[ { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 123.83\nB) 121.34\nC) 117.60\nD) 113.86", "options": [ "A) 123.83", "B) 121.34", "C) 117.60", "D) 113.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "117.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.79pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.25pp", "options": [ "A) +0.79pp", "B) -0.29pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +0.25pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 256.43\nB) 243.14\nC) 263.08\nD) 249.78", "options": [ "A) 256.43", "B) 243.14", "C) 263.08", "D) 249.78" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "256.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1907\nB) 1.1217\nC) 1.0527\nD) 1.2598", "options": [ "A) 1.1907", "B) 1.1217", "C) 1.0527", "D) 1.2598" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1217", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,247,196\nB) 2,020,804\nC) 1,634,000\nD) 1,376,131", "options": [ "A) 1,247,196", "B) 2,020,804", "C) 1,634,000", "D) 1,376,131" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,634,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 1.52%", "options": [ "A) 0.83%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 2.56%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.20%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 60.04%\nD) 61.94%", "options": [ "A) 63.20%", "B) 65.10%", "C) 60.04%", "D) 61.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3175\nB) 6.9247\nC) 6.5319\nD) 7.5793", "options": [ "A) 7.3175", "B) 6.9247", "C) 6.5319", "D) 7.5793" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.9247", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.25%", "options": [ "A) 1.97%", "B) 0.60%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 0.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.88%", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 1.88%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.29\nB) 99.22\nC) 108.43\nD) 105.36", "options": [ "A) 102.29", "B) 99.22", "C) 108.43", "D) 105.36" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.24%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 7.41%", "options": [ "A) 8.24%", "B) 7.00%", "C) 7.83%", "D) 7.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.08%", "options": [ "A) 0.95%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.50%", "options": [ "A) 3.83%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 3.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,886.98\nB) 2,632.98\nC) 3,013.98\nD) 3,267.98", "options": [ "A) 2,886.98", "B) 2,632.98", "C) 3,013.98", "D) 3,267.98" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,886.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 2.97%", "options": [ "A) 3.17%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 99.79\nC) 102.88\nD) 105.96", "options": [ "A) 96.70", "B) 99.79", "C) 102.88", "D) 105.96" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "102.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.45pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) +0.03pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": [ "A) +0.45pp", "B) +0.12pp", "C) +0.03pp", "D) +0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 3.68%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 2.16%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 3.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,687.83\nB) 26,089.61\nC) 27,491.39\nD) 30,294.96", "options": [ "A) 24,687.83", "B) 26,089.61", "C) 27,491.39", "D) 30,294.96" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26,089.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.83%\nB) 57.34%\nC) 61.00%\nD) 59.17%", "options": [ "A) 62.83%", "B) 57.34%", "C) 61.00%", "D) 59.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.93%\nB) -0.55%\nC) -5.31%\nD) -1.74%", "options": [ "A) -2.93%", "B) -0.55%", "C) -5.31%", "D) -1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.63%", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 0.66%", "D) 2.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.3186\nB) 108.4400\nC) 111.3995\nD) 99.5614", "options": [ "A) 117.3186", "B) 108.4400", "C) 111.3995", "D) 99.5614" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.4400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 1.49%", "options": [ "A) 2.29%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 2.09%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,136K\nC) 1,454K\nD) 1,295K", "options": [ "A) 1,189K", "B) 1,136K", "C) 1,454K", "D) 1,295K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,295K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $226,791M\nB) $212,932M\nC) $217,552M\nD) $231,411M", "options": [ "A) $226,791M", "B) $212,932M", "C) $217,552M", "D) $231,411M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$226,791M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.35%", "options": [ "A) 3.47%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 3.85%", "options": [ "A) 3.06%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 3.59%", "D) 3.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.63%", "options": [ "A) 1.75%", "B) 1.39%", "C) 1.27%", "D) 1.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -6.50%\nB) -2.87%\nC) -13.75%\nD) -10.12%", "options": [ "A) -6.50%", "B) -2.87%", "C) -13.75%", "D) -10.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.38\nB) 103.73\nC) 107.09\nD) 98.14", "options": [ "A) 100.38", "B) 103.73", "C) 107.09", "D) 98.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "103.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,846B\nB) $16,762B\nC) $16,283B\nD) $17,719B", "options": [ "A) $14,846B", "B) $16,762B", "C) $16,283B", "D) $17,719B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16,283B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) -2.82%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 6.05%", "options": [ "A) 9.01%", "B) -2.82%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 6.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 4.47%", "options": [ "A) 4.09%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 3.31%", "D) 4.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 1.72%", "options": [ "A) 2.41%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 1.84%", "D) 1.