1692
+ "A) 77.72",
1693
+ "B) 83.59",
1694
+ "C) 85.54",
1695
+ "D) 80.66"
1696
+ ],
1697
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1698
+ "answer_raw": "80.66",
1699
+ "unit": "index",
1700
+ "condition": "forecast",
1701
+ "year": 2004
1702
+ },
1703
+ {
1704
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301",
1705
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1706
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1707
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1708
+ "transform": "level",
1709
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1710
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1711
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M",
1712
+ "options": [
1713
+ "A) $309,471M",
1714
+ "B) $301,924M",
1715
+ "C) $332,113M",
1716
+ "D) $286,829M"
1717
+ ],
1718
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1719
+ "answer_raw": "$309,471M",
1720
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1721
+ "condition": "forecast",
1722
+ "year": 2004
1723
+ },
1724
+ {
1725
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301",
1726
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1727
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1728
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1729
+ "transform": "level",
1730
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1731
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1732
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B",
1733
+ "options": [
1734
+ "A) $7,328B",
1735
+ "B) $8,099B",
1736
+ "C) $8,356B",
1737
+ "D) $7,585B"
1738
+ ],
1739
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1740
+ "answer_raw": "$8,099B",
1741
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1742
+ "condition": "forecast",
1743
+ "year": 2004
1744
+ },
1745
+ {
1746
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901",
1747
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1748
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1749
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1750
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1751
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1752
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1753
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%",
1754
+ "options": [
1755
+ "A) 5.41%",
1756
+ "B) 7.01%",
1757
+ "C) 6.21%",
1758
+ "D) 3.82%"
1759
+ ],
1760
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1761
+ "answer_raw": "6.21%",
1762
+ "unit": "%",
1763
+ "condition": "forecast",
1764
+ "year": 2004
1765
+ },
1766
+ {
1767
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301",
1768
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1769
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1770
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1771
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1772
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1773
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1774
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%",
1775
+ "options": [
1776
+ "A) 0.93%",
1777
+ "B) 2.14%",
1778
+ "C) 2.55%",
1779
+ "D) 1.74%"
1780
+ ],
1781
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1782
+ "answer_raw": "1.74%",
1783
+ "unit": "%",
1784
+ "condition": "forecast",
1785
+ "year": 2004
1786
+ },
1787
+ {
1788
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615",
1789
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1790
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1791
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
1792
+ "transform": "level",
1793
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1794
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
1795
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%",
1796
+ "options": [
1797
+ "A) 6.32%",
1798
+ "B) 6.77%",
1799
+ "C) 4.97%",
1800
+ "D) 7.22%"
1801
+ ],
1802
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1803
+ "answer_raw": "6.32%",
1804
+ "unit": "%",
1805
+ "condition": "forecast",
1806
+ "year": 2004
1807
+ },
1808
+ {
1809
+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615",
1810
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1811
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1812
+ "indicator": "DGS30",
1813
+ "transform": "level",
1814
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1815
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
1816
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%",
1817
+ "options": [
1818
+ "A) 5.88%",
1819
+ "B) 5.45%",
1820
+ "C) 4.81%",
1821
+ "D) 5.02%"
1822
+ ],
1823
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1824
+ "answer_raw": "5.45%",
1825
+ "unit": "%",
1826
+ "condition": "forecast",
1827
+ "year": 2004
1828
+ },
1829
+ {
1830
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
1831
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1832
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1833
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1834
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1835
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1836
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1837
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%",
1838
+ "options": [
1839
+ "A) 3.46%",
1840
+ "B) 1.96%",
1841
+ "C) 2.33%",
1842
+ "D) 1.58%"
1843
+ ],
1844
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1845
+ "answer_raw": "2.33%",
1846
+ "unit": "%",
1847
+ "condition": "forecast",
1848
+ "year": 2004
1849
+ },
1850
+ {
1851
+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615",
1852
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1853
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1854
+ "indicator": "DEXCHUS",
1855
+ "transform": "level",
1856
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
1857
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
1858
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766",
1859
+ "options": [
1860
+ "A) 8.0283",
1861
+ "B) 8.6904",
1862
+ "C) 8.4421",
1863
+ "D) 8.2766"
1864
+ ],
1865
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1866
+ "answer_raw": "8.2766",
1867
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1868
+ "condition": "forecast",
1869
+ "year": 2004
1870
+ },
1871
+ {
1872
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901",
1873
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1874
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1875
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
1876
+ "transform": "level",
1877
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1878
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1879
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M",
1880
+ "options": [
1881
+ "A) $188,444M",
1882
+ "B) $193,974M",
1883
+ "C) $177,383M",
1884
+ "D) $171,853M"
1885
+ ],
1886
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1887
+ "answer_raw": "$188,444M",
1888
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1889
+ "condition": "forecast",
1890
+ "year": 2004
1891
+ },
1892
+ {
1893
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901",
1894
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1895
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1896
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1897
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1898
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1899
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1900
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%",
1901
+ "options": [
1902
+ "A) 3.70%",
1903
+ "B) 2.54%",
1904
+ "C) 3.32%",
1905
+ "D) 2.15%"
1906
+ ],
1907
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1908
+ "answer_raw": "2.54%",
1909
+ "unit": "%",
1910
+ "condition": "forecast",
1911
+ "year": 2004
1912
+ },
1913
+ {
1914
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301",
1915
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1916
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1917
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1918
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1919
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
1920
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
1921
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%",
1922
+ "options": [
1923
+ "A) 10.52%",
1924
+ "B) 12.33%",
1925
+ "C) 11.42%",
1926
+ "D) 10.06%"
1927
+ ],
1928
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1929
+ "answer_raw": "11.42%",
1930
+ "unit": "%",
1931
+ "condition": "forecast",
1932
+ "year": 2004
1933
+ },
1934
+ {
1935
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901",
1936
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1937
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1938
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1939
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1940
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1941
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1942
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%",
1943
+ "options": [
1944
+ "A) 4.29%",
1945
+ "B) 2.88%",
1946
+ "C) 7.11%",
1947
+ "D) 5.70%"
1948
+ ],
1949
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1950
+ "answer_raw": "5.70%",
1951
+ "unit": "%",
1952
+ "condition": "forecast",
1953
+ "year": 2004
1954
+ },
1955
+ {
1956
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901",
1957
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1958
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1959
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1960
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1961
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1962
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1963
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp",
1964
+ "options": [
1965
+ "A) -0.30pp",
1966
+ "B) -0.40pp",
1967
+ "C) -0.60pp",
1968
+ "D) -0.10pp"
1969
+ ],
1970
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1971
+ "answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
1972
+ "unit": "pp",
1973
+ "condition": "forecast",
1974
+ "year": 2004
1975
+ },
1976
+ {
1977
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901",
1978
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1979
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1980
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1981
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1982
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
1983
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
1984
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp",
1985
+ "options": [
1986
+ "A) +0.31pp",
1987
+ "B) -0.70pp",
1988
+ "C) -1.71pp",
1989
+ "D) -1.04pp"
1990
+ ],
1991
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1992
+ "answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
1993
+ "unit": "pp",
1994
+ "condition": "forecast",
1995
+ "year": 2004
1996
+ },
1997
+ {
1998
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301",
1999
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2000
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2001
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
2002
+ "transform": "level",
2003
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2004
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2005
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M",
2006
+ "options": [
2007
+ "A) $-36,273M",
2008
+ "B) $-50,248M",
2009
+ "C) $-46,754M",
2010
+ "D) $-57,235M"
2011
+ ],
2012
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2013
+ "answer_raw": "$-46,754M",
2014
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2015
+ "condition": "forecast",
2016
+ "year": 2004
2017
+ },
2018
+ {
2019
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301",
2020
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2021
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2022
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
2023
+ "transform": "level",
2024
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2025
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2026
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10",
2027
+ "options": [
2028
+ "A) 138.36",
2029
+ "B) 133.61",
2030
+ "C) 147.84",
2031
+ "D) 143.10"
2032
+ ],
2033
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2034
+ "answer_raw": "143.10",
2035
+ "unit": "index",
2036
+ "condition": "forecast",
2037
+ "year": 2004
2038
+ },
2039
+ {
2040
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901",
2041
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2042
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2043
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2044
+ "transform": "level",
2045
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2046
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2047
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22",
2048
+ "options": [
2049
+ "A) 94.20",
2050
+ "B) 107.67",
2051
+ "C) 80.73",
2052
+ "D) 85.22"
2053
+ ],
2054
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2055
+ "answer_raw": "94.20",
2056
+ "unit": "index",
2057
+ "condition": "forecast",
2058
+ "year": 2004
2059
+ },
2060
+ {
2061
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615",
2062
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2063
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2064
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
2065
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2066
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
2067
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
2068
+ "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%",
2069
+ "options": [
2070
+ "A) 56.01%",
2071
+ "B) 17.21%",
2072
+ "C) 36.61%",
2073
+ "D) 75.41%"
2074
+ ],
2075
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2076
+ "answer_raw": "17.21%",
2077
+ "unit": "%",
2078
+ "condition": "forecast",
2079
+ "year": 2004
2080
+ },
2081
+ {
2082
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615",
2083
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2084
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2085
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
2086
+ "transform": "level",
2087
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
2088
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
2089
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%",
2090
+ "options": [
2091
+ "A) 1.85%",
2092
+ "B) 0.93%",
2093
+ "C) 2.77%",
2094
+ "D) 4.61%"
2095
+ ],
2096
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2097
+ "answer_raw": "2.77%",
2098
+ "unit": "%",
2099
+ "condition": "forecast",
2100
+ "year": 2004
2101
+ },
2102
+ {
2103
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901",
2104
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2105
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2106
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
2107
+ "transform": "level",
2108
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2109
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2110
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75",
2111
+ "options": [
2112
+ "A) 90.93",
2113
+ "B) 98.43",
2114
+ "C) 96.56",
2115
+ "D) 93.75"
2116
+ ],
2117
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2118
+ "answer_raw": "93.75",
2119
+ "unit": "index",
2120
+ "condition": "forecast",
2121
+ "year": 2004
2122
+ },
2123
+ {
2124
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615",
2125
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2126
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2127
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2128
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2129
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
2130
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
2131
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%",
2132
+ "options": [
2133
+ "A) 23.55%",
2134
+ "B) -18.88%",
2135
+ "C) 87.20%",
2136
+ "D) 2.33%"
2137
+ ],
2138
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2139
+ "answer_raw": "23.55%",
2140
+ "unit": "%",
2141
+ "condition": "forecast",
2142
+ "year": 2004
2143
+ },
2144
+ {
2145
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301",
2146
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2147
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2148
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
2149
+ "transform": "level",
2150
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2151
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2152
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83",
2153
+ "options": [
2154
+ "A) 76.07",
2155
+ "B) 79.93",
2156
+ "C) 78.00",
2157
+ "D) 82.83"
2158
+ ],
2159
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2160
+ "answer_raw": "79.93",
2161
+ "unit": "index",
2162
+ "condition": "forecast",
2163
+ "year": 2004
2164
+ },
2165
+ {
2166
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901",
2167
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2168
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2169
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
2170
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2171
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2172
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2173
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%",
2174
+ "options": [
2175
+ "A) 2.03%",
2176
+ "B) 2.65%",
2177
+ "C) 1.41%",
2178
+ "D) 0.17%"
2179
+ ],
2180
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2181
+ "answer_raw": "1.41%",
2182
+ "unit": "%",
2183
+ "condition": "forecast",
2184
+ "year": 2004
2185
+ },
2186
+ {
2187
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301",
2188
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2189
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2190
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2191
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2192
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2193
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2194
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%",
2195
+ "options": [
2196
+ "A) 1.54%",
2197
+ "B) 0.07%",
2198
+ "C) 5.93%",
2199
+ "D) 4.47%"
2200
+ ],
2201
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2202
+ "answer_raw": "4.47%",
2203
+ "unit": "%",
2204
+ "condition": "forecast",
2205
+ "year": 2004
2206
+ },
2207
+ {
2208
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301",
2209
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2210
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2211
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
2212
+ "transform": "level",
2213
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2214
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2215
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61",
2216
+ "options": [
2217
+ "A) 187.10",
2218
+ "B) 193.30",
2219
+ "C) 180.90",
2220
+ "D) 171.61"
2221
+ ],
2222
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2223
+ "answer_raw": "187.10",
2224
+ "unit": "index",
2225
+ "condition": "forecast",
2226
+ "year": 2004
2227
+ },
2228
+ {
2229
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901",
2230
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2231
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2232
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2233
+ "transform": "level",
2234
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2235
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2236
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%",
2237
+ "options": [
2238
+ "A) 60.43%",
2239
+ "B) 62.30%",
2240
+ "C) 59.18%",
2241
+ "D) 64.17%"
2242
+ ],
2243
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2244
+ "answer_raw": "62.30%",
2245
+ "unit": "%",
2246
+ "condition": "forecast",
2247
+ "year": 2004
2248
+ },
2249
+ {
2250
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901",
2251
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2252
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2253
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2254
+ "transform": "level",
2255
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2256
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2257
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M",
2258
+ "options": [
2259
+ "A) $4,300,000M",
2260
+ "B) $2,400,000M",
2261
+ "C) $762M",
2262
+ "D) $6,200,000M"
2263
+ ],
2264
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2265
+ "answer_raw": "$762M",
2266
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2267
+ "condition": "forecast",
2268
+ "year": 2004
2269
+ },
2270
+ {
2271
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615",
2272
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2273
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2274
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
2275
+ "transform": "level",
2276
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
2277
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
2278
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp",
2279
+ "options": [
2280
+ "A) +0.36pp",
2281
+ "B) +2.96pp",
2282
+ "C) +0.88pp",
2283
+ "D) +1.92pp"
2284
+ ],
2285
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2286
+ "answer_raw": "+1.92pp",
2287
+ "unit": "pp",
2288
+ "condition": "forecast",
2289
+ "year": 2004
2290
+ },
2291
+ {
2292
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901",
2293
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2294
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2295
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
2296
+ "transform": "level",
2297
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2298
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2299
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52",
2300
+ "options": [
2301
+ "A) 155.11",
2302
+ "B) 178.23",
2303
+ "C) 147.40",
2304
+ "D) 170.52"
2305
+ ],
2306
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2307
+ "answer_raw": "155.11",
2308
+ "unit": "index",
2309
+ "condition": "forecast",
2310
+ "year": 2004
2311
+ },
2312
+ {
2313
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901",
2314
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2315
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2316
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
2317
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2318
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2319
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2320
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%",
2321
+ "options": [
2322
+ "A) 10.65%",
2323
+ "B) 4.08%",
2324
+ "C) -5.78%",
2325
+ "D) -2.49%"
2326
+ ],
2327
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2328
+ "answer_raw": "4.08%",
2329
+ "unit": "%",
2330
+ "condition": "forecast",
2331
+ "year": 2004
2332
+ },
2333
+ {
2334
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901",
2335
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2336
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2337
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
2338
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2339
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2340
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2341
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%",
2342
+ "options": [
2343
+ "A) 9.72%",
2344
+ "B) 2.68%",
2345
+ "C) 6.20%",
2346
+ "D) 7.37%"
2347
+ ],
2348
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2349
+ "answer_raw": "6.20%",
2350
+ "unit": "%",
2351
+ "condition": "forecast",
2352
+ "year": 2004
2353
+ },
2354
+ {
2355
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901",
2356
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2357
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2358
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
2359
+ "transform": "level",
2360
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2361
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2362
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80",
2363
+ "options": [
2364
+ "A) 198.70",
2365
+ "B) 183.86",
2366
+ "C) 174.96",
2367
+ "D) 189.80"
2368
+ ],
2369
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2370
+ "answer_raw": "189.80",
2371
+ "unit": "index",
2372
+ "condition": "forecast",
2373
+ "year": 2004
2374
+ },
2375
+ {
2376
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301",
2377
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2378
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2379
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2380
+ "transform": "level",
2381
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2382
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2383
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51",
2384
+ "options": [
2385
+ "A) 95.80",
2386
+ "B) 81.24",
2387
+ "C) 86.09",
2388
+ "D) 105.51"
2389
+ ],
2390
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2391
+ "answer_raw": "95.80",
2392
+ "unit": "index",
2393
+ "condition": "forecast",
2394
+ "year": 2004
2395
+ },
2396
+ {
2397
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901",
2398
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2399
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2400
+ "indicator": "TCU",
2401
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2402
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2403
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2404
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp",
2405
+ "options": [
2406
+ "A) +0.59pp",
2407
+ "B) +2.03pp",
2408
+ "C) +4.90pp",
2409
+ "D) +6.33pp"
2410
+ ],
2411
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2412
+ "answer_raw": "+2.03pp",
2413
+ "unit": "pp",
2414
+ "condition": "forecast",
2415
+ "year": 2004
2416
+ },
2417
+ {
2418
+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615",
2419
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2420
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2421
+ "indicator": "DGS5",
2422
+ "transform": "level",
2423
+ "target_period": "2004-06-15",
2424
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
2425
+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%",
2426
+ "options": [
2427
+ "A) 4.55%",
2428
+ "B) 5.20%",
2429
+ "C) 3.90%",
2430
+ "D) 3.25%"
2431
+ ],
2432
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2433
+ "answer_raw": "3.90%",
2434
+ "unit": "%",
2435
+ "condition": "forecast",
2436
+ "year": 2004
2437
+ },
2438
+ {
2439
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901",
2440
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2441
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2442
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
2443
+ "transform": "level",
2444
+ "target_period": "September 2004",
2445
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
2446
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M",
2447
+ "options": [
2448
+ "A) $-47,927M",
2449
+ "B) $-44,168M",
2450
+ "C) $-62,964M",
2451
+ "D) $-51,686M"
2452
+ ],
2453
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2454
+ "answer_raw": "$-51,686M",
2455
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2456
+ "condition": "forecast",
2457
+ "year": 2004
2458
+ },
2459
+ {
2460
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301",
2461
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2462
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2463
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2464
+ "transform": "level",
2465
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2466
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2467
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M",
2468
+ "options": [
2469
+ "A) $190,869M",
2470
+ "B) $207,499M",
2471
+ "C) $196,412M",
2472
+ "D) $201,956M"
2473
+ ],
2474
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2475
+ "answer_raw": "$190,869M",
2476
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2477
+ "condition": "forecast",
2478
+ "year": 2004
2479
+ },
2480
+ {
2481
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301",
2482
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2483
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2484
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2485
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2486
+ "target_period": "March 2004",
2487
+ "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
2488
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp",
2489
+ "options": [
2490
+ "A) -0.98pp",
2491
+ "B) -0.20pp",
2492
+ "C) +0.58pp",
2493
+ "D) +0.32pp"
2494
+ ],
2495
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2496
+ "answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
2497
+ "unit": "pp",
2498
+ "condition": "forecast",
2499
+ "year": 2004
2500
+ }
2501
+ ]
mcq_2005.json ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
mcq_2006.json ADDED
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@@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ [
2
+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060301",
4
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
5
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
6
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
7
+ "transform": "level",
8
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
9
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
10
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.85\nB) 83.51\nC) 80.31\nD) 85.64",
11
+ "options": [
12
+ "A) 88.85",
13
+ "B) 83.51",
14
+ "C) 80.31",
15
+ "D) 85.64"
16
+ ],
17
+ "answer_letter": "B",
18
+ "answer_raw": "83.51",
19
+ "unit": "index",
20
+ "condition": "forecast",
21
+ "year": 2006
22
+ },
23
+ {
24
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060901",
25
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
26
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
27
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
28
+ "transform": "level",
29
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
30
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
31
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $-83,160M\nB) $-71,117M\nC) $-65,095M\nD) $-59,073M",
32
+ "options": [
33
+ "A) $-83,160M",
34
+ "B) $-71,117M",
35
+ "C) $-65,095M",
36
+ "D) $-59,073M"
37
+ ],
38
+ "answer_letter": "C",
39
+ "answer_raw": "$-65,095M",
40
+ "unit": "usd_million",
41
+ "condition": "forecast",
42
+ "year": 2006
43
+ },
44
+ {
45
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060301",
46
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
47
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
48
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
49
+ "transform": "level",
50
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
52
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 133,317K\nB) 129,236K\nC) 138,759K\nD) 136,038K",
53
+ "options": [
54
+ "A) 133,317K",
55
+ "B) 129,236K",
56
+ "C) 138,759K",
57
+ "D) 136,038K"
58
+ ],
59
+ "answer_letter": "D",
60
+ "answer_raw": "136,038K",
61
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
62
+ "condition": "forecast",
63
+ "year": 2006
64
+ },
65
+ {
66
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060301",
67
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
68
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
69
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
70
+ "transform": "level",
71
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
72
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
73
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $-62,397M\nB) $-44,882M\nC) $-50,720M\nD) $-68,235M",
74
+ "options": [
75
+ "A) $-62,397M",
76
+ "B) $-44,882M",
77
+ "C) $-50,720M",
78
+ "D) $-68,235M"
79
+ ],
80
+ "answer_letter": "A",
81
+ "answer_raw": "$-62,397M",
82
+ "unit": "usd_million",
83
+ "condition": "forecast",
84
+ "year": 2006
85
+ },
86
+ {
87
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060901",
88
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
89
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
90
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
91
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
92
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
93
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
94
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.33%\nB) -20.04%\nC) -29.46%\nD) -24.75%",
95
+ "options": [
96
+ "A) -15.33%",
97
+ "B) -20.04%",
98
+ "C) -29.46%",
99
+ "D) -24.75%"
100
+ ],
101
+ "answer_letter": "B",
102
+ "answer_raw": "-20.04%",
103
+ "unit": "%",
104
+ "condition": "forecast",
105
+ "year": 2006
106
+ },
107
+ {
108
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20060615",
109
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
110
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
111
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
112
+ "transform": "level",
113
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
114
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
115
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $84.62/bbl\nB) $54.94/bbl\nC) $69.78/bbl\nD) $62.36/bbl",
116
+ "options": [
117
+ "A) $84.62/bbl",
118
+ "B) $54.94/bbl",
119
+ "C) $69.78/bbl",
120
+ "D) $62.36/bbl"
121
+ ],
122
+ "answer_letter": "C",
123
+ "answer_raw": "$69.78/bbl",
124
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 2006
127
+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060301",
130
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
131
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
133
+ "transform": "level",
134
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
136
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.59%",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) 5.82%",
139
+ "B) 3.98%",
140
+ "C) 3.36%",
141
+ "D) 4.59%"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "D",
144
+ "answer_raw": "4.59%",
145
+ "unit": "%",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
147
+ "year": 2006
148
+ },
149
+ {
150
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060301",
151
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
152
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
153
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
157
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.44%",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) 4.70%",
160
+ "B) 5.21%",
161
+ "C) 3.93%",
162
+ "D) 4.44%"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "A",
165
+ "answer_raw": "4.70%",
166
+ "unit": "%",
167
+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 2006
169
+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20060615",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
173
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
174
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
175
+ "transform": "level",
176
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
178
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +0.38pp\nD) +1.23pp",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) -0.46pp",
181
+ "B) -0.04pp",
182
+ "C) +0.38pp",
183
+ "D) +1.23pp"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "B",
186
+ "answer_raw": "-0.04pp",
187
+ "unit": "pp",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 2006
190
+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060301",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
199
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.33\nB) 79.86\nC) 83.75\nD) 90.22",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) 86.33",
202
+ "B) 79.86",
203
+ "C) 83.75",
204
+ "D) 90.22"
205
+ ],
206
+ "answer_letter": "C",
207
+ "answer_raw": "83.75",
208
+ "unit": "index",
209
+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 2006
211
+ },
212
+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060301",
214
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
217
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
218
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
220
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 9.13%\nD) 6.80%",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 10.29%",
223
+ "B) 7.96%",
224
+ "C) 9.13%",
225
+ "D) 6.80%"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "D",
228
+ "answer_raw": "6.80%",
229
+ "unit": "%",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 2006
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060901",
235
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
238
+ "transform": "level",
239
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
241
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.20\nB) 201.77\nC) 212.63\nD) 220.79",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) 207.20",
244
+ "B) 201.77",
245
+ "C) 212.63",
246
+ "D) 220.79"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "A",
249
+ "answer_raw": "207.20",
250
+ "unit": "index",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2006
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060901",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
259
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
260
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
262
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 4.27%\nD) -2.63%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 6.58%",
265
+ "B) 1.97%",
266
+ "C) 4.27%",
267
+ "D) -2.63%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "B",
270
+ "answer_raw": "1.97%",
271
+ "unit": "%",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
273
+ "year": 2006
274
+ },
275
+ {
276
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060301",
277
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
279
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
280
+ "transform": "level",
281
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,103M\nB) $67,089M\nC) $65,096M\nD) $69,083M",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) $63,103M",
286
+ "B) $67,089M",
287
+ "C) $65,096M",
288
+ "D) $69,083M"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "C",
291
+ "answer_raw": "$65,096M",
292
+ "unit": "usd_million",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2006
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060901",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
301
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
302
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
304
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 5.18%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 6.11%",
307
+ "B) 2.38%",
308
+ "C) 7.05%",
309
+ "D) 5.18%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "D",
312
+ "answer_raw": "5.18%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2006
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20060615",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
322
+ "transform": "level",
323
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
325
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,439B\nB) $7,809B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $6,700B",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) $7,439B",
328
+ "B) $7,809B",
329
+ "C) $8,179B",
330
+ "D) $6,700B"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "A",
333
+ "answer_raw": "$7,439B",
334
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2006
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060301",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
343
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
344
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
346
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.76%",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) 3.42%",
349
+ "B) 2.09%",
350
+ "C) -1.90%",
351
+ "D) 0.76%"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "B",
354
+ "answer_raw": "2.09%",
355
+ "unit": "%",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2006
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060301",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
364
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
365
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 3.29%",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) 3.84%",
370
+ "B) 1.05%",
371
+ "C) 2.17%",
372
+ "D) 3.29%"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "C",
375
+ "answer_raw": "2.17%",
376
+ "unit": "%",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2006
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "TCU",
385
+ "transform": "level",
386
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.37%\nB) 84.00%\nC) 78.08%\nD) 80.45%",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 86.37%",
391
+ "B) 84.00%",
392
+ "C) 78.08%",
393
+ "D) 80.45%"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "D",
396
+ "answer_raw": "80.45%",
397
+ "unit": "%",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2006
