[ { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $112.80/bbl\nB) $134.52/bbl\nC) $123.66/bbl\nD) $167.10/bbl", "options": [ "A) $112.80/bbl", "B) $134.52/bbl", "C) $123.66/bbl", "D) $167.10/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$134.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.23pp\nB) +1.06pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.88pp", "options": [ "A) +1.23pp", "B) +1.06pp", "C) +0.70pp", "D) +0.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 133,878K\nB) 142,640K\nC) 130,958K\nD) 138,259K", "options": [ "A) 133,878K", "B) 142,640K", "C) 130,958K", "D) 138,259K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "138,259K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.45%", "options": [ "A) 3.73%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.33\nB) 20.95\nC) 18.74\nD) 23.16", "options": [ "A) 14.33", "B) 20.95", "C) 18.74", "D) 23.16" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 186.99\nB) 177.45\nC) 167.90\nD) 139.26", "options": [ "A) 186.99", "B) 177.45", "C) 167.90", "D) 139.26" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "167.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 188.82\nB) 213.07\nC) 172.65\nD) 196.90", "options": [ "A) 188.82", "B) 213.07", "C) 172.65", "D) 196.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "196.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,000\nB) 421,763\nC) 334,237\nD) 348,825", "options": [ "A) 378,000", "B) 421,763", "C) 334,237", "D) 348,825" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "378,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.89%\nB) -8.13%\nC) -5.84%\nD) -9.66%", "options": [ "A) -8.89%", "B) -8.13%", "C) -5.84%", "D) -9.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.32%\nB) 137.86%\nC) 97.71%\nD) 111.09%", "options": [ "A) 84.32%", "B) 137.86%", "C) 97.71%", "D) 111.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.25%", "options": [ "A) 4.85%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 4.45%", "D) 4.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,035B\nB) $8,932B\nC) $11,139B\nD) $9,300B", "options": [ "A) $10,035B", "B) $8,932B", "C) $11,139B", "D) $9,300B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,035B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 204.66\nB) 213.45\nC) 222.23\nD) 209.06", "options": [ "A) 204.66", "B) 213.45", "C) 222.23", "D) 209.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "213.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.31%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.96%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) -10.31%", "B) -2.28%", "C) -4.96%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $122.88/bbl\nB) $166.96/bbl\nC) $100.84/bbl\nD) $133.90/bbl", "options": [ "A) $122.88/bbl", "B) $166.96/bbl", "C) $100.84/bbl", "D) $133.90/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.90/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,696B\nB) $8,214B\nC) $10,140B\nD) $9,659B", "options": [ "A) $8,696B", "B) $8,214B", "C) $10,140B", "D) $9,659B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,696B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 5.08%", "options": [ "A) 2.13%", "B) 3.90%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 5.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -23.94%\nB) -31.67%\nC) -39.41%\nD) -16.20%", "options": [ "A) -23.94%", "B) -31.67%", "C) -39.41%", "D) -16.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-39.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 810K\nC) 496K\nD) 967K", "options": [ "A) 1,281K", "B) 810K", "C) 496K", "D) 967K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "967K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.72pp\nB) -6.06pp\nC) -4.76pp\nD) -7.37pp", "options": [ "A) -6.72pp", "B) -6.06pp", "C) -4.76pp", "D) -7.37pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.72pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $370,411M\nB) $358,991M\nC) $393,251M\nD) $347,571M", "options": [ "A) $370,411M", "B) $358,991M", "C) $393,251M", "D) $347,571M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$358,991M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 214.08\nC) 218.88\nD) 209.28", "options": [ "A) 228.48", "B) 214.08", "C) 218.88", "D) 209.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "218.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.12\nB) 66.31\nC) 79.07\nD) 69.50", "options": [ "A) 63.12", "B) 66.31", "C) 79.07", "D) 69.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "69.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 60.82%\nC) 64.58%\nD) 65.84%", "options": [ "A) 62.70%", "B) 60.82%", "C) 64.58%", "D) 65.84%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -0.25%\nD) -1.33%", "options": [ "A) -0.61%", "B) -0.97%", "C) -0.25%", "D) -1.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,157K\nB) 1,309K\nC) 1,005K\nD) 549K", "options": [ "A) 1,157K", "B) 1,309K", "C) 1,005K", "D) 549K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,005K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36\nB) 92.17\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.12", "options": [ "A) 81.36", "B) 92.17", "C) 84.06", "D) 88.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "88.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.45%", "options": [ "A) 4.77%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) +1.23pp\nC) +2.17pp\nD) +2.64pp", "options": [ "A) -0.18pp", "B) +1.23pp", "C) +2.17pp", "D) +2.64pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.23pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 10.99%\nD) 13.52%", "options": [ "A) 12.25%", "B) 8.45%", "C) 10.99%", "D) 13.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.19%", "options": [ "A) 3.46%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 3.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -36.80%\nB) -28.16%\nC) -54.07%\nD) -62.71%", "options": [ "A) -36.80%", "B) -28.16%", "C) -54.07%", "D) -62.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-36.