[ { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.57%", "options": [ "A) 3.07%", "B) 2.74%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 3.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.6916\nB) 8.2777\nC) 8.0294\nD) 8.4433", "options": [ "A) 8.6916", "B) 8.2777", "C) 8.0294", "D) 8.4433" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.2777", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 6.32%", "options": [ "A) 5.30%", "B) 6.06%", "C) 5.81%", "D) 6.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 8.37%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 5.80%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) 8.37%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 5.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 65.95%\nD) 69.32%", "options": [ "A) 67.30%", "B) 63.93%", "C) 65.95%", "D) 69.32%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "67.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.38%\nB) 96.57%\nC) 92.31%\nD) 88.04%", "options": [ "A) 109.38%", "B) 96.57%", "C) 92.31%", "D) 88.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "96.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.82%", "options": [ "A) 4.00%", "B) 6.03%", "C) 5.22%", "D) 4.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.57%\nB) 7.02%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 6.74%", "options": [ "A) 7.57%", "B) 7.02%", "C) 6.19%", "D) 6.74%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 91.72%\nB) 16.17%\nC) 66.54%\nD) 116.91%", "options": [ "A) 91.72%", "B) 16.17%", "C) 66.54%", "D) 116.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,447B\nB) $4,681B\nC) $4,821B\nD) $4,587B", "options": [ "A) $4,447B", "B) $4,681B", "C) $4,821B", "D) $4,587B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,681B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 189.73\nB) 177.09\nC) 180.70\nD) 186.12", "options": [ "A) 189.73", "B) 177.09", "C) 180.70", "D) 186.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "180.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) 7.15%\nB) 7.69%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 7.96%", "options": [ "A) 7.15%", "B) 7.69%", "C) 7.42%", "D) 7.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,982,000\nB) 1,863,964\nC) 2,060,691\nD) 2,139,381", "options": [ "A) 1,982,000", "B) 1,863,964", "C) 2,060,691", "D) 2,139,381" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,982,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.94%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 5.67%\nD) 6.20%", "options": [ "A) 5.94%", "B) 6.47%", "C) 5.67%", "D) 6.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 1.76%", "options": [ "A) 2.08%", "B) 1.13%", "C) 1.60%", "D) 1.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 124.83\nB) 128.90\nC) 141.10\nD) 135.00", "options": [ "A) 124.83", "B) 128.90", "C) 141.10", "D) 135.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "135.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.16%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 5.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.73%", "B) 6.16%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 5.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.03%\nB) 6.73%\nC) 7.33%\nD) 6.13%", "options": [ "A) 7.03%", "B) 6.73%", "C) 7.33%", "D) 6.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-06.)\n\nA) 292,540\nB) 314,921\nC) 300,000\nD) 277,619", "options": [ "A) 292,540", "B) 314,921", "C) 300,000", "D) 277,619" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "300,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) 9.15%\nB) 9.75%\nC) 7.95%\nD) 8.55%", "options": [ "A) 9.15%", "B) 9.75%", "C) 7.95%", "D) 8.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 5.85%", "options": [ "A) 4.80%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.45%", "D) 5.85%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 136.45\nB) 132.90\nC) 141.78\nD) 127.57", "options": [ "A) 136.45", "B) 132.90", "C) 141.78", "D) 127.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.47%\nB) 59.89%\nC) 64.40%\nD) 66.33%", "options": [ "A) 62.47%", "B) 59.89%", "C) 64.40%", "D) 66.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "64.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.02%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 64.60%", "options": [ "A) 62.02%", "B) 66.54%", "C) 63.31%", "D) 64.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 1.85%", "B) 3.04%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $7,695B\nB) $7,466B\nC) $7,236B\nD) $8,039B", "options": [ "A) $7,695B", "B) $7,466B", "C) $7,236B", "D) $8,039B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,466B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 5.75%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 7.10%", "options": [ "A) 6.29%", "B) 5.75%", "C) 6.56%", "D) 7.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 192.34%\nB) 207.78%\nC) 169.17%\nD) 184.62%", "options": [ "A) 192.34%", "B) 207.78%", "C) 169.17%", "D) 184.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "184.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 62.22%\nC) 68.91%\nD) 64.89%", "options": [ "A) 66.90%", "B) 62.22%", "C) 68.91%", "D) 64.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "66.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 78.85%\nB) 81.29%\nC) 85.35%\nD) 83.72%", "options": [ "A) 78.85%", "B) 81.29%", "C) 85.35%", "D) 83.72%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 104.87\nB) 110.95\nC) 107.30\nD) 102.43", "options": [ "A) 104.87", "B) 110.95", "C) 107.30", "D) 102.43" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) $28.88/bbl\nB) $42.20/bbl\nC) $45.53/bbl\nD) $35.54/bbl", "options": [ "A) $28.88/bbl", "B) $42.20/bbl", "C) $45.53/bbl", "D) $35.54/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$35.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 8.38%\nC) -5.39%\nD) -1.95%", "options": [ "A) 1.50%", "B) 8.38%", "C) -5.39%", "D) -1.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $7,739B\nB) $7,316B\nC) $7,063B\nD) $7,486B", "options": [ "A) $7,739B", "B) $7,316B", "C) $7,063B", "D) $7,486B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,316B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 5.87%\nD) 6.05%", "options": [ "A) 5.70%", "B) 5.35%", "C) 5.87%", "D) 6.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) $35.12/bbl\nB) $32.64/bbl\nC) $25.22/bbl\nD) $30.17/bbl", "options": [ "A) $35.12/bbl", "B) $32.64/bbl", "C) $25.22/bbl", "D) $30.17/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$30.17/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $14.23/hr\nB) $14.66/hr\nC) $14.94/hr\nD) $13.80/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.23/hr", "B) $14.66/hr", "C) $14.94/hr", "D) $13.80/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14.23/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 6.66%", "options": [ "A) 5.66%", "B) 6.26%", "C) 6.06%", "D) 6.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.80%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 5.30%", "options": [ "A) 6.80%", "B) 6.20%", "C) 5.90%", "D) 5.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) -0.02pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.21pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.02pp", "B) +0.05pp", "C) -0.21pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.02\nB) 76.52\nC) 73.52\nD) 71.27", "options": [ "A) 75.02", "B) 76.52", "C) 73.52", "D) 71.27" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $197,718M\nB) $183,911M\nC) $189,434M\nD) $175,627M", "options": [ "A) $197,718M", "B) $183,911M", "C) $189,434M", "D) $175,627M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$183,911M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 98.73\nB) 102.63\nC) 106.52\nD) 112.36", "options": [ "A) 98.73", "B) 102.63", "C) 106.52", "D) 112.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.00pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.20pp", "B) -0.00pp", "C) +0.10pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,710B\nB) $6,231B\nC) $6,423B\nD) $6,997B", "options": [ "A) $6,710B", "B) $6,231B", "C) $6,423B", "D) $6,997B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,710B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) 292,002\nB) 315,000\nC) 330,332\nD) 337,998", "options": [ "A) 292,002", "B) 315,000", "C) 330,332", "D) 337,998" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "315,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 64.89%\nB) 62.22%\nC) 66.90%\nD) 68.91%", "options": [ "A) 64.89%", "B) 62.22%", "C) 66.90%", "D) 68.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 4.25%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 4.48%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,625B\nB) $6,233B\nC) $6,861B\nD) $6,468B", "options": [ "A) $6,625B", "B) $6,233B", "C) $6,861B", "D) $6,468B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,625B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 42.67%\nC) -12.39%\nD) 79.38%", "options": [ "A) 5.97%", "B) 42.67%", "C) -12.39%", "D) 79.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "42.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 184.78\nB) 166.84\nC) 179.40\nD) 174.02", "options": [ "A) 184.78", "B) 166.84", "C) 179.40", "D) 174.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "179.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 128,142K\nB) 136,068K\nC) 138,710K\nD) 132,105K", "options": [ "A) 128,142K", "B) 136,068K", "C) 138,710K", "D) 132,105K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "132,105K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 73.93\nB) 76.15\nC) 69.50\nD) 71.72", "options": [ "A) 73.93", "B) 76.15", "C) 69.50", "D) 71.72" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "73.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.87%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.76%", "options": [ "A) 1.71%", "B) 1.87%", "C) 1.93%", "D) 1.76%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 16.51\nC) 17.98\nD) 19.45", "options": [ "A) 22.39", "B) 16.51", "C) 17.98", "D) 19.