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import Mathlib
import OAI.Probability.SKGap.Entropy.EntropyBound
namespace OAI
namespace SKGap.GaussianStep
open scoped BigOperators
noncomputable section
variable {n : ℕ}
lemma cond_sub_const (p : Prior n) (hp : ∀x,0<p x) (f : Spin n→ℝ) (c : ℝ)
(i : Fin n) (x : Spin n) : cond p i (fun x => f x-c) x=cond p i f x-c := by
unfold cond
field_simp [(add_pos (hp x) (hp (flip i x))).ne']
ring
lemma energy_sub_const (p : Prior n) (hp : ∀x,0<p x) (f : Spin n→ℝ) (c : ℝ) :
energy p (fun x => f x-c)=energy p f := by
unfold energy
simp_rw [cond_sub_const p hp f c,sub_sub_sub_cancel_right]
lemma var_center (p : Prior n) (f : Spin n→ℝ) :
var p (fun x => f x-avg p f)=var p f := by
unfold var
rw [avg_center]
simp only [sub_zero]
end
end SKGap.GaussianStep
namespace SKGap.GaussianHistory
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Real Set Filter
open scoped BigOperators ENNReal NNReal
open GaussianStep
noncomputable section
variable {n : ℕ}
lemma localization_scalar {den N E r c e s v w : ℝ} (hd : 0<den) (hN : 0<N)
(H : den*r*N≤den*(c*E+e*N)+N*(s*(v+w*E/N)+1)) :
(r-(e+(s*v+1)/den))*N≤(c+s*w/den)*E := by
have he : den*((r-(e+(s*v+1)/den))*N-(c+s*w/den)*E)=
den*r*N-(den*(c*E+e*N)+N*(s*(v+w*E/N)+1)) := by
field_simp
ring
have hh : den*((r-(e+(s*v+1)/den))*N-(c+s*w/den)*E)≤0 := by
rw [he]
linarith
have hz : (r-(e+(s*v+1)/den))*N-(c+s*w/den)*E ≤ 0 := by
by_contra hz
have hm := mul_pos hd (lt_of_not_ge hz)
linarith
linarith
def localizationLoss (n : ℕ) (t W A a b T : ℝ) : ℝ :=
16*(n:ℝ)^2*T*t+(exp (4*T/a)*(T*(W*(n:ℝ)+2*A*sqrt (n:ℝ)+4/a)+64*(n:ℝ)^2*T*t)+1)/(b*(n:ℝ))
def localizationCost (n : ℕ) (A a b D L T : ℝ) : ℝ :=
D*T+L+exp (4*T/a)*T*A*sqrt (n:ℝ)/(b*(n:ℝ))
lemma centered_localization_bound (p : Prior n) (hp : ∀x,0<p x) (hn : 0<n)
(f : Spin n→ℝ) (hf : 0<avg p (fun x => (f x)^2)) (hc : avg p f=0)
{t : ℝ} (ht : 0≤t) (htn : 4*(n:ℝ)*t≤1)
(K : ℕ) (B G : ∀k,Set (History n k))
(hB : ∀k,MeasurableSet (B k)) (hG : ∀k,MeasurableSet (G k))
(E : Set (History n K)) (hE : MeasurableSet E)
(hprefix : ∀k<K,∀h:History n (k+1),h∈G (k+1)→h.1∈G k)
(hGE : (G K)ᶜ⊆E)
(D W A a b L T : ℝ) (hD : 0≤D) (hW : 0≤W) (hA : 0≤A)
(ha : 0<a) (hb : 0<b) (hL : 0≤L) (hDt : D*t≤1/2) (hT : (K:ℝ)*t=T)
(hsmall : ∀k<K,eventProbability p t (B k)≤exp (-a*(n:ℝ)))
(hEsmall : eventProbability p t E≤exp (-b*(n:ℝ)))
(hmean : ∀k<K,∀h:History n k,h∉B k → driftSquare p (squarePrior p f hf) t h ≤
W*(n:ℝ)+A*sqrt (n:ℝ)*(2+energy (posterior p t h) f/avg (posterior p t h) (fun x => (f x)^2)))
(hcov : ∀k<K,∀h:History n k,h∈G k→
(∑i,(∑x,posterior p t h x*(f x-avg (posterior p t h) f)*spinValue (x i))^2)≤
D*(var (posterior p t h) f+energy (posterior p t h) f))
(hterminal : ∀h:History n K,h∉E→var (posterior p t h) f≤L*energy (posterior p t h) f) :
(exp (-2*D*T)-localizationLoss n t W A a b T)*var p f≤
localizationCost n A a b D L T*energy p f := by
have hh:=localization_bound p hp f hf ht htn K B G hB hG E hE hprefix hGE
D W A a b L T hD hW hA ha hb hL hDt hT hsmall hEsmall hmean hcov hterminal
have hv : var p f=avg p (fun x => (f x)^2) := by rw [var_eq,hc]; ring
rw [hv] at hh ⊢
