[ { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 123,977K\nB) 133,112K\nC) 126,587K\nD) 130,502K", "options": [ "A) 123,977K", "B) 133,112K", "C) 126,587K", "D) 130,502K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "130,502K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 0.94%", "B) 1.52%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.44pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +0.36pp", "options": [ "A) +2.44pp", "B) +1.40pp", "C) +0.71pp", "D) +0.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.11pp\nC) -1.50pp\nD) -1.20pp", "options": [ "A) -2.41pp", "B) -2.11pp", "C) -1.50pp", "D) -1.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.45%", "options": [ "A) 1.76%", "B) 1.14%", "C) 1.66%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $659M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $659M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$659M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.49\nB) 75.76\nC) 78.04\nD) 71.22", "options": [ "A) 73.49", "B) 75.76", "C) 78.04", "D) 71.22" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $155,098M\nB) $172,708M\nC) $166,838M\nD) $184,449M", "options": [ "A) $155,098M", "B) $172,708M", "C) $166,838M", "D) $184,449M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$166,838M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.34%\nD) -0.96%", "options": [ "A) -2.49%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.34%", "D) -0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 0.28%\nC) 12.24%\nD) -2.71%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 0.28%", "C) 12.24%", "D) -2.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 4.98%", "options": [ "A) 6.49%", "B) 5.74%", "C) 7.24%", "D) 4.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.35%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.4354\nB) 8.6835\nC) 8.1046\nD) 8.2700", "options": [ "A) 8.4354", "B) 8.6835", "C) 8.1046", "D) 8.2700" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.65\nB) 92.47\nC) 86.12\nD) 88.84", "options": [ "A) 90.65", "B) 92.47", "C) 86.12", "D) 88.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "90.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.11%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 2.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.44pp", "options": [ "A) -0.81pp", "B) -0.19pp", "C) -0.50pp", "D) +0.44pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $13.71/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $15.85/hr\nD) $15.05/hr", "options": [ "A) $13.71/hr", "B) $14.51/hr", "C) $15.85/hr", "D) $15.05/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.05/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.30\nB) 143.04\nC) 138.74\nD) 128.00", "options": [ "A) 132.30", "B) 143.04", "C) 138.74", "D) 128.00" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "132.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.62%\nB) 1.65%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 13.93%", "options": [ "A) -10.62%", "B) 1.65%", "C) -2.44%", "D) 13.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 133.0180\nB) 115.4820\nC) 124.2500\nD) 111.0980", "options": [ "A) 133.0180", "B) 115.4820", "C) 124.2500", "D) 111.0980" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "124.2500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 2.25%\nD) -4.49%", "options": [ "A) -2.24%", "B) 0.01%", "C) 2.25%", "D) -4.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.68%", "options": [ "A) 2.94%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.52%", "options": [ "A) 2.61%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 2.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,577K\nB) 1,777K\nC) 1,691K\nD) 1,634K", "options": [ "A) 1,577K", "B) 1,777K", "C) 1,691K", "D) 1,634K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,691K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 39.23%\nC) -55.84%\nD) -32.07%", "options": [ "A) -8.30%", "B) 39.23%", "C) -55.84%", "D) -32.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-32.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $8,823B\nC) $8,600B\nD) $7,930B", "options": [ "A) $8,154B", "B) $8,823B", "C) $8,600B", "D) $7,930B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,154B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8620\nB) 0.9448\nC) 1.1519\nD) 1.0276", "options": [ "A) 0.8620", "B) 0.9448", "C) 1.1519", "D) 1.0276" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.9448", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,679B\nB) $5,537B\nC) $5,108B\nD) $5,251B", "options": [ "A) $4,679B", "B) $5,537B", "C) $5,108B", "D) $5,251B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,108B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 0.33%", "B) 4.43%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,502B\nB) $5,821B\nC) $5,183B\nD) $5,342B", "options": [ "A) $5,502B", "B) $5,821B", "C) $5,183B", "D) $5,342B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,502B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,181B\nB) $7,984B\nC) $7,591B\nD) $8,378B", "options": [ "A) $8,181B", "B) $7,984B", "C) $7,591B", "D) $8,378B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,984B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 5.49%", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 6.47%", "C) 3.53%", "D) 5.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,708K\nB) 1,866K\nC) 1,930K\nD) 1,803K", "options": [ "A) 1,708K", "B) 1,866K", "C) 1,930K", "D) 1,803K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,803K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 0.95%", "options": [ "A) 1.71%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 0.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.49\nB) 191.30\nC) 196.17\nD) 186.43", "options": [ "A) 203.49", "B) 191.30", "C) 196.17", "D) 186.43" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "191.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.13%\nB) -3.21%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 6.63%", "options": [ "A) -8.13%", "B) -3.21%", "C) -0.75%", "D) 6.