[ { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.60\nB) 82.42\nC) 63.13\nD) 92.07", "options": [ "A) 77.60", "B) 82.42", "C) 63.13", "D) 92.07" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.73\nB) 87.70\nC) 72.79\nD) 102.61", "options": [ "A) 82.73", "B) 87.70", "C) 72.79", "D) 102.61" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "87.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.86%", "options": [ "A) 0.85%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 7.37%\nD) 6.10%", "options": [ "A) 5.68%", "B) 6.95%", "C) 7.37%", "D) 6.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,726K\nB) 1,683K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,812K", "options": [ "A) 1,726K", "B) 1,683K", "C) 1,640K", "D) 1,812K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,726K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 208.30\nB) 193.70\nC) 187.86\nD) 202.46", "options": [ "A) 208.30", "B) 193.70", "C) 187.86", "D) 202.46" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "193.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 6.98%", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 7.92%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 6.98%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,306B\nB) $6,525B\nC) $6,087B\nD) $5,868B", "options": [ "A) $6,306B", "B) $6,525B", "C) $6,087B", "D) $5,868B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$5,868B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 1.17%\nC) -0.87%\nD) -1.56%", "options": [ "A) -0.19%", "B) 1.17%", "C) -0.87%", "D) -1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +1.52pp\nD) +0.55pp", "options": [ "A) +3.45pp", "B) +2.00pp", "C) +1.52pp", "D) +0.55pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) -2.71%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.54%", "options": [ "A) 7.05%", "B) -2.71%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,628M\nB) $-38,449M\nC) $-31,663M\nD) $-41,842M", "options": [ "A) $-48,628M", "B) $-38,449M", "C) $-31,663M", "D) $-41,842M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-41,842M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.00%\nB) 63.24%\nC) 60.14%\nD) 65.10%", "options": [ "A) 62.00%", "B) 63.24%", "C) 60.14%", "D) 65.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $-40,832M\nB) $-43,806M\nC) $-52,729M\nD) $-46,780M", "options": [ "A) $-40,832M", "B) $-43,806M", "C) $-52,729M", "D) $-46,780M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-43,806M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,193.28\nB) 2,142.26\nC) 1,667.77\nD) 3,091.24", "options": [ "A) 1,193.28", "B) 2,142.26", "C) 1,667.77", "D) 3,091.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,667.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 4.12%", "options": [ "A) 6.84%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 5.94%", "D) 4.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 3.11%", "options": [ "A) 1.25%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 4.04%", "D) 3.11%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $721M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$721M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 6.38%", "options": [ "A) 5.60%", "B) 4.04%", "C) 5.21%", "D) 6.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.61pp\nB) +11.07pp\nC) -7.87pp\nD) +1.60pp", "options": [ "A) -12.61pp", "B) +11.07pp", "C) -7.87pp", "D) +1.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,939K\nB) 1,842K\nC) 2,036K\nD) 1,987K", "options": [ "A) 1,939K", "B) 1,842K", "C) 2,036K", "D) 1,987K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,939K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.66%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 10.53%\nD) 7.93%", "options": [ "A) 9.66%", "B) 9.23%", "C) 10.53%", "D) 7.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 149.39\nB) 124.77\nC) 137.08\nD) 118.61", "options": [ "A) 149.39", "B) 124.77", "C) 137.08", "D) 118.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "137.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.59%", "options": [ "A) 1.93%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 3.25%", "D) 2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.47\nB) 74.49\nC) 76.08\nD) 80.07", "options": [ "A) 78.47", "B) 74.49", "C) 76.08", "D) 80.07" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 141.20\nC) 147.44\nD) 137.04", "options": [ "A) 151.60", "B) 141.20", "C) 147.44", "D) 137.04" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "141.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.42\nB) 75.14\nC) 77.72\nD) 80.31", "options": [ "A) 73.42", "B) 75.14", "C) 77.72", "D) 80.