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $259,215M\nB) $292,937M\nC) $278,485M\nD) $268,850M", "options": [ "A) $259,215M", "B) $292,937M", "C) $278,485M", "D) $268,850M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$268,850M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-06.)\n\nA) $4,698B\nB) $5,037B\nC) $4,834B\nD) $4,495B", "options": [ "A) $4,698B", "B) $5,037B", "C) $4,834B", "D) $4,495B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,698B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 106.61%\nB) 65.38%\nC) 44.76%\nD) 24.15%", "options": [ "A) 106.61%", "B) 65.38%", "C) 44.76%", "D) 24.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "65.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 72.18\nB) 76.65\nC) 74.42\nD) 69.21", "options": [ "A) 72.18", "B) 76.65", "C) 74.42", "D) 69.21" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "74.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 34.95%\nB) -15.89%\nC) 9.53%\nD) -3.18%", "options": [ "A) 34.95%", "B) -15.89%", "C) 9.53%", "D) -3.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) 10.34%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 9.06%\nD) 8.42%", "options": [ "A) 10.34%", "B) 9.70%", "C) 9.06%", "D) 8.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $7,416B\nB) $7,200B\nC) $7,632B\nD) $6,984B", "options": [ "A) $7,416B", "B) $7,200B", "C) $7,632B", "D) $6,984B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,200B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,872B\nB) $7,280B\nC) $7,552B\nD) $7,824B", "options": [ "A) $6,872B", "B) $7,280B", "C) $7,552B", "D) $7,824B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,552B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.05pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) -0.28pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": [ "A) +0.05pp", "B) -0.12pp", "C) -0.28pp", "D) -0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.7500\nB) 102.5882\nC) 99.5072\nD) 117.9928", "options": [ "A) 108.7500", "B) 102.5882", "C) 99.5072", "D) 117.9928" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.7500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 3.29%", "options": [ "A) 3.60%", "B) 3.44%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 3.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $283,124M\nB) $257,426M\nC) $265,992M\nD) $274,558M", "options": [ "A) $283,124M", "B) $257,426M", "C) $265,992M", "D) $274,558M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$265,992M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.14pp\nC) -1.87pp\nD) -1.60pp", "options": [ "A) -2.41pp", "B) -2.14pp", "C) -1.87pp", "D) -1.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $265,686M\nB) $255,163M\nC) $276,209M\nD) $248,147M", "options": [ "A) $265,686M", "B) $255,163M", "C) $276,209M", "D) $248,147M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$265,686M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 176.34\nB) 171.20\nC) 179.76\nD) 166.06", "options": [ "A) 176.34", "B) 171.20", "C) 179.76", "D) 166.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "171.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $185,253M\nB) $197,670M\nC) $189,392M\nD) $176,975M", "options": [ "A) $185,253M", "B) $197,670M", "C) $189,392M", "D) $176,975M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$189,392M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 83.01%\nB) 78.18%\nC) 85.43%\nD) 80.60%", "options": [ "A) 83.01%", "B) 78.18%", "C) 85.43%", "D) 80.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 183.10\nB) 177.61\nC) 188.59\nD) 192.25", "options": [ "A) 183.10", "B) 177.61", "C) 188.59", "D) 192.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "183.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.51%\nB) -7.12%\nC) -8.93%\nD) -5.32%", "options": [ "A) -3.51%", "B) -7.12%", "C) -8.93%", "D) -5.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 5.15%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) 5.99%", "B) 5.15%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 65.48%\nC) 62.27%\nD) 64.20%", "options": [ "A) 67.41%", "B) 65.48%", "C) 62.27%", "D) 64.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) +0.06pp\nC) -0.18pp\nD) -0.02pp", "options": [ "A) -0.10pp", "B) +0.06pp", "C) -0.18pp", "D) -0.02pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 168.97\nB) 174.20\nC) 177.68\nD) 165.49", "options": [ "A) 168.97", "B) 174.20", "C) 177.68", "D) 165.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "174.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.51%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.43%", "options": [ "A) 2.34%", "B) 2.51%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 2.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 4,970.66\nB) 5,245.61\nC) 4,145.82\nD) 4,420.77", "options": [ "A) 4,970.66", "B) 5,245.61", "C) 4,145.82", "D) 4,420.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,420.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.9138\nB) 0.9985\nC) 0.7726\nD) 0.8291", "options": [ "A) 0.9138", "B) 0.9985", "C) 0.7726", "D) 0.8291" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9138", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 24.57\nB) 26.15\nC) 22.98\nD) 29.32", "options": [ "A) 24.57", "B) 26.15", "C) 22.98", "D) 29.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.27%\nD) 6.08%", "options": [ "A) 6.65%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 6.27%", "D) 6.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) $38.33/bbl\nB) $24.36/bbl\nC) $32.74/bbl\nD) $29.95/bbl", "options": [ "A) $38.33/bbl", "B) $24.36/bbl", "C) $32.74/bbl", "D) $29.95/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$29.95/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.2788\nB) 7.7821\nC) 8.5272\nD) 8.0304", "options": [ "A) 8.2788", "B) 7.7821", "C) 8.5272", "D) 8.0304" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.2788", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 136,533K\nB) 132,556K\nC) 128,579K\nD) 125,928K", "options": [ "A) 136,533K", "B) 132,556K", "C) 128,579K", "D) 125,928K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,556K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,663K\nB) 1,722K\nC) 1,575K\nD) 1,487K", "options": [ "A) 1,663K", "B) 1,722K", "C) 1,575K", "D) 1,487K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,575K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) -5.25%\nB) 1.88%\nC) -7.03%\nD) -3.47%", "options": [ "A) -5.25%", "B) 1.88%", "C) -7.03%", "D) -3.47%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 6.61%\nD) 4.40%", "options": [ "A) 5.14%", "B) 5.87%", "C) 6.61%", "D) 4.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.77%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 6.10%", "options": [ "A) 5.28%", "B) 5.77%", "C) 5.93%", "D) 6.10%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 132.40\nB) 136.29\nC) 129.80\nD) 127.20", "options": [ "A) 132.40", "B) 136.29", "C) 129.80", "D) 127.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "129.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.9791\nB) 0.7495\nC) 0.8479\nD) 0.9135", "options": [ "A) 0.9791", "B) 0.7495", "C) 0.8479", "D) 0.9135" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9135", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 46.73%\nB) 27.79%\nC) 103.57%\nD) -10.10%", "options": [ "A) 46.73%", "B) 27.79%", "C) 103.57%", "D) -10.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "46.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 5.72%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 6.24%", "options": [ "A) 5.55%", "B) 5.72%", "C) 5.89%", "D) 6.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.06%\nB) 80.53%\nC) 82.17%\nD) 84.64%", "options": [ "A) 78.06%", "B) 80.53%", "C) 82.17%", "D) 84.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.8943\nB) 119.7229\nC) 106.0657\nD) 109.4800", "options": [ "A) 112.8943", "B) 119.7229", "C) 106.0657", "D) 109.4800" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.4800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -7.62%\nC) -3.99%\nD) -11.25%", "options": [ "A) -0.36%", "B) -7.62%", "C) -3.99%", "D) -11.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 119.3489\nB) 108.7500\nC) 105.2170\nD) 112.2830", "options": [ "A) 119.3489", "B) 108.7500", "C) 105.2170", "D) 112.2830" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.7500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $-24,594M\nB) $-34,994M\nC) $-29,794M\nD) $-31,527M", "options": [ "A) $-24,594M", "B) $-34,994M", "C) $-29,794M", "D) $-31,527M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-29,794M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $590M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $590M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$590M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.2777\nB) 8.0294\nC) 8.6088\nD) 8.4433", "options": [ "A) 8.2777", "B) 8.0294", "C) 8.6088", "D) 8.4433" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.2777", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $-22,644M\nB) $-29,931M\nC) $-32,360M\nD) $-37,218M", "options": [ "A) $-22,644M", "B) $-29,931M", "C) $-32,360M", "D) $-37,218M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-29,931M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $4,657B\nB) $4,510B\nC) $4,756B\nD) $4,903B", "options": [ "A) $4,657B", "B) $4,510B", "C) $4,756B", "D) $4,903B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,756B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,576K\nB) 1,612K\nC) 1,470K\nD) 1,541K", "options": [ "A) 1,576K", "B) 1,612K", "C) 1,470K", "D) 1,541K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,541K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 108.29\nB) 101.29\nC) 112.96\nD) 110.63", "options": [ "A) 108.29", "B) 101.29", "C) 112.96", "D) 110.63" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 20.09\nB) 22.92\nC) 24.33\nD) 25.75", "options": [ "A) 20.09", "B) 22.92", "C) 24.33", "D) 25.75" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.19%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.72%\nD) 5.48%", "options": [ "A) 6.19%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 5.72%", "D) 5.