[ { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) 2.96%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 6.04%", "options": [ "A) -3.19%", "B) 2.96%", "C) -0.11%", "D) 6.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) $6,169B\nB) $6,654B\nC) $6,412B\nD) $5,443B", "options": [ "A) $6,169B", "B) $6,654B", "C) $6,412B", "D) $5,443B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,169B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 6.09%", "options": [ "A) 5.66%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 5.22%", "D) 6.09%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,946K\nB) 2,218K\nC) 2,150K\nD) 2,354K", "options": [ "A) 1,946K", "B) 2,218K", "C) 2,150K", "D) 2,354K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,150K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 129,063K\nB) 136,965K\nC) 134,331K\nD) 131,697K", "options": [ "A) 129,063K", "B) 136,965K", "C) 134,331K", "D) 131,697K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "131,697K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 12.51%\nB) 11.50%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 13.02%", "options": [ "A) 12.51%", "B) 11.50%", "C) 12.00%", "D) 13.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.53\nB) 80.76\nC) 83.93\nD) 78.64", "options": [ "A) 76.53", "B) 80.76", "C) 83.93", "D) 78.64" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.1110\nB) 8.5248\nC) 8.2765\nD) 7.8627", "options": [ "A) 8.1110", "B) 8.5248", "C) 8.2765", "D) 7.8627" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.2765", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) +2.80pp\nC) +1.81pp\nD) +1.31pp", "options": [ "A) +0.31pp", "B) +2.80pp", "C) +1.81pp", "D) +1.31pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 151.40\nB) 157.12\nC) 162.84\nD) 142.82", "options": [ "A) 151.40", "B) 157.12", "C) 162.84", "D) 142.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "151.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,780K\nB) 1,966K\nC) 2,152K\nD) 2,028K", "options": [ "A) 1,780K", "B) 1,966K", "C) 2,152K", "D) 2,028K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,966K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 83.44\nB) 76.59\nC) 80.50\nD) 78.55", "options": [ "A) 83.44", "B) 76.59", "C) 80.50", "D) 78.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,947K\nB) 1,792K\nC) 1,869K\nD) 2,024K", "options": [ "A) 1,947K", "B) 1,792K", "C) 1,869K", "D) 2,024K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,024K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 114.3000\nB) 106.2411\nC) 118.3294\nD) 102.2117", "options": [ "A) 114.3000", "B) 106.2411", "C) 118.3294", "D) 102.2117" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "114.3000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.6906\nB) 8.2768\nC) 8.5251\nD) 8.0285", "options": [ "A) 8.6906", "B) 8.2768", "C) 8.5251", "D) 8.0285" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.2768", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 5.01%", "options": [ "A) 4.23%", "B) 5.79%", "C) 3.45%", "D) 5.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $-62,872M\nB) $-66,777M\nC) $-55,062M\nD) $-58,967M", "options": [ "A) $-62,872M", "B) $-66,777M", "C) $-55,062M", "D) $-58,967M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-58,967M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.98%\nB) 13.58%\nC) -5.43%\nD) 9.78%", "options": [ "A) 5.98%", "B) 13.58%", "C) -5.43%", "D) 9.78%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.77%\nB) 10.68%\nC) 12.04%\nD) 11.13%", "options": [ "A) 9.77%", "B) 10.68%", "C) 12.04%", "D) 11.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $326,376M\nB) $333,968M\nC) $311,192M\nD) $288,416M", "options": [ "A) $326,376M", "B) $333,968M", "C) $311,192M", "D) $288,416M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$311,192M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,821,613\nB) 3,297,258\nC) 3,592,387\nD) 2,707,000", "options": [ "A) 1,821,613", "B) 3,297,258", "C) 3,592,387", "D) 2,707,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,707,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 43.85%\nB) 86.40%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 22.57%", "options": [ "A) 43.85%", "B) 86.40%", "C) 1.29%", "D) 22.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "43.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) $51.14/bbl\nB) $44.35/bbl\nC) $39.82/bbl\nD) $42.09/bbl", "options": [ "A) $51.14/bbl", "B) $44.35/bbl", "C) $39.82/bbl", "D) $42.09/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$44.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.35pp\nB) +5.56pp\nC) +2.75pp\nD) -0.05pp", "options": [ "A) +1.35pp", "B) +5.56pp", "C) +2.75pp", "D) -0.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.75pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $15.19/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $14.85/hr\nD) $15.53/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.19/hr", "B) $14.51/hr", "C) $14.85/hr", "D) $15.53/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.53/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) -1.11%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 6.08%", "options": [ "A) 1.77%", "B) -1.11%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 6.08%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $197,997M\nB) $192,545M\nC) $203,449M\nD) $181,641M", "options": [ "A) $197,997M", "B) $192,545M", "C) $203,449M", "D) $181,641M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$192,545M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 0.99%\nD) 3.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.01%", "B) 2.00%", "C) 0.99%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,641B\nB) $8,359B\nC) $8,078B\nD) $8,922B", "options": [ "A) $8,641B", "B) $8,359B", "C) $8,078B", "D) $8,922B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,922B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.11%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 2.59%", "C) 2.30%", "D) 1.11%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 195.17\nB) 189.20\nC) 180.24\nD) 201.14", "options": [ "A) 195.17", "B) 189.20", "C) 180.24", "D) 201.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "189.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.71pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": [ "A) -0.30pp", "B) -0.71pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.02%\nB) 17.98%\nC) -12.02%\nD) 2.98%", "options": [ "A) -2.02%", "B) 17.98%", "C) -12.02%", "D) 2.98%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 148.00\nB) 135.06\nC) 140.24\nD) 155.76", "options": [ "A) 148.00", "B) 135.06", "C) 140.24", "D) 155.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "148.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 2.79%", "options": [ "A) 3.63%", "B) 4.05%", "C) 4.47%", "D) 2.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 0.20%", "options": [ "A) 1.59%", "B) 5.76%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 0.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $770M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $770M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$770M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 18.14%\nC) -12.02%\nD) -1.97%", "options": [ "A) 3.06%", "B) 18.14%", "C) -12.02%", "D) -1.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 2.39%", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 2.39%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 15.28%\nB) 13.85%\nC) 13.13%\nD) 11.69%", "options": [ "A) 15.28%", "B) 13.85%", "C) 13.13%", "D) 11.69%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 1.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.61%", "options": [ "A) 1.96%", "B) 3.00%", "C) 2.30%", "D) 1.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 20.07%\nB) 62.45%\nC) -1.12%\nD) 41.26%", "options": [ "A) 20.07%", "B) 62.45%", "C) -1.12%", "D) 41.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,506.79\nB) 1,135.71\nC) 2,049.76\nD) 3,420.84", "options": [ "A) 2,506.79", "B) 1,135.71", "C) 2,049.76", "D) 3,420.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,049.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 5.44%", "options": [ "A) 3.81%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 4.63%", "D) 5.44%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 47.93%\nB) 68.69%\nC) 6.42%\nD) 89.44%", "options": [ "A) 47.93%", "B) 68.69%", "C) 6.42%", "D) 89.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "47.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 104.11\nB) 94.40\nC) 79.84\nD) 99.25", "options": [ "A) 104.11", "B) 94.40", "C) 79.84", "D) 99.25" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 1.97%", "options": [ "A) -0.85%", "B) 4.80%", "C) 3.38%", "D) 1.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 192.67\nB) 209.57\nC) 203.93\nD) 198.30", "options": [ "A) 192.67", "B) 209.57", "C) 203.93", "D) 198.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "198.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.59%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.16%", "options": [ "A) 5.59%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 5.16%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 109.17%\nB) 51.40%\nC) 70.66%\nD) -6.36%", "options": [ "A) 109.17%", "B) 51.40%", "C) 70.66%", "D) -6.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "51.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.02%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 61.38%", "options": [ "A) 64.02%", "B) 67.98%", "C) 66.00%", "D) 61.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 134.98\nB) 146.84\nC) 153.96\nD) 142.10", "options": [ "A) 134.98", "B) 146.84", "C) 153.96", "D) 142.10" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "142.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 6.87%\nD) 13.26%", "options": [ "A) 9.00%", "B) 4.74%", "C) 6.87%", "D) 13.