[ { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,852M\nB) $-43,477M\nC) $-31,894M\nD) $-37,685M", "options": [ "A) $-60,852M", "B) $-43,477M", "C) $-31,894M", "D) $-37,685M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-43,477M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) -2.22%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 2.46%", "options": [ "A) -2.22%", "B) 4.80%", "C) 0.12%", "D) 2.46%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -35.63%\nB) -25.64%\nC) 4.33%\nD) -5.66%", "options": [ "A) -35.63%", "B) -25.64%", "C) 4.33%", "D) -5.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.49/hr\nB) $18.71/hr\nC) $19.10/hr\nD) $19.88/hr", "options": [ "A) $19.49/hr", "B) $18.71/hr", "C) $19.10/hr", "D) $19.88/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19.49/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.3663\nB) 80.7100\nC) 74.0537\nD) 94.0225", "options": [ "A) 87.3663", "B) 80.7100", "C) 74.0537", "D) 94.0225" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.7100", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 229.38\nB) 213.54\nC) 223.05\nD) 207.21", "options": [ "A) 229.38", "B) 213.54", "C) 223.05", "D) 207.21" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "223.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.42%", "options": [ "A) 7.17%", "B) 3.04%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 4.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 10.14%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 6.71%", "options": [ "A) 9.00%", "B) 10.14%", "C) 12.43%", "D) 6.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.95%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.71%\nD) 6.83%", "options": [ "A) 7.95%", "B) 4.59%", "C) 5.71%", "D) 6.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.52%\nB) -10.29%\nC) 14.12%\nD) 50.73%", "options": [ "A) 38.52%", "B) -10.29%", "C) 14.12%", "D) 50.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.01%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 14.11%\nD) 10.17%", "options": [ "A) 22.01%", "B) 2.27%", "C) 14.11%", "D) 10.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 38.75\nC) 9.70\nD) 27.13", "options": [ "A) 21.32", "B) 38.75", "C) 9.70", "D) 27.13" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,444B\nB) $8,935B\nC) $9,180B\nD) $8,199B", "options": [ "A) $8,444B", "B) $8,935B", "C) $9,180B", "D) $8,199B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,935B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 9.12%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 6.67%", "options": [ "A) 4.22%", "B) 9.12%", "C) 5.44%", "D) 6.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": [ "A) -0.80pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) -0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 6.49%", "options": [ "A) 3.81%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 6.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 9.18%\nD) 12.56%", "options": [ "A) 5.79%", "B) 2.41%", "C) 9.18%", "D) 12.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 185.56\nB) 221.84\nC) 203.70\nD) 197.65", "options": [ "A) 185.56", "B) 221.84", "C) 203.70", "D) 197.65" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "203.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 3.02%", "options": [ "A) 5.10%", "B) 0.93%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 5.69%\nD) 5.30%", "options": [ "A) 4.51%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 5.69%", "D) 5.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -8.84%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -20.73%", "options": [ "A) -4.88%", "B) -8.84%", "C) -12.81%", "D) -20.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.61%", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 2.61%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 156.21\nC) 132.13\nD) 140.16", "options": [ "A) 116.08", "B) 156.21", "C) 132.13", "D) 140.16" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.40%\nB) 78.76%\nC) 71.68%\nD) 81.12%", "options": [ "A) 76.40%", "B) 78.76%", "C) 71.68%", "D) 81.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.03pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -2.03pp\nD) -2.79pp", "options": [ "A) +1.03pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -2.03pp", "D) -2.79pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.92%\nB) -44.20%\nC) -15.14%\nD) -24.83%", "options": [ "A) 13.92%", "B) -44.20%", "C) -15.14%", "D) -24.83%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-15.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $384,093M\nB) $350,799M\nC) $337,481M\nD) $370,775M", "options": [ "A) $384,093M", "B) $350,799M", "C) $337,481M", "D) $370,775M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$370,775M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -1.21pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) -1.76pp", "options": [ "A) -0.10pp", "B) -1.21pp", "C) +0.45pp", "D) -1.76pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.74\nB) 93.33\nC) 95.53\nD) 90.02", "options": [ "A) 97.74", "B) 93.33", "C) 95.53", "D) 90.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) -0.05%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 4.27%", "options": [ "A) 2.83%", "B) -0.05%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 4.27%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -7.10%\nD) -4.05%", "options": [ "A) 5.11%", "B) -1.00%", "C) -7.10%", "D) -4.