let v:=T*(W*(n:ℝ)+2*A*sqrt (n:ℝ)+4/a)+64*(n:ℝ)^2*T*t
let w:=T*A*sqrt (n:ℝ)
have hbody : T*(W*(n:ℝ)+A*sqrt (n:ℝ)*(2+energy p f/avg p (fun x => (f x)^2))+4/a)+
64*(n:ℝ)^2*T*t = v+w*energy p f/avg p (fun x => (f x)^2) := by dsimp [v,w]; ring
rw [hbody] at hh
simpa only [localizationLoss,localizationCost,v,w,mul_assoc] using
localization_scalar (mul_pos hb (by exact_mod_cast hn)) hf hh
theorem poincare_of_history_estimates (p : Prior n) (hp : ∀x,0<p x) (hn : 0<n)
{t : ℝ} (ht : 0≤t) (htn : 4*(n:ℝ)*t≤1)
(K : ℕ) (B G : ∀k,Set (History n k))
(hB : ∀k,MeasurableSet (B k)) (hG : ∀k,MeasurableSet (G k))
(E : Set (History n K)) (hE : MeasurableSet E)
(hprefix : ∀k<K,∀h:History n (k+1),h∈G (k+1)→h.1∈G k)
(hGE : (G K)ᶜ⊆E)
(D W A a b L T C : ℝ) (hD : 0≤D) (hW : 0≤W) (hA : 0≤A)
(ha : 0<a) (hb : 0<b) (hL : 0≤L) (hC : 0≤C)
(hDt : D*t≤1/2) (hT : (K:ℝ)*t=T)
(hsmall : ∀k<K,eventProbability p t (B k)≤exp (-a*(n:ℝ)))
(hEsmall : eventProbability p t E≤exp (-b*(n:ℝ)))
(hmean : ∀(f : Spin n→ℝ) (hf : 0<avg p (fun x => (f x)^2)),∀k<K,∀h:History n k,h∉B k →
driftSquare p (squarePrior p f hf) t h ≤
W*(n:ℝ)+A*sqrt (n:ℝ)*(2+energy (posterior p t h) f/avg (posterior p t h) (fun x => (f x)^2)))
(hcov : ∀(f : Spin n→ℝ),∀k<K,∀h:History n k,h∈G k→
(∑i,(∑x,posterior p t h x*(f x-avg (posterior p t h) f)*spinValue (x i))^2)≤
D*(var (posterior p t h) f+energy (posterior p t h) f))
(hterminal : ∀(f : Spin n→ℝ),∀h:History n K,h∉E→var (posterior p t h) f≤L*energy (posterior p t h) f)
(hLoss : localizationLoss n t W A a b T≤exp (-2*D*T)/2)
(hCost : localizationCost n A a b D L T≤C) :
∀f : Spin n→ℝ,var p f≤(2*C/exp (-2*D*T))*energy p f := by
intro f
by_cases hv : 0<var p f
· let F:=fun x => f x-avg p f
have hF : 0<avg p (fun x => (F x)^2) := hv
have hh:=centered_localization_bound p hp hn F hF (avg_center p f) ht htn K B G hB hG E hE hprefix hGE
D W A a b L T hD hW hA ha hb hL hDt hT hsmall hEsmall (hmean F hF) (hcov F) (hterminal F)
dsimp [F] at hh
rw [var_center,energy_sub_const p hp] at hh
have hl:=mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_right hLoss hv.le
have hc:=mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_right hCost (energy_nonneg p f)
rw [div_mul_eq_mul_div]
apply (le_div_iff₀ (exp_pos (-2*D*T))).mpr
nlinarith
· have hz : var p f=0 := le_antisymm (le_of_not_gt hv) (var_nonneg p f)
rw [hz]
exact mul_nonneg (div_nonneg (by positivity) (exp_pos _).le) (energy_nonneg p f)
end
end SKGap.GaussianHistory
namespace SKGap.GaussianHistory
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Real Set Filter
open scoped BigOperators ENNReal NNReal
open GaussianStep
noncomputable section
variable {n : ℕ}
lemma eventProbability_lift (p : Prior n) {t : ℝ} (ht : 0≤t) {k : ℕ}
(E : Set (History n k)) (hE : MeasurableSet E) :
eventProbability p t (Prod.fst ⁻¹' E : Set (History n (k+1)))=eventProbability p t E := by
rw [eventProbability, ← integral_indicator (hE.preimage measurable_fst),
eventProbability, ← integral_indicator hE]
have hm : Measurable (E.indicator (fun _=> (1:ℝ))) := measurable_const.indicator hE
have he (h : History n k) : density p t h*E.indicator (fun _=>(1:ℝ)) h=E.indicator (density p t) h := by