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 5.59%", "options": [ "A) 4.57%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 5.18%", "D) 5.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 18.46%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 6.95%\nD) 10.79%", "options": [ "A) 18.46%", "B) 3.11%", "C) 6.95%", "D) 10.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,010,123\nB) 3,619,918\nC) 2,654,041\nD) 2,976,000", "options": [ "A) 2,010,123", "B) 3,619,918", "C) 2,654,041", "D) 2,976,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,976,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.76%\nB) 6.88%\nC) -1.35%\nD) 1.39%", "options": [ "A) 2.76%", "B) 6.88%", "C) -1.35%", "D) 1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.04%\nB) 66.00%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 67.98%", "options": [ "A) 62.04%", "B) 66.00%", "C) 64.02%", "D) 67.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 8.73%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 1.49%", "options": [ "A) 5.84%", "B) 8.73%", "C) 4.39%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,839K\nB) 2,194K\nC) 1,768K\nD) 1,981K", "options": [ "A) 1,839K", "B) 2,194K", "C) 1,768K", "D) 1,981K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,981K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 2.69%", "options": [ "A) 3.87%", "B) 6.24%", "C) 1.50%", "D) 2.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.83%", "options": [ "A) 3.26%", "B) 2.97%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 3.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 98.5101\nB) 118.7266\nC) 110.6400\nD) 114.6833", "options": [ "A) 98.5101", "B) 118.7266", "C) 110.6400", "D) 114.6833" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "110.6400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 7.19%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 5.85%", "options": [ "A) 6.30%", "B) 7.19%", "C) 4.95%", "D) 5.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 13.14%\nB) 17.14%\nC) 25.16%\nD) 21.15%", "options": [ "A) 13.14%", "B) 17.14%", "C) 25.16%", "D) 21.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 1.00%", "options": [ "A) 1.96%", "B) 1.64%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 1.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 7.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.93%", "B) 6.95%", "C) 5.34%", "D) 7.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 25.13%\nB) 63.31%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 44.22%", "options": [ "A) 25.13%", "B) 63.31%", "C) 6.04%", "D) 44.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "44.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 82.67\nC) 76.54\nD) 74.50", "options": [ "A) 79.60", "B) 82.67", "C) 76.54", "D) 74.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "79.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +0.21pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": [ "A) +0.00pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) +0.21pp", "D) -0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) -57.81%\nB) 25.74%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 46.62%", "options": [ "A) -57.81%", "B) 25.74%", "C) 4.85%", "D) 46.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.09%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.66%", "options": [ "A) 4.38%", "B) 6.09%", "C) 6.94%", "D) 5.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 2.90%", "B) 2.09%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.32pp\nD) +0.06pp", "options": [ "A) -0.98pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) +0.32pp", "D) +0.06pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.47%", "options": [ "A) 2.85%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 2.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) +0.20pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.20pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.38%", "options": [ "A) 3.01%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $15.30/hr\nB) $15.63/hr\nC) $14.65/hr\nD) $15.96/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.30/hr", "B) $15.63/hr", "C) $14.65/hr", "D) $15.96/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15.63/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 414,669\nB) 285,221\nC) 337,000\nD) 259,331", "options": [ "A) 414,669", "B) 285,221", "C) 337,000", "D) 259,331" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "337,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) $41.07/bbl\nB) $48.50/bbl\nC) $43.54/bbl\nD) $46.02/bbl", "options": [ "A) $41.07/bbl", "B) $48.50/bbl", "C) $43.54/bbl", "D) $46.02/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$46.02/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $51,210M\nB) $57,392M\nC) $45,028M\nD) $48,119M", "options": [ "A) $51,210M", "B) $57,392M", "C) $45,028M", "D) $48,119M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$51,210M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.53%", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -11.46pp\nB) +14.94pp\nC) -0.90pp\nD) +9.66pp", "options": [ "A) -11.46pp", "B) +14.94pp", "C) -0.90pp", "D) +9.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.12%", "options": [ "A) 1.13%", "B) 4.10%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 2.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 3.52%", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 5.11%", "C) 2.73%", "D) 3.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 1.79%", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.01%", "D) 1.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.81%\nB) 15.19%\nC) 13.50%\nD) 10.97%", "options": [ "A) 11.81%", "B) 15.19%", "C) 13.50%", "D) 10.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 377,103\nB) 433,308\nC) 405,205\nD) 349,000", "options": [ "A) 377,103", "B) 433,308", "C) 405,205", "D) 349,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "349,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) +14.50pp\nB) +4.20pp\nC) +29.95pp\nD) +9.35pp", "options": [ "A) +14.50pp", "B) +4.20pp", "C) +29.95pp", "D) +9.35pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+14.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,728B\nB) $9,013B\nC) $9,298B\nD) $9,869B", "options": [ "A) $8,728B", "B) $9,013B", "C) $9,298B", "D) $9,869B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$9,013B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 184.52\nB) 204.96\nC) 196.20\nD) 190.36", "options": [ "A) 184.52", "B) 204.96", "C) 196.20", "D) 190.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "196.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $49,299M\nB) $55,511M\nC) $61,724M\nD) $52,405M", "options": [ "A) $49,299M", "B) $55,511M", "C) $61,724M", "D) $52,405M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$52,405M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $15.73/hr\nB) $16.37/hr\nC) $15.41/hr\nD) $15.09/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.73/hr", "B) $16.37/hr", "C) $15.41/hr", "D) $15.09/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.73/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.10\nB) 81.00\nC) 78.06\nD) 82.97", "options": [ "A) 76.10", "B) 81.00", "C) 78.06", "D) 82.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.02%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 6.52%\nD) 7.35%", "options": [ "A) 9.02%", "B) 5.68%", "C) 6.52%", "D) 7.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,965B\nB) $7,664B\nC) $8,184B\nD) $8,444B", "options": [ "A) $8,965B", "B) $7,664B", "C) $8,184B", "D) $8,444B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,444B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.59%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 5.80%", "options": [ "A) 6.59%", "B) 5.01%", "C) 8.16%", "D) 5.80%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 5.11%", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 1.93%", "C) 0.87%", "D) 5.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 181.57\nB) 165.52\nC) 157.50\nD) 149.47", "options": [ "A) 181.57", "B) 165.52", "C) 157.50", "D) 149.47" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "157.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) -1.00%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 0.29%", "options": [ "A) 1.59%", "B) -1.00%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 0.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) -0.75%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 2.42%", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) -0.75%", "C) 1.79%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 0.93%", "options": [ "A) 0.31%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 2.79%", "D) 0.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,043B\nB) $5,493B\nC) $6,318B\nD) $6,867B", "options": [ "A) $6,043B", "B) $5,493B", "C) $6,318B", "D) $6,867B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,318B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) +8.96pp\nB) +14.39pp\nC) -18.19pp\nD) -1.90pp", "options": [ "A) +8.96pp", "B) +14.39pp", "C) -18.19pp", "D) -1.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2,079K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 2,252K\nD) 1,992K", "options": [ "A) 2,079K", "B) 1,906K", "C) 2,252K", "D) 1,992K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,079K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2,300K\nB) 2,056K\nC) 1,975K\nD) 2,137K", "options": [ "A) 2,300K", "B) 2,056K", "C) 1,975K", "D) 2,137K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,056K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) $34.25/bbl\nB) $43.81/bbl\nC) $41.42/bbl\nD) $39.03/bbl", "options": [ "A) $34.25/bbl", "B) $43.81/bbl", "C) $41.42/bbl", "D) $39.03/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$41.