data(dial): add identity-null persistence calibration

review_extension/SHA256SUMS

@@ -1,44 +1,54 @@
-c00277b4c60e2fd618a49e3498bca31f19d72b6e43a278401d97607fb4926e64  ./aggregate/matched_null.json
-4791851756005fee2bad31e91f8ec8dc135e15a403ba9d569eb77c952bde8df5  ./aggregate/matched_null_rows.csv
-762241d7a5d741e46e999d0531def641f505e8999045ebedf006b8cdc40c15d0  ./aggregate/persistence.json
-86e668200a5bc68b83e461e562ac5bd55bf1e2448b0a27a72da7a806eacceb10  ./aggregate/persistence_paired.csv
-7b5091e9b8ba20ead4deab98a962dee4ce2b72bf44be16b35cff127b7c979a12  ./aggregate/persistence_trajectory.csv
-b2a6d4f071c16ac78c8b34020d601cb15b88ebd7cffcd4e3c9c853bf1f53bc27  ./protocol/dial_review_extension_amendment.json
-ddb15f1810a6046ca250d29ec2b29035c8c73d07dd8a48437b632931dade06ab  ./protocol/dial_review_extension_protocol.json
-1b7e6db6c3147b8b678b179888ebca60f1bd22ea9c951c1cea720bc1b6289f41  ./raw/matched_null/dial_aligned_s0.json
-c9233efcf1b3eef0fc3e130cbaf3378eeadd900f28317dfba47daf05ff82776a  ./raw/matched_null/dial_aligned_s1.json
-94bb991396cd3364747312ef8b72cbea7b48c5bc6e93eddb000e94f31bf77e64  ./raw/matched_null/dial_aligned_s2.json
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-172c4e81c27a21a26ca07ce2dd24cf319a0cd78251cc613c33690cde71e426b1  ./raw/matched_null/dial_shared_s0.json
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-a8b2ed667fb1450f5b6bb72246722ada5f9bdaf2a426e21a824f1a909bf8cb57  ./raw/matched_null/dial_shuffled_s0.json
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-e07ab64099625e91add2f4969b15b9727aba45ca2b932817f30e8b17b245945f  ./raw/matched_null/dial_shuffled_s5.json
-3c80982a3f289e47110d28e2e8cf6bdf14f7544d84db1285424f16f9760d0958  ./raw/persistence/dial_aligned_s0.json
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-21dfa307aecaece65df6f92bdf61fa44ee87a37176bb754f5419a9d324d5cb76  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s0.json
-8f0978cc67e2fc351c2b6ab42f57840cb3cf9b2c49b8c2e34f178092661a7b03  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s1.json
-9ab632e99002ef7c29e7e132516340bea3443053ff8ece9c23a74bc6ab19f65e  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s2.json
-d90bf03aaf3fd6017ee993e343e97c9c8e3e7566cd381c46c737edaff8b97be7  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s3.json
-9910c2df18004061e5f8fe1a91841ceab85de33b1178cd5d1feb390933688a57  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s4.json
-4866fda41cc736501c092b3eb6f593af248dba53b4f9a80db5fa50a87fc59a93  ./raw/persistence/dial_shared_s5.json
-6de01a6dc78c0ba2e380b1d3ebfea2bcac5f395cb908486d0a5cbb54c8ae124d  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s0.json
-7dfa597088d75c18f3f979021318d51c5b16f6be13396c9508385a033b33197c  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s1.json
-674bb97ff3389965e7d36fdadaa27edaa0a133eed724705463fc77a42e32c9a3  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s2.json
-18aa65923d68533ef35dd1a8569b7d052e3121d7c341178d2850c2be0bb34f2e  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s3.json
-fa37d5e3545ee91afc4894c02325f91a2d8d5ae70030dc6ae3ccd3c76d7ac426  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s4.json
-a43b5bc34b03c976df99ec4abd4b814606fdd7ad8d1b8e02202f11d511853afc  ./raw/persistence/dial_shuffled_s5.json
-d1b3188ce8be73af52b684e39421a8cdc633cbb35dd63992dd277fce6bba818b  ./release.json
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review_extension/aggregate/persistence_identity_null.json

