[ { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 91.70\nB) 82.05\nC) 106.17\nD) 86.88", "options": [ "A) 91.70", "B) 82.05", "C) 106.17", "D) 86.88" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $231,535M\nB) $216,792M\nC) $238,907M\nD) $209,420M", "options": [ "A) $231,535M", "B) $216,792M", "C) $238,907M", "D) $209,420M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$216,792M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 2.21%", "options": [ "A) 2.04%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.72%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 1.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.70%\nB) 56.72%\nC) 60.89%\nD) 57.91%", "options": [ "A) 59.70%", "B) 56.72%", "C) 60.89%", "D) 57.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.21\nB) 116.77\nC) 103.94\nD) 112.49", "options": [ "A) 108.21", "B) 116.77", "C) 103.94", "D) 112.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "116.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 7.56%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 4.67%", "options": [ "A) 6.11%", "B) 7.56%", "C) 6.84%", "D) 4.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 115.06\nB) 106.78\nC) 123.34\nD) 110.92", "options": [ "A) 115.06", "B) 106.78", "C) 123.34", "D) 110.92" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "110.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 65.84%\nD) 60.82%", "options": [ "A) 62.70%", "B) 64.58%", "C) 65.84%", "D) 60.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $13,092B\nB) $12,788B\nC) $13,395B\nD) $13,699B", "options": [ "A) $13,092B", "B) $12,788B", "C) $13,395B", "D) $13,699B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,788B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 11.61%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 14.66%", "options": [ "A) 11.61%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 14.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 17.41\nB) 15.39\nC) 19.42\nD) 13.37", "options": [ "A) 17.41", "B) 15.39", "C) 19.42", "D) 13.37" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 1.86%", "options": [ "A) 1.66%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.46%", "D) 1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.35\nB) 98.85\nC) 101.05\nD) 96.65", "options": [ "A) 93.35", "B) 98.85", "C) 101.05", "D) 96.65" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) -5.16%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 16.84%", "options": [ "A) 0.34%", "B) -5.16%", "C) 5.84%", "D) 16.84%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.79%\nB) 2.86%\nC) -13.12%\nD) -5.13%", "options": [ "A) -7.79%", "B) 2.86%", "C) -13.12%", "D) -5.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 7.94%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 7.20%", "options": [ "A) 5.71%", "B) 7.94%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 7.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 73.45%\nB) 74.95%\nC) 77.20%\nD) 71.20%", "options": [ "A) 73.45%", "B) 74.95%", "C) 77.20%", "D) 71.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $13,291B\nB) $13,780B\nC) $12,802B\nD) $12,313B", "options": [ "A) $13,291B", "B) $13,780B", "C) $12,802B", "D) $12,313B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,802B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) -3.37pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -1.81pp", "options": [ "A) +0.54pp", "B) -3.37pp", "C) -1.03pp", "D) -1.81pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.81pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,230K\nB) 1,151K\nC) 1,468K\nD) 1,071K", "options": [ "A) 1,230K", "B) 1,151K", "C) 1,468K", "D) 1,071K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,230K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 242.14\nB) 248.42\nC) 264.14\nD) 257.85", "options": [ "A) 242.14", "B) 248.42", "C) 264.14", "D) 257.85" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "248.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 107.00\nB) 125.73\nC) 114.49\nD) 118.24", "options": [ "A) 107.00", "B) 125.73", "C) 114.49", "D) 118.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "114.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 0.53%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.43%\nB) 77.69%\nC) 73.17%\nD) 70.15%", "options": [ "A) 75.43%", "B) 77.69%", "C) 73.17%", "D) 70.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.41%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 0.46%", "options": [ "A) 0.57%", "B) 0.41%", "C) 0.36%", "D) 0.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 65.84%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 60.82%", "options": [ "A) 65.84%", "B) 64.58%", "C) 62.70%", "D) 60.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 61.01%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 62.90%", "options": [ "A) 61.01%", "B) 64.16%", "C) 66.05%", "D) 62.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 7.96%\nD) 6.54%", "options": [ "A) 7.25%", "B) 5.83%", "C) 7.96%", "D) 6.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.08%", "options": [ "A) 1.53%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 2.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 113.40\nC) 110.10\nD) 103.49", "options": [ "A) 106.80", "B) 113.40", "C) 110.10", "D) 103.49" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "110.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,836M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,836M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,836M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $-40,146M\nB) $-42,126M\nC) $-46,086M\nD) $-34,206M", "options": [ "A) $-40,146M", "B) $-42,126M", "C) $-46,086M", "D) $-34,206M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-40,146M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 7.61%\nD) 12.44%", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 5.19%", "C) 7.61%", "D) 12.44%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.94%\nB) -17.16%\nC) -2.73%\nD) -24.37%", "options": [ "A) -9.94%", "B) -17.16%", "C) -2.73%", "D) -24.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 95.69\nB) 93.65\nC) 100.80\nD) 97.74", "options": [ "A) 95.69", "B) 93.65", "C) 100.80", "D) 97.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) $45.72/bbl\nB) $82.66/bbl\nC) $33.41/bbl\nD) $8.78/bbl", "options": [ "A) $45.72/bbl", "B) $82.66/bbl", "C) $33.41/bbl", "D) $8.78/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$45.72/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 286,995\nB) 264,000\nC) 195,014\nD) 332,986", "options": [ "A) 286,995", "B) 264,000", "C) 195,014", "D) 332,986" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "264,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.75pp\nB) -11.80pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) +4.40pp", "options": [ "A) -7.75pp", "B) -11.80pp", "C) -3.70pp", "D) +4.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $481,543M\nB) $439,414M\nC) $418,349M\nD) $449,946M", "options": [ "A) $481,543M", "B) $439,414M", "C) $418,349M", "D) $449,946M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$449,946M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%", "options": [ "A) 2.23%", "B) 2.62%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 2.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.96%", "B) 3.43%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.68%\nB) 2.41%\nC) -1.46%\nD) 0.09%", "options": [ "A) -0.68%", "B) 2.41%", "C) -1.46%", "D) 0.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 0.80%\nC) 1.24%\nD) 1.13%", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) 0.80%", "C) 1.24%", "D) 1.13%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.8464\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.3168\nD) 6.6478", "options": [ "A) 6.8464", "B) 6.5154", "C) 6.3168", "D) 6.6478" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5154", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -0.78%", "options": [ "A) 1.39%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 0.85%", "D) -0.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 105.02\nB) 101.10\nC) 95.21\nD) 98.15", "options": [ "A) 105.02", "B) 101.10", "C) 95.21", "D) 98.15" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "98.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 8.82%\nD) 7.01%", "options": [ "A) 5.19%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 8.82%", "D) 7.01%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 0.57%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 1.54%", "D) 0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 96.92\nB) 100.88\nC) 98.90\nD) 102.86", "options": [ "A) 96.92", "B) 100.88", "C) 98.90", "D) 102.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.40\nB) 95.52\nC) 101.43\nD) 98.48", "options": [ "A) 103.40", "B) 95.52", "C) 101.43", "D) 98.48" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "98.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.19%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -11.81%\nD) 3.44%", "options": [ "A) -4.19%", "B) -9.27%", "C) -11.81%", "D) 3.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.82%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 5.98%", "options": [ "A) 4.82%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 3.65%", "D) 5.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 18,263.33\nB) 19,195.13\nC) 18,636.05\nD) 17,704.25", "options": [ "A) 18,263.33", "B) 19,195.13", "C) 18,636.05", "D) 17,704.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18,636.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.37%", "options": [ "A) 0.21%", "B) 0.31%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +1.00pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) +0.87pp", "options": [ "A) +0.60pp", "B) +1.00pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) +0.87pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -6.22%\nB) 2.20%\nC) -2.01%\nD) 6.41%", "options": [ "A) -6.22%", "B) 2.20%", "C) -2.01%", "D) 6.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.17pp\nB) -0.08pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.04pp", "options": [ "A) +0.17pp", "B) -0.08pp", "C) +0.30pp", "D) +0.04pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 244.46\nB) 225.47\nC) 230.22\nD) 237.34", "options": [ "A) 244.46", "B) 225.47", "C) 230.22", "D) 237.34" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "237.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 5.78%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 0.53%", "options": [ "A) 2.63%", "B) 5.78%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $21.93/hr\nB) $21.33/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $20.43/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.93/hr", "B) $21.33/hr", "C) $22.52/hr", "D) $20.43/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.33/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.61pp\nB) +0.18pp\nC) +0.83pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": [ "A) +0.61pp", "B) +0.18pp", "C) +0.83pp", "D) +0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.83pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.80%", "options": [ "A) 2.78%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 4.13%", "D) 4.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 262,000\nB) 310,607\nC) 286,303\nD) 213,393", "options": [ "A) 262,000", "B) 310,607", "C) 286,303", "D) 213,393" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "262,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 0.32%\nC) -1.55%\nD) -3.43%", "options": [ "A) 2.20%", "B) 0.32%", "C) -1.55%", "D) -3.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.7140\nB) 6.3228\nC) 6.5184\nD) 6.9747", "options": [ "A) 6.7140", "B) 6.3228", "C) 6.5184", "D) 6.9747" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5184", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 0.99%\nD) 1.55%", "options": [ "A) 1.17%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 0.99%", "D) 1.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $21.71/hr\nB) $22.68/hr\nC) $20.74/hr\nD) $20.09/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.71/hr", "B) $22.68/hr", "C) $20.74/hr", "D) $20.09/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.71/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 93.1804\nB) 101.0200\nC) 85.3407\nD) 108.8596", "options": [ "A) 93.1804", "B) 101.0200", "C) 85.3407", "D) 108.8596" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.0200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 107.51\nC) 109.70\nD) 114.09", "options": [ "A) 111.89", "B) 107.51", "C) 109.70", "D) 114.09" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.6872\nB) 7.2765\nC) 7.0240\nD) 6.8556", "options": [ "A) 6.6872", "B) 7.2765", "C) 7.0240", "D) 6.8556" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.8556", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,116B\nB) $14,430B\nC) $13,488B\nD) $13,802B", "options": [ "A) $14,116B", "B) $14,430B", "C) $13,488B", "D) $13,802B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,116B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) $74.36/bbl\nB) $44.15/bbl\nC) $59.26/bbl\nD) $89.47/bbl", "options": [ "A) $74.36/bbl", "B) $44.15/bbl", "C) $59.26/bbl", "D) $89.