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.62/hr\nB) $18.20/hr\nC) $16.93/hr\nD) $17.78/hr", "options": [ "A) $18.62/hr", "B) $18.20/hr", "C) $16.93/hr", "D) $17.78/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18.20/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 68.08%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 69.41%", "options": [ "A) 68.08%", "B) 64.12%", "C) 66.10%", "D) 69.41%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,739.25\nB) 2,210.31\nC) 2,078.07\nD) 2,474.78", "options": [ "A) 2,739.25", "B) 2,210.31", "C) 2,078.07", "D) 2,474.78" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,474.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,057,000\nB) 2,560,109\nC) 3,222,630\nD) 2,725,739", "options": [ "A) 3,057,000", "B) 2,560,109", "C) 3,222,630", "D) 2,725,739" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,057,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.25/hr\nB) $17.87/hr\nC) $18.64/hr\nD) $19.02/hr", "options": [ "A) $18.25/hr", "B) $17.87/hr", "C) $18.64/hr", "D) $19.02/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17.87/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.80%", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 4.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.49%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.32%", "options": [ "A) 5.81%", "B) 6.49%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 6.32%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 96.73\nC) 91.87\nD) 83.78", "options": [ "A) 88.64", "B) 96.73", "C) 91.87", "D) 83.78" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $377,933M\nB) $365,164M\nC) $339,626M\nD) $403,470M", "options": [ "A) $377,933M", "B) $365,164M", "C) $339,626M", "D) $403,470M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$365,164M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 63.76%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 60.04%", "options": [ "A) 65.00%", "B) 63.76%", "C) 61.90%", "D) 60.04%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -40.94%\nB) -24.61%\nC) -57.28%\nD) -32.78%", "options": [ "A) -40.94%", "B) -24.61%", "C) -57.28%", "D) -32.78%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-32.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 7.24%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 9.70%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 7.24%", "C) -2.59%", "D) 9.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.74%\nB) -9.61%\nC) -21.80%\nD) -1.48%", "options": [ "A) -17.74%", "B) -9.61%", "C) -21.80%", "D) -1.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 0.39%\nC) -1.69%\nD) -3.78%", "options": [ "A) 1.43%", "B) 0.39%", "C) -1.69%", "D) -3.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,863K\nB) 129,922K\nC) 134,025K\nD) 136,760K", "options": [ "A) 140,863K", "B) 129,922K", "C) 134,025K", "D) 136,760K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "136,760K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 88.11%\nB) 125.53%\nC) 75.64%\nD) 113.06%", "options": [ "A) 88.11%", "B) 125.53%", "C) 75.64%", "D) 113.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -1.21pp\nD) -0.79pp", "options": [ "A) -0.59pp", "B) -1.00pp", "C) -1.21pp", "D) -0.79pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.12pp", "options": [ "A) +0.37pp", "B) -0.12pp", "C) +0.00pp", "D) +0.12pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.44%", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 2.01%", "D) 2.44%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.90%", "options": [ "A) 4.95%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 5.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -28.20pp\nB) -18.90pp\nC) -9.60pp\nD) -14.25pp", "options": [ "A) -28.20pp", "B) -18.90pp", "C) -9.60pp", "D) -14.25pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-18.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96%\nB) 1.73%\nC) -0.61%\nD) 6.43%", "options": [ "A) -2.96%", "B) 1.73%", "C) -0.61%", "D) 6.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.29%\nB) 9.88%\nC) 18.90%\nD) 13.49%", "options": [ "A) 15.29%", "B) 9.88%", "C) 18.90%", "D) 13.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,670B\nB) $8,392B\nC) $8,151B\nD) $6,948B", "options": [ "A) $7,670B", "B) $8,392B", "C) $8,151B", "D) $6,948B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,670B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.7217\nB) 108.1900\nC) 111.0339\nD) 102.5022", "options": [ "A) 116.7217", "B) 108.1900", "C) 111.0339", "D) 102.5022" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.1900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $10,218B\nC) $10,964B\nD) $9,844B", "options": [ "A) $12,084B", "B) $10,218B", "C) $10,964B", "D) $9,844B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$10,964B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 1.47%", "options": [ "A) -0.14%", "B) 3.09%", "C) -0.95%", "D) 1.47%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,854M\nB) $60,996M\nC) $55,279M\nD) $58,137M", "options": [ "A) $63,854M", "B) $60,996M", "C) $55,279M", "D) $58,137M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$63,854M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.04%\nB) 80.54%\nC) 82.34%\nD) 77.84%", "options": [ "A) 76.04%", "B) 80.54%", "C) 82.34%", "D) 77.84%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.18%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.49%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 3.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.77%\nB) 71.99%\nC) 76.45%\nD) 74.22%", "options": [ "A) 69.77%", "B) 71.99%", "C) 76.45%", "D) 74.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "74.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.47%", "options": [ "A) 3.70%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 84.71\nB) 87.35\nC) 93.94\nD) 89.99", "options": [ "A) 84.71", "B) 87.35", "C) 93.94", "D) 89.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "87.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) 2.16%", "B) 2.62%", "C) 2.39%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.16pp\nB) -30.92pp\nC) -19.04pp\nD) -13.10pp", "options": [ "A) -7.16pp", "B) -30.92pp", "C) -19.04pp", "D) -13.