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $272,346M\nB) $283,812M\nC) $266,614M\nD) $278,079M", "options": [ "A) $272,346M", "B) $283,812M", "C) $266,614M", "D) $278,079M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$278,079M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.14%\nB) -3.98%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -0.29%", "options": [ "A) -2.14%", "B) -3.98%", "C) 1.55%", "D) -0.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%", "options": [ "A) 5.20%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 6.20%", "D) 4.95%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,644K\nB) 128,108K\nC) 130,722K\nD) 124,186K", "options": [ "A) 134,644K", "B) 128,108K", "C) 130,722K", "D) 124,186K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "130,722K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,783B\nB) $6,804B\nC) $7,979B\nD) $7,392B", "options": [ "A) $7,783B", "B) $6,804B", "C) $7,979B", "D) $7,392B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$7,392B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.20\nB) 193.32\nC) 199.51\nD) 183.02", "options": [ "A) 189.20", "B) 193.32", "C) 199.51", "D) 183.02" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "189.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 9.24%\nD) 5.94%", "options": [ "A) 10.07%", "B) 8.42%", "C) 9.24%", "D) 5.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.05pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) -0.42pp", "options": [ "A) -0.05pp", "B) +1.07pp", "C) +0.70pp", "D) -0.42pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.70%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 15.21%", "options": [ "A) 17.70%", "B) 20.20%", "C) 22.69%", "D) 15.21%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.33%", "options": [ "A) 2.24%", "B) 2.42%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.80\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.42\nD) 73.25", "options": [ "A) 74.80", "B) 77.11", "C) 79.42", "D) 73.25" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.11/hr\nB) $15.76/hr\nC) $14.82/hr\nD) $15.29/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.11/hr", "B) $15.76/hr", "C) $14.82/hr", "D) $15.29/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14.82/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,071.79\nB) 1,937.69\nC) 2,803.59\nD) 1,504.74", "options": [ "A) 1,071.79", "B) 1,937.69", "C) 2,803.59", "D) 1,504.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,504.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.80\nB) 170.84\nC) 185.78\nD) 175.82", "options": [ "A) 180.80", "B) 170.84", "C) 185.78", "D) 175.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "180.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 121.72\nB) 117.93\nC) 106.55\nD) 114.14", "options": [ "A) 121.72", "B) 117.93", "C) 106.55", "D) 114.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.41%", "B) 0.37%", "C) 1.73%", "D) 1.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.31\nB) 72.73\nC) 79.05\nD) 76.68", "options": [ "A) 74.31", "B) 72.73", "C) 79.05", "D) 76.68" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "76.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,642K\nB) 1,739K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,512K", "options": [ "A) 1,642K", "B) 1,739K", "C) 1,577K", "D) 1,512K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,642K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.62\nB) 125.50\nC) 116.37\nD) 120.93", "options": [ "A) 134.62", "B) 125.50", "C) 116.37", "D) 120.93" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "125.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.29\nB) 100.17\nC) 95.70\nD) 104.64", "options": [ "A) 82.29", "B) 100.17", "C) 95.70", "D) 104.64" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 24.83%\nB) 21.72%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 15.49%", "options": [ "A) 24.83%", "B) 21.72%", "C) 6.16%", "D) 15.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 129.80\nB) 141.48\nC) 125.13\nD) 136.81", "options": [ "A) 129.80", "B) 141.48", "C) 125.13", "D) 136.81" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "129.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,007,436\nB) 3,604,000\nC) 4,200,564\nD) 2,709,154", "options": [ "A) 3,007,436", "B) 3,604,000", "C) 4,200,564", "D) 2,709,154" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,604,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.85\nB) 87.38\nC) 89.17\nD) 85.59", "options": [ "A) 91.85", "B) 87.38", "C) 89.17", "D) 85.59" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 20.12\nC) 27.91\nD) 25.96", "options": [ "A) 31.80", "B) 20.12", "C) 27.91", "D) 25.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 5.91%", "options": [ "A) 4.62%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 7.20%", "D) 5.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.21pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.42pp\nD) +0.22pp", "options": [ "A) -0.21pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) -0.42pp", "D) +0.22pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 63.00%\nD) 64.89%", "options": [ "A) 66.15%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 63.00%", "D) 64.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 4.50%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 4.90%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $47,371M\nB) $39,744M\nC) $54,998M\nD) $49,913M", "options": [ "A) $47,371M", "B) $39,744M", "C) $54,998M", "D) $49,913M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$47,371M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 66.60%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 68.60%", "options": [ "A) 62.60%", "B) 66.60%", "C) 64.60%", "D) 68.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 1.86%", "options": [ "A) 5.88%", "B) 7.23%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) -0.41%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 6.60%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 178.50\nB) 189.93\nC) 183.07\nD) 173.93", "options": [ "A) 178.50", "B) 189.93", "C) 183.07", "D) 173.93" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "178.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 5.