[ { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.59%\nB) 78.46%\nC) 81.88%\nD) 75.05%", "options": [ "A) 83.59%", "B) 78.46%", "C) 81.88%", "D) 75.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4545\nB) 1.2289\nC) 1.3578\nD) 1.2933", "options": [ "A) 1.4545", "B) 1.2289", "C) 1.3578", "D) 1.2933" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3578", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.60\nB) 95.00\nC) 97.30\nD) 101.89", "options": [ "A) 99.60", "B) 95.00", "C) 97.30", "D) 101.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 1.13%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 1.13%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.47%\nB) 2.72%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 5.82%", "options": [ "A) -3.47%", "B) 2.72%", "C) -0.37%", "D) 5.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": [ "A) -0.53pp", "B) -0.02pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.27pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -0.02%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 2.76%", "C) -0.02%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,176B\nB) $9,570B\nC) $10,782B\nD) $9,167B", "options": [ "A) $10,176B", "B) $9,570B", "C) $10,782B", "D) $9,167B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,176B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.59pp\nD) -0.07pp", "options": [ "A) -0.33pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.59pp", "D) -0.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.17%\nB) -1.78%\nC) 3.69%\nD) -4.52%", "options": [ "A) 9.17%", "B) -1.78%", "C) 3.69%", "D) -4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.44/bbl\nB) $138.90/bbl\nC) $130.40/bbl\nD) $113.42/bbl", "options": [ "A) $96.44/bbl", "B) $138.90/bbl", "C) $130.40/bbl", "D) $113.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$113.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $421,230M\nB) $435,655M\nC) $377,955M\nD) $450,080M", "options": [ "A) $421,230M", "B) $435,655M", "C) $377,955M", "D) $450,080M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$421,230M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.56%\nD) 8.88%", "options": [ "A) 3.59%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 7.56%", "D) 8.88%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,065,687\nB) 1,653,627\nC) 2,595,000\nD) 4,007,060", "options": [ "A) 3,065,687", "B) 1,653,627", "C) 2,595,000", "D) 4,007,060" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,595,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.45%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) -1.39%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 6.20%", "options": [ "A) 1.14%", "B) -1.39%", "C) 3.67%", "D) 6.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 6.48%", "options": [ "A) 4.73%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 6.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.88pp\nB) +6.38pp\nC) +1.25pp\nD) -6.45pp", "options": [ "A) -3.88pp", "B) +6.38pp", "C) +1.25pp", "D) -6.45pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 8.44%\nD) 6.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 3.66%", "C) 8.44%", "D) 6.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 38.58%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -22.88%", "options": [ "A) 14.00%", "B) 38.58%", "C) 50.87%", "D) -22.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 3.65%", "options": [ "A) 3.92%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 0.57%", "options": [ "A) 1.81%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 2.13%", "options": [ "A) 2.32%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 2.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.23%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 0.16%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 0.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 7.21%\nD) 1.46%", "options": [ "A) 5.77%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 7.21%", "D) 1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 6.52%", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) 5.35%", "C) 4.77%", "D) 6.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 131,086K\nB) 142,125K\nC) 135,225K\nD) 137,985K", "options": [ "A) 131,086K", "B) 142,125K", "C) 135,225K", "D) 137,985K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "137,985K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 52.21%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 24.01%", "options": [ "A) 9.90%", "B) 52.21%", "C) -4.20%", "D) 24.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $-34,146M\nB) $-42,940M\nC) $-45,871M\nD) $-37,078M", "options": [ "A) $-34,146M", "B) $-42,940M", "C) $-45,871M", "D) $-37,078M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-42,940M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.11/hr\nB) $19.56/hr\nC) $20.66/hr\nD) $21.21/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.11/hr", "B) $19.56/hr", "C) $20.66/hr", "D) $21.21/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20.66/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.65\nB) 103.06\nC) 113.75\nD) 110.70", "options": [ "A) 107.65", "B) 103.06", "C) 113.75", "D) 110.