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060301",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
406
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
407
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
409
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 7.49%\nD) 9.87%",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 2.72%",
412
+ "B) -4.44%",
413
+ "C) 7.49%",
414
+ "D) 9.87%"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "A",
417
+ "answer_raw": "2.72%",
418
+ "unit": "%",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2006
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20060615",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "DGS30",
427
+ "transform": "level",
428
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
430
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.33%",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) 5.52%",
433
+ "B) 5.13%",
434
+ "C) 4.93%",
435
+ "D) 5.33%"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "B",
438
+ "answer_raw": "5.13%",
439
+ "unit": "%",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2006
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060901",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
448
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
449
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.03%\nB) -38.38%\nC) -26.87%\nD) -19.19%",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) -23.03%",
454
+ "B) -38.38%",
455
+ "C) -26.87%",
456
+ "D) -19.19%"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "C",
459
+ "answer_raw": "-26.87%",
460
+ "unit": "%",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2006
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060301",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
469
+ "transform": "level",
470
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
472
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.69/hr\nB) $17.11/hr\nC) $15.12/hr\nD) $16.54/hr",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) $15.69/hr",
475
+ "B) $17.11/hr",
476
+ "C) $15.12/hr",
477
+ "D) $16.54/hr"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "D",
480
+ "answer_raw": "$16.54/hr",
481
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2006
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060301",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
490
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
491
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
493
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.75%\nB) 13.68%\nC) 25.78%\nD) 17.71%",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) 21.75%",
496
+ "B) 13.68%",
497
+ "C) 25.78%",
498
+ "D) 17.71%"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "A",
501
+ "answer_raw": "21.75%",
502
+ "unit": "%",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2006
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
511
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
512
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.24pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) -1.61pp",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) -1.24pp",
517
+ "B) -0.50pp",
518
+ "C) +0.61pp",
519
+ "D) -1.61pp"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "B",
522
+ "answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
523
+ "unit": "pp",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2006
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060301",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "PCE",
532
+ "transform": "level",
533
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
535
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $8,176B\nC) $9,133B\nD) $9,771B",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) $9,452B",
538
+ "B) $8,176B",
539
+ "C) $9,133B",
540
+ "D) $9,771B"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "C",
543
+ "answer_raw": "$9,133B",
544
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2006
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060901",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
553
+ "transform": "level",
554
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,937K\nB) 1,843K\nC) 1,373K\nD) 1,655K",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 1,937K",
559
+ "B) 1,843K",
560
+ "C) 1,373K",
561
+ "D) 1,655K"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "D",
564
+ "answer_raw": "1,655K",
565
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2006
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060901",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
574
+ "transform": "level",
575
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 64.78%\nD) 68.08%",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) 66.10%",
580
+ "B) 69.41%",
581
+ "C) 64.78%",
582
+ "D) 68.08%"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "A",
585
+ "answer_raw": "66.10%",
586
+ "unit": "%",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2006
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060901",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
595
+ "transform": "level",
596
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
598
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,493B\nB) $6,952B\nC) $7,641B\nD) $6,723B",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) $6,493B",
601
+ "B) $6,952B",
602
+ "C) $7,641B",
603
+ "D) $6,723B"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "B",
606
+ "answer_raw": "$6,952B",
607
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2006
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060901",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
616
+ "transform": "level",
617
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
619
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.10\nB) 90.37\nC) 84.57\nD) 88.05",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) 81.10",
622
+ "B) 90.37",
623
+ "C) 84.57",
624
+ "D) 88.05"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "C",
627
+ "answer_raw": "84.57",
628
+ "unit": "index",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2006
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20060615",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
637
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
638
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
640
+ "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 14.01%\nB) 12.54%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 11.06%",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) 14.01%",
643
+ "B) 12.54%",
644
+ "C) 6.64%",
645
+ "D) 11.06%"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "D",
648
+ "answer_raw": "11.06%",
649
+ "unit": "%",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2006
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060301",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
658
+ "transform": "level",
659
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
661
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.46\nB) 95.58\nC) 101.35\nD) 104.24",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) 98.46",
664
+ "B) 95.58",
665
+ "C) 101.35",
666
+ "D) 104.24"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "A",
669
+ "answer_raw": "98.46",
670
+ "unit": "index",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2006
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
679
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
680
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
682
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.26%",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 3.94%",
685
+ "B) 2.91%",
686
+ "C) 1.88%",
687
+ "D) 3.26%"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "B",
690
+ "answer_raw": "2.91%",
691
+ "unit": "%",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2006
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
700
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
701
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
703
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 2.65%",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) 2.96%",
706
+ "B) 3.87%",
707
+ "C) 3.57%",
708
+ "D) 2.65%"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "C",
711
+ "answer_raw": "3.57%",
712
+ "unit": "%",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2006
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060901",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
724
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.19\nB) 102.74\nC) 90.77\nD) 99.32",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) 94.19",
727
+ "B) 102.74",
728
+ "C) 90.77",
729
+ "D) 99.32"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "D",
732
+ "answer_raw": "99.32",
733
+ "unit": "index",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2006
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060301",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
742
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
743
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 13.42%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -6.05%",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) 5.63%",
748
+ "B) 13.42%",
749
+ "C) 1.74%",
750
+ "D) -6.05%"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "A",
753
+ "answer_raw": "5.63%",
754
+ "unit": "%",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2006
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060901",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
763
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
764
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
766
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.46%",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) 2.92%",
769
+ "B) 2.01%",
770
+ "C) 0.66%",
771
+ "D) 2.46%"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "B",
774
+ "answer_raw": "2.01%",
775
+ "unit": "%",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2006
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
784
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
785
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
787
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 5.42%",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 7.91%",
790
+ "B) 6.05%",
791
+ "C) 7.29%",
792
+ "D) 5.42%"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "C",
795
+ "answer_raw": "7.29%",
796
+ "unit": "%",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2006
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060901",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
805
+ "transform": "level",
806
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
808
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.29\nB) 191.09\nC) 214.51\nD) 202.80",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) 183.29",
811
+ "B) 191.09",
812
+ "C) 214.51",
813
+ "D) 202.80"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "D",
816
+ "answer_raw": "202.80",
817
+ "unit": "index",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2006
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060901",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
826
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
827
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 7.70%\nD) 3.05%",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) 4.22%",
832
+ "B) 0.73%",
833
+ "C) 7.70%",
834
+ "D) 3.05%"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "A",
837
+ "answer_raw": "4.22%",
838
+ "unit": "%",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2006
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060901",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
847
+ "transform": "level",
848
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
850
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.83\nB) 84.90\nC) 80.51\nD) 77.58",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) 87.83",
853
+ "B) 84.90",
854
+ "C) 80.51",
855
+ "D) 77.58"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "B",
858
+ "answer_raw": "84.90",
859
+ "unit": "index",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2006
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060901",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
868
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
869
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
871
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.39%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 15.05%\nD) 18.72%",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 22.39%",
874
+ "B) 4.05%",
875
+ "C) 15.05%",
876
+ "D) 18.72%"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "C",
879
+ "answer_raw": "15.05%",
880
+ "unit": "%",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2006
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060301",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
889
+ "transform": "level",
890
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,167K\nB) 1,672K\nC) 1,870K\nD) 1,969K",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) 2,167K",
895
+ "B) 1,672K",
896
+ "C) 1,870K",
897
+ "D) 1,969K"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "D",
900
+ "answer_raw": "1,969K",
901
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2006
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060301",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
910
+ "transform": "level",
911
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
913
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $348,357M\nB) $359,654M\nC) $314,465M\nD) $325,762M",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) $348,357M",
916
+ "B) $359,654M",
917
+ "C) $314,465M",
918
+ "D) $325,762M"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "A",
921
+ "answer_raw": "$348,357M",
922
+ "unit": "usd_million",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2006
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060901",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
931
+ "transform": "level",
932
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
934
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,347B\nB) $10,018B\nC) $10,676B\nD) $9,689B",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) $10,347B",
937
+ "B) $10,018B",
938
+ "C) $10,676B",
939
+ "D) $9,689B"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "B",
942
+ "answer_raw": "$10,018B",
943
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2006
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
952
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
953
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
955
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 5.30%",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) 8.07%",
958
+ "B) 3.91%",
959
+ "C) 5.99%",
960
+ "D) 5.30%"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "C",
963
+ "answer_raw": "5.99%",
964
+ "unit": "%",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2006
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20060615",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
973
+ "transform": "level",
974
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
976
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 4.85%",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) 6.03%",
979
+ "B) 6.62%",
980
+ "C) 3.67%",
981
+ "D) 4.85%"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "D",
984
+ "answer_raw": "4.85%",
985
+ "unit": "%",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2006
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060301",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
994
+ "transform": "level",
995
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
997
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 162.20\nB) 172.72\nC) 156.94\nD) 151.68",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) 162.20",
1000
+ "B) 172.72",
1001
+ "C) 156.94",
1002
+ "D) 151.68"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "162.20",
1006
+ "unit": "index",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2006
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060301",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1015
+ "transform": "level",
1016
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.08\nB) 204.30\nC) 191.25\nD) 212.13",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) 199.08",
1021
+ "B) 204.30",
1022
+ "C) 191.25",
1023
+ "D) 212.13"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "204.30",
1027
+ "unit": "index",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2006
1030
+ },
1031
+ {
1032
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060301",
1033
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1034
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1035
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1036
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1037
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1038
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1039
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.28pp\nB) +1.57pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.41pp",
1040
+ "options": [
1041
+ "A) +1.28pp",
1042
+ "B) +1.57pp",
1043
+ "C) +0.70pp",
1044
+ "D) +0.41pp"
1045
+ ],
1046
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1047
+ "answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
1048
+ "unit": "pp",
1049
+ "condition": "forecast",
1050
+ "year": 2006
1051
+ },
1052
+ {
1053
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060301",
1054
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1055
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1056
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1057
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1058
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1059
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1060
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 13.67%\nC) 12.36%\nD) 11.04%",
1061
+ "options": [
1062
+ "A) 8.41%",
1063
+ "B) 13.67%",
1064
+ "C) 12.36%",
1065
+ "D) 11.04%"
1066
+ ],
1067
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1068
+ "answer_raw": "11.04%",
1069
+ "unit": "%",
1070
+ "condition": "forecast",
1071
+ "year": 2006
1072
+ },
1073
+ {
1074
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060301",
1075
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1076
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1077
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1078
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1079
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1080
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1081
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 2.19%",
1082
+ "options": [
1083
+ "A) 3.42%",
1084
+ "B) 3.83%",
1085
+ "C) 4.65%",
1086
+ "D) 2.19%"
1087
+ ],
1088
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1089
+ "answer_raw": "3.42%",
1090
+ "unit": "%",
1091
+ "condition": "forecast",
1092
+ "year": 2006
1093
+ },
1094
+ {
1095
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060301",
1096
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1097
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1098
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1099
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1100
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1101
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1102
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 15.06%\nC) -0.85%\nD) 9.75%",
1103
+ "options": [
1104
+ "A) 4.45%",
1105
+ "B) 15.06%",
1106
+ "C) -0.85%",
1107
+ "D) 9.75%"
1108
+ ],
1109
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1110
+ "answer_raw": "15.06%",
1111
+ "unit": "%",
1112
+ "condition": "forecast",
1113
+ "year": 2006
1114
+ },
1115
+ {
1116
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20060615",
1117
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1118
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1119
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
1120
+ "transform": "level",
1121
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1122
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1123
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.01/bbl\nB) $44.07/bbl\nC) $66.04/bbl\nD) $51.39/bbl",
1124
+ "options": [
1125
+ "A) $88.01/bbl",
1126
+ "B) $44.07/bbl",
1127
+ "C) $66.04/bbl",
1128
+ "D) $51.39/bbl"
1129
+ ],
1130
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1131
+ "answer_raw": "$66.04/bbl",
1132
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
1133
+ "condition": "forecast",
1134
+ "year": 2006
1135
+ },
1136
+ {
1137
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20060615",
1138
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1139
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1140
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
1141
+ "transform": "level",
1142
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1143
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1144
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.96\nB) 8.53\nC) 23.27\nD) 15.90",
1145
+ "options": [
1146
+ "A) 26.96",
1147
+ "B) 8.53",
1148
+ "C) 23.27",
1149
+ "D) 15.90"
1150
+ ],
1151
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1152
+ "answer_raw": "15.90",
1153
+ "unit": "index",
1154
+ "condition": "forecast",
1155
+ "year": 2006
1156
+ },
1157
+ {
1158
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20060615",
1159
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1160
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1161
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
1162
+ "transform": "level",
1163
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1164
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1165
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,144.15\nB) 1,993.58\nC) 2,294.72\nD) 1,843.00",
1166
+ "options": [
1167
+ "A) 2,144.15",
1168
+ "B) 1,993.58",
1169
+ "C) 2,294.72",
1170
+ "D) 1,843.00"
1171
+ ],
1172
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1173
+ "answer_raw": "2,144.15",
1174
+ "unit": "index",
1175
+ "condition": "forecast",
1176
+ "year": 2006
1177
+ },
1178
+ {
1179
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060301",
1180
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1181
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1182
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1183
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1184
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1185
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1186
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 7.90%",
1187
+ "options": [
1188
+ "A) 5.95%",
1189
+ "B) 4.98%",
1190
+ "C) 2.05%",
1191
+ "D) 7.90%"
1192
+ ],
1193
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1194
+ "answer_raw": "4.98%",
1195
+ "unit": "%",
1196
+ "condition": "forecast",
1197
+ "year": 2006
1198
+ },
1199
+ {
1200
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20060615",
1201
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1202
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1203
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
1204
+ "transform": "level",
1205
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1206
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
1207
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,179,871\nB) 1,749,614\nC) 2,395,000\nD) 1,964,743",
1208
+ "options": [
1209
+ "A) 2,179,871",
1210
+ "B) 1,749,614",
1211
+ "C) 2,395,000",
1212
+ "D) 1,964,743"
1213
+ ],
1214
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1215
+ "answer_raw": "2,395,000",
1216
+ "unit": "count",
1217
+ "condition": "forecast",
1218
+ "year": 2006
1219
+ },
1220
+ {
1221
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060301",
1222
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1223
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1224
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1225
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1226
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1227
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1228
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 7.81%\nD) 5.53%",
1229
+ "options": [
1230
+ "A) -1.31%",
1231
+ "B) 3.25%",
1232
+ "C) 7.81%",
1233
+ "D) 5.53%"
1234
+ ],
1235
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1236
+ "answer_raw": "5.53%",
1237
+ "unit": "%",
1238
+ "condition": "forecast",
1239
+ "year": 2006
1240
+ },
1241
+ {
1242
+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20060615",
1243
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1244
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1245
+ "indicator": "DEXCHUS",
1246
+ "transform": "level",
1247
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1248
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1249
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.9990\nB) 7.5991\nC) 7.7590\nD) 8.2390",
1250
+ "options": [
1251
+ "A) 7.9990",
1252
+ "B) 7.5991",
1253
+ "C) 7.7590",
1254
+ "D) 8.2390"
1255
+ ],
1256
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1257
+ "answer_raw": "7.9990",
1258
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1259
+ "condition": "forecast",
1260
+ "year": 2006
1261
+ },
1262
+ {
1263
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060901",
1264
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1265
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1266
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1267
+ "transform": "level",
1268
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1269
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1270
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,028B\nB) $9,375B\nC) $8,334B\nD) $10,416B",
1271
+ "options": [
1272
+ "A) $9,028B",
1273
+ "B) $9,375B",
1274
+ "C) $8,334B",
1275
+ "D) $10,416B"
1276
+ ],
1277
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1278
+ "answer_raw": "$9,375B",
1279
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1280
+ "condition": "forecast",
1281
+ "year": 2006
1282
+ },
1283
+ {
1284
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060901",
1285
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1286
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1287
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1288
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1289
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1290
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1291
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.28%\nB) 9.77%\nC) 14.80%\nD) 19.83%",
1292
+ "options": [
1293
+ "A) -0.28%",
1294
+ "B) 9.77%",
1295
+ "C) 14.80%",
1296
+ "D) 19.83%"
1297
+ ],
1298
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1299
+ "answer_raw": "14.80%",
1300
+ "unit": "%",
1301
+ "condition": "forecast",
1302
+ "year": 2006
1303
+ },
1304
+ {
1305
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060301",
1306
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1307
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1308
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1309
+ "transform": "level",
1310
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1311
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1312
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.06\nB) 97.41\nC) 80.39\nD) 88.90",
1313
+ "options": [
1314
+ "A) 86.06",
1315
+ "B) 97.41",
1316
+ "C) 80.39",
1317
+ "D) 88.90"
1318
+ ],
1319
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1320
+ "answer_raw": "88.90",
1321
+ "unit": "index",
1322
+ "condition": "forecast",
1323
+ "year": 2006
1324
+ },
1325
+ {
1326
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060301",
1327
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1328
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1329
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1330
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1331
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1332
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1333
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.58%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 8.13%",
1334
+ "options": [
1335
+ "A) 6.22%",
1336
+ "B) 5.58%",
1337
+ "C) 6.85%",
1338
+ "D) 8.13%"
1339
+ ],
1340
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1341
+ "answer_raw": "6.22%",
1342
+ "unit": "%",
1343
+ "condition": "forecast",
1344
+ "year": 2006
1345
+ },
1346
+ {
1347
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060901",
1348
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1349
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1350
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1351
+ "transform": "level",
1352
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1353
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1354
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 4.59%",
1355
+ "options": [
1356
+ "A) 6.56%",
1357
+ "B) 5.25%",
1358
+ "C) 5.91%",
1359
+ "D) 4.59%"
1360
+ ],
1361
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1362
+ "answer_raw": "5.25%",
1363
+ "unit": "%",
1364
+ "condition": "forecast",
1365
+ "year": 2006
1366
+ },
1367
+ {
1368
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060901",
1369
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1370
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1371
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1372
+ "transform": "level",
1373
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1374
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1375
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.75\nB) 195.97\nC) 184.20\nD) 148.87",
1376
+ "options": [
1377
+ "A) 207.75",
1378
+ "B) 195.97",
1379
+ "C) 184.20",
1380
+ "D) 148.87"
1381
+ ],
1382
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1383
+ "answer_raw": "184.20",
1384
+ "unit": "index",
1385
+ "condition": "forecast",
1386
+ "year": 2006
1387
+ },
1388
+ {
1389
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060901",
1390
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1391
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1392
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1393
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1394
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1395
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1396
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.98%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 4.35%",
1397
+ "options": [
1398
+ "A) 0.98%",
1399
+ "B) 3.23%",
1400
+ "C) 6.59%",
1401
+ "D) 4.35%"
1402
+ ],
1403
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1404
+ "answer_raw": "4.35%",
1405
+ "unit": "%",
1406
+ "condition": "forecast",
1407
+ "year": 2006
1408
+ },
1409
+ {
1410
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060301",
1411
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1412
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1413
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1414
+ "transform": "level",
1415
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1416
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1417
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $810M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
1418
+ "options": [
1419
+ "A) $810M",
1420
+ "B) $4,300,000M",
1421
+ "C) $6,200,000M",
1422
+ "D) $2,400,000M"
1423
+ ],
1424
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1425
+ "answer_raw": "$810M",
1426
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1427
+ "condition": "forecast",
1428
+ "year": 2006
1429
+ },
1430
+ {
1431
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060901",
1432
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1433
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1434
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1435
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1436
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1437
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1438
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.48%",
1439
+ "options": [
1440
+ "A) 3.16%",
1441
+ "B) 2.93%",
1442
+ "C) 3.38%",
1443
+ "D) 2.48%"
1444
+ ],
1445
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1446
+ "answer_raw": "2.93%",
1447
+ "unit": "%",
1448
+ "condition": "forecast",
1449
+ "year": 2006
1450
+ },
1451
+ {
1452
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
1453
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1454
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1455
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1456
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1457
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1458
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1459
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.47%",
1460
+ "options": [
1461
+ "A) 0.92%",
1462
+ "B) 2.85%",
1463
+ "C) 2.08%",
1464
+ "D) 2.47%"
1465
+ ],
1466
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1467
+ "answer_raw": "2.08%",
1468
+ "unit": "%",
1469
+ "condition": "forecast",
1470
+ "year": 2006
1471
+ },
1472
+ {
1473
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20060615",
1474
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1475
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1476
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
1477
+ "transform": "level",
1478
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1479
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1480
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 5.14%",
1481
+ "options": [
1482
+ "A) 6.70%",
1483
+ "B) 5.66%",
1484
+ "C) 4.62%",
1485
+ "D) 5.14%"
1486
+ ],
1487
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1488
+ "answer_raw": "5.14%",
1489
+ "unit": "%",
1490
+ "condition": "forecast",
1491
+ "year": 2006
1492
+ },
1493
+ {
1494
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060301",
1495
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1496
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1497
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1498
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1499
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1500
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1501
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.89%",
1502
+ "options": [
1503
+ "A) 2.17%",
1504
+ "B) 2.44%",
1505
+ "C) 2.30%",
1506
+ "D) 1.89%"
1507
+ ],
1508
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1509
+ "answer_raw": "2.17%",
1510
+ "unit": "%",
1511
+ "condition": "forecast",
1512
+ "year": 2006
1513
+ },
1514
+ {
1515
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060301",
1516
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1517
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1518
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1519
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1520
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1521
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1522
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.55%",
1523
+ "options": [
1524
+ "A) 8.00%",
1525
+ "B) 4.73%",
1526
+ "C) 1.46%",
1527
+ "D) 2.55%"
1528
+ ],
1529
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1530
+ "answer_raw": "4.73%",
1531
+ "unit": "%",
1532
+ "condition": "forecast",
1533
+ "year": 2006
1534
+ },
1535
+ {
1536
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
1537
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1538
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1539
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1540
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1541
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1542
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1543
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 3.34%",
1544
+ "options": [
1545
+ "A) 3.91%",
1546
+ "B) 4.78%",
1547
+ "C) 4.20%",
1548
+ "D) 3.34%"
1549
+ ],
1550
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1551
+ "answer_raw": "4.20%",
1552
+ "unit": "%",
1553
+ "condition": "forecast",
1554
+ "year": 2006
1555
+ },
1556
+ {
1557
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060301",
1558
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1559
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1560
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1561
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1562
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1563
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1564
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.63pp\nB) -0.03pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.30pp",
1565
+ "options": [
1566
+ "A) +0.63pp",
1567
+ "B) -0.03pp",
1568
+ "C) +0.52pp",
1569
+ "D) +0.30pp"
1570
+ ],
1571
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1572
+ "answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
1573
+ "unit": "pp",
1574
+ "condition": "forecast",
1575
+ "year": 2006
1576
+ },
1577
+ {
1578
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060901",
1579
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1580
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1581
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1582
+ "transform": "level",
1583
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1584
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1585
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 66.25%\nC) 61.84%\nD) 64.99%",
1586
+ "options": [
1587
+ "A) 63.10%",
1588
+ "B) 66.25%",
1589
+ "C) 61.84%",
1590
+ "D) 64.99%"
1591
+ ],
1592
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1593
+ "answer_raw": "63.10%",
1594
+ "unit": "%",
1595
+ "condition": "forecast",
1596
+ "year": 2006
1597
+ },
1598
+ {
1599
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20060615",
1600
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1601
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1602
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
1603
+ "transform": "level",
1604
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1605
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1606
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1154\nB) 1.2616\nC) 1.4809\nD) 1.1885",
1607
+ "options": [
1608
+ "A) 1.1154",
1609
+ "B) 1.2616",
1610
+ "C) 1.4809",
1611
+ "D) 1.1885"
1612
+ ],
1613
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1614
+ "answer_raw": "1.2616",
1615
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1616
+ "condition": "forecast",
1617
+ "year": 2006
1618
+ },
1619
+ {
1620
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060901",
1621
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1622
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1623
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1624
+ "transform": "level",
1625
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1626
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1627
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,405M\nB) $72,133M\nC) $66,981M\nD) $69,557M",
1628
+ "options": [
1629
+ "A) $64,405M",
1630
+ "B) $72,133M",
1631
+ "C) $66,981M",
1632
+ "D) $69,557M"
1633
+ ],
1634
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1635
+ "answer_raw": "$66,981M",
1636
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1637
+ "condition": "forecast",
1638
+ "year": 2006
1639
+ },
1640
+ {
1641
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060301",
1642
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1643
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1644
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1645
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1646
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1647
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1648
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.83pp\nB) +3.29pp\nC) -2.89pp\nD) +0.20pp",
1649
+ "options": [
1650
+ "A) +4.83pp",
1651
+ "B) +3.29pp",
1652
+ "C) -2.89pp",
1653
+ "D) +0.20pp"
1654
+ ],
1655
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1656
+ "answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
1657
+ "unit": "pp",
1658
+ "condition": "forecast",
1659
+ "year": 2006
1660
+ },
1661
+ {
1662
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20060615",
1663
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1664
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1665
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
1666
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1667
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1668
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1669
