cat(rep('=', 80), '\n\n', 'OUTPUT FROM: shorts/08_plot_shorts_figure.R', '\n\n', sep = '' ) library(tidyverse) library(janitor) library(lubridate) library(stargazer) library(broom) library(psych) library(ggtext) library(ggplot2) # plotting w/ custom colors (optional) red_mit = '#A31F34' red_light = '#A9606C' blue_mit = '#315485' grey_light= '#C2C0BF' grey_dark = '#8A8B8C' black = '#353132' vpurple = "#440154FF" vyellow = "#FDE725FF" vgreen = "#21908CFF" ## MODEL RESULTS coefs_basecontrol <- read_csv("../results/padj_basecontrol_pretty_ytrecs_may2024.csv") outcome_labels <- data.frame(outcome = c("Minimum wage
index"), specificoutcome = c("mw_index"), family = c(rep("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)",1))) # HYP 1 #### THE effect of INCREASING vs. CONSTANT assignment among LIBERAL participants #### coefs_hyp1 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.pro:recsys.pi - attitude.pro:recsys.pc" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp1$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp1$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp1$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp1$layer3_specificoutcome,outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp1 <- mutate(coefs_hyp1, family = factor(family, levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) coefs_hyp1 <- coefs_hyp1 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp1):1 ) ## HYP 2 #### THE effect of INCREASING vs. CONSTANT assignment among CONSERVATIVE participants #### coefs_hyp2 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.anti:recsys.ai - attitude.anti:recsys.ac" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp2$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp2$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp2$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp2$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp2 <- mutate(coefs_hyp2, family = factor(family,levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) coefs_hyp2 <- coefs_hyp2 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp2):1 ) # HYP 3 #### THE effect of INCREASING vs. CONSTANT assignment among MODERATE participants assigned to a LIBERAL sequence #### coefs_hyp3 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.neutral:recsys.pi - attitude.neutral:recsys.pc" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp3$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp3$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp3$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp3$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp3 <- mutate(coefs_hyp3, family = factor(family,levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) coefs_hyp3 <- coefs_hyp3 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp3):1 ) # HYP 4 #### THE effect of INCREASING vs. CONSTANT assignment among MODERATE participants assigned to a CONSERVATIVE sequence #### coefs_hyp4 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.neutral:recsys.ai - attitude.neutral:recsys.ac" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp4$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp4$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp4$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp4$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp4 <- mutate(coefs_hyp4, family = factor(family,levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) coefs_hyp4 <- coefs_hyp4 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp4):1 ) # HYP 5 #### THE effect of CONSERVATIVE vs. LIBERAL assignment among MODERATE participants assigned to an INCREASING sequence #### coefs_hyp5 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.neutral:recsys.ai - attitude.neutral:recsys.pi" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp5$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp5$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp5$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp5$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp5 <- mutate(coefs_hyp5, family = factor(family,levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) coefs_hyp5 <- coefs_hyp5 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp5):1 ) # HYP 6 #### THE effect of CONSERVATIVE vs. LIBERAL assignment among MODERATE participants assigned to an CONSTANT sequence #### coefs_hyp6 <- coefs_basecontrol %>% filter(layer2_treatmentcontrast == "attitude.neutral:recsys.ac - attitude.neutral:recsys.pc" & layer3_specificoutcome != "overall") coefs_hyp6$outcome = outcome_labels$outcome[match(coefs_hyp6$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp6$family = outcome_labels$family[match(coefs_hyp6$layer3_specificoutcome, outcome_labels$specificoutcome)] coefs_hyp6 <- mutate(coefs_hyp6, family = factor(family,levels = c("Policy Attitudes
(unit scale, + is more conservative)" ),ordered = T)) #### THE effect of CONSERVATIVE vs. LIBERAL assignment among MODERATE participants assigned to an CONSTANT sequence #### coefs_hyp6 <- coefs_hyp6 %>% mutate(ci_lo_99 = est + qnorm(0.001)*se, ci_hi_99 = est + qnorm(0.995)*se, ci_lo_95 = est + qnorm(0.025)*se, ci_hi_95 = est + qnorm(0.975)*se, ci_lo_90 = est + qnorm(0.05)*se, ci_hi_90 = est + qnorm(0.95)*se, plotorder = nrow(coefs_hyp6):1, ) # Combine all data frames into one all_coefs <- bind_rows( mutate(coefs_hyp1, hypothesis = "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed