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $189,073M\nB) $200,300M\nC) $194,686M\nD) $183,459M", "options": [ "A) $189,073M", "B) $200,300M", "C) $194,686M", "D) $183,459M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$183,459M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 62.40%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 64.27%\nD) 60.53%", "options": [ "A) 62.40%", "B) 65.52%", "C) 64.27%", "D) 60.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.50%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.00%", "options": [ "A) -0.50%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 2.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 5.39%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 3.42%", "options": [ "A) 5.78%", "B) 5.39%", "C) 4.60%", "D) 3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,199,293\nB) 3,819,879\nC) 2,578,707\nD) 2,889,000", "options": [ "A) 3,199,293", "B) 3,819,879", "C) 2,578,707", "D) 2,889,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,889,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.83%\nB) 10.52%\nC) 11.86%\nD) 5.14%", "options": [ "A) 7.83%", "B) 10.52%", "C) 11.86%", "D) 5.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.92%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.57%", "options": [ "A) 2.62%", "B) 3.92%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 4.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 4.32%", "options": [ "A) 0.70%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 2.51%", "D) 4.32%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 61.38%\nD) 66.00%", "options": [ "A) 67.98%", "B) 64.02%", "C) 61.38%", "D) 66.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 4.47%", "options": [ "A) 5.20%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 6.67%", "D) 4.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 9.29%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 0.78%", "B) 5.04%", "C) 9.29%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) $34.60/bbl\nB) $45.69/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $43.48/bbl", "options": [ "A) $34.60/bbl", "B) $45.69/bbl", "C) $39.04/bbl", "D) $43.48/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$39.04/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.4425\nC) 7.9459\nD) 8.2770", "options": [ "A) 8.1115", "B) 8.4425", "C) 7.9459", "D) 8.2770" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2770", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 95.90\nB) 104.97\nC) 91.37\nD) 100.43", "options": [ "A) 95.90", "B) 104.97", "C) 91.37", "D) 100.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "95.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,007.04\nB) 2,094.09\nC) 2,550.56\nD) 1,181.14", "options": [ "A) 3,007.04", "B) 2,094.09", "C) 2,550.56", "D) 1,181.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,094.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 89.24\nB) 91.10\nC) 92.96\nD) 95.75", "options": [ "A) 89.24", "B) 91.10", "C) 92.96", "D) 95.75" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "92.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.77pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": [ "A) -0.77pp", "B) -0.26pp", "C) -0.51pp", "D) +0.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $181,662M\nB) $165,032M\nC) $192,749M\nD) $176,119M", "options": [ "A) $181,662M", "B) $165,032M", "C) $192,749M", "D) $176,119M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$181,662M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 44.89%\nB) 23.54%\nC) 66.24%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 44.89%", "B) 23.54%", "C) 66.24%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.1117\nB) 8.4427\nC) 8.2772\nD) 8.6911", "options": [ "A) 8.1117", "B) 8.4427", "C) 8.2772", "D) 8.6911" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.2772", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -10.40%\nB) -26.60%\nC) -2.30%\nD) -14.45%", "options": [ "A) -10.40%", "B) -26.60%", "C) -2.30%", "D) -14.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-14.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $311,088M\nB) $318,407M\nC) $303,769M\nD) $333,044M", "options": [ "A) $311,088M", "B) $318,407M", "C) $303,769M", "D) $333,044M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$311,088M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 4.32%", "options": [ "A) 5.08%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 5.85%", "D) 4.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.13%\nD) 4.92%", "options": [ "A) 5.55%", "B) 4.50%", "C) 5.13%", "D) 4.92%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.40%", "options": [ "A) 2.27%", "B) 3.02%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 3.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 51.50%\nB) 12.46%\nC) 71.02%\nD) 110.06%", "options": [ "A) 51.50%", "B) 12.46%", "C) 71.02%", "D) 110.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "51.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 81.17\nB) 79.08\nC) 73.85\nD) 76.99", "options": [ "A) 81.17", "B) 79.08", "C) 73.85", "D) 76.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1710\nB) 1.2956\nC) 1.2333\nD) 1.3580", "options": [ "A) 1.1710", "B) 1.2956", "C) 1.2333", "D) 1.3580" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2333", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 104.44\nB) 85.45\nC) 80.70\nD) 90.20", "options": [ "A) 104.44", "B) 85.45", "C) 80.70", "D) 90.20" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "90.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 188.20\nB) 176.27\nC) 197.15\nD) 182.23", "options": [ "A) 188.20", "B) 176.27", "C) 197.15", "D) 182.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "188.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.05%", "options": [ "A) 3.08%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 5.74%\nD) 6.18%", "options": [ "A) 4.41%", "B) 6.63%", "C) 5.74%", "D) 6.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $-51,539M\nB) $-55,033M\nC) $-34,071M\nD) $-44,552M", "options": [ "A) $-51,539M", "B) $-55,033M", "C) $-34,071M", "D) $-44,552M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-44,552M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.20pp\nB) +3.76pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +3.24pp", "options": [ "A) +2.20pp", "B) +3.76pp", "C) +1.68pp", "D) +3.24pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.05%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 3.43%", "options": [ "A) 6.05%", "B) 7.36%", "C) 4.74%", "D) 3.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 117.5216\nB) 97.5356\nC) 105.5300\nD) 93.5384", "options": [ "A) 117.5216", "B) 97.5356", "C) 105.5300", "D) 93.5384" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "105.5300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $52,382M\nB) $49,446M\nC) $46,510M\nD) $55,318M", "options": [ "A) $52,382M", "B) $49,446M", "C) $46,510M", "D) $55,318M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$55,318M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2944\nB) 1.2273\nC) 1.4956\nD) 1.4285", "options": [ "A) 1.2944", "B) 1.2273", "C) 1.4956", "D) 1.4285" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2944", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 2.73%", "options": [ "A) 2.98%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 2.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 2.28%", "options": [ "A) 2.91%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 3.53%", "D) 2.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 139.99\nB) 153.61\nC) 135.44\nD) 146.80", "options": [ "A) 139.99", "B) 153.61", "C) 135.44", "D) 146.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "146.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $51,950M\nB) $42,826M\nC) $45,867M\nD) $54,991M", "options": [ "A) $51,950M", "B) $42,826M", "C) $45,867M", "D) $54,991M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$51,950M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 73.14%\nB) 77.76%\nC) 82.39%\nD) 85.48%", "options": [ "A) 73.14%", "B) 77.76%", "C) 82.39%", "D) 85.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 8.85%\nC) 7.57%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 6.30%", "B) 8.85%", "C) 7.57%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 2.89%", "options": [ "A) 1.14%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 2.89%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 13.32%\nB) 25.11%\nC) 17.25%\nD) 9.39%", "options": [ "A) 13.32%", "B) 25.11%", "C) 17.25%", "D) 9.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 211.34\nB) 196.90\nC) 205.56\nD) 188.24", "options": [ "A) 211.34", "B) 196.90", "C) 205.56", "D) 188.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "196.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $745M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $745M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$745M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 6.10%\nD) 4.68%", "options": [ "A) 3.97%", "B) 3.26%", "C) 6.10%", "D) 4.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 93.60\nB) 90.79\nC) 98.28\nD) 96.41", "options": [ "A) 93.60", "B) 90.79", "C) 98.28", "D) 96.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.36%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 3.58%", "options": [ "A) 0.36%", "B) 1.43%", "C) 4.65%", "D) 3.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 20.34%\nB) 7.64%\nC) 17.17%\nD) 13.99%", "options": [ "A) 20.34%", "B) 7.64%", "C) 17.17%", "D) 13.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 3.51%\nD) 2.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.35%", "B) 4.43%", "C) 3.51%", "D) 2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $15.84/hr\nB) $16.78/hr\nC) $14.59/hr\nD) $15.21/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.84/hr", "B) $16.78/hr", "C) $14.59/hr", "D) $15.21/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.84/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2221\nB) 1.2751\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.1162", "options": [ "A) 1.2221", "B) 1.2751", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.1162" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2751", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 8.73%", "options": [ "A) 7.91%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 6.28%", "D) 8.