{ "matched_attempts": 3843, "predicted_attempts": 4156, "ece_10bin": 0.0425, "brier": 0.0341, "share_below_10_or_above_90": 0.7299, "success_rate": 0.5857, "mean_p": 0.6076, "reliability": [ { "bin": [ 0.0, 0.1 ], "n": 899, "mean_p": 0.065, "success_rate": 0.0056 }, { "bin": [ 0.1, 0.2 ], "n": 442, "mean_p": 0.1357, "success_rate": 0.0271 }, { "bin": [ 0.2, 0.3 ], "n": 120, "mean_p": 0.2415, "success_rate": 0.075 }, { "bin": [ 0.3, 0.4 ], "n": 66, "mean_p": 0.3473, "success_rate": 0.3636 }, { "bin": [ 0.4, 0.5 ], "n": 44, "mean_p": 0.4393, "success_rate": 0.3864 }, { "bin": [ 0.5, 0.6 ], "n": 62, "mean_p": 0.5549, "success_rate": 0.5806 }, { "bin": [ 0.6, 0.7 ], "n": 68, "mean_p": 0.6512, "success_rate": 0.7206 }, { "bin": [ 0.7, 0.8 ], "n": 87, "mean_p": 0.7549, "success_rate": 0.8046 }, { "bin": [ 0.8, 0.9 ], "n": 149, "mean_p": 0.8548, "success_rate": 0.8926 }, { "bin": [ 0.9, 1.0 ], "n": 1906, "mean_p": 0.983, "success_rate": 0.9948 } ], "note": "test rollouts (899); predicted attempts matched one to one to P&W gold attempts (same label, IoU >= 0.5, the failure-metric matching); success = gold rating not failed; 10 equal-width bins" }