@@ -0,0 +1,300 @@
+{
+  "analysis": "dial_terminal_persistence_identity_null",
+  "checkpoint_millions": 30,
+  "claim_boundary": "Post-hoc terminal calibration. Positive observed-minus-null similarity supports target specificity, not functional use.",
+  "common_template_tokens": 4951,
+  "complete": true,
+  "identity_null_samples_per_cue": 32,
+  "lineages": 18,
+  "metrics": {
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+          "two_sided_exact_sign_flip_p": 0.03125
+        }
+      }
+    },
+    "principal_affinity": {
+      "aligned_minus_shared_calibrated": {
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+          "two_sided_exact_sign_flip_p": 0.03125
+        }
+      }
+    }
+  },
+  "schema_version": 1
+}

review_extension/aggregate/persistence_identity_null_rows.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,73 @@
+metric,variant,condition,seed,H_observed_minus_null,O_observed_minus_null,A_observed_minus_null,equal_cue_observed_minus_null
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review_extension/protocol/dial_review_extension_identity_null_amendment.json

@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+{
+  "schema_version": 1,
+  "study_id": "dial_review_extension_v1_terminal_identity_null",
+  "frozen_at_utc": "2026-07-21T02:17:18Z",
+  "status": "post_hoc_calibration_frozen_before_output_inspection",
+  "parent_protocol": "research_definition/dial_review_extension_protocol.json",
+  "parent_protocol_sha256": "ddb15f1810a6046ca250d29ec2b29035c8c73d07dd8a48437b632931dade06ab",
+  "procrustes_amendment": "research_definition/dial_review_extension_amendment.json",
+  "procrustes_amendment_sha256": "b2a6d4f071c16ac78c8b34020d601cb15b88ebd7cffcd4e3c9c853bf1f53bc27",
+  "motivation": "Calibrate terminal target similarity against token-identity nulls before describing the target as recoverable.",
+  "scope": {
+    "models": "all 18 sealed DIAL lineages",
+    "checkpoint_words": 30000000,
+    "token_support": "the unchanged 4951-token intersection used by the persistence audit",
+    "training": "none",
+    "checkpoint_mutation": false,
+    "existing_result_mutation": false
+  },
+  "identity_null": {
+    "random_controls_per_cue": 32,
+    "seed": 20260721,
+    "construction": "For each condition and cue, sort the frozen template rows by norm, split them into ten equal-count strata, and permute token identities only within strata.",
+    "invariants": [
+      "identical checkpoint embedding table and fixed cue frame",
+      "identical common token support",
+      "identical template row multiset",
+      "approximately matched row energy",
+      "identical null permutations across the six seeds of a condition"
+    ],
+    "metrics": [
+      "principal subspace affinity",
+      "centered linear CKA",
+      "orthogonal Procrustes similarity",
+      "mean rowwise coordinate cosine"
+    ],
+    "summary": "observed target similarity minus the within-lineage median of 32 stratified token-permutation nulls, averaged equally over H, O, and A"
+  },
+  "claim_boundary": [
+    "This is a post-hoc terminal calibration and cannot alter the frozen DIAL decision.",
+    "It tests target-specific input-table similarity, not hidden-layer persistence or functional use.",
+    "It does not test syntax, grounded concepts, routing, scale, or asymptotic learning."
+  ]
+}

review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s0.json

@@ -0,0 +1,505 @@
+{
+  "analysis": "dial_terminal_persistence_identity_null",
+  "checkpoint_millions": 30,
+  "claim_boundary": "Post-hoc terminal calibration of target-specific similarity; it does not establish functional use or change the frozen decision.",
+  "common_template_tokens": 4951,
+  "condition": "aligned",
+  "cue_metrics": {
+    "A": {
+      "energy_strata": 10,
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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s1.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s2.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s3.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s4.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_aligned_s5.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s0.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s1.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s2.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s3.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s4.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shared_s5.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s0.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s1.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s2.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s3.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s4.json

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review_extension/raw/identity_null/dial_shuffled_s5.json