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.89%\nD) 5.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.31%", "B) 6.46%", "C) 6.89%", "D) 5.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 11.00%", "options": [ "A) 7.41%", "B) 6.22%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 11.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.50%", "options": [ "A) 0.99%", "B) 1.25%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 1.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $5,858B\nB) $5,584B\nC) $6,406B\nD) $6,955B", "options": [ "A) $5,858B", "B) $5,584B", "C) $6,406B", "D) $6,955B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,406B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.78pp\nB) -0.66pp\nC) +3.66pp\nD) +2.22pp", "options": [ "A) +0.78pp", "B) -0.66pp", "C) +3.66pp", "D) +2.22pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.22pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.63\nB) 98.31\nC) 96.44\nD) 90.82", "options": [ "A) 93.63", "B) 98.31", "C) 96.44", "D) 90.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.06%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 14.53%\nD) -5.37%", "options": [ "A) -2.06%", "B) 4.58%", "C) 14.53%", "D) -5.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 4.87%", "options": [ "A) 5.71%", "B) 5.50%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 4.87%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.25pp\nB) -4.09pp\nC) +22.64pp\nD) +6.60pp", "options": [ "A) +1.25pp", "B) -4.09pp", "C) +22.64pp", "D) +6.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+6.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.48pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) +0.56pp", "options": [ "A) +0.30pp", "B) -0.48pp", "C) +0.04pp", "D) +0.56pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) +3.39pp\nB) +2.35pp\nC) +3.91pp\nD) +1.31pp", "options": [ "A) +3.39pp", "B) +2.35pp", "C) +3.91pp", "D) +1.31pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.35pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,677B\nB) $8,427B\nC) $8,176B\nD) $8,928B", "options": [ "A) $8,677B", "B) $8,427B", "C) $8,176B", "D) $8,928B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,176B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.20%", "options": [ "A) 5.44%", "B) 5.03%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.99%", "options": [ "A) 4.26%", "B) 5.53%", "C) 4.68%", "D) 2.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.61%\nB) 78.42%\nC) 71.40%\nD) 82.63%", "options": [ "A) 75.61%", "B) 78.42%", "C) 71.40%", "D) 82.63%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 23.50\nB) 7.66\nC) 15.58\nD) 10.30", "options": [ "A) 23.50", "B) 7.66", "C) 15.58", "D) 10.30" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 0.92%", "options": [ "A) 2.89%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 0.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) $31.08/bbl\nB) $23.62/bbl\nC) $26.11/bbl\nD) $33.57/bbl", "options": [ "A) $31.08/bbl", "B) $23.62/bbl", "C) $26.11/bbl", "D) $33.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$31.08/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.0715\nB) 1.1874\nC) 1.3613\nD) 1.3033", "options": [ "A) 1.0715", "B) 1.1874", "C) 1.3613", "D) 1.3033" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1874", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 0.80%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.41%", "B) 0.80%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 4.80%", "options": [ "A) 5.57%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 4.41%", "D) 4.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 94.78\nB) 92.89\nC) 90.04\nD) 96.68", "options": [ "A) 94.78", "B) 92.89", "C) 90.04", "D) 96.68" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "94.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 298,446\nB) 356,000\nC) 327,223\nD) 442,332", "options": [ "A) 298,446", "B) 356,000", "C) 327,223", "D) 442,332" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "356,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.09pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": [ "A) -0.71pp", "B) -0.09pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 3.45%", "options": [ "A) 4.09%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 3.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,040B\nB) $7,527B\nC) $7,784B\nD) $7,270B", "options": [ "A) $8,040B", "B) $7,527B", "C) $7,784B", "D) $7,270B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,040B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.26%", "options": [ "A) 2.49%", "B) 4.81%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $167,046M\nB) $200,410M\nC) $183,728M\nD) $178,167M", "options": [ "A) $167,046M", "B) $200,410M", "C) $183,728M", "D) $178,167M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$183,728M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 1.71%", "options": [ "A) 2.24%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.51%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 191.70\nB) 200.58\nC) 206.50\nD) 185.78", "options": [ "A) 191.70", "B) 200.58", "C) 206.50", "D) 185.78" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "191.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.5315\nB) 105.6000\nC) 93.8054\nD) 117.3946", "options": [ "A) 109.5315", "B) 105.6000", "C) 93.8054", "D) 117.3946" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "105.6000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 1.64%", "options": [ "A) 2.38%", "B) 3.13%", "C) 2.01%", "D) 1.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 177.41\nC) 171.21\nD) 186.70", "options": [ "A) 195.99", "B) 177.41", "C) 171.21", "D) 186.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "186.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.75%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 7.94%", "options": [ "A) 6.75%", "B) 10.30%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 7.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) $40.56/bbl\nB) $46.95/bbl\nC) $50.15/bbl\nD) $37.36/bbl", "options": [ "A) $40.56/bbl", "B) $46.95/bbl", "C) $50.15/bbl", "D) $37.36/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$46.95/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) $6,530B\nB) $5,589B\nC) $6,059B\nD) $5,824B", "options": [ "A) $6,530B", "B) $5,589B", "C) $6,059B", "D) $5,824B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,059B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.46%", "options": [ "A) 2.08%", "B) 1.33%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 2.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 7.82%\nD) 3.43%", "options": [ "A) 4.89%", "B) 6.36%", "C) 7.82%", "D) 3.43%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 386,314\nB) 332,000\nC) 250,530\nD) 304,843", "options": [ "A) 386,314", "B) 332,000", "C) 250,530", "D) 304,843" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "332,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 85.02\nB) 82.16\nC) 80.25\nD) 77.39", "options": [ "A) 85.02", "B) 82.16", "C) 80.25", "D) 77.39" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 84.04\nB) 97.18\nC) 79.66\nD) 92.80", "options": [ "A) 84.04", "B) 97.18", "C) 79.66", "D) 92.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 78.36%\nB) 82.83%\nC) 75.38%\nD) 72.41%", "options": [ "A) 78.36%", "B) 82.83%", "C) 75.38%", "D) 72.41%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 13.64%\nB) 7.25%\nC) 11.51%\nD) 2.98%", "options": [ "A) 13.64%", "B) 7.25%", "C) 11.51%", "D) 2.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 82.70\nB) 84.63\nC) 79.80\nD) 76.90", "options": [ "A) 82.70", "B) 84.63", "C) 79.80", "D) 76.90" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "79.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.86%\nB) 14.34%\nC) 19.39%\nD) 4.24%", "options": [ "A) -5.86%", "B) 14.34%", "C) 19.39%", "D) 4.24%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 8.14%\nC) -3.27%\nD) -7.07%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 8.14%", "C) -3.27%", "D) -7.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $757M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $757M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$757M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $9,040B\nB) $7,503B\nC) $8,272B\nD) $8,015B", "options": [ "A) $9,040B", "B) $7,503B", "C) $8,272B", "D) $8,015B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,272B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.00%\nB) 61.25%\nC) 63.75%\nD) 62.50%", "options": [ "A) 60.00%", "B) 61.25%", "C) 63.75%", "D) 62.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) $39.32/bbl\nB) $30.46/bbl\nC) $42.27/bbl\nD) $33.41/bbl", "options": [ "A) $39.32/bbl", "B) $30.46/bbl", "C) $42.27/bbl", "D) $33.41/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$39.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 169.07\nB) 148.34\nC) 127.60\nD) 155.25", "options": [ "A) 169.07", "B) 148.34", "C) 127.60", "D) 155.25" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "148.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.13%", "options": [ "A) 6.25%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 4.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.45%\nB) 7.63%\nC) -3.27%\nD) 3.27%", "options": [ "A) 5.45%", "B) 7.63%", "C) -3.27%", "D) 3.