[ { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 61.64%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 64.79%", "options": [ "A) 62.90%", "B) 61.64%", "C) 66.05%", "D) 64.79%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 1.39%", "options": [ "A) 1.93%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 1.50%", "D) 1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 84.61%\nB) 20.85%\nC) 36.79%\nD) 52.73%", "options": [ "A) 84.61%", "B) 20.85%", "C) 36.79%", "D) 52.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "36.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.38%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 1.58%", "options": [ "A) 2.19%", "B) 1.38%", "C) 1.78%", "D) 1.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.96%\nB) 24.36%\nC) -10.43%\nD) 59.15%", "options": [ "A) 6.96%", "B) 24.36%", "C) -10.43%", "D) 59.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 96.99\nB) 102.56\nC) 100.33\nD) 104.78", "options": [ "A) 96.99", "B) 102.56", "C) 100.33", "D) 104.78" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.56", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 5.04%", "options": [ "A) 6.53%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 5.04%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.72%", "options": [ "A) 4.37%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 2.42%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 1.32%", "options": [ "A) 2.37%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 1.32%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.73%\nB) -7.23%\nC) -1.91%\nD) -23.18%", "options": [ "A) 8.73%", "B) -7.23%", "C) -1.91%", "D) -23.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $71,932M\nB) $65,741M\nC) $67,289M\nD) $62,646M", "options": [ "A) $71,932M", "B) $65,741M", "C) $67,289M", "D) $62,646M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$67,289M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 3.51%", "options": [ "A) 3.07%", "B) 3.36%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 3.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.30%\nB) 57.28%\nC) 58.49%\nD) 61.51%", "options": [ "A) 60.30%", "B) 57.28%", "C) 58.49%", "D) 61.51%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 6.00%\nC) 6.62%\nD) 5.59%", "options": [ "A) 5.38%", "B) 6.00%", "C) 6.62%", "D) 5.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", "options": [ "A) 1.88%", "B) 1.50%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 244.01\nB) 238.91\nC) 259.32\nD) 251.66", "options": [ "A) 244.01", "B) 238.91", "C) 259.32", "D) 251.66" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "251.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 3.56%", "options": [ "A) 2.61%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 3.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,619,803\nB) 1,985,000\nC) 1,437,205\nD) 2,167,598", "options": [ "A) 1,619,803", "B) 1,985,000", "C) 1,437,205", "D) 2,167,598" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,985,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 79.00%\nB) 34.23%\nC) 49.15%\nD) 64.08%", "options": [ "A) 79.00%", "B) 34.23%", "C) 49.15%", "D) 64.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "49.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.0811\nB) 0.9770\nC) 1.2894\nD) 1.1332", "options": [ "A) 1.0811", "B) 0.9770", "C) 1.2894", "D) 1.1332" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1332", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 24,706.41\nB) 28,382.73\nC) 27,157.29\nD) 23,480.97", "options": [ "A) 24,706.41", "B) 28,382.73", "C) 27,157.29", "D) 23,480.97" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24,706.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 4.38%", "options": [ "A) 4.22%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.68%", "D) 4.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 4.17%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $224,487M\nB) $218,255M\nC) $255,645M\nD) $236,950M", "options": [ "A) $224,487M", "B) $218,255M", "C) $255,645M", "D) $236,950M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$236,950M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 8.44%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.58%", "options": [ "A) 5.65%", "B) 8.44%", "C) 4.72%", "D) 6.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.27%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 0.84%", "options": [ "A) 1.27%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 0.84%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $21.71/hr\nB) $20.67/hr\nC) $22.41/hr\nD) $23.45/hr", "options": [ "A) $21.71/hr", "B) $20.67/hr", "C) $22.41/hr", "D) $23.45/hr" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$22.41/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.71\nB) 109.81\nC) 99.55\nD) 102.63", "options": [ "A) 105.71", "B) 109.81", "C) 99.55", "D) 102.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "102.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.69%\nB) 41.57%\nC) 7.82%\nD) 13.44%", "options": [ "A) 24.69%", "B) 41.57%", "C) 7.82%", "D) 13.44%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 2.53%", "options": [ "A) 2.90%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 2.72%", "D) 2.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) $12,327B\nB) $13,794B\nC) $12,816B\nD) $13,305B", "options": [ "A) $12,327B", "B) $13,794B", "C) $12,816B", "D) $13,305B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,816B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 6,299.90\nB) 7,734.70\nC) 6,778.16\nD) 7,256.43", "options": [ "A) 6,299.90", "B) 7,734.70", "C) 6,778.16", "D) 7,256.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $484,031M\nB) $462,412M\nC) $505,650M\nD) $473,221M", "options": [ "A) $484,031M", "B) $462,412M", "C) $505,650M", "D) $473,221M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$484,031M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,926.23\nB) 2,731.20\nC) 2,536.17\nD) 2,828.71", "options": [ "A) 2,926.23", "B) 2,731.20", "C) 2,536.17", "D) 2,828.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,731.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.41pp\nB) +0.25pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.05pp", "options": [ "A) +0.41pp", "B) +0.25pp", "C) +0.10pp", "D) -0.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 120.92\nB) 109.18\nC) 113.88\nD) 117.40", "options": [ "A) 120.92", "B) 109.18", "C) 113.88", "D) 117.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "117.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 6.63%", "options": [ "A) 5.57%", "B) 5.21%", "C) 4.86%", "D) 6.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 8.33%", "options": [ "A) 4.42%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 8.33%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 81.12%\nB) 76.39%\nC) 78.75%\nD) 74.03%", "options": [ "A) 81.12%", "B) 76.39%", "C) 78.75%", "D) 74.03%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 141,257K\nB) 145,000K\nC) 152,484K\nD) 148,742K", "options": [ "A) 141,257K", "B) 145,000K", "C) 152,484K", "D) 148,742K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "148,742K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 149,277K\nB) 140,023K\nC) 143,725K\nD) 154,829K", "options": [ "A) 149,277K", "B) 140,023K", "C) 143,725K", "D) 154,829K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "149,277K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.79%", "options": [ "A) 1.58%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 1.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 16.04%\nB) 17.73%\nC) 14.35%\nD) 12.66%", "options": [ "A) 16.04%", "B) 17.73%", "C) 14.35%", "D) 12.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 3.02%", "options": [ "A) 4.27%", "B) 1.16%", "C) 1.78%", "D) 3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $15,718B\nB) $17,018B\nC) $14,851B\nD) $16,585B", "options": [ "A) $15,718B", "B) $17,018B", "C) $14,851B", "D) $16,585B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15,718B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.76pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) +7.76pp\nD) -6.84pp", "options": [ "A) -9.76pp", "B) -1.00pp", "C) +7.76pp", "D) -6.84pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) 3.17%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 2.78%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 21.90%\nB) 27.29%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 11.13%", "options": [ "A) 21.90%", "B) 27.29%", "C) 0.36%", "D) 11.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.14pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +4.09pp\nD) +1.16pp", "options": [ "A) +2.14pp", "B) +3.11pp", "C) +4.09pp", "D) +1.16pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.14pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 262.01\nB) 249.53\nC) 242.04\nD) 257.01", "options": [ "A) 262.01", "B) 249.53", "C) 242.04", "D) 257.01" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "249.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 102.96\nB) 107.10\nC) 111.23\nD) 98.83", "options": [ "A) 102.96", "B) 107.10", "C) 111.23", "D) 98.83" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "111.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 142,309K\nB) 145,963K\nC) 153,271K\nD) 149,617K", "options": [ "A) 142,309K", "B) 145,963K", "C) 153,271K", "D) 149,617K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "149,617K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $493,445M\nB) $481,832M\nC) $470,219M\nD) $505,058M", "options": [ "A) $493,445M", "B) $481,832M", "C) $470,219M", "D) $505,058M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$493,445M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $510,706M\nB) $498,854M\nC) $522,558M\nD) $534,411M", "options": [ "A) $510,706M", "B) $498,854M", "C) $522,558M", "D) $534,411M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$498,854M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 6,851.65\nB) 7,851.61\nC) 7,351.63\nD) 8,351.60", "options": [ "A) 6,851.65", "B) 7,851.61", "C) 7,351.63", "D) 8,351.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,351.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.28\nB) 105.36\nC) 99.12\nD) 101.20", "options": [ "A) 103.28", "B) 105.36", "C) 99.12", "D) 101.20" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 1.60%", "options": [ "A) 1.94%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 1.26%", "D) 1.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24,069.77\nB) 25,200.37\nC) 27,461.58\nD) 28,592.18", "options": [ "A) 24,069.77", "B) 25,200.37", "C) 27,461.58", "D) 28,592.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25,200.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,588,528\nB) 2,069,944\nC) 1,749,000\nD) 2,230,416", "options": [ "A) 1,588,528", "B) 2,069,944", "C) 1,749,000", "D) 2,230,416" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,749,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.94pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": [ "A) +0.14pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) -0.94pp", "D) -0.40pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 106.3600\nB) 118.7942\nC) 110.5047\nD) 102.2153", "options": [ "A) 106.3600", "B) 118.7942", "C) 110.5047", "D) 102.2153" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "106.3600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.12pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.31pp", "options": [ "A) -0.12pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +0.31pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.28%\nB) -2.45%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 13.34%", "options": [ "A) 17.28%", "B) -2.45%", "C) 9.39%", "D) 13.34%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) $56.00/bbl\nB) $93.13/bbl\nC) $80.76/bbl\nD) $68.38/bbl", "options": [ "A) $56.00/bbl", "B) $93.13/bbl", "C) $80.76/bbl", "D) $68.38/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$68.38/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -6.66pp\nC) -3.63pp\nD) -9.69pp", "options": [ "A) -0.60pp", "B) -6.66pp", "C) -3.63pp", "D) -9.69pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.41pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.05pp\nD) +0.56pp", "options": [ "A) +0.41pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) -0.05pp", "D) +0.56pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 189,290\nB) 242,419\nC) 207,000\nD) 260,129", "options": [ "A) 189,290", "B) 242,419", "C) 207,000", "D) 260,129" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "207,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 7.51%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 6.31%", "options": [ "A) 5.71%", "B) 7.51%", "C) 6.91%", "D) 6.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -0.97%\nD) 6.50%", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 0.28%", "C) -0.97%", "D) 6.50%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.41%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 1.19%", "options": [ "A) 1.41%", "B) 1.52%", "C) 1.85%", "D) 1.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,476M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,476M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,476M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 107.15\nB) 111.31\nC) 100.91\nD) 104.03", "options": [ "A) 107.15", "B) 111.31", "C) 100.91", "D) 104.03" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "104.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.22%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 1.99%", "options": [ "A) 2.22%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.87%", "D) 1.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 115.73\nB) 106.99\nC) 120.10\nD) 111.36", "options": [ "A) 115.73", "B) 106.99", "C) 120.10", "D) 111.