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$44.15/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.65%", "B) 1.03%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 56.81%\nB) 61.59%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 59.80%", "options": [ "A) 56.81%", "B) 61.59%", "C) 58.01%", "D) 59.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.52pp\nC) +0.64pp\nD) +0.76pp", "options": [ "A) +0.40pp", "B) +0.52pp", "C) +0.64pp", "D) +0.76pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) $11,647B\nB) $12,080B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $12,944B", "options": [ "A) $11,647B", "B) $12,080B", "C) $10,783B", "D) $12,944B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,080B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -8.85%\nB) 27.94%\nC) 3.41%\nD) -33.38%", "options": [ "A) -8.85%", "B) 27.94%", "C) 3.41%", "D) -33.38%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 2.32%", "options": [ "A) 2.69%", "B) 2.50%", "C) 2.14%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 3.18%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.39%", "options": [ "A) 2.97%", "B) 3.18%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 3.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.63pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.06pp\nD) +0.09pp", "options": [ "A) -0.63pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.06pp", "D) +0.09pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $13,486B\nB) $11,997B\nC) $12,990B\nD) $11,500B", "options": [ "A) $13,486B", "B) $11,997B", "C) $12,990B", "D) $11,500B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,990B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $244,105M\nB) $237,109M\nC) $209,125M\nD) $223,117M", "options": [ "A) $244,105M", "B) $237,109M", "C) $209,125M", "D) $223,117M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$223,117M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 247.14\nB) 234.92\nC) 241.03\nD) 253.24", "options": [ "A) 247.14", "B) 234.92", "C) 241.03", "D) 253.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "247.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 152,860K\nB) 143,900K\nC) 147,484K\nD) 140,316K", "options": [ "A) 152,860K", "B) 143,900K", "C) 147,484K", "D) 140,316K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "143,900K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.75%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 6.98%\nD) 3.28%", "options": [ "A) 5.75%", "B) 8.22%", "C) 6.98%", "D) 3.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $13,438B\nB) $12,849B\nC) $12,260B\nD) $12,554B", "options": [ "A) $13,438B", "B) $12,849B", "C) $12,260B", "D) $12,554B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,554B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0726\nB) 1.1777\nC) 0.9150\nD) 1.1251", "options": [ "A) 1.0726", "B) 1.1777", "C) 0.9150", "D) 1.1251" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0726", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -26.12%\nB) -4.20%\nC) 17.72%\nD) -18.81%", "options": [ "A) -26.12%", "B) -4.20%", "C) 17.72%", "D) -18.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 3.40%", "options": [ "A) 2.39%", "B) 2.13%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 3.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 233.06\nB) 239.29\nC) 254.85\nD) 245.51", "options": [ "A) 233.06", "B) 239.29", "C) 254.85", "D) 245.51" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "245.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) $48.49/bbl\nB) $76.86/bbl\nC) $91.05/bbl\nD) $34.30/bbl", "options": [ "A) $48.49/bbl", "B) $76.86/bbl", "C) $91.05/bbl", "D) $34.30/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$48.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 276,064\nB) 232,000\nC) 254,032\nD) 187,936", "options": [ "A) 276,064", "B) 232,000", "C) 254,032", "D) 187,936" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "232,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 138,014K\nB) 147,000K\nC) 143,406K\nD) 152,392K", "options": [ "A) 138,014K", "B) 147,000K", "C) 143,406K", "D) 152,392K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "143,406K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.59%\nB) 58.01%\nC) 56.81%\nD) 59.80%", "options": [ "A) 61.59%", "B) 58.01%", "C) 56.81%", "D) 59.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 5,275.62\nB) 6,115.39\nC) 6,535.28\nD) 5,695.51", "options": [ "A) 5,275.62", "B) 6,115.39", "C) 6,535.28", "D) 5,695.51" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,275.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.25\nB) 98.28\nC) 96.31\nD) 94.33", "options": [ "A) 101.25", "B) 98.28", "C) 96.31", "D) 94.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 0.74%\nD) 1.04%", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) 0.84%", "C) 0.74%", "D) 1.04%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.04%\nB) -17.45%\nC) -24.75%\nD) -2.86%", "options": [ "A) 19.04%", "B) -17.45%", "C) -24.75%", "D) -2.86%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.76%\nB) -7.19%\nC) -9.40%\nD) 3.88%", "options": [ "A) -2.76%", "B) -7.19%", "C) -9.40%", "D) 3.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 115.13\nB) 111.12\nC) 107.12\nD) 123.14", "options": [ "A) 115.13", "B) 111.12", "C) 107.12", "D) 123.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 72.95%\nB) 76.71%\nC) 75.20%\nD) 78.96%", "options": [ "A) 72.95%", "B) 76.71%", "C) 75.20%", "D) 78.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "75.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 5,306.50\nB) 4,000.69\nC) 4,871.23\nD) 4,435.96", "options": [ "A) 5,306.50", "B) 4,000.69", "C) 4,871.23", "D) 4,435.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,435.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.37%", "options": [ "A) 2.15%", "B) 2.03%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 2.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 1.80%\nD) 1.98%", "options": [ "A) 2.73%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 1.80%", "D) 1.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,067B\nB) $13,239B\nC) $12,653B\nD) $12,946B", "options": [ "A) $12,067B", "B) $13,239B", "C) $12,653B", "D) $12,946B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,653B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -51.90%\nB) -9.54%\nC) 4.58%\nD) -23.66%", "options": [ "A) -51.90%", "B) -9.54%", "C) 4.58%", "D) -23.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-23.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,177,000\nB) 2,690,056\nC) 1,920,472\nD) 2,946,584", "options": [ "A) 2,177,000", "B) 2,690,056", "C) 1,920,472", "D) 2,946,584" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,177,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) $61.94/bbl\nB) $29.05/bbl\nC) $-3.84/bbl\nD) $50.98/bbl", "options": [ "A) $61.94/bbl", "B) $29.05/bbl", "C) $-3.84/bbl", "D) $50.98/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$29.05/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 3.77%", "options": [ "A) 5.14%", "B) 1.03%", "C) 3.09%", "D) 3.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 94.01\nB) 101.00\nC) 97.01\nD) 99.00", "options": [ "A) 94.01", "B) 101.00", "C) 97.01", "D) 99.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "99.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 242.03\nB) 249.29\nC) 256.55\nD) 234.77", "options": [ "A) 242.03", "B) 249.29", "C) 256.55", "D) 234.77" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "242.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 1.27%", "options": [ "A) 1.66%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 0.50%", "D) 1.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,401.75\nB) 3,971.62\nC) 5,262.02\nD) 5,692.15", "options": [ "A) 4,401.75", "B) 3,971.62", "C) 5,262.02", "D) 5,692.15" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,262.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.28%", "options": [ "A) -0.53%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 1.28%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.57%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 19.22%", "options": [ "A) 9.57%", "B) -0.08%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 19.22%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) $33.10/bbl\nB) $45.86/bbl\nC) $20.34/bbl\nD) $7.58/bbl", "options": [ "A) $33.10/bbl", "B) $45.86/bbl", "C) $20.34/bbl", "D) $7.58/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$45.86/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.24%", "options": [ "A) 2.81%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 3.24%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,993,285\nB) 1,681,144\nC) 2,730,856\nD) 2,206,000", "options": [ "A) 2,993,285", "B) 1,681,144", "C) 2,730,856", "D) 2,206,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,206,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.35%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 0.35%", "C) 0.25%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 57.91%\nB) 59.70%\nC) 61.49%\nD) 62.69%", "options": [ "A) 57.91%", "B) 59.70%", "C) 61.49%", "D) 62.69%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.24%", "options": [ "A) 4.07%", "B) 3.90%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 3.24%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $63,549M\nB) $59,703M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $60,985M", "options": [ "A) $63,549M", "B) $59,703M", "C) $64,831M", "D) $60,985M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$60,985M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.70%\nB) 30.56%\nC) -15.16%\nD) -26.59%", "options": [ "A) 7.70%", "B) 30.56%", "C) -15.16%", "D) -26.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.94%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 0.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.94%", "B) 2.73%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 0.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.30pp\nB) -4.09pp\nC) -1.74pp\nD) -0.96pp", "options": [ "A) -3.30pp", "B) -4.09pp", "C) -1.74pp", "D) -0.96pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.74pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $12,584B\nB) $13,511B\nC) $12,275B\nD) $12,893B", "options": [ "A) $12,584B", "B) $13,511B", "C) $12,275B", "D) $12,893B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,893B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -1.08pp\nD) -0.66pp", "options": [ "A) -0.80pp", "B) -1.23pp", "C) -1.08pp", "D) -0.66pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 1.35%", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 1.75%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 1.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.34%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 1.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.50%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 1.86%", "D) 1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) $11,703B\nB) $12,479B\nC) $12,091B\nD) $10,541B", "options": [ "A) $11,703B", "B) $12,479B", "C) $12,091B", "D) $10,541B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,703B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +8.06pp\nB) +4.00pp\nC) +16.17pp\nD) -8.17pp", "options": [ "A) +8.06pp", "B) +4.00pp", "C) +16.17pp", "D) -8.17pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+4.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 101.70\nC) 98.70\nD) 103.71", "options": [ "A) 96.70", "B) 101.70", "C) 98.70", "D) 103.71" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 2,513,347\nB) 2,747,520\nC) 2,279,173\nD) 2,045,000", "options": [ "A) 2,513,347", "B) 2,747,520", "C) 2,279,173", "D) 2,045,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,045,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.24%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 12.53%\nD) -13.02%", "options": [ "A) -0.24%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 12.53%", "D) -13.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.64%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 5.70%\nD) -0.66%", "options": [ "A) 4.64%", "B) 2.52%", "C) 5.70%", "D) -0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.64%\nB) -3.43%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 16.13%", "options": [ "A) 22.64%", "B) -3.43%", "C) 3.09%", "D) 16.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.82pp\nB) +1.70pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +1.04pp", "options": [ "A) +0.82pp", "B) +1.70pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) +1.04pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $21.48/hr\nB) $20.28/hr\nC) $22.38/hr\nD) $20.88/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.48/hr", "B) $20.28/hr", "C) $22.38/hr", "D) $20.88/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.48/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 190.51\nB) 186.60\nC) 182.69\nD) 174.86", "options": [ "A) 190.51", "B) 186.60", "C) 182.69", "D) 174.