[ { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $37.70/bbl\nB) $21.75/bbl\nC) $28.13/bbl\nD) $31.32/bbl", "options": [ "A) $37.70/bbl", "B) $21.75/bbl", "C) $28.13/bbl", "D) $31.32/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.44%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.22%", "options": [ "A) 1.44%", "B) 1.14%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 1.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 3.78%", "options": [ "A) 4.74%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 4.10%", "D) 3.78%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 7.18%", "options": [ "A) 7.88%", "B) 7.71%", "C) 8.23%", "D) 7.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 71.45\nB) 78.29\nC) 76.01\nD) 73.73", "options": [ "A) 71.45", "B) 78.29", "C) 76.01", "D) 73.73" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 190.24\nB) 175.46\nC) 179.16\nD) 184.70", "options": [ "A) 190.24", "B) 175.46", "C) 179.16", "D) 184.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "184.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.80\nB) 92.41\nC) 71.19\nD) 85.34", "options": [ "A) 81.80", "B) 92.41", "C) 71.19", "D) 85.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "81.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,836,648\nB) 2,939,000\nC) 2,734,295\nD) 3,143,705", "options": [ "A) 2,836,648", "B) 2,939,000", "C) 2,734,295", "D) 3,143,705" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,939,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 126,113K\nB) 136,734K\nC) 132,751K\nD) 130,096K", "options": [ "A) 126,113K", "B) 136,734K", "C) 132,751K", "D) 130,096K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "132,751K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.00pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.30pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,562K\nB) 1,628K\nC) 1,595K\nD) 1,661K", "options": [ "A) 1,562K", "B) 1,628K", "C) 1,595K", "D) 1,661K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,562K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 72.80\nB) 75.06\nC) 78.81\nD) 77.31", "options": [ "A) 72.80", "B) 75.06", "C) 78.81", "D) 77.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.01%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 4.76%", "options": [ "A) 5.01%", "B) 5.53%", "C) 5.27%", "D) 4.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,258M\nB) $54,034M\nC) $59,517M\nD) $58,146M", "options": [ "A) $62,258M", "B) $54,034M", "C) $59,517M", "D) $58,146M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$58,146M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,355B\nB) $4,978B\nC) $5,104B\nD) $5,732B", "options": [ "A) $5,355B", "B) $4,978B", "C) $5,104B", "D) $5,732B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,355B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $173,832M\nB) $164,123M\nC) $149,560M\nD) $168,977M", "options": [ "A) $173,832M", "B) $164,123M", "C) $149,560M", "D) $168,977M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$164,123M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.86\nB) 27.76\nC) 22.81\nD) 21.16", "options": [ "A) 17.86", "B) 27.76", "C) 22.81", "D) 21.16" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.43%\nB) -2.17%\nC) 2.35%\nD) -1.04%", "options": [ "A) -4.43%", "B) -2.17%", "C) 2.35%", "D) -1.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.96pp\nB) -5.06pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) -4.51pp", "options": [ "A) -3.96pp", "B) -5.06pp", "C) -3.40pp", "D) -4.51pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.96pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $54,413M\nB) $50,735M\nC) $47,057M\nD) $52,574M", "options": [ "A) $54,413M", "B) $50,735M", "C) $47,057M", "D) $52,574M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$50,735M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.90%", "options": [ "A) 2.38%", "B) 4.28%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 3.90%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.61%", "options": [ "A) 2.44%", "B) 2.70%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.20%\nB) 62.50%\nC) 69.22%\nD) 65.18%", "options": [ "A) 67.20%", "B) 62.50%", "C) 69.22%", "D) 65.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "67.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,339B\nB) $7,007B\nC) $7,505B\nD) $6,841B", "options": [ "A) $7,339B", "B) $7,007B", "C) $7,505B", "D) $6,841B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,007B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.30%", "options": [ "A) 5.69%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 3.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.90%", "options": [ "A) 5.88%", "B) 6.22%", "C) 7.24%", "D) 6.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.62/hr\nB) $14.00/hr\nC) $15.24/hr\nD) $13.58/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.62/hr", "B) $14.00/hr", "C) $15.24/hr", "D) $13.58/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14.62/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.83%", "options": [ "A) 2.39%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) +0.72pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.29pp", "options": [ "A) +1.67pp", "B) +0.72pp", "C) +1.10pp", "D) +1.29pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $647M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $647M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.28pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) -0.07pp", "options": [ "A) -0.70pp", "B) -0.28pp", "C) -0.91pp", "D) -0.