[ { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 204.93\nB) 185.59\nC) 195.26\nD) 175.93", "options": [ "A) 204.93", "B) 185.59", "C) 195.26", "D) 175.93" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "175.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $-63,859M\nB) $-47,688M\nC) $-80,030M\nD) $-74,640M", "options": [ "A) $-63,859M", "B) $-47,688M", "C) $-80,030M", "D) $-74,640M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-63,859M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $354,062M\nB) $327,233M\nC) $309,347M\nD) $300,404M", "options": [ "A) $354,062M", "B) $327,233M", "C) $309,347M", "D) $300,404M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$327,233M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) $7,322B\nB) $7,970B\nC) $6,997B\nD) $6,349B", "options": [ "A) $7,322B", "B) $7,970B", "C) $6,997B", "D) $6,349B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,997B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 9.01\nB) 25.68\nC) 5.68\nD) 15.68", "options": [ "A) 9.01", "B) 25.68", "C) 5.68", "D) 15.68" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 169.55\nB) 160.77\nC) 143.21\nD) 187.10", "options": [ "A) 169.55", "B) 160.77", "C) 143.21", "D) 187.10" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "169.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 79.17\nB) 82.24\nC) 85.32\nD) 87.37", "options": [ "A) 79.17", "B) 82.24", "C) 85.32", "D) 87.37" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "82.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) $71.46/bbl\nB) $57.12/bbl\nC) $66.68/bbl\nD) $81.01/bbl", "options": [ "A) $71.46/bbl", "B) $57.12/bbl", "C) $66.68/bbl", "D) $81.01/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 76.12\nB) 78.33\nC) 84.97\nD) 81.65", "options": [ "A) 76.12", "B) 78.33", "C) 84.97", "D) 81.65" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "81.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) 11.20%\nB) 15.49%\nC) 14.06%\nD) 8.33%", "options": [ "A) 11.20%", "B) 15.49%", "C) 14.06%", "D) 8.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) +1.69pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) -0.71pp\nD) +2.17pp", "options": [ "A) +1.69pp", "B) +0.73pp", "C) -0.71pp", "D) +2.17pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.73pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 11.61%\nC) 5.11%\nD) -1.39%", "options": [ "A) 0.77%", "B) 11.61%", "C) 5.11%", "D) -1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 2.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.24%", "B) 3.58%", "C) 1.89%", "D) 2.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 2.28%", "options": [ "A) 3.05%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 3.44%", "D) 2.28%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 116.5215\nB) 104.4700\nC) 100.4528\nD) 112.5044", "options": [ "A) 116.5215", "B) 104.4700", "C) 100.4528", "D) 112.5044" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.4700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.3732\nB) 1.5225\nC) 1.2986\nD) 1.4479", "options": [ "A) 1.3732", "B) 1.5225", "C) 1.2986", "D) 1.4479" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2986", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 63.92%\nB) 62.61%\nC) 67.88%\nD) 65.90%", "options": [ "A) 63.92%", "B) 62.61%", "C) 67.88%", "D) 65.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "65.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 80.66%\nB) 74.44%\nC) 84.39%\nD) 76.93%", "options": [ "A) 80.66%", "B) 74.44%", "C) 84.39%", "D) 76.93%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.93%", "options": [ "A) 4.15%", "B) 3.34%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 2.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,048,542\nB) 3,087,458\nC) 2,568,000\nD) 3,347,187", "options": [ "A) 2,048,542", "B) 3,087,458", "C) 2,568,000", "D) 3,347,187" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,568,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 84.51\nB) 78.56\nC) 86.49\nD) 81.54", "options": [ "A) 84.51", "B) 78.56", "C) 86.49", "D) 81.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "81.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 2,218K\nB) 2,525K\nC) 2,422K\nD) 2,116K", "options": [ "A) 2,218K", "B) 2,525K", "C) 2,422K", "D) 2,116K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,218K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 1.70%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 4.06%", "C) 4.85%", "D) 1.70%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.43%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.54%", "options": [ "A) 5.43%", "B) 4.48%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 3.54%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 214.49\nC) 207.93\nD) 198.10", "options": [ "A) 191.54", "B) 214.49", "C) 207.93", "D) 198.10" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "198.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.60%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 1.22%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) $61.25/bbl\nB) $48.64/bbl\nC) $40.24/bbl\nD) $52.84/bbl", "options": [ "A) $61.25/bbl", "B) $48.64/bbl", "C) $40.24/bbl", "D) $52.84/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$48.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 1,377.03\nB) 1,640.48\nC) 2,167.40\nD) 2,957.77", "options": [ "A) 1,377.03", "B) 1,640.48", "C) 2,167.40", "D) 2,957.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,167.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 61.57%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 66.20%", "options": [ "A) 64.21%", "B) 61.57%", "C) 68.19%", "D) 66.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.29%\nB) -6.32%\nC) -1.12%\nD) 14.50%", "options": [ "A) 9.29%", "B) -6.32%", "C) -1.12%", "D) 14.50%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 7.78%", "options": [ "A) -0.19%", "B) 3.80%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 7.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 22.75\nB) 15.76\nC) 12.26\nD) 8.76", "options": [ "A) 22.75", "B) 15.76", "C) 12.26", "D) 8.76" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.82%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 15.27%\nD) 11.49%", "options": [ "A) 22.82%", "B) 0.16%", "C) 15.27%", "D) 11.49%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.31%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.70%", "options": [ "A) 2.31%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 36.32%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 20.76%\nD) -10.36%", "options": [ "A) 36.32%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 20.76%", "D) -10.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.86%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 3.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.86%", "B) 5.04%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 3.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) -0.29pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.20pp", "B) +0.09pp", "C) -0.29pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $57,580M\nB) $65,835M\nC) $54,828M\nD) $63,083M", "options": [ "A) $57,580M", "B) $65,835M", "C) $54,828M", "D) $63,083M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$57,580M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) +0.19pp", "options": [ "A) +0.53pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -1.53pp", "D) +0.19pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.80%\nB) 20.27%\nC) 12.63%\nD) 24.09%", "options": [ "A) 8.80%", "B) 20.27%", "C) 12.63%", "D) 24.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 127,777K\nB) 130,467K\nC) 138,537K\nD) 134,502K", "options": [ "A) 127,777K", "B) 130,467K", "C) 138,537K", "D) 134,502K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "134,502K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 3.76%", "options": [ "A) 2.89%", "B) 5.51%", "C) 4.64%", "D) 3.76%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) $76.09/bbl\nB) $66.21/bbl\nC) $56.33/bbl\nD) $71.15/bbl", "options": [ "A) $76.09/bbl", "B) $66.21/bbl", "C) $56.33/bbl", "D) $71.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 4.67%", "options": [ "A) 3.92%", "B) 4.85%", "C) 4.48%", "D) 4.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $221,241M\nB) $193,905M\nC) $199,372M\nD) $204,839M", "options": [ "A) $221,241M", "B) $193,905M", "C) $199,372M", "D) $204,839M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$204,839M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $206,623M\nB) $217,491M\nC) $222,924M\nD) $201,189M", "options": [ "A) $206,623M", "B) $217,491M", "C) $222,924M", "D) $201,189M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$206,623M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 5.57%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 4.28%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 5.57%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $191,104M\nB) $207,216M\nC) $196,475M\nD) $212,587M", "options": [ "A) $191,104M", "B) $207,216M", "C) $196,475M", "D) $212,587M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$196,475M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.82%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 65.84%\nD) 62.70%", "options": [ "A) 60.82%", "B) 64.58%", "C) 65.84%", "D) 62.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2,114K\nB) 1,927K\nC) 2,301K\nD) 2,394K", "options": [ "A) 2,114K", "B) 1,927K", "C) 2,301K", "D) 2,394K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,114K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 1.79%", "options": [ "A) 5.21%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 0.93%", "D) 1.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $9,837B\nB) $9,553B\nC) $9,269B\nD) $8,416B", "options": [ "A) $9,837B", "B) $9,553B", "C) $9,269B", "D) $8,416B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,269B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 186.86\nB) 205.96\nC) 195.04\nD) 200.50", "options": [ "A) 186.86", "B) 205.96", "C) 195.04", "D) 200.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "200.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -5.48pp\nC) -10.66pp\nD) +4.88pp", "options": [ "A) -0.30pp", "B) -5.48pp", "C) -10.66pp", "D) +4.88pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 11.95%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 0.57%\nD) 19.53%", "options": [ "A) 11.95%", "B) 8.15%", "C) 0.57%", "D) 19.