[ { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%", "options": [ "A) 7.55%", "B) 5.51%", "C) 3.47%", "D) 8.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%", "options": [ "A) 82.33%", "B) 83.93%", "C) 79.93%", "D) 78.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "79.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52", "options": [ "A) 98.48", "B) 104.57", "C) 95.43", "D) 101.52" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%", "options": [ "A) 3.22%", "B) 5.54%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 4.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22", "options": [ "A) 102.02", "B) 104.10", "C) 109.31", "D) 107.22" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%", "options": [ "A) 29.92%", "B) 75.59%", "C) 45.14%", "D) 60.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,801M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,801M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%", "options": [ "A) 3.22%", "B) 13.76%", "C) 10.24%", "D) -7.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87", "options": [ "A) 114.37", "B) 116.70", "C) 119.03", "D) 110.87" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "116.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34", "options": [ "A) 104.54", "B) 97.26", "C) 101.42", "D) 99.34" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "101.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": [ "A) +0.15pp", "B) +0.46pp", "C) -0.15pp", "D) +0.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%", "options": [ "A) 5.42%", "B) 7.20%", "C) 4.53%", "D) 8.09%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%", "options": [ "A) 3.00%", "B) 2.79%", "C) 3.11%", "D) 2.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%", "options": [ "A) 7.00%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 3.99%", "D) 2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.44%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802", "options": [ "A) 218,000", "B) 181,868", "C) 199,934", "D) 163,802" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "218,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B", "options": [ "A) $16,458B", "B) $15,606B", "C) $14,753B", "D) $15,179B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15,606B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B", "options": [ "A) $11,754B", "B) $13,718B", "C) $12,736B", "D) $12,245B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,736B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%", "options": [ "A) 2.34%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K", "options": [ "A) 1,314K", "B) 1,430K", "C) 1,140K", "D) 1,198K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,314K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K", "options": [ "A) 145,669K", "B) 149,358K", "C) 154,892K", "D) 140,135K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "149,358K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%", "options": [ "A) 4.55%", "B) 4.10%", "C) 3.64%", "D) 3.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58", "options": [ "A) 257.06", "B) 242.09", "C) 262.06", "D) 249.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "249.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 3.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%", "options": [ "A) 19.72%", "B) -1.44%", "C) -8.50%", "D) 5.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp", "options": [ "A) +0.53pp", "B) +0.09pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) -0.13pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.86%", "D) 2.82%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05", "options": [ "A) 102.21", "B) 99.14", "C) 105.27", "D) 95.05" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%", "options": [ "A) -3.39%", "B) 8.38%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 4.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K", "options": [ "A) 153,916K", "B) 142,644K", "C) 148,280K", "D) 138,887K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "148,280K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%", "options": [ "A) 1.86%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 2.54%", "D) 2.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp", "options": [ "A) +3.13pp", "B) +5.51pp", "C) +2.33pp", "D) +0.74pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.13pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B", "options": [ "A) $13,651B", "B) $14,018B", "C) $15,120B", "D) $14,385B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,018B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%", "options": [ "A) 3.40%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 2.81%", "D) 3.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%", "options": [ "A) 4.85%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 3.34%", "D) 4.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 2.88%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%", "options": [ "A) 0.93%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.09%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%", "options": [ "A) 6.38%", "B) -8.79%", "C) 0.31%", "D) -5.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M", "options": [ "A) $66,286M", "B) $60,070M", "C) $69,394M", "D) $64,732M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$64,732M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp", "options": [ "A) +3.57pp", "B) +0.74pp", "C) +1.68pp", "D) +6.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.57pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%", "options": [ "A) 8.98%", "B) 25.64%", "C) 36.75%", "D) 14.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.19%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 1.90%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl", "options": [ "A) $53.21/bbl", "B) $88.60/bbl", "C) $100.40/bbl", "D) $65.01/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27", "options": [ "A) 198.54", "B) 218.44", "C) 178.64", "D) 185.27" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "198.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%", "options": [ "A) 15.23%", "B) 17.47%", "C) 19.70%", "D) 24.