[ { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.28\nB) 118.22\nC) 110.81\nD) 120.70", "options": [ "A) 113.28", "B) 118.22", "C) 110.81", "D) 120.70" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "118.22", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 70.22\nB) 52.49\nC) 58.40\nD) 40.68", "options": [ "A) 70.22", "B) 52.49", "C) 58.40", "D) 40.68" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 337.47\nB) 252.49\nC) 286.48\nD) 303.48", "options": [ "A) 337.47", "B) 252.49", "C) 286.48", "D) 303.48" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "303.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.36%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 6.08%\nD) 7.50%", "options": [ "A) 5.36%", "B) 3.22%", "C) 6.08%", "D) 7.50%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -10.13%\nD) 9.06%", "options": [ "A) 2.67%", "B) -3.73%", "C) -10.13%", "D) 9.06%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) -39.20%\nC) -28.36%\nD) -60.89%", "options": [ "A) 4.18%", "B) -39.20%", "C) -28.36%", "D) -60.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-28.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 5.97%", "options": [ "A) 7.68%", "B) 6.82%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 5.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 150,825K\nB) 155,186K\nC) 146,464K\nD) 142,102K", "options": [ "A) 150,825K", "B) 155,186K", "C) 146,464K", "D) 142,102K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "150,825K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 79.86%\nB) 51.38%\nC) -5.57%\nD) -34.05%", "options": [ "A) 79.86%", "B) 51.38%", "C) -5.57%", "D) -34.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "51.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $73,468M\nB) $75,791M\nC) $78,114M\nD) $85,083M", "options": [ "A) $73,468M", "B) $75,791M", "C) $78,114M", "D) $85,083M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$78,114M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.91%", "options": [ "A) 3.83%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 2.91%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 23.58%\nB) 46.74%\nC) 31.30%\nD) 0.41%", "options": [ "A) 23.58%", "B) 46.74%", "C) 31.30%", "D) 0.41%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,653.35\nB) 3,991.73\nC) 4,668.49\nD) 5,006.88", "options": [ "A) 3,653.35", "B) 3,991.73", "C) 4,668.49", "D) 5,006.88" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,991.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -0.16%\nC) 9.01%\nD) 13.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.43%", "B) -0.16%", "C) 9.01%", "D) 13.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) -5.74%\nB) 20.22%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 13.73%", "options": [ "A) -5.74%", "B) 20.22%", "C) 0.75%", "D) 13.73%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,557K\nB) 1,450K\nC) 1,771K\nD) 1,343K", "options": [ "A) 1,557K", "B) 1,450K", "C) 1,771K", "D) 1,343K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,557K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -23.44%\nB) -11.80%\nC) 23.13%\nD) -0.15%", "options": [ "A) -23.44%", "B) -11.80%", "C) 23.13%", "D) -0.15%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.04pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +1.93pp", "options": [ "A) +1.04pp", "B) -0.73pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) +1.93pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 59.18%\nB) 64.17%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", "options": [ "A) 59.18%", "B) 64.17%", "C) 61.05%", "D) 62.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 10.10%\nC) 19.25%\nD) 14.67%", "options": [ "A) 5.53%", "B) 10.10%", "C) 19.25%", "D) 14.67%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $19,249B\nB) $17,916B\nC) $19,915B\nD) $16,584B", "options": [ "A) $19,249B", "B) $17,916B", "C) $19,915B", "D) $16,584B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17,916B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.93%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 7.23%", "options": [ "A) -3.93%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 1.65%", "D) 7.23%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 18.12%\nC) 14.36%\nD) 10.60%", "options": [ "A) 3.09%", "B) 18.12%", "C) 14.36%", "D) 10.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -7.53%\nD) -3.27%", "options": [ "A) 5.26%", "B) 0.99%", "C) -7.53%", "D) -3.27%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 9.81%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.61%\nD) 6.20%", "options": [ "A) 9.81%", "B) 7.40%", "C) 8.61%", "D) 6.20%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.71%\nB) 2.69%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 4.73%", "options": [ "A) 3.71%", "B) 2.69%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 4.73%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.59%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 5.67%\nD) 6.64%", "options": [ "A) 8.59%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 5.67%", "D) 6.64%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,424K\nB) 1,623K\nC) 1,722K\nD) 1,325K", "options": [ "A) 1,424K", "B) 1,623K", "C) 1,722K", "D) 1,325K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,424K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.0113\nB) 1.1363\nC) 1.1863\nD) 1.0863", "options": [ "A) 1.0113", "B) 1.1363", "C) 1.1863", "D) 1.0863" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1363", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.10%\nD) 2.18%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 2.49%", "C) 3.10%", "D) 2.18%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 5.13%", "options": [ "A) 5.51%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 6.26%", "D) 5.13%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $659,458M\nB) $693,132M\nC) $625,784M\nD) $726,806M", "options": [ "A) $659,458M", "B) $693,132M", "C) $625,784M", "D) $726,806M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$659,458M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $-67,584M\nB) $-84,685M\nC) $-73,284M\nD) $-101,786M", "options": [ "A) $-67,584M", "B) $-84,685M", "C) $-73,284M", "D) $-101,786M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-84,685M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 112.8410\nB) 110.0420\nC) 115.6400\nD) 119.8385", "options": [ "A) 112.8410", "B) 110.0420", "C) 115.6400", "D) 119.8385" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.6400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.80%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 12.94%", "options": [ "A) 9.80%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 12.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,857K\nB) 2,058K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,656K", "options": [ "A) 1,857K", "B) 2,058K", "C) 1,757K", "D) 1,656K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,857K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.71\nB) 101.33\nC) 106.96\nD) 91.95", "options": [ "A) 95.71", "B) 101.33", "C) 106.96", "D) 91.95" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 99.71%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 41.57%\nD) -16.57%", "options": [ "A) 99.71%", "B) 12.50%", "C) 41.57%", "D) -16.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "41.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 44.02\nB) 51.11\nC) 79.47\nD) 58.20", "options": [ "A) 44.02", "B) 51.11", "C) 79.47", "D) 58.20" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.16%\nB) 17.39%\nC) 9.90%\nD) -1.33%", "options": [ "A) 6.16%", "B) 17.39%", "C) 9.90%", "D) -1.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.54pp\nB) -2.20pp\nC) -7.17pp\nD) -5.51pp", "options": [ "A) -0.54pp", "B) -2.20pp", "C) -7.17pp", "D) -5.51pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 965,890\nB) 1,343,835\nC) 210,000\nD) 587,945", "options": [ "A) 965,890", "B) 1,343,835", "C) 210,000", "D) 587,945" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "210,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.92%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 6.03%", "options": [ "A) 2.86%", "B) 3.92%", "C) 9.20%", "D) 6.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,297.14\nB) 3,950.29\nC) 4,990.84\nD) 3,256.59", "options": [ "A) 4,297.14", "B) 3,950.29", "C) 4,990.84", "D) 3,256.59" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,297.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.66%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 10.26%\nD) -6.44%", "options": [ "A) -3.66%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 10.26%", "D) -6.44%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.05\nB) 109.26\nC) 112.47\nD) 117.28", "options": [ "A) 106.05", "B) 109.26", "C) 112.47", "D) 117.28" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "112.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 111.85\nB) 119.20\nC) 106.35\nD) 115.53", "options": [ "A) 111.85", "B) 119.20", "C) 106.35", "D) 115.53" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 17.11%\nB) 12.57%\nC) 21.64%\nD) 26.18%", "options": [ "A) 17.11%", "B) 12.57%", "C) 21.64%", "D) 26.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.90%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 6.05%", "options": [ "A) 8.90%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 0.35%", "D) 6.05%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) -6.89%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 17.52%", "options": [ "A) -6.89%", "B) 9.38%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 17.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 306.07\nB) 284.22\nC) 320.63\nD) 298.79", "options": [ "A) 306.07", "B) 284.22", "C) 320.63", "D) 298.79" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "298.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -3.82%\nB) -10.69%\nC) 3.04%\nD) -24.42%", "options": [ "A) -3.82%", "B) -10.69%", "C) 3.04%", "D) -24.42%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.94%\nB) -3.95%\nC) 20.02%\nD) 4.04%", "options": [ "A) -19.94%", "B) -3.95%", "C) 20.02%", "D) 4.04%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $-69,822M\nB) $-48,750M\nC) $-62,798M\nD) $-76,846M", "options": [ "A) $-69,822M", "B) $-48,750M", "C) $-62,798M", "D) $-76,846M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-62,798M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 326.17\nB) 248.05\nC) 313.15\nD) 287.11", "options": [ "A) 326.17", "B) 248.05", "C) 313.15", "D) 287.11" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "287.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.37%\nB) 9.25%\nC) 13.00%\nD) 5.49%", "options": [ "A) 7.37%", "B) 9.25%", "C) 13.00%", "D) 5.49%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -2.07pp\nB) +2.10pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +3.49pp", "options": [ "A) -2.07pp", "B) +2.10pp", "C) +0.71pp", "D) +3.49pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) 10.95%\nC) 5.43%\nD) -2.85%", "options": [ "A) -0.09%", "B) 10.95%", "C) 5.43%", "D) -2.85%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.31%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 9.56%\nD) 7.94%", "options": [ "A) 6.31%", "B) 10.37%", "C) 9.56%", "D) 7.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) +2.30pp\nB) +5.04pp\nC) +0.93pp\nD) -0.44pp", "options": [ "A) +2.30pp", "B) +5.04pp", "C) +0.93pp", "D) -0.44pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 11.56%", "options": [ "A) 0.41%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 5.99%", "D) 11.56%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) -0.79pp\nC) -0.57pp\nD) -1.24pp", "options": [ "A) -0.13pp", "B) -0.79pp", "C) -0.57pp", "D) -1.24pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.57pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $-74,062M\nB) $-52,753M\nC) $-59,856M\nD) $-66,959M", "options": [ "A) $-74,062M", "B) $-52,753M", "C) $-59,856M", "D) $-66,959M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-66,959M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 101.10\nB) 97.33\nC) 104.86\nD) 91.69", "options": [ "A) 101.10", "B) 97.33", "C) 104.86", "D) 91.69" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.6427\nB) 7.0440\nC) 7.7128\nD) 7.3115", "options": [ "A) 6.6427", "B) 7.0440", "C) 7.7128", "D) 7.3115" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.0440", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 230.44\nB) 267.48\nC) 252.66\nD) 237.84", "options": [ "A) 230.44", "B) 267.48", "C) 252.66", "D) 237.84" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "252.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 12.47%\nB) 15.77%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 9.16%", "options": [ "A) 12.47%", "B) 15.77%", "C) -0.75%", "D) 9.16%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 21.50%\nB) 13.10%\nC) 8.89%\nD) 17.30%", "options": [ "A) 21.50%", "B) 13.10%", "C) 8.89%", "D) 17.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 153.44\nB) 141.16\nC) 149.35\nD) 137.07", "options": [ "A) 153.44", "B) 141.16", "C) 149.35", "D) 137.07" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "141.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) -11.64%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 19.16%", "options": [ "A) 0.68%", "B) -11.64%", "C) 6.84%", "D) 19.16%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.71%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 7.50%\nD) 3.09%", "options": [ "A) 9.71%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 7.50%", "D) 3.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -14.76%\nB) -29.78%\nC) -22.27%\nD) 7.78%", "options": [ "A) -14.76%", "B) -29.78%", "C) -22.27%", "D) 7.78%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-14.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 157,949K\nB) 153,362K\nC) 148,775K\nD) 141,894K", "options": [ "A) 157,949K", "B) 153,362K", "C) 148,775K", "D) 141,894K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "153,362K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 20.22\nB) 37.49\nC) 24.54\nD) 28.86", "options": [ "A) 20.22", "B) 37.49", "C) 24.54", "D) 28.86" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 15.65%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 10.94%", "options": [ "A) 15.65%", "B) 9.38%", "C) 6.24%", "D) 10.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 15.48%\nB) 20.12%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 24.75%", "options": [ "A) 15.48%", "B) 20.12%", "C) 6.21%", "D) 24.75%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 290.61\nB) 273.25\nC) 299.29\nD) 247.21", "options": [ "A) 290.61", "B) 273.25", "C) 299.29", "D) 247.21" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "273.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 36.31\nB) 14.21\nC) 27.47\nD) 31.89", "options": [ "A) 36.31", "B) 14.21", "C) 27.47", "D) 31.89" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 112.15\nB) 127.51\nC) 123.12\nD) 116.54", "options": [ "A) 112.15", "B) 127.51", "C) 123.12", "D) 116.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "116.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 288.27\nB) 264.87\nC) 302.31\nD) 278.91", "options": [ "A) 288.27", "B) 264.87", "C) 302.31", "D) 278.91" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "288.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 3.51%", "options": [ "A) 5.06%", "B) 5.84%", "C) 8.16%", "D) 3.51%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) +4.26pp\nB) +8.80pp\nC) +1.99pp\nD) -0.28pp", "options": [ "A) +4.26pp", "B) +8.80pp", "C) +1.99pp", "D) -0.28pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.99pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $73,361M\nB) $81,161M\nC) $69,461M\nD) $75,311M", "options": [ "A) $73,361M", "B) $81,161M", "C) $69,461M", "D) $75,311M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$75,311M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.58%", "options": [ "A) 2.79%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 3.