+ "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.80%\nB) 55.49%\nC) 12.46%\nD) -16.22%",
1670
+ "options": [
1671
+ "A) 26.80%",
1672
+ "B) 55.49%",
1673
+ "C) 12.46%",
1674
+ "D) -16.22%"
1675
+ ],
1676
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1677
+ "answer_raw": "26.80%",
1678
+ "unit": "%",
1679
+ "condition": "forecast",
1680
+ "year": 2006
1681
+ },
1682
+ {
1683
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060301",
1684
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1685
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1686
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1687
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1688
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1689
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1690
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 2.81%",
1691
+ "options": [
1692
+ "A) 2.57%",
1693
+ "B) 2.10%",
1694
+ "C) 1.86%",
1695
+ "D) 2.81%"
1696
+ ],
1697
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1698
+ "answer_raw": "2.10%",
1699
+ "unit": "%",
1700
+ "condition": "forecast",
1701
+ "year": 2006
1702
+ },
1703
+ {
1704
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20060615",
1705
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1706
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1707
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
1708
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1709
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1710
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1711
+ "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 45.79%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 17.80%\nD) 31.80%",
1712
+ "options": [
1713
+ "A) 45.79%",
1714
+ "B) 3.81%",
1715
+ "C) 17.80%",
1716
+ "D) 31.80%"
1717
+ ],
1718
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1719
+ "answer_raw": "17.80%",
1720
+ "unit": "%",
1721
+ "condition": "forecast",
1722
+ "year": 2006
1723
+ },
1724
+ {
1725
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060901",
1726
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1727
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1728
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
1729
+ "transform": "level",
1730
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1731
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1732
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 0.30%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.40%",
1733
+ "options": [
1734
+ "A) 3.80%",
1735
+ "B) 0.30%",
1736
+ "C) 1.70%",
1737
+ "D) 2.40%"
1738
+ ],
1739
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1740
+ "answer_raw": "2.40%",
1741
+ "unit": "%",
1742
+ "condition": "forecast",
1743
+ "year": 2006
1744
+ },
1745
+ {
1746
+ "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20060615",
1747
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1748
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1749
+ "indicator": "ICSA",
1750
+ "transform": "level",
1751
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1752
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
1753
+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 308,000\nB) 261,631\nC) 284,816\nD) 377,553",
1754
+ "options": [
1755
+ "A) 308,000",
1756
+ "B) 261,631",
1757
+ "C) 284,816",
1758
+ "D) 377,553"
1759
+ ],
1760
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1761
+ "answer_raw": "308,000",
1762
+ "unit": "count",
1763
+ "condition": "forecast",
1764
+ "year": 2006
1765
+ },
1766
+ {
1767
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20060615",
1768
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1769
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1770
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
1771
+ "transform": "level",
1772
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1773
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
1774
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 6.39%",
1775
+ "options": [
1776
+ "A) 6.14%",
1777
+ "B) 6.63%",
1778
+ "C) 7.12%",
1779
+ "D) 6.39%"
1780
+ ],
1781
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1782
+ "answer_raw": "6.63%",
1783
+ "unit": "%",
1784
+ "condition": "forecast",
1785
+ "year": 2006
1786
+ },
1787
+ {
1788
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060901",
1789
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1790
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1791
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1792
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1793
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1794
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1795
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 2.34%",
1796
+ "options": [
1797
+ "A) 0.96%",
1798
+ "B) 5.08%",
1799
+ "C) 3.71%",
1800
+ "D) 2.34%"
1801
+ ],
1802
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1803
+ "answer_raw": "3.71%",
1804
+ "unit": "%",
1805
+ "condition": "forecast",
1806
+ "year": 2006
1807
+ },
1808
+ {
1809
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060301",
1810
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1811
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1812
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1813
+ "transform": "level",
1814
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1815
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1816
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,283B\nB) $7,012B\nC) $7,498B\nD) $6,769B",
1817
+ "options": [
1818
+ "A) $6,283B",
1819
+ "B) $7,012B",
1820
+ "C) $7,498B",
1821
+ "D) $6,769B"
1822
+ ],
1823
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1824
+ "answer_raw": "$6,769B",
1825
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1826
+ "condition": "forecast",
1827
+ "year": 2006
1828
+ },
1829
+ {
1830
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060301",
1831
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1832
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1833
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1834
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1835
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1836
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1837
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -1.58pp\nC) -0.86pp\nD) -0.14pp",
1838
+ "options": [
1839
+ "A) -0.50pp",
1840
+ "B) -1.58pp",
1841
+ "C) -0.86pp",
1842
+ "D) -0.14pp"
1843
+ ],
1844
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1845
+ "answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
1846
+ "unit": "pp",
1847
+ "condition": "forecast",
1848
+ "year": 2006
1849
+ },
1850
+ {
1851
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060901",
1852
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1853
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1854
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1855
+ "transform": "level",
1856
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1857
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1858
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.21\nB) 165.40\nC) 152.86\nD) 159.13",
1859
+ "options": [
1860
+ "A) 184.21",
1861
+ "B) 165.40",
1862
+ "C) 152.86",
1863
+ "D) 159.13"
1864
+ ],
1865
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1866
+ "answer_raw": "165.40",
1867
+ "unit": "index",
1868
+ "condition": "forecast",
1869
+ "year": 2006
1870
+ },
1871
+ {
1872
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060901",
1873
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1874
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1875
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1876
+ "transform": "level",
1877
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1878
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1879
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.42\nB) 79.44\nC) 85.40\nD) 94.34",
1880
+ "options": [
1881
+ "A) 82.42",
1882
+ "B) 79.44",
1883
+ "C) 85.40",
1884
+ "D) 94.34"
1885
+ ],
1886
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1887
+ "answer_raw": "85.40",
1888
+ "unit": "index",
1889
+ "condition": "forecast",
1890
+ "year": 2006
1891
+ },
1892
+ {
1893
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060301",
1894
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1895
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1896
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1897
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1898
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1899
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1900
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.90pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) -14.10pp\nD) -3.70pp",
1901
+ "options": [
1902
+ "A) -8.90pp",
1903
+ "B) +1.50pp",
1904
+ "C) -14.10pp",
1905
+ "D) -3.70pp"
1906
+ ],
1907
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1908
+ "answer_raw": "-3.70pp",
1909
+ "unit": "pp",
1910
+ "condition": "forecast",
1911
+ "year": 2006
1912
+ },
1913
+ {
1914
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060901",
1915
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1916
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1917
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1918
+ "transform": "level",
1919
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
1920
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
1921
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.96%",
1922
+ "options": [
1923
+ "A) 4.50%",
1924
+ "B) 5.19%",
1925
+ "C) 4.27%",
1926
+ "D) 4.96%"
1927
+ ],
1928
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1929
+ "answer_raw": "4.50%",
1930
+ "unit": "%",
1931
+ "condition": "forecast",
1932
+ "year": 2006
1933
+ },
1934
+ {
1935
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060301",
1936
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1937
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1938
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1939
+ "transform": "level",
1940
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1941
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1942
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 66.20%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 62.23%",
1943
+ "options": [
1944
+ "A) 64.21%",
1945
+ "B) 66.20%",
1946
+ "C) 68.19%",
1947
+ "D) 62.23%"
1948
+ ],
1949
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1950
+ "answer_raw": "66.20%",
1951
+ "unit": "%",
1952
+ "condition": "forecast",
1953
+ "year": 2006
1954
+ },
1955
+ {
1956
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20060615",
1957
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1958
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1959
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
1960
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1961
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
1962
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
1963
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.02%\nB) -39.73%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 32.05%",
1964
+ "options": [
1965
+ "A) -11.02%",
1966
+ "B) -39.73%",
1967
+ "C) 3.34%",
1968
+ "D) 32.05%"
1969
+ ],
1970
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1971
+ "answer_raw": "3.34%",
1972
+ "unit": "%",
1973
+ "condition": "forecast",
1974
+ "year": 2006
1975
+ },
1976
+ {
1977
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060301",
1978
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1979
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1980
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1981
+ "transform": "level",
1982
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
1983
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
1984
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 182.49\nB) 189.37\nC) 210.03\nD) 199.70",
1985
+ "options": [
1986
+ "A) 182.49",
1987
+ "B) 189.37",
1988
+ "C) 210.03",
1989
+ "D) 199.70"
1990
+ ],
1991
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1992
+ "answer_raw": "199.70",
1993
+ "unit": "index",
1994
+ "condition": "forecast",
1995
+ "year": 2006
1996
+ },
1997
+ {
1998
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060301",
1999
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2000
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2001
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
2002
+ "transform": "level",
2003
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2004
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2005
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 5.32%",
2006
+ "options": [
2007
+ "A) 3.30%",
2008
+ "B) 2.63%",
2009
+ "C) 1.28%",
2010
+ "D) 5.32%"
2011
+ ],
2012
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2013
+ "answer_raw": "3.30%",
2014
+ "unit": "%",
2015
+ "condition": "forecast",
2016
+ "year": 2006
2017
+ },
2018
+ {
2019
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060901",
2020
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2021
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2022
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2023
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2024
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2025
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2026
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 5.05%",
2027
+ "options": [
2028
+ "A) 1.76%",
2029
+ "B) 2.86%",
2030
+ "C) 3.95%",
2031
+ "D) 5.05%"
2032
+ ],
2033
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2034
+ "answer_raw": "2.86%",
2035
+ "unit": "%",
2036
+ "condition": "forecast",
2037
+ "year": 2006
2038
+ },
2039
+ {
2040
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20060615",
2041
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2042
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2043
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
2044
+ "transform": "level",
2045
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
2046
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
2047
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 5.78%",
2048
+ "options": [
2049
+ "A) 5.55%",
2050
+ "B) 4.65%",
2051
+ "C) 5.10%",
2052
+ "D) 5.78%"
2053
+ ],
2054
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2055
+ "answer_raw": "5.10%",
2056
+ "unit": "%",
2057
+ "condition": "forecast",
2058
+ "year": 2006
2059
+ },
2060
+ {
2061
+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20060615",
2062
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2063
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2064
+ "indicator": "DGS5",
2065
+ "transform": "level",
2066
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
2067
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
2068
+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 5.42%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 5.08%",
2069
+ "options": [
2070
+ "A) 5.76%",
2071
+ "B) 5.42%",
2072
+ "C) 4.06%",
2073
+ "D) 5.08%"
2074
+ ],
2075
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2076
+ "answer_raw": "5.08%",
2077
+ "unit": "%",
2078
+ "condition": "forecast",
2079
+ "year": 2006
2080
+ },
2081
+ {
2082
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060901",
2083
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2084
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2085
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2086
+ "transform": "level",
2087
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2088
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2089
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,701M\nB) $225,630M\nC) $207,487M\nD) $252,844M",
2090
+ "options": [
2091
+ "A) $234,701M",
2092
+ "B) $225,630M",
2093
+ "C) $207,487M",
2094
+ "D) $252,844M"
2095
+ ],
2096
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2097
+ "answer_raw": "$234,701M",
2098
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2099
+ "condition": "forecast",
2100
+ "year": 2006
2101
+ },
2102
+ {
2103
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060901",
2104
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2105
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2106
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2107
+ "transform": "level",
2108
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2109
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2110
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $810M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
2111
+ "options": [
2112
+ "A) $2,400,000M",
2113
+ "B) $810M",
2114
+ "C) $6,200,000M",
2115
+ "D) $4,300,000M"
2116
+ ],
2117
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2118
+ "answer_raw": "$810M",
2119
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2120
+ "condition": "forecast",
2121
+ "year": 2006
2122
+ },
2123
+ {
2124
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060901",
2125
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2126
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2127
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
2128
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2129
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2130
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2131
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.23pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.35pp",
2132
+ "options": [
2133
+ "A) -0.23pp",
2134
+ "B) +0.23pp",
2135
+ "C) +0.00pp",
2136
+ "D) +0.35pp"
2137
+ ],
2138
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2139
+ "answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
2140
+ "unit": "pp",
2141
+ "condition": "forecast",
2142
+ "year": 2006
2143
+ },
2144
+ {
2145
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060901",
2146
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2147
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2148
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
2149
+ "transform": "level",
2150
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2151
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2152
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $17.78/hr\nB) $15.66/hr\nC) $16.27/hr\nD) $16.87/hr",
2153
+ "options": [
2154
+ "A) $17.78/hr",
2155
+ "B) $15.66/hr",
2156
+ "C) $16.27/hr",
2157
+ "D) $16.87/hr"
2158
+ ],
2159
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2160
+ "answer_raw": "$16.87/hr",
2161
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
2162
+ "condition": "forecast",
2163
+ "year": 2006
2164
+ },
2165
+ {
2166
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060901",
2167
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2168
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2169
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
2170
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2171
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2172
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2173
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 2.30%",
2174
+ "options": [
2175
+ "A) 1.69%",
2176
+ "B) 1.08%",
2177
+ "C) 2.91%",
2178
+ "D) 2.30%"
2179
+ ],
2180
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2181
+ "answer_raw": "1.69%",
2182
+ "unit": "%",
2183
+ "condition": "forecast",
2184
+ "year": 2006
2185
+ },
2186
+ {
2187
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060301",
2188
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2189
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2190
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2191
+ "transform": "level",
2192
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2193
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2194
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.84%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 59.95%\nD) 64.99%",
2195
+ "options": [
2196
+ "A) 61.84%",
2197
+ "B) 63.10%",
2198
+ "C) 59.95%",
2199
+ "D) 64.99%"
2200
+ ],
2201
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2202
+ "answer_raw": "63.10%",
2203
+ "unit": "%",
2204
+ "condition": "forecast",
2205
+ "year": 2006
2206
+ },
2207
+ {
2208
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060901",
2209
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2210
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2211
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
2212
+ "transform": "level",
2213
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2214
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2215
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,931K\nB) 129,985K\nC) 136,826K\nD) 132,721K",
2216
+ "options": [
2217
+ "A) 140,931K",
2218
+ "B) 129,985K",
2219
+ "C) 136,826K",
2220
+ "D) 132,721K"
2221
+ ],
2222
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2223
+ "answer_raw": "136,826K",
2224
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
2225
+ "condition": "forecast",
2226
+ "year": 2006
2227
+ },
2228
+ {
2229
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060901",
2230
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2231
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2232
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
2233
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2234
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2235
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2236
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.61%",
2237
+ "options": [
2238
+ "A) 2.44%",
2239
+ "B) 2.11%",
2240
+ "C) 2.94%",
2241
+ "D) 2.61%"
2242
+ ],
2243
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2244
+ "answer_raw": "2.61%",
2245
+ "unit": "%",
2246
+ "condition": "forecast",
2247
+ "year": 2006
2248
+ },
2249
+ {
2250
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060901",
2251
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2252
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2253
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
2254
+ "transform": "level",
2255
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2256
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2257
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,720K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 1,999K\nD) 1,627K",
2258
+ "options": [
2259
+ "A) 1,720K",
2260
+ "B) 1,906K",
2261
+ "C) 1,999K",
2262
+ "D) 1,627K"
2263
+ ],
2264
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2265
+ "answer_raw": "1,720K",
2266
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
2267
+ "condition": "forecast",
2268
+ "year": 2006
2269
+ },
2270
+ {
2271
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060901",
2272
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2273
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2274
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
2275
+ "transform": "level",
2276
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2277
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2278
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $326,000M\nB) $351,240M\nC) $389,100M\nD) $376,480M",
2279
+ "options": [
2280
+ "A) $326,000M",
2281
+ "B) $351,240M",
2282
+ "C) $389,100M",
2283
+ "D) $376,480M"
2284
+ ],
2285
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2286
+ "answer_raw": "$351,240M",
2287
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2288
+ "condition": "forecast",
2289
+ "year": 2006
2290
+ },
2291
+ {
2292
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060901",
2293
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2294
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2295
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2296
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2297
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2298
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2299
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +22.45pp\nB) +3.85pp\nC) +8.50pp\nD) -0.80pp",
2300
+ "options": [
2301
+ "A) +22.45pp",
2302
+ "B) +3.85pp",
2303
+ "C) +8.50pp",
2304
+ "D) -0.80pp"
2305
+ ],
2306
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2307
+ "answer_raw": "+8.50pp",
2308
+ "unit": "pp",
2309
+ "condition": "forecast",
2310
+ "year": 2006
2311
+ },
2312
+ {
2313
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060301",
2314
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2315
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2316
+ "indicator": "TCU",
2317
+ "transform": "level",
2318
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2319
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2320
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.01%\nB) 77.45%\nC) 82.80%\nD) 80.66%",
2321
+ "options": [
2322
+ "A) 86.01%",
2323
+ "B) 77.45%",
2324
+ "C) 82.80%",
2325
+ "D) 80.66%"
2326
+ ],
2327
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2328
+ "answer_raw": "80.66%",
2329
+ "unit": "%",
2330
+ "condition": "forecast",
2331
+ "year": 2006
2332
+ },
2333
+ {
2334
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060901",
2335
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2336
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2337
+ "indicator": "PCE",
2338
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2339
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2340
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2341
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.41%",
2342
+ "options": [
2343
+ "A) 5.34%",
2344
+ "B) 7.26%",
2345
+ "C) 4.70%",
2346
+ "D) 3.41%"
2347
+ ],
2348
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2349
+ "answer_raw": "5.34%",
2350
+ "unit": "%",
2351
+ "condition": "forecast",
2352
+ "year": 2006
2353
+ },
2354
+ {
2355
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060301",
2356
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2357
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2358
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2359
+ "transform": "level",
2360
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2361
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2362
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $219,918M\nB) $227,188M\nC) $212,647M\nD) $248,999M",
2363
+ "options": [
2364
+ "A) $219,918M",
2365
+ "B) $227,188M",
2366
+ "C) $212,647M",
2367
+ "D) $248,999M"
2368
+ ],
2369
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2370
+ "answer_raw": "$227,188M",
2371
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2372
+ "condition": "forecast",
2373
+ "year": 2006
2374
+ },
2375
+ {
2376
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060901",
2377
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2378
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2379
+ "indicator": "TCU",
2380
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2381
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2382
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2383
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.41pp\nB) -2.18pp\nC) +1.62pp\nD) -0.91pp",
2384
+ "options": [
2385
+ "A) +5.41pp",
2386
+ "B) -2.18pp",
2387
+ "C) +1.62pp",
2388
+ "D) -0.91pp"
2389
+ ],
2390
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2391
+ "answer_raw": "+1.62pp",
2392
+ "unit": "pp",
2393
+ "condition": "forecast",
2394
+ "year": 2006
2395
+ },
2396
+ {
2397
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060301",
2398
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2399
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2400
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
2401
+ "transform": "level",
2402
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2403
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2404
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,323K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 2,221K\nD) 2,118K",
2405
+ "options": [
2406
+ "A) 2,323K",
2407
+ "B) 1,913K",
2408
+ "C) 2,221K",
2409
+ "D) 2,118K"
2410
+ ],
2411
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2412
+ "answer_raw": "2,118K",
2413
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
2414
+ "condition": "forecast",
2415
+ "year": 2006
2416
+ },
2417
+ {
2418
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060301",
2419
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2420
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2421
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
2422
+ "transform": "level",
2423
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2424
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2425
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,838B\nB) $10,439B\nC) $8,935B\nD) $9,537B",
2426
+ "options": [
2427
+ "A) $9,838B",
2428
+ "B) $10,439B",
2429
+ "C) $8,935B",
2430
+ "D) $9,537B"
2431
+ ],
2432
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2433
+ "answer_raw": "$9,838B",
2434
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
2435
+ "condition": "forecast",
2436
+ "year": 2006
2437
+ },
2438
+ {
2439
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060901",
2440
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2441
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2442
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2443
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2444
+ "target_period": "September 2006",
2445
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
2446
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.01pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -0.62pp\nD) +0.61pp",
2447
+ "options": [
2448
+ "A) -0.01pp",
2449
+ "B) +0.30pp",
2450
+ "C) -0.62pp",
2451
+ "D) +0.61pp"
2452
+ ],
2453
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2454
+ "answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
2455
+ "unit": "pp",
2456
+ "condition": "forecast",
2457
+ "year": 2006
2458
+ },
2459
+ {
2460
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2461
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2462
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2463
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
2464
+ "transform": "level",
2465
+ "target_period": "March 2006",
2466
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
2467
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.66\nB) 171.78\nC) 182.75\nD) 160.81",
2468
+ "options": [
2469
+ "A) 215.66",
2470
+ "B) 171.78",
2471
+ "C) 182.75",
2472
+ "D) 160.81"
2473
+ ],
2474
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2475
+ "answer_raw": "182.75",
2476
+ "unit": "index",
2477
+ "condition": "forecast",
2478
+ "year": 2006
2479
+ },
2480
+ {
2481
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20060615",
2482
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2483
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2484
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
2485
+ "transform": "level",
2486
+ "target_period": "2006-06-15",
2487
+ "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
2488
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 111.2092\nB) 103.5077\nC) 126.6123\nD) 115.0600",
2489
+ "options": [
2490
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2491
+ "B) 103.5077",
2492
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2493
+ "D) 115.0600"
2494
+ ],
2495
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2496
+ "answer_raw": "115.0600",
2497
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
2498
+ "condition": "forecast",
2499
+ "year": 2006
2500
+ }
2501
+ ]
mcq_2007.json ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
mcq_2008.json ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
mcq_2009.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,2543 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ [
2
+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090301",
4
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
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+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
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+ "target_period": "March 2009",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
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+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.60pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.20pp\nD) +4.41pp",
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+ "unit": "pp",
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+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090901",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
28
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
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+ "target_period": "September 2009",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.08%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.27%",
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+ "options": [
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+ "A) -0.08%",
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+ "C) 1.00%",
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+ "D) 1.27%"
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+ ],
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+ "answer_raw": "0.73%",
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+ "unit": "%",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2009
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
49
+ "transform": "level",
50
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
52
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 145.11\nB) 175.76\nC) 168.10\nD) 191.09",
53
+ "options": [
54
+ "A) 145.11",
55
+ "B) 175.76",
56
+ "C) 168.10",
57
+ "D) 191.09"
58
+ ],
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+ "answer_letter": "C",
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+ "answer_raw": "168.10",
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+ "unit": "index",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2009
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
70
+ "transform": "level",
71
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
72
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
73
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $-29,711M\nB) $-18,640M\nC) $-51,854M\nD) $-35,247M",
74
+ "options": [
75
+ "A) $-29,711M",
76
+ "B) $-18,640M",
77
+ "C) $-51,854M",
78
+ "D) $-35,247M"
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+ ],
80
+ "answer_letter": "D",
81
+ "answer_raw": "$-35,247M",
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+ "unit": "usd_million",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
84
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
86
+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
91
+ "transform": "level",
92
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
93
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
94
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 61.70%\nC) 56.91%\nD) 58.10%",
95
+ "options": [
96
+ "A) 59.90%",
97
+ "B) 61.70%",
98
+ "C) 56.91%",
99
+ "D) 58.10%"
100
+ ],
101
+ "answer_letter": "A",
102
+ "answer_raw": "59.90%",
103
+ "unit": "%",
104
+ "condition": "forecast",
105
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
107
+ {
108
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
111
+ "indicator": "TCU",
112
+ "transform": "level",
113
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
114
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
115
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.63%\nB) 68.09%\nC) 62.33%\nD) 71.55%",
116
+ "options": [
117
+ "A) 64.63%",
118
+ "B) 68.09%",
119
+ "C) 62.33%",
120
+ "D) 71.55%"
121
+ ],
122
+ "answer_letter": "B",
123
+ "answer_raw": "68.09%",
124
+ "unit": "%",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
133
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
134
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
136
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.63%\nB) -22.30%\nC) -25.96%\nD) -14.96%",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) -29.63%",
139
+ "B) -22.30%",
140
+ "C) -25.96%",
141
+ "D) -14.96%"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "C",
144
+ "answer_raw": "-25.96%",
145
+ "unit": "%",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
147
+ "year": 2009
148
+ },
149
+ {
150
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090901",
151
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
152
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
153
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
157
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.95\nB) 94.78\nC) 82.49\nD) 87.41",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) 84.95",
160
+ "B) 94.78",
161
+ "C) 82.49",
162
+ "D) 87.41"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "D",
165
+ "answer_raw": "87.41",
166
+ "unit": "index",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090301",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
173
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
174
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
175
+ "transform": "level",
176
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
178
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $1,647M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) $1,647M",
181
+ "B) $2,400,000M",
182
+ "C) $4,300,000M",
183
+ "D) $6,200,000M"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "A",
186
+ "answer_raw": "$1,647M",
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+ "unit": "usd_million",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090301",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
199
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.82/hr\nB) $18.49/hr\nC) $17.16/hr\nD) $18.93/hr",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) $19.82/hr",
202
+ "B) $18.49/hr",
203
+ "C) $17.16/hr",
204
+ "D) $18.93/hr"
205
+ ],
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+ "answer_letter": "B",
207
+ "answer_raw": "$18.49/hr",
208
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 2009
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+ },
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+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
217
+ "transform": "level",
218
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
220
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.80\nB) 86.34\nC) 89.32\nD) 96.79",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 93.80",
223
+ "B) 86.34",
224
+ "C) 89.32",
225
+ "D) 96.79"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "C",
228
+ "answer_raw": "89.32",
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+ "unit": "index",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2009
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+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
238
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
239
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
241
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +20.15pp\nB) -8.10pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) +3.20pp",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) +20.15pp",
244
+ "B) -8.10pp",
245
+ "C) -2.45pp",
246
+ "D) +3.20pp"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "D",
249
+ "answer_raw": "+3.20pp",
250
+ "unit": "pp",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2009
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090301",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
259
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
260
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
262
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -10.54%\nB) -4.00%\nC) -12.72%\nD) -8.36%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) -10.54%",
265
+ "B) -4.00%",
266
+ "C) -12.72%",
267
+ "D) -8.36%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "A",
270
+ "answer_raw": "-10.54%",
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+ "unit": "%",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2009
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
280
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
281
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.04%",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 3.33%",
286
+ "B) 2.75%",
287
+ "C) 3.63%",
288
+ "D) 3.04%"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "B",
291
+ "answer_raw": "2.75%",
292
+ "unit": "%",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2009
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20090615",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
301
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
302
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
304
+ "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) -30.21%\nC) -49.00%\nD) -11.41%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 7.38%",
