[ { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", "options": [ "A) 2.30%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 2.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.22pp\nB) -1.66pp\nC) -4.00pp\nD) -0.89pp", "options": [ "A) -3.22pp", "B) -1.66pp", "C) -4.00pp", "D) -0.89pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.66pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.82\nB) 76.53\nC) 91.00\nD) 105.47", "options": [ "A) 95.82", "B) 76.53", "C) 91.00", "D) 105.47" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 91.33\nB) 94.12\nC) 101.10\nD) 98.31", "options": [ "A) 91.33", "B) 94.12", "C) 101.10", "D) 98.31" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "98.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 7.70%", "options": [ "A) 6.22%", "B) 8.45%", "C) 5.48%", "D) 7.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 113.9208\nB) 105.8700\nC) 89.7684\nD) 81.7176", "options": [ "A) 113.9208", "B) 105.8700", "C) 89.7684", "D) 81.7176" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "105.8700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.48%", "options": [ "A) 0.79%", "B) 0.90%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) -0.75%\nC) -4.48%\nD) -1.99%", "options": [ "A) -3.24%", "B) -0.75%", "C) -4.48%", "D) -1.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 9.46%", "options": [ "A) 7.05%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 5.85%", "D) 9.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 190.88\nB) 186.90\nC) 174.97\nD) 178.95", "options": [ "A) 190.88", "B) 186.90", "C) 174.97", "D) 178.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "186.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $-32,589M\nB) $-34,695M\nC) $-36,801M\nD) $-41,013M", "options": [ "A) $-32,589M", "B) $-34,695M", "C) $-36,801M", "D) $-41,013M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-36,801M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 15.39%\nC) 3.54%\nD) -20.15%", "options": [ "A) -8.30%", "B) 15.39%", "C) 3.54%", "D) -20.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-20.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 110.60\nB) 108.39\nC) 106.18\nD) 113.92", "options": [ "A) 110.60", "B) 108.39", "C) 106.18", "D) 113.92" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.46%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 33.59%\nD) 27.02%", "options": [ "A) 20.46%", "B) 13.90%", "C) 33.59%", "D) 27.02%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $12,898B\nB) $14,411B\nC) $13,806B\nD) $14,109B", "options": [ "A) $12,898B", "B) $14,411B", "C) $13,806B", "D) $14,109B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,806B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.99/hr\nB) $20.79/hr\nC) $20.20/hr\nD) $21.39/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.99/hr", "B) $20.79/hr", "C) $20.20/hr", "D) $21.39/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21.39/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.91pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) +1.34pp\nD) +1.55pp", "options": [ "A) +0.91pp", "B) +0.48pp", "C) +1.34pp", "D) +1.55pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.91pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.79%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 59.75%", "options": [ "A) 64.79%", "B) 62.90%", "C) 61.01%", "D) 59.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) -0.21%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 6.08%", "options": [ "A) 3.98%", "B) -0.21%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 6.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $23.93/bbl\nB) $83.90/bbl\nC) $35.93/bbl\nD) $47.92/bbl", "options": [ "A) $23.93/bbl", "B) $83.90/bbl", "C) $35.93/bbl", "D) $47.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$47.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.14\nB) 23.10\nC) 29.01\nD) 17.18", "options": [ "A) 20.14", "B) 23.10", "C) 29.01", "D) 17.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.83\nB) 97.88\nC) 100.94\nD) 102.99", "options": [ "A) 95.83", "B) 97.88", "C) 100.94", "D) 102.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "97.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -0.89%\nC) -0.09%\nD) -1.69%", "options": [ "A) -2.49%", "B) -0.89%", "C) -0.09%", "D) -1.69%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +6.10pp\nB) -14.15pp\nC) -6.05pp\nD) -2.00pp", "options": [ "A) +6.10pp", "B) -14.15pp", "C) -6.05pp", "D) -2.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.51%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 2.15%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 0.64%\nC) -1.36%\nD) 1.30%", "options": [ "A) -0.70%", "B) 0.64%", "C) -1.36%", "D) 1.30%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 15.73%\nD) -6.79%", "options": [ "A) 0.72%", "B) 8.22%", "C) 15.73%", "D) -6.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 919K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 1,118K", "options": [ "A) 919K", "B) 820K", "C) 1,217K", "D) 1,118K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,118K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +1.00pp\nD) +0.47pp", "options": [ "A) +0.60pp", "B) +0.87pp", "C) +1.00pp", "D) +0.47pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 12.32%\nD) 2.65%", "options": [ "A) 0.23%", "B) 5.07%", "C) 12.32%", "D) 2.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 2.95%", "B) 0.62%", "C) 1.55%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 1.10%", "options": [ "A) 1.66%", "B) 0.73%", "C) 0.91%", "D) 1.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.09%", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 162.92\nB) 176.58\nC) 190.24\nD) 183.41", "options": [ "A) 162.92", "B) 176.58", "C) 190.24", "D) 183.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "176.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.26%\nB) -14.52%\nC) -7.26%\nD) -29.05%", "options": [ "A) 7.26%", "B) -14.52%", "C) -7.26%", "D) -29.