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,926K\nB) 1,735K\nC) 1,830K\nD) 1,640K", "options": [ "A) 1,926K", "B) 1,735K", "C) 1,830K", "D) 1,640K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,735K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.50%\nB) 6.61%\nC) 8.54%\nD) 5.65%", "options": [ "A) 9.50%", "B) 6.61%", "C) 8.54%", "D) 5.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $17,385B\nB) $20,278B\nC) $19,555B\nD) $18,108B", "options": [ "A) $17,385B", "B) $20,278B", "C) $19,555B", "D) $18,108B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$18,108B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) -12.83%\nB) 4.31%\nC) -4.26%\nD) 12.89%", "options": [ "A) -12.83%", "B) 4.31%", "C) -4.26%", "D) 12.89%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-12.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 6.70%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 5.94%", "options": [ "A) 5.19%", "B) 6.70%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 5.94%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.79%", "options": [ "A) 1.09%", "B) 2.37%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 265.19\nB) 298.98\nC) 274.85\nD) 284.50", "options": [ "A) 265.19", "B) 298.98", "C) 274.85", "D) 284.50" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "284.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.19%\nB) 28.69%\nC) 22.52%\nD) -2.15%", "options": [ "A) 10.19%", "B) 28.69%", "C) 22.52%", "D) -2.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 8,356,402\nB) 1,637,000\nC) 6,116,601\nD) 3,876,801", "options": [ "A) 8,356,402", "B) 1,637,000", "C) 6,116,601", "D) 3,876,801" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,637,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.53%\nB) -21.09%\nC) -11.43%\nD) -1.78%", "options": [ "A) 17.53%", "B) -21.09%", "C) -11.43%", "D) -1.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-11.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $84,000M\nB) $71,472M\nC) $78,989M\nD) $76,483M", "options": [ "A) $84,000M", "B) $71,472M", "C) $78,989M", "D) $76,483M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$76,483M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) +2.86pp\nC) -2.18pp\nD) -5.54pp", "options": [ "A) -0.50pp", "B) +2.86pp", "C) -2.18pp", "D) -5.54pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.00%\nB) 11.66%\nC) 24.33%\nD) 20.11%", "options": [ "A) -1.00%", "B) 11.66%", "C) 24.33%", "D) 20.11%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) $140.79/bbl\nB) $123.50/bbl\nC) $114.86/bbl\nD) $88.93/bbl", "options": [ "A) $140.79/bbl", "B) $123.50/bbl", "C) $114.86/bbl", "D) $88.93/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.86/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 108.48\nC) 118.46\nD) 113.47", "options": [ "A) 105.16", "B) 108.48", "C) 118.46", "D) 113.47" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "113.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 134.77\nB) 147.80\nC) 142.59\nD) 126.96", "options": [ "A) 134.77", "B) 147.80", "C) 142.59", "D) 126.96" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "134.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.52%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.11%\nD) 2.98%", "options": [ "A) 2.52%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.11%", "D) 2.98%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -28.10pp\nB) -22.30pp\nC) -10.70pp\nD) +0.90pp", "options": [ "A) -28.10pp", "B) -22.30pp", "C) -10.70pp", "D) +0.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-10.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 8,123,252\nB) 3,626,417\nC) 5,874,834\nD) 1,378,000", "options": [ "A) 8,123,252", "B) 3,626,417", "C) 5,874,834", "D) 1,378,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,378,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -6.91%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 14.82%\nD) -28.65%", "options": [ "A) -6.91%", "B) 7.58%", "C) 14.82%", "D) -28.65%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.60%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 7.81%", "options": [ "A) 8.60%", "B) 6.24%", "C) 5.45%", "D) 7.81%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 3.36%\nD) -3.75%", "options": [ "A) 5.73%", "B) -1.38%", "C) 3.36%", "D) -3.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 0.40%", "options": [ "A) 0.85%", "B) 1.30%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 0.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 2.88%", "options": [ "A) 5.21%", "B) 4.43%", "C) 6.76%", "D) 2.88%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,582M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $6,200,000M", "B) $5,582M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,582M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -11.45%\nB) 11.95%\nC) -3.65%\nD) -19.25%", "options": [ "A) -11.45%", "B) 11.95%", "C) -3.65%", "D) -19.25%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +4.33pp\nB) -1.33pp\nC) +5.74pp\nD) +1.50pp", "options": [ "A) +4.33pp", "B) -1.33pp", "C) +5.74pp", "D) +1.50pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 57.87%\nD) 62.95%", "options": [ "A) 59.90%", "B) 64.99%", "C) 57.87%", "D) 62.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $28.17/hr\nB) $27.40/hr\nC) $26.63/hr\nD) $28.93/hr", "options": [ "A) $28.17/hr", "B) $27.40/hr", "C) $26.63/hr", "D) $28.93/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$27.40/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.27\nB) 124.06\nC) 120.69\nD) 115.64", "options": [ "A) 112.27", "B) 124.06", "C) 120.69", "D) 115.64" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "120.69", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 287.69\nB) 312.96\nC) 294.01\nD) 300.32", "options": [ "A) 287.69", "B) 312.96", "C) 294.01", "D) 300.32" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "300.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $21,720B\nB) $26,043B\nC) $18,837B\nD) $20,278B", "options": [ "A) $21,720B", "B) $26,043B", "C) $18,837B", "D) $20,278B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,720B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $612,013M\nB) $638,101M\nC) $585,924M\nD) $664,189M", "options": [ "A) $612,013M", "B) $638,101M", "C) $585,924M", "D) $664,189M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$638,101M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.37%", "options": [ "A) 2.93%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 3.37%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 333.05\nB) 314.88\nC) 278.54\nD) 296.71", "options": [ "A) 333.05", "B) 314.88", "C) 278.54", "D) 296.71" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "296.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 62.14%\nC) 58.06%\nD) 65.21%", "options": [ "A) 60.10%", "B) 62.14%", "C) 58.06%", "D) 65.21%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $-102,017M\nB) $-82,157M\nC) $-62,297M\nD) $-95,397M", "options": [ "A) $-102,017M", "B) $-82,157M", "C) $-62,297M", "D) $-95,397M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-82,157M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.67%\nB) -8.28%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 2.88%", "options": [ "A) 5.67%", "B) -8.28%", "C) 0.09%", "D) 2.88%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.80%\nB) 11.14%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 4.11%", "options": [ "A) 8.80%", "B) 11.14%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 4.11%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) $16,647B\nB) $15,333B\nC) $17,961B\nD) $17,304B", "options": [ "A) $16,647B", "B) $15,333B", "C) $17,961B", "D) $17,304B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$16,647B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 12.73%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 11.60%", "options": [ "A) 12.73%", "B) 9.34%", "C) 8.22%", "D) 11.60%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 4.64%", "options": [ "A) 5.63%", "B) 4.31%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 4.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.26pp\nB) +1.14pp\nC) +1.57pp\nD) +0.70pp", "options": [ "A) +0.26pp", "B) +1.14pp", "C) +1.57pp", "D) +0.70pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 4.49%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 5.86%", "options": [ "A) 6.55%", "B) 4.49%", "C) 5.18%", "D) 5.86%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $687,842M\nB) $659,847M\nC) $575,863M\nD) $715,837M", "options": [ "A) $687,842M", "B) $659,847M", "C) $575,863M", "D) $715,837M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$659,847M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 276.29\nB) 223.77\nC) 263.16\nD) 236.90", "options": [ "A) 276.29", "B) 223.77", "C) 263.16", "D) 236.90" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "263.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.09%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 4.10%", "options": [ "A) 12.09%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 9.43%", "D) 4.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 10.02%\nB) 12.48%\nC) 11.25%\nD) 8.79%", "options": [ "A) 10.02%", "B) 12.48%", "C) 11.25%", "D) 8.79%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 34.01%\nB) 10.89%\nC) 45.57%\nD) -23.79%", "options": [ "A) 34.01%", "B) 10.89%", "C) 45.57%", "D) -23.79%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 125.1946\nB) 135.0831\nC) 129.1500\nD) 139.0386", "options": [ "A) 125.1946", "B) 135.0831", "C) 129.1500", "D) 139.0386" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "129.1500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 3.60%", "options": [ "A) 4.75%", "B) 7.06%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 62.14%\nC) 57.04%\nD) 64.18%", "options": [ "A) 60.10%", "B) 62.14%", "C) 57.04%", "D) 64.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $17,022B\nC) $14,923B\nD) $18,422B", "options": [ "A) $15,623B", "B) $17,022B", "C) $14,923B", "D) $18,422B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17,022B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 7.12%", "options": [ "A) 4.77%", "B) 2.43%", "C) 3.60%", "D) 7.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 27,606.45\nB) 38,116.43\nC) 29,708.45\nD) 33,912.44", "options": [ "A) 27,606.45", "B) 38,116.43", "C) 29,708.45", "D) 33,912.44" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33,912.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.47%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 7.69%\nD) 6.30%", "options": [ "A) 10.47%", "B) 9.08%", "C) 7.69%", "D) 6.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $30.23/hr\nB) $27.75/hr\nC) $29.40/hr\nD) $25.27/hr", "options": [ "A) $30.23/hr", "B) $27.75/hr", "C) $29.40/hr", "D) $25.27/hr" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$27.75/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -1.72pp\nC) +5.01pp\nD) +11.73pp", "options": [ "A) +0.52pp", "B) -1.72pp", "C) +5.01pp", "D) +11.73pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+5.01pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 63.55%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", "options": [ "A) 63.55%", "B) 59.18%", "C) 61.05%", "D) 62.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.33%", "options": [ "A) 2.72%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 1.79%", "D) 1.33%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $5,591M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $5,591M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,591M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 108.32\nB) 95.17\nC) 100.81\nD) 104.56", "options": [ "A) 108.32", "B) 95.17", "C) 100.81", "D) 104.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "100.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) $88.09/bbl\nB) $108.41/bbl\nC) $77.93/bbl\nD) $98.25/bbl", "options": [ "A) $88.09/bbl", "B) $108.41/bbl", "C) $77.93/bbl", "D) $98.25/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$98.25/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,008.01\nB) 3,302.71\nC) 2,950.07\nD) 5,065.95", "options": [ "A) 4,008.01", "B) 3,302.71", "C) 2,950.07", "D) 5,065.95" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,008.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.82%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 10.60%\nD) 13.45%", "options": [ "A) -0.82%", "B) 4.89%", "C) 10.60%", "D) 13.45%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.37pp\nB) +1.75pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +2.17pp", "options": [ "A) -0.37pp", "B) +1.75pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +2.17pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 8.39%\nD) 6.79%", "options": [ "A) 9.19%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 8.39%", "D) 6.79%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 139.3600\nB) 153.7609\nC) 129.7594\nD) 148.9606", "options": [ "A) 139.3600", "B) 153.7609", "C) 129.7594", "D) 148.9606" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "139.3600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 34,415.34\nB) 32,223.42\nC) 30,031.50\nD) 27,839.58", "options": [ "A) 34,415.34", "B) 32,223.42", "C) 30,031.50", "D) 27,839.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32,223.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 3.20%", "options": [ "A) 5.54%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 4.37%", "D) 3.20%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 121.32%\nB) -54.42%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 33.45%", "options": [ "A) 121.32%", "B) -54.42%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 33.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) -8.41%\nC) 22.33%\nD) -2.26%", "options": [ "A) 3.89%", "B) -8.41%", "C) 22.33%", "D) -2.26%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -29.80pp\nB) -24.50pp\nC) -19.20pp\nD) -13.90pp", "options": [ "A) -29.80pp", "B) -24.50pp", "C) -19.20pp", "D) -13.90pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-24.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 16.91%\nB) -1.85%\nC) 7.53%\nD) 10.65%", "options": [ "A) 16.91%", "B) -1.85%", "C) 7.53%", "D) 10.65%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 7.08%\nC) 6.14%\nD) 6.61%", "options": [ "A) 5.20%", "B) 7.08%", "C) 6.14%", "D) 6.61%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 7.82%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 4.75%", "options": [ "A) 6.29%", "B) 7.82%", "C) 7.05%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,015B\nB) $17,106B\nC) $18,197B\nD) $15,469B", "options": [ "A) $16,015B", "B) $17,106B", "C) $18,197B", "D) $15,469B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17,106B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) 0.52%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 2.88%", "options": [ "A) 2.13%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 2.88%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 3.06%\nD) 1.62%", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 3.54%", "C) 3.06%", "D) 1.62%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 108.12\nB) 116.96\nC) 112.54\nD) 123.58", "options": [ "A) 108.12", "B) 116.96", "C) 112.54", "D) 123.58" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "116.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.96pp\nB) +1.87pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) -7.23pp", "options": [ "A) -4.96pp", "B) +1.87pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) -7.23pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.41pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.31%\nB) -8.40%\nC) -32.65%\nD) -16.48%", "options": [ "A) -0.31%", "B) -8.40%", "C) -32.65%", "D) -16.48%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-16.