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K", "options": [ "A) 1,190K", "B) 1,125K", "C) 1,318K", "D) 1,446K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,318K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%", "options": [ "A) 22.46%", "B) -4.69%", "C) 13.41%", "D) 8.88%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) 2.52%", "C) 1.67%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%", "options": [ "A) 10.16%", "B) 5.67%", "C) 7.91%", "D) 12.40%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%", "options": [ "A) 1.66%", "B) 2.08%", "C) 1.91%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%", "options": [ "A) 2.02%", "B) 5.27%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 3.32%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M", "options": [ "A) $-43,514M", "B) $-48,425M", "C) $-41,877M", "D) $-45,151M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-43,514M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75", "options": [ "A) 2,454.30", "B) 2,779.66", "C) 2,671.21", "D) 2,562.75" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,779.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69", "options": [ "A) 225.82", "B) 184.86", "C) 205.34", "D) 191.69" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "205.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": [ "A) -1.14pp", "B) -0.78pp", "C) -0.24pp", "D) -0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $3,560M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,560M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%", "options": [ "A) 6.12%", "B) 6.80%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 7.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%", "options": [ "A) 4.37%", "B) 5.41%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 8.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl", "options": [ "A) $46.29/bbl", "B) $59.15/bbl", "C) $84.89/bbl", "D) $72.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp", "options": [ "A) +4.50pp", "B) -4.87pp", "C) +7.62pp", "D) +1.38pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%", "options": [ "A) 61.54%", "B) 62.80%", "C) 64.68%", "D) 59.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M", "options": [ "A) $514,946M", "B) $526,665M", "C) $491,507M", "D) $468,068M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$491,507M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 6.19%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 4.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp", "options": [ "A) -0.30pp", "B) +0.16pp", "C) -0.76pp", "D) -0.45pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%", "options": [ "A) 2.27%", "B) 2.55%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%", "options": [ "A) 4.05%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K", "options": [ "A) 1,189K", "B) 1,371K", "C) 1,068K", "D) 1,250K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,250K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", "options": [ "A) 60.40%", "B) 62.21%", "C) 57.38%", "D) 58.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%", "options": [ "A) 3.05%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 7.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32", "options": [ "A) 275.98", "B) 265.41", "C) 258.37", "D) 251.32" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "258.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M", "options": [ "A) $267,310M", "B) $260,859M", "C) $241,506M", "D) $247,957M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$247,957M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%", "options": [ "A) 4.62%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 3.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25", "options": [ "A) 211.37", "B) 203.32", "C) 199.30", "D) 191.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "199.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%", "options": [ "A) 73.86%", "B) 80.93%", "C) 76.21%", "D) 78.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803", "options": [ "A) 110.5800", "B) 121.9804", "C) 99.1796", "D) 118.1803" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.5800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%", "options": [ "A) 0.53%", "B) 5.84%", "C) 21.78%", "D) 11.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91", "options": [ "A) 96.71", "B) 105.50", "C) 102.20", "D) 98.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "102.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%", "options": [ "A) 1.26%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%", "options": [ "A) 4.07%", "B) 1.97%", "C) -2.25%", "D) 6.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%", "options": [ "A) 21.29%", "B) 9.60%", "C) -2.09%", "D) 5.70%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149", "options": [ "A) 1.1083", "B) 1.0550", "C) 1.1616", "D) 1.2149" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1616", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) 3.20%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.81%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp", "options": [ "A) +5.00pp", "B) -4.10pp", "C) +14.10pp", "D) +8.03pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+5.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%", "options": [ "A) -15.07%", "B) -8.12%", "C) -28.95%", "D) 5.76%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%", "options": [ "A) 1.64%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K", "options": [ "A) 1,565K", "B) 1,325K", "C) 1,445K", "D) 1,385K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,385K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M", "options": [ "A) $244,343M", "B) $231,880M", "C) $263,038M", "D) $256,806M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$244,343M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%", "options": [ "A) 5.07%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B", "options": [ "A) $13,728B", "B) $15,799B", "C) $14,246B", "D) $15,281B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,246B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30", "options": [ "A) 122.22", "B) 111.84", "C) 118.76", "D) 115.