[ { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $588,442M\nB) $554,762M\nC) $622,122M\nD) $605,282M", "options": [ "A) $588,442M", "B) $554,762M", "C) $622,122M", "D) $605,282M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$605,282M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 3.64%", "options": [ "A) 2.81%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 3.36%", "D) 3.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 29,837.10\nB) 31,522.75\nC) 36,579.69\nD) 28,151.45", "options": [ "A) 29,837.10", "B) 31,522.75", "C) 36,579.69", "D) 28,151.45" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31,522.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.28%\nB) 33.09%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 26.15%", "options": [ "A) 12.28%", "B) 33.09%", "C) 22.69%", "D) 26.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 134.33%\nB) 187.13%\nC) 55.13%\nD) 107.93%", "options": [ "A) 134.33%", "B) 187.13%", "C) 55.13%", "D) 107.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 250,000\nB) 1,380,722\nC) 1,003,814\nD) 626,907", "options": [ "A) 250,000", "B) 1,380,722", "C) 1,003,814", "D) 626,907" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "250,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0171\nB) 1.1421\nC) 1.2171\nD) 1.0671", "options": [ "A) 1.0171", "B) 1.1421", "C) 1.2171", "D) 1.0671" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1421", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 100.7742\nB) 109.2839\nC) 105.8800\nD) 112.6878", "options": [ "A) 100.7742", "B) 109.2839", "C) 105.8800", "D) 112.6878" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "105.8800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.66\nB) 103.53\nC) 106.43\nD) 110.77", "options": [ "A) 113.66", "B) 103.53", "C) 106.43", "D) 110.77" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "110.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.30%", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 81.90%\nB) 54.54%\nC) -0.18%\nD) -27.54%", "options": [ "A) 81.90%", "B) 54.54%", "C) -0.18%", "D) -27.54%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "54.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,755B\nB) $16,963B\nC) $18,548B\nD) $19,340B", "options": [ "A) $17,755B", "B) $16,963B", "C) $18,548B", "D) $19,340B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$18,548B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 19.85%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 12.31%", "options": [ "A) 19.85%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 12.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,703K\nB) 1,622K\nC) 1,461K\nD) 1,864K", "options": [ "A) 1,703K", "B) 1,622K", "C) 1,461K", "D) 1,864K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,703K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 4.24%\nD) 3.12%", "options": [ "A) 3.40%", "B) 3.96%", "C) 4.24%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $64,236M\nB) $65,887M\nC) $67,538M\nD) $72,491M", "options": [ "A) $64,236M", "B) $65,887M", "C) $67,538M", "D) $72,491M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$67,538M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2607\nB) 1.3357\nC) 1.1607\nD) 1.2107", "options": [ "A) 1.2607", "B) 1.3357", "C) 1.1607", "D) 1.2107" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2107", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 802,000\nB) 1,558,577\nC) 1,180,288\nD) 423,712", "options": [ "A) 802,000", "B) 1,558,577", "C) 1,180,288", "D) 423,712" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "802,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 3.34%", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 2.24%", "D) 3.34%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 112.4613\nB) 117.2632\nC) 109.2600\nD) 104.4581", "options": [ "A) 112.4613", "B) 117.2632", "C) 109.2600", "D) 104.4581" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.2600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 112.08\nB) 116.08\nC) 105.41\nD) 109.41", "options": [ "A) 112.08", "B) 116.08", "C) 105.41", "D) 109.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 233.41\nB) 228.72\nC) 242.81\nD) 238.11", "options": [ "A) 233.41", "B) 228.72", "C) 242.81", "D) 238.11" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "233.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 0.97%", "options": [ "A) 0.55%", "B) 0.13%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 0.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 7.39%", "options": [ "A) 6.24%", "B) 3.96%", "C) 5.10%", "D) 7.39%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 153,820K\nB) 138,498K\nC) 149,443K\nD) 145,065K", "options": [ "A) 153,820K", "B) 138,498K", "C) 149,443K", "D) 145,065K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "145,065K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $70.07/bbl\nB) $50.61/bbl\nC) $83.04/bbl\nD) $76.56/bbl", "options": [ "A) $70.07/bbl", "B) $50.61/bbl", "C) $83.04/bbl", "D) $76.56/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$70.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $24.18/hr\nB) $26.12/hr\nC) $25.47/hr\nD) $28.06/hr", "options": [ "A) $24.18/hr", "B) $26.12/hr", "C) $25.47/hr", "D) $28.06/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.12/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 18.48%\nB) 16.70%\nC) 20.27%\nD) 14.91%", "options": [ "A) 18.48%", "B) 16.70%", "C) 20.27%", "D) 14.91%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 286.64\nB) 264.29\nC) 294.10\nD) 275.46", "options": [ "A) 286.64", "B) 264.29", "C) 294.10", "D) 275.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "275.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $605,533M\nB) $648,053M\nC) $563,013M\nD) $584,273M", "options": [ "A) $605,533M", "B) $648,053M", "C) $563,013M", "D) $584,273M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$605,533M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 89.99\nB) 99.43\nC) 93.77\nD) 103.21", "options": [ "A) 89.99", "B) 99.43", "C) 93.77", "D) 103.21" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "99.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 1.36%\nC) 0.06%\nD) 0.93%", "options": [ "A) 0.49%", "B) 1.36%", "C) 0.06%", "D) 0.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.8167\nB) 6.0176\nC) 6.2459\nD) 6.4742", "options": [ "A) 6.8167", "B) 6.0176", "C) 6.2459", "D) 6.4742" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4742", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $26.56/hr\nB) $28.63/hr\nC) $25.87/hr\nD) $24.49/hr", "options": [ "A) $26.56/hr", "B) $28.63/hr", "C) $25.87/hr", "D) $24.49/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.56/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 17.26%\nB) 20.13%\nC) 14.39%\nD) 11.52%", "options": [ "A) 17.26%", "B) 20.13%", "C) 14.39%", "D) 11.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 8.70%\nD) 16.81%", "options": [ "A) 0.59%", "B) 14.10%", "C) 8.70%", "D) 16.81%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 55.53%\nB) 62.69%\nC) 60.64%\nD) 58.60%", "options": [ "A) 55.53%", "B) 62.69%", "C) 60.64%", "D) 58.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.81%", "options": [ "A) 2.94%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 3.81%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 58.58%\nB) 44.36%\nC) 51.47%\nD) 37.24%", "options": [ "A) 58.58%", "B) 44.36%", "C) 51.47%", "D) 37.24%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "44.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,986B\nB) $20,613B\nC) $18,300B\nD) $19,842B", "options": [ "A) $15,986B", "B) $20,613B", "C) $18,300B", "D) $19,842B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$18,300B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.62pp\nB) -5.73pp\nC) -1.27pp\nD) -3.50pp", "options": [ "A) -4.62pp", "B) -5.73pp", "C) -1.27pp", "D) -3.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,736K\nB) 1,478K\nC) 1,822K\nD) 1,994K", "options": [ "A) 1,736K", "B) 1,478K", "C) 1,822K", "D) 1,994K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,736K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -11.38%\nB) -5.85%\nC) -4.01%\nD) -7.70%", "options": [ "A) -11.38%", "B) -5.85%", "C) -4.01%", "D) -7.70%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) -7.20%\nB) -15.62%\nC) -9.31%\nD) -11.41%", "options": [ "A) -7.20%", "B) -15.62%", "C) -9.31%", "D) -11.41%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-9.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) +1.26pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": [ "A) +0.42pp", "B) -0.84pp", "C) +1.26pp", "D) +0.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.25%\nB) 25.01%\nC) 17.33%\nD) 21.17%", "options": [ "A) 19.25%", "B) 25.01%", "C) 17.33%", "D) 21.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) $13,625B\nB) $15,224B\nC) $15,758B\nD) $14,691B", "options": [ "A) $13,625B", "B) $15,224B", "C) $15,758B", "D) $14,691B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15,224B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $672,156M\nB) $577,592M\nC) $624,874M\nD) $695,797M", "options": [ "A) $672,156M", "B) $577,592M", "C) $624,874M", "D) $695,797M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$624,874M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 115.26\nB) 106.57\nC) 103.10\nD) 111.79", "options": [ "A) 115.26", "B) 106.57", "C) 103.10", "D) 111.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "111.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) $15,753B\nB) $17,507B\nC) $16,338B\nD) $14,584B", "options": [ "A) $15,753B", "B) $17,507B", "C) $16,338B", "D) $14,584B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15,753B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) $14,357B\nB) $16,206B\nC) $15,589B\nD) $18,055B", "options": [ "A) $14,357B", "B) $16,206B", "C) $15,589B", "D) $18,055B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$16,206B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.24pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) -2.60pp\nD) -5.83pp", "options": [ "A) +2.24pp", "B) +0.63pp", "C) -2.60pp", "D) -5.83pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 26.41%\nB) 20.00%\nC) 45.64%\nD) 32.82%", "options": [ "A) 26.41%", "B) 20.00%", "C) 45.64%", "D) 32.82%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 10.19%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 5.60%", "options": [ "A) 7.90%", "B) 10.19%", "C) 3.31%", "D) 5.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.98%", "options": [ "A) 1.79%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 0.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $-72,445M\nB) $-69,037M\nC) $-65,630M\nD) $-58,815M", "options": [ "A) $-72,445M", "B) $-69,037M", "C) $-65,630M", "D) $-58,815M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-65,630M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 149.63%\nB) 178.13%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 92.62%", "options": [ "A) 149.63%", "B) 178.13%", "C) 7.11%", "D) 92.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $21,336B\nB) $18,767B\nC) $20,052B\nD) $23,905B", "options": [ "A) $21,336B", "B) $18,767B", "C) $20,052B", "D) $23,905B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,336B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) -8.01%\nB) -4.10%\nC) 1.76%\nD) -0.20%", "options": [ "A) -8.01%", "B) -4.10%", "C) 1.76%", "D) -0.