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 13.82%\nB) -15.27%\nC) -44.36%\nD) 42.91%", "options": [ "A) 13.82%", "B) -15.27%", "C) -44.36%", "D) 42.91%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 144.91\nB) 139.01\nC) 141.96\nD) 147.86", "options": [ "A) 144.91", "B) 139.01", "C) 141.96", "D) 147.86" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "139.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $258,029M\nB) $268,384M\nC) $278,740M\nD) $299,451M", "options": [ "A) $258,029M", "B) $268,384M", "C) $278,740M", "D) $299,451M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$278,740M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,599B\nB) $19,176B\nC) $16,023B\nD) $18,388B", "options": [ "A) $17,599B", "B) $19,176B", "C) $16,023B", "D) $18,388B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$18,388B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.50pp\nB) +0.18pp\nC) -4.85pp\nD) -6.53pp", "options": [ "A) -1.50pp", "B) +0.18pp", "C) -4.85pp", "D) -6.53pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.55pp\nD) +1.10pp", "options": [ "A) -1.15pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +1.55pp", "D) +1.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) $77.18/bbl\nB) $84.26/bbl\nC) $98.43/bbl\nD) $112.60/bbl", "options": [ "A) $77.18/bbl", "B) $84.26/bbl", "C) $98.43/bbl", "D) $112.60/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$98.43/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.0252\nB) 6.3910\nC) 7.4057\nD) 6.7715", "options": [ "A) 7.0252", "B) 6.3910", "C) 7.4057", "D) 6.7715" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.7715", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.47%\nB) 0.83%\nC) 14.10%\nD) 4.15%", "options": [ "A) 7.47%", "B) 0.83%", "C) 14.10%", "D) 4.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 131.43\nB) 123.04\nC) 127.23\nD) 116.75", "options": [ "A) 131.43", "B) 123.04", "C) 127.23", "D) 116.75" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "123.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 14.79%\nC) 8.15%\nD) 5.93%", "options": [ "A) 1.51%", "B) 14.79%", "C) 8.15%", "D) 5.93%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +5.93pp\nB) -30.13pp\nC) -24.12pp\nD) -12.10pp", "options": [ "A) +5.93pp", "B) -30.13pp", "C) -24.12pp", "D) -12.10pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-12.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 3.69%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 2.78%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 3.69%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.39%\nB) 10.17%\nC) 16.36%\nD) 22.54%", "options": [ "A) -8.39%", "B) 10.17%", "C) 16.36%", "D) 22.54%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 66.45%\nB) 60.24%\nC) 62.10%\nD) 63.96%", "options": [ "A) 66.45%", "B) 60.24%", "C) 62.10%", "D) 63.96%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $28.98/hr\nB) $27.24/hr\nC) $25.51/hr\nD) $28.11/hr", "options": [ "A) $28.98/hr", "B) $27.24/hr", "C) $25.51/hr", "D) $28.11/hr" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.11/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 292.06\nB) 307.10\nC) 317.12\nD) 277.03", "options": [ "A) 292.06", "B) 307.10", "C) 317.12", "D) 277.03" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "292.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 73.47%\nB) 78.15%\nC) 85.97%\nD) 82.84%", "options": [ "A) 73.47%", "B) 78.15%", "C) 85.97%", "D) 82.84%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 75.86%\nB) 83.52%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 86.58%", "options": [ "A) 75.86%", "B) 83.52%", "C) 78.92%", "D) 86.58%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.37%", "options": [ "A) 2.67%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 2.37%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +0.07pp\nD) +1.07pp", "options": [ "A) +0.47pp", "B) +0.87pp", "C) +0.07pp", "D) +1.07pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.47pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $20,938B\nB) $18,601B\nC) $20,159B\nD) $16,265B", "options": [ "A) $20,938B", "B) $18,601B", "C) $20,159B", "D) $16,265B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18,601B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 139.85%\nB) -4.45%\nC) 53.27%\nD) -33.31%", "options": [ "A) 139.85%", "B) -4.45%", "C) 53.27%", "D) -33.31%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "53.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1186\nB) 0.9436\nC) 1.0686\nD) 1.0186", "options": [ "A) 1.1186", "B) 0.9436", "C) 1.0686", "D) 1.0186" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0186", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 11,662.79\nB) 7,092.78\nC) 8,616.12\nD) 14,709.46", "options": [ "A) 11,662.79", "B) 7,092.78", "C) 8,616.12", "D) 14,709.46" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,662.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 110.24\nB) 113.70\nC) 118.89\nD) 122.35", "options": [ "A) 110.24", "B) 113.70", "C) 118.89", "D) 122.35" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "113.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.22%", "options": [ "A) 1.67%", "B) 2.12%", "C) 0.77%", "D) 1.22%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.82%\nB) 5.82%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 8.22%", "options": [ "A) 11.82%", "B) 5.82%", "C) 4.63%", "D) 8.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 8,501.78\nC) 7,073.47\nD) 14,215.04", "options": [ "A) 11,358.41", "B) 8,501.78", "C) 7,073.47", "D) 14,215.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,914K\nB) 1,704K\nC) 1,809K\nD) 1,388K", "options": [ "A) 1,914K", "B) 1,704K", "C) 1,809K", "D) 1,388K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,704K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 70.95%\nB) 74.00%\nC) 78.58%\nD) 81.63%", "options": [ "A) 70.95%", "B) 74.00%", "C) 78.58%", "D) 81.63%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 7.77%\nC) 10.97%\nD) 14.17%", "options": [ "A) 4.57%", "B) 7.77%", "C) 10.97%", "D) 14.17%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.19%\nB) 9.57%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 2.45%", "options": [ "A) 7.19%", "B) 9.57%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 2.45%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.9170\nB) 1.0420\nC) 1.0920\nD) 0.9920", "options": [ "A) 0.9170", "B) 1.0420", "C) 1.0920", "D) 0.9920" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0420", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 73.88%\nB) 83.20%\nC) 78.54%\nD) 86.31%", "options": [ "A) 73.88%", "B) 83.20%", "C) 78.54%", "D) 86.31%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.55%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", "options": [ "A) 63.55%", "B) 59.18%", "C) 61.05%", "D) 62.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.46%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 15.52%\nD) -18.95%", "options": [ "A) -7.46%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 15.52%", "D) -18.95%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-7.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 11.18\nB) 19.95\nC) 15.56\nD) 33.11", "options": [ "A) 11.18", "B) 19.95", "C) 15.56", "D) 33.11" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 22.25%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 8.17%\nD) -1.22%", "options": [ "A) 22.25%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 8.17%", "D) -1.22%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 7.95%\nD) 6.03%", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 5.38%", "C) 7.95%", "D) 6.03%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.68%\nB) -9.29%\nC) 23.99%\nD) -2.64%", "options": [ "A) 10.68%", "B) -9.29%", "C) 23.99%", "D) -2.64%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,836K\nB) 1,531K\nC) 1,633K\nD) 1,226K", "options": [ "A) 1,836K", "B) 1,531K", "C) 1,633K", "D) 1,226K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,531K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.41%\nB) 7.02%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 4.57%", "options": [ "A) 6.41%", "B) 7.02%", "C) 5.18%", "D) 4.57%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 10.68%\nD) 2.60%", "options": [ "A) 7.98%", "B) 5.29%", "C) 10.68%", "D) 2.60%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -4.51%\nB) -11.46%\nC) 16.33%\nD) -25.35%", "options": [ "A) -4.51%", "B) -11.46%", "C) 16.33%", "D) -25.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,631K\nB) 1,531K\nC) 1,331K\nD) 1,832K", "options": [ "A) 1,631K", "B) 1,531K", "C) 1,331K", "D) 1,832K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,531K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.04%\nB) 8.43%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 4.51%", "options": [ "A) 11.04%", "B) 8.43%", "C) 7.12%", "D) 4.51%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 125.07\nB) 128.71\nC) 115.98\nD) 121.43", "options": [ "A) 125.07", "B) 128.71", "C) 115.98", "D) 121.43" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "121.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 7.57%\nC) -3.65%\nD) 11.31%", "options": [ "A) 3.83%", "B) 7.57%", "C) -3.65%", "D) 11.31%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,365,198\nB) 234,000\nC) 611,066\nD) 988,132", "options": [ "A) 1,365,198", "B) 234,000", "C) 611,066", "D) 988,132" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "234,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -8.88pp\nB) -19.12pp\nC) -14.00pp\nD) -3.75pp", "options": [ "A) -8.88pp", "B) -19.12pp", "C) -14.00pp", "D) -3.75pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-14.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.02pp\nB) -2.24pp\nC) -3.66pp\nD) +0.60pp", "options": [ "A) +2.02pp", "B) -2.24pp", "C) -3.66pp", "D) +0.60pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 154,242K\nB) 166,170K\nC) 147,085K\nD) 159,013K", "options": [ "A) 154,242K", "B) 166,170K", "C) 147,085K", "D) 159,013K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "154,242K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 6.12%", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 5.60%", "C) 6.65%", "D) 6.12%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.64%", "options": [ "A) 4.32%", "B) 2.97%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 3.64%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) $76.79/bbl\nB) $96.95/bbl\nC) $56.62/bbl\nD) $86.87/bbl", "options": [ "A) $76.79/bbl", "B) $96.95/bbl", "C) $56.62/bbl", "D) $86.87/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$86.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $76,640M\nB) $72,464M\nC) $78,728M\nD) $80,816M", "options": [ "A) $76,640M", "B) $72,464M", "C) $78,728M", "D) $80,816M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$76,640M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.54%\nB) 0.06%\nC) -17.42%\nD) -5.77%", "options": [ "A) 17.54%", "B) 0.06%", "C) -17.42%", "D) -5.77%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 8,689.22\nB) 10,168.83\nC) 13,128.05\nD) 11,648.44", "options": [ "A) 8,689.22", "B) 10,168.83", "C) 13,128.05", "D) 11,648.44" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13,128.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 20.21%\nB) 26.06%\nC) -3.15%\nD) 8.53%", "options": [ "A) 20.21%", "B) 26.06%", "C) -3.15%", "D) 8.53%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.88pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.69pp", "options": [ "A) +0.30pp", "B) +0.88pp", "C) +0.11pp", "D) +0.69pp" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.70%\nB) 5.19%\nC) -1.57%\nD) 0.68%", "options": [ "A) 9.70%", "B) 5.19%", "C) -1.57%", "D) 0.68%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 34.47\nB) 38.85\nC) 25.70\nD) 12.55", "options": [ "A) 34.47", "B) 38.85", "C) 25.70", "D) 12.55" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 132.90%\nB) 162.04%\nC) 45.50%\nD) 74.63%", "options": [ "A) 132.90%", "B) 162.04%", "C) 45.50%", "D) 74.63%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "74.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $5,419M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": [ "A) $5,419M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,419M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,097B\nB) $21,638B\nC) $24,666B\nD) $18,611B", "options": [ "A) $17,097B", "B) $21,638B", "C) $24,666B", "D) $18,611B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21,638B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 23.31%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 9.58%\nD) -4.15%", "options": [ "A) 23.31%", "B) 5.01%", "C) 9.58%", "D) -4.15%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $26,010B\nB) $22,941B\nC) $19,872B\nD) $21,406B", "options": [ "A) $26,010B", "B) $22,941B", "C) $19,872B", "D) $21,406B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21,406B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) $92.07/bbl\nB) $112.25/bbl\nC) $85.34/bbl\nD) $105.52/bbl", "options": [ "A) $92.07/bbl", "B) $112.25/bbl", "C) $85.34/bbl", "D) $105.52/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$92.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 267.90\nB) 296.54\nC) 279.36\nD) 313.71", "options": [ "A) 267.90", "B) 296.54", "C) 279.36", "D) 313.71" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "296.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 124.14%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 66.44%\nD) -20.11%", "options": [ "A) 124.14%", "B) 8.74%", "C) 66.44%", "D) -20.11%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.86%\nB) 65.01%\nC) 62.97%\nD) 59.90%", "options": [ "A) 57.86%", "B) 65.01%", "C) 62.97%", "D) 59.90%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 9.37%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 11.75%\nD) 6.99%", "options": [ "A) 9.37%", "B) 8.18%", "C) 11.75%", "D) 6.99%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 104.72\nB) 100.96\nC) 97.19\nD) 91.54", "options": [ "A) 104.72", "B) 100.96", "C) 97.19", "D) 91.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "100.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -1.01pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) -0.01pp", "options": [ "A) -1.01pp", "B) +0.19pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) -0.01pp" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.41pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) $16,592B\nB) $15,851B\nC) $18,072B\nD) $17,332B", "options": [ "A) $16,592B", "B) $15,851B", "C) $18,072B", "D) $17,332B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17,332B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $19,510B\nB) $18,752B\nC) $21,026B\nD) $17,236B", "options": [ "A) $19,510B", "B) $18,752B", "C) $21,026B", "D) $17,236B" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19,510B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 282.10\nB) 295.10\nC) 288.60\nD) 308.10", "options": [ "A) 282.10", "B) 295.10", "C) 288.60", "D) 308.10" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "295.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) $115.28/bbl\nB) $73.32/bbl\nC) $94.30/bbl\nD) $104.79/bbl", "options": [ "A) $115.28/bbl", "B) $73.32/bbl", "C) $94.30/bbl", "D) $104.79/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$94.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 7.02%\nC) 11.60%\nD) 4.73%", "options": [ "A) 2.44%", "B) 7.02%", "C) 11.60%", "D) 4.73%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.41%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 17.94%\nD) 13.68%", "options": [ "A) 9.41%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 17.94%", "D) 13.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 334.68\nB) 306.28\nC) 277.87\nD) 320.48", "options": [ "A) 334.68", "B) 306.28", "C) 277.87", "D) 320.48" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "306.