Datasets:
Add historical financial forecasting MCQ (5,443 q; forecast/blind/revealed)
Browse files- README.md +85 -0
- mcq_1999.json +884 -0
- mcq_2000.json +2594 -0
- mcq_2001.json +0 -0
- mcq_2002.json +0 -0
- mcq_2003.json +0 -0
- mcq_2004.json +2501 -0
- mcq_2005.json +0 -0
- mcq_2006.json +2501 -0
- mcq_2007.json +0 -0
- mcq_2008.json +0 -0
- mcq_2009.json +2543 -0
- mcq_2010.json +0 -0
- mcq_2011.json +0 -0
- mcq_2012.json +0 -0
- mcq_2013.json +0 -0
- mcq_2014.json +0 -0
- mcq_2015.json +0 -0
- mcq_2016.json +0 -0
- mcq_2017.json +2711 -0
- mcq_2018.json +0 -0
- mcq_2019.json +0 -0
- mcq_2020.json +0 -0
- mcq_2021.json +0 -0
- mcq_2022.json +0 -0
- mcq_2023.json +0 -0
- mcq_2024.json +0 -0
- mcq_2025.json +0 -0
- mcq_2026.json +1031 -0
- mcq_all.json +0 -0
- mcq_all.jsonl +0 -0
- mcq_all.parquet +3 -0
README.md
ADDED
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| 1 |
+
---
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| 2 |
+
license: mit
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| 3 |
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task_categories:
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| 4 |
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- multiple-choice
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| 5 |
+
- question-answering
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| 6 |
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language:
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| 7 |
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- en
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| 8 |
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tags:
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| 9 |
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- finance
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| 10 |
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- forecasting
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| 11 |
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- macroeconomics
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| 12 |
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- recall-vs-reasoning
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| 13 |
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- time-series
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| 14 |
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size_categories:
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| 15 |
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- 1K<n<10K
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| 16 |
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configs:
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| 17 |
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- config_name: default
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| 18 |
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data_files:
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| 19 |
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- split: train
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| 20 |
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path: mcq_all.parquet
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| 21 |
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---
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| 22 |
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| 23 |
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# pre_test — Historical Financial Forecasting MCQ
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| 24 |
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| 25 |
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A 5,443-question multiple-choice benchmark built from **50 US macro / market indicators**
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| 26 |
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(FRED, 1999–2026). Every correct answer is a **real historical value** independently
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| 27 |
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re-derivable from raw FRED data — not model-generated.
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| 28 |
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| 29 |
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The dataset is designed to **separate genuine forecasting from memorized recall**: by
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| 30 |
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comparing a model's accuracy across years (especially 2026, which is past most models'
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| 31 |
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training cutoff and acts as a clean baseline), and across "blind" vs "revealed" framings
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| 32 |
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of the same shock event.
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| 33 |
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| 34 |
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## Composition
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| 35 |
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| 36 |
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| `condition` | count | what it tests |
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| 37 |
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|---|---|---|
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| 38 |
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| `forecast` | 3,297 | periodic numeric forecast of an indicator (recurrent) |
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| 39 |
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| `blind` | 1,073 | aftermath of a market shock, **event name hidden** — clean recall probe |
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| 40 |
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| `revealed` | 1,073 | the same question, **event name given** — situational reasoning |
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| 41 |
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| 42 |
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`blind` and `revealed` rows are paired 1:1 via `pair_id` (same options, same answer).
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| 43 |
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Answer letters are balanced: A/B/C/D ≈ 25% each.
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| 44 |
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| 45 |
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## Fields
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| 46 |
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**Input to the model:**
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- `question` — the full prompt, options already appended.
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| 49 |
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- `options` — the four `"A) …"` strings (also for programmatic use).
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| 50 |
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**The answer:**
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| 52 |
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- `answer_letter` — `"A"`/`"B"`/`"C"`/`"D"`.
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- `answer_raw` — the numeric value of the correct option (e.g. `"+0.32pp"`).
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**Metadata / analysis labels (NOT shown to the model):**
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| 56 |
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- `condition` — `forecast` / `blind` / `revealed` (the 3 experiment types above).
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| 57 |
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- `subtype` — `recurrent` / `shock_aftermath`.
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| 58 |
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- `forecastType` — `Recurrent` / `Non-Recurrent`.
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| 59 |
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- `indicator` — FRED series id (e.g. `CPIAUCSL`).
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| 60 |
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- `transform` — `level` / `yoy_pct` / `yoy_pp`.
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| 61 |
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- `target_period`, `info_cutoff` — what is being predicted, and the information cutoff
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(strictly before the target → it is forecasting, not lookup).
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| 63 |
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- `unit`, `year`.
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- `pair_id`, `event_label`, `event_date` — present on shock rows; link the blind/revealed twins.
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| 65 |
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## Recommended analysis
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| 67 |
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| 68 |
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1. **Accuracy vs. year** — group by `year`; a cliff at 2026 (→ ~25% chance level) is the
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| 69 |
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clean signal that pre-2026 accuracy is partly memorization.
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| 70 |
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2. **Blind vs. revealed** — join on `pair_id`; a gap suggests the model relies on the event
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| 71 |
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name (memory) rather than the pre-cutoff numbers (reasoning). (Auxiliary signal — note
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| 72 |
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the date itself can leak event identity.)
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| 73 |
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## Files
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| 75 |
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| 76 |
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- `mcq_all.parquet` — all rows (default config).
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- `mcq_all.jsonl` — same, one JSON object per line.
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| 78 |
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- `mcq_all.json` — same, single JSON array.
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| 79 |
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- `mcq_<year>.json` — per-year splits (1999–2026).
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## Provenance
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| 82 |
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| 83 |
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Indicators and values from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Questions, distractors,
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| 84 |
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and answer-letter balancing generated by the OpenFinArena `competitions_historical`
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| 85 |
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pipeline. 100/100 stratified audit re-derived every sampled answer from raw FRED.
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mcq_1999.json
ADDED
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@@ -0,0 +1,884 @@
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-19990615",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.39pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) +0.25pp",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) +0.32pp",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) +0.39pp",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) +0.47pp",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) +0.25pp"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.32pp",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-19990901",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,738K\nB) 1,635K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 1,601K",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) 1,738K",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) 1,635K",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) 1,566K",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) 1,601K"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,635K",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-19990615",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) 6.47%",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) 5.50%",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) 6.11%",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) 5.75%"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.11%",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-19990615",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 5.87%",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) 5.39%",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) 6.35%",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) 5.55%",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) 5.87%"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.87%",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-19990901",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 76.05\nC) 77.53\nD) 71.62",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) 73.84",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) 76.05",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) 77.53",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) 71.62"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "73.84",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-19990901",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $-25,462M\nB) $-22,699M\nC) $-18,555M\nD) $-26,843M",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) $-25,462M",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) $-22,699M",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) $-18,555M",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) $-26,843M"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-22,699M",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-19990901",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,395B\nB) $7,119B\nC) $6,912B\nD) $6,704B",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) $7,395B",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) $7,119B",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) $6,912B",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) $6,704B"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,912B",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-19990615",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 296,936\nB) 310,808\nC) 269,192\nD) 290,000",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 296,936",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 310,808",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 269,192",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 290,000"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "290,000",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-19990615",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,318B\nB) $4,102B\nC) $4,448B\nD) $4,232B",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) $4,318B",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) $4,102B",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) $4,448B",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) $4,232B"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "$4,318B",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-19990615",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.94/bbl\nB) $18.61/bbl\nC) $22.28/bbl\nD) $21.06/bbl",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) $14.94/bbl",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) $18.61/bbl",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) $22.28/bbl",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) $21.06/bbl"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "$18.61/bbl",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-19990901",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $557M\nD) $2,400,000M",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) $4,300,000M",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) $6,200,000M",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) $557M",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) $2,400,000M"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "$557M",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-19990615",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,465.11\nB) 2,313.78\nC) 2,566.00\nD) 2,414.67",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) 2,465.11",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 2,313.78",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) 2,566.00",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 2,414.67"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,414.67",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-19990615",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.91\nB) 29.80\nC) 22.02\nD) 27.21",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 25.91",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 29.80",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 22.02",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) 27.21"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "25.91",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-19990901",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,465K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,616K\nD) 1,508K",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 1,465K",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 1,551K",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 1,616K",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 1,508K"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,551K",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-19990615",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 6.45%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 5.51%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) 5.67%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 5.98%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) 6.45%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.98%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-19990615",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.09%\nB) 7.83%\nC) 7.47%\nD) 7.65%",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) 8.09%",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) 7.83%",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) 7.47%",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) 7.65%"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.65%",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-19990901",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.00\nB) 124.16\nC) 130.56\nD) 134.40",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) 128.00",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 124.16",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) 130.56",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) 134.40"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "128.00",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-19990901",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,480M\nB) $63,231M\nC) $60,794M\nD) $64,855M",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) $66,480M",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) $63,231M",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) $60,794M",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) $64,855M"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "$63,231M",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-19990901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.56\nB) 110.42\nC) 107.20\nD) 103.98",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 112.56",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 110.42",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 107.20",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 103.98"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "107.20",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-19990615",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.8576\nB) 8.0298\nC) 8.5264\nD) 8.2781",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 8.8576",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) 8.0298",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) 8.5264",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 8.2781"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.2781",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-19990901",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 79.74%\nD) 82.99%",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) 81.36%",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) 84.62%",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) 79.74%",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) 82.99%"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "81.36%",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-19990901",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.98%\nB) 67.00%\nC) 64.99%\nD) 69.01%",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) 62.98%",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) 67.00%",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) 64.99%",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) 69.01%"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "67.00%",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-19990615",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 124.1342\nB) 115.3737\nC) 120.6300\nD) 127.6384",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 124.1342",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 115.3737",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 120.6300",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) 127.6384"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "120.6300",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-19990615",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0920\nB) 0.9170\nC) 0.9670\nD) 1.0420",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) 1.0920",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) 0.9170",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) 0.9670",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) 1.0420"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.0420",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-19990901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,910M\nB) $192,688M\nC) $183,243M\nD) $198,356M",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) $188,910M",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) $192,688M",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) $183,243M",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) $198,356M"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "$188,910M",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-19990901",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,340B\nB) $4,569B\nC) $4,477B\nD) $4,660B",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) $4,340B",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) $4,569B",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) $4,477B",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) $4,660B"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "$4,569B",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-19990901",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.86%",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 5.08%",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 5.44%",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 5.22%",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 4.86%"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.22%",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-19990901",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 3.70%",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) 3.31%",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) 4.09%",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) 2.52%",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) 3.70%"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.70%",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-19990901",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,771K\nB) 121,985K\nC) 133,664K\nD) 125,878K",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) 129,771K",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) 121,985K",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) 133,664K",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) 125,878K"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "129,771K",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-19990901",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 181.36\nB) 177.80\nC) 186.69\nD) 174.24",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) 181.36",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) 177.80",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) 186.69",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) 174.24"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "177.80",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-19990901",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.43/hr\nB) $14.02/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $13.20/hr",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) $14.43/hr",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) $14.02/hr",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) $13.61/hr",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) $13.20/hr"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13.61/hr",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-19990901",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $247,378M\nB) $267,780M\nC) $262,680M\nD) $255,029M",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) $247,378M",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) $267,780M",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) $262,680M",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) $255,029M"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "$255,029M",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-19990615",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-06",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,215,000\nB) 2,148,550\nC) 2,104,250\nD) 2,259,300",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 2,215,000",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 2,148,550",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 2,104,250",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 2,259,300"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,215,000",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-19990901",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 70.23\nB) 72.41\nC) 74.58\nD) 76.03",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) 70.23",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) 72.41",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) 74.58",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) 76.03"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "72.41",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-19990615",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.12/bbl\nB) $17.44/bbl\nC) $16.33/bbl\nD) $13.01/bbl",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) $14.12/bbl",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) $17.44/bbl",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) $16.33/bbl",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) $13.01/bbl"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "$16.33/bbl",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-19990901",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,770B\nB) $6,195B\nC) $6,578B\nD) $6,386B",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) $6,770B",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) $6,195B",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) $6,578B",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) $6,386B"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,386B",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-19990901",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.20%\nB) 62.27%\nC) 59.71%\nD) 66.13%",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) 64.20%",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) 62.27%",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) 59.71%",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) 66.13%"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "64.20%",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-19990615",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 5.00%",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 4.58%",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) 4.74%",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) 4.90%",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) 5.00%"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-19990901",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 4.07%",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) 4.33%",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) 3.95%",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) 4.20%",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) 4.07%"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.20%",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-19990615",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "1999-06-15",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-06-08",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 5.66%",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) 5.53%",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) 6.05%",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) 5.27%",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) 5.66%"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.66%",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-19990901",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 167.80\nB) 162.77\nC) 177.87\nD) 172.83",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) 167.80",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) 162.77",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) 177.87",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) 172.83"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "167.80",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-19990901",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "September 1999",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "1999-08-01",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.96\nB) 89.43\nC) 86.75\nD) 92.11",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 84.96",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 89.43",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 86.75",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 92.11"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "89.43",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 1999
|
| 883 |
+
}
|
| 884 |
+
]
|
mcq_2000.json
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,2594 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) 8.08%",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) 0.46%",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) 5.54%",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) 3.00%"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.54%",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) 75.71",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) 69.83",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) 71.30",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) 73.50"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "73.50",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) 4.10%",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) 4.44%",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) 3.08%",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) 5.12%"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) 278,005",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) 294,000",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) 309,995",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) 270,008"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "294,000",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) 8.35%",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) 9.23%",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) 8.88%",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) 9.76%"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.88%",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) 137.34",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) 126.88",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) 133.42",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) 130.80"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "130.80",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) 106.80",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) 112.72",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) 110.35",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) 103.25"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "106.80",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 76.48",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 74.25",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 79.45",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 72.02"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "74.25",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) -0.34pp",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) -0.02pp",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) -0.10pp",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) -0.18pp"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) 11.31%",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) 10.20%",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) 10.76%",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) 9.65%"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "9.65%",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 6.26%",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 7.18%",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 5.34%",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 6.57%"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.26%",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) -4.13%",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 1.23%",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) -0.56%",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 6.58%"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 2.60%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 3.40%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 3.80%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) 4.20%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 76.06",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 72.33",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 78.30",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 74.57"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "74.57",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 92.15",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) 96.76",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 94.91",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) 89.39"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "92.15",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) $212,511M",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) $199,947M",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) $187,383M",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) $195,759M"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "$199,947M",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) 104.84",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 109.36",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) 107.10",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) 101.45"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "107.10",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) +0.29pp",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) +0.10pp",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) +0.19pp",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) +0.00pp"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 5.84%",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 16.42%",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 12.89%",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) -1.21%"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 6.12%",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) 6.44%",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) 6.76%",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 7.41%"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.44%",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) $5,055B",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) $4,722B",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) $4,855B",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) $5,188B"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "$4,855B",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) $14.41/hr",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) $13.71/hr",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) $14.70/hr",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) $14.13/hr"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "$14.13/hr",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 66.90%",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 64.89%",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 62.89%",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) 68.91%"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "66.90%",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) $38.68/bbl",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) $29.77/bbl",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) $35.71/bbl",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) $23.83/bbl"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) +0.62pp",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) +0.23pp",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) +0.04pp",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) -0.34pp"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.04pp",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) 6.65%",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) 6.46%",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) 6.85%",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) 6.27%"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.27%",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 180.00",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 174.60",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 167.40",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 185.40"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "180.00",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) $7,032B",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) $7,250B",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) $7,467B",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) $7,612B"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "$7,250B",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) $293,541M",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) $256,712M",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) $270,523M",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) $279,730M"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "$270,523M",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) $183,846M",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) $200,414M",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) $205,937M",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) $192,130M"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "$192,130M",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) 64.60%",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) 66.54%",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) 63.31%",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) 61.37%"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "64.60%",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) $4,806B",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) $4,712B",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) $4,947B",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) $4,617B"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "$4,712B",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 116.5666",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 109.8689",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 106.5200",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 113.2177"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "106.5200",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) $-35,757M",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) $-25,357M",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) $-27,090M",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) $-30,557M"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-30,557M",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) 5.84%",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) 6.38%",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) 5.30%",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) 6.65%"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) 177.07",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) 173.60",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) 168.39",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) 164.92"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "173.60",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) $-30,888M",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) $-25,998M",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) $-33,333M",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) $-28,443M"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-33,333M",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 2.90%",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) 2.66%",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) 2.43%",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) 2.55%"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.55%",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) 92.98",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) 88.33",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) 95.77",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) 90.19"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "92.98",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) $7,129B",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) $6,889B",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) $6,289B",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) $6,529B"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,889B",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) 27.25%",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) 63.11%",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) 51.16%",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) 75.07%"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "51.16%",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 7.45%",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 6.15%",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 2.25%",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 4.85%"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.85%",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) 67.30%",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) 63.93%",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) 69.32%",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) 65.95%"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "67.30%",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) 6.14%",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) 5.85%",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) 6.28%",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) 5.71%"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.85%",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) -0.03pp",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) -0.15pp",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) -0.39pp",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) -0.27pp"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.39pp",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) 0.94%",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) -1.98%",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) -10.75%",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) -7.83%"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "-7.83%",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) 3.90%",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) 3.75%",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) 4.05%",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) 4.27%"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) 1.74%",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) 1.85%",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 1.96%",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) 1.68%"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) 7.67%",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) 8.49%",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) 8.22%",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) 7.95%"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.22%",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1030 |
+
},
|
| 1031 |
+
{
|
| 1032 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1033 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1034 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1035 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 1036 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1037 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1038 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1039 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%",
|
| 1040 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1041 |
+
"A) 9.42%",
|
| 1042 |
+
"B) 7.40%",
|
| 1043 |
+
"C) 8.20%",
|
| 1044 |
+
"D) 8.61%"
|
| 1045 |
+
],
|
| 1046 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1047 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.61%",
|
| 1048 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1049 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1050 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1051 |
+
},
|
| 1052 |
+
{
|
| 1053 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615",
|
| 1054 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1055 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1056 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 1057 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1058 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1059 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
|
| 1060 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848",
|
| 1061 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1062 |
+
"A) 2,041,000",
|
| 1063 |
+
"B) 1,998,576",
|
| 1064 |
+
"C) 2,168,272",
|
| 1065 |
+
"D) 2,125,848"
|
| 1066 |
+
],
|
| 1067 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1068 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,041,000",
|
| 1069 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1070 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1071 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1072 |
+
},
|
| 1073 |
+
{
|
| 1074 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615",
|
| 1075 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1076 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1077 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 1078 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1079 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1080 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1081 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87",
|
| 1082 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1083 |
+
"A) 19.28",
|
| 1084 |
+
"B) 20.68",
|
| 1085 |
+
"C) 17.89",
|
| 1086 |
+
"D) 24.87"
|
| 1087 |
+
],
|
| 1088 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1089 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.68",
|
| 1090 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1091 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1092 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1093 |
+
},
|
| 1094 |
+
{
|
| 1095 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301",
|
| 1096 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1097 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1098 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1099 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1100 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1101 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1102 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%",
|
| 1103 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1104 |
+
"A) 83.85%",
|
| 1105 |
+
"B) 80.56%",
|
| 1106 |
+
"C) 82.20%",
|
| 1107 |
+
"D) 78.91%"
|
| 1108 |
+
],
|
| 1109 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1110 |
+
"answer_raw": "82.20%",
|
| 1111 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1112 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1113 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1114 |
+
},
|
| 1115 |
+
{
|
| 1116 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301",
|
| 1117 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1118 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1119 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1120 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1121 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1122 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1123 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M",
|
| 1124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1125 |
+
"A) $279,542M",
|
| 1126 |
+
"B) $286,558M",
|
| 1127 |
+
"C) $258,496M",
|
| 1128 |
+
"D) $269,019M"
|
| 1129 |
+
],
|
| 1130 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1131 |
+
"answer_raw": "$269,019M",
|
| 1132 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1133 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1134 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1135 |
+
},
|
| 1136 |
+
{
|
| 1137 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1138 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1139 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1140 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1141 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1142 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1143 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1144 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%",
|
| 1145 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1146 |
+
"A) 3.82%",
|
| 1147 |
+
"B) 3.51%",
|
| 1148 |
+
"C) 3.70%",
|
| 1149 |
+
"D) 3.94%"
|
| 1150 |
+
],
|
| 1151 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1152 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.82%",
|
| 1153 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1154 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1155 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1156 |
+
},
|
| 1157 |
+
{
|
| 1158 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901",
|
| 1159 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1160 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1161 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1162 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1163 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1164 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1165 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M",
|
| 1166 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1167 |
+
"A) $71,016M",
|
| 1168 |
+
"B) $66,733M",
|
| 1169 |
+
"C) $68,161M",
|
| 1170 |
+
"D) $63,878M"
|
| 1171 |
+
],
|
| 1172 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1173 |
+
"answer_raw": "$66,733M",
|
| 1174 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1175 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1176 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1177 |
+
},
|
| 1178 |
+
{
|
| 1179 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301",
|
| 1180 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1181 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1182 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1183 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1184 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1185 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1186 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M",
|
| 1187 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1188 |
+
"A) $60,066M",
|
| 1189 |
+
"B) $67,218M",
|
| 1190 |
+
"C) $63,642M",
|
| 1191 |
+
"D) $69,602M"
|
| 1192 |
+
],
|
| 1193 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1194 |
+
"answer_raw": "$63,642M",
|
| 1195 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1196 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1197 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1198 |
+
},
|
| 1199 |
+
{
|
| 1200 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901",
|
| 1201 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1202 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1203 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1204 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1205 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1206 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1207 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M",
|
| 1208 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1209 |
+
"A) $6,200,000M",
|
| 1210 |
+
"B) $2,400,000M",
|
| 1211 |
+
"C) $4,300,000M",
|
| 1212 |
+
"D) $584M"
|
| 1213 |
+
],
|
| 1214 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1215 |
+
"answer_raw": "$584M",
|
| 1216 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1217 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1218 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1219 |
+
},
|
| 1220 |
+
{
|
| 1221 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301",
|
| 1222 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1223 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1224 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1225 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1226 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1227 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1228 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
|
| 1229 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1230 |
+
"A) $577M",
|
| 1231 |
+
"B) $4,300,000M",
|
| 1232 |
+
"C) $6,200,000M",
|
| 1233 |
+
"D) $2,400,000M"
|
| 1234 |
+
],
|
| 1235 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1236 |
+
"answer_raw": "$577M",
|
| 1237 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1238 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1239 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1240 |
+
},
|
| 1241 |
+
{
|
| 1242 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615",
|
| 1243 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1244 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1245 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 1246 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1247 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1248 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1249 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%",
|
| 1250 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1251 |
+
"A) 5.39%",
|
| 1252 |
+
"B) 5.93%",
|
| 1253 |
+
"C) 6.11%",
|
| 1254 |
+
"D) 5.75%"
|
| 1255 |
+
],
|
| 1256 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1257 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.93%",
|
| 1258 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1259 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1260 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1261 |
+
},
|
| 1262 |
+
{
|
| 1263 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901",
|
| 1264 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1265 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1266 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1267 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1268 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1269 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1270 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K",
|
| 1271 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1272 |
+
"A) 1,471K",
|
| 1273 |
+
"B) 1,435K",
|
| 1274 |
+
"C) 1,507K",
|
| 1275 |
+
"D) 1,615K"
|
| 1276 |
+
],
|
| 1277 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1278 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,507K",
|
| 1279 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1280 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1281 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1282 |
+
},
|
| 1283 |
+
{
|
| 1284 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301",
|
| 1285 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1286 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1287 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1288 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1289 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1290 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1291 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K",
|
| 1292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1293 |
+
"A) 1,689K",
|
| 1294 |
+
"B) 1,491K",
|
| 1295 |
+
"C) 1,547K",
|
| 1296 |
+
"D) 1,604K"
|
| 1297 |
+
],
|
| 1298 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1299 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,604K",
|
| 1300 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1301 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1302 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1303 |
+
},
|
| 1304 |
+
{
|
| 1305 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301",
|
| 1306 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1307 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1308 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1309 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1310 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1311 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1312 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87",
|
| 1313 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1314 |
+
"A) 171.00",
|
| 1315 |
+
"B) 179.55",
|
| 1316 |
+
"C) 176.13",
|
| 1317 |
+
"D) 165.87"
|
| 1318 |
+
],
|
| 1319 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1320 |
+
"answer_raw": "171.00",
|
| 1321 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1322 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1323 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1324 |
+
},
|
| 1325 |
+
{
|
| 1326 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901",
|
| 1327 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1328 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1329 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1330 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1331 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1332 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1333 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp",
|
| 1334 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1335 |
+
"A) -0.24pp",
|
| 1336 |
+
"B) -0.30pp",
|
| 1337 |
+
"C) -0.13pp",
|
| 1338 |
+
"D) -0.42pp"
|
| 1339 |
+
],
|
| 1340 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1341 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
|
| 1342 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1343 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1344 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1345 |
+
},
|
| 1346 |
+
{
|
| 1347 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301",
|
| 1348 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1349 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1350 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1351 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1352 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1353 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1354 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%",
|
| 1355 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1356 |
+
"A) 3.88%",
|
| 1357 |
+
"B) 3.76%",
|
| 1358 |
+
"C) 4.00%",
|
| 1359 |
+
"D) 4.18%"
|
| 1360 |
+
],
|
| 1361 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1362 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.00%",
|
| 1363 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1364 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1365 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1366 |
+
},
|
| 1367 |
+
{
|
| 1368 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901",
|
| 1369 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1370 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1371 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1372 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1373 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1374 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1375 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%",
|
| 1376 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1377 |
+
"A) 62.27%",
|
| 1378 |
+
"B) 68.05%",
|
| 1379 |
+
"C) 66.13%",
|
| 1380 |
+
"D) 64.20%"
|
| 1381 |
+
],
|
| 1382 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1383 |
+
"answer_raw": "64.20%",
|
| 1384 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1385 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1386 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1387 |
+
},
|
| 1388 |
+
{
|
| 1389 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901",
|
| 1390 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1391 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1392 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1393 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1394 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1395 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1396 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K",
|
| 1397 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1398 |
+
"A) 1,570K",
|
| 1399 |
+
"B) 1,474K",
|
| 1400 |
+
"C) 1,538K",
|
| 1401 |
+
"D) 1,602K"
|
| 1402 |
+
],
|
| 1403 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1404 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,570K",
|
| 1405 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1406 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1407 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1408 |
+
},
|
| 1409 |
+
{
|
| 1410 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1411 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1412 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1413 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 1414 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1415 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1416 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1417 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%",
|
| 1418 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1419 |
+
"A) 3.11%",
|
| 1420 |
+
"B) 3.97%",
|
| 1421 |
+
"C) 4.82%",
|
| 1422 |
+
"D) 3.68%"
|
| 1423 |
+
],
|
| 1424 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1425 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.97%",
|
| 1426 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1427 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1428 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1429 |
+
},
|
| 1430 |
+
{
|
| 1431 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301",
|
| 1432 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1433 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1434 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1435 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1436 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1437 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1438 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K",
|
| 1439 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1440 |
+
"A) 1,600K",
|
| 1441 |
+
"B) 1,702K",
|
| 1442 |
+
"C) 1,651K",
|
| 1443 |
+
"D) 1,753K"
|
| 1444 |
+
],
|
| 1445 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1446 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,651K",
|
| 1447 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1448 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1449 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1450 |
+
},
|
| 1451 |
+
{
|
| 1452 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1453 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1454 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1455 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1456 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1457 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1458 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1459 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%",
|
| 1460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1461 |
+
"A) 6.91%",
|
| 1462 |
+
"B) 3.56%",
|
| 1463 |
+
"C) 8.59%",
|
| 1464 |
+
"D) 6.08%"
|
| 1465 |
+
],
|
| 1466 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1467 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.08%",
|
| 1468 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1469 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1470 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1471 |
+
},
|
| 1472 |
+
{
|
| 1473 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301",
|
| 1474 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1475 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1476 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1477 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1478 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1479 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1480 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K",
|
| 1481 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1482 |
+
