[ { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.04%", "options": [ "A) 1.28%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 1.04%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2087\nB) 1.1266\nC) 1.0445\nD) 1.2908", "options": [ "A) 1.2087", "B) 1.1266", "C) 1.0445", "D) 1.2908" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1266", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.42%\nB) -9.51%\nC) -7.49%\nD) -3.45%", "options": [ "A) -1.42%", "B) -9.51%", "C) -7.49%", "D) -3.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,726M\nB) $67,583M\nC) $59,011M\nD) $63,297M", "options": [ "A) $64,726M", "B) $67,583M", "C) $59,011M", "D) $63,297M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63,297M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.47\nB) 91.07\nC) 94.31\nD) 99.71", "options": [ "A) 96.47", "B) 91.07", "C) 94.31", "D) 99.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "96.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -1.94pp\nC) -4.62pp\nD) -1.05pp", "options": [ "A) -0.16pp", "B) -1.94pp", "C) -4.62pp", "D) -1.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.94pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39%\nB) 17.97%\nC) 12.81%\nD) 5.08%", "options": [ "A) 15.39%", "B) 17.97%", "C) 12.81%", "D) 5.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) 12.49%\nC) 9.75%\nD) 4.27%", "options": [ "A) -1.20%", "B) 12.49%", "C) 9.75%", "D) 4.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 23.37%\nC) 15.74%\nD) -14.80%", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 23.37%", "C) 15.74%", "D) -14.80%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 5.83%", "options": [ "A) 0.44%", "B) 3.67%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 5.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.00%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) -1.65%", "B) 0.82%", "C) -0.00%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,698B\nB) $11,862B\nC) $10,116B\nD) $10,989B", "options": [ "A) $10,698B", "B) $11,862B", "C) $10,116B", "D) $10,989B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,989B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.90%\nC) -10.87%\nD) -13.35%", "options": [ "A) -8.38%", "B) -5.90%", "C) -10.87%", "D) -13.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,417K\nB) 1,224K\nC) 935K\nD) 1,128K", "options": [ "A) 1,417K", "B) 1,224K", "C) 935K", "D) 1,128K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,224K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -7.54%\nC) -0.51%\nD) -21.60%", "options": [ "A) 20.58%", "B) -7.54%", "C) -0.51%", "D) -21.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.55%\nB) 6.55%\nC) -17.33%\nD) -7.78%", "options": [ "A) -12.55%", "B) 6.55%", "C) -17.33%", "D) -7.78%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.20\nB) 95.07\nC) 100.38\nD) 92.94", "options": [ "A) 97.20", "B) 95.07", "C) 100.38", "D) 92.94" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "97.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.42%\nB) 59.20%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 60.98%", "options": [ "A) 57.42%", "B) 59.20%", "C) 63.34%", "D) 60.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 9.20%", "options": [ "A) 6.78%", "B) 5.56%", "C) 7.99%", "D) 9.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 168.71\nB) 193.95\nC) 156.09\nD) 175.02", "options": [ "A) 168.71", "B) 193.95", "C) 156.09", "D) 175.02" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "175.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.80%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.66%", "options": [ "A) 5.80%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 4.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.40%", "options": [ "A) 2.62%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 60.53%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%", "options": [ "A) 64.27%", "B) 60.53%", "C) 62.40%", "D) 65.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.94%\nB) -16.09%\nC) -9.49%\nD) 3.72%", "options": [ "A) 16.94%", "B) -16.09%", "C) -9.49%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) -1.46pp\nC) +14.79pp\nD) +6.66pp", "options": [ "A) +2.60pp", "B) -1.46pp", "C) +14.79pp", "D) +6.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 3.52%", "options": [ "A) 4.92%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 4.22%", "D) 3.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.16%\nB) -25.22%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 15.10%", "options": [ "A) -17.16%", "B) -25.22%", "C) -1.03%", "D) 15.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 4.66%", "options": [ "A) 2.03%", "B) -0.60%", "C) 7.29%", "D) 4.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.47%\nD) 7.61%", "options": [ "A) 5.90%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 6.47%", "D) 7.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.19pp", "options": [ "A) -0.04pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.53pp", "D) -0.19pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.02%", "options": [ "A) 0.22%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 0.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0128\nB) 6.6959\nC) 6.4032\nD) 6.2080", "options": [ "A) 6.0128", "B) 6.6959", "C) 6.4032", "D) 6.2080" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.2080", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.29%", "options": [ "A) 1.90%", "B) 2.09%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,040K\nB) 1,144K\nC) 1,248K\nD) 832K", "options": [ "A) 1,040K", "B) 1,144K", "C) 1,248K", "D) 832K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,144K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.85\nB) 210.62\nC) 191.50\nD) 199.15", "options": [ "A) 183.85", "B) 210.62", "C) 191.50", "D) 199.15" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "191.