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 143.11\nB) 135.90\nC) 123.89\nD) 131.09", "options": [ "A) 143.11", "B) 135.90", "C) 123.89", "D) 131.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "135.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.43pp\nB) -6.09pp\nC) -15.60pp\nD) -9.26pp", "options": [ "A) -12.43pp", "B) -6.09pp", "C) -15.60pp", "D) -9.26pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-15.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 120.87\nB) 138.27\nC) 125.84\nD) 133.30", "options": [ "A) 120.87", "B) 138.27", "C) 125.84", "D) 133.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "133.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.12\nB) 92.96\nC) 88.36\nD) 94.80", "options": [ "A) 91.12", "B) 92.96", "C) 88.36", "D) 94.80" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.2770\nC) 8.5253\nD) 7.8631", "options": [ "A) 8.1115", "B) 8.2770", "C) 8.5253", "D) 7.8631" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.2770", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 5.77%", "options": [ "A) 5.39%", "B) 6.93%", "C) 6.16%", "D) 5.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) -1.23%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 0.48%", "options": [ "A) 3.90%", "B) -1.23%", "C) 5.61%", "D) 0.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.64%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -17.51%\nD) -2.72%", "options": [ "A) -8.64%", "B) -5.68%", "C) -17.51%", "D) -2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.99%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 3.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.79/bbl\nB) $31.66/bbl\nC) $28.52/bbl\nD) $19.11/bbl", "options": [ "A) $34.79/bbl", "B) $31.66/bbl", "C) $28.52/bbl", "D) $19.11/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -26.72%\nB) -31.13%\nC) -13.51%\nD) -17.92%", "options": [ "A) -26.72%", "B) -31.13%", "C) -13.51%", "D) -17.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-17.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $269,820M\nB) $255,003M\nC) $294,515M\nD) $279,698M", "options": [ "A) $269,820M", "B) $255,003M", "C) $294,515M", "D) $279,698M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$269,820M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.55%", "options": [ "A) 3.13%", "B) 2.98%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.55%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,460B\nB) $8,002B\nC) $7,696B\nD) $7,238B", "options": [ "A) $8,460B", "B) $8,002B", "C) $7,696B", "D) $7,238B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,696B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 171.65\nB) 182.40\nC) 186.70\nD) 178.10", "options": [ "A) 171.65", "B) 182.40", "C) 186.70", "D) 178.10" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "178.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.26%", "options": [ "A) 1.72%", "B) 0.99%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 74.92%\nC) 77.06%\nD) 72.79%", "options": [ "A) 69.59%", "B) 74.92%", "C) 77.06%", "D) 72.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 3.92%", "options": [ "A) 3.82%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 3.92%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.99%", "B) 1.75%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,590K\nB) 1,626K\nC) 1,663K\nD) 1,517K", "options": [ "A) 1,590K", "B) 1,626K", "C) 1,663K", "D) 1,517K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,590K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.37%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 11.90%\nD) 9.22%", "options": [ "A) 11.37%", "B) 10.30%", "C) 11.90%", "D) 9.22%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 1.09%", "options": [ "A) 1.53%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.31%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.01%", "options": [ "A) 3.63%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 4.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8628\nB) 0.7780\nC) 1.0748\nD) 0.9900", "options": [ "A) 0.8628", "B) 0.7780", "C) 1.0748", "D) 0.9900" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.8628", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +1.26pp\nC) +1.84pp\nD) +1.07pp", "options": [ "A) +1.65pp", "B) +1.26pp", "C) +1.84pp", "D) +1.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.26pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,417.30\nB) 2,806.16\nC) 2,028.43\nD) 1,250.70", "options": [ "A) 2,417.30", "B) 2,806.16", "C) 2,028.43", "D) 1,250.70" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,028.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.12%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 64.80%\nD) 66.80%", "options": [ "A) 62.12%", "B) 68.80%", "C) 64.80%", "D) 66.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 122.9700\nB) 129.5892\nC) 116.3508\nD) 119.6604", "options": [ "A) 122.9700", "B) 129.5892", "C) 116.3508", "D) 119.6604" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "122.9700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.11\nB) 115.47\nC) 108.75\nD) 122.18", "options": [ "A) 112.11", "B) 115.47", "C) 108.75", "D) 122.