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 77.67\nB) 79.75\nC) 82.87\nD) 84.96", "options": [ "A) 77.67", "B) 79.75", "C) 82.87", "D) 84.96" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) 283,474\nB) 332,526\nC) 357,052\nD) 308,000", "options": [ "A) 283,474", "B) 332,526", "C) 357,052", "D) 308,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "308,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) $44.91/bbl\nB) $41.62/bbl\nC) $38.34/bbl\nD) $54.77/bbl", "options": [ "A) $44.91/bbl", "B) $41.62/bbl", "C) $38.34/bbl", "D) $54.77/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$44.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.2462\nB) 8.0845\nC) 7.8420\nD) 7.6803", "options": [ "A) 8.2462", "B) 8.0845", "C) 7.8420", "D) 7.6803" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.0845", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) $54.39/bbl\nB) $58.37/bbl\nC) $46.42/bbl\nD) $38.45/bbl", "options": [ "A) $54.39/bbl", "B) $58.37/bbl", "C) $46.42/bbl", "D) $38.45/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$46.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 1,251.80\nB) 3,345.32\nC) 2,926.62\nD) 2,089.21", "options": [ "A) 1,251.80", "B) 3,345.32", "C) 2,926.62", "D) 2,089.21" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,089.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.2765\nB) 8.6903\nC) 8.0282\nD) 8.4420", "options": [ "A) 8.2765", "B) 8.6903", "C) 8.0282", "D) 8.4420" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.2765", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.9949\nB) 1.2362\nC) 1.0753\nD) 1.4775", "options": [ "A) 0.9949", "B) 1.2362", "C) 1.0753", "D) 1.4775" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2362", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.08pp\nB) +0.37pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) +0.19pp", "options": [ "A) -0.08pp", "B) +0.37pp", "C) +0.10pp", "D) +0.19pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $64,506M\nB) $62,483M\nC) $66,530M\nD) $60,459M", "options": [ "A) $64,506M", "B) $62,483M", "C) $66,530M", "D) $60,459M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$60,459M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.93%\nB) 16.51%\nC) 10.79%\nD) 13.65%", "options": [ "A) 7.93%", "B) 16.51%", "C) 10.79%", "D) 13.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $318,492M\nB) $339,719M\nC) $350,332M\nD) $371,559M", "options": [ "A) $318,492M", "B) $339,719M", "C) $350,332M", "D) $371,559M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$339,719M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 129,043K\nB) 137,025K\nC) 133,034K\nD) 139,686K", "options": [ "A) 129,043K", "B) 137,025K", "C) 133,034K", "D) 139,686K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "133,034K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.47%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 2.30%", "options": [ "A) 1.47%", "B) 3.54%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) 9.36%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 14.69%", "options": [ "A) 6.69%", "B) 9.36%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 14.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) -16.46pp\nB) -11.20pp\nC) -26.98pp\nD) -21.72pp", "options": [ "A) -16.46pp", "B) -11.20pp", "C) -26.98pp", "D) -21.72pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 7.71%\nB) 13.25%\nC) 11.86%\nD) 16.02%", "options": [ "A) 7.71%", "B) 13.25%", "C) 11.86%", "D) 16.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.06%\nB) 60.92%\nC) 65.94%\nD) 62.80%", "options": [ "A) 64.06%", "B) 60.92%", "C) 65.94%", "D) 62.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 5.59%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.41%", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 5.59%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 4.41%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) $37.05/bbl\nB) $54.45/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $60.25/bbl", "options": [ "A) $37.05/bbl", "B) $54.45/bbl", "C) $42.85/bbl", "D) $60.25/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$54.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 91.99%\nB) 21.33%\nC) 39.00%\nD) 74.33%", "options": [ "A) 91.99%", "B) 21.33%", "C) 39.00%", "D) 74.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "39.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,857,106\nB) 3,288,894\nC) 2,811,631\nD) 2,573,000", "options": [ "A) 1,857,106", "B) 3,288,894", "C) 2,811,631", "D) 2,573,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,573,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 161.93\nB) 136.55\nC) 170.39\nD) 187.30", "options": [ "A) 161.93", "B) 136.55", "C) 170.39", "D) 187.30" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "161.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $773M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $773M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$773M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,267B\nB) $9,433B\nC) $8,850B\nD) $9,725B", "options": [ "A) $8,267B", "B) $9,433B", "C) $8,850B", "D) $9,725B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,850B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 2.68%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 1.51%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 2.68%", "C) -0.24%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 109.4000\nB) 101.3885\nC) 113.4057\nD) 97.3828", "options": [ "A) 109.4000", "B) 101.3885", "C) 113.4057", "D) 97.3828" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "109.4000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 122.8546\nB) 118.9300\nC) 115.0054\nD) 126.7793", "options": [ "A) 122.8546", "B) 118.9300", "C) 115.0054", "D) 126.7793" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "118.9300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.33%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 4.12%", "options": [ "A) 7.33%", "B) 6.26%", "C) 5.19%", "D) 4.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.16%", "options": [ "A) 2.41%", "B) 1.79%", "C) 1.91%", "D) 2.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 10.81%\nD) 12.97%", "options": [ "A) 6.49%", "B) 4.33%", "C) 10.81%", "D) 12.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $783M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $783M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$783M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2482\nB) 1.0122\nC) 1.1695\nD) 0.9335", "options": [ "A) 1.2482", "B) 1.0122", "C) 1.1695", "D) 0.9335" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1695", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 4.15%", "options": [ "A) 5.02%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 4.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.24%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 5.70%\nD) 6.44%", "options": [ "A) 4.24%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 5.70%", "D) 6.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) +5.20pp\nB) +2.10pp\nC) +0.55pp\nD) -2.54pp", "options": [ "A) +5.20pp", "B) +2.10pp", "C) +0.55pp", "D) -2.54pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,122B\nB) $8,397B\nC) $8,672B\nD) $9,496B", "options": [ "A) $8,122B", "B) $8,397B", "C) $8,672B", "D) $9,496B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,672B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 2,518K\nB) 2,020K\nC) 2,418K\nD) 2,219K", "options": [ "A) 2,518K", "B) 2,020K", "C) 2,418K", "D) 2,219K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,219K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $15.93/hr\nB) $15.32/hr\nC) $16.84/hr\nD) $17.44/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.93/hr", "B) $15.32/hr", "C) $16.84/hr", "D) $17.44/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.93/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.86%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 5.24%", "options": [ "A) 4.86%", "B) 4.10%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 5.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 2.86%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.57%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.56%", "options": [ "A) 3.78%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 5.34%", "D) 4.56%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 27.76%\nB) 41.76%\nC) -14.26%\nD) 69.77%", "options": [ "A) 27.76%", "B) 41.76%", "C) -14.26%", "D) 69.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 14.48\nB) 11.27\nC) 20.90\nD) 8.06", "options": [ "A) 14.48", "B) 11.27", "C) 20.90", "D) 8.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $15.15/hr\nB) $16.93/hr\nC) $16.04/hr\nD) $14.55/hr", "options": [ "A) $15.15/hr", "B) $16.93/hr", "C) $16.04/hr", "D) $14.55/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16.04/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.16%\nB) 6.53%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 5.27%", "options": [ "A) 7.16%", "B) 6.53%", "C) 5.90%", "D) 5.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.37pp\nD) +0.63pp", "options": [ "A) +0.10pp", "B) -0.70pp", "C) +0.37pp", "D) +0.63pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.36pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) -0.08pp", "options": [ "A) -0.36pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +1.04pp", "D) -0.08pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.55pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) -0.15pp", "options": [ "A) +0.20pp", "B) +0.55pp", "C) -0.50pp", "D) -0.15pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 3.71%", "options": [ "A) 4.29%", "B) 5.45%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 3.71%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 3.69%", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 3.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.87%", "B) 2.12%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.98%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 5.77%\nD) 6.56%", "options": [ "A) 4.98%", "B) 6.95%", "C) 5.77%", "D) 6.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 9.04%\nC) 7.68%\nD) 6.99%", "options": [ "A) 4.95%", "B) 9.04%", "C) 7.68%", "D) 6.