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) -0.70%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.20%", "options": [ "A) 1.10%", "B) -0.70%", "C) 0.80%", "D) 0.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,176B\nB) $11,318B\nC) $12,748B\nD) $12,462B", "options": [ "A) $12,176B", "B) $11,318B", "C) $12,748B", "D) $12,462B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,176B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) -0.12pp", "options": [ "A) -0.75pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.37pp", "D) -0.12pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.82/bbl\nB) $33.16/bbl\nC) $60.99/bbl\nD) $51.71/bbl", "options": [ "A) $88.82/bbl", "B) $33.16/bbl", "C) $60.99/bbl", "D) $51.71/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$60.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 249.94\nB) 231.57\nC) 256.07\nD) 240.75", "options": [ "A) 249.94", "B) 231.57", "C) 256.07", "D) 240.75" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "240.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.78%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.10%\nD) 82.24%", "options": [ "A) 77.78%", "B) 79.57%", "C) 75.10%", "D) 82.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 109.80\nC) 105.09\nD) 112.94", "options": [ "A) 116.08", "B) 109.80", "C) 105.09", "D) 112.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "109.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,094B\nB) $13,263B\nC) $12,386B\nD) $11,509B", "options": [ "A) $12,094B", "B) $13,263B", "C) $12,386B", "D) $11,509B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +2.33pp\nC) -3.69pp\nD) -0.68pp", "options": [ "A) +0.32pp", "B) +2.33pp", "C) -3.69pp", "D) -0.68pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.68pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,920B\nB) $12,946B\nC) $10,382B\nD) $10,895B", "options": [ "A) $11,920B", "B) $12,946B", "C) $10,382B", "D) $10,895B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,920B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -1.30pp\nC) -0.74pp\nD) -1.58pp", "options": [ "A) -0.46pp", "B) -1.30pp", "C) -0.74pp", "D) -1.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,887,686\nB) 1,958,157\nC) 2,268,000\nD) 3,197,528", "options": [ "A) 2,887,686", "B) 1,958,157", "C) 2,268,000", "D) 3,197,528" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,268,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.23%", "options": [ "A) 1.10%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.23%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $439,867M\nB) $403,225M\nC) $452,081M\nD) $427,653M", "options": [ "A) $439,867M", "B) $403,225M", "C) $452,081M", "D) $427,653M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$439,867M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,752K\nB) 142,275K\nC) 149,230K\nD) 137,059K", "options": [ "A) 145,752K", "B) 142,275K", "C) 149,230K", "D) 137,059K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "142,275K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 7.43%", "B) 6.56%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) +0.79pp\nC) +1.03pp\nD) +0.30pp", "options": [ "A) +0.54pp", "B) +0.79pp", "C) +1.03pp", "D) +0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 960K\nB) 1,142K\nC) 1,233K\nD) 869K", "options": [ "A) 960K", "B) 1,142K", "C) 1,233K", "D) 869K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "960K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) -1.61%\nD) -16.21%", "options": [ "A) -5.26%", "B) -8.91%", "C) -1.61%", "D) -16.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.42%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 1.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.98%\nB) 63.34%\nC) 57.42%\nD) 59.20%", "options": [ "A) 60.98%", "B) 63.34%", "C) 57.42%", "D) 59.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -46.23%\nB) -84.83%\nC) -7.62%\nD) -33.36%", "options": [ "A) -46.23%", "B) -84.83%", "C) -7.62%", "D) -33.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-46.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.23/bbl\nB) $59.53/bbl\nC) $44.39/bbl\nD) $51.96/bbl", "options": [ "A) $82.23/bbl", "B) $59.53/bbl", "C) $44.39/bbl", "D) $51.96/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$59.53/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,518K\nB) 137,720K\nC) 140,923K\nD) 145,727K", "options": [ "A) 134,518K", "B) 137,720K", "C) 140,923K", "D) 145,727K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "140,923K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 321,583\nB) 295,291\nC) 190,126\nD) 269,000", "options": [ "A) 321,583", "B) 295,291", "C) 190,126", "D) 269,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "269,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 2.23%", "options": [ "A) 3.09%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) -4.93%\nC) 2.21%\nD) -8.51%", "options": [ "A) 5.78%", "B) -4.93%", "C) 2.21%", "D) -8.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.6064\nB) 102.7196\nC) 123.3800\nD) 130.2668", "options": [ "A) 109.6064", "B) 102.7196", "C) 123.3800", "D) 130.2668" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "123.3800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.49\nB) 96.62\nC) 73.06\nD) 87.20", "options": [ "A) 82.49", "B) 96.62", "C) 73.06", "D) 87.20" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 1.07%", "options": [ "A) 1.75%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 2.42%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 35.13%\nB) 19.65%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 11.91%", "options": [ "A) 35.13%", "B) 19.65%", "C) -3.57%", "D) 11.