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.72", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,688,135\nB) 3,032,910\nC) 4,026,045\nD) 3,695,000", "options": [ "A) 4,688,135", "B) 3,032,910", "C) 4,026,045", "D) 3,695,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,695,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,961K\nB) 1,861K\nC) 2,011K\nD) 1,911K", "options": [ "A) 1,961K", "B) 1,861K", "C) 2,011K", "D) 1,911K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,961K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 450,961\nB) 421,000\nC) 331,116\nD) 361,078", "options": [ "A) 450,961", "B) 421,000", "C) 331,116", "D) 361,078" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "421,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.54%", "options": [ "A) 3.21%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.54%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) +3.78pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.98pp", "options": [ "A) +2.38pp", "B) +3.78pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) +0.98pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.98pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.03%\nB) 74.39%\nC) 72.74%\nD) 80.95%", "options": [ "A) 76.03%", "B) 74.39%", "C) 72.74%", "D) 80.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 139.72\nB) 129.31\nC) 144.93\nD) 118.90", "options": [ "A) 139.72", "B) 129.31", "C) 144.93", "D) 118.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "129.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.21\nB) 22.72\nC) 20.22\nD) 15.23", "options": [ "A) 25.21", "B) 22.72", "C) 20.22", "D) 15.23" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.22", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3131\nB) 1.0984\nC) 1.3989\nD) 1.1843", "options": [ "A) 1.3131", "B) 1.0984", "C) 1.3989", "D) 1.1843" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1843", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.71%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 2.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,312B\nB) $6,080B\nC) $6,336B\nD) $5,568B", "options": [ "A) $5,312B", "B) $6,080B", "C) $6,336B", "D) $5,568B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,080B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.16%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 0.82%", "options": [ "A) 13.16%", "B) 6.99%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 0.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 80.27\nD) 78.32", "options": [ "A) 73.45", "B) 75.40", "C) 80.27", "D) 78.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 3.86%\nC) -3.38%\nD) 11.10%", "options": [ "A) 7.48%", "B) 3.86%", "C) -3.38%", "D) 11.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 6.25%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 8.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.50%", "B) 6.25%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 8.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.76\nB) 94.25\nC) 91.51\nD) 97.00", "options": [ "A) 88.76", "B) 94.25", "C) 91.51", "D) 97.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.01%", "options": [ "A) 2.01%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 1.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,686B\nB) $5,494B\nC) $5,109B\nD) $5,878B", "options": [ "A) $5,686B", "B) $5,494B", "C) $5,109B", "D) $5,878B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,686B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $705M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $705M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$705M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.29%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.04%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.05%\nB) 9.73%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 11.06%", "options": [ "A) 15.05%", "B) 9.73%", "C) 12.39%", "D) 11.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 4.88%", "options": [ "A) 4.47%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 4.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 6.66%", "options": [ "A) 7.05%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 6.28%", "D) 6.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,377B\nB) $8,299B\nC) $8,569B\nD) $8,030B", "options": [ "A) $9,377B", "B) $8,299B", "C) $8,569B", "D) $8,030B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,569B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 10.03%\nD) 6.35%", "options": [ "A) 3.90%", "B) 7.58%", "C) 10.03%", "D) 6.35%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.14%", "options": [ "A) 3.03%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.78%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 68.08%", "options": [ "A) 64.78%", "B) 66.10%", "C) 62.79%", "D) 68.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $307,224M\nB) $300,875M\nC) $288,177M\nD) $275,479M", "options": [ "A) $307,224M", "B) $300,875M", "C) $288,177M", "D) $275,479M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$288,177M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 80.70%\nB) -37.06%\nC) 33.60%\nD) 10.04%", "options": [ "A) 80.70%", "B) -37.06%", "C) 33.60%", "D) 10.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 0.95%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 0.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.09%\nB) 76.48%\nC) 73.27%\nD) 71.67%", "options": [ "A) 78.09%", "B) 76.48%", "C) 73.27%", "D) 71.