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 4.75%", "options": [ "A) 2.81%", "B) 5.24%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 4.75%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,296K\nB) 1,191K\nC) 1,611K\nD) 1,401K", "options": [ "A) 1,296K", "B) 1,191K", "C) 1,611K", "D) 1,401K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,401K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 12.31%\nC) 9.48%\nD) 0.96%", "options": [ "A) 3.80%", "B) 12.31%", "C) 9.48%", "D) 0.96%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 27.87%\nB) 19.97%\nC) 23.92%\nD) 12.07%", "options": [ "A) 27.87%", "B) 19.97%", "C) 23.92%", "D) 12.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $18,744B\nB) $18,159B\nC) $17,574B\nD) $15,820B", "options": [ "A) $18,744B", "B) $18,159B", "C) $17,574B", "D) $15,820B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$17,574B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 22.71%\nB) 14.72%\nC) 28.03%\nD) 20.04%", "options": [ "A) 22.71%", "B) 14.72%", "C) 28.03%", "D) 20.04%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 133.1300\nB) 129.8781\nC) 126.6262\nD) 139.6338", "options": [ "A) 133.1300", "B) 129.8781", "C) 126.6262", "D) 139.6338" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "133.1300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.74%\nB) 1.05%\nC) -4.52%\nD) 9.41%", "options": [ "A) -1.74%", "B) 1.05%", "C) -4.52%", "D) 9.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $303,688M\nB) $291,392M\nC) $279,095M\nD) $254,502M", "options": [ "A) $303,688M", "B) $291,392M", "C) $279,095M", "D) $254,502M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$279,095M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 8,164,760\nB) 5,913,173\nC) 3,661,587\nD) 1,410,000", "options": [ "A) 8,164,760", "B) 5,913,173", "C) 3,661,587", "D) 1,410,000" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,410,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 56.70\nB) 71.75\nC) 79.28\nD) 41.65", "options": [ "A) 56.70", "B) 71.75", "C) 79.28", "D) 41.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "56.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.94\nB) 114.93\nC) 119.92\nD) 123.24", "options": [ "A) 109.94", "B) 114.93", "C) 119.92", "D) 123.24" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "114.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,040M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": [ "A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,040M", "D) $6,200,000M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,040M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 27,535.32\nB) 31,573.72\nC) 29,554.52\nD) 33,592.92", "options": [ "A) 27,535.32", "B) 31,573.72", "C) 29,554.52", "D) 33,592.92" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33,592.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 139.75\nB) 143.44\nC) 128.71\nD) 132.39", "options": [ "A) 139.75", "B) 143.44", "C) 128.71", "D) 132.39" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "139.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.22pp\nB) -2.30pp\nC) -3.94pp\nD) +0.98pp", "options": [ "A) -7.22pp", "B) -2.30pp", "C) -3.94pp", "D) +0.98pp" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 980,651\nB) 602,826\nC) 225,000\nD) 1,358,477", "options": [ "A) 980,651", "B) 602,826", "C) 225,000", "D) 1,358,477" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "225,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.71%\nB) -3.27%\nC) -27.23%\nD) -15.25%", "options": [ "A) 8.71%", "B) -3.27%", "C) -27.23%", "D) -15.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-15.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) $92.24/bbl\nB) $82.47/bbl\nC) $62.92/bbl\nD) $102.01/bbl", "options": [ "A) $92.24/bbl", "B) $82.47/bbl", "C) $62.92/bbl", "D) $102.01/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$92.24/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 307.33\nB) 291.30\nC) 280.61\nD) 269.92", "options": [ "A) 307.33", "B) 291.30", "C) 280.61", "D) 269.92" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "291.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $16,856B\nB) $18,380B\nC) $19,142B\nD) $17,618B", "options": [ "A) $16,856B", "B) $18,380B", "C) $19,142B", "D) $17,618B" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19,142B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 1.07%", "options": [ "A) 0.62%", "B) 0.17%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 1.07%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 14,139.76\nB) 9,589.63\nC) 17,173.18\nD) 11,106.34", "options": [ "A) 14,139.76", "B) 9,589.63", "C) 17,173.18", "D) 11,106.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14,139.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 257.71\nB) 269.55\nC) 293.22\nD) 234.03", "options": [ "A) 257.71", "B) 269.55", "C) 293.22", "D) 234.03" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "269.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.8346\nB) 6.0905\nC) 6.3385\nD) 6.5865", "options": [ "A) 6.8346", "B) 6.0905", "C) 6.3385", "D) 6.5865" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3385", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0960\nB) 0.8902\nC) 0.9784\nD) 1.0372", "options": [ "A) 1.0960", "B) 0.8902", "C) 0.9784", "D) 1.0372" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0372", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.60%", "options": [ "A) 3.92%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 4.87%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 5,964,610\nB) 1,450,000\nC) 8,221,916\nD) 3,707,305", "options": [ "A) 5,964,610", "B) 1,450,000", "C) 8,221,916", "D) 3,707,305" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,450,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) -3.47%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 11.72%", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) -3.47%", "C) 0.33%", "D) 11.72%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $24,493B\nB) $20,341B\nC) $23,109B\nD) $21,725B", "options": [ "A) $24,493B", "B) $20,341B", "C) $23,109B", "D) $21,725B" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21,725B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.02%\nB) 6.76%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 16.56%", "options": [ "A) 10.02%", "B) 6.76%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 16.56%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) $18,177B\nB) $17,405B\nC) $15,861B\nD) $15,089B", "options": [ "A) $18,177B", "B) $17,405B", "C) $15,861B", "D) $15,089B" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17,405B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 1.52%", "options": [ "A) 1.96%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 2.83%", "D) 1.52%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $257,536M\nB) $296,536M\nC) $286,786M\nD) $277,036M", "options": [ "A) $257,536M", "B) $296,536M", "C) $286,786M", "D) $277,036M" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$277,036M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $26.97/hr\nB) $24.76/hr\nC) $26.23/hr\nD) $25.50/hr", "options": [ "A) $26.97/hr", "B) $24.76/hr", "C) $26.23/hr", "D) $25.50/hr" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.97/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 22.80%\nB) 19.92%\nC) 11.26%\nD) 28.58%", "options": [ "A) 22.80%", "B) 19.92%", "C) 11.26%", "D) 28.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 8.67%\nD) 14.12%", "options": [ "A) 6.85%", "B) 5.04%", "C) 8.67%", "D) 14.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.09%", "options": [ "A) 3.99%", "B) 2.19%", "C) 3.39%", "D) 3.09%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.35%", "options": [ "A) 3.90%", "B) 5.05%", "C) 6.20%", "D) 7.35%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.43\nB) 62.80\nC) 52.07\nD) 68.17", "options": [ "A) 57.43", "B) 62.80", "C) 52.07", "D) 68.17" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $293,916M\nB) $305,464M\nC) $282,368M\nD) $270,820M", "options": [ "A) $293,916M", "B) $305,464M", "C) $282,368M", "D) $270,820M" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$282,368M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 39,375.17\nB) 30,602.51\nC) 41,568.34\nD) 34,988.84", "options": [ "A) 39,375.17", "B) 30,602.51", "C) 41,568.34", "D) 34,988.84" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "34,988.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $663,566M\nB) $758,537M\nC) $631,909M\nD) $726,880M", "options": [ "A) $663,566M", "B) $758,537M", "C) $631,909M", "D) $726,880M" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$663,566M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.02%\nB) 7.79%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 2.61%", "options": [ "A) 0.02%", "B) 7.79%", "C) 5.20%", "D) 2.61%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 19.88%\nB) 7.32%\nC) 11.51%\nD) 3.14%", "options": [ "A) 19.88%", "B) 7.32%", "C) 11.51%", "D) 3.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220501", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 143,093K\nB) 158,548K\nC) 147,508K\nD) 151,924K", "options": [ "A) 143,093K", "B) 158,548K", "C) 147,508K", "D) 151,924K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "151,924K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220815", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-08-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 220,000\nB) 974,997\nC) 1,352,496\nD) 597,499", "options": [ "A) 220,000", "B) 974,997", "C) 1,352,496", "D) 597,499" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "220,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20221101", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -14.61%\nB) -20.62%\nC) -2.58%\nD) -32.65%", "options": [ "A) -14.61%", "B) -20.62%", "C) -2.58%", "D) -32.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-20.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.43%", "options": [ "A) 1.67%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.43%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.25%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 4.31%", "options": [ "A) 3.25%", "B) 3.78%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 4.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 7.10%\nD) 4.77%", "options": [ "A) 3.60%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 7.10%", "D) 4.77%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 3.41%", "options": [ "A) 4.97%", "B) 3.93%", "C) 2.37%", "D) 3.41%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) $139.10/bbl\nB) $130.76/bbl\nC) $114.07/bbl\nD) $122.41/bbl", "options": [ "A) $139.10/bbl", "B) $130.76/bbl", "C) $114.07/bbl", "D) $122.41/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.96%\nC) 7.53%\nD) 6.81%", "options": [ "A) 6.10%", "B) 8.96%", "C) 7.53%", "D) 6.81%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) -6.13%\nB) -19.33%\nC) -12.73%\nD) 7.07%", "options": [ "A) -6.13%", "B) -19.33%", "C) -12.73%", "D) 7.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220515", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-05-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.1677\nB) 6.7852\nC) 6.4027\nD) 6.1477", "options": [ "A) 7.1677", "B) 6.7852", "C) 6.4027", "D) 6.1477" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.7852", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20221115", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-11-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -80.38%\nB) 36.68%\nC) 7.42%\nD) -51.11%", "options": [ "A) -80.38%", "B) 36.68%", "C) 7.42%", "D) -51.11%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -27.80%\nB) -21.97%\nC) -16.14%\nD) -10.31%", "options": [ "A) -27.80%", "B) -21.97%", "C) -16.14%", "D) -10.31%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-10.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 115.28\nB) 109.32\nC) 121.24\nD) 105.34", "options": [ "A) 115.28", "B) 109.32", "C) 121.24", "D) 105.34" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 8.03%", "options": [ "A) 5.93%", "B) 6.46%", "C) 4.88%", "D) 8.03%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220215", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-02-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 4,812.70\nB) 3,787.81\nC) 4,471.07\nD) 5,154.33", "options": [ "A) 4,812.70", "B) 3,787.81", "C) 4,471.07", "D) 5,154.33" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,471.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220801", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.74pp\nB) +5.36pp\nC) +3.09pp\nD) +0.81pp", "options": [ "A) -3.74pp", "B) +5.36pp", "C) +3.09pp", "D) +0.81pp" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.81pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220201", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) -1.36%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 1.04%", "options": [ "A) 3.44%", "B) -1.36%", "C) 5.84%", "D) 1.04%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $111.32/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $101.50/bbl\nD) $121.14/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $111.32/bbl", "B) $91.68/bbl", "C) $101.50/bbl", "D) $121.14/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $111.32/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $101.50/bbl\nD) $121.14/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $111.32/bbl", "B) $91.68/bbl", "C) $101.50/bbl", "D) $121.14/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $91.68/bbl\nD) $81.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $121.14/bbl", "B) $72.04/bbl", "C) $91.68/bbl", "D) $81.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $91.68/bbl\nD) $81.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $121.14/bbl", "B) $72.04/bbl", "C) $91.68/bbl", "D) $81.86/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $101.50/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $121.14/bbl\nD) $91.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $101.50/bbl", "B) $72.04/bbl", "C) $121.14/bbl", "D) $91.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $101.50/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $121.14/bbl\nD) $91.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $101.50/bbl", "B) $72.04/bbl", "C) $121.14/bbl", "D) $91.68/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $91.68/bbl\nB) $111.32/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $72.04/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $91.68/bbl", "B) $111.32/bbl", "C) $81.86/bbl", "D) $72.04/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $91.68/bbl\nB) $111.32/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $72.04/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $91.68/bbl", "B) $111.32/bbl", "C) $81.86/bbl", "D) $72.04/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $62.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $121.14/bbl", "B) $91.68/bbl", "C) $81.86/bbl", "D) $62.22/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $62.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $121.14/bbl", "B) $91.68/bbl", "C) $81.86/bbl", "D) $62.22/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.69/bbl\nB) $69.59/bbl\nC) $89.23/bbl\nD) $79.41/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $118.69/bbl", "B) $69.59/bbl", "C) $89.23/bbl", "D) $79.41/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$89.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.69/bbl\nB) $69.59/bbl\nC) $89.23/bbl\nD) $79.41/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $118.69/bbl", "B) $69.59/bbl", "C) $89.23/bbl", "D) $79.41/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$89.