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "106.99", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 123.78\nB) 120.08\nC) 116.39\nD) 108.99", "options": [ "A) 123.78", "B) 120.08", "C) 116.39", "D) 108.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "116.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,731B\nB) $15,997B\nC) $16,840B\nD) $15,575B", "options": [ "A) $14,731B", "B) $15,997B", "C) $16,840B", "D) $15,575B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15,575B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 225,000\nB) 207,732\nC) 242,268\nD) 190,464", "options": [ "A) 225,000", "B) 207,732", "C) 242,268", "D) 190,464" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "225,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 238.95\nB) 252.59\nC) 244.41\nD) 260.78", "options": [ "A) 238.95", "B) 252.59", "C) 244.41", "D) 260.78" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "252.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 5.58%", "options": [ "A) 6.02%", "B) 6.23%", "C) 5.80%", "D) 5.58%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.15%", "options": [ "A) 3.35%", "B) 2.54%", "C) 3.76%", "D) 3.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) 4.06%", "B) 1.08%", "C) 5.05%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.91%", "options": [ "A) 3.52%", "B) 3.11%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 2.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) $76.34/bbl\nB) $98.88/bbl\nC) $65.07/bbl\nD) $42.53/bbl", "options": [ "A) $76.34/bbl", "B) $98.88/bbl", "C) $65.07/bbl", "D) $42.53/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$65.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 52.51%\nB) -14.50%\nC) 69.26%\nD) 35.76%", "options": [ "A) 52.51%", "B) -14.50%", "C) 69.26%", "D) 35.76%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "35.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +1.54pp\nD) +4.08pp", "options": [ "A) +2.38pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) +1.54pp", "D) +4.08pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.38pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.50%\nB) 6.42%\nC) 5.38%\nD) 4.34%", "options": [ "A) 8.50%", "B) 6.42%", "C) 5.38%", "D) 4.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 9.33%\nB) 7.56%\nC) 12.87%\nD) 16.40%", "options": [ "A) 9.33%", "B) 7.56%", "C) 12.87%", "D) 16.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.87%", "options": [ "A) 2.65%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 2.87%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 7.21%\nC) -1.80%\nD) 9.46%", "options": [ "A) 4.95%", "B) 7.21%", "C) -1.80%", "D) 9.46%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 2.85%", "options": [ "A) 5.70%", "B) 3.80%", "C) 6.65%", "D) 2.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 1.77%", "options": [ "A) 2.09%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 1.88%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $61,116M\nB) $68,886M\nC) $70,440M\nD) $65,778M", "options": [ "A) $61,116M", "B) $68,886M", "C) $70,440M", "D) $65,778M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$65,778M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 14.50%\nB) -29.68%\nC) -14.95%\nD) 29.23%", "options": [ "A) 14.50%", "B) -29.68%", "C) -14.95%", "D) 29.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.73%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.81%", "options": [ "A) 1.73%", "B) 1.64%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +1.62pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.22pp\nD) +5.60pp", "options": [ "A) +1.62pp", "B) +4.81pp", "C) +3.22pp", "D) +5.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+3.22pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 264.91\nB) 240.34\nC) 247.36\nD) 257.89", "options": [ "A) 264.91", "B) 240.34", "C) 247.36", "D) 257.89" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "257.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.76%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 6.54%\nD) 14.98%", "options": [ "A) 10.76%", "B) 2.32%", "C) 6.54%", "D) 14.98%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,141B\nB) $14,092B\nC) $14,617B\nD) $13,044B", "options": [ "A) $15,141B", "B) $14,092B", "C) $14,617B", "D) $13,044B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,092B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) 2.55%", "B) 2.72%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 16.28%\nB) 5.16%\nC) 19.06%\nD) 10.72%", "options": [ "A) 16.28%", "B) 5.16%", "C) 19.06%", "D) 10.72%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 14.58%\nD) 16.92%", "options": [ "A) 9.90%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 14.58%", "D) 16.92%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.31%\nD) 2.14%", "options": [ "A) 2.82%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 2.31%", "D) 2.14%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 12.68\nB) 20.51\nC) 14.64\nD) 16.60", "options": [ "A) 12.68", "B) 20.51", "C) 14.64", "D) 16.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) -0.68pp\nD) +0.25pp", "options": [ "A) +0.56pp", "B) -0.06pp", "C) -0.68pp", "D) +0.25pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 10.18%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 7.26%", "options": [ "A) 4.34%", "B) 10.18%", "C) 1.42%", "D) 7.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $71,428M\nB) $66,704M\nC) $61,980M\nD) $68,279M", "options": [ "A) $71,428M", "B) $66,704M", "C) $61,980M", "D) $68,279M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,704M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 7.3449\nB) 6.5311\nC) 6.9380\nD) 6.2599", "options": [ "A) 7.3449", "B) 6.5311", "C) 6.9380", "D) 6.2599" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.9380", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.51%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 3.53%", "options": [ "A) 6.51%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 2.54%", "D) 3.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) -12.03%\nC) 12.98%\nD) -18.29%", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) -12.03%", "C) 12.98%", "D) -18.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) -47.48%\nB) 2.12%\nC) -30.95%\nD) -14.42%", "options": [ "A) -47.48%", "B) 2.12%", "C) -30.95%", "D) -14.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 14.76%\nC) 6.97%\nD) -0.82%", "options": [ "A) 10.86%", "B) 14.76%", "C) 6.97%", "D) -0.82%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.94%", "options": [ "A) 3.44%", "B) 3.19%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $3,584M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $3,584M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,584M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.50pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) -0.09pp", "options": [ "A) +0.20pp", "B) +0.50pp", "C) +1.09pp", "D) -0.09pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,901B\nB) $14,998B\nC) $13,949B\nD) $14,473B", "options": [ "A) $12,901B", "B) $14,998B", "C) $13,949B", "D) $14,473B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,949B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 64.16%\nB) 61.64%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 62.90%", "options": [ "A) 64.16%", "B) 61.64%", "C) 66.05%", "D) 62.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.78\nB) 96.50\nC) 99.67\nD) 104.95", "options": [ "A) 101.78", "B) 96.50", "C) 99.67", "D) 104.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 123.03\nB) 115.15\nC) 111.21\nD) 119.09", "options": [ "A) 123.03", "B) 115.15", "C) 111.21", "D) 119.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.46%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 7.44%", "options": [ "A) 6.42%", "B) 8.46%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 7.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) -1.27%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 2.26%", "options": [ "A) -0.09%", "B) -1.27%", "C) 4.61%", "D) 2.26%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) $12,948B\nB) $13,424B\nC) $11,518B\nD) $14,377B", "options": [ "A) $12,948B", "B) $13,424B", "C) $11,518B", "D) $14,377B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,948B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 8.47%\nC) 6.23%\nD) 12.96%", "options": [ "A) 15.20%", "B) 8.47%", "C) 6.23%", "D) 12.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,394.72\nB) 2,605.87\nC) 2,711.45\nD) 2,817.03", "options": [ "A) 2,394.72", "B) 2,605.87", "C) 2,711.45", "D) 2,817.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,711.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 28.34%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 33.87%\nD) 17.29%", "options": [ "A) 28.34%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 33.87%", "D) 17.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.60%\nB) 57.57%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%", "options": [ "A) 60.60%", "B) 57.57%", "C) 58.78%", "D) 62.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.0739\nB) 6.3438\nC) 6.6137\nD) 6.7487", "options": [ "A) 6.0739", "B) 6.3438", "C) 6.6137", "D) 6.7487" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3438", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,703B\nB) $14,429B\nC) $13,739B\nD) $13,393B", "options": [ "A) $12,703B", "B) $14,429B", "C) $13,739B", "D) $13,393B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,739B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 109.57\nB) 99.33\nC) 105.47\nD) 102.40", "options": [ "A) 109.57", "B) 99.33", "C) 105.47", "D) 102.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "102.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 115.10\nB) 118.55\nC) 111.65\nD) 123.16", "options": [ "A) 115.10", "B) 118.55", "C) 111.65", "D) 123.16" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 2.87%", "options": [ "A) 1.66%", "B) 2.27%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 2.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 119.38\nB) 112.42\nC) 115.90\nD) 122.85", "options": [ "A) 119.38", "B) 112.42", "C) 115.90", "D) 122.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,159K\nB) 1,555K\nC) 1,291K\nD) 1,357K", "options": [ "A) 1,159K", "B) 1,555K", "C) 1,291K", "D) 1,357K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,357K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 79.93%\nB) 77.53%\nC) 82.33%\nD) 75.94%", "options": [ "A) 79.93%", "B) 77.53%", "C) 82.33%", "D) 75.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "79.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 7.79%\nD) 7.15%", "options": [ "A) 5.25%", "B) 5.88%", "C) 7.79%", "D) 7.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 107.19\nB) 100.95\nC) 104.07\nD) 110.31", "options": [ "A) 107.19", "B) 100.95", "C) 104.07", "D) 110.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "104.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 11.57%\nB) -2.00%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 7.05%", "options": [ "A) 11.57%", "B) -2.00%", "C) 2.53%", "D) 7.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 222,000\nB) 277,010\nC) 258,673\nD) 240,337", "options": [ "A) 222,000", "B) 277,010", "C) 258,673", "D) 240,337" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "222,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.50pp\nC) +0.77pp\nD) +0.23pp", "options": [ "A) +0.32pp", "B) +0.50pp", "C) +0.77pp", "D) +0.23pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.18\nB) 96.22\nC) 99.70\nD) 106.66", "options": [ "A) 103.18", "B) 96.22", "C) 99.70", "D) 106.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "99.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.0789\nB) 1.2939\nC) 1.3477\nD) 1.1864", "options": [ "A) 1.0789", "B) 1.2939", "C) 1.3477", "D) 1.1864" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1864", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $68,087M\nB) $72,626M\nC) $71,113M\nD) $66,574M", "options": [ "A) $68,087M", "B) $72,626M", "C) $71,113M", "D) $66,574M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$68,087M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.41%", "options": [ "A) 4.81%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 4.11%", "D) 3.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 114.2529\nB) 99.7212\nC) 110.6200\nD) 121.5188", "options": [ "A) 114.2529", "B) 99.7212", "C) 110.6200", "D) 121.5188" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "110.6200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.70%", "options": [ "A) 1.48%", "B) 1.27%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) $56.45/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $35.88/bbl", "options": [ "A) $56.45/bbl", "B) $87.31/bbl", "C) $25.59/bbl", "D) $35.88/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$56.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.1381\nB) 1.2482\nC) 1.1932\nD) 1.4133", "options": [ "A) 1.1381", "B) 1.2482", "C) 1.1932", "D) 1.4133" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2482", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 58.08%\nB) 61.71%\nC) 60.50%\nD) 59.29%", "options": [ "A) 58.08%", "B) 61.71%", "C) 60.50%", "D) 59.29%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "60.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 1.98%", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 1.89%", "D) 1.98%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 255.71\nB) 272.71\nC) 265.91\nD) 248.91", "options": [ "A) 255.71", "B) 272.71", "C) 265.91", "D) 248.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "255.