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "186.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 3.45%", "B) 4.10%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $3,630M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $3,630M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,630M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 24.69%\nC) -3.39%\nD) -10.41%", "options": [ "A) 3.63%", "B) 24.69%", "C) -3.39%", "D) -10.41%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 2,384,504\nB) 2,137,000\nC) 2,632,007\nD) 1,394,489", "options": [ "A) 2,384,504", "B) 2,137,000", "C) 2,632,007", "D) 1,394,489" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,137,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.04%\nB) -10.13%\nC) -4.31%\nD) 4.42%", "options": [ "A) -13.04%", "B) -10.13%", "C) -4.31%", "D) 4.42%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 0.18%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 0.31%", "options": [ "A) 0.10%", "B) 0.18%", "C) 0.39%", "D) 0.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 6.23%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 6.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.61\nB) 93.80\nC) 101.67\nD) 97.74", "options": [ "A) 105.61", "B) 93.80", "C) 101.67", "D) 97.74" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 1,113K\nC) 1,205K\nD) 1,480K", "options": [ "A) 930K", "B) 1,113K", "C) 1,205K", "D) 1,480K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,205K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $409,446M\nB) $465,564M\nC) $431,893M\nD) $443,117M", "options": [ "A) $409,446M", "B) $465,564M", "C) $431,893M", "D) $443,117M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$443,117M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,140K\nB) 1,058K\nC) 1,304K\nD) 1,386K", "options": [ "A) 1,140K", "B) 1,058K", "C) 1,304K", "D) 1,386K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,140K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.57%", "options": [ "A) 2.47%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 2.57%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.96%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 2.58%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 3.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 247.76\nB) 233.33\nC) 228.52\nD) 240.54", "options": [ "A) 247.76", "B) 233.33", "C) 228.52", "D) 240.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "240.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.17pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) +0.56pp", "options": [ "A) +0.30pp", "B) +0.17pp", "C) +0.04pp", "D) +0.56pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) -5.04%\nC) -15.11%\nD) -11.76%", "options": [ "A) 5.02%", "B) -5.04%", "C) -15.11%", "D) -11.76%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.54%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 0.25%", "options": [ "A) -0.54%", "B) 1.04%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 0.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -16.43%\nB) 17.61%\nC) -2.82%\nD) 3.99%", "options": [ "A) -16.43%", "B) 17.61%", "C) -2.82%", "D) 3.99%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.09%\nB) -0.71%\nC) -1.51%\nD) -2.31%", "options": [ "A) 0.09%", "B) -0.71%", "C) -1.51%", "D) -2.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,373K\nB) 1,201K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 1,287K", "options": [ "A) 1,373K", "B) 1,201K", "C) 1,029K", "D) 1,287K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,201K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 4.71%", "options": [ "A) 4.40%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 4.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.31%", "options": [ "A) 2.63%", "B) 2.41%", "C) 1.99%", "D) 2.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1199\nB) 1.2260\nC) 1.1729\nD) 1.0669", "options": [ "A) 1.1199", "B) 1.2260", "C) 1.1729", "D) 1.0669" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1199", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 25.43%\nB) 3.91%\nC) -17.62%\nD) 36.19%", "options": [ "A) 25.43%", "B) 3.91%", "C) -17.62%", "D) 36.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) $32.58/bbl\nB) $62.04/bbl\nC) $47.31/bbl\nD) $3.11/bbl", "options": [ "A) $32.58/bbl", "B) $62.04/bbl", "C) $47.31/bbl", "D) $3.11/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$47.31/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 4.94%", "options": [ "A) 0.42%", "B) -1.84%", "C) 7.20%", "D) 4.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 2.95%\nD) -1.11%", "options": [ "A) 4.99%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 2.95%", "D) -1.11%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -14.24%\nB) -1.13%\nC) -20.80%\nD) 5.43%", "options": [ "A) -14.24%", "B) -1.13%", "C) -20.80%", "D) 5.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 187.59\nB) 168.71\nC) 181.30\nD) 175.01", "options": [ "A) 187.59", "B) 168.71", "C) 181.30", "D) 175.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "181.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 173.47\nB) 200.90\nC) 194.04\nD) 180.32", "options": [ "A) 173.47", "B) 200.90", "C) 194.04", "D) 180.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "180.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -5.40%\nB) 5.09%\nC) -21.15%\nD) -10.65%", "options": [ "A) -5.40%", "B) 5.09%", "C) -21.15%", "D) -10.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 77.24%\nB) 75.73%\nC) 79.52%\nD) 74.21%", "options": [ "A) 77.24%", "B) 75.73%", "C) 79.52%", "D) 74.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -32.36%\nB) -7.85%\nC) -20.11%\nD) -44.62%", "options": [ "A) -32.36%", "B) -7.85%", "C) -20.11%", "D) -44.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-20.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 7.29%", "options": [ "A) 4.21%", "B) 5.24%", "C) 6.26%", "D) 7.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.47%", "options": [ "A) 2.27%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 2.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.02/hr\nB) $21.60/hr\nC) $20.65/hr\nD) $22.23/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.02/hr", "B) $21.60/hr", "C) $20.65/hr", "D) $22.23/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.60/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) $11,476B\nB) $13,118B\nC) $11,887B\nD) $10,656B", "options": [ "A) $11,476B", "B) $13,118B", "C) $11,887B", "D) $10,656B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,887B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 0.38%", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 0.46%", "C) 0.56%", "D) 0.38%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.6370\nB) 6.9925\nC) 6.4948\nD) 6.7792", "options": [ "A) 6.6370", "B) 6.9925", "C) 6.4948", "D) 6.7792" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.6370", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 130.2480\nB) 113.9000\nC) 89.3780\nD) 138.4220", "options": [ "A) 130.2480", "B) 113.9000", "C) 89.3780", "D) 138.4220" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "113.9000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 100.93\nB) 92.14\nC) 98.42\nD) 95.91", "options": [ "A) 100.93", "B) 92.14", "C) 98.42", "D) 95.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $-41,200M\nB) $-45,412M\nC) $-47,518M\nD) $-43,306M", "options": [ "A) $-41,200M", "B) $-45,412M", "C) $-47,518M", "D) $-43,306M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-43,306M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.9400\nB) 131.0082\nC) 116.2961\nD) 101.5839", "options": [ "A) 108.9400", "B) 131.0082", "C) 116.2961", "D) 101.5839" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.9400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 19,490.75\nB) 18,923.06\nC) 17,598.45\nD) 18,355.37", "options": [ "A) 19,490.75", "B) 18,923.06", "C) 17,598.45", "D) 18,355.37" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18,923.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,872M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $3,872M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,872M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $474,449M\nB) $484,727M\nC) $433,335M\nD) $453,892M", "options": [ "A) $474,449M", "B) $484,727M", "C) $433,335M", "D) $453,892M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$453,892M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $13,774B\nB) $12,866B\nC) $13,169B\nD) $14,681B", "options": [ "A) $13,774B", "B) $12,866B", "C) $13,169B", "D) $14,681B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13,774B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 104.36\nB) 94.70\nC) 80.21\nD) 109.19", "options": [ "A) 104.36", "B) 94.70", "C) 80.21", "D) 109.19" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -16.62%\nB) 12.22%\nC) -9.41%\nD) -23.83%", "options": [ "A) -16.62%", "B) 12.22%", "C) -9.41%", "D) -23.83%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-9.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 4.90%", "options": [ "A) 6.94%", "B) 3.54%", "C) 4.22%", "D) 4.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.80%\nB) 64.06%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 59.66%", "options": [ "A) 62.80%", "B) 64.06%", "C) 61.54%", "D) 59.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 135,837K\nB) 145,183K\nC) 139,575K\nD) 150,791K", "options": [ "A) 135,837K", "B) 145,183K", "C) 139,575K", "D) 150,791K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "145,183K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,432K\nB) 1,084K\nC) 1,171K\nD) 1,345K", "options": [ "A) 1,432K", "B) 1,084K", "C) 1,171K", "D) 1,345K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,171K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.85%", "options": [ "A) 0.01%", "B) 1.69%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 0.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $3,817M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $3,817M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,817M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 3.86%\nD) -8.99%", "options": [ "A) -5.78%", "B) -2.56%", "C) 3.86%", "D) -8.99%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $-41,161M\nB) $-43,290M\nC) $-39,032M\nD) $-36,903M", "options": [ "A) $-41,161M", "B) $-43,290M", "C) $-39,032M", "D) $-36,903M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-39,032M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) -4.62%\nC) 0.29%\nD) -2.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.52%", "B) -4.62%", "C) 0.29%", "D) -2.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 1.85%\nC) -3.13%\nD) 11.82%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 1.85%", "C) -3.13%", "D) 11.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 236.71\nB) 249.48\nC) 259.06\nD) 243.10", "options": [ "A) 236.71", "B) 249.48", "C) 259.06", "D) 243.10" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "249.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 1.07%", "options": [ "A) 2.25%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 1.78%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $55,661M\nB) $61,911M\nC) $63,161M\nD) $59,411M", "options": [ "A) $55,661M", "B) $61,911M", "C) $63,161M", "D) $59,411M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$59,411M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1328\nB) 0.9710\nC) 1.1867\nD) 1.0249", "options": [ "A) 1.1328", "B) 0.9710", "C) 1.1867", "D) 1.0249" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1328", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $-39,995M\nB) $-43,896M\nC) $-49,747M\nD) $-45,846M", "options": [ "A) $-39,995M", "B) $-43,896M", "C) $-49,747M", "D) $-45,846M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-43,896M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 22.23%\nB) -6.30%\nC) 0.83%\nD) -13.43%", "options": [ "A) 22.23%", "B) -6.30%", "C) 0.83%", "D) -13.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 3.65%", "options": [ "A) 3.27%", "B) 3.84%", "C) 3.46%", "D) 3.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.41pp", "options": [ "A) +0.30pp", "B) +0.19pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +0.41pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.61%", "options": [ "A) 1.04%", "B) 0.72%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.69%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 1.83%", "options": [ "A) 0.69%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 1.26%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +10.07pp\nB) -14.27pp\nC) +1.96pp\nD) -2.10pp", "options": [ "A) +10.07pp", "B) -14.27pp", "C) +1.96pp", "D) -2.