by_cases hmem : h∈E <;> simp [hmem]
have hi : Integrable (fun h=>density p t h*E.indicator (fun _=> (1:ℝ)) h) (reference n k) := by
simpa only [he] using (integrable_density p t k).indicator hE
have H:=integral_lift p ht _ hm hi
have he' (h : History n (k+1)) : density p t h*E.indicator (fun _=>(1:ℝ)) h.1=
(Prod.fst ⁻¹' E).indicator (density p t (k:=k+1)) h := by
by_cases hmem : h.1∈E <;> simp [hmem]
simpa only [he,he'] using H
lemma eventProbability_union_le (p : Prior n) {t : ℝ} (_ht : 0≤t) {k : ℕ}
(E F : Set (History n k)) (hE : MeasurableSet E) (hF : MeasurableSet F) :
eventProbability p t (E∪F)≤eventProbability p t E+eventProbability p t F := by
have H := measureReal_union_le (μ := law p t k) E F
have he (A : Set (History n k)) (hA : MeasurableSet A) :
(law p t k).real A=eventProbability p t A := by
rw [Measure.real, ← eventProbability_eq p t A hA, ENNReal.toReal_ofReal (eventProbability_nonneg p t A)]
simpa only [he _ (hE.union hF),he E hE,he F hF] using H
def goodPrefix (B : ∀k, Set (History n k)) : ∀k,Set (History n k)
| 0 => (B 0)ᶜ
| k+1 => (Prod.fst ⁻¹' goodPrefix B k) ∩ (B (k+1))ᶜ
lemma measurable_goodPrefix (B : ∀k, Set (History n k)) (hB : ∀k,MeasurableSet (B k)) :
∀k,MeasurableSet (goodPrefix B k)
| 0 => (hB 0).compl
| k+1 => ((measurable_goodPrefix B hB k).preimage measurable_fst).inter (hB (k+1)).compl
lemma goodPrefix_not_bad (B : ∀k, Set (History n k)) :
∀k,∀h:History n k,h∈goodPrefix B k→h∉B k
| 0, _, h => h
| _+1, _, h => h.2
lemma goodPrefix_previous (B : ∀k, Set (History n k)) (k : ℕ)
(h : History n (k+1)) (hh : h∈goodPrefix B (k+1)) : h.1∈goodPrefix B k := hh.1
lemma goodPrefix_failure_bound (p : Prior n) {t : ℝ} (ht : 0≤t)
(B : ∀k,Set (History n k)) (hB : ∀k,MeasurableSet (B k)) :
∀k,eventProbability p t (goodPrefix B k)ᶜ ≤ ∑i∈Finset.range (k+1),eventProbability p t (B i)
| 0 => by simp [goodPrefix]
| k+1 => by
have hE : (goodPrefix B (k+1))ᶜ =
(Prod.fst ⁻¹' (goodPrefix B k)ᶜ) ∪ B (k+1) := by
ext h
simp only [goodPrefix,mem_compl_iff,mem_preimage,mem_inter_iff,mem_union]
tauto
rw [hE,Finset.sum_range_succ]
have H : eventProbability p t (Prod.fst ⁻¹' (goodPrefix B k)ᶜ : Set (History n (k+1))) ≤
∑i∈Finset.range (k+1),eventProbability p t (B i) := by
rw [eventProbability_lift p ht _ (measurable_goodPrefix B hB k).compl]
exact goodPrefix_failure_bound p ht B hB k
exact (eventProbability_union_le p ht _ _
((measurable_goodPrefix B hB k).compl.preimage measurable_fst) (hB (k+1))).trans
(by linarith)
lemma eventProbability_mono (p : Prior n) {t : ℝ} (_ht : 0≤t) {k : ℕ}
{E F : Set (History n k)} (h : E⊆F) : eventProbability p t E≤eventProbability p t F := by
exact setIntegral_mono_set (integrable_density p t k).integrableOn
(ae_of_all _ (fun h=> (density_pos p t h).le)) (Filter.Eventually.of_forall h)
lemma bad_term_le_sum (p : Prior n) (t : ℝ) (B : ∀k,Set (History n k)) {k K : ℕ}
(hk : k≤K) : eventProbability p t (B k)≤∑i∈Finset.range (K+1),eventProbability p t (B i) := by
exact Finset.single_le_sum (fun i _=>eventProbability_nonneg p t (B i)) (by simpa using hk)
end
end SKGap.GaussianHistory
end OAI