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0703\nB) 1.1775\nC) 1.0167\nD) 1.1239", "options": [ "A) 1.0703", "B) 1.1775", "C) 1.0167", "D) 1.1239" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1239", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 143,662K\nB) 152,648K\nC) 149,054K\nD) 140,068K", "options": [ "A) 143,662K", "B) 152,648K", "C) 149,054K", "D) 140,068K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "143,662K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.76%\nD) 7.61%", "options": [ "A) 6.47%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 4.76%", "D) 7.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,053K\nB) 1,553K\nC) 1,303K\nD) 1,220K", "options": [ "A) 1,053K", "B) 1,553K", "C) 1,303K", "D) 1,220K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,303K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -5.07pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -2.62pp", "options": [ "A) -5.07pp", "B) -0.18pp", "C) -1.81pp", "D) -2.62pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.62pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.00pp\nB) -7.76pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +7.92pp", "options": [ "A) +4.00pp", "B) -7.76pp", "C) +0.08pp", "D) +7.92pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 58.01%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 61.59%", "options": [ "A) 58.01%", "B) 59.80%", "C) 62.79%", "D) 61.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.54%", "options": [ "A) 0.31%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.40%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,369B\nB) $10,974B\nC) $12,948B\nD) $11,764B", "options": [ "A) $11,369B", "B) $10,974B", "C) $12,948B", "D) $11,764B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,764B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.91\nB) 239.69\nC) 261.47\nD) 252.14", "options": [ "A) 245.91", "B) 239.69", "C) 261.47", "D) 252.14" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "245.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 18,169.38\nB) 17,640.17\nC) 17,110.96\nD) 18,522.18", "options": [ "A) 18,169.38", "B) 17,640.17", "C) 17,110.96", "D) 18,522.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17,640.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,414,175\nB) 1,651,650\nC) 2,160,000\nD) 1,905,825", "options": [ "A) 2,414,175", "B) 1,651,650", "C) 2,160,000", "D) 1,905,825" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,160,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.26/hr\nB) $20.35/hr\nC) $20.98/hr\nD) $21.62/hr", "options": [ "A) $22.26/hr", "B) $20.35/hr", "C) $20.98/hr", "D) $21.62/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21.62/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.07%", "options": [ "A) 0.26%", "B) 0.37%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 0.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $197,391M\nB) $217,396M\nC) $224,064M\nD) $230,733M", "options": [ "A) $197,391M", "B) $217,396M", "C) $224,064M", "D) $230,733M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$217,396M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.49%\nB) 57.91%\nC) 59.70%\nD) 56.72%", "options": [ "A) 61.49%", "B) 57.91%", "C) 59.70%", "D) 56.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "59.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.96%", "options": [ "A) 3.31%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 2.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $59,556M\nB) $58,092M\nC) $62,484M\nD) $55,165M", "options": [ "A) $59,556M", "B) $58,092M", "C) $62,484M", "D) $55,165M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$59,556M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.66%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 4.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.11%", "options": [ "A) -0.15%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 1.11%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) -7.57%\nC) -2.25%\nD) -4.91%", "options": [ "A) 3.08%", "B) -7.57%", "C) -2.25%", "D) -4.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.61%\nB) -13.66%\nC) 3.96%\nD) -17.19%", "options": [ "A) -6.61%", "B) -13.66%", "C) 3.96%", "D) -17.19%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.54pp\nD) -0.26pp", "options": [ "A) -0.81pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.54pp", "D) -0.26pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,700.64\nB) 3,969.22\nC) 4,834.93\nD) 3,536.36", "options": [ "A) 5,700.64", "B) 3,969.22", "C) 4,834.93", "D) 3,536.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,834.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.66%\nB) 78.92%\nC) 76.66%\nD) 75.16%", "options": [ "A) 73.66%", "B) 78.92%", "C) 76.66%", "D) 75.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.63%", "options": [ "A) 1.94%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 1.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 119.89\nB) 111.77\nC) 99.58\nD) 123.95", "options": [ "A) 119.89", "B) 111.77", "C) 99.58", "D) 123.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,898M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,898M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,898M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 3.03%", "C) 5.66%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.36%\nB) -20.46%\nC) 11.74%\nD) 1.00%", "options": [ "A) -4.36%", "B) -20.46%", "C) 11.74%", "D) 1.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 182.10\nC) 166.37\nD) 175.81", "options": [ "A) 191.54", "B) 182.10", "C) 166.37", "D) 175.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "182.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -5.37%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 0.94%", "options": [ "A) 3.04%", "B) -5.37%", "C) -1.16%", "D) 0.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $90.60/bbl\nB) $18.72/bbl\nC) $33.09/bbl\nD) $47.47/bbl", "options": [ "A) $90.60/bbl", "B) $18.72/bbl", "C) $33.09/bbl", "D) $47.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$47.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.83\nB) 95.83\nC) 102.84\nD) 100.84", "options": [ "A) 98.83", "B) 95.83", "C) 102.84", "D) 100.