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024", "options": [ "A) 6.4379", "B) 6.1734", "C) 6.0412", "D) 6.7024" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%", "options": [ "A) 63.42%", "B) 60.40%", "C) 62.21%", "D) 58.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743", "options": [ "A) 2,009,514", "B) 2,178,772", "C) 1,671,000", "D) 1,501,743" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,671,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48", "options": [ "A) 28,843.89", "B) 21,337.07", "C) 27,592.75", "D) 25,090.48" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25,090.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19", "options": [ "A) 203.60", "B) 195.76", "C) 211.44", "D) 223.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "203.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%", "options": [ "A) -8.00%", "B) 10.76%", "C) 23.26%", "D) -1.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M", "options": [ "A) $72,621M", "B) $66,493M", "C) $68,025M", "D) $63,429M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$68,025M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40", "options": [ "A) 97.92", "B) 94.44", "C) 108.36", "D) 101.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21", "options": [ "A) 100.10", "B) 89.99", "C) 106.84", "D) 110.21" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "100.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%", "options": [ "A) -1.87%", "B) 6.71%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 9.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%", "options": [ "A) 9.19%", "B) 72.68%", "C) 56.80%", "D) 25.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "56.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34", "options": [ "A) 117.40", "B) 125.53", "C) 109.27", "D) 113.34" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "113.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%", "options": [ "A) 1.94%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 1.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%", "options": [ "A) 3.01%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 2.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M", "options": [ "A) $-48,453M", "B) $-53,830M", "C) $-50,245M", "D) $-46,660M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-50,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.10/hr", "B) $23.53/hr", "C) $21.79/hr", "D) $22.49/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$22.49/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B", "options": [ "A) $14,013B", "B) $12,964B", "C) $13,489B", "D) $15,585B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,013B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%", "options": [ "A) 6.33%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 6.55%", "D) 6.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%", "options": [ "A) 6.03%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 4.97%", "D) 5.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18", "options": [ "A) 265.23", "B) 260.01", "C) 244.35", "D) 252.18" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "252.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", "options": [ "A) 62.90%", "B) 64.16%", "C) 66.05%", "D) 61.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69", "options": [ "A) 7,234.53", "B) 7,746.38", "C) 8,770.07", "D) 6,722.69" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,746.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B", "options": [ "A) $14,139B", "B) $13,103B", "C) $13,793B", "D) $14,484B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,793B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%", "options": [ "A) 9.07%", "B) 2.24%", "C) -2.32%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%", "options": [ "A) 4.00%", "B) 5.60%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp", "options": [ "A) -0.57pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.75pp", "D) -0.92pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M", "options": [ "A) $494,920M", "B) $451,681M", "C) $484,110M", "D) $473,300M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$484,110M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.82%", "B) 1.27%", "C) 1.93%", "D) 1.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47", "options": [ "A) 256.27", "B) 273.27", "C) 246.07", "D) 266.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "256.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.76/hr", "B) $22.86/hr", "C) $24.69/hr", "D) $23.96/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$22.86/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94", "options": [ "A) 8.07", "B) 6.11", "C) 11.98", "D) 13.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": [ "A) -0.11pp", "B) +0.21pp", "C) +0.11pp", "D) +0.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 3.06%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%", "options": [ "A) 16.02%", "B) 14.27%", "C) 17.77%", "D) 10.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B", "options": [ "A) $14,409B", "B) $14,806B", "C) $15,203B", "D) $15,996B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15,203B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp", "options": [ "A) -0.53pp", "B) -0.23pp", "C) +0.08pp", "D) +0.38pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.38pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49", "options": [ "A) 102.42", "B) 100.37", "C) 98.32", "D) 105.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%", "options": [ "A) 0.63%", "B) 4.31%", "C) 7.99%", "D) 5.54%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,734.55", "B) 8,127.21", "C) 6,949.23", "D) 6,163.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,734.55", "B) 8,127.21", "C) 6,949.23", "D) 6,163.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,262.78", "B) 8,048.10", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,262.78", "B) 8,048.10", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,477.46", "C) 7,262.78", "D) 6,084.80" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,477.46", "C) 7,262.78", "D) 6,084.80" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 7,655.