307
+ "B) -30.21%",
308
+ "C) -49.00%",
309
+ "D) -11.41%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "C",
312
+ "answer_raw": "-49.00%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2009
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090901",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
322
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
323
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
325
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -2.25%\nC) 0.38%\nD) -1.38%",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) 1.25%",
328
+ "B) -2.25%",
329
+ "C) 0.38%",
330
+ "D) -1.38%"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "D",
333
+ "answer_raw": "-1.38%",
334
+ "unit": "%",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2009
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090901",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
343
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
344
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
346
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.66%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -57.59%\nD) -47.95%",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) -28.66%",
349
+ "B) 0.28%",
350
+ "C) -57.59%",
351
+ "D) -47.95%"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "A",
354
+ "answer_raw": "-28.66%",
355
+ "unit": "%",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2009
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20090615",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
364
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
365
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
367
+ "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) -47.69%\nC) -87.26%\nD) -27.90%",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) 11.68%",
370
+ "B) -47.69%",
371
+ "C) -87.26%",
372
+ "D) -27.90%"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "B",
375
+ "answer_raw": "-47.69%",
376
+ "unit": "%",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2009
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
385
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
386
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.65%\nB) 134.23%\nC) 98.00%\nD) 79.88%",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 43.65%",
391
+ "B) 134.23%",
392
+ "C) 98.00%",
393
+ "D) 79.88%"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "C",
396
+ "answer_raw": "98.00%",
397
+ "unit": "%",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2009
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20090615",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
406
+ "transform": "level",
407
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
409
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $56.97/bbl\nB) $91.53/bbl\nC) $103.06/bbl\nD) $68.49/bbl",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) $56.97/bbl",
412
+ "B) $91.53/bbl",
413
+ "C) $103.06/bbl",
414
+ "D) $68.49/bbl"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "D",
417
+ "answer_raw": "$68.49/bbl",
418
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2009
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090901",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
427
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
428
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
430
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.28pp\nC) -1.58pp\nD) -2.66pp",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) -3.20pp",
433
+ "B) -4.28pp",
434
+ "C) -1.58pp",
435
+ "D) -2.66pp"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "A",
438
+ "answer_raw": "-3.20pp",
439
+ "unit": "pp",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2009
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090901",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
448
+ "transform": "level",
449
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $1,801M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) $2,400,000M",
454
+ "B) $1,801M",
455
+ "C) $6,200,000M",
456
+ "D) $4,300,000M"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "B",
459
+ "answer_raw": "$1,801M",
460
+ "unit": "usd_million",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2009
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20090615",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
469
+ "transform": "level",
470
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
472
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.60%",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 1.93%",
475
+ "B) 3.26%",
476
+ "C) 1.26%",
477
+ "D) 2.60%"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "C",
480
+ "answer_raw": "1.26%",
481
+ "unit": "%",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2009
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090301",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
490
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
491
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
493
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -37.33%\nB) -56.56%\nC) -27.72%\nD) -46.95%",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) -37.33%",
496
+ "B) -56.56%",
497
+ "C) -27.72%",
498
+ "D) -46.95%"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "D",
501
+ "answer_raw": "-46.95%",
502
+ "unit": "%",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2009
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
511
+ "transform": "level",
512
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.70/hr\nB) $19.16/hr\nC) $17.78/hr\nD) $17.33/hr",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) $18.70/hr",
517
+ "B) $19.16/hr",
518
+ "C) $17.78/hr",
519
+ "D) $17.33/hr"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "A",
522
+ "answer_raw": "$18.70/hr",
523
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2009
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090301",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
532
+ "transform": "level",
533
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
535
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $293,217M\nB) $322,634M\nC) $303,022M\nD) $312,828M",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) $293,217M",
538
+ "B) $322,634M",
539
+ "C) $303,022M",
540
+ "D) $312,828M"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "B",
543
+ "answer_raw": "$322,634M",
544
+ "unit": "usd_million",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2009
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090301",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
553
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
554
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -4.17%\nD) -5.85%",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) -2.49%",
559
+ "B) -3.05%",
560
+ "C) -4.17%",
561
+ "D) -5.85%"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "C",
564
+ "answer_raw": "-4.17%",
565
+ "unit": "%",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2009
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090901",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
574
+ "transform": "level",
575
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 867K\nB) 1,150K\nC) 303K\nD) 585K",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) 867K",
580
+ "B) 1,150K",
581
+ "C) 303K",
582
+ "D) 585K"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "D",
585
+ "answer_raw": "585K",
586
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2009
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090301",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
595
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
596
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -14.66%\nB) -16.51%\nC) -18.37%\nD) -9.09%",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) -14.66%",
601
+ "B) -16.51%",
602
+ "C) -18.37%",
603
+ "D) -9.09%"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "A",
606
+ "answer_raw": "-14.66%",
607
+ "unit": "%",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2009
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090301",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
616
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
617
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
619
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 128.18%\nB) 97.76%\nC) 77.47%\nD) 107.90%",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) 128.18%",
622
+ "B) 97.76%",
623
+ "C) 77.47%",
624
+ "D) 107.90%"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "B",
627
+ "answer_raw": "97.76%",
628
+ "unit": "%",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2009
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090301",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "TCU",
637
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
638
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
640
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.01pp\nB) -9.57pp\nC) -12.45pp\nD) -13.89pp",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) -11.01pp",
643
+ "B) -9.57pp",
644
+ "C) -12.45pp",
645
+ "D) -13.89pp"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "C",
648
+ "answer_raw": "-12.45pp",
649
+ "unit": "pp",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2009
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
658
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
659
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
661
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 0.27%",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) 1.67%",
664
+ "B) -1.84%",
665
+ "C) 0.97%",
666
+ "D) 0.27%"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "D",
669
+ "answer_raw": "0.27%",
670
+ "unit": "%",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2009
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
679
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
680
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
682
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -3.84%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.96%",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) -0.36%",
685
+ "B) -3.84%",
686
+ "C) 3.12%",
687
+ "D) 1.96%"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "A",
690
+ "answer_raw": "-0.36%",
691
+ "unit": "%",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2009
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090301",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
700
+ "transform": "level",
701
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
703
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 771K\nB) 513K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 255K",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) 771K",
706
+ "B) 513K",
707
+ "C) 1,029K",
708
+ "D) 255K"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "B",
711
+ "answer_raw": "513K",
712
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2009
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090301",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
724
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 67.57%\nC) 65.60%\nD) 63.63%",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) 62.32%",
727
+ "B) 67.57%",
728
+ "C) 65.60%",
729
+ "D) 63.63%"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "C",
732
+ "answer_raw": "65.60%",
733
+ "unit": "%",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2009
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090301",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
742
+ "transform": "level",
743
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $-20,728M\nB) $-33,348M\nC) $-39,658M\nD) $-30,193M",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) $-20,728M",
748
+ "B) $-33,348M",
749
+ "C) $-39,658M",
750
+ "D) $-30,193M"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "D",
753
+ "answer_raw": "$-30,193M",
754
+ "unit": "usd_million",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2009
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090301",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
763
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
764
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.65%\nB) -5.27%\nC) -15.90%\nD) -13.77%",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) -11.65%",
769
+ "B) -5.27%",
770
+ "C) -15.90%",
771
+ "D) -13.77%"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "A",
774
+ "answer_raw": "-11.65%",
775
+ "unit": "%",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2009
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090901",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
784
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
785
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
787
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) -7.59%\nC) -22.48%\nD) -12.55%",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 7.31%",
790
+ "B) -7.59%",
791
+ "C) -22.48%",
792
+ "D) -12.55%"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "B",
795
+ "answer_raw": "-7.59%",
796
+ "unit": "%",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2009
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20090615",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
805
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
806
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
808
+ "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.27%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 11.10%\nD) 24.85%",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) 20.27%",
811
+ "B) 6.52%",
812
+ "C) 11.10%",
813
+ "D) 24.85%"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "C",
816
+ "answer_raw": "11.10%",
817
+ "unit": "%",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2009
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
826
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
827
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.47%",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) 4.23%",
832
+ "B) 4.61%",
833
+ "C) 2.33%",
834
+ "D) 3.47%"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "D",
837
+ "answer_raw": "3.47%",
838
+ "unit": "%",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2009
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090301",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
847
+ "transform": "level",
848
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
850
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 505K\nB) 263K\nC) 747K\nD) 1,231K",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) 505K",
853
+ "B) 263K",
854
+ "C) 747K",
855
+ "D) 1,231K"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "A",
858
+ "answer_raw": "505K",
859
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2009
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090301",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
868
+ "transform": "level",
869
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
871
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 4.55%",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 7.68%",
874
+ "B) 5.80%",
875
+ "C) 6.43%",
876
+ "D) 4.55%"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "B",
879
+ "answer_raw": "5.80%",
880
+ "unit": "%",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2009
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090901",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "TCU",
889
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
890
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.10pp\nB) -7.83pp\nC) -5.47pp\nD) -12.56pp",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) -3.10pp",
895
+ "B) -7.83pp",
896
+ "C) -5.47pp",
897
+ "D) -12.56pp"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "C",
900
+ "answer_raw": "-5.47pp",
901
+ "unit": "pp",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2009
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090301",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
910
+ "transform": "level",
911
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
913
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.19\nB) 207.80\nC) 221.88\nD) 212.50",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) 217.19",
916
+ "B) 207.80",
917
+ "C) 221.88",
918
+ "D) 212.50"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "D",
921
+ "answer_raw": "212.50",
922
+ "unit": "index",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2009
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20090615",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
931
+ "transform": "level",
932
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
934
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 5.84%",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) 5.38%",
937
+ "B) 4.69%",
938
+ "C) 5.61%",
939
+ "D) 5.84%"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "A",
942
+ "answer_raw": "5.38%",
943
+ "unit": "%",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2009
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090901",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
952
+ "transform": "level",
953
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
955
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $56,033M\nB) $53,034M\nC) $50,035M\nD) $62,032M",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) $56,033M",
958
+ "B) $53,034M",
959
+ "C) $50,035M",
960
+ "D) $62,032M"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "B",
963
+ "answer_raw": "$53,034M",
964
+ "unit": "usd_million",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2009
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20090615",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
973
+ "transform": "level",
974
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
976
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2181\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.3784\nD) 1.4853",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) 1.2181",
979
+ "B) 1.2715",
980
+ "C) 1.3784",
981
+ "D) 1.4853"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "C",
984
+ "answer_raw": "1.3784",
985
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2009
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090901",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
994
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
995
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
997
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -10.68%\nC) 1.84%\nD) -16.94%",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) -4.42%",
1000
+ "B) -10.68%",
1001
+ "C) 1.84%",
1002
+ "D) -16.94%"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "-16.94%",
1006
+ "unit": "%",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2009
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20090615",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
1015
+ "transform": "level",
1016
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 1.85%",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) 0.17%",
1021
+ "B) 1.01%",
1022
+ "C) 2.69%",
1023
+ "D) 1.85%"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "0.17%",
1027
+ "unit": "%",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2009
1030
+ },
1031
+ {
1032
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090301",
1033
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1034
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1035
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1036
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1037
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1038
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1039
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.30%",
1040
+ "options": [
1041
+ "A) 2.28%",
1042
+ "B) 1.79%",
1043
+ "C) 1.95%",
1044
+ "D) 1.30%"
1045
+ ],
1046
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1047
+ "answer_raw": "1.79%",
1048
+ "unit": "%",
1049
+ "condition": "forecast",
1050
+ "year": 2009
1051
+ },
1052
+ {
1053
+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20090615",
1054
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1055
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1056
+ "indicator": "DEXCHUS",
1057
+ "transform": "level",
1058
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1059
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1060
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3752\nB) 6.2970\nC) 6.8361\nD) 6.5665",
1061
+ "options": [
1062
+ "A) 7.3752",
1063
+ "B) 6.2970",
1064
+ "C) 6.8361",
1065
+ "D) 6.5665"
1066
+ ],
1067
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1068
+ "answer_raw": "6.8361",
1069
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1070
+ "condition": "forecast",
1071
+ "year": 2009
1072
+ },
1073
+ {
1074
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20090615",
1075
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1076
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1077
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
1078
+ "transform": "level",
1079
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1080
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1081
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 43.38\nB) 11.95\nC) 37.10\nD) 30.81",
1082
+ "options": [
1083
+ "A) 43.38",
1084
+ "B) 11.95",
1085
+ "C) 37.10",
1086
+ "D) 30.81"
1087
+ ],
1088
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1089
+ "answer_raw": "30.81",
1090
+ "unit": "index",
1091
+ "condition": "forecast",
1092
+ "year": 2009
1093
+ },
1094
+ {
1095
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20090615",
1096
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1097
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1098
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
1099
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1100
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1101
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1102
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) -26.00%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -51.83%\nD) -34.61%",
1103
+ "options": [
1104
+ "A) -26.00%",
1105
+ "B) -17.39%",
1106
+ "C) -51.83%",
1107
+ "D) -34.61%"
1108
+ ],
1109
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1110
+ "answer_raw": "-26.00%",
1111
+ "unit": "%",
1112
+ "condition": "forecast",
1113
+ "year": 2009
1114
+ },
1115
+ {
1116
+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20090615",
1117
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1118
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1119
+ "indicator": "DGS30",
1120
+ "transform": "level",
1121
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1122
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1123
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.37%",
1124
+ "options": [
1125
+ "A) 4.85%",
1126
+ "B) 4.61%",
1127
+ "C) 5.34%",
1128
+ "D) 4.37%"
1129
+ ],
1130
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1131
+ "answer_raw": "4.61%",
1132
+ "unit": "%",
1133
+ "condition": "forecast",
1134
+ "year": 2009
1135
+ },
1136
+ {
1137
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090301",
1138
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1139
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1140
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1141
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1142
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1143
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1144
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.44pp\nB) -23.96pp\nC) -12.20pp\nD) -18.08pp",
1145
+ "options": [
1146
+ "A) -0.44pp",
1147
+ "B) -23.96pp",
1148
+ "C) -12.20pp",
1149
+ "D) -18.08pp"
1150
+ ],
1151
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1152
+ "answer_raw": "-12.20pp",
1153
+ "unit": "pp",
1154
+ "condition": "forecast",
1155
+ "year": 2009
1156
+ },
1157
+ {
1158
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090901",
1159
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1160
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1161
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1162
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1163
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1164
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1165
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.52%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 2.79%\nD) -1.86%",
1166
+ "options": [
1167
+ "A) -6.52%",
1168
+ "B) -3.42%",
1169
+ "C) 2.79%",
1170
+ "D) -1.86%"
1171
+ ],
1172
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1173
+ "answer_raw": "-1.86%",
1174
+ "unit": "%",
1175
+ "condition": "forecast",
1176
+ "year": 2009
1177
+ },
1178
+ {
1179
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20090615",
1180
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1181
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1182
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
1183
+ "transform": "level",
1184
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1185
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
1186
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 6,525,000\nB) 6,046,574\nC) 7,003,426\nD) 5,089,722",
1187
+ "options": [
1188
+ "A) 6,525,000",
1189
+ "B) 6,046,574",
1190
+ "C) 7,003,426",
1191
+ "D) 5,089,722"
1192
+ ],
1193
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1194
+ "answer_raw": "6,525,000",
1195
+ "unit": "count",
1196
+ "condition": "forecast",
1197
+ "year": 2009
1198
+ },
1199
+ {
1200
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090301",
1201
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1202
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1203
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1204
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1205
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1206
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1207
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.39%\nB) -12.74%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 1.22%",
1208
+ "options": [
1209
+ "A) -17.39%",
1210
+ "B) -12.74%",
1211
+ "C) -3.44%",
1212
+ "D) 1.22%"
1213
+ ],
1214
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1215
+ "answer_raw": "-12.74%",
1216
+ "unit": "%",
1217
+ "condition": "forecast",
1218
+ "year": 2009
1219
+ },
1220
+ {
1221
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20090615",
1222
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1223
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1224
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
1225
+ "transform": "level",
1226
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1227
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1228
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.13%",
1229
+ "options": [
1230
+ "A) 4.71%",
1231
+ "B) 4.08%",
1232
+ "C) 3.76%",
1233
+ "D) 3.13%"
1234
+ ],
1235
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1236
+ "answer_raw": "3.76%",
1237
+ "unit": "%",
1238
+ "condition": "forecast",
1239
+ "year": 2009
1240
+ },
1241
+ {
1242
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090901",
1243
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1244
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1245
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1246
+ "transform": "level",
1247
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1248
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1249
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,202B\nB) $9,654B\nC) $9,106B\nD) $9,928B",
1250
+ "options": [
1251
+ "A) $10,202B",
1252
+ "B) $9,654B",
1253
+ "C) $9,106B",
1254
+ "D) $9,928B"
1255
+ ],
1256
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1257
+ "answer_raw": "$9,928B",
1258
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1259
+ "condition": "forecast",
1260
+ "year": 2009
1261
+ },
1262
+ {
1263
+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20090615",
1264
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1265
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1266
+ "indicator": "DGS5",
1267
+ "transform": "level",
1268
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1269
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1270
+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 3.71%",
1271
+ "options": [
1272
+ "A) 2.75%",
1273
+ "B) 3.23%",
1274
+ "C) 2.27%",
1275
+ "D) 3.71%"
1276
+ ],
1277
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1278
+ "answer_raw": "2.75%",
1279
+ "unit": "%",
1280
+ "condition": "forecast",
1281
+ "year": 2009
1282
+ },
1283
+ {
1284
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090901",
1285
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1286
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1287
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1288
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1289
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1290
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1291
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -33.12%\nB) -23.59%\nC) -4.53%\nD) -52.18%",
1292
+ "options": [
1293
+ "A) -33.12%",
1294
+ "B) -23.59%",
1295
+ "C) -4.53%",
1296
+ "D) -52.18%"
1297
+ ],
1298
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1299
+ "answer_raw": "-23.59%",
1300
+ "unit": "%",
1301
+ "condition": "forecast",
1302
+ "year": 2009
1303
+ },
1304
+ {
1305
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090901",
1306
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1307
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1308
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1309
+ "transform": "level",
1310
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1311
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1312
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.81%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 60.46%",
1313
+ "options": [
1314
+ "A) 62.81%",
1315
+ "B) 56.94%",
1316
+ "C) 58.70%",
1317
+ "D) 60.46%"
1318
+ ],
1319
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1320
+ "answer_raw": "58.70%",
1321
+ "unit": "%",
1322
+ "condition": "forecast",
1323
+ "year": 2009
1324
+ },
1325
+ {
1326
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090301",
1327
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1328
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1329
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1330
+ "transform": "level",
1331
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1332
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1333
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.35%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 8.70%",
1334
+ "options": [
1335
+ "A) 7.66%",
1336
+ "B) 8.35%",
1337
+ "C) 9.39%",
1338
+ "D) 8.70%"
1339
+ ],
1340
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1341
+ "answer_raw": "8.70%",
1342
+ "unit": "%",
1343
+ "condition": "forecast",
1344
+ "year": 2009
1345
+ },
1346
+ {
1347
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090901",
1348
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1349
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1350
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
1351
+ "transform": "level",
1352
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1353
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1354
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,925B\nB) $11,588B\nC) $11,920B\nD) $10,261B",
1355
+ "options": [
1356
+ "A) $10,925B",
1357
+ "B) $11,588B",
1358
+ "C) $11,920B",
1359
+ "D) $10,261B"
1360
+ ],
1361
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1362
+ "answer_raw": "$10,925B",
1363
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1364
+ "condition": "forecast",
1365
+ "year": 2009
1366
+ },
1367
+ {
1368
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090301",
1369
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1370
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1371
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1372
+ "transform": "level",
1373
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1374
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1375
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,809B\nB) $8,386B\nC) $8,675B\nD) $7,520B",
1376
+ "options": [
1377
+ "A) $7,809B",
1378
+ "B) $8,386B",
1379
+ "C) $8,675B",
1380
+ "D) $7,520B"
1381
+ ],
1382
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1383
+ "answer_raw": "$8,386B",
1384
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1385
+ "condition": "forecast",
1386
+ "year": 2009
1387
+ },
1388
+ {
1389
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090901",
1390
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1391
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1392
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1393
+ "transform": "level",
1394
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1395
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1396
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 12.02%\nC) 9.80%\nD) 9.06%",
1397
+ "options": [
1398
+ "A) 11.28%",
1399
+ "B) 12.02%",
1400
+ "C) 9.80%",
1401
+ "D) 9.06%"
1402
+ ],
1403
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1404
+ "answer_raw": "9.80%",
1405
+ "unit": "%",
1406
+ "condition": "forecast",
1407
+ "year": 2009
1408
+ },
1409
+ {
1410
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090301",
1411
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1412
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1413
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
1414
+ "transform": "level",
1415
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1416
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1417
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,883B\nB) $9,705B\nC) $10,068B\nD) $10,794B",
1418
+ "options": [
1419
+ "A) $11,883B",
1420
+ "B) $9,705B",
1421
+ "C) $10,068B",
1422
+ "D) $10,794B"
1423
+ ],
1424
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1425
+ "answer_raw": "$10,794B",
1426
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1427
+ "condition": "forecast",
1428
+ "year": 2009
1429
+ },
1430
+ {
1431
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090901",
1432
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1433
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1434
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1435
+ "transform": "level",
1436
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1437
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1438
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 1.06%",
1439
+ "options": [
1440
+ "A) 0.15%",
1441
+ "B) 1.97%",
1442
+ "C) 2.88%",
1443
+ "D) 1.06%"
1444
+ ],
1445
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1446
+ "answer_raw": "0.15%",
1447
+ "unit": "%",
1448
+ "condition": "forecast",
1449
+ "year": 2009
1450
+ },
1451
+ {
1452
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20090615",
1453
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1454
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1455
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
1456
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1457
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1458
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
1459
+ "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 7.05%",
1460
+ "options": [
1461
+ "A) 5.99%",
1462
+ "B) 3.87%",
1463
+ "C) 0.70%",
1464
+ "D) 7.05%"
1465
+ ],
1466
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1467
+ "answer_raw": "3.87%",
1468
+ "unit": "%",
1469
+ "condition": "forecast",
1470
+ "year": 2009
1471
+ },
1472
+ {
1473
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090301",
1474
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1475
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1476
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1477
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1478
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1479
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1480
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 0.12%",
1481
+ "options": [
1482
+ "A) -1.58%",
1483
+ "B) 1.25%",
1484
+ "C) -0.45%",
1485
+ "D) 0.12%"
1486
+ ],
1487
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1488
+ "answer_raw": "-0.45%",
1489
+ "unit": "%",
1490
+ "condition": "forecast",
1491
+ "year": 2009
1492
+ },
1493
+ {
1494
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090901",
1495
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1496
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1497
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1498
+ "transform": "level",
1499
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1500
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1501
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,470B\nB) $9,123B\nC) $9,453B\nD) $8,462B",
1502
+ "options": [
1503
+ "A) $7,470B",
1504
+ "B) $9,123B",
1505
+ "C) $9,453B",
1506
+ "D) $8,462B"
1507
+ ],
1508
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1509
+ "answer_raw": "$8,462B",
1510
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1511
+ "condition": "forecast",
1512
+ "year": 2009
1513
+ },
1514
+ {
1515
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090901",
1516
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1517
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1518
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
1519
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1520
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1521
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1522
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.81%\nB) -3.72%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -16.06%",
1523
+ "options": [
1524
+ "A) -6.81%",
1525
+ "B) -3.72%",
1526
+ "C) 2.45%",
1527
+ "D) -16.06%"
1528
+ ],
1529
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1530
+ "answer_raw": "-6.81%",
1531
+ "unit": "%",
1532
+ "condition": "forecast",
1533
+ "year": 2009
1534
+ },
1535
+ {
1536
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090901",
1537
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1538
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1539
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1540
+ "transform": "level",
1541
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1542
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1543
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.35%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 63.15%",
1544
+ "options": [
1545
+ "A) 68.35%",
1546
+ "B) 65.10%",
1547
+ "C) 66.40%",
1548
+ "D) 63.15%"
1549
+ ],
1550
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1551
+ "answer_raw": "65.10%",
1552
+ "unit": "%",
1553
+ "condition": "forecast",
1554
+ "year": 2009
1555
+ },
1556
+ {
1557
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090301",
1558
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1559
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1560
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
1561
+ "transform": "level",
1562
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1563
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1564
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.67\nB) 79.96\nC) 86.65\nD) 83.31",
1565
+ "options": [
1566
+ "A) 91.67",
1567
+ "B) 79.96",
1568
+ "C) 86.65",
1569
+ "D) 83.31"
1570
+ ],
1571
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1572
+ "answer_raw": "86.65",
1573
+ "unit": "index",
1574
+ "condition": "forecast",
1575
+ "year": 2009
1576
+ },
1577
+ {
1578
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090901",
1579
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1580
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1581
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1582
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1583
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1584
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1585
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.48%",
1586
+ "options": [
1587
+ "A) 1.01%",
1588
+ "B) 1.32%",
1589
+ "C) 1.79%",
1590
+ "D) 1.48%"
1591
+ ],
1592
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1593
+ "answer_raw": "1.48%",
1594
+ "unit": "%",
1595
+ "condition": "forecast",
1596
+ "year": 2009
1597
+ },
1598
+ {
1599
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090301",
1600
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1601
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1602
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