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 3.37%", "options": [ "A) 4.66%", "B) 3.80%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $-45,214M\nB) $-55,037M\nC) $-49,143M\nD) $-43,249M", "options": [ "A) $-45,214M", "B) $-55,037M", "C) $-49,143M", "D) $-43,249M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-49,143M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.08%", "options": [ "A) 3.44%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 3.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 257.14\nB) 250.25\nC) 239.91\nD) 267.49", "options": [ "A) 257.14", "B) 250.25", "C) 239.91", "D) 267.49" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "257.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.49%", "options": [ "A) 4.17%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 6.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.76%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 5.05%", "C) 4.61%", "D) 4.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.92%", "options": [ "A) 3.11%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.55%", "D) 2.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.07pp\nC) -0.78pp\nD) -1.13pp", "options": [ "A) -0.60pp", "B) -0.07pp", "C) -0.78pp", "D) -1.13pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -11.04%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 8.36%", "options": [ "A) -23.97%", "B) -11.04%", "C) 1.89%", "D) 8.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.28pp\nB) -5.97pp\nC) +3.40pp\nD) -2.85pp", "options": [ "A) +0.28pp", "B) -5.97pp", "C) +3.40pp", "D) -2.85pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+3.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 3.80%", "options": [ "A) 5.35%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 3.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 250.79\nB) 235.74\nC) 258.32\nD) 243.27", "options": [ "A) 250.79", "B) 235.74", "C) 258.32", "D) 243.27" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "250.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 6.03%", "options": [ "A) 4.62%", "B) 4.97%", "C) 3.91%", "D) 6.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.77%", "options": [ "A) 2.98%", "B) 1.16%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 1.77%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2787\nB) 0.9861\nC) 0.8885\nD) 1.1324", "options": [ "A) 1.2787", "B) 0.9861", "C) 0.8885", "D) 1.1324" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1324", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 9.30%\nD) 4.21%", "options": [ "A) 6.25%", "B) 7.26%", "C) 9.30%", "D) 4.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 18.87%\nB) 11.00%\nC) -0.80%\nD) 22.81%", "options": [ "A) 18.87%", "B) 11.00%", "C) -0.80%", "D) 22.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,518K\nB) 1,278K\nC) 1,338K\nD) 1,158K", "options": [ "A) 1,518K", "B) 1,278K", "C) 1,338K", "D) 1,158K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,338K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 6.60%", "options": [ "A) 6.38%", "B) 7.04%", "C) 6.16%", "D) 6.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 3.59%", "options": [ "A) 2.86%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 3.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.84%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.03%", "options": [ "A) 0.84%", "B) 1.42%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 2.95%", "options": [ "A) 2.08%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 2.73%", "D) 2.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 3.80%", "options": [ "A) 4.27%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 3.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,273K\nB) 1,154K\nC) 1,214K\nD) 1,095K", "options": [ "A) 1,273K", "B) 1,154K", "C) 1,214K", "D) 1,095K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,273K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 17.01%\nB) 2.90%\nC) -18.26%\nD) 24.06%", "options": [ "A) 17.01%", "B) 2.90%", "C) -18.26%", "D) 24.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 17.98\nB) 21.98\nC) 19.98\nD) 23.99", "options": [ "A) 17.98", "B) 21.98", "C) 19.98", "D) 23.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $-39,952M\nB) $-38,269M\nC) $-45,001M\nD) $-41,635M", "options": [ "A) $-39,952M", "B) $-38,269M", "C) $-45,001M", "D) $-41,635M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-41,635M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.46%\nB) 10.28%\nC) 12.19%\nD) 2.63%", "options": [ "A) 6.46%", "B) 10.28%", "C) 12.19%", "D) 2.63%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,048.76\nB) 2,818.37\nC) 2,703.17\nD) 2,587.98", "options": [ "A) 3,048.76", "B) 2,818.37", "C) 2,703.17", "D) 2,587.98" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,818.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.42pp\nB) -0.96pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.06pp", "options": [ "A) -0.42pp", "B) -0.96pp", "C) -0.60pp", "D) -0.06pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 1.92%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 1.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) +3.73pp\nB) +6.48pp\nC) +4.64pp\nD) +5.56pp", "options": [ "A) +3.73pp", "B) +6.48pp", "C) +4.64pp", "D) +5.56pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.73pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.70%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 7.91%\nD) -1.38%", "options": [ "A) -3.70%", "B) 3.27%", "C) 7.91%", "D) -1.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,743B\nB) $13,704B\nC) $14,223B\nD) $15,782B", "options": [ "A) $14,743B", "B) $13,704B", "C) $14,223B", "D) $15,782B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,223B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 88.24\nB) 103.67\nC) 106.76\nD) 97.50", "options": [ "A) 88.24", "B) 103.67", "C) 106.76", "D) 97.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 1.90%", "options": [ "A) 2.01%", "B) 2.12%", "C) 2.24%", "D) 1.90%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 14.38%\nC) 16.70%\nD) 9.74%", "options": [ "A) 7.42%", "B) 14.38%", "C) 16.70%", "D) 9.74%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) $54.20/bbl\nB) $88.43/bbl\nC) $65.61/bbl\nD) $42.79/bbl", "options": [ "A) $54.20/bbl", "B) $88.43/bbl", "C) $65.61/bbl", "D) $42.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$65.61/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 2.20%", "options": [ "A) 2.51%", "B) 1.26%", "C) 1.89%", "D) 2.20%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 113.4600\nB) 116.8021\nC) 110.1179\nD) 120.1443", "options": [ "A) 113.4600", "B) 116.8021", "C) 110.1179", "D) 120.1443" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "113.4600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 6.04%", "options": [ "A) 3.06%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 4.85%", "D) 6.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 181,618\nB) 162,928\nC) 219,000\nD) 237,691", "options": [ "A) 181,618", "B) 162,928", "C) 219,000", "D) 237,691" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "219,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) $83.29/bbl\nB) $47.43/bbl\nC) $95.25/bbl\nD) $71.34/bbl", "options": [ "A) $83.29/bbl", "B) $47.43/bbl", "C) $95.25/bbl", "D) $71.34/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$71.34/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.50%\nB) 6.74%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 6.02%", "options": [ "A) 6.50%", "B) 6.74%", "C) 5.78%", "D) 6.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 14.19%\nD) 10.29%", "options": [ "A) 6.38%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 14.19%", "D) 10.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 198.11\nB) 212.04\nC) 205.08\nD) 219.01", "options": [ "A) 198.11", "B) 212.04", "C) 205.08", "D) 219.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "205.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 2.12%", "options": [ "A) 2.46%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 1.78%", "D) 2.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,730.20\nB) 2,605.12\nC) 2,480.04\nD) 2,855.28", "options": [ "A) 2,730.20", "B) 2,605.12", "C) 2,480.04", "D) 2,855.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,730.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) -4.73%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 10.36%\nD) 13.37%", "options": [ "A) -4.73%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 10.36%", "D) 13.37%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,855M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,855M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,855M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 2.19%", "options": [ "A) 1.53%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 2.19%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 7,259.03\nB) 8,401.15\nC) 7,830.09\nD) 6,116.91", "options": [ "A) 7,259.03", "B) 8,401.15", "C) 7,830.09", "D) 6,116.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,259.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.97/hr\nB) $22.78/hr\nC) $23.87/hr\nD) $22.05/hr", "options": [ "A) $20.97/hr", "B) $22.78/hr", "C) $23.87/hr", "D) $22.05/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$22.78/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.01\nB) 85.98\nC) 96.20\nD) 89.39", "options": [ "A) 103.01", "B) 85.98", "C) 96.20", "D) 89.39" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "96.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,754B\nB) $14,541B\nC) $14,945B\nD) $15,350B", "options": [ "A) $15,754B", "B) $14,541B", "C) $14,945B", "D) $15,350B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15,350B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 203.40\nB) 195.55\nC) 187.70\nD) 215.18", "options": [ "A) 203.40", "B) 195.55", "C) 187.70", "D) 215.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "203.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $458,599M\nB) $491,960M\nC) $469,719M\nD) $480,840M", "options": [ "A) $458,599M", "B) $491,960M", "C) $469,719M", "D) $480,840M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$491,960M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.05%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 3.25%", "options": [ "A) 7.54%", "B) -1.05%", "C) 5.39%", "D) 3.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 3.01%", "options": [ "A) 1.00%", "B) 3.68%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 3.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 16.26%\nB) 12.90%\nC) 11.22%\nD) 17.94%", "options": [ "A) 16.26%", "B) 12.90%", "C) 11.22%", "D) 17.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 5.15%", "options": [ "A) 3.13%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 4.48%", "D) 5.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) $11,603B\nB) $14,048B\nC) $12,581B\nD) $12,092B", "options": [ "A) $11,603B", "B) $14,048B", "C) $12,581B", "D) $12,092B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,581B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) +0.86pp\nD) +0.25pp", "options": [ "A) +0.56pp", "B) -0.06pp", "C) +0.86pp", "D) +0.25pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.62pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.07pp", "options": [ "A) +0.40pp", "B) +0.62pp", "C) +0.73pp", "D) +0.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $249,457M\nB) $243,168M\nC) $224,300M\nD) $236,879M", "options": [ "A) $249,457M", "B) $243,168M", "C) $224,300M", "D) $236,879M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$243,168M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 198.57\nB) 191.84\nC) 205.29\nD) 225.48", "options": [ "A) 198.57", "B) 191.84", "C) 205.29", "D) 225.48" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "205.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.85pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) -0.50pp", "options": [ "A) -0.85pp", "B) -1.02pp", "C) -0.15pp", "D) -0.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) $61.48/bbl\nB) $24.48/bbl\nC) $98.48/bbl\nD) $49.15/bbl", "options": [ "A) $61.48/bbl", "B) $24.48/bbl", "C) $98.48/bbl", "D) $49.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$61.48/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.2426\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.1091\nD) 6.5094", "options": [ "A) 6.2426", "B) 6.3760", "C) 6.1091", "D) 6.5094" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3760", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.2731\nB) 6.5370\nC) 6.9330\nD) 7.1970", "options": [ "A) 6.2731", "B) 6.5370", "C) 6.9330", "D) 7.1970" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.9330", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 21.86%\nB) 37.26%\nC) 98.86%\nD) 52.66%", "options": [ "A) 21.86%", "B) 37.26%", "C) 98.86%", "D) 52.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) $62.86/bbl\nB) $76.54/bbl\nC) $90.23/bbl\nD) $35.49/bbl", "options": [ "A) $62.86/bbl", "B) $76.54/bbl", "C) $90.23/bbl", "D) $35.49/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$62.86/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 138,661K\nB) 148,054K\nC) 144,297K\nD) 153,690K", "options": [ "A) 138,661K", "B) 148,054K", "C) 144,297K", "D) 153,690K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "148,054K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.15%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.27%", "options": [ "A) 5.15%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 4.27%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 29,037.19\nB) 23,870.82\nC) 21,287.63\nD) 25,162.41", "options": [ "A) 29,037.19", "B) 23,870.82", "C) 21,287.63", "D) 25,162.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25,162.