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "98.83", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,558B\nB) $13,055B\nC) $13,554B\nD) $14,552B", "options": [ "A) $11,558B", "B) $13,055B", "C) $13,554B", "D) $14,552B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13,055B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,953B\nB) $14,642B\nC) $14,019B\nD) $13,396B", "options": [ "A) $14,953B", "B) $14,642B", "C) $14,019B", "D) $13,396B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,019B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.32%", "B) 7.04%", "C) 6.36%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) +0.44pp\nC) -0.44pp\nD) -0.15pp", "options": [ "A) +0.00pp", "B) +0.44pp", "C) -0.44pp", "D) -0.15pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -9.05%\nB) -5.91%\nC) 0.37%\nD) -15.33%", "options": [ "A) -9.05%", "B) -5.91%", "C) 0.37%", "D) -15.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 827K\nB) 1,395K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 922K", "options": [ "A) 827K", "B) 1,395K", "C) 1,111K", "D) 922K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,111K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.43%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.36%", "options": [ "A) 0.28%", "B) 0.43%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 9.30%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 8.61%", "options": [ "A) 7.24%", "B) 9.30%", "C) 6.55%", "D) 8.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,588M\nB) $60,742M\nC) $56,896M\nD) $59,460M", "options": [ "A) $64,588M", "B) $60,742M", "C) $56,896M", "D) $59,460M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$60,742M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.60\nB) 95.72\nC) 97.67\nD) 92.79", "options": [ "A) 100.60", "B) 95.72", "C) 97.67", "D) 92.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.00%", "options": [ "A) 3.77%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%", "options": [ "A) 63.00%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 64.89%", "D) 66.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $442,660M\nB) $453,056M\nC) $421,867M\nD) $432,264M", "options": [ "A) $442,660M", "B) $453,056M", "C) $421,867M", "D) $432,264M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$453,056M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 258.32\nB) 242.52\nC) 248.84\nD) 236.20", "options": [ "A) 258.32", "B) 242.52", "C) 248.84", "D) 236.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "248.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $225,760M\nB) $203,645M\nC) $233,131M\nD) $218,388M", "options": [ "A) $225,760M", "B) $203,645M", "C) $233,131M", "D) $218,388M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$218,388M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -20.10%\nB) -33.57%\nC) -47.04%\nD) -6.63%", "options": [ "A) -20.10%", "B) -33.57%", "C) -47.04%", "D) -6.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-20.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.22\nB) 238.08\nC) 230.94\nD) 223.80", "options": [ "A) 245.22", "B) 238.08", "C) 230.94", "D) 223.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "238.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.99\nB) 205.86\nC) 183.93\nD) 198.55", "options": [ "A) 161.99", "B) 205.86", "C) 183.93", "D) 198.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "183.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) +0.24pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": [ "A) +0.10pp", "B) +0.90pp", "C) +0.24pp", "D) +0.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 261,000\nB) 308,153\nC) 237,424\nD) 213,847", "options": [ "A) 261,000", "B) 308,153", "C) 237,424", "D) 213,847" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "261,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.57%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.55%\nD) 73.06%", "options": [ "A) 77.57%", "B) 75.31%", "C) 71.55%", "D) 73.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.38%", "options": [ "A) 2.16%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 2.27%", "D) 2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,421B\nB) $11,653B\nC) $13,126B\nD) $12,537B", "options": [ "A) $13,421B", "B) $11,653B", "C) $13,126B", "D) $12,537B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,537B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 4.61%", "options": [ "A) 1.89%", "B) 0.99%", "C) -0.82%", "D) 4.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 4.12%", "options": [ "A) 6.26%", "B) 3.05%", "C) -0.16%", "D) 4.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.73\nB) 96.69\nC) 98.67\nD) 100.64", "options": [ "A) 93.73", "B) 96.69", "C) 98.67", "D) 100.64" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,533K\nB) 139,401K\nC) 154,243K\nD) 144,967K", "options": [ "A) 150,533K", "B) 139,401K", "C) 154,243K", "D) 144,967K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "144,967K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 6.84%", "options": [ "A) 5.10%", "B) 6.26%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 6.84%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,966M\nB) $-37,004M\nC) $-33,080M\nD) $-35,042M", "options": [ "A) $-38,966M", "B) $-37,004M", "C) $-33,080M", "D) $-35,042M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-37,004M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.64%", "options": [ "A) 2.01%", "B) 3.06%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 2.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.54%", "options": [ "A) 3.21%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 3.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.21%", "options": [ "A) 1.60%", "B) 1.99%", "C) 1.41%", "D) 1.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.49%\nB) -0.16%\nC) -12.65%\nD) -4.32%", "options": [ "A) -8.49%", "B) -0.16%", "C) -12.65%", "D) -4.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 1.19%\nC) -12.75%\nD) -26.68%", "options": [ "A) 8.15%", "B) 1.19%", "C) -12.75%", "D) -26.68%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) 2.52%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 0.89%", "options": [ "A) 0.35%", "B) 2.52%", "C) -0.19%", "D) 0.89%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 1.77%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.41%\nB) -3.28%\nC) 3.85%\nD) -24.68%", "options": [ "A) -10.41%", "B) -3.28%", "C) 3.85%", "D) -24.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 106.41\nC) 109.70\nD) 115.19", "options": [ "A) 111.89", "B) 106.41", "C) 109.70", "D) 115.