[ { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%", "options": [ "A) 8.08%", "B) 0.46%", "C) 5.54%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50", "options": [ "A) 75.71", "B) 69.83", "C) 71.30", "D) 73.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "73.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 5.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008", "options": [ "A) 278,005", "B) 294,000", "C) 309,995", "D) 270,008" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "294,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%", "options": [ "A) 8.35%", "B) 9.23%", "C) 8.88%", "D) 9.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80", "options": [ "A) 137.34", "B) 126.88", "C) 133.42", "D) 130.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "130.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25", "options": [ "A) 106.80", "B) 112.72", "C) 110.35", "D) 103.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "106.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02", "options": [ "A) 76.48", "B) 74.25", "C) 79.45", "D) 72.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp", "options": [ "A) -0.34pp", "B) -0.02pp", "C) -0.10pp", "D) -0.18pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%", "options": [ "A) 11.31%", "B) 10.20%", "C) 10.76%", "D) 9.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.26%", "B) 7.18%", "C) 5.34%", "D) 6.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%", "options": [ "A) -4.13%", "B) 1.23%", "C) -0.56%", "D) 6.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%", "options": [ "A) 2.60%", "B) 3.40%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 4.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57", "options": [ "A) 76.06", "B) 72.33", "C) 78.30", "D) 74.57" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "74.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39", "options": [ "A) 92.15", "B) 96.76", "C) 94.91", "D) 89.39" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M", "options": [ "A) $212,511M", "B) $199,947M", "C) $187,383M", "D) $195,759M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$199,947M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45", "options": [ "A) 104.84", "B) 109.36", "C) 107.10", "D) 101.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": [ "A) +0.29pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.19pp", "D) +0.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%", "options": [ "A) 5.84%", "B) 16.42%", "C) 12.89%", "D) -1.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%", "options": [ "A) 6.12%", "B) 6.44%", "C) 6.76%", "D) 7.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B", "options": [ "A) $5,055B", "B) $4,722B", "C) $4,855B", "D) $5,188B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,855B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.41/hr", "B) $13.71/hr", "C) $14.70/hr", "D) $14.13/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14.13/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%", "options": [ "A) 66.90%", "B) 64.89%", "C) 62.89%", "D) 68.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "66.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl", "options": [ "A) $38.68/bbl", "B) $29.77/bbl", "C) $35.71/bbl", "D) $23.83/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp", "options": [ "A) +0.62pp", "B) +0.23pp", "C) +0.04pp", "D) -0.34pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%", "options": [ "A) 6.65%", "B) 6.46%", "C) 6.85%", "D) 6.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40", "options": [ "A) 180.00", "B) 174.60", "C) 167.40", "D) 185.40" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "180.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B", "options": [ "A) $7,032B", "B) $7,250B", "C) $7,467B", "D) $7,612B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,250B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M", "options": [ "A) $293,541M", "B) $256,712M", "C) $270,523M", "D) $279,730M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$270,523M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M", "options": [ "A) $183,846M", "B) $200,414M", "C) $205,937M", "D) $192,130M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$192,130M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%", "options": [ "A) 64.60%", "B) 66.54%", "C) 63.31%", "D) 61.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B", "options": [ "A) $4,806B", "B) $4,712B", "C) $4,947B", "D) $4,617B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,712B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177", "options": [ "A) 116.5666", "B) 109.8689", "C) 106.5200", "D) 113.2177" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.5200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M", "options": [ "A) $-35,757M", "B) $-25,357M", "C) $-27,090M", "D) $-30,557M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-30,557M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%", "options": [ "A) 5.84%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 6.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92", "options": [ "A) 177.07", "B) 173.60", "C) 168.39", "D) 164.92" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "173.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M", "options": [ "A) $-30,888M", "B) $-25,998M", "C) $-33,333M", "D) $-28,443M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-33,333M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%", "options": [ "A) 2.90%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 2.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19", "options": [ "A) 92.98", "B) 88.33", "C) 95.77", "D) 90.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B", "options": [ "A) $7,129B", "B) $6,889B", "C) $6,289B", "D) $6,529B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,889B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%", "options": [ "A) 27.25%", "B) 63.11%", "C) 51.16%", "D) 75.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "51.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%", "options": [ "A) 7.45%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 4.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%", "options": [ "A) 67.30%", "B) 63.93%", "C) 69.32%", "D) 65.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "67.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%", "options": [ "A) 6.14%", "B) 5.85%", "C) 6.28%", "D) 5.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": [ "A) -0.03pp", "B) -0.15pp", "C) -0.39pp", "D) -0.27pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.39pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%", "options": [ "A) 0.94%", "B) -1.98%", "C) -10.75%", "D) -7.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%", "options": [ "A) 3.90%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.05%", "D) 4.27%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%", "options": [ "A) 7.67%", "B) 8.49%", "C) 8.22%", "D) 7.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%", "options": [ "A) 9.42%", "B) 7.40%", "C) 8.20%", "D) 8.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848", "options": [ "A) 2,041,000", "B) 1,998,576", "C) 2,168,272", "D) 2,125,848" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,041,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87", "options": [ "A) 19.28", "B) 20.68", "C) 17.89", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%", "options": [ "A) 83.85%", "B) 80.56%", "C) 82.20%", "D) 78.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M", "options": [ "A) $279,542M", "B) $286,558M", "C) $258,496M", "D) $269,019M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$269,019M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%", "options": [ "A) 3.82%", "B) 3.51%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 3.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M", "options": [ "A) $71,016M", "B) $66,733M", "C) $68,161M", "D) $63,878M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,733M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M", "options": [ "A) $60,066M", "B) $67,218M", "C) $63,642M", "D) $69,602M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$63,642M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $584M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$584M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $577M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$577M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", "options": [ "A) 5.39%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 6.11%", "D) 5.