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 70.56%\nB) 75.08%\nC) 73.57%\nD) 69.05%", "options": [ "A) 70.56%", "B) 75.08%", "C) 73.57%", "D) 69.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "73.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1641\nB) 1.3141\nC) 1.2641\nD) 1.2141", "options": [ "A) 1.1641", "B) 1.3141", "C) 1.2641", "D) 1.2141" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2141", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 108.10\nB) 110.56\nC) 105.64\nD) 113.01", "options": [ "A) 108.10", "B) 110.56", "C) 105.64", "D) 113.01" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 28.78%\nB) 16.34%\nC) 8.05%\nD) 24.64%", "options": [ "A) 28.78%", "B) 16.34%", "C) 8.05%", "D) 24.64%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.25%", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 1.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 4.55%", "options": [ "A) 8.95%", "B) 0.15%", "C) 6.75%", "D) 4.55%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $69.24/bbl\nB) $82.00/bbl\nC) $50.10/bbl\nD) $62.86/bbl", "options": [ "A) $69.24/bbl", "B) $82.00/bbl", "C) $50.10/bbl", "D) $62.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$69.24/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 106.10\nB) 114.59\nC) 111.19\nD) 117.98", "options": [ "A) 106.10", "B) 114.59", "C) 111.19", "D) 117.98" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "114.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 50.37%\nB) 25.85%\nC) 34.02%\nD) 17.67%", "options": [ "A) 50.37%", "B) 25.85%", "C) 34.02%", "D) 17.67%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) +1.25pp\nC) +0.44pp\nD) +1.05pp", "options": [ "A) +1.66pp", "B) +1.25pp", "C) +0.44pp", "D) +1.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.05pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 7.50%\nC) 8.09%\nD) 8.68%", "options": [ "A) 6.91%", "B) 7.50%", "C) 8.09%", "D) 8.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 4.66%\nD) 9.22%", "options": [ "A) 6.94%", "B) 5.80%", "C) 4.66%", "D) 9.22%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.42%", "options": [ "A) 3.66%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 3.42%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $268,205M\nB) $260,607M\nC) $245,411M\nD) $253,009M", "options": [ "A) $268,205M", "B) $260,607M", "C) $245,411M", "D) $253,009M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$253,009M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 58.00%\nB) 60.02%\nC) 54.98%\nD) 52.96%", "options": [ "A) 58.00%", "B) 60.02%", "C) 54.98%", "D) 52.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "58.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,395M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": [ "A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,395M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,395M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 11.57%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 17.65%", "options": [ "A) 5.50%", "B) 11.57%", "C) 14.61%", "D) 17.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.93%\nB) 9.27%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 6.60%", "options": [ "A) 3.93%", "B) 9.27%", "C) 14.61%", "D) 6.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 16.49\nB) 7.69\nC) 25.29\nD) 20.89", "options": [ "A) 16.49", "B) 7.69", "C) 25.29", "D) 20.89" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 87.02%\nB) 59.58%\nC) 32.15%\nD) 4.71%", "options": [ "A) 87.02%", "B) 59.58%", "C) 32.15%", "D) 4.71%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.39%\nB) 19.10%\nC) 13.24%\nD) 24.96%", "options": [ "A) 7.39%", "B) 19.10%", "C) 13.24%", "D) 24.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 0.60%\nD) 0.16%", "options": [ "A) 1.48%", "B) 1.04%", "C) 0.60%", "D) 0.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 6.39%\nD) 5.24%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 6.39%", "D) 5.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 17,098.89\nB) 14,047.50\nC) 15,064.63\nD) 16,081.76", "options": [ "A) 17,098.89", "B) 14,047.50", "C) 15,064.63", "D) 16,081.76" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,047.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 101.22\nB) 91.88\nC) 95.61\nD) 86.27", "options": [ "A) 101.22", "B) 91.88", "C) 95.61", "D) 86.27" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.10%", "options": [ "A) 2.78%", "B) 2.47%", "C) 2.15%", "D) 3.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.30%\nB) 61.35%\nC) 63.39%\nD) 56.23%", "options": [ "A) 59.30%", "B) 61.35%", "C) 63.39%", "D) 56.23%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $70.87/bbl\nB) $65.32/bbl\nC) $76.42/bbl\nD) $48.66/bbl", "options": [ "A) $70.87/bbl", "B) $65.32/bbl", "C) $76.42/bbl", "D) $48.66/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$65.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.42\nB) 87.07\nC) 82.90\nD) 78.73", "options": [ "A) 95.42", "B) 87.07", "C) 82.90", "D) 78.73" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $26.88/hr\nB) $25.08/hr\nC) $23.88/hr\nD) $25.68/hr", "options": [ "A) $26.88/hr", "B) $25.08/hr", "C) $23.88/hr", "D) $25.68/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$25.68/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 61.90%\nB) 65.00%\nC) 63.76%\nD) 60.04%", "options": [ "A) 61.90%", "B) 65.00%", "C) 63.76%", "D) 60.04%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "61.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.23%\nB) 12.87%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 8.75%", "options": [ "A) 25.23%", "B) 12.87%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 8.75%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 183.58%\nB) 126.31%\nC) 97.68%\nD) 11.78%", "options": [ "A) 183.58%", "B) 126.31%", "C) 97.68%", "D) 11.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.92%", "options": [ "A) 4.61%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 5.22%", "D) 4.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $264,287M\nB) $239,866M\nC) $248,006M\nD) $280,568M", "options": [ "A) $264,287M", "B) $239,866M", "C) $248,006M", "D) $280,568M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$264,287M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 0.41%", "options": [ "A) 2.11%", "B) 1.26%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.42pp\nB) -1.73pp\nC) -3.30pp\nD) -8.02pp", "options": [ "A) +1.42pp", "B) -1.73pp", "C) -3.30pp", "D) -8.02pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -33.40pp\nB) -19.60pp\nC) -37.99pp\nD) -24.20pp", "options": [ "A) -33.40pp", "B) -19.60pp", "C) -37.99pp", "D) -24.20pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-24.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $25.25/hr\nB) $23.50/hr\nC) $25.83/hr\nD) $26.42/hr", "options": [ "A) $25.25/hr", "B) $23.50/hr", "C) $25.83/hr", "D) $26.42/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$25.25/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $70,833M\nB) $72,662M\nC) $67,175M\nD) $78,149M", "options": [ "A) $70,833M", "B) $72,662M", "C) $67,175M", "D) $78,149M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$72,662M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 263.33\nB) 278.25\nC) 270.79\nD) 255.87", "options": [ "A) 263.33", "B) 278.25", "C) 270.79", "D) 255.87" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "270.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,258K\nB) 1,623K\nC) 1,550K\nD) 1,404K", "options": [ "A) 1,258K", "B) 1,623K", "C) 1,550K", "D) 1,404K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,404K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) -1.71%\nC) -6.16%\nD) 4.98%", "options": [ "A) 0.52%", "B) -1.71%", "C) -6.16%", "D) 4.98%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 14.30%\nD) -2.25%", "options": [ "A) 1.06%", "B) 7.68%", "C) 14.30%", "D) -2.25%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 263.45\nB) 279.54\nC) 255.40\nD) 271.49", "options": [ "A) 263.45", "B) 279.54", "C) 255.40", "D) 271.49" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "255.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.59pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) +0.01pp\nD) +0.80pp", "options": [ "A) +1.59pp", "B) +1.20pp", "C) +0.01pp", "D) +0.80pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.50\nB) 101.63\nC) 110.15\nD) 104.07", "options": [ "A) 106.50", "B) 101.63", "C) 110.15", "D) 104.07" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "106.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.38%", "options": [ "A) 1.78%", "B) 2.08%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 2.38%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $79.08/bbl\nB) $61.62/bbl\nC) $67.44/bbl\nD) $73.26/bbl", "options": [ "A) $79.08/bbl", "B) $61.62/bbl", "C) $67.44/bbl", "D) $73.26/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$67.44/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 29.23%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 36.05%\nD) 22.41%", "options": [ "A) 29.23%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 36.05%", "D) 22.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 367,000\nB) 1,501,109\nC) 745,036\nD) 1,123,073", "options": [ "A) 367,000", "B) 1,501,109", "C) 745,036", "D) 1,123,073" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "367,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) $17,208B\nB) $15,537B\nC) $13,867B\nD) $14,424B", "options": [ "A) $17,208B", "B) $15,537B", "C) $13,867B", "D) $14,424B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15,537B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 2.02%", "options": [ "A) 1.17%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 0.75%", "D) 2.02%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.47%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%", "options": [ "A) 60.47%", "B) 62.93%", "C) 64.17%", "D) 61.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.94%\nB) 65.42%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 71.66%", "options": [ "A) 52.94%", "B) 65.42%", "C) 59.18%", "D) 71.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "52.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.94%", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,447B\nB) $15,783B\nC) $17,776B\nD) $19,770B", "options": [ "A) $16,447B", "B) $15,783B", "C) $17,776B", "D) $19,770B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$17,776B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 10.73%\nD) 7.07%", "options": [ "A) 5.24%", "B) 1.57%", "C) 10.73%", "D) 7.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $20,459B\nB) $18,434B\nC) $22,484B\nD) $21,471B", "options": [ "A) $20,459B", "B) $18,434B", "C) $22,484B", "D) $21,471B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$20,459B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 11.35%", "options": [ "A) 0.12%", "B) 5.74%", "C) 1.99%", "D) 11.35%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,042M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $6,042M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,042M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -21.96%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -28.26%\nD) -9.36%", "options": [ "A) -21.96%", "B) -3.06%", "C) -28.26%", "D) -9.36%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-9.