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) $11,462B\nB) $10,370B\nC) $11,098B\nD) $10,734B", "options": [ "A) $11,462B", "B) $10,370B", "C) $11,098B", "D) $10,734B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,462B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 100.34\nB) 98.35\nC) 96.36\nD) 102.33", "options": [ "A) 100.34", "B) 98.35", "C) 96.36", "D) 102.33" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -8.85pp\nB) -5.07pp\nC) +2.50pp\nD) -1.28pp", "options": [ "A) -8.85pp", "B) -5.07pp", "C) +2.50pp", "D) -1.28pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -2.44%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 1.33%\nD) -1.19%", "options": [ "A) -2.44%", "B) 2.59%", "C) 1.33%", "D) -1.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) $47.72/bbl\nB) $83.30/bbl\nC) $12.14/bbl\nD) $71.44/bbl", "options": [ "A) $47.72/bbl", "B) $83.30/bbl", "C) $12.14/bbl", "D) $71.44/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$47.72/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 5.51%", "options": [ "A) 6.55%", "B) 3.43%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 5.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.58%\nB) 27.31%\nC) 6.39%\nD) 13.37%", "options": [ "A) -0.58%", "B) 27.31%", "C) 6.39%", "D) 13.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.21%\nD) 0.28%", "options": [ "A) 0.14%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.21%", "D) 0.28%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -9.36%\nB) 5.04%\nC) -18.95%\nD) 0.24%", "options": [ "A) -9.36%", "B) 5.04%", "C) -18.95%", "D) 0.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-9.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -82.64%\nB) -44.83%\nC) -57.44%\nD) -19.63%", "options": [ "A) -82.64%", "B) -44.83%", "C) -57.44%", "D) -19.63%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-44.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) $57.26/bbl\nB) $70.34/bbl\nC) $31.09/bbl\nD) $44.17/bbl", "options": [ "A) $57.26/bbl", "B) $70.34/bbl", "C) $31.09/bbl", "D) $44.17/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.09/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.59%\nB) -0.16%\nC) 0.99%\nD) -2.45%", "options": [ "A) -3.59%", "B) -0.16%", "C) 0.99%", "D) -2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.89%", "options": [ "A) 1.78%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 1.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.83%", "options": [ "A) 1.59%", "B) 1.47%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $13,712B\nB) $14,717B\nC) $13,209B\nD) $14,214B", "options": [ "A) $13,712B", "B) $14,717B", "C) $13,209B", "D) $14,214B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,209B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -17.47%\nB) -32.29%\nC) -61.93%\nD) -47.11%", "options": [ "A) -17.47%", "B) -32.29%", "C) -61.93%", "D) -47.11%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-47.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 89.80\nB) 99.32\nC) 85.04\nD) 75.52", "options": [ "A) 89.80", "B) 99.32", "C) 85.04", "D) 75.52" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "89.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) -4.34%\nC) -0.82%\nD) -11.39%", "options": [ "A) 2.71%", "B) -4.34%", "C) -0.82%", "D) -11.39%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -1.01pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.74pp", "options": [ "A) -0.33pp", "B) -1.01pp", "C) -0.60pp", "D) -0.74pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) -0.86%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.74%", "options": [ "A) 4.35%", "B) -0.86%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -2.33pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) -1.51pp\nD) -0.70pp", "options": [ "A) -2.33pp", "B) +0.12pp", "C) -1.51pp", "D) -0.70pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.33pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,930B\nB) $13,835B\nC) $13,533B\nD) $13,231B", "options": [ "A) $12,930B", "B) $13,835B", "C) $13,533B", "D) $13,231B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13,835B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.53%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.59%", "options": [ "A) 8.53%", "B) 5.30%", "C) 7.24%", "D) 6.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.87%\nB) -11.83%\nC) -15.97%\nD) -3.55%", "options": [ "A) 8.87%", "B) -11.83%", "C) -15.97%", "D) -3.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 186.30\nB) 198.56\nC) 178.12\nD) 174.04", "options": [ "A) 186.30", "B) 198.56", "C) 178.12", "D) 174.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "186.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 6.61%\nD) 5.34%", "options": [ "A) 5.97%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 6.61%", "D) 5.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,890B\nB) $13,031B\nC) $13,960B\nD) $14,580B", "options": [ "A) $14,890B", "B) $13,031B", "C) $13,960B", "D) $14,580B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,960B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 244.35\nB) 232.37\nC) 251.53\nD) 239.56", "options": [ "A) 244.35", "B) 232.37", "C) 251.53", "D) 239.56" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "239.56", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 144,661K\nB) 139,114K\nC) 148,359K\nD) 135,416K", "options": [ "A) 144,661K", "B) 139,114K", "C) 148,359K", "D) 135,416K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "144,661K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.98pp\nB) +1.21pp\nC) +1.90pp\nD) +1.67pp", "options": [ "A) +0.98pp", "B) +1.21pp", "C) +1.90pp", "D) +1.67pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.21pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.41%", "options": [ "A) 1.06%", "B) 2.08%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 2.41%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 973K\nB) 1,470K\nC) 874K\nD) 1,172K", "options": [ "A) 973K", "B) 1,470K", "C) 874K", "D) 1,172K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,172K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,148K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,058K\nD) 968K", "options": [ "A) 1,148K", "B) 1,328K", "C) 1,058K", "D) 968K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,148K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 0.00%\nC) -2.09%\nD) -1.39%", "options": [ "A) 2.09%", "B) 0.00%", "C) -2.09%", "D) -1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 9.52%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 10.65%", "options": [ "A) 9.52%", "B) 6.12%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 10.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 94.52\nB) 100.37\nC) 103.29\nD) 97.44", "options": [ "A) 94.52", "B) 100.37", "C) 103.29", "D) 97.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,604B\nB) $11,093B\nC) $14,115B\nD) $11,597B", "options": [ "A) $12,604B", "B) $11,093B", "C) $14,115B", "D) $11,597B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,604B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.52%", "options": [ "A) 6.83%", "B) 5.10%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 0.95%", "options": [ "A) 1.70%", "B) 1.33%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 0.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $65,875M\nB) $58,663M\nC) $64,433M\nD) $61,548M", "options": [ "A) $65,875M", "B) $58,663M", "C) $64,433M", "D) $61,548M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$61,548M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 1.62%\nD) -0.54%", "options": [ "A) 1.08%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 1.62%", "D) -0.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) -1.13pp\nC) -2.67pp\nD) +1.18pp", "options": [ "A) -3.44pp", "B) -1.13pp", "C) -2.67pp", "D) +1.18pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.13pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 114.43\nB) 116.66\nC) 111.10\nD) 107.77", "options": [ "A) 114.43", "B) 116.66", "C) 111.10", "D) 107.77" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "111.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.05pp\nB) -0.45pp\nC) -0.57pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": [ "A) +0.05pp", "B) -0.45pp", "C) -0.57pp", "D) -0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 110.30\nB) 113.61\nC) 115.81\nD) 108.09", "options": [ "A) 110.30", "B) 113.61", "C) 115.81", "D) 108.09" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 169.19\nB) 183.64\nC) 176.41\nD) 198.09", "options": [ "A) 169.19", "B) 183.64", "C) 176.41", "D) 198.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "183.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.45%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 1.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -6.36%\nB) -3.71%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 1.58%", "options": [ "A) -6.36%", "B) -3.71%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 1.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 279,000\nB) 350,705\nC) 231,196\nD) 302,902", "options": [ "A) 279,000", "B) 350,705", "C) 231,196", "D) 302,902" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "279,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.27%", "options": [ "A) 2.10%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.27%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2746\nB) 1.2210\nC) 1.1140\nD) 1.0605", "options": [ "A) 1.2746", "B) 1.2210", "C) 1.1140", "D) 1.0605" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1140", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.45%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.58%\nD) 5.30%", "options": [ "A) 6.45%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 3.58%", "D) 5.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 11.81\nB) 17.63\nC) 14.72\nD) 20.53", "options": [ "A) 11.81", "B) 17.63", "C) 14.72", "D) 20.53" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $203,398M\nB) $216,353M\nC) $229,308M\nD) $235,785M", "options": [ "A) $203,398M", "B) $216,353M", "C) $229,308M", "D) $235,785M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$216,353M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -12.24%\nB) 20.70%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 9.72%", "options": [ "A) -12.24%", "B) 20.70%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 9.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 17.63\nC) 5.83\nD) 14.68", "options": [ "A) 8.78", "B) 17.63", "C) 5.83", "D) 14.68" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 184.20\nB) 162.06\nC) 176.82\nD) 198.96", "options": [ "A) 184.20", "B) 162.06", "C) 176.82", "D) 198.96" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "184.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 15.74%\nB) 38.26%\nC) 30.76%\nD) 60.78%", "options": [ "A) 15.74%", "B) 38.26%", "C) 30.76%", "D) 60.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "38.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -14.78%\nB) 2.08%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -10.56%", "options": [ "A) -14.78%", "B) 2.08%", "C) -2.14%", "D) -10.56%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 3,908.01\nB) 4,341.74\nC) 5,209.18\nD) 4,775.46", "options": [ "A) 3,908.01", "B) 4,341.74", "C) 5,209.18", "D) 4,775.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,775.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 99.04\nB) 92.07\nC) 103.23\nD) 94.86", "options": [ "A) 99.04", "B) 92.07", "C) 103.23", "D) 94.86" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "99.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.99%", "options": [ "A) 1.52%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.99%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 1.48%", "options": [ "A) 0.22%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 0.64%", "D) 1.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 154.77\nB) 188.92\nC) 168.43\nD) 175.26", "options": [ "A) 154.77", "B) 188.92", "C) 168.43", "D) 175.26" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "175.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.64pp\nC) -0.09pp\nD) +0.35pp", "options": [ "A) +0.20pp", "B) +0.64pp", "C) -0.09pp", "D) +0.35pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $434,757M\nB) $445,490M\nC) $413,290M\nD) $424,023M", "options": [ "A) $434,757M", "B) $445,490M", "C) $413,290M", "D) $424,023M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$445,490M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $224,257M\nB) $197,564M\nC) $217,584M\nD) $204,237M", "options": [ "A) $224,257M", "B) $197,564M", "C) $217,584M", "D) $204,237M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$217,584M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -6.32%\nB) -2.05%\nC) -4.19%\nD) -3.12%", "options": [ "A) -6.32%", "B) -2.05%", "C) -4.19%", "D) -3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.61%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) 0.76%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.61%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.09pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.56pp\nD) -0.07pp", "options": [ "A) +0.09pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.56pp", "D) -0.