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 13.38\nB) 10.36\nC) 19.41\nD) 16.40", "options": [ "A) 13.38", "B) 10.36", "C) 19.41", "D) 16.40" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $735M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $735M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$735M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.05%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 62.30%\nD) 64.17%", "options": [ "A) 61.05%", "B) 59.18%", "C) 62.30%", "D) 64.17%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) +2.78pp\nB) +1.24pp\nC) +0.72pp\nD) +1.75pp", "options": [ "A) +2.78pp", "B) +1.24pp", "C) +0.72pp", "D) +1.75pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.75pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.47\nB) 26.76\nC) 12.95\nD) 15.71", "options": [ "A) 18.47", "B) 26.76", "C) 12.95", "D) 15.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $319,009M\nB) $303,915M\nC) $288,821M\nD) $296,368M", "options": [ "A) $319,009M", "B) $303,915M", "C) $288,821M", "D) $296,368M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$303,915M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 64.02%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 61.38%", "options": [ "A) 64.02%", "B) 67.98%", "C) 66.00%", "D) 61.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 5.60%", "options": [ "A) 6.03%", "B) 4.74%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 5.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $320,520M\nB) $296,895M\nC) $328,395M\nD) $344,145M", "options": [ "A) $320,520M", "B) $296,895M", "C) $328,395M", "D) $344,145M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$320,520M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,178B\nB) $8,754B\nC) $9,329B\nD) $7,891B", "options": [ "A) $8,178B", "B) $8,754B", "C) $9,329B", "D) $7,891B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,754B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $-49,988M\nB) $-57,306M\nC) $-53,647M\nD) $-42,670M", "options": [ "A) $-49,988M", "B) $-57,306M", "C) $-53,647M", "D) $-42,670M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-53,647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $5,849B\nB) $5,576B\nC) $6,940B\nD) $6,122B", "options": [ "A) $5,849B", "B) $5,576B", "C) $6,940B", "D) $6,122B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,122B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 17.76%\nC) 10.04%\nD) -5.42%", "options": [ "A) 6.17%", "B) 17.76%", "C) 10.04%", "D) -5.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 6.34%\nC) 7.68%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 5.44%", "B) 6.34%", "C) 7.68%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.42pp\nB) -0.74pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.28pp", "options": [ "A) -1.42pp", "B) -0.74pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) +0.28pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) $31.95/bbl\nB) $29.38/bbl\nC) $42.20/bbl\nD) $34.51/bbl", "options": [ "A) $31.95/bbl", "B) $29.38/bbl", "C) $42.20/bbl", "D) $34.51/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$34.51/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.04%\nB) 10.55%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 9.38%", "options": [ "A) 7.04%", "B) 10.55%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 9.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $5,736B\nB) $6,276B\nC) $6,546B\nD) $6,006B", "options": [ "A) $5,736B", "B) $6,276B", "C) $6,546B", "D) $6,006B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,276B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.51%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 2.39%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.91%\nB) 81.87%\nC) -21.60%\nD) 40.48%", "options": [ "A) -0.91%", "B) 81.87%", "C) -21.60%", "D) 40.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "40.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 7.70%", "options": [ "A) 6.88%", "B) 8.53%", "C) 4.40%", "D) 7.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 122,972K\nB) 130,821K\nC) 126,896K\nD) 134,746K", "options": [ "A) 122,972K", "B) 130,821K", "C) 126,896K", "D) 134,746K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "130,821K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 155.73\nB) 148.88\nC) 142.03\nD) 128.32", "options": [ "A) 155.73", "B) 148.88", "C) 142.03", "D) 128.32" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "142.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) -28.78%\nB) -50.58%\nC) 36.63%\nD) -6.97%", "options": [ "A) -28.78%", "B) -50.58%", "C) 36.63%", "D) -6.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 79.95\nB) 76.80\nC) 74.70\nD) 82.04", "options": [ "A) 79.95", "B) 76.80", "C) 74.70", "D) 82.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "79.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.18%", "options": [ "A) 0.92%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -0.37pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.36pp", "options": [ "A) -0.04pp", "B) -0.37pp", "C) -0.70pp", "D) -1.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.62pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +0.33pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": [ "A) -0.62pp", "B) -0.93pp", "C) +0.33pp", "D) -0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 9.95%\nB) 13.74%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 6.16%", "options": [ "A) 9.95%", "B) 13.74%", "C) 7.42%", "D) 6.16%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.33%", "options": [ "A) 2.16%", "B) 2.55%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 3.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.58%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.00%", "options": [ "A) 3.58%", "B) 3.29%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) $7,042B\nB) $6,043B\nC) $5,544B\nD) $6,293B", "options": [ "A) $7,042B", "B) $6,043B", "C) $5,544B", "D) $6,293B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,293B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 2.90%", "options": [ "A) 1.69%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 2.49%", "D) 2.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 4,122,604\nB) 3,131,000\nC) 3,461,535\nD) 2,469,931", "options": [ "A) 4,122,604", "B) 3,131,000", "C) 3,461,535", "D) 2,469,931" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,131,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.73pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) +0.99pp", "options": [ "A) +0.73pp", "B) -0.33pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) +0.99pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 4.52%\nC) 0.48%\nD) 1.49%", "options": [ "A) 3.51%", "B) 4.52%", "C) 0.48%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 10.69%\nC) -9.14%\nD) 0.78%", "options": [ "A) 5.73%", "B) 10.69%", "C) -9.14%", "D) 0.78%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 128,528K\nB) 132,503K\nC) 136,478K\nD) 140,453K", "options": [ "A) 128,528K", "B) 132,503K", "C) 136,478K", "D) 140,453K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,503K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.29%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.96%", "options": [ "A) 8.29%", "B) 7.45%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 4.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $-57,524M\nB) $-54,201M\nC) $-50,877M\nD) $-47,553M", "options": [ "A) $-57,524M", "B) $-54,201M", "C) $-50,877M", "D) $-47,553M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-47,553M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.30%\nB) 61.05%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 59.18%", "options": [ "A) 62.30%", "B) 61.05%", "C) 64.17%", "D) 59.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.94\nB) 17.57\nC) 11.82\nD) 20.45", "options": [ "A) 8.94", "B) 17.57", "C) 11.82", "D) 20.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20041115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) -34.37%\nB) 26.60%\nC) 6.28%\nD) -14.05%", "options": [ "A) -34.37%", "B) 26.60%", "C) 6.28%", "D) -14.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 1,439.52\nB) 2,813.66\nC) 2,355.62\nD) 1,897.57", "options": [ "A) 1,439.52", "B) 2,813.66", "C) 2,355.62", "D) 1,897.57" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,897.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 1,615K\nC) 1,532K\nD) 1,949K", "options": [ "A) 1,782K", "B) 1,615K", "C) 1,532K", "D) 1,949K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,782K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.13pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.18pp\nD) -0.82pp", "options": [ "A) -1.13pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.18pp", "D) -0.82pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 11.67%", "options": [ "A) 5.25%", "B) 0.97%", "C) 7.39%", "D) 11.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) $6,405B\nB) $5,264B\nC) $5,721B\nD) $5,949B", "options": [ "A) $6,405B", "B) $5,264B", "C) $5,721B", "D) $5,949B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$5,949B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 194.90\nB) 203.95\nC) 188.86\nD) 182.83", "options": [ "A) 194.90", "B) 203.95", "C) 188.86", "D) 182.83" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "194.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 75.34%\nB) 79.33%\nC) 83.32%\nD) 85.98%", "options": [ "A) 75.34%", "B) 79.33%", "C) 83.32%", "D) 85.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,700.52\nB) 2,241.68\nC) 1,782.84\nD) 1,324.00", "options": [ "A) 2,700.52", "B) 2,241.68", "C) 1,782.84", "D) 1,324.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,782.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.29%\nB) 5.17%\nC) 11.62%\nD) 8.39%", "options": [ "A) -1.29%", "B) 5.17%", "C) 11.62%", "D) 8.39%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,081B\nB) $8,516B\nC) $9,646B\nD) $8,799B", "options": [ "A) $9,081B", "B) $8,516B", "C) $9,646B", "D) $8,799B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,081B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.22%", "options": [ "A) 1.90%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 2.22%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 9.62%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.30%", "options": [ "A) 4.08%", "B) 9.62%", "C) 5.46%", "D) 1.