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "110.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 7.17%", "options": [ "A) 6.70%", "B) 5.76%", "C) 7.64%", "D) 7.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.09%\nB) 8.28%\nC) -17.77%\nD) 25.65%", "options": [ "A) -9.09%", "B) 8.28%", "C) -17.77%", "D) 25.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.19%\nB) -11.81%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 5.03%", "options": [ "A) -6.19%", "B) -11.81%", "C) -0.58%", "D) 5.03%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.06\nB) 242.19\nC) 247.75\nD) 236.62", "options": [ "A) 231.06", "B) 242.19", "C) 247.75", "D) 236.62" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "236.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.10%\nB) 57.33%\nC) 60.87%\nD) 54.96%", "options": [ "A) 59.10%", "B) 57.33%", "C) 60.87%", "D) 54.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,913K\nB) 139,563K\nC) 142,503K\nD) 135,153K", "options": [ "A) 146,913K", "B) 139,563K", "C) 142,503K", "D) 135,153K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "139,563K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 15.56%\nC) 8.94%\nD) -0.99%", "options": [ "A) 12.25%", "B) 15.56%", "C) 8.94%", "D) -0.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 280,466\nB) 246,932\nC) 347,534\nD) 314,000", "options": [ "A) 280,466", "B) 246,932", "C) 347,534", "D) 314,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "314,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $3,886M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $3,886M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,886M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,626M\nB) $236,112M\nC) $198,653M\nD) $248,598M", "options": [ "A) $223,626M", "B) $236,112M", "C) $198,653M", "D) $248,598M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$236,112M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.99%\nB) 17.04%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 23.64%", "options": [ "A) -15.99%", "B) 17.04%", "C) 3.82%", "D) 23.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.91\nB) 96.25\nC) 90.29\nD) 93.86", "options": [ "A) 87.91", "B) 96.25", "C) 90.29", "D) 93.86" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 32.40%\nB) 79.95%\nC) 48.25%\nD) 16.55%", "options": [ "A) 32.40%", "B) 79.95%", "C) 48.25%", "D) 16.55%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.68%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", "options": [ "A) 64.68%", "B) 62.80%", "C) 61.54%", "D) 65.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 1.82%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 1.55%", "D) 1.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.04\nB) 89.90\nC) 98.46\nD) 95.25", "options": [ "A) 92.04", "B) 89.90", "C) 98.46", "D) 95.25" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,137B\nB) $12,536B\nC) $14,038B\nD) $12,236B", "options": [ "A) $13,137B", "B) $12,536B", "C) $14,038B", "D) $12,236B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13,137B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.77\nB) 80.00\nC) 76.59\nD) 90.23", "options": [ "A) 69.77", "B) 80.00", "C) 76.59", "D) 90.23" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.14/hr\nB) $21.32/hr\nC) $20.50/hr\nD) $19.96/hr", "options": [ "A) $19.14/hr", "B) $21.32/hr", "C) $20.50/hr", "D) $19.96/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20.50/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.51\nB) 101.09\nC) 94.96\nD) 97.41", "options": [ "A) 92.51", "B) 101.09", "C) 94.96", "D) 97.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.34%", "options": [ "A) 3.40%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 4.34%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 253.67\nB) 236.03\nC) 243.08\nD) 225.44", "options": [ "A) 253.67", "B) 236.03", "C) 243.08", "D) 225.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "236.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.85\nB) 171.77\nC) 167.23\nD) 153.61", "options": [ "A) 180.85", "B) 171.77", "C) 167.23", "D) 153.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "167.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.00%\nB) -1.75%\nC) -10.68%\nD) 16.13%", "options": [ "A) 34.00%", "B) -1.75%", "C) -10.68%", "D) 16.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 970K\nB) 1,126K\nC) 735K\nD) 892K", "options": [ "A) 970K", "B) 1,126K", "C) 735K", "D) 892K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "970K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.42%", "options": [ "A) 1.29%", "B) 1.74%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.34pp\nB) -2.85pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +14.14pp", "options": [ "A) -11.34pp", "B) -2.85pp", "C) +1.40pp", "D) +14.14pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 11.55%\nC) -1.89%\nD) 1.47%", "options": [ "A) 8.19%", "B) 11.55%", "C) -1.89%", "D) 1.47%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) +1.74pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +0.05pp", "options": [ "A) -0.80pp", "B) +1.74pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +0.