[ { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,663B\nB) $12,386B\nC) $11,834B\nD) $13,215B", "options": [ "A) $12,663B", "B) $12,386B", "C) $11,834B", "D) $13,215B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +8.58pp\nB) -2.75pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -5.58pp", "options": [ "A) +8.58pp", "B) -2.75pp", "C) +0.09pp", "D) -5.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.09pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.75%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 0.09%", "options": [ "A) 0.75%", "B) 1.42%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 0.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.19%", "options": [ "A) 0.68%", "B) 0.17%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 1.19%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.47%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 0.14%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.47%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.24%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 10.27%", "options": [ "A) 9.24%", "B) 6.13%", "C) 8.20%", "D) 10.27%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,353B\nB) $11,893B\nC) $10,455B\nD) $10,994B", "options": [ "A) $11,353B", "B) $11,893B", "C) $10,455B", "D) $10,994B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,994B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 3.52%", "B) 0.84%", "C) 4.86%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $8,776B\nB) $9,854B\nC) $10,572B\nD) $10,931B", "options": [ "A) $8,776B", "B) $9,854B", "C) $10,572B", "D) $10,931B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$9,854B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,120K\nB) 963K\nC) 806K\nD) 649K", "options": [ "A) 1,120K", "B) 963K", "C) 806K", "D) 649K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "806K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.75\nB) 74.85\nC) 85.20\nD) 78.30", "options": [ "A) 81.75", "B) 74.85", "C) 85.20", "D) 78.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.60%\nB) 9.26%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 5.94%", "options": [ "A) 7.60%", "B) 9.26%", "C) 10.08%", "D) 5.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.99%\nC) -0.90%\nD) 1.69%", "options": [ "A) 4.28%", "B) 2.99%", "C) -0.90%", "D) 1.69%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.95pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) -1.35pp", "options": [ "A) +1.95pp", "B) -0.25pp", "C) +0.30pp", "D) -1.35pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.60%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 58.70%\nB) 56.11%\nC) 61.29%\nD) 54.39%", "options": [ "A) 58.70%", "B) 56.11%", "C) 61.29%", "D) 54.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "58.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 9.68%\nD) 5.75%", "options": [ "A) 3.13%", "B) 7.06%", "C) 9.68%", "D) 5.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $79,204M\nB) $59,778M\nC) $69,491M\nD) $66,253M", "options": [ "A) $79,204M", "B) $59,778M", "C) $69,491M", "D) $66,253M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69,491M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 222.49\nB) 192.34\nC) 198.37\nD) 204.40", "options": [ "A) 222.49", "B) 192.34", "C) 198.37", "D) 204.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "204.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.45%", "options": [ "A) 1.69%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 1.93%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,072B\nB) $12,319B\nC) $11,567B\nD) $11,818B", "options": [ "A) $13,072B", "B) $12,319B", "C) $11,567B", "D) $11,818B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,319B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.63pp", "options": [ "A) +0.42pp", "B) -0.39pp", "C) -1.20pp", "D) -3.63pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.48%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.29%", "options": [ "A) 2.08%", "B) 1.48%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 13.65%\nC) 32.51%\nD) 23.08%", "options": [ "A) 4.22%", "B) 13.65%", "C) 32.51%", "D) 23.08%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.30\nB) 93.12\nC) 88.42\nD) 95.00", "options": [ "A) 90.30", "B) 93.12", "C) 88.42", "D) 95.00" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 216.05\nB) 222.04\nC) 231.01\nD) 237.00", "options": [ "A) 216.05", "B) 222.04", "C) 231.01", "D) 237.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "231.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 235.65\nB) 240.64\nC) 225.67\nD) 230.66", "options": [ "A) 235.65", "B) 240.64", "C) 225.67", "D) 230.66" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "230.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48%\nB) 74.43%\nC) 70.31%\nD) 72.37%", "options": [ "A) 76.48%", "B) 74.43%", "C) 70.31%", "D) 72.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.96%\nB) 15.83%\nC) -7.36%\nD) 39.03%", "options": [ "A) -18.96%", "B) 15.83%", "C) -7.36%", "D) 39.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +31.37pp\nB) +6.23pp\nC) +18.80pp\nD) +37.66pp", "options": [ "A) +31.37pp", "B) +6.23pp", "C) +18.80pp", "D) +37.