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.85pp\nB) +3.86pp\nC) +1.01pp\nD) +2.43pp", "options": [ "A) -1.85pp", "B) +3.86pp", "C) +1.01pp", "D) +2.43pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.43pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20041101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.40%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 6.64%", "options": [ "A) 5.40%", "B) 4.16%", "C) 4.99%", "D) 6.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 131.19\nB) 153.81\nC) 161.36\nD) 146.27", "options": [ "A) 131.19", "B) 153.81", "C) 161.36", "D) 146.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "153.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 135,897K\nB) 127,981K\nC) 131,939K\nD) 141,175K", "options": [ "A) 135,897K", "B) 127,981K", "C) 131,939K", "D) 141,175K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131,939K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.93%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 18.66%\nD) 10.42%", "options": [ "A) -1.93%", "B) 6.30%", "C) 18.66%", "D) 10.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,846K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 1,779K\nD) 1,980K", "options": [ "A) 1,846K", "B) 1,913K", "C) 1,779K", "D) 1,980K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,846K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) +2.96pp\nB) +1.56pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -2.64pp", "options": [ "A) +2.96pp", "B) +1.56pp", "C) +0.16pp", "D) -2.64pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.56pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 40.12%\nB) -19.84%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 60.10%", "options": [ "A) 40.12%", "B) -19.84%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 60.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-01-28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-25", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-01-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-25.)\n\nA) 4.12%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.01%", "options": [ "A) 4.12%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 1.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-03-16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-13", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.11%", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 3.11%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-05-04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "June 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-01", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-05-04, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 4.23%", "B) 1.03%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-06-30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-27", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-06-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-27.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 3.40%", "options": [ "A) 0.19%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.26%", "D) 3.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-08-10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-07", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-08-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-07.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 1.61%", "options": [ "A) 3.75%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 4.82%", "D) 1.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-09-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-18.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.96%", "options": [ "A) 1.76%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 2.83%", "D) 4.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-11-10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-07", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-11-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-07.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 0.06%", "options": [ "A) 5.31%", "B) 2.16%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 0.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-12-14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2005", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-11", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-11.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 4.36%", "options": [ "A) 5.39%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 4.36%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2004 (released around 2004-02-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 74K\nB) 260K\nC) 445K\nD) 167K", "options": [ "A) 74K", "B) 260K", "C) 445K", "D) 167K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "167K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200402", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2004 (released around 2004-03-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 65K\nB) 334K\nC) -25K\nD) -204K", "options": [ "A) 65K", "B) 334K", "C) -25K", "D) -204K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "65K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200403", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2004 (released around 2004-04-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 593K\nB) 319K\nC) 501K\nD) 228K", "options": [ "A) 593K", "B) 319K", "C) 501K", "D) 228K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "319K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200404", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2004 (released around 2004-05-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) 92K\nB) 543K\nC) 272K\nD) 1K", "options": [ "A) 92K", "B) 543K", "C) 272K", "D) 1K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "272K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200405", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2004 (released around 2004-06-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 104K\nB) 376K\nC) 557K\nD) 285K", "options": [ "A) 104K", "B) 376K", "C) 557K", "D) 285K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "285K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200406", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2004 (released around 2004-07-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) 97K\nB) -82K\nC) 187K\nD) 7K", "options": [ "A) 97K", "B) -82K", "C) 187K", "D) 7K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "97K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200407", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2004 (released around 2004-08-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) 235K\nB) 60K\nC) -115K\nD) -203K", "options": [ "A) 235K", "B) 60K", "C) -115K", "D) -203K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2004 (released around 2004-09-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) 260K\nB) -177K\nC) 85K\nD) -2K", "options": [ "A) 260K", "B) -177K", "C) 85K", "D) -2K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "85K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2004 (released around 2004-10-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) -111K\nB) 324K\nC) -24K\nD) 150K", "options": [ "A) -111K", "B) 324K", "C) -24K", "D) 150K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "150K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200410", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2004 (released around 2004-11-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 340K\nB) 426K\nC) 598K\nD) 512K", "options": [ "A) 340K", "B) 426K", "C) 598K", "D) 512K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "340K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200411", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2004 (released around 2004-12-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 158K\nB) 74K\nC) -10K\nD) -179K", "options": [ "A) 158K", "B) 74K", "C) -10K", "D) -179K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200412", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-31", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2004 (released around 2005-01-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-31.)\n\nA) 374K\nB) -120K\nC) 127K\nD) 45K", "options": [ "A) 374K", "B) -120K", "C) 127K", "D) 45K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "127K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2004 (released around 2004-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.03%", "options": [ "A) 2.43%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200403", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2004 (released around 2004-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.54%", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 2.94%", "C) 0.94%", "D) 2.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200404", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2004 (released around 2004-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200406", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2004 (released around 2004-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-06.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 3.95%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 3.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200407", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2004 (released around 2004-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.94%", "options": [ "A) 2.16%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 2.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2004 (released around 2004-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-06.)\n\nA) 2.54%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 3.69%", "options": [ "A) 2.54%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 3.31%", "D) 3.