[ { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,288B\nB) $11,302B\nC) $11,549B\nD) $11,795B", "options": [ "A) $12,288B", "B) $11,302B", "C) $11,549B", "D) $11,795B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,795B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) 4.54%\nD) -2.18%", "options": [ "A) 11.26%", "B) -8.91%", "C) 4.54%", "D) -2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) $103.69/bbl\nB) $83.13/bbl\nC) $113.97/bbl\nD) $62.57/bbl", "options": [ "A) $103.69/bbl", "B) $83.13/bbl", "C) $113.97/bbl", "D) $62.57/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$83.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.44\nB) 34.15\nC) 16.37\nD) 22.30", "options": [ "A) 10.44", "B) 34.15", "C) 16.37", "D) 22.30" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.94%\nB) 7.35%\nC) 8.49%\nD) 9.64%", "options": [ "A) 11.94%", "B) 7.35%", "C) 8.49%", "D) 9.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $-47,460M\nB) $-64,442M\nC) $-53,121M\nD) $-41,799M", "options": [ "A) $-47,460M", "B) $-64,442M", "C) $-53,121M", "D) $-41,799M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-47,460M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.60%\nB) 10.44%\nC) 18.14%\nD) 21.99%", "options": [ "A) 6.60%", "B) 10.44%", "C) 18.14%", "D) 21.99%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.71%\nB) 12.43%\nC) 9.00%\nD) 10.14%", "options": [ "A) 6.71%", "B) 12.43%", "C) 9.00%", "D) 10.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 4.62%\nC) -1.40%\nD) 7.64%", "options": [ "A) 1.61%", "B) 4.62%", "C) -1.40%", "D) 7.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) -3.96%\nC) -7.34%\nD) 9.56%", "options": [ "A) 2.80%", "B) -3.96%", "C) -7.34%", "D) 9.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -28.08%\nB) 8.76%\nC) 33.32%\nD) 21.04%", "options": [ "A) -28.08%", "B) 8.76%", "C) 33.32%", "D) 21.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 311,396\nB) 506,604\nC) 409,000\nD) 360,198", "options": [ "A) 311,396", "B) 506,604", "C) 409,000", "D) 360,198" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "409,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.36pp\nB) +0.91pp\nC) -2.87pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": [ "A) -1.36pp", "B) +0.91pp", "C) -2.87pp", "D) -0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,782.31\nB) 2,431.63\nC) 3,132.99\nD) 3,308.33", "options": [ "A) 2,782.31", "B) 2,431.63", "C) 3,132.99", "D) 3,308.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,782.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 0.50%", "options": [ "A) 2.97%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 1.73%", "D) 0.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.26pp\nB) +1.02pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.26pp", "options": [ "A) -1.26pp", "B) +1.02pp", "C) -0.50pp", "D) +0.26pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 6.94%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 4.68%", "options": [ "A) 8.07%", "B) 6.94%", "C) 5.81%", "D) 4.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.13%\nB) 1.19%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 2.25%", "options": [ "A) 0.13%", "B) 1.19%", "C) 3.31%", "D) 2.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $334,181M\nB) $367,475M\nC) $347,499M\nD) $380,793M", "options": [ "A) $334,181M", "B) $367,475M", "C) $347,499M", "D) $380,793M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$367,475M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $18.47/hr\nB) $19.73/hr\nC) $19.31/hr\nD) $18.04/hr", "options": [ "A) $18.47/hr", "B) $19.73/hr", "C) $19.31/hr", "D) $18.04/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.31/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -2.82%\nB) -10.55%\nC) 12.63%\nD) 1.04%", "options": [ "A) -2.82%", "B) -10.55%", "C) 12.63%", "D) 1.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 31.87\nB) 49.24\nC) 26.08\nD) 43.45", "options": [ "A) 31.87", "B) 49.24", "C) 26.08", "D) 43.45" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -15.24pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -2.48pp\nD) +16.66pp", "options": [ "A) -15.24pp", "B) +3.90pp", "C) -2.48pp", "D) +16.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+3.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 31.44%\nC) 11.55%\nD) -8.33%", "options": [ "A) 1.61%", "B) 31.44%", "C) 11.55%", "D) -8.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 88.74%\nB) -22.13%\nC) -3.65%\nD) 33.30%", "options": [ "A) 88.74%", "B) -22.13%", "C) -3.65%", "D) 33.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 4.53%", "options": [ "A) 4.15%", "B) 3.02%", "C) 5.28%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 212.39\nB) 221.90\nC) 237.74\nD) 231.40", "options": [ "A) 212.39", "B) 221.90", "C) 237.74", "D) 231.40" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "221.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 74.2608\nB) 93.9384\nC) 80.8200\nD) 100.4975", "options": [ "A) 74.2608", "B) 93.9384", "C) 80.8200", "D) 100.4975" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.8200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 16.03%\nB) -4.78%\nC) -25.59%\nD) 36.84%", "options": [ "A) 16.03%", "B) -4.78%", "C) -25.59%", "D) 36.84%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 75.09%\nB) 77.60%\nC) 72.59%\nD) 67.57%", "options": [ "A) 75.09%", "B) 77.60%", "C) 72.59%", "D) 67.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 220.23\nB) 204.10\nC) 193.35\nD) 198.72", "options": [ "A) 220.23", "B) 204.10", "C) 193.35", "D) 198.72" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "204.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 241.58\nB) 216.82\nC) 226.11\nD) 235.39", "options": [ "A) 241.58", "B) 216.82", "C) 226.11", "D) 235.39" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "226.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.73\nB) 92.46\nC) 86.82\nD) 95.27", "options": [ "A) 103.73", "B) 92.46", "C) 86.82", "D) 95.27" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 195.80\nB) 179.97\nC) 211.63\nD) 206.35", "options": [ "A) 195.80", "B) 179.97", "C) 211.63", "D) 206.35" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "195.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $66,912M\nB) $63,711M\nC) $60,510M\nD) $57,310M", "options": [ "A) $66,912M", "B) $63,711M", "C) $60,510M", "D) $57,310M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$63,711M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.10%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 4.52%\nD) 8.77%", "options": [ "A) 3.10%", "B) 7.36%", "C) 4.52%", "D) 8.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 2.29%", "options": [ "A) 3.35%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 3.00%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 64.10%\nB) 59.61%\nC) 62.18%\nD) 66.02%", "options": [ "A) 64.10%", "B) 59.61%", "C) 62.18%", "D) 66.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) $88.46/bbl\nB) $111.90/bbl\nC) $123.62/bbl\nD) $147.06/bbl", "options": [ "A) $88.46/bbl", "B) $111.90/bbl", "C) $123.62/bbl", "D) $147.06/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$111.90/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 53.37\nB) 74.03\nC) 63.70\nD) 58.53", "options": [ "A) 53.37", "B) 74.03", "C) 63.70", "D) 58.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $11,433B\nB) $12,176B\nC) $11,185B\nD) $11,929B", "options": [ "A) $11,433B", "B) $12,176B", "C) $11,185B", "D) $11,929B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,929B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.84%\nB) -9.91%\nC) 27.58%\nD) -0.54%", "options": [ "A) 8.84%", "B) -9.91%", "C) 27.58%", "D) -0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 218.61\nB) 224.81\nC) 212.40\nD) 234.11", "options": [ "A) 218.61", "B) 224.81", "C) 212.40", "D) 234.11" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "224.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 68.59%\nB) 66.02%\nC) 64.10%\nD) 62.18%", "options": [ "A) 68.59%", "B) 66.02%", "C) 64.10%", "D) 62.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "64.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,006K\nC) 1,229K\nD) 561K", "options": [ "A) 784K", "B) 1,006K", "C) 1,229K", "D) 561K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "561K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $19.41/hr\nB) $18.58/hr\nC) $20.24/hr\nD) $19.82/hr", "options": [ "A) $19.41/hr", "B) $18.58/hr", "C) $20.24/hr", "D) $19.82/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19.41/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 97.83\nB) 91.11\nC) 84.38\nD) 95.59", "options": [ "A) 97.83", "B) 91.11", "C) 84.38", "D) 95.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.86pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -1.42pp", "options": [ "A) -0.86pp", "B) +0.82pp", "C) -0.30pp", "D) -1.42pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 132.37\nB) 149.00\nC) 157.32\nD) 140.69", "options": [ "A) 132.37", "B) 149.00", "C) 157.32", "D) 140.69" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.69", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 647K\nB) 1,240K\nC) 1,042K\nD) 449K", "options": [ "A) 647K", "B) 1,240K", "C) 1,042K", "D) 449K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "647K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 10.78%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 12.94%", "options": [ "A) 10.78%", "B) 9.70%", "C) 7.55%", "D) 12.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.34%\nB) 4.45%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -1.45%", "options": [ "A) 10.34%", "B) 4.45%", "C) 7.39%", "D) -1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 5,809,289\nB) 1,868,711\nC) 4,495,763\nD) 3,839,000", "options": [ "A) 5,809,289", "B) 1,868,711", "C) 4,495,763", "D) 3,839,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,839,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) $99.37/bbl\nB) $88.76/bbl\nC) $109.98/bbl\nD) $120.60/bbl", "options": [ "A) $99.37/bbl", "B) $88.76/bbl", "C) $109.98/bbl", "D) $120.60/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$99.37/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 89.14\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.33\nD) 96.81", "options": [ "A) 89.14", "B) 93.52", "C) 91.33", "D) 96.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 477,232\nB) 430,116\nC) 383,000\nD) 288,768", "options": [ "A) 477,232", "B) 430,116", "C) 383,000", "D) 288,768" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "383,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.99%", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 2.70%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.97%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 1.02%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 139,447K\nB) 131,057K\nC) 127,701K\nD) 136,091K", "options": [ "A) 139,447K", "B) 131,057K", "C) 127,701K", "D) 136,091K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "131,057K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $-41,529M\nB) $-29,136M\nC) $-47,725M\nD) $-66,314M", "options": [ "A) $-41,529M", "B) $-29,136M", "C) $-47,725M", "D) $-66,314M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-47,725M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 4.30%", "options": [ "A) 7.06%", "B) 0.15%", "C) 8.45%", "D) 4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.37%", "options": [ "A) 3.46%", "B) 6.19%", "C) 1.64%", "D) 4.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 27.71%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 18.39%\nD) -9.55%", "options": [ "A) 27.71%", "B) 9.08%", "C) 18.39%", "D) -9.55%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $171,696M\nB) $200,919M\nC) $215,531M\nD) $186,307M", "options": [ "A) $171,696M", "B) $200,919M", "C) $215,531M", "D) $186,307M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$215,531M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) -6.13%\nB) -18.28%\nC) 42.49%\nD) 18.18%", "options": [ "A) -6.13%", "B) -18.28%", "C) 42.49%", "D) 18.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.61pp\nB) +4.22pp\nC) +3.15pp\nD) +2.07pp", "options": [ "A) +2.61pp", "B) +4.22pp", "C) +3.15pp", "D) +2.