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.98%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 8.76%\nD) -0.56%", "options": [ "A) 14.98%", "B) 11.87%", "C) 8.76%", "D) -0.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) -1.54pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -1.00pp", "options": [ "A) -0.19pp", "B) -1.54pp", "C) -1.81pp", "D) -1.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.34%\nD) 2.31%", "options": [ "A) 3.63%", "B) 7.60%", "C) -0.34%", "D) 2.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.84\nB) 91.10\nC) 95.66\nD) 88.37", "options": [ "A) 93.84", "B) 91.10", "C) 95.66", "D) 88.37" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 3.63%", "options": [ "A) 2.71%", "B) 1.79%", "C) 0.87%", "D) 3.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.15/hr\nB) $14.39/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $15.27/hr", "options": [ "A) $16.15/hr", "B) $14.39/hr", "C) $13.80/hr", "D) $15.27/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.27/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 10.45%\nD) -5.22%", "options": [ "A) 2.62%", "B) -1.30%", "C) 10.45%", "D) -5.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $15.09/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $14.44/hr\nD) $16.40/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.09/hr", "B) $15.42/hr", "C) $14.44/hr", "D) $16.40/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15.42/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $33.90/bbl\nB) $36.66/bbl\nC) $31.14/bbl\nD) $39.42/bbl", "options": [ "A) $33.90/bbl", "B) $36.66/bbl", "C) $31.14/bbl", "D) $39.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.14/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.18\nB) 191.02\nC) 196.95\nD) 185.10", "options": [ "A) 179.18", "B) 191.02", "C) 196.95", "D) 185.10" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "185.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 3.65%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 4.48%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,994M\nB) $298,921M\nC) $284,775M\nD) $320,140M", "options": [ "A) $305,994M", "B) $298,921M", "C) $284,775M", "D) $320,140M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$298,921M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -1.28pp", "options": [ "A) +0.19pp", "B) +0.48pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -1.28pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0286\nB) 7.7803\nC) 8.5252\nD) 8.2769", "options": [ "A) 8.0286", "B) 7.7803", "C) 8.5252", "D) 8.2769" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2769", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.62%\nB) 68.86%\nC) 3.99%\nD) -39.25%", "options": [ "A) 25.62%", "B) 68.86%", "C) 3.99%", "D) -39.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +1.25pp", "options": [ "A) -0.15pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +1.25pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,832B\nB) $8,554B\nC) $8,313B\nD) $8,795B", "options": [ "A) $7,832B", "B) $8,554B", "C) $8,313B", "D) $8,795B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,313B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 133.93\nB) 145.35\nC) 149.91\nD) 138.50", "options": [ "A) 133.93", "B) 145.35", "C) 149.91", "D) 138.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "138.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $51,971M\nB) $45,699M\nC) $42,562M\nD) $61,380M", "options": [ "A) $51,971M", "B) $45,699M", "C) $42,562M", "D) $61,380M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$51,971M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.35/bbl\nB) $27.50/bbl\nC) $32.93/bbl\nD) $35.65/bbl", "options": [ "A) $19.35/bbl", "B) $27.50/bbl", "C) $32.93/bbl", "D) $35.65/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$27.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $61,114M\nB) $42,400M\nC) $51,757M\nD) $45,519M", "options": [ "A) $61,114M", "B) $42,400M", "C) $51,757M", "D) $45,519M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$51,757M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,033B\nB) $8,244B\nC) $6,979B\nD) $7,612B", "options": [ "A) $8,033B", "B) $8,244B", "C) $6,979B", "D) $7,612B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$7,612B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.57pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -1.19pp\nD) +5.72pp", "options": [ "A) +1.57pp", "B) +0.19pp", "C) -1.19pp", "D) +5.72pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.57pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $190,190M\nB) $178,690M\nC) $161,440M\nD) $184,440M", "options": [ "A) $190,190M", "B) $178,690M", "C) $161,440M", "D) $184,440M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$178,690M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) -51.27%\nB) -9.87%\nC) 10.83%\nD) 72.94%", "options": [ "A) -51.27%", "B) -9.87%", "C) 10.83%", "D) 72.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 4.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.61%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.04%", "D) 4.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) 1.54%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 13.43%", "options": [ "A) 11.10%", "B) 8.78%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 13.