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.48%", "B) 3.74%", "C) 4.65%", "D) 5.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.46%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 5.49%\nD) 3.51%", "options": [ "A) 7.46%", "B) 6.48%", "C) 5.49%", "D) 3.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.38%\nB) 5.95%\nC) -21.96%\nD) -5.22%", "options": [ "A) -16.38%", "B) 5.95%", "C) -21.96%", "D) -5.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.16%\nB) 43.58%\nC) 70.45%\nD) -37.03%", "options": [ "A) -10.16%", "B) 43.58%", "C) 70.45%", "D) -37.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.03%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%", "options": [ "A) 68.03%", "B) 66.70%", "C) 65.37%", "D) 63.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 5.09%", "options": [ "A) 5.42%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 5.59%", "D) 5.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.92pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": [ "A) -0.71pp", "B) -0.81pp", "C) -0.92pp", "D) -0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) -11.29pp\nC) -6.10pp\nD) -0.90pp", "options": [ "A) +4.30pp", "B) -11.29pp", "C) -6.10pp", "D) -0.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $53,997M\nB) $48,089M\nC) $42,181M\nD) $45,135M", "options": [ "A) $53,997M", "B) $48,089M", "C) $42,181M", "D) $45,135M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$48,089M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 5.67%", "options": [ "A) 3.99%", "B) 5.11%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 5.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.92%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 2.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.09%\nB) 60.98%\nC) -83.16%\nD) -59.13%", "options": [ "A) -11.09%", "B) 60.98%", "C) -83.16%", "D) -59.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-11.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.88%\nB) -7.88%\nC) 1.12%\nD) -21.38%", "options": [ "A) -16.88%", "B) -7.88%", "C) 1.12%", "D) -21.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 426,077\nB) 486,232\nC) 396,000\nD) 305,768", "options": [ "A) 426,077", "B) 486,232", "C) 396,000", "D) 305,768" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "396,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,468B\nB) $5,856B\nC) $6,244B\nD) $5,662B", "options": [ "A) $5,468B", "B) $5,856B", "C) $6,244B", "D) $5,662B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$5,662B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -3.52%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 0.47%", "options": [ "A) -1.53%", "B) -3.52%", "C) -0.20%", "D) 0.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 7.17%", "options": [ "A) 3.82%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 7.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.93%", "options": [ "A) 7.11%", "B) 5.36%", "C) 5.80%", "D) 4.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.39pp\nB) +3.12pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +0.58pp", "options": [ "A) +4.39pp", "B) +3.12pp", "C) +1.85pp", "D) +0.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.58pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.46%\nB) 69.97%\nC) 78.94%\nD) 77.45%", "options": [ "A) 74.46%", "B) 69.97%", "C) 78.94%", "D) 77.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "74.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.72%", "options": [ "A) 1.54%", "B) 5.13%", "C) 10.51%", "D) 8.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $179,561M\nB) $185,415M\nC) $167,853M\nD) $161,999M", "options": [ "A) $179,561M", "B) $185,415M", "C) $167,853M", "D) $161,999M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$167,853M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $274,980M\nB) $299,315M\nC) $268,897M\nD) $281,064M", "options": [ "A) $274,980M", "B) $299,315M", "C) $268,897M", "D) $281,064M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$281,064M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.20pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -12.10pp\nD) -6.67pp", "options": [ "A) +4.20pp", "B) -1.23pp", "C) -12.10pp", "D) -6.67pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.29%", "options": [ "A) 0.87%", "B) 1.93%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,731K\nC) 1,804K\nD) 1,767K", "options": [ "A) 1,877K", "B) 1,731K", "C) 1,804K", "D) 1,767K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,804K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 9.09%\nC) 7.88%\nD) 8.69%", "options": [ "A) 9.90%", "B) 9.09%", "C) 7.88%", "D) 8.69%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 5.59%", "options": [ "A) 3.69%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 1.79%", "D) 5.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 75.50%\nC) 72.21%\nD) 77.14%", "options": [ "A) 80.43%", "B) 75.50%", "C) 72.21%", "D) 77.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.70%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 0.68%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $31.53/bbl\nB) $23.09/bbl\nC) $17.46/bbl\nD) $25.90/bbl", "options": [ "A) $31.53/bbl", "B) $23.09/bbl", "C) $17.46/bbl", "D) $25.90/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$25.90/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.79pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) -6.51pp", "options": [ "A) -3.79pp", "B) -7.87pp", "C) -1.07pp", "D) -6.51pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.79pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.63\nB) 77.97\nC) 73.29\nD) 80.31", "options": [ "A) 75.63", "B) 77.97", "C) 73.29", "D) 80.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.71pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +0.71pp", "options": [ "A) +2.71pp", "B) +3.11pp", "C) +1.91pp", "D) +0.71pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.91pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.75%", "options": [ "A) 0.03%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 1.