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+18.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,458B\nB) $10,995B\nC) $9,073B\nD) $10,226B", "options": [ "A) $9,458B", "B) $10,995B", "C) $9,073B", "D) $10,226B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,226B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.94%", "options": [ "A) 2.29%", "B) 2.98%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 128,803K\nB) 133,748K\nC) 141,990K\nD) 137,045K", "options": [ "A) 128,803K", "B) 133,748K", "C) 141,990K", "D) 137,045K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "133,748K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 192.21\nB) 210.20\nC) 204.20\nD) 222.19", "options": [ "A) 192.21", "B) 210.20", "C) 204.20", "D) 222.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "204.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.39/bbl\nB) $104.74/bbl\nC) $115.10/bbl\nD) $84.03/bbl", "options": [ "A) $94.39/bbl", "B) $104.74/bbl", "C) $115.10/bbl", "D) $84.03/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$84.03/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $97.13/bbl\nB) $133.17/bbl\nC) $73.10/bbl\nD) $121.16/bbl", "options": [ "A) $97.13/bbl", "B) $133.17/bbl", "C) $73.10/bbl", "D) $121.16/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.98pp\nD) +1.18pp", "options": [ "A) +1.72pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) -0.98pp", "D) +1.18pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $376,824M\nB) $408,110M\nC) $397,681M\nD) $418,538M", "options": [ "A) $376,824M", "B) $408,110M", "C) $397,681M", "D) $418,538M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$397,681M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 127,208K\nB) 131,593K\nC) 137,441K\nD) 134,517K", "options": [ "A) 127,208K", "B) 131,593K", "C) 137,441K", "D) 134,517K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "134,517K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 1.96%", "options": [ "A) 2.25%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 2.53%", "D) 1.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 85.27\nB) 76.20\nC) 67.13\nD) 71.66", "options": [ "A) 85.27", "B) 76.20", "C) 67.13", "D) 71.66" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.8676\nB) 91.0852\nC) 78.6500\nD) 72.4324", "options": [ "A) 84.8676", "B) 91.0852", "C) 78.6500", "D) 72.4324" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.6500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.68pp\nB) +9.38pp\nC) +6.57pp\nD) +0.94pp", "options": [ "A) -4.68pp", "B) +9.38pp", "C) +6.57pp", "D) +0.94pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.94pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,323,000\nB) 2,775,151\nC) 4,418,698\nD) 2,227,302", "options": [ "A) 3,323,000", "B) 2,775,151", "C) 4,418,698", "D) 2,227,302" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,323,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) -11.50%\nC) -55.30%\nD) -33.40%", "options": [ "A) 10.40%", "B) -11.50%", "C) -55.30%", "D) -33.40%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.96%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 1.48%", "options": [ "A) 10.96%", "B) 7.80%", "C) 4.64%", "D) 1.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 55.55%\nC) 60.47%\nD) 58.50%", "options": [ "A) 63.42%", "B) 55.55%", "C) 60.47%", "D) 58.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.77pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": [ "A) -0.60pp", "B) -1.10pp", "C) -0.77pp", "D) -0.27pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.71\nB) 21.11\nC) 31.90\nD) 37.30", "options": [ "A) 15.71", "B) 21.11", "C) 31.90", "D) 37.30" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 515,294\nB) 296,471\nC) 384,000\nD) 427,765", "options": [ "A) 515,294", "B) 296,471", "C) 384,000", "D) 427,765" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "384,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.86\nB) 104.82\nC) 94.90\nD) 97.38", "options": [ "A) 99.86", "B) 104.82", "C) 94.90", "D) 97.38" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $-49,749M\nB) $-33,225M\nC) $-55,257M\nD) $-44,241M", "options": [ "A) $-49,749M", "B) $-33,225M", "C) $-55,257M", "D) $-44,241M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-49,749M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 81.34%\nB) 76.82%\nC) 74.56%\nD) 72.30%", "options": [ "A) 81.34%", "B) 76.82%", "C) 74.56%", "D) 72.30%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.78%\nB) 61.69%\nC) 63.60%\nD) 65.51%", "options": [ "A) 66.78%", "B) 61.69%", "C) 63.60%", "D) 65.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.35pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +1.31pp", "options": [ "A) +2.35pp", "B) +0.96pp", "C) +1.66pp", "D) +1.31pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 2.18%\nC) -6.76%\nD) -3.19%", "options": [ "A) -1.40%", "B) 2.18%", "C) -6.76%", "D) -3.19%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) +8.70pp\nC) +20.84pp\nD) +2.63pp", "options": [ "A) -3.44pp", "B) +8.70pp", "C) +20.84pp", "D) +2.63pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+8.