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 0.26%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 0.84%", "C) 1.42%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.42%\nB) 14.30%\nC) 13.26%\nD) 12.22%", "options": [ "A) 17.42%", "B) 14.30%", "C) 13.26%", "D) 12.22%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 84.11%\nB) 78.11%\nC) 80.51%\nD) 86.50%", "options": [ "A) 84.11%", "B) 78.11%", "C) 80.51%", "D) 86.50%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.19%", "options": [ "A) 2.69%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.63%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 7.17%", "options": [ "A) 3.37%", "B) 4.63%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 7.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.69pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) +0.87pp", "options": [ "A) -0.69pp", "B) +0.09pp", "C) -1.07pp", "D) +0.87pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.09pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.46%", "options": [ "A) 4.70%", "B) 2.83%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 3.46%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 137,700K\nB) 141,710K\nC) 129,678K\nD) 133,689K", "options": [ "A) 137,700K", "B) 141,710K", "C) 129,678K", "D) 133,689K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "133,689K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 202.50\nB) 194.62\nC) 189.37\nD) 210.38", "options": [ "A) 202.50", "B) 194.62", "C) 189.37", "D) 210.38" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "202.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.97\nB) 81.13\nC) 75.73\nD) 84.37", "options": [ "A) 78.97", "B) 81.13", "C) 75.73", "D) 84.37" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 3.99%", "options": [ "A) 1.03%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 3.00%", "D) 3.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $5,905B\nB) $7,416B\nC) $6,409B\nD) $6,661B", "options": [ "A) $5,905B", "B) $7,416B", "C) $6,409B", "D) $6,661B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,661B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 319,000\nB) 297,487\nC) 275,974\nD) 362,026", "options": [ "A) 319,000", "B) 297,487", "C) 275,974", "D) 362,026" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "319,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 186.89\nB) 196.10\nC) 180.76\nD) 202.24", "options": [ "A) 186.89", "B) 196.10", "C) 180.76", "D) 202.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "196.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 12.05%\nC) 10.69%\nD) 7.98%", "options": [ "A) 6.63%", "B) 12.05%", "C) 10.69%", "D) 7.98%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 7.99%\nC) 4.91%\nD) 6.45%", "options": [ "A) 8.77%", "B) 7.99%", "C) 4.91%", "D) 6.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 82.52%\nD) 77.28%", "options": [ "A) 80.43%", "B) 84.62%", "C) 82.52%", "D) 77.28%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 6.37%\nC) 6.96%\nD) 7.26%", "options": [ "A) 5.78%", "B) 6.37%", "C) 6.96%", "D) 7.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 15.92%\nB) -8.90%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -4.77%", "options": [ "A) 15.92%", "B) -8.90%", "C) 3.51%", "D) -4.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 204.26\nB) 183.51\nC) 198.33\nD) 192.40", "options": [ "A) 204.26", "B) 183.51", "C) 198.33", "D) 192.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "192.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $57,105M\nB) $59,787M\nC) $49,060M\nD) $62,468M", "options": [ "A) $57,105M", "B) $59,787M", "C) $49,060M", "D) $62,468M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$57,105M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 3.32%", "options": [ "A) 5.37%", "B) 3.83%", "C) 2.80%", "D) 3.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $776M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $776M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$776M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) -2.05%\nB) 10.77%\nC) -6.32%\nD) 2.22%", "options": [ "A) -2.05%", "B) 10.77%", "C) -6.32%", "D) 2.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 8.97%\nB) 14.01%\nC) -6.15%\nD) 3.93%", "options": [ "A) 8.97%", "B) 14.01%", "C) -6.15%", "D) 3.93%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 3.19%", "B) 4.09%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.12%\nB) 67.42%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 68.74%", "options": [ "A) 64.12%", "B) 67.42%", "C) 66.10%", "D) 68.74%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.96%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) 10.05%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 8.74%\nD) 7.44%", "options": [ "A) 10.05%", "B) 13.97%", "C) 8.74%", "D) 7.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $7,756B\nB) $8,559B\nC) $9,095B\nD) $8,024B", "options": [ "A) $7,756B", "B) $8,559B", "C) $9,095B", "D) $8,024B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,559B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $10,253B\nB) $8,537B\nC) $9,395B\nD) $9,109B", "options": [ "A) $10,253B", "B) $8,537B", "C) $9,395B", "D) $9,109B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,395B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 188.37\nB) 193.88\nC) 207.67\nD) 199.40", "options": [ "A) 188.37", "B) 193.88", "C) 207.67", "D) 199.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "199.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 5.61%", "options": [ "A) 4.51%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 5.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 3.92%\nD) 6.77%", "options": [ "A) 5.34%", "B) 6.06%", "C) 3.92%", "D) 6.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.87%", "options": [ "A) 1.99%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 5.87%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.18%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) -0.18%", "B) 7.96%", "C) 2.54%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.31%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 3.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.31%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 3.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $-73,401M\nB) $-58,745M\nC) $-68,515M\nD) $-63,630M", "options": [ "A) $-73,401M", "B) $-58,745M", "C) $-68,515M", "D) $-63,630M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-58,745M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.1110\nB) 8.6076\nC) 8.2765\nD) 8.4420", "options": [ "A) 8.1110", "B) 8.6076", "C) 8.2765", "D) 8.4420" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.2765", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 2.91%", "options": [ "A) 0.27%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 5.55%", "D) 2.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 161.08\nC) 154.76\nD) 157.92", "options": [ "A) 151.60", "B) 161.08", "C) 154.76", "D) 157.92" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "151.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 148.50\nB) 179.68\nC) 190.07\nD) 200.46", "options": [ "A) 148.50", "B) 179.68", "C) 190.07", "D) 200.46" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "179.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 3.49%", "B) 2.89%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 366,551\nB) 275,449\nC) 343,776\nD) 321,000", "options": [ "A) 366,551", "B) 275,449", "C) 343,776", "D) 321,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "321,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,186.74\nB) 2,016.70\nC) 1,676.63\nD) 2,526.81", "options": [ "A) 2,186.74", "B) 2,016.70", "C) 1,676.63", "D) 2,526.81" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,186.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $-69,571M\nB) $-56,040M\nC) $-65,060M\nD) $-47,020M", "options": [ "A) $-69,571M", "B) $-56,040M", "C) $-65,060M", "D) $-47,020M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-56,040M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) $7,556B\nB) $7,275B\nC) $6,714B\nD) $6,433B", "options": [ "A) $7,556B", "B) $7,275B", "C) $6,714B", "D) $6,433B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,714B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,931K\nB) 2,306K\nC) 2,119K\nD) 2,025K", "options": [ "A) 1,931K", "B) 2,306K", "C) 2,119K", "D) 2,025K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,025K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 2.45%", "options": [ "A) 3.04%", "B) 2.74%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.41%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 2.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 169.43\nB) 153.66\nC) 157.60\nD) 145.77", "options": [ "A) 169.43", "B) 153.66", "C) 157.60", "D) 145.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "157.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,989K\nB) 2,374K\nC) 1,892K\nD) 2,085K", "options": [ "A) 1,989K", "B) 2,374K", "C) 1,892K", "D) 2,085K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,085K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) $47.30/bbl\nB) $50.87/bbl\nC) $43.73/bbl\nD) $40.17/bbl", "options": [ "A) $47.30/bbl", "B) $50.87/bbl", "C) $43.73/bbl", "D) $40.17/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$47.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 5.99%\nC) 9.40%\nD) 7.13%", "options": [ "A) 4.85%", "B) 5.99%", "C) 9.40%", "D) 7.13%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 1.89%", "options": [ "A) 1.64%", "B) 1.39%", "C) 2.13%", "D) 1.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 61.01%\nB) 66.05%\nC) 64.16%\nD) 62.90%", "options": [ "A) 61.01%", "B) 66.05%", "C) 64.16%", "D) 62.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.52%", "options": [ "A) 2.62%", "B) 3.36%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 10.27%\nB) 14.08%\nC) 17.90%\nD) 16.63%", "options": [ "A) 10.27%", "B) 14.08%", "C) 17.90%", "D) 16.63%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) +1.43pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +2.89pp\nD) +4.36pp", "options": [ "A) +1.43pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) +2.89pp", "D) +4.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.89pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) +12.19pp\nB) -8.46pp\nC) +7.03pp\nD) -3.30pp", "options": [ "A) +12.19pp", "B) -8.46pp", "C) +7.03pp", "D) -3.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +1.30pp\nD) +1.03pp", "options": [ "A) +0.50pp", "B) +0.23pp", "C) +1.30pp", "D) +1.03pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) -6.80pp\nC) -22.17pp\nD) -17.05pp", "options": [ "A) +3.45pp", "B) -6.80pp", "C) -22.17pp", "D) -17.