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.14pp\nB) +0.34pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.26pp", "options": [ "A) -0.14pp", "B) +0.34pp", "C) +0.10pp", "D) -0.26pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 3.89%\nC) 5.03%\nD) 5.60%", "options": [ "A) 6.17%", "B) 3.89%", "C) 5.03%", "D) 5.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,225K\nB) 941K\nC) 1,509K\nD) 1,036K", "options": [ "A) 1,225K", "B) 941K", "C) 1,509K", "D) 1,036K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,225K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.08%", "options": [ "A) 2.74%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 4.08%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.23%\nD) 0.80%", "options": [ "A) 1.02%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 1.23%", "D) 0.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 92.6610\nB) 100.7755\nC) 84.5466\nD) 108.8900", "options": [ "A) 92.6610", "B) 100.7755", "C) 84.5466", "D) 108.8900" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "108.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.11\nB) 32.93\nC) 29.99\nD) 18.23", "options": [ "A) 24.11", "B) 32.93", "C) 29.99", "D) 18.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 0.59%\nD) 0.89%", "options": [ "A) 0.99%", "B) 0.79%", "C) 0.59%", "D) 0.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 3.16%\nD) 2.84%", "options": [ "A) 2.53%", "B) 3.80%", "C) 3.16%", "D) 2.84%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.89%\nB) -23.50%\nC) -17.42%\nD) -5.27%", "options": [ "A) 6.89%", "B) -23.50%", "C) -17.42%", "D) -5.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20161101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $59,397M\nB) $64,064M\nC) $56,286M\nD) $57,841M", "options": [ "A) $59,397M", "B) $64,064M", "C) $56,286M", "D) $57,841M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$59,397M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 203.22\nB) 185.30\nC) 192.47\nD) 174.55", "options": [ "A) 203.22", "B) 185.30", "C) 192.47", "D) 174.55" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "185.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 2.35%", "options": [ "A) 2.60%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 2.22%", "D) 2.35%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20161115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) -23.87%\nB) 21.33%\nC) -12.57%\nD) 10.03%", "options": [ "A) -23.87%", "B) 21.33%", "C) -12.57%", "D) 10.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 9.66%\nD) 8.38%", "options": [ "A) 7.11%", "B) 5.83%", "C) 9.66%", "D) 8.38%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.61pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +0.31pp\nD) +1.39pp", "options": [ "A) +1.61pp", "B) +0.96pp", "C) +0.31pp", "D) +1.39pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.96pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2827\nB) 0.9850\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.1977", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2827", "B) 0.9850", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.1977" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2827\nB) 0.9850\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.1977", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.2827", "B) 0.9850", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.1977" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9869\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9869", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9869\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9869", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.2421\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.0294", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1145", "B) 1.2421", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.0294" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.2421\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.0294", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1145", "B) 1.2421", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.0294" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.1334\nC) 0.9207\nD) 1.2185", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 1.1334", "C) 0.9207", "D) 1.2185" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.1334\nC) 0.9207\nD) 1.2185", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 1.1334", "C) 0.9207", "D) 1.2185" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9207\nB) 1.0483\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.2610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9207", "B) 1.0483", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.2610" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9207\nB) 1.0483\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.2610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9207", "B) 1.0483", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.2610" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 0.9207\nC) 1.2610\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 0.9207", "C) 1.2610", "D) 1.1334" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 0.9207\nC) 1.2610\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0058", "B) 0.9207", "C) 1.2610", "D) 1.1334" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 23.66\nC) 29.97\nD) 27.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 25.76", "B) 23.66", "C) 29.97", "D) 27.86" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 23.66\nC) 29.97\nD) 27.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 25.76", "B) 23.66", "C) 29.97", "D) 27.86" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 23.66\nB) 25.76\nC) 21.55\nD) 27.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 23.66", "B) 25.76", "C) 21.55", "D) 27.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 23.66\nB) 25.76\nC) 21.55\nD) 27.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 23.66", "B) 25.76", "C) 21.55", "D) 27.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 21.55\nB) 29.97\nC) 25.76\nD) 23.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 21.55", "B) 29.97", "C) 25.76", "D) 23.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 21.55\nB) 29.97\nC) 25.76\nD) 23.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 21.55", "B) 29.97", "C) 25.76", "D) 23.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 27.86\nC) 23.66\nD) 25.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 19.45", "B) 27.86", "C) 23.66", "D) 25.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 27.86\nC) 23.66\nD) 25.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 19.45", "B) 27.86", "C) 23.66", "D) 25.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 32.07\nC) 19.45\nD) 23.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 25.76", "B) 32.07", "C) 19.45", "D) 23.66" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 32.07\nC) 19.45\nD) 23.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 25.76", "B) 32.07", "C) 19.45", "D) 23.66" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 25.76\nC) 23.66\nD) 21.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 19.45", "B) 25.76", "C) 23.66", "D) 21.55" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 25.76\nC) 23.66\nD) 21.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 19.45", "B) 25.76", "C) 23.66", "D) 21.55" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,241.53\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,359.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,241.53", "B) 4,712.08", "C) 4,594.44", "D) 4,359.17" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,241.53\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,359.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,241.53", "B) 4,712.08", "C) 4,594.44", "D) 4,359.17" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,476.80\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,594.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,947.35", "B) 4,476.80", "C) 4,712.08", "D) 4,594.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,476.80\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,594.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,947.35", "B) 4,476.80", "C) 4,712.08", "D) 4,594.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,594.44\nB) 4,359.17\nC) 4,476.80\nD) 4,947.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,594.44", "B) 4,359.17", "C) 4,476.80", "D) 4,947.35" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,594.44\nB) 4,359.17\nC) 4,476.80\nD) 4,947.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,594.44", "B) 4,359.17", "C) 4,476.80", "D) 4,947.35" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,594.44\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,476.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,947.35", "B) 4,594.44", "C) 4,712.08", "D) 4,476.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,594.44\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,476.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,947.35", "B) 4,594.44", "C) 4,712.08", "D) 4,476.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,359.17\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,241.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,359.17", "B) 4,712.08", "C) 4,594.44", "D) 4,241.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,359.17\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,241.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,359.17", "B) 4,712.08", "C) 4,594.44", "D) 4,241.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,476.80\nB) 4,829.71\nC) 4,947.35\nD) 4,594.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,476.80", "B) 4,829.71", "C) 4,947.35", "D) 4,594.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,476.80\nB) 4,829.71\nC) 4,947.35\nD) 4,594.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 4,476.80", "B) 4,829.71", "C) 4,947.35", "D) 4,594.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,594.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 1.58%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 1.58%", "D) 1.83%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.74%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.00%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.74%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.49%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.00%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.25%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.25%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": [ "A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 4,992.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,100.58", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,208.80", "D) 4,992.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 4,992.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,100.58", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,208.80", "D) 4,992.36" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,533.45\nD) 5,208.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 4,992.36", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,533.45", "D) 5,208.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,533.45\nD) 5,208.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 4,992.36", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,533.45", "D) 5,208.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,208.80\nB) 5,317.02\nC) 4,992.36\nD) 5,100.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,208.80", "B) 5,317.02", "C) 4,992.36", "D) 5,100.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,208.80\nB) 5,317.02\nC) 4,992.36\nD) 5,100.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,208.80", "B) 5,317.02", "C) 4,992.36", "D) 5,100.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 5,208.80\nC) 4,884.15\nD) 5,533.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,100.58", "B) 5,208.80", "C) 4,884.15", "D) 5,533.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 5,208.80\nC) 4,884.15\nD) 5,533.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,100.58", "B) 5,208.80", "C) 4,884.15", "D) 5,533.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 5,100.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 4,992.36", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,208.80", "D) 5,100.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 5,100.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 4,992.36", "B) 4,884.15", "C) 5,208.80", "D) 5,100.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,317.02\nB) 5,533.45\nC) 5,100.58\nD) 5,208.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,317.02", "B) 5,533.45", "C) 5,100.58", "D) 5,208.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,317.02\nB) 5,533.45\nC) 5,100.58\nD) 5,208.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 5,317.02", "B) 5,533.45", "C) 5,100.58", "D) 5,208.80" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,208.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,180.39\nB) 2,114.98\nC) 2,049.57\nD) 2,245.