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $99.00/bbl\nB) $128.91/bbl\nC) $108.97/bbl\nD) $118.94/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $99.00/bbl", "B) $128.91/bbl", "C) $108.97/bbl", "D) $118.94/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $99.00/bbl\nB) $128.91/bbl\nC) $108.97/bbl\nD) $118.94/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $99.00/bbl", "B) $128.91/bbl", "C) $108.97/bbl", "D) $118.94/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $163.10/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $113.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $163.10/bbl", "C) $103.26/bbl", "D) $113.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $163.10/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $113.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $163.10/bbl", "C) $103.26/bbl", "D) $113.24/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $103.26/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $103.26/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $163.10/bbl", "D) $143.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $103.26/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $103.26/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $163.10/bbl", "D) $143.15/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $113.24/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $113.24/bbl", "C) $133.18/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $113.24/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $113.24/bbl", "C) $133.18/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $143.15/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $143.15/bbl", "D) $133.18/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $143.15/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $143.15/bbl", "D) $133.18/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $163.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $113.24/bbl", "D) $163.10/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $163.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $113.24/bbl", "D) $163.10/bbl" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 22.60\nB) 27.59\nC) 32.58\nD) 12.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 22.60", "B) 27.59", "C) 32.58", "D) 12.63" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 22.60\nB) 27.59\nC) 32.58\nD) 12.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 22.60", "B) 27.59", "C) 32.58", "D) 12.63" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 42.55\nB) 12.63\nC) 27.59\nD) 32.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 42.55", "B) 12.63", "C) 27.59", "D) 32.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 42.55\nB) 12.63\nC) 27.59\nD) 32.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 42.55", "B) 12.63", "C) 27.59", "D) 32.58" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 11.70\nB) 16.68\nC) 26.66\nD) 21.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 11.70", "B) 16.68", "C) 26.66", "D) 21.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 11.70\nB) 16.68\nC) 26.66\nD) 21.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 11.70", "B) 16.68", "C) 26.66", "D) 21.67" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 18.57\nB) 33.53\nC) 23.56\nD) 13.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 18.57", "B) 33.53", "C) 23.56", "D) 13.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 18.57\nB) 33.53\nC) 23.56\nD) 13.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 18.57", "B) 33.53", "C) 23.56", "D) 13.58" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 33.53\nB) 18.57\nC) 8.60\nD) 28.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 33.53", "B) 18.57", "C) 8.60", "D) 28.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 33.53\nB) 18.57\nC) 8.60\nD) 28.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 33.53", "B) 18.57", "C) 8.60", "D) 28.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 28.54\nC) 18.57\nD) 33.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 23.56", "B) 28.54", "C) 18.57", "D) 33.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 28.54\nC) 18.57\nD) 33.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 23.56", "B) 28.54", "C) 18.57", "D) 33.53" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 1.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.56%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 1.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.98%", "B) 1.57%", "C) 2.39%", "D) 1.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.98%", "B) 1.57%", "C) 2.39%", "D) 1.36%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.17%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 1.76%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.17%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 1.76%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 2.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.72%", "B) 2.52%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 2.31%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 2.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.72%", "B) 2.52%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 2.31%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.71%", "B) 3.74%", "C) 2.91%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 2.71%", "B) 3.74%", "C) 2.91%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.70%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 3.49%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 4.11%", "D) 3.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.70%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 3.49%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 4.11%", "D) 3.70%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.2511", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.0761", "D) 1.2011" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.2511", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.0761", "D) 1.2011" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0011\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0011", "B) 1.0761", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.2011" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0011\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0011", "B) 1.0761", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.2011" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0511", "B) 1.1761", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.1261" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0511", "B) 1.1761", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.1261" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.1261", "B) 1.2011", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.0511" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.1261", "B) 1.2011", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.0511" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.1761\nD) 1.2511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0511", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.1761", "D) 1.2511" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.1761\nD) 1.2511", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.0511", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.1761", "D) 1.2511" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1761\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.1761", "B) 1.0761", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.0011" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1761\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": [ "A) 1.1761", "B) 1.0761", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.0011" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.15%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.33%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.15%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.33%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.33%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.33%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.18%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.41%", "B) 0.33%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": [ "A) 0.41%", "B) 0.33%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.18%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 1.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 1.76%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 2.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 1.94%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 2.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 1.94%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 2.30%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 2.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.12%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 2.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.30%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.30%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.12%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.48%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.94%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.38%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.38%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 3.02%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 2.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 1.84%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 2.91%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 2.79%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 2.58%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 2.79%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 3.55%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 3.55%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.12%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 3.15%", "B) 3.58%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 3.15%", "B) 3.58%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 2.72%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 2.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 2.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 2.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": [ "A) 4.13%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 2.85%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 4.42%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 4.56%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 4.42%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.42%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 4.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 4.26%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.39%", "D) 4.67%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.67%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 4.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 4.26%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.39%", "D) 4.67%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.67%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 5.28%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 5.28%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 4.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 5.28%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 5.28%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 4.59%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 5.58%\nD) 4.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 5.44%", "B) 5.30%", "C) 5.58%", "D) 4.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 5.58%\nD) 4.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 5.44%", "B) 5.30%", "C) 5.58%", "D) 4.89%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 6.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 6.22%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.81%", "D) 6.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.81%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 6.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 6.22%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.81%", "D) 6.09%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.81%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 6.70%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 6.84%", "B) 6.56%", "C) 7.11%", "D) 6.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 6.70%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": [ "A) 6.84%", "B) 6.56%", "C) 7.11%", "D) 6.70%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 9,635.80\nD) 10,330.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 11,719.68", "B) 13,803.56", "C) 9,635.80", "D) 10,330.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 9,635.80\nD) 10,330.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 11,719.68", "B) 13,803.56", "C) 9,635.80", "D) 10,330.43" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 13,108.93", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 11,025.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 13,108.93", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 11,025.05" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 13,803.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 13,108.93", "B) 12,414.31", "C) 11,719.68", "D) 13,803.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 13,803.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 13,108.93", "B) 12,414.31", "C) 11,719.68", "D) 13,803.56" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 10,330.43\nB) 13,108.93\nC) 13,803.56\nD) 11,719.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 10,330.43", "B) 13,108.93", "C) 13,803.56", "D) 11,719.68" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 10,330.43\nB) 13,108.93\nC) 13,803.56\nD) 11,719.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 10,330.43", "B) 13,108.93", "C) 13,803.56", "D) 11,719.68" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 11,719.68", "B) 13,803.56", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 11,025.05" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 11,719.68", "B) 13,803.56", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 11,025.05" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,895.45\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 10,811.57\nD) 10,116.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 12,895.45", "B) 12,200.82", "C) 10,811.57", "D) 10,116.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,895.45\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 10,811.57\nD) 10,116.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 12,895.45", "B) 12,200.82", "C) 10,811.57", "D) 10,116.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,946.01\nD) 3,571.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,507.17", "B) 4,133.06", "C) 3,946.01", "D) 3,571.90" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,946.01\nD) 3,571.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,507.17", "B) 4,133.06", "C) 3,946.01", "D) 3,571.90" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,320.12\nC) 3,384.85\nD) 3,946.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,507.17", "B) 4,320.12", "C) 3,384.85", "D) 3,946.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,320.12\nC) 3,384.85\nD) 3,946.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,507.17", "B) 4,320.12", "C) 3,384.85", "D) 3,946.01" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,946.01\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,571.90\nD) 4,507.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3,946.01", "B) 4,133.06", "C) 3,571.90", "D) 4,507.17" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,946.01\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,571.90\nD) 4,507.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3,946.01", "B) 4,133.06", "C) 3,571.90", "D) 4,507.17" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,320.12\nB) 3,946.01\nC) 4,133.06\nD) 3,571.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,320.12", "B) 3,946.01", "C) 4,133.06", "D) 3,571.