"A) 131,604K",
|
| 1483 |
+
"B) 128,972K",
|
| 1484 |
+
"C) 135,552K",
|
| 1485 |
+
"D) 138,184K"
|
| 1486 |
+
],
|
| 1487 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1488 |
+
"answer_raw": "131,604K",
|
| 1489 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1490 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1491 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1492 |
+
},
|
| 1493 |
+
{
|
| 1494 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1495 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1496 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1497 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1498 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1499 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1500 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1501 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%",
|
| 1502 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1503 |
+
"A) 2.26%",
|
| 1504 |
+
"B) 2.53%",
|
| 1505 |
+
"C) 2.71%",
|
| 1506 |
+
"D) 2.80%"
|
| 1507 |
+
],
|
| 1508 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1509 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.53%",
|
| 1510 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1511 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1512 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1513 |
+
},
|
| 1514 |
+
{
|
| 1515 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615",
|
| 1516 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1517 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1518 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 1519 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1520 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1521 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1522 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083",
|
| 1523 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1524 |
+
"A) 1.0462",
|
| 1525 |
+
"B) 0.8598",
|
| 1526 |
+
"C) 0.9530",
|
| 1527 |
+
"D) 1.1083"
|
| 1528 |
+
],
|
| 1529 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1530 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.9530",
|
| 1531 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1532 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1533 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1534 |
+
},
|
| 1535 |
+
{
|
| 1536 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615",
|
| 1537 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1538 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1539 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 1540 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1541 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1542 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1543 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl",
|
| 1544 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1545 |
+
"A) $26.96/bbl",
|
| 1546 |
+
"B) $41.32/bbl",
|
| 1547 |
+
"C) $24.08/bbl",
|
| 1548 |
+
"D) $32.70/bbl"
|
| 1549 |
+
],
|
| 1550 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1551 |
+
"answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl",
|
| 1552 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 1553 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1554 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1555 |
+
},
|
| 1556 |
+
{
|
| 1557 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901",
|
| 1558 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1559 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1560 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1561 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1562 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1563 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1564 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83",
|
| 1565 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1566 |
+
"A) 134.70",
|
| 1567 |
+
"B) 140.18",
|
| 1568 |
+
"C) 129.22",
|
| 1569 |
+
"D) 143.83"
|
| 1570 |
+
],
|
| 1571 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1572 |
+
"answer_raw": "134.70",
|
| 1573 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1574 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1575 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1576 |
+
},
|
| 1577 |
+
{
|
| 1578 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1579 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1580 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1581 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1582 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1583 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1584 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1585 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%",
|
| 1586 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1587 |
+
"A) 3.63%",
|
| 1588 |
+
"B) 3.46%",
|
| 1589 |
+
"C) 3.98%",
|
| 1590 |
+
"D) 2.93%"
|
| 1591 |
+
],
|
| 1592 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1593 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.46%",
|
| 1594 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1595 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1596 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1597 |
+
},
|
| 1598 |
+
{
|
| 1599 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301",
|
| 1600 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1601 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1602 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1603 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1604 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1605 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1606 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35",
|
| 1607 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1608 |
+
"A) 97.59",
|
| 1609 |
+
"B) 107.93",
|
| 1610 |
+
"C) 101.47",
|
| 1611 |
+
"D) 105.35"
|
| 1612 |
+
],
|
| 1613 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1614 |
+
"answer_raw": "101.47",
|
| 1615 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1616 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1617 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1618 |
+
},
|
| 1619 |
+
{
|
| 1620 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901",
|
| 1621 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1622 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1623 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1624 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1625 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1626 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1627 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14",
|
| 1628 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1629 |
+
"A) 111.31",
|
| 1630 |
+
"B) 102.96",
|
| 1631 |
+
"C) 117.57",
|
| 1632 |
+
"D) 107.14"
|
| 1633 |
+
],
|
| 1634 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1635 |
+
"answer_raw": "107.14",
|
| 1636 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1637 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1638 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1639 |
+
},
|
| 1640 |
+
{
|
| 1641 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901",
|
| 1642 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1643 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1644 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1645 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1646 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1647 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1648 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46",
|
| 1649 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1650 |
+
"A) 75.20",
|
| 1651 |
+
"B) 80.47",
|
| 1652 |
+
"C) 72.95",
|
| 1653 |
+
"D) 77.46"
|
| 1654 |
+
],
|
| 1655 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1656 |
+
"answer_raw": "75.20",
|
| 1657 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1658 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1659 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1660 |
+
},
|
| 1661 |
+
{
|
| 1662 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301",
|
| 1663 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1664 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1665 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1666 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1667 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1668 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1669 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr",
|
| 1670 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1671 |
+
"A) $14.27/hr",
|
| 1672 |
+
"B) $13.85/hr",
|
| 1673 |
+
"C) $13.16/hr",
|
| 1674 |
+
"D) $13.43/hr"
|
| 1675 |
+
],
|
| 1676 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1677 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13.85/hr",
|
| 1678 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 1679 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1680 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1681 |
+
},
|
| 1682 |
+
{
|
| 1683 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901",
|
| 1684 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1685 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1686 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 1687 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1688 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1689 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1690 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B",
|
| 1691 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1692 |
+
"A) $7,751B",
|
| 1693 |
+
"B) $7,140B",
|
| 1694 |
+
"C) $7,507B",
|
| 1695 |
+
"D) $8,117B"
|
| 1696 |
+
],
|
| 1697 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1698 |
+
"answer_raw": "$7,507B",
|
| 1699 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1700 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1701 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1702 |
+
},
|
| 1703 |
+
{
|
| 1704 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615",
|
| 1705 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1706 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1707 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 1708 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1709 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1710 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1711 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768",
|
| 1712 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1713 |
+
"A) 8.5251",
|
| 1714 |
+
"B) 8.0285",
|
| 1715 |
+
"C) 7.8630",
|
| 1716 |
+
"D) 8.2768"
|
| 1717 |
+
],
|
| 1718 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1719 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.2768",
|
| 1720 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1721 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1722 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1723 |
+
},
|
| 1724 |
+
{
|
| 1725 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615",
|
| 1726 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1727 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1728 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 1729 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1730 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1731 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
|
| 1732 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B",
|
| 1733 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1734 |
+
"A) $4,735B",
|
| 1735 |
+
"B) $5,107B",
|
| 1736 |
+
"C) $4,958B",
|
| 1737 |
+
"D) $4,586B"
|
| 1738 |
+
],
|
| 1739 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1740 |
+
"answer_raw": "$4,735B",
|
| 1741 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1742 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1743 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1744 |
+
},
|
| 1745 |
+
{
|
| 1746 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615",
|
| 1747 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1748 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1749 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 1750 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1751 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1752 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1753 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%",
|
| 1754 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1755 |
+
"A) 16.01%",
|
| 1756 |
+
"B) 85.48%",
|
| 1757 |
+
"C) 108.64%",
|
| 1758 |
+
"D) 62.32%"
|
| 1759 |
+
],
|
| 1760 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1761 |
+
"answer_raw": "85.48%",
|
| 1762 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1763 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1764 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1765 |
+
},
|
| 1766 |
+
{
|
| 1767 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615",
|
| 1768 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1769 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1770 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 1771 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1772 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1773 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1774 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%",
|
| 1775 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1776 |
+
"A) 6.85%",
|
| 1777 |
+
"B) 5.52%",
|
| 1778 |
+
"C) 6.05%",
|
| 1779 |
+
"D) 5.78%"
|
| 1780 |
+
],
|
| 1781 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1782 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.05%",
|
| 1783 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1784 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1785 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1786 |
+
},
|
| 1787 |
+
{
|
| 1788 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615",
|
| 1789 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1790 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1791 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 1792 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1793 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1794 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1795 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%",
|
| 1796 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1797 |
+
"A) 114.63%",
|
| 1798 |
+
"B) 56.26%",
|
| 1799 |
+
"C) 134.08%",
|
| 1800 |
+
"D) 75.71%"
|
| 1801 |
+
],
|
| 1802 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1803 |
+
"answer_raw": "75.71%",
|
| 1804 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1805 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1806 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1807 |
+
},
|
| 1808 |
+
{
|
| 1809 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901",
|
| 1810 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1811 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1812 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1813 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1814 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1815 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1816 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%",
|
| 1817 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1818 |
+
"A) 6.52%",
|
| 1819 |
+
"B) 5.53%",
|
| 1820 |
+
"C) 6.19%",
|
| 1821 |
+
"D) 7.18%"
|
| 1822 |
+
],
|
| 1823 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1824 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.52%",
|
| 1825 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1826 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1827 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1828 |
+
},
|
| 1829 |
+
{
|
| 1830 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901",
|
| 1831 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1832 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1833 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1834 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1835 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1836 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1837 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%",
|
| 1838 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1839 |
+
"A) 79.78%",
|
| 1840 |
+
"B) 81.41%",
|
| 1841 |
+
"C) 77.34%",
|
| 1842 |
+
"D) 83.85%"
|
| 1843 |
+
],
|
| 1844 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1845 |
+
"answer_raw": "81.41%",
|
| 1846 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1847 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1848 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1849 |
+
},
|
| 1850 |
+
{
|
| 1851 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615",
|
| 1852 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1853 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1854 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 1855 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1856 |
+
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
|
| 1857 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
|
| 1858 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93",
|
| 1859 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1860 |
+
"A) 5,003.16",
|
| 1861 |
+
"B) 4,231.55",
|
| 1862 |
+
"C) 3,845.74",
|
| 1863 |
+
"D) 3,459.93"
|
| 1864 |
+
],
|
| 1865 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1866 |
+
"answer_raw": "3,845.74",
|
| 1867 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1868 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1869 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1870 |
+
},
|
| 1871 |
+
{
|
| 1872 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901",
|
| 1873 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1874 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1875 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1876 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1877 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1878 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1879 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30",
|
| 1880 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1881 |
+
"A) 191.42",
|
| 1882 |
+
"B) 176.83",
|
| 1883 |
+
"C) 187.77",
|
| 1884 |
+
"D) 182.30"
|
| 1885 |
+
],
|
| 1886 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1887 |
+
"answer_raw": "182.30",
|
| 1888 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1889 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1890 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1891 |
+
},
|
| 1892 |
+
{
|
| 1893 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1894 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1895 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1896 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1897 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1898 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1899 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1900 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%",
|
| 1901 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1902 |
+
"A) 7.86%",
|
| 1903 |
+
"B) 8.42%",
|
| 1904 |
+
"C) 8.14%",
|
| 1905 |
+
"D) 8.70%"
|
| 1906 |
+
],
|
| 1907 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1908 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.86%",
|
| 1909 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1910 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1911 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1912 |
+
},
|
| 1913 |
+
{
|
| 1914 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1915 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1916 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1917 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1918 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1919 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1920 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1921 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%",
|
| 1922 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1923 |
+
"A) 6.57%",
|
| 1924 |
+
"B) 5.23%",
|
| 1925 |
+
"C) 3.90%",
|
| 1926 |
+
"D) 5.68%"
|
| 1927 |
+
],
|
| 1928 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1929 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.23%",
|
| 1930 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1931 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1932 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1933 |
+
},
|
| 1934 |
+
{
|
| 1935 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901",
|
| 1936 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1937 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1938 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1939 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1940 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1941 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1942 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%",
|
| 1943 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1944 |
+
"A) 2.19%",
|
| 1945 |
+
"B) 1.76%",
|
| 1946 |
+
"C) 1.98%",
|
| 1947 |
+
"D) 2.30%"
|
| 1948 |
+
],
|
| 1949 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1950 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.98%",
|
| 1951 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1952 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1953 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1954 |
+
},
|
| 1955 |
+
{
|
| 1956 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901",
|
| 1957 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1958 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1959 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1960 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1961 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 1962 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 1963 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K",
|
| 1964 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1965 |
+
"A) 136,307K",
|
| 1966 |
+
"B) 129,690K",
|
| 1967 |
+
"C) 138,954K",
|
| 1968 |
+
"D) 132,337K"
|
| 1969 |
+
],
|
| 1970 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1971 |
+
"answer_raw": "132,337K",
|
| 1972 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1973 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1974 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1975 |
+
},
|
| 1976 |
+
{
|
| 1977 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301",
|
| 1978 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1979 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1980 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1981 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1982 |
+
"target_period": "March 2000",
|
| 1983 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
|
| 1984 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B",
|
| 1985 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1986 |
+
"A) $6,686B",
|
| 1987 |
+
"B) $6,843B",
|
| 1988 |
+
"C) $7,000B",
|
| 1989 |
+
"D) $6,530B"
|
| 1990 |
+
],
|
| 1991 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1992 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,686B",
|
| 1993 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1994 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1995 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 1996 |
+
},
|
| 1997 |
+
{
|
| 1998 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901",
|
| 1999 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2000 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2001 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2002 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2003 |
+
"target_period": "September 2000",
|
| 2004 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
|
| 2005 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp",
|
| 2006 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2007 |
+
"A) -1.70pp",
|
| 2008 |
+
"B) -0.40pp",
|
| 2009 |
+
"C) +0.90pp",
|
| 2010 |
+
"D) +3.51pp"
|
| 2011 |
+
],
|
| 2012 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2013 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
|
| 2014 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2015 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2016 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2017 |
+
},
|
| 2018 |
+
{
|
| 2019 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
|
| 2020 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2021 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
|
| 2022 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2023 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2024 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2025 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2026 |
+
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2027 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2028 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2029 |
+
"A) 5,956.03",
|
| 2030 |
+
"B) 5,606.43",
|
| 2031 |
+
"C) 4,907.24",
|
| 2032 |
+
"D) 5,256.84"
|
| 2033 |
+
],
|
| 2034 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2035 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,907.24",
|
| 2036 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2037 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2038 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2039 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
|
| 2040 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2041 |
+
},
|
| 2042 |
+
{
|
| 2043 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
|
| 2044 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2045 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
|
| 2046 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2047 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2048 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2049 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2050 |
+
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2051 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2052 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2053 |
+
"A) 5,956.03",
|
| 2054 |
+
"B) 5,606.43",
|
| 2055 |
+
"C) 4,907.24",
|
| 2056 |
+
"D) 5,256.84"
|
| 2057 |
+
],
|
| 2058 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2059 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,907.24",
|
| 2060 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2061 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2062 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2063 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
|
| 2064 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2065 |
+
},
|
| 2066 |
+
{
|
| 2067 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
|
| 2068 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2069 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
|
| 2070 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2071 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2072 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2073 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2074 |
+
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2075 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2076 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2077 |
+
"A) 3,914.24",
|
| 2078 |
+
"B) 4,263.84",
|
| 2079 |
+
"C) 5,662.22",
|
| 2080 |
+
"D) 4,963.03"
|
| 2081 |
+
],
|
| 2082 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2083 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2084 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2085 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2086 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2087 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
|
| 2088 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2089 |
+
},
|
| 2090 |
+
{
|
| 2091 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
|
| 2092 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2093 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
|
| 2094 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2095 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2096 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2097 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2098 |
+
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2099 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2100 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2101 |
+
"A) 3,914.24",
|
| 2102 |
+
"B) 4,263.84",
|
| 2103 |
+
"C) 5,662.22",
|
| 2104 |
+
"D) 4,963.03"
|
| 2105 |
+
],
|
| 2106 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2107 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2108 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2109 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2110 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2111 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
|
| 2112 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2113 |
+
},
|
| 2114 |
+
{
|
| 2115 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
|
| 2116 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2117 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
|
| 2118 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2119 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2120 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2121 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2122 |
+
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2123 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2125 |
+
"A) 4,963.03",
|
| 2126 |
+
"B) 4,613.43",
|
| 2127 |
+
"C) 6,011.82",
|
| 2128 |
+
"D) 3,914.24"
|
| 2129 |
+
],
|
| 2130 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2131 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2132 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2133 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2134 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2135 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
|
| 2136 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2137 |
+
},
|
| 2138 |
+
{
|
| 2139 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
|
| 2140 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2141 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
|
| 2142 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2143 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2144 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2145 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2146 |
+
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2147 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2148 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2149 |
+
"A) 4,963.03",
|
| 2150 |
+
"B) 4,613.43",
|
| 2151 |
+
"C) 6,011.82",
|
| 2152 |
+
"D) 3,914.24"
|
| 2153 |
+
],
|
| 2154 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2155 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2156 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2157 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2158 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2159 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
|
| 2160 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2161 |
+
},
|
| 2162 |
+
{
|
| 2163 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
|
| 2164 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2165 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
|
| 2166 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2167 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2168 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2169 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2170 |
+
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2171 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2172 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2173 |
+
"A) 4,613.43",
|
| 2174 |
+
"B) 4,963.03",
|
| 2175 |
+
"C) 3,914.24",
|
| 2176 |
+
"D) 6,011.82"
|
| 2177 |
+
],
|
| 2178 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2179 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2180 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2181 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2182 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2183 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
|
| 2184 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2185 |
+
},
|
| 2186 |
+
{
|
| 2187 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
|
| 2188 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2189 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
|
| 2190 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2191 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2192 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2193 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2194 |
+
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2195 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2196 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2197 |
+
"A) 4,613.43",
|
| 2198 |
+
"B) 4,963.03",
|
| 2199 |
+
"C) 3,914.24",
|
| 2200 |
+
"D) 6,011.82"
|
| 2201 |
+
],
|
| 2202 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2203 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2204 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2205 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2206 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2207 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
|
| 2208 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2209 |
+
},
|
| 2210 |
+
{
|
| 2211 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
|
| 2212 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2213 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
|
| 2214 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2215 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2216 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2217 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2218 |
+
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2220 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2221 |
+
"A) 5,662.22",
|
| 2222 |
+
"B) 3,914.24",
|
| 2223 |
+
"C) 4,963.03",
|
| 2224 |
+
"D) 4,613.43"
|
| 2225 |
+
],
|
| 2226 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2227 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2228 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2229 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2230 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2231 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
|
| 2232 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2233 |
+
},
|
| 2234 |
+
{
|
| 2235 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
|
| 2236 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2237 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
|
| 2238 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2239 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2240 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2241 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2242 |
+
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2243 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2244 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2245 |
+
"A) 5,662.22",
|
| 2246 |
+
"B) 3,914.24",
|
| 2247 |
+
"C) 4,963.03",
|
| 2248 |
+
"D) 4,613.43"
|
| 2249 |
+
],
|
| 2250 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2251 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2252 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2253 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2254 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2255 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
|
| 2256 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2257 |
+
},
|
| 2258 |
+
{
|
| 2259 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
|
| 2260 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2261 |
+
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
|
| 2262 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2263 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2264 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2265 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2266 |
+
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2267 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2268 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2269 |
+
"A) 5,662.22",
|
| 2270 |
+
"B) 4,263.84",
|
| 2271 |
+
"C) 3,914.24",
|
| 2272 |
+
"D) 4,963.03"
|
| 2273 |
+
],
|
| 2274 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2275 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2276 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2277 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2278 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2279 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
|
| 2280 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2281 |
+
},
|
| 2282 |
+
{
|
| 2283 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
|
| 2284 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2285 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
|
| 2286 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2287 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2288 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2289 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2290 |
+
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2291 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2293 |
+
"A) 5,662.22",
|
| 2294 |
+
"B) 4,263.84",
|
| 2295 |
+
"C) 3,914.24",
|
| 2296 |
+
"D) 4,963.03"
|
| 2297 |
+
],
|
| 2298 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2299 |
+
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
|
| 2300 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2301 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2302 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2303 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
|
| 2304 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2305 |
+
},
|
| 2306 |
+
{
|
| 2307 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
|
| 2308 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2309 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
|
| 2310 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2311 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2312 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2313 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2314 |
+
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2315 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2316 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2317 |
+
"A) 20.77",
|
| 2318 |
+
"B) 16.62",
|
| 2319 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2320 |
+
"D) 23.54"
|
| 2321 |
+
],
|
| 2322 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2323 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2324 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2325 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2326 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2327 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
|
| 2328 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2329 |
+
},
|
| 2330 |
+
{
|
| 2331 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
|
| 2332 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2333 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
|
| 2334 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2335 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2336 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2337 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2338 |
+
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2339 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2340 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2341 |
+
"A) 20.77",
|
| 2342 |
+
"B) 16.62",
|
| 2343 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2344 |
+
"D) 23.54"
|
| 2345 |
+
],
|
| 2346 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2347 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2348 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2349 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2350 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2351 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
|
| 2352 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2353 |
+
},
|
| 2354 |
+
{
|
| 2355 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
|
| 2356 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2357 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
|
| 2358 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2359 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2360 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2361 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2362 |
+
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2363 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2364 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2365 |
+
"A) 23.54",
|
| 2366 |
+
"B) 20.77",
|
| 2367 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2368 |
+
"D) 16.62"
|
| 2369 |
+
],
|
| 2370 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2371 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2372 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2373 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2374 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2375 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
|
| 2376 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2377 |
+
},
|
| 2378 |
+
{
|
| 2379 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
|
| 2380 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2381 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
|
| 2382 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2383 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2384 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2386 |
+
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2388 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2389 |
+
"A) 23.54",
|
| 2390 |
+
"B) 20.77",
|
| 2391 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2392 |
+
"D) 16.62"
|
| 2393 |
+
],
|
| 2394 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2395 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2396 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2397 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2398 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2399 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
|
| 2400 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2401 |
+
},
|
| 2402 |
+
{
|
| 2403 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
|
| 2404 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2405 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
|
| 2406 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2407 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2408 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2409 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2410 |
+
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2411 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2412 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2413 |
+
"A) 23.54",
|
| 2414 |
+
"B) 18.00",
|
| 2415 |
+
"C) 20.77",
|
| 2416 |
+
"D) 16.62"
|
| 2417 |
+
],
|
| 2418 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2419 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2420 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2421 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2422 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2423 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
|
| 2424 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2425 |
+
},
|
| 2426 |
+
{
|
| 2427 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
|
| 2428 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2429 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
|
| 2430 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2431 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2432 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2433 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2434 |
+
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2435 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2436 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2437 |
+
"A) 23.54",
|
| 2438 |
+
"B) 18.00",
|
| 2439 |
+
"C) 20.77",
|
| 2440 |
+
"D) 16.62"
|
| 2441 |
+
],
|
| 2442 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2443 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2444 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2445 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2446 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2447 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
|
| 2448 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2449 |
+
},
|
| 2450 |
+
{
|
| 2451 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
|
| 2452 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2453 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
|
| 2454 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2455 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2456 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2457 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2458 |
+
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2459 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2461 |
+
"A) 16.62",
|
| 2462 |
+
"B) 22.15",
|
| 2463 |
+
"C) 23.54",
|
| 2464 |
+
"D) 20.77"
|
| 2465 |
+
],
|
| 2466 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2467 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2468 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2469 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2470 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2471 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
|
| 2472 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2473 |
+
},
|
| 2474 |
+
{
|
| 2475 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
|
| 2476 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2477 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
|
| 2478 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2479 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2480 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2481 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2482 |
+
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2483 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2484 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2485 |
+
"A) 16.62",
|
| 2486 |
+
"B) 22.15",
|
| 2487 |
+
"C) 23.54",
|
| 2488 |
+
"D) 20.77"
|
| 2489 |
+
],
|
| 2490 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2491 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2492 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2493 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2494 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2495 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
|
| 2496 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2497 |
+
},
|
| 2498 |
+
{
|
| 2499 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
|
| 2500 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2501 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
|
| 2502 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2503 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2504 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2505 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2506 |
+
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2507 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2508 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2509 |
+
"A) 20.77",
|
| 2510 |
+
"B) 23.54",
|
| 2511 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2512 |
+
"D) 19.39"
|
| 2513 |
+
],
|
| 2514 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2515 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2516 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2517 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2518 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2519 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
|
| 2520 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2521 |
+
},
|
| 2522 |
+
{
|
| 2523 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
|
| 2524 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2525 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
|
| 2526 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2527 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2528 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2529 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2530 |
+
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2531 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2532 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2533 |
+
"A) 20.77",
|
| 2534 |
+
"B) 23.54",
|
| 2535 |
+
"C) 24.92",
|
| 2536 |
+
"D) 19.39"
|
| 2537 |
+
],
|
| 2538 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2539 |
+
"answer_raw": "20.77",
|
| 2540 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2541 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2542 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2543 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
|
| 2544 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2545 |
+
},
|
| 2546 |
+
{
|
| 2547 |
+
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
|
| 2548 |
+
"condition": "blind",
|
| 2549 |
+
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
|
| 2550 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2551 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2552 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2554 |
+
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2556 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2557 |
+
"A) 13.76",
|
| 2558 |
+
"B) 16.53",
|
| 2559 |
+
"C) 15.15",
|
| 2560 |
+
"D) 12.38"
|
| 2561 |
+
],
|
| 2562 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2563 |
+
"answer_raw": "16.53",
|
| 2564 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2565 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2566 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2567 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
|
| 2568 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2569 |
+
},
|
| 2570 |
+
{
|
| 2571 |
+
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
|
| 2572 |
+
"condition": "revealed",
|
| 2573 |
+
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
|
| 2574 |
+
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
|
| 2575 |
+
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
|
| 2576 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2577 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2578 |
+
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
|
| 2579 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
|
| 2580 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2581 |
+
"A) 13.76",
|
| 2582 |
+
"B) 16.53",
|
| 2583 |
+
"C) 15.15",
|
| 2584 |
+
"D) 12.38"
|
| 2585 |
+
],
|
| 2586 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2587 |
+
"answer_raw": "16.53",
|
| 2588 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2589 |
+
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
|
| 2590 |
+
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
|
| 2591 |
+
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
|
| 2592 |
+
"year": 2000
|
| 2593 |
+
}
|
| 2594 |
+
]
|
mcq_2001.json
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
mcq_2002.json
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
mcq_2003.json
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
mcq_2004.json
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,2501 @@
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) 5.55%",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) 3.83%",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) 3.40%",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) 4.69%"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.69%",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) -1.75%",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) -9.96%",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) -5.86%",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) -14.06%"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "-1.75%",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) 7.90%",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) 15.76%",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) 23.62%",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) 19.69%"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "15.76%",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) 74.38%",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) 85.40%",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) 78.51%",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) 82.64%"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "78.51%",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) 3.89%",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) 4.73%",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) 8.91%",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) 6.40%"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.40%",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) 339,000",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) 422,472",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) 255,528",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) 366,824"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "339,000",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) 85.35",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) 80.10",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) 83.25",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) 76.96"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "80.10",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) $9,378B",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) $9,666B",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) $8,803B",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) $8,227B"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "$8,803B",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) 98.14",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) 95.36",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) 89.81",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) 92.59"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "92.59",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) $9,035B",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) $9,319B",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) $8,181B",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) $9,604B"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,035B",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 6.23%",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 5.44%",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 7.80%",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 3.86%"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.44%",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) 8.68%",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 11.28%",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) 7.38%",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 9.98%"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.38%",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 4.22%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 6.72%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 7.55%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) 5.89%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.89%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 62.20%",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 57.85%",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 64.07%",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 60.33%"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "62.20%",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 5.71%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) 1.35%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 7.89%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) -3.02%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) -13.66%",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) 7.45%",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) 28.56%",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) 91.89%"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "28.56%",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) $64,268M",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) $58,086M",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) $51,904M",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) $54,995M"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "$54,995M",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) -0.10pp",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) -0.73pp",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) +0.53pp",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) +0.22pp"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 67.12%",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 65.80%",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 62.51%",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 64.48%"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "65.80%",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 1.1545",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) 1.2733",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) 1.2139",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 1.0952"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.2139",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) $7,176B",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) $6,902B",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) $5,803B",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) $6,352B"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,352B",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) 1.63%",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) 4.50%",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) 5.94%",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) 0.19%"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 3.36%",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 1.34%",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 4.37%",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) 2.35%"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.34%",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) +11.83pp",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) +1.17pp",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) +6.50pp",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) -4.17pp"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "+6.50pp",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) $302,187M",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) $325,075M",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) $340,334M",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) $317,446M"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "$317,446M",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) 144.08",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) 157.79",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) 130.37",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) 137.23"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "144.08",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 69.76%",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 77.47%",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 74.39%",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 80.56%"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "77.47%",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) -2.76pp",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) -1.36pp",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) +1.44pp",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) +2.85pp"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "+1.44pp",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) 15.45%",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) 13.92%",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) 11.63%",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) 13.15%"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "13.15%",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) 2,006.58",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) 1,089.22",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) 2,465.26",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) 1,547.90"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,006.58",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) +7.90pp",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) +18.20pp",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) +28.50pp",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) +33.65pp"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "+18.20pp",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) $14.83/hr",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) $16.42/hr",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) $15.78/hr",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) $15.46/hr"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "$15.78/hr",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 5.24%",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 3.72%",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 2.96%",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 4.10%"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) $34.66/bbl",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) $32.45/bbl",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) $39.07/bbl",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) $30.25/bbl"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) 1.60%",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) 1.90%",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) 1.01%",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) 2.19%"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) 69.96%",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) 64.02%",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) 66.00%",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) 67.98%"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) 1.58%",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) 0.94%",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) 2.22%",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) 1.90%"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 2,041K",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) 2,208K",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) 1,874K",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) 2,125K"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,041K",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) 14.51%",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) 17.59%",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) 20.66%",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) 11.43%"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "17.59%",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) 6.20%",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) 5.02%",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) 7.39%",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) 3.83%"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.39%",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) 6.90%",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) 3.67%",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) 2.06%",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) 4.48%"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.48%",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 131,140K",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 135,074K",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 128,517K",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 124,583K"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "131,140K",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) $62,259M",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) $56,227M",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) $47,178M",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) $50,195M"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "$56,227M",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) 183.20",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) 206.08",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) 197.50",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) 188.92"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "197.50",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) $8,598B",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) $7,828B",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) $8,085B",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) $8,342B"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "$8,342B",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) $6,158B",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) $5,885B",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) $5,339B",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) $6,704B"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,158B",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) 2,036,330",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) 2,990,000",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) 2,354,220",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) 3,943,670"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,990,000",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) 82.33",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) 77.11",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 79.20",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) 73.98"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "79.20",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) +0.56pp",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) +0.82pp",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) +1.09pp",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) +0.30pp"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1030 |
+
},
|
| 1031 |
+
{
|
| 1032 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301",
|
| 1033 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1034 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1035 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1036 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1037 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1038 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1039 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K",