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.23%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.88%", "options": [ "A) 5.23%", "B) 5.12%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.08%\nB) 62.37%\nC) 66.23%\nD) 64.30%", "options": [ "A) 61.08%", "B) 62.37%", "C) 66.23%", "D) 64.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -5.92%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 4.18%", "options": [ "A) -0.87%", "B) -5.92%", "C) 1.65%", "D) 4.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,490B\nB) $7,863B\nC) $8,050B\nD) $8,236B", "options": [ "A) $7,490B", "B) $7,863B", "C) $8,050B", "D) $8,236B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,863B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.08pp\nB) -7.68pp\nC) -6.48pp\nD) -8.88pp", "options": [ "A) -10.08pp", "B) -7.68pp", "C) -6.48pp", "D) -8.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-6.48pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $599M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $599M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$599M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 4.34%\nD) -4.98%", "options": [ "A) -0.32%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 4.34%", "D) -4.98%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.90pp\nB) -25.00pp\nC) -19.95pp\nD) -9.85pp", "options": [ "A) -14.90pp", "B) -25.00pp", "C) -19.95pp", "D) -9.85pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-25.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 9.22%\nC) 8.80%\nD) 9.01%", "options": [ "A) 8.17%", "B) 9.22%", "C) 8.80%", "D) 9.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.00%\nB) 3.22%\nC) -3.30%\nD) -0.69%", "options": [ "A) -2.00%", "B) 3.22%", "C) -3.30%", "D) -0.69%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 6.77%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 0.53%", "options": [ "A) 3.65%", "B) 6.77%", "C) -2.59%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) -47.26%\nC) 28.66%\nD) -21.95%", "options": [ "A) 3.36%", "B) -47.26%", "C) 28.66%", "D) -21.95%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-47.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 6.13%", "options": [ "A) 3.74%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 6.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 6.62%", "options": [ "A) 7.14%", "B) 6.36%", "C) 6.88%", "D) 6.62%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 192.71\nB) 187.10\nC) 181.49\nD) 200.20", "options": [ "A) 192.71", "B) 187.10", "C) 181.49", "D) 200.20" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "187.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.41%\nB) 45.20%\nC) -8.10%\nD) -34.75%", "options": [ "A) -61.41%", "B) 45.20%", "C) -8.10%", "D) -34.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-8.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 8.00%\nD) 7.77%", "options": [ "A) 8.22%", "B) 7.10%", "C) 8.00%", "D) 7.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -1.86%\nD) -0.91%", "options": [ "A) -0.43%", "B) 0.99%", "C) -1.86%", "D) -0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 5.85%", "options": [ "A) 3.65%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 6.40%", "D) 5.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 170.82\nB) 167.29\nC) 176.10\nD) 181.38", "options": [ "A) 170.82", "B) 167.29", "C) 176.10", "D) 181.38" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "176.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.03pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.52pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": [ "A) +0.03pp", "B) -0.19pp", "C) -0.52pp", "D) -0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,659K\nB) 1,723K\nC) 1,562K\nD) 1,820K", "options": [ "A) 1,659K", "B) 1,723K", "C) 1,562K", "D) 1,820K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,659K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.64%", "options": [ "A) 1.33%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 0.64%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.22pp", "options": [ "A) +0.14pp", "B) +0.38pp", "C) +0.30pp", "D) +0.22pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,707B\nB) $7,287B\nC) $6,852B\nD) $6,997B", "options": [ "A) $6,707B", "B) $7,287B", "C) $6,852B", "D) $6,997B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,997B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.56%", "options": [ "A) 3.47%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,321B\nB) $4,950B\nC) $5,074B\nD) $5,198B", "options": [ "A) $5,321B", "B) $4,950B", "C) $5,074B", "D) $5,198B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,950B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.81%\nD) -2.80%", "options": [ "A) 8.22%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 3.81%", "D) -2.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.72\nB) 78.99\nC) 76.73\nD) 75.23", "options": [ "A) 73.72", "B) 78.99", "C) 76.73", "D) 75.23" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -13.81%\nC) -8.72%\nD) -18.89%", "options": [ "A) -23.97%", "B) -13.81%", "C) -8.72%", "D) -18.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-23.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.41%\nB) 63.50%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.23%", "options": [ "A) 65.41%", "B) 63.50%", "C) 60.33%", "D) 62.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "63.