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,180.39", "B) 2,114.98", "C) 2,049.57", "D) 2,245.80" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,180.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,180.39\nB) 2,114.98\nC) 2,049.57\nD) 2,245.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,180.39", "B) 2,114.98", "C) 2,049.57", "D) 2,245.80" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,180.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,136.85\nB) 2,202.94\nC) 2,048.73\nD) 2,269.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,136.85", "B) 2,202.94", "C) 2,048.73", "D) 2,269.03" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,202.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,136.85\nB) 2,202.94\nC) 2,048.73\nD) 2,269.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,136.85", "B) 2,202.94", "C) 2,048.73", "D) 2,269.03" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,202.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,353.42\nB) 2,308.59\nC) 2,241.35\nD) 2,174.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,353.42", "B) 2,308.59", "C) 2,241.35", "D) 2,174.11" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,241.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,353.42\nB) 2,308.59\nC) 2,241.35\nD) 2,174.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,353.42", "B) 2,308.59", "C) 2,241.35", "D) 2,174.11" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,241.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,390.83\nB) 2,345.29\nC) 2,208.67\nD) 2,276.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,390.83", "B) 2,345.29", "C) 2,208.67", "D) 2,276.98" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,276.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,390.83\nB) 2,345.29\nC) 2,208.67\nD) 2,276.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,390.83", "B) 2,345.29", "C) 2,208.67", "D) 2,276.98" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,276.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,298.37\nB) 2,229.42\nC) 2,436.27\nD) 2,367.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,298.37", "B) 2,229.42", "C) 2,436.27", "D) 2,367.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,298.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,298.37\nB) 2,229.42\nC) 2,436.27\nD) 2,367.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,298.37", "B) 2,229.42", "C) 2,436.27", "D) 2,367.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,298.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,467.84\nB) 2,395.96\nC) 2,252.20\nD) 2,324.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,467.84", "B) 2,395.96", "C) 2,252.20", "D) 2,324.08" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,395.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,467.84\nB) 2,395.96\nC) 2,252.20\nD) 2,324.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2,467.84", "B) 2,395.96", "C) 2,252.20", "D) 2,324.08" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,395.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 2.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 1.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 1.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 1.0452", "D) 1.1952" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 1.0452", "D) 1.1952" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.2202\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.2202", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.0452", "D) 1.1702" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.2202\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.2202", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.0452", "D) 1.1702" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0452\nC) 1.0952\nD) 0.9702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0452", "C) 1.0952", "D) 0.9702" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0452\nC) 1.0952\nD) 0.9702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0452", "C) 1.0952", "D) 0.9702" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1452\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1952\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1452", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1952", "D) 1.0952" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1452\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1952\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1452", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1952", "D) 1.0952" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1717\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.0217\nD) 0.9717", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1717", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.0217", "D) 0.9717" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1717\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.0217\nD) 0.9717", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 1.1717", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.0217", "D) 0.9717" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 12.66\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 8.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12.66", "B) 10.59", "C) 14.74", "D) 8.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 12.66\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 8.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12.66", "B) 10.59", "C) 14.74", "D) 8.51" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 12.66\nC) 16.82\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 12.66", "C) 16.82", "D) 14.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 12.66\nC) 16.82\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 12.66", "C) 16.82", "D) 14.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 20.97\nC) 18.89\nD) 16.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 14.74", "B) 20.97", "C) 18.89", "D) 16.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 20.97\nC) 18.89\nD) 16.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 14.74", "B) 20.97", "C) 18.89", "D) 16.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 8.51\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 8.51", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 8.51\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 8.51", "D) 10.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 12.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 10.59", "C) 14.74", "D) 12.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 12.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.97", "B) 10.59", "C) 14.74", "D) 12.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 9.73\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 9.73", "D) 15.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 9.73\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 9.73", "D) 15.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 4,551.29\nC) 5,231.57\nD) 4,381.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,891.43", "B) 4,551.29", "C) 5,231.57", "D) 4,381.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 4,551.29\nC) 5,231.57\nD) 4,381.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,891.43", "B) 4,551.29", "C) 5,231.57", "D) 4,381.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,381.23\nB) 4,891.43\nC) 5,401.63\nD) 5,061.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,381.23", "B) 4,891.43", "C) 5,401.63", "D) 5,061.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,381.23\nB) 4,891.43\nC) 5,401.63\nD) 5,061.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,381.23", "B) 4,891.43", "C) 5,401.63", "D) 5,061.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,401.63\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 4,891.43\nD) 5,061.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 5,401.63", "B) 5,231.57", "C) 4,891.43", "D) 5,061.50" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,401.63\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 4,891.43\nD) 5,061.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 5,401.63", "B) 5,231.57", "C) 4,891.43", "D) 5,061.50" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,551.29\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,891.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,551.29", "B) 5,231.57", "C) 5,061.50", "D) 4,891.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,551.29\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,891.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,551.29", "B) 5,231.57", "C) 5,061.50", "D) 4,891.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 5,401.63\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,381.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,891.43", "B) 5,401.63", "C) 5,061.50", "D) 4,381.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 5,401.63\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,381.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 4,891.43", "B) 5,401.63", "C) 5,061.50", "D) 4,381.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,891.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,484.84\nB) 4,974.64\nC) 5,144.71\nD) 5,314.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 5,484.84", "B) 4,974.64", "C) 5,144.71", "D) 5,314.78" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,974.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,484.84\nB) 4,974.64\nC) 5,144.71\nD) 5,314.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 5,484.84", "B) 4,974.64", "C) 5,144.71", "D) 5,314.78" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,974.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.8569\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.3954", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.8569", "B) 6.7251", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.3954" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.8569\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.3954", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.8569", "B) 6.7251", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.3954" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3295\nB) 6.7910\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3295", "B) 6.7910", "C) 6.4613", "D) 6.5932" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3295\nB) 6.7910\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.3295", "B) 6.7910", "C) 6.4613", "D) 6.5932" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5932\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.8569\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.5932", "B) 6.7251", "C) 6.8569", "D) 6.4613" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5932\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.8569\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.5932", "B) 6.7251", "C) 6.8569", "D) 6.4613" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.4613\nB) 6.5932\nC) 6.7251\nD) 6.3295", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.4613", "B) 6.5932", "C) 6.7251", "D) 6.3295" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.4613\nB) 6.5932\nC) 6.7251\nD) 6.3295", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.4613", "B) 6.5932", "C) 6.7251", "D) 6.3295" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.9229\nB) 6.4613\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.7251", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.9229", "B) 6.4613", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.7251" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.9229\nB) 6.4613\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.7251", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.9229", "B) 6.4613", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.7251" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7910\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.7910", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.4613", "D) 6.5932" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7910\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 6.7910", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.4613", "D) 6.5932" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 17.44\nC) 25.04\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 19.34", "B) 17.44", "C) 25.04", "D) 21.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 17.44\nC) 25.04\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 19.34", "B) 17.44", "C) 25.04", "D) 21.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 23.14\nB) 19.34\nC) 15.54\nD) 17.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 23.14", "B) 19.34", "C) 15.54", "D) 17.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 23.14\nB) 19.34\nC) 15.54\nD) 17.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 23.14", "B) 19.34", "C) 15.54", "D) 17.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.64\nB) 15.54\nC) 19.34\nD) 17.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.64", "B) 15.54", "C) 19.34", "D) 17.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.64\nB) 15.54\nC) 19.34\nD) 17.