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200410", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2004 (released around 2004-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 2.80%", "options": [ "A) 4.35%", "B) 3.19%", "C) 2.03%", "D) 2.80%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200412", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2004", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2004 (released around 2005-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.57%", "options": [ "A) 2.95%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 3.34%", "D) 2.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) 6.61%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 4.34%", "options": [ "A) 6.61%", "B) 2.83%", "C) 3.59%", "D) 4.34%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-14.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 6.45%", "options": [ "A) 4.23%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 4.97%", "D) 6.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-14.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 2.04%", "options": [ "A) 4.22%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 1.32%", "D) 2.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2004", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2004 (advance estimate released around 2005-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-14.)\n\nA) 4.79%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 2.63%", "options": [ "A) 4.79%", "B) 4.07%", "C) 3.35%", "D) 2.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-02", "info_cutoff": "2003-12-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-26.)\n\nA) 21.64\nB) 28.29\nC) 11.66\nD) 18.31", "options": [ "A) 21.64", "B) 28.29", "C) 11.66", "D) 18.31" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-02.)\n\nA) 17.49\nB) 27.51\nC) 7.47\nD) 10.81", "options": [ "A) 17.49", "B) 27.51", "C) 7.47", "D) 10.81" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040116", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-09.)\n\nA) 14.68\nB) 18.04\nC) 21.40\nD) 7.96", "options": [ "A) 14.68", "B) 18.04", "C) 21.40", "D) 7.96" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040206", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-06", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.57\nB) 21.30\nC) 17.87\nD) 24.74", "options": [ "A) 7.57", "B) 21.30", "C) 17.87", "D) 24.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040213", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-13", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 12.94\nC) 23.29\nD) 16.39", "options": [ "A) 26.74", "B) 12.94", "C) 23.29", "D) 16.39" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040220", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-20", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-13.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 5.61\nC) 19.52\nD) 12.56", "options": [ "A) 16.04", "B) 5.61", "C) 19.52", "D) 12.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040305", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-05", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 18.38\nB) 14.86\nC) 11.34\nD) 25.42", "options": [ "A) 18.38", "B) 14.86", "C) 11.34", "D) 25.42" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040312", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-12", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-05.)\n\nA) 10.02\nB) 31.32\nC) 20.67\nD) 27.77", "options": [ "A) 10.02", "B) 31.32", "C) 20.67", "D) 27.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040319", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-12.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 28.24\nC) 17.57\nD) 21.13", "options": [ "A) 31.80", "B) 28.24", "C) 17.57", "D) 21.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040402", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 16.74\nB) 20.29\nC) 27.39\nD) 23.84", "options": [ "A) 16.74", "B) 20.29", "C) 27.39", "D) 23.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-02.)\n\nA) 26.94\nB) 16.26\nC) 5.58\nD) 23.38", "options": [ "A) 26.94", "B) 16.26", "C) 5.58", "D) 23.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040416", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-09.)\n\nA) 6.53\nB) 13.68\nC) 17.26\nD) 10.11", "options": [ "A) 6.53", "B) 13.68", "C) 17.26", "D) 10.11" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-07", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) 21.76\nB) 29.02\nC) 25.39\nD) 18.13", "options": [ "A) 21.76", "B) 29.02", "C) 25.39", "D) 18.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040514", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-14", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-07.)\n\nA) 19.77\nB) 27.06\nC) 23.41\nD) 30.70", "options": [ "A) 19.77", "B) 27.06", "C) 23.41", "D) 30.70" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040521", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-21", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) 30.90\nB) 19.96\nC) 9.02\nD) 16.31", "options": [ "A) 30.90", "B) 19.96", "C) 9.02", "D) 16.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-04", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 6.05\nB) 28.01\nC) 17.03\nD) 9.71", "options": [ "A) 6.05", "B) 28.01", "C) 17.03", "D) 9.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040611", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-11", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-04.)\n\nA) 8.04\nB) 19.06\nC) 26.41\nD) 15.39", "options": [ "A) 8.04", "B) 19.06", "C) 26.41", "D) 15.39" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040618", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-18", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-11.)\n\nA) 16.07\nB) 19.77\nC) 8.67\nD) 23.47", "options": [ "A) 16.07", "B) 19.77", "C) 8.67", "D) 23.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-02", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) 12.33\nB) 16.07\nC) 23.55\nD) 8.59", "options": [ "A) 12.33", "B) 16.07", "C) 23.55", "D) 8.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040709", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-02.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 27.53\nC) 16.25\nD) 23.77", "options": [ "A) 12.49", "B) 27.53", "C) 16.25", "D) 23.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040716", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-09.)\n\nA) 7.43\nB) 26.25\nC) 18.72\nD) 14.96", "options": [ "A) 7.43", "B) 26.25", "C) 18.72", "D) 14.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-06", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 30.22\nC) 15.71\nD) 22.97", "options": [ "A) 19.34", "B) 30.22", "C) 15.71", "D) 22.97" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040813", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-13", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 19.08\nC) 15.55\nD) 8.49", "options": [ "A) 22.61", "B) 19.08", "C) 15.55", "D) 8.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040820", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-20", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-13.)\n\nA) 21.03\nB) 14.11\nC) 17.57\nD) 27.96", "options": [ "A) 21.03", "B) 14.11", "C) 17.57", "D) 27.96" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040903", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-03", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) 25.79\nB) 11.99\nC) 8.54\nD) 15.44", "options": [ "A) 25.79", "B) 11.99", "C) 8.54", "D) 15.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040910", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-10", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-03.)\n\nA) 14.07\nB) 10.66\nC) 24.31\nD) 7.25", "options": [ "A) 14.07", "B) 10.66", "C) 24.31", "D) 7.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20040917", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-10.)\n\nA) 17.99\nB) 14.64\nC) 21.34\nD) 24.68", "options": [ "A) 17.99", "B) 14.64", "C) 21.34", "D) 24.68" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041001", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-01", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) 20.96\nB) 24.14\nC) 14.62\nD) 5.10", "options": [ "A) 20.96", "B) 24.14", "C) 14.62", "D) 5.10" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041008", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-08", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 24.34\nB) 18.15\nC) 8.86\nD) 15.05", "options": [ "A) 24.34", "B) 18.15", "C) 8.86", "D) 15.05" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041015", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-08.)\n\nA) 16.43\nB) 7.52\nC) 10.49\nD) 22.37", "options": [ "A) 16.43", "B) 7.52", "C) 10.49", "D) 22.37" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 19.00\nB) 16.27\nC) 24.46\nD) 10.81", "options": [ "A) 19.00", "B) 16.27", "C) 24.46", "D) 10.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-12", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-05.)\n\nA) 21.86\nB) 19.18\nC) 13.80\nD) 11.11", "options": [ "A) 21.86", "B) 19.18", "C) 13.80", "D) 11.11" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-19", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-12.)\n\nA) 5.54\nB) 16.15\nC) 21.46\nD) 13.50", "options": [ "A) 5.54", "B) 16.15", "C) 21.46", "D) 13.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-03", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 13.30\nB) 21.23\nC) 8.02\nD) 15.94", "options": [ "A) 13.30", "B) 21.23", "C) 8.02", "D) 15.94" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-10", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-03.)\n\nA) 8.41\nB) 13.67\nC) 11.04\nD) 21.57", "options": [ "A) 8.41", "B) 13.67", "C) 11.04", "D) 21.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20041217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-17", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-10.)\n\nA) 17.93\nB) 10.13\nC) 12.73\nD) 7.53", "options": [ "A) 17.93", "B) 10.13", "C) 12.73", "D) 7.