[ { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp", "options": [ "A) -4.40pp", "B) -2.38pp", "C) -3.39pp", "D) -6.42pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85", "options": [ "A) 101.75", "B) 105.41", "C) 111.51", "D) 107.85" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "105.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%", "options": [ "A) -8.81%", "B) -1.82%", "C) -5.32%", "D) -2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp", "options": [ "A) -7.91pp", "B) -6.19pp", "C) -1.04pp", "D) -4.48pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.48pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06", "options": [ "A) 118.00", "B) 111.25", "C) 114.62", "D) 123.06" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "118.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl", "options": [ "A) $32.73/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $19.31/bbl", "D) $52.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25", "options": [ "A) 100.33", "B) 94.49", "C) 97.41", "D) 103.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05", "options": [ "A) 248.11", "B) 255.68", "C) 278.42", "D) 267.05" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "267.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91", "options": [ "A) 25,763.16", "B) 24,217.74", "C) 22,672.33", "D) 21,126.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25,763.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%", "options": [ "A) 1.05%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 2.47%", "D) -0.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%", "options": [ "A) 5.31%", "B) 12.68%", "C) 1.63%", "D) -2.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B", "options": [ "A) $15,623B", "B) $18,704B", "C) $18,088B", "D) $17,472B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17,472B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%", "options": [ "A) 0.19%", "B) 1.30%", "C) 0.93%", "D) 0.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%", "options": [ "A) 15.20%", "B) 11.37%", "C) 3.70%", "D) -0.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%", "options": [ "A) 12.82%", "B) 11.98%", "C) 12.40%", "D) 13.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270", "options": [ "A) 1.0020", "B) 1.0520", "C) 1.2020", "D) 1.1270" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1270", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217", "options": [ "A) 107.3300", "B) 99.7383", "C) 112.3911", "D) 114.9217" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.3300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%", "options": [ "A) -4.25%", "B) -3.06%", "C) -3.86%", "D) -2.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%", "options": [ "A) 1.61%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 1.48%", "D) 1.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M", "options": [ "A) $223,410M", "B) $209,267M", "C) $216,338M", "D) $230,481M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$230,481M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp", "options": [ "A) -9.30pp", "B) -17.38pp", "C) -6.61pp", "D) -3.91pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-9.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl", "options": [ "A) $19.72/bbl", "B) $37.07/bbl", "C) $42.85/bbl", "D) $54.42/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 5.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B", "options": [ "A) $14,217B", "B) $13,409B", "C) $12,601B", "D) $13,813B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$13,813B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%", "options": [ "A) 6.22%", "B) 15.07%", "C) -2.62%", "D) 19.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%", "options": [ "A) 68.71%", "B) 73.15%", "C) 76.10%", "D) 74.62%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "73.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K", "options": [ "A) 1,530K", "B) 1,689K", "C) 1,636K", "D) 1,742K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,636K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76", "options": [ "A) 247.91", "B) 240.86", "C) 219.71", "D) 226.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B", "options": [ "A) $14,865B", "B) $14,393B", "C) $13,922B", "D) $13,450B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,865B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", "options": [ "A) 3.85%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.13%", "D) 4.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%", "options": [ "A) 12.17%", "B) 9.42%", "C) 3.91%", "D) -1.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%", "options": [ "A) 36.28%", "B) 76.53%", "C) 44.33%", "D) 52.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp", "options": [ "A) -4.74pp", "B) -3.71pp", "C) -6.82pp", "D) -7.86pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.74pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36", "options": [ "A) 272.37", "B) 258.08", "C) 265.22", "D) 247.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "258.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27", "options": [ "A) 99.62", "B) 90.49", "C) 95.97", "D) 103.27" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M", "options": [ "A) $61,914M", "B) $65,214M", "C) $60,265M", "D) $63,564M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63,564M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14", "options": [ "A) 268.93", "B) 253.99", "C) 261.46", "D) 280.14" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "268.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp", "options": [ "A) -0.95pp", "B) -0.80pp", "C) -1.03pp", "D) -0.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01", "options": [ "A) 94.44", "B) 83.76", "C) 89.10", "D) 98.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B", "options": [ "A) $13,913B", "B) $14,291B", "C) $13,536B", "D) $14,668B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,668B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%", "options": [ "A) 73.79%", "B) 70.10%", "C) 76.00%", "D) 71.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "73.