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,769,000\nB) 1,597,713\nC) 2,282,862\nD) 1,940,287", "options": [ "A) 1,769,000", "B) 1,597,713", "C) 2,282,862", "D) 1,940,287" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,769,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 109.51\nB) 116.50\nC) 120.00\nD) 113.00", "options": [ "A) 109.51", "B) 116.50", "C) 120.00", "D) 113.00" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "116.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 17.25\nB) 24.77\nC) 19.13\nD) 22.89", "options": [ "A) 17.25", "B) 24.77", "C) 19.13", "D) 22.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.19%\nB) 11.63%\nC) 28.32%\nD) 22.76%", "options": [ "A) 17.19%", "B) 11.63%", "C) 28.32%", "D) 22.76%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.86%", "B) 4.06%", "C) 3.46%", "D) 1.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 4.82%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 3.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.82%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 4.53%", "D) 3.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 0.47%", "options": [ "A) 2.47%", "B) 4.48%", "C) 3.48%", "D) 0.47%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 6.08%", "options": [ "A) 8.75%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 6.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $245,657M\nB) $264,771M\nC) $252,028M\nD) $226,543M", "options": [ "A) $245,657M", "B) $264,771M", "C) $252,028M", "D) $226,543M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$245,657M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 96.84\nB) 101.94\nC) 105.00\nD) 99.90", "options": [ "A) 96.84", "B) 101.94", "C) 105.00", "D) 99.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) -2.31%\nC) 4.02%\nD) -0.20%", "options": [ "A) 1.91%", "B) -2.31%", "C) 4.02%", "D) -0.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 8,311.81\nB) 8,849.50\nC) 7,236.43\nD) 7,774.12", "options": [ "A) 8,311.81", "B) 8,849.50", "C) 7,236.43", "D) 7,774.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,774.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 79.77%\nB) 77.38%\nC) 75.78%\nD) 82.17%", "options": [ "A) 79.77%", "B) 77.38%", "C) 75.78%", "D) 82.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "79.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.24%", "options": [ "A) 2.89%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 2.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 21,152.65\nB) 23,910.40\nC) 25,289.27\nD) 29,425.89", "options": [ "A) 21,152.65", "B) 23,910.40", "C) 25,289.27", "D) 29,425.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25,289.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.49%\nB) 28.96%\nC) 20.03%\nD) 22.26%", "options": [ "A) 24.49%", "B) 28.96%", "C) 20.03%", "D) 22.26%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 107.32\nC) 99.14\nD) 104.25", "options": [ "A) 102.21", "B) 107.32", "C) 99.14", "D) 104.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $242,495M\nB) $235,930M\nC) $216,234M\nD) $229,365M", "options": [ "A) $242,495M", "B) $235,930M", "C) $216,234M", "D) $229,365M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$235,930M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 5.70%", "options": [ "A) 5.17%", "B) 2.50%", "C) 4.10%", "D) 5.70%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": [ "A) +0.01pp", "B) -0.61pp", "C) -0.15pp", "D) -0.30pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,605,000\nB) 2,099,162\nC) 1,440,279\nD) 1,934,441", "options": [ "A) 1,605,000", "B) 2,099,162", "C) 1,440,279", "D) 1,934,441" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,605,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.74\nB) 101.71\nC) 96.62\nD) 99.67", "options": [ "A) 103.74", "B) 101.71", "C) 96.62", "D) 99.67" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 211.12\nB) 191.33\nC) 203.20\nD) 222.99", "options": [ "A) 211.12", "B) 191.33", "C) 203.20", "D) 222.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "203.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 183.61\nB) 216.78\nC) 190.24\nD) 196.87", "options": [ "A) 183.61", "B) 216.78", "C) 190.24", "D) 196.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "196.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.64%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 3.07%", "options": [ "A) 2.64%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 3.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 1.85%", "options": [ "A) 1.52%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 1.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 58.59%\nB) 57.38%\nC) 60.40%\nD) 62.21%", "options": [ "A) 58.59%", "B) 57.38%", "C) 60.40%", "D) 62.21%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 10.55%\nC) -1.54%\nD) 4.51%", "options": [ "A) 1.48%", "B) 10.55%", "C) -1.54%", "D) 4.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 7.98%\nD) 1.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.35%", "B) 3.15%", "C) 7.98%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 61.35%\nD) 63.85%", "options": [ "A) 59.47%", "B) 62.60%", "C) 61.35%", "D) 63.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,011K\nB) 1,238K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,295K", "options": [ "A) 1,011K", "B) 1,238K", "C) 1,181K", "D) 1,295K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,181K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 208.90\nB) 215.38\nC) 195.93\nD) 202.41", "options": [ "A) 208.90", "B) 215.38", "C) 195.93", "D) 202.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "202.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.67%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 13.81%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) 8.67%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 13.81%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 3.61%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 3.40%", "D) 3.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $-45,440M\nB) $-43,803M\nC) $-48,714M\nD) $-50,351M", "options": [ "A) $-45,440M", "B) $-43,803M", "C) $-48,714M", "D) $-50,351M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-48,714M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 1.51%", "options": [ "A) 1.19%", "B) 1.41%", "C) 1.62%", "D) 1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.49%\nB) -10.44%\nC) -6.96%\nD) -13.92%", "options": [ "A) -3.49%", "B) -10.44%", "C) -6.96%", "D) -13.92%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 12.67\nB) 14.63\nC) 8.76\nD) 18.54", "options": [ "A) 12.67", "B) 14.63", "C) 8.76", "D) 18.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 20.02%\nB) 24.55%\nC) 17.75%\nD) 10.95%", "options": [ "A) 20.02%", "B) 24.55%", "C) 17.75%", "D) 10.95%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 2.27%", "options": [ "A) 2.06%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 2.27%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.42%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 3.62%", "options": [ "A) 3.03%", "B) 3.42%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 3.62%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.11%\nB) 63.00%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%", "options": [ "A) 61.11%", "B) 63.00%", "C) 64.89%", "D) 66.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 98.37\nB) 106.49\nC) 101.42\nD) 104.46", "options": [ "A) 98.37", "B) 106.49", "C) 101.42", "D) 104.46" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "101.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $3,675M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $3,675M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,675M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.15%\nB) 82.06%\nC) 76.59%\nD) 79.71%", "options": [ "A) 78.15%", "B) 82.06%", "C) 76.59%", "D) 79.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 24.92%\nB) 8.24%\nC) -2.88%\nD) -8.44%", "options": [ "A) 24.92%", "B) 8.24%", "C) -2.88%", "D) -8.44%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $15,529B\nB) $16,322B\nC) $15,132B\nD) $14,735B", "options": [ "A) $15,529B", "B) $16,322B", "C) $15,132B", "D) $14,735B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15,132B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -5.34pp\nB) +4.02pp\nC) -2.22pp\nD) +0.90pp", "options": [ "A) -5.34pp", "B) +4.02pp", "C) -2.22pp", "D) +0.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 4.06%", "options": [ "A) 5.70%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 4.88%", "D) 4.06%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) $13,650B\nB) $12,667B\nC) $11,192B\nD) $14,142B", "options": [ "A) $13,650B", "B) $12,667B", "C) $11,192B", "D) $14,142B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,667B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) $118.08/bbl\nB) $39.80/bbl\nC) $78.94/bbl\nD) $65.89/bbl", "options": [ "A) $118.08/bbl", "B) $39.80/bbl", "C) $78.94/bbl", "D) $65.89/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$78.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 4.77%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.94%", "options": [ "A) 5.27%", "B) 4.77%", "C) 4.61%", "D) 4.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,277K\nB) 1,470K\nC) 1,213K\nD) 1,341K", "options": [ "A) 1,277K", "B) 1,470K", "C) 1,213K", "D) 1,341K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,277K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.49%", "options": [ "A) 3.12%", "B) 3.86%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 3.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 277.18\nB) 248.80\nC) 259.44\nD) 270.08", "options": [ "A) 277.18", "B) 248.80", "C) 259.44", "D) 270.08" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "259.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) +0.34pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": [ "A) +0.49pp", "B) +0.63pp", "C) +0.34pp", "D) +0.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,014B\nB) $13,284B\nC) $15,109B\nD) $14,744B", "options": [ "A) $14,014B", "B) $13,284B", "C) $15,109B", "D) $14,744B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,014B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 214.10\nB) 202.30\nC) 221.97\nD) 190.50", "options": [ "A) 214.10", "B) 202.30", "C) 221.97", "D) 190.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "202.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 98.7065\nB) 102.5543\nC) 110.2500\nD) 117.9457", "options": [ "A) 98.7065", "B) 102.5543", "C) 110.2500", "D) 117.9457" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "110.2500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) -13.69%\nB) -10.88%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -8.08%", "options": [ "A) -13.69%", "B) -10.88%", "C) 0.32%", "D) -8.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-8.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $23.00/hr\nB) $23.75/hr\nC) $24.49/hr\nD) $21.88/hr", "options": [ "A) $23.00/hr", "B) $23.75/hr", "C) $24.49/hr", "D) $21.88/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.00/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 2.73%", "options": [ "A) 2.45%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 1.09%", "D) 2.73%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 203.32\nB) 187.23\nC) 199.30\nD) 195.28", "options": [ "A) 203.32", "B) 187.23", "C) 199.30", "D) 195.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "199.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.43pp\nB) +0.15pp\nC) +0.99pp\nD) +0.71pp", "options": [ "A) +0.43pp", "B) +0.15pp", "C) +0.99pp", "D) +0.71pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.71pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.54%", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 2.13%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.54%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 98.74\nB) 102.02\nC) 104.20\nD) 107.48", "options": [ "A) 98.74", "B) 102.02", "C) 104.20", "D) 107.48" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -16.82%\nB) 11.54%\nC) -2.64%\nD) 4.45%", "options": [ "A) -16.82%", "B) 11.54%", "C) -2.64%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 2.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.86%", "options": [ "A) 3.44%", "B) 2.67%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 2.86%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 6.87%\nC) 1.09%\nD) -0.07%", "options": [ "A) 3.40%", "B) 6.87%", "C) 1.09%", "D) -0.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +0.07pp", "options": [ "A) +0.18pp", "B) +0.40pp", "C) +0.29pp", "D) +0.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 29.99%\nB) -13.36%\nC) 15.54%\nD) -27.81%", "options": [ "A) 29.99%", "B) -13.36%", "C) 15.54%", "D) -27.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,905B\nB) $15,276B\nC) $14,534B\nD) $14,163B", "options": [ "A) $14,905B", "B) $15,276B", "C) $14,534B", "D) $14,163B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,163B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,321K\nB) 1,141K\nC) 1,441K\nD) 1,261K", "options": [ "A) 1,321K", "B) 1,141K", "C) 1,441K", "D) 1,261K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,321K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.39%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 10.25%\nD) 6.71%", "options": [ "A) -0.39%", "B) 3.16%", "C) 10.25%", "D) 6.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20181115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 3.72%", "options": [ "A) 3.00%", "B) 2.82%", "C) 3.36%", "D) 3.