1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER 2024 PEW RESEARCH CENTER’S AMERICAN TRENDS PANEL WAVE 159 POLITICS SURVEY NOVEMBER 2024 FINAL TOPLINE NOVEMBER 12-17, 2024 N=9,609 Note: This survey was conducted primarily online, with some interviews conducted by live telephone. This topline shows the programming language for online administration. For details on how questions were slightly modified for phone administration, visit the questionnaire. American Trends Panel surveys conducted between October 2016 and June 2024 were conducted fully online (with tablets and data plans provided to adults without home internet). American Trends Panel surveys conducted prior to October 2016 were conducted primarily online, with some respondents completing by mail. For additional details, refer to the methodology. * “No answer” includes web respondents who do not answer the question as well as telephone respondents who refuse to answer or who say that they don’t know how to answer. In cases where “not sure” was offered as an explicit option to web and telephone respondents, the “no answer” category includes only web skips and telephone refusals. In addition to the parameters used in weighting each wave of the American Trends Panel, the results of this survey were weighted to the 2024 presidential popular vote and turnout among the voting-eligible population (as of Nov. 18, 2024). For additional information, refer to the methodology. ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED ASK ALL CITIZENS (XCITIZEN=1) [N=9,302]: VOTED Which of the following statements best describes you? Nov 29- Nov 12-17, Nov 16-27, Nov 12-17, Nov 7-16, Dec 12, 2024 20221 2020 2018 2016 I did not vote in the November 22 2024 election 32 22 23 14 13 I planned to vote but wasn’t able to 20 9 22 8 I definitely voted in the November 65 2024 election 47 67 55 77 1 No answer* 1 2 1 1 1 In 2022 and 2018, this question was asked about that November’s congressional election. In 2020 and 2016, this question was asked about that November’s presidential election. www.pewresearch.org 2 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: VOTEGEN_POST In the 2024 presidential election, who did you vote for? [RANDOMIZE OPTIONS 1 AND 2 FIRST FOLLOWED BY RANDOMIZED OPTIONS 3,4,5,6,7 WITH OPTION 8 AND 9 ALWAYS LAST] Nov 12-17, | 2024 | | | | | | | | | | | ----- | ----------------------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 49 | Donald Trump, the Republican | | | | | | | | | | 47 | Kamala Harris, the Democrat | | | | | | | | | | * | Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a third party candidate | | | | | | | | | | * | Chase Oliver, the Libertarian Party candidate | | | | | | | | | | * | Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate | | | | | | | | | | * | Cornel West, a third party candidate | | | | | | | | | | * | Claudia De la Cruz, the Socialism and Liberation Party candidate | | | | | | | | | | * | Another candidate | | | | | | | | | | 2 | I did not vote for a candidate for president | | | | | | | | | | * | No answer* | | | | | | | | | ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE ASK IF DID NOT VOTE (VOTED=1-2) [N=1,201]: | WISH_VOTED | Do you wish that you had voted in the election? | | | | | | | | | | ----------- | ------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | Nov 29- | | Nov 17- | | | ----------- | ----------- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | -------- | --- | -------- | --- | | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 7-16, | | Dec 12 | | Dec 15, | | | 2024 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | 2016 | | 2014 | | | 42 | Yes | | 45 | 61 | | 44 | | 55 | | | 57 | No | | 54 | 38 | | 55 | | 43 | | | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | * | | 1 | | ASK IF CITIZEN AND DID NOT VOTE (X_CITIZEN=1 AND VOTED=1,2) [N=1,201]: NOVOTERSN2 There are lots of different reasons why many people don’t vote. For you personally, how much of a reason, if at all, is each of the following for why you did not vote? [RANDOMIZE] | | | | Major | | Minor | | Not a | | No | | ----- | ------------------------------------ | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | --- | -------- | | | | | reason | | reason | | reason | | answer* | | DIFF | I didn’t think my vote would make a | | | | | | | | | difference | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 35 | | | 26 | 39 | | 1 | | ----- | -------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 21 | | | 23 | 55 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | CARE | I didn’t care who won2 | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 17 | | | 21 | 61 | | 1 | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 12 | | | 23 | 64 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | ELGB | I’m not registered or not eligible