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $-31,161M\nB) $-23,717M\nC) $-33,642M\nD) $-28,680M", "options": [ "A) $-31,161M", "B) $-23,717M", "C) $-33,642M", "D) $-28,680M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-31,161M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.92%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 5.08%", "options": [ "A) 5.92%", "B) 5.50%", "C) 6.35%", "D) 5.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) -6.44%\nC) -18.53%\nD) -12.49%", "options": [ "A) -0.40%", "B) -6.44%", "C) -18.53%", "D) -12.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-18.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $21.14/bbl\nB) $15.48/bbl\nC) $18.31/bbl\nD) $23.97/bbl", "options": [ "A) $21.14/bbl", "B) $15.48/bbl", "C) $18.31/bbl", "D) $23.97/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$23.97/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,243B\nB) $6,713B\nC) $7,597B\nD) $7,066B", "options": [ "A) $7,243B", "B) $6,713B", "C) $7,597B", "D) $7,066B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,243B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,664M\nB) $-36,088M\nC) $-30,936M\nD) $-41,240M", "options": [ "A) $-38,664M", "B) $-36,088M", "C) $-30,936M", "D) $-41,240M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-36,088M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.60%", "options": [ "A) 7.98%", "B) 6.06%", "C) 6.83%", "D) 7.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 8.20%\nC) 11.80%\nD) 10.00%", "options": [ "A) 6.40%", "B) 8.20%", "C) 11.80%", "D) 10.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.10\nB) 94.98\nC) 90.54\nD) 77.22", "options": [ "A) 86.10", "B) 94.98", "C) 90.54", "D) 77.22" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "86.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.65%", "options": [ "A) 6.40%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.94%\nB) 61.54%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.06%", "options": [ "A) 65.94%", "B) 61.54%", "C) 62.80%", "D) 64.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $680M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $680M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$680M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.90%", "options": [ "A) 1.52%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 2.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.99%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.43%", "options": [ "A) 6.99%", "B) 6.71%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 6.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,511.78", "B) 1,006.23", "C) 1,382.62", "D) 1,759.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,382.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,511.78", "B) 1,006.23", "C) 1,382.62", "D) 1,759.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,382.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,150.02", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 2,526.41", "D) 1,397.25" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,150.02", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 2,526.41", "D) 1,397.25" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 1,397.25", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 1,773.64", "D) 2,150.02" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 1,397.25", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 1,773.64", "D) 2,150.02" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,175.72", "B) 1,422.95", "C) 1,799.34", "D) 2,552.11" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,175.72", "B) 1,422.95", "C) 1,799.34", "D) 2,552.11" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,552.11", "B) 1,799.34", "C) 1,422.95", "D) 1,046.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,552.11", "B) 1,799.34", "C) 1,422.95", "D) 1,046.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,617.10", "B) 2,240.71", "C) 1,864.33", "D) 1,487.94" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,487.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 2,617.10", "B) 2,240.71", "C) 1,864.33", "D) 1,487.94" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,487.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 36.65", "B) 32.14", "C) 34.39", "D) 29.88" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 36.65", "B) 32.14", "C) 34.39", "D) 29.88" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 40.41", "B) 44.92", "C) 38.15", "D) 47.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "44.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 40.41", "B) 44.92", "C) 38.15", "D) 47.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "44.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 51.85", "B) 42.82", "C) 45.08", "D) 49.59" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 51.85", "B) 42.82", "C) 45.08", "D) 49.59" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 47.34", "B) 51.85", "C) 42.82", "D) 45.08" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 47.34", "B) 51.85", "C) 42.82", "D) 45.08" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 45.08", "B) 40.57", "C) 47.34", "D) 42.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 45.08", "B) 40.57", "C) 47.34", "D) 42.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 49.59", "B) 45.08", "C) 51.85", "D) 40.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 49.59", "B) 45.08", "C) 51.85", "D) 40.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 5.33%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 5.33%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.17%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.36%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.17%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.36%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.75%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.75%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 5.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 5.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.94%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.94%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.36%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": [ "A) 4.36%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002 } ]