1603
+ "transform": "level",
1604
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1605
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1606
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.67%",
1607
+ "options": [
1608
+ "A) 0.18%",
1609
+ "B) 1.84%",
1610
+ "C) 1.01%",
1611
+ "D) 2.67%"
1612
+ ],
1613
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1614
+ "answer_raw": "0.18%",
1615
+ "unit": "%",
1616
+ "condition": "forecast",
1617
+ "year": 2009
1618
+ },
1619
+ {
1620
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090901",
1621
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1622
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1623
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1624
+ "transform": "level",
1625
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1626
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1627
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.39\nB) 215.86\nC) 194.68\nD) 224.33",
1628
+ "options": [
1629
+ "A) 207.39",
1630
+ "B) 215.86",
1631
+ "C) 194.68",
1632
+ "D) 224.33"
1633
+ ],
1634
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1635
+ "answer_raw": "215.86",
1636
+ "unit": "index",
1637
+ "condition": "forecast",
1638
+ "year": 2009
1639
+ },
1640
+ {
1641
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090301",
1642
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1643
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1644
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1645
+ "transform": "level",
1646
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1647
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1648
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,104B\nB) $9,442B\nC) $9,773B\nD) $10,435B",
1649
+ "options": [
1650
+ "A) $10,104B",
1651
+ "B) $9,442B",
1652
+ "C) $9,773B",
1653
+ "D) $10,435B"
1654
+ ],
1655
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1656
+ "answer_raw": "$9,773B",
1657
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1658
+ "condition": "forecast",
1659
+ "year": 2009
1660
+ },
1661
+ {
1662
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20090615",
1663
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1664
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1665
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
1666
+ "transform": "level",
1667
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1668
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
1669
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.55/bbl\nB) $93.88/bbl\nC) $82.21/bbl\nD) $70.54/bbl",
1670
+ "options": [
1671
+ "A) $105.55/bbl",
1672
+ "B) $93.88/bbl",
1673
+ "C) $82.21/bbl",
1674
+ "D) $70.54/bbl"
1675
+ ],
1676
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1677
+ "answer_raw": "$70.54/bbl",
1678
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
1679
+ "condition": "forecast",
1680
+ "year": 2009
1681
+ },
1682
+ {
1683
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090901",
1684
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1685
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1686
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
1687
+ "transform": "level",
1688
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1689
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1690
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.10\nB) 154.22\nC) 180.73\nD) 193.98",
1691
+ "options": [
1692
+ "A) 174.10",
1693
+ "B) 154.22",
1694
+ "C) 180.73",
1695
+ "D) 193.98"
1696
+ ],
1697
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1698
+ "answer_raw": "174.10",
1699
+ "unit": "index",
1700
+ "condition": "forecast",
1701
+ "year": 2009
1702
+ },
1703
+ {
1704
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090901",
1705
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1706
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1707
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1708
+ "transform": "level",
1709
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1710
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1711
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $322,891M\nB) $330,998M\nC) $339,105M\nD) $347,213M",
1712
+ "options": [
1713
+ "A) $322,891M",
1714
+ "B) $330,998M",
1715
+ "C) $339,105M",
1716
+ "D) $347,213M"
1717
+ ],
1718
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1719
+ "answer_raw": "$330,998M",
1720
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1721
+ "condition": "forecast",
1722
+ "year": 2009
1723
+ },
1724
+ {
1725
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
1726
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1727
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1728
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1729
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1730
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1731
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1732
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.53%\nD) -0.92%",
1733
+ "options": [
1734
+ "A) 0.27%",
1735
+ "B) -1.72%",
1736
+ "C) -0.53%",
1737
+ "D) -0.92%"
1738
+ ],
1739
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1740
+ "answer_raw": "-0.53%",
1741
+ "unit": "%",
1742
+ "condition": "forecast",
1743
+ "year": 2009
1744
+ },
1745
+ {
1746
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090901",
1747
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1748
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1749
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1750
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1751
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1752
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1753
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.28pp\nB) +5.12pp\nC) +2.99pp\nD) +3.70pp",
1754
+ "options": [
1755
+ "A) +2.28pp",
1756
+ "B) +5.12pp",
1757
+ "C) +2.99pp",
1758
+ "D) +3.70pp"
1759
+ ],
1760
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1761
+ "answer_raw": "+3.70pp",
1762
+ "unit": "pp",
1763
+ "condition": "forecast",
1764
+ "year": 2009
1765
+ },
1766
+ {
1767
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090301",
1768
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1769
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1770
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1771
+ "transform": "level",
1772
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1773
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1774
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.51\nB) 133.89\nC) 152.83\nD) 140.20",
1775
+ "options": [
1776
+ "A) 146.51",
1777
+ "B) 133.89",
1778
+ "C) 152.83",
1779
+ "D) 140.20"
1780
+ ],
1781
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1782
+ "answer_raw": "146.51",
1783
+ "unit": "index",
1784
+ "condition": "forecast",
1785
+ "year": 2009
1786
+ },
1787
+ {
1788
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090301",
1789
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1790
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1791
+ "indicator": "PCE",
1792
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1793
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1794
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1795
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) -2.61%\nC) -5.39%\nD) 0.17%",
1796
+ "options": [
1797
+ "A) -3.54%",
1798
+ "B) -2.61%",
1799
+ "C) -5.39%",
1800
+ "D) 0.17%"
1801
+ ],
1802
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1803
+ "answer_raw": "-2.61%",
1804
+ "unit": "%",
1805
+ "condition": "forecast",
1806
+ "year": 2009
1807
+ },
1808
+ {
1809
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090301",
1810
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1811
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1812
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1813
+ "transform": "level",
1814
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1815
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1816
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.16\nB) 91.51\nC) 88.17\nD) 94.84",
1817
+ "options": [
1818
+ "A) 83.16",
1819
+ "B) 91.51",
1820
+ "C) 88.17",
1821
+ "D) 94.84"
1822
+ ],
1823
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1824
+ "answer_raw": "88.17",
1825
+ "unit": "index",
1826
+ "condition": "forecast",
1827
+ "year": 2009
1828
+ },
1829
+ {
1830
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20090615",
1831
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1832
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1833
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
1834
+ "transform": "level",
1835
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1836
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
1837
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,609B\nB) $10,457B\nC) $8,083B\nD) $9,033B",
1838
+ "options": [
1839
+ "A) $7,609B",
1840
+ "B) $10,457B",
1841
+ "C) $8,083B",
1842
+ "D) $9,033B"
1843
+ ],
1844
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1845
+ "answer_raw": "$9,033B",
1846
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1847
+ "condition": "forecast",
1848
+ "year": 2009
1849
+ },
1850
+ {
1851
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090301",
1852
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1853
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1854
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1855
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1856
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1857
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1858
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) -0.84pp",
1859
+ "options": [
1860
+ "A) -0.50pp",
1861
+ "B) -0.16pp",
1862
+ "C) -0.27pp",
1863
+ "D) -0.84pp"
1864
+ ],
1865
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1866
+ "answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
1867
+ "unit": "pp",
1868
+ "condition": "forecast",
1869
+ "year": 2009
1870
+ },
1871
+ {
1872
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090901",
1873
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1874
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1875
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
1876
+ "transform": "level",
1877
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1878
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1879
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.73%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 3.27%",
1880
+ "options": [
1881
+ "A) 7.73%",
1882
+ "B) 5.50%",
1883
+ "C) 6.24%",
1884
+ "D) 3.27%"
1885
+ ],
1886
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1887
+ "answer_raw": "5.50%",
1888
+ "unit": "%",
1889
+ "condition": "forecast",
1890
+ "year": 2009
1891
+ },
1892
+ {
1893
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090901",
1894
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1895
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1896
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1897
+ "transform": "level",
1898
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1899
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1900
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.77\nB) 213.07\nC) 219.92\nD) 202.80",
1901
+ "options": [
1902
+ "A) 226.77",
1903
+ "B) 213.07",
1904
+ "C) 219.92",
1905
+ "D) 202.80"
1906
+ ],
1907
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1908
+ "answer_raw": "219.92",
1909
+ "unit": "index",
1910
+ "condition": "forecast",
1911
+ "year": 2009
1912
+ },
1913
+ {
1914
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090301",
1915
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1916
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1917
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1918
+ "transform": "level",
1919
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1920
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1921
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 136,469K\nB) 139,119K\nC) 129,844K\nD) 132,494K",
1922
+ "options": [
1923
+ "A) 136,469K",
1924
+ "B) 139,119K",
1925
+ "C) 129,844K",
1926
+ "D) 132,494K"
1927
+ ],
1928
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1929
+ "answer_raw": "132,494K",
1930
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1931
+ "condition": "forecast",
1932
+ "year": 2009
1933
+ },
1934
+ {
1935
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090901",
1936
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1937
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1938
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1939
+ "transform": "level",
1940
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
1941
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
1942
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.50\nB) 60.54\nC) 79.98\nD) 54.06",
1943
+ "options": [
1944
+ "A) 73.50",
1945
+ "B) 60.54",
1946
+ "C) 79.98",
1947
+ "D) 54.06"
1948
+ ],
1949
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1950
+ "answer_raw": "73.50",
1951
+ "unit": "index",
1952
+ "condition": "forecast",
1953
+ "year": 2009
1954
+ },
1955
+ {
1956
+ "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20090615",
1957
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1958
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1959
+ "indicator": "ICSA",
1960
+ "transform": "level",
1961
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
1962
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
1963
+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 500,632\nB) 595,000\nC) 547,816\nD) 642,184",
1964
+ "options": [
1965
+ "A) 500,632",
1966
+ "B) 595,000",
1967
+ "C) 547,816",
1968
+ "D) 642,184"
1969
+ ],
1970
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1971
+ "answer_raw": "595,000",
1972
+ "unit": "count",
1973
+ "condition": "forecast",
1974
+ "year": 2009
1975
+ },
1976
+ {
1977
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090301",
1978
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1979
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1980
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1981
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1982
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
1983
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
1984
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.46%",
1985
+ "options": [
1986
+ "A) 1.22%",
1987
+ "B) 1.07%",
1988
+ "C) 0.76%",
1989
+ "D) 0.46%"
1990
+ ],
1991
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1992
+ "answer_raw": "0.76%",
1993
+ "unit": "%",
1994
+ "condition": "forecast",
1995
+ "year": 2009
1996
+ },
1997
+ {
1998
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090901",
1999
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2000
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2001
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
2002
+ "transform": "level",
2003
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2004
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2005
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,339K\nB) 132,851K\nC) 136,758K\nD) 130,246K",
2006
+ "options": [
2007
+ "A) 126,339K",
2008
+ "B) 132,851K",
2009
+ "C) 136,758K",
2010
+ "D) 130,246K"
2011
+ ],
2012
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2013
+ "answer_raw": "130,246K",
2014
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
2015
+ "condition": "forecast",
2016
+ "year": 2009
2017
+ },
2018
+ {
2019
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090901",
2020
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2021
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2022
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
2023
+ "transform": "level",
2024
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2025
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2026
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.75\nB) 92.49\nC) 85.02\nD) 94.98",
2027
+ "options": [
2028
+ "A) 88.75",
2029
+ "B) 92.49",
2030
+ "C) 85.02",
2031
+ "D) 94.98"
2032
+ ],
2033
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2034
+ "answer_raw": "88.75",
2035
+ "unit": "index",
2036
+ "condition": "forecast",
2037
+ "year": 2009
2038
+ },
2039
+ {
2040
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090901",
2041
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2042
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2043
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2044
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2045
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2046
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2047
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.98%\nB) -26.58%\nC) -3.19%\nD) -18.78%",
2048
+ "options": [
2049
+ "A) -10.98%",
2050
+ "B) -26.58%",
2051
+ "C) -3.19%",
2052
+ "D) -18.78%"
2053
+ ],
2054
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2055
+ "answer_raw": "-26.58%",
2056
+ "unit": "%",
2057
+ "condition": "forecast",
2058
+ "year": 2009
2059
+ },
2060
+ {
2061
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090301",
2062
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2063
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2064
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2065
+ "transform": "level",
2066
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2067
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2068
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 45.05\nB) 69.55\nC) 57.30\nD) 63.43",
2069
+ "options": [
2070
+ "A) 45.05",
2071
+ "B) 69.55",
2072
+ "C) 57.30",
2073
+ "D) 63.43"
2074
+ ],
2075
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2076
+ "answer_raw": "57.30",
2077
+ "unit": "index",
2078
+ "condition": "forecast",
2079
+ "year": 2009
2080
+ },
2081
+ {
2082
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090301",
2083
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2084
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2085
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2086
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2087
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2088
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2089
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -27.82%\nB) -22.88%\nC) -32.76%\nD) -37.70%",
2090
+ "options": [
2091
+ "A) -27.82%",
2092
+ "B) -22.88%",
2093
+ "C) -32.76%",
2094
+ "D) -37.70%"
2095
+ ],
2096
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2097
+ "answer_raw": "-37.70%",
2098
+ "unit": "%",
2099
+ "condition": "forecast",
2100
+ "year": 2009
2101
+ },
2102
+ {
2103
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090901",
2104
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2105
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2106
+ "indicator": "TCU",
2107
+ "transform": "level",
2108
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2109
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2110
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.75%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 75.49%\nD) 62.02%",
2111
+ "options": [
2112
+ "A) 68.75%",
2113
+ "B) 64.27%",
2114
+ "C) 75.49%",
2115
+ "D) 62.02%"
2116
+ ],
2117
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2118
+ "answer_raw": "68.75%",
2119
+ "unit": "%",
2120
+ "condition": "forecast",
2121
+ "year": 2009
2122
+ },
2123
+ {
2124
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090301",
2125
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2126
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2127
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
2128
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2129
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2130
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2131
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 8.06%",
2132
+ "options": [
2133
+ "A) 11.26%",
2134
+ "B) 9.34%",
2135
+ "C) 7.42%",
2136
+ "D) 8.06%"
2137
+ ],
2138
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2139
+ "answer_raw": "9.34%",
2140
+ "unit": "%",
2141
+ "condition": "forecast",
2142
+ "year": 2009
2143
+ },
2144
+ {
2145
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090901",
2146
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2147
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2148
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2149
+ "transform": "level",
2150
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2151
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2152
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $144,322M\nB) $199,199M\nC) $158,041M\nD) $185,479M",
2153
+ "options": [
2154
+ "A) $144,322M",
2155
+ "B) $199,199M",
2156
+ "C) $158,041M",
2157
+ "D) $185,479M"
2158
+ ],
2159
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2160
+ "answer_raw": "$158,041M",
2161
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2162
+ "condition": "forecast",
2163
+ "year": 2009
2164
+ },
2165
+ {
2166
+ "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20090615",
2167
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2168
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2169
+ "indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
2170
+ "transform": "level",
2171
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
2172
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
2173
+ "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 99.26\nB) 104.28\nC) 101.77\nD) 96.75",
2174
+ "options": [
2175
+ "A) 99.26",
2176
+ "B) 104.28",
2177
+ "C) 101.77",
2178
+ "D) 96.75"
2179
+ ],
2180
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2181
+ "answer_raw": "96.75",
2182
+ "unit": "index",
2183
+ "condition": "forecast",
2184
+ "year": 2009
2185
+ },
2186
+ {
2187
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090901",
2188
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2189
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2190
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
2191
+ "transform": "level",
2192
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2193
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2194
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 609K\nB) 906K\nC) 1,203K\nD) 312K",
2195
+ "options": [
2196
+ "A) 609K",
2197
+ "B) 906K",
2198
+ "C) 1,203K",
2199
+ "D) 312K"
2200
+ ],
2201
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2202
+ "answer_raw": "609K",
2203
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
2204
+ "condition": "forecast",
2205
+ "year": 2009
2206
+ },
2207
+ {
2208
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090301",
2209
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2210
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2211
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
2212
+ "transform": "level",
2213
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2214
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2215
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.87\nB) 218.25\nC) 235.56\nD) 228.64",
2216
+ "options": [
2217
+ "A) 207.87",
2218
+ "B) 218.25",
2219
+ "C) 235.56",
2220
+ "D) 228.64"
2221
+ ],
2222
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2223
+ "answer_raw": "218.25",
2224
+ "unit": "index",
2225
+ "condition": "forecast",
2226
+ "year": 2009
2227
+ },
2228
+ {
2229
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090901",
2230
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2231
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2232
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
2233
+ "transform": "level",
2234
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2235
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2236
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 162.10\nB) 143.39\nC) 149.63\nD) 130.92",
2237
+ "options": [
2238
+ "A) 162.10",
2239
+ "B) 143.39",
2240
+ "C) 149.63",
2241
+ "D) 130.92"
2242
+ ],
2243
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2244
+ "answer_raw": "149.63",
2245
+ "unit": "index",
2246
+ "condition": "forecast",
2247
+ "year": 2009
2248
+ },
2249
+ {
2250
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20090615",
2251
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2252
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2253
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
2254
+ "transform": "level",
2255
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
2256
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
2257
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.30pp\nB) +3.30pp\nC) +2.90pp\nD) +2.50pp",
2258
+ "options": [
2259
+ "A) +1.30pp",
2260
+ "B) +3.30pp",
2261
+ "C) +2.90pp",
2262
+ "D) +2.50pp"
2263
+ ],
2264
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2265
+ "answer_raw": "+2.50pp",
2266
+ "unit": "pp",
2267
+ "condition": "forecast",
2268
+ "year": 2009
2269
+ },
2270
+ {
2271
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20090615",
2272
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2273
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2274
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
2275
+ "transform": "level",
2276
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
2277
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
2278
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.0300\nB) 106.0112\nC) 86.0582\nD) 90.0488",
2279
+ "options": [
2280
+ "A) 98.0300",
2281
+ "B) 106.0112",
2282
+ "C) 86.0582",
2283
+ "D) 90.0488"
2284
+ ],
2285
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2286
+ "answer_raw": "98.0300",
2287
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
2288
+ "condition": "forecast",
2289
+ "year": 2009
2290
+ },
2291
+ {
2292
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090301",
2293
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2294
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2295
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
2296
+ "transform": "level",
2297
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2298
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2299
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 94.65\nB) 88.02\nC) 84.04\nD) 90.67",
2300
+ "options": [
2301
+ "A) 94.65",
2302
+ "B) 88.02",
2303
+ "C) 84.04",
2304
+ "D) 90.67"
2305
+ ],
2306
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2307
+ "answer_raw": "88.02",
2308
+ "unit": "index",
2309
+ "condition": "forecast",
2310
+ "year": 2009
2311
+ },
2312
+ {
2313
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20090615",
2314
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2315
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2316
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2317
+ "transform": "level",
2318
+ "target_period": "2009-06-15",
2319
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
2320
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,138.82\nB) 2,300.04\nC) 1,816.38\nD) 1,655.16",
2321
+ "options": [
2322
+ "A) 2,138.82",
2323
+ "B) 2,300.04",
2324
+ "C) 1,816.38",
2325
+ "D) 1,655.16"
2326
+ ],
2327
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2328
+ "answer_raw": "1,816.38",
2329
+ "unit": "index",
2330
+ "condition": "forecast",
2331
+ "year": 2009
2332
+ },
2333
+ {
2334
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090301",
2335
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2336
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2337
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
2338
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2339
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2340
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2341
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.95%\nB) -68.95%\nC) -40.15%\nD) -49.75%",
2342
+ "options": [
2343
+ "A) -20.95%",
2344
+ "B) -68.95%",
2345
+ "C) -40.15%",
2346
+ "D) -49.75%"
2347
+ ],
2348
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2349
+ "answer_raw": "-49.75%",
2350
+ "unit": "%",
2351
+ "condition": "forecast",
2352
+ "year": 2009
2353
+ },
2354
+ {
2355
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090301",
2356
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2357
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2358
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2359
+ "transform": "level",
2360
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2361
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2362
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $146,323M\nB) $156,438M\nC) $126,093M\nD) $166,553M",
2363
+ "options": [
2364
+ "A) $146,323M",
2365
+ "B) $156,438M",
2366
+ "C) $126,093M",
2367
+ "D) $166,553M"
2368
+ ],
2369
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2370
+ "answer_raw": "$146,323M",
2371
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2372
+ "condition": "forecast",
2373
+ "year": 2009
2374
+ },
2375
+ {
2376
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
2377
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2378
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2379
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
2380
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2381
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2382
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2383
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -2.42%\nD) -1.72%",
2384
+ "options": [
2385
+ "A) -0.32%",
2386
+ "B) -1.02%",
2387
+ "C) -2.42%",
2388
+ "D) -1.72%"
2389
+ ],
2390
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2391
+ "answer_raw": "-1.02%",
2392
+ "unit": "%",
2393
+ "condition": "forecast",
2394
+ "year": 2009
2395
+ },
2396
+ {
2397
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090901",
2398
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2399
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2400
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
2401
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2402
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2403
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2404
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.99%\nB) -22.69%\nC) -11.58%\nD) -0.47%",
2405
+ "options": [
2406
+ "A) -18.99%",
2407
+ "B) -22.69%",
2408
+ "C) -11.58%",
2409
+ "D) -0.47%"
2410
+ ],
2411
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2412
+ "answer_raw": "-11.58%",
2413
+ "unit": "%",
2414
+ "condition": "forecast",
2415
+ "year": 2009
2416
+ },
2417
+ {
2418
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090901",
2419
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2420
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2421
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
2422
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2423
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2424
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2425
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.27pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.53pp\nD) -0.90pp",
2426
+ "options": [
2427
+ "A) -1.27pp",
2428
+ "B) -1.02pp",
2429
+ "C) -0.53pp",
2430
+ "D) -0.90pp"
2431
+ ],
2432
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2433
+ "answer_raw": "-0.90pp",
2434
+ "unit": "pp",
2435
+ "condition": "forecast",
2436
+ "year": 2009
2437
+ },
2438
+ {
2439
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090901",
2440
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2441
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2442
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
2443
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2444
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2445
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2446
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 5.03%",
2447
+ "options": [
2448
+ "A) 7.48%",
2449
+ "B) 5.85%",
2450
+ "C) 6.67%",
2451
+ "D) 5.03%"
2452
+ ],
2453
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2454
+ "answer_raw": "7.48%",
2455
+ "unit": "%",
2456
+ "condition": "forecast",
2457
+ "year": 2009
2458
+ },
2459
+ {
2460
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090901",
2461
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2462
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2463
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
2464
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2465
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2466
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2467
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -3.71%\nD) -6.87%",
2468
+ "options": [
2469
+ "A) -7.93%",
2470
+ "B) -4.76%",
2471
+ "C) -3.71%",
2472
+ "D) -6.87%"
2473
+ ],
2474
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2475
+ "answer_raw": "-4.76%",
2476
+ "unit": "%",
2477
+ "condition": "forecast",
2478
+ "year": 2009
2479
+ },
2480
+ {
2481
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090301",
2482
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2483
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2484
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2485
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2486
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2487
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2488
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.69pp\nB) -3.10pp\nC) -2.80pp\nD) -2.20pp",
2489
+ "options": [
2490
+ "A) -3.69pp",
2491
+ "B) -3.10pp",
2492
+ "C) -2.80pp",
2493
+ "D) -2.20pp"
2494
+ ],
2495
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2496
+ "answer_raw": "-2.80pp",
2497
+ "unit": "pp",
2498
+ "condition": "forecast",
2499
+ "year": 2009
2500
+ },
2501
+ {
2502
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090301",
2503
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2504
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2505
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
2506
+ "transform": "level",
2507
+ "target_period": "March 2009",
2508
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
2509
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $57,206M\nB) $41,302M\nC) $54,555M\nD) $49,254M",
2510
+ "options": [
2511
+ "A) $57,206M",
2512
+ "B) $41,302M",
2513
+ "C) $54,555M",
2514
+ "D) $49,254M"
2515
+ ],
2516
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2517
+ "answer_raw": "$49,254M",
2518
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2519
+ "condition": "forecast",
2520
+ "year": 2009
2521
+ },
2522
+ {
2523
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090901",
2524
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2525
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2526
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
2527
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2528
+ "target_period": "September 2009",
2529
+ "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
2530
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 1.28%\nD) -13.85%",
2531
+ "options": [
2532
+ "A) -7.80%",
2533
+ "B) -1.75%",
2534
+ "C) 1.28%",
2535
+ "D) -13.85%"
2536
+ ],
2537
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2538
+ "answer_raw": "-7.80%",
2539
+ "unit": "%",
2540
+ "condition": "forecast",
2541
+ "year": 2009
2542
+ }
2543
+ ]
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mcq_2017.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,2711 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
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "September 2017",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.43%",
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+ "options": [
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+ "unit": "%",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2017
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
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+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
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+ "target_period": "March 2017",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
31
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.94%",
32
+ "options": [
33
+ "A) 2.38%",
34
+ "B) 2.05%",
35
+ "C) 1.82%",
36
+ "D) 1.94%"
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+ ],
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+ "answer_letter": "B",
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+ "answer_raw": "2.05%",
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+ "unit": "%",
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+ "year": 2017
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170901",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "September 2017",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
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+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $23.89/hr\nB) $21.15/hr\nC) $22.18/hr\nD) $23.21/hr",
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+ "options": [
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+ "A) $23.89/hr",
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+ "answer_raw": "$22.18/hr",
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+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20170615",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
73
+ "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0602\nB) 7.4412\nC) 6.4250\nD) 6.8061",
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75
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+ "B) 7.4412",
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+ "C) 6.4250",
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+ "answer_letter": "D",
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+ "answer_raw": "6.8061",
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+ "unit": "fx_rate",
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+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2017
85
+ },
86
+ {
87
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170301",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
91
+ "transform": "level",
92
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
93
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
94
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $222,944M\nB) $216,440M\nC) $242,456M\nD) $209,936M",
95
+ "options": [
96
+ "A) $222,944M",
97
+ "B) $216,440M",
98
+ "C) $242,456M",
99
+ "D) $209,936M"
100
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101
+ "answer_letter": "A",
102
+ "answer_raw": "$222,944M",
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+ "unit": "usd_million",
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+ "year": 2017
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170901",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "PCE",
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+ "transform": "level",
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+ "target_period": "September 2017",
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+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
115
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,088B\nB) $13,417B\nC) $14,076B\nD) $12,430B",
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117
+ "A) $13,088B",
118
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119
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120
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121
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122
+ "answer_letter": "B",
123
+ "answer_raw": "$13,417B",
124
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 2017
127
+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170301",
130
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
131
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
133
+ "transform": "level",
134
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
136
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $453,408M\nB) $473,940M\nC) $463,674M\nD) $494,472M",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) $453,408M",
139
+ "B) $473,940M",
140
+ "C) $463,674M",
141
+ "D) $494,472M"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "C",
144
+ "answer_raw": "$463,674M",
145
+ "unit": "usd_million",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
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+ "year": 2017
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20170615",
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+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "DGS30",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
157
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.78%",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) 3.40%",
160
+ "B) 3.19%",
161
+ "C) 2.99%",
162
+ "D) 2.78%"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "D",