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $-51,044M\nB) $-47,558M\nC) $-52,787M\nD) $-49,301M", "options": [ "A) $-51,044M", "B) $-47,558M", "C) $-52,787M", "D) $-49,301M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-49,301M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.38%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 5.68%\nD) -12.43%", "options": [ "A) -3.38%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 5.68%", "D) -12.43%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $15,310B\nB) $14,283B\nC) $13,256B\nD) $13,769B", "options": [ "A) $15,310B", "B) $14,283B", "C) $13,256B", "D) $13,769B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,283B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $13,552B\nB) $14,258B\nC) $13,905B\nD) $13,199B", "options": [ "A) $13,552B", "B) $14,258B", "C) $13,905B", "D) $13,199B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,905B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.46\nB) 87.63\nC) 94.54\nD) 98.00", "options": [ "A) 101.46", "B) 87.63", "C) 94.54", "D) 98.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "98.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.29%", "options": [ "A) 1.61%", "B) 1.93%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.29%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) 19.55%\nC) 36.22%\nD) 30.66%", "options": [ "A) 2.87%", "B) 19.55%", "C) 36.22%", "D) 30.66%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -29.39%\nB) 12.74%\nC) -8.32%\nD) -1.30%", "options": [ "A) -29.39%", "B) 12.74%", "C) -8.32%", "D) -1.30%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-8.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.58%", "options": [ "A) 2.05%", "B) 3.11%", "C) 3.38%", "D) 2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,340K\nB) 1,396K\nC) 1,171K\nD) 1,509K", "options": [ "A) 1,340K", "B) 1,396K", "C) 1,171K", "D) 1,509K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,340K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $23.31/hr\nB) $22.60/hr\nC) $24.01/hr\nD) $21.54/hr", "options": [ "A) $23.31/hr", "B) $22.60/hr", "C) $24.01/hr", "D) $21.54/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$22.60/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,104K\nB) 1,411K\nC) 1,288K\nD) 1,165K", "options": [ "A) 1,104K", "B) 1,411K", "C) 1,288K", "D) 1,165K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,288K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20181101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 4.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.97%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 4.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,949.23\nB) 7,734.55\nC) 6,556.57\nD) 7,341.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,949.23", "B) 7,734.55", "C) 6,556.57", "D) 7,341.89" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,949.23\nB) 7,734.55\nC) 6,556.57\nD) 7,341.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,949.23", "B) 7,734.55", "C) 6,556.57", "D) 7,341.89" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 7,655.44", "D) 6,084.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 7,655.44", "D) 6,084.80" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 8,048.10\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 5,692.14\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 8,048.10", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 5,692.14", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 8,048.10\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 5,692.14\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 8,048.10", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 5,692.14", "D) 6,870.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 8,048.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 7,655.44", "D) 8,048.10" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 8,048.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 7,655.44", "D) 8,048.10" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,655.44\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 8,048.10\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,655.44", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 8,048.10", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,655.44\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 8,048.10\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 7,655.44", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 8,048.10", "D) 5,692.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,762.37\nB) 2,554.73\nC) 2,658.55\nD) 2,866.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,762.37", "B) 2,554.73", "C) 2,658.55", "D) 2,866.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,658.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,762.37\nB) 2,554.73\nC) 2,658.55\nD) 2,866.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,762.37", "B) 2,554.73", "C) 2,658.55", "D) 2,866.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,658.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,974.29\nB) 2,870.47\nC) 2,351.39\nD) 2,662.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,974.29", "B) 2,870.47", "C) 2,351.39", "D) 2,662.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,662.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,974.29\nB) 2,870.47\nC) 2,351.39\nD) 2,662.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,974.29", "B) 2,870.47", "C) 2,351.39", "D) 2,662.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,662.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,708.64\nB) 2,916.27\nC) 2,812.46\nD) 2,397.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,708.64", "B) 2,916.27", "C) 2,812.46", "D) 2,397.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,708.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,708.64\nB) 2,916.27\nC) 2,812.46\nD) 2,397.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,708.64", "B) 2,916.27", "C) 2,812.46", "D) 2,397.19" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,708.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,522.50\nB) 2,730.13\nC) 2,833.95\nD) 2,626.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,522.50", "B) 2,730.13", "C) 2,833.95", "D) 2,626.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,730.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,522.50\nB) 2,730.13\nC) 2,833.95\nD) 2,626.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,522.50", "B) 2,730.13", "C) 2,833.95", "D) 2,626.31" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,730.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 3,098.30\nB) 2,994.48\nC) 2,786.85\nD) 2,579.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 3,098.30", "B) 2,994.48", "C) 2,786.85", "D) 2,579.22" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,786.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 3,098.30\nB) 2,994.48\nC) 2,786.85\nD) 2,579.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 3,098.30", "B) 2,994.48", "C) 2,786.85", "D) 2,579.22" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,786.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,602.59\nB) 2,706.41\nC) 3,225.49\nD) 2,914.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,602.59", "B) 2,706.41", "C) 3,225.49", "D) 2,914.04" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,914.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,602.59\nB) 2,706.41\nC) 3,225.49\nD) 2,914.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 2,602.59", "B) 2,706.41", "C) 3,225.49", "D) 2,914.04" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,914.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2685\nB) 6.4431\nC) 6.6177\nD) 6.0066", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.2685", "B) 6.4431", "C) 6.6177", "D) 6.0066" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2685", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2685\nB) 6.4431\nC) 6.6177\nD) 6.0066", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.2685", "B) 6.4431", "C) 6.6177", "D) 6.0066" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2685", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4431\nB) 6.2685\nC) 6.7051\nD) 6.0066", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.4431", "B) 6.2685", "C) 6.7051", "D) 6.0066" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.2685", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4431\nB) 6.2685\nC) 6.7051\nD) 6.0066", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.4431", "B) 6.2685", "C) 6.7051", "D) 6.0066" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.2685", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0036\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.2655\nD) 6.6147", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.0036", "B) 6.4401", "C) 6.2655", "D) 6.6147" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0036\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.2655\nD) 6.6147", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.0036", "B) 6.4401", "C) 6.2655", "D) 6.6147" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8289\nB) 6.0909\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.2655", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5.8289", "B) 6.0909", "C) 6.4401", "D) 6.2655" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8289\nB) 6.0909\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.2655", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 5.8289", "B) 6.0909", "C) 6.4401", "D) 6.2655" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2655\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.7021\nD) 6.0909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.2655", "B) 6.4401", "C) 6.7021", "D) 6.0909" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2655\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.7021\nD) 6.0909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.2655", "B) 6.4401", "C) 6.7021", "D) 6.0909" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7021\nB) 6.2655\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.0036", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.7021", "B) 6.2655", "C) 6.4401", "D) 6.0036" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7021\nB) 6.2655\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.0036", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 6.7021", "B) 6.2655", "C) 6.4401", "D) 6.0036" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.2655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 26.57\nC) 24.87\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 21.46", "B) 26.57", "C) 24.87", "D) 19.76" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 26.57\nC) 24.87\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 21.46", "B) 26.57", "C) 24.87", "D) 19.76" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 23.17\nB) 28.28\nC) 29.98\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 23.17", "B) 28.28", "C) 29.98", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 23.17\nB) 28.28\nC) 29.98\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 23.17", "B) 28.28", "C) 29.98", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 26.57", "C) 23.17", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 24.87", "B) 26.57", "C) 23.17", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 28.28\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 28.28", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 28.28\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 28.28", "D) 21.46" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 19.76\nC) 24.87\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 19.76", "C) 24.87", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 19.76\nC) 24.87\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 26.57", "B) 19.76", "C) 24.87", "D) 28.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 28.28", "B) 26.57", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": [ "A) 28.28", "B) 26.57", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,554.36\nB) 7,273.05\nC) 5,476.32\nD) 6,195.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,554.36", "B) 7,273.05", "C) 5,476.32", "D) 6,195.01" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,554.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,554.36\nB) 7,273.05\nC) 5,476.32\nD) 6,195.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,554.36", "B) 7,273.05", "C) 5,476.32", "D) 6,195.01" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,554.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,822.85\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 7,541.54\nD) 5,744.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,822.85", "B) 6,463.50", "C) 7,541.54", "D) 5,744.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,822.85\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 7,541.54\nD) 5,744.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,822.85", "B) 6,463.50", "C) 7,541.54", "D) 5,744.81" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 5,744.81\nC) 6,463.50\nD) 6,822.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,104.15", "B) 5,744.81", "C) 6,463.50", "D) 6,822.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 5,744.81\nC) 6,463.50\nD) 6,822.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,104.15", "B) 5,744.81", "C) 6,463.50", "D) 6,822.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 7,541.54\nC) 7,182.19\nD) 6,463.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,104.15", "B) 7,541.54", "C) 7,182.19", "D) 6,463.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 7,541.54\nC) 7,182.19\nD) 6,463.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,104.15", "B) 7,541.54", "C) 7,182.19", "D) 6,463.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,463.50\nB) 6,822.85\nC) 5,385.46\nD) 6,104.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,463.50", "B) 6,822.85", "C) 5,385.46", "D) 6,104.15" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,463.50\nB) 6,822.85\nC) 5,385.46\nD) 6,104.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 6,463.50", "B) 6,822.85", "C) 5,385.46", "D) 6,104.15" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5,385.46\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 6,822.85\nD) 7,541.