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.62pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) -0.41pp", "options": [ "A) -0.30pp", "B) -0.62pp", "C) -0.20pp", "D) -0.41pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.41pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 4.22%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 4.41%", "D) 4.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,514K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,662K\nD) 1,588K", "options": [ "A) 1,514K", "B) 1,551K", "C) 1,662K", "D) 1,588K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,551K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 7.48%\nC) 7.73%\nD) 8.23%", "options": [ "A) 7.98%", "B) 7.48%", "C) 7.73%", "D) 8.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.75%\nB) 6.00%\nC) 5.75%\nD) 6.25%", "options": [ "A) 6.75%", "B) 6.00%", "C) 5.75%", "D) 6.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,165.49\nB) 2,425.49\nC) 2,795.49\nD) 2,055.49", "options": [ "A) 3,165.49", "B) 2,425.49", "C) 2,795.49", "D) 2,055.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,165.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.34%", "options": [ "A) 4.00%", "B) 4.17%", "C) 4.45%", "D) 4.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.32%", "options": [ "A) 1.97%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.48%", "options": [ "A) 2.35%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.21pp", "options": [ "A) -0.10pp", "B) +0.00pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) +0.21pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 78.18\nB) 74.46\nC) 72.22\nD) 75.95", "options": [ "A) 78.18", "B) 74.46", "C) 72.22", "D) 75.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) $20.08/bbl\nB) $22.76/bbl\nC) $28.12/bbl\nD) $25.44/bbl", "options": [ "A) $20.08/bbl", "B) $22.76/bbl", "C) $28.12/bbl", "D) $25.44/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.12/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 89.07\nB) 85.40\nC) 94.58\nD) 91.82", "options": [ "A) 89.07", "B) 85.40", "C) 94.58", "D) 91.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "91.82", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.9834\nB) 1.0834\nC) 0.9334\nD) 1.0334", "options": [ "A) 0.9834", "B) 1.0834", "C) 0.9334", "D) 1.0334" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9834", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) -5.81%\nD) 3.49%", "options": [ "A) 5.81%", "B) 1.16%", "C) -5.81%", "D) 3.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $60,475M\nB) $66,187M\nC) $64,759M\nD) $61,903M", "options": [ "A) $60,475M", "B) $66,187M", "C) $64,759M", "D) $61,903M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$64,759M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,678K\nB) 1,518K\nC) 1,453K\nD) 1,614K", "options": [ "A) 1,678K", "B) 1,518K", "C) 1,453K", "D) 1,614K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,614K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) 2,109,000\nB) 2,193,616\nC) 2,235,924\nD) 2,066,692", "options": [ "A) 2,109,000", "B) 2,193,616", "C) 2,235,924", "D) 2,066,692" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,109,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) $22.33/bbl\nB) $31.43/bbl\nC) $37.50/bbl\nD) $28.40/bbl", "options": [ "A) $22.33/bbl", "B) $31.43/bbl", "C) $37.50/bbl", "D) $28.40/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$31.43/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 21.69%\nB) 66.69%\nC) 44.19%\nD) 77.94%", "options": [ "A) 21.69%", "B) 66.69%", "C) 44.19%", "D) 77.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "44.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) $4,936B\nB) $4,525B\nC) $5,038B\nD) $4,833B", "options": [ "A) $4,936B", "B) $4,525B", "C) $5,038B", "D) $4,833B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$4,833B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.38%", "options": [ "A) 2.63%", "B) 2.72%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.7359\nB) 0.8570\nC) 1.0588\nD) 0.9781", "options": [ "A) 0.7359", "B) 0.8570", "C) 1.0588", "D) 0.9781" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.8570", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) $26.89/bbl\nB) $33.11/bbl\nC) $30.00/bbl\nD) $39.34/bbl", "options": [ "A) $26.89/bbl", "B) $33.11/bbl", "C) $30.00/bbl", "D) $39.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$30.00/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $-35,717M\nB) $-33,533M\nC) $-24,797M\nD) $-29,165M", "options": [ "A) $-35,717M", "B) $-33,533M", "C) $-24,797M", "D) $-29,165M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-29,165M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,543K\nB) 1,663K\nC) 1,615K\nD) 1,495K", "options": [ "A) 1,543K", "B) 1,663K", "C) 1,615K", "D) 1,495K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,543K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) -0.08pp\nB) -0.47pp\nC) -0.21pp\nD) -0.86pp", "options": [ "A) -0.08pp", "B) -0.47pp", "C) -0.21pp", "D) -0.86pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.47pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -12.63%\nB) -15.70%\nC) -6.49%\nD) -3.42%", "options": [ "A) -12.63%", "B) -15.70%", "C) -6.49%", "D) -3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-6.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 7.15%", "options": [ "A) 7.41%", "B) 7.92%", "C) 6.64%", "D) 7.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $14.07/hr\nB) $14.49/hr\nC) $13.65/hr\nD) $13.23/hr", "options": [ "A) $14.07/hr", "B) $14.49/hr", "C) $13.65/hr", "D) $13.23/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14.07/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 107.91\nB) 111.30\nC) 116.95\nD) 114.69", "options": [ "A) 107.91", "B) 111.30", "C) 116.95", "D) 114.69" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 5.75%\nD) 5.39%", "options": [ "A) 5.93%", "B) 5.57%", "C) 5.75%", "D) 5.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 12.78%\nB) -33.52%\nC) -10.37%\nD) 35.93%", "options": [ "A) 12.78%", "B) -33.52%", "C) -10.37%", "D) 35.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "35.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.13%", "options": [ "A) 4.30%", "B) 4.69%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 3.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $60,135M\nB) $63,753M\nC) $69,783M\nD) $67,371M", "options": [ "A) $60,135M", "B) $63,753M", "C) $69,783M", "D) $67,371M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$63,753M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 95.48\nB) 97.36\nC) 92.64\nD) 89.81", "options": [ "A) 95.48", "B) 97.36", "C) 92.64", "D) 89.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "92.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 8.55%\nC) 8.97%\nD) 7.70%", "options": [ "A) 8.12%", "B) 8.55%", "C) 8.97%", "D) 7.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.85%", "options": [ "A) 1.90%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 1.85%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 79.18\nB) 74.70\nC) 72.46\nD) 76.94", "options": [ "A) 79.18", "B) 74.70", "C) 72.46", "D) 76.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,081.24\nB) 5,007.29\nC) 3,851.66\nD) 2,696.03", "options": [ "A) 3,081.24", "B) 5,007.29", "C) 3,851.66", "D) 2,696.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,851.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $-24,754M\nB) $-40,692M\nC) $-35,379M\nD) $-32,723M", "options": [ "A) $-24,754M", "B) $-40,692M", "C) $-35,379M", "D) $-32,723M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-32,723M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $13.93/hr\nB) $14.35/hr\nC) $13.23/hr\nD) $13.51/hr", "options": [ "A) $13.93/hr", "B) $14.35/hr", "C) $13.23/hr", "D) $13.51/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13.93/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.45pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -0.05pp\nD) -0.58pp", "options": [ "A) -0.45pp", "B) -0.18pp", "C) -0.05pp", "D) -0.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.18pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.6906\nB) 8.0285\nC) 8.2768\nD) 8.5251", "options": [ "A) 8.6906", "B) 8.0285", "C) 8.2768", "D) 8.5251" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.2768", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.21%\nB) 7.56%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 6.51%", "options": [ "A) 7.21%", "B) 7.56%", "C) 5.46%", "D) 6.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 64.30%\nB) 65.59%\nC) 63.01%\nD) 61.08%", "options": [ "A) 64.30%", "B) 65.59%", "C) 63.01%", "D) 61.08%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 5.75%\nD) 1.75%", "options": [ "A) 6.55%", "B) 4.15%", "C) 5.75%", "D) 1.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 72.42\nB) 73.93\nC) 75.44\nD) 77.70", "options": [ "A) 72.42", "B) 73.93", "C) 75.44", "D) 77.70" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "75.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 3.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.66%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 3.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 5.14%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 6.24%", "options": [ "A) 5.69%", "B) 5.14%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 6.