to | | | | | | | | | vote | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 18 | | | 15 | 66 | | 1 | | ----- | --------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 19 | | | 10 | 70 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | INCV | It was too inconvenient for me to vote | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 15 | | | 22 | 62 | | 1 | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 20 | | | 21 | 59 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 In 2018, the reason was worded “I didn’t care who won the congressional election in my area.” www.pewresearch.org 3 PEW RESEARCH CENTER | NOVOTERSN2 CONTINUED … | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------------- | --- | ---------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ------- | ------ | --- | ------- | -------- | --- | | | | | | Major | | | Minor | | Not a | No | | | | | | | reason | | reason | | | reason | answer* | | | LIKE | | I don’t like politics | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | 31 | | | 25 | | 43 | 1 | | | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | 26 | | | 23 | | 50 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | FRGT | | I forgot to vote | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 8 | | 13 | | 79 | 1 | | | | | Nov 7-16, 2018 | | | 7 | | 15 | | 77 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ASK IF VOTED TRUMP (VOTEGEN_POST=1) [N=3,536]: DTFORAGNST_POST Would you say that your vote for Trump was more a vote… ASK IF VOTED HARRIS (VOTEGEN_POST=2) [N=4,185]: KHFORAGNST_POST Would you say that your vote for Harris was more a vote… BASED ON VOTERS [N=8,072]: | | | | | | | Based on registered voters | | | | | | | ------------- | ----------- | --- | ------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --------------------------- | ------ | --- | -------------- | --- | --- | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | | Aug 26-Sep 2, | | | | | 2024 | | | | | | 20243 | | 2024 | | | | | 49 | | Trump | | | | 47 | | 49 | | | | | 40 | | For Trump | | | | 31 | | 33 | | | | | 9 | | Against Harris | | | | 15 | | 16 | | | | | * | | Refused | | | | * | | * | | | | 47 | | | Harris | | | | 48 | | 49 | | | | | 23 | | For Harris | | | | 23 | | 24 | | | | | 24 | | Against Trump | | | | 25 | | 25 | | | | | * | | Refused | | | | * | | * | | | | | 2 | | Vote for Kennedy Jr./Oliver/Stein/West/De | | | | - | | - | | | La Cruz/Another candidate | | 2 | | I did not vote for a candidate for president | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | * | | No answer* | | | | * | | * | | | | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Would you say that your vote for Trump was more a vote… | | | | | | | | | | | | | Would you say that your vote for Biden was more a vote… | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Based on voters | | | | Based on registered voters | | | | --- | --- | --- | ----------------------------------- | --- | ---------------- | ----------- | --- | -------------- | --------------------------- | --- | ----------- | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | | | Jun 16-22, | | | | | | | | 2020 | | | 20204 | | 2020 | | | | | Trump | | | 47 | | | 42 | | 44 | | | | | For Trump | | | 36 | | | 30 | | 33 | | | | | Against Biden | | | 11 | | | 12 | | 10 | | | | | Biden | | | 51 | | | 52 | | 54 | | | | | For Biden | | | 24 | | | 19 | | 18 | | | | | Against Trump | | | 28 | | | 33 | | 36 | | | | | Vote for Jorgensen/Hawkins/Another | | | 1 | | | - | | - | candidate | | | | No answer | | | * | | | * | | - | | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 3 Trend for DTFORAGNST and KHFORAGNST asked prior to election combined those who said they were voting for the candidate or leaning toward the candidate. Postelection versions of these questions asked those who said they voted for Trump or Harris. 4 Trend for DTFORAGNST and JBFORAGNST asked prior to election combined those who said they were voting for the candidate or leaning toward the candidate. Postelection versions of these questions asked those who said they voted for Trump or Biden. www.pewresearch.org 4 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: VOTEDECTIME As far as you can remember, when did you make up your mind about who you were going to vote for in the presidential election? BASED ON THOSE WHO SELECTED A CANDIDATE (VOTEGEN_POST=1-8) [N=7,977] Nov 29- Nov 12-17, Nov 12-17, Dec 12 2024 2020 20165 Last few days before Election 4 Day 3 9 The last week before Election 3 Day 2 4 7 In October 5 9 6 In September 5 11 81 Before September 84 67 * No answer* * * PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: When did you make up your mind definitely to vote for “Hillary Clinton;” “Donald Trump;” “Gary Johnson;” “Jill Stein,” “The candidate of your choice”? Nov 10-14 Nov 8-11 Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov 2016 2012 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 On Election Day 4 4 4 5 6 9 6 On Monday (day before the election) * 1 1 2 3 4 3 Over the last weekend * 1 1 2 2 4 2 In the last week 2 2 3 5 6 8 4 In the last few weeks 5 -- -- -- -- -- -- During or just after the Presidential debates 10 10 11 17 -- 12 -- Before debates/after the Conventions 10 9 6 9 12 6 16 Convention period (NET) 22 10 7 7 8 12 15 During or after the Republican convention 13 9 1 4 -- -- -- During or after the Democratic convention 9 1 6 3 -- -- -- This year, before the conventions 22 16 23 21 13 18 19 Before 2016 20 41 38 20 39 12 9 Other -- 0 0 -- * 8 -- Don’t remember 2 1 4 6 6 5 4 Don’t know/Refused 1 4 2 3 2 1 2 ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE 5 In 2016, people who said “another candidate” were not asked this question; question read “As far as you can remember, when did you make up your mind definitely to vote for ‘Donald Trump;’ ‘Hillary Clinton;’ ‘Gary Johnson;’ ‘Jill Stein’?” www.pewresearch.org 5 PEW RESEARCH CENTER [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTADMIN_POST_COM AND VTADMIN_POST_US] ASK ALL: VTADMIN_POST_COM Do you think the elections this November in your community were run and administered… | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 7-16, | | | | | ----------- | ---------------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | | | 55 | Very well | | 42 | | 53 | | 49 | | | | | 35 | Somewhat well | | 42 | | 32 | | 38 | | | | | 7 | Not too well | | 9 | | 9 | | | 8 | | | | 2 | Not at all well | | 4 | | 6 | | | 4 | | | | 1 | No answer* | | 3 | | 1 | | | 1 | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: Do you think the elections this November in your community will be run and administered… | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | Sep 24-Oct 7, | | | --- | ---------------- | --- | -------------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | -------------- | -------------- | ----- | | | | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | Very well | | | 43 | | 40 | | 36 | | 41 | | | Somewhat well | | | 44 | | 45 | | 48 | | 46 | | | Not too well | | | 8 | | 10 | | 11 | | 9 | | | Not at all well | | | 4 | | 4 | | 4 | | 3 | | | No answer | | | 1 | | 1 | | * | | 1 | [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTADMIN_POST_COM AND VTADMIN_POST_US] ASK ALL: VTADMIN_POST_US Do you think the elections this November in the United States were run and administered… | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 7-16, | | | | | ----------- | ---------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | | | 37 | Very well | | 25 | | 33 | | 21 | | | | | 47 | Somewhat well | | 46 | | 25 | | 53 | | | | | 11 | Not too well | | 18 | | 20 | | 18 | | | | | 4 | Not at all well | | 8 | | 22 | | 7 | | | | | 1 | No answer* | | 3 | | 1 | | 1 | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: Do you think the elections this November in the United States will be run and administered… | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, | Sep 24-Oct 7, | | | --- | ---------------- | --- | -------------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | -------------- | -------------- | ----- | | | | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | Very well | | | 20 | | 20 | | 12 | | 20 | | | Somewhat well | | | 50 | | 49 | | 46 | | 57 | | | Not too well | | | 21 | | 23 | | 30 | | 18 | | | Not at all well | | | 8 | | 7 | | 12 | | 4 | | | No answer | | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | www.pewresearch.org 6 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: VTEASY_POST Overall, was voting in the election this November for you personally... [ROTATE RESPONSES OPTIONS 1-4/4-1] | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | | ----------- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | | | 79 | Very easy | | | | 77 | | | | | | | | 15 | Somewhat easy | | | | 17 | | | | | | | | 5 | Somewhat difficult | | | | 5 | | | | | | | | 2 | Very difficult | | | | 1 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | | | | | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | TREND FOR COMPARISON: Overall, do you personally expect voting in the November elections to be... BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | Sep 30- | Oct 10- | | Sep 30- | Jul 27- | Sep 24- | | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | -------- | ------- | --- | -------- | -------- | -------- | | | | | | | | Oct 6, | 16 | | Oct 5 | Aug 2 | Oct 7 | | | | | | | | 2024 | 2022 | | 2020 | 2020 | 2018 | | | | Very easy | | | | 43 | 45 | | 29 | 23 | 46 | | | | Somewhat easy | | | | 38 | 37 | | 36 | 28 | 39 | | | | Somewhat difficult | | | | 16 | 14 | | 29 | 38 | 13 | | | | Very difficult | | | | 4 | | 3 | 6 | 11 | 