165
+ "answer_raw": "2.78%",
166
+ "unit": "%",
167
+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 2017
169
+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170901",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
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+ "subtype": "recurrent",
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+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
175
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
176
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
178
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.81%",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) 2.18%",
181
+ "B) 2.92%",
182
+ "C) 2.55%",
183
+ "D) 1.81%"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "A",
186
+ "answer_raw": "2.18%",
187
+ "unit": "%",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 2017
190
+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170901",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
199
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.41\nB) 100.40\nC) 94.38\nD) 97.39",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) 103.41",
202
+ "B) 100.40",
203
+ "C) 94.38",
204
+ "D) 97.39"
205
+ ],
206
+ "answer_letter": "B",
207
+ "answer_raw": "100.40",
208
+ "unit": "index",
209
+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 2017
211
+ },
212
+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170901",
214
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
217
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
218
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
220
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.61%",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 1.71%",
223
+ "B) 1.11%",
224
+ "C) 1.41%",
225
+ "D) 1.61%"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "C",
228
+ "answer_raw": "1.41%",
229
+ "unit": "%",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 2017
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20170615",
235
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "DGS10",
238
+ "transform": "level",
239
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
241
+ "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.16%",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) 1.77%",
244
+ "B) 2.75%",
245
+ "C) 1.96%",
246
+ "D) 2.16%"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "D",
249
+ "answer_raw": "2.16%",
250
+ "unit": "%",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2017
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170301",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
259
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
260
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
262
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.77%\nB) 33.64%\nC) 0.53%\nD) 7.15%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 13.77%",
265
+ "B) 33.64%",
266
+ "C) 0.53%",
267
+ "D) 7.15%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "A",
270
+ "answer_raw": "13.77%",
271
+ "unit": "%",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
273
+ "year": 2017
274
+ },
275
+ {
276
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170901",
277
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
279
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
280
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
281
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
283
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.18%",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 4.28%",
286
+ "B) 2.62%",
287
+ "C) 2.07%",
288
+ "D) 3.18%"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "B",
291
+ "answer_raw": "2.62%",
292
+ "unit": "%",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2017
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20170615",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "DJIA",
301
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
302
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
304
+ "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 21.09%\nD) 22.32%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) 20.16%",
307
+ "B) 21.70%",
308
+ "C) 21.09%",
309
+ "D) 22.32%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "C",
312
+ "answer_raw": "21.09%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2017
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20170615",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
322
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
323
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
325
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.43%\nB) 32.98%\nC) 22.06%\nD) 27.52%",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) 38.43%",
328
+ "B) 32.98%",
329
+ "C) 22.06%",
330
+ "D) 27.52%"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "D",
333
+ "answer_raw": "27.52%",
334
+ "unit": "%",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2017
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170901",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
343
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
344
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
346
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.81%",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) 1.60%",
349
+ "B) 1.28%",
350
+ "C) 1.49%",
351
+ "D) 1.81%"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "A",
354
+ "answer_raw": "1.60%",
355
+ "unit": "%",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2017
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170301",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
364
+ "transform": "level",
365
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 140,321K\nB) 145,970K\nC) 149,736K\nD) 155,385K",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) 140,321K",
370
+ "B) 145,970K",
371
+ "C) 149,736K",
372
+ "D) 155,385K"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "B",
375
+ "answer_raw": "145,970K",
376
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2017
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170901",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
385
+ "transform": "level",
386
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.92%",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 7.36%",
391
+ "B) 6.88%",
392
+ "C) 5.90%",
393
+ "D) 4.92%"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "C",
396
+ "answer_raw": "5.90%",
397
+ "unit": "%",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2017
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170901",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
406
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
407
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
409
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) -10.57%\nC) -3.52%\nD) 10.58%",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 31.73%",
412
+ "B) -10.57%",
413
+ "C) -3.52%",
414
+ "D) 10.58%"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "D",
417
+ "answer_raw": "10.58%",
418
+ "unit": "%",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2017
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20170615",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "SP500",
427
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
428
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
430
+ "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.43%\nB) 18.99%\nC) 16.49%\nD) 18.05%",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) 17.43%",
433
+ "B) 18.99%",
434
+ "C) 16.49%",
435
+ "D) 18.05%"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "A",
438
+ "answer_raw": "17.43%",
439
+ "unit": "%",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2017
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170301",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
448
+ "transform": "level",
449
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
451
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.91\nB) 191.50\nC) 187.30\nD) 204.11",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) 199.91",
454
+ "B) 191.50",
455
+ "C) 187.30",
456
+ "D) 204.11"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "B",
459
+ "answer_raw": "191.50",
460
+ "unit": "index",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2017
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170301",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
469
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
470
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
472
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -1.77%",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 3.20%",
475
+ "B) 1.96%",
476
+ "C) 0.72%",
477
+ "D) -1.77%"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "C",
480
+ "answer_raw": "0.72%",
481
+ "unit": "%",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2017
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170901",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
490
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
491
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
493
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 8.18%\nC) -1.71%\nD) 4.23%",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) 10.16%",
496
+ "B) 8.18%",
497
+ "C) -1.71%",
498
+ "D) 4.23%"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "D",
501
+ "answer_raw": "4.23%",
502
+ "unit": "%",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2017
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170901",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
511
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
512
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) +0.67pp",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) +0.20pp",
517
+ "B) +0.51pp",
518
+ "C) -0.27pp",
519
+ "D) +0.67pp"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "A",
522
+ "answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
523
+ "unit": "pp",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2017
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20170615",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "DGS2",
532
+ "transform": "level",
533
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
535
+ "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.04%",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) 0.89%",
538
+ "B) 1.35%",
539
+ "C) 1.81%",
540
+ "D) 1.04%"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "B",
543
+ "answer_raw": "1.35%",
544
+ "unit": "%",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2017
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170301",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
553
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
554
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
556
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.44%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.16%\nD) 3.40%",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 10.44%",
559
+ "B) 6.92%",
560
+ "C) 5.16%",
561
+ "D) 3.40%"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "C",
564
+ "answer_raw": "5.16%",
565
+ "unit": "%",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2017
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20170615",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
574
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
575
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 4.11%",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) 2.26%",
580
+ "B) 1.34%",
581
+ "C) 6.88%",
582
+ "D) 4.11%"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "D",
585
+ "answer_raw": "4.11%",
586
+ "unit": "%",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2017
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170301",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
595
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
596
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.90%",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) 1.68%",
601
+ "B) 2.01%",
602
+ "C) 1.35%",
603
+ "D) 1.90%"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "A",
606
+ "answer_raw": "1.68%",
607
+ "unit": "%",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2017
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20170615",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "CCSA",
616
+ "transform": "level",
617
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
619
+ "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,698,777\nB) 1,915,000\nC) 2,131,223\nD) 1,482,554",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) 1,698,777",
622
+ "B) 1,915,000",
623
+ "C) 2,131,223",
624
+ "D) 1,482,554"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "B",
627
+ "answer_raw": "1,915,000",
628
+ "unit": "count",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2017
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20170615",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
637
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
638
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
640
+ "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.18%\nB) -33.40%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 35.54%",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) -47.18%",
643
+ "B) -33.40%",
644
+ "C) -5.82%",
645
+ "D) 35.54%"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "C",
648
+ "answer_raw": "-5.82%",
649
+ "unit": "%",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2017
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170901",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
658
+ "transform": "level",
659
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
661
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,484K\nB) 152,722K\nC) 143,198K\nD) 147,008K",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) 137,484K",
664
+ "B) 152,722K",
665
+ "C) 143,198K",
666
+ "D) 147,008K"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "D",
669
+ "answer_raw": "147,008K",
670
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2017
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20170615",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "SP500",
679
+ "transform": "level",
680
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
682
+ "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,432.46\nB) 2,378.17\nC) 2,486.75\nD) 2,595.33",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 2,432.46",
685
+ "B) 2,378.17",
686
+ "C) 2,486.75",
687
+ "D) 2,595.33"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "A",
690
+ "answer_raw": "2,432.46",
691
+ "unit": "index",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2017
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170301",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
700
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
701
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
703
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.05%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 10.06%\nD) 6.07%",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) 14.05%",
706
+ "B) 2.09%",
707
+ "C) 10.06%",
708
+ "D) 6.07%"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "B",
711
+ "answer_raw": "2.09%",
712
+ "unit": "%",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2017
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20170615",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "DEXUSEU",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
724
+ "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0584\nB) 1.2287\nC) 1.1152\nD) 1.0017",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) 1.0584",
727
+ "B) 1.2287",
728
+ "C) 1.1152",
729
+ "D) 1.0017"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "C",
732
+ "answer_raw": "1.1152",
733
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2017
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170901",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
742
+ "transform": "level",
743
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $455,334M\nB) $496,114M\nC) $506,309M\nD) $475,724M",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) $455,334M",
748
+ "B) $496,114M",
749
+ "C) $506,309M",
750
+ "D) $475,724M"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "D",
753
+ "answer_raw": "$475,724M",
754
+ "unit": "usd_million",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2017
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170301",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
763
+ "transform": "level",
764
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.01\nB) 101.98\nC) 104.95\nD) 96.04",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) 99.01",
769
+ "B) 101.98",
770
+ "C) 104.95",
771
+ "D) 96.04"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "A",
774
+ "answer_raw": "99.01",
775
+ "unit": "index",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2017
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20170615",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
784
+ "transform": "level",
785
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
787
+ "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.27/bbl\nB) $44.47/bbl\nC) $19.27/bbl\nD) $31.87/bbl",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) $82.27/bbl",
790
+ "B) $44.47/bbl",
791
+ "C) $19.27/bbl",
792
+ "D) $31.87/bbl"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "B",
795
+ "answer_raw": "$44.47/bbl",
796
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2017
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170301",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
805
+ "transform": "level",
806
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
808
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,375B\nB) $13,764B\nC) $14,408B\nD) $14,086B",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) $15,375B",
811
+ "B) $13,764B",
812
+ "C) $14,408B",
813
+ "D) $14,086B"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "C",
816
+ "answer_raw": "$14,408B",
817
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2017
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170301",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "PCE",
826
+ "transform": "level",
827
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,769B\nB) $12,825B\nC) $14,084B\nD) $13,140B",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) $13,769B",
832
+ "B) $12,825B",
833
+ "C) $14,084B",
834
+ "D) $13,140B"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "D",
837
+ "answer_raw": "$13,140B",
838
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2017
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20170615",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "T10Y2Y",
847
+ "transform": "level",
848
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
850
+ "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.81pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.05pp",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) +0.81pp",
853
+ "B) +0.57pp",
854
+ "C) +0.08pp",
855
+ "D) +1.05pp"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "A",
858
+ "answer_raw": "+0.81pp",
859
+ "unit": "pp",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2017
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170901",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "PCE",
868
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
869
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
871
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.12%",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 3.79%",
874
+ "B) 4.44%",
875
+ "C) 5.41%",
876
+ "D) 4.12%"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "B",
879
+ "answer_raw": "4.44%",
880
+ "unit": "%",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2017
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170901",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
889
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
890
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.70%",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) 1.15%",
895
+ "B) 1.61%",
896
+ "C) 1.42%",
897
+ "D) 1.70%"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "C",
900
+ "answer_raw": "1.42%",
901
+ "unit": "%",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2017
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170301",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
910
+ "transform": "level",
911
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
913
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 5.60%",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) 5.03%",
916
+ "B) 4.46%",
917
+ "C) 3.88%",
918
+ "D) 5.60%"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "D",
921
+ "answer_raw": "5.60%",
922
+ "unit": "%",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2017
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20170615",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
931
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
932
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
934
+ "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 8.60%\nD) 3.69%",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) 1.23%",
937
+ "B) 6.14%",
938
+ "C) 8.60%",
939
+ "D) 3.69%"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "A",
942
+ "answer_raw": "1.23%",
943
+ "unit": "%",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2017
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170301",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
952
+ "transform": "level",
953
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
955
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $59,624M\nB) $61,260M\nC) $56,352M\nD) $66,168M",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) $59,624M",
958
+ "B) $61,260M",
959
+ "C) $56,352M",
960
+ "D) $66,168M"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "B",
963
+ "answer_raw": "$61,260M",
964
+ "unit": "usd_million",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2017
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170301",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
973
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
974
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
976
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.20pp",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) -0.55pp",
979
+ "B) +0.05pp",
980
+ "C) -0.10pp",
981
+ "D) +0.20pp"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "C",
984
+ "answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
985
+ "unit": "pp",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2017
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
994
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
995
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
997
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.29%",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) 2.11%",
1000
+ "B) 2.84%",
1001
+ "C) 1.92%",
1002
+ "D) 2.29%"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "2.29%",
1006
+ "unit": "%",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2017
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170301",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
1015
+ "transform": "level",
1016
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $-41,124M\nB) $-44,561M\nC) $-39,406M\nD) $-37,687M",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) $-41,124M",
1021
+ "B) $-44,561M",
1022
+ "C) $-39,406M",
1023
+ "D) $-37,687M"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "$-41,124M",
1027
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2017
1030
+ },
1031
+ {
1032
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170901",
1033
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1034
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1035
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1036
+ "transform": "level",
1037
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1038
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1039
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.07\nB) 194.79\nC) 187.88\nD) 201.69",
1040
+ "options": [
1041
+ "A) 174.07",
1042
+ "B) 194.79",
1043
+ "C) 187.88",
1044
+ "D) 201.69"
1045
+ ],
1046
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1047
+ "answer_raw": "194.79",
1048
+ "unit": "index",
1049
+ "condition": "forecast",
1050
+ "year": 2017
1051
+ },
1052
+ {
1053
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170301",
1054
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1055
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1056
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
1057
+ "transform": "level",
1058
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1059
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1060
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 108.74\nB) 117.70\nC) 112.10\nD) 115.46",
1061
+ "options": [
1062
+ "A) 108.74",
1063
+ "B) 117.70",
1064
+ "C) 112.10",
1065
+ "D) 115.46"
1066
+ ],
1067
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1068
+ "answer_raw": "112.10",
1069
+ "unit": "index",
1070
+ "condition": "forecast",
1071
+ "year": 2017
1072
+ },
1073
+ {
1074
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170901",
1075
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1076
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1077
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1078
+ "transform": "level",
1079
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1080
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1081
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,087K\nB) 1,335K\nC) 1,459K\nD) 1,273K",
1082
+ "options": [
1083
+ "A) 1,087K",
1084
+ "B) 1,335K",
1085
+ "C) 1,459K",
1086
+ "D) 1,273K"
1087
+ ],
1088
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1089
+ "answer_raw": "1,273K",
1090
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1091
+ "condition": "forecast",
1092
+ "year": 2017
1093
+ },
1094
+ {
1095
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
1096
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1097
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1098
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1099
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1100
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1101
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1102
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 2.82%",
1103
+ "options": [
1104
+ "A) 1.91%",
1105
+ "B) 1.60%",
1106
+ "C) 1.30%",
1107
+ "D) 2.82%"
1108
+ ],
1109
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1110
+ "answer_raw": "1.91%",
1111
+ "unit": "%",
1112
+ "condition": "forecast",
1113
+ "year": 2017
1114
+ },
1115
+ {
1116
+ "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20170615",
1117
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1118
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1119
+ "indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
1120
+ "transform": "level",
1121
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
1122
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
1123
+ "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 112.87\nC) 127.04\nD) 103.43",
1124
+ "options": [
1125
+ "A) 98.70",
1126
+ "B) 112.87",
1127
+ "C) 127.04",
1128
+ "D) 103.43"
1129
+ ],
1130
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1131
+ "answer_raw": "112.87",
1132
+ "unit": "index",
1133
+ "condition": "forecast",
1134
+ "year": 2017
1135
+ },
1136
+ {
1137
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170301",
1138
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1139
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1140
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
1141
+ "transform": "level",
1142
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1143
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1144
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 61.01%\nC) 62.90%\nD) 64.79%",
1145
+ "options": [
1146
+ "A) 59.75%",
1147
+ "B) 61.01%",
1148
+ "C) 62.90%",
1149
+ "D) 64.79%"
1150
+ ],
1151
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1152
+ "answer_raw": "62.90%",
1153
+ "unit": "%",
1154
+ "condition": "forecast",
1155
+ "year": 2017
1156
+ },
1157
+ {
1158
+ "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20170615",
1159
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1160
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1161
+ "indicator": "DEXJPUS",
1162
+ "transform": "level",
1163
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
1164
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
1165
+ "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.7728\nB) 104.3643\nC) 123.2515\nD) 110.6600",
1166
+ "options": [
1167
+ "A) 91.7728",
1168
+ "B) 104.3643",
1169
+ "C) 123.2515",
1170
+ "D) 110.6600"
1171
+ ],
1172
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1173
+ "answer_raw": "110.6600",
1174
+ "unit": "fx_rate",
1175
+ "condition": "forecast",
1176
+ "year": 2017
1177
+ },
1178
+ {
1179
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170901",
1180
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1181
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1182
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1183
+ "transform": "level",
1184
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1185
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1186
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,747M\nB) $60,501M\nC) $62,124M\nD) $65,370M",
1187
+ "options": [
1188
+ "A) $63,747M",
1189
+ "B) $60,501M",
1190
+ "C) $62,124M",
1191
+ "D) $65,370M"
1192
+ ],
1193
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1194
+ "answer_raw": "$63,747M",
1195
+ "unit": "usd_million",
1196
+ "condition": "forecast",
1197
+ "year": 2017
1198
+ },
1199
+ {
1200
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170901",
1201
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1202
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1203
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1204
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1205
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1206
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1207
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +7.39pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -6.58pp\nD) -3.09pp",
1208
+ "options": [
1209
+ "A) +7.39pp",
1210
+ "B) +3.90pp",
1211
+ "C) -6.58pp",
1212
+ "D) -3.09pp"
1213
+ ],
1214
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1215
+ "answer_raw": "+3.90pp",
1216
+ "unit": "pp",
1217
+ "condition": "forecast",
1218
+ "year": 2017
1219
+ },
1220
+ {
1221
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170901",
1222
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1223
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1224
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1225
+ "transform": "level",
1226
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1227
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1228
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,312K\nB) 1,378K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,050K",
1229
+ "options": [
1230
+ "A) 1,312K",
1231
+ "B) 1,378K",
1232
+ "C) 1,181K",
1233
+ "D) 1,050K"
1234
+ ],
1235
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1236
+ "answer_raw": "1,181K",
1237
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1238
+ "condition": "forecast",
1239
+ "year": 2017
1240
+ },
1241
+ {
1242
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170901",
1243
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1244
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1245
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1246
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1247
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1248
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1249
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.59pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.70pp",
1250
+ "options": [
1251
+ "A) +0.92pp",
1252
+ "B) +0.59pp",
1253
+ "C) +0.48pp",
1254
+ "D) +0.70pp"
1255
+ ],
1256
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1257
+ "answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
1258
+ "unit": "pp",
1259
+ "condition": "forecast",
1260
+ "year": 2017
1261
+ },
1262
+ {
1263
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
1264
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1265
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1266
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1267
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1268
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1269
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1270
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.04%",
1271
+ "options": [
1272
+ "A) 2.59%",
1273
+ "B) 2.29%",
1274
+ "C) 2.15%",
1275
+ "D) 3.04%"
1276
+ ],
1277
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1278
+ "answer_raw": "2.59%",
1279
+ "unit": "%",
1280
+ "condition": "forecast",
1281
+ "year": 2017
1282
+ },
1283
+ {
1284
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170901",
1285
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1286
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1287
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
1288
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1289
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1290
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1291
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.37%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 4.50%\nD) -0.08%",
1292
+ "options": [
1293
+ "A) -2.37%",
1294
+ "B) 1.06%",
1295
+ "C) 4.50%",
1296
+ "D) -0.08%"
1297
+ ],
1298
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1299
+ "answer_raw": "1.06%",
1300
+ "unit": "%",
1301
+ "condition": "forecast",
1302
+ "year": 2017
1303
+ },
1304
+ {
1305
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170901",
1306
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1307
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1308
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1309
+ "transform": "level",
1310
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1311
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1312
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,264B\nB) $15,301B\nC) $13,745B\nD) $12,189B",
1313
+ "options": [
1314
+ "A) $14,264B",
1315
+ "B) $15,301B",
1316
+ "C) $13,745B",
1317
+ "D) $12,189B"
1318
+ ],
1319
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1320
+ "answer_raw": "$13,745B",
1321
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
1322
+ "condition": "forecast",
1323
+ "year": 2017
1324
+ },
1325
+ {
1326
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170301",
1327
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1328
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1329
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
1330
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1331
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1332
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1333
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.40pp",
1334
+ "options": [
1335
+ "A) +0.18pp",
1336
+ "B) +0.51pp",
1337
+ "C) +0.73pp",
1338
+ "D) +0.40pp"
1339
+ ],
1340
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1341
+ "answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
1342
+ "unit": "pp",
1343
+ "condition": "forecast",
1344
+ "year": 2017
1345
+ },
1346
+ {
1347
+ "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20170615",
1348
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1349
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1350
+ "indicator": "ICSA",
1351
+ "transform": "level",
1352
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
1353
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
1354
+ "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 249,000\nB) 204,121\nC) 226,561\nD) 316,318",
1355
+ "options": [
1356
+ "A) 249,000",
1357
+ "B) 204,121",
1358
+ "C) 226,561",
1359
+ "D) 316,318"
1360
+ ],
1361
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1362
+ "answer_raw": "249,000",
1363
+ "unit": "count",
1364
+ "condition": "forecast",
1365
+ "year": 2017
1366
+ },
1367
+ {
1368
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170901",
1369
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1370
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1371
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1372
+ "transform": "level",
1373
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1374
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1375
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.82\nB) 252.81\nC) 262.81\nD) 269.47",
1376
+ "options": [
1377
+ "A) 242.82",
1378
+ "B) 252.81",
1379
+ "C) 262.81",
1380
+ "D) 269.47"
1381
+ ],
1382
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1383
+ "answer_raw": "252.81",
1384
+ "unit": "index",
1385
+ "condition": "forecast",
1386
+ "year": 2017
1387
+ },
1388
+ {
1389
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
1390
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1391
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1392
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
1393
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1394
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1395
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1396
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 1.25%",
1397
+ "options": [
1398
+ "A) 6.44%",
1399
+ "B) 3.33%",
1400
+ "C) 4.36%",
1401
+ "D) 1.25%"
1402
+ ],
1403
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1404
+ "answer_raw": "4.36%",
1405
+ "unit": "%",
1406
+ "condition": "forecast",
1407
+ "year": 2017
1408
+ },
1409
+ {
1410
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170301",
1411
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1412
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1413
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
1414
+ "transform": "level",
1415
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1416
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1417
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.43\nB) 267.17\nC) 244.45\nD) 250.94",
1418
+ "options": [
1419
+ "A) 257.43",
1420
+ "B) 267.17",
1421
+ "C) 244.45",
1422
+ "D) 250.94"
1423
+ ],
1424
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1425
+ "answer_raw": "250.94",
1426
+ "unit": "index",
1427
+ "condition": "forecast",
1428
+ "year": 2017
1429
+ },
1430
+ {
1431
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170301",
1432
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1433
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1434
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
1435
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1436
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1437
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1438
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.32%",
1439
+ "options": [
1440
+ "A) 1.61%",
1441
+ "B) 1.41%",
1442
+ "C) 1.70%",
1443
+ "D) 1.32%"
1444
+ ],
1445
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1446
+ "answer_raw": "1.61%",
1447
+ "unit": "%",
1448
+ "condition": "forecast",
1449
+ "year": 2017
1450
+ },
1451
+ {
1452
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170301",
1453
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1454
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1455
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
1456
+ "transform": "level",
1457
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1458
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1459
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.89/hr\nB) $21.88/hr\nC) $22.54/hr\nD) $23.20/hr",
1460
+ "options": [
1461
+ "A) $20.89/hr",
1462
+ "B) $21.88/hr",
1463
+ "C) $22.54/hr",
1464
+ "D) $23.20/hr"
1465
+ ],
1466
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1467
+ "answer_raw": "$21.88/hr",
1468
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
1469
+ "condition": "forecast",
1470
+ "year": 2017
1471
+ },
1472
+ {
1473
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170901",
1474
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1475
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1476
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
1477
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1478
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1479
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1480