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 4.21%\nD) 5.46%", "options": [ "A) 2.97%", "B) 7.96%", "C) 4.21%", "D) 5.46%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.27%\nD) 4.00%", "options": [ "A) 6.20%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 3.27%", "D) 4.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 14.64%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 22.51%", "options": [ "A) 14.64%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 2.83%", "D) 22.51%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 21.57%\nC) -10.54%\nD) 37.63%", "options": [ "A) 5.51%", "B) 21.57%", "C) -10.54%", "D) 37.63%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 5.82%", "options": [ "A) 2.55%", "B) 4.19%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 5.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 150.90\nB) 164.50\nC) 147.50\nD) 154.30", "options": [ "A) 150.90", "B) 164.50", "C) 147.50", "D) 154.30" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "154.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) $6,901B\nB) $6,599B\nC) $6,297B\nD) $7,203B", "options": [ "A) $6,901B", "B) $6,599B", "C) $6,297B", "D) $7,203B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,901B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) -28.88%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 56.08%\nD) 22.10%", "options": [ "A) -28.88%", "B) 5.10%", "C) 56.08%", "D) 22.10%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $64,970M\nB) $67,278M\nC) $60,352M\nD) $53,426M", "options": [ "A) $64,970M", "B) $67,278M", "C) $60,352M", "D) $53,426M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$60,352M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 14.97%\nB) 13.05%\nC) 15.93%\nD) 14.01%", "options": [ "A) 14.97%", "B) 13.05%", "C) 15.93%", "D) 14.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 107.0200\nB) 102.9716\nC) 111.0684\nD) 94.8749", "options": [ "A) 107.0200", "B) 102.9716", "C) 111.0684", "D) 94.8749" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.0200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.20%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 9.35%", "options": [ "A) 8.20%", "B) 7.04%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 9.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) 247,120\nB) 288,373\nC) 309,000\nD) 350,253", "options": [ "A) 247,120", "B) 288,373", "C) 309,000", "D) 350,253" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "309,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.54pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -1.22pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": [ "A) -0.54pp", "B) +0.48pp", "C) -1.22pp", "D) -0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 5.04%\nD) 4.06%", "options": [ "A) 4.45%", "B) 4.84%", "C) 5.04%", "D) 4.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) -25.32%\nB) 20.70%\nC) 36.04%\nD) 51.38%", "options": [ "A) -25.32%", "B) 20.70%", "C) 36.04%", "D) 51.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 208.57\nB) 202.58\nC) 193.60\nD) 187.61", "options": [ "A) 208.57", "B) 202.58", "C) 193.60", "D) 187.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "193.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 101.40\nB) 93.68\nC) 99.47\nD) 96.58", "options": [ "A) 101.40", "B) 93.68", "C) 99.47", "D) 96.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.84%\nB) 6.73%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 11.20%", "options": [ "A) 7.84%", "B) 6.73%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 11.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.30\nB) 94.10\nC) 98.17\nD) 85.97", "options": [ "A) 106.30", "B) 94.10", "C) 98.17", "D) 85.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,167B\nB) $7,255B\nC) $6,439B\nD) $5,623B", "options": [ "A) $6,167B", "B) $7,255B", "C) $6,439B", "D) $5,623B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,439B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 88.16\nB) 85.84\nC) 78.91\nD) 82.38", "options": [ "A) 88.16", "B) 85.84", "C) 78.91", "D) 82.38" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "82.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) 8.84%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 4.53%", "options": [ "A) 6.69%", "B) 8.84%", "C) 13.16%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,328.08\nB) 1,994.43\nC) 1,660.78\nD) 1,327.13", "options": [ "A) 2,328.08", "B) 1,994.43", "C) 1,660.78", "D) 1,327.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,994.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 16.31%\nC) 45.45%\nD) 30.88%", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 16.31%", "C) 45.45%", "D) 30.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $350,676M\nB) $299,940M\nC) $308,396M\nD) $325,308M", "options": [ "A) $350,676M", "B) $299,940M", "C) $308,396M", "D) $325,308M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$325,308M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 17.08%\nD) -2.02%", "options": [ "A) 7.53%", "B) 13.90%", "C) 17.08%", "D) -2.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.67%\nD) 5.46%", "options": [ "A) 6.25%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 4.67%", "D) 5.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,252B\nB) $9,558B\nC) $8,946B\nD) $8,029B", "options": [ "A) $9,252B", "B) $9,558B", "C) $8,946B", "D) $8,029B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,946B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.61%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) 5.07%", "C) 4.34%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 38.40%\nB) -18.07%\nC) 57.22%\nD) 19.58%", "options": [ "A) 38.40%", "B) -18.07%", "C) 57.22%", "D) 19.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "38.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.76pp\nB) +0.50pp\nC) +1.02pp\nD) -0.02pp", "options": [ "A) +0.76pp", "B) +0.50pp", "C) +1.02pp", "D) -0.02pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 51.20%\nB) -25.07%\nC) 20.69%\nD) -9.81%", "options": [ "A) 51.20%", "B) -25.07%", "C) 20.69%", "D) -9.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 2.30%\nC) -0.13%\nD) 1.69%", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 2.30%", "C) -0.13%", "D) 1.69%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 20.48%\nB) 12.51%\nC) 28.46%\nD) 24.47%", "options": [ "A) 20.48%", "B) 12.51%", "C) 28.46%", "D) 24.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 6.14%", "options": [ "A) 4.77%", "B) 5.80%", "C) 6.83%", "D) 6.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.87%\nD) 2.49%", "options": [ "A) 4.01%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 2.87%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 27.37%\nC) 17.42%\nD) 12.44%", "options": [ "A) 2.49%", "B) 27.37%", "C) 17.42%", "D) 12.44%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) $6,547B\nB) $6,285B\nC) $6,809B\nD) $5,761B", "options": [ "A) $6,547B", "B) $6,285B", "C) $6,809B", "D) $5,761B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,547B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 4.90%", "options": [ "A) 4.50%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 5.10%", "D) 4.90%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $-45,221M\nB) $-62,385M\nC) $-58,094M\nD) $-70,967M", "options": [ "A) $-45,221M", "B) $-62,385M", "C) $-58,094M", "D) $-70,967M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-58,094M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.08pp\nB) +0.29pp\nC) +0.02pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": [ "A) -0.08pp", "B) +0.29pp", "C) +0.02pp", "D) +0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.2630\nB) 1.5015\nC) 1.1835\nD) 1.3425", "options": [ "A) 1.2630", "B) 1.5015", "C) 1.1835", "D) 1.3425" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2630", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 66.00%\nC) 67.98%\nD) 64.02%", "options": [ "A) 69.96%", "B) 66.00%", "C) 67.98%", "D) 64.02%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 211.78\nB) 193.09\nC) 201.10\nD) 206.44", "options": [ "A) 211.78", "B) 193.09", "C) 201.10", "D) 206.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "201.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $17.15/hr\nB) $15.16/hr\nC) $15.73/hr\nD) $16.30/hr", "options": [ "A) $17.15/hr", "B) $15.16/hr", "C) $15.73/hr", "D) $16.30/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16.30/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $16.17/hr\nB) $17.03/hr\nC) $14.73/hr\nD) $15.31/hr", "options": [ "A) $16.17/hr", "B) $17.03/hr", "C) $14.73/hr", "D) $15.31/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$16.17/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 0.85%", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 3.59%", "D) 0.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.72%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 1.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.72%", "B) 4.07%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 1.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 99.77\nB) 94.72\nC) 101.78\nD) 96.74", "options": [ "A) 99.77", "B) 94.72", "C) 101.78", "D) 96.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) +1.10pp\nB) -3.57pp\nC) -0.46pp\nD) +5.77pp", "options": [ "A) +1.10pp", "B) -3.57pp", "C) -0.46pp", "D) +5.77pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 10.38%\nB) 8.12%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 5.87%", "options": [ "A) 10.38%", "B) 8.12%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 5.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.56%", "options": [ "A) 3.98%", "B) 3.68%", "C) 4.27%", "D) 4.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.59%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 5.94%", "options": [ "A) 6.59%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 3.99%", "D) 5.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 4.23%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 4.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 89.10\nC) 95.50\nD) 79.50", "options": [ "A) 98.70", "B) 89.10", "C) 95.50", "D) 79.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "89.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 2,383K\nB) 1,999K\nC) 2,095K\nD) 1,903K", "options": [ "A) 2,383K", "B) 1,999K", "C) 2,095K", "D) 1,903K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,095K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,944,565\nB) 3,501,694\nC) 3,223,130\nD) 2,666,000", "options": [ "A) 2,944,565", "B) 3,501,694", "C) 3,223,130", "D) 2,666,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,666,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 5.