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,715B\nB) $10,699B\nC) $11,105B\nD) $10,090B", "options": [ "A) $11,715B", "B) $10,699B", "C) $11,105B", "D) $10,090B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,105B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 15.58%\nB) 60.92%\nC) 49.58%\nD) 38.25%", "options": [ "A) 15.58%", "B) 60.92%", "C) 49.58%", "D) 38.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.84%\nB) 12.28%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 7.39%", "options": [ "A) 9.84%", "B) 12.28%", "C) 6.17%", "D) 7.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.91/hr\nB) $19.64/hr\nC) $18.18/hr\nD) $20.37/hr", "options": [ "A) $18.91/hr", "B) $19.64/hr", "C) $18.18/hr", "D) $20.37/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$19.64/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,936M\nB) $-43,865M\nC) $-38,794M\nD) $-23,580M", "options": [ "A) $-48,936M", "B) $-43,865M", "C) $-38,794M", "D) $-23,580M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-38,794M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.19%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.20%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 6.41%\nD) 9.57%", "options": [ "A) 7.20%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 6.41%", "D) 9.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 97.80\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.38\nD) 89.24", "options": [ "A) 97.80", "B) 93.52", "C) 91.38", "D) 89.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 3.79%", "options": [ "A) 0.97%", "B) 3.09%", "C) 1.68%", "D) 3.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.73\nB) 101.57\nC) 105.07\nD) 107.40", "options": [ "A) 109.73", "B) 101.57", "C) 105.07", "D) 107.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.58pp\nC) -0.93pp\nD) -0.75pp", "options": [ "A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.58pp", "C) -0.93pp", "D) -0.75pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 4.96%", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 4.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $178,115M\nB) $265,343M\nC) $221,729M\nD) $192,653M", "options": [ "A) $178,115M", "B) $265,343M", "C) $221,729M", "D) $192,653M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$221,729M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.58pp\nB) +1.53pp\nC) -3.13pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": [ "A) -1.58pp", "B) +1.53pp", "C) -3.13pp", "D) -0.80pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2633\nB) 1.1342\nC) 1.0481\nD) 1.3924", "options": [ "A) 1.2633", "B) 1.1342", "C) 1.0481", "D) 1.3924" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2633", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 102.18\nB) 96.74\nC) 99.46\nD) 88.58", "options": [ "A) 102.18", "B) 96.74", "C) 99.46", "D) 88.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "96.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 2.80%", "options": [ "A) 0.28%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 1.54%", "D) 2.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.15%\nB) 9.29%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 6.18%", "options": [ "A) -3.15%", "B) 9.29%", "C) 12.40%", "D) 6.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.80%\nB) 65.71%\nC) 67.63%\nD) 61.89%", "options": [ "A) 63.80%", "B) 65.71%", "C) 67.63%", "D) 61.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.38%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 0.79%", "options": [ "A) -1.38%", "B) 1.88%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 0.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.41\nB) 162.26\nC) 144.35\nD) 156.29", "options": [ "A) 132.41", "B) 162.26", "C) 144.35", "D) 156.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "144.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $411,000M\nB) $385,047M\nC) $376,396M\nD) $393,698M", "options": [ "A) $411,000M", "B) $385,047M", "C) $376,396M", "D) $393,698M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$393,698M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.79/hr\nB) $19.14/hr\nC) $21.10/hr\nD) $20.44/hr", "options": [ "A) $19.79/hr", "B) $19.14/hr", "C) $21.10/hr", "D) $20.44/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19.79/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,595M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $2,595M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,595M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.62\nB) 98.17\nC) 94.89\nD) 100.35", "options": [ "A) 91.62", "B) 98.17", "C) 94.89", "D) 100.35" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "94.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -7.35%\nB) 9.61%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 2.83%", "options": [ "A) -7.35%", "B) 9.61%", "C) -0.56%", "D) 2.