Liberal Ideologues", Sample="**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed"), mutate(coefs_hyp2, hypothesis = "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed
Conservative Ideologues", Sample="**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed"), mutate(coefs_hyp3, hypothesis = "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed
Moderates", Sample="**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed"), mutate(coefs_hyp4, hypothesis = "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed
Moderates", Sample="**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed"), mutate(coefs_hyp5, hypothesis = "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Increasing Extremity
Moderates", Sample="**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Increasing Extremity"), mutate(coefs_hyp6, hypothesis = "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Constant Extremity
Moderates", Sample="**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Constant Extremity") ) # Define the order of hypotheses hypothesis_order <- c("**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed
Liberal Ideologues", "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed
Conservative Ideologues", "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed
Moderates", "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed
Moderates", "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Increasing Extremity
Moderates", "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Constant Extremity
Moderates") # Reorder the factor levels all_coefs$hypothesis <- factor(all_coefs$hypothesis, levels = hypothesis_order) all_coefs <- all_coefs %>% mutate( attitude = case_when( row_number() == 1 ~ "Liberal Ideologues", row_number() == 2 ~ "Conservative Ideologues", TRUE ~ "Moderates" ), alpha = ifelse(p.adj<0.05, T, F), alpha = as.logical(alpha), alpha = replace_na(alpha,F), Sample_color = as.character(Sample), Sample_color = replace(Sample_color,alpha==F,"insig") ) all_coefs <- all_coefs %>% mutate( sign_color = case_when( ci_lo_95 < 0 & ci_hi_95 > 0 ~ grey_dark, # black color code TRUE ~ "darkgreen" # blue color code (or replace with your desired color code) ) ) all_coefs <- all_coefs %>% mutate( attitude_color = case_when( attitude == "Liberal Ideologues" ~ blue_mit, attitude == "Conservative Ideologues" ~ red_mit, attitude == "Moderates" ~ "darkgreen" ) ) all_coefs <- all_coefs %>% mutate(Sample = factor(Sample,levels=c("**Increasing vs. Constant**
Liberal Seed", "**Increasing vs. Constant**
Conservative Seed", "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Increasing Extremity", "**Conservative vs. Liberal**
Constant Extremity"), ordered=T)) #%>% #mutate(layer1_hypothesisfamily = recode(layer1_hypothesisfamily, # "mwpolicy"="policy"), # layer3_specificoutcome = recode(layer3_specificoutcome, # "mw_index"="policyindex")) # Create a data frame for attitude shapes attitude_shapes <- data.frame(attitude = c("Liberal Ideologues", "Conservative Ideologues", "Moderates")) # Plot the attitude shapes attitude_bar <- ggplot(attitude_shapes, aes(x = attitude)) + geom_point(aes(shape = attitude), size = 3) + scale_shape_manual(values = c("Liberal Ideologues" = 16, "Conservative Ideologues" = 17, "Moderates" = 15)) + theme_void() + theme(legend.position = "none") # Create a data frame for attitude shapes attitude_shapes <- data.frame(attitude = c("Liberal Ideologues", "Conservative Ideologues", "Moderates")) # Plot the attitude shapes attitude_bar <- ggplot(attitude_shapes, aes(x = attitude)) + geom_point(aes(shape = attitude), size = 5) + scale_shape_manual(values = c("Liberal Ideologues" = 16, "Conservative Ideologues" = 17, "Moderates" = 15)) + theme_void() + theme(legend.position = "none") # Plot combined_plot <- ggplot(all_coefs, aes(x = est, y = Sample, group = attitude, shape = attitude)) + # 95% CI: Adjust alpha based on significance geom_errorbarh(aes(xmin = ci_lo_95, xmax = ci_hi_95, color = sign_color, alpha = 0.8), height = 0, lwd = 1, position = position_dodge(width = 0.8)) + # 90% CI: Adjust alpha based on significance geom_errorbarh(aes(xmin = ci_lo_90, xmax = ci_hi_90, color = sign_color, alpha = 0.8), height = 0, lwd = 1.5, position = position_dodge(width = 0.8)) + # Points: Adjust alpha directly for better visibility of insignificant shapes geom_point(aes(color = sign_color), size = 4, position = position_dodge(width = 0.8), alpha = ifelse(all_coefs$alpha, 1, 0.7)) + # Make insignificant points more visible with 0.7 alpha # Labels: Adjust alpha based on significance geom_text(data = all_coefs, aes(x = est, label = attitude, color = attitude_color), alpha = 1, size = 6, position = position_dodge(width = 0.8), vjust = -0.6) + geom_vline(xintercept = 0, lty = 2) + facet_wrap(~ family, ncol = 1, scales = "free") + coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-0.06, 0.18), clip="off") + scale_x_continuous(" Minimum Wage Policy Effect Size\n(95% and 90% CIs)") + scale_color_identity() + # Ensure that the color column is used directly labs(y = NULL) + # Remove y-axis title theme_bw(base_family = "sans") + theme(strip.background = element_rect(fill = "white"), legend.position = "none", axis.text.y = element_markdown(color = "black", size=16), axis.title.x = element_markdown(color = "black", size=16), strip.text = element_markdown(size = 18) ) combined_plot ggsave(combined_plot, filename = "../results/shorts_combined_intervals.pdf", width = 8.5, height = 5) rm(list = ls())