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 416,000\nB) 515,853\nC) 266,220\nD) 366,073", "options": [ "A) 416,000", "B) 515,853", "C) 266,220", "D) 366,073" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "416,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.07pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) -0.69pp", "options": [ "A) +1.07pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) +1.66pp", "D) -0.69pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.60\nB) 92.40\nC) 95.20\nD) 98.00", "options": [ "A) 103.60", "B) 92.40", "C) 95.20", "D) 98.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 35.54%\nC) -1.94%\nD) 16.80%", "options": [ "A) 7.43%", "B) 35.54%", "C) -1.94%", "D) 16.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,395M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,395M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$2,395M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.48pp\nB) -6.10pp\nC) -18.86pp\nD) +6.66pp", "options": [ "A) -12.48pp", "B) -6.10pp", "C) -18.86pp", "D) +6.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7079\nB) 7.1597\nC) 6.4820\nD) 6.2561", "options": [ "A) 6.7079", "B) 7.1597", "C) 6.4820", "D) 6.2561" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4820", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -1.72%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.54%", "options": [ "A) -0.64%", "B) -1.72%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 1.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 10.94%", "options": [ "A) 7.91%", "B) 13.97%", "C) 1.85%", "D) 10.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.36%", "options": [ "A) 5.26%", "B) 4.50%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.18%\nC) -3.07%\nD) -0.99%", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 3.18%", "C) -3.07%", "D) -0.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 29.55%\nB) -4.60%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 9.06%", "options": [ "A) 29.55%", "B) -4.60%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 9.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,929B\nB) $12,425B\nC) $12,177B\nD) $11,680B", "options": [ "A) $11,929B", "B) $12,425B", "C) $12,177B", "D) $11,680B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,929B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,463K\nB) 132,344K\nC) 140,875K\nD) 127,225K", "options": [ "A) 137,463K", "B) 132,344K", "C) 140,875K", "D) 127,225K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,344K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -27.81pp\nB) -2.33pp\nC) -8.70pp\nD) -21.44pp", "options": [ "A) -27.81pp", "B) -2.33pp", "C) -8.70pp", "D) -21.44pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-8.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.50%\nB) 55.30%\nC) 63.57%\nD) 58.40%", "options": [ "A) 61.50%", "B) 55.30%", "C) 63.57%", "D) 58.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.64%\nB) 24.13%\nC) -9.60%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) 10.64%", "B) 24.13%", "C) -9.60%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 64.20%\nC) 65.48%\nD) 62.27%", "options": [ "A) 67.41%", "B) 64.20%", "C) 65.48%", "D) 62.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 30.14%\nB) 19.78%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 40.49%", "options": [ "A) 30.14%", "B) 19.78%", "C) 9.43%", "D) 40.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) -0.90pp", "options": [ "A) +1.36pp", "B) -0.15pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) -0.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $380,042M\nB) $417,883M\nC) $357,338M\nD) $402,746M", "options": [ "A) $380,042M", "B) $417,883M", "C) $357,338M", "D) $402,746M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$380,042M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 29.52%\nD) -17.37%", "options": [ "A) -7.99%", "B) 1.39%", "C) 29.52%", "D) -17.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.14/hr\nB) $19.72/hr\nC) $19.30/hr\nD) $18.46/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.14/hr", "B) $19.72/hr", "C) $19.30/hr", "D) $18.46/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.30/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,638M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,638M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$2,638M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $-44,312M\nB) $-50,572M\nC) $-31,791M\nD) $-25,531M", "options": [ "A) $-44,312M", "B) $-50,572M", "C) $-31,791M", "D) $-25,531M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-44,312M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 831K\nB) 583K\nC) 1,078K\nD) 1,326K", "options": [ "A) 831K", "B) 583K", "C) 1,078K", "D) 1,326K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "583K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.64%\nB) -22.09%\nC) 8.35%\nD) 18.49%", "options": [ "A) 28.64%", "B) -22.09%", "C) 8.35%", "D) 18.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.11%", "B) 1.08%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 137.78\nB) 129.59\nC) 154.16\nD) 162.34", "options": [ "A) 137.78", "B) 129.59", "C) 154.16", "D) 162.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "137.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 8.96%", "options": [ "A) 7.25%", "B) 6.40%", "C) 4.69%", "D) 8.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.54pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.60pp\nD) +4.19pp", "options": [ "A) +1.54pp", "B) +2.07pp", "C) +2.60pp", "D) +4.19pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,633B\nB) $9,649B\nC) $7,955B\nD) $8,972B", "options": [ "A) $8,633B", "B) $9,649B", "C) $7,955B", "D) $8,972B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,972B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.83/bbl\nB) $126.82/bbl\nC) $84.17/bbl\nD) $116.16/bbl", "options": [ "A) $94.83/bbl", "B) $126.82/bbl", "C) $84.17/bbl", "D) $116.16/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$94.