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 7.29%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.77%", "options": [ "A) 4.14%", "B) 7.29%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 4.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 2.95%", "options": [ "A) 4.62%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.48\nB) 95.48\nC) 93.47\nD) 99.48", "options": [ "A) 97.48", "B) 95.48", "C) 93.47", "D) 99.48" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "97.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.58\nB) 189.10\nC) 180.39\nD) 197.81", "options": [ "A) 174.58", "B) 189.10", "C) 180.39", "D) 197.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "189.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,482M\nB) $-45,959M\nC) $-41,641M\nD) $-43,800M", "options": [ "A) $-39,482M", "B) $-45,959M", "C) $-41,641M", "D) $-43,800M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-41,641M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) -0.39%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 2.25%", "options": [ "A) 4.89%", "B) -0.39%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 2.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.88%\nD) -1.94%", "options": [ "A) -0.81%", "B) -1.38%", "C) 0.88%", "D) -1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.09%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,031M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,031M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,031M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,295M\nB) $192,918M\nC) $226,019M\nD) $217,744M", "options": [ "A) $234,295M", "B) $192,918M", "C) $226,019M", "D) $217,744M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$217,744M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 7.91%", "options": [ "A) 4.68%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 7.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.97\nB) 243.32\nC) 252.67\nD) 258.90", "options": [ "A) 233.97", "B) 243.32", "C) 252.67", "D) 258.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "243.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.83%", "options": [ "A) 0.45%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 0.83%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,718B\nB) $11,145B\nC) $12,688B\nD) $12,174B", "options": [ "A) $13,718B", "B) $11,145B", "C) $12,688B", "D) $12,174B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,174B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,732M\nB) $-42,514M\nC) $-54,950M\nD) $-44,587M", "options": [ "A) $-48,732M", "B) $-42,514M", "C) $-54,950M", "D) $-44,587M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-48,732M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 63.85%\nD) 61.35%", "options": [ "A) 59.47%", "B) 62.60%", "C) 63.85%", "D) 61.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.08%\nB) -11.84%\nC) -2.27%\nD) -7.05%", "options": [ "A) 12.08%", "B) -11.84%", "C) -2.27%", "D) -7.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.19\nB) 92.38\nC) 105.69\nD) 101.89", "options": [ "A) 96.19", "B) 92.38", "C) 105.69", "D) 101.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 2.36%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 1.64%", "C) 2.18%", "D) 2.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.11%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.18%", "options": [ "A) 0.06%", "B) 0.11%", "C) 0.01%", "D) 0.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.80%", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.72%", "D) 0.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.46/hr\nB) $22.02/hr\nC) $20.08/hr\nD) $20.91/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.46/hr", "B) $22.02/hr", "C) $20.08/hr", "D) $20.91/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.91/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 237.50\nB) 245.78\nC) 229.22\nD) 251.30", "options": [ "A) 237.50", "B) 245.78", "C) 229.22", "D) 251.30" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "237.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,072K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,360K", "options": [ "A) 784K", "B) 1,072K", "C) 1,264K", "D) 1,360K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,072K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.84\nB) 105.61\nC) 100.75\nD) 97.52", "options": [ "A) 108.84", "B) 105.61", "C) 100.75", "D) 97.52" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "100.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.51\nB) 100.50\nC) 102.83\nD) 97.01", "options": [ "A) 93.51", "B) 100.50", "C) 102.83", "D) 97.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.71%", "B) 1.49%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.97%", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 3.29%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 3.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 3.60%", "B) 1.15%", "C) 2.13%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.28\nB) 114.72\nC) 112.31\nD) 109.90", "options": [ "A) 106.28", "B) 114.72", "C) 112.31", "D) 109.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 28.67%\nC) 21.18%\nD) 13.70%", "options": [ "A) 6.22%", "B) 28.67%", "C) 21.18%", "D) 13.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.02%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.14%", "options": [ "A) 0.20%", "B) 0.02%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 0.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 173.33\nB) 152.29\nC) 168.07\nD) 162.81", "options": [ "A) 173.33", "B) 152.29", "C) 168.07", "D) 162.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "168.