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.86%", "options": [ "A) 2.09%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +0.08pp\nC) +1.05pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": [ "A) +0.72pp", "B) +0.08pp", "C) +1.05pp", "D) +0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.90\nB) 173.18\nC) 178.54\nD) 191.94", "options": [ "A) 183.90", "B) 173.18", "C) 178.54", "D) 191.94" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "183.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 79.11\nC) 81.81\nD) 77.31", "options": [ "A) 75.51", "B) 79.11", "C) 81.81", "D) 77.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 7.72%", "options": [ "A) 3.34%", "B) 5.97%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 7.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.70%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 7.03%", "options": [ "A) 8.70%", "B) 2.00%", "C) 5.35%", "D) 7.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -2.08%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -0.57%", "options": [ "A) 0.94%", "B) -2.08%", "C) 5.47%", "D) -0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 10.77%\nD) 3.44%", "options": [ "A) -3.89%", "B) 7.10%", "C) 10.77%", "D) 3.44%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,092B\nB) $7,377B\nC) $7,854B\nD) $7,139B", "options": [ "A) $8,092B", "B) $7,377B", "C) $7,854B", "D) $7,139B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,854B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", "options": [ "A) 64.27%", "B) 65.52%", "C) 60.53%", "D) 62.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.13%", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.24%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 1.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.09pp", "options": [ "A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.30pp", "C) -0.51pp", "D) -0.09pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 0.36%", "options": [ "A) -2.57%", "B) 1.82%", "C) -0.37%", "D) 0.36%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.05%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 7.37%", "options": [ "A) 8.05%", "B) 6.69%", "C) 8.73%", "D) 7.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -18.10pp\nB) -28.02pp\nC) -8.18pp\nD) -13.14pp", "options": [ "A) -18.10pp", "B) -28.02pp", "C) -8.18pp", "D) -13.14pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-18.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $160,302M\nB) $172,245M\nC) $184,188M\nD) $178,216M", "options": [ "A) $160,302M", "B) $172,245M", "C) $184,188M", "D) $178,216M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$172,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 12.10%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) -1.87%", "B) 12.10%", "C) 5.12%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 1.18%", "options": [ "A) 0.34%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.86%", "D) 1.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": [ "A) -0.60pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.70pp", "D) -0.80pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.7672\nB) 117.7900\nC) 105.8585\nD) 129.7215", "options": [ "A) 121.7672", "B) 117.7900", "C) 105.8585", "D) 129.7215" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.7900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 9.06%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 10.60%", "options": [ "A) 2.91%", "B) 9.06%", "C) 5.98%", "D) 10.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 6.66%", "options": [ "A) 8.12%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 8.85%", "D) 6.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.52%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.10%\nB) 8.07%\nC) 23.15%\nD) -7.00%", "options": [ "A) 13.10%", "B) 8.07%", "C) 23.15%", "D) -7.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,717K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,877K", "options": [ "A) 1,797K", "B) 1,717K", "C) 1,757K", "D) 1,877K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,757K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 25.02%\nC) -6.50%\nD) 9.26%", "options": [ "A) 4.00%", "B) 25.02%", "C) -6.50%", "D) 9.26%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.69%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 6.96%\nD) -2.14%", "options": [ "A) 4.69%", "B) 0.14%", "C) 6.96%", "D) -2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,344K\nB) 130,252K\nC) 132,857K\nD) 136,765K", "options": [ "A) 126,344K", "B) 130,252K", "C) 132,857K", "D) 136,765K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "130,252K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,142K\nB) 136,747K\nC) 130,235K\nD) 126,328K", "options": [ "A) 134,142K", "B) 136,747K", "C) 130,235K", "D) 126,328K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "130,235K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.37%\nB) 10.93%\nC) 10.07%\nD) 9.65%", "options": [ "A) 8.37%", "B) 10.93%", "C) 10.07%", "D) 9.