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00", "options": [ "A) 73.33", "B) 80.40", "C) 69.80", "D) 91.00" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%", "options": [ "A) 8.48%", "B) 12.20%", "C) 10.34%", "D) 13.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887", "options": [ "A) 6.7142", "B) 7.4632", "C) 6.4646", "D) 7.0887" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.0887", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp", "options": [ "A) +4.30pp", "B) +3.09pp", "C) +7.92pp", "D) +0.68pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp", "options": [ "A) -0.75pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.63pp", "D) -0.52pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76", "options": [ "A) 252.88", "B) 267.11", "C) 260.00", "D) 245.76" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "260.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B", "options": [ "A) $17,871B", "B) $14,870B", "C) $15,370B", "D) $16,370B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16,370B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%", "options": [ "A) 4.40%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 5.01%", "D) 3.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 1.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) -6.14%", "B) -8.44%", "C) -3.83%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%", "options": [ "A) -0.35%", "B) 31.42%", "C) 18.71%", "D) 12.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp", "options": [ "A) -12.80pp", "B) -4.73pp", "C) -16.83pp", "D) -20.87pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-12.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%", "options": [ "A) -3.35%", "B) -9.27%", "C) -15.19%", "D) -12.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 0.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%", "options": [ "A) 23.28%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 9.20%", "D) 14.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 2.04%", "B) 0.36%", "C) 0.92%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%", "options": [ "A) 62.79%", "B) 59.80%", "C) 58.01%", "D) 61.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) 0.65%", "B) 0.01%", "C) 0.33%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16", "options": [ "A) 194.10", "B) 201.12", "C) 236.21", "D) 215.16" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "215.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17", "options": [ "A) 195.50", "B) 185.50", "C) 178.83", "D) 202.17" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "195.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M", "options": [ "A) $57,781M", "B) $62,287M", "C) $65,291M", "D) $63,789M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$62,287M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%", "options": [ "A) 8.11%", "B) 9.93%", "C) 6.29%", "D) 2.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr", "options": [ "A) $24.28/hr", "B) $25.90/hr", "C) $23.20/hr", "D) $24.82/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.82/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%", "options": [ "A) -27.50%", "B) -60.80%", "C) -10.85%", "D) 22.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-27.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%", "options": [ "A) 12.98%", "B) 24.75%", "C) 36.51%", "D) 18.86%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27", "options": [ "A) 202.93", "B) 209.48", "C) 193.10", "D) 183.27" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "193.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%", "options": [ "A) 0.67%", "B) 1.75%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M", "options": [ "A) $204,710M", "B) $218,650M", "C) $209,357M", "D) $214,003M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$204,710M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%", "options": [ "A) -1.07%", "B) 0.53%", "C) -4.27%", "D) 3.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%", "options": [ "A) 8.38%", "B) 10.72%", "C) 10.14%", "D) 8.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%", "options": [ "A) -6.85%", "B) -8.15%", "C) -7.50%", "D) -6.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%", "options": [ "A) 1.17%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.17%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%", "options": [ "A) 3.72%", "B) 7.30%", "C) 10.88%", "D) 6.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%", "options": [ "A) 4.52%", "B) 5.61%", "C) 7.80%", "D) 9.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%", "options": [ "A) 2.78%", "B) 4.90%", "C) 0.66%", "D) -1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K", "options": [ "A) 150,895K", "B) 155,845K", "C) 144,295K", "D) 147,595K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "150,895K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 1.91%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%", "options": [ "A) 5.35%", "B) 6.43%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 3.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B", "options": [ "A) $15,030B", "B) $17,537B", "C) $14,529B", "D) $16,033B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16,033B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B", "options": [ "A) $18,602B", "B) $20,066B", "C) $20,798B", "D) $19,334B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$18,602B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89", "options": [ "A) 99.51", "B) 104.27", "C) 106.65", "D) 101.89" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641", "options": [ "A) 380,038", "B) 2,565,962", "C) 1,473,000", "D) 2,201,641" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,473,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.78%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 0.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M", "options": [ "A) $-42,374M", "B) $-35,852M", "C) $-40,200M", "D) $-48,896M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-42,374M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%", "options": [ "A) -14.39%", "B) -4.24%", "C) -0.86%", "D) -7.62%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M", "options": [ "A) $-62,242M", "B) $-51,762M", "C) $-57,002M", "D) $-49,142M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-57,002M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%", "options": [ "A) 25.99%", "B) 16.55%", "C) 28.35%", "D) 23.