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $251,426M\nB) $266,049M\nC) $258,738M\nD) $236,803M", "options": [ "A) $251,426M", "B) $266,049M", "C) $258,738M", "D) $236,803M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$251,426M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.85pp\nB) +1.47pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +2.05pp", "options": [ "A) +1.85pp", "B) +1.47pp", "C) +1.66pp", "D) +2.05pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.47pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.40%", "options": [ "A) 6.44%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 5.93%", "D) 4.40%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 270.64\nB) 304.68\nC) 296.17\nD) 283.41", "options": [ "A) 270.64", "B) 304.68", "C) 296.17", "D) 283.41" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "283.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 243.29\nB) 261.40\nC) 249.33\nD) 231.21", "options": [ "A) 243.29", "B) 261.40", "C) 249.33", "D) 231.21" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "243.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.74%\nB) 13.49%\nC) 10.61%\nD) 16.36%", "options": [ "A) 7.74%", "B) 13.49%", "C) 10.61%", "D) 16.36%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 15,748.23\nB) 14,589.10\nC) 13,429.98\nD) 16,907.35", "options": [ "A) 15,748.23", "B) 14,589.10", "C) 13,429.98", "D) 16,907.35" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13,429.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 18,657.15\nB) 10,930.37\nC) 13,505.96\nD) 14,793.76", "options": [ "A) 18,657.15", "B) 10,930.37", "C) 13,505.96", "D) 14,793.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14,793.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.14%", "options": [ "A) 1.26%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $18,319B\nB) $16,850B\nC) $16,360B\nD) $15,870B", "options": [ "A) $18,319B", "B) $16,850B", "C) $16,360B", "D) $15,870B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$16,850B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $-77,005M\nB) $-58,295M\nC) $-65,779M\nD) $-62,037M", "options": [ "A) $-77,005M", "B) $-58,295M", "C) $-65,779M", "D) $-62,037M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-65,779M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $50.37/bbl\nB) $83.39/bbl\nC) $70.18/bbl\nD) $63.58/bbl", "options": [ "A) $50.37/bbl", "B) $83.39/bbl", "C) $70.18/bbl", "D) $63.58/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63.58/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 70.30\nB) 78.88\nC) 83.17\nD) 61.72", "options": [ "A) 70.30", "B) 78.88", "C) 83.17", "D) 61.72" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "70.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.03%", "options": [ "A) 5.27%", "B) 4.89%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 6.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +25.02pp\nB) +20.21pp\nC) +10.60pp\nD) +15.41pp", "options": [ "A) +25.02pp", "B) +20.21pp", "C) +10.60pp", "D) +15.41pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+10.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.04pp\nB) -2.66pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -1.90pp", "options": [ "A) -3.04pp", "B) -2.66pp", "C) -0.76pp", "D) -1.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +2.10pp\nB) +0.78pp\nC) +3.42pp\nD) -1.87pp", "options": [ "A) +2.10pp", "B) +0.78pp", "C) +3.42pp", "D) -1.87pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.02pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) -0.85pp\nD) +1.23pp", "options": [ "A) -0.02pp", "B) +0.40pp", "C) -0.85pp", "D) +1.23pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 31.78%\nB) 27.32%\nC) 36.24%\nD) 22.86%", "options": [ "A) 31.78%", "B) 27.32%", "C) 36.24%", "D) 22.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "36.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $14,242B\nB) $14,613B\nC) $16,095B\nD) $14,984B", "options": [ "A) $14,242B", "B) $14,613B", "C) $16,095B", "D) $14,984B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,984B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.55%\nB) 7.03%\nC) 13.87%\nD) 20.71%", "options": [ "A) 27.55%", "B) 7.03%", "C) 13.87%", "D) 20.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 16.64%\nB) 26.78%\nC) 23.40%\nD) 20.02%", "options": [ "A) 16.64%", "B) 26.78%", "C) 23.40%", "D) 20.02%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.44%", "options": [ "A) 0.86%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 0.01%", "D) 0.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 2.01%", "options": [ "A) 2.32%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 2.01%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 268.38\nB) 261.30\nC) 286.10\nD) 275.47", "options": [ "A) 268.38", "B) 261.30", "C) 286.10", "D) 275.47" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "268.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.1445\nB) 6.3824\nC) 6.7393\nD) 5.9065", "options": [ "A) 6.1445", "B) 6.3824", "C) 6.7393", "D) 5.9065" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3824", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.7202\nB) 116.0703\nC) 109.3700\nD) 106.0198", "options": [ "A) 112.7202", "B) 116.0703", "C) 109.3700", "D) 106.0198" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.3700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,945K\nC) 1,675K\nD) 1,765K", "options": [ "A) 1,495K", "B) 1,945K", "C) 1,675K", "D) 1,765K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,765K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 279.00\nB) 294.92\nC) 271.04\nD) 286.96", "options": [ "A) 279.00", "B) 294.92", "C) 271.04", "D) 286.96" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "279.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.53%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.46%", "options": [ "A) 0.99%", "B) 0.53%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 1.46%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $63,598M\nB) $65,277M\nC) $68,635M\nD) $71,993M", "options": [ "A) $63,598M", "B) $65,277M", "C) $68,635M", "D) $71,993M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$68,635M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.03%\nB) 15.86%\nC) 14.81%\nD) 16.92%", "options": [ "A) 19.03%", "B) 15.86%", "C) 14.81%", "D) 16.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 143,380K\nB) 147,763K\nC) 136,805K\nD) 132,422K", "options": [ "A) 143,380K", "B) 147,763K", "C) 136,805K", "D) 132,422K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "143,380K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 14.09%\nC) 21.49%\nD) 6.68%", "options": [ "A) 2.98%", "B) 14.09%", "C) 21.49%", "D) 6.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.89pp\nB) +1.31pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +0.47pp", "options": [ "A) +0.89pp", "B) +1.31pp", "C) +1.10pp", "D) +0.47pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 8,677,428\nB) 4,204,476\nC) 6,440,952\nD) 1,968,000", "options": [ "A) 8,677,428", "B) 4,204,476", "C) 6,440,952", "D) 1,968,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,968,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 8.39%\nC) 12.18%\nD) 0.82%", "options": [ "A) 4.61%", "B) 8.39%", "C) 12.18%", "D) 0.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $74,891M\nB) $71,394M\nC) $66,149M\nD) $67,897M", "options": [ "A) $74,891M", "B) $71,394M", "C) $66,149M", "D) $67,897M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$71,394M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.10%\nB) 37.93%\nC) 14.18%\nD) 30.01%", "options": [ "A) 22.10%", "B) 37.93%", "C) 14.18%", "D) 30.01%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $74.63/bbl\nB) $87.07/bbl\nC) $93.30/bbl\nD) $80.85/bbl", "options": [ "A) $74.63/bbl", "B) $87.07/bbl", "C) $93.30/bbl", "D) $80.85/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$80.85/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.47%", "options": [ "A) 3.79%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 4.11%", "D) 3.47%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 9,534,129\nB) 2,802,000\nC) 5,046,043\nD) 7,290,086", "options": [ "A) 9,534,129", "B) 2,802,000", "C) 5,046,043", "D) 7,290,086" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,802,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.61%\nD) -1.86%", "options": [ "A) 2.45%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 4.61%", "D) -1.86%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.71%", "options": [ "A) 1.48%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 1.71%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 76.80\nB) 72.78\nC) 88.85\nD) 80.82", "options": [ "A) 76.80", "B) 72.78", "C) 88.85", "D) 80.82" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 0.52%\nD) 2.74%", "options": [ "A) 1.26%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 0.52%", "D) 2.74%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 5,864,568\nB) 10,357,704\nC) 3,618,000\nD) 1,371,432", "options": [ "A) 5,864,568", "B) 10,357,704", "C) 3,618,000", "D) 1,371,432" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,618,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 115.88\nB) 104.21\nC) 107.12\nD) 111.50", "options": [ "A) 115.88", "B) 104.21", "C) 107.12", "D) 111.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "111.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.22%\nB) 9.10%\nC) 12.48%\nD) 22.59%", "options": [ "A) 19.22%", "B) 9.10%", "C) 12.48%", "D) 22.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 10.18%\nB) 9.11%\nC) 8.03%\nD) 5.89%", "options": [ "A) 10.18%", "B) 9.11%", "C) 8.03%", "D) 5.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 32.00%\nC) 16.84%\nD) -28.63%", "options": [ "A) 1.69%", "B) 32.00%", "C) 16.84%", "D) -28.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136.22\nB) 132.41\nC) 124.79\nD) 128.60", "options": [ "A) 136.22", "B) 132.41", "C) 124.79", "D) 128.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "128.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +4.71pp\nB) +6.89pp\nC) +0.36pp\nD) +11.24pp", "options": [ "A) +4.71pp", "B) +6.89pp", "C) +0.36pp", "D) +11.24pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.71pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $19,665B\nB) $20,841B\nC) $18,490B\nD) $23,192B", "options": [ "A) $19,665B", "B) $20,841B", "C) $18,490B", "D) $23,192B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20,841B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2526\nB) 1.1276\nC) 1.1776\nD) 1.0526", "options": [ "A) 1.2526", "B) 1.1276", "C) 1.1776", "D) 1.0526" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1776", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 38,200.42\nB) 40,313.39\nC) 42,426.35\nD) 36,087.45", "options": [ "A) 38,200.42", "B) 40,313.39", "C) 42,426.35", "D) 36,087.45" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36,087.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 0.83%\nD) 1.58%", "options": [ "A) 1.28%", "B) 1.13%", "C) 0.83%", "D) 1.