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.86\nB) 111.10\nC) 116.04\nD) 106.16", "options": [ "A) 102.86", "B) 111.10", "C) 116.04", "D) 106.16" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,016B\nB) $13,011B\nC) $11,519B\nD) $10,027B", "options": [ "A) $12,016B", "B) $13,011B", "C) $11,519B", "D) $10,027B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,519B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.99\nB) 96.85\nC) 109.28\nD) 103.06", "options": [ "A) 100.99", "B) 96.85", "C) 109.28", "D) 103.06" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "103.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.15%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 0.29%", "D) 2.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,602B\nB) $11,233B\nC) $10,320B\nD) $11,689B", "options": [ "A) $12,602B", "B) $11,233B", "C) $10,320B", "D) $11,689B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$11,233B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.33\nB) 18.97\nC) 12.65\nD) 22.13", "options": [ "A) 6.33", "B) 18.97", "C) 12.65", "D) 22.13" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $207,451M\nB) $249,502M\nC) $193,434M\nD) $235,485M", "options": [ "A) $207,451M", "B) $249,502M", "C) $193,434M", "D) $235,485M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$235,485M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.00\nB) 188.73\nC) 213.09\nD) 219.18", "options": [ "A) 207.00", "B) 188.73", "C) 213.09", "D) 219.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "207.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.84%", "options": [ "A) 3.43%", "B) 1.65%", "C) 2.24%", "D) 2.84%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.73pp", "options": [ "A) +0.84pp", "B) +1.29pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +1.73pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.94\nB) 224.04\nC) 247.64\nD) 238.79", "options": [ "A) 229.94", "B) 224.04", "C) 247.64", "D) 238.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "238.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,321.11\nB) 5,281.92\nC) 4,641.38\nD) 4,000.84", "options": [ "A) 4,321.11", "B) 5,281.92", "C) 4,641.38", "D) 4,000.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,321.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 7.19%", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 3.83%", "C) 6.07%", "D) 7.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.72%\nB) 21.41%\nC) -3.96%\nD) 34.09%", "options": [ "A) 8.72%", "B) 21.41%", "C) -3.96%", "D) 34.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 814K\nC) 983K\nD) 1,067K", "options": [ "A) 1,236K", "B) 814K", "C) 983K", "D) 1,067K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,067K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) -1.35pp\nC) +0.98pp\nD) -0.18pp", "options": [ "A) +0.40pp", "B) -1.35pp", "C) +0.98pp", "D) -0.18pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) -36.74%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 37.50%\nD) -21.89%", "options": [ "A) -36.74%", "B) 7.80%", "C) 37.50%", "D) -21.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) 11.36%\nC) 20.35%\nD) -6.63%", "options": [ "A) 2.36%", "B) 11.36%", "C) 20.35%", "D) -6.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.45%", "options": [ "A) 3.24%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 4.03%", "options": [ "A) 5.20%", "B) 5.79%", "C) 3.44%", "D) 4.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.86\nB) 96.01\nC) 98.16\nD) 101.39", "options": [ "A) 93.86", "B) 96.01", "C) 98.16", "D) 101.39" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "96.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,492M\nB) $-43,852M\nC) $-41,672M\nD) $-48,213M", "options": [ "A) $-39,492M", "B) $-43,852M", "C) $-41,672M", "D) $-48,213M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-41,672M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,109K\nB) 765K\nC) 851K\nD) 1,023K", "options": [ "A) 1,109K", "B) 765K", "C) 851K", "D) 1,023K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,023K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 161.18\nB) 171.33\nC) 157.79\nD) 154.41", "options": [ "A) 161.18", "B) 171.33", "C) 157.79", "D) 154.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "161.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.17%", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.01%", "D) 0.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,494B\nB) $11,884B\nC) $12,798B\nD) $13,103B", "options": [ "A) $12,494B", "B) $11,884B", "C) $12,798B", "D) $13,103B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,798B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) 1.87%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,722B\nB) $11,998B\nC) $11,170B\nD) $11,446B", "options": [ "A) $11,722B", "B) $11,998B", "C) $11,170B", "D) $11,446B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,722B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.59pp\nB) +2.12pp\nC) +1.42pp\nD) +1.89pp", "options": [ "A) +2.59pp", "B) +2.12pp", "C) +1.42pp", "D) +1.89pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.12pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.37\nB) 78.14\nC) 84.60\nD) 87.83", "options": [ "A) 81.37", "B) 78.14", "C) 84.60", "D) 87.83" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "84.