|
| 1040 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1041 |
+
"A) 2,066K",
|
| 1042 |
+
"B) 2,252K",
|
| 1043 |
+
"C) 1,942K",
|
| 1044 |
+
"D) 2,004K"
|
| 1045 |
+
],
|
| 1046 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1047 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,066K",
|
| 1048 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1049 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1050 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1051 |
+
},
|
| 1052 |
+
{
|
| 1053 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1054 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1055 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1056 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1057 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1058 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1059 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1060 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%",
|
| 1061 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1062 |
+
"A) 8.77%",
|
| 1063 |
+
"B) 6.64%",
|
| 1064 |
+
"C) 2.38%",
|
| 1065 |
+
"D) 0.25%"
|
| 1066 |
+
],
|
| 1067 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1068 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.64%",
|
| 1069 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1070 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1071 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1072 |
+
},
|
| 1073 |
+
{
|
| 1074 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1075 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1076 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1077 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1078 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1079 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1080 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1081 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%",
|
| 1082 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1083 |
+
"A) 1.99%",
|
| 1084 |
+
"B) -0.60%",
|
| 1085 |
+
"C) 0.69%",
|
| 1086 |
+
"D) -1.25%"
|
| 1087 |
+
],
|
| 1088 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1089 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.69%",
|
| 1090 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1091 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1092 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1093 |
+
},
|
| 1094 |
+
{
|
| 1095 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301",
|
| 1096 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1097 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1098 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1099 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1100 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1101 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1102 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K",
|
| 1103 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1104 |
+
"A) 1,797K",
|
| 1105 |
+
"B) 1,931K",
|
| 1106 |
+
"C) 1,864K",
|
| 1107 |
+
"D) 1,998K"
|
| 1108 |
+
],
|
| 1109 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1110 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,998K",
|
| 1111 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1112 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1113 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1114 |
+
},
|
| 1115 |
+
{
|
| 1116 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1117 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1118 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1119 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1120 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1121 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1122 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1123 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%",
|
| 1124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1125 |
+
"A) 2.27%",
|
| 1126 |
+
"B) 1.98%",
|
| 1127 |
+
"C) 3.15%",
|
| 1128 |
+
"D) 1.40%"
|
| 1129 |
+
],
|
| 1130 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1131 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
|
| 1132 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1133 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1134 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1135 |
+
},
|
| 1136 |
+
{
|
| 1137 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1138 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1139 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1140 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1141 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1142 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1143 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1144 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%",
|
| 1145 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1146 |
+
"A) 2.19%",
|
| 1147 |
+
"B) 1.86%",
|
| 1148 |
+
"C) 1.64%",
|
| 1149 |
+
"D) 1.75%"
|
| 1150 |
+
],
|
| 1151 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1152 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.86%",
|
| 1153 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1154 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1155 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1156 |
+
},
|
| 1157 |
+
{
|
| 1158 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1159 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1160 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1161 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1162 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1163 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1164 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1165 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%",
|
| 1166 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1167 |
+
"A) 2.81%",
|
| 1168 |
+
"B) 6.35%",
|
| 1169 |
+
"C) 4.93%",
|
| 1170 |
+
"D) 5.64%"
|
| 1171 |
+
],
|
| 1172 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1173 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.93%",
|
| 1174 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1175 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1176 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1177 |
+
},
|
| 1178 |
+
{
|
| 1179 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615",
|
| 1180 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1181 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1182 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 1183 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1184 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1185 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 1186 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05",
|
| 1187 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1188 |
+
"A) 9.47",
|
| 1189 |
+
"B) 6.68",
|
| 1190 |
+
"C) 17.84",
|
| 1191 |
+
"D) 15.05"
|
| 1192 |
+
],
|
| 1193 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1194 |
+
"answer_raw": "15.05",
|
| 1195 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1196 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1197 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1198 |
+
},
|
| 1199 |
+
{
|
| 1200 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1201 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1202 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1203 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 1204 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1205 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1206 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1207 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%",
|
| 1208 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1209 |
+
"A) 2.45%",
|
| 1210 |
+
"B) 5.22%",
|
| 1211 |
+
"C) -1.70%",
|
| 1212 |
+
"D) 6.60%"
|
| 1213 |
+
],
|
| 1214 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1215 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.45%",
|
| 1216 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1217 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1218 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1219 |
+
},
|
| 1220 |
+
{
|
| 1221 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901",
|
| 1222 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1223 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1224 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1225 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1226 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1227 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1228 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68",
|
| 1229 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1230 |
+
"A) 155.72",
|
| 1231 |
+
"B) 147.70",
|
| 1232 |
+
"C) 134.34",
|
| 1233 |
+
"D) 139.68"
|
| 1234 |
+
],
|
| 1235 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1236 |
+
"answer_raw": "147.70",
|
| 1237 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1238 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1239 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1240 |
+
},
|
| 1241 |
+
{
|
| 1242 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301",
|
| 1243 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1244 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1245 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1246 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1247 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1248 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1249 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%",
|
| 1250 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1251 |
+
"A) 5.37%",
|
| 1252 |
+
"B) 4.94%",
|
| 1253 |
+
"C) 5.80%",
|
| 1254 |
+
"D) 4.51%"
|
| 1255 |
+
],
|
| 1256 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1257 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
|
| 1258 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1259 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1260 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1261 |
+
},
|
| 1262 |
+
{
|
| 1263 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301",
|
| 1264 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1265 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1266 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1267 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1268 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1269 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1270 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50",
|
| 1271 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1272 |
+
"A) 210.59",
|
| 1273 |
+
"B) 189.46",
|
| 1274 |
+
"C) 204.55",
|
| 1275 |
+
"D) 195.50"
|
| 1276 |
+
],
|
| 1277 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1278 |
+
"answer_raw": "195.50",
|
| 1279 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1280 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1281 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1282 |
+
},
|
| 1283 |
+
{
|
| 1284 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301",
|
| 1285 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1286 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1287 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1288 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1289 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1290 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1291 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
|
| 1292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1293 |
+
"A) $737M",
|
| 1294 |
+
"B) $4,300,000M",
|
| 1295 |
+
"C) $2,400,000M",
|
| 1296 |
+
"D) $6,200,000M"
|
| 1297 |
+
],
|
| 1298 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1299 |
+
"answer_raw": "$737M",
|
| 1300 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1301 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1302 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1303 |
+
},
|
| 1304 |
+
{
|
| 1305 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301",
|
| 1306 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1307 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1308 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1309 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1310 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1311 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1312 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr",
|
| 1313 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1314 |
+
"A) $15.90/hr",
|
| 1315 |
+
"B) $15.56/hr",
|
| 1316 |
+
"C) $16.58/hr",
|
| 1317 |
+
"D) $16.24/hr"
|
| 1318 |
+
],
|
| 1319 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1320 |
+
"answer_raw": "$15.56/hr",
|
| 1321 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 1322 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1323 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1324 |
+
},
|
| 1325 |
+
{
|
| 1326 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1327 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1328 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1329 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 1330 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1331 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1332 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1333 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%",
|
| 1334 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1335 |
+
"A) 18.42%",
|
| 1336 |
+
"B) 3.21%",
|
| 1337 |
+
"C) 10.81%",
|
| 1338 |
+
"D) -0.59%"
|
| 1339 |
+
],
|
| 1340 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1341 |
+
"answer_raw": "10.81%",
|
| 1342 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1343 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1344 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1345 |
+
},
|
| 1346 |
+
{
|
| 1347 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301",
|
| 1348 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1349 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1350 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1351 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1352 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1353 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1354 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%",
|
| 1355 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1356 |
+
"A) 4.11%",
|
| 1357 |
+
"B) 2.04%",
|
| 1358 |
+
"C) 3.07%",
|
| 1359 |
+
"D) 1.00%"
|
| 1360 |
+
],
|
| 1361 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1362 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.00%",
|
| 1363 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1364 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1365 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1366 |
+
},
|
| 1367 |
+
{
|
| 1368 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615",
|
| 1369 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1370 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1371 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 1372 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1373 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1374 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
|
| 1375 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B",
|
| 1376 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1377 |
+
"A) $6,106B",
|
| 1378 |
+
"B) $5,868B",
|
| 1379 |
+
"C) $6,818B",
|
| 1380 |
+
"D) $6,580B"
|
| 1381 |
+
],
|
| 1382 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1383 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,106B",
|
| 1384 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1385 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1386 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1387 |
+
},
|
| 1388 |
+
{
|
| 1389 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901",
|
| 1390 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1391 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1392 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1393 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1394 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1395 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1396 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K",
|
| 1397 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1398 |
+
"A) 1,825K",
|
| 1399 |
+
"B) 1,905K",
|
| 1400 |
+
"C) 2,145K",
|
| 1401 |
+
"D) 2,065K"
|
| 1402 |
+
],
|
| 1403 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1404 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,905K",
|
| 1405 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1406 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1407 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1408 |
+
},
|
| 1409 |
+
{
|
| 1410 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901",
|
| 1411 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1412 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1413 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1414 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1415 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1416 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1417 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%",
|
| 1418 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1419 |
+
"A) 5.82%",
|
| 1420 |
+
"B) 4.14%",
|
| 1421 |
+
"C) 5.40%",
|
| 1422 |
+
"D) 6.66%"
|
| 1423 |
+
],
|
| 1424 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1425 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
|
| 1426 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1427 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1428 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1429 |
+
},
|
| 1430 |
+
{
|
| 1431 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901",
|
| 1432 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1433 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1434 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1435 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1436 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1437 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1438 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%",
|
| 1439 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1440 |
+
"A) 0.54%",
|
| 1441 |
+
"B) 4.82%",
|
| 1442 |
+
"C) 3.75%",
|
| 1443 |
+
"D) 1.61%"
|
| 1444 |
+
],
|
| 1445 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1446 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
|
| 1447 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1448 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1449 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1450 |
+
},
|
| 1451 |
+
{
|
| 1452 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301",
|
| 1453 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1454 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1455 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 1456 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1457 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1458 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1459 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%",
|
| 1460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1461 |
+
"A) 4.50%",
|
| 1462 |
+
"B) 4.11%",
|
| 1463 |
+
"C) 5.29%",
|
| 1464 |
+
"D) 3.32%"
|
| 1465 |
+
],
|
| 1466 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1467 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.50%",
|
| 1468 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1469 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1470 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1471 |
+
},
|
| 1472 |
+
{
|
| 1473 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301",
|
| 1474 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1475 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1476 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1477 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1478 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1479 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1480 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp",
|
| 1481 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1482 |
+
"A) +0.01pp",
|
| 1483 |
+
"B) -0.30pp",
|
| 1484 |
+
"C) -0.40pp",
|
| 1485 |
+
"D) -0.20pp"
|
| 1486 |
+
],
|
| 1487 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1488 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
|
| 1489 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1490 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1491 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1492 |
+
},
|
| 1493 |
+
{
|
| 1494 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1495 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1496 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1497 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1498 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1499 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1500 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1501 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%",
|
| 1502 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1503 |
+
"A) 1.82%",
|
| 1504 |
+
"B) 0.78%",
|
| 1505 |
+
"C) 1.56%",
|
| 1506 |
+
"D) 2.33%"
|
| 1507 |
+
],
|
| 1508 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1509 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.56%",
|
| 1510 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1511 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1512 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1513 |
+
},
|
| 1514 |
+
{
|
| 1515 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1516 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1517 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1518 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1519 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1520 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1521 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1522 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%",
|
| 1523 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1524 |
+
"A) 3.22%",
|
| 1525 |
+
"B) -1.75%",
|
| 1526 |
+
"C) 13.16%",
|
| 1527 |
+
"D) 8.19%"
|
| 1528 |
+
],
|
| 1529 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1530 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.19%",
|
| 1531 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1532 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1533 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1534 |
+
},
|
| 1535 |
+
{
|
| 1536 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1537 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1538 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1539 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1540 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1541 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1542 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1543 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%",
|
| 1544 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1545 |
+
"A) 1.96%",
|
| 1546 |
+
"B) 2.48%",
|
| 1547 |
+
"C) 1.18%",
|
| 1548 |
+
"D) 2.22%"
|
| 1549 |
+
],
|
| 1550 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1551 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.96%",
|
| 1552 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1553 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1554 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1555 |
+
},
|
| 1556 |
+
{
|
| 1557 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901",
|
| 1558 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1559 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1560 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1561 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1562 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1563 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1564 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K",
|
| 1565 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1566 |
+
"A) 141,335K",
|
| 1567 |
+
"B) 132,089K",
|
| 1568 |
+
"C) 136,052K",
|
| 1569 |
+
"D) 128,126K"
|
| 1570 |
+
],
|
| 1571 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1572 |
+
"answer_raw": "132,089K",
|
| 1573 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1574 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1575 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1576 |
+
},
|
| 1577 |
+
{
|
| 1578 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1579 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1580 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1581 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 1582 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1583 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1584 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1585 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%",
|
| 1586 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1587 |
+
"A) 9.31%",
|
| 1588 |
+
"B) 17.02%",
|
| 1589 |
+
"C) 5.46%",
|
| 1590 |
+
"D) 1.61%"
|
| 1591 |
+
],
|
| 1592 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1593 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.46%",
|
| 1594 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1595 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1596 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1597 |
+
},
|
| 1598 |
+
{
|
| 1599 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1600 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1601 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1602 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1603 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1604 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1605 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1606 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%",
|
| 1607 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1608 |
+
"A) 11.31%",
|
| 1609 |
+
"B) -8.89%",
|
| 1610 |
+
"C) 21.40%",
|
| 1611 |
+
"D) 6.26%"
|
| 1612 |
+
],
|
| 1613 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1614 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.26%",
|
| 1615 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1616 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1617 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1618 |
+
},
|
| 1619 |
+
{
|
| 1620 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615",
|
| 1621 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1622 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1623 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 1624 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1625 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1626 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 1627 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102",
|
| 1628 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1629 |
+
"A) 109.5900",
|
| 1630 |
+
"B) 101.5497",
|
| 1631 |
+
"C) 97.5295",
|
| 1632 |
+
"D) 113.6102"
|
| 1633 |
+
],
|
| 1634 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1635 |
+
"answer_raw": "109.5900",
|
| 1636 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1637 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1638 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1639 |
+
},
|
| 1640 |
+
{
|
| 1641 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615",
|
| 1642 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1643 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1644 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 1645 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1646 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1647 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 1648 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl",
|
| 1649 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1650 |
+
"A) $41.99/bbl",
|
| 1651 |
+
"B) $37.18/bbl",
|
| 1652 |
+
"C) $29.96/bbl",
|
| 1653 |
+
"D) $39.59/bbl"
|
| 1654 |
+
],
|
| 1655 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1656 |
+
"answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl",
|
| 1657 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 1658 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1659 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1660 |
+
},
|
| 1661 |
+
{
|
| 1662 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1663 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1664 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1665 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1666 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1667 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1668 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1669 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%",
|
| 1670 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1671 |
+
"A) 1.62%",
|
| 1672 |
+
"B) 2.06%",
|
| 1673 |
+
"C) 1.95%",
|
| 1674 |
+
"D) 1.84%"
|
| 1675 |
+
],
|
| 1676 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1677 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.95%",
|
| 1678 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1679 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1680 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1681 |
+
},
|
| 1682 |
+
{
|
| 1683 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901",
|
| 1684 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1685 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1686 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1687 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1688 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1689 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1690 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66",
|
| 1691 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1692 |
+
"A) 77.72",
|
| 1693 |
+
"B) 83.59",
|
| 1694 |
+
"C) 85.54",
|
| 1695 |
+
"D) 80.66"
|
| 1696 |
+
],
|
| 1697 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1698 |
+
"answer_raw": "80.66",
|
| 1699 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1700 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1701 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1702 |
+
},
|
| 1703 |
+
{
|
| 1704 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301",
|
| 1705 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1706 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1707 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1708 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1709 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1710 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1711 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M",
|
| 1712 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1713 |
+
"A) $309,471M",
|
| 1714 |
+
"B) $301,924M",
|
| 1715 |
+
"C) $332,113M",
|
| 1716 |
+
"D) $286,829M"
|
| 1717 |
+
],
|
| 1718 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1719 |
+
"answer_raw": "$309,471M",
|
| 1720 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1721 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1722 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1723 |
+
},
|
| 1724 |
+
{
|
| 1725 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301",
|
| 1726 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1727 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1728 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1729 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1730 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1731 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1732 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B",
|
| 1733 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1734 |
+
"A) $7,328B",
|
| 1735 |
+
"B) $8,099B",
|
| 1736 |
+
"C) $8,356B",
|
| 1737 |
+
"D) $7,585B"
|
| 1738 |
+
],
|
| 1739 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1740 |
+
"answer_raw": "$8,099B",
|
| 1741 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1742 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1743 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1744 |
+
},
|
| 1745 |
+
{
|
| 1746 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1747 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1748 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1749 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1750 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1751 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1752 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1753 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%",
|
| 1754 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1755 |
+
"A) 5.41%",
|
| 1756 |
+
"B) 7.01%",
|
| 1757 |
+
"C) 6.21%",
|
| 1758 |
+
"D) 3.82%"
|
| 1759 |
+
],
|
| 1760 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1761 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.21%",
|
| 1762 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1763 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1764 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1765 |
+
},
|
| 1766 |
+
{
|
| 1767 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1768 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1769 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1770 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1771 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1772 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1773 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1774 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%",
|
| 1775 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1776 |
+
"A) 0.93%",
|
| 1777 |
+
"B) 2.14%",
|
| 1778 |
+
"C) 2.55%",
|
| 1779 |
+
"D) 1.74%"
|
| 1780 |
+
],
|
| 1781 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1782 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.74%",
|
| 1783 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1784 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1785 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1786 |
+
},
|
| 1787 |
+
{
|
| 1788 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615",
|
| 1789 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1790 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1791 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 1792 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1793 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1794 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-06",
|
| 1795 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%",
|
| 1796 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1797 |
+
"A) 6.32%",
|
| 1798 |
+
"B) 6.77%",
|
| 1799 |
+
"C) 4.97%",
|
| 1800 |
+
"D) 7.22%"
|
| 1801 |
+
],
|
| 1802 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1803 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.32%",
|
| 1804 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1805 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1806 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1807 |
+
},
|
| 1808 |
+
{
|
| 1809 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615",
|
| 1810 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1811 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1812 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 1813 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1814 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1815 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 1816 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%",
|
| 1817 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1818 |
+
"A) 5.88%",
|
| 1819 |
+
"B) 5.45%",
|
| 1820 |
+
"C) 4.81%",
|
| 1821 |
+
"D) 5.02%"
|
| 1822 |
+
],
|
| 1823 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1824 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.45%",
|
| 1825 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1826 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1827 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1828 |
+
},
|
| 1829 |
+
{
|
| 1830 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1831 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1832 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1833 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1834 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1835 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1836 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1837 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%",
|
| 1838 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1839 |
+
"A) 3.46%",
|
| 1840 |
+
"B) 1.96%",
|
| 1841 |
+
"C) 2.33%",
|
| 1842 |
+
"D) 1.58%"
|
| 1843 |
+
],
|
| 1844 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1845 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
|
| 1846 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1847 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1848 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1849 |
+
},
|
| 1850 |
+
{
|
| 1851 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615",
|
| 1852 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1853 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1854 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 1855 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1856 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 1857 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 1858 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766",
|
| 1859 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1860 |
+
"A) 8.0283",
|
| 1861 |
+
"B) 8.6904",
|
| 1862 |
+
"C) 8.4421",
|
| 1863 |
+
"D) 8.2766"
|
| 1864 |
+
],
|
| 1865 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1866 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.2766",
|
| 1867 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1868 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1869 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1870 |
+
},
|
| 1871 |
+
{
|
| 1872 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901",
|
| 1873 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1874 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1875 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 1876 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1877 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1878 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1879 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M",
|
| 1880 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1881 |
+
"A) $188,444M",
|
| 1882 |
+
"B) $193,974M",
|
| 1883 |
+
"C) $177,383M",
|
| 1884 |
+
"D) $171,853M"
|
| 1885 |
+
],
|
| 1886 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1887 |
+
"answer_raw": "$188,444M",
|
| 1888 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1889 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1890 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1891 |
+
},
|
| 1892 |
+
{
|
| 1893 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1894 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1895 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1896 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1897 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1898 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1899 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1900 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%",
|
| 1901 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1902 |
+
"A) 3.70%",
|
| 1903 |
+
"B) 2.54%",
|
| 1904 |
+
"C) 3.32%",
|
| 1905 |
+
"D) 2.15%"
|
| 1906 |
+
],
|
| 1907 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1908 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.54%",
|
| 1909 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1910 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1911 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1912 |
+
},
|
| 1913 |
+
{
|
| 1914 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 1915 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1916 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1917 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1918 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1919 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 1920 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 1921 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%",
|
| 1922 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1923 |
+
"A) 10.52%",
|
| 1924 |
+
"B) 12.33%",
|
| 1925 |
+
"C) 11.42%",
|
| 1926 |
+
"D) 10.06%"
|
| 1927 |
+
],
|
| 1928 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1929 |
+
"answer_raw": "11.42%",
|
| 1930 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1931 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1932 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1933 |
+
},
|
| 1934 |
+
{
|
| 1935 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 1936 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1937 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1938 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1939 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1940 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1941 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1942 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%",
|
| 1943 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1944 |
+
"A) 4.29%",
|
| 1945 |
+
"B) 2.88%",
|
| 1946 |
+
"C) 7.11%",
|
| 1947 |
+
"D) 5.70%"
|
| 1948 |
+
],
|
| 1949 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1950 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.70%",
|
| 1951 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1952 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1953 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1954 |
+
},
|
| 1955 |
+
{
|
| 1956 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901",
|
| 1957 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1958 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1959 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1960 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1961 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1962 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1963 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp",
|
| 1964 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1965 |
+
"A) -0.30pp",
|
| 1966 |
+
"B) -0.40pp",
|
| 1967 |
+
"C) -0.60pp",
|
| 1968 |
+
"D) -0.10pp"
|
| 1969 |
+
],
|
| 1970 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1971 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
|
| 1972 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1973 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1974 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1975 |
+
},
|
| 1976 |
+
{
|
| 1977 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901",
|
| 1978 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1979 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1980 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1981 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1982 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 1983 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 1984 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp",
|
| 1985 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1986 |
+
"A) +0.31pp",
|
| 1987 |
+
"B) -0.70pp",
|
| 1988 |
+
"C) -1.71pp",
|
| 1989 |
+
"D) -1.04pp"
|
| 1990 |
+
],
|
| 1991 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1992 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
|
| 1993 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1994 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1995 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 1996 |
+
},
|
| 1997 |
+
{
|
| 1998 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301",
|
| 1999 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2000 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2001 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 2002 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2003 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2004 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2005 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M",
|
| 2006 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2007 |
+
"A) $-36,273M",
|
| 2008 |
+
"B) $-50,248M",
|
| 2009 |
+
"C) $-46,754M",
|
| 2010 |
+
"D) $-57,235M"
|
| 2011 |
+
],
|
| 2012 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2013 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-46,754M",
|
| 2014 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2015 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2016 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2017 |
+
},
|
| 2018 |
+
{
|
| 2019 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301",
|
| 2020 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2021 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2022 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 2023 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2024 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2025 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2026 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10",
|
| 2027 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2028 |
+
"A) 138.36",
|
| 2029 |
+
"B) 133.61",
|
| 2030 |
+
"C) 147.84",
|
| 2031 |
+
"D) 143.10"
|
| 2032 |
+
],
|
| 2033 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2034 |
+
"answer_raw": "143.10",
|
| 2035 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2036 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2037 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2038 |
+
},
|
| 2039 |
+
{
|
| 2040 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901",
|
| 2041 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2042 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2043 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2044 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2045 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2046 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2047 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22",
|
| 2048 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2049 |
+
"A) 94.20",
|
| 2050 |
+
"B) 107.67",
|
| 2051 |
+
"C) 80.73",
|
| 2052 |
+
"D) 85.22"
|
| 2053 |
+
],
|
| 2054 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2055 |
+
"answer_raw": "94.20",
|
| 2056 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2057 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2058 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2059 |
+
},
|
| 2060 |
+
{
|
| 2061 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615",
|
| 2062 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2063 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2064 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 2065 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2066 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 2067 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 2068 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%",
|
| 2069 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2070 |
+
"A) 56.01%",
|
| 2071 |
+
"B) 17.21%",
|
| 2072 |
+
"C) 36.61%",
|
| 2073 |
+
"D) 75.41%"
|
| 2074 |
+
],
|
| 2075 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2076 |
+
"answer_raw": "17.21%",
|
| 2077 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2078 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2079 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2080 |
+
},
|
| 2081 |
+
{
|
| 2082 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615",
|
| 2083 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2084 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2085 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 2086 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2087 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 2088 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 2089 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%",
|
| 2090 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2091 |
+
"A) 1.85%",
|
| 2092 |
+
"B) 0.93%",
|
| 2093 |
+
"C) 2.77%",
|
| 2094 |
+
"D) 4.61%"
|
| 2095 |
+
],
|
| 2096 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2097 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
|
| 2098 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2099 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2100 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2101 |
+
},
|
| 2102 |
+
{
|
| 2103 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901",
|
| 2104 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2105 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2106 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 2107 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2108 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2109 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2110 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75",
|
| 2111 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2112 |
+
"A) 90.93",
|
| 2113 |
+
"B) 98.43",
|
| 2114 |
+
"C) 96.56",
|
| 2115 |
+
"D) 93.75"
|
| 2116 |
+
],
|
| 2117 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2118 |
+
"answer_raw": "93.75",
|
| 2119 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2120 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2121 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2122 |
+
},
|
| 2123 |
+
{
|
| 2124 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615",
|
| 2125 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2126 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2127 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2128 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2129 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 2130 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 2131 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%",
|
| 2132 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2133 |
+
"A) 23.55%",
|
| 2134 |
+
"B) -18.88%",
|
| 2135 |
+
"C) 87.20%",
|
| 2136 |
+
"D) 2.33%"
|
| 2137 |
+
],
|
| 2138 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2139 |
+
"answer_raw": "23.55%",
|
| 2140 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2141 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2142 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2143 |
+
},
|
| 2144 |
+
{
|
| 2145 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301",
|
| 2146 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2147 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2148 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 2149 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2150 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2151 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2152 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83",
|
| 2153 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2154 |
+
"A) 76.07",
|
| 2155 |
+
"B) 79.93",
|
| 2156 |
+
"C) 78.00",
|
| 2157 |
+
"D) 82.83"
|
| 2158 |
+
],
|
| 2159 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2160 |
+
"answer_raw": "79.93",
|
| 2161 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2162 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2163 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2164 |
+
},
|
| 2165 |
+
{
|
| 2166 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 2167 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2168 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2169 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 2170 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2171 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2172 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2173 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%",
|
| 2174 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2175 |
+
"A) 2.03%",
|
| 2176 |
+
"B) 2.65%",
|
| 2177 |
+
"C) 1.41%",
|
| 2178 |
+
"D) 0.17%"
|
| 2179 |
+
],
|
| 2180 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2181 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.41%",
|
| 2182 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2183 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2184 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2185 |
+
},
|
| 2186 |
+
{
|
| 2187 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301",
|
| 2188 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2189 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2190 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2191 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2192 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2193 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2194 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%",
|
| 2195 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2196 |
+
"A) 1.54%",
|
| 2197 |
+
"B) 0.07%",
|
| 2198 |
+
"C) 5.93%",
|
| 2199 |
+
"D) 4.47%"
|
| 2200 |
+
],
|
| 2201 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2202 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.47%",
|
| 2203 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2204 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2205 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2206 |
+
},
|
| 2207 |
+
{
|
| 2208 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301",
|
| 2209 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2210 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2211 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 2212 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2213 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2214 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2215 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61",
|
| 2216 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2217 |
+
"A) 187.10",
|
| 2218 |
+
"B) 193.30",
|
| 2219 |
+
"C) 180.90",
|
| 2220 |
+
"D) 171.61"
|
| 2221 |
+
],
|
| 2222 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2223 |
+
"answer_raw": "187.10",
|
| 2224 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2225 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2226 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2227 |
+
},
|
| 2228 |
+
{
|
| 2229 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901",
|
| 2230 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2231 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2232 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2233 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2234 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2235 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2236 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%",
|
| 2237 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2238 |
+
"A) 60.43%",
|
| 2239 |
+
"B) 62.30%",
|
| 2240 |
+
"C) 59.18%",
|
| 2241 |
+
"D) 64.17%"
|
| 2242 |
+
],
|
| 2243 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2244 |
+
"answer_raw": "62.30%",
|
| 2245 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2246 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2247 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2248 |
+
},
|
| 2249 |
+
{
|
| 2250 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901",
|
| 2251 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2252 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2253 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2254 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2255 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2256 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2257 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M",
|
| 2258 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2259 |
+
"A) $4,300,000M",
|
| 2260 |
+
"B) $2,400,000M",
|
| 2261 |
+
"C) $762M",
|
| 2262 |
+
"D) $6,200,000M"
|
| 2263 |
+
],
|
| 2264 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2265 |
+
"answer_raw": "$762M",
|
| 2266 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2267 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2268 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2269 |
+
},
|
| 2270 |
+
{
|
| 2271 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615",
|
| 2272 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2273 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2274 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 2275 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2276 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 2277 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 2278 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp",
|
| 2279 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2280 |
+
"A) +0.36pp",
|
| 2281 |
+
"B) +2.96pp",
|
| 2282 |
+
"C) +0.88pp",
|
| 2283 |
+
"D) +1.92pp"
|
| 2284 |
+
],
|
| 2285 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2286 |
+
"answer_raw": "+1.92pp",
|
| 2287 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2288 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2289 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2290 |
+
},
|
| 2291 |
+
{
|
| 2292 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901",
|
| 2293 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2294 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2295 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 2296 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2297 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2298 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2299 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52",
|
| 2300 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2301 |
+
"A) 155.11",
|
| 2302 |
+
"B) 178.23",
|
| 2303 |
+
"C) 147.40",
|
| 2304 |
+
"D) 170.52"
|
| 2305 |
+
],
|
| 2306 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2307 |
+
"answer_raw": "155.11",
|
| 2308 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2309 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2310 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2311 |
+
},
|
| 2312 |
+
{
|
| 2313 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 2314 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2315 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2316 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 2317 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2318 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2319 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2320 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%",
|
| 2321 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2322 |
+
"A) 10.65%",
|
| 2323 |
+
"B) 4.08%",
|
| 2324 |
+
"C) -5.78%",
|
| 2325 |
+
"D) -2.49%"
|
| 2326 |
+
],
|
| 2327 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2328 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
|
| 2329 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2330 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2331 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2332 |
+
},
|
| 2333 |
+
{
|
| 2334 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901",
|
| 2335 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2336 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2337 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 2338 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2339 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2340 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2341 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%",
|
| 2342 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2343 |
+
"A) 9.72%",
|
| 2344 |
+
"B) 2.68%",
|
| 2345 |
+
"C) 6.20%",
|
| 2346 |
+
"D) 7.37%"
|
| 2347 |
+
],
|
| 2348 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2349 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.20%",
|
| 2350 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2351 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2352 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2353 |
+
},
|
| 2354 |
+
{
|
| 2355 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901",
|
| 2356 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2357 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2358 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 2359 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2360 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2361 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2362 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80",
|
| 2363 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2364 |
+
"A) 198.70",
|
| 2365 |
+
"B) 183.86",
|
| 2366 |
+
"C) 174.96",
|
| 2367 |
+
"D) 189.80"
|
| 2368 |
+
],
|
| 2369 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2370 |
+
"answer_raw": "189.80",
|
| 2371 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2372 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2373 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2374 |
+
},
|
| 2375 |
+
{
|
| 2376 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301",
|
| 2377 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2378 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2379 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2380 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2381 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2382 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2383 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51",
|
| 2384 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2385 |
+
"A) 95.80",
|
| 2386 |
+
"B) 81.24",
|
| 2387 |
+
"C) 86.09",
|
| 2388 |
+
"D) 105.51"
|
| 2389 |
+
],
|
| 2390 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2391 |
+
"answer_raw": "95.80",
|
| 2392 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2393 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2394 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2395 |
+
},
|
| 2396 |
+
{
|
| 2397 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901",
|
| 2398 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2399 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2400 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 2401 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2402 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2403 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2404 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp",
|
| 2405 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2406 |
+
"A) +0.59pp",
|
| 2407 |
+
"B) +2.03pp",
|
| 2408 |
+
"C) +4.90pp",
|
| 2409 |
+
"D) +6.33pp"
|
| 2410 |
+
],
|
| 2411 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2412 |
+
"answer_raw": "+2.03pp",
|
| 2413 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2414 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2415 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2416 |
+
},
|
| 2417 |
+
{
|
| 2418 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615",
|
| 2419 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2420 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2421 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 2422 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2423 |
+
"target_period": "2004-06-15",
|
| 2424 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-08",
|
| 2425 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%",
|
| 2426 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2427 |
+
"A) 4.55%",
|
| 2428 |
+
"B) 5.20%",
|
| 2429 |
+
"C) 3.90%",
|
| 2430 |
+
"D) 3.25%"
|
| 2431 |
+
],
|
| 2432 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2433 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
|
| 2434 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2435 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2436 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2437 |
+
},
|
| 2438 |
+
{
|
| 2439 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901",
|
| 2440 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2441 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2442 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 2443 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2444 |
+
"target_period": "September 2004",
|
| 2445 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-01",
|
| 2446 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M",
|
| 2447 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2448 |
+
"A) $-47,927M",
|
| 2449 |
+
"B) $-44,168M",
|
| 2450 |
+
"C) $-62,964M",
|
| 2451 |
+
"D) $-51,686M"
|
| 2452 |
+
],
|
| 2453 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2454 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-51,686M",
|
| 2455 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2456 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2457 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2458 |
+
},
|
| 2459 |
+
{
|
| 2460 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301",
|
| 2461 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2462 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2463 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2464 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2465 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2466 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2467 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M",
|
| 2468 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2469 |
+
"A) $190,869M",
|
| 2470 |
+
"B) $207,499M",
|
| 2471 |
+
"C) $196,412M",
|
| 2472 |
+
"D) $201,956M"
|
| 2473 |
+
],
|
| 2474 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2475 |
+
"answer_raw": "$190,869M",
|
| 2476 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2477 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2478 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2479 |
+
},
|
| 2480 |
+
{
|
| 2481 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301",
|
| 2482 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2483 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2484 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2485 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2486 |
+
"target_period": "March 2004",
|
| 2487 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
|
| 2488 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp",
|
| 2489 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2490 |
+
"A) -0.98pp",
|
| 2491 |
+
"B) -0.20pp",
|
| 2492 |
+
"C) +0.58pp",
|
| 2493 |
+
"D) +0.32pp"
|
| 2494 |
+
],
|
| 2495 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2496 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
|
| 2497 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2498 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2499 |
+
"year": 2004
|
| 2500 |
+
}
|
| 2501 |
+
]
|
mcq_2005.json
ADDED
|
The diff for this file is too large to render.