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 117.11\nB) 122.00\nC) 126.89\nD) 130.15", "options": [ "A) 117.11", "B) 122.00", "C) 126.89", "D) 130.15" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "122.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $65.76/bbl\nB) $71.46/bbl\nC) $60.07/bbl\nD) $48.68/bbl", "options": [ "A) $65.76/bbl", "B) $71.46/bbl", "C) $60.07/bbl", "D) $48.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$60.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.81%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 6.50%", "options": [ "A) 7.81%", "B) 5.84%", "C) 7.15%", "D) 6.50%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 37.19%\nB) 24.93%\nC) 49.46%\nD) 45.37%", "options": [ "A) 37.19%", "B) 24.93%", "C) 49.46%", "D) 45.37%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "37.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.98%", "options": [ "A) 1.05%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 1.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +6.43pp\nB) +1.91pp\nC) +5.30pp\nD) +3.04pp", "options": [ "A) +6.43pp", "B) +1.91pp", "C) +5.30pp", "D) +3.04pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+5.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.28\nB) 29.37\nC) 24.96\nD) 16.12", "options": [ "A) 7.28", "B) 29.37", "C) 24.96", "D) 16.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.81\nB) 5.51\nC) 9.94\nD) 23.24", "options": [ "A) 18.81", "B) 5.51", "C) 9.94", "D) 23.24" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 270.67\nB) 263.58\nC) 281.30\nD) 256.49", "options": [ "A) 270.67", "B) 263.58", "C) 281.30", "D) 256.49" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "263.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 299.98\nB) 266.28\nC) 278.92\nD) 287.34", "options": [ "A) 299.98", "B) 266.28", "C) 278.92", "D) 287.34" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "278.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 160,056K\nB) 144,900K\nC) 153,560K\nD) 149,230K", "options": [ "A) 160,056K", "B) 144,900K", "C) 153,560K", "D) 149,230K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "149,230K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 11.07%\nC) 6.77%\nD) 5.70%", "options": [ "A) 7.85%", "B) 11.07%", "C) 6.77%", "D) 5.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) -10.42%\nB) -3.75%\nC) -1.53%\nD) -5.97%", "options": [ "A) -10.42%", "B) -3.75%", "C) -1.53%", "D) -5.97%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.45%\nB) 64.68%\nC) 61.60%\nD) 59.75%", "options": [ "A) 63.45%", "B) 64.68%", "C) 61.60%", "D) 59.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 29.01%\nB) 24.01%\nC) 19.00%\nD) 26.51%", "options": [ "A) 29.01%", "B) 24.01%", "C) 19.00%", "D) 26.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 224.90\nB) 231.41\nC) 215.13\nD) 237.92", "options": [ "A) 224.90", "B) 231.41", "C) 215.13", "D) 237.92" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "224.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.08pp\nB) +4.30pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -2.36pp", "options": [ "A) +2.08pp", "B) +4.30pp", "C) +6.52pp", "D) -2.36pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.97%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -8.10%", "options": [ "A) -13.97%", "B) -2.23%", "C) 3.64%", "D) -8.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.22%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 2.92%", "options": [ "A) 5.22%", "B) 9.83%", "C) -4.00%", "D) 2.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 210.60\nB) 204.32\nC) 220.01\nD) 226.29", "options": [ "A) 210.60", "B) 204.32", "C) 220.01", "D) 226.29" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "210.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,417.61\nB) 4,173.85\nC) 3,442.56\nD) 3,686.32", "options": [ "A) 4,417.61", "B) 4,173.85", "C) 3,442.56", "D) 3,686.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,173.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.59%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 1.05%\nD) 4.33%", "options": [ "A) -0.59%", "B) -2.23%", "C) 1.05%", "D) 4.33%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 6.29%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 6.90%", "options": [ "A) 5.69%", "B) 6.29%", "C) 8.73%", "D) 6.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.50pp\nB) -4.38pp\nC) -24.87pp\nD) -19.75pp", "options": [ "A) -9.50pp", "B) -4.38pp", "C) -24.87pp", "D) -19.75pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-9.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.83%", "options": [ "A) 1.32%", "B) 1.92%", "C) 1.62%", "D) 2.83%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.67pp\nB) -6.13pp\nC) -7.40pp\nD) -3.59pp", "options": [ "A) -8.67pp", "B) -6.13pp", "C) -7.40pp", "D) -3.59pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.66%\nB) 7.75%\nC) 8.84%\nD) 5.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.66%", "B) 7.75%", "C) 8.84%", "D) 5.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 113.17\nB) 118.30\nC) 106.32\nD) 109.75", "options": [ "A) 113.17", "B) 118.30", "C) 106.32", "D) 109.75" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "113.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 1.12%", "options": [ "A) 4.03%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 4.61%", "D) 1.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.64pp\nB) +1.52pp\nC) +1.17pp\nD) +0.82pp", "options": [ "A) +0.64pp", "B) +1.52pp", "C) +1.17pp", "D) +0.82pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.17pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.78%\nB) 16.46%\nC) 25.83%\nD) 18.80%", "options": [ "A) 11.78%", "B) 16.46%", "C) 25.83%", "D) 18.80%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 35,625.40\nB) 39,686.80\nC) 37,656.10\nD) 31,564.00", "options": [ "A) 35,625.40", "B) 39,686.80", "C) 37,656.10", "D) 31,564.00" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "35,625.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 25.56%\nC) 13.86%\nD) 60.67%", "options": [ "A) 2.15%", "B) 25.56%", "C) 13.86%", "D) 60.67%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 81.60%\nB) 75.53%\nC) 78.56%\nD) 70.97%", "options": [ "A) 81.60%", "B) 75.53%", "C) 78.56%", "D) 70.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136,460K\nB) 151,656K\nC) 140,801K\nD) 147,314K", "options": [ "A) 136,460K", "B) 151,656K", "C) 140,801K", "D) 147,314K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "147,314K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 4.59%\nD) 1.02%", "options": [ "A) 2.80%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 4.59%", "D) 1.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.55pp\nB) +1.90pp\nC) +3.25pp\nD) +5.94pp", "options": [ "A) +0.55pp", "B) +1.90pp", "C) +3.25pp", "D) +5.94pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 216.21\nB) 254.48\nC) 239.17\nD) 231.52", "options": [ "A) 216.21", "B) 254.48", "C) 239.17", "D) 231.52" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "239.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.53%\nB) 17.94%\nC) 15.47%\nD) 13.00%", "options": [ "A) 10.53%", "B) 17.94%", "C) 15.47%", "D) 13.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.92%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 8.31%", "options": [ "A) 6.92%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 5.53%", "D) 8.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%", "options": [ "A) 1.30%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 40,055.03\nB) 28,709.23\nC) 34,382.13\nD) 30,600.20", "options": [ "A) 40,055.03", "B) 28,709.23", "C) 34,382.13", "D) 30,600.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34,382.13", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.04%", "options": [ "A) 0.88%", "B) 0.46%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 275.94\nB) 310.51\nC) 252.89\nD) 264.42", "options": [ "A) 275.94", "B) 310.51", "C) 252.89", "D) 264.42" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "275.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 21.67%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 13.52%", "options": [ "A) 21.67%", "B) 17.59%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 13.52%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 116.7928\nB) 119.6256\nC) 113.9600\nD) 111.1272", "options": [ "A) 116.7928", "B) 119.6256", "C) 113.9600", "D) 111.1272" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "113.9600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -12.03%\nC) 0.67%\nD) -5.68%", "options": [ "A) -7.80%", "B) -12.03%", "C) 0.67%", "D) -5.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 31.64%\nB) 43.30%\nC) 66.61%\nD) 54.96%", "options": [ "A) 31.64%", "B) 43.30%", "C) 66.61%", "D) 54.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 0.40%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.78%\nB) 10.59%\nC) 12.19%\nD) 13.00%", "options": [ "A) 9.78%", "B) 10.59%", "C) 12.19%", "D) 13.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $-84,224M\nB) $-93,822M\nC) $-74,626M\nD) $-79,425M", "options": [ "A) $-84,224M", "B) $-93,822M", "C) $-74,626M", "D) $-79,425M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-79,425M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 4,682.80\nB) 4,994.22\nC) 3,748.54\nD) 4,371.38", "options": [ "A) 4,682.80", "B) 4,994.22", "C) 3,748.54", "D) 4,371.38" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,682.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 112.47\nB) 106.50\nC) 104.11\nD) 108.89", "options": [ "A) 112.47", "B) 106.50", "C) 104.11", "D) 108.89" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "106.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 138.09\nB) 124.86\nC) 131.47\nD) 120.45", "options": [ "A) 138.09", "B) 124.86", "C) 131.47", "D) 120.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 10.95%\nB) 24.06%\nC) 43.72%\nD) 30.62%", "options": [ "A) 10.95%", "B) 24.06%", "C) 43.72%", "D) 30.62%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 8.47%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 3.93%", "options": [ "A) 6.20%", "B) 8.47%", "C) 5.07%", "D) 3.93%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 32.53%\nB) 45.53%\nC) 52.03%\nD) 58.53%", "options": [ "A) 32.53%", "B) 45.53%", "C) 52.03%", "D) 58.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 6.54%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 4.71%", "B) 6.54%", "C) 5.32%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.75%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 14.09%", "options": [ "A) 9.75%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 14.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.21%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 0.66%", "options": [ "A) 0.21%", "B) 1.12%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 0.66%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 121.99\nB) 125.30\nC) 128.61\nD) 118.68", "options": [ "A) 121.99", "B) 125.30", "C) 128.61", "D) 118.68" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "125.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 52.21%\nB) 40.44%\nC) 46.32%\nD) 63.98%", "options": [ "A) 52.21%", "B) 40.44%", "C) 46.32%", "D) 63.98%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "46.