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.61pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.38%\nD) 4.24%", "options": [ "A) 6.14%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 5.38%", "D) 4.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 219.66\nB) 189.23\nC) 201.40\nD) 195.31", "options": [ "A) 219.66", "B) 189.23", "C) 201.40", "D) 195.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "201.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.1081\nB) 5.8679\nC) 7.0687\nD) 6.5884", "options": [ "A) 6.1081", "B) 5.8679", "C) 7.0687", "D) 6.5884" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5884", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) $8,906B\nB) $8,141B\nC) $9,671B\nD) $8,396B", "options": [ "A) $8,906B", "B) $8,141B", "C) $9,671B", "D) $8,396B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,906B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.40\nB) 91.51\nC) 95.30\nD) 89.61", "options": [ "A) 93.40", "B) 91.51", "C) 95.30", "D) 89.61" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 96.45\nB) 83.32\nC) 89.89\nD) 87.70", "options": [ "A) 96.45", "B) 83.32", "C) 89.89", "D) 87.70" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 41.15%\nB) 62.53%\nC) -1.62%\nD) 30.46%", "options": [ "A) 41.15%", "B) 62.53%", "C) -1.62%", "D) 30.46%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.10%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.34%", "options": [ "A) 3.10%", "B) 3.35%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 45.37\nB) 55.80\nC) 71.44\nD) 50.59", "options": [ "A) 45.37", "B) 55.80", "C) 71.44", "D) 50.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "55.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 3.19%", "options": [ "A) 0.93%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 2.06%", "D) 3.19%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 7.18%\nC) -6.23%\nD) 3.83%", "options": [ "A) 0.48%", "B) 7.18%", "C) -6.23%", "D) 3.83%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 87.33\nB) 82.93\nC) 93.93\nD) 80.73", "options": [ "A) 87.33", "B) 82.93", "C) 93.93", "D) 80.73" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "87.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 1.55%", "options": [ "A) 3.02%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 1.55%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 11.15%\nC) 8.21%\nD) 5.28%", "options": [ "A) 2.35%", "B) 11.15%", "C) 8.21%", "D) 5.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 35.88%\nB) -11.46%\nC) -20.93%\nD) 7.48%", "options": [ "A) 35.88%", "B) -11.46%", "C) -20.93%", "D) 7.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.81%", "options": [ "A) 1.12%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.02%\nB) -4.31%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 1.11%", "options": [ "A) -7.02%", "B) -4.31%", "C) 3.82%", "D) 1.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 85.12%\nB) 22.25%\nC) 43.21%\nD) 106.08%", "options": [ "A) 85.12%", "B) 22.25%", "C) 43.21%", "D) 106.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "43.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 1.97%", "B) 5.54%", "C) 6.43%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.3464\nB) 5.9403\nC) 5.7373\nD) 6.9555", "options": [ "A) 6.3464", "B) 5.9403", "C) 5.7373", "D) 6.9555" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3464", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2248\nB) 1.4452\nC) 1.3130\nD) 1.5774", "options": [ "A) 1.2248", "B) 1.4452", "C) 1.3130", "D) 1.5774" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4452", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,304K\nB) 389K\nC) 618K\nD) 1,076K", "options": [ "A) 1,304K", "B) 389K", "C) 618K", "D) 1,076K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "618K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -15.70%\nB) 69.78%\nC) 91.15%\nD) 27.04%", "options": [ "A) -15.70%", "B) 69.78%", "C) 91.15%", "D) 27.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "27.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.02%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 3.00%", "options": [ "A) 0.02%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 141,148K\nB) 132,690K\nC) 137,765K\nD) 129,307K", "options": [ "A) 141,148K", "B) 132,690K", "C) 137,765K", "D) 129,307K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,690K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.83%", "options": [ "A) 2.56%", "B) 2.94%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 4.83%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 18.25%\nB) -12.63%\nC) 28.55%\nD) -2.34%", "options": [ "A) 18.25%", "B) -12.63%", "C) 28.55%", "D) -2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.20\nB) 96.49\nC) 91.00\nD) 88.81", "options": [ "A) 93.20", "B) 96.49", "C) 91.00", "D) 88.81" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.52%", "options": [ "A) 4.04%", "B) 4.28%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.31%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 8.18%\nD) 19.66%", "options": [ "A) -3.31%", "B) 4.35%", "C) 8.18%", "D) 19.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -9.69%\nD) -3.17%", "options": [ "A) 1.17%", "B) -1.00%", "C) -9.69%", "D) -3.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 1.12%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 3.19%", "C) 2.15%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 11.29%\nD) 5.57%", "options": [ "A) 12.43%", "B) 9.00%", "C) 11.29%", "D) 5.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.96%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 4.58%", "options": [ "A) -1.96%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.31%", "D) 4.58%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,236B\nB) $9,252B\nC) $9,591B\nD) $8,913B", "options": [ "A) $8,236B", "B) $9,252B", "C) $9,591B", "D) $8,913B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,913B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 1.52%\nD) -3.15%", "options": [ "A) -0.81%", "B) 3.86%", "C) 1.52%", "D) -3.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,605M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $2,605M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,605M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 83.08%\nB) 78.14%\nC) 75.67%\nD) 68.26%", "options": [ "A) 83.08%", "B) 78.14%", "C) 75.67%", "D) 68.26%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "75.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,500,696\nB) 1,860,543\nC) 4,421,152\nD) 3,781,000", "options": [ "A) 2,500,696", "B) 1,860,543", "C) 4,421,152", "D) 3,781,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,781,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) -7.60%\nB) -15.49%\nC) -19.44%\nD) 0.29%", "options": [ "A) -7.60%", "B) -15.49%", "C) -19.44%", "D) 0.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-7.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 0.85%", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 3.58%", "C) 6.30%", "D) 0.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 2.43%", "B) 1.23%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -9.79%\nB) 23.95%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 10.45%", "options": [ "A) -9.79%", "B) 23.95%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 10.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $9,108B\nB) $9,445B\nC) $8,097B\nD) $10,118B", "options": [ "A) $9,108B", "B) $9,445B", "C) $8,097B", "D) $10,118B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,108B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 120.99\nB) 136.65\nC) 144.48\nD) 160.15", "options": [ "A) 120.99", "B) 136.65", "C) 144.48", "D) 160.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "136.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) -0.32%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 2.57%", "B) -0.32%", "C) 1.85%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 1.04%\nD) 0.26%", "options": [ "A) 1.81%", "B) 2.59%", "C) 1.04%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 19.15%\nC) -0.60%\nD) 11.25%", "options": [ "A) 7.30%", "B) 19.15%", "C) -0.60%", "D) 11.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 3.89%", "options": [ "A) 7.24%", "B) 5.56%", "C) 6.40%", "D) 3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) $118.08/bbl\nB) $75.74/bbl\nC) $107.50/bbl\nD) $96.91/bbl", "options": [ "A) $118.08/bbl", "B) $75.74/bbl", "C) $107.50/bbl", "D) $96.91/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$96.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 7.08%\nD) 8.31%", "options": [ "A) 5.86%", "B) 3.41%", "C) 7.08%", "D) 8.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 12.37%", "options": [ "A) 7.88%", "B) 9.00%", "C) 6.75%", "D) 12.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 86.51\nB) 88.52\nC) 90.53\nD) 92.54", "options": [ "A) 86.51", "B) 88.52", "C) 90.53", "D) 92.54" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "90.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.26/hr\nB) $18.68/hr\nC) $19.87/hr\nD) $19.47/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.26/hr", "B) $18.68/hr", "C) $19.87/hr", "D) $19.47/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$19.47/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) $87.88/bbl\nB) $55.62/bbl\nC) $77.13/bbl\nD) $109.39/bbl", "options": [ "A) $87.88/bbl", "B) $55.62/bbl", "C) $77.13/bbl", "D) $109.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$87.88/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 21.69%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 13.83%\nD) 2.04%", "options": [ "A) 21.69%", "B) 9.90%", "C) 13.83%", "D) 2.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.61%", "options": [ "A) 5.17%", "B) 2.83%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,662B\nB) $10,014B\nC) $11,068B\nD) $10,541B", "options": [ "A) $9,662B", "B) $10,014B", "C) $11,068B", "D) $10,541B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,541B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 224.18\nB) 237.97\nC) 232.45\nD) 215.90", "options": [ "A) 224.18", "B) 237.97", "C) 232.45", "D) 215.90" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "224.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.45%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -6.14%", "options": [ "A) 5.45%", "B) 0.82%", "C) -1.50%", "D) -6.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.85pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -1.45pp", "options": [ "A) +0.85pp", "B) -2.02pp", "C) -0.30pp", "D) -1.45pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 7.73%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 4.53%", "options": [ "A) 2.39%", "B) 7.73%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) +1.80pp\nB) +0.85pp\nC) +1.32pp\nD) +3.23pp", "options": [ "A) +1.80pp", "B) +0.85pp", "C) +1.32pp", "D) +3.23pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,468B\nB) $11,728B\nC) $12,221B\nD) $10,989B", "options": [ "A) $12,468B", "B) $11,728B", "C) $12,221B", "D) $10,989B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$11,728B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 18.64%\nB) -9.40%\nC) 9.29%\nD) -0.05%", "options": [ "A) 18.64%", "B) -9.40%", "C) 9.29%", "D) -0.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 66.02%\nB) 62.18%\nC) 60.25%\nD) 64.10%", "options": [ "A) 66.02%", "B) 62.18%", "C) 60.25%", "D) 64.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.43%", "options": [ "A) 1.82%", "B) 2.61%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 1.43%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.00\nB) 91.09\nC) 93.04\nD) 89.14", "options": [ "A) 95.00", "B) 91.09", "C) 93.04", "D) 89.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $61,265M\nB) $70,862M\nC) $64,464M\nD) $58,066M", "options": [ "A) $61,265M", "B) $70,862M", "C) $64,464M", "D) $58,066M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$64,464M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.69pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) -1.27pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": [ "A) -0.69pp", "B) +1.07pp", "C) -1.27pp", "D) -0.