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 0.84%\nD) -2.51%", "options": [ "A) 7.54%", "B) 4.19%", "C) 0.84%", "D) -2.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,180M\nB) $62,381M\nC) $65,581M\nD) $68,781M", "options": [ "A) $75,180M", "B) $62,381M", "C) $65,581M", "D) $68,781M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$65,581M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.29%\nB) -22.31%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 22.09%", "options": [ "A) 44.29%", "B) -22.31%", "C) -0.11%", "D) 22.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,497M\nB) $56,071M\nC) $52,857M\nD) $72,137M", "options": [ "A) $62,497M", "B) $56,071M", "C) $52,857M", "D) $72,137M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$62,497M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.76%\nB) 9.55%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 7.34%", "options": [ "A) 11.76%", "B) 9.55%", "C) 8.45%", "D) 7.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,319K\nB) 1,080K\nC) 600K\nD) 360K", "options": [ "A) 1,319K", "B) 1,080K", "C) 600K", "D) 360K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "600K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.75%\nB) 52.91%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 34.49%", "options": [ "A) 89.75%", "B) 52.91%", "C) -2.34%", "D) 34.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "34.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.23%", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 1.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.30%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.22%\nD) -0.04%", "options": [ "A) -2.30%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 2.22%", "D) -0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.48\nB) 183.37\nC) 199.20\nD) 215.03", "options": [ "A) 204.48", "B) 183.37", "C) 199.20", "D) 215.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "199.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,673K\nB) 126,249K\nC) 136,317K\nD) 131,283K", "options": [ "A) 139,673K", "B) 126,249K", "C) 136,317K", "D) 131,283K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "131,283K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 2.14%", "options": [ "A) 1.55%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.37%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) 15.18%\nC) 71.36%\nD) -22.27%", "options": [ "A) -3.54%", "B) 15.18%", "C) 71.36%", "D) -22.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.65\nB) 85.64\nC) 90.67\nD) 93.68", "options": [ "A) 87.65", "B) 85.64", "C) 90.67", "D) 93.68" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "90.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.19%", "options": [ "A) 4.42%", "B) 4.89%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 4.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.08pp\nB) +9.49pp\nC) -4.04pp\nD) +1.37pp", "options": [ "A) +4.08pp", "B) +9.49pp", "C) -4.04pp", "D) +1.37pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.08pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.23%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 12.35%\nD) 10.12%", "options": [ "A) 11.23%", "B) 9.00%", "C) 12.35%", "D) 10.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.79%\nB) 12.72%\nC) 6.86%\nD) 15.66%", "options": [ "A) 9.79%", "B) 12.72%", "C) 6.86%", "D) 15.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.94\nB) 220.91\nC) 213.09\nD) 226.12", "options": [ "A) 233.94", "B) 220.91", "C) 213.09", "D) 226.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $114.67/bbl\nB) $81.59/bbl\nC) $103.64/bbl\nD) $125.70/bbl", "options": [ "A) $114.67/bbl", "B) $81.59/bbl", "C) $103.64/bbl", "D) $125.70/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.67/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.60\nB) 59.50\nC) 54.20\nD) 64.80", "options": [ "A) 43.60", "B) 59.50", "C) 54.20", "D) 64.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 7.39%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.12%", "options": [ "A) 8.46%", "B) 7.39%", "C) 5.26%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,854,252\nB) 5,649,748\nC) 3,119,417\nD) 3,752,000", "options": [ "A) 1,854,252", "B) 5,649,748", "C) 3,119,417", "D) 3,752,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,752,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.87%\nB) 83.39%\nC) 80.89%\nD) 68.36%", "options": [ "A) 75.87%", "B) 83.39%", "C) 80.89%", "D) 68.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.23%", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.10pp\nB) -6.68pp\nC) +1.69pp\nD) -3.89pp", "options": [ "A) -1.10pp", "B) -6.68pp", "C) +1.69pp", "D) -3.89pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.69pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,693M\nB) $227,776M\nC) $197,720M\nD) $212,748M", "options": [ "A) $182,693M", "B) $227,776M", "C) $197,720M", "D) $212,748M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$212,748M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 3.15%", "options": [ "A) 1.99%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 1.60%", "D) 3.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,147B\nB) $10,620B\nC) $9,917B\nD) $10,268B", "options": [ "A) $11,147B", "B) $10,620B", "C) $9,917B", "D) $10,268B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,620B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $249,159M\nB) $219,545M\nC) $204,738M\nD) $160,317M", "options": [ "A) $249,159M", "B) $219,545M", "C) $204,738M", "D) $160,317M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$204,738M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 0.14%", "options": [ "A) 2.39%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 1.27%", "D) 0.14%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,552B\nB) $9,893B\nC) $8,868B\nD) $9,210B", "options": [ "A) $9,552B", "B) $9,893B", "C) $8,868B", "D) $9,210B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,552B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.47%", "options": [ "A) 4.65%", "B) 6.30%", "C) 8.78%", "D) 5.47%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 94.81%\nB) -10.54%\nC) 52.67%\nD) 115.88%", "options": [ "A) 94.81%", "B) -10.54%", "C) 52.67%", "D) 115.