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 7,655.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,588.26", "B) 2,484.44", "C) 2,276.81", "D) 2,692.08" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,588.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,588.26", "B) 2,484.44", "C) 2,276.81", "D) 2,692.08" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,588.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,374.25", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,270.43", "D) 2,893.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,374.25", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,270.43", "D) 2,893.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,893.33", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,581.88", "D) 2,789.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,893.33", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,581.88", "D) 2,789.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,581.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,581.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,581.88", "B) 2,685.70", "C) 2,478.06", "D) 2,893.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,581.88", "B) 2,685.70", "C) 2,478.06", "D) 2,893.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,374.25" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,374.25" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5.8744", "B) 6.0491", "C) 6.3110", "D) 6.5729" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5.8744", "B) 6.0491", "C) 6.3110", "D) 6.5729" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.4856", "B) 5.8744", "C) 6.1364", "D) 6.3110" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.4856", "B) 5.8744", "C) 6.1364", "D) 6.3110" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.3110", "B) 6.5729", "C) 6.1364", "D) 5.8744" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.3110", "B) 6.5729", "C) 6.1364", "D) 5.8744" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.1141", "B) 6.3760", "C) 6.5506", "D) 5.9394" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3760", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.1141", "B) 6.3760", "C) 6.5506", "D) 5.9394" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3760", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.0013", "B) 6.6998", "C) 6.4379", "D) 6.1760" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.0013", "B) 6.6998", "C) 6.4379", "D) 6.1760" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.7584", "B) 6.5838", "C) 7.1949", "D) 6.9330" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.9330", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.7584", "B) 6.5838", "C) 7.1949", "D) 6.9330" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.9330", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 29.98", "C) 26.57", "D) 19.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 29.98", "C) 26.57", "D) 19.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 19.76", "B) 24.87", "C) 26.57", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 19.76", "B) 24.87", "C) 26.57", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 29.98", "B) 28.28", "C) 24.87", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 29.98", "B) 28.28", "C) 24.87", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 28.28", "B) 21.46", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 28.28", "B) 21.46", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 19.76", "C) 29.98", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 19.76", "C) 29.98", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 19.76", "D) 23.17" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 19.76", "D) 23.17" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,713.32", "B) 5,557.24", "C) 6,635.28", "D) 6,275.93" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,635.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,713.32", "B) 5,557.24", "C) 6,635.28", "D) 6,275.93" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,635.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,597.73", "B) 5,879.04", "C) 7,675.77", "D) 6,957.08" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,957.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,597.73", "B) 5,879.04", "C) 7,675.77", "D) 6,957.08" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,957.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,157.23", "B) 8,235.27", "C) 6,438.54", "D) 7,875.92" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,157.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,157.23", "B) 8,235.27", "C) 6,438.54", "D) 7,875.92" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,157.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,886.89", "B) 7,527.54", "C) 6,808.85", "D) 6,449.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,527.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,886.89", "B) 7,527.54", "C) 6,808.85", "D) 6,449.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,527.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 8,557.65", "B) 7,120.27", "C) 7,838.96", "D) 6,760.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,838.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 8,557.65", "B) 7,120.27", "C) 7,838.96", "D) 6,760.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,838.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,445.31", "B) 8,882.69", "C) 7,085.96", "D) 8,164.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8,164.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 7,445.31", "B) 8,882.69", "C) 7,085.96", "D) 8,164.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8,164.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,467.70", "B) 2,375.61", "C) 2,191.42", "D) 2,559.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,467.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,467.70", "B) 2,375.61", "C) 2,191.42", "D) 2,559.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,467.