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.04%", "options": [ "A) 0.29%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.12%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.30pp\nB) -3.03pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) -1.88pp", "options": [ "A) -1.30pp", "B) -3.03pp", "C) -2.45pp", "D) -1.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) +1.42pp\nC) +4.03pp\nD) +2.72pp", "options": [ "A) +0.11pp", "B) +1.42pp", "C) +4.03pp", "D) +2.72pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.42pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 985K\nB) 801K\nC) 1,077K\nD) 893K", "options": [ "A) 985K", "B) 801K", "C) 1,077K", "D) 893K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,077K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.05pp\nB) -4.74pp\nC) +18.94pp\nD) +7.10pp", "options": [ "A) +11.05pp", "B) -4.74pp", "C) +18.94pp", "D) +7.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+7.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 23.85%\nD) 32.14%", "options": [ "A) 7.27%", "B) -1.02%", "C) 23.85%", "D) 32.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 0.08%", "options": [ "A) 0.77%", "B) 0.49%", "C) 0.35%", "D) 0.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.70%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 26.22%\nD) 9.74%", "options": [ "A) 42.70%", "B) 1.50%", "C) 26.22%", "D) 9.74%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 4.46%", "options": [ "A) 3.11%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 4.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 4.85%", "options": [ "A) 6.13%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 4.85%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 254.57\nB) 237.48\nC) 227.22\nD) 244.32", "options": [ "A) 254.57", "B) 237.48", "C) 227.22", "D) 244.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "237.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $387,743M\nB) $401,892M\nC) $430,189M\nD) $472,635M", "options": [ "A) $387,743M", "B) $401,892M", "C) $430,189M", "D) $472,635M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$430,189M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 103.26\nB) 94.24\nC) 100.68\nD) 96.81", "options": [ "A) 103.26", "B) 94.24", "C) 100.68", "D) 96.81" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.28%", "options": [ "A) 1.61%", "B) -0.40%", "C) 0.94%", "D) 2.28%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 0.81%", "options": [ "A) 2.53%", "B) 1.50%", "C) 2.18%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 1.39%\nD) -0.24%", "options": [ "A) 0.85%", "B) 3.02%", "C) 1.39%", "D) -0.24%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,146B\nB) $12,273B\nC) $11,428B\nD) $11,991B", "options": [ "A) $11,146B", "B) $12,273B", "C) $11,428B", "D) $11,991B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,991B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.2250\nB) 5.9598\nC) 6.6228\nD) 6.4902", "options": [ "A) 6.2250", "B) 5.9598", "C) 6.6228", "D) 6.4902" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2250", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 4.74%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 13.49%", "options": [ "A) 7.65%", "B) 4.74%", "C) -1.10%", "D) 13.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.16%\nB) 82.68%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 85.19%", "options": [ "A) 75.16%", "B) 82.68%", "C) 78.92%", "D) 85.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.13%\nB) 63.02%\nC) 60.67%\nD) 58.90%", "options": [ "A) 57.13%", "B) 63.02%", "C) 60.67%", "D) 58.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,049M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,049M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,049M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 12.70%", "options": [ "A) 16.76%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 12.70%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.96%", "options": [ "A) 1.57%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 2.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.78\nB) 211.27\nC) 221.02\nD) 206.40", "options": [ "A) 191.78", "B) 211.27", "C) 221.02", "D) 206.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "206.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.96%", "options": [ "A) 5.07%", "B) 8.40%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 3.