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 27.20%\nD) 15.12%", "options": [ "A) 11.10%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 27.20%", "D) 15.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.23%\nB) 23.04%\nC) -3.31%\nD) -8.59%", "options": [ "A) 7.23%", "B) 23.04%", "C) -3.31%", "D) -8.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.63%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.47%\nD) 60.17%", "options": [ "A) 62.63%", "B) 61.40%", "C) 64.47%", "D) 60.17%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "61.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,223,173\nB) 845,087\nC) 467,000\nD) 1,601,260", "options": [ "A) 1,223,173", "B) 845,087", "C) 467,000", "D) 1,601,260" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "467,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,339K\nB) 1,509K\nC) 1,424K\nD) 1,594K", "options": [ "A) 1,339K", "B) 1,509K", "C) 1,424K", "D) 1,594K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,594K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $268,650M\nB) $242,447M\nC) $277,384M\nD) $294,853M", "options": [ "A) $268,650M", "B) $242,447M", "C) $277,384M", "D) $294,853M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$268,650M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 25.52%\nB) 19.96%\nC) 21.81%\nD) 16.25%", "options": [ "A) 25.52%", "B) 19.96%", "C) 21.81%", "D) 16.25%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) -4.99%\nC) 10.50%\nD) 18.25%", "options": [ "A) 25.99%", "B) -4.99%", "C) 10.50%", "D) 18.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 52.91\nB) 72.23\nC) 57.74\nD) 67.40", "options": [ "A) 52.91", "B) 72.23", "C) 57.74", "D) 67.40" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "67.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.60%\nB) 62.57%\nC) 55.61%\nD) 59.59%", "options": [ "A) 57.60%", "B) 62.57%", "C) 55.61%", "D) 59.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "57.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.11pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +11.51pp\nD) -14.00pp", "options": [ "A) -19.11pp", "B) -3.80pp", "C) +11.51pp", "D) -14.00pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.76%\nB) 73.18%\nC) 77.73%\nD) 83.80%", "options": [ "A) 80.76%", "B) 73.18%", "C) 77.73%", "D) 83.80%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 5.72%\nD) 4.97%", "options": [ "A) 4.23%", "B) 3.85%", "C) 5.72%", "D) 4.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.93pp\nC) +1.97pp\nD) -8.38pp", "options": [ "A) -3.20pp", "B) -4.93pp", "C) +1.97pp", "D) -8.38pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.81%\nB) 15.67%\nC) 11.41%\nD) 19.94%", "options": [ "A) 17.81%", "B) 15.67%", "C) 11.41%", "D) 19.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,593B\nB) $15,213B\nC) $15,974B\nD) $14,832B", "options": [ "A) $15,593B", "B) $15,213B", "C) $15,974B", "D) $14,832B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15,974B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.78%\nB) 12.26%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 10.02%", "options": [ "A) 7.78%", "B) 12.26%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 10.02%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.67%\nB) 68.41%\nC) 36.21%\nD) 46.94%", "options": [ "A) 57.67%", "B) 68.41%", "C) 36.21%", "D) 46.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "57.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,781B\nB) $19,642B\nC) $22,432B\nD) $20,572B", "options": [ "A) $17,781B", "B) $19,642B", "C) $22,432B", "D) $20,572B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$19,642B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.60%\nB) 25.89%\nC) 17.03%\nD) 3.74%", "options": [ "A) 12.60%", "B) 25.89%", "C) 17.03%", "D) 3.74%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 104.63\nB) 108.39\nC) 95.22\nD) 100.87", "options": [ "A) 104.63", "B) 108.39", "C) 95.22", "D) 100.87" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "100.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.25%\nD) 11.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.94%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 9.25%", "D) 11.57%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $20,189B\nB) $18,600B\nC) $17,806B\nD) $20,984B", "options": [ "A) $20,189B", "B) $18,600B", "C) $17,806B", "D) $20,984B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18,600B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,447M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $5,447M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,447M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +13.48pp\nB) +10.01pp\nC) +6.54pp\nD) +11.74pp", "options": [ "A) +13.48pp", "B) +10.01pp", "C) +6.54pp", "D) +11.74pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+11.74pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 0.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.30%", "B) 0.20%", "C) 0.56%", "D) 0.93%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 13.30%\nC) -5.05%\nD) 25.53%", "options": [ "A) 1.06%", "B) 13.30%", "C) -5.05%", "D) 25.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.16\nB) 30.32\nC) 21.46\nD) 25.89", "options": [ "A) 8.16", "B) 30.32", "C) 21.46", "D) 25.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,201.61\nB) 4,757.81\nC) 5,035.91\nD) 4,479.71", "options": [ "A) 4,201.61", "B) 4,757.81", "C) 5,035.91", "D) 4,479.71" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,479.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.4367\nB) 5.8867\nC) 6.7667\nD) 6.1067", "options": [ "A) 6.4367", "B) 5.8867", "C) 6.7667", "D) 6.1067" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4367", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 6.82%\nD) 3.91%", "options": [ "A) 5.66%", "B) 5.08%", "C) 6.82%", "D) 3.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 79.52%\nB) 131.49%\nC) 157.47%\nD) 209.43%", "options": [ "A) 79.52%", "B) 131.49%", "C) 157.47%", "D) 209.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "157.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 18,698.49\nB) 13,009.21\nC) 20,120.81\nD) 15,853.85", "options": [ "A) 18,698.49", "B) 13,009.21", "C) 20,120.81", "D) 15,853.85" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,853.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,932.59\nB) 3,517.46\nC) 4,347.72\nD) 3,725.02", "options": [ "A) 3,932.59", "B) 3,517.46", "C) 4,347.72", "D) 3,725.02" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,932.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.06%\nB) 17.33%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 40.49%", "options": [ "A) 52.06%", "B) 17.33%", "C) -5.82%", "D) 40.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 278.60\nB) 288.48\nC) 268.71\nD) 298.37", "options": [ "A) 278.60", "B) 288.48", "C) 268.71", "D) 298.37" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "268.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.35%", "options": [ "A) 2.65%", "B) 3.25%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.35%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $544,891M\nB) $560,128M\nC) $514,417M\nD) $575,365M", "options": [ "A) $544,891M", "B) $560,128M", "C) $514,417M", "D) $575,365M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$544,891M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $-85,695M\nB) $-72,588M\nC) $-68,219M\nD) $-81,326M", "options": [ "A) $-85,695M", "B) $-72,588M", "C) $-68,219M", "D) $-81,326M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-72,588M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 94.39\nB) 109.46\nC) 100.04\nD) 103.81", "options": [ "A) 94.39", "B) 109.46", "C) 100.04", "D) 103.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "100.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 106.00\nB) 119.69\nC) 116.27\nD) 111.14", "options": [ "A) 106.00", "B) 119.69", "C) 116.27", "D) 111.14" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "111.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 4.54%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.77%", "options": [ "A) 4.07%", "B) 4.54%", "C) 3.38%", "D) 4.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 34.53%\nB) 16.49%\nC) 10.48%\nD) -1.55%", "options": [ "A) 34.53%", "B) 16.49%", "C) 10.48%", "D) -1.55%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 284.20\nB) 264.99\nC) 272.68\nD) 291.88", "options": [ "A) 284.20", "B) 264.99", "C) 272.68", "D) 291.88" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "272.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 5.15%", "options": [ "A) 3.72%", "B) 4.19%", "C) 6.59%", "D) 5.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 9.71%", "options": [ "A) 4.26%", "B) 6.99%", "C) 1.54%", "D) 9.71%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,617K\nB) 1,705K\nC) 1,529K\nD) 1,793K", "options": [ "A) 1,617K", "B) 1,705K", "C) 1,529K", "D) 1,793K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,705K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,434K\nB) 1,666K\nC) 1,589K\nD) 1,821K", "options": [ "A) 1,434K", "B) 1,666K", "C) 1,589K", "D) 1,821K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,589K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,329M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,329M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,329M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.62%\nB) 7.74%\nC) 10.37%\nD) 6.86%", "options": [ "A) 8.62%", "B) 7.74%", "C) 10.37%", "D) 6.86%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 66.99%\nB) 50.16%\nC) 75.41%\nD) 24.91%", "options": [ "A) 66.99%", "B) 50.16%", "C) 75.41%", "D) 24.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "50.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20211101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 12.14%", "options": [ "A) 1.15%", "B) 6.64%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 12.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 50.82%\nB) 9.40%\nC) 59.11%\nD) 34.25%", "options": [ "A) 50.82%", "B) 9.40%", "C) 59.11%", "D) 34.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "34.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 59.54%\nC) -5.36%\nD) -37.81%", "options": [ "A) 10.86%", "B) 59.54%", "C) -5.36%", "D) -37.81%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 3.78%", "options": [ "A) 2.57%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 3.78%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 1.37%", "options": [ "A) 0.93%", "B) 0.49%", "C) 0.05%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) +5.23pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +0.17pp\nD) +2.70pp", "options": [ "A) +5.23pp", "B) -1.10pp", "C) +0.17pp", "D) +2.70pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.74%", "options": [ "A) 4.58%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 5.35%", "D) 5.74%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 8,999,023\nB) 4,495,000\nC) 11,251,035\nD) 2,242,988", "options": [ "A) 8,999,023", "B) 4,495,000", "C) 11,251,035", "D) 2,242,988" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,495,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 12.73%\nC) 10.00%\nD) 4.54%", "options": [ "A) 1.80%", "B) 12.73%", "C) 10.00%", "D) 4.54%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,728B\nB) $15,975B\nC) $17,290B\nD) $16,413B", "options": [ "A) $17,728B", "B) $15,975B", "C) $17,290B", "D) $16,413B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16,413B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 13.20%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 24.48%\nD) 5.68%", "options": [ "A) 13.20%", "B) 1.92%", "C) 24.48%", "D) 5.