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.22%", "options": [ "A) 0.48%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,068K\nB) 898K\nC) 1,153K\nD) 1,322K", "options": [ "A) 1,068K", "B) 898K", "C) 1,153K", "D) 1,322K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,068K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 17.91%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 24.72%\nD) -16.13%", "options": [ "A) 17.91%", "B) 4.29%", "C) 24.72%", "D) -16.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 10.99%", "options": [ "A) -0.81%", "B) 1.16%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 10.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": [ "A) +0.84pp", "B) +0.16pp", "C) +0.61pp", "D) +0.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) +0.76pp\nD) +0.52pp", "options": [ "A) +0.40pp", "B) +0.04pp", "C) +0.76pp", "D) +0.52pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.20%", "options": [ "A) 2.10%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 1.58%", "D) 2.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.1838\nB) 6.3811\nC) 6.5785\nD) 6.7759", "options": [ "A) 6.1838", "B) 6.3811", "C) 6.5785", "D) 6.7759" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5785", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,736M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,736M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,736M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,847B\nB) $13,762B\nC) $13,457B\nD) $11,931B", "options": [ "A) $12,847B", "B) $13,762B", "C) $13,457B", "D) $11,931B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,847B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.56\nB) 98.75\nC) 93.43\nD) 101.94", "options": [ "A) 95.56", "B) 98.75", "C) 93.43", "D) 101.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) -9.36%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -17.88%", "options": [ "A) -0.85%", "B) -9.36%", "C) -5.10%", "D) -17.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.45%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -4.58%\nD) -3.52%", "options": [ "A) -2.45%", "B) -5.65%", "C) -4.58%", "D) -3.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 241.18\nB) 236.35\nC) 231.53\nD) 248.41", "options": [ "A) 241.18", "B) 236.35", "C) 231.53", "D) 248.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "241.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $453,080M\nB) $441,856M\nC) $475,527M\nD) $464,303M", "options": [ "A) $453,080M", "B) $441,856M", "C) $475,527M", "D) $464,303M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$441,856M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.36%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 5.64%\nD) -3.09%", "options": [ "A) 14.36%", "B) 8.54%", "C) 5.64%", "D) -3.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,655B\nB) $13,165B\nC) $14,173B\nD) $12,662B", "options": [ "A) $11,655B", "B) $13,165B", "C) $14,173B", "D) $12,662B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,662B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.20\nB) 77.85\nC) 95.65\nD) 104.55", "options": [ "A) 91.20", "B) 77.85", "C) 95.65", "D) 104.55" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 1.80%", "options": [ "A) 2.04%", "B) 1.69%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 1.80%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2402", "B) 0.8999", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.0275" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2402", "B) 0.8999", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.0275" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0294", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0294", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1145", "B) 1.0294", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.2421" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1145", "B) 1.0294", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.2421" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2185", "B) 1.1334", "C) 1.0483", "D) 0.9633" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2185", "B) 1.1334", "C) 1.0483", "D) 0.9633" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.3035" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.3035" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.3461", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.0058", "D) 1.1334" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.3461", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.0058", "D) 1.1334" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 15.63", "B) 19.84", "C) 17.73", "D) 13.53" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 15.63", "B) 19.84", "C) 17.73", "D) 13.53" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 15.30", "B) 13.20", "C) 19.51", "D) 8.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 15.30", "B) 13.20", "C) 19.51", "D) 8.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 7.56", "B) 9.67", "C) 11.77", "D) 5.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 7.56", "B) 9.67", "C) 11.77", "D) 5.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 9.24", "B) 5.03", "C) 7.13", "D) 11.34" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 9.24", "B) 5.03", "C) 7.13", "D) 11.34" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 7.13", "C) 15.55", "D) 13.44" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 7.13", "C) 15.55", "D) 13.44" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 9.24", "B) 11.34", "C) 13.44", "D) 7.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 9.24", "B) 11.34", "C) 13.44", "D) 7.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,077.94", "B) 4,489.76", "C) 4,842.67", "D) 5,195.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,842.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,077.94", "B) 4,489.76", "C) 4,842.67", "D) 5,195.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,842.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,839.12", "B) 4,603.85", "C) 5,074.40", "D) 4,956.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,956.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,839.12", "B) 4,603.85", "C) 5,074.40", "D) 4,956.