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.06%\nB) 9.13%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 2.68%",
1481
+ "options": [
1482
+ "A) 8.06%",
1483
+ "B) 9.13%",
1484
+ "C) 5.91%",
1485
+ "D) 2.68%"
1486
+ ],
1487
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1488
+ "answer_raw": "5.91%",
1489
+ "unit": "%",
1490
+ "condition": "forecast",
1491
+ "year": 2017
1492
+ },
1493
+ {
1494
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170901",
1495
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1496
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1497
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
1498
+ "transform": "level",
1499
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1500
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1501
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.86\nB) 98.72\nC) 102.34\nD) 95.10",
1502
+ "options": [
1503
+ "A) 87.86",
1504
+ "B) 98.72",
1505
+ "C) 102.34",
1506
+ "D) 95.10"
1507
+ ],
1508
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1509
+ "answer_raw": "95.10",
1510
+ "unit": "index",
1511
+ "condition": "forecast",
1512
+ "year": 2017
1513
+ },
1514
+ {
1515
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170301",
1516
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1517
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1518
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
1519
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1520
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1521
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1522
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 7.43%",
1523
+ "options": [
1524
+ "A) 6.33%",
1525
+ "B) 5.24%",
1526
+ "C) 5.79%",
1527
+ "D) 7.43%"
1528
+ ],
1529
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1530
+ "answer_raw": "6.33%",
1531
+ "unit": "%",
1532
+ "condition": "forecast",
1533
+ "year": 2017
1534
+ },
1535
+ {
1536
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170901",
1537
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1538
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1539
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1540
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1541
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1542
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1543
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) -2.30%\nC) 15.37%\nD) -8.19%",
1544
+ "options": [
1545
+ "A) 3.59%",
1546
+ "B) -2.30%",
1547
+ "C) 15.37%",
1548
+ "D) -8.19%"
1549
+ ],
1550
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1551
+ "answer_raw": "-2.30%",
1552
+ "unit": "%",
1553
+ "condition": "forecast",
1554
+ "year": 2017
1555
+ },
1556
+ {
1557
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170301",
1558
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1559
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1560
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1561
+ "transform": "level",
1562
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1563
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1564
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.70\nB) 251.21\nC) 243.89\nD) 236.58",
1565
+ "options": [
1566
+ "A) 231.70",
1567
+ "B) 251.21",
1568
+ "C) 243.89",
1569
+ "D) 236.58"
1570
+ ],
1571
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1572
+ "answer_raw": "243.89",
1573
+ "unit": "index",
1574
+ "condition": "forecast",
1575
+ "year": 2017
1576
+ },
1577
+ {
1578
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170301",
1579
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1580
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1581
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1582
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1583
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1584
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1585
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.32%\nB) -7.31%\nC) 21.53%\nD) 7.11%",
1586
+ "options": [
1587
+ "A) 14.32%",
1588
+ "B) -7.31%",
1589
+ "C) 21.53%",
1590
+ "D) 7.11%"
1591
+ ],
1592
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1593
+ "answer_raw": "7.11%",
1594
+ "unit": "%",
1595
+ "condition": "forecast",
1596
+ "year": 2017
1597
+ },
1598
+ {
1599
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170301",
1600
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1601
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1602
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1603
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1604
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1605
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1606
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.57%",
1607
+ "options": [
1608
+ "A) 4.94%",
1609
+ "B) 6.82%",
1610
+ "C) 6.19%",
1611
+ "D) 5.57%"
1612
+ ],
1613
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1614
+ "answer_raw": "4.94%",
1615
+ "unit": "%",
1616
+ "condition": "forecast",
1617
+ "year": 2017
1618
+ },
1619
+ {
1620
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20170615",
1621
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1622
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1623
+ "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
1624
+ "transform": "level",
1625
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
1626
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
1627
+ "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $30.80/bbl\nB) $45.61/bbl\nC) $1.18/bbl\nD) $90.04/bbl",
1628
+ "options": [
1629
+ "A) $30.80/bbl",
1630
+ "B) $45.61/bbl",
1631
+ "C) $1.18/bbl",
1632
+ "D) $90.04/bbl"
1633
+ ],
1634
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1635
+ "answer_raw": "$45.61/bbl",
1636
+ "unit": "usd_per_barrel",
1637
+ "condition": "forecast",
1638
+ "year": 2017
1639
+ },
1640
+ {
1641
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170301",
1642
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1643
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1644
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
1645
+ "transform": "level",
1646
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1647
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1648
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,198K\nB) 1,493K\nC) 1,272K\nD) 1,051K",
1649
+ "options": [
1650
+ "A) 1,198K",
1651
+ "B) 1,493K",
1652
+ "C) 1,272K",
1653
+ "D) 1,051K"
1654
+ ],
1655
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1656
+ "answer_raw": "1,272K",
1657
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1658
+ "condition": "forecast",
1659
+ "year": 2017
1660
+ },
1661
+ {
1662
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170301",
1663
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1664
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1665
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
1666
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1667
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1668
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1669
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 0.85%",
1670
+ "options": [
1671
+ "A) 6.14%",
1672
+ "B) -4.44%",
1673
+ "C) 3.50%",
1674
+ "D) 0.85%"
1675
+ ],
1676
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1677
+ "answer_raw": "0.85%",
1678
+ "unit": "%",
1679
+ "condition": "forecast",
1680
+ "year": 2017
1681
+ },
1682
+ {
1683
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170301",
1684
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1685
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1686
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
1687
+ "transform": "level",
1688
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1689
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1690
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.52\nB) 96.52\nC) 102.52\nD) 104.52",
1691
+ "options": [
1692
+ "A) 99.52",
1693
+ "B) 96.52",
1694
+ "C) 102.52",
1695
+ "D) 104.52"
1696
+ ],
1697
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1698
+ "answer_raw": "99.52",
1699
+ "unit": "index",
1700
+ "condition": "forecast",
1701
+ "year": 2017
1702
+ },
1703
+ {
1704
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170301",
1705
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1706
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1707
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
1708
+ "transform": "level",
1709
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1710
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1711
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,032K\nB) 1,190K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 954K",
1712
+ "options": [
1713
+ "A) 1,032K",
1714
+ "B) 1,190K",
1715
+ "C) 1,111K",
1716
+ "D) 954K"
1717
+ ],
1718
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1719
+ "answer_raw": "1,190K",
1720
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
1721
+ "condition": "forecast",
1722
+ "year": 2017
1723
+ },
1724
+ {
1725
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170901",
1726
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1727
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1728
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1729
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1730
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1731
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1732
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.68%\nB) 10.84%\nC) 3.71%\nD) -3.42%",
1733
+ "options": [
1734
+ "A) -17.68%",
1735
+ "B) 10.84%",
1736
+ "C) 3.71%",
1737
+ "D) -3.42%"
1738
+ ],
1739
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1740
+ "answer_raw": "3.71%",
1741
+ "unit": "%",
1742
+ "condition": "forecast",
1743
+ "year": 2017
1744
+ },
1745
+ {
1746
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170901",
1747
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1748
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1749
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1750
+ "transform": "level",
1751
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1752
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1753
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.70%\nB) 78.65%\nC) 74.07%\nD) 76.36%",
1754
+ "options": [
1755
+ "A) 81.70%",
1756
+ "B) 78.65%",
1757
+ "C) 74.07%",
1758
+ "D) 76.36%"
1759
+ ],
1760
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1761
+ "answer_raw": "76.36%",
1762
+ "unit": "%",
1763
+ "condition": "forecast",
1764
+ "year": 2017
1765
+ },
1766
+ {
1767
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170301",
1768
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1769
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1770
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
1771
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1772
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1773
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1774
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.56%",
1775
+ "options": [
1776
+ "A) 2.44%",
1777
+ "B) 1.33%",
1778
+ "C) 2.07%",
1779
+ "D) 3.56%"
1780
+ ],
1781
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1782
+ "answer_raw": "2.44%",
1783
+ "unit": "%",
1784
+ "condition": "forecast",
1785
+ "year": 2017
1786
+ },
1787
+ {
1788
+ "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20170615",
1789
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1790
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1791
+ "indicator": "DGS5",
1792
+ "transform": "level",
1793
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
1794
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
1795
+ "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.34%",
1796
+ "options": [
1797
+ "A) 1.18%",
1798
+ "B) 1.76%",
1799
+ "C) 1.38%",
1800
+ "D) 2.34%"
1801
+ ],
1802
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1803
+ "answer_raw": "1.76%",
1804
+ "unit": "%",
1805
+ "condition": "forecast",
1806
+ "year": 2017
1807
+ },
1808
+ {
1809
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170301",
1810
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1811
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1812
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1813
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
1814
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1815
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1816
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.46pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +1.78pp",
1817
+ "options": [
1818
+ "A) -1.20pp",
1819
+ "B) -0.46pp",
1820
+ "C) +0.29pp",
1821
+ "D) +1.78pp"
1822
+ ],
1823
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1824
+ "answer_raw": "+0.29pp",
1825
+ "unit": "pp",
1826
+ "condition": "forecast",
1827
+ "year": 2017
1828
+ },
1829
+ {
1830
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170301",
1831
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1832
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1833
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1834
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1835
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1836
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1837
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) -8.18%\nC) 20.21%\nD) -1.08%",
1838
+ "options": [
1839
+ "A) 6.02%",
1840
+ "B) -8.18%",
1841
+ "C) 20.21%",
1842
+ "D) -1.08%"
1843
+ ],
1844
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1845
+ "answer_raw": "-1.08%",
1846
+ "unit": "%",
1847
+ "condition": "forecast",
1848
+ "year": 2017
1849
+ },
1850
+ {
1851
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170301",
1852
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1853
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1854
+ "indicator": "TCU",
1855
+ "transform": "level",
1856
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1857
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1858
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.44%\nB) 70.92%\nC) 77.71%\nD) 73.18%",
1859
+ "options": [
1860
+ "A) 75.44%",
1861
+ "B) 70.92%",
1862
+ "C) 77.71%",
1863
+ "D) 73.18%"
1864
+ ],
1865
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1866
+ "answer_raw": "75.44%",
1867
+ "unit": "%",
1868
+ "condition": "forecast",
1869
+ "year": 2017
1870
+ },
1871
+ {
1872
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170301",
1873
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1874
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1875
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
1876
+ "transform": "level",
1877
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1878
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1879
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.16%",
1880
+ "options": [
1881
+ "A) 5.64%",
1882
+ "B) 4.40%",
1883
+ "C) 5.02%",
1884
+ "D) 3.16%"
1885
+ ],
1886
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1887
+ "answer_raw": "4.40%",
1888
+ "unit": "%",
1889
+ "condition": "forecast",
1890
+ "year": 2017
1891
+ },
1892
+ {
1893
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170301",
1894
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1895
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1896
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
1897
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1898
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1899
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1900
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.11%",
1901
+ "options": [
1902
+ "A) 0.57%",
1903
+ "B) 2.73%",
1904
+ "C) 2.19%",
1905
+ "D) 1.11%"
1906
+ ],
1907
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1908
+ "answer_raw": "2.19%",
1909
+ "unit": "%",
1910
+ "condition": "forecast",
1911
+ "year": 2017
1912
+ },
1913
+ {
1914
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170901",
1915
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1916
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1917
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
1918
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1919
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1920
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1921
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.27%\nB) 9.07%\nC) 16.74%\nD) 5.24%",
1922
+ "options": [
1923
+ "A) -6.27%",
1924
+ "B) 9.07%",
1925
+ "C) 16.74%",
1926
+ "D) 5.24%"
1927
+ ],
1928
+ "answer_letter": "D",
1929
+ "answer_raw": "5.24%",
1930
+ "unit": "%",
1931
+ "condition": "forecast",
1932
+ "year": 2017
1933
+ },
1934
+ {
1935
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170901",
1936
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1937
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1938
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
1939
+ "transform": "level",
1940
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1941
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1942
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 113.50\nB) 110.09\nC) 116.91\nD) 120.31",
1943
+ "options": [
1944
+ "A) 113.50",
1945
+ "B) 110.09",
1946
+ "C) 116.91",
1947
+ "D) 120.31"
1948
+ ],
1949
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1950
+ "answer_raw": "113.50",
1951
+ "unit": "index",
1952
+ "condition": "forecast",
1953
+ "year": 2017
1954
+ },
1955
+ {
1956
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170301",
1957
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1958
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1959
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
1960
+ "transform": "level",
1961
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
1962
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
1963
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.55\nB) 99.53\nC) 92.57\nD) 102.52",
1964
+ "options": [
1965
+ "A) 96.55",
1966
+ "B) 99.53",
1967
+ "C) 92.57",
1968
+ "D) 102.52"
1969
+ ],
1970
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1971
+ "answer_raw": "99.53",
1972
+ "unit": "index",
1973
+ "condition": "forecast",
1974
+ "year": 2017
1975
+ },
1976
+ {
1977
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170901",
1978
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1979
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1980
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
1981
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1982
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
1983
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
1984
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.88%",
1985
+ "options": [
1986
+ "A) 6.12%",
1987
+ "B) 6.69%",
1988
+ "C) 5.00%",
1989
+ "D) 3.88%"
1990
+ ],
1991
+ "answer_letter": "C",
1992
+ "answer_raw": "5.00%",
1993
+ "unit": "%",
1994
+ "condition": "forecast",
1995
+ "year": 2017
1996
+ },
1997
+ {
1998
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170301",
1999
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2000
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2001
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
2002
+ "transform": "level",
2003
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2004
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2005
+ "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 193.68\nB) 208.03\nC) 179.33\nD) 186.51",
2006
+ "options": [
2007
+ "A) 193.68",
2008
+ "B) 208.03",
2009
+ "C) 179.33",
2010
+ "D) 186.51"
2011
+ ],
2012
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2013
+ "answer_raw": "186.51",
2014
+ "unit": "index",
2015
+ "condition": "forecast",
2016
+ "year": 2017
2017
+ },
2018
+ {
2019
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170901",
2020
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2021
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2022
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
2023
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2024
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2025
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2026
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.88pp",
2027
+ "options": [
2028
+ "A) -0.70pp",
2029
+ "B) -0.34pp",
2030
+ "C) -0.16pp",
2031
+ "D) -0.88pp"
2032
+ ],
2033
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2034
+ "answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
2035
+ "unit": "pp",
2036
+ "condition": "forecast",
2037
+ "year": 2017
2038
+ },
2039
+ {
2040
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170901",
2041
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2042
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2043
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
2044
+ "transform": "level",
2045
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2046
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2047
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 253.83\nB) 246.44\nC) 239.04\nD) 234.11",
2048
+ "options": [
2049
+ "A) 253.83",
2050
+ "B) 246.44",
2051
+ "C) 239.04",
2052
+ "D) 234.11"
2053
+ ],
2054
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2055
+ "answer_raw": "246.44",
2056
+ "unit": "index",
2057
+ "condition": "forecast",
2058
+ "year": 2017
2059
+ },
2060
+ {
2061
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170901",
2062
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2063
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2064
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
2065
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2066
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2067
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2068
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.62%",
2069
+ "options": [
2070
+ "A) 4.95%",
2071
+ "B) 5.62%",
2072
+ "C) 5.29%",
2073
+ "D) 4.62%"
2074
+ ],
2075
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2076
+ "answer_raw": "5.29%",
2077
+ "unit": "%",
2078
+ "condition": "forecast",
2079
+ "year": 2017
2080
+ },
2081
+ {
2082
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170301",
2083
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2084
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2085
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2086
+ "transform": "level",
2087
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2088
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2089
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,856M",
2090
+ "options": [
2091
+ "A) $4,300,000M",
2092
+ "B) $6,200,000M",
2093
+ "C) $2,400,000M",
2094
+ "D) $3,856M"
2095
+ ],
2096
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2097
+ "answer_raw": "$3,856M",
2098
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2099
+ "condition": "forecast",
2100
+ "year": 2017
2101
+ },
2102
+ {
2103
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170901",
2104
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2105
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2106
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
2107
+ "transform": "level",
2108
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2109
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2110
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 59.95%",
2111
+ "options": [
2112
+ "A) 63.10%",
2113
+ "B) 64.99%",
2114
+ "C) 61.21%",
2115
+ "D) 59.95%"
2116
+ ],
2117
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2118
+ "answer_raw": "63.10%",
2119
+ "unit": "%",
2120
+ "condition": "forecast",
2121
+ "year": 2017
2122
+ },
2123
+ {
2124
+ "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170301",
2125
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2126
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2127
+ "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
2128
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2129
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2130
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2131
+ "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 7.12%",
2132
+ "options": [
2133
+ "A) 2.61%",
2134
+ "B) 5.62%",
2135
+ "C) 4.12%",
2136
+ "D) 7.12%"
2137
+ ],
2138
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2139
+ "answer_raw": "5.62%",
2140
+ "unit": "%",
2141
+ "condition": "forecast",
2142
+ "year": 2017
2143
+ },
2144
+ {
2145
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170301",
2146
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2147
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2148
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
2149
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2150
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2151
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2152
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.43pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -1.12pp",
2153
+ "options": [
2154
+ "A) -0.43pp",
2155
+ "B) -0.25pp",
2156
+ "C) -0.60pp",
2157
+ "D) -1.12pp"
2158
+ ],
2159
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2160
+ "answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
2161
+ "unit": "pp",
2162
+ "condition": "forecast",
2163
+ "year": 2017
2164
+ },
2165
+ {
2166
+ "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20170615",
2167
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2168
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2169
+ "indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
2170
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2171
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2172
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
2173
+ "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 35.05%\nC) -35.37%\nD) -7.20%",
2174
+ "options": [
2175
+ "A) 6.88%",
2176
+ "B) 35.05%",
2177
+ "C) -35.37%",
2178
+ "D) -7.20%"
2179
+ ],
2180
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2181
+ "answer_raw": "-7.20%",
2182
+ "unit": "%",
2183
+ "condition": "forecast",
2184
+ "year": 2017
2185
+ },
2186
+ {
2187
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170901",
2188
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2189
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2190
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
2191
+ "transform": "level",
2192
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2193
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2194
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.80\nB) 102.79\nC) 93.81\nD) 96.80",
2195
+ "options": [
2196
+ "A) 99.80",
2197
+ "B) 102.79",
2198
+ "C) 93.81",
2199
+ "D) 96.80"
2200
+ ],
2201
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2202
+ "answer_raw": "99.80",
2203
+ "unit": "index",
2204
+ "condition": "forecast",
2205
+ "year": 2017
2206
+ },
2207
+ {
2208
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170901",
2209
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2210
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2211
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2212
+ "transform": "level",
2213
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2214
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2215
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.21%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%",
2216
+ "options": [
2217
+ "A) 62.21%",
2218
+ "B) 60.40%",
2219
+ "C) 57.38%",
2220
+ "D) 58.59%"
2221
+ ],
2222
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2223
+ "answer_raw": "60.40%",
2224
+ "unit": "%",
2225
+ "condition": "forecast",
2226
+ "year": 2017
2227
+ },
2228
+ {
2229
+ "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20170615",
2230
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2231
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2232
+ "indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
2233
+ "transform": "level",
2234
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2235
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
2236
+ "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,735.41\nB) 4,875.22\nC) 6,165.50\nD) 7,455.78",
2237
+ "options": [
2238
+ "A) 5,735.41",
2239
+ "B) 4,875.22",
2240
+ "C) 6,165.50",
2241
+ "D) 7,455.78"
2242
+ ],
2243
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2244
+ "answer_raw": "6,165.50",
2245
+ "unit": "index",
2246
+ "condition": "forecast",
2247
+ "year": 2017
2248
+ },
2249
+ {
2250
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170901",
2251
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2252
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2253
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
2254
+ "transform": "level",
2255
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2256
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2257
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 4.88%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.30%",
2258
+ "options": [
2259
+ "A) 2.57%",
2260
+ "B) 4.88%",
2261
+ "C) 3.72%",
2262
+ "D) 4.30%"
2263
+ ],
2264
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2265
+ "answer_raw": "4.30%",
2266
+ "unit": "%",
2267
+ "condition": "forecast",
2268
+ "year": 2017
2269
+ },
2270
+ {
2271
+ "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20170615",
2272
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2273
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2274
+ "indicator": "VIXCLS",
2275
+ "transform": "level",
2276
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2277
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
2278
+ "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.90\nB) 9.18\nC) 14.33\nD) 16.05",
2279
+ "options": [
2280
+ "A) 10.90",
2281
+ "B) 9.18",
2282
+ "C) 14.33",
2283
+ "D) 16.05"
2284
+ ],
2285
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2286
+ "answer_raw": "10.90",
2287
+ "unit": "index",
2288
+ "condition": "forecast",
2289
+ "year": 2017
2290
+ },
2291
+ {
2292
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170301",
2293
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2294
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2295
+ "indicator": "PCE",
2296
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2297
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2298
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2299
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.13%",
2300
+ "options": [
2301
+ "A) 4.49%",
2302
+ "B) 4.81%",
2303
+ "C) 4.16%",
2304
+ "D) 5.13%"
2305
+ ],
2306
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2307
+ "answer_raw": "4.81%",
2308
+ "unit": "%",
2309
+ "condition": "forecast",
2310
+ "year": 2017
2311
+ },
2312
+ {
2313
+ "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20170615",
2314
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2315
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2316
+ "indicator": "DJIA",
2317
+ "transform": "level",
2318
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2319
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
2320
+ "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,574.92\nB) 20,764.91\nC) 21,359.90\nD) 21,954.89",
2321
+ "options": [
2322
+ "A) 19,574.92",
2323
+ "B) 20,764.91",
2324
+ "C) 21,359.90",
2325
+ "D) 21,954.89"
2326
+ ],
2327
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2328
+ "answer_raw": "21,359.90",
2329
+ "unit": "index",
2330
+ "condition": "forecast",
2331
+ "year": 2017
2332
+ },
2333
+ {
2334
+ "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20170615",
2335
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2336
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2337
+ "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
2338
+ "transform": "level",
2339
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2340
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
2341
+ "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.91%",
2342
+ "options": [
2343
+ "A) 3.41%",
2344
+ "B) 4.41%",
2345
+ "C) 3.57%",
2346
+ "D) 3.91%"
2347
+ ],
2348
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2349
+ "answer_raw": "3.91%",
2350
+ "unit": "%",
2351
+ "condition": "forecast",
2352
+ "year": 2017
2353
+ },
2354
+ {
2355
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170901",
2356
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2357
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2358
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
2359
+ "transform": "level",
2360
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2361
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2362
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 194.80\nB) 186.51\nC) 190.65\nD) 198.95",
2363
+ "options": [
2364
+ "A) 194.80",
2365
+ "B) 186.51",
2366
+ "C) 190.65",
2367
+ "D) 198.95"
2368
+ ],
2369
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2370
+ "answer_raw": "194.80",
2371
+ "unit": "index",
2372
+ "condition": "forecast",
2373
+ "year": 2017
2374
+ },
2375
+ {
2376
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
2377
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2378
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2379
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
2380
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2381
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2382
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2383
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 5.31%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 4.26%",
2384
+ "options": [
2385
+ "A) 7.42%",
2386
+ "B) 5.31%",
2387
+ "C) 2.16%",
2388
+ "D) 4.26%"
2389
+ ],
2390
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2391
+ "answer_raw": "5.31%",
2392
+ "unit": "%",
2393
+ "condition": "forecast",
2394
+ "year": 2017
2395
+ },
2396
+ {
2397
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170301",
2398
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2399
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2400
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
2401
+ "transform": "level",
2402
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2403
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2404
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,972B\nB) $12,447B\nC) $13,464B\nD) $14,480B",
2405
+ "options": [
2406
+ "A) $13,972B",
2407
+ "B) $12,447B",
2408
+ "C) $13,464B",
2409
+ "D) $14,480B"
2410
+ ],
2411
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2412
+ "answer_raw": "$13,464B",
2413
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
2414
+ "condition": "forecast",
2415
+ "year": 2017
2416
+ },
2417
+ {
2418
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170301",
2419
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2420
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2421
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
2422
+ "transform": "level",
2423
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2424
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2425
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.79%",
2426
+ "options": [
2427
+ "A) 0.59%",
2428
+ "B) 0.92%",
2429
+ "C) 0.72%",
2430
+ "D) 0.79%"
2431
+ ],
2432
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2433
+ "answer_raw": "0.79%",
2434
+ "unit": "%",
2435
+ "condition": "forecast",
2436
+ "year": 2017
2437
+ },
2438
+ {
2439
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170901",
2440
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2441
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2442
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
2443
+ "transform": "level",
2444
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2445
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2446
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.24\nB) 95.14\nC) 97.18\nD) 103.30",
2447
+ "options": [
2448
+ "A) 100.24",
2449
+ "B) 95.14",
2450
+ "C) 97.18",
2451
+ "D) 103.30"
2452
+ ],
2453
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2454
+ "answer_raw": "100.24",
2455
+ "unit": "index",
2456
+ "condition": "forecast",
2457
+ "year": 2017
2458
+ },
2459
+ {
2460
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170901",
2461
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2462
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2463
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
2464
+ "transform": "level",
2465
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2466
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2467
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $3,874M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
2468
+ "options": [
2469
+ "A) $4,300,000M",
2470
+ "B) $3,874M",
2471
+ "C) $2,400,000M",
2472
+ "D) $6,200,000M"
2473
+ ],
2474
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2475
+ "answer_raw": "$3,874M",
2476
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2477
+ "condition": "forecast",
2478
+ "year": 2017
2479
+ },
2480
+ {
2481
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170901",
2482
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2483
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2484
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
2485
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2486
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2487
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2488
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 8.93%",
2489
+ "options": [
2490
+ "A) 5.14%",
2491
+ "B) 1.35%",
2492
+ "C) 7.04%",
2493
+ "D) 8.93%"
2494
+ ],
2495
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2496
+ "answer_raw": "7.04%",
2497
+ "unit": "%",
2498
+ "condition": "forecast",
2499
+ "year": 2017
2500
+ },
2501
+ {
2502
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170901",
2503
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2504
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2505
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
2506
+ "transform": "level",
2507
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2508
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2509
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $235,064M\nB) $209,935M\nC) $241,346M\nD) $228,782M",
2510
+ "options": [
2511
+ "A) $235,064M",
2512
+ "B) $209,935M",
2513
+ "C) $241,346M",
2514
+ "D) $228,782M"
2515
+ ],
2516
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2517
+ "answer_raw": "$228,782M",
2518
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2519
+ "condition": "forecast",
2520
+ "year": 2017
2521
+ },
2522
+ {
2523
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170901",
2524
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2525
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2526
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
2527
+ "transform": "level",
2528
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2529
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2530
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,764B\nB) $13,679B\nC) $15,849B\nD) $15,126B",
2531
+ "options": [
2532
+ "A) $14,764B",
2533
+ "B) $13,679B",
2534
+ "C) $15,849B",
2535
+ "D) $15,126B"
2536
+ ],
2537
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2538
+ "answer_raw": "$14,764B",
2539
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
2540
+ "condition": "forecast",
2541
+ "year": 2017
2542
+ },
2543
+ {
2544
+ "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20170615",
2545
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2546
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2547
+ "indicator": "TOTBKCR",
2548
+ "transform": "level",
2549
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2550
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
2551
+ "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,780B\nB) $12,247B\nC) $11,312B\nD) $12,714B",
2552
+ "options": [
2553
+ "A) $11,780B",
2554
+ "B) $12,247B",
2555
+ "C) $11,312B",
2556
+ "D) $12,714B"
2557
+ ],
2558
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2559
+ "answer_raw": "$12,247B",
2560
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
2561
+ "condition": "forecast",
2562
+ "year": 2017
2563
+ },
2564
+ {
2565
+ "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20170615",
2566
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2567
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2568
+ "indicator": "DGS3MO",
2569
+ "transform": "level",
2570
+ "target_period": "2017-06-15",
2571
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
2572
+ "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 0.70%",
2573
+ "options": [
2574
+ "A) 1.23%",
2575
+ "B) 0.91%",
2576
+ "C) 1.02%",
2577
+ "D) 0.70%"
2578
+ ],
2579
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2580
+ "answer_raw": "1.02%",
2581
+ "unit": "%",