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,320.12\nB) 3,946.01\nC) 4,133.06\nD) 3,571.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,320.12", "B) 3,946.01", "C) 4,133.06", "D) 3,571.90" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,946.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,454.22\nB) 3,893.06\nC) 4,080.11\nD) 4,267.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,454.22", "B) 3,893.06", "C) 4,080.11", "D) 4,267.16" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,080.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,454.22\nB) 3,893.06\nC) 4,080.11\nD) 4,267.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4,454.22", "B) 3,893.06", "C) 4,080.11", "D) 4,267.16" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,080.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,618.60\nB) 4,366.81\nC) 4,740.92\nD) 4,179.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3,618.60", "B) 4,366.81", "C) 4,740.92", "D) 4,179.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,179.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,618.60\nB) 4,366.81\nC) 4,740.92\nD) 4,179.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3,618.60", "B) 4,366.81", "C) 4,740.92", "D) 4,179.76" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,179.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.41%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 2.68%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.41%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 2.68%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 4.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2.68%", "B) 3.41%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 4.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 4.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2.68%", "B) 3.41%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 4.50%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2.32%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 4.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 2.32%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 4.14%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.50%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 3.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.50%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 3.41%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.50%\nD) 2.68%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.41%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 4.50%", "D) 2.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.50%\nD) 2.68%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.41%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 4.50%", "D) 2.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 3.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 3.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 3.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.10%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 3.01%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 4.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 5.68%", "B) 3.39%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 4.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 5.68%", "B) 3.39%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 4.53%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 6.02%", "B) 4.87%", "C) 3.73%", "D) 4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 6.02%", "B) 4.87%", "C) 3.73%", "D) 4.30%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 6.02%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.30%", "B) 6.02%", "C) 4.87%", "D) 3.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 6.02%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 4.30%", "B) 6.02%", "C) 4.87%", "D) 3.73%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 5.87%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.29%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 5.87%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.29%", "D) 3.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.00%", "B) 5.29%", "C) 4.72%", "D) 6.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 3.00%", "B) 5.29%", "C) 4.72%", "D) 6.44%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 6.20%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 5.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 6.20%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 5.05%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.16\nB) 32.13\nC) 19.70\nD) 24.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 27.16", "B) 32.13", "C) 19.70", "D) 24.67" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.16\nB) 32.13\nC) 19.70\nD) 24.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 27.16", "B) 32.13", "C) 19.70", "D) 24.67" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 25.14\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 27.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 25.14", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 27.63" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 25.14\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 27.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 25.14", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 27.63" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 38.60\nC) 33.63\nD) 36.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 41.09", "B) 38.60", "C) 33.63", "D) 36.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 38.60\nC) 33.63\nD) 36.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 41.09", "B) 38.60", "C) 33.63", "D) 36.12" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 36.12\nC) 26.17\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 41.09", "B) 36.12", "C) 26.17", "D) 33.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 36.12\nC) 26.17\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 41.09", "B) 36.12", "C) 26.17", "D) 33.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 31.14\nC) 41.09\nD) 26.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 33.63", "B) 31.14", "C) 41.09", "D) 26.17" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 31.14\nC) 41.09\nD) 26.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 33.63", "B) 31.14", "C) 41.09", "D) 26.17" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 38.60\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 36.12", "B) 33.63", "C) 38.60", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 38.60\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": [ "A) 36.12", "B) 33.63", "C) 38.60", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 5.09%", "B) 3.22%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 5.09%", "B) 3.22%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 3.60%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.60%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.60%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.97%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 4.25%", "B) 3.13%", "C) 3.50%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 4.25%", "B) 3.13%", "C) 3.50%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.50%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.50%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 5.37%", "D) 5.00%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.50%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 3.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 3.50%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 3.13%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.62%", "D) 4.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 5.00%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.62%", "D) 4.25%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 32.60\nB) 37.57\nC) 25.14\nD) 27.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 32.60", "B) 37.57", "C) 25.14", "D) 27.63" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 32.60\nB) 37.57\nC) 25.14\nD) 27.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 32.60", "B) 37.57", "C) 25.14", "D) 27.63" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 40.06\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 37.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 40.06", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 37.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 40.06\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 37.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 40.06", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 37.57" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 38.60\nB) 28.66\nC) 33.63\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 38.60", "B) 28.66", "C) 33.63", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 38.60\nB) 28.66\nC) 33.63\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 38.60", "B) 28.66", "C) 33.63", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 38.60\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 28.66", "B) 38.60", "C) 36.12", "D) 33.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 38.60\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 28.66", "B) 38.60", "C) 36.12", "D) 33.63" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.12\nC) 38.60\nD) 28.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 33.63", "B) 36.12", "C) 38.60", "D) 28.66" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.12\nC) 38.60\nD) 28.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 33.63", "B) 36.12", "C) 38.60", "D) 28.66" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 36.12", "B) 33.63", "C) 28.66", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 36.12", "B) 33.63", "C) 28.66", "D) 41.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9111\nB) 1.0455\nC) 0.9783\nD) 0.8439", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9111", "B) 1.0455", "C) 0.9783", "D) 0.8439" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9783", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9111\nB) 1.0455\nC) 0.9783\nD) 0.8439", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9111", "B) 1.0455", "C) 0.9783", "D) 0.8439" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9783", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1657\nB) 1.0985\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.9977", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1657", "B) 1.0985", "C) 0.9305", "D) 0.9977" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9977", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1657\nB) 1.0985\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.9977", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 1.1657", "B) 1.0985", "C) 0.9305", "D) 0.9977" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9977", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9977\nB) 1.0649\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.8633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9977", "B) 1.0649", "C) 0.9305", "D) 0.8633" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9977", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9977\nB) 1.0649\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.8633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9977", "B) 1.0649", "C) 0.9305", "D) 0.8633" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9977", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9723\nB) 1.0395\nC) 1.1403\nD) 1.2075", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9723", "B) 1.0395", "C) 1.1403", "D) 1.2075" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0395", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9723\nB) 1.0395\nC) 1.1403\nD) 1.2075", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9723", "B) 1.0395", "C) 1.1403", "D) 1.2075" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0395", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9647\nB) 1.2335\nC) 1.0655\nD) 1.1663", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9647", "B) 1.2335", "C) 1.0655", "D) 1.1663" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9647\nB) 1.2335\nC) 1.0655\nD) 1.1663", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 0.9647", "B) 1.2335", "C) 1.0655", "D) 1.1663" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0655", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0246\nB) 1.1926\nC) 1.2598\nD) 1.0918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0246", "B) 1.1926", "C) 1.2598", "D) 1.0918" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0918", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0246\nB) 1.1926\nC) 1.2598\nD) 1.0918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": [ "A) 1.0246", "B) 1.1926", "C) 1.2598", "D) 1.0918" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0918", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 12,798.14\nC) 9,198.81\nD) 12,078.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 11,358.41", "B) 12,798.14", "C) 9,198.81", "D) 12,078.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 12,798.14\nC) 9,198.81\nD) 12,078.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 11,358.41", "B) 12,798.14", "C) 9,198.81", "D) 12,078.28" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 12,078.28\nD) 10,638.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13,518.01", "B) 11,358.41", "C) 12,078.28", "D) 10,638.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 12,078.28\nD) 10,638.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13,518.01", "B) 11,358.41", "C) 12,078.28", "D) 10,638.54" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,202.32\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 11,482.45\nD) 12,922.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12,202.32", "B) 9,322.85", "C) 11,482.45", "D) 12,922.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,202.32\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 11,482.45\nD) 12,922.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12,202.32", "B) 9,322.85", "C) 11,482.45", "D) 12,922.18" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 12,202.32\nD) 11,482.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13,642.05", "B) 9,322.85", "C) 12,202.32", "D) 11,482.45" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 12,202.32\nD) 11,482.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 13,642.05", "B) 9,322.85", "C) 12,202.32", "D) 11,482.45" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,200.82\nB) 10,761.09\nC) 11,480.95\nD) 10,041.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12,200.82", "B) 10,761.09", "C) 11,480.95", "D) 10,041.22" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,200.82\nB) 10,761.09\nC) 11,480.95\nD) 10,041.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 12,200.82", "B) 10,761.09", "C) 11,480.95", "D) 10,041.22" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,066.98\nB) 12,226.58\nC) 12,946.45\nD) 14,386.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 10,066.98", "B) 12,226.58", "C) 12,946.45", "D) 14,386.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,226.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,066.98\nB) 12,226.58\nC) 12,946.45\nD) 14,386.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 10,066.98", "B) 12,226.58", "C) 12,946.45", "D) 14,386.18" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,226.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.05\nB) 29.92\nC) 22.52\nD) 27.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.05", "B) 29.92", "C) 22.52", "D) 27.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.05\nB) 29.92\nC) 22.52\nD) 27.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.05", "B) 29.92", "C) 22.52", "D) 27.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 23.76\nB) 13.89\nC) 28.69\nD) 21.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 23.76", "B) 13.89", "C) 28.69", "D) 21.29" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 23.76\nB) 13.89\nC) 28.69\nD) 21.