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,956.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,100.16", "B) 5,453.07", "C) 4,864.89", "D) 5,335.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,100.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,100.16", "B) 5,453.07", "C) 4,864.89", "D) 5,335.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,100.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,909.11", "B) 5,262.02", "C) 5,144.38", "D) 5,497.29" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,262.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,909.11", "B) 5,262.02", "C) 5,144.38", "D) 5,497.29" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,262.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,636.84", "B) 4,931.02", "C) 5,283.93", "D) 5,166.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,283.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,636.84", "B) 4,931.02", "C) 5,283.93", "D) 5,166.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,283.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,699.10", "B) 5,110.92", "C) 5,816.74", "D) 5,463.83" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,463.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 5,699.10", "B) 5,110.92", "C) 5,816.74", "D) 5,463.83" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,463.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.12%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.12%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.62%", "B) 1.12%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.62%", "B) 1.12%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,600.27", "B) 5,383.84", "C) 5,275.62", "D) 4,950.97" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,275.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,600.27", "B) 5,383.84", "C) 5,275.62", "D) 4,950.97" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,275.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,711.00", "B) 5,494.57", "C) 5,169.91", "D) 5,386.35" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,386.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,711.00", "B) 5,494.57", "C) 5,169.91", "D) 5,386.35" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,386.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,398.92", "B) 5,507.14", "C) 5,182.48", "D) 5,290.70" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,398.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,398.92", "B) 5,507.14", "C) 5,182.48", "D) 5,290.70" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,398.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,737.50", "B) 5,521.06", "C) 5,088.19", "D) 5,304.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,521.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,737.50", "B) 5,521.06", "C) 5,088.19", "D) 5,304.62" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,521.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,125.68", "B) 5,342.12", "C) 5,666.77", "D) 5,883.21" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,666.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,125.68", "B) 5,342.12", "C) 5,666.77", "D) 5,883.21" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,666.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,878.93", "B) 5,554.28", "C) 6,420.02", "D) 6,095.37" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,095.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,878.93", "B) 5,554.28", "C) 6,420.02", "D) 6,095.37" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,095.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,033.46", "C) 2,163.26", "D) 2,098.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,033.46", "C) 2,163.26", "D) 2,098.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,011.83", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,163.26" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,011.83", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,163.26" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,314.69" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,314.69" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,314.69", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,228.16", "D) 2,098.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,314.69", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,228.16", "D) 2,098.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.10%", "B) 1.84%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.23%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.10%", "B) 1.84%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.23%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.49%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 2.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.49%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 2.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.45%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.45%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.47%", "B) 2.60%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.47%", "B) 2.60%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.73%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.73%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.23%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.23%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1452", "D) 1.1952" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1452", "D) 1.1952" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.2202", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.2202", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 0.9702", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.0952", "D) 1.1702" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 0.9702", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.0952", "D) 1.1702" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0452", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0952" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0452", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0952" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1467", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.2217", "D) 1.0217" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1467", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.2217", "D) 1.0217" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 14.74", "D) 18.