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 132,125K\nB) 135,545K\nC) 138,965K\nD) 128,705K", "options": [ "A) 132,125K", "B) 135,545K", "C) 138,965K", "D) 128,705K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "132,125K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $10,206B\nB) $9,531B\nC) $10,544B\nD) $9,193B", "options": [ "A) $10,206B", "B) $9,531B", "C) $10,544B", "D) $9,193B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$9,531B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) $9,282B\nB) $8,714B\nC) $9,093B\nD) $8,524B", "options": [ "A) $9,282B", "B) $8,714B", "C) $9,093B", "D) $8,524B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,093B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.09pp\nB) -0.89pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -0.50pp", "options": [ "A) -1.09pp", "B) -0.89pp", "C) +0.09pp", "D) -0.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 227.17\nB) 211.68\nC) 236.46\nD) 220.97", "options": [ "A) 227.17", "B) 211.68", "C) 236.46", "D) 220.97" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "227.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.64%\nB) 58.60%\nC) 53.49%\nD) 55.53%", "options": [ "A) 60.64%", "B) 58.60%", "C) 53.49%", "D) 55.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "58.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 107.43\nB) 101.17\nC) 104.30\nD) 97.00", "options": [ "A) 107.43", "B) 101.17", "C) 104.30", "D) 97.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "104.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.39pp\nB) -5.89pp\nC) +5.10pp\nD) +2.35pp", "options": [ "A) -0.39pp", "B) -5.89pp", "C) +5.10pp", "D) +2.35pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.35pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) $102.48/bbl\nB) $112.50/bbl\nC) $72.41/bbl\nD) $122.52/bbl", "options": [ "A) $102.48/bbl", "B) $112.50/bbl", "C) $72.41/bbl", "D) $122.52/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$102.48/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -9.71%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 24.34%\nD) -2.90%", "options": [ "A) -9.71%", "B) 10.72%", "C) 24.34%", "D) -2.90%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 125.53\nB) 133.66\nC) 141.78\nD) 149.91", "options": [ "A) 125.53", "B) 133.66", "C) 141.78", "D) 149.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "141.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.36%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 7.46%\nD) 4.15%", "options": [ "A) 6.36%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 7.46%", "D) 4.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 74.30\nB) 90.36\nC) 85.01\nD) 68.95", "options": [ "A) 74.30", "B) 90.36", "C) 85.01", "D) 68.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "74.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 0.81%", "options": [ "A) 1.78%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 2.42%", "D) 0.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.08\nB) 72.03\nC) 77.50\nD) 82.97", "options": [ "A) 61.08", "B) 72.03", "C) 77.50", "D) 82.97" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 3.15%", "options": [ "A) 4.27%", "B) 3.90%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 3.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 25.97%\nB) 50.23%\nC) 62.36%\nD) 38.10%", "options": [ "A) 25.97%", "B) 50.23%", "C) 62.36%", "D) 38.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $201,922M\nB) $216,705M\nC) $261,054M\nD) $172,356M", "options": [ "A) $201,922M", "B) $216,705M", "C) $261,054M", "D) $172,356M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$216,705M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.84%", "options": [ "A) 4.77%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 2.84%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.70%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 0.25%\nD) -3.64%", "options": [ "A) -1.70%", "B) 2.19%", "C) 0.25%", "D) -3.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,717,000\nB) 4,335,458\nC) 1,861,626\nD) 2,480,084", "options": [ "A) 3,717,000", "B) 4,335,458", "C) 1,861,626", "D) 2,480,084" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,717,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.2857\nB) 1.4219\nC) 1.6489\nD) 1.5581", "options": [ "A) 1.2857", "B) 1.4219", "C) 1.6489", "D) 1.5581" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4219", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 19.72\nB) 42.72\nC) 31.22\nD) 13.97", "options": [ "A) 19.72", "B) 42.72", "C) 31.22", "D) 13.97" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.22", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 2.70%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 4.80%", "C) 3.40%", "D) 2.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $372,505M\nB) $393,078M\nC) $351,932M\nD) $406,793M", "options": [ "A) $372,505M", "B) $393,078M", "C) $351,932M", "D) $406,793M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$372,505M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $11,443B\nB) $10,750B\nC) $11,097B\nD) $10,404B", "options": [ "A) $11,443B", "B) $10,750B", "C) $11,097B", "D) $10,404B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,750B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.11\nB) 108.43\nC) 106.30\nD) 111.61", "options": [ "A) 103.11", "B) 108.43", "C) 106.30", "D) 111.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 886K\nC) 361K\nD) 711K", "options": [ "A) 1,236K", "B) 886K", "C) 361K", "D) 711K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "711K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,658M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,658M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$2,658M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.00pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": [ "A) -1.20pp", "B) -0.80pp", "C) -1.00pp", "D) -0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $20.32/hr\nB) $21.08/hr\nC) $19.56/hr\nD) $18.42/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.32/hr", "B) $21.08/hr", "C) $19.56/hr", "D) $18.42/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.56/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 211.81\nB) 231.77\nC) 217.51\nD) 223.21", "options": [ "A) 211.81", "B) 231.77", "C) 217.51", "D) 223.21" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "223.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.60%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 6.42%\nD) 9.69%", "options": [ "A) 8.60%", "B) 11.87%", "C) 6.42%", "D) 9.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.67%\nB) 13.02%\nC) 22.36%\nD) -5.67%", "options": [ "A) 3.67%", "B) 13.02%", "C) 22.36%", "D) -5.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.13%", "options": [ "A) 0.91%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 2.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.63%\nB) -11.55%\nC) 0.33%\nD) -7.59%", "options": [ "A) -3.63%", "B) -11.55%", "C) 0.33%", "D) -7.59%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $-44,753M\nB) $-32,232M\nC) $-38,493M\nD) $-51,013M", "options": [ "A) $-44,753M", "B) $-32,232M", "C) $-38,493M", "D) $-51,013M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-44,753M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 2.34%", "options": [ "A) 3.47%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 1.22%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $375,452M\nB) $399,361M\nC) $383,422M\nD) $407,331M", "options": [ "A) $375,452M", "B) $399,361M", "C) $383,422M", "D) $407,331M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$383,422M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) +10.53pp\nB) -6.17pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) +2.18pp", "options": [ "A) +10.53pp", "B) -6.17pp", "C) -0.61pp", "D) +2.18pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.18pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 23.28%\nC) 42.01%\nD) 60.73%", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 23.28%", "C) 42.01%", "D) 60.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.21%", "options": [ "A) 5.60%", "B) 4.42%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 5.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.05%", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 0.62%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $338,746M\nB) $390,706M\nC) $353,591M\nD) $375,860M", "options": [ "A) $338,746M", "B) $390,706M", "C) $353,591M", "D) $375,860M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$375,860M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.58%\nB) 52.03%\nC) -59.08%\nD) 74.25%", "options": [ "A) 7.58%", "B) 52.03%", "C) -59.08%", "D) 74.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 0.84%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.18%\nB) 66.02%\nC) 64.10%\nD) 68.59%", "options": [ "A) 62.18%", "B) 66.02%", "C) 64.10%", "D) 68.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "64.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 372,988\nB) 581,035\nC) 477,012\nD) 425,000", "options": [ "A) 372,988", "B) 581,035", "C) 477,012", "D) 425,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "425,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 9.74%\nC) 12.81%\nD) -2.55%", "options": [ "A) 6.67%", "B) 9.74%", "C) 12.81%", "D) -2.55%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.07%\nB) 6.90%\nC) 9.38%\nD) 4.42%", "options": [ "A) 6.07%", "B) 6.90%", "C) 9.38%", "D) 4.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.49%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 8.99%", "options": [ "A) -4.49%", "B) 5.62%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 8.99%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 109.88\nB) 101.13\nC) 103.32\nD) 106.60", "options": [ "A) 109.88", "B) 101.13", "C) 103.32", "D) 106.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "106.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 0.40%\nD) -0.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.48%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 0.40%", "D) -0.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 2.41%", "options": [ "A) 3.54%", "B) 0.16%", "C) 1.29%", "D) 2.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,919.66\nB) 2,737.43\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,008.50", "options": [ "A) 2,919.66", "B) 2,737.43", "C) 2,555.20", "D) 2,008.50" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,555.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $52,652M\nB) $65,504M\nC) $55,865M\nD) $59,078M", "options": [ "A) $52,652M", "B) $65,504M", "C) $55,865M", "D) $59,078M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$59,078M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) $108.89/bbl\nB) $85.96/bbl\nC) $74.50/bbl\nD) $131.82/bbl", "options": [ "A) $108.89/bbl", "B) $85.96/bbl", "C) $74.50/bbl", "D) $131.82/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$108.89/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 16.91%\nC) -27.48%\nD) -49.67%", "options": [ "A) 61.30%", "B) 16.91%", "C) -27.48%", "D) -49.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 126,600K\nB) 123,198K\nC) 131,703K\nD) 135,105K", "options": [ "A) 126,600K", "B) 123,198K", "C) 131,703K", "D) 135,105K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131,703K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 997K\nC) 757K\nD) 517K", "options": [ "A) 1,236K", "B) 997K", "C) 757K", "D) 517K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "517K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.3902\nB) 6.1733\nC) 5.9563\nD) 6.6071", "options": [ "A) 6.3902", "B) 6.1733", "C) 5.9563", "D) 6.6071" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3902", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.76%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 8.84%", "options": [ "A) 3.76%", "B) 6.30%", "C) 7.15%", "D) 8.84%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.45%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -16.62%\nD) -26.30%", "options": [ "A) 12.45%", "B) 2.76%", "C) -16.62%", "D) -26.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-16.