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "52.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 61.43%\nC) 55.37%\nD) 58.40%", "options": [ "A) 53.36%", "B) 61.43%", "C) 55.37%", "D) 58.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.91%", "options": [ "A) 1.21%", "B) 0.31%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 2.35%", "options": [ "A) 0.99%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.33%", "D) 2.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,131B\nB) $10,261B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $11,479B", "options": [ "A) $11,131B", "B) $10,261B", "C) $10,783B", "D) $11,479B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$10,783B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 214.90\nB) 229.16\nC) 209.20\nD) 223.45", "options": [ "A) 214.90", "B) 229.16", "C) 209.20", "D) 223.45" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "223.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 4.45%\nD) -0.13%", "options": [ "A) 2.62%", "B) 5.37%", "C) 4.45%", "D) -0.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 51.08\nB) 67.50\nC) 83.92\nD) 72.97", "options": [ "A) 51.08", "B) 67.50", "C) 83.92", "D) 72.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "67.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 2.16%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 2.16%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.69\nB) 89.93\nC) 95.52\nD) 92.17", "options": [ "A) 87.69", "B) 89.93", "C) 95.52", "D) 92.17" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.60\nB) 220.36\nC) 211.01\nD) 235.95", "options": [ "A) 226.60", "B) 220.36", "C) 211.01", "D) 235.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "226.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 991K\nB) 610K\nC) 1,182K\nD) 229K", "options": [ "A) 991K", "B) 610K", "C) 1,182K", "D) 229K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "610K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.6476\nB) 1.5574\nC) 1.4221\nD) 1.3319", "options": [ "A) 1.6476", "B) 1.5574", "C) 1.4221", "D) 1.3319" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4221", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 8.67%", "options": [ "A) 20.16%", "B) 12.50%", "C) 4.85%", "D) 8.67%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.30%", "options": [ "A) 1.99%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 0.24%", "options": [ "A) 7.45%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 1.68%", "D) 0.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.46\nB) 86.86\nC) 91.57\nD) 88.74", "options": [ "A) 93.46", "B) 86.86", "C) 91.57", "D) 88.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 66.13%\nC) 68.69%\nD) 64.20%", "options": [ "A) 62.27%", "B) 66.13%", "C) 68.69%", "D) 64.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.85%", "B) 2.70%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 1.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.50\nB) 106.70\nC) 110.97\nD) 108.83", "options": [ "A) 103.50", "B) 106.70", "C) 110.97", "D) 108.83" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "106.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.65\nB) 108.15\nC) 105.00\nD) 101.85", "options": [ "A) 97.65", "B) 108.15", "C) 105.00", "D) 101.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "105.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 89.56\nB) 85.11\nC) 91.79\nD) 87.33", "options": [ "A) 89.56", "B) 85.11", "C) 91.79", "D) 87.33" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 650K\nB) 838K\nC) 1,025K\nD) 462K", "options": [ "A) 650K", "B) 838K", "C) 1,025K", "D) 462K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "650K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.95\nB) 94.08\nC) 99.81\nD) 91.21", "options": [ "A) 96.95", "B) 94.08", "C) 99.81", "D) 91.21" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,095.97\nB) 3,166.95\nC) 2,631.46\nD) 2,452.96", "options": [ "A) 2,095.97", "B) 3,166.95", "C) 2,631.46", "D) 2,452.96" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,631.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,005B\nB) $12,484B\nC) $12,237B\nD) $11,744B", "options": [ "A) $11,005B", "B) $12,484B", "C) $12,237B", "D) $11,744B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,744B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.90pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -0.50pp", "options": [ "A) -0.70pp", "B) -0.90pp", "C) -1.30pp", "D) -0.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,488.81", "B) 2,357.69", "C) 1,964.34", "D) 2,751.04" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,488.81", "B) 2,357.69", "C) 1,964.34", "D) 2,751.04" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1,948.49", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,079.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1,948.49", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,079.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,735.19", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,079.61", "D) 2,341.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,735.19", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,079.61", "D) 2,341.