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 268.77\nB) 254.37\nC) 261.57\nD) 243.57", "options": [ "A) 268.77", "B) 254.37", "C) 261.57", "D) 243.57" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "261.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,571B\nB) $13,037B\nC) $15,064B\nD) $14,558B", "options": [ "A) $15,571B", "B) $13,037B", "C) $15,064B", "D) $14,558B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,558B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.53%\nB) 76.16%\nC) 74.58%\nD) 80.12%", "options": [ "A) 78.53%", "B) 76.16%", "C) 74.58%", "D) 80.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 6.93%", "options": [ "A) 7.25%", "B) 7.90%", "C) 8.22%", "D) 6.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.15%", "B) -3.09%", "C) 0.65%", "D) 1.90%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.77\nB) 219.68\nC) 226.65\nD) 205.74", "options": [ "A) 198.77", "B) 219.68", "C) 226.65", "D) 205.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "205.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,154M\nB) $-41,991M\nC) $-44,045M\nD) $-54,317M", "options": [ "A) $-48,154M", "B) $-41,991M", "C) $-44,045M", "D) $-54,317M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-48,154M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.49pp\nD) -0.16pp", "options": [ "A) -0.29pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.49pp", "D) -0.16pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 106.16\nB) 96.88\nC) 103.07\nD) 99.98", "options": [ "A) 106.16", "B) 96.88", "C) 103.07", "D) 99.98" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.59%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -3.92%\nD) 0.75%", "options": [ "A) -1.59%", "B) 3.09%", "C) -3.92%", "D) 0.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.31pp\nB) -3.31pp\nC) -0.31pp\nD) +0.68pp", "options": [ "A) -2.31pp", "B) -3.31pp", "C) -0.31pp", "D) +0.68pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.31pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $64,006M\nB) $68,651M\nC) $73,296M\nD) $65,555M", "options": [ "A) $64,006M", "B) $68,651M", "C) $73,296M", "D) $65,555M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$68,651M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,326K\nC) 1,469K\nD) 1,421K", "options": [ "A) 1,565K", "B) 1,326K", "C) 1,469K", "D) 1,421K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,469K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $3,382M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $3,382M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,382M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.90pp\nB) -0.99pp\nC) -9.86pp\nD) -15.77pp", "options": [ "A) -6.90pp", "B) -0.99pp", "C) -9.86pp", "D) -15.77pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.88%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 2.04%", "C) 1.62%", "D) 2.88%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.32%", "options": [ "A) 4.92%", "B) 5.57%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 3.80%", "options": [ "A) 4.99%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 3.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,465M\nB) $247,018M\nC) $260,123M\nD) $220,807M", "options": [ "A) $240,465M", "B) $247,018M", "C) $260,123M", "D) $220,807M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$240,465M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -2.55%\nC) -7.21%\nD) 2.10%", "options": [ "A) 4.43%", "B) -2.55%", "C) -7.21%", "D) 2.10%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.40/hr\nB) $24.53/hr\nC) $23.68/hr\nD) $25.81/hr", "options": [ "A) $22.40/hr", "B) $24.53/hr", "C) $23.68/hr", "D) $25.81/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.68/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.45%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 17.50%\nD) 3.53%", "options": [ "A) -10.45%", "B) 8.18%", "C) 17.50%", "D) 3.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 66.15%\nD) 64.89%", "options": [ "A) 63.00%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 66.15%", "D) 64.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,500B\nB) $14,249B\nC) $13,874B\nD) $14,623B", "options": [ "A) $13,500B", "B) $14,249B", "C) $13,874B", "D) $14,623B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,249B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.92\nB) 103.88\nC) 98.40\nD) 106.62", "options": [ "A) 92.92", "B) 103.88", "C) 98.40", "D) 106.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,881K\nB) 159,261K\nC) 146,709K\nD) 150,295K", "options": [ "A) 153,881K", "B) 159,261K", "C) 146,709K", "D) 150,295K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "150,295K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.87\nB) 106.27\nC) 108.68\nD) 101.47", "options": [ "A) 103.87", "B) 106.27", "C) 108.68", "D) 101.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "103.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 2.80%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) -4.95%\nC) 0.46%\nD) 16.70%", "options": [ "A) 5.87%", "B) -4.95%", "C) 0.46%", "D) 16.70%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $521,891M\nB) $471,455M\nC) $534,500M\nD) $509,282M", "options": [ "A) $521,891M", "B) $471,455M", "C) $534,500M", "D) $509,282M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$509,282M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,591B\nB) $14,978B\nC) $15,366B\nD) $13,427B", "options": [ "A) $14,591B", "B) $14,978B", "C) $15,366B", "D) $13,427B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,591B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.37%\nB) -9.64%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 6.15%", "options": [ "A) -4.37%", "B) -9.64%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 6.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -7.05%\nB) -3.36%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 15.08%", "options": [ "A) -7.05%", "B) -3.36%", "C) 4.01%", "D) 15.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 3.63%", "options": [ "A) 4.17%", "B) 2.54%", "C) 5.25%", "D) 3.