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 29.11\nB) 24.86\nC) 20.61\nD) 22.03", "options": [ "A) 29.11", "B) 24.86", "C) 20.61", "D) 22.03" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) 316,478\nB) 347,522\nC) 332,000\nD) 308,717", "options": [ "A) 316,478", "B) 347,522", "C) 332,000", "D) 308,717" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "332,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.36pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": [ "A) -0.15pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) -0.36pp", "D) -0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.26%\nB) 7.87%\nC) 8.65%\nD) 9.43%", "options": [ "A) 8.26%", "B) 7.87%", "C) 8.65%", "D) 9.43%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.93%\nB) -5.89%\nC) -0.52%\nD) 2.16%", "options": [ "A) -13.93%", "B) -5.89%", "C) -0.52%", "D) 2.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.69pp\nD) -0.33pp", "options": [ "A) -0.57pp", "B) -0.81pp", "C) -0.69pp", "D) -0.33pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.69pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $201,621M\nB) $184,433M\nC) $180,136M\nD) $188,730M", "options": [ "A) $201,621M", "B) $184,433M", "C) $180,136M", "D) $188,730M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$188,730M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.81%\nB) 9.35%\nC) 9.17%\nD) 8.99%", "options": [ "A) 8.81%", "B) 9.35%", "C) 9.17%", "D) 8.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-06.)\n\nA) 7.74%\nB) 8.52%\nC) 9.30%\nD) 9.04%", "options": [ "A) 7.74%", "B) 8.52%", "C) 9.30%", "D) 9.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 134.28\nB) 124.90\nC) 131.60\nD) 128.92", "options": [ "A) 134.28", "B) 124.90", "C) 131.60", "D) 128.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 5.63%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 1.29%", "options": [ "A) 4.19%", "B) 5.63%", "C) -0.16%", "D) 1.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $581M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $581M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$581M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 176.15\nB) 172.70\nC) 169.25\nD) 181.33", "options": [ "A) 176.15", "B) 172.70", "C) 169.25", "D) 181.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "172.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.52%", "options": [ "A) 7.00%", "B) 6.41%", "C) 6.11%", "D) 5.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $276,023M\nB) $244,039M\nC) $257,747M\nD) $266,885M", "options": [ "A) $276,023M", "B) $244,039M", "C) $257,747M", "D) $266,885M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$266,885M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 45.56%\nB) 115.48%\nC) -1.05%\nD) 22.25%", "options": [ "A) 45.56%", "B) 115.48%", "C) -1.05%", "D) 22.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) $4,628B\nB) $4,805B\nC) $5,071B\nD) $4,363B", "options": [ "A) $4,628B", "B) $4,805B", "C) $5,071B", "D) $4,363B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,805B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 90.16\nB) 95.74\nC) 92.95\nD) 99.46", "options": [ "A) 90.16", "B) 95.74", "C) 92.95", "D) 99.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "92.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.14%\nC) 7.90%\nD) 8.38%", "options": [ "A) 7.66%", "B) 8.14%", "C) 7.90%", "D) 8.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 170.00\nB) 176.80\nC) 173.40\nD) 164.90", "options": [ "A) 170.00", "B) 176.80", "C) 173.40", "D) 164.90" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "170.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 127,186K\nB) 131,120K\nC) 123,253K\nD) 135,054K", "options": [ "A) 127,186K", "B) 131,120K", "C) 123,253K", "D) 135,054K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "131,120K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $64,025M\nB) $58,202M\nC) $62,569M\nD) $66,936M", "options": [ "A) $64,025M", "B) $58,202M", "C) $62,569M", "D) $66,936M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$62,569M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) 2,358,526\nB) 2,199,474\nC) 2,477,815\nD) 2,279,000", "options": [ "A) 2,358,526", "B) 2,199,474", "C) 2,477,815", "D) 2,279,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,279,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) 3.99%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.28\nB) 107.60\nC) 109.87\nD) 105.33", "options": [ "A) 113.28", "B) 107.60", "C) 109.87", "D) 105.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 70.56\nC) 73.50\nD) 72.03", "options": [ "A) 75.71", "B) 70.56", "C) 73.50", "D) 72.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "73.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 10.30%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.50%\nD) 4.90%", "options": [ "A) 10.30%", "B) 7.60%", "C) -0.50%", "D) 4.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,737K\nB) 1,624K\nC) 1,794K\nD) 1,680K", "options": [ "A) 1,737K", "B) 1,624K", "C) 1,794K", "D) 1,680K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,737K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,645K\nB) 1,552K\nC) 1,614K\nD) 1,490K", "options": [ "A) 1,645K", "B) 1,552K", "C) 1,614K", "D) 1,490K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,552K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 7.49%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 7.19%", "options": [ "A) 6.27%", "B) 7.49%", "C) 6.88%", "D) 7.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.12%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 6.50%", "options": [ "A) 7.12%", "B) 6.19%", "C) 5.88%", "D) 6.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.28%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 7.24%", "options": [ "A) 6.28%", "B) 6.92%", "C) 5.32%", "D) 7.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 69.11%\nB) 67.10%\nC) 65.09%\nD) 63.07%", "options": [ "A) 69.11%", "B) 67.10%", "C) 65.09%", "D) 63.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "67.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) +5.61pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +2.80pp\nD) +7.01pp", "options": [ "A) +5.61pp", "B) +1.40pp", "C) +2.80pp", "D) +7.01pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 2.57%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.67%", "D) 2.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 153.53%\nB) 171.30%\nC) 162.41%\nD) 180.18%", "options": [ "A) 153.53%", "B) 171.30%", "C) 162.41%", "D) 180.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "153.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 6.71%\nD) 6.05%", "options": [ "A) 7.38%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 6.71%", "D) 6.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 178.26\nB) 187.36\nC) 181.90\nD) 172.81", "options": [ "A) 178.26", "B) 187.36", "C) 181.90", "D) 172.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "181.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.19%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 4.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +4.24pp\nC) -0.88pp\nD) +2.96pp", "options": [ "A) +0.40pp", "B) +4.24pp", "C) -0.88pp", "D) +2.96pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.09pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) +0.27pp\nD) -0.09pp", "options": [ "A) +0.09pp", "B) +0.00pp", "C) +0.27pp", "D) -0.09pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.40%", "options": [ "A) 6.14%", "B) 6.92%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 6.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,395.88\nB) 4,790.00\nC) 2,819.42\nD) 3,607.65", "options": [ "A) 4,395.88", "B) 4,790.00", "C) 2,819.42", "D) 3,607.65" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,607.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 100.57\nB) 104.45\nC) 94.10\nD) 96.69", "options": [ "A) 100.57", "B) 104.45", "C) 94.10", "D) 96.69" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "100.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 77.58\nB) 73.19\nC) 75.39\nD) 71.00", "options": [ "A) 77.58", "B) 73.19", "C) 75.39", "D) 71.00" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "73.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20001115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-08.)\n\nA) $30.40/bbl\nB) $44.09/bbl\nC) $33.82/bbl\nD) $23.55/bbl", "options": [ "A) $30.40/bbl", "B) $44.09/bbl", "C) $33.82/bbl", "D) $23.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.82/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,769K\nB) 1,641K\nC) 1,590K\nD) 1,692K", "options": [ "A) 1,769K", "B) 1,641K", "C) 1,590K", "D) 1,692K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,692K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) $28.26/bbl\nB) $34.00/bbl\nC) $31.13/bbl\nD) $19.66/bbl", "options": [ "A) $28.26/bbl", "B) $34.00/bbl", "C) $31.13/bbl", "D) $19.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$28.26/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 89.78\nB) 92.55\nC) 87.92\nD) 94.40", "options": [ "A) 89.78", "B) 92.55", "C) 87.92", "D) 94.40" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "92.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 4.63%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 3.64%", "options": [ "A) 5.28%", "B) 4.63%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 3.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.35%", "options": [ "A) 3.16%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 3.35%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 82.40%\nB) 78.28%\nC) 80.75%\nD) 84.87%", "options": [ "A) 82.40%", "B) 78.28%", "C) 80.75%", "D) 84.87%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-06.)\n\nA) 300,241\nB) 276,000\nC) 267,920\nD) 292,161", "options": [ "A) 300,241", "B) 276,000", "C) 267,920", "D) 292,161" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "276,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $583M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $583M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$583M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.86%\nB) 8.32%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 9.22%", "options": [ "A) 8.86%", "B) 8.32%", "C) 9.76%", "D) 9.