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.39\nB) 85.17\nC) 80.71\nD) 82.94", "options": [ "A) 87.39", "B) 85.17", "C) 80.71", "D) 82.94" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "87.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -1.67pp\nD) +1.36pp", "options": [ "A) +0.86pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) -1.67pp", "D) +1.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.16pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 206.39\nB) 227.03\nC) 216.71\nD) 199.51", "options": [ "A) 206.39", "B) 227.03", "C) 216.71", "D) 199.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "216.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,038B\nB) $9,397B\nC) $10,835B\nD) $10,116B", "options": [ "A) $9,038B", "B) $9,397B", "C) $10,835B", "D) $10,116B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,116B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,765B\nB) $9,687B\nC) $11,844B\nD) $10,406B", "options": [ "A) $10,765B", "B) $9,687B", "C) $11,844B", "D) $10,406B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,765B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 6.67%", "options": [ "A) 5.73%", "B) 6.20%", "C) 7.13%", "D) 6.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,136B\nB) $8,400B\nC) $7,872B\nD) $7,082B", "options": [ "A) $8,136B", "B) $8,400B", "C) $7,872B", "D) $7,082B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,872B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.86\nB) 54.64\nC) 85.96\nD) 70.30", "options": [ "A) 59.86", "B) 54.64", "C) 85.96", "D) 70.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "70.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) +1.65pp\nC) +2.15pp\nD) +1.90pp", "options": [ "A) +1.40pp", "B) +1.65pp", "C) +2.15pp", "D) +1.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 3.38%\nD) -1.08%", "options": [ "A) 0.71%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 3.38%", "D) -1.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 8.36%\nC) 7.59%\nD) 6.07%", "options": [ "A) 6.83%", "B) 8.36%", "C) 7.59%", "D) 6.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -57.59%\nB) -48.62%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -30.68%", "options": [ "A) -57.59%", "B) -48.62%", "C) -3.78%", "D) -30.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-30.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%", "options": [ "A) 1.81%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,421K\nD) 419K", "options": [ "A) 219K", "B) 820K", "C) 1,421K", "D) 419K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "820K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $-72,920M\nB) $-64,440M\nC) $-60,200M\nD) $-47,480M", "options": [ "A) $-72,920M", "B) $-64,440M", "C) $-60,200M", "D) $-47,480M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-60,200M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.67%", "options": [ "A) 2.78%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 3.67%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 3.57%", "options": [ "A) 3.97%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 5.19%", "D) 3.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 6.82%", "options": [ "A) 6.34%", "B) 6.10%", "C) 5.86%", "D) 6.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 375K\nB) 1,219K\nC) 797K\nD) 1,429K", "options": [ "A) 375K", "B) 1,219K", "C) 797K", "D) 1,429K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "797K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 66.00%", "options": [ "A) 61.38%", "B) 67.98%", "C) 64.02%", "D) 66.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.90\nB) 174.88\nC) 200.92\nD) 207.43", "options": [ "A) 187.90", "B) 174.88", "C) 200.92", "D) 207.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "187.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.71%", "options": [ "A) 5.84%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 4.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.26%", "options": [ "A) 5.17%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 4.41%", "D) 3.26%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.95%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -7.27%", "options": [ "A) -5.95%", "B) -9.90%", "C) -8.58%", "D) -7.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) -8.84%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.14%", "options": [ "A) -2.35%", "B) -8.84%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4939\nB) 1.5472\nC) 1.4407\nD) 1.6537", "options": [ "A) 1.4939", "B) 1.5472", "C) 1.4407", "D) 1.6537" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.5472", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.80%", "options": [ "A) 1.92%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 1.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.10%", "options": [ "A) 5.93%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 5.66%", "D) 5.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -29.81%\nC) -21.80%\nD) 2.22%", "options": [ "A) -5.78%", "B) -29.81%", "C) -21.80%", "D) 2.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": [ "A) +0.00pp", "B) -0.60pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.80pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.5141\nB) 7.2681\nC) 6.8911\nD) 6.3255", "options": [ "A) 6.5141", "B) 7.2681", "C) 6.8911", "D) 6.3255" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.8911", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 86.81\nC) 93.69\nD) 90.25", "options": [ "A) 81.65", "B) 86.81", "C) 93.69", "D) 90.25" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "90.