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,157M\nB) $68,418M\nC) $58,310M\nD) $61,679M", "options": [ "A) $75,157M", "B) $68,418M", "C) $58,310M", "D) $61,679M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$68,418M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,143M\nB) $64,185M\nC) $69,490M\nD) $77,448M", "options": [ "A) $72,143M", "B) $64,185M", "C) $69,490M", "D) $77,448M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69,490M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 1.69%", "options": [ "A) 5.25%", "B) -0.68%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 1.69%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.8200\nB) 93.1497\nC) 88.8146\nD) 114.8254", "options": [ "A) 101.8200", "B) 93.1497", "C) 88.8146", "D) 114.8254" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.8200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.12/bbl\nB) $107.52/bbl\nC) $124.62/bbl\nD) $118.92/bbl", "options": [ "A) $96.12/bbl", "B) $107.52/bbl", "C) $124.62/bbl", "D) $118.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$107.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%", "options": [ "A) 64.99%", "B) 61.21%", "C) 63.10%", "D) 59.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 1.71%", "options": [ "A) 2.66%", "B) 0.76%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 7.23%", "options": [ "A) 5.50%", "B) 6.08%", "C) 6.65%", "D) 7.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -0.98%", "options": [ "A) 7.85%", "B) 1.23%", "C) 3.43%", "D) -0.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $116.20/bbl", "B) $103.25/bbl", "C) $106.49/bbl", "D) $96.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $116.20/bbl", "B) $103.25/bbl", "C) $106.49/bbl", "D) $96.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $108.00/bbl", "B) $98.29/bbl", "C) $95.05/bbl", "D) $104.76/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $108.00/bbl", "B) $98.29/bbl", "C) $95.05/bbl", "D) $104.76/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $100.56/bbl", "B) $107.03/bbl", "C) $90.85/bbl", "D) $94.09/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $100.56/bbl", "B) $107.03/bbl", "C) $90.85/bbl", "D) $94.09/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $92.30/bbl", "B) $95.54/bbl", "C) $102.01/bbl", "D) $105.25/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $92.30/bbl", "B) $95.54/bbl", "C) $102.01/bbl", "D) $105.25/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $98.18/bbl", "B) $88.47/bbl", "C) $91.71/bbl", "D) $82.00/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $98.18/bbl", "B) $88.47/bbl", "C) $91.71/bbl", "D) $82.00/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $56.66/bbl", "B) $59.89/bbl", "C) $72.84/bbl", "D) $63.13/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $56.66/bbl", "B) $59.89/bbl", "C) $72.84/bbl", "D) $63.13/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $121.58/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $119.24/bbl", "D) $112.21/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $121.58/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $119.24/bbl", "D) $112.21/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $112.21/bbl", "B) $109.86/bbl", "C) $114.55/bbl", "D) $116.89/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $112.21/bbl", "B) $109.86/bbl", "C) $114.55/bbl", "D) $116.89/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $119.24/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $107.52/bbl", "D) $114.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $119.24/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $107.52/bbl", "D) $114.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $119.24/bbl", "C) $121.58/bbl", "D) $109.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $119.24/bbl", "C) $121.58/bbl", "D) $109.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $116.89/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) $116.89/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 93.76", "D) 96.57" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 93.76", "D) 96.57" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 96.57", "D) 93.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 96.57", "D) 93.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 93.76", "B) 96.57", "C) 99.38", "D) 90.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 93.76", "B) 96.57", "C) 99.38", "D) 90.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 91.84", "B) 94.68", "C) 97.52", "D) 100.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 91.84", "B) 94.68", "C) 97.52", "D) 100.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 99.00", "B) 93.24", "C) 96.12", "D) 91.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "96.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 99.00", "B) 93.24", "C) 96.12", "D) 91.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "96.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 103.47", "B) 99.42", "C) 105.50", "D) 101.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": [ "A) 103.47", "B) 99.42", "C) 105.50", "D) 101.