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M", "options": [ "A) $541,302M", "B) $555,123M", "C) $582,764M", "D) $513,661M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$541,302M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%", "options": [ "A) -7.95%", "B) -6.34%", "C) -1.50%", "D) -11.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%", "options": [ "A) -0.20%", "B) -8.47%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 8.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000", "options": [ "A) 12,868,729", "B) 16,196,243", "C) 21,187,514", "D) 17,860,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17,860,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%", "options": [ "A) 6.30%", "B) 23.24%", "C) -5.00%", "D) -10.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09", "options": [ "A) 100.95", "B) 104.63", "C) 110.78", "D) 107.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%", "options": [ "A) 60.17%", "B) 64.47%", "C) 61.40%", "D) 62.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.85/hr", "B) $22.76/hr", "C) $25.48/hr", "D) $24.12/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.12/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%", "options": [ "A) 0.65%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 1.06%", "D) 1.87%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%", "options": [ "A) -18.10%", "B) -14.87%", "C) -24.56%", "D) -21.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-14.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08", "options": [ "A) 123.77", "B) 115.49", "C) 118.80", "D) 127.08" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "118.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%", "options": [ "A) 1.29%", "B) 1.65%", "C) 1.76%", "D) 1.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp", "options": [ "A) +0.52pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) +0.75pp", "D) +0.97pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp", "options": [ "A) -1.20pp", "B) -1.80pp", "C) -2.10pp", "D) -1.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%", "options": [ "A) 6.57%", "B) 8.00%", "C) 7.04%", "D) 6.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%", "options": [ "A) 60.33%", "B) 58.46%", "C) 53.80%", "D) 56.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "56.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%", "options": [ "A) 3.13%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 3.53%", "D) 3.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $3,883M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$3,883M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29", "options": [ "A) 2,752.39", "B) 2,909.49", "C) 3,066.59", "D) 2,595.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,066.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K", "options": [ "A) 1,099K", "B) 1,433K", "C) 1,322K", "D) 1,266K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,266K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%", "options": [ "A) 1.28%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 0.71%", "D) 1.84%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24", "options": [ "A) 7,639.85", "B) 9,726.02", "C) 9,030.63", "D) 8,335.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,726.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10", "options": [ "A) 46.84", "B) 21.96", "C) 34.40", "D) 26.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) -10.36%", "C) -12.45%", "D) -6.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,880M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,880M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%", "options": [ "A) 0.99%", "B) 0.71%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K", "options": [ "A) 1,292K", "B) 1,593K", "C) 1,473K", "D) 1,353K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,473K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%", "options": [ "A) -12.28%", "B) -6.76%", "C) 4.26%", "D) -1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp", "options": [ "A) +0.60pp", "B) +0.46pp", "C) +0.18pp", "D) +0.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K", "options": [ "A) 130,873K", "B) 141,770K", "C) 146,129K", "D) 135,232K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "141,770K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%", "options": [ "A) 11.01%", "B) 17.88%", "C) 13.30%", "D) 8.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95", "options": [ "A) 112.77", "B) 116.36", "C) 123.55", "D) 119.95" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "119.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%", "options": [ "A) 2.10%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 2.21%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.40%", "C) 0.66%", "D) 0.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%", "options": [ "A) 60.72%", "B) 64.48%", "C) 62.60%", "D) 59.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06", "options": [ "A) 99.07", "B) 101.46", "C) 108.65", "D) 105.06" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M", "options": [ "A) $468,324M", "B) $494,581M", "C) $428,938M", "D) $442,067M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$468,324M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%", "options": [ "A) -72.05%", "B) -37.25%", "C) -19.85%", "D) -2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-37.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%", "options": [ "A) 2.13%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K", "options": [ "A) 1,447K", "B) 1,245K", "C) 1,397K", "D) 1,346K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,346K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 0.64%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,020.22", "B) 8,980.77", "C) 9,941.32", "D) 9,621.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8,980.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,020.22", "B) 8,980.77", "C) 9,941.32", "D) 9,621.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8,980.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,377.72", "B) 9,338.27", "C) 9,018.09", "D) 9,658.