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.50\nB) 181.80\nC) 200.53\nD) 187.15", "options": [ "A) 192.50", "B) 181.80", "C) 200.53", "D) 187.15" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "192.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.29%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 62.32%", "options": [ "A) 68.29%", "B) 66.30%", "C) 64.31%", "D) 62.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.38%", "options": [ "A) 4.38%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $29.15/bbl", "B) $37.69/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $29.15/bbl", "B) $37.69/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $39.82/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $35.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $39.82/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $35.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $33.42/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $33.42/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $31.29/bbl", "C) $33.42/bbl", "D) $29.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $31.29/bbl", "C) $33.42/bbl", "D) $29.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $31.29/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $31.29/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $29.52/bbl", "B) $25.59/bbl", "C) $19.70/bbl", "D) $21.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $29.52/bbl", "B) $25.59/bbl", "C) $19.70/bbl", "D) $21.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $19.70/bbl", "B) $21.66/bbl", "C) $25.59/bbl", "D) $23.63/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $19.70/bbl", "B) $21.66/bbl", "C) $25.59/bbl", "D) $23.63/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $26.35/bbl", "B) $18.50/bbl", "C) $20.46/bbl", "D) $24.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $26.35/bbl", "B) $18.50/bbl", "C) $20.46/bbl", "D) $24.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $23.23/bbl", "B) $27.16/bbl", "C) $29.12/bbl", "D) $25.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $23.23/bbl", "B) $27.16/bbl", "C) $29.12/bbl", "D) $25.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $23.23/bbl", "C) $25.19/bbl", "D) $29.12/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $23.23/bbl", "C) $25.19/bbl", "D) $29.12/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $29.12/bbl", "C) $23.23/bbl", "D) $21.27/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $29.12/bbl", "C) $23.23/bbl", "D) $21.27/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 19.11", "B) 31.27", "C) 22.15", "D) 28.23" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 19.11", "B) 31.27", "C) 22.15", "D) 28.23" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 27.75", "B) 18.63", "C) 36.87", "D) 33.83" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 27.75", "B) 18.63", "C) 36.87", "D) 33.83" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 28.60", "B) 22.52", "C) 31.64", "D) 16.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 28.60", "B) 22.52", "C) 31.64", "D) 16.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 16.20", "B) 28.36", "C) 19.24", "D) 10.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 16.20", "B) 28.36", "C) 19.24", "D) 10.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 12.32", "B) 9.28", "C) 21.44", "D) 18.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 12.32", "B) 9.28", "C) 21.44", "D) 18.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 17.75", "B) 23.83", "C) 8.63", "D) 20.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 17.75", "B) 23.83", "C) 8.63", "D) 20.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,520.26", "B) 1,368.37", "C) 1,216.48", "D) 1,672.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,368.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,520.26", "B) 1,368.37", "C) 1,216.48", "D) 1,672.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,368.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,812.03", "B) 1,508.26", "C) 1,356.37", "D) 1,052.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,356.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,812.03", "B) 1,508.26", "C) 1,356.37", "D) 1,052.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,356.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,201.85", "D) 1,353.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,201.85", "D) 1,353.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,353.74", "B) 1,201.85", "C) 1,809.40", "D) 1,657.51" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,353.74", "B) 1,201.85", "C) 1,809.40", "D) 1,657.51" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,353.74", "C) 1,505.63", "D) 1,049.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,353.74", "C) 1,505.63", "D) 1,049.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,505.63", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,353.74", "D) 1,201.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": [ "A) 1,505.63", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,353.74", "D) 1,201.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003 } ]