2 | | | | No answer | | | | * | | * | * | 1 | * | ASK ALL: SATCAND_POST Now that the campaign is over, how satisfied were you with the choice of presidential candidates? Would you say that you were… BASED ON VOTERS [N=8,072]: | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | ----------- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | | | 32 | Very satisfied | | | | 30 | | | | | | | | 20 | Fairly satisfied | | | | 26 | | | | | | | | 22 | Not too satisfied | | | | 24 | | | | | | | | 25 | Not at all satisfied | | | | 19 | | | | | | | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: What is your opinion of the presidential candidates for this year? Would you say that you are… BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | 2024 Election | | | | 2020 Election | | | | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | -------- | -------------- | --------- | --- | --- | -------------- | ----------- | --- | | | | | | Aug 26- | | | | | Jul 27- | | | | | | | | Sep 2, | | Jul 1-7, | | | Aug 2, | Jun 16-22, | | | | | | | 2024 | | 2024 | | | 2020 | 2020 | | | | Very satisfied | | | | 15 | 11 | | | 15 | 16 | | | | Fairly satisfied | | | | 32 | 20 | | | 31 | 31 | | | | Not too satisfied | | | | 34 | 32 | | | 35 | 34 | | | | Not at all satisfied | | | | 17 | 37 | | | 19 | 19 | | | | No answer* | | | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | www.pewresearch.org 7 PEW RESEARCH CENTER SATCAND_POST TREND FOR COMPARSION CONTINUED … PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: Now that the campaign is over, how satisfied were you with the choice of presidential candidates? BASED ON THOSE WHO VOTED: | | | | Nov 10-14, | | Nov 8-11, | | Nov Nov | | Nov Nov | Nov Nov | | --------------------- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | ---------- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | ----------- | | | | | 2016 | | 2012 | | 2008 2004 | | 2000 1996 | 1992 1988 | | Very satisfied | | | | 19 | 37 | | 39 | 33 | 24 18 | 24 26 | | Fairly satisfied | | | | 25 | 33 | | 28 | 33 | 44 33 | 37 36 | | Not very satisfied | | | | 26 | 16 | | 17 | 16 | 18 24 | 21 20 | | Not at all satisfied | | | | 29 | 12 | | 14 | 16 | 9 22 | 16 17 | | Don't | | | | 1 | 3 | | 2 | 2 | 5 3 | 2 1 | know/Refused (VOL.) [DISPLAY CMPGNTRAITPOST_PROUD, CMPGNTRAITPOST_NEG, CMPGNTRAITPOST_POLCY, CMPGNTRAITPOST_INT ON SAME PAGE; RANDOMIZE ORDER OF QUESTIONS; INCLUDE RANDOMIZATION IN DATA FILE. DO NOT RANDOMIZE RESPONSE OPTIONS WITHIN EACH QUESTION] ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: CMPGNTRAITPOST_PROUD Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: | | | | Made you feel proud | | | Did not make you feel | | | No | | | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ---------------------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | | | | | of the country | | | proud of the country | | | answer* | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 29 | | | 70 | | 1 | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | Makes you feel proud | | Does not make you feel | | No | | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | ----------------------- | --- | -------- | | | | | | | | of the country | | proud of the country | | answer* | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | 19 | | 79 | 2 | | | | Jul 1-7, 2024 | | | | | 12 | | 87 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | www.pewresearch.org 8 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: CMPGNTRAITPOST_NEG Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: | | | | Too | | Not too | | No | | | | | | | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------- | --- | --------- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | negative | | negative | | answer* | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 74 | | 25 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --------- | ---------- | --- | -------- | --- | | | | | | | | | | Too | Not too | | No | | | | | | | | | | | negative | negative | | answer* | | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | | 71 | | 27 | | 2 | Jul 1-7, 2024 | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 30 | | 2 | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON:6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | | | 76 | | 23 | | 1 | | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | | | 61 | | 37 | | 2 | ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: CMPGNTRAITPOST_POLCY Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: | | | | Focused on important | | | Not focused on important | | | | No | | | | ---------------- | --- | --- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ------------------------- | --------------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | | | | | policy debates | | | | policy debates | | | answer* | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 35 | | | | 64 | | 1 | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | Focused on | | Not focused on | | | | --- | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --------------- | --- | --------------- | --- | -------- | | | | | | | | | | important | | important | | No | | | | | | | | | | policy debates | | policy debates | | answer* | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | | | 37 | | | 62 | 1 | | | | Jul 1-7, 2024 | | | | | | 23 | | | 76 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON:7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | | | 27 | | | 72 | 1 | | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | | | 25 | | | 73 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 6 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. 7 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. www.pewresearch.org 9 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK FORM 1 ONLY [N=4,801]: CMPGNTRAITPOST_INT Would you say the 2024 presidential campaign was... BASED ON VOTERS [N=4,012]: | | | | | No | | | | | | | | ---------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | -------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | Interesting | Dull answer* | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | 74 | 24 2 | | | | | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ------------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | So far, would you say the 2024 presidential campaign… | | | | | | | | | | | | BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | --- | --- | ----- | --- | -------- | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | | | | | | Interesting | | | Dull | | answer* | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 68 | | 30 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2020 TREND FOR COMPARISON8 | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 12-17, 2020 | | | | 64 | | 34 | | 2 | | | | July 27-Aug 2, 2020 | | | | 39 | | 59 | | 2 | ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: | VOTE_HOW_POST | | | How did you vote in the election? [RANDOMIZE] | | | | | | | | | -------------- | --- | --- | ---------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON (VOTE_HOW_POST=1) [N=5,196]: | VOTEINPWHEN | | When did you vote? | | | | | | | | | | ------------ | --- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 16-27, | | | Nov 12-17, | | | ----------- | ----- | ------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | ----------- | --- | | | 2024 | | | | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | | | 65 | In person at a polling place | | | | | 65 | | 54 | | | | 34 | On Election Day | | | | | 44 | | | 27 | | | 32 | Before Election Day | | | | | 21 | | | 27 | | | * | Refused | | | | | * | | | * | | | 35 | By absentee or mail-in ballot | | | | | 35 | | 46 | | | | * | No answer* | | | | | * | | | * | TREND FOR COMPARISON: When did you vote in the elections this November? How did you vote in the November election? | | | | | | | Nov 7-16, | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 2018 | | | On election day | | | | | 55 | | | | | --- | --- | -------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Before election day | | | | | 45 | | | | | | | Voted in person | | | | | 19 | | | | | | | Mailed in ballot | | | | | 25 | | | | | | | No answer | | | | | * | | | | | | | No answer | | | | | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 8 Question asked about the 2020 presidential campaign. www.pewresearch.org 10 PEW RESEARCH CENTER VOTE_HOW_POST/VOTEINPWHEN TREND FOR COMPARISON CONTINUED… PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: Did you vote ON Election Day or BEFORE Election DAY? Did you vote in person or did you mail your ballot in? | | | | Nov 10-14 | Nov 6-9 | | Nov 8-11 | | Nov | | Nov | | Nov | Nov | | ------------------------- | --- | --- | ---------- | -------- | ----- | --------- | ----- | ----- | --- | ----- | --- | ----- | ----- | | | | | 2016 | | 2014 | | 2012 | 2008 | | 2006 | | 2004 | 2002 | | On Election Day | | | 59 | | 71 | | 63 | 66 | | 80 | | 80 | 85 | | Before Election Day | | | 41 | | 29 | | 37 | 34 | | 20 | | 20 | 15 | | Voted in person | | | 22 | | 12 | | 19 | 19 | | -- | | | | | Mailed in ballot | | | 18 | | 16 | | 17 | 14 | | -- | | | | | Other way/DK/Ref (VOL) | | | 1 | | 1 | | * | 1 | | -- | | | | | Don’t know/Refused (VOL) | | | 0 | | * | | 0 | * | | * | | * | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ASK IF VOTED BY ABSENTEE OR MAIL (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: VOTEMAIL How did you return your absentee or mail-in ballot? [RANDOMIZE] | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | ----------- | ----- | ------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | ----------- | ----- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 | | | | | | 2022 | | | 2020 | | | | | | 12 | In person to an election official or poll | | | | | | 12 | | 15 | | | | worker | | 38 | At a designated dropbox | | | | | | 36 | | 41 | | | | | --- | --- | ------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 50 | By mail | | | | | | 52 | | 44 | | | | | | * | No answer* | | | | | | * | | * | | | | ASK IF VOTED BY ABSENTEE OR MAIL (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: MAILWHEN When did you mail or return your absentee or mail-in ballot? | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | | | | --- | ----------- | --------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 | | | | | | 2020 | | | | | | | | | 33 | In the week leading up to Election Day | | | | | | 23 | | | | | | | | 67 | Before that | | | | | | 76 | | | | | | | | * | No answer* | | | | | | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON (VOTE_HOW_POST=1) [N=5,196]: WAITVOTE When you went to vote, approximately how long did you have to wait in line to vote? | | | | | | | | | | | | Nov 17- | | | | ------------ | ----- | --------------------- | --- | --- | ------------ | ----- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | -------- | --- | --- | | Nov 12-17, | | | | | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 7-16, | | | Dec 15, | | | | | 2024 | | | | | 2020 | | 2018 | | | 2014 | | | | | 42 | Did not wait at all9 | | | | 35 | | 47 | | | | 53 | | | | 30 | Less than 10 minutes | | | | 27 | | 33 | | | | 30 | | | | 17 | 10 to 30 minutes | | | | 20 | | 14 | | | | 13 | | | | 7 | 31 minutes to 1 hour | | | | 11 | | | 5 | | | 3 | | | | 4 | More than 1 hour | | | | 6 | | | 1 | | | * | | | | * | No answer* | | | | * | | | * | | | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 9 In surveys prior to November 2024, the response was worded “Not at all”. www.pewresearch.org 11 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK IF VOTED BY MAIL OR ABSENTEE (VOTE_HOW_POST=2) [N=2,868]: MAILFIRST Is this the first time you have ever voted by mail or absentee ballot? | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 12-17, | | | | ----------- | --- | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2020 | | | Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted by | 12 | | | 39 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | mail or absentee ballot | 88 | No, I have voted by mail or absentee ballot before | | 61 | | | | --- | --------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | * | No answer* | | * | | | ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON BEFORE ELECTION DAY (VOTEINPWHEN=1) [N=2,671]: | EARLYFIRST | Is this the first time you have ever voted early? | | | | | | ----------- | -------------------------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | Nov 12-17, | 2024 | | | | | | | ----- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 29 Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted early 71 No, I have voted early before * No answer* ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON ON ELECTION DAY (VOTEINPWHEN=2) [N=2,513]: ELECDFIRST Is this the first time you have ever voted in person on Election Day? Nov 12-17, 2024 Yes, this is the first time I have ever voted in person on Election Day 7 93 No, I have voted in person on Election Day before * No answer* ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED ASK IF VOTED (VOTED=3) [N=8,072]: VTCOUNT_OWN How confident are you that your vote was accurately counted? | Nov 12-17, | | | Nov 16-27, | Nov 12-17, | | | ----------- | ------------------- | --- | ----------- | ----------- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2022 | 2020 | | | 59 | Very confident | | 57 | 59 | | | 33 | Somewhat confident | | 31 | 26 | | | 5 | Not too confident | | 8 | 9 | | Not at all confident | 2 | | | 3 | 6 | | | --- | ----------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | * | No answer* | | * | * | | | | PHONE TREND FOR COMPARISON: | | | | | | --- | ---------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Nov 10-14 Nov 6-9 Nov 8-11 Nov 4-7 | | Nov Nov | Nov | | --- | -------------------------- | ----------------------------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ----- | | | | 2016 2014 | 2012 2010 | 2008 2006 | 2004 | | | Very confident | 71 68 | 68 64 | 73 70 | 68 | | | Somewhat confident | 19 21 | 22 26 | 22 23 | 24 | | | Not too confident | 4 5 | 5 4 | 3 3 | 4 | | | Not at all confident | 5 4 | 3 3 | 2 2 | 3 | | | Don’t know/Refused (VOL.) | 1 1 | 1 3 | * 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | www.pewresearch.org 12 PEW RESEARCH CENTER [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTCOUNT_POST_INP AND VTCOUNT_POST_ABS] ASK ALL: VTCOUNT_POST_INP How confident are you that votes cast in person at polling places across