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,377.72", "B) 9,338.27", "C) 9,018.09", "D) 9,658.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 9,978.64", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,697.91", "D) 9,018.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 9,978.64", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,697.91", "D) 9,018.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 9,018.09", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,057.54", "D) 9,338.27" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 9,018.09", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,057.54", "D) 9,338.27" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,594.46", "B) 9,234.83", "C) 10,195.38", "D) 8,914.65" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,234.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 8,594.46", "B) 9,234.83", "C) 10,195.38", "D) 8,914.65" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,234.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 10,787.89", "B) 10,147.52", "C) 11,108.07", "D) 10,467.70" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,108.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 10,787.89", "B) 10,147.52", "C) 11,108.07", "D) 10,467.70" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,108.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,417.19", "B) 3,224.54", "C) 3,320.86", "D) 3,128.21" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,128.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,417.19", "B) 3,224.54", "C) 3,320.86", "D) 3,128.21" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,128.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,130.12", "B) 3,226.45", "C) 3,419.10", "D) 2,841.14" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,130.12", "B) 3,226.45", "C) 3,419.10", "D) 2,841.14" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,130.12", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 2,937.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,130.12", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 2,937.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,130.12", "D) 2,841.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,130.12", "D) 2,841.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,226.45", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 3,130.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,226.45", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 3,130.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,380.35", "B) 3,091.37", "C) 3,573.00", "D) 3,669.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,380.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 3,380.35", "B) 3,091.37", "C) 3,573.00", "D) 3,669.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,380.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 40.11", "C) 45.51", "D) 43.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 38.31", "B) 40.11", "C) 45.51", "D) 43.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 49.06", "B) 56.26", "C) 54.46", "D) 52.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "54.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 49.06", "B) 56.26", "C) 54.46", "D) 52.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "54.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 86.29", "B) 79.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 82.69" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 86.29", "B) 79.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 82.69" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 82.69", "B) 88.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 86.29" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 82.69", "B) 88.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 86.29" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 80.89", "B) 82.69", "C) 88.09", "D) 77.29" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 80.89", "B) 82.69", "C) 88.09", "D) 77.29" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 79.09", "B) 88.09", "C) 82.69", "D) 80.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 79.09", "B) 88.09", "C) 82.69", "D) 80.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 1.63%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 1.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 1.63%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 1.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.01%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.01%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 1.34%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 1.34%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.52%", "B) 1.05%", "C) 1.32%", "D) 0.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) 0.52%", "B) 1.05%", "C) 1.32%", "D) 0.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $60.20/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $60.20/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $56.73/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $56.73/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $46.31/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $56.73/bbl", "D) $49.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $46.31/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $56.73/bbl", "D) $49.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $49.78/bbl", "B) $46.31/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $39.36/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $49.78/bbl", "B) $46.31/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $39.36/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $39.36/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $39.36/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $42.83/bbl", "B) $56.73/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": [ "A) $42.83/bbl", "B) $56.73/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.26%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.26%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.05%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.05%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 0.73%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 0.73%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.59%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.59%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.62%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.62%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.45%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 0.