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,292M\nB) $-63,782M\nC) $-67,272M\nD) $-56,802M", "options": [ "A) $-60,292M", "B) $-63,782M", "C) $-67,272M", "D) $-56,802M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-60,292M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.02pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.47pp\nD) +0.27pp", "options": [ "A) +0.02pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) -0.47pp", "D) +0.27pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $225,005M\nB) $195,725M\nC) $215,245M\nD) $205,485M", "options": [ "A) $225,005M", "B) $195,725M", "C) $215,245M", "D) $205,485M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$215,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $213,149M\nB) $224,008M\nC) $202,289M\nD) $234,868M", "options": [ "A) $213,149M", "B) $224,008M", "C) $202,289M", "D) $234,868M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$234,868M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 4.23%", "options": [ "A) 3.02%", "B) 2.41%", "C) 4.84%", "D) 4.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.37%", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.18%\nD) 3.58%", "options": [ "A) 5.97%", "B) 5.38%", "C) 4.18%", "D) 3.58%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.00%", "options": [ "A) 6.42%", "B) 8.74%", "C) 8.16%", "D) 7.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.91\nB) 154.47\nC) 139.59\nD) 176.79", "options": [ "A) 161.91", "B) 154.47", "C) 139.59", "D) 176.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "161.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.57%\nC) -0.90%\nD) -0.41%", "options": [ "A) 1.55%", "B) 0.57%", "C) -0.90%", "D) -0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.77\nB) 88.80\nC) 93.79\nD) 102.10", "options": [ "A) 98.77", "B) 88.80", "C) 93.79", "D) 102.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 2.61%", "options": [ "A) 1.75%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 2.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $66,526M\nB) $60,422M\nC) $63,474M\nD) $75,682M", "options": [ "A) $66,526M", "B) $60,422M", "C) $63,474M", "D) $75,682M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66,526M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) -7.84%\nC) -4.69%\nD) -11.00%", "options": [ "A) -1.54%", "B) -7.84%", "C) -4.69%", "D) -11.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.04%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 1.49%", "options": [ "A) -0.04%", "B) 1.11%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.07%", "options": [ "A) 0.50%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $833M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $833M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$833M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.18%\nB) 9.95%\nC) 12.26%\nD) 11.49%", "options": [ "A) 9.18%", "B) 9.95%", "C) 12.26%", "D) 11.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 2.32%", "options": [ "A) 2.47%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 230.75\nB) 220.95\nC) 204.62\nD) 214.42", "options": [ "A) 230.75", "B) 220.95", "C) 204.62", "D) 214.42" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "214.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 101.53\nB) 107.22\nC) 111.01\nD) 97.74", "options": [ "A) 101.53", "B) 107.22", "C) 111.01", "D) 97.74" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $910M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $910M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$910M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 23.77", "B) 37.89", "C) 32.24", "D) 40.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 23.77", "B) 37.89", "C) 32.24", "D) 40.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 35.06", "C) 26.59", "D) 32.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 35.06", "C) 26.59", "D) 32.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 32.24", "B) 29.42", "C) 35.06", "D) 23.77" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 32.24", "B) 29.42", "C) 35.06", "D) 23.77" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 32.24", "C) 35.06", "D) 26.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 32.24", "C) 35.06", "D) 26.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 23.77", "C) 32.24", "D) 37.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 23.77", "C) 32.24", "D) 37.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 26.59", "C) 29.42", "D) 32.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 40.71", "B) 26.59", "C) 29.42", "D) 32.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 3.56%", "B) 4.18%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 3.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 3.56%", "B) 4.18%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 3.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 4.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 4.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.14%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 3.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.14%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 3.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 4.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 4.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.48%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 4.48%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,464.99", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,464.99", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,464.99", "D) 2,177.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,464.99", "D) 2,177.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,177.01", "B) 2,273.00", "C) 2,369.00", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,177.01", "B) 2,273.00", "C) 2,369.00", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,177.01", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,081.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,177.01", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,081.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,273.00", "B) 1,985.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,273.00", "B) 1,985.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 1,889.03", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,177.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2,369.00", "B) 1,889.03", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,177.