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) $81.35/bbl\nB) $146.09/bbl\nC) $135.30/bbl\nD) $113.72/bbl", "options": [ "A) $81.35/bbl", "B) $146.09/bbl", "C) $135.30/bbl", "D) $113.72/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$113.72/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 105.80\nB) 108.97\nC) 102.63\nD) 98.39", "options": [ "A) 105.80", "B) 108.97", "C) 102.63", "D) 98.39" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "105.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.15%\nB) 4.66%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.17%", "options": [ "A) 5.15%", "B) 4.66%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 4.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 104.90%\nB) 60.49%\nC) 38.28%\nD) -6.13%", "options": [ "A) 104.90%", "B) 60.49%", "C) 38.28%", "D) -6.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "38.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 294K\nB) 790K\nC) 1,037K\nD) 542K", "options": [ "A) 294K", "B) 790K", "C) 1,037K", "D) 542K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "542K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 137.72\nB) 121.35\nC) 154.10\nD) 145.91", "options": [ "A) 137.72", "B) 121.35", "C) 154.10", "D) 145.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "137.72", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 86.20\nB) 91.80\nC) 88.44\nD) 95.15", "options": [ "A) 86.20", "B) 91.80", "C) 88.44", "D) 95.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 215.36\nB) 220.61\nC) 225.86\nD) 233.74", "options": [ "A) 215.36", "B) 220.61", "C) 225.86", "D) 233.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "225.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) $9,778B\nB) $8,619B\nC) $9,488B\nD) $8,909B", "options": [ "A) $9,778B", "B) $8,619B", "C) $9,488B", "D) $8,909B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,909B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -1.20pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": [ "A) -0.80pp", "B) -1.20pp", "C) -1.40pp", "D) -0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 83.5131\nB) 76.7300\nC) 90.2962\nD) 97.0793", "options": [ "A) 83.5131", "B) 76.7300", "C) 90.2962", "D) 97.0793" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.7300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.83pp\nB) -6.43pp\nC) +1.97pp\nD) +7.56pp", "options": [ "A) -0.83pp", "B) -6.43pp", "C) +1.97pp", "D) +7.56pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.97pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 54.16%\nB) 60.37%\nC) 56.23%\nD) 58.30%", "options": [ "A) 54.16%", "B) 60.37%", "C) 56.23%", "D) 58.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 93.11\nB) 90.24\nC) 98.85\nD) 84.51", "options": [ "A) 93.11", "B) 90.24", "C) 98.85", "D) 84.51" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 58.40%\nC) 56.38%\nD) 60.42%", "options": [ "A) 53.36%", "B) 58.40%", "C) 56.38%", "D) 60.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "58.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $12,202B\nB) $12,449B\nC) $11,954B\nD) $11,707B", "options": [ "A) $12,202B", "B) $12,449B", "C) $11,954B", "D) $11,707B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,954B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $222,076M\nB) $251,888M\nC) $177,358M\nD) $207,170M", "options": [ "A) $222,076M", "B) $251,888M", "C) $177,358M", "D) $207,170M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$207,170M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 2.10%", "options": [ "A) 1.83%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 1.02%", "D) 2.10%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $11,334B\nB) $10,807B\nC) $11,686B\nD) $10,279B", "options": [ "A) $11,334B", "B) $10,807B", "C) $11,686B", "D) $10,279B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,807B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) +1.09pp\nB) -0.44pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.49pp", "options": [ "A) +1.09pp", "B) -0.44pp", "C) -1.20pp", "D) -3.49pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 9.00%\nD) 5.79%", "options": [ "A) 4.73%", "B) 3.66%", "C) 9.00%", "D) 5.79%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,686.20\nB) 3,054.49\nC) 2,133.77\nD) 2,317.91", "options": [ "A) 2,686.20", "B) 3,054.49", "C) 2,133.77", "D) 2,317.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,686.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 96.75\nB) 93.89\nC) 85.31\nD) 99.60", "options": [ "A) 96.75", "B) 93.89", "C) 85.31", "D) 99.60" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 74.18%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 76.57%\nD) 71.80%", "options": [ "A) 74.18%", "B) 69.41%", "C) 76.57%", "D) 71.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) +9.35pp\nB) -1.48pp\nC) +12.05pp\nD) +3.93pp", "options": [ "A) +9.35pp", "B) -1.48pp", "C) +12.05pp", "D) +3.93pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+3.93pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 3,676,000\nB) 4,272,379\nC) 2,483,242\nD) 3,079,621", "options": [ "A) 3,676,000", "B) 4,272,379", "C) 2,483,242", "D) 3,079,621" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,676,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 3.03%\nD) 2.27%", "options": [ "A) 1.12%", "B) 1.88%", "C) 3.03%", "D) 2.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 4.37%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 3.67%", "options": [ "A) 1.58%", "B) 4.37%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 3.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 3.98%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 3.07%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.3524\nB) 1.1412\nC) 1.4369\nD) 1.2257", "options": [ "A) 1.3524", "B) 1.1412", "C) 1.4369", "D) 1.2257" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.3524", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 77.4057\nB) 83.7900\nC) 90.1743\nD) 102.9429", "options": [ "A) 77.4057", "B) 83.7900", "C) 90.1743", "D) 102.9429" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "83.7900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) -0.30%\nC) 0.81%\nD) -2.53%", "options": [ "A) 4.15%", "B) -0.30%", "C) 0.81%", "D) -2.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 221.76\nB) 234.61\nC) 216.61\nD) 226.90", "options": [ "A) 221.76", "B) 234.61", "C) 216.61", "D) 226.90" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 92.84\nB) 96.12\nC) 90.65\nD) 98.31", "options": [ "A) 92.84", "B) 96.12", "C) 90.65", "D) 98.31" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $55,070M\nB) $64,660M\nC) $67,857M\nD) $74,250M", "options": [ "A) $55,070M", "B) $64,660M", "C) $67,857M", "D) $74,250M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$64,660M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) -6.92%\nB) -2.24%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 4.79%", "options": [ "A) -6.92%", "B) -2.24%", "C) 0.10%", "D) 4.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 3.19%\nD) 2.10%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.02%", "C) 3.19%", "D) 2.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.70pp\nB) +7.09pp\nC) -18.48pp\nD) -5.69pp", "options": [ "A) +0.70pp", "B) +7.09pp", "C) -18.48pp", "D) -5.69pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.1976\nB) 6.5073\nC) 6.2772\nD) 6.0471", "options": [ "A) 7.1976", "B) 6.5073", "C) 6.2772", "D) 6.0471" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5073", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $-50,970M\nB) $-56,889M\nC) $-45,052M\nD) $-39,134M", "options": [ "A) $-50,970M", "B) $-56,889M", "C) $-45,052M", "D) $-39,134M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-45,052M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $2,567M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $2,567M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$2,567M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.88%", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 3.04%", "D) 4.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.65%\nD) 1.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.83%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 2.65%", "D) 1.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -5.66%\nB) 57.81%\nC) 26.07%\nD) 47.23%", "options": [ "A) -5.66%", "B) 57.81%", "C) 26.07%", "D) 47.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) -12.45%\nB) -16.49%\nC) 7.74%\nD) -4.37%", "options": [ "A) -12.45%", "B) -16.49%", "C) 7.74%", "D) -4.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 76.9900\nB) 97.6763\nC) 83.8854\nD) 70.0946", "options": [ "A) 76.9900", "B) 97.6763", "C) 83.8854", "D) 70.0946" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.9900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,212M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,212M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,212M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.55pp\nB) +3.65pp\nC) +2.10pp\nD) +1.58pp", "options": [ "A) +0.55pp", "B) +3.65pp", "C) +2.10pp", "D) +1.58pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -32.12pp\nB) -25.78pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) -13.10pp", "options": [ "A) -32.12pp", "B) -25.78pp", "C) +5.92pp", "D) -13.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) $8,994B\nB) $9,660B\nC) $8,772B\nD) $9,438B", "options": [ "A) $8,994B", "B) $9,660B", "C) $8,772B", "D) $9,438B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,994B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.30%", "options": [ "A) 0.91%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 0.30%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 2.71%", "options": [ "A) 1.55%", "B) 0.97%", "C) 1.84%", "D) 2.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 0.11%\nD) 4.43%", "options": [ "A) 7.31%", "B) 5.87%", "C) 0.11%", "D) 4.43%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.11%\nB) 4.83%\nC) -7.46%\nD) -19.74%", "options": [ "A) 17.11%", "B) 4.83%", "C) -7.46%", "D) -19.74%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 209.15\nB) 203.20\nC) 197.25\nD) 185.36", "options": [ "A) 209.15", "B) 203.20", "C) 197.25", "D) 185.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "203.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 93.55\nB) 82.22\nC) 86.75\nD) 84.49", "options": [ "A) 93.55", "B) 82.22", "C) 86.75", "D) 84.49" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "86.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,985B\nB) $10,682B\nC) $9,288B\nD) $9,636B", "options": [ "A) $9,985B", "B) $10,682B", "C) $9,288B", "D) $9,636B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,636B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 5.25%", "options": [ "A) 3.45%", "B) 4.35%", "C) 0.75%", "D) 5.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 24.06\nB) 18.24\nC) 6.60\nD) 29.88", "options": [ "A) 24.06", "B) 18.24", "C) 6.60", "D) 29.88" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 348K\nB) 1,243K\nC) 706K\nD) 885K", "options": [ "A) 348K", "B) 1,243K", "C) 706K", "D) 885K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "706K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 93.67\nB) 88.08\nC) 89.94\nD) 91.81", "options": [ "A) 93.67", "B) 88.08", "C) 89.94", "D) 91.81" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "91.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 585K\nB) 1,166K\nC) 972K\nD) 391K", "options": [ "A) 585K", "B) 1,166K", "C) 972K", "D) 391K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "585K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 87.05%\nB) 20.70%\nC) -1.42%\nD) 42.81%", "options": [ "A) 87.05%", "B) 20.70%", "C) -1.42%", "D) 42.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.70%\nB) 6.51%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.93%", "options": [ "A) 7.70%", "B) 6.51%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 2.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $11,189B\nB) $9,810B\nC) $10,327B\nD) $10,672B", "options": [ "A) $11,189B", "B) $9,810B", "C) $10,327B", "D) $10,672B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,672B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.32%\nB) 6.69%\nC) -3.43%\nD) 13.44%", "options": [ "A) 3.32%", "B) 6.69%", "C) -3.43%", "D) 13.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 105.98%\nB) 42.10%\nC) -0.49%\nD) 84.69%", "options": [ "A) 105.98%", "B) 42.10%", "C) -0.49%", "D) 84.69%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "42.