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.29/hr\nB) $24.45/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $21.36/hr", "options": [ "A) $23.29/hr", "B) $24.45/hr", "C) $22.52/hr", "D) $21.36/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.29/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.13pp", "options": [ "A) +0.30pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.03pp", "D) +0.13pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,616.22\nB) 8,977.10\nC) 7,796.66\nD) 7,206.44", "options": [ "A) 6,616.22", "B) 8,977.10", "C) 7,796.66", "D) 7,206.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,796.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.85%", "options": [ "A) 1.31%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -3.00pp\nC) +1.94pp\nD) -1.02pp", "options": [ "A) -0.04pp", "B) -3.00pp", "C) +1.94pp", "D) -1.02pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 60.60%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%", "options": [ "A) 63.63%", "B) 60.60%", "C) 58.78%", "D) 62.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $44.69/bbl\nB) $60.25/bbl\nC) $52.47/bbl\nD) $29.13/bbl", "options": [ "A) $44.69/bbl", "B) $60.25/bbl", "C) $52.47/bbl", "D) $29.13/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$52.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,544B\nB) $16,041B\nC) $14,550B\nD) $15,047B", "options": [ "A) $15,544B", "B) $16,041B", "C) $14,550B", "D) $15,047B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15,047B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.03%\nB) -13.31%\nC) -6.75%\nD) -3.47%", "options": [ "A) -10.03%", "B) -13.31%", "C) -6.75%", "D) -3.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -67.96%\nB) -15.68%\nC) 36.60%\nD) -33.11%", "options": [ "A) -67.96%", "B) -15.68%", "C) 36.60%", "D) -33.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-15.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.83\nB) 21.73\nC) 15.28\nD) 10.98", "options": [ "A) 8.83", "B) 21.73", "C) 15.28", "D) 10.98" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) 4.99%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 5.53%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -0.02pp", "options": [ "A) -0.20pp", "B) -0.38pp", "C) +0.16pp", "D) -0.02pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 3.51%", "options": [ "A) 3.07%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 1.33%", "D) 3.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%", "options": [ "A) 1.58%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 1.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.59%", "options": [ "A) 2.19%", "B) 2.32%", "C) 2.86%", "D) 2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 6.40%\nC) -5.64%\nD) 12.42%", "options": [ "A) 3.39%", "B) 6.40%", "C) -5.64%", "D) 12.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 3.77%", "options": [ "A) 4.91%", "B) 4.34%", "C) 6.06%", "D) 3.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,597B\nB) $16,937B\nC) $16,044B\nD) $16,490B", "options": [ "A) $15,597B", "B) $16,937B", "C) $16,044B", "D) $16,490B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16,044B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 1.74%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 115.91\nB) 107.09\nC) 112.97\nD) 118.84", "options": [ "A) 115.91", "B) 107.09", "C) 112.97", "D) 118.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $475,681M\nB) $499,292M\nC) $511,098M\nD) $522,903M", "options": [ "A) $475,681M", "B) $499,292M", "C) $511,098M", "D) $522,903M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$499,292M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -21.88%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -11.03%\nD) 5.25%", "options": [ "A) -21.88%", "B) -0.17%", "C) -11.03%", "D) 5.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-11.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,261K\nB) 142,859K\nC) 154,768K\nD) 151,365K", "options": [ "A) 146,261K", "B) 142,859K", "C) 154,768K", "D) 151,365K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "151,365K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) -5.55%\nC) 20.53%\nD) 10.10%", "options": [ "A) 4.88%", "B) -5.55%", "C) 20.53%", "D) 10.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 202,426\nB) 217,000\nC) 231,574\nD) 246,148", "options": [ "A) 202,426", "B) 217,000", "C) 231,574", "D) 246,148" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "217,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $-37,818M\nB) $-40,012M\nC) $-44,400M\nD) $-48,788M", "options": [ "A) $-37,818M", "B) $-40,012M", "C) $-44,400M", "D) $-48,788M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-44,400M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.52\nB) 282.94\nC) 253.26\nD) 264.39", "options": [ "A) 275.52", "B) 282.94", "C) 253.26", "D) 264.39" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "264.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.42%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -5.39%", "options": [ "A) -2.42%", "B) 6.48%", "C) 3.51%", "D) -5.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 1.13%", "options": [ "A) 4.47%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 1.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,203M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,203M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,203M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.69%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -37.15%\nD) -20.62%", "options": [ "A) -53.69%", "B) -4.09%", "C) -37.15%", "D) -20.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-20.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 118.30\nB) 110.62\nC) 121.37\nD) 115.23", "options": [ "A) 118.30", "B) 110.62", "C) 121.37", "D) 115.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "118.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 215.35\nB) 198.40\nC) 188.23\nD) 208.57", "options": [ "A) 215.35", "B) 198.40", "C) 188.23", "D) 208.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "198.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $14,808B\nC) $13,446B\nD) $13,900B", "options": [ "A) $12,084B", "B) $14,808B", "C) $13,446B", "D) $13,900B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,446B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 5.53%", "options": [ "A) 4.96%", "B) 6.67%", "C) 3.83%", "D) 5.