the United States were counted as voters intended in the elections this November? | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | | ----------- | --------------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | | 38 | Very confident | | 37 | | 42 | | | 47 | Somewhat confident | | 43 | | 35 | | | 11 | Not too confident | | 13 | | 13 | | | 4 | Not at all confident | | 6 | | 8 | | | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: How confident are you that votes cast in person at polling places across the United States will be counted as voters intend in the elections this November? | | | | Sep 30- | | | Sep 30- | | --- | --------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | | | | | Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | Oct 5, | | | | | 2024 | | 2022 | 2020 | | | Very confident | | 36 | | 34 | 42 | | | Somewhat confident | | 46 | | 45 | 44 | | | Not too confident | | 13 | | 15 | 10 | | | Not at all confident | | | 5 | 5 | 4 | | | No answer* | | | 1 | 1 | 1 | [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF VTCOUNT_POST_INP AND VTCOUNT_POST_ABS] ASK ALL: VTCOUNT_POST_ABS How confident are you that votes cast by absentee or mail in ballot across the United States were counted as voters intended in the elections this November? | Nov 12-17, | | Nov 16-27, | | Nov 12-17, | | | | ----------- | --------------------- | ----------- | ----- | ----------- | ----- | --- | | 2024 | | | 2022 | | 2020 | | | 24 | Very confident | | 25 | | 30 | | | 46 | Somewhat confident | | 37 | | 27 | | | 21 | Not too confident | | 23 | | 19 | | | 7 | Not at all confident | | 13 | | 23 | | | 1 | No answer* | | 1 | | 1 | | TREND FOR COMPARISON: How confident are you that votes cast by absentee or mail-in ballot across the United States will be counted as voters intend in the elections this November? | | | | Sep 30- | | | Sep 30- | | --- | --------------------- | --- | ------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | | | | | Oct 6, | | Oct 10-16, | Oct 5, | | | | | 2024 | | 2022 | 2020 | | | Very confident | | 22 | | 21 | 17 | | | Somewhat confident | | 38 | | 38 | 38 | | | Not too confident | | 27 | | 24 | 28 | | | Not at all confident | | 12 | | 16 | 16 | | | No answer* | | | 1 | 1 | 1 | www.pewresearch.org 13 PEW RESEARCH CENTER ASK ALL: ELECT_CONFNOVPOS How confident, if at all, are you that... [RANDOMIZE ITEMS] | | | | | | | Very | Somewhat | | Not too | | Not at all | No | | ------ | --- | -------------------------------- | --- | --- | ---------- | ----- | ---------- | --- | ---------- | --- | ----------- | -------- | | | | | | | confident | | confident | | confident | | confident | answer* | | PRVFR | | People who were not legally | | | | | | | | | | | | | | qualified to vote are prevented | | | | | | | | | | | from casting a ballot | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 27 | | 38 | 26 | | 8 | 1 | | ------- | -------------------------------- | ------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON10: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 29 | | 30 | 24 | | 17 | 1 | | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020 | | | | 23 | | 36 | 28 | | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | PRVSUP | | People who were legally | | | | | | | | | | | | | | qualified and want to vote are | | | | | | | | | | | able to cast a ballot | | | Nov 12-17, 2024 | | | | 45 | | 42 | 9 | | 3 | 1 | | --- | -------------------------------- | ------------------- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | TREND FOR COMPARISON11: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sep 30-Oct 6, 2024 | | | | 44 | | 43 | 10 | | 3 | 1 | | | | Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020 | | | | 36 | | 45 | 14 | | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS PREVIOUSLY RELEASED ASK ALL: | PARTY | | In politics today, do you consider yourself a… | | | | | | | | | | | | ---------------- | --- | ------------------------------------------------ | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ASK IF INDEP/SOMETHING ELSE (PARTY=3, 4 OR REFUSED): | PARTYLN | | As of today do you lean more to…12 | | | | | | | | | | | | -------------- | --- | ----------------------------------- | --- | --- | --- | ---------- | --- | --- | --- | ----- | ----- | --- | | | | | | | | Something | | No | | Lean | Lean | | Republican Democrat Independent else answer* Rep Dem | | | 28 | 27 | 30 | | 14 | | 1 | | 20 | | 20 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | 10 In October 2024 and October 2020, the item was worded “People who are not legally qualified to vote are prevented from casting a ballot.” 11 In October 2024 and October 2020, the item was worded “People who are legally qualified and want to vote are able to cast a ballot.” 12 PARTY and PARTYLN asked in a prior survey. www.pewresearch.org