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,335.83", "B) 2,073.60", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 1,942.48" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,335.83", "B) 2,073.60", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 1,942.48" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,073.60", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 2,598.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,073.60", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 2,598.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,598.06", "B) 2,466.95", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,942.48" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,598.06", "B) 2,466.95", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,942.48" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.64%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.02%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.64%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.02%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.72%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.72%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 32.73", "B) 35.06", "C) 37.39", "D) 28.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 32.73", "B) 35.06", "C) 37.39", "D) 28.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 33.91", "B) 29.25", "C) 31.58", "D) 26.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 33.91", "B) 29.25", "C) 31.58", "D) 26.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 29.25", "B) 24.58", "C) 38.58", "D) 31.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 29.25", "B) 24.58", "C) 38.58", "D) 31.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 30.98", "B) 28.65", "C) 23.98", "D) 35.64" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 30.98", "B) 28.65", "C) 23.98", "D) 35.64" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 22.20", "B) 24.53", "C) 29.19", "D) 31.53" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 22.20", "B) 24.53", "C) 29.19", "D) 31.53" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 11.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 11.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4935", "B) 1.2337", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.4193" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4935", "B) 1.2337", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.4193" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4193", "B) 1.5306", "C) 1.2337", "D) 1.3080" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4193", "B) 1.5306", "C) 1.2337", "D) 1.3080" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4935", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.3451", "D) 1.5678" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4935", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.3451", "D) 1.5678" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2168", "B) 1.4394", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.5137" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2168", "B) 1.4394", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.5137" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4023", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.1425", "D) 1.3281" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4023", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.1425", "D) 1.3281" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2682", "B) 1.1940", "C) 1.3424", "D) 1.0826" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2682", "B) 1.1940", "C) 1.3424", "D) 1.0826" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 78.7400", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 78.7400", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 76.1244", "B) 86.5869", "C) 78.7400", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 76.1244", "B) 86.5869", "C) 78.7400", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 83.9713", "B) 76.1244", "C) 70.8931", "D) 78.7400" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 83.9713", "B) 76.1244", "C) 70.8931", "D) 78.7400" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 86.5869", "D) 70.8931" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 86.5869", "D) 70.8931" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 79.0256", "B) 73.7944", "C) 76.4100", "D) 84.2569" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 79.0256", "B) 73.7944", "C) 76.4100", "D) 84.2569" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 24.41", "B) 27.69", "C) 17.85", "D) 21.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 24.41", "B) 27.69", "C) 17.85", "D) 21.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 24.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 24.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 26.74", "B) 16.90", "C) 20.18", "D) 13.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 26.74", "B) 16.90", "C) 20.18", "D) 13.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.90", "B) 11.34", "C) 14.62", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.90", "B) 11.34", "C) 14.62", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.90", "B) 24.46", "C) 21.18", "D) 14.62" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.90", "B) 24.46", "C) 21.18", "D) 14.62" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 14.62", "B) 11.34", "C) 17.90", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 14.62", "B) 11.34", "C) 17.90", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,297.82", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,776.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,297.82", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,776.