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.97pp\nB) +2.09pp\nC) +2.31pp\nD) +1.64pp", "options": [ "A) +0.97pp", "B) +2.09pp", "C) +2.31pp", "D) +1.64pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.64pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.09/hr\nB) $22.53/hr\nC) $21.66/hr\nD) $20.23/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.09/hr", "B) $22.53/hr", "C) $21.66/hr", "D) $20.23/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.09/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.19%\nB) -44.62%\nC) -54.90%\nD) -34.33%", "options": [ "A) -65.19%", "B) -44.62%", "C) -54.90%", "D) -34.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-44.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,028M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,028M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,028M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.00%", "options": [ "A) 3.37%", "B) 4.42%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 4.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -4.80%\nC) -1.39%\nD) -3.09%", "options": [ "A) -2.24%", "B) -4.80%", "C) -1.39%", "D) -3.09%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $58,688M\nB) $65,042M\nC) $67,160M\nD) $62,924M", "options": [ "A) $58,688M", "B) $65,042M", "C) $67,160M", "D) $62,924M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$65,042M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,522B\nB) $12,717B\nC) $13,620B\nD) $14,221B", "options": [ "A) $14,522B", "B) $12,717B", "C) $13,620B", "D) $14,221B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,620B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": [ "A) -0.64pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) -0.16pp", "D) -0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,398B\nB) $13,100B\nC) $14,291B\nD) $13,695B", "options": [ "A) $13,398B", "B) $13,100B", "C) $14,291B", "D) $13,695B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13,398B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 219.61\nB) 235.98\nC) 242.52\nD) 226.16", "options": [ "A) 219.61", "B) 235.98", "C) 242.52", "D) 226.16" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "235.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,307M\nB) $209,794M\nC) $230,136M\nD) $199,623M", "options": [ "A) $240,307M", "B) $209,794M", "C) $230,136M", "D) $199,623M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$230,136M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -0.02%", "options": [ "A) -1.28%", "B) 0.82%", "C) -0.86%", "D) -0.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $433,647M\nB) $447,081M\nC) $406,778M\nD) $460,516M", "options": [ "A) $433,647M", "B) $447,081M", "C) $406,778M", "D) $460,516M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$433,647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 0.01%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 1.03%", "options": [ "A) -1.02%", "B) 0.01%", "C) -1.53%", "D) 1.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.28\nB) 103.64\nC) 106.00\nD) 98.92", "options": [ "A) 101.28", "B) 103.64", "C) 106.00", "D) 98.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 6.34%", "B) 5.67%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +13.00pp\nB) +21.02pp\nC) +4.98pp\nD) +17.01pp", "options": [ "A) +13.00pp", "B) +21.02pp", "C) +4.98pp", "D) +17.01pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+13.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.13%\nB) 76.98%\nC) 79.29%\nD) 74.67%", "options": [ "A) 73.13%", "B) 76.98%", "C) 79.29%", "D) 74.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,614.04\nB) 4,198.12\nC) 5,029.97\nD) 3,782.19", "options": [ "A) 4,614.04", "B) 4,198.12", "C) 5,029.97", "D) 3,782.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,029.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.81\nB) 96.91\nC) 81.28\nD) 93.00", "options": [ "A) 100.81", "B) 96.91", "C) 81.28", "D) 93.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) -0.75pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -1.05pp", "options": [ "A) -0.90pp", "B) -0.75pp", "C) -1.20pp", "D) -1.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.23%\nB) -1.08%\nC) -2.51%\nD) 1.07%", "options": [ "A) -3.23%", "B) -1.08%", "C) -2.51%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 25.71%\nC) 16.69%\nD) 3.15%", "options": [ "A) 12.17%", "B) 25.71%", "C) 16.69%", "D) 3.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.12%", "options": [ "A) 9.59%", "B) 4.97%", "C) 3.81%", "D) 6.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39\nB) 6.48\nC) 12.42\nD) 9.45", "options": [ "A) 15.39", "B) 6.48", "C) 12.42", "D) 9.45" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.2702", "B) 6.3982", "C) 6.5901", "D) 6.7181" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3982", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.2702", "B) 6.3982", "C) 6.5901", "D) 6.7181" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3982", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.0916", "B) 6.6046", "C) 6.4122", "D) 6.2198" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.0916", "B) 6.6046", "C) 6.4122", "D) 6.2198" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.0916", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.4122" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.0916", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.4122" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.4122", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.7328" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.4122", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.7328" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.6046", "B) 6.4122", "C) 6.7328", "D) 6.2198" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.6046", "B) 6.4122", "C) 6.7328", "D) 6.2198" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.7251", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.4613" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 6.7251", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.4613" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,448.50", "B) 4,877.30", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,091.