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 3.12%", "options": [ "A) 1.40%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 0.93%", "options": [ "A) 2.06%", "B) 0.36%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 0.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 1.19%\nD) 3.37%", "options": [ "A) 0.10%", "B) 2.28%", "C) 1.19%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 1.04%\nC) -1.22%\nD) 4.43%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 1.04%", "C) -1.22%", "D) 4.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +2.04pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.95pp", "options": [ "A) -0.15pp", "B) +2.04pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +0.95pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 13.88%\nB) 27.57%\nC) 20.73%\nD) 7.04%", "options": [ "A) 13.88%", "B) 27.57%", "C) 20.73%", "D) 7.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -1.00pp\nD) -1.21pp", "options": [ "A) -0.60pp", "B) +0.01pp", "C) -1.00pp", "D) -1.21pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $241,476M\nB) $196,393M\nC) $211,421M\nD) $166,338M", "options": [ "A) $241,476M", "B) $196,393M", "C) $211,421M", "D) $166,338M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$196,393M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -13.62%\nB) 15.91%\nC) -3.77%\nD) -33.30%", "options": [ "A) -13.62%", "B) 15.91%", "C) -3.77%", "D) -33.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -34.38%\nC) -44.37%\nD) -14.40%", "options": [ "A) -4.42%", "B) -34.38%", "C) -44.37%", "D) -14.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-14.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 32.05%\nB) -4.51%\nC) 13.77%\nD) 86.88%", "options": [ "A) 32.05%", "B) -4.51%", "C) 13.77%", "D) 86.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,136.50\nB) 2,804.35\nC) 2,472.20\nD) 3,302.57", "options": [ "A) 3,136.50", "B) 2,804.35", "C) 2,472.20", "D) 3,302.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,804.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 69.71%\nB) 79.00%\nC) 76.68%\nD) 72.03%", "options": [ "A) 69.71%", "B) 79.00%", "C) 76.68%", "D) 72.03%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.67%\nB) -12.89%\nC) -6.78%\nD) -3.73%", "options": [ "A) -0.67%", "B) -12.89%", "C) -6.78%", "D) -3.73%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 9.98%\nC) -3.97%\nD) -1.65%", "options": [ "A) 3.01%", "B) 9.98%", "C) -3.97%", "D) -1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2528\nB) 1.3494\nC) 1.4460\nD) 1.5910", "options": [ "A) 1.2528", "B) 1.3494", "C) 1.4460", "D) 1.5910" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.3494", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) +3.85pp\nB) +2.23pp\nC) +2.77pp\nD) +4.39pp", "options": [ "A) +3.85pp", "B) +2.23pp", "C) +2.77pp", "D) +4.39pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.77pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 98.62\nB) 93.08\nC) 101.39\nD) 95.85", "options": [ "A) 98.62", "B) 93.08", "C) 101.39", "D) 95.85" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 9.26%", "options": [ "A) 6.70%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 4.99%", "D) 9.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) +1.46pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -3.06pp\nD) +0.70pp", "options": [ "A) +1.46pp", "B) -0.80pp", "C) -3.06pp", "D) +0.70pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 514,859\nB) 464,430\nC) 414,000\nD) 262,711", "options": [ "A) 514,859", "B) 464,430", "C) 414,000", "D) 262,711" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "414,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 61.37%\nB) 53.19%\nC) 55.23%\nD) 58.30%", "options": [ "A) 61.37%", "B) 53.19%", "C) 55.23%", "D) 58.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 3.13%", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 2.80%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 3.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20111101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -20.23pp\nB) -7.90pp\nC) +4.43pp\nD) -26.39pp", "options": [ "A) -20.23pp", "B) -7.90pp", "C) +4.43pp", "D) -26.39pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -28.49%\nB) -9.80%\nC) 27.58%\nD) 83.64%", "options": [ "A) -28.49%", "B) -9.80%", "C) 27.58%", "D) 83.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20111115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 0.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.86%", "B) 0.94%", "C) 2.79%", "D) 0.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.63%\nB) 5.77%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.87%", "options": [ "A) 4.63%", "B) 5.77%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 3.87%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,114.63\nB) 2,507.98\nC) 2,639.10\nD) 2,376.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,114.63", "B) 2,507.98", "C) 2,639.10", "D) 2,376.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,507.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,114.63\nB) 2,507.98\nC) 2,639.10\nD) 2,376.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,114.63", "B) 2,507.98", "C) 2,639.10", "D) 2,376.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,507.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,686.32\nB) 2,948.55\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,424.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,686.32", "B) 2,948.55", "C) 2,555.20", "D) 2,424.08" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,555.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,686.32\nB) 2,948.55\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,424.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,686.32", "B) 2,948.55", "C) 2,555.20", "D) 2,424.08" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,555.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,710.58\nB) 2,186.11\nC) 2,448.34\nD) 2,579.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,710.58", "B) 2,186.11", "C) 2,448.34", "D) 2,579.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,579.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,710.58\nB) 2,186.11\nC) 2,448.34\nD) 2,579.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,710.58", "B) 2,186.11", "C) 2,448.34", "D) 2,579.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,579.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,622.31\nB) 2,491.19\nC) 3,015.66\nD) 2,753.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,622.31", "B) 2,491.19", "C) 3,015.66", "D) 2,753.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,622.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,622.31\nB) 2,491.19\nC) 3,015.66\nD) 2,753.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,622.31", "B) 2,491.19", "C) 3,015.66", "D) 2,753.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,622.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,869.75\nB) 2,738.63\nC) 2,345.28\nD) 2,607.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,869.75", "B) 2,738.63", "C) 2,345.28", "D) 2,607.51" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,738.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,869.75\nB) 2,738.63\nC) 2,345.28\nD) 2,607.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,869.75", "B) 2,738.63", "C) 2,345.28", "D) 2,607.51" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,738.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,949.43\nB) 2,687.19\nC) 2,818.31\nD) 3,080.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,949.43", "B) 2,687.19", "C) 2,818.31", "D) 3,080.54" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,818.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,949.43\nB) 2,687.19\nC) 2,818.31\nD) 3,080.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2,949.43", "B) 2,687.19", "C) 2,818.31", "D) 3,080.54" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,818.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.02%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.59%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 2.02%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.02%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.59%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 2.02%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 2.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 2.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.97%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.21%", "B) 2.97%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.99%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.42%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 1.85%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 2.42%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 1.85%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 28.06\nB) 35.06\nC) 39.72\nD) 42.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 28.06", "B) 35.06", "C) 39.72", "D) 42.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 28.06\nB) 35.06\nC) 39.72\nD) 42.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 28.06", "B) 35.06", "C) 39.72", "D) 42.06" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 33.91\nC) 31.58\nD) 38.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 26.92", "B) 33.91", "C) 31.58", "D) 38.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 33.91\nC) 31.58\nD) 38.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 26.92", "B) 33.91", "C) 31.58", "D) 38.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 38.58\nB) 29.25\nC) 26.92\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 38.58", "B) 29.25", "C) 26.92", "D) 31.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 38.58\nB) 29.25\nC) 26.92\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 38.58", "B) 29.25", "C) 26.92", "D) 31.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 35.64\nC) 23.98\nD) 33.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 30.98", "B) 35.64", "C) 23.98", "D) 33.31" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 35.64\nC) 23.98\nD) 33.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 30.98", "B) 35.64", "C) 23.98", "D) 33.31" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 19.87\nB) 24.53\nC) 17.53\nD) 22.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 19.87", "B) 24.53", "C) 17.53", "D) 22.20" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 19.87\nB) 24.53\nC) 17.53\nD) 22.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 19.87", "B) 24.53", "C) 17.53", "D) 22.20" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 22.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 25.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 22.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 22.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 25.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 22.