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.47%", "B) 6.07%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 2,438K\nB) 2,147K\nC) 1,856K\nD) 2,341K", "options": [ "A) 2,438K", "B) 2,147K", "C) 1,856K", "D) 2,341K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,147K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $214,687M\nB) $208,642M\nC) $220,733M\nD) $232,824M", "options": [ "A) $214,687M", "B) $208,642M", "C) $220,733M", "D) $232,824M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$220,733M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 21.22%\nC) 26.27%\nD) 16.17%", "options": [ "A) 1.03%", "B) 21.22%", "C) 26.27%", "D) 16.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 82.00\nB) 87.02\nC) 79.99\nD) 85.01", "options": [ "A) 82.00", "B) 87.02", "C) 79.99", "D) 85.01" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.45%\nB) -3.02%\nC) -12.49%\nD) -6.18%", "options": [ "A) 6.45%", "B) -3.02%", "C) -12.49%", "D) -6.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,748B\nB) $7,285B\nC) $6,479B\nD) $7,016B", "options": [ "A) $6,748B", "B) $7,285B", "C) $6,479B", "D) $7,016B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,479B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.13%", "options": [ "A) 3.11%", "B) 4.81%", "C) 4.47%", "D) 4.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2,207K\nB) 2,385K\nC) 2,118K\nD) 2,296K", "options": [ "A) 2,207K", "B) 2,385K", "C) 2,118K", "D) 2,296K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,207K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.35%\nC) -0.69%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 4.70%", "B) 3.35%", "C) -0.69%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.48%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 4.35%", "options": [ "A) 5.48%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.10%", "D) 4.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 2.51%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $794M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $794M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$794M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 40.96%\nB) 55.11%\nC) 97.53%\nD) 26.82%", "options": [ "A) 40.96%", "B) 55.11%", "C) 97.53%", "D) 26.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "55.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.85pp\nB) -0.37pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +1.41pp", "options": [ "A) +1.85pp", "B) -0.37pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +1.41pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.94%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 7.67%\nD) 5.11%", "options": [ "A) 8.94%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 7.67%", "D) 5.11%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) $57.05/bbl\nB) $74.97/bbl\nC) $68.99/bbl\nD) $39.13/bbl", "options": [ "A) $57.05/bbl", "B) $74.97/bbl", "C) $68.99/bbl", "D) $39.13/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$57.05/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 10.82%\nB) 14.37%\nC) 16.75%\nD) 13.19%", "options": [ "A) 10.82%", "B) 14.37%", "C) 16.75%", "D) 13.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,684B\nB) $10,435B\nC) $9,560B\nD) $9,852B", "options": [ "A) $8,684B", "B) $10,435B", "C) $9,560B", "D) $9,852B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,560B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $305,667M\nB) $365,543M\nC) $355,563M\nD) $335,605M", "options": [ "A) $305,667M", "B) $365,543M", "C) $355,563M", "D) $335,605M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$335,605M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 163.70\nB) 168.34\nC) 159.06\nD) 177.62", "options": [ "A) 163.70", "B) 168.34", "C) 159.06", "D) 177.62" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "163.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 90.78\nB) 81.60\nC) 78.54\nD) 87.72", "options": [ "A) 90.78", "B) 81.60", "C) 78.54", "D) 87.72" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 92.37\nB) 94.96\nC) 97.54\nD) 100.13", "options": [ "A) 92.37", "B) 94.96", "C) 97.54", "D) 100.13" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.59\nB) 103.17\nC) 100.78\nD) 97.18", "options": [ "A) 93.59", "B) 103.17", "C) 100.78", "D) 97.18" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 83.13\nB) 80.67\nC) 88.05\nD) 85.59", "options": [ "A) 83.13", "B) 80.67", "C) 88.05", "D) 85.59" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "83.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-08.)\n\nA) 58.26%\nB) 0.22%\nC) -57.83%\nD) 19.56%", "options": [ "A) 58.26%", "B) 0.22%", "C) -57.83%", "D) 19.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.46pp\nB) +0.31pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.75pp", "options": [ "A) -1.46pp", "B) +0.31pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.75pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 2.50%", "options": [ "A) 5.57%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 1.48%", "D) 2.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.18%\nB) 2.74%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 4.37%", "options": [ "A) 5.18%", "B) 2.74%", "C) 5.99%", "D) 4.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) 3,407,938\nB) 2,760,000\nC) 2,112,062\nD) 3,191,958", "options": [ "A) 3,407,938", "B) 2,760,000", "C) 2,112,062", "D) 3,191,958" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,760,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) 79.32\nB) 98.27\nC) 86.90\nD) 94.48", "options": [ "A) 79.32", "B) 98.27", "C) 86.90", "D) 94.48" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "86.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 1.88%", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 1.88%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.61%", "options": [ "A) 2.94%", "B) 3.60%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.6922\nB) 8.0971\nC) 7.8542\nD) 8.3400", "options": [ "A) 7.6922", "B) 8.0971", "C) 7.8542", "D) 8.3400" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.0971", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) $5,798B\nB) $7,095B\nC) $6,576B\nD) $6,057B", "options": [ "A) $5,798B", "B) $7,095B", "C) $6,576B", "D) $6,057B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,576B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 34.99%\nB) -8.15%\nC) 49.37%\nD) 20.61%", "options": [ "A) 34.99%", "B) -8.15%", "C) 49.37%", "D) 20.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 5.31%", "options": [ "A) 4.01%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 2.06%", "D) 5.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.85pp\nB) +2.15pp\nC) +0.65pp\nD) -2.36pp", "options": [ "A) -0.85pp", "B) +2.15pp", "C) +0.65pp", "D) -2.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.15pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,680B\nB) $9,395B\nC) $9,110B\nD) $8,824B", "options": [ "A) $9,680B", "B) $9,395B", "C) $9,110B", "D) $8,824B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,110B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 4.76%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.62%", "options": [ "A) 6.48%", "B) 4.76%", "C) 6.05%", "D) 5.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +1.43pp\nC) -0.64pp\nD) +0.60pp", "options": [ "A) +0.19pp", "B) +1.43pp", "C) -0.64pp", "D) +0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.19pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.18%\nD) 6.57%", "options": [ "A) 4.23%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 6.18%", "D) 6.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.21pp", "options": [ "A) +0.31pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.00pp", "D) +0.21pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20051115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-08.)\n\nA) 15.81\nB) 5.07\nC) 22.98\nD) 12.23", "options": [ "A) 15.81", "B) 5.07", "C) 22.98", "D) 12.23" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 5.86%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 3.03%", "options": [ "A) 3.97%", "B) 5.86%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 3.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.86%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 1.73%", "options": [ "A) 3.86%", "B) 2.80%", "C) 2.44%", "D) 1.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 60.53%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%", "options": [ "A) 60.53%", "B) 64.27%", "C) 62.40%", "D) 65.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.54%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 3.65%", "options": [ "A) 2.54%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.52%\nB) 77.21%\nC) 86.03%\nD) 83.82%", "options": [ "A) 80.52%", "B) 77.21%", "C) 86.03%", "D) 83.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-01.)\n\nA) 32.00%\nB) 19.56%\nC) 11.26%\nD) 27.85%", "options": [ "A) 32.00%", "B) 19.56%", "C) 11.26%", "D) 27.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20051101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-01.)\n\nA) 128,247K\nB) 132,297K\nC) 134,997K\nD) 139,047K", "options": [ "A) 128,247K", "B) 132,297K", "C) 134,997K", "D) 139,047K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "134,997K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $84.57/bbl\nB) $79.68/bbl\nC) $65.02/bbl\nD) $69.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $84.57/bbl", "B) $79.68/bbl", "C) $65.02/bbl", "D) $69.91/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $84.57/bbl\nB) $79.68/bbl\nC) $65.02/bbl\nD) $69.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $84.57/bbl", "B) $79.68/bbl", "C) $65.02/bbl", "D) $69.91/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $69.91/bbl\nB) $65.02/bbl\nC) $74.80/bbl\nD) $84.57/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $69.91/bbl", "B) $65.02/bbl", "C) $74.80/bbl", "D) $84.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $69.91/bbl\nB) $65.02/bbl\nC) $74.80/bbl\nD) $84.57/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $69.91/bbl", "B) $65.02/bbl", "C) $74.80/bbl", "D) $84.