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 23.76", "B) 13.89", "C) 28.69", "D) 21.29" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 19.06\nB) 11.66\nC) 16.59\nD) 14.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 19.06", "B) 11.66", "C) 16.59", "D) 14.13" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 19.06\nB) 11.66\nC) 16.59\nD) 14.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 19.06", "B) 11.66", "C) 16.59", "D) 14.13" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.53\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.13\nD) 16.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 21.53", "B) 19.06", "C) 14.13", "D) 16.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.53\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.13\nD) 16.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 21.53", "B) 19.06", "C) 14.13", "D) 16.59" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 22.80\nC) 17.87\nD) 12.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.34", "B) 22.80", "C) 17.87", "D) 12.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 22.80\nC) 17.87\nD) 12.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 20.34", "B) 22.80", "C) 17.87", "D) 12.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.85\nB) 8.38\nC) 23.18\nD) 15.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 10.85", "B) 8.38", "C) 23.18", "D) 15.78" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.85\nB) 8.38\nC) 23.18\nD) 15.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": [ "A) 10.85", "B) 8.38", "C) 23.18", "D) 15.78" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-01-26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-23", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-01-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-23.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.52%", "options": [ "A) 0.08%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 0.52%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-03-16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "April 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-13", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.78%\nD) 1.23%", "options": [ "A) 1.68%", "B) 0.33%", "C) 0.78%", "D) 1.23%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-05-04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "June 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-01", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-05-04, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-01.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.66%", "options": [ "A) 2.56%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 1.66%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-06-15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "July 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-12", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-06-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-12.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 1.68%", "options": [ "A) 1.23%", "B) 2.13%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 1.68%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-07-27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-24", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-07-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.24%", "options": [ "A) 2.33%", "B) 1.42%", "C) 1.88%", "D) 3.24%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-09-21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "October 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-18", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-18.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 4.02%", "options": [ "A) 2.61%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 4.02%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-11-02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "December 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-30", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-30.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 4.59%", "options": [ "A) 3.13%", "B) 5.56%", "C) 4.10%", "D) 4.59%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-12-14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "fomc_rate", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "January 2023", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-11", "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-11.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 5.98%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 4.33%", "options": [ "A) 2.68%", "B) 5.98%", "C) 5.43%", "D) 4.33%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202201", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "January 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2022 (released around 2022-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 190K\nB) -4,006K\nC) -1,209K\nD) 2,987K", "options": [ "A) 190K", "B) -4,006K", "C) -1,209K", "D) 2,987K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "190K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "February 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2022 (released around 2022-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) 5,017K\nB) 819K\nC) 3,618K\nD) -3,379K", "options": [ "A) 5,017K", "B) 819K", "C) 3,618K", "D) -3,379K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "819K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2022 (released around 2022-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) 1,890K\nB) -910K\nC) 490K\nD) 3,289K", "options": [ "A) 1,890K", "B) -910K", "C) 490K", "D) 3,289K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "490K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "April 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2022 (released around 2022-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) -2,491K\nB) -1,092K\nC) 4,507K\nD) 308K", "options": [ "A) -2,491K", "B) -1,092K", "C) 4,507K", "D) 308K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "308K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202205", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "May 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2022 (released around 2022-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 301K\nB) 3,101K\nC) 1,701K\nD) -1,099K", "options": [ "A) 301K", "B) 3,101K", "C) 1,701K", "D) -1,099K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "301K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202206", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "June 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2022 (released around 2022-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) 1,834K\nB) 434K\nC) 4,634K\nD) -3,766K", "options": [ "A) 1,834K", "B) 434K", "C) 4,634K", "D) -3,766K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "434K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202207", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "July 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2022 (released around 2022-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) 2,114K\nB) 4,915K\nC) 714K\nD) 3,515K", "options": [ "A) 2,114K", "B) 4,915K", "C) 714K", "D) 3,515K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "714K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202208", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "August 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2022 (released around 2022-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) -3,912K\nB) -1,111K\nC) 3,091K\nD) 290K", "options": [ "A) -3,912K", "B) -1,111K", "C) 3,091K", "D) 290K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "290K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2022 (released around 2022-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) 220K\nB) 4,422K\nC) -2,581K\nD) -1,181K", "options": [ "A) 220K", "B) 4,422K", "C) -2,581K", "D) -1,181K" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "220K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "October 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2022 (released around 2022-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) 4,559K\nB) 357K\nC) -3,845K\nD) 1,758K", "options": [ "A) 4,559K", "B) 357K", "C) -3,845K", "D) 1,758K" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "357K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "November 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2022 (released around 2022-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) -2,498K\nB) 1,704K\nC) 303K\nD) 4,505K", "options": [ "A) -2,498K", "B) 1,704K", "C) 303K", "D) 4,505K" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "303K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-nfp-202212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nfp_change", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "mom_change", "target_period": "December 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-30", "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2022 (released around 2023-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-30.)\n\nA) -1,301K\nB) -4,102K\nC) 4,302K\nD) 100K", "options": [ "A) -1,301K", "B) -4,102K", "C) 4,302K", "D) 100K" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "100K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202201", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "January 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2022 (released around 2022-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.56%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 9.33%\nD) 6.68%", "options": [ "A) 7.56%", "B) 5.79%", "C) 9.33%", "D) 6.68%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202203", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2022 (released around 2022-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-06.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 8.57%\nC) 6.52%\nD) 11.65%", "options": [ "A) 7.55%", "B) 8.57%", "C) 6.52%", "D) 11.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "April 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2022 (released around 2022-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 9.32%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 4.97%", "options": [ "A) 7.14%", "B) 9.32%", "C) 8.23%", "D) 4.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202206", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "June 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2022 (released around 2022-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 10.18%\nC) 6.58%\nD) 8.98%", "options": [ "A) 5.38%", "B) 10.18%", "C) 6.58%", "D) 8.98%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202207", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "July 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2022 (released around 2022-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 12.18%\nD) 10.94%", "options": [ "A) 8.46%", "B) 9.70%", "C) 12.18%", "D) 10.94%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2022 (released around 2022-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-06.)\n\nA) 10.80%\nB) 8.19%\nC) 12.10%\nD) 5.58%", "options": [ "A) 10.80%", "B) 8.19%", "C) 12.10%", "D) 5.58%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202210", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "October 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2022 (released around 2022-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 7.76%\nD) 3.79%", "options": [ "A) 10.40%", "B) 5.11%", "C) 7.76%", "D) 3.79%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-cpi-202212", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "cpi_yoy", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "December 2022", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-06", "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2022 (released around 2023-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-06.)\n\nA) 9.08%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 10.42%\nD) 6.40%", "options": [ "A) 9.08%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 10.42%", "D) 6.40%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q1", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q1 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-14.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 0.43%", "options": [ "A) 4.03%", "B) 5.84%", "C) 7.64%", "D) 0.43%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q2", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q2 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-14.)\n\nA) 6.06%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 7.87%", "options": [ "A) 6.06%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 4.26%", "D) 7.87%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q3", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q3 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-14.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) -3.08%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 5.97%", "options": [ "A) 0.54%", "B) -3.08%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 5.97%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q4", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "gdp_yoy", "indicator": "GDPC1", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "Q4 2022", "info_cutoff": "2023-02-14", "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2022 (advance estimate released around 2023-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2023-02-14.)\n\nA) 6.73%\nB) -0.49%\nC) -2.29%\nD) 1.32%", "options": [ "A) 6.73%", "B) -0.49%", "C) -2.29%", "D) 1.32%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.73\nB) 9.45\nC) 30.01\nD) 35.15", "options": [ "A) 19.73", "B) 9.45", "C) 30.01", "D) 35.15" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-07.)\n\nA) 35.67\nB) 20.31\nC) 15.19\nD) 30.55", "options": [ "A) 35.67", "B) 20.31", "C) 15.19", "D) 30.55" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-14.)\n\nA) 18.66\nB) 23.76\nC) 28.85\nD) 33.94", "options": [ "A) 18.66", "B) 23.76", "C) 28.85", "D) 33.94" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "28.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 14.73\nB) 9.68\nC) 29.88\nD) 24.83", "options": [ "A) 14.73", "B) 9.68", "C) 29.88", "D) 24.83" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.83", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-04.)\n\nA) 27.36\nB) 37.43\nC) 42.47\nD) 32.40", "options": [ "A) 27.36", "B) 37.43", "C) 42.47", "D) 32.40" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.36", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-11.)\n\nA) 38.36\nB) 28.33\nC) 43.37\nD) 33.34", "options": [ "A) 38.36", "B) 28.33", "C) 43.37", "D) 33.34" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "28.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) 28.34\nB) 38.30\nC) 33.32\nD) 23.35", "options": [ "A) 28.34", "B) 38.30", "C) 33.32", "D) 23.35" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-04.)\n\nA) 41.41\nB) 31.49\nC) 51.33\nD) 36.45", "options": [ "A) 41.41", "B) 31.49", "C) 51.33", "D) 36.45" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-11.)\n\nA) 31.77\nB) 26.89\nC) 17.12\nD) 22.00", "options": [ "A) 31.77", "B) 26.89", "C) 17.12", "D) 22.00" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) 24.30\nB) 20.56\nC) 13.07\nD) 31.79", "options": [ "A) 24.30", "B) 20.56", "C) 13.07", "D) 31.79" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.56", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-01.)\n\nA) 12.26\nB) 15.54\nC) 22.10\nD) 28.66", "options": [ "A) 12.26", "B) 15.54", "C) 22.10", "D) 28.66" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.34\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.40\nD) 24.37", "options": [ "A) 18.34", "B) 27.38", "C) 30.40", "D) 24.37" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 24.25\nC) 40.43\nD) 35.04", "options": [ "A) 32.34", "B) 24.25", "C) 40.43", "D) 35.04" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 37.41\nB) 34.75\nC) 29.44\nD) 32.09", "options": [ "A) 37.41", "B) 34.75", "C) 29.44", "D) 32.09" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "34.