import OAI.Dynamics.ConditionalShuffle.OverlayLaw namespace OAI noncomputable section open scoped Classical namespace Revealed.Color open Thorp Thorp.Conditional Revealed.Overlay def predictResample (d : ℕ) (M : (t : ℕ) → History (d+1) t → Position d → Bool) : (t : ℕ) → History (d+1) t → History (d+1) t → History (d+1) t | 0, _, _ => Fin.elim0 | t+1, c, r => Fin.snoc (predictResample d M t (Fin.init c) (Fin.init r)) (maskedCoin (M t (Fin.init c)) (c (Fin.last t)) (r (Fin.last t))) def historyXor (d t : ℕ) (c : History (d+1) t) : Equiv.Perm (History (d+1) t) := Function.Involutive.toPerm (fun r i x => c i x ^^ r i x) (by intro r; funext i x change (c i x ^^ (c i x ^^ r i x)) = r i x cases c i x <;> cases r i x <;> rfl) lemma resample_xor (d : ℕ) (M : (t : ℕ) → History (d+1) t → Position d → Bool) (t : ℕ) (c r : History (d+1) t) : predictResample d M t c (historyXor d t c r) = predictableHistory d (fun k a _ => M k a) t c r := by induction t with | zero => exact Subsingleton.elim _ _ | succ t ih => rw [predictResample, predictableHistory] apply congrArg₂ Fin.snoc · exact ih (Fin.init c) (Fin.init r) · funext x change (if M t (Fin.init c) x then c (Fin.last t) x ^^ r (Fin.last t) x else c (Fin.last t) x) = (c (Fin.last t) x ^^ (if M t (Fin.init c) x then r (Fin.last t) x else false)) cases M t (Fin.init c) x <;> simp lemma predictResample_stationary (d : ℕ) (M : (t : ℕ) → History (d+1) t → Position d → Bool) (t : ℕ) (f : History (d+1) t → ℝ) : mean (fun c => mean (fun r => f (predictResample d M t c r))) = mean f := by calc _ = mean (fun c => mean (fun r => f (predictableHistory d (fun k a _ => M k a) t c r))) := by apply mean_congr; intro c have he := mean_equiv (historyXor d t c) (fun r => f (predictResample d M t c r)) change mean (fun r => f (predictResample d M t c (historyXor d t c r))) = _ at he simp_rw [resample_xor] at he exact he.symm _ = mean (fun r => mean (fun c => f (predictableHistory d (fun k a _ => M k a) t c r))) := mean_comm _ _ = mean (fun _ : History (d+1) t => mean f) := by apply mean_congr; intro r exact mean_equiv (predictableEquiv d (fun k a _ => M k a) t r) f _ = mean f := mean_const _ end Revealed.Color end end OAI