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $74.80/bbl\nB) $69.91/bbl\nC) $84.57/bbl\nD) $60.14/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $74.80/bbl", "B) $69.91/bbl", "C) $84.57/bbl", "D) $60.14/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $74.80/bbl\nB) $69.91/bbl\nC) $84.57/bbl\nD) $60.14/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $74.80/bbl", "B) $69.91/bbl", "C) $84.57/bbl", "D) $60.14/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $79.68/bbl\nB) $65.02/bbl\nC) $69.91/bbl\nD) $84.57/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $79.68/bbl", "B) $65.02/bbl", "C) $69.91/bbl", "D) $84.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $79.68/bbl\nB) $65.02/bbl\nC) $69.91/bbl\nD) $84.57/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $79.68/bbl", "B) $65.02/bbl", "C) $69.91/bbl", "D) $84.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $55.25/bbl\nB) $84.57/bbl\nC) $60.14/bbl\nD) $69.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $55.25/bbl", "B) $84.57/bbl", "C) $60.14/bbl", "D) $69.91/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $55.25/bbl\nB) $84.57/bbl\nC) $60.14/bbl\nD) $69.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $55.25/bbl", "B) $84.57/bbl", "C) $60.14/bbl", "D) $69.91/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $69.91/bbl\nB) $84.57/bbl\nC) $60.14/bbl\nD) $79.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $69.91/bbl", "B) $84.57/bbl", "C) $60.14/bbl", "D) $79.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $69.91/bbl\nB) $84.57/bbl\nC) $60.14/bbl\nD) $79.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $69.91/bbl", "B) $84.57/bbl", "C) $60.14/bbl", "D) $79.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$69.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $51.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $51.81/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $51.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $51.81/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $51.81/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $51.81/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $51.81/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $51.81/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $76.79/bbl\nC) $71.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $76.79/bbl", "C) $71.80/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $76.79/bbl\nC) $71.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $76.79/bbl", "C) $71.80/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $51.81/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $51.81/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $51.81/bbl\nD) $81.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $71.80/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $51.81/bbl", "D) $81.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $51.81/bbl\nD) $81.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $71.80/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $51.81/bbl", "D) $81.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 10.14\nB) 15.06\nC) 8.91\nD) 12.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 10.14", "B) 15.06", "C) 8.91", "D) 12.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 10.14\nB) 15.06\nC) 8.91\nD) 12.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 10.14", "B) 15.06", "C) 8.91", "D) 12.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 10.42\nC) 14.11\nD) 15.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 11.65", "B) 10.42", "C) 14.11", "D) 15.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 10.42\nC) 14.11\nD) 15.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 11.65", "B) 10.42", "C) 14.11", "D) 15.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.76\nB) 11.22\nC) 14.91\nD) 12.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.76", "B) 11.22", "C) 14.91", "D) 12.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.76\nB) 11.22\nC) 14.91\nD) 12.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.76", "B) 11.22", "C) 14.91", "D) 12.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.76\nB) 12.45\nC) 11.22\nD) 9.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.76", "B) 12.45", "C) 11.22", "D) 9.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.76\nB) 12.45\nC) 11.22\nD) 9.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.76", "B) 12.45", "C) 11.22", "D) 9.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.14\nB) 11.83\nC) 14.29\nD) 10.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.14", "B) 11.83", "C) 14.29", "D) 10.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 8.14\nB) 11.83\nC) 14.29\nD) 10.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 8.14", "B) 11.83", "C) 14.29", "D) 10.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 10.27\nB) 9.04\nC) 6.58\nD) 11.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 10.27", "B) 9.04", "C) 6.58", "D) 11.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 10.27\nB) 9.04\nC) 6.58\nD) 11.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 10.27", "B) 9.04", "C) 6.58", "D) 11.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,276.23\nB) 2,129.76\nC) 2,080.94\nD) 2,178.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,276.23", "B) 2,129.76", "C) 2,080.94", "D) 2,178.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,129.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,276.23\nB) 2,129.76\nC) 2,080.94\nD) 2,178.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,276.23", "B) 2,129.76", "C) 2,080.94", "D) 2,178.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,129.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 1,983.29\nB) 2,227.40\nC) 2,129.76\nD) 2,276.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 1,983.29", "B) 2,227.40", "C) 2,129.76", "D) 2,276.23" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,129.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 1,983.29\nB) 2,227.40\nC) 2,129.76\nD) 2,276.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 1,983.29", "B) 2,227.40", "C) 2,129.76", "D) 2,276.23" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,129.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,009.00\nB) 1,960.17\nC) 2,253.11\nD) 2,106.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,009.00", "B) 1,960.17", "C) 2,253.11", "D) 2,106.64" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,106.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,009.00\nB) 1,960.17\nC) 2,253.11\nD) 2,106.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,009.00", "B) 1,960.17", "C) 2,253.11", "D) 2,106.64" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,106.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,037.47\nB) 2,183.94\nC) 1,939.83\nD) 1,988.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,037.47", "B) 2,183.94", "C) 1,939.83", "D) 1,988.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,037.47\nB) 2,183.94\nC) 1,939.83\nD) 1,988.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,037.47", "B) 2,183.94", "C) 1,939.83", "D) 1,988.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 1,891.00\nB) 2,037.47\nC) 1,988.65\nD) 2,183.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 1,891.00", "B) 2,037.47", "C) 1,988.65", "D) 2,183.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 1,891.00\nB) 2,037.47\nC) 1,988.65\nD) 2,183.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 1,891.00", "B) 2,037.47", "C) 1,988.65", "D) 2,183.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,135.11\nB) 1,891.00\nC) 2,037.47\nD) 2,183.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,135.11", "B) 1,891.00", "C) 2,037.47", "D) 2,183.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,135.11\nB) 1,891.00\nC) 2,037.47\nD) 2,183.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": [ "A) 2,135.11", "B) 1,891.00", "C) 2,037.47", "D) 2,183.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,037.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-02-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-02-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 2.63%", "options": [ "A) 4.68%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 2.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-03-22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-19", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-03-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-19.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 1.80%\nD) 0.82%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 3.78%", "C) 1.80%", "D) 0.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-05-03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "June 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-05-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-30.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 1.12%", "options": [ "A) 4.96%", "B) 3.04%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-06-30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-27", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-06-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-27.)\n\nA) 5.94%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 5.05%", "options": [ "A) 5.94%", "B) 2.37%", "C) 3.26%", "D) 5.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-08-09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-08-09, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 1.98%", "B) 2.80%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-09-20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-17", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-09-20, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 2.23%", "options": [ "A) 3.78%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 3.00%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-11-01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-29", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-11-01, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 4.89%", "options": [ "A) 3.43%", "B) 4.16%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 4.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2005-12-13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2006", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-10", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2005-12-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-10.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 2.35%", "options": [ "A) 5.58%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 2.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200501", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2005 (released around 2005-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-28.)