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,724.17", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,724.17", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,539.98", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,447.89", "D) 2,632.07" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,539.98", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,447.89", "D) 2,632.07" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,632.07", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,263.71", "D) 2,447.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,632.07", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,263.71", "D) 2,447.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,447.89", "B) 2,171.61", "C) 2,355.80", "D) 2,632.07" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,447.89", "B) 2,171.61", "C) 2,355.80", "D) 2,632.07" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,171.61", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,171.61", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 23.25", "B) 29.76", "C) 25.42", "D) 18.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 23.25", "B) 29.76", "C) 25.42", "D) 18.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 24.32", "B) 17.81", "C) 26.49", "D) 19.98" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 24.32", "B) 17.81", "C) 26.49", "D) 19.98" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 17.80", "B) 15.63", "C) 24.31", "D) 11.29" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 17.80", "B) 15.63", "C) 24.31", "D) 11.29" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 13.51", "C) 17.85", "D) 20.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 13.51", "C) 17.85", "D) 20.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 19.39", "B) 15.05", "C) 12.88", "D) 6.37" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 19.39", "B) 15.05", "C) 12.88", "D) 6.37" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 18.52", "B) 9.84", "C) 7.67", "D) 12.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 18.52", "B) 9.84", "C) 7.67", "D) 12.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 35.01", "C) 38.10", "D) 36.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 35.01", "C) 38.10", "D) 36.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 31.91", "B) 28.82", "C) 33.46", "D) 38.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 31.91", "B) 28.82", "C) 33.46", "D) 38.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 28.82", "B) 35.01", "C) 36.56", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 28.82", "B) 35.01", "C) 36.56", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 28.82", "C) 30.36", "D) 36.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 28.82", "C) 30.36", "D) 36.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 36.56", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 36.56", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,874.08", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 7,115.88", "D) 8,253.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,874.08", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 7,115.88", "D) 8,253.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,635.53", "B) 6,119.13", "C) 8,014.63", "D) 7,256.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,635.53", "B) 6,119.13", "C) 8,014.63", "D) 7,256.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,421.46", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 8,179.66", "D) 6,663.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,421.46", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 8,179.66", "D) 6,663.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,830.12", "B) 7,588.32", "C) 8,346.52", "D) 7,209.22" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,830.12", "B) 7,588.32", "C) 8,346.52", "D) 7,209.22" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,209.22", "B) 6,451.02", "C) 7,588.32", "D) 8,725.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,209.22", "B) 6,451.02", "C) 7,588.32", "D) 8,725.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,553.14", "B) 6,794.94", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,932.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,553.14", "B) 6,794.94", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,932.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,695.14", "B) 2,598.19", "C) 2,404.30", "D) 2,501.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,695.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,695.14", "B) 2,598.19", "C) 2,404.30", "D) 2,501.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,695.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,926.12", "B) 2,732.22", "C) 2,829.17", "D) 2,635.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,732.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,926.12", "B) 2,732.22", "C) 2,829.17", "D) 2,635.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,732.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,488.76", "B) 3,070.44", "C) 2,779.60", "D) 2,876.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,779.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,488.76", "B) 3,070.44", "C) 2,779.60", "D) 2,876.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,779.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,980.47", "B) 2,883.52", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,786.57" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,980.47", "B) 2,883.52", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,786.57" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,786.57", "B) 2,980.47", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,883.52" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,786.57", "B) 2,980.47", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,883.52" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,943.02", "B) 2,846.07", "C) 2,749.12", "D) 2,652.17" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,846.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,943.02", "B) 2,846.07", "C) 2,749.12", "D) 2,652.17" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,846.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 } ]