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-13", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-13.)\n\nA) 28.29\nB) 33.63\nC) 30.96\nD) 22.96", "options": [ "A) 28.29", "B) 33.63", "C) 30.96", "D) 22.96" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 31.82\nB) 23.90\nC) 29.18\nD) 26.54", "options": [ "A) 31.82", "B) 23.90", "C) 29.18", "D) 26.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-03", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-03.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 19.85\nC) 33.02\nD) 35.65", "options": [ "A) 27.75", "B) 19.85", "C) 33.02", "D) 35.65" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-10", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-10.)\n\nA) 41.92\nB) 34.02\nC) 36.65\nD) 28.75", "options": [ "A) 41.92", "B) 34.02", "C) 36.65", "D) 28.75" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "34.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 31.28\nC) 28.71\nD) 26.14", "options": [ "A) 23.56", "B) 31.28", "C) 28.71", "D) 26.14" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "28.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 30.08\nB) 35.16\nC) 32.62\nD) 27.54", "options": [ "A) 30.08", "B) 35.16", "C) 32.62", "D) 27.54" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "27.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-08", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-08.)\n\nA) 27.29\nB) 22.23\nC) 34.89\nD) 32.35", "options": [ "A) 27.29", "B) 22.23", "C) 34.89", "D) 32.35" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) 26.44\nB) 23.93\nC) 21.42\nD) 16.41", "options": [ "A) 26.44", "B) 23.93", "C) 21.42", "D) 16.41" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-05", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-05.)\n\nA) 24.28\nB) 14.25\nC) 21.77\nD) 26.79", "options": [ "A) 24.28", "B) 14.25", "C) 21.77", "D) 26.79" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-12", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-12.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 18.09\nC) 23.11\nD) 20.60", "options": [ "A) 25.62", "B) 18.09", "C) 23.11", "D) 20.60" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) 26.21\nB) 23.70\nC) 28.72\nD) 33.75", "options": [ "A) 26.21", "B) 23.70", "C) 28.72", "D) 33.75" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "26.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-02.)\n\nA) 24.39\nB) 26.91\nC) 21.88\nD) 19.36", "options": [ "A) 24.39", "B) 26.91", "C) 21.88", "D) 19.36" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20220916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-09.)\n\nA) 19.80\nB) 34.74\nC) 27.27\nD) 24.78", "options": [ "A) 19.80", "B) 34.74", "C) 27.27", "D) 24.78" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) 26.32\nB) 28.84\nC) 38.92\nD) 31.36", "options": [ "A) 26.32", "B) 28.84", "C) 38.92", "D) 31.36" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.36", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-07", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-07.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.16\nC) 26.03\nD) 41.23", "options": [ "A) 33.63", "B) 36.16", "C) 26.03", "D) 41.23" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-14", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-14.)\n\nA) 26.22\nB) 31.37\nC) 36.52\nD) 33.94", "options": [ "A) 26.22", "B) 31.37", "C) 36.52", "D) 33.94" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) 31.03\nB) 20.73\nC) 25.88\nD) 28.45", "options": [ "A) 31.03", "B) 20.73", "C) 25.88", "D) 28.45" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-04", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-04.)\n\nA) 31.03\nB) 18.69\nC) 23.62\nD) 26.09", "options": [ "A) 31.03", "B) 18.69", "C) 23.62", "D) 26.09" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-11", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-11.)\n\nA) 24.54\nB) 22.08\nC) 31.93\nD) 27.00", "options": [ "A) 24.54", "B) 22.08", "C) 31.93", "D) 27.00" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) 27.14\nB) 22.21\nC) 29.60\nD) 24.67", "options": [ "A) 27.14", "B) 22.21", "C) 29.60", "D) 24.67" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-02", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-02.)\n\nA) 30.22\nB) 20.37\nC) 22.83\nD) 27.75", "options": [ "A) 30.22", "B) 20.37", "C) 22.83", "D) 27.75" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.83", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-vix-20221216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "vix_weekly", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-09", "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-09.)\n\nA) 20.08\nB) 27.46\nC) 29.92\nD) 25.00", "options": [ "A) 20.08", "B) 27.46", "C) 29.92", "D) 25.00" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220107", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-07", "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) -5.66%\nB) -1.93%\nC) -9.40%\nD) -3.17%", "options": [ "A) -5.66%", "B) -1.93%", "C) -9.40%", "D) -3.17%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220114", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-14", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-07.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) -0.33%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.21%", "options": [ "A) 3.47%", "B) -0.33%", "C) 0.94%", "D) 2.21%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220121", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-21", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-14.)\n\nA) -7.62%\nB) -1.29%\nC) -5.09%\nD) -8.89%", "options": [ "A) -7.62%", "B) -1.29%", "C) -5.09%", "D) -8.89%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220204", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -1.00%", "options": [ "A) 2.92%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 0.31%", "D) -1.00%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220211", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-04.)\n\nA) -1.60%\nB) -0.27%\nC) -4.27%\nD) -5.60%", "options": [ "A) -1.60%", "B) -0.27%", "C) -4.27%", "D) -5.60%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220218", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-11.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -1.76%\nC) -0.40%\nD) 2.32%", "options": [ "A) 0.96%", "B) -1.76%", "C) -0.40%", "D) 2.32%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220304", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) -4.60%\nB) -6.01%\nC) -3.18%\nD) 1.05%", "options": [ "A) -4.60%", "B) -6.01%", "C) -3.18%", "D) 1.05%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220311", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-04.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) -1.27%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 0.10%", "options": [ "A) 2.85%", "B) -1.27%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 0.10%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220318", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-11.)\n\nA) 10.43%\nB) 7.66%\nC) 9.05%\nD) 6.28%", "options": [ "A) 10.43%", "B) 7.66%", "C) 9.05%", "D) 6.28%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220401", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-01", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) -3.48%\nB) -0.65%\nC) 3.59%\nD) -2.07%", "options": [ "A) -3.48%", "B) -0.65%", "C) 3.59%", "D) -2.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220408", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-01.)\n\nA) -2.81%\nB) -7.08%\nC) -5.65%\nD) -8.50%", "options": [ "A) -2.81%", "B) -7.08%", "C) -5.65%", "D) -8.50%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220415", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-08.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) -1.89%\nC) 0.98%\nD) -0.45%", "options": [ "A) 2.42%", "B) -1.89%", "C) 0.98%", "D) -0.45%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220506", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) -3.12%\nB) 1.49%\nC) -0.05%\nD) -1.58%", "options": [ "A) -3.12%", "B) 1.49%", "C) -0.05%", "D) -1.58%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220513", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) -0.03%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -3.21%\nD) 3.16%", "options": [ "A) -0.03%", "B) 1.56%", "C) -3.21%", "D) 3.16%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220520", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-20", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-13", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-13.)\n\nA) -5.91%\nB) -7.55%\nC) -2.64%\nD) -4.28%", "options": [ "A) -5.91%", "B) -7.55%", "C) -2.64%", "D) -4.28%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220603", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-03", "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) -2.27%\nC) -5.68%\nD) -0.57%", "options": [ "A) 4.55%", "B) -2.27%", "C) -5.68%", "D) -0.57%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220610", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-10", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-03", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-03.)\n\nA) -5.98%\nB) -4.26%\nC) -9.43%\nD) -2.53%", "options": [ "A) -5.98%", "B) -4.26%", "C) -9.43%", "D) -2.53%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220617", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-17", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-10", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-10.)\n\nA) -1.85%\nB) -0.10%\nC) -3.60%\nD) 1.65%", "options": [ "A) -1.85%", "B) -0.10%", "C) -3.60%", "D) 1.65%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220701", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-01", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) -5.28%\nB) -1.61%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 2.06%", "options": [ "A) -5.28%", "B) -1.61%", "C) -3.44%", "D) 2.06%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220708", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.93%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 6.46%\nD) 2.77%", "options": [ "A) -0.93%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 6.46%", "D) 2.77%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-08", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 6.28%\nD) -1.16%", "options": [ "A) 0.70%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 6.28%", "D) -1.16%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220805", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) -1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 8.07%", "options": [ "A) -1.49%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 8.07%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220812", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-12", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-05", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-05.)\n\nA) -0.66%\nB) 8.95%\nC) 3.19%\nD) 1.26%", "options": [ "A) -0.66%", "B) 8.95%", "C) 3.19%", "D) 1.26%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220819", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-19", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-12", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-12.)\n\nA) -7.10%\nB) -9.03%\nC) 2.59%\nD) -3.22%", "options": [ "A) -7.10%", "B) -9.03%", "C) 2.59%", "D) -3.22%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220902", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-02", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) -3.22%\nB) -1.25%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -7.15%", "options": [ "A) -3.22%", "B) -1.25%", "C) 0.72%", "D) -7.15%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220909", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-09", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-02.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 10.82%", "options": [ "A) 2.95%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 8.85%", "D) 10.82%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220916", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-09.)\n\nA) -0.73%\nB) -4.69%\nC) -6.67%\nD) -2.71%", "options": [ "A) -0.73%", "B) -4.69%", "C) -6.67%", "D) -2.71%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-6.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221007", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) -5.56%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 0.52%\nD) -1.51%", "options": [ "A) -5.56%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 0.52%", "D) -1.51%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221014", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-14", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-07", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-07.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) -4.15%\nC) -8.25%\nD) 4.07%", "options": [ "A) -2.09%", "B) -4.15%", "C) -8.25%", "D) 4.07%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221021", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-21", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-14", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-14.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 3.79%\nD) -4.48%", "options": [ "A) 5.86%", "B) 1.72%", "C) 3.79%", "D) -4.48%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221104", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-04", "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) -0.45%\nB) -10.99%\nC) -4.67%\nD) -6.78%", "options": [ "A) -0.45%", "B) -10.99%", "C) -4.67%", "D) -6.78%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221111", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-11", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-04", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-04.)\n\nA) 11.43%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 7.18%", "options": [ "A) 11.43%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 0.82%", "D) 7.18%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221118", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-18", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-11", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-11.)\n\nA) -0.45%\nB) -7.02%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.74%", "options": [ "A) -0.45%", "B) -7.02%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 1.74%" ], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-02", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) 10.34%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 1.53%\nD) 5.93%", "options": [ "A) 10.34%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 1.53%", "D) 5.93%" ], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221209", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-09", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-02", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-02.)\n\nA) -4.30%\nB) -6.51%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 0.11%", "options": [ "A) -4.30%", "B) -6.51%", "C) -2.09%", "D) 0.11%" ], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 }, { "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221216", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "weekly_pct", "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-12-09", "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-09.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) -1.73%\nC) -8.33%\nD) -3.93%", "options": [ "A) 0.47%", "B) -1.73%", "C) -8.33%", "D) -3.93%" ], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "event", "year": 2022 } ]