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 5,385.46", "B) 6,463.50", "C) 6,822.85", "D) 7,541.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5,385.46\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 6,822.85\nD) 7,541.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 5,385.46", "B) 6,463.50", "C) 6,822.85", "D) 7,541.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,463.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,230.57\nB) 2,598.94\nC) 2,506.85\nD) 2,691.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,230.57", "B) 2,598.94", "C) 2,506.85", "D) 2,691.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,506.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,230.57\nB) 2,598.94\nC) 2,506.85\nD) 2,691.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,230.57", "B) 2,598.94", "C) 2,506.85", "D) 2,691.03" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,506.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,769.14\nB) 2,308.68\nC) 2,861.24\nD) 2,584.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,769.14", "B) 2,308.68", "C) 2,861.24", "D) 2,584.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,584.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,769.14\nB) 2,308.68\nC) 2,861.24\nD) 2,584.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,769.14", "B) 2,308.68", "C) 2,861.24", "D) 2,584.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,584.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,670.71\nB) 2,394.43\nC) 2,854.89\nD) 2,578.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,670.71", "B) 2,394.43", "C) 2,854.89", "D) 2,578.62" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,670.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,670.71\nB) 2,394.43\nC) 2,854.89\nD) 2,578.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,670.71", "B) 2,394.43", "C) 2,854.89", "D) 2,578.62" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,670.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,700.58\nB) 2,792.67\nC) 3,068.95\nD) 2,608.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,700.58", "B) 2,792.67", "C) 3,068.95", "D) 2,608.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,792.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,700.58\nB) 2,792.67\nC) 3,068.95\nD) 2,608.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,700.58", "B) 2,792.67", "C) 3,068.95", "D) 2,608.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,792.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 3,131.16\nB) 2,946.97\nC) 2,854.88\nD) 2,578.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 3,131.16", "B) 2,946.97", "C) 2,854.88", "D) 2,578.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,854.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 3,131.16\nB) 2,946.97\nC) 2,854.88\nD) 2,578.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 3,131.16", "B) 2,946.97", "C) 2,854.88", "D) 2,578.60" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,854.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,761.65\nB) 3,037.92\nC) 3,222.11\nD) 2,945.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,761.65", "B) 3,037.92", "C) 3,222.11", "D) 2,945.83" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,945.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,761.65\nB) 3,037.92\nC) 3,222.11\nD) 2,945.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 2,761.65", "B) 3,037.92", "C) 3,222.11", "D) 2,945.83" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,945.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 25.42\nB) 27.59\nC) 31.93\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 25.42", "B) 27.59", "C) 31.93", "D) 18.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 25.42\nB) 27.59\nC) 31.93\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 25.42", "B) 27.59", "C) 31.93", "D) 18.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 26.49\nB) 19.98\nC) 15.64\nD) 13.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 26.49", "B) 19.98", "C) 15.64", "D) 13.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 26.49\nB) 19.98\nC) 15.64\nD) 13.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 26.49", "B) 19.98", "C) 15.64", "D) 13.47" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 22.14\nB) 15.63\nC) 17.80\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 22.14", "B) 15.63", "C) 17.80", "D) 11.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 22.14\nB) 15.63\nC) 17.80\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 22.14", "B) 15.63", "C) 17.80", "D) 11.29" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 15.68\nB) 17.85\nC) 9.17\nD) 13.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 15.68", "B) 17.85", "C) 9.17", "D) 13.51" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 15.68\nB) 17.85\nC) 9.17\nD) 13.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 15.68", "B) 17.85", "C) 9.17", "D) 13.51" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 19.39\nC) 8.54\nD) 10.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 12.88", "B) 19.39", "C) 8.54", "D) 10.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 19.39\nC) 8.54\nD) 10.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 12.88", "B) 19.39", "C) 8.54", "D) 10.71" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5.50\nB) 12.01\nC) 16.35\nD) 18.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 5.50", "B) 12.01", "C) 16.35", "D) 18.52" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5.50\nB) 12.01\nC) 16.35\nD) 18.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": [ "A) 5.50", "B) 12.01", "C) 16.35", "D) 18.52" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 38.10\nC) 33.46\nD) 35.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 36.56", "B) 38.10", "C) 33.46", "D) 35.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 38.10\nC) 33.46\nD) 35.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 36.56", "B) 38.10", "C) 33.46", "D) 35.01" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 35.01\nB) 30.36\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 35.01", "B) 30.36", "C) 31.91", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 35.01\nB) 30.36\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 35.01", "B) 30.36", "C) 31.91", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 31.91\nC) 35.01\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 31.91", "C) 35.01", "D) 38.10" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 31.91\nC) 35.01\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 33.46", "B) 31.91", "C) 35.01", "D) 38.10" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 33.46\nC) 35.01\nD) 28.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 31.91", "B) 33.46", "C) 35.01", "D) 28.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 33.46\nC) 35.01\nD) 28.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 31.91", "B) 33.46", "C) 35.01", "D) 28.82" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 36.56\nC) 33.46\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 36.56", "C) 33.46", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 36.56\nC) 33.46\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 36.56", "C) 33.46", "D) 31.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 38.10\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 38.10", "C) 31.91", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 38.10\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 30.36", "B) 38.10", "C) 31.91", "D) 33.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,115.88\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 6,357.68\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,115.88", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 6,357.68", "D) 8,253.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,115.88\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 6,357.68\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,115.88", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 6,357.68", "D) 8,253.18" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 8,014.63\nB) 7,256.43\nC) 7,635.53\nD) 6,119.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 8,014.63", "B) 7,256.43", "C) 7,635.53", "D) 6,119.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 8,014.63\nB) 7,256.43\nC) 7,635.53\nD) 6,119.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 8,014.63", "B) 7,256.43", "C) 7,635.53", "D) 6,119.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,663.26\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 7,421.46\nD) 7,800.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,663.26", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 7,421.46", "D) 7,800.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,663.26\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 7,421.46\nD) 7,800.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,663.26", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 7,421.46", "D) 7,800.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,967.42\nB) 6,830.12\nC) 8,725.62\nD) 7,588.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,967.42", "B) 6,830.12", "C) 8,725.62", "D) 7,588.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,967.42\nB) 6,830.12\nC) 8,725.62\nD) 7,588.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,967.42", "B) 6,830.12", "C) 8,725.62", "D) 7,588.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,588.32\nB) 7,967.42\nC) 6,451.02\nD) 6,830.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,588.32", "B) 7,967.42", "C) 6,451.02", "D) 6,830.12" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,588.32\nB) 7,967.42\nC) 6,451.02\nD) 6,830.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 7,588.32", "B) 7,967.42", "C) 6,451.02", "D) 6,830.12" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,794.94\nB) 7,932.24\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,553.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,794.94", "B) 7,932.24", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,553.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,794.94\nB) 7,932.24\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,553.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 6,794.94", "B) 7,932.24", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,553.14" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,484.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,290.16", "B) 2,774.90", "C) 2,581.00", "D) 2,484.05" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,484.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,290.16", "B) 2,774.90", "C) 2,581.00", "D) 2,484.05" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,871.84\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,581.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,290.16", "B) 2,871.84", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,581.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,871.84\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,581.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,290.16", "B) 2,871.84", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,581.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,581.00\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,677.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,581.00", "B) 2,484.05", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,677.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,581.00\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,677.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,581.00", "B) 2,484.05", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,677.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,581.00\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,871.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,581.00", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,871.84" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,581.00\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,871.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,581.00", "C) 2,387.10", "D) 2,871.84" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,871.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,484.05", "C) 2,581.00", "D) 2,871.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,871.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,484.05", "C) 2,581.00", "D) 2,871.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,290.16\nD) 2,581.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,774.90", "C) 2,290.16", "D) 2,581.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,290.16\nD) 2,581.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": [ "A) 2,677.95", "B) 2,774.90", "C) 2,290.16", "D) 2,581.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-min", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-01-31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-28", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-01-31, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-28.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.23%\nD) 0.84%", "options": [ "A) 1.42%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 1.23%", "D) 0.84%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-03-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-03-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-18.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.34%", "options": [ "A) 1.91%", "B) 1.69%", "C) 1.26%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-05-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "June 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-29", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-05-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-29.