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.81%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.81%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.81%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.81%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.72%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.72%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.26%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 2.26%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 0.44%", "D) 0.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 0.44%", "D) 0.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 0.44%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": [ "A) 0.44%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 39.06", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 39.06", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 27.38", "B) 36.14", "C) 21.54", "D) 30.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 27.38", "B) 36.14", "C) 21.54", "D) 30.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 30.30", "B) 24.46", "C) 36.14", "D) 21.54" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 30.30", "B) 24.46", "C) 36.14", "D) 21.54" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 39.06", "B) 30.30", "C) 36.14", "D) 27.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 39.06", "B) 30.30", "C) 36.14", "D) 27.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 27.38", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 27.38", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 36.14", "B) 33.22", "C) 27.38", "D) 30.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 36.14", "B) 33.22", "C) 27.38", "D) 30.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.83%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.83%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.11%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 4.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.88%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.11%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 4.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.88%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 4.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 4.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.38%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.38%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 4.78%", "D) 3.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 4.78%", "D) 3.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 4.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 4.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,420.12", "D) 2,273.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,420.12", "D) 2,273.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,273.90", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,420.12" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,273.90", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,420.12" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,273.90", "C) 2,493.23", "D) 2,054.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,273.90", "C) 2,493.23", "D) 2,054.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,493.23", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,493.23", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,347.01", "B) 2,200.79", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,273.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2,347.01", "B) 2,200.79", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,273.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.03%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.76%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.03%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.76%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.76%", "B) 0.03%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.76%", "B) 0.03%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.76%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.76%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 0.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 0.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.00%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 0.00%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 0.39%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 0.39%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 0.86%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 0.86%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 0.15%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.55%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": [ "A) 0.15%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.55%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 100.6454", "B) 107.1800", "C) 113.7146", "D) 116.9818" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 100.6454", "B) 107.1800", "C) 113.7146", "D) 116.9818" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 103.9127", "B) 97.3782", "C) 107.1800", "D) 100.6454" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 103.9127", "B) 97.3782", "C) 107.1800", "D) 100.6454" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 110.4473", "B) 116.9818", "C) 100.6454", "D) 107.1800" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 110.4473", "B) 116.9818", "C) 100.6454", "D) 107.1800" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 107.1800", "B) 97.3782", "C) 100.6454", "D) 116.9818" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 107.1800", "B) 97.3782", "C) 100.6454", "D) 116.9818" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 113.7146", "B) 107.1800", "C) 116.9818", "D) 110.4473" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 113.7146", "B) 107.1800", "C) 116.9818", "D) 110.4473" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 110.4473", "B) 113.7146", "C) 107.1800", "D) 103.9127" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": [ "A) 110.4473", "B) 113.7146", "C) 107.1800", "D) 103.9127" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,314.78", "B) 1,943.28", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,314.78", "B) 1,943.28", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,091.88", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 1,943.