\n\nA) -95K\nB) 315K\nC) -13K\nD) 151K", "options": [ "A) -95K", "B) 315K", "C) -13K", "D) 151K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "151K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200502", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2005 (released around 2005-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-25.)\n\nA) 253K\nB) 502K\nC) 87K\nD) 336K", "options": [ "A) 253K", "B) 502K", "C) 87K", "D) 336K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "253K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200503", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2005 (released around 2005-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-25.)\n\nA) 275K\nB) 120K\nC) -35K\nD) 353K", "options": [ "A) 275K", "B) 120K", "C) -35K", "D) 353K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "120K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200504", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2005 (released around 2005-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-29.)\n\nA) 524K\nB) 445K\nC) 366K\nD) 603K", "options": [ "A) 524K", "B) 445K", "C) 366K", "D) 603K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "366K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200505", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2005 (released around 2005-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-27.)\n\nA) 248K\nB) 12K\nC) 326K\nD) 169K", "options": [ "A) 248K", "B) 12K", "C) 326K", "D) 169K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "169K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2005 (released around 2005-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-24.)\n\nA) 259K\nB) 19K\nC) 419K\nD) 339K", "options": [ "A) 259K", "B) 19K", "C) 419K", "D) 339K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "259K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2005 (released around 2005-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-29.)\n\nA) 598K\nB) 352K\nC) 434K\nD) 106K", "options": [ "A) 598K", "B) 352K", "C) 434K", "D) 106K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "352K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200508", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2005 (released around 2005-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 285K\nB) -46K\nC) 202K\nD) 119K", "options": [ "A) 285K", "B) -46K", "C) 202K", "D) 119K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "202K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200509", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2005 (released around 2005-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-30.)\n\nA) 215K\nB) -115K\nC) 133K\nD) 50K", "options": [ "A) 215K", "B) -115K", "C) 133K", "D) 50K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "50K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200510", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2005 (released around 2005-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-28.)\n\nA) 89K\nB) 6K\nC) 337K\nD) 172K", "options": [ "A) 89K", "B) 6K", "C) 337K", "D) 172K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "89K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2005 (released around 2005-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-25.)\n\nA) 441K\nB) 356K\nC) 187K\nD) 102K", "options": [ "A) 441K", "B) 356K", "C) 187K", "D) 102K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "356K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-200512", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2005 (released around 2006-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-30.)\n\nA) 416K\nB) -7K\nC) 162K\nD) 331K", "options": [ "A) 416K", "B) -7K", "C) 162K", "D) 331K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "162K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200501", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2005 (released around 2005-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.84%", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.84%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200503", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2005 (released around 2005-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 4.36%", "options": [ "A) 3.21%", "B) 3.59%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 4.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200504", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2005 (released around 2005-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.51%", "B) 3.36%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2005 (released around 2005-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-06.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 1.43%", "options": [ "A) 2.91%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 2.54%", "D) 1.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2005 (released around 2005-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-06.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) 3.44%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200509", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2005 (released around 2005-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 5.56%\nD) 3.52%", "options": [ "A) 4.74%", "B) 3.93%", "C) 5.56%", "D) 3.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200510", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2005 (released around 2005-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.16%", "options": [ "A) 3.94%", "B) 4.35%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 5.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-200512", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2005", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2005 (released around 2006-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-06.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 4.57%", "B) 4.16%", "C) 3.34%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2005q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2005 (advance estimate released around 2005-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-14.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 4.57%\nD) 3.91%", "options": [ "A) 5.89%", "B) 3.25%", "C) 4.57%", "D) 3.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2005q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2005 (advance estimate released around 2005-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-14.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 1.67%", "options": [ "A) 3.62%", "B) 2.97%", "C) 4.92%", "D) 1.67%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2005q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2005 (advance estimate released around 2005-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-14.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.45%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 1.50%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 3.45%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 1.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2005q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2005", "info_cutoff": "2006-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2005 (advance estimate released around 2006-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2006-02-14.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 1.67%", "B) 4.28%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-31.)\n\nA) 16.65\nB) 6.42\nC) 21.76\nD) 14.09", "options": [ "A) 16.65", "B) 6.42", "C) 21.76", "D) 14.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-07.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 5.59\nC) 15.78\nD) 10.68", "options": [ "A) 13.23", "B) 5.59", "C) 15.78", "D) 10.68" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-14.)\n\nA) 16.91\nB) 14.36\nC) 19.45\nD) 11.81", "options": [ "A) 16.91", "B) 14.36", "C) 19.45", "D) 11.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.36", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-28.)\n\nA) 20.21\nB) 10.36\nC) 12.82\nD) 17.74", "options": [ "A) 20.21", "B) 10.36", "C) 12.82", "D) 17.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.82", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-04.)\n\nA) 9.61\nB) 16.78\nC) 14.39\nD) 12.00", "options": [ "A) 9.61", "B) 16.78", "C) 14.39", "D) 12.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-11.)\n\nA) 11.77\nB) 18.61\nC) 9.49\nD) 16.33", "options": [ "A) 11.77", "B) 18.61", "C) 9.49", "D) 16.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-25.)\n\nA) 15.04\nB) 12.93\nC) 8.72\nD) 6.61", "options": [ "A) 15.04", "B) 12.93", "C) 8.72", "D) 6.61" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-04.)\n\nA) 14.81\nB) 16.82\nC) 12.80\nD) 8.78", "options": [ "A) 14.81", "B) 16.82", "C) 12.80", "D) 8.78" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-11.)\n\nA) 11.60\nB) 15.38\nC) 9.72\nD) 13.49", "options": [ "A) 11.60", "B) 15.38", "C) 9.72", "D) 13.49" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-25.)\n\nA) 14.49\nB) 11.23\nC) 12.86\nD) 17.75", "options": [ "A) 14.49", "B) 11.23", "C) 12.86", "D) 17.75" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-01.)\n\nA) 15.64\nB) 14.11\nC) 9.52\nD) 11.05", "options": [ "A) 15.64", "B) 14.11", "C) 9.52", "D) 11.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-08.)\n\nA) 20.59\nB) 19.16\nC) 17.74\nD) 14.89", "options": [ "A) 20.59", "B) 19.16", "C) 17.74", "D) 14.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-29.)\n\nA) 16.46\nB) 19.13\nC) 17.79\nD) 15.12", "options": [ "A) 16.46", "B) 19.13", "C) 17.79", "D) 15.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) 16.32\nB) 20.27\nC) 18.95\nD) 13.69", "options": [ "A) 16.32", "B) 20.27", "C) 18.95", "D) 13.69" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-13.)\n\nA) 14.38\nB) 15.68\nC) 11.77\nD) 16.98", "options": [ "A) 14.38", "B) 15.68", "C) 11.77", "D) 16.98" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-27.)\n\nA) 9.42\nB) 14.58\nC) 13.29\nD) 10.71", "options": [ "A) 9.42", "B) 14.58", "C) 13.29", "D) 10.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-03.)\n\nA) 13.98\nB) 15.27\nC) 10.13\nD) 12.70", "options": [ "A) 13.98", "B) 15.27", "C) 10.13", "D) 12.70" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-10.)\n\nA) 11.79\nB) 10.52\nC) 13.06\nD) 9.25", "options": [ "A) 11.79", "B) 10.52", "C) 13.06", "D) 9.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-24.)\n\nA) 9.99\nB) 12.52\nC) 15.05\nD) 16.32", "options": [ "A) 9.99", "B) 12.52", "C) 15.05", "D) 16.