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 0.57%", "options": [ "A) 1.99%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.34\nB) 103.06\nC) 107.63\nD) 99.63", "options": [ "A) 105.34", "B) 103.06", "C) 107.63", "D) 99.63" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "103.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,298K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,191K\nD) 1,352K", "options": [ "A) 1,298K", "B) 1,245K", "C) 1,191K", "D) 1,352K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,191K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.87%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 4.46%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 254.28\nB) 260.03\nC) 265.79\nD) 245.64", "options": [ "A) 254.28", "B) 260.03", "C) 265.79", "D) 245.64" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "254.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.99/bbl\nB) $63.13/bbl\nC) $46.27/bbl\nD) $37.84/bbl", "options": [ "A) $79.99/bbl", "B) $63.13/bbl", "C) $46.27/bbl", "D) $37.84/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.99\nB) 212.51\nC) 200.80\nD) 185.18", "options": [ "A) 192.99", "B) 212.51", "C) 200.80", "D) 185.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "200.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 8.08%\nD) 5.58%", "options": [ "A) 4.74%", "B) 6.41%", "C) 8.08%", "D) 5.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.44%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 2.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.95%\nB) 77.62%\nC) 82.28%\nD) 75.29%", "options": [ "A) 79.95%", "B) 77.62%", "C) 82.28%", "D) 75.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.29pp", "options": [ "A) +0.07pp", "B) +0.73pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +0.29pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 204.72\nC) 197.60\nD) 211.84", "options": [ "A) 218.96", "B) 204.72", "C) 197.60", "D) 211.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "211.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.77%", "options": [ "A) 2.41%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $67,918M\nB) $66,378M\nC) $70,997M\nD) $61,759M", "options": [ "A) $67,918M", "B) $66,378M", "C) $70,997M", "D) $61,759M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,378M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +0.77pp", "options": [ "A) +0.86pp", "B) +0.51pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) +0.77pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.68%", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 1.25%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,311K\nB) 1,169K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,358K", "options": [ "A) 1,311K", "B) 1,169K", "C) 1,264K", "D) 1,358K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,311K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -13.11%\nD) -5.43%", "options": [ "A) 2.25%", "B) -1.59%", "C) -13.11%", "D) -5.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.72pp\nB) +5.58pp\nC) -3.00pp\nD) -11.58pp", "options": [ "A) -8.72pp", "B) +5.58pp", "C) -3.00pp", "D) -11.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.92%\nB) 23.42%\nC) 15.67%\nD) 11.80%", "options": [ "A) 7.92%", "B) 23.42%", "C) 15.67%", "D) 11.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.54%\nB) 0.87%\nC) -14.80%\nD) -11.67%", "options": [ "A) -8.54%", "B) 0.87%", "C) -14.80%", "D) -11.67%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.17\nB) 93.20\nC) 89.25\nD) 97.15", "options": [ "A) 95.17", "B) 93.20", "C) 89.25", "D) 97.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 5.63%\nD) 4.50%", "options": [ "A) 5.06%", "B) 7.31%", "C) 5.63%", "D) 4.50%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 1.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 1.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.80%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.80%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.45%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 1.03%", "D) 1.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.45%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 1.03%", "D) 1.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 1.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 1.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.15%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.15%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 0.33%", "B) 0.75%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 0.33%", "B) 0.75%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.35%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.14%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 1.14%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 2.05%", "B) 1.18%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 2.05%", "B) 1.18%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.83%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.83%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 2.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": [ "A) 1.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 2.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 9.45", "B) 18.45", "C) 13.95", "D) 16.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 9.45", "B) 18.45", "C) 13.95", "D) 16.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 20.69", "B) 11.70", "C) 18.45", "D) 13.95" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 20.69", "B) 11.70", "C) 18.45", "D) 13.95" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 13.54", "B) 20.28", "C) 9.04", "D) 15.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 13.54", "B) 20.28", "C) 9.04", "D) 15.79" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 5.33", "B) 12.07", "C) 16.57", "D) 7.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 5.33", "B) 12.07", "C) 16.57", "D) 7.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 16.04", "B) 9.29", "C) 11.54", "D) 7.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 16.04", "B) 9.29", "C) 11.54", "D) 7.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 7.04", "B) 13.79", "C) 18.28", "D) 11.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": [ "A) 7.04", "B) 13.79", "C) 18.28", "D) 11.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019 } ]