#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Constant-velocity baseline for EnvShip-Bench v2 (Track A). Reads the paper-default filtered subset of one jurisdiction and reports average and final displacement error in metres. This is the simplest sanity-check predictor: assume each vessel keeps the velocity it had at the last history point. The same loader works for Track B — change the path and the trajectory will be 90 + 180 points instead of 30 + 30. Usage ----- python examples/baseline_constant_velocity.py \\ --csv data/envship_v2/track_a_short-term_Cross-domain_Datasets/dma_track_v1/test/part-000.csv.gz Expected output (DMA Track A test split, filtered): samples: 14878 ADE: 87.4 m FDE: 184.2 m """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import gzip import json import csv import numpy as np def load_split(csv_path: str) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, np.ndarray]: """Return (hist_xy, fut_xy, keep_mask). Each row of the gzipped CSV holds: - hist_x_json, hist_y_json (30 history points for Track A, 90 for Track B) - fut_x_json, fut_y_json (30 / 180 future points) Positions are metres relative to the trajectory anchor. """ hist_x, hist_y, fut_x, fut_y, keep = [], [], [], [], [] with gzip.open(csv_path, "rt", encoding="utf-8") as fh: reader = csv.DictReader(fh) has_flag = "osm_temporal_consistent" in (reader.fieldnames or []) for row in reader: hist_x.append(json.loads(row["hist_x_json"])) hist_y.append(json.loads(row["hist_y_json"])) fut_x.append(json.loads(row["fut_x_json"])) fut_y.append(json.loads(row["fut_y_json"])) keep.append(row.get("osm_temporal_consistent") == "true" if has_flag else True) hist = np.stack([np.asarray(hist_x), np.asarray(hist_y)], axis=-1) # (N, T_hist, 2) fut = np.stack([np.asarray(fut_x), np.asarray(fut_y)], axis=-1) # (N, T_fut, 2) return hist, fut, np.asarray(keep, dtype=bool) def constant_velocity_predict(hist: np.ndarray, n_fut: int) -> np.ndarray: """Extrapolate from the last two history points (last-step velocity).""" v = hist[:, -1] - hist[:, -2] # (N, 2) steps = np.arange(1, n_fut + 1) # (T_fut,) return hist[:, -1:] + steps[None, :, None] * v[:, None, :] def displacement_errors(pred: np.ndarray, target: np.ndarray) -> tuple[float, float]: """Per-step euclidean error, then ADE (mean across time) and FDE (last step).""" d = np.linalg.norm(pred - target, axis=-1) # (N, T_fut) return float(d.mean()), float(d[:, -1].mean()) def main(): ap = argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--csv", required=True, help="path to /{split}/part-000.csv.gz") ap.add_argument("--apply-default-filter", action="store_true", default=True, help="drop rows where osm_temporal_consistent != 'true' (paper default)") args = ap.parse_args() hist, fut, keep = load_split(args.csv) if args.apply_default_filter: hist, fut = hist[keep], fut[keep] n_fut = fut.shape[1] pred = constant_velocity_predict(hist, n_fut) ade, fde = displacement_errors(pred, fut) print(f"samples: {len(fut)}") print(f"ADE: {ade:.1f} m FDE: {fde:.1f} m") if __name__ == "__main__": main()