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,448.50", "B) 4,877.30", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,091.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 5,091.70", "B) 5,734.90", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,520.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 5,091.70", "B) 5,734.90", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,520.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,448.50", "B) 5,091.70", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,306.10" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,448.50", "B) 5,091.70", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,306.10" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,877.30", "B) 4,448.50", "C) 5,091.70", "D) 5,306.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,877.30", "B) 4,448.50", "C) 5,091.70", "D) 5,306.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,716.33", "B) 5,573.93", "C) 5,359.53", "D) 5,145.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,145.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 4,716.33", "B) 5,573.93", "C) 5,359.53", "D) 5,145.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,145.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 5,156.31", "B) 5,799.51", "C) 4,727.51", "D) 4,513.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,156.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 5,156.31", "B) 5,799.51", "C) 4,727.51", "D) 4,513.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,156.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 15.00", "B) 13.79", "C) 10.15", "D) 17.43" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 15.00", "B) 13.79", "C) 10.15", "D) 17.43" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 39.53", "B) 44.38", "C) 40.74", "D) 41.95" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 39.53", "B) 44.38", "C) 40.74", "D) 41.95" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 43.17", "C) 37.10", "D) 40.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 43.17", "C) 37.10", "D) 40.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 40.74", "B) 39.53", "C) 43.17", "D) 44.38" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 40.74", "B) 39.53", "C) 43.17", "D) 44.38" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 40.74", "C) 44.38", "D) 41.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 40.74", "C) 44.38", "D) 41.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 41.95", "C) 40.74", "D) 39.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 41.95", "C) 40.74", "D) 39.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $19.58/bbl", "B) $53.10/bbl", "C) $75.45/bbl", "D) $41.93/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $19.58/bbl", "B) $53.10/bbl", "C) $75.45/bbl", "D) $41.93/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $38.22/bbl", "B) $27.05/bbl", "C) $4.70/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $38.22/bbl", "B) $27.05/bbl", "C) $4.70/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $71.74/bbl", "B) $38.22/bbl", "C) $27.05/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $71.74/bbl", "B) $38.22/bbl", "C) $27.05/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $4.70/bbl", "B) $60.57/bbl", "C) $38.22/bbl", "D) $71.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $4.70/bbl", "B) $60.57/bbl", "C) $38.22/bbl", "D) $71.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $4.70/bbl", "C) $71.74/bbl", "D) $38.22/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $4.70/bbl", "C) $71.74/bbl", "D) $38.22/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $60.20/bbl", "C) $4.33/bbl", "D) $15.51/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $60.20/bbl", "C) $4.33/bbl", "D) $15.51/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 0.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 0.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.49%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.34%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": [ "A) 0.49%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.34%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.96%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.96%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.03%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.03%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.78%", "B) 0.63%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 0.92%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.78%", "B) 0.63%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 0.92%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.79%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.79%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.64%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.79%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.64%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.79%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.86%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 0.86%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.03%", "B) 2.17%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.03%", "B) 2.17%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.06%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 2.06%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 1.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 1.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 1.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015 } ]