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,776.32", "B) 2,138.31", "C) 2,616.82", "D) 2,457.32" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,776.32", "B) 2,138.31", "C) 2,616.82", "D) 2,457.32" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,138.31", "B) 2,457.32", "C) 3,095.33", "D) 2,616.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,138.31", "B) 2,457.32", "C) 3,095.33", "D) 2,616.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,616.82", "B) 3,095.33", "C) 2,297.82", "D) 2,935.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,616.82", "B) 3,095.33", "C) 2,297.82", "D) 2,935.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,095.33", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,297.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,095.33", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,297.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 1,863.33", "B) 2,022.84", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,660.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 1,863.33", "B) 2,022.84", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,660.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $86.28/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $97.23/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $86.28/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $97.23/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $97.23/bbl", "B) $108.18/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $113.65/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $97.23/bbl", "B) $108.18/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $113.65/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $97.23/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $91.76/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $97.23/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $91.76/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $113.29/bbl", "B) $91.40/bbl", "C) $96.87/bbl", "D) $85.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $113.29/bbl", "B) $91.40/bbl", "C) $96.87/bbl", "D) $85.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $101.87/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $79.98/bbl", "D) $96.40/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $101.87/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $79.98/bbl", "D) $96.40/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $79.32/bbl", "B) $73.85/bbl", "C) $68.37/bbl", "D) $95.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $79.32/bbl", "B) $73.85/bbl", "C) $68.37/bbl", "D) $95.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,796.69", "B) 2,532.41", "C) 2,664.55", "D) 2,268.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,532.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,796.69", "B) 2,532.41", "C) 2,664.55", "D) 2,268.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,532.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,225.55", "B) 2,621.97", "C) 2,357.69", "D) 2,093.41" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,225.55", "B) 2,621.97", "C) 2,357.69", "D) 2,093.41" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,077.56", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,341.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,077.56", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,341.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,341.84", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,738.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,341.84", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,738.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,467.97", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,600.11", "D) 1,939.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,467.97", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,600.11", "D) 1,939.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,732.25", "B) 2,467.97", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,939.41" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,732.25", "B) 2,467.97", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,939.41" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.96%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.96%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 25.71", "B) 23.38", "C) 28.03", "D) 30.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 25.71", "B) 23.38", "C) 28.03", "D) 30.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 18.73", "B) 16.40", "C) 23.38", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 18.73", "B) 16.40", "C) 23.38", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 25.71", "B) 30.36", "C) 28.03", "D) 23.38" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 25.71", "B) 30.36", "C) 28.03", "D) 23.38" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 23.38", "B) 21.05", "C) 18.73", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 23.38", "B) 21.05", "C) 18.73", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 28.03", "B) 23.38", "C) 16.40", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 28.03", "B) 23.38", "C) 16.40", "D) 25.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 13.63", "B) 25.26", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 13.63", "B) 25.26", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.61%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.61%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.19%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.19%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.05%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.50%", "D) 0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.05%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.50%", "D) 0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011 } ]