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.6049\nB) 1.3451\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.6049", "B) 1.3451", "C) 1.4935", "D) 1.4193" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.6049\nB) 1.3451\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.6049", "B) 1.3451", "C) 1.4935", "D) 1.4193" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.4935\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.2337", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4193", "B) 1.4935", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.2337" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.4935\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.2337", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4193", "B) 1.4935", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.2337" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5678\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.5678", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.4935", "D) 1.3080" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5678\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.5678", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.4935", "D) 1.3080" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5137\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.4394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.5137", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.4394" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5137\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.4394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.5137", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.4394" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4394\nB) 1.1425\nC) 1.2168\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4394", "B) 1.1425", "C) 1.2168", "D) 1.3281" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4394\nB) 1.1425\nC) 1.2168\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.4394", "B) 1.1425", "C) 1.2168", "D) 1.3281" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.0826\nC) 1.3795\nD) 1.1569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2682", "B) 1.0826", "C) 1.3795", "D) 1.1569" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.0826\nC) 1.3795\nD) 1.1569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": [ "A) 1.2682", "B) 1.0826", "C) 1.3795", "D) 1.1569" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 70.8931\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 70.8931", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 70.8931\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 70.8931", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 78.7400\nD) 86.5869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 76.1244", "C) 78.7400", "D) 86.5869" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 78.7400\nD) 86.5869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 76.1244", "C) 78.7400", "D) 86.5869" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 78.7400" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 70.8931", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 78.7400" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 81.3556\nB) 78.7400\nC) 76.1244\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 81.3556", "B) 78.7400", "C) 76.1244", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 81.3556\nB) 78.7400\nC) 76.1244\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 81.3556", "B) 78.7400", "C) 76.1244", "D) 83.9713" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.7944\nB) 84.2569\nC) 76.4100\nD) 79.0256", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.7944", "B) 84.2569", "C) 76.4100", "D) 79.0256" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.7944\nB) 84.2569\nC) 76.4100\nD) 79.0256", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 73.7944", "B) 84.2569", "C) 76.4100", "D) 79.0256" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 27.69\nB) 14.57\nC) 11.29\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 27.69", "B) 14.57", "C) 11.29", "D) 21.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 27.69\nB) 14.57\nC) 11.29\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 27.69", "B) 14.57", "C) 11.29", "D) 21.13" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 21.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 21.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 21.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 21.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 10.34\nB) 16.90\nC) 13.62\nD) 20.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 10.34", "B) 16.90", "C) 13.62", "D) 20.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 10.34\nB) 16.90\nC) 13.62\nD) 20.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 10.34", "B) 16.90", "C) 13.62", "D) 20.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 8.06\nC) 14.62\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 8.06", "C) 14.62", "D) 11.34" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 8.06\nC) 14.62\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 24.46", "B) 8.06", "C) 14.62", "D) 11.34" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 24.46\nC) 17.90\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 24.46", "C) 17.90", "D) 14.62" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 24.46\nC) 17.90\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 11.34", "B) 24.46", "C) 17.90", "D) 14.62" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 21.18\nC) 8.06\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 14.62", "B) 21.18", "C) 8.06", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 21.18\nC) 8.06\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 14.62", "B) 21.18", "C) 8.06", "D) 24.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,019.97\nB) 2,700.97\nC) 3,179.48\nD) 2,860.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,019.97", "B) 2,700.97", "C) 3,179.48", "D) 2,860.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,700.97", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,019.97\nB) 2,700.97\nC) 3,179.48\nD) 2,860.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,019.97", "B) 2,700.97", "C) 3,179.48", "D) 2,860.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,700.97", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,062.06\nB) 3,221.57\nC) 2,743.06\nD) 2,424.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,062.06", "B) 3,221.57", "C) 2,743.06", "D) 2,424.06" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,743.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,062.06\nB) 3,221.57\nC) 2,743.06\nD) 2,424.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,062.06", "B) 3,221.57", "C) 2,743.06", "D) 2,424.06" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,743.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,480.82\nB) 3,118.82\nC) 2,321.31\nD) 2,799.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,480.82", "B) 3,118.82", "C) 2,321.31", "D) 2,799.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,799.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,480.82\nB) 3,118.82\nC) 2,321.31\nD) 2,799.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,480.82", "B) 3,118.82", "C) 2,321.31", "D) 2,799.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,799.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,873.54\nB) 2,714.04\nC) 2,554.54\nD) 2,395.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,873.54", "B) 2,714.04", "C) 2,554.54", "D) 2,395.03" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,873.54\nB) 2,714.04\nC) 2,554.54\nD) 2,395.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,873.54", "B) 2,714.04", "C) 2,554.54", "D) 2,395.03" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,395.03\nB) 2,873.54\nC) 2,714.04\nD) 3,352.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,395.03", "B) 2,873.54", "C) 2,714.04", "D) 3,352.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,395.03\nB) 2,873.54\nC) 2,714.04\nD) 3,352.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 2,395.03", "B) 2,873.54", "C) 2,714.04", "D) 3,352.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,192.54\nB) 3,033.04\nC) 2,873.54\nD) 2,714.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,192.54", "B) 3,033.04", "C) 2,873.54", "D) 2,714.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,192.54\nB) 3,033.04\nC) 2,873.54\nD) 2,714.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) 3,192.54", "B) 3,033.04", "C) 2,873.54", "D) 2,714.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,873.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $96.00/bbl\nB) $112.42/bbl\nC) $117.89/bbl\nD) $101.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $96.00/bbl", "B) $112.42/bbl", "C) $117.89/bbl", "D) $101.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$101.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $96.00/bbl\nB) $112.42/bbl\nC) $117.89/bbl\nD) $101.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $96.00/bbl", "B) $112.42/bbl", "C) $117.89/bbl", "D) $101.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$101.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $105.21/bbl\nB) $99.74/bbl\nC) $110.68/bbl\nD) $88.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $105.21/bbl", "B) $99.74/bbl", "C) $110.68/bbl", "D) $88.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$105.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $105.21/bbl\nB) $99.74/bbl\nC) $110.68/bbl\nD) $88.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $105.21/bbl", "B) $99.74/bbl", "C) $110.68/bbl", "D) $88.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$105.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $123.22/bbl\nB) $112.27/bbl\nC) $95.85/bbl\nD) $117.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $123.22/bbl", "B) $112.27/bbl", "C) $95.85/bbl", "D) $117.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$112.27/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $123.22/bbl\nB) $112.27/bbl\nC) $95.85/bbl\nD) $117.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $123.22/bbl", "B) $112.27/bbl", "C) $95.85/bbl", "D) $117.74/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$112.27/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $113.39/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $107.92/bbl", "B) $124.34/bbl", "C) $113.39/bbl", "D) $96.97/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $113.39/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $107.92/bbl", "B) $124.34/bbl", "C) $113.39/bbl", "D) $96.97/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $102.44/bbl\nD) $113.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $107.92/bbl", "B) $124.34/bbl", "C) $102.44/bbl", "D) $113.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $102.44/bbl\nD) $113.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $107.92/bbl", "B) $124.34/bbl", "C) $102.44/bbl", "D) $113.39/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.39/bbl\nB) $129.81/bbl\nC) $107.92/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $113.39/bbl", "B) $129.81/bbl", "C) $107.92/bbl", "D) $96.97/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.39/bbl\nB) $129.81/bbl\nC) $107.92/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": [ "A) $113.39/bbl", "B) $129.81/bbl", "C) $107.92/bbl", "D) $96.97/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,008.89\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 2,348.19\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,008.89", "B) 2,744.61", "C) 2,348.19", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,008.89\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 2,348.19\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,008.89", "B) 2,744.61", "C) 2,348.19", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,744.61\nD) 2,348.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,141.03", "B) 3,008.89", "C) 2,744.61", "D) 2,348.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,744.61\nD) 2,348.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,141.03", "B) 3,008.89", "C) 2,744.61", "D) 2,348.19" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,480.33\nD) 2,744.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,141.03", "B) 3,008.89", "C) 2,480.33", "D) 2,744.61" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,480.33\nD) 2,744.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3,141.03", "B) 3,008.89", "C) 2,480.33", "D) 2,744.61" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,744.61\nB) 3,141.03\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,744.61", "B) 3,141.03", "C) 3,008.89", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,744.61\nB) 3,141.03\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,744.61", "B) 3,141.03", "C) 3,008.89", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,612.47\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,612.47", "B) 2,744.61", "C) 3,008.89", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,612.47\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,612.47", "B) 2,744.61", "C) 3,008.89", "D) 2,480.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,744.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,391.91\nB) 2,656.19\nC) 2,788.33\nD) 3,184.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,391.91", "B) 2,656.19", "C) 2,788.33", "D) 3,184.75" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,788.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,391.91\nB) 2,656.19\nC) 2,788.33\nD) 3,184.