import OAI.Analysis.FiniteFactor.Coupling.Infinite import OAI.Analysis.FiniteFactor.Coupling.FiniteLaw import OAI.Analysis.FiniteFactor.ProductKernel namespace OAI namespace FiniteFactor open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Finset open scoped ENNReal noncomputable section namespace CouplingParameters /-- The orientation records the conditioning endpoint first. -/ def orientPair (right : Bool) (z : ℝ × ℝ) : ℝ × ℝ := (endpoint right z, endpoint (!right) z) theorem orientPair_measurable (right : Bool) : Measurable (orientPair right) := (endpoint_measurable right).prodMk (endpoint_measurable (!right)) theorem posterior_compProd (p : CouplingParameters) (right : Bool) : (p.selectedLaw true right) ⊗ₘ (p.posteriorKernel right) = p.coupling.map (orientPair right) := by apply Measure.ext_prod intro A B hA hB rw [Measure.compProd_apply_prod hA hB, selectedLaw_endpoint, Measure.map_apply (orientPair_measurable right) (hA.prod hB)] cases right · exact p.conditional_given_x hA hB · have he : orientPair true ⁻¹' (A ×ˢ B) = B ×ˢ A := by ext z simp [orientPair, endpoint, and_comm] rw [he] exact p.conditional_given_y hA hB def vectorCoupling {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) : Measure (ι → Fin 6 × (ℝ × ℝ)) := Measure.infinitePi (fun i => (p i).labelledCoupling) instance vectorCoupling_probability {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) : IsProbabilityMeasure (vectorCoupling p) := by unfold vectorCoupling; infer_instance def vectorEndpoint {ι : Type*} (right : ι → Bool) (ω : ι → Fin 6 × (ℝ × ℝ)) (i : ι) : ℝ := endpoint (right i) (ω i).2 theorem vectorEndpoint_measurable {ι : Type*} (right : ι → Bool) : Measurable (vectorEndpoint right) := by exact Measurable.of_eval (fun i => (endpoint_measurable (right i)).comp (measurable_snd.comp (measurable_pi_apply i))) theorem vectorEndpoint_law {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) : (vectorCoupling p).map (vectorEndpoint right) = Measure.infinitePi (fun i => (p i).selectedLaw true (right i)) := by unfold vectorCoupling vectorEndpoint rw [Measure.infinitePi_map_pi _ (f := fun i (z : Fin 6 × (ℝ × ℝ)) => endpoint (right i) z.2) (fun i => (endpoint_measurable (right i)).comp measurable_snd)] simp_rw [labelled_endpoint_density] rfl def vectorPosterior {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) : Kernel (ι → ℝ) (ι → ℝ) := independentKernel (fun i => (p i).posteriorKernel (right i)) instance vectorPosterior_markov {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) : IsMarkovKernel (vectorPosterior p right) := by unfold vectorPosterior; infer_instance /-- The product posterior is the conditional law given the entire selected endpoint vector. This identity holds for the actual augmented product law. -/ theorem vectorPosterior_disintegration {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) : ((vectorCoupling p).map (vectorEndpoint right)) ⊗ₘ (vectorPosterior p right) = (vectorCoupling p).map (fun ω => (vectorEndpoint right ω, vectorEndpoint (fun i => !right i) ω)) := by rw [vectorEndpoint_law] have hh := independentKernel_compProd (fun i => (p i).selectedLaw true (right i)) (fun i => (p i).posteriorKernel (right i)) simp_rw [posterior_compProd] at hh let zip : (ι → ℝ) × (ι → ℝ) → (ι → ℝ × ℝ) := fun z i => (z.1 i, z.2 i) let unzip : (ι → ℝ × ℝ) → (ι → ℝ) × (ι → ℝ) := fun z => (fun i => (z i).1, fun i => (z i).2) have hz : Measurable zip := by fun_prop have hu : Measurable unzip := by fun_prop have hleft := congrArg (fun ν : Measure (ι → ℝ × ℝ) => ν.map unzip) hh rw [Measure.map_map hu hz] at hleft have hid : unzip ∘ zip = id := rfl rw [hid, Measure.map_id] at hleft change _ = (Measure.infinitePi (fun i => (p i).coupling.map (orientPair (right i)))).map unzip at hleft unfold vectorPosterior rw [hleft] have hp : (vectorCoupling p).map (fun ω i => orientPair (right i) (ω i).2) = Measure.infinitePi (fun i => (p i).coupling.map (orientPair (right i))) := by unfold vectorCoupling rw [Measure.infinitePi_map_pi _ (f := fun i (z : Fin 6 × (ℝ × ℝ)) => orientPair (right i) z.2) (fun i => (orientPair_measurable (right i)).comp measurable_snd)] congr 1 funext i unfold coupling rw [Measure.map_map (orientPair_measurable (right i)) measurable_snd] rfl have hv : Measurable (fun (ω : ι → Fin 6 × (ℝ × ℝ)) i => orientPair (right i) (ω i).2) := Measurable.of_eval (fun i => (orientPair_measurable (right i)).comp (measurable_snd.comp (measurable_pi_apply i))) rw [← hp, Measure.map_map hu hv] rfl /-- Full-vector conditional independence, including both endpoint orientations. Together with vectorPosterior_disintegration this is independence under the actual conditional law, not a statement about a separately chosen product. -/ theorem vectorPosterior_independence {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) (x : ι → ℝ) (I : Finset ι) (S : ι → Set ℝ) (hS : ∀ i ∈ I, MeasurableSet (S i)) : vectorPosterior p right x (Set.pi (I : Set ι) S) = ∏ i ∈ I, (p i).posteriorKernel (right i) (x i) (S i) := independentKernel_pi _ x I S hS /-- Defining conditional identity for every measurable pair of full-vector events. -/ theorem vectorPosterior_rectangle {ι : Type*} (p : ι → CouplingParameters) (right : ι → Bool) {A B : Set (ι → ℝ)} (hA : MeasurableSet A) (hB : MeasurableSet B) : (∫⁻ x in A, vectorPosterior p right x B ∂((vectorCoupling p).map (vectorEndpoint right))) = vectorCoupling p {ω | vectorEndpoint right ω ∈ A ∧ vectorEndpoint (fun i => !right i) ω ∈ B} := by rw [← Measure.compProd_apply_prod hA hB, vectorPosterior_disintegration, Measure.map_apply ((vectorEndpoint_measurable right).prodMk (vectorEndpoint_measurable (fun i => !right i))) (hA.prod hB)] rfl end CouplingParameters end end FiniteFactor end OAI