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 16.29\nB) 15.02\nC) 12.49\nD) 11.22", "options": [ "A) 16.29", "B) 15.02", "C) 12.49", "D) 11.22" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-08.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 7.49\nC) 10.02\nD) 11.28", "options": [ "A) 15.07", "B) 7.49", "C) 10.02", "D) 11.28" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-29.)\n\nA) 12.52\nB) 15.09\nC) 16.38\nD) 9.95", "options": [ "A) 12.52", "B) 15.09", "C) 16.38", "D) 9.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-05.)\n\nA) 17.01\nB) 13.21\nC) 11.94\nD) 9.41", "options": [ "A) 17.01", "B) 13.21", "C) 11.94", "D) 9.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-12.)\n\nA) 16.02\nB) 17.28\nC) 13.52\nD) 14.77", "options": [ "A) 16.02", "B) 17.28", "C) 13.52", "D) 14.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.42\nB) 11.18\nC) 16.12\nD) 13.65", "options": [ "A) 12.42", "B) 11.18", "C) 16.12", "D) 13.65" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-02.)\n\nA) 12.93\nB) 15.38\nC) 10.48\nD) 11.71", "options": [ "A) 12.93", "B) 15.38", "C) 10.48", "D) 11.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20050916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-09.)\n\nA) 10.48\nB) 12.91\nC) 15.34\nD) 11.69", "options": [ "A) 10.48", "B) 12.91", "C) 15.34", "D) 11.69" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-30.)\n\nA) 12.67\nB) 17.25\nC) 14.96\nD) 13.81", "options": [ "A) 12.67", "B) 17.25", "C) 14.96", "D) 13.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-07.)\n\nA) 13.12\nB) 19.82\nC) 17.59\nD) 16.47", "options": [ "A) 13.12", "B) 19.82", "C) 17.59", "D) 16.47" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-14.)\n\nA) 16.13\nB) 19.44\nC) 18.33\nD) 12.82", "options": [ "A) 16.13", "B) 19.44", "C) 18.33", "D) 12.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-28.)\n\nA) 12.06\nB) 15.32\nC) 16.41\nD) 17.49", "options": [ "A) 12.06", "B) 15.32", "C) 16.41", "D) 17.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-04.)\n\nA) 16.35\nB) 12.02\nC) 13.10\nD) 10.93", "options": [ "A) 16.35", "B) 12.02", "C) 13.10", "D) 10.93" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-11.)\n\nA) 13.34\nB) 10.10\nC) 15.50\nD) 12.26", "options": [ "A) 13.34", "B) 10.10", "C) 15.50", "D) 12.26" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-25.)\n\nA) 12.06\nB) 9.91\nC) 10.99\nD) 8.84", "options": [ "A) 12.06", "B) 9.91", "C) 10.99", "D) 8.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-02.)\n\nA) 14.36\nB) 12.21\nC) 10.06\nD) 8.98", "options": [ "A) 14.36", "B) 12.21", "C) 10.06", "D) 8.98" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20051216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2005-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-09.)\n\nA) 9.32\nB) 8.24\nC) 11.47\nD) 13.62", "options": [ "A) 9.32", "B) 8.24", "C) 11.47", "D) 13.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2004-12-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-31.)\n\nA) -0.33%\nB) -4.26%\nC) -6.88%\nD) -2.95%", "options": [ "A) -0.33%", "B) -4.26%", "C) -6.88%", "D) -2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-07.)\n\nA) -0.44%\nB) -1.74%\nC) 0.87%\nD) -3.05%", "options": [ "A) -0.44%", "B) -1.74%", "C) 0.87%", "D) -3.05%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-14.)\n\nA) -4.71%\nB) -3.41%\nC) -2.10%\nD) -6.02%", "options": [ "A) -4.71%", "B) -3.41%", "C) -2.10%", "D) -6.02%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-28.)\n\nA) -2.71%\nB) -0.12%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.47%", "options": [ "A) -2.71%", "B) -0.12%", "C) 1.18%", "D) 2.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-04.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -2.81%\nD) -0.26%", "options": [ "A) 2.30%", "B) -4.09%", "C) -2.81%", "D) -0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-11.)\n\nA) -1.17%\nB) 1.38%\nC) -4.98%\nD) -3.71%", "options": [ "A) -1.17%", "B) 1.38%", "C) -4.98%", "D) -3.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-02-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-25.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 0.92%\nC) -0.34%\nD) -2.87%", "options": [ "A) 4.71%", "B) 0.92%", "C) -0.34%", "D) -2.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-04.)\n\nA) -3.58%\nB) -6.09%\nC) -2.33%\nD) -1.07%", "options": [ "A) -3.58%", "B) -6.09%", "C) -2.33%", "D) -1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-11.)\n\nA) 0.36%\nB) -0.87%\nC) -3.35%\nD) -2.11%", "options": [ "A) 0.36%", "B) -0.87%", "C) -3.35%", "D) -2.11%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2005-03-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2005-03-25.)\n\nA) -0.39%\nB) -3.96%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.80%", "options": [ "A) -0.39%", "B) -3.96%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 0.80%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-01.)\n\nA) -1.94%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 1.60%", "options": [ "A) -1.94%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 2.78%", "D) 1.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-08.)\n\nA) -5.39%\nB) -6.56%\nC) -4.22%\nD) -1.88%", "options": [ "A) -5.39%", "B) -6.56%", "C) -4.22%", "D) -1.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2005-04-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2005-04-29.)\n\nA) 3.18%\nB) -1.51%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 3.18%", "B) -1.51%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-06.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 1.01%\nD) -3.61%", "options": [ "A) -0.15%", "B) -1.30%", "C) 1.01%", "D) -3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-13.)\n\nA) -0.82%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) -0.82%", "B) 2.61%", "C) 1.46%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2005-05-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2005-05-27.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.16%\nD) -0.97%", "options": [ "A) -2.09%", "B) 1.28%", "C) 0.16%", "D) -0.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-03.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) -2.86%\nC) 2.75%\nD) -0.61%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) -2.86%", "C) 2.75%", "D) -0.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-10.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) -0.08%\nC) -2.28%\nD) -1.18%", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) -0.08%", "C) -2.28%", "D) -1.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-24.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 0.60%\nC) -0.48%\nD) -2.62%", "options": [ "A) 3.81%", "B) 0.60%", "C) -0.48%", "D) -2.62%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.84%", "options": [ "A) 0.58%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 1.64%", "D) 4.84%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.10%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 1.00%", "options": [ "A) 4.16%", "B) 3.10%", "C) -1.10%", "D) 1.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2005-07-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2005-07-29.)\n\nA) -0.80%\nB) 0.18%\nC) 1.16%\nD) -2.76%", "options": [ "A) -0.80%", "B) 0.18%", "C) 1.16%", "D) -2.76%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-05.)\n\nA) -1.32%\nB) -0.35%\nC) 1.60%\nD) -3.27%", "options": [ "A) -1.32%", "B) -0.35%", "C) 1.60%", "D) -3.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-12.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) -0.53%\nC) -1.47%\nD) 1.33%", "options": [ "A) 0.40%", "B) -0.53%", "C) -1.47%", "D) 1.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) -1.63%\nB) -0.72%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.19%", "options": [ "A) -1.63%", "B) -0.72%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 0.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-02.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 3.13%\nC) -0.51%\nD) 1.31%", "options": [ "A) 0.40%", "B) 3.13%", "C) -0.51%", "D) 1.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20050916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-09.)\n\nA) -2.83%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 1.67%\nD) -3.73%", "options": [ "A) -2.83%", "B) -1.03%", "C) 1.67%", "D) -3.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2005-09-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2005-09-30.)\n\nA) -5.68%\nB) -3.91%\nC) -3.02%\nD) -2.13%", "options": [ "A) -5.68%", "B) -3.91%", "C) -3.02%", "D) -2.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-07.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -2.44%\nC) -3.32%\nD) -0.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) -2.44%", "C) -3.32%", "D) -0.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-14.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) -1.19%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 1.46%", "options": [ "A) 0.58%", "B) -1.19%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2005-10-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2005-10-28.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 4.07%\nD) 3.19%", "options": [ "A) -0.32%", "B) 2.32%", "C) 4.07%", "D) 3.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-04.)\n\nA) -1.55%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 1.11%\nD) -0.66%", "options": [ "A) -1.55%", "B) 0.22%", "C) 1.11%", "D) -0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-11.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) -0.59%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.19%", "options": [ "A) 3.85%", "B) -0.59%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 1.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2005-11-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2005-11-25.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) -1.10%\nC) 3.27%\nD) 2.39%", "options": [ "A) 1.52%", "B) -1.10%", "C) 3.27%", "D) 2.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-02.)\n\nA) -2.65%\nB) -0.04%\nC) 0.83%\nD) -0.91%", "options": [ "A) -2.65%", "B) -0.04%", "C) 0.83%", "D) -0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20051216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2005-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2005-12-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2005-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2005-12-09.)\n\nA) -1.24%\nB) -2.10%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 1.35%", "options": [ "A) -1.24%", "B) -2.10%", "C) -0.37%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2005 } ]