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $54.18/bbl", "B) $45.41/bbl", "C) $67.33/bbl", "D) $62.95/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $54.18/bbl", "B) $45.41/bbl", "C) $67.33/bbl", "D) $62.95/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $40.30/bbl", "B) $53.45/bbl", "C) $66.60/bbl", "D) $57.83/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $40.30/bbl", "B) $53.45/bbl", "C) $66.60/bbl", "D) $57.83/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $37.15/bbl", "B) $41.54/bbl", "C) $45.92/bbl", "D) $32.77/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $37.15/bbl", "B) $41.54/bbl", "C) $45.92/bbl", "D) $32.77/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $57.23/bbl", "B) $39.70/bbl", "C) $35.31/bbl", "D) $44.08/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $57.23/bbl", "B) $39.70/bbl", "C) $35.31/bbl", "D) $44.08/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $43.93/bbl", "B) $35.16/bbl", "C) $57.08/bbl", "D) $39.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $43.93/bbl", "B) $35.16/bbl", "C) $57.08/bbl", "D) $39.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $52.16/bbl", "B) $43.39/bbl", "C) $30.24/bbl", "D) $56.54/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) $52.16/bbl", "B) $43.39/bbl", "C) $30.24/bbl", "D) $56.54/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.69", "B) 16.06", "C) 19.44", "D) 18.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.69", "B) 16.06", "C) 19.44", "D) 18.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 22.82", "B) 16.06", "C) 17.19", "D) 19.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 22.82", "B) 16.06", "C) 17.19", "D) 19.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 22.39", "B) 21.26", "C) 23.52", "D) 25.77" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 22.39", "B) 21.26", "C) 23.52", "D) 25.77" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.26", "B) 22.39", "C) 19.01", "D) 23.52" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.26", "B) 22.39", "C) 19.01", "D) 23.52" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 24.64", "B) 25.77", "C) 22.39", "D) 19.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 24.64", "B) 25.77", "C) 22.39", "D) 19.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.26", "B) 24.64", "C) 23.52", "D) 22.39" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 21.26", "B) 24.64", "C) 23.52", "D) 22.39" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 102.35", "B) 104.44", "C) 98.16", "D) 100.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 102.35", "B) 104.44", "C) 98.16", "D) 100.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 104.99", "B) 102.90", "C) 108.13", "D) 99.76" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 104.99", "B) 102.90", "C) 108.13", "D) 99.76" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 100.49", "B) 105.72", "C) 103.63", "D) 108.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 100.49", "B) 105.72", "C) 103.63", "D) 108.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 103.67", "B) 107.91", "C) 111.08", "D) 105.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 103.67", "B) 107.91", "C) 111.08", "D) 105.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 108.92", "B) 116.54", "C) 105.65", "D) 112.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 108.92", "B) 116.54", "C) 105.65", "D) 112.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 115.45", "B) 108.92", "C) 112.18", "D) 105.65" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 115.45", "B) 108.92", "C) 112.18", "D) 105.65" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,284.38", "B) 5,526.97", "C) 4,781.42", "D) 5,278.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,781.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,284.38", "B) 5,526.97", "C) 4,781.42", "D) 5,278.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,781.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,309.87", "B) 5,055.43", "C) 4,061.36", "D) 4,806.91" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,309.87", "B) 5,055.43", "C) 4,061.36", "D) 4,806.91" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,806.91", "B) 4,558.39", "C) 5,055.43", "D) 4,061.36" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,806.91", "B) 4,558.39", "C) 5,055.43", "D) 4,061.36" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 5,390.88", "B) 4,893.84", "C) 4,645.32", "D) 5,639.39" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,893.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 5,390.88", "B) 4,893.84", "C) 4,645.32", "D) 5,639.39" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,893.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 5,256.62", "B) 4,511.06", "C) 5,008.10", "D) 5,753.65" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,008.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 5,256.62", "B) 4,511.06", "C) 5,008.10", "D) 5,753.65" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,008.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,609.55", "B) 4,361.04", "C) 4,858.07", "D) 5,106.59" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,106.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": [ "A) 4,609.55", "B) 4,361.04", "C) 4,858.07", "D) 5,106.59" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,106.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014 } ]