See raw diff
|
|
|
mcq_2006.json
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,2501 @@
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060301",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.85\nB) 83.51\nC) 80.31\nD) 85.64",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) 88.85",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) 83.51",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) 80.31",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) 85.64"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "83.51",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060901",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $-83,160M\nB) $-71,117M\nC) $-65,095M\nD) $-59,073M",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) $-83,160M",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) $-71,117M",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) $-65,095M",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) $-59,073M"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-65,095M",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060301",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 133,317K\nB) 129,236K\nC) 138,759K\nD) 136,038K",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) 133,317K",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) 129,236K",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) 138,759K",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) 136,038K"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "136,038K",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060301",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $-62,397M\nB) $-44,882M\nC) $-50,720M\nD) $-68,235M",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) $-62,397M",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) $-44,882M",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) $-50,720M",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) $-68,235M"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-62,397M",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.33%\nB) -20.04%\nC) -29.46%\nD) -24.75%",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) -15.33%",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) -20.04%",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) -29.46%",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) -24.75%"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "-20.04%",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20060615",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $84.62/bbl\nB) $54.94/bbl\nC) $69.78/bbl\nD) $62.36/bbl",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) $84.62/bbl",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) $54.94/bbl",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) $69.78/bbl",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) $62.36/bbl"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "$69.78/bbl",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060301",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.59%",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) 5.82%",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) 3.98%",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) 3.36%",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) 4.59%"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.59%",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060301",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.44%",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 4.70%",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 5.21%",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 3.93%",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 4.44%"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20060615",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +0.38pp\nD) +1.23pp",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) -0.46pp",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) -0.04pp",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) +0.38pp",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) +1.23pp"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.04pp",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060301",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.33\nB) 79.86\nC) 83.75\nD) 90.22",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) 86.33",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) 79.86",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) 83.75",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) 90.22"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "83.75",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 9.13%\nD) 6.80%",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 10.29%",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 7.96%",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 9.13%",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 6.80%"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.80%",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060901",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.20\nB) 201.77\nC) 212.63\nD) 220.79",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) 207.20",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 201.77",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) 212.63",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 220.79"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "207.20",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 4.27%\nD) -2.63%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 6.58%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 1.97%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 4.27%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) -2.63%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.97%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060301",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,103M\nB) $67,089M\nC) $65,096M\nD) $69,083M",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) $63,103M",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) $67,089M",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) $65,096M",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) $69,083M"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "$65,096M",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 5.18%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 6.11%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) 2.38%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 7.05%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) 5.18%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.18%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20060615",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,439B\nB) $7,809B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $6,700B",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) $7,439B",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) $7,809B",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) $8,179B",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) $6,700B"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "$7,439B",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.76%",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) 3.42%",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 2.09%",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) -1.90%",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) 0.76%"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.09%",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 3.29%",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) 3.84%",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) 1.05%",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) 2.17%",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) 3.29%"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.37%\nB) 84.00%\nC) 78.08%\nD) 80.45%",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 86.37%",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 84.00%",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 78.08%",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 80.45%"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "80.45%",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 7.49%\nD) 9.87%",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 2.72%",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) -4.44%",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) 7.49%",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 9.87%"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.72%",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20060615",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.33%",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) 5.52%",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) 5.13%",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) 4.93%",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) 5.33%"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.13%",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.03%\nB) -38.38%\nC) -26.87%\nD) -19.19%",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) -23.03%",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) -38.38%",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) -26.87%",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) -19.19%"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "-26.87%",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060301",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.69/hr\nB) $17.11/hr\nC) $15.12/hr\nD) $16.54/hr",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) $15.69/hr",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) $17.11/hr",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) $15.12/hr",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) $16.54/hr"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "$16.54/hr",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.75%\nB) 13.68%\nC) 25.78%\nD) 17.71%",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) 21.75%",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) 13.68%",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) 25.78%",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) 17.71%"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "21.75%",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.24pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) -1.61pp",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) -1.24pp",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) -0.50pp",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) +0.61pp",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) -1.61pp"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060301",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $8,176B\nC) $9,133B\nD) $9,771B",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) $9,452B",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) $8,176B",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) $9,133B",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) $9,771B"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,133B",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060901",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,937K\nB) 1,843K\nC) 1,373K\nD) 1,655K",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 1,937K",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 1,843K",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 1,373K",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 1,655K"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,655K",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060901",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 64.78%\nD) 68.08%",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) 66.10%",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) 69.41%",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) 64.78%",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) 68.08%"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "66.10%",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060901",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,493B\nB) $6,952B\nC) $7,641B\nD) $6,723B",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) $6,493B",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) $6,952B",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) $7,641B",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) $6,723B"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,952B",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060901",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.10\nB) 90.37\nC) 84.57\nD) 88.05",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) 81.10",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) 90.37",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) 84.57",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) 88.05"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "84.57",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20060615",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 14.01%\nB) 12.54%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 11.06%",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) 14.01%",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) 12.54%",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) 6.64%",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) 11.06%"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "11.06%",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060301",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.46\nB) 95.58\nC) 101.35\nD) 104.24",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) 98.46",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) 95.58",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) 101.35",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) 104.24"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "98.46",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.26%",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 3.94%",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 2.91%",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 1.88%",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 3.26%"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.91%",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 2.65%",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) 2.96%",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) 3.87%",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) 3.57%",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) 2.65%"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.57%",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060901",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.19\nB) 102.74\nC) 90.77\nD) 99.32",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) 94.19",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) 102.74",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) 90.77",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) 99.32"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "99.32",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 13.42%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -6.05%",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) 5.63%",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) 13.42%",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) 1.74%",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) -6.05%"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.63%",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.46%",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) 2.92%",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) 2.01%",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) 0.66%",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) 2.46%"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 5.42%",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 7.91%",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) 6.05%",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) 7.29%",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) 5.42%"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.29%",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060901",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.29\nB) 191.09\nC) 214.51\nD) 202.80",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) 183.29",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) 191.09",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) 214.51",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) 202.80"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "202.80",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 7.70%\nD) 3.05%",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) 4.22%",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) 0.73%",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) 7.70%",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) 3.05%"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.22%",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060901",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.83\nB) 84.90\nC) 80.51\nD) 77.58",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) 87.83",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) 84.90",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) 80.51",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) 77.58"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "84.90",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.39%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 15.05%\nD) 18.72%",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 22.39%",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 4.05%",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 15.05%",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 18.72%"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "15.05%",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060301",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,167K\nB) 1,672K\nC) 1,870K\nD) 1,969K",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) 2,167K",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) 1,672K",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) 1,870K",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) 1,969K"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,969K",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060301",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $348,357M\nB) $359,654M\nC) $314,465M\nD) $325,762M",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) $348,357M",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) $359,654M",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) $314,465M",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) $325,762M"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "$348,357M",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060901",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,347B\nB) $10,018B\nC) $10,676B\nD) $9,689B",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) $10,347B",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) $10,018B",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) $10,676B",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) $9,689B"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "$10,018B",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 5.30%",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) 8.07%",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) 3.91%",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) 5.99%",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) 5.30%"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.99%",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20060615",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 4.85%",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) 6.03%",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) 6.62%",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) 3.67%",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) 4.85%"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.85%",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060301",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 162.20\nB) 172.72\nC) 156.94\nD) 151.68",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) 162.20",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) 172.72",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 156.94",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) 151.68"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "162.20",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060301",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.08\nB) 204.30\nC) 191.25\nD) 212.13",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) 199.08",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) 204.30",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) 191.25",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) 212.13"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "204.30",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1030 |
+
},
|
| 1031 |
+
{
|
| 1032 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060301",
|
| 1033 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1034 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1035 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1036 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1037 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1038 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1039 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.28pp\nB) +1.57pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.41pp",
|
| 1040 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1041 |
+
"A) +1.28pp",
|
| 1042 |
+
"B) +1.57pp",
|
| 1043 |
+
"C) +0.70pp",
|
| 1044 |
+
"D) +0.41pp"
|
| 1045 |
+
],
|
| 1046 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1047 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
|
| 1048 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1049 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1050 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1051 |
+
},
|
| 1052 |
+
{
|
| 1053 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1054 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1055 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1056 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1057 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1058 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1059 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1060 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 13.67%\nC) 12.36%\nD) 11.04%",
|
| 1061 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1062 |
+
"A) 8.41%",
|
| 1063 |
+
"B) 13.67%",
|
| 1064 |
+
"C) 12.36%",
|
| 1065 |
+
"D) 11.04%"
|
| 1066 |
+
],
|
| 1067 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1068 |
+
"answer_raw": "11.04%",
|
| 1069 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1070 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1071 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1072 |
+
},
|
| 1073 |
+
{
|
| 1074 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1075 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1076 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1077 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1078 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1079 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1080 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1081 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 2.19%",
|
| 1082 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1083 |
+
"A) 3.42%",
|
| 1084 |
+
"B) 3.83%",
|
| 1085 |
+
"C) 4.65%",
|
| 1086 |
+
"D) 2.19%"
|
| 1087 |
+
],
|
| 1088 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1089 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.42%",
|
| 1090 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1091 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1092 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1093 |
+
},
|
| 1094 |
+
{
|
| 1095 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1096 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1097 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1098 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1099 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1100 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1101 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1102 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 15.06%\nC) -0.85%\nD) 9.75%",
|
| 1103 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1104 |
+
"A) 4.45%",
|
| 1105 |
+
"B) 15.06%",
|
| 1106 |
+
"C) -0.85%",
|
| 1107 |
+
"D) 9.75%"
|
| 1108 |
+
],
|
| 1109 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1110 |
+
"answer_raw": "15.06%",
|
| 1111 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1112 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1113 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1114 |
+
},
|
| 1115 |
+
{
|
| 1116 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20060615",
|
| 1117 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1118 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1119 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 1120 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1121 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1122 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1123 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.01/bbl\nB) $44.07/bbl\nC) $66.04/bbl\nD) $51.39/bbl",
|
| 1124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1125 |
+
"A) $88.01/bbl",
|
| 1126 |
+
"B) $44.07/bbl",
|
| 1127 |
+
"C) $66.04/bbl",
|
| 1128 |
+
"D) $51.39/bbl"
|
| 1129 |
+
],
|
| 1130 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1131 |
+
"answer_raw": "$66.04/bbl",
|
| 1132 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 1133 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1134 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1135 |
+
},
|
| 1136 |
+
{
|
| 1137 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20060615",
|
| 1138 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1139 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1140 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 1141 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1142 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1143 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1144 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.96\nB) 8.53\nC) 23.27\nD) 15.90",
|
| 1145 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1146 |
+
"A) 26.96",
|
| 1147 |
+
"B) 8.53",
|
| 1148 |
+
"C) 23.27",
|
| 1149 |
+
"D) 15.90"
|
| 1150 |
+
],
|
| 1151 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1152 |
+
"answer_raw": "15.90",
|
| 1153 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1154 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1155 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1156 |
+
},
|
| 1157 |
+
{
|
| 1158 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20060615",
|
| 1159 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1160 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1161 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 1162 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1163 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1164 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1165 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,144.15\nB) 1,993.58\nC) 2,294.72\nD) 1,843.00",
|
| 1166 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1167 |
+
"A) 2,144.15",
|
| 1168 |
+
"B) 1,993.58",
|
| 1169 |
+
"C) 2,294.72",
|
| 1170 |
+
"D) 1,843.00"
|
| 1171 |
+
],
|
| 1172 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1173 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,144.15",
|
| 1174 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1175 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1176 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1177 |
+
},
|
| 1178 |
+
{
|
| 1179 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1180 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1181 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1182 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1183 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1184 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1185 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1186 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 7.90%",
|
| 1187 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1188 |
+
"A) 5.95%",
|
| 1189 |
+
"B) 4.98%",
|
| 1190 |
+
"C) 2.05%",
|
| 1191 |
+
"D) 7.90%"
|
| 1192 |
+
],
|
| 1193 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1194 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.98%",
|
| 1195 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1196 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1197 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1198 |
+
},
|
| 1199 |
+
{
|
| 1200 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20060615",
|
| 1201 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1202 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1203 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 1204 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1205 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1206 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
|
| 1207 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,179,871\nB) 1,749,614\nC) 2,395,000\nD) 1,964,743",
|
| 1208 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1209 |
+
"A) 2,179,871",
|
| 1210 |
+
"B) 1,749,614",
|
| 1211 |
+
"C) 2,395,000",
|
| 1212 |
+
"D) 1,964,743"
|
| 1213 |
+
],
|
| 1214 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1215 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,395,000",
|
| 1216 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1217 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1218 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1219 |
+
},
|
| 1220 |
+
{
|
| 1221 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1222 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1223 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1224 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1225 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1226 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1227 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1228 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 7.81%\nD) 5.53%",
|
| 1229 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1230 |
+
"A) -1.31%",
|
| 1231 |
+
"B) 3.25%",
|
| 1232 |
+
"C) 7.81%",
|
| 1233 |
+
"D) 5.53%"
|
| 1234 |
+
],
|
| 1235 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1236 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.53%",
|
| 1237 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1238 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1239 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1240 |
+
},
|
| 1241 |
+
{
|
| 1242 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20060615",
|
| 1243 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1244 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1245 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 1246 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1247 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1248 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1249 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.9990\nB) 7.5991\nC) 7.7590\nD) 8.2390",
|
| 1250 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1251 |
+
"A) 7.9990",
|
| 1252 |
+
"B) 7.5991",
|
| 1253 |
+
"C) 7.7590",
|
| 1254 |
+
"D) 8.2390"
|
| 1255 |
+
],
|
| 1256 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1257 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.9990",
|
| 1258 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1259 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1260 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1261 |
+
},
|
| 1262 |
+
{
|
| 1263 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060901",
|
| 1264 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1265 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1266 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1267 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1268 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1269 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1270 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,028B\nB) $9,375B\nC) $8,334B\nD) $10,416B",
|
| 1271 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1272 |
+
"A) $9,028B",
|
| 1273 |
+
"B) $9,375B",
|
| 1274 |
+
"C) $8,334B",
|
| 1275 |
+
"D) $10,416B"
|
| 1276 |
+
],
|
| 1277 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1278 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,375B",
|
| 1279 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1280 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1281 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1282 |
+
},
|
| 1283 |
+
{
|
| 1284 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1285 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1286 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1287 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1288 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1289 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1290 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1291 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.28%\nB) 9.77%\nC) 14.80%\nD) 19.83%",
|
| 1292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1293 |
+
"A) -0.28%",
|
| 1294 |
+
"B) 9.77%",
|
| 1295 |
+
"C) 14.80%",
|
| 1296 |
+
"D) 19.83%"
|
| 1297 |
+
],
|
| 1298 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1299 |
+
"answer_raw": "14.80%",
|
| 1300 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1301 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1302 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1303 |
+
},
|
| 1304 |
+
{
|
| 1305 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060301",
|
| 1306 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1307 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1308 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1309 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1310 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1311 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1312 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.06\nB) 97.41\nC) 80.39\nD) 88.90",
|
| 1313 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1314 |
+
"A) 86.06",
|
| 1315 |
+
"B) 97.41",
|
| 1316 |
+
"C) 80.39",
|
| 1317 |
+
"D) 88.90"
|
| 1318 |
+
],
|
| 1319 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1320 |
+
"answer_raw": "88.90",
|
| 1321 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1322 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1323 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1324 |
+
},
|
| 1325 |
+
{
|
| 1326 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1327 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1328 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1329 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1330 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1331 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1332 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1333 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.58%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 8.13%",
|
| 1334 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1335 |
+
"A) 6.22%",
|
| 1336 |
+
"B) 5.58%",
|
| 1337 |
+
"C) 6.85%",
|
| 1338 |
+
"D) 8.13%"
|
| 1339 |
+
],
|
| 1340 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1341 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.22%",
|
| 1342 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1343 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1344 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1345 |
+
},
|
| 1346 |
+
{
|
| 1347 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060901",
|
| 1348 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1349 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1350 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1351 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1352 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1353 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1354 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 4.59%",
|
| 1355 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1356 |
+
"A) 6.56%",
|
| 1357 |
+
"B) 5.25%",
|
| 1358 |
+
"C) 5.91%",
|
| 1359 |
+
"D) 4.59%"
|
| 1360 |
+
],
|
| 1361 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1362 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.25%",
|
| 1363 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1364 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1365 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1366 |
+
},
|
| 1367 |
+
{
|
| 1368 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060901",
|
| 1369 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1370 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1371 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1372 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1373 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1374 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1375 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.75\nB) 195.97\nC) 184.20\nD) 148.87",
|
| 1376 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1377 |
+
"A) 207.75",
|
| 1378 |
+
"B) 195.97",
|
| 1379 |
+
"C) 184.20",
|
| 1380 |
+
"D) 148.87"
|
| 1381 |
+
],
|
| 1382 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1383 |
+
"answer_raw": "184.20",
|
| 1384 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1385 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1386 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1387 |
+
},
|
| 1388 |
+
{
|
| 1389 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1390 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1391 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1392 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1393 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1394 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1395 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1396 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.98%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 4.35%",
|
| 1397 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1398 |
+
"A) 0.98%",
|
| 1399 |
+
"B) 3.23%",
|
| 1400 |
+
"C) 6.59%",
|
| 1401 |
+
"D) 4.35%"
|
| 1402 |
+
],
|
| 1403 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1404 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.35%",
|
| 1405 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1406 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1407 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1408 |
+
},
|
| 1409 |
+
{
|
| 1410 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060301",
|
| 1411 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1412 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1413 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1414 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1415 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1416 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1417 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $810M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
|
| 1418 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1419 |
+
"A) $810M",
|
| 1420 |
+
"B) $4,300,000M",
|
| 1421 |
+
"C) $6,200,000M",
|
| 1422 |
+
"D) $2,400,000M"
|
| 1423 |
+
],
|
| 1424 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1425 |
+
"answer_raw": "$810M",
|
| 1426 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1427 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1428 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1429 |
+
},
|
| 1430 |
+
{
|
| 1431 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1432 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1433 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1434 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1435 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1436 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1437 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1438 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.48%",
|
| 1439 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1440 |
+
"A) 3.16%",
|
| 1441 |
+
"B) 2.93%",
|
| 1442 |
+
"C) 3.38%",
|
| 1443 |
+
"D) 2.48%"
|
| 1444 |
+
],
|
| 1445 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1446 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.93%",
|
| 1447 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1448 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1449 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1450 |
+
},
|
| 1451 |
+
{
|
| 1452 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1453 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1454 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1455 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1456 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1457 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1458 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1459 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.47%",
|
| 1460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1461 |
+
"A) 0.92%",
|
| 1462 |
+
"B) 2.85%",
|
| 1463 |
+
"C) 2.08%",
|
| 1464 |
+
"D) 2.47%"
|
| 1465 |
+
],
|
| 1466 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1467 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.08%",
|
| 1468 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1469 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1470 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1471 |
+
},
|
| 1472 |
+
{
|
| 1473 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20060615",
|
| 1474 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1475 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1476 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 1477 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1478 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1479 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1480 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 5.14%",
|
| 1481 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1482 |
+
"A) 6.70%",
|
| 1483 |
+
"B) 5.66%",
|
| 1484 |
+
"C) 4.62%",
|
| 1485 |
+
"D) 5.14%"
|
| 1486 |
+
],
|
| 1487 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1488 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.14%",
|
| 1489 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1490 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1491 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1492 |
+
},
|
| 1493 |
+
{
|
| 1494 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1495 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1496 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1497 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1498 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1499 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1500 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1501 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.89%",
|
| 1502 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1503 |
+
"A) 2.17%",
|
| 1504 |
+
"B) 2.44%",
|
| 1505 |
+
"C) 2.30%",
|
| 1506 |
+
"D) 1.89%"
|
| 1507 |
+
],
|
| 1508 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1509 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
|
| 1510 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1511 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1512 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1513 |
+
},
|
| 1514 |
+
{
|
| 1515 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1516 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1517 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1518 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1519 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1520 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1521 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1522 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.55%",
|
| 1523 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1524 |
+
"A) 8.00%",
|
| 1525 |
+
"B) 4.73%",
|
| 1526 |
+
"C) 1.46%",
|
| 1527 |
+
"D) 2.55%"
|
| 1528 |
+
],
|
| 1529 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1530 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.73%",
|
| 1531 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1532 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1533 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1534 |
+
},
|
| 1535 |
+
{
|
| 1536 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1537 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1538 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1539 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1540 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1541 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1542 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1543 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 3.34%",
|
| 1544 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1545 |
+
"A) 3.91%",
|
| 1546 |
+
"B) 4.78%",
|
| 1547 |
+
"C) 4.20%",
|
| 1548 |
+
"D) 3.34%"
|
| 1549 |
+
],
|
| 1550 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1551 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.20%",
|
| 1552 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1553 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1554 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1555 |
+
},
|
| 1556 |
+
{
|
| 1557 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060301",
|
| 1558 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1559 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1560 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1561 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1562 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1563 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1564 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.63pp\nB) -0.03pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.30pp",
|
| 1565 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1566 |
+
"A) +0.63pp",
|
| 1567 |
+
"B) -0.03pp",
|
| 1568 |
+
"C) +0.52pp",
|
| 1569 |
+
"D) +0.30pp"
|
| 1570 |
+
],
|
| 1571 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1572 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
|
| 1573 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1574 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1575 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1576 |
+
},
|
| 1577 |
+
{
|
| 1578 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060901",
|
| 1579 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1580 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1581 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1582 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1583 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1584 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1585 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 66.25%\nC) 61.84%\nD) 64.99%",
|
| 1586 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1587 |
+
"A) 63.10%",
|
| 1588 |
+
"B) 66.25%",
|
| 1589 |
+
"C) 61.84%",
|
| 1590 |
+
"D) 64.99%"
|
| 1591 |
+
],
|
| 1592 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1593 |
+
"answer_raw": "63.10%",
|
| 1594 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1595 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1596 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1597 |
+
},
|
| 1598 |
+
{
|
| 1599 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20060615",
|
| 1600 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1601 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1602 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 1603 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1604 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1605 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1606 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1154\nB) 1.2616\nC) 1.4809\nD) 1.1885",
|
| 1607 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1608 |
+
"A) 1.1154",
|
| 1609 |
+
"B) 1.2616",
|
| 1610 |
+
"C) 1.4809",
|
| 1611 |
+
"D) 1.1885"
|
| 1612 |
+
],
|
| 1613 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1614 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.2616",
|
| 1615 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1616 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1617 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1618 |
+
},
|
| 1619 |
+
{
|
| 1620 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060901",
|
| 1621 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1622 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1623 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1624 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1625 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1626 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1627 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,405M\nB) $72,133M\nC) $66,981M\nD) $69,557M",
|
| 1628 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1629 |
+
"A) $64,405M",
|
| 1630 |
+
"B) $72,133M",
|
| 1631 |
+
"C) $66,981M",
|
| 1632 |
+
"D) $69,557M"
|
| 1633 |
+
],
|
| 1634 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1635 |
+
"answer_raw": "$66,981M",
|
| 1636 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1637 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1638 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1639 |
+
},
|
| 1640 |
+
{
|
| 1641 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060301",
|
| 1642 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1643 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1644 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1645 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1646 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1647 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1648 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.83pp\nB) +3.29pp\nC) -2.89pp\nD) +0.20pp",
|
| 1649 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1650 |
+
"A) +4.83pp",
|
| 1651 |
+
"B) +3.29pp",
|
| 1652 |
+
"C) -2.89pp",
|
| 1653 |
+
"D) +0.20pp"
|
| 1654 |
+
],
|
| 1655 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1656 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
|
| 1657 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1658 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1659 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1660 |
+
},
|
| 1661 |
+
{
|
| 1662 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20060615",
|
| 1663 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1664 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1665 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 1666 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1667 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1668 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1669 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.80%\nB) 55.49%\nC) 12.46%\nD) -16.22%",
|
| 1670 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1671 |
+
"A) 26.80%",
|
| 1672 |
+
"B) 55.49%",
|
| 1673 |
+
"C) 12.46%",
|
| 1674 |
+
"D) -16.22%"
|
| 1675 |
+
],
|
| 1676 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1677 |
+
"answer_raw": "26.80%",
|
| 1678 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1679 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1680 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1681 |
+
},
|
| 1682 |
+
{
|
| 1683 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060301",
|
| 1684 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1685 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1686 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1687 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1688 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1689 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1690 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 2.81%",
|
| 1691 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1692 |
+
"A) 2.57%",
|
| 1693 |
+
"B) 2.10%",
|
| 1694 |
+
"C) 1.86%",
|
| 1695 |
+
"D) 2.81%"
|
| 1696 |
+
],
|
| 1697 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1698 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.10%",
|
| 1699 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1700 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1701 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1702 |
+
},
|
| 1703 |
+
{
|
| 1704 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20060615",
|
| 1705 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1706 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1707 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 1708 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1709 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1710 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1711 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 45.79%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 17.80%\nD) 31.80%",
|
| 1712 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1713 |
+
"A) 45.79%",
|
| 1714 |
+
"B) 3.81%",
|
| 1715 |
+
"C) 17.80%",
|
| 1716 |
+
"D) 31.80%"
|
| 1717 |
+
],
|
| 1718 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1719 |
+
"answer_raw": "17.80%",
|
| 1720 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1721 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1722 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1723 |
+
},
|
| 1724 |
+
{
|
| 1725 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060901",
|
| 1726 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1727 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1728 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 1729 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1730 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1731 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1732 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 0.30%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.40%",
|
| 1733 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1734 |
+
"A) 3.80%",
|
| 1735 |
+
"B) 0.30%",
|
| 1736 |
+
"C) 1.70%",
|
| 1737 |
+
"D) 2.40%"
|
| 1738 |
+
],
|
| 1739 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1740 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.40%",
|
| 1741 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1742 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1743 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1744 |
+
},
|
| 1745 |
+
{
|
| 1746 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20060615",
|
| 1747 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1748 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1749 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 1750 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1751 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1752 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
|
| 1753 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 308,000\nB) 261,631\nC) 284,816\nD) 377,553",
|
| 1754 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1755 |
+
"A) 308,000",
|
| 1756 |
+
"B) 261,631",
|
| 1757 |
+
"C) 284,816",
|
| 1758 |
+
"D) 377,553"
|
| 1759 |
+
],
|
| 1760 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1761 |
+
"answer_raw": "308,000",
|
| 1762 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1763 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1764 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1765 |
+
},
|
| 1766 |
+
{
|
| 1767 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20060615",
|
| 1768 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1769 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1770 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 1771 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1772 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1773 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-06",
|
| 1774 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 6.39%",
|
| 1775 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1776 |
+
"A) 6.14%",
|
| 1777 |
+
"B) 6.63%",
|
| 1778 |
+
"C) 7.12%",
|
| 1779 |
+
"D) 6.39%"
|
| 1780 |
+
],
|
| 1781 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1782 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.63%",
|
| 1783 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1784 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1785 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1786 |
+
},
|
| 1787 |
+
{
|
| 1788 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 1789 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1790 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1791 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1792 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1793 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1794 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1795 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 2.34%",
|
| 1796 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1797 |
+
"A) 0.96%",
|
| 1798 |
+
"B) 5.08%",
|
| 1799 |
+
"C) 3.71%",
|
| 1800 |
+
"D) 2.34%"
|
| 1801 |
+
],
|
| 1802 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1803 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.71%",
|
| 1804 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1805 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1806 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1807 |
+
},
|
| 1808 |
+
{
|
| 1809 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060301",
|
| 1810 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1811 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1812 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1813 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1814 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1815 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1816 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,283B\nB) $7,012B\nC) $7,498B\nD) $6,769B",
|
| 1817 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1818 |
+
"A) $6,283B",
|
| 1819 |
+
"B) $7,012B",
|
| 1820 |
+
"C) $7,498B",
|
| 1821 |
+
"D) $6,769B"
|
| 1822 |
+
],
|
| 1823 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1824 |
+
"answer_raw": "$6,769B",
|
| 1825 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1826 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1827 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1828 |
+
},
|
| 1829 |
+
{
|
| 1830 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060301",
|
| 1831 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1832 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1833 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1834 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1835 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1836 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1837 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -1.58pp\nC) -0.86pp\nD) -0.14pp",
|
| 1838 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1839 |
+
"A) -0.50pp",
|
| 1840 |
+
"B) -1.58pp",
|
| 1841 |
+
"C) -0.86pp",
|
| 1842 |
+
"D) -0.14pp"
|
| 1843 |
+
],
|
| 1844 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1845 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
|
| 1846 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1847 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1848 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1849 |
+
},
|
| 1850 |
+
{
|
| 1851 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060901",
|
| 1852 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1853 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1854 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1855 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1856 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1857 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1858 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.21\nB) 165.40\nC) 152.86\nD) 159.13",
|
| 1859 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1860 |
+
"A) 184.21",
|
| 1861 |
+
"B) 165.40",
|
| 1862 |
+
"C) 152.86",
|
| 1863 |
+
"D) 159.13"
|
| 1864 |
+
],
|
| 1865 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1866 |
+
"answer_raw": "165.40",
|
| 1867 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1868 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1869 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1870 |
+
},
|
| 1871 |
+
{
|
| 1872 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060901",
|
| 1873 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1874 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1875 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1876 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1877 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1878 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1879 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.42\nB) 79.44\nC) 85.40\nD) 94.34",
|
| 1880 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1881 |
+
"A) 82.42",
|
| 1882 |
+
"B) 79.44",
|
| 1883 |
+
"C) 85.40",
|
| 1884 |
+
"D) 94.34"
|
| 1885 |
+
],
|
| 1886 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1887 |
+
"answer_raw": "85.40",
|
| 1888 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1889 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1890 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1891 |
+
},
|
| 1892 |
+
{
|
| 1893 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060301",
|
| 1894 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1895 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1896 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1897 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1898 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1899 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1900 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.90pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) -14.10pp\nD) -3.70pp",
|
| 1901 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1902 |
+
"A) -8.90pp",
|
| 1903 |
+
"B) +1.50pp",
|
| 1904 |
+
"C) -14.10pp",
|
| 1905 |
+
"D) -3.70pp"
|
| 1906 |
+
],
|
| 1907 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1908 |
+
"answer_raw": "-3.70pp",
|
| 1909 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1910 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1911 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1912 |
+
},
|
| 1913 |
+
{
|
| 1914 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060901",
|
| 1915 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1916 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1917 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1918 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1919 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 1920 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 1921 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.96%",
|
| 1922 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1923 |
+
"A) 4.50%",
|
| 1924 |
+
"B) 5.19%",
|
| 1925 |
+
"C) 4.27%",
|
| 1926 |
+
"D) 4.96%"
|
| 1927 |
+
],
|
| 1928 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1929 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.50%",
|
| 1930 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1931 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1932 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1933 |
+
},
|
| 1934 |
+
{
|
| 1935 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060301",
|
| 1936 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1937 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1938 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1939 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1940 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1941 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1942 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 66.20%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 62.23%",
|
| 1943 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1944 |
+
"A) 64.21%",
|
| 1945 |
+
"B) 66.20%",
|
| 1946 |
+
"C) 68.19%",
|
| 1947 |
+
"D) 62.23%"
|
| 1948 |
+
],
|
| 1949 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1950 |
+
"answer_raw": "66.20%",
|
| 1951 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1952 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1953 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1954 |
+
},
|
| 1955 |
+
{
|
| 1956 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20060615",
|
| 1957 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1958 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1959 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 1960 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1961 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 1962 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 1963 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.02%\nB) -39.73%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 32.05%",
|
| 1964 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1965 |
+
"A) -11.02%",
|
| 1966 |
+
"B) -39.73%",
|
| 1967 |
+
"C) 3.34%",
|
| 1968 |
+
"D) 32.05%"
|
| 1969 |
+
],
|
| 1970 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1971 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.34%",
|
| 1972 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1973 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1974 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1975 |
+
},
|
| 1976 |
+
{
|
| 1977 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060301",
|
| 1978 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1979 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1980 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1981 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1982 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 1983 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 1984 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 182.49\nB) 189.37\nC) 210.03\nD) 199.70",