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) $188,606M\nB) $180,579M\nC) $201,984M\nD) $196,633M", "options": [ "A) $188,606M", "B) $180,579M", "C) $201,984M", "D) $196,633M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$188,606M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $578M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $578M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$578M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $13.39/hr\nB) $12.97/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $14.21/hr", "options": [ "A) $13.39/hr", "B) $12.97/hr", "C) $13.80/hr", "D) $14.21/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13.80/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) $59,689M\nB) $62,073M\nC) $60,881M\nD) $58,497M", "options": [ "A) $59,689M", "B) $62,073M", "C) $60,881M", "D) $58,497M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$58,497M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 40.82%\nB) 30.24%\nC) 9.07%\nD) 72.58%", "options": [ "A) 40.82%", "B) 30.24%", "C) 9.07%", "D) 72.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 138,846K\nB) 132,234K\nC) 128,267K\nD) 136,201K", "options": [ "A) 138,846K", "B) 132,234K", "C) 128,267K", "D) 136,201K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,234K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.20%", "options": [ "A) 2.80%", "B) 4.80%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 3.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 105.7543\nB) 102.5087\nC) 115.4913\nD) 109.0000", "options": [ "A) 105.7543", "B) 102.5087", "C) 115.4913", "D) 109.0000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.0000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,910B\nB) $6,647B\nC) $6,384B\nD) $7,173B", "options": [ "A) $6,910B", "B) $6,647B", "C) $6,384B", "D) $7,173B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,910B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-06.)\n\nA) 11.06%\nB) 9.71%\nC) 10.16%\nD) 9.27%", "options": [ "A) 11.06%", "B) 9.71%", "C) 10.16%", "D) 9.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 114.39\nB) 107.01\nC) 110.70\nD) 104.55", "options": [ "A) 114.39", "B) 107.01", "C) 110.70", "D) 104.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "110.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20001101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,515B\nB) $4,662B\nC) $5,103B\nD) $4,883B", "options": [ "A) $4,515B", "B) $4,662B", "C) $5,103B", "D) $4,883B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$4,883B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,141,000\nB) 2,305,535\nC) 2,075,186\nD) 2,239,721", "options": [ "A) 2,141,000", "B) 2,305,535", "C) 2,075,186", "D) 2,239,721" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,141,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $7,034B\nB) $6,803B\nC) $6,456B\nD) $7,381B", "options": [ "A) $7,034B", "B) $6,803B", "C) $6,456B", "D) $7,381B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,803B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-06.)\n\nA) $4,312B\nB) $4,409B\nC) $4,555B\nD) $4,701B", "options": [ "A) $4,312B", "B) $4,409B", "C) $4,555B", "D) $4,701B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,555B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 7.16%\nC) 7.72%\nD) 7.44%", "options": [ "A) 6.88%", "B) 7.16%", "C) 7.72%", "D) 7.44%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 6.72%\nD) 5.99%", "options": [ "A) 6.17%", "B) 5.62%", "C) 6.72%", "D) 5.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) $5,010B\nB) $4,820B\nC) $5,137B\nD) $4,629B", "options": [ "A) $5,010B", "B) $4,820B", "C) $5,137B", "D) $4,629B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,820B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 5.25%", "options": [ "A) 6.27%", "B) 5.45%", "C) 5.86%", "D) 5.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 5.39%\nC) 7.17%\nD) 6.28%", "options": [ "A) 6.58%", "B) 5.39%", "C) 7.17%", "D) 6.28%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 103.70\nB) 106.55\nC) 96.57\nD) 99.42", "options": [ "A) 103.70", "B) 106.55", "C) 96.57", "D) 99.42" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "103.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,533.83\nB) 4,582.62\nC) 4,932.22\nD) 5,631.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,533.83", "B) 4,582.62", "C) 4,932.22", "D) 5,631.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,582.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,533.83\nB) 4,582.62\nC) 4,932.22\nD) 5,631.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,533.83", "B) 4,582.62", "C) 4,932.22", "D) 5,631.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,582.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,533.83\nB) 5,281.81\nC) 4,582.62\nD) 3,883.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,533.83", "B) 5,281.81", "C) 4,582.62", "D) 3,883.43" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,582.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,533.83\nB) 5,281.81\nC) 4,582.62\nD) 3,883.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,533.83", "B) 5,281.81", "C) 4,582.62", "D) 3,883.43" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,582.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,197.68\nB) 3,799.29\nC) 3,100.10\nD) 4,148.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,197.68", "B) 3,799.29", "C) 3,100.10", "D) 4,148.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,148.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,197.68\nB) 3,799.29\nC) 3,100.10\nD) 4,148.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 5,197.68", "B) 3,799.29", "C) 3,100.10", "D) 4,148.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,148.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,321.29\nB) 2,622.10\nC) 2,971.69\nD) 3,670.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,321.29", "B) 2,622.10", "C) 2,971.69", "D) 3,670.89" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,321.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,321.29\nB) 2,622.10\nC) 2,971.69\nD) 3,670.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,321.29", "B) 2,622.10", "C) 2,971.69", "D) 3,670.89" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,321.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,514.15\nB) 3,164.55\nC) 3,863.74\nD) 2,814.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,514.15", "B) 3,164.55", "C) 3,863.74", "D) 2,814.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,164.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,514.15\nB) 3,164.55\nC) 3,863.74\nD) 2,814.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 3,514.15", "B) 3,164.55", "C) 3,863.74", "D) 2,814.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,164.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,213.34\nB) 3,863.74\nC) 3,164.55\nD) 2,465.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,213.34", "B) 3,863.74", "C) 3,164.55", "D) 2,465.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,164.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,213.34\nB) 3,863.74\nC) 3,164.55\nD) 2,465.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 4,213.34", "B) 3,863.74", "C) 3,164.55", "D) 2,465.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,164.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 18.00\nB) 24.92\nC) 22.15\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 18.00", "B) 24.92", "C) 22.15", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 18.00\nB) 24.92\nC) 22.15\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 18.00", "B) 24.92", "C) 22.15", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 22.15\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 22.15", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 22.15\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 20.77", "B) 22.15", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.92\nB) 20.77\nC) 18.00\nD) 22.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 24.92", "B) 20.77", "C) 18.00", "D) 22.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.92\nB) 20.77\nC) 18.00\nD) 22.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 24.92", "B) 20.77", "C) 18.00", "D) 22.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 18.00\nB) 22.15\nC) 20.77\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 18.00", "B) 22.15", "C) 20.77", "D) 19.39" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 18.00\nB) 22.15\nC) 20.77\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 18.00", "B) 22.15", "C) 20.77", "D) 19.39" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 22.15\nB) 16.62\nC) 18.00\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 22.15", "B) 16.62", "C) 18.00", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 22.15\nB) 16.62\nC) 18.00\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 22.15", "B) 16.62", "C) 18.00", "D) 20.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.53\nB) 19.30\nC) 20.68\nD) 13.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 16.53", "B) 19.30", "C) 20.68", "D) 13.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.53\nB) 19.30\nC) 20.68\nD) 13.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": [ "A) 16.53", "B) 19.30", "C) 20.68", "D) 13.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-02-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-02-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.14%\nD) 5.71%", "options": [ "A) 5.99%", "B) 5.85%", "C) 6.14%", "D) 5.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-03-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-03-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-18.)\n\nA) 5.83%\nB) 5.64%\nC) 6.02%\nD) 6.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.83%", "B) 5.64%", "C) 6.02%", "D) 6.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-05-16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "June 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-13", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-05-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-13.)