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 14.74", "D) 18.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 12.66", "D) 14.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 12.66", "D) 14.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 14.74", "B) 8.51", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 14.74", "B) 8.51", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 8.51", "C) 14.74", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 8.51", "C) 14.74", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 18.04", "D) 15.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 18.04", "D) 15.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,637.99", "B) 4,978.13", "C) 5,148.19", "D) 4,127.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,637.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,637.99", "B) 4,978.13", "C) 5,148.19", "D) 4,127.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,637.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,647.02", "B) 4,476.95", "C) 4,987.15", "D) 4,817.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,476.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,647.02", "B) 4,476.95", "C) 4,987.15", "D) 4,817.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,476.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,978.37", "B) 4,808.31", "C) 4,468.17", "D) 4,638.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,468.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,978.37", "B) 4,808.31", "C) 4,468.17", "D) 4,638.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,468.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,096.77", "B) 3,756.64", "C) 4,777.04", "D) 4,266.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,096.77", "B) 3,756.64", "C) 4,777.04", "D) 4,266.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,266.84", "B) 4,436.91", "C) 3,926.70", "D) 4,606.98" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,266.84", "B) 4,436.91", "C) 3,926.70", "D) 4,606.98" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,096.77", "B) 4,266.84", "C) 3,756.64", "D) 4,777.04" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,096.77", "B) 4,266.84", "C) 3,756.64", "D) 4,777.04" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3262", "B) 6.0654", "C) 6.5219", "D) 6.7176" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3262", "B) 6.0654", "C) 6.5219", "D) 6.7176" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.0654", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.3262", "D) 6.5219" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.0654", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.3262", "D) 6.5219" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.5219", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.1306", "D) 6.3262" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.5219", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.1306", "D) 6.3262" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.6457", "B) 6.5154", "C) 6.1896", "D) 6.3851" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5154", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.6457", "B) 6.5154", "C) 6.1896", "D) 6.3851" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5154", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3355", "B) 6.2062", "C) 6.4648", "D) 6.6587" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4648", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3355", "B) 6.2062", "C) 6.4648", "D) 6.6587" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4648", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.7059", "B) 6.5770", "C) 6.3190", "D) 6.4480" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4480", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.7059", "B) 6.5770", "C) 6.3190", "D) 6.4480" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4480", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 19.34", "B) 13.64", "C) 15.54", "D) 21.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 19.34", "B) 13.64", "C) 15.54", "D) 21.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 25.04", "B) 19.34", "C) 17.44", "D) 13.64" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 25.04", "B) 19.34", "C) 17.44", "D) 13.64" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 21.24", "B) 17.44", "C) 19.34", "D) 15.54" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 21.24", "B) 17.44", "C) 19.34", "D) 15.54" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 18.99", "B) 22.79", "C) 13.29", "D) 17.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 18.99", "B) 22.79", "C) 13.29", "D) 17.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.56", "B) 9.76", "C) 11.66", "D) 19.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.56", "B) 9.76", "C) 11.66", "D) 19.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 7.40", "B) 13.10", "C) 9.30", "D) 16.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 7.40", "B) 13.10", "C) 9.30", "D) 16.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $6.69/bbl", "B) $68.51/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $43.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $6.69/bbl", "B) $68.51/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $43.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $65.56/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $3.74/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $65.56/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $3.74/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $51.41/bbl", "C) $39.04/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $51.41/bbl", "C) $39.04/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $13.83/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $13.83/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $13.83/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $13.83/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $-10.90/bbl", "B) $38.55/bbl", "C) $63.28/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $-10.90/bbl", "B) $38.55/bbl", "C) $63.28/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 } ]