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 0.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,786K\nB) 1,636K\nC) 1,711K\nD) 1,485K", "options": [ "A) 1,786K", "B) 1,636K", "C) 1,711K", "D) 1,485K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,711K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 3.94%", "options": [ "A) 4.53%", "B) 3.35%", "C) 3.65%", "D) 3.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 76.93%\nB) 72.39%\nC) 69.36%\nD) 79.96%", "options": [ "A) 76.93%", "B) 72.39%", "C) 69.36%", "D) 79.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20211115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $88.65/bbl\nB) $81.94/bbl\nC) $68.52/bbl\nD) $75.23/bbl", "options": [ "A) $88.65/bbl", "B) $81.94/bbl", "C) $68.52/bbl", "D) $75.23/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$81.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 111.79\nB) 105.76\nC) 108.17\nD) 114.20", "options": [ "A) 111.79", "B) 105.76", "C) 108.17", "D) 114.20" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "108.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.06\nB) 107.03\nC) 113.64\nD) 109.67", "options": [ "A) 103.06", "B) 107.03", "C) 113.64", "D) 109.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.88%", "options": [ "A) 0.06%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 9.04%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.26%", "options": [ "A) 3.36%", "B) 9.04%", "C) 7.15%", "D) 5.26%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.6766\nB) 6.2368\nC) 6.4567\nD) 6.8964", "options": [ "A) 6.6766", "B) 6.2368", "C) 6.4567", "D) 6.8964" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4567", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 27.44", "B) 16.14", "C) 21.79", "D) 33.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 27.44", "B) 16.14", "C) 21.79", "D) 33.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 33.09", "B) 21.79", "C) 16.14", "D) 27.44" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 33.09", "B) 21.79", "C) 16.14", "D) 27.44" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 38.74", "B) 33.09", "C) 27.44", "D) 21.79" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 38.74", "B) 33.09", "C) 27.44", "D) 21.79" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 44.39", "B) 16.14", "C) 33.09", "D) 38.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 44.39", "B) 16.14", "C) 33.09", "D) 38.74" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 50.04", "B) 44.39", "C) 38.74", "D) 33.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 50.04", "B) 44.39", "C) 38.74", "D) 33.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 33.09", "B) 38.74", "C) 21.79", "D) 50.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 33.09", "B) 38.74", "C) 21.79", "D) 50.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,231.13", "B) 13,070.69", "C) 13,910.25", "D) 10,552.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,231.13", "B) 13,070.69", "C) 13,910.25", "D) 10,552.02" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,231.13", "B) 15,589.36", "C) 13,070.69", "D) 14,749.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,231.13", "B) 15,589.36", "C) 13,070.69", "D) 14,749.81" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 15,589.36", "B) 11,391.57", "C) 10,552.02", "D) 13,070.69" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 15,589.36", "B) 11,391.57", "C) 10,552.02", "D) 13,070.69" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13,070.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,609.16", "B) 15,127.83", "C) 10,090.49", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 12,609.16", "B) 15,127.83", "C) 10,090.49", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 15,127.83", "B) 12,609.16", "C) 10,090.49", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 15,127.83", "B) 12,609.16", "C) 10,090.49", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 11,769.60", "B) 10,090.49", "C) 12,609.16", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 11,769.60", "B) 10,090.49", "C) 12,609.16", "D) 14,288.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,609.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 4,173.49", "B) 3,254.99", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 3,714.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 4,173.49", "B) 3,254.99", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 3,714.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,173.49", "C) 4,020.41", "D) 3,867.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,173.49", "C) 4,020.41", "D) 3,867.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 4,173.49", "B) 3,714.24", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,254.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 4,173.49", "B) 3,714.24", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,254.99" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,408.07", "B) 3,561.16", "C) 3,714.24", "D) 3,254.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,408.07", "B) 3,561.16", "C) 3,714.24", "D) 3,254.99" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,254.99", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,714.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,254.99", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,714.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,020.41", "C) 4,173.49", "D) 3,561.16" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": [ "A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,020.41", "C) 4,173.49", "D) 3,561.16" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 11,492.44", "B) 15,052.24", "C) 13,865.64", "D) 17,425.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 11,492.44", "B) 15,052.24", "C) 13,865.64", "D) 17,425.44" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 12,679.04", "B) 16,238.84", "C) 15,052.24", "D) 18,612.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 12,679.04", "B) 16,238.84", "C) 15,052.24", "D) 18,612.04" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 13,865.64", "B) 16,238.84", "C) 12,679.04", "D) 15,052.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 13,865.64", "B) 16,238.84", "C) 12,679.04", "D) 15,052.24" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,052.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 15,982.36", "B) 19,542.16", "C) 18,355.56", "D) 14,795.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,982.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 15,982.36", "B) 19,542.16", "C) 18,355.56", "D) 14,795.76" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,982.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 12,497.64", "B) 16,057.44", "C) 13,684.24", "D) 19,617.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16,057.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 12,497.64", "B) 16,057.44", "C) 13,684.24", "D) 19,617.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16,057.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 18,430.64", "B) 17,244.04", "C) 16,057.44", "D) 19,617.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16,057.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 18,430.64", "B) 17,244.04", "C) 16,057.44", "D) 19,617.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16,057.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,085.79", "B) 3,549.00", "C) 4,622.59", "D) 4,354.19" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,354.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,085.79", "B) 3,549.00", "C) 4,622.59", "D) 4,354.19" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,354.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,300.46", "B) 4,568.86", "C) 3,763.67", "D) 4,837.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,300.46", "B) 4,568.86", "C) 3,763.67", "D) 4,837.25" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 3,763.67", "B) 4,300.46", "C) 4,837.25", "D) 3,495.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 3,763.67", "B) 4,300.46", "C) 4,837.25", "D) 3,495.27" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 3,495.27", "B) 5,105.65", "C) 4,300.46", "D) 4,837.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 3,495.27", "B) 5,105.65", "C) 4,300.46", "D) 4,837.25" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 5,105.65", "B) 3,495.27", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,300.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 5,105.65", "B) 3,495.27", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,300.46" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,170.70", "B) 4,707.49", "C) 4,975.89", "D) 3,633.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,170.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 4,170.70", "B) 4,707.49", "C) 4,975.89", "D) 3,633.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,170.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.5983", "B) 6.4660", "C) 6.8629", "D) 6.3337" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4660", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.5983", "B) 6.4660", "C) 6.8629", "D) 6.3337" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4660", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.0733", "B) 6.3379", "C) 6.4702", "D) 6.8671" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.0733", "B) 6.3379", "C) 6.4702", "D) 6.8671" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.0733", "B) 6.7348", "C) 6.2056", "D) 6.4702" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.0733", "B) 6.7348", "C) 6.2056", "D) 6.4702" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.4702", "B) 6.2056", "C) 6.8671", "D) 6.3379" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.4702", "B) 6.2056", "C) 6.8671", "D) 6.3379" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.2056", "B) 6.4702", "C) 6.6025", "D) 6.3379" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.2056", "B) 6.4702", "C) 6.6025", "D) 6.3379" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.8671", "B) 6.3379", "C) 6.4702", "D) 6.2056" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 6.8671", "B) 6.3379", "C) 6.4702", "D) 6.2056" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4702", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 29.74", "B) 35.12", "C) 13.60", "D) 24.36" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 29.74", "B) 35.12", "C) 13.60", "D) 24.36" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 24.36", "B) 35.12", "C) 18.98", "D) 29.74" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 24.36", "B) 35.12", "C) 18.98", "D) 29.74" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 35.12", "B) 24.36", "C) 18.98", "D) 29.74" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 35.12", "B) 24.36", "C) 18.98", "D) 29.74" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 29.74", "B) 18.98", "C) 24.36", "D) 35.