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.41\nB) 84.31\nC) 88.75\nD) 86.09", "options": [ "A) 91.41", "B) 84.31", "C) 88.75", "D) 86.09" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "88.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.72%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.20%\nD) -4.55%", "options": [ "A) -7.72%", "B) -1.38%", "C) 0.20%", "D) -4.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,217M\nB) $-27,593M\nC) $-32,841M\nD) $-38,089M", "options": [ "A) $-30,217M", "B) $-27,593M", "C) $-32,841M", "D) $-38,089M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-30,217M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 5.85%", "options": [ "A) 6.01%", "B) 5.68%", "C) 5.51%", "D) 5.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.35%\nB) -35.02%\nC) -12.84%\nD) -79.39%", "options": [ "A) 9.35%", "B) -35.02%", "C) -12.84%", "D) -79.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $284,534M\nB) $252,770M\nC) $295,122M\nD) $268,652M", "options": [ "A) $284,534M", "B) $252,770M", "C) $295,122M", "D) $268,652M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$268,652M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.12%\nB) 0.41%\nC) -0.36%\nD) -1.89%", "options": [ "A) -1.12%", "B) 0.41%", "C) -0.36%", "D) -1.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,329B\nB) $5,075B\nC) $4,820B\nD) $5,499B", "options": [ "A) $5,329B", "B) $5,075B", "C) $4,820B", "D) $5,499B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,075B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) -1.94%\nC) 0.30%\nD) 3.65%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) -1.94%", "C) 0.30%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 14.47%\nD) 10.86%", "options": [ "A) 9.06%", "B) 5.45%", "C) 14.47%", "D) 10.86%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.26%", "options": [ "A) 2.59%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 2.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $-29,961M\nB) $-32,812M\nC) $-38,514M\nD) $-24,259M", "options": [ "A) $-29,961M", "B) $-32,812M", "C) $-38,514M", "D) $-24,259M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-32,812M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.90%\nB) 82.16%\nC) 78.25%\nD) 80.59%", "options": [ "A) 75.90%", "B) 82.16%", "C) 78.25%", "D) 80.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.03\nB) 95.14\nC) 82.39\nD) 91.50", "options": [ "A) 86.03", "B) 95.14", "C) 82.39", "D) 91.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "91.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 3.97%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 5.21%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 3.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,507K\nB) 1,565K\nC) 1,652K\nD) 1,449K", "options": [ "A) 1,507K", "B) 1,565K", "C) 1,652K", "D) 1,449K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,565K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 338,345\nB) 412,552\nC) 394,000\nD) 431,103", "options": [ "A) 338,345", "B) 412,552", "C) 394,000", "D) 431,103" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "394,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.63%", "options": [ "A) 2.37%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 2.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.95%", "options": [ "A) 5.31%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 4.60%", "D) 4.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.74/hr\nB) $14.42/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $14.10/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.74/hr", "B) $14.42/hr", "C) $13.61/hr", "D) $14.10/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14.42/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,716K\nB) 127,810K\nC) 131,763K\nD) 122,540K", "options": [ "A) 135,716K", "B) 127,810K", "C) 131,763K", "D) 122,540K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131,763K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.30%", "options": [ "A) 4.14%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.39\nB) 113.03\nC) 107.76\nD) 115.67", "options": [ "A) 110.39", "B) 113.03", "C) 107.76", "D) 115.67" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $194,545M\nB) $182,209M\nC) $169,873M\nD) $186,321M", "options": [ "A) $194,545M", "B) $182,209M", "C) $169,873M", "D) $186,321M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$182,209M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.64\nB) 79.92\nC) 76.12\nD) 73.83", "options": [ "A) 77.64", "B) 79.92", "C) 76.12", "D) 73.83" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.06pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.18pp", "B) -0.26pp", "C) +0.06pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) 6.32%\nC) -1.34%\nD) 2.49%", "options": [ "A) -5.16%", "B) 6.32%", "C) -1.34%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 1,087.74", "B) 1,527.80", "C) 2,847.97", "D) 2,407.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,527.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 1,087.74", "B) 1,527.80", "C) 2,847.97", "D) 2,407.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,527.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 1,423.19" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 1,423.19" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 1,423.19", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 2,303.30", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 1,423.19", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 2,303.30", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 1,423.19", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 2,743.