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.64", "B) 15.54", "C) 19.34", "D) 17.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 22.79\nB) 20.89\nC) 18.99\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 22.79", "B) 20.89", "C) 18.99", "D) 17.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 22.79\nB) 20.89\nC) 18.99\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 22.79", "B) 20.89", "C) 18.99", "D) 17.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 15.46\nC) 9.76\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.56", "B) 15.46", "C) 9.76", "D) 19.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 15.46\nC) 9.76\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 13.56", "B) 15.46", "C) 9.76", "D) 19.26" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.10\nC) 7.40\nD) 11.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 15.00", "B) 13.10", "C) 7.40", "D) 11.20" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.10\nC) 7.40\nD) 11.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) 15.00", "B) 13.10", "C) 7.40", "D) 11.20" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $68.51/bbl\nB) $56.15/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $-5.67/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $68.51/bbl", "B) $56.15/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $-5.67/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $68.51/bbl\nB) $56.15/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $-5.67/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $68.51/bbl", "B) $56.15/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $-5.67/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $16.11/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $65.56/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $16.11/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $65.56/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $16.11/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $65.56/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $16.11/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $65.56/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $63.77/bbl\nC) $1.95/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $63.77/bbl", "C) $1.95/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $63.77/bbl\nC) $1.95/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $63.77/bbl", "C) $1.95/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $63.28/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $63.28/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $63.28/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $63.28/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $50.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $50.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $50.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $50.92/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $1.46/bbl\nB) $50.92/bbl\nC) $13.83/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $1.46/bbl", "B) $50.92/bbl", "C) $13.83/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $1.46/bbl\nB) $50.92/bbl\nC) $13.83/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": [ "A) $1.46/bbl", "B) $50.92/bbl", "C) $13.83/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-01-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-01-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-24.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 0.23%\nD) 0.30%", "options": [ "A) 0.38%", "B) 0.46%", "C) 0.23%", "D) 0.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-03-16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-13", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.24%", "options": [ "A) 0.43%", "B) 0.37%", "C) 0.31%", "D) 0.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-04-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-04-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-24.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.48%", "options": [ "A) 0.55%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 0.37%", "D) 0.48%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-06-15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-12", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-06-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-12.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.39%", "options": [ "A) 0.60%", "B) 0.52%", "C) 0.31%", "D) 0.39%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-07-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-07-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-24.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.49%", "options": [ "A) 0.40%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 0.31%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-09-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-18.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.50%", "options": [ "A) 0.30%", "B) 0.40%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 0.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-11-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-30.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.49%", "options": [ "A) 0.44%", "B) 0.59%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-12-14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2017", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-11", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-11.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.65%", "options": [ "A) 0.71%", "B) 0.59%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.65%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201601", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2016 (released around 2016-02-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) 133K\nB) 23K\nC) 243K\nD) 170K", "options": [ "A) 133K", "B) 23K", "C) 243K", "D) 170K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "133K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201602", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2016 (released around 2016-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 123K\nB) 196K\nC) 159K\nD) 233K", "options": [ "A) 123K", "B) 196K", "C) 159K", "D) 233K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "196K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2016 (released around 2016-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 182K\nC) 256K\nD) 293K", "options": [ "A) 219K", "B) 182K", "C) 256K", "D) 293K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "256K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2016 (released around 2016-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) 83K\nB) 228K\nC) 120K\nD) 192K", "options": [ "A) 83K", "B) 228K", "C) 120K", "D) 192K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "192K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201605", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2016 (released around 2016-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 46K\nB) -65K\nC) 157K\nD) 83K", "options": [ "A) 46K", "B) -65K", "C) 157K", "D) 83K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "46K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201606", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2016 (released around 2016-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 173K\nB) 247K\nC) 136K\nD) 284K", "options": [ "A) 173K", "B) 247K", "C) 136K", "D) 284K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "247K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201607", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2016 (released around 2016-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 448K\nB) 298K\nC) 373K\nD) 486K", "options": [ "A) 448K", "B) 298K", "C) 373K", "D) 486K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "373K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2016 (released around 2016-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 104K\nB) 29K\nC) 216K\nD) 141K", "options": [ "A) 104K", "B) 29K", "C) 216K", "D) 141K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "141K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201609", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2016 (released around 2016-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 306K\nB) 268K\nC) 383K\nD) 191K", "options": [ "A) 306K", "B) 268K", "C) 383K", "D) 191K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "306K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2016 (released around 2016-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) 175K\nB) 98K\nC) -18K\nD) 214K", "options": [ "A) 175K", "B) 98K", "C) -18K", "D) 214K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201611", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2016 (released around 2016-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 157K\nB) 79K\nC) 118K\nD) 235K", "options": [ "A) 157K", "B) 79K", "C) 118K", "D) 235K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "118K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201612", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2016 (released around 2017-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-30.)\n\nA) 108K\nB) 342K\nC) 303K\nD) 225K", "options": [ "A) 108K", "B) 342K", "C) 303K", "D) 225K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "225K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201601", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2016 (released around 2016-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.24%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 1.78%", "options": [ "A) 1.24%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 1.78%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2016 (released around 2016-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-06.)\n\nA) -0.71%\nB) 0.89%\nC) -0.18%\nD) 1.43%", "options": [ "A) -0.71%", "B) 0.89%", "C) -0.18%", "D) 1.43%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2016 (released around 2016-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 2.21%", "options": [ "A) 0.65%", "B) 0.13%", "C) 1.17%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201606", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2016 (released around 2016-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-06.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.08%", "options": [ "A) 2.55%", "B) 0.59%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 1.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201607", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2016 (released around 2016-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.33%\nC) -0.53%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 0.87%", "B) 1.33%", "C) -0.53%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201609", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2016 (released around 2016-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 1.96%", "options": [ "A) 1.13%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 0.72%", "D) 1.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2016 (released around 2016-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 0.90%", "options": [ "A) 1.29%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 0.90%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201612", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2016", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2016 (released around 2017-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 2.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 1.68%", "D) 2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-14.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 2.17%", "options": [ "A) 1.80%", "B) 2.54%", "C) 1.42%", "D) 2.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-14.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 2.53%", "options": [ "A) 2.18%", "B) 1.49%", "C) 1.15%", "D) 2.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.80%", "options": [ "A) 2.14%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 0.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2016", "info_cutoff": "2017-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2016 (advance estimate released around 2017-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2017-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 3.18%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 2.85%", "B) 3.18%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-01", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-25.)\n\nA) 18.21\nB) 20.11\nC) 16.31\nD) 22.01", "options": [ "A) 18.21", "B) 20.11", "C) 16.31", "D) 22.01" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 30.81\nB) 27.01\nC) 23.21\nD) 21.32", "options": [ "A) 30.81", "B) 27.01", "C) 23.21", "D) 21.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160115", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-08.)