|
| 1985 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1986 |
+
"A) 182.49",
|
| 1987 |
+
"B) 189.37",
|
| 1988 |
+
"C) 210.03",
|
| 1989 |
+
"D) 199.70"
|
| 1990 |
+
],
|
| 1991 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1992 |
+
"answer_raw": "199.70",
|
| 1993 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1994 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1995 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 1996 |
+
},
|
| 1997 |
+
{
|
| 1998 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060301",
|
| 1999 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2000 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2001 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 2002 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2003 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2004 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2005 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 5.32%",
|
| 2006 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2007 |
+
"A) 3.30%",
|
| 2008 |
+
"B) 2.63%",
|
| 2009 |
+
"C) 1.28%",
|
| 2010 |
+
"D) 5.32%"
|
| 2011 |
+
],
|
| 2012 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2013 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.30%",
|
| 2014 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2015 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2016 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2017 |
+
},
|
| 2018 |
+
{
|
| 2019 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 2020 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2021 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2022 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2023 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2024 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2025 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2026 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 5.05%",
|
| 2027 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2028 |
+
"A) 1.76%",
|
| 2029 |
+
"B) 2.86%",
|
| 2030 |
+
"C) 3.95%",
|
| 2031 |
+
"D) 5.05%"
|
| 2032 |
+
],
|
| 2033 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2034 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.86%",
|
| 2035 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2036 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2037 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2038 |
+
},
|
| 2039 |
+
{
|
| 2040 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20060615",
|
| 2041 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2042 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2043 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 2044 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2045 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 2046 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 2047 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 5.78%",
|
| 2048 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2049 |
+
"A) 5.55%",
|
| 2050 |
+
"B) 4.65%",
|
| 2051 |
+
"C) 5.10%",
|
| 2052 |
+
"D) 5.78%"
|
| 2053 |
+
],
|
| 2054 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2055 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
|
| 2056 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2057 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2058 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2059 |
+
},
|
| 2060 |
+
{
|
| 2061 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20060615",
|
| 2062 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2063 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2064 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 2065 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2066 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 2067 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 2068 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 5.42%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 5.08%",
|
| 2069 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2070 |
+
"A) 5.76%",
|
| 2071 |
+
"B) 5.42%",
|
| 2072 |
+
"C) 4.06%",
|
| 2073 |
+
"D) 5.08%"
|
| 2074 |
+
],
|
| 2075 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2076 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.08%",
|
| 2077 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2078 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2079 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2080 |
+
},
|
| 2081 |
+
{
|
| 2082 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060901",
|
| 2083 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2084 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2085 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2086 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2087 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2088 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2089 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,701M\nB) $225,630M\nC) $207,487M\nD) $252,844M",
|
| 2090 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2091 |
+
"A) $234,701M",
|
| 2092 |
+
"B) $225,630M",
|
| 2093 |
+
"C) $207,487M",
|
| 2094 |
+
"D) $252,844M"
|
| 2095 |
+
],
|
| 2096 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2097 |
+
"answer_raw": "$234,701M",
|
| 2098 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2099 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2100 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2101 |
+
},
|
| 2102 |
+
{
|
| 2103 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060901",
|
| 2104 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2105 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2106 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2107 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2108 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2109 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2110 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $810M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
|
| 2111 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2112 |
+
"A) $2,400,000M",
|
| 2113 |
+
"B) $810M",
|
| 2114 |
+
"C) $6,200,000M",
|
| 2115 |
+
"D) $4,300,000M"
|
| 2116 |
+
],
|
| 2117 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2118 |
+
"answer_raw": "$810M",
|
| 2119 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2120 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2121 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2122 |
+
},
|
| 2123 |
+
{
|
| 2124 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060901",
|
| 2125 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2126 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2127 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 2128 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2129 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2130 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2131 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.23pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.35pp",
|
| 2132 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2133 |
+
"A) -0.23pp",
|
| 2134 |
+
"B) +0.23pp",
|
| 2135 |
+
"C) +0.00pp",
|
| 2136 |
+
"D) +0.35pp"
|
| 2137 |
+
],
|
| 2138 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2139 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
|
| 2140 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2141 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2142 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2143 |
+
},
|
| 2144 |
+
{
|
| 2145 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060901",
|
| 2146 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2147 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2148 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 2149 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2150 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2151 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2152 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $17.78/hr\nB) $15.66/hr\nC) $16.27/hr\nD) $16.87/hr",
|
| 2153 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2154 |
+
"A) $17.78/hr",
|
| 2155 |
+
"B) $15.66/hr",
|
| 2156 |
+
"C) $16.27/hr",
|
| 2157 |
+
"D) $16.87/hr"
|
| 2158 |
+
],
|
| 2159 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2160 |
+
"answer_raw": "$16.87/hr",
|
| 2161 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 2162 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2163 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2164 |
+
},
|
| 2165 |
+
{
|
| 2166 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 2167 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2168 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2169 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 2170 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2171 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2172 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2173 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 2.30%",
|
| 2174 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2175 |
+
"A) 1.69%",
|
| 2176 |
+
"B) 1.08%",
|
| 2177 |
+
"C) 2.91%",
|
| 2178 |
+
"D) 2.30%"
|
| 2179 |
+
],
|
| 2180 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2181 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
|
| 2182 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2183 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2184 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2185 |
+
},
|
| 2186 |
+
{
|
| 2187 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060301",
|
| 2188 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2189 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2190 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2191 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2192 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2193 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2194 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.84%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 59.95%\nD) 64.99%",
|
| 2195 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2196 |
+
"A) 61.84%",
|
| 2197 |
+
"B) 63.10%",
|
| 2198 |
+
"C) 59.95%",
|
| 2199 |
+
"D) 64.99%"
|
| 2200 |
+
],
|
| 2201 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2202 |
+
"answer_raw": "63.10%",
|
| 2203 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2204 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2205 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2206 |
+
},
|
| 2207 |
+
{
|
| 2208 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060901",
|
| 2209 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2210 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2211 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 2212 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2213 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2214 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2215 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,931K\nB) 129,985K\nC) 136,826K\nD) 132,721K",
|
| 2216 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2217 |
+
"A) 140,931K",
|
| 2218 |
+
"B) 129,985K",
|
| 2219 |
+
"C) 136,826K",
|
| 2220 |
+
"D) 132,721K"
|
| 2221 |
+
],
|
| 2222 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2223 |
+
"answer_raw": "136,826K",
|
| 2224 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 2225 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2226 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2227 |
+
},
|
| 2228 |
+
{
|
| 2229 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 2230 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2231 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2232 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 2233 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2234 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2235 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2236 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.61%",
|
| 2237 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2238 |
+
"A) 2.44%",
|
| 2239 |
+
"B) 2.11%",
|
| 2240 |
+
"C) 2.94%",
|
| 2241 |
+
"D) 2.61%"
|
| 2242 |
+
],
|
| 2243 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2244 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.61%",
|
| 2245 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2246 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2247 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2248 |
+
},
|
| 2249 |
+
{
|
| 2250 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060901",
|
| 2251 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2252 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2253 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 2254 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2255 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2256 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2257 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,720K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 1,999K\nD) 1,627K",
|
| 2258 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2259 |
+
"A) 1,720K",
|
| 2260 |
+
"B) 1,906K",
|
| 2261 |
+
"C) 1,999K",
|
| 2262 |
+
"D) 1,627K"
|
| 2263 |
+
],
|
| 2264 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2265 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,720K",
|
| 2266 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 2267 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2268 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2269 |
+
},
|
| 2270 |
+
{
|
| 2271 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060901",
|
| 2272 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2273 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2274 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 2275 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2276 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2277 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2278 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $326,000M\nB) $351,240M\nC) $389,100M\nD) $376,480M",
|
| 2279 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2280 |
+
"A) $326,000M",
|
| 2281 |
+
"B) $351,240M",
|
| 2282 |
+
"C) $389,100M",
|
| 2283 |
+
"D) $376,480M"
|
| 2284 |
+
],
|
| 2285 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2286 |
+
"answer_raw": "$351,240M",
|
| 2287 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2288 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2289 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2290 |
+
},
|
| 2291 |
+
{
|
| 2292 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060901",
|
| 2293 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2294 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2295 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2296 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2297 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2298 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2299 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +22.45pp\nB) +3.85pp\nC) +8.50pp\nD) -0.80pp",
|
| 2300 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2301 |
+
"A) +22.45pp",
|
| 2302 |
+
"B) +3.85pp",
|
| 2303 |
+
"C) +8.50pp",
|
| 2304 |
+
"D) -0.80pp"
|
| 2305 |
+
],
|
| 2306 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2307 |
+
"answer_raw": "+8.50pp",
|
| 2308 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2309 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2310 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2311 |
+
},
|
| 2312 |
+
{
|
| 2313 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060301",
|
| 2314 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2315 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2316 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 2317 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2318 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2319 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2320 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.01%\nB) 77.45%\nC) 82.80%\nD) 80.66%",
|
| 2321 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2322 |
+
"A) 86.01%",
|
| 2323 |
+
"B) 77.45%",
|
| 2324 |
+
"C) 82.80%",
|
| 2325 |
+
"D) 80.66%"
|
| 2326 |
+
],
|
| 2327 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2328 |
+
"answer_raw": "80.66%",
|
| 2329 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2330 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2331 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2332 |
+
},
|
| 2333 |
+
{
|
| 2334 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060901",
|
| 2335 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2336 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2337 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 2338 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2339 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2340 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2341 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.41%",
|
| 2342 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2343 |
+
"A) 5.34%",
|
| 2344 |
+
"B) 7.26%",
|
| 2345 |
+
"C) 4.70%",
|
| 2346 |
+
"D) 3.41%"
|
| 2347 |
+
],
|
| 2348 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2349 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.34%",
|
| 2350 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2351 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2352 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2353 |
+
},
|
| 2354 |
+
{
|
| 2355 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060301",
|
| 2356 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2357 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2358 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2359 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2360 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2361 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2362 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $219,918M\nB) $227,188M\nC) $212,647M\nD) $248,999M",
|
| 2363 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2364 |
+
"A) $219,918M",
|
| 2365 |
+
"B) $227,188M",
|
| 2366 |
+
"C) $212,647M",
|
| 2367 |
+
"D) $248,999M"
|
| 2368 |
+
],
|
| 2369 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2370 |
+
"answer_raw": "$227,188M",
|
| 2371 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2372 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2373 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2374 |
+
},
|
| 2375 |
+
{
|
| 2376 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060901",
|
| 2377 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2378 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2379 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 2380 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2381 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2382 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2383 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.41pp\nB) -2.18pp\nC) +1.62pp\nD) -0.91pp",
|
| 2384 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2385 |
+
"A) +5.41pp",
|
| 2386 |
+
"B) -2.18pp",
|
| 2387 |
+
"C) +1.62pp",
|
| 2388 |
+
"D) -0.91pp"
|
| 2389 |
+
],
|
| 2390 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2391 |
+
"answer_raw": "+1.62pp",
|
| 2392 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2393 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2394 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2395 |
+
},
|
| 2396 |
+
{
|
| 2397 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060301",
|
| 2398 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2399 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2400 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 2401 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2402 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2403 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2404 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,323K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 2,221K\nD) 2,118K",
|
| 2405 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2406 |
+
"A) 2,323K",
|
| 2407 |
+
"B) 1,913K",
|
| 2408 |
+
"C) 2,221K",
|
| 2409 |
+
"D) 2,118K"
|
| 2410 |
+
],
|
| 2411 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2412 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,118K",
|
| 2413 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 2414 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2415 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2416 |
+
},
|
| 2417 |
+
{
|
| 2418 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060301",
|
| 2419 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2420 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2421 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 2422 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2423 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2424 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2425 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,838B\nB) $10,439B\nC) $8,935B\nD) $9,537B",
|
| 2426 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2427 |
+
"A) $9,838B",
|
| 2428 |
+
"B) $10,439B",
|
| 2429 |
+
"C) $8,935B",
|
| 2430 |
+
"D) $9,537B"
|
| 2431 |
+
],
|
| 2432 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2433 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,838B",
|
| 2434 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 2435 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2436 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2437 |
+
},
|
| 2438 |
+
{
|
| 2439 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060901",
|
| 2440 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2441 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2442 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2443 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2444 |
+
"target_period": "September 2006",
|
| 2445 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-08-01",
|
| 2446 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.01pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -0.62pp\nD) +0.61pp",
|
| 2447 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2448 |
+
"A) -0.01pp",
|
| 2449 |
+
"B) +0.30pp",
|
| 2450 |
+
"C) -0.62pp",
|
| 2451 |
+
"D) +0.61pp"
|
| 2452 |
+
],
|
| 2453 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2454 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
|
| 2455 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2456 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2457 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2458 |
+
},
|
| 2459 |
+
{
|
| 2460 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060301",
|
| 2461 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2462 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2463 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 2464 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2465 |
+
"target_period": "March 2006",
|
| 2466 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-01-29",
|
| 2467 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.66\nB) 171.78\nC) 182.75\nD) 160.81",
|
| 2468 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2469 |
+
"A) 215.66",
|
| 2470 |
+
"B) 171.78",
|
| 2471 |
+
"C) 182.75",
|
| 2472 |
+
"D) 160.81"
|
| 2473 |
+
],
|
| 2474 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2475 |
+
"answer_raw": "182.75",
|
| 2476 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2477 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2478 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2479 |
+
},
|
| 2480 |
+
{
|
| 2481 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20060615",
|
| 2482 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2483 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2484 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 2485 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2486 |
+
"target_period": "2006-06-15",
|
| 2487 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2006-06-08",
|
| 2488 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 111.2092\nB) 103.5077\nC) 126.6123\nD) 115.0600",
|
| 2489 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2490 |
+
"A) 111.2092",
|
| 2491 |
+
"B) 103.5077",
|
| 2492 |
+
"C) 126.6123",
|
| 2493 |
+
"D) 115.0600"
|
| 2494 |
+
],
|
| 2495 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2496 |
+
"answer_raw": "115.0600",
|
| 2497 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 2498 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2499 |
+
"year": 2006
|
| 2500 |
+
}
|
| 2501 |
+
]
|
mcq_2007.json
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|
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|
|
mcq_2008.json
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
mcq_2009.json
ADDED
|
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|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090301",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.60pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.20pp\nD) +4.41pp",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) +3.60pp",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) +4.81pp",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) +3.20pp",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) +4.41pp"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "+3.60pp",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.08%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.27%",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) -0.08%",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) 0.73%",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) 1.00%",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) 1.27%"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.73%",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090301",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 145.11\nB) 175.76\nC) 168.10\nD) 191.09",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) 145.11",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) 175.76",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) 168.10",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) 191.09"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "168.10",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090901",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $-29,711M\nB) $-18,640M\nC) $-51,854M\nD) $-35,247M",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) $-29,711M",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) $-18,640M",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) $-51,854M",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) $-35,247M"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-35,247M",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090301",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 61.70%\nC) 56.91%\nD) 58.10%",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) 59.90%",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) 61.70%",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) 56.91%",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) 58.10%"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "59.90%",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090301",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.63%\nB) 68.09%\nC) 62.33%\nD) 71.55%",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) 64.63%",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) 68.09%",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) 62.33%",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) 71.55%"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "68.09%",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.63%\nB) -22.30%\nC) -25.96%\nD) -14.96%",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) -29.63%",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) -22.30%",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) -25.96%",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) -14.96%"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "-25.96%",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090901",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.95\nB) 94.78\nC) 82.49\nD) 87.41",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 84.95",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 94.78",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 82.49",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 87.41"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "87.41",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090301",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $1,647M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) $1,647M",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) $2,400,000M",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) $4,300,000M",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) $6,200,000M"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "$1,647M",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090301",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.82/hr\nB) $18.49/hr\nC) $17.16/hr\nD) $18.93/hr",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) $19.82/hr",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) $18.49/hr",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) $17.16/hr",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) $18.93/hr"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "$18.49/hr",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090901",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.80\nB) 86.34\nC) 89.32\nD) 96.79",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 93.80",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 86.34",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 89.32",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 96.79"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "89.32",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090901",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +20.15pp\nB) -8.10pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) +3.20pp",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) +20.15pp",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) -8.10pp",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) -2.45pp",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) +3.20pp"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "+3.20pp",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -10.54%\nB) -4.00%\nC) -12.72%\nD) -8.36%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) -10.54%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) -4.00%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) -12.72%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) -8.36%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "-10.54%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.04%",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 3.33%",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 2.75%",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 3.63%",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 3.04%"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.75%",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20090615",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) -30.21%\nC) -49.00%\nD) -11.41%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 7.38%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) -30.21%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) -49.00%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) -11.41%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "-49.00%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -2.25%\nC) 0.38%\nD) -1.38%",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) 1.25%",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) -2.25%",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) 0.38%",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) -1.38%"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "-1.38%",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.66%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -57.59%\nD) -47.95%",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) -28.66%",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 0.28%",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) -57.59%",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) -47.95%"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "-28.66%",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20090615",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) -47.69%\nC) -87.26%\nD) -27.90%",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) 11.68%",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) -47.69%",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) -87.26%",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) -27.90%"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "-47.69%",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.65%\nB) 134.23%\nC) 98.00%\nD) 79.88%",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 43.65%",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 134.23%",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 98.00%",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 79.88%"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "98.00%",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20090615",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $56.97/bbl\nB) $91.53/bbl\nC) $103.06/bbl\nD) $68.49/bbl",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) $56.97/bbl",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) $91.53/bbl",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) $103.06/bbl",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) $68.49/bbl"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "$68.49/bbl",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090901",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.28pp\nC) -1.58pp\nD) -2.66pp",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) -3.20pp",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) -4.28pp",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) -1.58pp",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) -2.66pp"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "-3.20pp",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090901",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $1,801M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) $2,400,000M",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) $1,801M",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) $6,200,000M",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) $4,300,000M"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "$1,801M",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20090615",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.60%",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 1.93%",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 3.26%",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 1.26%",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) 2.60%"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.26%",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -37.33%\nB) -56.56%\nC) -27.72%\nD) -46.95%",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) -37.33%",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) -56.56%",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) -27.72%",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) -46.95%"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "-46.95%",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.70/hr\nB) $19.16/hr\nC) $17.78/hr\nD) $17.33/hr",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) $18.70/hr",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) $19.16/hr",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) $17.78/hr",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) $17.33/hr"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "$18.70/hr",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090301",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $293,217M\nB) $322,634M\nC) $303,022M\nD) $312,828M",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) $293,217M",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) $322,634M",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) $303,022M",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) $312,828M"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "$322,634M",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -4.17%\nD) -5.85%",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) -2.49%",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) -3.05%",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) -4.17%",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) -5.85%"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "-4.17%",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090901",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 867K\nB) 1,150K\nC) 303K\nD) 585K",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) 867K",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) 1,150K",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) 303K",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) 585K"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "585K",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -14.66%\nB) -16.51%\nC) -18.37%\nD) -9.09%",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) -14.66%",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) -16.51%",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) -18.37%",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) -9.09%"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "-14.66%",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 128.18%\nB) 97.76%\nC) 77.47%\nD) 107.90%",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) 128.18%",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) 97.76%",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) 77.47%",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) 107.90%"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "97.76%",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090301",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.01pp\nB) -9.57pp\nC) -12.45pp\nD) -13.89pp",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) -11.01pp",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) -9.57pp",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) -12.45pp",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) -13.89pp"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "-12.45pp",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 0.27%",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) 1.67%",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) -1.84%",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) 0.97%",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) 0.27%"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.27%",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -3.84%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.96%",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) -0.36%",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) -3.84%",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 3.12%",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 1.96%"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.36%",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090301",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 771K\nB) 513K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 255K",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) 771K",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) 513K",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) 1,029K",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) 255K"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "513K",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090301",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 67.57%\nC) 65.60%\nD) 63.63%",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) 62.32%",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) 67.57%",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) 65.60%",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) 63.63%"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "65.60%",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090301",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $-20,728M\nB) $-33,348M\nC) $-39,658M\nD) $-30,193M",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) $-20,728M",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) $-33,348M",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) $-39,658M",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) $-30,193M"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-30,193M",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.65%\nB) -5.27%\nC) -15.90%\nD) -13.77%",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) -11.65%",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) -5.27%",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) -15.90%",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) -13.77%"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "-11.65%",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) -7.59%\nC) -22.48%\nD) -12.55%",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 7.31%",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) -7.59%",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) -22.48%",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) -12.55%"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "-7.59%",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20090615",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.27%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 11.10%\nD) 24.85%",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) 20.27%",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) 6.52%",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) 11.10%",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) 24.85%"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "11.10%",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.47%",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) 4.23%",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) 4.61%",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) 2.33%",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) 3.47%"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.47%",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090301",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 505K\nB) 263K\nC) 747K\nD) 1,231K",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) 505K",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) 263K",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) 747K",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) 1,231K"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "505K",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090301",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 4.55%",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 7.68%",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 5.80%",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 6.43%",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 4.55%"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090901",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.10pp\nB) -7.83pp\nC) -5.47pp\nD) -12.56pp",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) -3.10pp",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) -7.83pp",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) -5.47pp",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) -12.56pp"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "-5.47pp",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090301",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.19\nB) 207.80\nC) 221.88\nD) 212.50",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) 217.19",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) 207.80",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) 221.88",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) 212.50"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "212.50",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20090615",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 5.84%",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) 5.38%",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) 4.69%",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) 5.61%",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) 5.84%"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.38%",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090901",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $56,033M\nB) $53,034M\nC) $50,035M\nD) $62,032M",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) $56,033M",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) $53,034M",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) $50,035M",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) $62,032M"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "$53,034M",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20090615",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2181\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.3784\nD) 1.4853",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) 1.2181",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) 1.2715",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) 1.3784",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) 1.4853"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.3784",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -10.68%\nC) 1.84%\nD) -16.94%",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) -4.42%",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) -10.68%",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 1.84%",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) -16.94%"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "-16.94%",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20090615",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 1.85%",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) 0.17%",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) 1.01%",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) 2.69%",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) 1.85%"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.17%",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1030 |
+
},
|
| 1031 |
+
{
|
| 1032 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1033 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1034 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1035 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1036 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1037 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1038 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1039 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.30%",
|
| 1040 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1041 |
+
"A) 2.28%",
|
| 1042 |
+
"B) 1.79%",
|
| 1043 |
+
"C) 1.95%",
|
| 1044 |
+
"D) 1.30%"
|
| 1045 |
+
],
|
| 1046 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1047 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.79%",
|
| 1048 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1049 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1050 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1051 |
+
},
|
| 1052 |
+
{
|
| 1053 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20090615",
|
| 1054 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1055 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1056 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 1057 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1058 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1059 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1060 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3752\nB) 6.2970\nC) 6.8361\nD) 6.5665",
|
| 1061 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1062 |
+
"A) 7.3752",
|
| 1063 |
+
"B) 6.2970",
|
| 1064 |
+
"C) 6.8361",
|
| 1065 |
+
"D) 6.5665"
|
| 1066 |
+
],
|
| 1067 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1068 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.8361",
|
| 1069 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1070 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1071 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1072 |
+
},
|
| 1073 |
+
{
|
| 1074 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20090615",
|
| 1075 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1076 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1077 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 1078 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1079 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1080 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1081 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 43.38\nB) 11.95\nC) 37.10\nD) 30.81",
|
| 1082 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1083 |
+
"A) 43.38",
|
| 1084 |
+
"B) 11.95",
|
| 1085 |
+
"C) 37.10",
|
| 1086 |
+
"D) 30.81"
|
| 1087 |
+
],
|
| 1088 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1089 |
+
"answer_raw": "30.81",
|
| 1090 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1091 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1092 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1093 |
+
},
|
| 1094 |
+
{
|
| 1095 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20090615",
|
| 1096 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1097 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1098 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 1099 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1100 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1101 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1102 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) -26.00%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -51.83%\nD) -34.61%",
|
| 1103 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1104 |
+
"A) -26.00%",
|
| 1105 |
+
"B) -17.39%",
|
| 1106 |
+
"C) -51.83%",
|
| 1107 |
+
"D) -34.61%"
|
| 1108 |
+
],
|
| 1109 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1110 |
+
"answer_raw": "-26.00%",
|
| 1111 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1112 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1113 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1114 |
+
},
|
| 1115 |
+
{
|
| 1116 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20090615",
|
| 1117 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1118 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1119 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 1120 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1121 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1122 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1123 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.37%",
|
| 1124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1125 |
+
"A) 4.85%",
|
| 1126 |
+
"B) 4.61%",
|
| 1127 |
+
"C) 5.34%",
|
| 1128 |
+
"D) 4.37%"
|
| 1129 |
+
],
|
| 1130 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1131 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.61%",
|
| 1132 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1133 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1134 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1135 |
+
},
|
| 1136 |
+
{
|
| 1137 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090301",
|
| 1138 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1139 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1140 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1141 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1142 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1143 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1144 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.44pp\nB) -23.96pp\nC) -12.20pp\nD) -18.08pp",
|
| 1145 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1146 |
+
"A) -0.44pp",
|
| 1147 |
+
"B) -23.96pp",
|
| 1148 |
+
"C) -12.20pp",
|
| 1149 |
+
"D) -18.08pp"
|
| 1150 |
+
],
|
| 1151 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1152 |
+
"answer_raw": "-12.20pp",
|
| 1153 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1154 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1155 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1156 |
+
},
|
| 1157 |
+
{
|
| 1158 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 1159 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1160 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1161 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1162 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1163 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1164 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1165 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.52%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 2.79%\nD) -1.86%",
|
| 1166 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1167 |
+
"A) -6.52%",
|
| 1168 |
+
"B) -3.42%",
|
| 1169 |
+
"C) 2.79%",
|
| 1170 |
+
"D) -1.86%"
|
| 1171 |
+
],
|
| 1172 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1173 |
+
"answer_raw": "-1.86%",
|
| 1174 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1175 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1176 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1177 |
+
},
|
| 1178 |
+
{
|
| 1179 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20090615",
|
| 1180 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1181 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1182 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 1183 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1184 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1185 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
|
| 1186 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 6,525,000\nB) 6,046,574\nC) 7,003,426\nD) 5,089,722",
|
| 1187 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1188 |
+
"A) 6,525,000",
|
| 1189 |
+
"B) 6,046,574",
|
| 1190 |
+
"C) 7,003,426",
|
| 1191 |
+
"D) 5,089,722"
|
| 1192 |
+
],
|
| 1193 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1194 |
+
"answer_raw": "6,525,000",
|
| 1195 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1196 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1197 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1198 |
+
},
|
| 1199 |
+
{
|
| 1200 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1201 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1202 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1203 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1204 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1205 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1206 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1207 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.39%\nB) -12.74%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 1.22%",
|
| 1208 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1209 |
+
"A) -17.39%",
|
| 1210 |
+
"B) -12.74%",
|
| 1211 |
+
"C) -3.44%",
|
| 1212 |
+
"D) 1.22%"
|
| 1213 |
+
],
|
| 1214 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1215 |
+
"answer_raw": "-12.74%",
|
| 1216 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1217 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1218 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1219 |
+
},
|
| 1220 |
+
{
|
| 1221 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20090615",
|
| 1222 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1223 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1224 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 1225 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1226 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1227 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1228 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.13%",
|
| 1229 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1230 |
+
"A) 4.71%",
|
| 1231 |
+
"B) 4.08%",
|
| 1232 |
+
"C) 3.76%",
|
| 1233 |
+
"D) 3.13%"
|
| 1234 |
+
],
|
| 1235 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1236 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.76%",
|
| 1237 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1238 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1239 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1240 |
+
},
|
| 1241 |
+
{
|
| 1242 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090901",
|
| 1243 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1244 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1245 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1246 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1247 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1248 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1249 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,202B\nB) $9,654B\nC) $9,106B\nD) $9,928B",
|
| 1250 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1251 |
+
"A) $10,202B",
|
| 1252 |
+
"B) $9,654B",
|
| 1253 |
+
"C) $9,106B",
|
| 1254 |
+
"D) $9,928B"
|
| 1255 |
+
],
|
| 1256 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1257 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,928B",
|
| 1258 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1259 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1260 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1261 |
+
},
|
| 1262 |
+
{
|
| 1263 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20090615",
|
| 1264 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1265 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1266 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 1267 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1268 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1269 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1270 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 3.71%",
|
| 1271 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1272 |
+
"A) 2.75%",
|
| 1273 |
+
"B) 3.23%",
|
| 1274 |
+
"C) 2.27%",
|
| 1275 |
+
"D) 3.71%"
|
| 1276 |
+
],
|
| 1277 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1278 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.75%",
|
| 1279 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1280 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1281 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1282 |
+
},
|
| 1283 |
+
{
|
| 1284 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 1285 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1286 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1287 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1288 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1289 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1290 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1291 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -33.12%\nB) -23.59%\nC) -4.53%\nD) -52.18%",
|
| 1292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1293 |
+
"A) -33.12%",
|
| 1294 |
+
"B) -23.59%",
|
| 1295 |
+
"C) -4.53%",
|
| 1296 |
+
"D) -52.18%"
|
| 1297 |
+
],
|
| 1298 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1299 |
+
"answer_raw": "-23.59%",
|
| 1300 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1301 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1302 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1303 |
+
},
|
| 1304 |
+
{
|
| 1305 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090901",
|
| 1306 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1307 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1308 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1309 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1310 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1311 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1312 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.81%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 60.46%",
|
| 1313 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1314 |
+
"A) 62.81%",
|
| 1315 |
+
"B) 56.94%",
|
| 1316 |
+
"C) 58.70%",
|
| 1317 |
+
"D) 60.46%"
|
| 1318 |
+
],
|
| 1319 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1320 |
+
"answer_raw": "58.70%",
|
| 1321 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1322 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1323 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1324 |
+
},
|
| 1325 |
+
{
|
| 1326 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090301",
|
| 1327 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1328 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1329 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1330 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1331 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1332 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1333 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.35%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 8.70%",
|
| 1334 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1335 |
+
"A) 7.66%",
|
| 1336 |
+
"B) 8.35%",
|
| 1337 |
+
"C) 9.39%",
|
| 1338 |
+
"D) 8.70%"
|
| 1339 |
+
],
|
| 1340 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1341 |
+
"answer_raw": "8.70%",
|
| 1342 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1343 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1344 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1345 |
+
},
|
| 1346 |
+
{
|
| 1347 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090901",
|
| 1348 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1349 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1350 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 1351 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1352 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1353 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1354 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,925B\nB) $11,588B\nC) $11,920B\nD) $10,261B",
|
| 1355 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1356 |
+
"A) $10,925B",
|
| 1357 |
+
"B) $11,588B",
|
| 1358 |
+
"C) $11,920B",
|
| 1359 |
+
"D) $10,261B"
|
| 1360 |
+
],
|
| 1361 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1362 |
+
"answer_raw": "$10,925B",
|
| 1363 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1364 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1365 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1366 |
+
},
|
| 1367 |
+
{
|
| 1368 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090301",
|
| 1369 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1370 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1371 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1372 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1373 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1374 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1375 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,809B\nB) $8,386B\nC) $8,675B\nD) $7,520B",
|
| 1376 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1377 |
+
"A) $7,809B",
|
| 1378 |
+
"B) $8,386B",
|
| 1379 |
+
"C) $8,675B",
|
| 1380 |
+
"D) $7,520B"
|
| 1381 |
+
],
|
| 1382 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1383 |
+
"answer_raw": "$8,386B",
|
| 1384 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1385 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1386 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1387 |
+
},
|
| 1388 |
+
{
|
| 1389 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090901",
|
| 1390 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1391 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1392 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1393 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1394 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1395 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1396 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 12.02%\nC) 9.80%\nD) 9.06%",
|
| 1397 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1398 |
+
"A) 11.28%",
|
| 1399 |
+
"B) 12.02%",
|
| 1400 |
+
"C) 9.80%",
|
| 1401 |
+
"D) 9.06%"
|
| 1402 |
+
],
|
| 1403 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1404 |
+
"answer_raw": "9.80%",
|
| 1405 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1406 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1407 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1408 |
+
},
|
| 1409 |
+
{
|
| 1410 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090301",
|
| 1411 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1412 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1413 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 1414 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1415 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1416 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1417 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,883B\nB) $9,705B\nC) $10,068B\nD) $10,794B",
|
| 1418 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1419 |
+
"A) $11,883B",
|
| 1420 |
+
"B) $9,705B",
|
| 1421 |
+
"C) $10,068B",
|
| 1422 |
+
"D) $10,794B"
|
| 1423 |
+
],
|
| 1424 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1425 |
+
"answer_raw": "$10,794B",
|
| 1426 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1427 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1428 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1429 |
+
},
|
| 1430 |
+
{
|
| 1431 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090901",
|
| 1432 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1433 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1434 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1435 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1436 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1437 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1438 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 1.06%",
|
| 1439 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1440 |
+
"A) 0.15%",
|
| 1441 |
+
"B) 1.97%",
|
| 1442 |
+
"C) 2.88%",
|
| 1443 |
+
"D) 1.06%"
|
| 1444 |
+
],
|
| 1445 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1446 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.15%",
|
| 1447 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1448 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1449 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1450 |