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 2.51%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.59%", "options": [ "A) 1.13%", "B) 2.51%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-06-13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-10", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-06-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-10.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 1.91%", "options": [ "A) 2.17%", "B) 2.43%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 1.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-08-01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-29", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-08-01, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-29.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 1.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.95%", "B) 1.41%", "C) 2.49%", "D) 1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-09-26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-23", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-09-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-23.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 2.49%", "options": [ "A) 1.89%", "B) 2.19%", "C) 1.60%", "D) 2.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-11-08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-05", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-11-08, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-05.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) 2.92%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 2.27%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-12-19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2019", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-16", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-12-19, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-16.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.40%", "options": [ "A) 3.42%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201801", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2018 (released around 2018-02-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) 137K\nB) 210K\nC) 28K\nD) 64K", "options": [ "A) 137K", "B) 210K", "C) 28K", "D) 64K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "137K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201802", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-23", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2018 (released around 2018-03-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) 432K\nB) 394K\nC) 508K\nD) 356K", "options": [ "A) 432K", "B) 394K", "C) 508K", "D) 356K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "394K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201803", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2018 (released around 2018-04-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) 188K\nB) 113K\nC) 226K\nD) 264K", "options": [ "A) 188K", "B) 113K", "C) 226K", "D) 264K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "226K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201804", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2018 (released around 2018-05-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 102K\nB) 178K\nC) 64K\nD) 140K", "options": [ "A) 102K", "B) 178K", "C) 64K", "D) 140K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2018 (released around 2018-06-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 322K\nB) 399K\nC) 361K\nD) 283K", "options": [ "A) 322K", "B) 399K", "C) 361K", "D) 283K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "322K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2018 (released around 2018-07-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) 179K\nB) 218K\nC) 334K\nD) 141K", "options": [ "A) 179K", "B) 218K", "C) 334K", "D) 141K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "218K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201807", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2018 (released around 2018-08-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 178K\nB) -19K\nC) 60K\nD) 21K", "options": [ "A) 178K", "B) -19K", "C) 60K", "D) 21K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "60K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201808", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-31", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2018 (released around 2018-09-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) 296K\nB) 375K\nC) 336K\nD) 257K", "options": [ "A) 296K", "B) 375K", "C) 336K", "D) 257K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "257K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201809", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2018 (released around 2018-10-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) 81K\nB) 1K\nC) 121K\nD) -39K", "options": [ "A) 81K", "B) 1K", "C) 121K", "D) -39K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "81K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2018 (released around 2018-11-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 289K\nB) 169K\nC) 49K\nD) 89K", "options": [ "A) 289K", "B) 169K", "C) 49K", "D) 89K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "169K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201811", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2018 (released around 2018-12-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) 131K\nB) 49K\nC) 90K\nD) 9K", "options": [ "A) 131K", "B) 49K", "C) 90K", "D) 9K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "90K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-201812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2018 (released around 2019-01-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-28.)\n\nA) 271K\nB) 153K\nC) 310K\nD) 192K", "options": [ "A) 271K", "B) 153K", "C) 310K", "D) 192K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "192K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201801", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2018 (released around 2018-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 1.39%", "options": [ "A) 2.15%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 1.39%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201803", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2018 (released around 2018-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 1.94%", "options": [ "A) 1.54%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.72%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201804", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2018 (released around 2018-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 2.07%", "options": [ "A) 1.26%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2018 (released around 2018-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 2.81%", "options": [ "A) 1.54%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 3.65%", "D) 2.81%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201807", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2018 (released around 2018-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 3.71%", "options": [ "A) 2.85%", "B) 1.99%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 3.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201809", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2018 (released around 2018-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-06.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 1.90%", "options": [ "A) 3.64%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.46%", "D) 1.90%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2018 (released around 2018-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) 1.18%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 2.49%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-201812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2018", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2018 (released around 2019-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-06.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.00%", "options": [ "A) 0.68%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-14.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.67%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 2.34%", "options": [ "A) 3.33%", "B) 2.67%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 2.34%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-14.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.30%", "options": [ "A) 3.96%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 3.79%", "options": [ "A) 2.80%", "B) 3.46%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 3.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2018", "info_cutoff": "2019-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2018 (advance estimate released around 2019-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 2.13%", "options": [ "A) 2.77%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 2.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-05", "info_cutoff": "2017-12-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2017-12-29.)\n\nA) 9.77\nB) 13.57\nC) 11.67\nD) 7.87", "options": [ "A) 9.77", "B) 13.57", "C) 11.67", "D) 7.87" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-12", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-05.)\n\nA) 8.27\nB) 10.16\nC) 12.05\nD) 13.94", "options": [ "A) 8.27", "B) 10.16", "C) 12.05", "D) 13.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-19", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-12.)\n\nA) 10.40\nB) 15.87\nC) 12.22\nD) 14.04", "options": [ "A) 10.40", "B) 15.87", "C) 12.22", "D) 14.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.22", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.67\nB) 20.59\nC) 18.95\nD) 17.31", "options": [ "A) 15.67", "B) 20.59", "C) 18.95", "D) 17.31" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 37.32\nB) 40.49\nC) 38.91\nD) 32.56", "options": [ "A) 37.32", "B) 40.49", "C) 38.91", "D) 32.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "37.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-09.)\n\nA) 22.09\nB) 25.61\nC) 30.88\nD) 29.13", "options": [ "A) 22.09", "B) 25.61", "C) 30.88", "D) 29.13" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180302", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-23", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) 17.38\nB) 27.56\nC) 22.47\nD) 19.08", "options": [ "A) 17.38", "B) 27.56", "C) 22.47", "D) 19.08" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180309", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-02.)\n\nA) 15.34\nB) 22.12\nC) 23.82\nD) 18.73", "options": [ "A) 15.34", "B) 22.12", "C) 23.82", "D) 18.73" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180316", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-09.)\n\nA) 17.23\nB) 20.62\nC) 12.14\nD) 13.84", "options": [ "A) 17.23", "B) 20.62", "C) 12.14", "D) 13.84" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180406", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-06", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) 27.17\nB) 23.62\nC) 20.07\nD) 25.40", "options": [ "A) 27.17", "B) 23.62", "C) 20.07", "D) 25.40" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180413", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-13", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 27.23\nB) 25.41\nC) 21.77\nD) 16.31", "options": [ "A) 27.23", "B) 25.41", "C) 21.77", "D) 16.31" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180420", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-13.)\n\nA) 15.03\nB) 13.18\nC) 20.58\nD) 16.88", "options": [ "A) 15.03", "B) 13.18", "C) 20.58", "D) 16.88" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180504", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-04", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 15.97\nB) 17.83\nC) 10.38\nD) 14.11", "options": [ "A) 15.97", "B) 17.83", "C) 10.38", "D) 14.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-11", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-04.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 14.75\nC) 11.02\nD) 9.16", "options": [ "A) 20.34", "B) 14.75", "C) 11.02", "D) 9.16" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180518", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-18", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-11.)\n\nA) 18.35\nB) 9.04\nC) 14.63\nD) 16.49", "options": [ "A) 18.35", "B) 9.04", "C) 14.63", "D) 16.49" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180601", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-01", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 11.45\nB) 22.59\nC) 13.31\nD) 17.02", "options": [ "A) 11.45", "B) 22.59", "C) 13.31", "D) 17.02" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-08", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-01.)\n\nA) 12.74\nB) 14.60\nC) 16.46\nD) 10.88", "options": [ "A) 12.74", "B) 14.60", "C) 16.46", "D) 10.88" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180615", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.66\nB) 12.94\nC) 14.80\nD) 9.22", "options": [ "A) 16.66", "B) 12.94", "C) 14.80", "D) 9.22" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180706", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-06", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 12.59\nC) 16.14\nD) 14.37", "options": [ "A) 21.46", "B) 12.59", "C) 16.14", "D) 14.37" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-13", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) 8.31\nB) 10.08\nC) 18.95\nD) 13.63", "options": [ "A) 8.31", "B) 10.08", "C) 18.95", "D) 13.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180720", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-20", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-13.)