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K", "options": [ "A) 1,471K", "B) 1,435K", "C) 1,507K", "D) 1,615K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,507K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K", "options": [ "A) 1,689K", "B) 1,491K", "C) 1,547K", "D) 1,604K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,604K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87", "options": [ "A) 171.00", "B) 179.55", "C) 176.13", "D) 165.87" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "171.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp", "options": [ "A) -0.24pp", "B) -0.30pp", "C) -0.13pp", "D) -0.42pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%", "options": [ "A) 3.88%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 4.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%", "options": [ "A) 62.27%", "B) 68.05%", "C) 66.13%", "D) 64.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K", "options": [ "A) 1,570K", "B) 1,474K", "C) 1,538K", "D) 1,602K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,570K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%", "options": [ "A) 3.11%", "B) 3.97%", "C) 4.82%", "D) 3.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K", "options": [ "A) 1,600K", "B) 1,702K", "C) 1,651K", "D) 1,753K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,651K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%", "options": [ "A) 6.91%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 8.59%", "D) 6.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K", "options": [ "A) 131,604K", "B) 128,972K", "C) 135,552K", "D) 138,184K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "131,604K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%", "options": [ "A) 2.26%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 2.80%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083", "options": [ "A) 1.0462", "B) 0.8598", "C) 0.9530", "D) 1.1083" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9530", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl", "options": [ "A) $26.96/bbl", "B) $41.32/bbl", "C) $24.08/bbl", "D) $32.70/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83", "options": [ "A) 134.70", "B) 140.18", "C) 129.22", "D) 143.83" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "134.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%", "options": [ "A) 3.63%", "B) 3.46%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 2.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35", "options": [ "A) 97.59", "B) 107.93", "C) 101.47", "D) 105.35" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "101.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14", "options": [ "A) 111.31", "B) 102.96", "C) 117.57", "D) 107.14" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46", "options": [ "A) 75.20", "B) 80.47", "C) 72.95", "D) 77.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.27/hr", "B) $13.85/hr", "C) $13.16/hr", "D) $13.43/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13.85/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B", "options": [ "A) $7,751B", "B) $7,140B", "C) $7,507B", "D) $8,117B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,507B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768", "options": [ "A) 8.5251", "B) 8.0285", "C) 7.8630", "D) 8.2768" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2768", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B", "options": [ "A) $4,735B", "B) $5,107B", "C) $4,958B", "D) $4,586B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,735B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%", "options": [ "A) 16.01%", "B) 85.48%", "C) 108.64%", "D) 62.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "85.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%", "options": [ "A) 6.85%", "B) 5.52%", "C) 6.05%", "D) 5.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%", "options": [ "A) 114.63%", "B) 56.26%", "C) 134.08%", "D) 75.71%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%", "options": [ "A) 6.52%", "B) 5.53%", "C) 6.19%", "D) 7.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%", "options": [ "A) 79.78%", "B) 81.41%", "C) 77.34%", "D) 83.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93", "options": [ "A) 5,003.16", "B) 4,231.55", "C) 3,845.74", "D) 3,459.93" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,845.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30", "options": [ "A) 191.42", "B) 176.83", "C) 187.77", "D) 182.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "182.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%", "options": [ "A) 7.86%", "B) 8.42%", "C) 8.14%", "D) 8.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%", "options": [ "A) 6.57%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 5.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%", "options": [ "A) 2.19%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K", "options": [ "A) 136,307K", "B) 129,690K", "C) 138,954K", "D) 132,337K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "132,337K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B", "options": [ "A) $6,686B", "B) $6,843B", "C) $7,000B", "D) $6,530B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,686B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp", "options": [ "A) -1.70pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +3.51pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,956.03", "B) 5,606.43", "C) 4,907.24", "D) 5,256.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,907.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,956.03", "B) 5,606.43", "C) 4,907.24", "D) 5,256.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,907.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,914.24", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 5,662.22", "D) 4,963.03" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,914.24", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 5,662.22", "D) 4,963.03" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,963.03", "B) 4,613.43", "C) 6,011.82", "D) 3,914.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,963.03", "B) 4,613.43", "C) 6,011.82", "D) 3,914.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,613.43", "B) 4,963.03", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 6,011.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,613.43", "B) 4,963.03", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 6,011.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,662.22", "B) 3,914.24", "C) 4,963.03", "D) 4,613.43" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,662.22", "B) 3,914.24", "C) 4,963.03", "D) 4,613.43" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,662.22", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 4,963.03" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,662.22", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 4,963.03" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 16.62", "C) 24.92", "D) 23.54" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 16.62", "C) 24.92", "D) 23.54" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 23.54", "B) 20.77", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 23.54", "B) 20.77", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 23.54", "B) 18.00", "C) 20.77", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 23.54", "B) 18.00", "C) 20.77", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 16.62", "B) 22.15", "C) 23.54", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 16.62", "B) 22.15", "C) 23.54", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 23.54", "C) 24.92", "D) 19.39" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 23.54", "C) 24.92", "D) 19.39" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 13.76", "B) 16.53", "C) 15.15", "D) 12.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 13.76", "B) 16.53", "C) 15.15", "D) 12.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 } ]