+
},
|
| 1451 |
+
{
|
| 1452 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20090615",
|
| 1453 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1454 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1455 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 1456 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1457 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1458 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
|
| 1459 |
+
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 7.05%",
|
| 1460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1461 |
+
"A) 5.99%",
|
| 1462 |
+
"B) 3.87%",
|
| 1463 |
+
"C) 0.70%",
|
| 1464 |
+
"D) 7.05%"
|
| 1465 |
+
],
|
| 1466 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1467 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.87%",
|
| 1468 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1469 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1470 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1471 |
+
},
|
| 1472 |
+
{
|
| 1473 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1474 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1475 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1476 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1477 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1478 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1479 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1480 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 0.12%",
|
| 1481 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1482 |
+
"A) -1.58%",
|
| 1483 |
+
"B) 1.25%",
|
| 1484 |
+
"C) -0.45%",
|
| 1485 |
+
"D) 0.12%"
|
| 1486 |
+
],
|
| 1487 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1488 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.45%",
|
| 1489 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1490 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1491 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1492 |
+
},
|
| 1493 |
+
{
|
| 1494 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090901",
|
| 1495 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1496 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1497 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1498 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1499 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1500 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1501 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,470B\nB) $9,123B\nC) $9,453B\nD) $8,462B",
|
| 1502 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1503 |
+
"A) $7,470B",
|
| 1504 |
+
"B) $9,123B",
|
| 1505 |
+
"C) $9,453B",
|
| 1506 |
+
"D) $8,462B"
|
| 1507 |
+
],
|
| 1508 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1509 |
+
"answer_raw": "$8,462B",
|
| 1510 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1511 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1512 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1513 |
+
},
|
| 1514 |
+
{
|
| 1515 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 1516 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1517 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1518 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 1519 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1520 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1521 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1522 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.81%\nB) -3.72%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -16.06%",
|
| 1523 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1524 |
+
"A) -6.81%",
|
| 1525 |
+
"B) -3.72%",
|
| 1526 |
+
"C) 2.45%",
|
| 1527 |
+
"D) -16.06%"
|
| 1528 |
+
],
|
| 1529 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1530 |
+
"answer_raw": "-6.81%",
|
| 1531 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1532 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1533 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1534 |
+
},
|
| 1535 |
+
{
|
| 1536 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090901",
|
| 1537 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1538 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1539 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1540 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1541 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1542 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1543 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.35%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 63.15%",
|
| 1544 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1545 |
+
"A) 68.35%",
|
| 1546 |
+
"B) 65.10%",
|
| 1547 |
+
"C) 66.40%",
|
| 1548 |
+
"D) 63.15%"
|
| 1549 |
+
],
|
| 1550 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1551 |
+
"answer_raw": "65.10%",
|
| 1552 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1553 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1554 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1555 |
+
},
|
| 1556 |
+
{
|
| 1557 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090301",
|
| 1558 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1559 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1560 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 1561 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1562 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1563 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1564 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.67\nB) 79.96\nC) 86.65\nD) 83.31",
|
| 1565 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1566 |
+
"A) 91.67",
|
| 1567 |
+
"B) 79.96",
|
| 1568 |
+
"C) 86.65",
|
| 1569 |
+
"D) 83.31"
|
| 1570 |
+
],
|
| 1571 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1572 |
+
"answer_raw": "86.65",
|
| 1573 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1574 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1575 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1576 |
+
},
|
| 1577 |
+
{
|
| 1578 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 1579 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1580 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1581 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1582 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1583 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1584 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1585 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.48%",
|
| 1586 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1587 |
+
"A) 1.01%",
|
| 1588 |
+
"B) 1.32%",
|
| 1589 |
+
"C) 1.79%",
|
| 1590 |
+
"D) 1.48%"
|
| 1591 |
+
],
|
| 1592 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1593 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.48%",
|
| 1594 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1595 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1596 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1597 |
+
},
|
| 1598 |
+
{
|
| 1599 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090301",
|
| 1600 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1601 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1602 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 1603 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1604 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1605 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1606 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.67%",
|
| 1607 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1608 |
+
"A) 0.18%",
|
| 1609 |
+
"B) 1.84%",
|
| 1610 |
+
"C) 1.01%",
|
| 1611 |
+
"D) 2.67%"
|
| 1612 |
+
],
|
| 1613 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1614 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.18%",
|
| 1615 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1616 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1617 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1618 |
+
},
|
| 1619 |
+
{
|
| 1620 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090901",
|
| 1621 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1622 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1623 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1624 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1625 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1626 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1627 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.39\nB) 215.86\nC) 194.68\nD) 224.33",
|
| 1628 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1629 |
+
"A) 207.39",
|
| 1630 |
+
"B) 215.86",
|
| 1631 |
+
"C) 194.68",
|
| 1632 |
+
"D) 224.33"
|
| 1633 |
+
],
|
| 1634 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1635 |
+
"answer_raw": "215.86",
|
| 1636 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1637 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1638 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1639 |
+
},
|
| 1640 |
+
{
|
| 1641 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090301",
|
| 1642 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1643 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1644 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1645 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1646 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1647 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1648 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,104B\nB) $9,442B\nC) $9,773B\nD) $10,435B",
|
| 1649 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1650 |
+
"A) $10,104B",
|
| 1651 |
+
"B) $9,442B",
|
| 1652 |
+
"C) $9,773B",
|
| 1653 |
+
"D) $10,435B"
|
| 1654 |
+
],
|
| 1655 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1656 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,773B",
|
| 1657 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1658 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1659 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1660 |
+
},
|
| 1661 |
+
{
|
| 1662 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20090615",
|
| 1663 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1664 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1665 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 1666 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1667 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1668 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 1669 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.55/bbl\nB) $93.88/bbl\nC) $82.21/bbl\nD) $70.54/bbl",
|
| 1670 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1671 |
+
"A) $105.55/bbl",
|
| 1672 |
+
"B) $93.88/bbl",
|
| 1673 |
+
"C) $82.21/bbl",
|
| 1674 |
+
"D) $70.54/bbl"
|
| 1675 |
+
],
|
| 1676 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1677 |
+
"answer_raw": "$70.54/bbl",
|
| 1678 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 1679 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1680 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1681 |
+
},
|
| 1682 |
+
{
|
| 1683 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090901",
|
| 1684 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1685 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1686 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 1687 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1688 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1689 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1690 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.10\nB) 154.22\nC) 180.73\nD) 193.98",
|
| 1691 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1692 |
+
"A) 174.10",
|
| 1693 |
+
"B) 154.22",
|
| 1694 |
+
"C) 180.73",
|
| 1695 |
+
"D) 193.98"
|
| 1696 |
+
],
|
| 1697 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1698 |
+
"answer_raw": "174.10",
|
| 1699 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1700 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1701 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1702 |
+
},
|
| 1703 |
+
{
|
| 1704 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090901",
|
| 1705 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1706 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1707 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1708 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1709 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1710 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1711 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $322,891M\nB) $330,998M\nC) $339,105M\nD) $347,213M",
|
| 1712 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1713 |
+
"A) $322,891M",
|
| 1714 |
+
"B) $330,998M",
|
| 1715 |
+
"C) $339,105M",
|
| 1716 |
+
"D) $347,213M"
|
| 1717 |
+
],
|
| 1718 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1719 |
+
"answer_raw": "$330,998M",
|
| 1720 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1721 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1722 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1723 |
+
},
|
| 1724 |
+
{
|
| 1725 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1726 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1727 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1728 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1729 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1730 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1731 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1732 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.53%\nD) -0.92%",
|
| 1733 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1734 |
+
"A) 0.27%",
|
| 1735 |
+
"B) -1.72%",
|
| 1736 |
+
"C) -0.53%",
|
| 1737 |
+
"D) -0.92%"
|
| 1738 |
+
],
|
| 1739 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1740 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.53%",
|
| 1741 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1742 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1743 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1744 |
+
},
|
| 1745 |
+
{
|
| 1746 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090901",
|
| 1747 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1748 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1749 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1750 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1751 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1752 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1753 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.28pp\nB) +5.12pp\nC) +2.99pp\nD) +3.70pp",
|
| 1754 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1755 |
+
"A) +2.28pp",
|
| 1756 |
+
"B) +5.12pp",
|
| 1757 |
+
"C) +2.99pp",
|
| 1758 |
+
"D) +3.70pp"
|
| 1759 |
+
],
|
| 1760 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1761 |
+
"answer_raw": "+3.70pp",
|
| 1762 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1763 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1764 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1765 |
+
},
|
| 1766 |
+
{
|
| 1767 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090301",
|
| 1768 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1769 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1770 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1771 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1772 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1773 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1774 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.51\nB) 133.89\nC) 152.83\nD) 140.20",
|
| 1775 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1776 |
+
"A) 146.51",
|
| 1777 |
+
"B) 133.89",
|
| 1778 |
+
"C) 152.83",
|
| 1779 |
+
"D) 140.20"
|
| 1780 |
+
],
|
| 1781 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1782 |
+
"answer_raw": "146.51",
|
| 1783 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1784 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1785 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1786 |
+
},
|
| 1787 |
+
{
|
| 1788 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1789 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1790 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1791 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 1792 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1793 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1794 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1795 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) -2.61%\nC) -5.39%\nD) 0.17%",
|
| 1796 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1797 |
+
"A) -3.54%",
|
| 1798 |
+
"B) -2.61%",
|
| 1799 |
+
"C) -5.39%",
|
| 1800 |
+
"D) 0.17%"
|
| 1801 |
+
],
|
| 1802 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1803 |
+
"answer_raw": "-2.61%",
|
| 1804 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1805 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1806 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1807 |
+
},
|
| 1808 |
+
{
|
| 1809 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090301",
|
| 1810 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1811 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1812 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1813 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1814 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1815 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1816 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.16\nB) 91.51\nC) 88.17\nD) 94.84",
|
| 1817 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1818 |
+
"A) 83.16",
|
| 1819 |
+
"B) 91.51",
|
| 1820 |
+
"C) 88.17",
|
| 1821 |
+
"D) 94.84"
|
| 1822 |
+
],
|
| 1823 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1824 |
+
"answer_raw": "88.17",
|
| 1825 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1826 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1827 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1828 |
+
},
|
| 1829 |
+
{
|
| 1830 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20090615",
|
| 1831 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1832 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1833 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 1834 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1835 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1836 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
|
| 1837 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,609B\nB) $10,457B\nC) $8,083B\nD) $9,033B",
|
| 1838 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1839 |
+
"A) $7,609B",
|
| 1840 |
+
"B) $10,457B",
|
| 1841 |
+
"C) $8,083B",
|
| 1842 |
+
"D) $9,033B"
|
| 1843 |
+
],
|
| 1844 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1845 |
+
"answer_raw": "$9,033B",
|
| 1846 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1847 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1848 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1849 |
+
},
|
| 1850 |
+
{
|
| 1851 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090301",
|
| 1852 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1853 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1854 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1855 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1856 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1857 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1858 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) -0.84pp",
|
| 1859 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1860 |
+
"A) -0.50pp",
|
| 1861 |
+
"B) -0.16pp",
|
| 1862 |
+
"C) -0.27pp",
|
| 1863 |
+
"D) -0.84pp"
|
| 1864 |
+
],
|
| 1865 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1866 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
|
| 1867 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1868 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1869 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1870 |
+
},
|
| 1871 |
+
{
|
| 1872 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090901",
|
| 1873 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1874 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1875 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 1876 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1877 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1878 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1879 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.73%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 3.27%",
|
| 1880 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1881 |
+
"A) 7.73%",
|
| 1882 |
+
"B) 5.50%",
|
| 1883 |
+
"C) 6.24%",
|
| 1884 |
+
"D) 3.27%"
|
| 1885 |
+
],
|
| 1886 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1887 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.50%",
|
| 1888 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1889 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1890 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1891 |
+
},
|
| 1892 |
+
{
|
| 1893 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090901",
|
| 1894 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1895 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1896 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1897 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1898 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1899 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1900 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.77\nB) 213.07\nC) 219.92\nD) 202.80",
|
| 1901 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1902 |
+
"A) 226.77",
|
| 1903 |
+
"B) 213.07",
|
| 1904 |
+
"C) 219.92",
|
| 1905 |
+
"D) 202.80"
|
| 1906 |
+
],
|
| 1907 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1908 |
+
"answer_raw": "219.92",
|
| 1909 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1910 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1911 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1912 |
+
},
|
| 1913 |
+
{
|
| 1914 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090301",
|
| 1915 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1916 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1917 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1918 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1919 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1920 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1921 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 136,469K\nB) 139,119K\nC) 129,844K\nD) 132,494K",
|
| 1922 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1923 |
+
"A) 136,469K",
|
| 1924 |
+
"B) 139,119K",
|
| 1925 |
+
"C) 129,844K",
|
| 1926 |
+
"D) 132,494K"
|
| 1927 |
+
],
|
| 1928 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1929 |
+
"answer_raw": "132,494K",
|
| 1930 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1931 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1932 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1933 |
+
},
|
| 1934 |
+
{
|
| 1935 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090901",
|
| 1936 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1937 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1938 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1939 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1940 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 1941 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 1942 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.50\nB) 60.54\nC) 79.98\nD) 54.06",
|
| 1943 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1944 |
+
"A) 73.50",
|
| 1945 |
+
"B) 60.54",
|
| 1946 |
+
"C) 79.98",
|
| 1947 |
+
"D) 54.06"
|
| 1948 |
+
],
|
| 1949 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1950 |
+
"answer_raw": "73.50",
|
| 1951 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1952 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1953 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1954 |
+
},
|
| 1955 |
+
{
|
| 1956 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20090615",
|
| 1957 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1958 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1959 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 1960 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1961 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 1962 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-06",
|
| 1963 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 500,632\nB) 595,000\nC) 547,816\nD) 642,184",
|
| 1964 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1965 |
+
"A) 500,632",
|
| 1966 |
+
"B) 595,000",
|
| 1967 |
+
"C) 547,816",
|
| 1968 |
+
"D) 642,184"
|
| 1969 |
+
],
|
| 1970 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1971 |
+
"answer_raw": "595,000",
|
| 1972 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1973 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1974 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1975 |
+
},
|
| 1976 |
+
{
|
| 1977 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 1978 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1979 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1980 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1981 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1982 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 1983 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 1984 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.46%",
|
| 1985 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1986 |
+
"A) 1.22%",
|
| 1987 |
+
"B) 1.07%",
|
| 1988 |
+
"C) 0.76%",
|
| 1989 |
+
"D) 0.46%"
|
| 1990 |
+
],
|
| 1991 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1992 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.76%",
|
| 1993 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1994 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1995 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 1996 |
+
},
|
| 1997 |
+
{
|
| 1998 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090901",
|
| 1999 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2000 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2001 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 2002 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2003 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2004 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2005 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,339K\nB) 132,851K\nC) 136,758K\nD) 130,246K",
|
| 2006 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2007 |
+
"A) 126,339K",
|
| 2008 |
+
"B) 132,851K",
|
| 2009 |
+
"C) 136,758K",
|
| 2010 |
+
"D) 130,246K"
|
| 2011 |
+
],
|
| 2012 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2013 |
+
"answer_raw": "130,246K",
|
| 2014 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 2015 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2016 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2017 |
+
},
|
| 2018 |
+
{
|
| 2019 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090901",
|
| 2020 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2021 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2022 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 2023 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2024 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2025 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2026 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.75\nB) 92.49\nC) 85.02\nD) 94.98",
|
| 2027 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2028 |
+
"A) 88.75",
|
| 2029 |
+
"B) 92.49",
|
| 2030 |
+
"C) 85.02",
|
| 2031 |
+
"D) 94.98"
|
| 2032 |
+
],
|
| 2033 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2034 |
+
"answer_raw": "88.75",
|
| 2035 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2036 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2037 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2038 |
+
},
|
| 2039 |
+
{
|
| 2040 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2041 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2042 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2043 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2044 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2045 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2046 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2047 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.98%\nB) -26.58%\nC) -3.19%\nD) -18.78%",
|
| 2048 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2049 |
+
"A) -10.98%",
|
| 2050 |
+
"B) -26.58%",
|
| 2051 |
+
"C) -3.19%",
|
| 2052 |
+
"D) -18.78%"
|
| 2053 |
+
],
|
| 2054 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2055 |
+
"answer_raw": "-26.58%",
|
| 2056 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2057 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2058 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2059 |
+
},
|
| 2060 |
+
{
|
| 2061 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090301",
|
| 2062 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2063 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2064 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2065 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2066 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2067 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2068 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 45.05\nB) 69.55\nC) 57.30\nD) 63.43",
|
| 2069 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2070 |
+
"A) 45.05",
|
| 2071 |
+
"B) 69.55",
|
| 2072 |
+
"C) 57.30",
|
| 2073 |
+
"D) 63.43"
|
| 2074 |
+
],
|
| 2075 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2076 |
+
"answer_raw": "57.30",
|
| 2077 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2078 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2079 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2080 |
+
},
|
| 2081 |
+
{
|
| 2082 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 2083 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2084 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2085 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2086 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2087 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2088 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2089 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -27.82%\nB) -22.88%\nC) -32.76%\nD) -37.70%",
|
| 2090 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2091 |
+
"A) -27.82%",
|
| 2092 |
+
"B) -22.88%",
|
| 2093 |
+
"C) -32.76%",
|
| 2094 |
+
"D) -37.70%"
|
| 2095 |
+
],
|
| 2096 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2097 |
+
"answer_raw": "-37.70%",
|
| 2098 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2099 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2100 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2101 |
+
},
|
| 2102 |
+
{
|
| 2103 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090901",
|
| 2104 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2105 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2106 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 2107 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2108 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2109 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2110 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.75%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 75.49%\nD) 62.02%",
|
| 2111 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2112 |
+
"A) 68.75%",
|
| 2113 |
+
"B) 64.27%",
|
| 2114 |
+
"C) 75.49%",
|
| 2115 |
+
"D) 62.02%"
|
| 2116 |
+
],
|
| 2117 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2118 |
+
"answer_raw": "68.75%",
|
| 2119 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2120 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2121 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2122 |
+
},
|
| 2123 |
+
{
|
| 2124 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 2125 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2126 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2127 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 2128 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2129 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2130 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2131 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 8.06%",
|
| 2132 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2133 |
+
"A) 11.26%",
|
| 2134 |
+
"B) 9.34%",
|
| 2135 |
+
"C) 7.42%",
|
| 2136 |
+
"D) 8.06%"
|
| 2137 |
+
],
|
| 2138 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2139 |
+
"answer_raw": "9.34%",
|
| 2140 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2141 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2142 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2143 |
+
},
|
| 2144 |
+
{
|
| 2145 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090901",
|
| 2146 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2147 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2148 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2149 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2150 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2151 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2152 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $144,322M\nB) $199,199M\nC) $158,041M\nD) $185,479M",
|
| 2153 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2154 |
+
"A) $144,322M",
|
| 2155 |
+
"B) $199,199M",
|
| 2156 |
+
"C) $158,041M",
|
| 2157 |
+
"D) $185,479M"
|
| 2158 |
+
],
|
| 2159 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2160 |
+
"answer_raw": "$158,041M",
|
| 2161 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2162 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2163 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2164 |
+
},
|
| 2165 |
+
{
|
| 2166 |
+
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20090615",
|
| 2167 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2168 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2169 |
+
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
|
| 2170 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2171 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 2172 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 2173 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 99.26\nB) 104.28\nC) 101.77\nD) 96.75",
|
| 2174 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2175 |
+
"A) 99.26",
|
| 2176 |
+
"B) 104.28",
|
| 2177 |
+
"C) 101.77",
|
| 2178 |
+
"D) 96.75"
|
| 2179 |
+
],
|
| 2180 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2181 |
+
"answer_raw": "96.75",
|
| 2182 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2183 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2184 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2185 |
+
},
|
| 2186 |
+
{
|
| 2187 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090901",
|
| 2188 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2189 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2190 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 2191 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2192 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2193 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2194 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 609K\nB) 906K\nC) 1,203K\nD) 312K",
|
| 2195 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2196 |
+
"A) 609K",
|
| 2197 |
+
"B) 906K",
|
| 2198 |
+
"C) 1,203K",
|
| 2199 |
+
"D) 312K"
|
| 2200 |
+
],
|
| 2201 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2202 |
+
"answer_raw": "609K",
|
| 2203 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 2204 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2205 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2206 |
+
},
|
| 2207 |
+
{
|
| 2208 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090301",
|
| 2209 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2210 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2211 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 2212 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2213 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2214 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2215 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.87\nB) 218.25\nC) 235.56\nD) 228.64",
|
| 2216 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2217 |
+
"A) 207.87",
|
| 2218 |
+
"B) 218.25",
|
| 2219 |
+
"C) 235.56",
|
| 2220 |
+
"D) 228.64"
|
| 2221 |
+
],
|
| 2222 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2223 |
+
"answer_raw": "218.25",
|
| 2224 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2225 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2226 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2227 |
+
},
|
| 2228 |
+
{
|
| 2229 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090901",
|
| 2230 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2231 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2232 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 2233 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2234 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2235 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2236 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 162.10\nB) 143.39\nC) 149.63\nD) 130.92",
|
| 2237 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2238 |
+
"A) 162.10",
|
| 2239 |
+
"B) 143.39",
|
| 2240 |
+
"C) 149.63",
|
| 2241 |
+
"D) 130.92"
|
| 2242 |
+
],
|
| 2243 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2244 |
+
"answer_raw": "149.63",
|
| 2245 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2246 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2247 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2248 |
+
},
|
| 2249 |
+
{
|
| 2250 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20090615",
|
| 2251 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2252 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2253 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 2254 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2255 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 2256 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 2257 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.30pp\nB) +3.30pp\nC) +2.90pp\nD) +2.50pp",
|
| 2258 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2259 |
+
"A) +1.30pp",
|
| 2260 |
+
"B) +3.30pp",
|
| 2261 |
+
"C) +2.90pp",
|
| 2262 |
+
"D) +2.50pp"
|
| 2263 |
+
],
|
| 2264 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2265 |
+
"answer_raw": "+2.50pp",
|
| 2266 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2267 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2268 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2269 |
+
},
|
| 2270 |
+
{
|
| 2271 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20090615",
|
| 2272 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2273 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2274 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 2275 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2276 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 2277 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 2278 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.0300\nB) 106.0112\nC) 86.0582\nD) 90.0488",
|
| 2279 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2280 |
+
"A) 98.0300",
|
| 2281 |
+
"B) 106.0112",
|
| 2282 |
+
"C) 86.0582",
|
| 2283 |
+
"D) 90.0488"
|
| 2284 |
+
],
|
| 2285 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2286 |
+
"answer_raw": "98.0300",
|
| 2287 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 2288 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2289 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2290 |
+
},
|
| 2291 |
+
{
|
| 2292 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090301",
|
| 2293 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2294 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2295 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 2296 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2297 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2298 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2299 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 94.65\nB) 88.02\nC) 84.04\nD) 90.67",
|
| 2300 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2301 |
+
"A) 94.65",
|
| 2302 |
+
"B) 88.02",
|
| 2303 |
+
"C) 84.04",
|
| 2304 |
+
"D) 90.67"
|
| 2305 |
+
],
|
| 2306 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2307 |
+
"answer_raw": "88.02",
|
| 2308 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2309 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2310 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2311 |
+
},
|
| 2312 |
+
{
|
| 2313 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20090615",
|
| 2314 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2315 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2316 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2317 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2318 |
+
"target_period": "2009-06-15",
|
| 2319 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-06-08",
|
| 2320 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,138.82\nB) 2,300.04\nC) 1,816.38\nD) 1,655.16",
|
| 2321 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2322 |
+
"A) 2,138.82",
|
| 2323 |
+
"B) 2,300.04",
|
| 2324 |
+
"C) 1,816.38",
|
| 2325 |
+
"D) 1,655.16"
|
| 2326 |
+
],
|
| 2327 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2328 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,816.38",
|
| 2329 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2330 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2331 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2332 |
+
},
|
| 2333 |
+
{
|
| 2334 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090301",
|
| 2335 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2336 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2337 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 2338 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2339 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2340 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2341 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.95%\nB) -68.95%\nC) -40.15%\nD) -49.75%",
|
| 2342 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2343 |
+
"A) -20.95%",
|
| 2344 |
+
"B) -68.95%",
|
| 2345 |
+
"C) -40.15%",
|
| 2346 |
+
"D) -49.75%"
|
| 2347 |
+
],
|
| 2348 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2349 |
+
"answer_raw": "-49.75%",
|
| 2350 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2351 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2352 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2353 |
+
},
|
| 2354 |
+
{
|
| 2355 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090301",
|
| 2356 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2357 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2358 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2359 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2360 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2361 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2362 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $146,323M\nB) $156,438M\nC) $126,093M\nD) $166,553M",
|
| 2363 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2364 |
+
"A) $146,323M",
|
| 2365 |
+
"B) $156,438M",
|
| 2366 |
+
"C) $126,093M",
|
| 2367 |
+
"D) $166,553M"
|
| 2368 |
+
],
|
| 2369 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2370 |
+
"answer_raw": "$146,323M",
|
| 2371 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2372 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2373 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2374 |
+
},
|
| 2375 |
+
{
|
| 2376 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2377 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2378 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2379 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 2380 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2381 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2382 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2383 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -2.42%\nD) -1.72%",
|
| 2384 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2385 |
+
"A) -0.32%",
|
| 2386 |
+
"B) -1.02%",
|
| 2387 |
+
"C) -2.42%",
|
| 2388 |
+
"D) -1.72%"
|
| 2389 |
+
],
|
| 2390 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2391 |
+
"answer_raw": "-1.02%",
|
| 2392 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2393 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2394 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2395 |
+
},
|
| 2396 |
+
{
|
| 2397 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2398 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2399 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2400 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 2401 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2402 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2403 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2404 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.99%\nB) -22.69%\nC) -11.58%\nD) -0.47%",
|
| 2405 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2406 |
+
"A) -18.99%",
|
| 2407 |
+
"B) -22.69%",
|
| 2408 |
+
"C) -11.58%",
|
| 2409 |
+
"D) -0.47%"
|
| 2410 |
+
],
|
| 2411 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2412 |
+
"answer_raw": "-11.58%",
|
| 2413 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2414 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2415 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2416 |
+
},
|
| 2417 |
+
{
|
| 2418 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090901",
|
| 2419 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2420 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2421 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 2422 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2423 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2424 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2425 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.27pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.53pp\nD) -0.90pp",
|
| 2426 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2427 |
+
"A) -1.27pp",
|
| 2428 |
+
"B) -1.02pp",
|
| 2429 |
+
"C) -0.53pp",
|
| 2430 |
+
"D) -0.90pp"
|
| 2431 |
+
],
|
| 2432 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2433 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.90pp",
|
| 2434 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2435 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2436 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2437 |
+
},
|
| 2438 |
+
{
|
| 2439 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2440 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2441 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2442 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 2443 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2444 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2445 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2446 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 5.03%",
|
| 2447 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2448 |
+
"A) 7.48%",
|
| 2449 |
+
"B) 5.85%",
|
| 2450 |
+
"C) 6.67%",
|
| 2451 |
+
"D) 5.03%"
|
| 2452 |
+
],
|
| 2453 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2454 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.48%",
|
| 2455 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2456 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2457 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2458 |
+
},
|
| 2459 |
+
{
|
| 2460 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2461 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2462 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2463 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 2464 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2465 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2466 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2467 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -3.71%\nD) -6.87%",
|
| 2468 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2469 |
+
"A) -7.93%",
|
| 2470 |
+
"B) -4.76%",
|
| 2471 |
+
"C) -3.71%",
|
| 2472 |
+
"D) -6.87%"
|
| 2473 |
+
],
|
| 2474 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2475 |
+
"answer_raw": "-4.76%",
|
| 2476 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2477 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2478 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2479 |
+
},
|
| 2480 |
+
{
|
| 2481 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090301",
|
| 2482 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2483 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2484 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2485 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2486 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2487 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2488 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.69pp\nB) -3.10pp\nC) -2.80pp\nD) -2.20pp",
|
| 2489 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2490 |
+
"A) -3.69pp",
|
| 2491 |
+
"B) -3.10pp",
|
| 2492 |
+
"C) -2.80pp",
|
| 2493 |
+
"D) -2.20pp"
|
| 2494 |
+
],
|
| 2495 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2496 |
+
"answer_raw": "-2.80pp",
|
| 2497 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2498 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2499 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2500 |
+
},
|
| 2501 |
+
{
|
| 2502 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090301",
|
| 2503 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2504 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2505 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 2506 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2507 |
+
"target_period": "March 2009",
|
| 2508 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-01-29",
|
| 2509 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $57,206M\nB) $41,302M\nC) $54,555M\nD) $49,254M",
|
| 2510 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2511 |
+
"A) $57,206M",
|
| 2512 |
+
"B) $41,302M",
|
| 2513 |
+
"C) $54,555M",
|
| 2514 |
+
"D) $49,254M"
|
| 2515 |
+
],
|
| 2516 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2517 |
+
"answer_raw": "$49,254M",
|
| 2518 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2519 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2520 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2521 |
+
},
|
| 2522 |
+
{
|
| 2523 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090901",
|
| 2524 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2525 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2526 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 2527 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2528 |
+
"target_period": "September 2009",
|
| 2529 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2009-08-01",
|
| 2530 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 1.28%\nD) -13.85%",
|
| 2531 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2532 |
+
"A) -7.80%",
|
| 2533 |
+
"B) -1.75%",
|
| 2534 |
+
"C) 1.28%",
|
| 2535 |
+
"D) -13.85%"
|
| 2536 |
+
],
|
| 2537 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2538 |
+
"answer_raw": "-7.80%",
|
| 2539 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2540 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2541 |
+
"year": 2009
|
| 2542 |
+
}
|
| 2543 |
+
]
|
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mcq_2015.json
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mcq_2016.json
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|
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mcq_2017.json
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170901",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.43%",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) 1.15%",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) 1.01%",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) 1.58%",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) 1.43%"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.15%",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.94%",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) 2.38%",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) 2.05%",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) 1.82%",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) 1.94%"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.05%",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170901",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $23.89/hr\nB) $21.15/hr\nC) $22.18/hr\nD) $23.21/hr",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) $23.89/hr",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) $21.15/hr",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) $22.18/hr",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) $23.21/hr"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "$22.18/hr",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20170615",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0602\nB) 7.4412\nC) 6.4250\nD) 6.8061",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) 7.0602",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) 7.4412",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) 6.4250",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) 6.8061"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.8061",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170301",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $222,944M\nB) $216,440M\nC) $242,456M\nD) $209,936M",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) $222,944M",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) $216,440M",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) $242,456M",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) $209,936M"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "$222,944M",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170901",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,088B\nB) $13,417B\nC) $14,076B\nD) $12,430B",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) $13,088B",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) $13,417B",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) $14,076B",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) $12,430B"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13,417B",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170301",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $453,408M\nB) $473,940M\nC) $463,674M\nD) $494,472M",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) $453,408M",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) $473,940M",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) $463,674M",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) $494,472M"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "$463,674M",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20170615",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "DGS30",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.78%",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 3.40%",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 3.19%",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 2.99%",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 2.78%"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.78%",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.81%",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) 2.18%",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) 2.92%",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) 2.55%",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) 1.81%"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.18%",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170901",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.41\nB) 100.40\nC) 94.38\nD) 97.39",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) 103.41",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) 100.40",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) 94.38",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) 97.39"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "100.40",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.61%",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 1.71%",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 1.11%",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 1.41%",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 1.61%"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.41%",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20170615",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "DGS10",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.16%",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) 1.77%",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 2.75%",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) 1.96%",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 2.16%"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.16%",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.77%\nB) 33.64%\nC) 0.53%\nD) 7.15%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 13.77%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 33.64%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 0.53%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) 7.15%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "13.77%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.18%",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 4.28%",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 2.62%",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 2.07%",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 3.18%"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "DJIA",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 21.09%\nD) 22.32%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) 20.16%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) 21.70%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 21.09%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) 22.32%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "21.09%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.43%\nB) 32.98%\nC) 22.06%\nD) 27.52%",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) 38.43%",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) 32.98%",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) 22.06%",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) 27.52%"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "27.52%",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.81%",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) 1.60%",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 1.28%",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) 1.49%",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) 1.81%"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.60%",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170301",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 140,321K\nB) 145,970K\nC) 149,736K\nD) 155,385K",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) 140,321K",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) 145,970K",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) 149,736K",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) 155,385K"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "145,970K",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170901",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.92%",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 7.36%",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 6.88%",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 5.90%",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 4.92%"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) -10.57%\nC) -3.52%\nD) 10.58%",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 31.73%",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) -10.57%",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) -3.52%",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 10.58%"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "10.58%",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "SP500",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.43%\nB) 18.99%\nC) 16.49%\nD) 18.05%",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) 17.43%",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) 18.99%",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) 16.49%",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) 18.05%"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "17.43%",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170301",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.91\nB) 191.50\nC) 187.30\nD) 204.11",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) 199.91",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) 191.50",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) 187.30",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) 204.11"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "191.50",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -1.77%",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 3.20%",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 1.96%",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 0.72%",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) -1.77%"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.72%",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 8.18%\nC) -1.71%\nD) 4.23%",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) 10.16%",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) 8.18%",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) -1.71%",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) 4.23%"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.23%",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170901",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) +0.67pp",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) +0.20pp",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) +0.51pp",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) -0.27pp",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) +0.67pp"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20170615",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "DGS2",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.04%",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) 0.89%",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) 1.35%",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) 1.81%",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) 1.04%"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.44%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.16%\nD) 3.40%",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 10.44%",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 6.92%",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 5.16%",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 3.40%"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.16%",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 4.11%",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) 2.26%",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) 1.34%",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) 6.88%",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) 4.11%"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.11%",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.90%",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) 1.68%",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) 2.01%",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) 1.35%",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) 1.90%"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20170615",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "CCSA",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,698,777\nB) 1,915,000\nC) 2,131,223\nD) 1,482,554",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) 1,698,777",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) 1,915,000",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) 2,131,223",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) 1,482,554"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,915,000",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.18%\nB) -33.40%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 35.54%",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) -47.18%",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) -33.40%",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) -5.82%",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) 35.54%"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "-5.82%",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170901",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,484K\nB) 152,722K\nC) 143,198K\nD) 147,008K",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) 137,484K",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) 152,722K",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) 143,198K",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) 147,008K"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "147,008K",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20170615",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "SP500",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,432.46\nB) 2,378.17\nC) 2,486.75\nD) 2,595.33",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 2,432.46",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 2,378.17",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 2,486.75",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 2,595.33"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "2,432.46",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.05%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 10.06%\nD) 6.07%",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) 14.05%",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) 2.09%",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) 10.06%",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) 6.07%"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.09%",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20170615",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0584\nB) 1.2287\nC) 1.1152\nD) 1.0017",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) 1.0584",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) 1.2287",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) 1.1152",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) 1.0017"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.1152",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170901",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $455,334M\nB) $496,114M\nC) $506,309M\nD) $475,724M",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) $455,334M",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) $496,114M",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) $506,309M",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) $475,724M"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "$475,724M",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170301",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.01\nB) 101.98\nC) 104.95\nD) 96.04",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) 99.01",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) 101.98",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) 104.95",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) 96.04"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "99.01",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20170615",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.27/bbl\nB) $44.47/bbl\nC) $19.27/bbl\nD) $31.87/bbl",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) $82.27/bbl",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) $44.47/bbl",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) $19.27/bbl",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) $31.87/bbl"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "$44.47/bbl",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170301",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,375B\nB) $13,764B\nC) $14,408B\nD) $14,086B",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) $15,375B",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) $13,764B",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) $14,408B",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) $14,086B"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "$14,408B",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170301",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,769B\nB) $12,825B\nC) $14,084B\nD) $13,140B",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) $13,769B",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) $12,825B",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) $14,084B",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) $13,140B"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13,140B",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20170615",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.81pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.05pp",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) +0.81pp",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) +0.57pp",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) +0.08pp",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) +1.05pp"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.81pp",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.12%",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 3.79%",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 4.44%",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 5.41%",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 4.12%"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.44%",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.70%",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) 1.15%",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) 1.61%",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) 1.42%",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) 1.70%"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.42%",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170301",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 5.60%",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) 5.03%",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) 4.46%",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) 3.88%",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) 5.60%"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.60%",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 8.60%\nD) 3.69%",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) 1.23%",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) 6.14%",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) 8.60%",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) 3.69%"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170301",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $59,624M\nB) $61,260M\nC) $56,352M\nD) $66,168M",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) $59,624M",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) $61,260M",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) $56,352M",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) $66,168M"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "$61,260M",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170301",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.20pp",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) -0.55pp",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) +0.05pp",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) -0.10pp",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) +0.20pp"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.29%",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) 2.11%",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) 2.84%",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 1.92%",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) 2.29%"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.29%",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170301",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $-41,124M\nB) $-44,561M\nC) $-39,406M\nD) $-37,687M",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) $-41,124M",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) $-44,561M",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) $-39,406M",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) $-37,687M"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-41,124M",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1030 |