\n\nA) 12.87\nB) 9.33\nC) 11.10\nD) 16.41", "options": [ "A) 12.87", "B) 9.33", "C) 11.10", "D) 16.41" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180803", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-03", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 14.26\nC) 8.94\nD) 12.49", "options": [ "A) 17.80", "B) 14.26", "C) 8.94", "D) 12.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-10", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-03.)\n\nA) 18.48\nB) 16.70\nC) 13.16\nD) 14.93", "options": [ "A) 18.48", "B) 16.70", "C) 13.16", "D) 14.93" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180817", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-17", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-10.)\n\nA) 16.55\nB) 11.23\nC) 18.33\nD) 14.78", "options": [ "A) 16.55", "B) 11.23", "C) 18.33", "D) 14.78" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180907", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-07", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) 14.88\nB) 9.56\nC) 20.20\nD) 16.65", "options": [ "A) 14.88", "B) 9.56", "C) 20.20", "D) 16.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180914", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-14", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-07.)\n\nA) 17.71\nB) 14.16\nC) 15.93\nD) 19.48", "options": [ "A) 17.71", "B) 14.16", "C) 15.93", "D) 19.48" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20180921", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-21", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-14.)\n\nA) 10.15\nB) 8.38\nC) 13.68\nD) 11.91", "options": [ "A) 10.15", "B) 8.38", "C) 13.68", "D) 11.91" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181005", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) 13.06\nB) 16.58\nC) 9.54\nD) 14.82", "options": [ "A) 13.06", "B) 16.58", "C) 9.54", "D) 14.82" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.82", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181012", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-12", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-05.)\n\nA) 24.98\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.22\nD) 28.50", "options": [ "A) 24.98", "B) 21.46", "C) 23.22", "D) 28.50" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181019", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-19", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-12.)\n\nA) 26.71\nB) 21.30\nC) 17.69\nD) 24.91", "options": [ "A) 26.71", "B) 21.30", "C) 17.69", "D) 24.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 22.81\nB) 28.48\nC) 24.70\nD) 20.92", "options": [ "A) 22.81", "B) 28.48", "C) 24.70", "D) 20.92" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-02.)\n\nA) 16.09\nB) 14.16\nC) 23.83\nD) 19.96", "options": [ "A) 16.09", "B) 14.16", "C) 23.83", "D) 19.96" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181116", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-09.)\n\nA) 21.25\nB) 27.00\nC) 15.50\nD) 25.08", "options": [ "A) 21.25", "B) 27.00", "C) 15.50", "D) 25.08" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181207", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-07", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) 25.22\nB) 23.23\nC) 19.24\nD) 29.21", "options": [ "A) 25.22", "B) 23.23", "C) 19.24", "D) 29.21" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181214", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-14", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-07.)\n\nA) 20.62\nB) 18.60\nC) 22.64\nD) 16.57", "options": [ "A) 20.62", "B) 18.60", "C) 22.64", "D) 16.57" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20181221", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-21", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-14.)\n\nA) 28.05\nB) 23.92\nC) 36.30\nD) 30.11", "options": [ "A) 28.05", "B) 23.92", "C) 36.30", "D) 30.11" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-05", "info_cutoff": "2017-12-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2017-12-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 3.18%", "options": [ "A) 1.85%", "B) 0.52%", "C) 1.18%", "D) 3.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-12", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-05.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.78%\nD) -0.56%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 0.78%", "D) -0.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-01-19", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-12.)\n\nA) 3.57%\nB) -0.45%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 0.22%", "options": [ "A) 3.57%", "B) -0.45%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 0.22%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) -3.70%\nB) -4.38%\nC) -0.99%\nD) -3.02%", "options": [ "A) -3.70%", "B) -4.38%", "C) -0.99%", "D) -3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) -1.34%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 0.75%\nD) -2.03%", "options": [ "A) -1.34%", "B) -3.42%", "C) 0.75%", "D) -2.03%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-02-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-09.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 2.87%", "options": [ "A) 1.25%", "B) 3.69%", "C) 2.06%", "D) 2.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180302", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-23", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) -4.73%\nB) -0.52%\nC) -2.20%\nD) -3.05%", "options": [ "A) -4.73%", "B) -0.52%", "C) -2.20%", "D) -3.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180309", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-02.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 5.70%\nD) 3.14%", "options": [ "A) 1.43%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 5.70%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180316", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-09.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) -3.13%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 0.32%", "options": [ "A) -1.40%", "B) -3.13%", "C) 1.18%", "D) 0.32%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180406", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-06", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) -1.26%\nB) 0.65%\nC) 3.53%\nD) -2.22%", "options": [ "A) -1.26%", "B) 0.65%", "C) 3.53%", "D) -2.22%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180413", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-13", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.25%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 0.26%", "options": [ "A) 3.25%", "B) -0.74%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 0.26%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180420", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-13.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) -2.16%\nC) 1.88%\nD) -0.14%", "options": [ "A) 2.89%", "B) -2.16%", "C) 1.88%", "D) -0.14%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180504", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-04", "info_cutoff": "2018-04-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 4.08%\nD) -1.05%", "options": [ "A) 2.03%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 4.08%", "D) -1.05%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-11", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-04.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.93%\nD) -0.17%", "options": [ "A) 3.96%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 2.93%", "D) -0.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180518", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-05-18", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-11.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 0.27%\nC) -0.77%\nD) -2.85%", "options": [ "A) 2.35%", "B) 0.27%", "C) -0.77%", "D) -2.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180601", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-01", "info_cutoff": "2018-05-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 2.13%", "options": [ "A) 1.11%", "B) 4.18%", "C) 5.20%", "D) 2.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-08", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 3.60%\nD) -2.58%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) 2.57%", "C) 3.60%", "D) -2.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180615", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.96%\nB) 1.13%\nC) -0.93%\nD) 2.16%", "options": [ "A) -1.96%", "B) 1.13%", "C) -0.93%", "D) 2.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180706", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-06", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) -1.48%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 0.57%", "options": [ "A) -1.48%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 1.59%", "D) 0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-13", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) -0.13%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 0.90%", "options": [ "A) -2.18%", "B) -0.13%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 0.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180720", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-07-20", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-13.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) -1.86%\nC) 1.21%\nD) -2.89%", "options": [ "A) 0.19%", "B) -1.86%", "C) 1.21%", "D) -2.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180803", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-03", "info_cutoff": "2018-07-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 2.39%\nC) -0.72%\nD) 3.42%", "options": [ "A) 0.32%", "B) 2.39%", "C) -0.72%", "D) 3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-10", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-03.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.26%\nD) -3.39%", "options": [ "A) 0.78%", "B) 1.82%", "C) -0.26%", "D) -3.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180817", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-08-17", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-10.)\n\nA) -1.09%\nB) -2.13%\nC) 1.00%\nD) -0.04%", "options": [ "A) -1.09%", "B) -2.13%", "C) 1.00%", "D) -0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180907", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-07", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) -2.33%\nB) -3.35%\nC) -1.31%\nD) 0.73%", "options": [ "A) -2.33%", "B) -3.35%", "C) -1.31%", "D) 0.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180914", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-14", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-07.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 0.06%\nD) -0.96%", "options": [ "A) 4.16%", "B) 1.08%", "C) 0.06%", "D) -0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20180921", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-09-21", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-14.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) -1.91%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 0.13%", "options": [ "A) -0.89%", "B) -1.91%", "C) 1.15%", "D) 0.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181005", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-09-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) -6.17%\nB) -1.04%\nC) -5.15%\nD) -3.10%", "options": [ "A) -6.17%", "B) -1.04%", "C) -5.15%", "D) -3.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181012", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-12", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-05.)\n\nA) -3.09%\nB) -4.13%\nC) 0.02%\nD) -2.05%", "options": [ "A) -3.09%", "B) -4.13%", "C) 0.02%", "D) -2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181019", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-10-19", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.25%\nC) -3.03%\nD) -1.94%", "options": [ "A) 3.52%", "B) 0.25%", "C) -3.03%", "D) -1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-02", "info_cutoff": "2018-10-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 5.54%\nB) 7.91%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 0.79%", "options": [ "A) 5.54%", "B) 7.91%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 0.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-09", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-02.)\n\nA) -2.55%\nB) -0.14%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 1.06%", "options": [ "A) -2.55%", "B) -0.14%", "C) 2.27%", "D) 1.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181116", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-11-16", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-09.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 1.88%\nD) -3.02%", "options": [ "A) 0.65%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 1.88%", "D) -3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181207", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-07", "info_cutoff": "2018-11-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) -7.63%\nB) -6.35%\nC) -8.92%\nD) -5.06%", "options": [ "A) -7.63%", "B) -6.35%", "C) -8.92%", "D) -5.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181214", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-14", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-07.)\n\nA) -5.57%\nB) 1.10%\nC) -1.56%\nD) -0.23%", "options": [ "A) -5.57%", "B) 1.10%", "C) -1.56%", "D) -0.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20181221", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2018-12-21", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-14.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -2.19%\nC) -7.57%\nD) -6.23%", "options": [ "A) -4.88%", "B) -2.19%", "C) -7.57%", "D) -6.23%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2018 } ]