\n\nA) 21.22\nB) 32.82\nC) 27.02\nD) 28.95", "options": [ "A) 21.22", "B) 32.82", "C) 27.02", "D) 28.95" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160205", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.33\nB) 25.43\nC) 29.54\nD) 23.38", "options": [ "A) 21.33", "B) 25.43", "C) 29.54", "D) 23.38" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-12", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-05.)\n\nA) 28.14\nB) 30.21\nC) 26.07\nD) 34.34", "options": [ "A) 28.14", "B) 30.21", "C) 26.07", "D) 34.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "28.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-19", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-12.)\n\nA) 30.51\nB) 24.11\nC) 17.71\nD) 26.24", "options": [ "A) 30.51", "B) 24.11", "C) 17.71", "D) 26.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 18.39\nB) 22.71\nC) 20.55\nD) 24.86", "options": [ "A) 18.39", "B) 22.71", "C) 20.55", "D) 24.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-04.)\n\nA) 22.99\nB) 25.14\nC) 20.83\nD) 18.67", "options": [ "A) 22.99", "B) 25.14", "C) 20.83", "D) 18.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-11.)\n\nA) 16.92\nB) 10.45\nC) 14.76\nD) 12.60", "options": [ "A) 16.92", "B) 10.45", "C) 14.76", "D) 12.60" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 17.40\nB) 15.24\nC) 19.56\nD) 8.76", "options": [ "A) 17.40", "B) 15.24", "C) 19.56", "D) 8.76" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.32\nB) 9.68\nC) 16.16\nD) 14.00", "options": [ "A) 18.32", "B) 9.68", "C) 16.16", "D) 14.00" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-08.)\n\nA) 20.58\nB) 11.94\nC) 14.10\nD) 16.26", "options": [ "A) 20.58", "B) 11.94", "C) 14.10", "D) 16.26" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) 16.05\nB) 11.73\nC) 20.37\nD) 18.21", "options": [ "A) 16.05", "B) 11.73", "C) 20.37", "D) 18.21" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 21.50\nB) 15.04\nC) 8.58\nD) 17.19", "options": [ "A) 21.50", "B) 15.04", "C) 8.58", "D) 17.19" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-13.)\n\nA) 9.88\nB) 14.18\nC) 16.33\nD) 18.48", "options": [ "A) 9.88", "B) 14.18", "C) 16.33", "D) 18.48" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 18.47\nB) 7.80\nC) 9.93\nD) 14.20", "options": [ "A) 18.47", "B) 7.80", "C) 9.93", "D) 14.20" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-03.)\n\nA) 17.03\nB) 12.78\nC) 14.90\nD) 19.16", "options": [ "A) 17.03", "B) 12.78", "C) 14.90", "D) 19.16" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-10.)\n\nA) 18.86\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.63\nD) 27.31", "options": [ "A) 18.86", "B) 20.97", "C) 14.63", "D) 27.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 21.74\nB) 28.07\nC) 23.85\nD) 17.52", "options": [ "A) 21.74", "B) 28.07", "C) 23.85", "D) 17.52" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.37\nB) 9.27\nC) 13.48\nD) 15.58", "options": [ "A) 11.37", "B) 9.27", "C) 13.48", "D) 15.58" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-08.)\n\nA) 13.55\nB) 15.64\nC) 17.73\nD) 19.82", "options": [ "A) 13.55", "B) 15.64", "C) 17.73", "D) 19.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.37\nC) 7.11\nD) 17.54", "options": [ "A) 11.28", "B) 13.37", "C) 7.11", "D) 17.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-05.)\n\nA) 9.96\nB) 14.14\nC) 12.05\nD) 16.24", "options": [ "A) 9.96", "B) 14.14", "C) 12.05", "D) 16.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-12.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 18.96\nC) 6.32\nD) 12.64", "options": [ "A) 16.85", "B) 18.96", "C) 6.32", "D) 12.64" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 13.48\nB) 19.79\nC) 7.17\nD) 11.38", "options": [ "A) 13.48", "B) 19.79", "C) 7.17", "D) 11.38" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-02.)\n\nA) 19.60\nB) 17.50\nC) 23.80\nD) 21.70", "options": [ "A) 19.60", "B) 17.50", "C) 23.80", "D) 21.70" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20160916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-09.)\n\nA) 13.94\nB) 11.84\nC) 18.14\nD) 24.44", "options": [ "A) 13.94", "B) 11.84", "C) 18.14", "D) 24.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 15.73\nB) 11.53\nC) 7.34\nD) 13.63", "options": [ "A) 15.73", "B) 11.53", "C) 7.34", "D) 13.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-07.)\n\nA) 16.69\nB) 22.99\nC) 14.59\nD) 12.49", "options": [ "A) 16.69", "B) 22.99", "C) 14.59", "D) 12.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.69", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-14.)\n\nA) 12.04\nB) 16.21\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.38", "options": [ "A) 12.04", "B) 16.21", "C) 18.30", "D) 20.38" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) 16.31\nB) 18.38\nC) 22.51\nD) 20.44", "options": [ "A) 16.31", "B) 18.38", "C) 22.51", "D) 20.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-04.)\n\nA) 22.89\nB) 12.52\nC) 14.59\nD) 18.74", "options": [ "A) 22.89", "B) 12.52", "C) 14.59", "D) 18.74" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-11.)\n\nA) 14.48\nB) 20.69\nC) 10.34\nD) 12.41", "options": [ "A) 14.48", "B) 20.69", "C) 10.34", "D) 12.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 7.90\nB) 14.12\nC) 9.97\nD) 18.27", "options": [ "A) 7.90", "B) 14.12", "C) 9.97", "D) 18.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-02.)\n\nA) 8.50\nB) 6.43\nC) 12.64\nD) 10.57", "options": [ "A) 8.50", "B) 6.43", "C) 12.64", "D) 10.57" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20161216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-09.)\n\nA) 11.11\nB) 15.27\nC) 19.42\nD) 13.19", "options": [ "A) 11.11", "B) 15.27", "C) 19.42", "D) 13.19" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-01", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-25.)\n\nA) -0.67%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.82%\nD) -4.16%", "options": [ "A) -0.67%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 2.82%", "D) -4.16%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -6.46%\nB) -5.29%\nC) -7.63%\nD) -1.79%", "options": [ "A) -6.46%", "B) -5.29%", "C) -7.63%", "D) -1.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160115", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-01-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-08.)\n\nA) -2.04%\nB) -6.78%\nC) -3.22%\nD) -0.85%", "options": [ "A) -2.04%", "B) -6.78%", "C) -3.22%", "D) -0.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160205", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.06%\nB) -6.81%\nC) -1.83%\nD) -5.57%", "options": [ "A) -8.06%", "B) -6.81%", "C) -1.83%", "D) -5.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-12", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-05.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -1.28%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.52%", "options": [ "A) 1.25%", "B) -1.28%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 2.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-02-19", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-12.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 1.54%\nC) -2.27%\nD) 2.82%", "options": [ "A) 4.09%", "B) 1.54%", "C) -2.27%", "D) 2.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2016-02-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 3.49%\nD) -0.41%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 2.19%", "C) 3.49%", "D) -0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-04.)\n\nA) -1.77%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.85%", "options": [ "A) -1.77%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 0.85%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-11.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.99%\nD) 4.90%", "options": [ "A) 0.96%", "B) 2.27%", "C) -2.99%", "D) 4.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2016-03-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 3.10%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 7.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 3.10%", "C) -0.82%", "D) 7.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) 1.77%\nC) -0.84%\nD) -4.76%", "options": [ "A) 3.08%", "B) 1.77%", "C) -0.84%", "D) -4.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-08.)\n\nA) -1.77%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 2.17%", "options": [ "A) -1.77%", "B) 6.11%", "C) 3.48%", "D) 2.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2016-04-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) -1.69%\nB) 0.93%\nC) -3.00%\nD) -5.63%", "options": [ "A) -1.69%", "B) 0.93%", "C) -3.00%", "D) -5.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) -4.60%\nB) -0.68%\nC) -3.29%\nD) 0.62%", "options": [ "A) -4.60%", "B) -0.68%", "C) -3.29%", "D) 0.62%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-13.)\n\nA) -4.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) -0.12%\nD) 2.49%", "options": [ "A) -4.05%", "B) 1.18%", "C) -0.12%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2016-05-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) -1.42%\nC) -2.74%\nD) -0.11%", "options": [ "A) 1.20%", "B) -1.42%", "C) -2.74%", "D) -0.11%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-03.)\n\nA) -1.49%\nB) -4.12%\nC) -0.18%\nD) 2.45%", "options": [ "A) -1.49%", "B) -4.12%", "C) -0.18%", "D) 2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-10.)\n\nA) -2.31%\nB) -0.99%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 0.32%", "options": [ "A) -2.31%", "B) -0.99%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 0.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 9.87%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 8.53%", "options": [ "A) 9.87%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 5.84%", "D) 8.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.86%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.78%", "options": [ "A) 6.86%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 5.50%", "D) 2.78%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.82%\nB) 3.55%\nC) -3.27%\nD) -1.91%", "options": [ "A) 0.82%", "B) 3.55%", "C) -3.27%", "D) -1.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2016-07-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 0.71%\nC) -0.64%\nD) -3.34%", "options": [ "A) 2.06%", "B) 0.71%", "C) -0.64%", "D) -3.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-05.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -3.68%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 1.73%", "options": [ "A) -0.97%", "B) -3.68%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 1.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-12.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) -4.48%\nC) -3.13%\nD) -0.45%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) -4.48%", "C) -3.13%", "D) -0.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) -0.91%\nC) 2.82%\nD) -3.39%", "options": [ "A) 0.34%", "B) -0.91%", "C) 2.82%", "D) -3.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-02.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) -2.84%\nC) -5.24%\nD) -1.64%", "options": [ "A) 0.76%", "B) -2.84%", "C) -5.24%", "D) -1.64%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20160916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-09.)\n\nA) -1.76%\nB) -0.57%\nC) 0.63%\nD) 4.21%", "options": [ "A) -1.76%", "B) -0.57%", "C) 0.63%", "D) 4.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2016-09-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) -1.33%\nC) -3.67%\nD) -0.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.01%", "B) -1.33%", "C) -3.67%", "D) -0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-07.)\n\nA) -2.15%\nB) -0.99%\nC) -3.31%\nD) -5.62%", "options": [ "A) -2.15%", "B) -0.99%", "C) -3.31%", "D) -5.62%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-14.)\n\nA) -1.22%\nB) 1.11%\nC) -0.06%\nD) -2.38%", "options": [ "A) -1.22%", "B) 1.11%", "C) -0.06%", "D) -2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2016-10-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) -5.03%\nC) -2.75%\nD) -0.47%", "options": [ "A) -3.89%", "B) -5.03%", "C) -2.75%", "D) -0.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) -2.05%\nC) 0.23%\nD) 1.37%", "options": [ "A) 3.65%", "B) -2.05%", "C) 0.23%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-11.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 5.44%\nC) -0.33%\nD) -1.49%", "options": [ "A) 1.98%", "B) 5.44%", "C) -0.33%", "D) -1.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) -2.11%\nC) -4.40%\nD) -5.54%", "options": [ "A) 1.32%", "B) -2.11%", "C) -4.40%", "D) -5.54%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-02.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 4.85%", "options": [ "A) 5.99%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 2.55%", "D) 4.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20161216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2016-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2016-12-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-09.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) -1.81%\nC) -0.68%\nD) 0.45%", "options": [ "A) 3.85%", "B) -1.81%", "C) -0.68%", "D) 0.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2016 } ]