\n\nA) 7.03%\nB) 7.28%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 6.53%", "options": [ "A) 7.03%", "B) 7.28%", "C) 6.03%", "D) 6.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-06-28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-25", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-06-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-25.)\n\nA) 6.54%\nB) 7.11%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 5.97%", "options": [ "A) 6.54%", "B) 7.11%", "C) 6.83%", "D) 5.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-08-22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-19", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-08-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-19.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 7.51%\nD) 5.53%", "options": [ "A) 5.86%", "B) 6.52%", "C) 7.51%", "D) 5.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-10-03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-10-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for November 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-30.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 6.51%\nD) 6.85%", "options": [ "A) 6.17%", "B) 5.83%", "C) 6.51%", "D) 6.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-11-15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-12", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-11-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-12.)\n\nA) 7.12%\nB) 7.48%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 6.40%", "options": [ "A) 7.12%", "B) 7.48%", "C) 6.76%", "D) 6.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2000-12-19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2001", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-16", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2000-12-19, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-16.)\n\nA) 5.98%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 6.70%\nD) 5.26%", "options": [ "A) 5.98%", "B) 4.90%", "C) 6.70%", "D) 5.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200001", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2000 (released around 2000-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-28.)\n\nA) 83K\nB) 228K\nC) 373K\nD) 276K", "options": [ "A) 83K", "B) 228K", "C) 373K", "D) 276K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "228K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200002", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2000 (released around 2000-03-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-25.)\n\nA) 161K\nB) -46K\nC) 109K\nD) 5K", "options": [ "A) 161K", "B) -46K", "C) 109K", "D) 5K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200003", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2000 (released around 2000-04-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 426K\nB) 310K\nC) 542K\nD) 484K", "options": [ "A) 426K", "B) 310K", "C) 542K", "D) 484K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "484K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200004", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2000 (released around 2000-05-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-28.)\n\nA) 280K\nB) 169K\nC) 113K\nD) 391K", "options": [ "A) 280K", "B) 169K", "C) 113K", "D) 391K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "280K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200005", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2000 (released around 2000-06-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-26.)\n\nA) 275K\nB) 221K\nC) 167K\nD) 112K", "options": [ "A) 275K", "B) 221K", "C) 167K", "D) 112K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "221K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200006", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2000 (released around 2000-07-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-30.)\n\nA) -238K\nB) 88K\nC) -42K\nD) 154K", "options": [ "A) -238K", "B) 88K", "C) -42K", "D) 154K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-42K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2000 (released around 2000-08-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-28.)\n\nA) 293K\nB) 229K\nC) -27K\nD) 165K", "options": [ "A) 293K", "B) 229K", "C) -27K", "D) 165K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "165K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200008", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2000 (released around 2000-09-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-25.)\n\nA) 6K\nB) -62K\nC) -131K\nD) -199K", "options": [ "A) 6K", "B) -62K", "C) -131K", "D) -199K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200009", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2000 (released around 2000-10-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-29.)\n\nA) -102K\nB) 103K\nC) 240K\nD) 171K", "options": [ "A) -102K", "B) 103K", "C) 240K", "D) 171K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "103K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200010", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2000 (released around 2000-11-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-27.)\n\nA) -197K\nB) -126K\nC) 15K\nD) 156K", "options": [ "A) -197K", "B) -126K", "C) 15K", "D) 156K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2000 (released around 2000-12-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-24.)\n\nA) 135K\nB) -3K\nC) 342K\nD) 204K", "options": [ "A) 135K", "B) -3K", "C) 342K", "D) 204K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "204K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200012", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2000 (released around 2001-01-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-29.)\n\nA) 160K\nB) -43K\nC) 295K\nD) 228K", "options": [ "A) 160K", "B) -43K", "C) 295K", "D) 228K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "160K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200006", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2000 (released around 2000-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.11%", "options": [ "A) 3.92%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 3.36%", "D) 4.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2000 (released around 2000-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 3.95%", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 3.60%", "D) 3.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200009", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2000 (released around 2000-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-06.)\n\nA) 3.93%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 3.46%", "options": [ "A) 3.93%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 3.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200010", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2000 (released around 2000-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 3.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.45%", "B) 3.15%", "C) 3.60%", "D) 3.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200012", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2000", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2000 (released around 2001-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-06.)\n\nA) 3.58%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 3.14%", "options": [ "A) 3.58%", "B) 3.44%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-07", "info_cutoff": "1999-12-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 1999-12-31.)\n\nA) 31.33\nB) 24.13\nC) 27.01\nD) 29.89", "options": [ "A) 31.33", "B) 24.13", "C) 27.01", "D) 29.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-07.)\n\nA) 27.14\nB) 18.54\nC) 25.71\nD) 22.84", "options": [ "A) 27.14", "B) 18.54", "C) 25.71", "D) 22.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-14.)\n\nA) 21.75\nB) 24.62\nC) 20.32\nD) 26.05", "options": [ "A) 21.75", "B) 24.62", "C) 20.32", "D) 26.05" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-28.)\n\nA) 20.68\nB) 24.95\nC) 29.22\nD) 27.80", "options": [ "A) 20.68", "B) 24.95", "C) 29.22", "D) 27.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-04.)\n\nA) 21.59\nB) 28.67\nC) 24.42\nD) 27.25", "options": [ "A) 21.59", "B) 28.67", "C) 24.42", "D) 27.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-11.)\n\nA) 27.41\nB) 30.22\nC) 21.78\nD) 26.00", "options": [ "A) 27.41", "B) 30.22", "C) 21.78", "D) 26.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000303", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-03", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-03-03? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-25.)\n\nA) 24.68\nB) 27.46\nC) 26.07\nD) 21.90", "options": [ "A) 24.68", "B) 27.46", "C) 26.07", "D) 21.90" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000310", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-03.)\n\nA) 27.09\nB) 24.31\nC) 20.14\nD) 22.92", "options": [ "A) 27.09", "B) 24.31", "C) 20.14", "D) 22.92" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000317", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-17", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-03-17? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-10.)\n\nA) 28.56\nB) 21.64\nC) 24.41\nD) 23.03", "options": [ "A) 28.56", "B) 21.64", "C) 24.41", "D) 23.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000407", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-07", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-04-07? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 29.77\nC) 32.50\nD) 28.41", "options": [ "A) 24.32", "B) 29.77", "C) 32.50", "D) 28.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000414", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-04-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-07.)\n\nA) 33.49\nB) 36.21\nC) 37.58\nD) 29.40", "options": [ "A) 33.49", "B) 36.21", "C) 37.58", "D) 29.40" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-04-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-14.)