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,822M\nB) $70,549M\nC) $73,912M\nD) $60,459M", "options": [ "A) $63,822M", "B) $70,549M", "C) $73,912M", "D) $60,459M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$63,822M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) -2.68%\nC) 11.40%\nD) -16.76%", "options": [ "A) 4.36%", "B) -2.68%", "C) 11.40%", "D) -16.76%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 2.05%", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 0.13%", "D) 2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,105B\nB) $8,837B\nC) $9,775B\nD) $9,373B", "options": [ "A) $9,105B", "B) $8,837B", "C) $9,775B", "D) $9,373B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,373B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,872.80\nB) 2,465.41\nC) 3,076.49\nD) 2,669.11", "options": [ "A) 2,872.80", "B) 2,465.41", "C) 3,076.49", "D) 2,669.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,872.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.67%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 12.37%", "options": [ "A) -7.67%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 12.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.91%", "options": [ "A) 0.61%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 4.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.37%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 44.49%\nD) -19.02%", "options": [ "A) -61.37%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 44.49%", "D) -19.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-19.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 233.54\nC) 215.83\nD) 223.42", "options": [ "A) 228.48", "B) 233.54", "C) 215.83", "D) 223.42" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "228.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.96%\nB) 30.31%\nC) 43.66%\nD) 57.01%", "options": [ "A) 16.96%", "B) 30.31%", "C) 43.66%", "D) 57.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.70%\nD) 2.09%", "options": [ "A) 3.62%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 2.70%", "D) 2.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.31%\nB) -3.54%\nC) 24.85%\nD) 5.92%", "options": [ "A) 34.31%", "B) -3.54%", "C) 24.85%", "D) 5.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 6.44%\nD) -5.35%", "options": [ "A) 2.51%", "B) 10.37%", "C) 6.44%", "D) -5.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.16%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 9.07%\nD) -1.35%", "options": [ "A) 11.16%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 9.07%", "D) -1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 96.44\nB) 88.90\nC) 94.28\nD) 91.05", "options": [ "A) 96.44", "B) 88.90", "C) 94.28", "D) 91.05" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "94.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 2.30%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 135.85\nB) 128.31\nC) 120.76\nD) 113.21", "options": [ "A) 135.85", "B) 128.31", "C) 120.76", "D) 113.21" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "135.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $258,729M\nB) $216,864M\nC) $188,954M\nD) $174,999M", "options": [ "A) $258,729M", "B) $216,864M", "C) $188,954M", "D) $174,999M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$216,864M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 11.19%\nD) -9.44%", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) -2.56%", "C) 11.19%", "D) -9.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 38.95%\nB) 92.99%\nC) 79.48%\nD) 52.46%", "options": [ "A) 38.95%", "B) 92.99%", "C) 79.48%", "D) 52.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 695K\nB) 1,157K\nC) 233K\nD) 1,003K", "options": [ "A) 695K", "B) 1,157K", "C) 233K", "D) 1,003K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "695K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.13%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.14%\nD) -4.55%", "options": [ "A) -1.13%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 9.14%", "D) -4.55%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.37%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 6.94%", "options": [ "A) 10.37%", "B) 8.66%", "C) 7.80%", "D) 6.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8617\nB) 6.8681\nC) 6.7004\nD) 6.3649", "options": [ "A) 5.8617", "B) 6.8681", "C) 6.7004", "D) 6.3649" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3649", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 847K\nB) 550K\nC) 946K\nD) 1,045K", "options": [ "A) 847K", "B) 550K", "C) 946K", "D) 1,045K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "847K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.17%", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 2.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) -0.59%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.99%", "options": [ "A) 3.87%", "B) -0.59%", "C) 1.64%", "D) 4.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 18.82%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 7.08%", "options": [ "A) 18.82%", "B) -0.74%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 7.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 7.07%\nD) 8.16%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 7.07%", "D) 8.16%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.79%\nB) 9.49%\nC) 46.33%\nD) 21.77%", "options": [ "A) -2.79%", "B) 9.49%", "C) 46.33%", "D) 21.