+
},
|
| 1031 |
+
{
|
| 1032 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170901",
|
| 1033 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1034 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1035 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1036 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1037 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1038 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1039 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.07\nB) 194.79\nC) 187.88\nD) 201.69",
|
| 1040 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1041 |
+
"A) 174.07",
|
| 1042 |
+
"B) 194.79",
|
| 1043 |
+
"C) 187.88",
|
| 1044 |
+
"D) 201.69"
|
| 1045 |
+
],
|
| 1046 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1047 |
+
"answer_raw": "194.79",
|
| 1048 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1049 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1050 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1051 |
+
},
|
| 1052 |
+
{
|
| 1053 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170301",
|
| 1054 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1055 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1056 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 1057 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1058 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1059 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1060 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 108.74\nB) 117.70\nC) 112.10\nD) 115.46",
|
| 1061 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1062 |
+
"A) 108.74",
|
| 1063 |
+
"B) 117.70",
|
| 1064 |
+
"C) 112.10",
|
| 1065 |
+
"D) 115.46"
|
| 1066 |
+
],
|
| 1067 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1068 |
+
"answer_raw": "112.10",
|
| 1069 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1070 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1071 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1072 |
+
},
|
| 1073 |
+
{
|
| 1074 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170901",
|
| 1075 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1076 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1077 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1078 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1079 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1080 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1081 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,087K\nB) 1,335K\nC) 1,459K\nD) 1,273K",
|
| 1082 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1083 |
+
"A) 1,087K",
|
| 1084 |
+
"B) 1,335K",
|
| 1085 |
+
"C) 1,459K",
|
| 1086 |
+
"D) 1,273K"
|
| 1087 |
+
],
|
| 1088 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1089 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,273K",
|
| 1090 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1091 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1092 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1093 |
+
},
|
| 1094 |
+
{
|
| 1095 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1096 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1097 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1098 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1099 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1100 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1101 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1102 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 2.82%",
|
| 1103 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1104 |
+
"A) 1.91%",
|
| 1105 |
+
"B) 1.60%",
|
| 1106 |
+
"C) 1.30%",
|
| 1107 |
+
"D) 2.82%"
|
| 1108 |
+
],
|
| 1109 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1110 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
|
| 1111 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1112 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1113 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1114 |
+
},
|
| 1115 |
+
{
|
| 1116 |
+
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20170615",
|
| 1117 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1118 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1119 |
+
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
|
| 1120 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1121 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 1122 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 1123 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 112.87\nC) 127.04\nD) 103.43",
|
| 1124 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1125 |
+
"A) 98.70",
|
| 1126 |
+
"B) 112.87",
|
| 1127 |
+
"C) 127.04",
|
| 1128 |
+
"D) 103.43"
|
| 1129 |
+
],
|
| 1130 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1131 |
+
"answer_raw": "112.87",
|
| 1132 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1133 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1134 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1135 |
+
},
|
| 1136 |
+
{
|
| 1137 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170301",
|
| 1138 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1139 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1140 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 1141 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1142 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1143 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1144 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 61.01%\nC) 62.90%\nD) 64.79%",
|
| 1145 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1146 |
+
"A) 59.75%",
|
| 1147 |
+
"B) 61.01%",
|
| 1148 |
+
"C) 62.90%",
|
| 1149 |
+
"D) 64.79%"
|
| 1150 |
+
],
|
| 1151 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1152 |
+
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
|
| 1153 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1154 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1155 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1156 |
+
},
|
| 1157 |
+
{
|
| 1158 |
+
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20170615",
|
| 1159 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1160 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1161 |
+
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
|
| 1162 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1163 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 1164 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 1165 |
+
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.7728\nB) 104.3643\nC) 123.2515\nD) 110.6600",
|
| 1166 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1167 |
+
"A) 91.7728",
|
| 1168 |
+
"B) 104.3643",
|
| 1169 |
+
"C) 123.2515",
|
| 1170 |
+
"D) 110.6600"
|
| 1171 |
+
],
|
| 1172 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1173 |
+
"answer_raw": "110.6600",
|
| 1174 |
+
"unit": "fx_rate",
|
| 1175 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1176 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1177 |
+
},
|
| 1178 |
+
{
|
| 1179 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170901",
|
| 1180 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1181 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1182 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1183 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1184 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1185 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1186 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,747M\nB) $60,501M\nC) $62,124M\nD) $65,370M",
|
| 1187 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1188 |
+
"A) $63,747M",
|
| 1189 |
+
"B) $60,501M",
|
| 1190 |
+
"C) $62,124M",
|
| 1191 |
+
"D) $65,370M"
|
| 1192 |
+
],
|
| 1193 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1194 |
+
"answer_raw": "$63,747M",
|
| 1195 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 1196 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1197 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1198 |
+
},
|
| 1199 |
+
{
|
| 1200 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170901",
|
| 1201 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1202 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1203 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1204 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1205 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1206 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1207 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +7.39pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -6.58pp\nD) -3.09pp",
|
| 1208 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1209 |
+
"A) +7.39pp",
|
| 1210 |
+
"B) +3.90pp",
|
| 1211 |
+
"C) -6.58pp",
|
| 1212 |
+
"D) -3.09pp"
|
| 1213 |
+
],
|
| 1214 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1215 |
+
"answer_raw": "+3.90pp",
|
| 1216 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1217 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1218 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1219 |
+
},
|
| 1220 |
+
{
|
| 1221 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170901",
|
| 1222 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1223 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1224 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1225 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1226 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1227 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1228 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,312K\nB) 1,378K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,050K",
|
| 1229 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1230 |
+
"A) 1,312K",
|
| 1231 |
+
"B) 1,378K",
|
| 1232 |
+
"C) 1,181K",
|
| 1233 |
+
"D) 1,050K"
|
| 1234 |
+
],
|
| 1235 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1236 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,181K",
|
| 1237 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1238 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1239 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1240 |
+
},
|
| 1241 |
+
{
|
| 1242 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170901",
|
| 1243 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1244 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1245 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1246 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1247 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1248 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1249 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.59pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.70pp",
|
| 1250 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1251 |
+
"A) +0.92pp",
|
| 1252 |
+
"B) +0.59pp",
|
| 1253 |
+
"C) +0.48pp",
|
| 1254 |
+
"D) +0.70pp"
|
| 1255 |
+
],
|
| 1256 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1257 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
|
| 1258 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1259 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1260 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1261 |
+
},
|
| 1262 |
+
{
|
| 1263 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1264 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1265 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1266 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1267 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1268 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1269 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1270 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.04%",
|
| 1271 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1272 |
+
"A) 2.59%",
|
| 1273 |
+
"B) 2.29%",
|
| 1274 |
+
"C) 2.15%",
|
| 1275 |
+
"D) 3.04%"
|
| 1276 |
+
],
|
| 1277 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1278 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
|
| 1279 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1280 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1281 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1282 |
+
},
|
| 1283 |
+
{
|
| 1284 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1285 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1286 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1287 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 1288 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1289 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1290 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1291 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.37%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 4.50%\nD) -0.08%",
|
| 1292 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1293 |
+
"A) -2.37%",
|
| 1294 |
+
"B) 1.06%",
|
| 1295 |
+
"C) 4.50%",
|
| 1296 |
+
"D) -0.08%"
|
| 1297 |
+
],
|
| 1298 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1299 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.06%",
|
| 1300 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1301 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1302 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1303 |
+
},
|
| 1304 |
+
{
|
| 1305 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170901",
|
| 1306 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1307 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1308 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1309 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1310 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1311 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1312 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,264B\nB) $15,301B\nC) $13,745B\nD) $12,189B",
|
| 1313 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1314 |
+
"A) $14,264B",
|
| 1315 |
+
"B) $15,301B",
|
| 1316 |
+
"C) $13,745B",
|
| 1317 |
+
"D) $12,189B"
|
| 1318 |
+
],
|
| 1319 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1320 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13,745B",
|
| 1321 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 1322 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1323 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1324 |
+
},
|
| 1325 |
+
{
|
| 1326 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170301",
|
| 1327 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1328 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1329 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 1330 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1331 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1332 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1333 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.40pp",
|
| 1334 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1335 |
+
"A) +0.18pp",
|
| 1336 |
+
"B) +0.51pp",
|
| 1337 |
+
"C) +0.73pp",
|
| 1338 |
+
"D) +0.40pp"
|
| 1339 |
+
],
|
| 1340 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1341 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
|
| 1342 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1343 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1344 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1345 |
+
},
|
| 1346 |
+
{
|
| 1347 |
+
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20170615",
|
| 1348 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1349 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1350 |
+
"indicator": "ICSA",
|
| 1351 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1352 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 1353 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
|
| 1354 |
+
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 249,000\nB) 204,121\nC) 226,561\nD) 316,318",
|
| 1355 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1356 |
+
"A) 249,000",
|
| 1357 |
+
"B) 204,121",
|
| 1358 |
+
"C) 226,561",
|
| 1359 |
+
"D) 316,318"
|
| 1360 |
+
],
|
| 1361 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1362 |
+
"answer_raw": "249,000",
|
| 1363 |
+
"unit": "count",
|
| 1364 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1365 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1366 |
+
},
|
| 1367 |
+
{
|
| 1368 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170901",
|
| 1369 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1370 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1371 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1372 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1373 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1374 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1375 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.82\nB) 252.81\nC) 262.81\nD) 269.47",
|
| 1376 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1377 |
+
"A) 242.82",
|
| 1378 |
+
"B) 252.81",
|
| 1379 |
+
"C) 262.81",
|
| 1380 |
+
"D) 269.47"
|
| 1381 |
+
],
|
| 1382 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1383 |
+
"answer_raw": "252.81",
|
| 1384 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1385 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1386 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1387 |
+
},
|
| 1388 |
+
{
|
| 1389 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1390 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1391 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1392 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 1393 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1394 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1395 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1396 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 1.25%",
|
| 1397 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1398 |
+
"A) 6.44%",
|
| 1399 |
+
"B) 3.33%",
|
| 1400 |
+
"C) 4.36%",
|
| 1401 |
+
"D) 1.25%"
|
| 1402 |
+
],
|
| 1403 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1404 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.36%",
|
| 1405 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1406 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1407 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1408 |
+
},
|
| 1409 |
+
{
|
| 1410 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170301",
|
| 1411 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1412 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1413 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 1414 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1415 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1416 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1417 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.43\nB) 267.17\nC) 244.45\nD) 250.94",
|
| 1418 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1419 |
+
"A) 257.43",
|
| 1420 |
+
"B) 267.17",
|
| 1421 |
+
"C) 244.45",
|
| 1422 |
+
"D) 250.94"
|
| 1423 |
+
],
|
| 1424 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1425 |
+
"answer_raw": "250.94",
|
| 1426 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1427 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1428 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1429 |
+
},
|
| 1430 |
+
{
|
| 1431 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1432 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1433 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1434 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 1435 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1436 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1437 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1438 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.32%",
|
| 1439 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1440 |
+
"A) 1.61%",
|
| 1441 |
+
"B) 1.41%",
|
| 1442 |
+
"C) 1.70%",
|
| 1443 |
+
"D) 1.32%"
|
| 1444 |
+
],
|
| 1445 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1446 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
|
| 1447 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1448 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1449 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1450 |
+
},
|
| 1451 |
+
{
|
| 1452 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170301",
|
| 1453 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1454 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1455 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 1456 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1457 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1458 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1459 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.89/hr\nB) $21.88/hr\nC) $22.54/hr\nD) $23.20/hr",
|
| 1460 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1461 |
+
"A) $20.89/hr",
|
| 1462 |
+
"B) $21.88/hr",
|
| 1463 |
+
"C) $22.54/hr",
|
| 1464 |
+
"D) $23.20/hr"
|
| 1465 |
+
],
|
| 1466 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1467 |
+
"answer_raw": "$21.88/hr",
|
| 1468 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 1469 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1470 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1471 |
+
},
|
| 1472 |
+
{
|
| 1473 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1474 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1475 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1476 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 1477 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1478 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1479 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1480 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.06%\nB) 9.13%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 2.68%",
|
| 1481 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1482 |
+
"A) 8.06%",
|
| 1483 |
+
"B) 9.13%",
|
| 1484 |
+
"C) 5.91%",
|
| 1485 |
+
"D) 2.68%"
|
| 1486 |
+
],
|
| 1487 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1488 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.91%",
|
| 1489 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1490 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1491 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1492 |
+
},
|
| 1493 |
+
{
|
| 1494 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170901",
|
| 1495 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1496 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1497 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 1498 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1499 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1500 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1501 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.86\nB) 98.72\nC) 102.34\nD) 95.10",
|
| 1502 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1503 |
+
"A) 87.86",
|
| 1504 |
+
"B) 98.72",
|
| 1505 |
+
"C) 102.34",
|
| 1506 |
+
"D) 95.10"
|
| 1507 |
+
],
|
| 1508 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1509 |
+
"answer_raw": "95.10",
|
| 1510 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1511 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1512 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1513 |
+
},
|
| 1514 |
+
{
|
| 1515 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1516 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1517 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1518 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 1519 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1520 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1521 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1522 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 7.43%",
|
| 1523 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1524 |
+
"A) 6.33%",
|
| 1525 |
+
"B) 5.24%",
|
| 1526 |
+
"C) 5.79%",
|
| 1527 |
+
"D) 7.43%"
|
| 1528 |
+
],
|
| 1529 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1530 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.33%",
|
| 1531 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1532 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1533 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1534 |
+
},
|
| 1535 |
+
{
|
| 1536 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1537 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1538 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1539 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1540 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1541 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1542 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1543 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) -2.30%\nC) 15.37%\nD) -8.19%",
|
| 1544 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1545 |
+
"A) 3.59%",
|
| 1546 |
+
"B) -2.30%",
|
| 1547 |
+
"C) 15.37%",
|
| 1548 |
+
"D) -8.19%"
|
| 1549 |
+
],
|
| 1550 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1551 |
+
"answer_raw": "-2.30%",
|
| 1552 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1553 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1554 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1555 |
+
},
|
| 1556 |
+
{
|
| 1557 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170301",
|
| 1558 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1559 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1560 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1561 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1562 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1563 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1564 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.70\nB) 251.21\nC) 243.89\nD) 236.58",
|
| 1565 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1566 |
+
"A) 231.70",
|
| 1567 |
+
"B) 251.21",
|
| 1568 |
+
"C) 243.89",
|
| 1569 |
+
"D) 236.58"
|
| 1570 |
+
],
|
| 1571 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1572 |
+
"answer_raw": "243.89",
|
| 1573 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1574 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1575 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1576 |
+
},
|
| 1577 |
+
{
|
| 1578 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1579 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1580 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1581 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1582 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1583 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1584 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1585 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.32%\nB) -7.31%\nC) 21.53%\nD) 7.11%",
|
| 1586 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1587 |
+
"A) 14.32%",
|
| 1588 |
+
"B) -7.31%",
|
| 1589 |
+
"C) 21.53%",
|
| 1590 |
+
"D) 7.11%"
|
| 1591 |
+
],
|
| 1592 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1593 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.11%",
|
| 1594 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1595 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1596 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1597 |
+
},
|
| 1598 |
+
{
|
| 1599 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1600 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1601 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1602 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1603 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1604 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1605 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1606 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.57%",
|
| 1607 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1608 |
+
"A) 4.94%",
|
| 1609 |
+
"B) 6.82%",
|
| 1610 |
+
"C) 6.19%",
|
| 1611 |
+
"D) 5.57%"
|
| 1612 |
+
],
|
| 1613 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1614 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
|
| 1615 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1616 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1617 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1618 |
+
},
|
| 1619 |
+
{
|
| 1620 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20170615",
|
| 1621 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1622 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1623 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
|
| 1624 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1625 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 1626 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 1627 |
+
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $30.80/bbl\nB) $45.61/bbl\nC) $1.18/bbl\nD) $90.04/bbl",
|
| 1628 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1629 |
+
"A) $30.80/bbl",
|
| 1630 |
+
"B) $45.61/bbl",
|
| 1631 |
+
"C) $1.18/bbl",
|
| 1632 |
+
"D) $90.04/bbl"
|
| 1633 |
+
],
|
| 1634 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1635 |
+
"answer_raw": "$45.61/bbl",
|
| 1636 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
|
| 1637 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1638 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1639 |
+
},
|
| 1640 |
+
{
|
| 1641 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170301",
|
| 1642 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1643 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1644 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 1645 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1646 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1647 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1648 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,198K\nB) 1,493K\nC) 1,272K\nD) 1,051K",
|
| 1649 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1650 |
+
"A) 1,198K",
|
| 1651 |
+
"B) 1,493K",
|
| 1652 |
+
"C) 1,272K",
|
| 1653 |
+
"D) 1,051K"
|
| 1654 |
+
],
|
| 1655 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1656 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,272K",
|
| 1657 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1658 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1659 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1660 |
+
},
|
| 1661 |
+
{
|
| 1662 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1663 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1664 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1665 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 1666 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1667 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1668 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1669 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 0.85%",
|
| 1670 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1671 |
+
"A) 6.14%",
|
| 1672 |
+
"B) -4.44%",
|
| 1673 |
+
"C) 3.50%",
|
| 1674 |
+
"D) 0.85%"
|
| 1675 |
+
],
|
| 1676 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1677 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
|
| 1678 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1679 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1680 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1681 |
+
},
|
| 1682 |
+
{
|
| 1683 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170301",
|
| 1684 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1685 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1686 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 1687 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1688 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1689 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1690 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.52\nB) 96.52\nC) 102.52\nD) 104.52",
|
| 1691 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1692 |
+
"A) 99.52",
|
| 1693 |
+
"B) 96.52",
|
| 1694 |
+
"C) 102.52",
|
| 1695 |
+
"D) 104.52"
|
| 1696 |
+
],
|
| 1697 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1698 |
+
"answer_raw": "99.52",
|
| 1699 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1700 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1701 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1702 |
+
},
|
| 1703 |
+
{
|
| 1704 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170301",
|
| 1705 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1706 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1707 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 1708 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1709 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1710 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1711 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,032K\nB) 1,190K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 954K",
|
| 1712 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1713 |
+
"A) 1,032K",
|
| 1714 |
+
"B) 1,190K",
|
| 1715 |
+
"C) 1,111K",
|
| 1716 |
+
"D) 954K"
|
| 1717 |
+
],
|
| 1718 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1719 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,190K",
|
| 1720 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 1721 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1722 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1723 |
+
},
|
| 1724 |
+
{
|
| 1725 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1726 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1727 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1728 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1729 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1730 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1731 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1732 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.68%\nB) 10.84%\nC) 3.71%\nD) -3.42%",
|
| 1733 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1734 |
+
"A) -17.68%",
|
| 1735 |
+
"B) 10.84%",
|
| 1736 |
+
"C) 3.71%",
|
| 1737 |
+
"D) -3.42%"
|
| 1738 |
+
],
|
| 1739 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1740 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.71%",
|
| 1741 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1742 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1743 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1744 |
+
},
|
| 1745 |
+
{
|
| 1746 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170901",
|
| 1747 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1748 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1749 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1750 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1751 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1752 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1753 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.70%\nB) 78.65%\nC) 74.07%\nD) 76.36%",
|
| 1754 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1755 |
+
"A) 81.70%",
|
| 1756 |
+
"B) 78.65%",
|
| 1757 |
+
"C) 74.07%",
|
| 1758 |
+
"D) 76.36%"
|
| 1759 |
+
],
|
| 1760 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1761 |
+
"answer_raw": "76.36%",
|
| 1762 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1763 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1764 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1765 |
+
},
|
| 1766 |
+
{
|
| 1767 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1768 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1769 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1770 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 1771 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1772 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1773 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1774 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.56%",
|
| 1775 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1776 |
+
"A) 2.44%",
|
| 1777 |
+
"B) 1.33%",
|
| 1778 |
+
"C) 2.07%",
|
| 1779 |
+
"D) 3.56%"
|
| 1780 |
+
],
|
| 1781 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1782 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.44%",
|
| 1783 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1784 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1785 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1786 |
+
},
|
| 1787 |
+
{
|
| 1788 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20170615",
|
| 1789 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1790 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1791 |
+
"indicator": "DGS5",
|
| 1792 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1793 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 1794 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 1795 |
+
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.34%",
|
| 1796 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1797 |
+
"A) 1.18%",
|
| 1798 |
+
"B) 1.76%",
|
| 1799 |
+
"C) 1.38%",
|
| 1800 |
+
"D) 2.34%"
|
| 1801 |
+
],
|
| 1802 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1803 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.76%",
|
| 1804 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1805 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1806 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1807 |
+
},
|
| 1808 |
+
{
|
| 1809 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170301",
|
| 1810 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1811 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1812 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1813 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 1814 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1815 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1816 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.46pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +1.78pp",
|
| 1817 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1818 |
+
"A) -1.20pp",
|
| 1819 |
+
"B) -0.46pp",
|
| 1820 |
+
"C) +0.29pp",
|
| 1821 |
+
"D) +1.78pp"
|
| 1822 |
+
],
|
| 1823 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1824 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.29pp",
|
| 1825 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 1826 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1827 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1828 |
+
},
|
| 1829 |
+
{
|
| 1830 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1831 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1832 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1833 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1834 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1835 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1836 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1837 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) -8.18%\nC) 20.21%\nD) -1.08%",
|
| 1838 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1839 |
+
"A) 6.02%",
|
| 1840 |
+
"B) -8.18%",
|
| 1841 |
+
"C) 20.21%",
|
| 1842 |
+
"D) -1.08%"
|
| 1843 |
+
],
|
| 1844 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1845 |
+
"answer_raw": "-1.08%",
|
| 1846 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1847 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1848 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1849 |
+
},
|
| 1850 |
+
{
|
| 1851 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170301",
|
| 1852 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1853 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1854 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 1855 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1856 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1857 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1858 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.44%\nB) 70.92%\nC) 77.71%\nD) 73.18%",
|
| 1859 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1860 |
+
"A) 75.44%",
|
| 1861 |
+
"B) 70.92%",
|
| 1862 |
+
"C) 77.71%",
|
| 1863 |
+
"D) 73.18%"
|
| 1864 |
+
],
|
| 1865 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1866 |
+
"answer_raw": "75.44%",
|
| 1867 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1868 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1869 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1870 |
+
},
|
| 1871 |
+
{
|
| 1872 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170301",
|
| 1873 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1874 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1875 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 1876 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1877 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1878 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1879 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.16%",
|
| 1880 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1881 |
+
"A) 5.64%",
|
| 1882 |
+
"B) 4.40%",
|
| 1883 |
+
"C) 5.02%",
|
| 1884 |
+
"D) 3.16%"
|
| 1885 |
+
],
|
| 1886 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1887 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.40%",
|
| 1888 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1889 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1890 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1891 |
+
},
|
| 1892 |
+
{
|
| 1893 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 1894 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1895 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1896 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 1897 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1898 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1899 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1900 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.11%",
|
| 1901 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1902 |
+
"A) 0.57%",
|
| 1903 |
+
"B) 2.73%",
|
| 1904 |
+
"C) 2.19%",
|
| 1905 |
+
"D) 1.11%"
|
| 1906 |
+
],
|
| 1907 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1908 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
|
| 1909 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1910 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1911 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1912 |
+
},
|
| 1913 |
+
{
|
| 1914 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1915 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1916 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1917 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 1918 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1919 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1920 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1921 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.27%\nB) 9.07%\nC) 16.74%\nD) 5.24%",
|
| 1922 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1923 |
+
"A) -6.27%",
|
| 1924 |
+
"B) 9.07%",
|
| 1925 |
+
"C) 16.74%",
|
| 1926 |
+
"D) 5.24%"
|
| 1927 |
+
],
|
| 1928 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 1929 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.24%",
|
| 1930 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1931 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1932 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1933 |
+
},
|
| 1934 |
+
{
|
| 1935 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170901",
|
| 1936 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1937 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1938 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 1939 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1940 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1941 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1942 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 113.50\nB) 110.09\nC) 116.91\nD) 120.31",
|
| 1943 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1944 |
+
"A) 113.50",
|
| 1945 |
+
"B) 110.09",
|
| 1946 |
+
"C) 116.91",
|
| 1947 |
+
"D) 120.31"
|
| 1948 |
+
],
|
| 1949 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1950 |
+
"answer_raw": "113.50",
|
| 1951 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1952 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1953 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1954 |
+
},
|
| 1955 |
+
{
|
| 1956 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170301",
|
| 1957 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1958 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1959 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 1960 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 1961 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 1962 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 1963 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.55\nB) 99.53\nC) 92.57\nD) 102.52",
|
| 1964 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1965 |
+
"A) 96.55",
|
| 1966 |
+
"B) 99.53",
|
| 1967 |
+
"C) 92.57",
|
| 1968 |
+
"D) 102.52"
|
| 1969 |
+
],
|
| 1970 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1971 |
+
"answer_raw": "99.53",
|
| 1972 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1973 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1974 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1975 |
+
},
|
| 1976 |
+
{
|
| 1977 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 1978 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1979 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1980 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 1981 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1982 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 1983 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 1984 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.88%",
|
| 1985 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1986 |
+
"A) 6.12%",
|
| 1987 |
+
"B) 6.69%",
|
| 1988 |
+
"C) 5.00%",
|
| 1989 |
+
"D) 3.88%"
|
| 1990 |
+
],
|
| 1991 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 1992 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
|
| 1993 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1994 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1995 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 1996 |
+
},
|
| 1997 |
+
{
|
| 1998 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170301",
|
| 1999 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2000 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2001 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 2002 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2003 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2004 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2005 |
+
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 193.68\nB) 208.03\nC) 179.33\nD) 186.51",
|
| 2006 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2007 |
+
"A) 193.68",
|
| 2008 |
+
"B) 208.03",
|
| 2009 |
+
"C) 179.33",
|
| 2010 |
+
"D) 186.51"
|
| 2011 |
+
],
|
| 2012 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2013 |
+
"answer_raw": "186.51",
|
| 2014 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2015 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2016 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2017 |
+
},
|
| 2018 |
+
{
|
| 2019 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170901",
|
| 2020 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2021 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2022 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 2023 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2024 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2025 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2026 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.88pp",
|
| 2027 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2028 |
+
"A) -0.70pp",
|
| 2029 |
+
"B) -0.34pp",
|
| 2030 |
+
"C) -0.16pp",
|
| 2031 |
+
"D) -0.88pp"
|
| 2032 |
+
],
|
| 2033 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2034 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
|
| 2035 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2036 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2037 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2038 |
+
},
|
| 2039 |
+
{
|
| 2040 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170901",
|
| 2041 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2042 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2043 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 2044 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2045 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2046 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2047 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 253.83\nB) 246.44\nC) 239.04\nD) 234.11",
|
| 2048 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2049 |
+
"A) 253.83",
|
| 2050 |
+
"B) 246.44",
|
| 2051 |
+
"C) 239.04",
|
| 2052 |
+
"D) 234.11"
|
| 2053 |
+
],
|
| 2054 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2055 |
+
"answer_raw": "246.44",
|
| 2056 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2057 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2058 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2059 |
+
},
|
| 2060 |
+
{
|
| 2061 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 2062 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2063 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2064 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 2065 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2066 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2067 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2068 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.62%",
|
| 2069 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2070 |
+
"A) 4.95%",
|
| 2071 |
+
"B) 5.62%",
|
| 2072 |
+
"C) 5.29%",
|
| 2073 |
+
"D) 4.62%"
|
| 2074 |
+
],
|
| 2075 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2076 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.29%",
|
| 2077 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2078 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2079 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2080 |
+
},
|
| 2081 |
+
{
|
| 2082 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170301",
|
| 2083 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2084 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2085 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2086 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2087 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2088 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2089 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,856M",
|
| 2090 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2091 |
+
"A) $4,300,000M",
|
| 2092 |
+
"B) $6,200,000M",
|
| 2093 |
+
"C) $2,400,000M",
|
| 2094 |
+
"D) $3,856M"
|
| 2095 |
+
],
|
| 2096 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2097 |
+
"answer_raw": "$3,856M",
|
| 2098 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2099 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2100 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2101 |
+
},
|
| 2102 |
+
{
|
| 2103 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170901",
|
| 2104 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2105 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2106 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 2107 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2108 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2109 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2110 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 59.95%",
|
| 2111 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2112 |
+
"A) 63.10%",
|
| 2113 |
+
"B) 64.99%",
|
| 2114 |
+
"C) 61.21%",
|
| 2115 |
+
"D) 59.95%"
|
| 2116 |
+
],
|
| 2117 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2118 |
+
"answer_raw": "63.10%",
|
| 2119 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2120 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2121 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2122 |
+
},
|
| 2123 |
+
{
|
| 2124 |
+
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 2125 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2126 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2127 |
+
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
|
| 2128 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2129 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2130 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2131 |
+
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 7.12%",
|
| 2132 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2133 |
+
"A) 2.61%",
|
| 2134 |
+
"B) 5.62%",
|
| 2135 |
+
"C) 4.12%",
|
| 2136 |
+
"D) 7.12%"
|
| 2137 |
+
],
|
| 2138 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2139 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.62%",
|
| 2140 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2141 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2142 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2143 |
+
},
|
| 2144 |
+
{
|
| 2145 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170301",
|
| 2146 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2147 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2148 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 2149 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2150 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2151 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2152 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.43pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -1.12pp",
|
| 2153 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2154 |
+
"A) -0.43pp",
|
| 2155 |
+
"B) -0.25pp",
|
| 2156 |
+
"C) -0.60pp",
|
| 2157 |
+
"D) -1.12pp"
|
| 2158 |
+
],
|
| 2159 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2160 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
|
| 2161 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2162 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2163 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2164 |
+
},
|
| 2165 |
+
{
|
| 2166 |
+
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20170615",
|
| 2167 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2168 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2169 |
+
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
|
| 2170 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2171 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2172 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 2173 |
+
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 35.05%\nC) -35.37%\nD) -7.20%",
|
| 2174 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2175 |
+
"A) 6.88%",
|
| 2176 |
+
"B) 35.05%",
|
| 2177 |
+
"C) -35.37%",
|
| 2178 |
+
"D) -7.20%"
|
| 2179 |
+
],
|
| 2180 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2181 |
+
"answer_raw": "-7.20%",
|
| 2182 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2183 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2184 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2185 |
+
},
|
| 2186 |
+
{
|
| 2187 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170901",
|
| 2188 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2189 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2190 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 2191 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2192 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2193 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2194 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.80\nB) 102.79\nC) 93.81\nD) 96.80",
|
| 2195 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2196 |
+
"A) 99.80",
|
| 2197 |
+
"B) 102.79",
|
| 2198 |
+
"C) 93.81",
|
| 2199 |
+
"D) 96.80"
|
| 2200 |
+
],
|
| 2201 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2202 |
+
"answer_raw": "99.80",
|
| 2203 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2204 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2205 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2206 |
+
},
|
| 2207 |
+
{
|
| 2208 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170901",
|
| 2209 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2210 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2211 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2212 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2213 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2214 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2215 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.21%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%",
|
| 2216 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2217 |
+
"A) 62.21%",
|
| 2218 |
+
"B) 60.40%",
|
| 2219 |
+
"C) 57.38%",
|
| 2220 |
+
"D) 58.59%"
|
| 2221 |
+
],
|
| 2222 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2223 |
+
"answer_raw": "60.40%",
|
| 2224 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2225 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2226 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2227 |
+
},
|
| 2228 |
+
{
|
| 2229 |
+
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20170615",
|
| 2230 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2231 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2232 |
+
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
|
| 2233 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2234 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2235 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 2236 |
+
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,735.41\nB) 4,875.22\nC) 6,165.50\nD) 7,455.78",
|
| 2237 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2238 |
+
"A) 5,735.41",
|
| 2239 |
+
"B) 4,875.22",
|
| 2240 |
+
"C) 6,165.50",
|
| 2241 |
+
"D) 7,455.78"
|
| 2242 |
+
],
|
| 2243 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2244 |
+
"answer_raw": "6,165.50",
|
| 2245 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2246 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2247 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2248 |
+
},
|
| 2249 |
+
{
|
| 2250 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170901",
|
| 2251 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2252 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2253 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 2254 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2255 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2256 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2257 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 4.88%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.30%",
|
| 2258 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2259 |
+
"A) 2.57%",
|
| 2260 |
+
"B) 4.88%",
|
| 2261 |
+
"C) 3.72%",
|
| 2262 |
+
"D) 4.30%"
|
| 2263 |
+
],
|
| 2264 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2265 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.30%",
|
| 2266 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2267 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2268 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2269 |
+
},
|
| 2270 |
+
{
|
| 2271 |
+
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20170615",
|
| 2272 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2273 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2274 |
+
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
|
| 2275 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2276 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2277 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 2278 |
+
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.90\nB) 9.18\nC) 14.33\nD) 16.05",
|
| 2279 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2280 |
+
"A) 10.90",
|
| 2281 |
+
"B) 9.18",
|
| 2282 |
+
"C) 14.33",
|
| 2283 |
+
"D) 16.05"
|
| 2284 |
+
],
|
| 2285 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2286 |
+
"answer_raw": "10.90",
|
| 2287 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2288 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2289 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2290 |
+
},
|
| 2291 |
+
{
|
| 2292 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170301",
|
| 2293 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2294 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2295 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 2296 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2297 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2298 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2299 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.13%",
|