\n\nA) 33.13\nB) 28.95\nC) 26.16\nD) 24.77", "options": [ "A) 33.13", "B) 28.95", "C) 26.16", "D) 24.77" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "28.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000505", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-05", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-05-05? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-28.)\n\nA) 34.41\nB) 30.24\nC) 31.63\nD) 35.80", "options": [ "A) 34.41", "B) 30.24", "C) 31.63", "D) 35.80" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000512", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-12", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-05-12? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-05.)\n\nA) 25.63\nB) 28.46\nC) 34.11\nD) 29.87", "options": [ "A) 25.63", "B) 28.46", "C) 34.11", "D) 29.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "29.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000519", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-19", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-05-19? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-12.)\n\nA) 25.44\nB) 26.86\nC) 28.29\nD) 29.71", "options": [ "A) 25.44", "B) 26.86", "C) 28.29", "D) 29.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000602", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-02", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-06-02? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-26.)\n\nA) 20.84\nB) 23.65\nC) 26.46\nD) 25.05", "options": [ "A) 20.84", "B) 23.65", "C) 26.46", "D) 25.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000609", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-09", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-06-09? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-02.)\n\nA) 18.85\nB) 20.25\nC) 23.05\nD) 25.85", "options": [ "A) 18.85", "B) 20.25", "C) 23.05", "D) 25.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-16", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-06-16? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-09.)\n\nA) 18.14\nB) 23.71\nC) 26.50\nD) 22.32", "options": [ "A) 18.14", "B) 23.71", "C) 26.50", "D) 22.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000707", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-07", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-07-07? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-30.)\n\nA) 21.16\nB) 18.35\nC) 25.38\nD) 19.75", "options": [ "A) 21.16", "B) 18.35", "C) 25.38", "D) 19.75" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000714", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-07-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-07.)\n\nA) 16.09\nB) 20.33\nC) 18.92\nD) 17.50", "options": [ "A) 16.09", "B) 20.33", "C) 18.92", "D) 17.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000721", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-07-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-14.)\n\nA) 18.32\nB) 21.18\nC) 19.75\nD) 15.47", "options": [ "A) 18.32", "B) 21.18", "C) 19.75", "D) 15.47" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000804", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-04", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-08-04? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-28.)\n\nA) 22.19\nB) 19.29\nC) 25.10\nD) 20.74", "options": [ "A) 22.19", "B) 19.29", "C) 25.10", "D) 20.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000811", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-04.)\n\nA) 19.19\nB) 17.73\nC) 14.81\nD) 22.11", "options": [ "A) 19.19", "B) 17.73", "C) 14.81", "D) 22.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-18", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-08-18? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-11.)\n\nA) 16.54\nB) 18.02\nC) 20.98\nD) 13.58", "options": [ "A) 16.54", "B) 18.02", "C) 20.98", "D) 13.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000901", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-01", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-09-01? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-25.)\n\nA) 13.06\nB) 22.32\nC) 17.69\nD) 19.23", "options": [ "A) 13.06", "B) 22.32", "C) 17.69", "D) 19.23" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.69", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000908", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-08", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-09-08? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-01.)\n\nA) 19.21\nB) 17.63\nC) 23.95\nD) 20.79", "options": [ "A) 19.21", "B) 17.63", "C) 23.95", "D) 20.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20000915", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-08.)\n\nA) 18.59\nB) 13.84\nC) 20.17\nD) 21.76", "options": [ "A) 18.59", "B) 13.84", "C) 20.17", "D) 21.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001006", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-06", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-10-06? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-29.)\n\nA) 21.11\nB) 22.71\nC) 19.51\nD) 27.50", "options": [ "A) 21.11", "B) 22.71", "C) 19.51", "D) 27.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001013", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-13", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-10-13? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-06.)\n\nA) 32.10\nB) 25.73\nC) 30.51\nD) 35.29", "options": [ "A) 32.10", "B) 25.73", "C) 30.51", "D) 35.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001020", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-20", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-10-20? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-13.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 25.53\nC) 33.51\nD) 28.72", "options": [ "A) 31.91", "B) 25.53", "C) 33.51", "D) 28.72" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.72", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-03", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-11-03? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-27.)\n\nA) 25.46\nB) 22.27\nC) 28.65\nD) 30.25", "options": [ "A) 25.46", "B) 22.27", "C) 28.65", "D) 30.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-11-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-03.)\n\nA) 30.12\nB) 28.53\nC) 23.76\nD) 25.35", "options": [ "A) 30.12", "B) 28.53", "C) 23.76", "D) 25.35" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "28.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001117", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-17", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-11-17? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-10.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 33.82\nC) 29.06\nD) 25.88", "options": [ "A) 32.24", "B) 33.82", "C) 29.06", "D) 25.88" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "29.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001201", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-01", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-12-01? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-24.)\n\nA) 28.06\nB) 24.89\nC) 34.41\nD) 29.65", "options": [ "A) 28.06", "B) 24.89", "C) 34.41", "D) 29.65" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "29.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001208", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-08", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-12-08? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-01.)\n\nA) 27.78\nB) 32.56\nC) 26.19\nD) 29.37", "options": [ "A) 27.78", "B) 32.56", "C) 26.19", "D) 29.37" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20001215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2000-12-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-08.)\n\nA) 24.96\nB) 26.55\nC) 29.73\nD) 23.37", "options": [ "A) 24.96", "B) 26.55", "C) 29.73", "D) 23.37" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-07", "info_cutoff": "1999-12-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 1999-12-31.)\n\nA) -4.12%\nB) -2.23%\nC) -6.02%\nD) -7.91%", "options": [ "A) -4.12%", "B) -2.23%", "C) -6.02%", "D) -7.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-6.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-07.)\n\nA) 2.31%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 0.36%", "options": [ "A) 2.31%", "B) 6.22%", "C) 4.27%", "D) 0.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-14.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) -3.45%\nC) 4.53%\nD) -1.46%", "options": [ "A) 2.53%", "B) -3.45%", "C) 4.53%", "D) -1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-28.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 13.71%", "options": [ "A) 5.71%", "B) 7.71%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 13.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-04.)\n\nA) -0.30%\nB) -2.31%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 3.71%", "options": [ "A) -0.30%", "B) -2.31%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 3.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-11.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 5.82%\nC) -4.14%\nD) -0.15%", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 5.82%", "C) -4.14%", "D) -0.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000303", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-03", "info_cutoff": "2000-02-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-03-03? (Use only information available on or before 2000-02-25.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 9.33%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 5.39%", "options": [ "A) 7.36%", "B) 9.33%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 5.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000310", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-03.)