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-02", "info_cutoff": "2003-12-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-26.)\n\nA) -5.63%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 4.96%\nD) -0.33%", "options": [ "A) -5.63%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 4.96%", "D) -0.33%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-02.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -0.31%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 1.46%", "options": [ "A) 3.22%", "B) -0.31%", "C) 6.75%", "D) 1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040116", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-01-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-09.)\n\nA) -2.16%\nB) 1.32%\nC) -0.42%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) -2.16%", "B) 1.32%", "C) -0.42%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040206", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-06", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) -2.73%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 4.06%", "options": [ "A) 0.67%", "B) -2.73%", "C) -1.03%", "D) 4.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040213", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-13", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) -2.21%\nB) -5.61%\nC) -3.91%\nD) -0.52%", "options": [ "A) -2.21%", "B) -5.61%", "C) -3.91%", "D) -0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040220", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-02-20", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-13.)\n\nA) -2.97%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -4.66%\nD) 2.10%", "options": [ "A) -2.97%", "B) -8.05%", "C) -4.66%", "D) 2.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040305", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-05", "info_cutoff": "2004-02-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 5.49%\nB) 0.55%\nC) -2.75%\nD) -4.40%", "options": [ "A) 5.49%", "B) 0.55%", "C) -2.75%", "D) -4.40%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040312", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-12", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-05.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 2.08%\nC) -1.20%\nD) -4.48%", "options": [ "A) 0.44%", "B) 2.08%", "C) -1.20%", "D) -4.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040319", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-12.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 0.07%", "options": [ "A) -3.24%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 0.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040402", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2004-03-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 4.65%", "options": [ "A) 3.05%", "B) 6.24%", "C) 7.83%", "D) 4.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-02.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -4.75%\nD) -3.17%", "options": [ "A) 1.57%", "B) -1.59%", "C) -4.75%", "D) -3.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040416", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-04-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-09.)\n\nA) -4.58%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -3.01%\nD) 1.69%", "options": [ "A) -4.58%", "B) -1.44%", "C) -3.01%", "D) 1.69%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-07", "info_cutoff": "2004-04-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) -1.98%\nB) 1.14%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -0.42%", "options": [ "A) -1.98%", "B) 1.14%", "C) -5.10%", "D) -0.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040514", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-14", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-07.)\n\nA) -0.55%\nB) -5.23%\nC) -3.67%\nD) 4.13%", "options": [ "A) -0.55%", "B) -5.23%", "C) -3.67%", "D) 4.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040521", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-05-21", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) -0.92%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 5.33%", "options": [ "A) -0.92%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 5.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-04", "info_cutoff": "2004-05-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 5.77%", "options": [ "A) 2.69%", "B) -1.92%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 5.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040611", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-11", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-04.)\n\nA) -6.20%\nB) -0.03%\nC) 3.06%\nD) -1.57%", "options": [ "A) -6.20%", "B) -0.03%", "C) 3.06%", "D) -1.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040618", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-06-18", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-11.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) -2.74%\nC) -1.20%\nD) 3.42%", "options": [ "A) 1.88%", "B) -2.74%", "C) -1.20%", "D) 3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-02", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) -3.91%\nB) -0.85%\nC) 3.74%\nD) -2.38%", "options": [ "A) -3.91%", "B) -0.85%", "C) 3.74%", "D) -2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040709", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-02.)\n\nA) -5.53%\nB) -2.47%\nC) -0.94%\nD) 2.11%", "options": [ "A) -5.53%", "B) -2.47%", "C) -0.94%", "D) 2.11%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040716", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-07-16", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-09.)\n\nA) -6.04%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -3.00%", "options": [ "A) -6.04%", "B) 0.03%", "C) 1.55%", "D) -3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-06", "info_cutoff": "2004-07-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) -6.21%\nB) -3.19%\nC) -4.70%\nD) -1.68%", "options": [ "A) -6.21%", "B) -3.19%", "C) -4.70%", "D) -1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040813", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-13", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) -5.49%\nB) -0.98%\nC) -2.48%\nD) 0.52%", "options": [ "A) -5.49%", "B) -0.98%", "C) -2.48%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040820", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-08-20", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-13.)\n\nA) 7.61%\nB) 4.60%\nC) 3.09%\nD) -1.42%", "options": [ "A) 7.61%", "B) 4.60%", "C) 3.09%", "D) -1.42%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040903", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-03", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) -2.58%\nB) 3.45%\nC) -4.09%\nD) 0.44%", "options": [ "A) -2.58%", "B) 3.45%", "C) -4.09%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040910", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-10", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-03.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 4.94%\nD) 6.45%", "options": [ "A) 1.92%", "B) 3.43%", "C) 4.94%", "D) 6.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20040917", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-10.)\n\nA) -1.51%\nB) -0.02%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 2.98%", "options": [ "A) -1.51%", "B) -0.02%", "C) 1.48%", "D) 2.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041001", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-01", "info_cutoff": "2004-09-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 4.43%\nD) 5.89%", "options": [ "A) 1.50%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 4.43%", "D) 5.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041008", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-08", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.12%\nB) -6.03%\nC) -0.20%\nD) -1.66%", "options": [ "A) -3.12%", "B) -6.03%", "C) -0.20%", "D) -1.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041015", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-10-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-08.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.42%\nD) -3.77%", "options": [ "A) -0.89%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 3.42%", "D) -3.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2004-10-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 2.98%\nC) -1.21%\nD) 7.17%", "options": [ "A) 5.78%", "B) 2.98%", "C) -1.21%", "D) 7.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-12", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-05.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) -1.92%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -0.53%", "options": [ "A) 0.87%", "B) -1.92%", "C) 2.26%", "D) -0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-11-19", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-12.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) -2.50%\nC) 1.64%\nD) -1.12%", "options": [ "A) 3.03%", "B) -2.50%", "C) 1.64%", "D) -1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-03", "info_cutoff": "2004-11-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) -0.76%\nC) 0.59%\nD) 3.31%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) -0.76%", "C) 0.59%", "D) 3.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-10", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-03.)\n\nA) -2.43%\nB) -1.08%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 0.27%", "options": [ "A) -2.43%", "B) -1.08%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 0.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20041217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2004-12-17", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-10.)\n\nA) -3.30%\nB) 2.07%\nC) -0.62%\nD) -4.65%", "options": [ "A) -3.30%", "B) 2.07%", "C) -0.62%", "D) -4.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2004 } ]