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,091.88", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 1,943.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,091.88", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,091.88", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,240.48", "B) 2,314.78", "C) 2,091.88", "D) 1,943.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,240.48", "B) 2,314.78", "C) 2,091.88", "D) 1,943.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,091.88", "B) 1,868.98", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 2,091.88", "B) 1,868.98", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 55.12", "B) 52.05", "C) 61.25", "D) 45.92" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "52.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 55.12", "B) 52.05", "C) 61.25", "D) 45.92" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "52.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 66.88", "B) 76.08", "C) 69.95", "D) 73.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "69.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 66.88", "B) 76.08", "C) 69.95", "D) 73.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "69.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 70.86", "B) 83.13", "C) 89.26", "D) 80.06" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 70.86", "B) 83.13", "C) 89.26", "D) 80.06" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 80.86", "B) 74.73", "C) 77.79", "D) 86.99" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 80.86", "B) 74.73", "C) 77.79", "D) 86.99" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 83.93", "B) 80.86", "C) 86.99", "D) 71.66" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 83.93", "B) 80.86", "C) 86.99", "D) 71.66" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 86.99", "B) 71.66", "C) 80.86", "D) 77.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 86.99", "B) 71.66", "C) 80.86", "D) 77.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 3.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 3.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 3.84%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 3.84%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.32%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.32%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.55%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.55%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.79%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.79%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.23%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.23%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.23%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.23%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.56%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.31%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.56%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.31%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.05%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 4.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 3.05%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 4.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.09%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.09%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.34%", "B) 5.47%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.47%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.34%", "B) 5.47%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.47%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.27%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 5.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.27%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 5.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 4.57%", "B) 5.09%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 4.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 4.57%", "B) 5.09%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 4.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 4.96%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 4.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 4.96%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 4.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.04%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 5.17%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": [ "A) 5.04%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 5.17%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.0429", "B) 1.4268", "C) 1.2828", "D) 1.1388" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2828", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.0429", "B) 1.4268", "C) 1.2828", "D) 1.1388" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2828", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.3984", "B) 1.0625", "C) 1.1584", "D) 1.3024" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3024", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.3984", "B) 1.0625", "C) 1.1584", "D) 1.3024" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3024", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.4358", "B) 1.5798", "C) 1.1959", "D) 1.2918" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.4358", "B) 1.5798", "C) 1.1959", "D) 1.2918" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.5798", "B) 1.4358", "C) 1.6757", "D) 1.2918" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.5798", "B) 1.4358", "C) 1.6757", "D) 1.2918" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.5318", "B) 1.2918", "C) 1.4358", "D) 1.6277" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.5318", "B) 1.2918", "C) 1.4358", "D) 1.6277" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.2918", "B) 1.6757", "C) 1.5318", "D) 1.4358" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": [ "A) 1.2918", "B) 1.6757", "C) 1.5318", "D) 1.4358" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008 } ]