\n\nA) -1.04%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 0.95%", "options": [ "A) -1.04%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 8.88%", "D) 0.95%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000317", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-03-17", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-03-17? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-10.)\n\nA) -8.18%\nB) -0.24%\nC) -2.22%\nD) -4.21%", "options": [ "A) -8.18%", "B) -0.24%", "C) -2.22%", "D) -4.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000407", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-07", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-04-07? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 1.11%\nC) -0.98%\nD) 5.27%", "options": [ "A) 7.36%", "B) 1.11%", "C) -0.98%", "D) 5.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000414", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-04-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-07.)\n\nA) -20.70%\nB) -18.53%\nC) -16.36%\nD) -27.20%", "options": [ "A) -20.70%", "B) -18.53%", "C) -16.36%", "D) -27.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-20.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-04-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-04-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-14.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 7.70%", "options": [ "A) 10.07%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 7.70%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000505", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-05", "info_cutoff": "2000-04-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-05-05? (Use only information available on or before 2000-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) -6.05%\nC) -3.57%\nD) -1.09%", "options": [ "A) 1.40%", "B) -6.05%", "C) -3.57%", "D) -1.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000512", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-12", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-05-12? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-05.)\n\nA) -11.35%\nB) 3.71%\nC) -1.31%\nD) -3.82%", "options": [ "A) -11.35%", "B) 3.71%", "C) -1.31%", "D) -3.82%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000519", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-05-19", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-05-19? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-12.)\n\nA) -6.02%\nB) -3.46%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -0.90%", "options": [ "A) -6.02%", "B) -3.46%", "C) -8.58%", "D) -0.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000602", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-02", "info_cutoff": "2000-05-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-06-02? (Use only information available on or before 2000-05-26.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 10.23%\nC) 15.47%\nD) 12.85%", "options": [ "A) 4.99%", "B) 10.23%", "C) 15.47%", "D) 12.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000609", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-09", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-06-09? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-02.)\n\nA) -4.07%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 4.12%", "options": [ "A) -4.07%", "B) 6.84%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 4.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-06-16", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-06-16? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-09.)\n\nA) -2.98%\nB) 7.90%\nC) -0.26%\nD) 2.46%", "options": [ "A) -2.98%", "B) 7.90%", "C) -0.26%", "D) 2.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000707", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-07", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-07-07? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-30.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) -7.40%\nC) -1.95%\nD) 3.51%", "options": [ "A) 0.78%", "B) -7.40%", "C) -1.95%", "D) 3.51%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000714", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-14", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-07-14? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-07.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 6.68%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.19%", "options": [ "A) 9.42%", "B) 6.68%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 1.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000721", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-07-21", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-07-21? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-14.)\n\nA) -1.46%\nB) -12.49%\nC) -4.22%\nD) 4.06%", "options": [ "A) -1.46%", "B) -12.49%", "C) -4.22%", "D) 4.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000804", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-04", "info_cutoff": "2000-07-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-08-04? (Use only information available on or before 2000-07-28.)\n\nA) -5.04%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 8.92%\nD) 0.54%", "options": [ "A) -5.04%", "B) 6.13%", "C) 8.92%", "D) 0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000811", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-04.)\n\nA) -1.90%\nB) 3.69%\nC) -4.70%\nD) 6.49%", "options": [ "A) -1.90%", "B) 3.69%", "C) -4.70%", "D) 6.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-08-18", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-08-18? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-11.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -6.29%\nD) -3.50%", "options": [ "A) -0.70%", "B) 2.09%", "C) -6.29%", "D) -3.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000901", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-01", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-09-01? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-25.)\n\nA) 6.80%\nB) 12.37%\nC) 4.02%\nD) -4.32%", "options": [ "A) 6.80%", "B) 12.37%", "C) 4.02%", "D) -4.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000908", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-08", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-09-08? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-01.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.36%\nD) -3.98%", "options": [ "A) -1.20%", "B) -6.76%", "C) 4.36%", "D) -3.98%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20000915", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-08.)\n\nA) -1.57%\nB) -4.36%\nC) 6.81%\nD) -9.94%", "options": [ "A) -1.57%", "B) -4.36%", "C) 6.81%", "D) -9.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001006", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-06", "info_cutoff": "2000-09-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-10-06? (Use only information available on or before 2000-09-29.)\n\nA) -11.45%\nB) -5.83%\nC) -3.01%\nD) -14.26%", "options": [ "A) -11.45%", "B) -5.83%", "C) -3.01%", "D) -14.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001013", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-13", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-10-13? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-06.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) -6.83%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 4.52%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) -6.83%", "C) -1.16%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001020", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-10-20", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-10-20? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-13.)\n\nA) 14.57%\nB) 8.76%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 5.86%", "options": [ "A) 14.57%", "B) 8.76%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-03", "info_cutoff": "2000-10-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-11-03? (Use only information available on or before 2000-10-27.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 11.12%", "options": [ "A) 8.15%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 5.18%", "D) 11.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-11-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-03.)\n\nA) -2.36%\nB) -11.33%\nC) -14.33%\nD) -20.31%", "options": [ "A) -2.36%", "B) -11.33%", "C) -14.33%", "D) -20.31%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001117", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-11-17", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-11-17? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-10.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 11.15%", "options": [ "A) 8.11%", "B) -1.00%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 11.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001201", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-01", "info_cutoff": "2000-11-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-12-01? (Use only information available on or before 2000-11-24.)\n\nA) -14.41%\nB) -1.92%\nC) -11.29%\nD) -8.17%", "options": [ "A) -14.41%", "B) -1.92%", "C) -11.29%", "D) -8.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-8.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001208", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-08", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-12-08? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-01.)\n\nA) 11.53%\nB) 14.68%\nC) 8.39%\nD) 5.24%", "options": [ "A) 11.53%", "B) 14.68%", "C) 8.39%", "D) 5.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20001215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2000-12-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-12-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2000-12-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-12-08.)\n\nA) -2.23%\nB) -12.00%\nC) -5.49%\nD) -18.51%", "options": [ "A) -2.23%", "B) -12.00%", "C) -5.49%", "D) -18.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-12.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2000 } ]