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.45%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 0.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.29%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.29%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.23%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.23%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 0.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 0.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.00%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.00%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.08%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.08%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 75.30", "B) 59.87", "C) 66.04", "D) 69.13" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 75.30", "B) 59.87", "C) 66.04", "D) 69.13" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 70.26", "B) 67.17", "C) 51.74", "D) 61.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 70.26", "B) 67.17", "C) 51.74", "D) 61.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 41.17", "B) 35.00", "C) 38.08", "D) 44.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "41.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 41.17", "B) 35.00", "C) 38.08", "D) 44.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "41.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 30.66", "B) 27.57", "C) 18.31", "D) 21.40" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 30.66", "B) 27.57", "C) 18.31", "D) 21.40" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 33.78", "B) 30.69", "C) 24.52", "D) 15.26" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 33.78", "B) 30.69", "C) 24.52", "D) 15.26" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 12.09", "B) 30.61", "C) 15.18", "D) 21.35" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 12.09", "B) 30.61", "C) 15.18", "D) 21.35" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,879.52", "B) 6,553.79", "C) 7,205.25", "D) 6,228.06" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,879.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,879.52", "B) 6,553.79", "C) 7,205.25", "D) 6,228.06" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,879.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,837.85", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 7,186.40", "D) 6,534.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,837.85", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 7,186.40", "D) 6,534.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,209.21", "B) 5,883.49", "C) 6,860.67", "D) 6,534.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,209.21", "B) 5,883.49", "C) 6,860.67", "D) 6,534.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,209.21", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 6,860.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,209.21", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 6,860.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,860.67", "B) 7,512.13", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 6,860.67", "B) 7,512.13", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": [ "A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $-0.76/bbl", "B) $32.74/bbl", "C) $15.99/bbl", "D) $4.82/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $-0.76/bbl", "B) $32.74/bbl", "C) $15.99/bbl", "D) $4.82/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.89/bbl", "B) $31.64/bbl", "C) $9.30/bbl", "D) $20.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.89/bbl", "B) $31.64/bbl", "C) $9.30/bbl", "D) $20.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $31.83/bbl", "B) $37.41/bbl", "C) $43.00/bbl", "D) $20.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $31.83/bbl", "B) $37.41/bbl", "C) $43.00/bbl", "D) $20.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $50.71/bbl", "B) $39.54/bbl", "C) $45.12/bbl", "D) $22.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $50.71/bbl", "B) $39.54/bbl", "C) $45.12/bbl", "D) $22.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $30.03/bbl", "B) $46.78/bbl", "C) $41.20/bbl", "D) $35.62/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $30.03/bbl", "B) $46.78/bbl", "C) $41.20/bbl", "D) $35.62/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $48.79/bbl", "B) $32.04/bbl", "C) $59.96/bbl", "D) $43.21/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $48.79/bbl", "B) $32.04/bbl", "C) $59.96/bbl", "D) $43.21/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $9.73/bbl", "C) $3.59/bbl", "D) $28.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $9.73/bbl", "C) $3.59/bbl", "D) $28.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.26/bbl", "B) $20.40/bbl", "C) $26.54/bbl", "D) $32.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.26/bbl", "B) $20.40/bbl", "C) $26.54/bbl", "D) $32.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.88/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $33.30/bbl", "D) $21.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $14.88/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $33.30/bbl", "D) $21.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $59.60/bbl", "B) $35.04/bbl", "C) $28.90/bbl", "D) $41.18/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $59.60/bbl", "B) $35.04/bbl", "C) $28.90/bbl", "D) $41.18/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $43.96/bbl", "B) $25.54/bbl", "C) $56.24/bbl", "D) $62.38/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $43.96/bbl", "B) $25.54/bbl", "C) $56.24/bbl", "D) $62.38/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $39.87/bbl", "B) $46.01/bbl", "C) $64.43/bbl", "D) $58.29/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": [ "A) $39.87/bbl", "B) $46.01/bbl", "C) $64.43/bbl", "D) $58.29/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020 } ]