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2,391.91", "B) 2,656.19", "C) 2,788.33", "D) 3,184.75" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,788.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 3.14%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.40%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 38.98\nB) 32.00\nC) 34.33\nD) 27.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 38.98", "B) 32.00", "C) 34.33", "D) 27.35" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 38.98\nB) 32.00\nC) 34.33\nD) 27.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 38.98", "B) 32.00", "C) 34.33", "D) 27.35" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 54.98\nC) 48.00\nD) 41.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 54.98", "C) 48.00", "D) 41.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 54.98\nC) 48.00\nD) 41.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 54.98", "C) 48.00", "D) 41.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 52.65\nB) 50.33\nC) 45.67\nD) 48.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 52.65", "B) 50.33", "C) 45.67", "D) 48.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 52.65\nB) 50.33\nC) 45.67\nD) 48.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 52.65", "B) 50.33", "C) 45.67", "D) 48.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 48.00\nB) 43.35\nC) 41.02\nD) 54.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 48.00", "B) 43.35", "C) 41.02", "D) 54.98" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 48.00\nB) 43.35\nC) 41.02\nD) 54.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 48.00", "B) 43.35", "C) 41.02", "D) 54.98" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 48.00\nC) 43.35\nD) 41.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 48.00", "C) 43.35", "D) 41.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 48.00\nC) 43.35\nD) 41.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 48.00", "C) 43.35", "D) 41.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 45.67\nC) 48.00\nD) 54.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 45.67", "C) 48.00", "D) 54.98" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 45.67\nC) 48.00\nD) 54.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 50.33", "B) 45.67", "C) 48.00", "D) 54.98" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.60%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.60%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.72%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.72%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.04%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.04%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.04%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.60%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.04%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.60%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.16%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 0.27%", "D) 0.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-01-26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-23", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-01-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-23.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.29%", "options": [ "A) 3.54%", "B) 0.16%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 1.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-03-15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-12", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-03-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-12.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 2.35%", "options": [ "A) 3.48%", "B) 1.23%", "C) 0.10%", "D) 2.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-04-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-04-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-24.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 0.09%", "options": [ "A) 3.45%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 0.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-06-22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-19", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-06-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-19.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 1.17%", "options": [ "A) 0.07%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 1.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-08-09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-08-09, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 2.23%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 1.15%", "D) 2.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-09-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-18.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 1.13%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-11-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-30.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.07%", "options": [ "A) 1.11%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 0.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-12-13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2012", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-10", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-12-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-10.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.06%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 3.04%", "D) 2.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2011 (released around 2011-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) -295K\nB) 7K\nC) 309K\nD) 459K", "options": [ "A) -295K", "B) 7K", "C) 309K", "D) 459K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2011 (released around 2011-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) -230K\nB) 70K\nC) 220K\nD) 370K", "options": [ "A) -230K", "B) 70K", "C) 220K", "D) 370K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "220K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2011 (released around 2011-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) -222K\nB) 674K\nC) 375K\nD) 226K", "options": [ "A) -222K", "B) 674K", "C) 375K", "D) 226K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2011 (released around 2011-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 314K\nB) 615K\nC) 13K\nD) 164K", "options": [ "A) 314K", "B) 615K", "C) 13K", "D) 164K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "314K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2011 (released around 2011-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) -196K\nB) 106K\nC) 408K\nD) -346K", "options": [ "A) -196K", "B) 106K", "C) 408K", "D) -346K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "106K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2011 (released around 2011-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) -75K\nB) -227K\nC) 228K\nD) 683K", "options": [ "A) -75K", "B) -227K", "C) 228K", "D) 683K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "228K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2011 (released around 2011-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) 514K\nB) -90K\nC) -241K\nD) 61K", "options": [ "A) 514K", "B) -90K", "C) -241K", "D) 61K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2011 (released around 2011-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) 133K\nB) -169K\nC) -18K\nD) -319K", "options": [ "A) 133K", "B) -169K", "C) -18K", "D) -319K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "133K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2011 (released around 2011-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 68K\nB) 219K\nC) 370K\nD) 522K", "options": [ "A) 68K", "B) 219K", "C) 370K", "D) 522K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "219K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2011 (released around 2011-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) -96K\nB) 666K\nC) 209K\nD) -248K", "options": [ "A) -96K", "B) 666K", "C) 209K", "D) -248K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "209K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2011 (released around 2011-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) -15K\nB) 592K\nC) -318K\nD) 137K", "options": [ "A) -15K", "B) 592K", "C) -318K", "D) 137K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "137K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2011 (released around 2012-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-30.)\n\nA) 198K\nB) 654K\nC) 502K\nD) 46K", "options": [ "A) 198K", "B) 654K", "C) 502K", "D) 46K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "198K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2011 (released around 2011-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) -0.12%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 0.79%", "options": [ "A) -0.12%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 0.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2011 (released around 2011-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.53%\nB) 5.34%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.71%", "options": [ "A) 3.53%", "B) 5.34%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2011 (released around 2011-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) 0.37%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 1.27%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2011 (released around 2011-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-06.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 1.72%", "options": [ "A) 3.50%", "B) 5.29%", "C) 0.82%", "D) 1.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2011 (released around 2011-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 5.36%", "options": [ "A) 4.47%", "B) 3.58%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 5.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2011 (released around 2011-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-06.)\n\nA) 5.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.51%", "options": [ "A) 5.61%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.81%", "D) 6.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2011 (released around 2011-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 3.52%", "options": [ "A) 5.33%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 3.52%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2011", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2011 (released around 2012-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-06.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 5.78%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 3.97%", "options": [ "A) 3.06%", "B) 5.78%", "C) 4.88%", "D) 3.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-14.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 0.91%", "options": [ "A) -1.35%", "B) 2.04%", "C) 5.43%", "D) 0.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-14.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -1.61%", "options": [ "A) 0.63%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 1.74%", "D) -1.61%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) -2.36%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 0.94%", "options": [ "A) 2.04%", "B) -2.36%", "C) -0.16%", "D) 0.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2011", "info_cutoff": "2012-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2011 (advance estimate released around 2012-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2012-02-14.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 4.89%\nC) -0.69%\nD) 2.66%", "options": [ "A) 1.54%", "B) 4.89%", "C) -0.69%", "D) 2.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2010-12-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2010-12-31.)\n\nA) 30.61\nB) 17.61\nC) 21.94\nD) 13.28", "options": [ "A) 30.61", "B) 17.61", "C) 21.94", "D) 13.28" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-07.)\n\nA) 21.86\nB) 8.90\nC) 17.54\nD) 30.51", "options": [ "A) 21.86", "B) 8.90", "C) 17.54", "D) 30.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-14.)\n\nA) 27.01\nB) 9.93\nC) 5.66\nD) 18.47", "options": [ "A) 27.01", "B) 9.93", "C) 5.66", "D) 18.47" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) 19.53\nB) 27.64\nC) 7.37\nD) 23.58", "options": [ "A) 19.53", "B) 27.64", "C) 7.37", "D) 23.