--- license: cc-by-nc-sa-4.0 language: - en tags: - gemma - quantization - qat - benchmark - reproducibility - llm-governance - routing pretty_name: Gemma 4 Quantization-Regime Study (QAT Q4_0 vs PTQ Q4_K_M) size_categories: - n<1K --- # Gemma 4 Quantization-Regime Study (QAT Q4_0 vs PTQ Q4_K_M) A same-day 2×2 study (quantization regime × released model pair) of governed routing quality for Gemma 4 12B IT (dense; a clean same-base pair) and a 26B-class MoE released pair on one RTX 5070 Ti, run under a fixed, bit-identical governance stack via Ollama. Companion/sequel to the *Gemma 4 MTP Quality–Throughput Study* (2026-08-09, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21860461). Author: Taiko Toeda, Independent Researcher ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7267-0201 Version: 1.0.2 DOI: [10.5281/zenodo.21903706](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21903706) (v1.0.2; concept DOI [10.5281/zenodo.21875512](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21875512) resolves to the latest) ## Result boundary Aggregate route correctness spanned 0.738–0.760 on Core-500 (N=500 rows = 100 paraphrase stems × 5); no equivalence test was run, and one cross-model contrast (12B-PTQ vs 26B-PTQ) is nominally significant (p=0.035). The within-pair regime effects were individually marginal and oppositely signed — QAT −0.012 on the dense 12B (McNemar p=0.070) and +0.018 on the 26B released pair (p=0.078) — and the regime × pair interaction, an exploratory single-run endpoint, was +0.030 with a stem-clustered bootstrap 95% CI of [+0.010, +0.052] (task-iid CI [+0.008, +0.052]), concentrated in the volatile-current task family (crossed pattern). Cross-regime byte-identity of temperature-0 outputs was only 23–32 %, against same-configuration Smoke-100 repeats of 100/100 in all four cells (including the CPU-offloaded 26B-PTQ cell, across run windows) and a 100/100 `num_ctx` byte-identity control. Safety-critical failure rates were 0.000 in seven of eight runs, with a single over-verification event (0.008) in 26B-PTQ Core-500. These results apply only to the measured GPU, runtime (Ollama 0.30.6), the released model artifacts named in `ENVIRONMENT.md`, one governance stack, and routing/abstention-style tasks. The 26B released pair confounds regime with a possible base revision (25.8B vs 25.2B), an expert configuration unverifiable from runtime metadata, and a CPU-offload compute path; only the 12B pair is a clean same-base, all-GPU contrast. All inferential results are exploratory (no preregistration, single run per cell, no multiplicity correction). See `CLAIMS_MATRIX.md` before reusing any claim. ## Public artifact boundary This public package excludes verbatim task prompts, generated output text, raw row-level request records, local paths, and the private internal archive. It retains the paper, processed measurements, per-family and paired statistics, environment and model digests, the deterministic analysis script, and SHA-256 hashes that identify every excluded raw artifact (`data/RAW_ARTIFACT_HASHES.sha256`). The evaluation harness is public at `github.com/mobius-style/mmv` (`operate-fr-bench/`); the OPERATE-FR suite items themselves are project-local and identified by hash in `ENVIRONMENT.md`. ## Layout `PAPER.md` — full study. `EXECUTIVE_SUMMARY.md` — condensed findings. `CLAIMS_MATRIX.md` — claim-by-claim evidence boundaries. `REPRODUCE.md` — commands and artifact map. `ENVIRONMENT.md` — pinned environment, model digests, suite hashes. `data/` — processed tables and statistics. `analysis/` — deterministic analysis script (Apache-2.0). Licensing: see `LICENSE.md` (split license).