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 29.74", "B) 18.98", "C) 24.36", "D) 35.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 36.50", "B) 14.99", "C) 41.88", "D) 31.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 36.50", "B) 14.99", "C) 41.88", "D) 31.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 36.45", "B) 25.69", "C) 47.21", "D) 20.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": [ "A) 36.45", "B) 25.69", "C) 47.21", "D) 20.32" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-01-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-01-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-24.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%", "options": [ "A) 1.30%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.49%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-03-17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-14", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-03-17, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.48%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.31%", "options": [ "A) 0.89%", "B) 0.48%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 1.31%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-04-28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-25", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-04-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-25.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 0.06%", "options": [ "A) 0.48%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 1.31%", "D) 0.06%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-06-16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-13", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-06-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-13.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.52%", "options": [ "A) 0.10%", "B) 0.94%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-07-28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-25", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-07-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 0.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-09-22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-19", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-09-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-19.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 1.37%", "options": [ "A) 0.51%", "B) 0.94%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 1.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-11-03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-31", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-11-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-31.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.08%", "options": [ "A) 1.37%", "B) 0.94%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.08%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-12-15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2022", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-12", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-12-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-12.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 0.52%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2,470K\nB) 315K\nC) 3,100K\nD) -1,078K", "options": [ "A) -2,470K", "B) 315K", "C) 3,100K", "D) -1,078K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "315K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2021 (released around 2021-03-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 1,910K\nB) 3,303K\nC) 517K\nD) -876K", "options": [ "A) 1,910K", "B) 3,303K", "C) 517K", "D) -876K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "517K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 5,034K\nB) -3,330K\nC) -1,936K\nD) 852K", "options": [ "A) 5,034K", "B) -3,330K", "C) -1,936K", "D) 852K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "852K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 355K\nB) -1,039K\nC) 4,538K\nD) 1,749K", "options": [ "A) 355K", "B) -1,039K", "C) 4,538K", "D) 1,749K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "355K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2021 (released around 2021-06-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 3,267K\nB) 478K\nC) 1,873K\nD) -917K", "options": [ "A) 3,267K", "B) 478K", "C) 1,873K", "D) -917K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "478K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 2,150K\nB) -640K\nC) 755K\nD) -3,431K", "options": [ "A) 2,150K", "B) -640K", "C) 755K", "D) -3,431K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "755K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 5,131K\nB) -3,247K\nC) 2,338K\nD) 942K", "options": [ "A) 5,131K", "B) -3,247K", "C) 2,338K", "D) 942K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "942K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2021 (released around 2021-09-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 552K\nB) -845K\nC) 1,949K\nD) -3,638K", "options": [ "A) 552K", "B) -845K", "C) 1,949K", "D) -3,638K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "552K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2,337K\nB) 457K\nC) 1,854K\nD) -940K", "options": [ "A) -2,337K", "B) 457K", "C) 1,854K", "D) -940K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "457K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 3,596K\nB) 2,199K\nC) 801K\nD) 4,994K", "options": [ "A) 3,596K", "B) 2,199K", "C) 801K", "D) 4,994K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "801K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2021 (released around 2021-12-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 2,056K\nB) -3,537K\nC) -2,139K\nD) 658K", "options": [ "A) 2,056K", "B) -3,537K", "C) -2,139K", "D) 658K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "658K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) 586K\nB) 1,985K\nC) -813K\nD) 3,383K", "options": [ "A) 586K", "B) 1,985K", "C) -813K", "D) 3,383K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "586K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 2.29%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 2.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202103", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-06.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.66%", "options": [ "A) 2.00%", "B) 3.00%", "C) 2.67%", "D) 1.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 4.13%", "options": [ "A) 4.90%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 4.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-06.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 6.25%\nD) 4.82%", "options": [ "A) 5.30%", "B) 3.86%", "C) 6.25%", "D) 4.82%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 5.76%", "options": [ "A) 6.78%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 3.71%", "D) 5.76%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202109", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.96%", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 5.35%", "D) 5.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 7.59%\nC) 5.56%\nD) 6.24%", "options": [ "A) 4.21%", "B) 7.59%", "C) 5.56%", "D) 6.24%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2021", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-06.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 7.99%", "options": [ "A) 7.17%", "B) 6.36%", "C) 4.74%", "D) 7.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 3.52%\nD) -1.64%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 3.52%", "D) -1.64%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-14.)\n\nA) 10.63%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 7.13%", "options": [ "A) 10.63%", "B) 8.88%", "C) 12.39%", "D) 7.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-14.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 8.74%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 5.15%", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 8.74%", "C) -0.24%", "D) 5.15%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2021", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2021 (advance estimate released around 2022-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-14.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 9.37%\nD) 11.17%", "options": [ "A) 5.76%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 9.37%", "D) 11.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01", "info_cutoff": "2020-12-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 34.39\nB) 23.08\nC) 6.11\nD) 40.05", "options": [ "A) 34.39", "B) 23.08", "C) 6.11", "D) 40.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 43.92\nB) 21.32\nC) 26.97\nD) 10.02", "options": [ "A) 43.92", "B) 21.32", "C) 26.97", "D) 10.02" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210115", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 13.04\nB) 35.64\nC) 7.39\nD) 24.34", "options": [ "A) 13.04", "B) 35.64", "C) 7.39", "D) 24.34" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210205", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 30.24\nB) 18.92\nC) 24.58\nD) 41.56", "options": [ "A) 30.24", "B) 18.92", "C) 24.58", "D) 41.56" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) 10.68\nB) 21.99\nC) 5.03\nD) 16.34", "options": [ "A) 10.68", "B) 21.99", "C) 5.03", "D) 16.34" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.99", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) 28.13\nB) 11.20\nC) 22.49\nD) 16.85", "options": [ "A) 28.13", "B) 11.20", "C) 22.49", "D) 16.85" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210305", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 22.95\nB) 39.81\nC) 17.33\nD) 28.57", "options": [ "A) 22.95", "B) 39.81", "C) 17.33", "D) 28.57" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210312", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 25.47\nB) 8.64\nC) 14.25\nD) 31.08", "options": [ "A) 25.47", "B) 8.64", "C) 14.25", "D) 31.08" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210319", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) 38.37\nB) 21.58\nC) 15.98\nD) 10.39", "options": [ "A) 38.37", "B) 21.58", "C) 15.98", "D) 10.39" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210402", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 15.18\nB) 37.43\nC) 20.74\nD) 31.87", "options": [ "A) 15.18", "B) 37.43", "C) 20.74", "D) 31.87" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 34.78\nB) 7.01\nC) 23.67\nD) 18.12", "options": [ "A) 34.78", "B) 7.01", "C) 23.67", "D) 18.12" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210416", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 16.99\nB) 33.61\nC) 28.07\nD) 11.45", "options": [ "A) 16.99", "B) 33.61", "C) 28.07", "D) 11.45" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.99", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 24.97\nB) 19.48\nC) 30.46\nD) 8.50", "options": [ "A) 24.97", "B) 19.48", "C) 30.46", "D) 8.50" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210514", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.55\nB) 33.07\nC) 27.59\nD) 11.15", "options": [ "A) 38.55", "B) 33.07", "C) 27.59", "D) 11.15" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210521", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 5.75\nB) 33.13\nC) 27.66\nD) 22.18", "options": [ "A) 5.75", "B) 33.13", "C) 27.66", "D) 22.18" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 18.04\nB) 34.41\nC) 28.95\nD) 12.58", "options": [ "A) 18.04", "B) 34.41", "C) 28.95", "D) 12.