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-04.)\n\nA) 12.30\nB) 16.28\nC) 28.23\nD) 20.26", "options": [ "A) 12.30", "B) 16.28", "C) 28.23", "D) 20.26" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-11.)\n\nA) 8.91\nB) 28.43\nC) 16.72\nD) 20.62", "options": [ "A) 8.91", "B) 28.43", "C) 16.72", "D) 20.62" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.72", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) 10.04\nB) 13.70\nC) 28.32\nD) 21.01", "options": [ "A) 10.04", "B) 13.70", "C) 28.32", "D) 21.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-04.)\n\nA) 21.88\nB) 32.32\nC) 28.84\nD) 25.36", "options": [ "A) 21.88", "B) 32.32", "C) 28.84", "D) 25.36" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-11.)\n\nA) 22.84\nB) 29.40\nC) 39.24\nD) 32.68", "options": [ "A) 22.84", "B) 29.40", "C) 39.24", "D) 32.68" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "29.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) 22.46\nB) 10.37\nC) 19.44\nD) 28.51", "options": [ "A) 22.46", "B) 10.37", "C) 19.44", "D) 28.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-01.)\n\nA) 9.21\nB) 26.53\nC) 20.76\nD) 17.87", "options": [ "A) 9.21", "B) 26.53", "C) 20.76", "D) 17.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.09\nB) 8.77\nC) 25.41\nD) 22.64", "options": [ "A) 17.09", "B) 8.77", "C) 25.41", "D) 22.64" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 23.58\nB) 18.40\nC) 13.22\nD) 15.81", "options": [ "A) 23.58", "B) 18.40", "C) 13.22", "D) 15.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 9.56\nC) 17.16\nD) 19.69", "options": [ "A) 12.09", "B) 9.56", "C) 17.16", "D) 19.69" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-13.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 15.73\nC) 20.75\nD) 18.24", "options": [ "A) 13.23", "B) 15.73", "C) 20.75", "D) 18.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) 18.30\nB) 25.69\nC) 20.76\nD) 23.23", "options": [ "A) 18.30", "B) 25.69", "C) 20.76", "D) 23.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-03.)\n\nA) 26.18\nB) 18.86\nC) 23.74\nD) 16.42", "options": [ "A) 26.18", "B) 18.86", "C) 23.74", "D) 16.42" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-10.)\n\nA) 27.57\nB) 15.47\nC) 22.73\nD) 20.31", "options": [ "A) 27.57", "B) 15.47", "C) 22.73", "D) 20.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 22.92\nC) 13.49\nD) 20.56", "options": [ "A) 25.28", "B) 22.92", "C) 13.49", "D) 20.56" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.56", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 16.34\nB) 11.63\nC) 21.05\nD) 23.41", "options": [ "A) 16.34", "B) 11.63", "C) 21.05", "D) 23.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-08.)\n\nA) 13.75\nB) 20.80\nC) 18.45\nD) 16.10", "options": [ "A) 13.75", "B) 20.80", "C) 18.45", "D) 16.10" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) 25.02\nB) 36.65\nC) 32.00\nD) 29.67", "options": [ "A) 25.02", "B) 36.65", "C) 32.00", "D) 29.67" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-05.)\n\nA) 52.68\nB) 45.66\nC) 43.32\nD) 48.00", "options": [ "A) 52.68", "B) 45.66", "C) 43.32", "D) 48.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "48.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-12.)\n\nA) 43.05\nB) 38.01\nC) 50.62\nD) 45.57", "options": [ "A) 43.05", "B) 38.01", "C) 50.62", "D) 45.57" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "43.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) 31.17\nB) 33.92\nC) 25.68\nD) 28.43", "options": [ "A) 31.17", "B) 33.92", "C) 25.68", "D) 28.43" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-02.)\n\nA) 46.88\nB) 44.10\nC) 38.52\nD) 35.73", "options": [ "A) 46.88", "B) 44.10", "C) 38.52", "D) 35.73" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "38.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20110916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-09.)\n\nA) 35.74\nB) 30.05\nC) 44.28\nD) 38.59", "options": [ "A) 35.74", "B) 30.05", "C) 44.28", "D) 38.59" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 45.45\nB) 36.05\nC) 51.72\nD) 39.18", "options": [ "A) 45.45", "B) 36.05", "C) 51.72", "D) 39.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-07.)\n\nA) 29.78\nB) 33.02\nC) 23.30\nD) 39.50", "options": [ "A) 29.78", "B) 33.02", "C) 23.30", "D) 39.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-14.)\n\nA) 24.98\nB) 44.58\nC) 34.78\nD) 28.25", "options": [ "A) 24.98", "B) 44.58", "C) 34.78", "D) 28.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) 24.81\nB) 44.73\nC) 28.13\nD) 34.77", "options": [ "A) 24.81", "B) 44.73", "C) 28.13", "D) 34.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "34.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-04.)\n\nA) 36.16\nB) 39.50\nC) 46.17\nD) 29.48", "options": [ "A) 36.16", "B) 39.50", "C) 46.17", "D) 29.48" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-11.)\n\nA) 37.87\nB) 34.51\nC) 24.42\nD) 41.24", "options": [ "A) 37.87", "B) 34.51", "C) 24.42", "D) 41.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "34.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) 38.99\nB) 35.56\nC) 32.13\nD) 21.84", "options": [ "A) 38.99", "B) 35.56", "C) 32.13", "D) 21.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-02.)\n\nA) 20.27\nB) 27.15\nC) 34.03\nD) 30.59", "options": [ "A) 20.27", "B) 27.15", "C) 34.03", "D) 30.59" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20111216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-09.)\n\nA) 26.04\nB) 15.69\nC) 22.59\nD) 29.49", "options": [ "A) 26.04", "B) 15.69", "C) 22.59", "D) 29.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "26.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2010-12-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2010-12-31.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 0.43%\nC) -3.66%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) 4.53%", "B) 0.43%", "C) -3.66%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-07.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) -0.97%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 0.39%", "options": [ "A) 3.12%", "B) -0.97%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 0.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-14.)\n\nA) -4.12%\nB) 1.31%\nC) -6.83%\nD) -2.76%", "options": [ "A) -4.12%", "B) 1.31%", "C) -6.83%", "D) -2.76%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) -1.49%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 6.62%", "options": [ "A) 2.56%", "B) -1.49%", "C) 3.91%", "D) 6.62%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-04.)\n\nA) -3.11%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -1.77%", "options": [ "A) -3.11%", "B) 0.91%", "C) 2.26%", "D) -1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-11.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) -3.37%\nC) 0.60%\nD) -2.05%", "options": [ "A) 1.92%", "B) -3.37%", "C) 0.60%", "D) -2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -1.25%\nD) 0.09%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) 2.76%", "C) -1.25%", "D) 0.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-04.)\n\nA) -1.09%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -5.12%", "options": [ "A) -1.09%", "B) 1.59%", "C) -3.78%", "D) -5.12%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-11.)\n\nA) -6.17%\nB) -2.12%\nC) -4.82%\nD) -0.77%", "options": [ "A) -6.17%", "B) -2.12%", "C) -4.82%", "D) -0.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 2.16%\nD) -0.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.25%", "B) -1.93%", "C) 2.16%", "D) -0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -1.68%\nD) -0.31%", "options": [ "A) 1.05%", "B) -3.05%", "C) -1.68%", "D) -0.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-08.)\n\nA) -0.25%\nB) 3.84%\nC) -4.33%\nD) -2.97%", "options": [ "A) -0.25%", "B) 3.84%", "C) -4.33%", "D) -2.97%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 0.09%\nB) -1.28%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 1.45%", "options": [ "A) 0.09%", "B) -1.28%", "C) 2.81%", "D) 1.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 0.81%\nC) -0.52%\nD) -4.51%", "options": [ "A) 3.47%", "B) 0.81%", "C) -0.52%", "D) -4.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-13.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 0.76%", "options": [ "A) -1.75%", "B) 3.26%", "C) 2.01%", "D) 0.76%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) -3.62%\nB) -6.04%\nC) -4.83%\nD) -7.26%", "options": [ "A) -3.62%", "B) -6.04%", "C) -4.83%", "D) -7.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-03.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) -2.18%\nC) -0.99%\nD) 1.38%", "options": [ "A) 0.20%", "B) -2.18%", "C) -0.99%", "D) 1.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-10.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 1.44%\nC) -0.88%\nD) -4.35%", "options": [ "A) 2.59%", "B) 1.44%", "C) -0.88%", "D) -4.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 7.05%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 7.05%", "C) 5.90%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) -1.03%\nC) -2.15%\nD) 3.44%", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) -1.03%", "C) -2.15%", "D) 3.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) -0.46%\nC) 2.85%\nD) -1.56%", "options": [ "A) 0.64%", "B) -0.46%", "C) 2.85%", "D) -1.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) -5.56%\nB) -4.47%\nC) -7.73%\nD) -9.91%", "options": [ "A) -5.56%", "B) -4.47%", "C) -7.73%", "D) -9.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-05.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 5.22%\nC) 4.07%\nD) 6.37%", "options": [ "A) 8.68%", "B) 5.22%", "C) 4.07%", "D) 6.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-12.)\n\nA) -8.35%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -11.05%\nD) -4.30%", "options": [ "A) -8.35%", "B) -5.65%", "C) -11.05%", "D) -4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) -7.52%\nB) -3.19%\nC) -1.75%\nD) 1.14%", "options": [ "A) -7.52%", "B) -3.19%", "C) -1.75%", "D) 1.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-02.)\n\nA) -1.69%\nB) 1.22%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 4.12%", "options": [ "A) -1.69%", "B) 1.22%", "C) -0.24%", "D) 4.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-09.)\n\nA) 9.50%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 8.04%\nD) 5.10%", "options": [ "A) 9.50%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 8.04%", "D) 5.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 9.17%", "options": [ "A) 6.14%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 9.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-07.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 8.60%", "options": [ "A) 7.06%", "B) 3.97%", "C) 0.88%", "D) 8.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-14.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 0.86%\nD) 4.00%", "options": [ "A) 5.57%", "B) 2.43%", "C) 0.86%", "D) 4.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 3.28%\nC) -1.55%\nD) 0.06%", "options": [ "A) 1.67%", "B) 3.28%", "C) -1.55%", "D) 0.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-04.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -5.52%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 1.02%", "options": [ "A) -0.61%", "B) -5.52%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 1.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-11.)\n\nA) -6.51%\nB) -3.19%\nC) 0.14%\nD) -8.17%", "options": [ "A) -6.51%", "B) -3.19%", "C) 0.14%", "D) -8.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 7.28%", "options": [ "A) -1.07%", "B) 2.27%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 7.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-02.)\n\nA) -3.74%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 4.77%\nD) -0.34%", "options": [ "A) -3.74%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 4.77%", "D) -0.34%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2011-12-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-09.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -5.61%\nD) -3.89%", "options": [ "A) -2.18%", "B) 1.25%", "C) -5.61%", "D) -3.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2011 } ]