2582
+ "condition": "forecast",
2583
+ "year": 2017
2584
+ },
2585
+ {
2586
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
2587
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2588
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2589
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
2590
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
2591
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2592
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2593
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.76%",
2594
+ "options": [
2595
+ "A) 2.34%",
2596
+ "B) 2.05%",
2597
+ "C) 2.63%",
2598
+ "D) 1.76%"
2599
+ ],
2600
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2601
+ "answer_raw": "1.76%",
2602
+ "unit": "%",
2603
+ "condition": "forecast",
2604
+ "year": 2017
2605
+ },
2606
+ {
2607
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170301",
2608
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2609
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2610
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2611
+ "transform": "level",
2612
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2613
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2614
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.90\nB) 104.45\nC) 89.35\nD) 108.23",
2615
+ "options": [
2616
+ "A) 96.90",
2617
+ "B) 104.45",
2618
+ "C) 89.35",
2619
+ "D) 108.23"
2620
+ ],
2621
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2622
+ "answer_raw": "96.90",
2623
+ "unit": "index",
2624
+ "condition": "forecast",
2625
+ "year": 2017
2626
+ },
2627
+ {
2628
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170901",
2629
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2630
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2631
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
2632
+ "transform": "level",
2633
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2634
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2635
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $-43,128M\nB) $-41,593M\nC) $-36,989M\nD) $-38,524M",
2636
+ "options": [
2637
+ "A) $-43,128M",
2638
+ "B) $-41,593M",
2639
+ "C) $-36,989M",
2640
+ "D) $-38,524M"
2641
+ ],
2642
+ "answer_letter": "B",
2643
+ "answer_raw": "$-41,593M",
2644
+ "unit": "usd_million",
2645
+ "condition": "forecast",
2646
+ "year": 2017
2647
+ },
2648
+ {
2649
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170901",
2650
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2651
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2652
+ "indicator": "TCU",
2653
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2654
+ "target_period": "September 2017",
2655
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
2656
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.47pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) +3.19pp",
2657
+ "options": [
2658
+ "A) +2.47pp",
2659
+ "B) -1.10pp",
2660
+ "C) +1.04pp",
2661
+ "D) +3.19pp"
2662
+ ],
2663
+ "answer_letter": "C",
2664
+ "answer_raw": "+1.04pp",
2665
+ "unit": "pp",
2666
+ "condition": "forecast",
2667
+ "year": 2017
2668
+ },
2669
+ {
2670
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170301",
2671
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2672
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2673
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
2674
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
2675
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2676
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2677
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.01pp\nB) +13.18pp\nC) +9.54pp\nD) +5.90pp",
2678
+ "options": [
2679
+ "A) -5.01pp",
2680
+ "B) +13.18pp",
2681
+ "C) +9.54pp",
2682
+ "D) +5.90pp"
2683
+ ],
2684
+ "answer_letter": "D",
2685
+ "answer_raw": "+5.90pp",
2686
+ "unit": "pp",
2687
+ "condition": "forecast",
2688
+ "year": 2017
2689
+ },
2690
+ {
2691
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170301",
2692
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
2693
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
2694
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
2695
+ "transform": "level",
2696
+ "target_period": "March 2017",
2697
+ "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
2698
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.20%\nB) 62.01%\nC) 59.00%\nD) 63.21%",
2699
+ "options": [
2700
+ "A) 60.20%",
2701
+ "B) 62.01%",
2702
+ "C) 59.00%",
2703
+ "D) 63.21%"
2704
+ ],
2705
+ "answer_letter": "A",
2706
+ "answer_raw": "60.20%",
2707
+ "unit": "%",
2708
+ "condition": "forecast",
2709
+ "year": 2017
2710
+ }
2711
+ ]
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mcq_2026.json ADDED
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1
+ [
2
+ {
3
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20260301",
4
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
5
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
6
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
7
+ "transform": "level",
8
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
9
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
10
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.86\nB) 101.81\nC) 98.75\nD) 108.93",
11
+ "options": [
12
+ "A) 104.86",
13
+ "B) 101.81",
14
+ "C) 98.75",
15
+ "D) 108.93"
16
+ ],
17
+ "answer_letter": "B",
18
+ "answer_raw": "101.81",
19
+ "unit": "index",
20
+ "condition": "forecast",
21
+ "year": 2026
22
+ },
23
+ {
24
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20260301",
25
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
26
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
27
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
28
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
29
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
30
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
31
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.56%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 9.47%\nD) 19.51%",
32
+ "options": [
33
+ "A) -0.56%",
34
+ "B) 2.78%",
35
+ "C) 9.47%",
36
+ "D) 19.51%"
37
+ ],
38
+ "answer_letter": "C",
39
+ "answer_raw": "9.47%",
40
+ "unit": "%",
41
+ "condition": "forecast",
42
+ "year": 2026
43
+ },
44
+ {
45
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20260301",
46
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
47
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
48
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
49
+ "transform": "level",
50
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
51
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
52
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $25,347B\nB) $21,857B\nC) $26,220B\nD) $23,602B",
53
+ "options": [
54
+ "A) $25,347B",
55
+ "B) $21,857B",
56
+ "C) $26,220B",
57
+ "D) $23,602B"
58
+ ],
59
+ "answer_letter": "D",
60
+ "answer_raw": "$23,602B",
61
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
62
+ "condition": "forecast",
63
+ "year": 2026
64
+ },
65
+ {
66
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20260301",
67
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
68
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
69
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
70
+ "transform": "level",
71
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
72
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
73
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.20%\nB) 57.42%\nC) 60.98%\nD) 63.34%",
74
+ "options": [
75
+ "A) 59.20%",
76
+ "B) 57.42%",
77
+ "C) 60.98%",
78
+ "D) 63.34%"
79
+ ],
80
+ "answer_letter": "A",
81
+ "answer_raw": "59.20%",
82
+ "unit": "%",
83
+ "condition": "forecast",
84
+ "year": 2026
85
+ },
86
+ {
87
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20260301",
88
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
89
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
90
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
91
+ "transform": "level",
92
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
93
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
94
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 296.83\nB) 276.42\nC) 283.22\nD) 256.01",
95
+ "options": [
96
+ "A) 296.83",
97
+ "B) 276.42",
98
+ "C) 283.22",
99
+ "D) 256.01"
100
+ ],
101
+ "answer_letter": "B",
102
+ "answer_raw": "276.42",
103
+ "unit": "index",
104
+ "condition": "forecast",
105
+ "year": 2026
106
+ },
107
+ {
108
+ "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20260301",
109
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
110
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
111
+ "indicator": "INDPRO",
112
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
113
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
114
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
115
+ "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -2.69%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -4.42%",
116
+ "options": [
117
+ "A) -0.97%",
118
+ "B) -2.69%",
119
+ "C) 0.76%",
120
+ "D) -4.42%"
121
+ ],
122
+ "answer_letter": "C",
123
+ "answer_raw": "0.76%",
124
+ "unit": "%",
125
+ "condition": "forecast",
126
+ "year": 2026
127
+ },
128
+ {
129
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20260301",
130
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
131
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
132
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
133
+ "transform": "level",
134
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
135
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
136
+ "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $817,063M\nB) $689,677M\nC) $795,832M\nD) $753,370M",
137
+ "options": [
138
+ "A) $817,063M",
139
+ "B) $689,677M",
140
+ "C) $795,832M",
141
+ "D) $753,370M"
142
+ ],
143
+ "answer_letter": "D",
144
+ "answer_raw": "$753,370M",
145
+ "unit": "usd_million",
146
+ "condition": "forecast",
147
+ "year": 2026
148
+ },
149
+ {
150
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20260301",
151
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
152
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
153
+ "indicator": "TCU",
154
+ "transform": "level",
155
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
156
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
157
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.67%\nB) 73.40%\nC) 77.94%\nD) 80.21%",
158
+ "options": [
159
+ "A) 75.67%",
160
+ "B) 73.40%",
161
+ "C) 77.94%",
162
+ "D) 80.21%"
163
+ ],
164
+ "answer_letter": "A",
165
+ "answer_raw": "75.67%",
166
+ "unit": "%",
167
+ "condition": "forecast",
168
+ "year": 2026
169
+ },
170
+ {
171
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20260301",
172
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
173
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
174
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
175
+ "transform": "level",
176
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
177
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
178
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.66\nB) 154.37\nC) 142.80\nD) 158.23",
179
+ "options": [
180
+ "A) 146.66",
181
+ "B) 154.37",
182
+ "C) 142.80",
183
+ "D) 158.23"
184
+ ],
185
+ "answer_letter": "B",
186
+ "answer_raw": "154.37",
187
+ "unit": "index",
188
+ "condition": "forecast",
189
+ "year": 2026
190
+ },
191
+ {
192
+ "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20260301",
193
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
194
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
195
+ "indicator": "BOPGSTB",
196
+ "transform": "level",
197
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
198
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
199
+ "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $-68,659M\nB) $-51,955M\nC) $-60,307M\nD) $-43,604M",
200
+ "options": [
201
+ "A) $-68,659M",
202
+ "B) $-51,955M",
203
+ "C) $-60,307M",
204
+ "D) $-43,604M"
205
+ ],
206
+ "answer_letter": "C",
207
+ "answer_raw": "$-60,307M",
208
+ "unit": "usd_million",
209
+ "condition": "forecast",
210
+ "year": 2026
211
+ },
212
+ {
213
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20260301",
214
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
215
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
216
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
217
+ "transform": "level",
218
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
219
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
220
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.30%",
221
+ "options": [
222
+ "A) 4.65%",
223
+ "B) 5.00%",
224
+ "C) 3.60%",
225
+ "D) 4.30%"
226
+ ],
227
+ "answer_letter": "D",
228
+ "answer_raw": "4.30%",
229
+ "unit": "%",
230
+ "condition": "forecast",
231
+ "year": 2026
232
+ },
233
+ {
234
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
235
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
236
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
237
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
238
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
239
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
240
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
241
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 1.88%",
242
+ "options": [
243
+ "A) 3.50%",
244
+ "B) 5.12%",
245
+ "C) 5.93%",
246
+ "D) 1.88%"
247
+ ],
248
+ "answer_letter": "A",
249
+ "answer_raw": "3.50%",
250
+ "unit": "%",
251
+ "condition": "forecast",
252
+ "year": 2026
253
+ },
254
+ {
255
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
256
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
257
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
258
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
259
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
260
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
261
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
262
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.43%",
263
+ "options": [
264
+ "A) 4.66%",
265
+ "B) 3.55%",
266
+ "C) 2.99%",
267
+ "D) 2.43%"
268
+ ],
269
+ "answer_letter": "B",
270
+ "answer_raw": "3.55%",
271
+ "unit": "%",
272
+ "condition": "forecast",
273
+ "year": 2026
274
+ },
275
+ {
276
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20260301",
277
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
278
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
279
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
280
+ "transform": "level",
281
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
282
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
283
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 60.04%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 63.76%",
284
+ "options": [
285
+ "A) 65.00%",
286
+ "B) 60.04%",
287
+ "C) 61.90%",
288
+ "D) 63.76%"
289
+ ],
290
+ "answer_letter": "C",
291
+ "answer_raw": "61.90%",
292
+ "unit": "%",
293
+ "condition": "forecast",
294
+ "year": 2026
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20260301",
298
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
299
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
300
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
301
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
302
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
303
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
304
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.09%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 18.82%\nD) 10.85%",
305
+ "options": [
306
+ "A) -5.09%",
307
+ "B) -13.07%",
308
+ "C) 18.82%",
309
+ "D) 10.85%"
310
+ ],
311
+ "answer_letter": "D",
312
+ "answer_raw": "10.85%",
313
+ "unit": "%",
314
+ "condition": "forecast",
315
+ "year": 2026
316
+ },
317
+ {
318
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20260301",
319
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
320
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
321
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
322
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
323
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
324
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
325
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.33%",
326
+ "options": [
327
+ "A) 2.67%",
328
+ "B) 2.01%",
329
+ "C) 0.69%",
330
+ "D) 3.33%"
331
+ ],
332
+ "answer_letter": "A",
333
+ "answer_raw": "2.67%",
334
+ "unit": "%",
335
+ "condition": "forecast",
336
+ "year": 2026
337
+ },
338
+ {
339
+ "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20260301",
340
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
341
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
342
+ "indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
343
+ "transform": "level",
344
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
345
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
346
+ "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 2.59%",
347
+ "options": [
348
+ "A) 1.55%",
349
+ "B) 3.64%",
350
+ "C) 5.73%",
351
+ "D) 2.59%"
352
+ ],
353
+ "answer_letter": "B",
354
+ "answer_raw": "3.64%",
355
+ "unit": "%",
356
+ "condition": "forecast",
357
+ "year": 2026
358
+ },
359
+ {
360
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20260301",
361
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
362
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
363
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
364
+ "transform": "level",
365
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
366
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
367
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,459M\nD) $6,200,000M",
368
+ "options": [
369
+ "A) $2,400,000M",
370
+ "B) $4,300,000M",
371
+ "C) $5,459M",
372
+ "D) $6,200,000M"
373
+ ],
374
+ "answer_letter": "C",
375
+ "answer_raw": "$5,459M",
376
+ "unit": "usd_million",
377
+ "condition": "forecast",
378
+ "year": 2026
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20260301",
382
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
383
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
384
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
385
+ "transform": "level",
386
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
387
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
388
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 119.84\nB) 135.57\nC) 132.42\nD) 129.28",
389
+ "options": [
390
+ "A) 119.84",
391
+ "B) 135.57",
392
+ "C) 132.42",
393
+ "D) 129.28"
394
+ ],
395
+ "answer_letter": "D",
396
+ "answer_raw": "129.28",
397
+ "unit": "index",
398
+ "condition": "forecast",
399
+ "year": 2026
400
+ },
401
+ {
402
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20260301",
403
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
404
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
405
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
406
+ "transform": "level",
407
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
408
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
409
+ "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 158,621K\nB) 169,690K\nC) 163,048K\nD) 154,194K",
410
+ "options": [
411
+ "A) 158,621K",
412
+ "B) 169,690K",
413
+ "C) 163,048K",
414
+ "D) 154,194K"
415
+ ],
416
+ "answer_letter": "A",
417
+ "answer_raw": "158,621K",
418
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
419
+ "condition": "forecast",
420
+ "year": 2026
421
+ },
422
+ {
423
+ "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20260301",
424
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
425
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
426
+ "indicator": "PSAVERT",
427
+ "transform": "level",
428
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
429
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
430
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.66%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 6.97%\nD) 5.29%",
431
+ "options": [
432
+ "A) 8.66%",
433
+ "B) 3.60%",
434
+ "C) 6.97%",
435
+ "D) 5.29%"
436
+ ],
437
+ "answer_letter": "B",
438
+ "answer_raw": "3.60%",
439
+ "unit": "%",
440
+ "condition": "forecast",
441
+ "year": 2026
442
+ },
443
+ {
444
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20260301",
445
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
446
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
447
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
448
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
449
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
450
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
451
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.71%\nB) 15.42%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -8.86%",
452
+ "options": [
453
+ "A) -13.71%",
454
+ "B) 15.42%",
455
+ "C) 0.85%",
456
+ "D) -8.86%"
457
+ ],
458
+ "answer_letter": "C",
459
+ "answer_raw": "0.85%",
460
+ "unit": "%",
461
+ "condition": "forecast",
462
+ "year": 2026
463
+ },
464
+ {
465
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20260301",
466
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
467
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
468
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
469
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
470
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
471
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
472
+ "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 6.53%\nD) 3.32%",
473
+ "options": [
474
+ "A) 4.39%",
475
+ "B) 0.12%",
476
+ "C) 6.53%",
477
+ "D) 3.32%"
478
+ ],
479
+ "answer_letter": "D",
480
+ "answer_raw": "3.32%",
481
+ "unit": "%",
482
+ "condition": "forecast",
483
+ "year": 2026
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20260301",
487
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
488
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
489
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
490
+ "transform": "level",
491
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
492
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
493
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,686B\nB) $21,804B\nC) $23,274B\nD) $24,156B",
494
+ "options": [
495
+ "A) $22,686B",
496
+ "B) $21,804B",
497
+ "C) $23,274B",
498
+ "D) $24,156B"
499
+ ],
500
+ "answer_letter": "A",
501
+ "answer_raw": "$22,686B",
502
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
503
+ "condition": "forecast",
504
+ "year": 2026
505
+ },
506
+ {
507
+ "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20260301",
508
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
509
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
510
+ "indicator": "NEWORDER",
511
+ "transform": "level",
512
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
513
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
514
+ "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $79,268M\nB) $82,960M\nC) $85,421M\nD) $76,806M",
515
+ "options": [
516
+ "A) $79,268M",
517
+ "B) $82,960M",
518
+ "C) $85,421M",
519
+ "D) $76,806M"
520
+ ],
521
+ "answer_letter": "B",
522
+ "answer_raw": "$82,960M",
523
+ "unit": "usd_million",
524
+ "condition": "forecast",
525
+ "year": 2026
526
+ },
527
+ {
528
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20260301",
529
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
530
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
531
+ "indicator": "PCEPILFE",
532
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
533
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
534
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
535
+ "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 2.67%",
536
+ "options": [
537
+ "A) 4.81%",
538
+ "B) 4.28%",
539
+ "C) 3.20%",
540
+ "D) 2.67%"
541
+ ],
542
+ "answer_letter": "C",
543
+ "answer_raw": "3.20%",
544
+ "unit": "%",
545
+ "condition": "forecast",
546
+ "year": 2026
547
+ },
548
+ {
549
+ "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20260301",
550
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
551
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
552
+ "indicator": "CPILFESL",
553
+ "transform": "level",
554
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
555
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
556
+ "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 352.38\nB) 361.49\nC) 325.06\nD) 334.17",
557
+ "options": [
558
+ "A) 352.38",
559
+ "B) 361.49",
560
+ "C) 325.06",
561
+ "D) 334.17"
562
+ ],
563
+ "answer_letter": "D",
564
+ "answer_raw": "334.17",
565
+ "unit": "index",
566
+ "condition": "forecast",
567
+ "year": 2026
568
+ },
569
+ {
570
+ "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20260301",
571
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
572
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
573
+ "indicator": "PAYEMS",
574
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
575
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
576
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
577
+ "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.45%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 2.74%",
578
+ "options": [
579
+ "A) 0.15%",
580
+ "B) 1.45%",
581
+ "C) -2.44%",
582
+ "D) 2.74%"
583
+ ],
584
+ "answer_letter": "A",
585
+ "answer_raw": "0.15%",
586
+ "unit": "%",
587
+ "condition": "forecast",
588
+ "year": 2026
589
+ },
590
+ {
591
+ "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20260301",
592
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
593
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
594
+ "indicator": "EMRATIO",
595
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
596
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
597
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
598
+ "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) -2.28pp",
599
+ "options": [
600
+ "A) +1.66pp",
601
+ "B) -0.70pp",
602
+ "C) +0.88pp",
603
+ "D) -2.28pp"
604
+ ],
605
+ "answer_letter": "B",
606
+ "answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
607
+ "unit": "pp",
608
+ "condition": "forecast",
609
+ "year": 2026
610
+ },
611
+ {
612
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20260301",
613
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
614
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
615
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
616
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
617
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
618
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
619
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +16.44pp\nB) +3.01pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) -23.84pp",
620
+ "options": [
621
+ "A) +16.44pp",
622
+ "B) +3.01pp",
623
+ "C) -3.70pp",
624
+ "D) -23.84pp"
625
+ ],
626
+ "answer_letter": "C",
627
+ "answer_raw": "-3.70pp",
628
+ "unit": "pp",
629
+ "condition": "forecast",
630
+ "year": 2026
631
+ },
632
+ {
633
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20260301",
634
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
635
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
636
+ "indicator": "PCE",
637
+ "transform": "level",
638
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
639
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
640
+ "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,142B\nB) $19,283B\nC) $21,001B\nD) $21,860B",
641
+ "options": [
642
+ "A) $20,142B",
643
+ "B) $19,283B",
644
+ "C) $21,001B",
645
+ "D) $21,860B"
646
+ ],
647
+ "answer_letter": "D",
648
+ "answer_raw": "$21,860B",
649
+ "unit": "usd_billion",
650
+ "condition": "forecast",
651
+ "year": 2026
652
+ },
653
+ {
654
+ "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20260301",
655
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
656
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
657
+ "indicator": "PCE",
658
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
659
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
660
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
661
+ "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 12.56%\nC) -1.17%\nD) 1.12%",
662
+ "options": [
663
+ "A) 5.69%",
664
+ "B) 12.56%",
665
+ "C) -1.17%",
666
+ "D) 1.12%"
667
+ ],
668
+ "answer_letter": "A",
669
+ "answer_raw": "5.69%",
670
+ "unit": "%",
671
+ "condition": "forecast",
672
+ "year": 2026
673
+ },
674
+ {
675
+ "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20260301",
676
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
677
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
678
+ "indicator": "UMCSENT",
679
+ "transform": "level",
680
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
681
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
682
+ "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.96\nB) 53.30\nC) 62.61\nD) 67.27",
683
+ "options": [
684
+ "A) 57.96",
685
+ "B) 53.30",
686
+ "C) 62.61",
687
+ "D) 67.27"
688
+ ],
689
+ "answer_letter": "B",
690
+ "answer_raw": "53.30",
691
+ "unit": "index",
692
+ "condition": "forecast",
693
+ "year": 2026
694
+ },
695
+ {
696
+ "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20260301",
697
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
698
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
699
+ "indicator": "PPIACO",
700
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
701
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
702
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
703
+ "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 21.37%\nC) 6.92%\nD) -7.52%",
704
+ "options": [
705
+ "A) 2.11%",
706
+ "B) 21.37%",
707
+ "C) 6.92%",
708
+ "D) -7.52%"
709
+ ],
710
+ "answer_letter": "C",
711
+ "answer_raw": "6.92%",
712
+ "unit": "%",
713
+ "condition": "forecast",
714
+ "year": 2026
715
+ },
716
+ {
717
+ "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20260301",
718
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
719
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
720
+ "indicator": "DGORDER",
721
+ "transform": "level",
722
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
723
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
724
+ "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $309,526M\nB) $337,676M\nC) $300,142M\nD) $318,909M",
725
+ "options": [
726
+ "A) $309,526M",
727
+ "B) $337,676M",
728
+ "C) $300,142M",
729
+ "D) $318,909M"
730
+ ],
731
+ "answer_letter": "D",
732
+ "answer_raw": "$318,909M",
733
+ "unit": "usd_million",
734
+ "condition": "forecast",
735
+ "year": 2026
736
+ },
737
+ {
738
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20260301",
739
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
740
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
741
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
742
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
743
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
744
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
745
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.97%\nB) 6.05%\nC) -28.99%\nD) -0.96%",
746
+ "options": [
747
+ "A) -7.97%",
748
+ "B) 6.05%",
749
+ "C) -28.99%",
750
+ "D) -0.96%"
751
+ ],
752
+ "answer_letter": "A",
753
+ "answer_raw": "-7.97%",
754
+ "unit": "%",
755
+ "condition": "forecast",
756
+ "year": 2026
757
+ },
758
+ {
759
+ "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20260301",
760
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
761
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
762
+ "indicator": "PERMIT",
763
+ "transform": "level",
764
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
765
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
766
+ "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,211K\nB) 1,363K\nC) 1,515K\nD) 1,439K",
767
+ "options": [
768
+ "A) 1,211K",
769
+ "B) 1,363K",
770
+ "C) 1,515K",
771
+ "D) 1,439K"
772
+ ],
773
+ "answer_letter": "B",
774
+ "answer_raw": "1,363K",
775
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
776
+ "condition": "forecast",
777
+ "year": 2026
778
+ },
779
+ {
780
+ "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20260301",
781
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
782
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
783
+ "indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
784
+ "transform": "level",
785
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
786
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
787
+ "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 348.25\nB) 357.23\nC) 330.29\nD) 303.36",
788
+ "options": [
789
+ "A) 348.25",
790
+ "B) 357.23",
791
+ "C) 330.29",
792
+ "D) 303.36"
793
+ ],
794
+ "answer_letter": "C",
795
+ "answer_raw": "330.29",
796
+ "unit": "index",
797
+ "condition": "forecast",
798
+ "year": 2026
799
+ },
800
+ {
801
+ "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20260301",
802
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
803
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
804
+ "indicator": "AHETPI",
805
+ "transform": "level",
806
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
807
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
808
+ "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $35.03/hr\nB) $33.09/hr\nC) $29.21/hr\nD) $32.12/hr",
809
+ "options": [
810
+ "A) $35.03/hr",
811
+ "B) $33.09/hr",
812
+ "C) $29.21/hr",
813
+ "D) $32.12/hr"
814
+ ],
815
+ "answer_letter": "D",
816
+ "answer_raw": "$32.12/hr",
817
+ "unit": "usd_per_hour",
818
+ "condition": "forecast",
819
+ "year": 2026
820
+ },
821
+ {
822
+ "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20260301",
823
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
824
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
825
+ "indicator": "CIVPART",
826
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
827
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
828
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
829
+ "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -1.34pp\nD) -0.11pp",
830
+ "options": [
831
+ "A) -0.60pp",
832
+ "B) +0.14pp",
833
+ "C) -1.34pp",
834
+ "D) -0.11pp"
835
+ ],
836
+ "answer_letter": "A",
837
+ "answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
838
+ "unit": "pp",
839
+ "condition": "forecast",
840
+ "year": 2026
841
+ },
842
+ {
843
+ "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20260301",
844
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
845
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
846
+ "indicator": "UNRATE",
847
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
848
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
849
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
850
+ "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.91pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +3.12pp\nD) +2.11pp",
851
+ "options": [
852
+ "A) -1.91pp",
853
+ "B) +0.10pp",
854
+ "C) +3.12pp",
855
+ "D) +2.11pp"
856
+ ],
857
+ "answer_letter": "B",
858
+ "answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
859
+ "unit": "pp",
860
+ "condition": "forecast",
861
+ "year": 2026
862
+ },
863
+ {
864
+ "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20260301",
865
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
866
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
867
+ "indicator": "HOUST",
868
+ "transform": "level",
869
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
870
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
871
+ "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,433K\nB) 1,709K\nC) 1,502K\nD) 1,571K",
872
+ "options": [
873
+ "A) 1,433K",
874
+ "B) 1,709K",
875
+ "C) 1,502K",
876
+ "D) 1,571K"
877
+ ],
878
+ "answer_letter": "C",
879
+ "answer_raw": "1,502K",
880
+ "unit": "thousand_units",
881
+ "condition": "forecast",
882
+ "year": 2026
883
+ },
884
+ {
885
+ "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20260301",
886
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
887
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
888
+ "indicator": "RSAFS",
889
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
890
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
891
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
892
+ "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 16.60%\nC) 12.45%\nD) 4.15%",
893
+ "options": [
894
+ "A) 0.00%",
895
+ "B) 16.60%",
896
+ "C) 12.45%",
897
+ "D) 4.15%"
898
+ ],
899
+ "answer_letter": "D",
900
+ "answer_raw": "4.15%",
901
+ "unit": "%",
902
+ "condition": "forecast",
903
+ "year": 2026
904
+ },
905
+ {
906
+ "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20260301",
907
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
908
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
909
+ "indicator": "TCU",
910
+ "transform": "yoy_pp",
911
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
912
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
913
+ "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) +4.07pp\nC) +2.56pp\nD) -3.48pp",
914
+ "options": [
915
+ "A) -0.46pp",
916
+ "B) +4.07pp",
917
+ "C) +2.56pp",
918
+ "D) -3.48pp"
919
+ ],
920
+ "answer_letter": "A",
921
+ "answer_raw": "-0.46pp",
922
+ "unit": "pp",
923
+ "condition": "forecast",
924
+ "year": 2026
925
+ },
926
+ {
927
+ "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20260301",
928
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
929
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
930
+ "indicator": "M2SL",
931
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
932
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
933
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
934
+ "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.39%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 7.98%",
935
+ "options": [
936
+ "A) 11.39%",
937
+ "B) 4.57%",
938
+ "C) 1.17%",
939
+ "D) 7.98%"
940
+ ],
941
+ "answer_letter": "B",
942
+ "answer_raw": "4.57%",
943
+ "unit": "%",
944
+ "condition": "forecast",
945
+ "year": 2026
946
+ },
947
+ {
948
+ "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
949
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
950
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
951
+ "indicator": "DSPI",
952
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
953
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
954
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
955
+ "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.23%\nB) -4.33%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 9.47%",
956
+ "options": [
957
+ "A) 12.23%",
958
+ "B) -4.33%",
959
+ "C) 3.95%",
960
+ "D) 9.47%"
961
+ ],
962
+ "answer_letter": "C",
963
+ "answer_raw": "3.95%",
964
+ "unit": "%",
965
+ "condition": "forecast",
966
+ "year": 2026
967
+ },
968
+ {
969
+ "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20260301",
970
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
971
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
972
+ "indicator": "PPIFIS",
973
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
974
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
975
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
976
+ "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 4.27%",
977
+ "options": [
978
+ "A) 5.95%",
979
+ "B) 7.63%",
980
+ "C) 2.58%",
981
+ "D) 4.27%"
982
+ ],
983
+ "answer_letter": "D",
984
+ "answer_raw": "4.27%",
985
+ "unit": "%",
986
+ "condition": "forecast",
987
+ "year": 2026
988
+ },
989
+ {
990
+ "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20260301",
991
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
992
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
993
+ "indicator": "PCEPI",
994
+ "transform": "level",
995
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
996
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
997
+ "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.34\nB) 139.85\nC) 124.01\nD) 133.51",
998
+ "options": [
999
+ "A) 130.34",
1000
+ "B) 139.85",
1001
+ "C) 124.01",
1002
+ "D) 133.51"
1003
+ ],
1004
+ "answer_letter": "A",
1005
+ "answer_raw": "130.34",
1006
+ "unit": "index",
1007
+ "condition": "forecast",
1008
+ "year": 2026
1009
+ },
1010
+ {
1011
+ "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20260301",
1012
+ "forecastType": "Recurrent",
1013
+ "subtype": "recurrent",
1014
+ "indicator": "BOGMBASE",
1015
+ "transform": "yoy_pct",
1016
+ "target_period": "March 2026",
1017
+ "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
1018
+ "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.71%\nB) -5.48%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 2.14%",
1019
+ "options": [
1020
+ "A) -20.71%",
1021
+ "B) -5.48%",
1022
+ "C) 9.76%",
1023
+ "D) 2.14%"
1024
+ ],
1025
+ "answer_letter": "B",
1026
+ "answer_raw": "-5.48%",
1027
+ "unit": "%",
1028
+ "condition": "forecast",
1029
+ "year": 2026
1030
+ }
1031
+ ]
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