{
  "comparisons": {
    "trained_mean_minus_base_EHC": {
      "bootstrap_repetitions": 5000,
      "ci95_high": 0.020666666666666663,
      "ci95_low": 0.0004444444444444462,
      "estimate": 0.01011111111111111,
      "n_markets": 100
    },
    "trained_mean_minus_base_HFC": {
      "bootstrap_repetitions": 5000,
      "ci95_high": 0.020999999999999998,
      "ci95_low": 0.000888888888888889,
      "estimate": 0.01011111111111111,
      "n_markets": 100
    },
    "trained_mean_minus_base_ICS": {
      "bootstrap_repetitions": 5000,
      "ci95_high": 0.0,
      "ci95_low": 0.0,
      "estimate": 0.0,
      "n_markets": 100
    },
    "trained_mean_minus_base_sensitivity": {
      "bootstrap_repetitions": 5000,
      "ci95_high": 0.4815531021360142,
      "ci95_low": -0.07318818130473836,
      "estimate": 0.19240549918538985,
      "n_markets": 100
    }
  },
  "generated_at": "2026-08-13T15:57:26.446578+00:00",
  "inputs": {
    "base": {
      "path": "exp3_training_transfer/polymarket/reports/exp3b_exp1_reapplication_j30535058/base.jsonl",
      "sha256": "d51667f990594b8e153701ee67d9d5aea12ce73eaf8bce0d023cca52fda8f0fc"
    },
    "seed_42": {
      "path": "exp3_training_transfer/polymarket/reports/exp3b_exp1_reapplication_j30535058/seed_42.jsonl",
      "sha256": "787a49c7d1a87e3e73b8129b112435f44191384cbeeef8e54ba7879cdde4725b"
    },
    "seed_43": {
      "path": "exp3_training_transfer/polymarket/reports/exp3b_exp1_reapplication_j30535058/seed_43.jsonl",
      "sha256": "d138f86d053f7cf98fa0e0d033671d481f6190a8a3a9409378dc2d644ddf1bec"
    },
    "seed_44": {
      "path": "exp3_training_transfer/polymarket/reports/exp3b_exp1_reapplication_j30535058/seed_44.jsonl",
      "sha256": "8c7eac64ad0450bb5ea84ef6b8290a57e035b29e02d42337b22511d0fb50f922"
    }
  },
  "models": {
    "base": {
      "EHC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 591,
        "rate": 0.9089999999999998,
        "se": 0.014003406672261269
      },
      "HFC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 591,
        "rate": 0.9089999999999998,
        "se": 0.014003406672261269
      },
      "ICS": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 900,
        "rate": 1.0,
        "se": 0.0
      },
      "n_markets": 100,
      "n_packets": 900,
      "parse_coverage": 1.0,
      "revision_magnitude": {
        "anti_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.12113333333333354,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.004658953651488574
        },
        "orthogonal": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.029466666666666665,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.00169369829018604
        },
        "pro_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.15243333333333334,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.005625752685096979
        }
      },
      "sensitivity": 4.641968325791847
    },
    "seed_42": {
      "EHC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 592,
        "rate": 0.9168333333333333,
        "se": 0.013306992077827791
      },
      "HFC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 592,
        "rate": 0.9168333333333333,
        "se": 0.013306992077827791
      },
      "ICS": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 900,
        "rate": 1.0,
        "se": 0.0
      },
      "n_markets": 100,
      "n_packets": 900,
      "parse_coverage": 1.0,
      "revision_magnitude": {
        "anti_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.1224000000000002,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.004646322912898462
        },
        "orthogonal": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.02836666666666664,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.0016489571944292027
        },
        "pro_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.14376666666666665,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.00535791818282148
        }
      },
      "sensitivity": 4.691539365452408
    },
    "seed_43": {
      "EHC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 588,
        "rate": 0.9223333333333332,
        "se": 0.013027252794660212
      },
      "HFC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 588,
        "rate": 0.9223333333333332,
        "se": 0.013027252794660212
      },
      "ICS": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 900,
        "rate": 1.0,
        "se": 0.0
      },
      "n_markets": 100,
      "n_packets": 900,
      "parse_coverage": 1.0,
      "revision_magnitude": {
        "anti_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.11943333333333352,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.0045984870599395065
        },
        "orthogonal": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.024966666666666627,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.0016271788125911866
        },
        "pro_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.1366333333333332,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.0052216209320414915
        }
      },
      "sensitivity": 5.128170894526037
    },
    "seed_44": {
      "EHC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 591,
        "rate": 0.9181666666666666,
        "se": 0.013331428736022954
      },
      "HFC": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 591,
        "rate": 0.9181666666666666,
        "se": 0.013331428736022954
      },
      "ICS": {
        "n_markets": 100,
        "n_records": 900,
        "rate": 1.0,
        "se": 0.0
      },
      "n_markets": 100,
      "n_packets": 900,
      "parse_coverage": 1.0,
      "revision_magnitude": {
        "anti_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.12583333333333352,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.004739703581541476
        },
        "orthogonal": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.02853333333333331,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.0016531941538858082
        },
        "pro_H1": {
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.14143333333333327,
          "n": 300,
          "se": 0.005277878854476201
        }
      },
      "sensitivity": 4.683411214953267
    }
  },
  "protocol_version": "exp3b_exp1_reapplication_v1",
  "trained_mean": {
    "EHC": 0.919111111111111,
    "HFC": 0.919111111111111,
    "ICS": 1.0,
    "parse_coverage": 1.0,
    "sensitivity": 4.834373824977237
  }
}