| 2300 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2301 |
+
"A) 4.49%",
|
| 2302 |
+
"B) 4.81%",
|
| 2303 |
+
"C) 4.16%",
|
| 2304 |
+
"D) 5.13%"
|
| 2305 |
+
],
|
| 2306 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2307 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.81%",
|
| 2308 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2309 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2310 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2311 |
+
},
|
| 2312 |
+
{
|
| 2313 |
+
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20170615",
|
| 2314 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2315 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2316 |
+
"indicator": "DJIA",
|
| 2317 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2318 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2319 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 2320 |
+
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,574.92\nB) 20,764.91\nC) 21,359.90\nD) 21,954.89",
|
| 2321 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2322 |
+
"A) 19,574.92",
|
| 2323 |
+
"B) 20,764.91",
|
| 2324 |
+
"C) 21,359.90",
|
| 2325 |
+
"D) 21,954.89"
|
| 2326 |
+
],
|
| 2327 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2328 |
+
"answer_raw": "21,359.90",
|
| 2329 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2330 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2331 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2332 |
+
},
|
| 2333 |
+
{
|
| 2334 |
+
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20170615",
|
| 2335 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2336 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2337 |
+
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
|
| 2338 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2339 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2340 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
|
| 2341 |
+
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.91%",
|
| 2342 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2343 |
+
"A) 3.41%",
|
| 2344 |
+
"B) 4.41%",
|
| 2345 |
+
"C) 3.57%",
|
| 2346 |
+
"D) 3.91%"
|
| 2347 |
+
],
|
| 2348 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2349 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.91%",
|
| 2350 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2351 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2352 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2353 |
+
},
|
| 2354 |
+
{
|
| 2355 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170901",
|
| 2356 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2357 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2358 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 2359 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2360 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2361 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2362 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 194.80\nB) 186.51\nC) 190.65\nD) 198.95",
|
| 2363 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2364 |
+
"A) 194.80",
|
| 2365 |
+
"B) 186.51",
|
| 2366 |
+
"C) 190.65",
|
| 2367 |
+
"D) 198.95"
|
| 2368 |
+
],
|
| 2369 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2370 |
+
"answer_raw": "194.80",
|
| 2371 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2372 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2373 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2374 |
+
},
|
| 2375 |
+
{
|
| 2376 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 2377 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2378 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2379 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 2380 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2381 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2382 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2383 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 5.31%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 4.26%",
|
| 2384 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2385 |
+
"A) 7.42%",
|
| 2386 |
+
"B) 5.31%",
|
| 2387 |
+
"C) 2.16%",
|
| 2388 |
+
"D) 4.26%"
|
| 2389 |
+
],
|
| 2390 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2391 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.31%",
|
| 2392 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2393 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2394 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2395 |
+
},
|
| 2396 |
+
{
|
| 2397 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170301",
|
| 2398 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2399 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2400 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 2401 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2402 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2403 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2404 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,972B\nB) $12,447B\nC) $13,464B\nD) $14,480B",
|
| 2405 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2406 |
+
"A) $13,972B",
|
| 2407 |
+
"B) $12,447B",
|
| 2408 |
+
"C) $13,464B",
|
| 2409 |
+
"D) $14,480B"
|
| 2410 |
+
],
|
| 2411 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2412 |
+
"answer_raw": "$13,464B",
|
| 2413 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 2414 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2415 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2416 |
+
},
|
| 2417 |
+
{
|
| 2418 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170301",
|
| 2419 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2420 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2421 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 2422 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2423 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2424 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2425 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.79%",
|
| 2426 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2427 |
+
"A) 0.59%",
|
| 2428 |
+
"B) 0.92%",
|
| 2429 |
+
"C) 0.72%",
|
| 2430 |
+
"D) 0.79%"
|
| 2431 |
+
],
|
| 2432 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2433 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.79%",
|
| 2434 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2435 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2436 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2437 |
+
},
|
| 2438 |
+
{
|
| 2439 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170901",
|
| 2440 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2441 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2442 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 2443 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2444 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2445 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2446 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.24\nB) 95.14\nC) 97.18\nD) 103.30",
|
| 2447 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2448 |
+
"A) 100.24",
|
| 2449 |
+
"B) 95.14",
|
| 2450 |
+
"C) 97.18",
|
| 2451 |
+
"D) 103.30"
|
| 2452 |
+
],
|
| 2453 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2454 |
+
"answer_raw": "100.24",
|
| 2455 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2456 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2457 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2458 |
+
},
|
| 2459 |
+
{
|
| 2460 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170901",
|
| 2461 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2462 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2463 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 2464 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2465 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2466 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2467 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $3,874M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
|
| 2468 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2469 |
+
"A) $4,300,000M",
|
| 2470 |
+
"B) $3,874M",
|
| 2471 |
+
"C) $2,400,000M",
|
| 2472 |
+
"D) $6,200,000M"
|
| 2473 |
+
],
|
| 2474 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2475 |
+
"answer_raw": "$3,874M",
|
| 2476 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2477 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2478 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2479 |
+
},
|
| 2480 |
+
{
|
| 2481 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 2482 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2483 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2484 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 2485 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2486 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2487 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2488 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 8.93%",
|
| 2489 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2490 |
+
"A) 5.14%",
|
| 2491 |
+
"B) 1.35%",
|
| 2492 |
+
"C) 7.04%",
|
| 2493 |
+
"D) 8.93%"
|
| 2494 |
+
],
|
| 2495 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2496 |
+
"answer_raw": "7.04%",
|
| 2497 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2498 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2499 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2500 |
+
},
|
| 2501 |
+
{
|
| 2502 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170901",
|
| 2503 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2504 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2505 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 2506 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2507 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2508 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2509 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $235,064M\nB) $209,935M\nC) $241,346M\nD) $228,782M",
|
| 2510 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2511 |
+
"A) $235,064M",
|
| 2512 |
+
"B) $209,935M",
|
| 2513 |
+
"C) $241,346M",
|
| 2514 |
+
"D) $228,782M"
|
| 2515 |
+
],
|
| 2516 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2517 |
+
"answer_raw": "$228,782M",
|
| 2518 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2519 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2520 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2521 |
+
},
|
| 2522 |
+
{
|
| 2523 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170901",
|
| 2524 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2525 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2526 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 2527 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2528 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2529 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2530 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,764B\nB) $13,679B\nC) $15,849B\nD) $15,126B",
|
| 2531 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2532 |
+
"A) $14,764B",
|
| 2533 |
+
"B) $13,679B",
|
| 2534 |
+
"C) $15,849B",
|
| 2535 |
+
"D) $15,126B"
|
| 2536 |
+
],
|
| 2537 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2538 |
+
"answer_raw": "$14,764B",
|
| 2539 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 2540 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2541 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2542 |
+
},
|
| 2543 |
+
{
|
| 2544 |
+
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20170615",
|
| 2545 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2546 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2547 |
+
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
|
| 2548 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2549 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2550 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-06",
|
| 2551 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,780B\nB) $12,247B\nC) $11,312B\nD) $12,714B",
|
| 2552 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2553 |
+
"A) $11,780B",
|
| 2554 |
+
"B) $12,247B",
|
| 2555 |
+
"C) $11,312B",
|
| 2556 |
+
"D) $12,714B"
|
| 2557 |
+
],
|
| 2558 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2559 |
+
"answer_raw": "$12,247B",
|
| 2560 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 2561 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2562 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2563 |
+
},
|
| 2564 |
+
{
|
| 2565 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20170615",
|
| 2566 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2567 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2568 |
+
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
|
| 2569 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2570 |
+
"target_period": "2017-06-15",
|
| 2571 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-06-08",
|
| 2572 |
+
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 0.70%",
|
| 2573 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2574 |
+
"A) 1.23%",
|
| 2575 |
+
"B) 0.91%",
|
| 2576 |
+
"C) 1.02%",
|
| 2577 |
+
"D) 0.70%"
|
| 2578 |
+
],
|
| 2579 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2580 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.02%",
|
| 2581 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2582 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2583 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2584 |
+
},
|
| 2585 |
+
{
|
| 2586 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170901",
|
| 2587 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2588 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2589 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 2590 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 2591 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2592 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2593 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.76%",
|
| 2594 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2595 |
+
"A) 2.34%",
|
| 2596 |
+
"B) 2.05%",
|
| 2597 |
+
"C) 2.63%",
|
| 2598 |
+
"D) 1.76%"
|
| 2599 |
+
],
|
| 2600 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2601 |
+
"answer_raw": "1.76%",
|
| 2602 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2603 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2604 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2605 |
+
},
|
| 2606 |
+
{
|
| 2607 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170301",
|
| 2608 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2609 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2610 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2611 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2612 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2613 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2614 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.90\nB) 104.45\nC) 89.35\nD) 108.23",
|
| 2615 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2616 |
+
"A) 96.90",
|
| 2617 |
+
"B) 104.45",
|
| 2618 |
+
"C) 89.35",
|
| 2619 |
+
"D) 108.23"
|
| 2620 |
+
],
|
| 2621 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2622 |
+
"answer_raw": "96.90",
|
| 2623 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 2624 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2625 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2626 |
+
},
|
| 2627 |
+
{
|
| 2628 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170901",
|
| 2629 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2630 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2631 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 2632 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2633 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2634 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2635 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $-43,128M\nB) $-41,593M\nC) $-36,989M\nD) $-38,524M",
|
| 2636 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2637 |
+
"A) $-43,128M",
|
| 2638 |
+
"B) $-41,593M",
|
| 2639 |
+
"C) $-36,989M",
|
| 2640 |
+
"D) $-38,524M"
|
| 2641 |
+
],
|
| 2642 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 2643 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-41,593M",
|
| 2644 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 2645 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2646 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2647 |
+
},
|
| 2648 |
+
{
|
| 2649 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170901",
|
| 2650 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2651 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2652 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 2653 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2654 |
+
"target_period": "September 2017",
|
| 2655 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-08-01",
|
| 2656 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.47pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) +3.19pp",
|
| 2657 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2658 |
+
"A) +2.47pp",
|
| 2659 |
+
"B) -1.10pp",
|
| 2660 |
+
"C) +1.04pp",
|
| 2661 |
+
"D) +3.19pp"
|
| 2662 |
+
],
|
| 2663 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 2664 |
+
"answer_raw": "+1.04pp",
|
| 2665 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2666 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2667 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2668 |
+
},
|
| 2669 |
+
{
|
| 2670 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170301",
|
| 2671 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2672 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2673 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 2674 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 2675 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2676 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2677 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.01pp\nB) +13.18pp\nC) +9.54pp\nD) +5.90pp",
|
| 2678 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2679 |
+
"A) -5.01pp",
|
| 2680 |
+
"B) +13.18pp",
|
| 2681 |
+
"C) +9.54pp",
|
| 2682 |
+
"D) +5.90pp"
|
| 2683 |
+
],
|
| 2684 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 2685 |
+
"answer_raw": "+5.90pp",
|
| 2686 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 2687 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2688 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2689 |
+
},
|
| 2690 |
+
{
|
| 2691 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170301",
|
| 2692 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 2693 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 2694 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 2695 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 2696 |
+
"target_period": "March 2017",
|
| 2697 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-29",
|
| 2698 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.20%\nB) 62.01%\nC) 59.00%\nD) 63.21%",
|
| 2699 |
+
"options": [
|
| 2700 |
+
"A) 60.20%",
|
| 2701 |
+
"B) 62.01%",
|
| 2702 |
+
"C) 59.00%",
|
| 2703 |
+
"D) 63.21%"
|
| 2704 |
+
],
|
| 2705 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 2706 |
+
"answer_raw": "60.20%",
|
| 2707 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 2708 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 2709 |
+
"year": 2017
|
| 2710 |
+
}
|
| 2711 |
+
]
|
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mcq_2023.json
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mcq_2024.json
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mcq_2025.json
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mcq_2026.json
ADDED
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
| 1 |
+
[
|
| 2 |
+
{
|
| 3 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20260301",
|
| 4 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 5 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 6 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 7 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 8 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 9 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 10 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.86\nB) 101.81\nC) 98.75\nD) 108.93",
|
| 11 |
+
"options": [
|
| 12 |
+
"A) 104.86",
|
| 13 |
+
"B) 101.81",
|
| 14 |
+
"C) 98.75",
|
| 15 |
+
"D) 108.93"
|
| 16 |
+
],
|
| 17 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 18 |
+
"answer_raw": "101.81",
|
| 19 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 20 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 21 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 22 |
+
},
|
| 23 |
+
{
|
| 24 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 25 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 26 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 27 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 28 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 29 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 30 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 31 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.56%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 9.47%\nD) 19.51%",
|
| 32 |
+
"options": [
|
| 33 |
+
"A) -0.56%",
|
| 34 |
+
"B) 2.78%",
|
| 35 |
+
"C) 9.47%",
|
| 36 |
+
"D) 19.51%"
|
| 37 |
+
],
|
| 38 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 39 |
+
"answer_raw": "9.47%",
|
| 40 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 41 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 42 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 43 |
+
},
|
| 44 |
+
{
|
| 45 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20260301",
|
| 46 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 47 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 48 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 49 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 50 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 51 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 52 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $25,347B\nB) $21,857B\nC) $26,220B\nD) $23,602B",
|
| 53 |
+
"options": [
|
| 54 |
+
"A) $25,347B",
|
| 55 |
+
"B) $21,857B",
|
| 56 |
+
"C) $26,220B",
|
| 57 |
+
"D) $23,602B"
|
| 58 |
+
],
|
| 59 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 60 |
+
"answer_raw": "$23,602B",
|
| 61 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 62 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 63 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 64 |
+
},
|
| 65 |
+
{
|
| 66 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20260301",
|
| 67 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 68 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 69 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 70 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 71 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 72 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 73 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.20%\nB) 57.42%\nC) 60.98%\nD) 63.34%",
|
| 74 |
+
"options": [
|
| 75 |
+
"A) 59.20%",
|
| 76 |
+
"B) 57.42%",
|
| 77 |
+
"C) 60.98%",
|
| 78 |
+
"D) 63.34%"
|
| 79 |
+
],
|
| 80 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 81 |
+
"answer_raw": "59.20%",
|
| 82 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 83 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 84 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 85 |
+
},
|
| 86 |
+
{
|
| 87 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20260301",
|
| 88 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 89 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 90 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 91 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 92 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 93 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 94 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 296.83\nB) 276.42\nC) 283.22\nD) 256.01",
|
| 95 |
+
"options": [
|
| 96 |
+
"A) 296.83",
|
| 97 |
+
"B) 276.42",
|
| 98 |
+
"C) 283.22",
|
| 99 |
+
"D) 256.01"
|
| 100 |
+
],
|
| 101 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 102 |
+
"answer_raw": "276.42",
|
| 103 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 104 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 105 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 106 |
+
},
|
| 107 |
+
{
|
| 108 |
+
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 109 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 110 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 111 |
+
"indicator": "INDPRO",
|
| 112 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 113 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 114 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 115 |
+
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -2.69%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -4.42%",
|
| 116 |
+
"options": [
|
| 117 |
+
"A) -0.97%",
|
| 118 |
+
"B) -2.69%",
|
| 119 |
+
"C) 0.76%",
|
| 120 |
+
"D) -4.42%"
|
| 121 |
+
],
|
| 122 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 123 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.76%",
|
| 124 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 125 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 126 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 127 |
+
},
|
| 128 |
+
{
|
| 129 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20260301",
|
| 130 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 131 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 132 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 133 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 134 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 135 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 136 |
+
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $817,063M\nB) $689,677M\nC) $795,832M\nD) $753,370M",
|
| 137 |
+
"options": [
|
| 138 |
+
"A) $817,063M",
|
| 139 |
+
"B) $689,677M",
|
| 140 |
+
"C) $795,832M",
|
| 141 |
+
"D) $753,370M"
|
| 142 |
+
],
|
| 143 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 144 |
+
"answer_raw": "$753,370M",
|
| 145 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 146 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 147 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 148 |
+
},
|
| 149 |
+
{
|
| 150 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20260301",
|
| 151 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 152 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 153 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 154 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 155 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 156 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 157 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.67%\nB) 73.40%\nC) 77.94%\nD) 80.21%",
|
| 158 |
+
"options": [
|
| 159 |
+
"A) 75.67%",
|
| 160 |
+
"B) 73.40%",
|
| 161 |
+
"C) 77.94%",
|
| 162 |
+
"D) 80.21%"
|
| 163 |
+
],
|
| 164 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 165 |
+
"answer_raw": "75.67%",
|
| 166 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 167 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 168 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 169 |
+
},
|
| 170 |
+
{
|
| 171 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20260301",
|
| 172 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 173 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 174 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 175 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 176 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 177 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 178 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.66\nB) 154.37\nC) 142.80\nD) 158.23",
|
| 179 |
+
"options": [
|
| 180 |
+
"A) 146.66",
|
| 181 |
+
"B) 154.37",
|
| 182 |
+
"C) 142.80",
|
| 183 |
+
"D) 158.23"
|
| 184 |
+
],
|
| 185 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 186 |
+
"answer_raw": "154.37",
|
| 187 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 188 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 189 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
{
|
| 192 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20260301",
|
| 193 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 194 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 195 |
+
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
|
| 196 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 197 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 198 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 199 |
+
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $-68,659M\nB) $-51,955M\nC) $-60,307M\nD) $-43,604M",
|
| 200 |
+
"options": [
|
| 201 |
+
"A) $-68,659M",
|
| 202 |
+
"B) $-51,955M",
|
| 203 |
+
"C) $-60,307M",
|
| 204 |
+
"D) $-43,604M"
|
| 205 |
+
],
|
| 206 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 207 |
+
"answer_raw": "$-60,307M",
|
| 208 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 209 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 210 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 211 |
+
},
|
| 212 |
+
{
|
| 213 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20260301",
|
| 214 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 215 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 216 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 217 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 218 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 219 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 220 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.30%",
|
| 221 |
+
"options": [
|
| 222 |
+
"A) 4.65%",
|
| 223 |
+
"B) 5.00%",
|
| 224 |
+
"C) 3.60%",
|
| 225 |
+
"D) 4.30%"
|
| 226 |
+
],
|
| 227 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 228 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.30%",
|
| 229 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 230 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 231 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 232 |
+
},
|
| 233 |
+
{
|
| 234 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 235 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 236 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 237 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 238 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 239 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 240 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 241 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 1.88%",
|
| 242 |
+
"options": [
|
| 243 |
+
"A) 3.50%",
|
| 244 |
+
"B) 5.12%",
|
| 245 |
+
"C) 5.93%",
|
| 246 |
+
"D) 1.88%"
|
| 247 |
+
],
|
| 248 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 249 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.50%",
|
| 250 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 251 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 252 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 253 |
+
},
|
| 254 |
+
{
|
| 255 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 256 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 257 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 258 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 259 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 260 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 261 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 262 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.43%",
|
| 263 |
+
"options": [
|
| 264 |
+
"A) 4.66%",
|
| 265 |
+
"B) 3.55%",
|
| 266 |
+
"C) 2.99%",
|
| 267 |
+
"D) 2.43%"
|
| 268 |
+
],
|
| 269 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 270 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.55%",
|
| 271 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 272 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 273 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 274 |
+
},
|
| 275 |
+
{
|
| 276 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20260301",
|
| 277 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 278 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 279 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 280 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 281 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 282 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 283 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 60.04%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 63.76%",
|
| 284 |
+
"options": [
|
| 285 |
+
"A) 65.00%",
|
| 286 |
+
"B) 60.04%",
|
| 287 |
+
"C) 61.90%",
|
| 288 |
+
"D) 63.76%"
|
| 289 |
+
],
|
| 290 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 291 |
+
"answer_raw": "61.90%",
|
| 292 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 293 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 294 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 295 |
+
},
|
| 296 |
+
{
|
| 297 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 298 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 299 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 300 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 301 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 302 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 303 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 304 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.09%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 18.82%\nD) 10.85%",
|
| 305 |
+
"options": [
|
| 306 |
+
"A) -5.09%",
|
| 307 |
+
"B) -13.07%",
|
| 308 |
+
"C) 18.82%",
|
| 309 |
+
"D) 10.85%"
|
| 310 |
+
],
|
| 311 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 312 |
+
"answer_raw": "10.85%",
|
| 313 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 314 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 315 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 316 |
+
},
|
| 317 |
+
{
|
| 318 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 319 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 320 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 321 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 322 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 323 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 324 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 325 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.33%",
|
| 326 |
+
"options": [
|
| 327 |
+
"A) 2.67%",
|
| 328 |
+
"B) 2.01%",
|
| 329 |
+
"C) 0.69%",
|
| 330 |
+
"D) 3.33%"
|
| 331 |
+
],
|
| 332 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 333 |
+
"answer_raw": "2.67%",
|
| 334 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 335 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 336 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 337 |
+
},
|
| 338 |
+
{
|
| 339 |
+
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20260301",
|
| 340 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 341 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 342 |
+
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
|
| 343 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 344 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 345 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 346 |
+
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 2.59%",
|
| 347 |
+
"options": [
|
| 348 |
+
"A) 1.55%",
|
| 349 |
+
"B) 3.64%",
|
| 350 |
+
"C) 5.73%",
|
| 351 |
+
"D) 2.59%"
|
| 352 |
+
],
|
| 353 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 354 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.64%",
|
| 355 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 356 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 357 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 358 |
+
},
|
| 359 |
+
{
|
| 360 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20260301",
|
| 361 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 362 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 363 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 364 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 365 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 366 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 367 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,459M\nD) $6,200,000M",
|
| 368 |
+
"options": [
|
| 369 |
+
"A) $2,400,000M",
|
| 370 |
+
"B) $4,300,000M",
|
| 371 |
+
"C) $5,459M",
|
| 372 |
+
"D) $6,200,000M"
|
| 373 |
+
],
|
| 374 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 375 |
+
"answer_raw": "$5,459M",
|
| 376 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 377 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 378 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 379 |
+
},
|
| 380 |
+
{
|
| 381 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20260301",
|
| 382 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 383 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 384 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 385 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 386 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 387 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 388 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 119.84\nB) 135.57\nC) 132.42\nD) 129.28",
|
| 389 |
+
"options": [
|
| 390 |
+
"A) 119.84",
|
| 391 |
+
"B) 135.57",
|
| 392 |
+
"C) 132.42",
|
| 393 |
+
"D) 129.28"
|
| 394 |
+
],
|
| 395 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 396 |
+
"answer_raw": "129.28",
|
| 397 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 398 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 399 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 400 |
+
},
|
| 401 |
+
{
|
| 402 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20260301",
|
| 403 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 404 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 405 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 406 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 407 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 408 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 409 |
+
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 158,621K\nB) 169,690K\nC) 163,048K\nD) 154,194K",
|
| 410 |
+
"options": [
|
| 411 |
+
"A) 158,621K",
|
| 412 |
+
"B) 169,690K",
|
| 413 |
+
"C) 163,048K",
|
| 414 |
+
"D) 154,194K"
|
| 415 |
+
],
|
| 416 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 417 |
+
"answer_raw": "158,621K",
|
| 418 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 419 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 420 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 421 |
+
},
|
| 422 |
+
{
|
| 423 |
+
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20260301",
|
| 424 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 425 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 426 |
+
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
|
| 427 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 428 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 429 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 430 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.66%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 6.97%\nD) 5.29%",
|
| 431 |
+
"options": [
|
| 432 |
+
"A) 8.66%",
|
| 433 |
+
"B) 3.60%",
|
| 434 |
+
"C) 6.97%",
|
| 435 |
+
"D) 5.29%"
|
| 436 |
+
],
|
| 437 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 438 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.60%",
|
| 439 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 440 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 441 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 442 |
+
},
|
| 443 |
+
{
|
| 444 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 445 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 446 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 447 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 448 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 449 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 450 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 451 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.71%\nB) 15.42%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -8.86%",
|
| 452 |
+
"options": [
|
| 453 |
+
"A) -13.71%",
|
| 454 |
+
"B) 15.42%",
|
| 455 |
+
"C) 0.85%",
|
| 456 |
+
"D) -8.86%"
|
| 457 |
+
],
|
| 458 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 459 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
|
| 460 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 461 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 462 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 463 |
+
},
|
| 464 |
+
{
|
| 465 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 466 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 467 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 468 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 469 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 470 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 471 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 472 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 6.53%\nD) 3.32%",
|
| 473 |
+
"options": [
|
| 474 |
+
"A) 4.39%",
|
| 475 |
+
"B) 0.12%",
|
| 476 |
+
"C) 6.53%",
|
| 477 |
+
"D) 3.32%"
|
| 478 |
+
],
|
| 479 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 480 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.32%",
|
| 481 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 482 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 483 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 484 |
+
},
|
| 485 |
+
{
|
| 486 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20260301",
|
| 487 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 488 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 489 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 490 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 491 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 492 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 493 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,686B\nB) $21,804B\nC) $23,274B\nD) $24,156B",
|
| 494 |
+
"options": [
|
| 495 |
+
"A) $22,686B",
|
| 496 |
+
"B) $21,804B",
|
| 497 |
+
"C) $23,274B",
|
| 498 |
+
"D) $24,156B"
|
| 499 |
+
],
|
| 500 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 501 |
+
"answer_raw": "$22,686B",
|
| 502 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 503 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 504 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 505 |
+
},
|
| 506 |
+
{
|
| 507 |
+
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20260301",
|
| 508 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 509 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 510 |
+
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
|
| 511 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 512 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 513 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 514 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $79,268M\nB) $82,960M\nC) $85,421M\nD) $76,806M",
|
| 515 |
+
"options": [
|
| 516 |
+
"A) $79,268M",
|
| 517 |
+
"B) $82,960M",
|
| 518 |
+
"C) $85,421M",
|
| 519 |
+
"D) $76,806M"
|
| 520 |
+
],
|
| 521 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 522 |
+
"answer_raw": "$82,960M",
|
| 523 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 524 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 525 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 526 |
+
},
|
| 527 |
+
{
|
| 528 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 529 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 530 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 531 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
|
| 532 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 533 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 534 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 535 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 2.67%",
|
| 536 |
+
"options": [
|
| 537 |
+
"A) 4.81%",
|
| 538 |
+
"B) 4.28%",
|
| 539 |
+
"C) 3.20%",
|
| 540 |
+
"D) 2.67%"
|
| 541 |
+
],
|
| 542 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 543 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.20%",
|
| 544 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 545 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 546 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 547 |
+
},
|
| 548 |
+
{
|
| 549 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20260301",
|
| 550 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 551 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 552 |
+
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
|
| 553 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 554 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 555 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 556 |
+
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 352.38\nB) 361.49\nC) 325.06\nD) 334.17",
|
| 557 |
+
"options": [
|
| 558 |
+
"A) 352.38",
|
| 559 |
+
"B) 361.49",
|
| 560 |
+
"C) 325.06",
|
| 561 |
+
"D) 334.17"
|
| 562 |
+
],
|
| 563 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 564 |
+
"answer_raw": "334.17",
|
| 565 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 566 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 567 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 568 |
+
},
|
| 569 |
+
{
|
| 570 |
+
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 571 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 572 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 573 |
+
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
|
| 574 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 575 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 576 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 577 |
+
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.45%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 2.74%",
|
| 578 |
+
"options": [
|
| 579 |
+
"A) 0.15%",
|
| 580 |
+
"B) 1.45%",
|
| 581 |
+
"C) -2.44%",
|
| 582 |
+
"D) 2.74%"
|
| 583 |
+
],
|
| 584 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 585 |
+
"answer_raw": "0.15%",
|
| 586 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 587 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 588 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 589 |
+
},
|
| 590 |
+
{
|
| 591 |
+
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20260301",
|
| 592 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 593 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 594 |
+
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
|
| 595 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 596 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 597 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 598 |
+
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) -2.28pp",
|
| 599 |
+
"options": [
|
| 600 |
+
"A) +1.66pp",
|
| 601 |
+
"B) -0.70pp",
|
| 602 |
+
"C) +0.88pp",
|
| 603 |
+
"D) -2.28pp"
|
| 604 |
+
],
|
| 605 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 606 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
|
| 607 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 608 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 609 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 610 |
+
},
|
| 611 |
+
{
|
| 612 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20260301",
|
| 613 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 614 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 615 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 616 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 617 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 618 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 619 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +16.44pp\nB) +3.01pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) -23.84pp",
|
| 620 |
+
"options": [
|
| 621 |
+
"A) +16.44pp",
|
| 622 |
+
"B) +3.01pp",
|
| 623 |
+
"C) -3.70pp",
|
| 624 |
+
"D) -23.84pp"
|
| 625 |
+
],
|
| 626 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 627 |
+
"answer_raw": "-3.70pp",
|
| 628 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 629 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 630 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 631 |
+
},
|
| 632 |
+
{
|
| 633 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20260301",
|
| 634 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 635 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 636 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 637 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 638 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 639 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 640 |
+
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,142B\nB) $19,283B\nC) $21,001B\nD) $21,860B",
|
| 641 |
+
"options": [
|
| 642 |
+
"A) $20,142B",
|
| 643 |
+
"B) $19,283B",
|
| 644 |
+
"C) $21,001B",
|
| 645 |
+
"D) $21,860B"
|
| 646 |
+
],
|
| 647 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 648 |
+
"answer_raw": "$21,860B",
|
| 649 |
+
"unit": "usd_billion",
|
| 650 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 651 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 652 |
+
},
|
| 653 |
+
{
|
| 654 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 655 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 656 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 657 |
+
"indicator": "PCE",
|
| 658 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 659 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 660 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 661 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 12.56%\nC) -1.17%\nD) 1.12%",
|
| 662 |
+
"options": [
|
| 663 |
+
"A) 5.69%",
|
| 664 |
+
"B) 12.56%",
|
| 665 |
+
"C) -1.17%",
|
| 666 |
+
"D) 1.12%"
|
| 667 |
+
],
|
| 668 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 669 |
+
"answer_raw": "5.69%",
|
| 670 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 671 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 672 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 673 |
+
},
|
| 674 |
+
{
|
| 675 |
+
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20260301",
|
| 676 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 677 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 678 |
+
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
|
| 679 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 680 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 681 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 682 |
+
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.96\nB) 53.30\nC) 62.61\nD) 67.27",
|
| 683 |
+
"options": [
|
| 684 |
+
"A) 57.96",
|
| 685 |
+
"B) 53.30",
|
| 686 |
+
"C) 62.61",
|
| 687 |
+
"D) 67.27"
|
| 688 |
+
],
|
| 689 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 690 |
+
"answer_raw": "53.30",
|
| 691 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 692 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 693 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 694 |
+
},
|
| 695 |
+
{
|
| 696 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 697 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 698 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 699 |
+
"indicator": "PPIACO",
|
| 700 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 701 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 702 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 703 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 21.37%\nC) 6.92%\nD) -7.52%",
|
| 704 |
+
"options": [
|
| 705 |
+
"A) 2.11%",
|
| 706 |
+
"B) 21.37%",
|
| 707 |
+
"C) 6.92%",
|
| 708 |
+
"D) -7.52%"
|
| 709 |
+
],
|
| 710 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 711 |
+
"answer_raw": "6.92%",
|
| 712 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 713 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 714 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 715 |
+
},
|
| 716 |
+
{
|
| 717 |
+
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20260301",
|
| 718 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 719 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 720 |
+
"indicator": "DGORDER",
|
| 721 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 722 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 723 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 724 |
+
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $309,526M\nB) $337,676M\nC) $300,142M\nD) $318,909M",
|
| 725 |
+
"options": [
|
| 726 |
+
"A) $309,526M",
|
| 727 |
+
"B) $337,676M",
|
| 728 |
+
"C) $300,142M",
|
| 729 |
+
"D) $318,909M"
|
| 730 |
+
],
|
| 731 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 732 |
+
"answer_raw": "$318,909M",
|
| 733 |
+
"unit": "usd_million",
|
| 734 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 735 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 736 |
+
},
|
| 737 |
+
{
|
| 738 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 739 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 740 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 741 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 742 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 743 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 744 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 745 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.97%\nB) 6.05%\nC) -28.99%\nD) -0.96%",
|
| 746 |
+
"options": [
|
| 747 |
+
"A) -7.97%",
|
| 748 |
+
"B) 6.05%",
|
| 749 |
+
"C) -28.99%",
|
| 750 |
+
"D) -0.96%"
|
| 751 |
+
],
|
| 752 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 753 |
+
"answer_raw": "-7.97%",
|
| 754 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 755 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 756 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 757 |
+
},
|
| 758 |
+
{
|
| 759 |
+
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20260301",
|
| 760 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 761 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 762 |
+
"indicator": "PERMIT",
|
| 763 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 764 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 765 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 766 |
+
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,211K\nB) 1,363K\nC) 1,515K\nD) 1,439K",
|
| 767 |
+
"options": [
|
| 768 |
+
"A) 1,211K",
|
| 769 |
+
"B) 1,363K",
|
| 770 |
+
"C) 1,515K",
|
| 771 |
+
"D) 1,439K"
|
| 772 |
+
],
|
| 773 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 774 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,363K",
|
| 775 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 776 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 777 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 778 |
+
},
|
| 779 |
+
{
|
| 780 |
+
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20260301",
|
| 781 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 782 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 783 |
+
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
|
| 784 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 785 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 786 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 787 |
+
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 348.25\nB) 357.23\nC) 330.29\nD) 303.36",
|
| 788 |
+
"options": [
|
| 789 |
+
"A) 348.25",
|
| 790 |
+
"B) 357.23",
|
| 791 |
+
"C) 330.29",
|
| 792 |
+
"D) 303.36"
|
| 793 |
+
],
|
| 794 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 795 |
+
"answer_raw": "330.29",
|
| 796 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 797 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 798 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 799 |
+
},
|
| 800 |
+
{
|
| 801 |
+
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20260301",
|
| 802 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 803 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 804 |
+
"indicator": "AHETPI",
|
| 805 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 806 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 807 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 808 |
+
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $35.03/hr\nB) $33.09/hr\nC) $29.21/hr\nD) $32.12/hr",
|
| 809 |
+
"options": [
|
| 810 |
+
"A) $35.03/hr",
|
| 811 |
+
"B) $33.09/hr",
|
| 812 |
+
"C) $29.21/hr",
|
| 813 |
+
"D) $32.12/hr"
|
| 814 |
+
],
|
| 815 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 816 |
+
"answer_raw": "$32.12/hr",
|
| 817 |
+
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
|
| 818 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 819 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 820 |
+
},
|
| 821 |
+
{
|
| 822 |
+
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20260301",
|
| 823 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 824 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 825 |
+
"indicator": "CIVPART",
|
| 826 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 827 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 828 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 829 |
+
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -1.34pp\nD) -0.11pp",
|
| 830 |
+
"options": [
|
| 831 |
+
"A) -0.60pp",
|
| 832 |
+
"B) +0.14pp",
|
| 833 |
+
"C) -1.34pp",
|
| 834 |
+
"D) -0.11pp"
|
| 835 |
+
],
|
| 836 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 837 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
|
| 838 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 839 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 840 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 841 |
+
},
|
| 842 |
+
{
|
| 843 |
+
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20260301",
|
| 844 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 845 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 846 |
+
"indicator": "UNRATE",
|
| 847 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 848 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 849 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 850 |
+
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.91pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +3.12pp\nD) +2.11pp",
|
| 851 |
+
"options": [
|
| 852 |
+
"A) -1.91pp",
|
| 853 |
+
"B) +0.10pp",
|
| 854 |
+
"C) +3.12pp",
|
| 855 |
+
"D) +2.11pp"
|
| 856 |
+
],
|
| 857 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 858 |
+
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
|
| 859 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 860 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 861 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 862 |
+
},
|
| 863 |
+
{
|
| 864 |
+
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20260301",
|
| 865 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 866 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 867 |
+
"indicator": "HOUST",
|
| 868 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 869 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 870 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 871 |
+
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,433K\nB) 1,709K\nC) 1,502K\nD) 1,571K",
|
| 872 |
+
"options": [
|
| 873 |
+
"A) 1,433K",
|
| 874 |
+
"B) 1,709K",
|
| 875 |
+
"C) 1,502K",
|
| 876 |
+
"D) 1,571K"
|
| 877 |
+
],
|
| 878 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 879 |
+
"answer_raw": "1,502K",
|
| 880 |
+
"unit": "thousand_units",
|
| 881 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 882 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 883 |
+
},
|
| 884 |
+
{
|
| 885 |
+
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 886 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 887 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 888 |
+
"indicator": "RSAFS",
|
| 889 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 890 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 891 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 892 |
+
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 16.60%\nC) 12.45%\nD) 4.15%",
|
| 893 |
+
"options": [
|
| 894 |
+
"A) 0.00%",
|
| 895 |
+
"B) 16.60%",
|
| 896 |
+
"C) 12.45%",
|
| 897 |
+
"D) 4.15%"
|
| 898 |
+
],
|
| 899 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 900 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.15%",
|
| 901 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 902 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 903 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 904 |
+
},
|
| 905 |
+
{
|
| 906 |
+
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20260301",
|
| 907 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 908 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 909 |
+
"indicator": "TCU",
|
| 910 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pp",
|
| 911 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 912 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 913 |
+
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) +4.07pp\nC) +2.56pp\nD) -3.48pp",
|
| 914 |
+
"options": [
|
| 915 |
+
"A) -0.46pp",
|
| 916 |
+
"B) +4.07pp",
|
| 917 |
+
"C) +2.56pp",
|
| 918 |
+
"D) -3.48pp"
|
| 919 |
+
],
|
| 920 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 921 |
+
"answer_raw": "-0.46pp",
|
| 922 |
+
"unit": "pp",
|
| 923 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 924 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 925 |
+
},
|
| 926 |
+
{
|
| 927 |
+
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 928 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 929 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 930 |
+
"indicator": "M2SL",
|
| 931 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 932 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 933 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 934 |
+
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.39%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 7.98%",
|
| 935 |
+
"options": [
|
| 936 |
+
"A) 11.39%",
|
| 937 |
+
"B) 4.57%",
|
| 938 |
+
"C) 1.17%",
|
| 939 |
+
"D) 7.98%"
|
| 940 |
+
],
|
| 941 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 942 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.57%",
|
| 943 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 944 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 945 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 946 |
+
},
|
| 947 |
+
{
|
| 948 |
+
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 949 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 950 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 951 |
+
"indicator": "DSPI",
|
| 952 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 953 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 954 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 955 |
+
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.23%\nB) -4.33%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 9.47%",
|
| 956 |
+
"options": [
|
| 957 |
+
"A) 12.23%",
|
| 958 |
+
"B) -4.33%",
|
| 959 |
+
"C) 3.95%",
|
| 960 |
+
"D) 9.47%"
|
| 961 |
+
],
|
| 962 |
+
"answer_letter": "C",
|
| 963 |
+
"answer_raw": "3.95%",
|
| 964 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 965 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 966 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 967 |
+
},
|
| 968 |
+
{
|
| 969 |
+
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 970 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 971 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 972 |
+
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
|
| 973 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 974 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 975 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 976 |
+
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 4.27%",
|
| 977 |
+
"options": [
|
| 978 |
+
"A) 5.95%",
|
| 979 |
+
"B) 7.63%",
|
| 980 |
+
"C) 2.58%",
|
| 981 |
+
"D) 4.27%"
|
| 982 |
+
],
|
| 983 |
+
"answer_letter": "D",
|
| 984 |
+
"answer_raw": "4.27%",
|
| 985 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 986 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 987 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 988 |
+
},
|
| 989 |
+
{
|
| 990 |
+
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20260301",
|
| 991 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 992 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 993 |
+
"indicator": "PCEPI",
|
| 994 |
+
"transform": "level",
|
| 995 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 996 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 997 |
+
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.34\nB) 139.85\nC) 124.01\nD) 133.51",
|
| 998 |
+
"options": [
|
| 999 |
+
"A) 130.34",
|
| 1000 |
+
"B) 139.85",
|
| 1001 |
+
"C) 124.01",
|
| 1002 |
+
"D) 133.51"
|
| 1003 |
+
],
|
| 1004 |
+
"answer_letter": "A",
|
| 1005 |
+
"answer_raw": "130.34",
|
| 1006 |
+
"unit": "index",
|
| 1007 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1008 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 1009 |
+
},
|
| 1010 |
+
{
|
| 1011 |
+
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20260301",
|
| 1012 |
+
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
|
| 1013 |
+
"subtype": "recurrent",
|
| 1014 |
+
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
|
| 1015 |
+
"transform": "yoy_pct",
|
| 1016 |
+
"target_period": "March 2026",
|
| 1017 |
+
"info_cutoff": "2026-01-29",
|
| 1018 |
+
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.71%\nB) -5.48%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 2.14%",
|
| 1019 |
+
"options": [
|
| 1020 |
+
"A) -20.71%",
|
| 1021 |
+
"B) -5.48%",
|
| 1022 |
+
"C) 9.76%",
|
| 1023 |
+
"D) 2.14%"
|
| 1024 |
+
],
|
| 1025 |
+
"answer_letter": "B",
|
| 1026 |
+
"answer_raw": "-5.48%",
|
| 1027 |
+
"unit": "%",
|
| 1028 |
+
"condition": "forecast",
|
| 1029 |
+
"year": 2026
|
| 1030 |
+
}
|
| 1031 |
+
]
|
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mcq_all.parquet
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@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
|
|
|
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|
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+
version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
|
| 2 |
+
oid sha256:8a5fdfc123fa8b2d7e46cdc0f3b46177d042bb1395730eee1070258153436a36
|
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size 479358
|