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+            0.20698795920104077,
+            0.20399252878754995,
+            0.2041248635009308,
+            0.20225052809996327,
+            0.20368948180979873,
+            0.20356697690097625,
+            0.20103830205794404,
+            0.20273732508339132,
+            0.20365758495667813,
+            0.2028837372619925,
+            0.20241835520917398,
+            0.20218522160623276,
+            0.20218968831729872,
+            0.20586802959124992,
+            0.2016326016312894,
+            0.20443980786567045,
+            0.2040816548428111,
+            0.20433999171648462,
+            0.20559853803741016,
+            0.20423939061001123,
+            0.2020470001291559,
+            0.20576272769105958,
+            0.2053070082246976,
+            0.2024571713311532,
+            0.1985241685297895,
+            0.20226485789247972,
+            0.20177347221089306,
+            0.2051717960292059,
+            0.20475190183953698,
+            0.2026843159791834,
+            0.2088024769708155
+          ],
+          "observed": 0.9376524218891515,
+          "observed_minus_null_median": 0.7339788885059131
+        },
+        "principal_affinity": {
+          "null_median": 0.058746359992447775,
+          "null_values": [
+            0.05915359065995185,
+            0.060399131705901554,
+            0.0590775218328595,
+            0.058986241403174794,
+            0.05844918605347636,
+            0.058498599363007386,
+            0.05893279104572771,
+            0.057969394874370625,
+            0.058697556723058,
+            0.05871558966768874,
+            0.05780368647770655,
+            0.05800212963160889,
+            0.05830501994762349,
+            0.05820147545555527,
+            0.059837794948138186,
+            0.057923091778488006,
+            0.05889670531565689,
+            0.05936287119318191,
+            0.05932243144119761,
+            0.05969580903847978,
+            0.05877713031720681,
+            0.058113100433478886,
+            0.059795009994163886,
+            0.059461331662006435,
+            0.05830091427713731,
+            0.05602589596320355,
+            0.0581498176245553,
+            0.057446727873346405,
+            0.059826066501369526,
+            0.05912413579027777,
+            0.05815131703825549,
+            0.06070425086874737
+          ],
+          "observed": 0.8563571221741022,
+          "observed_minus_null_median": 0.7976107621816544
+        }
+      },
+      "template_rank": 128
+    }
+  },
+  "identity_null": {
+    "construction": "permute token identities within equal-count strata sorted by each cue template's row norm",
+    "samples": 32,
+    "seed": 20260721,
+    "strata": 10
+  },
+  "model_sha256": "f161c1370e1def949b4fca1e8c90af6ab312d906de38bc0ae0d96a246da932e3",
+  "schema_version": 1,
+  "seed": 5,
+  "variant": "dial_shuffled_s5"
+}

review_extension/release.json

@@ -4,12 +4,15 @@
   "frozen_at_utc": "2026-07-21T01:18:43Z",
   "protocol_sha256": "ddb15f1810a6046ca250d29ec2b29035c8c73d07dd8a48437b632931dade06ab",
   "procrustes_amendment_sha256": "b2a6d4f071c16ac78c8b34020d601cb15b88ebd7cffcd4e3c9c853bf1f53bc27",
-  "implementation_commit": "dec36f60e424daa7d3930fb1fc2ea65109fcacd2",
+  "identity_null_amendment_sha256": "ec0672e9a7ced15c302c2c374741d6f530d8394c5c297b860d1125141b414aac",
+  "implementation_commit": "0f0a2fc7f6ad2cab6f3b4fae0cae724d4c5a9c89",
   "persistence_lineages": 18,
   "checkpoints_per_lineage": 12,
   "matched_null_lineages": 18,
+  "identity_null_lineages": 18,
   "random_controls_per_lineage": 32,
-  "raw_report_count": 36,
+  "identity_null_controls_per_cue": 32,
+  "raw_report_count": 54,
   "raw_report_hash_ledger": "review_extension_raw_sha256sums.txt",
   "terminal_hash_matches": "18/18",
   "persistence_checkpoint_hash_matches": "216/216",
@@ -23,6 +26,7 @@
   "claim_boundary": [
     "The extension is post-hoc and cannot replace the prespecified DIAL decision.",
     "Persistence establishes target recoverability, not functional use, hidden-layer persistence, or exclusive subspace confinement.",
+    "Identity-null calibration establishes target-specific similarity, not general representational privilege for aligned geometry.",
     "Matched native-output edits establish model sensitivity, not causal organization in humans."
   ]
 }