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 1.41%\nD) -0.27%", "options": [ "A) 2.53%", "B) 0.29%", "C) 1.41%", "D) -0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 2.82%\nD) 2.04%", "options": [ "A) 1.53%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 2.82%", "D) 2.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.81\nB) 234.86\nC) 243.94\nD) 219.73", "options": [ "A) 228.81", "B) 234.86", "C) 243.94", "D) 219.73" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "228.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,655M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,655M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,655M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.31%\nB) 52.17%\nC) -1.62%\nD) -19.55%", "options": [ "A) 16.31%", "B) 52.17%", "C) -1.62%", "D) -19.55%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 2.58%", "options": [ "A) 5.30%", "B) 4.40%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 831K\nC) 632K\nD) 731K", "options": [ "A) 930K", "B) 831K", "C) 632K", "D) 731K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "930K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.09\nB) 108.20\nC) 101.72\nD) 104.31", "options": [ "A) 112.09", "B) 108.20", "C) 101.72", "D) 104.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.30\nB) 98.07\nC) 92.52\nD) 89.75", "options": [ "A) 95.30", "B) 98.07", "C) 92.52", "D) 89.75" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "92.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.67%\nB) 6.76%\nC) -0.78%\nD) 2.99%", "options": [ "A) -2.67%", "B) 6.76%", "C) -0.78%", "D) 2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.86%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) 1.04%", "C) 4.68%", "D) 2.86%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -25.22%\nB) 10.85%\nC) -7.18%\nD) 46.92%", "options": [ "A) -25.22%", "B) 10.85%", "C) -7.18%", "D) 46.92%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.0592", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.3083" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.0592", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.3083" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.0592", "D) 1.2149" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.0592", "D) 1.2149" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.2149", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.1526", "D) 1.2772" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.2149", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.1526", "D) 1.2772" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.2149", "C) 1.0904", "D) 1.3083" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1526", "B) 1.2149", "C) 1.0904", "D) 1.3083" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.0592", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.1215" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.0592", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.1215" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1215", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.2772", "D) 1.2149" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.1215", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.2772", "D) 1.2149" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 18.96", "B) 9.26", "C) 28.66", "D) 25.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 18.96", "B) 9.26", "C) 28.66", "D) 25.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 12.49", "B) 18.96", "C) 9.26", "D) 22.19" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 12.49", "B) 18.96", "C) 9.26", "D) 22.19" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 25.43", "B) 9.26", "C) 18.96", "D) 22.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 25.43", "B) 9.26", "C) 18.96", "D) 22.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 9.26", "B) 12.49", "C) 25.43", "D) 18.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 9.26", "B) 12.49", "C) 25.43", "D) 18.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 18.96", "B) 15.73", "C) 28.66", "D) 12.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 18.96", "B) 15.73", "C) 28.66", "D) 12.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 13.02", "B) 22.72", "C) 16.25", "D) 25.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.72", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 13.02", "B) 22.72", "C) 16.25", "D) 25.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.72", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.51%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 0.88%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.51%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 0.88%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 2.14%", "D) 1.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 2.14%", "D) 1.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.57%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.57%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012 } ]