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,303.30", "B) 1,423.19", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 2,743.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,743.36", "B) 2,303.30", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 2,743.36", "B) 2,303.30", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 42.16", "B) 33.93", "C) 35.58", "D) 38.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 42.16", "B) 33.93", "C) 35.58", "D) 38.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 31.93", "B) 36.87", "C) 28.64", "D) 33.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 31.93", "B) 36.87", "C) 28.64", "D) 33.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 29.53", "B) 31.18", "C) 36.12", "D) 34.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.18", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 29.53", "B) 31.18", "C) 36.12", "D) 34.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.18", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 32.38", "B) 22.50", "C) 27.44", "D) 25.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 32.38", "B) 22.50", "C) 27.44", "D) 25.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 24.67", "B) 21.37", "C) 27.96", "D) 23.02" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 24.67", "B) 21.37", "C) 27.96", "D) 23.02" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 19.27", "B) 17.62", "C) 15.98", "D) 14.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 19.27", "B) 17.62", "C) 15.98", "D) 14.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.19%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.19%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.48%", "B) 5.55%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.48%", "B) 5.55%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 5.28%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 5.28%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.75%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 4.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.75%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 4.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 6.00%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.47%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 6.00%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.47%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.80%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 4.80%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $32.33/bbl", "B) $24.52/bbl", "C) $29.20/bbl", "D) $27.64/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $32.33/bbl", "B) $24.52/bbl", "C) $29.20/bbl", "D) $27.64/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $21.46/bbl", "B) $24.58/bbl", "C) $23.02/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $21.46/bbl", "B) $24.58/bbl", "C) $23.02/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $24.58/bbl", "B) $21.46/bbl", "C) $19.90/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $24.58/bbl", "B) $21.46/bbl", "C) $19.90/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $16.81/bbl", "B) $24.62/bbl", "C) $19.93/bbl", "D) $18.37/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $16.81/bbl", "B) $24.62/bbl", "C) $19.93/bbl", "D) $18.37/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $14.38/bbl", "B) $12.81/bbl", "C) $19.06/bbl", "D) $17.50/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $14.38/bbl", "B) $12.81/bbl", "C) $19.06/bbl", "D) $17.50/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $17.50/bbl", "B) $22.19/bbl", "C) $15.94/bbl", "D) $19.06/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) $17.50/bbl", "B) $22.19/bbl", "C) $15.94/bbl", "D) $19.06/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 113.7169", "B) 117.3200", "C) 110.1137", "D) 106.5106" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.3200", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 113.7169", "B) 117.3200", "C) 110.1137", "D) 106.5106" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.3200", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 108.6837", "B) 126.6994", "C) 115.8900", "D) 112.2869" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 108.6837", "B) 126.6994", "C) 115.8900", "D) 112.2869" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 112.2869", "B) 126.6994", "C) 108.6837", "D) 115.8900" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 112.2869", "B) 126.6994", "C) 108.6837", "D) 115.8900" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 115.8900", "B) 123.0963", "C) 108.6837", "D) 119.4931" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 115.8900", "B) 123.0963", "C) 108.6837", "D) 119.4931" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 123.0963", "B) 115.8900", "C) 126.6994", "D) 105.0806" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 123.0963", "B) 115.8900", "C) 126.6994", "D) 105.0806" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 105.0806", "B) 112.2869", "C) 115.8900", "D) 108.6837" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": [ "A) 105.0806", "B) 112.2869", "C) 115.8900", "D) 108.6837" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001 } ]