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210611", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) 28.81\nB) 17.89\nC) 23.35\nD) 6.97", "options": [ "A) 28.81", "B) 17.89", "C) 23.35", "D) 6.97" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210618", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 31.62\nB) 9.78\nC) 20.70\nD) 15.24", "options": [ "A) 31.62", "B) 9.78", "C) 20.70", "D) 15.24" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 10.57\nC) 32.36\nD) 16.02", "options": [ "A) 26.92", "B) 10.57", "C) 32.36", "D) 16.02" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210709", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 19.00\nB) 8.11\nC) 13.56\nD) 24.44", "options": [ "A) 19.00", "B) 8.11", "C) 13.56", "D) 24.44" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210716", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 23.88\nB) 18.45\nC) 34.75\nD) 29.32", "options": [ "A) 23.88", "B) 18.45", "C) 34.75", "D) 29.32" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 30.22\nB) 14.08\nC) 19.46\nD) 24.84", "options": [ "A) 30.22", "B) 14.08", "C) 19.46", "D) 24.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210813", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 27.55\nB) 11.41\nC) 22.17\nD) 16.79", "options": [ "A) 27.55", "B) 11.41", "C) 22.17", "D) 16.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210820", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) 21.67\nB) 37.84\nC) 16.28\nD) 32.45", "options": [ "A) 21.67", "B) 37.84", "C) 16.28", "D) 32.45" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210903", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 5.70\nB) 16.48\nC) 21.87\nD) 27.26", "options": [ "A) 5.70", "B) 16.48", "C) 21.87", "D) 27.26" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210910", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) 26.34\nB) 37.13\nC) 20.95\nD) 10.16", "options": [ "A) 26.34", "B) 37.13", "C) 20.95", "D) 10.16" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20210917", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 10.03\nB) 31.59\nC) 36.98\nD) 20.81", "options": [ "A) 10.03", "B) 31.59", "C) 36.98", "D) 20.81" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211001", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 17.89\nC) 7.17\nD) 12.53", "options": [ "A) 23.25", "B) 17.89", "C) 7.17", "D) 12.53" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211008", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 17.61\nB) 22.96\nC) 28.31\nD) 6.91", "options": [ "A) 17.61", "B) 22.96", "C) 28.31", "D) 6.91" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211015", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 36.04\nB) 30.69\nC) 20.00\nD) 25.35", "options": [ "A) 36.04", "B) 30.69", "C) 20.00", "D) 25.35" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 32.44\nB) 21.80\nC) 5.84\nD) 16.48", "options": [ "A) 32.44", "B) 21.80", "C) 5.84", "D) 16.48" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 24.04\nC) 8.12\nD) 34.65", "options": [ "A) 18.73", "B) 24.04", "C) 8.12", "D) 34.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 17.91\nC) 33.77\nD) 7.34", "options": [ "A) 28.48", "B) 17.91", "C) 33.77", "D) 7.34" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 46.85\nB) 15.39\nC) 31.12\nD) 41.61", "options": [ "A) 46.85", "B) 15.39", "C) 31.12", "D) 41.61" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) 21.96\nB) 42.85\nC) 32.40\nD) 27.18", "options": [ "A) 21.96", "B) 42.85", "C) 32.40", "D) 27.18" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "27.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20211217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) 21.89\nB) 27.10\nC) 16.68\nD) 32.30", "options": [ "A) 21.89", "B) 27.10", "C) 16.68", "D) 32.30" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210101", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01", "info_cutoff": "2020-12-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) -0.09%\nC) -7.47%\nD) 7.29%", "options": [ "A) 4.83%", "B) -0.09%", "C) -7.47%", "D) 7.29%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210108", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 3.97%\nD) -3.41%", "options": [ "A) -0.95%", "B) 8.88%", "C) 3.97%", "D) -3.41%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210115", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) -2.76%\nC) 7.11%\nD) -0.29%", "options": [ "A) 2.18%", "B) -2.76%", "C) 7.11%", "D) -0.29%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210205", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 10.82%\nD) 5.86%", "options": [ "A) 3.38%", "B) 0.90%", "C) 10.82%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) -1.71%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 8.21%\nD) -4.19%", "options": [ "A) -1.71%", "B) 0.77%", "C) 8.21%", "D) -4.19%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) -8.67%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -1.23%\nD) 6.20%", "options": [ "A) -8.67%", "B) 1.25%", "C) -1.23%", "D) 6.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210305", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) -9.87%\nB) -2.45%\nC) 0.02%\nD) -4.92%", "options": [ "A) -9.87%", "B) -2.45%", "C) 0.02%", "D) -4.92%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210312", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.07%", "options": [ "A) 5.64%", "B) 0.77%", "C) 10.51%", "D) 8.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210319", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) -8.84%\nB) -1.82%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 0.53%", "options": [ "A) -8.84%", "B) -1.82%", "C) 5.21%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210402", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 6.85%", "options": [ "A) -0.41%", "B) 5.03%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 6.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210409", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 3.14%\nC) -0.30%\nD) 1.42%", "options": [ "A) 6.57%", "B) 3.14%", "C) -0.30%", "D) 1.42%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210416", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) -3.43%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 6.36%", "options": [ "A) 1.46%", "B) -3.43%", "C) 3.09%", "D) 6.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07", "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -2.59%", "options": [ "A) 2.09%", "B) -1.03%", "C) 3.64%", "D) -2.59%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210514", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 0.21%\nD) -2.88%", "options": [ "A) 3.30%", "B) 4.84%", "C) 0.21%", "D) -2.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210521", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 3.80%\nC) -3.99%\nD) 0.69%", "options": [ "A) 2.25%", "B) 3.80%", "C) -3.99%", "D) 0.69%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210604", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04", "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 3.66%\nC) -4.07%\nD) 5.20%", "options": [ "A) 0.57%", "B) 3.66%", "C) -4.07%", "D) 5.20%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210611", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.45%", "options": [ "A) -1.75%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 6.00%", "D) 4.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210618", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -1.01%\nD) 0.53%", "options": [ "A) 2.07%", "B) -5.64%", "C) -1.01%", "D) 0.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) -3.49%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) -0.53%", "B) -3.49%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210709", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 3.19%\nC) -2.67%\nD) 4.65%", "options": [ "A) 0.26%", "B) 3.19%", "C) -2.67%", "D) 4.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210716", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) -2.08%\nC) -0.62%\nD) -6.44%", "options": [ "A) 0.83%", "B) -2.08%", "C) -0.62%", "D) -6.44%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06", "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) -1.80%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 1.05%\nD) -3.23%", "options": [ "A) -1.80%", "B) -0.37%", "C) 1.05%", "D) -3.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210813", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) -4.51%\nC) 4.01%\nD) -0.25%", "options": [ "A) 2.59%", "B) -4.51%", "C) 4.01%", "D) -0.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210820", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 0.87%", "options": [ "A) -0.53%", "B) 3.68%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 0.87%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210903", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 2.05%", "options": [ "A) -2.18%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 4.87%", "D) 2.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210910", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) -5.90%\nB) 2.53%\nC) -1.68%\nD) -0.28%", "options": [ "A) -5.90%", "B) 2.53%", "C) -1.68%", "D) -0.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210917", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) -3.04%\nC) -1.72%\nD) -0.41%", "options": [ "A) 0.91%", "B) -3.04%", "C) -1.72%", "D) -0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211001", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2.69%\nB) -1.41%\nC) -3.98%\nD) -5.26%", "options": [ "A) -2.69%", "B) -1.41%", "C) -3.98%", "D) -5.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211008", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -1.58%\nD) 3.56%", "options": [ "A) 6.13%", "B) 2.27%", "C) -1.58%", "D) 3.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211015", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 1.57%", "B) 6.63%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211105", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) -1.26%\nC) -0.03%\nD) 2.41%", "options": [ "A) 1.19%", "B) -1.26%", "C) -0.03%", "D) 2.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) -0.76%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) -3.11%", "options": [ "A) -0.76%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 0.41%", "D) -3.11%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211119", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 4.74%", "options": [ "A) -1.02%", "B) 1.28%", "C) 0.13%", "D) 4.74%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03", "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) -6.74%\nC) -4.42%\nD) -7.90%", "options": [ "A) -2.09%", "B) -6.74%", "C) -4.42%", "D) -7.90%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 6.22%\nD) 2.66%", "options": [ "A) -0.89%", "B) 5.03%", "C) 6.22%", "D) 2.66%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) -5.18%\nC) -0.38%\nD) -3.98%", "options": [ "A) -1.58%", "B) -5.18%", "C) -0.38%", "D) -3.98%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2021 } ]