import OAI.Dynamics.MultipleMixing.HilbertCodes namespace OAI noncomputable section namespace Rokhlin section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory universe u namespace ArrayObjects section structure StandardSpace where α : Type u measurableSpace : MeasurableSpace α standardBorel : @StandardBorelSpace α measurableSpace nonempty : Nonempty α instance : CoeSort StandardSpace (Type u) := ⟨StandardSpace.α⟩ instance (S : StandardSpace) : MeasurableSpace S := S.measurableSpace instance (S : StandardSpace) : StandardBorelSpace S := S.standardBorel instance (S : StandardSpace) : Nonempty S := S.nonempty abbrev Index (I : Type u) (n : ℕ) := Fin n → I abbrev Arr (I Y : Type u) (n : ℕ) := Index I n → Y def amap {I Y Z : Type u} (f : Y → Z) (n : ℕ) : Arr I Y n → Arr I Z n := fun y v => f (y v) def plane {I Y : Type u} (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : Arr I Y (n + 1) → Arr I Y n := fun y v => y (a.insertNth i v) def planes {I Y : Type u} (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) : Arr I Y (n + 1) → (j : J) → Arr I Y n := fun y j => plane n (Fin.last n) j y def zeroEquiv (I Y : Type u) [MeasurableSpace Y] : Arr I Y 0 ≃ᵐ Y where toFun y := y Fin.elim0 invFun y := fun _ => y left_inv y := by funext v; exact congrArg y (Subsingleton.elim _ _) right_inv _ := rfl measurable_toFun := measurable_pi_apply _ measurable_invFun := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_id) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_amap {I Y Z : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] {f : Y → Z} (hf : Measurable f) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (amap (I := I) f n) := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => hf.comp (measurable_pi_apply _)) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_plane {I Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : Measurable (plane (Y := Y) n a i) := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_pi_apply _) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_planes {I Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) : Measurable (planes (Y := Y) n J) := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_plane _ _ _) @[simp] lemma amap_id {I Y : Type u} (n : ℕ) : amap (I := I) (id : Y → Y) n = id := rfl @[simp] lemma amap_comp {I X Y Z : Type u} (g : Y → Z) (f : X → Y) (n : ℕ) : amap (I := I) (g ∘ f) n = amap g n ∘ amap f n := rfl @[simp] lemma plane_amap {I Y Z : Type u} (f : Y → Z) (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : plane n a i ∘ amap f (n + 1) = amap f n ∘ plane n a i := rfl variable (I : Type u) [Fintype I] structure InitialLaws (X : StandardSpace.{u}) (T : X ≃ᵐ X) where law : (n : ℕ) → Measure (Arr I X n) probability : ∀ n, IsProbabilityMeasure (law n) invariant : ∀ n, MeasurePreserving (amap T n) (law n) (law n) consistent : ∀ n (a : Fin (n + 1)) i, (law (n + 1)).map (plane n a i) = law n proper : ∀ n (J : Finset I), J ≠ Finset.univ → (law (n + 1)).map (planes n J) = Measure.pi (fun _ : J => law n) attribute [instance] InitialLaws.probability structure Object {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} (base : InitialLaws I X T) where Y : StandardSpace.{u} U : StandardSpace.{u} timeY : Y ≃ᵐ Y timeU : U ≃ᵐ U x : Y → X par : Y → U measurable_x : Measurable x measurable_par : Measurable par time_x : x ∘ timeY = T ∘ x time_par : par ∘ timeY = timeU ∘ par law : (n : ℕ) → Measure (Arr I Y n) probability : ∀ n, IsProbabilityMeasure (law n) invariant : ∀ n, MeasurePreserving (amap timeY n) (law n) (law n) over_base : ∀ n, (law n).map (amap x n) = base.law n consistent : ∀ n (a : Fin (n + 1)) i, (law (n + 1)).map (plane n a i) = law n proper : ∀ n (J : Finset I), J ≠ Finset.univ → (law (n + 1)).map (planes n J) = Measure.pi (fun _ : J => law n) conditional : ∀ n (J : Finset I), J ≠ Finset.univ → condDistrib (planes n J) (amap par (n + 1)) (law (n + 1)) =ᵐ[(law (n + 1)).map (amap par (n + 1))] fun p => Measure.pi (fun j : J => condDistrib (id : Arr I Y n → Arr I Y n) (amap par n) (law n) (plane n (Fin.last n) j p)) local_independent : IndepFun x par ((law 0).map (zeroEquiv I Y)) attribute [instance] Object.probability namespace Object variable {I} {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} noncomputable def localLaw (M : Object I base) : Measure M.Y := (M.law 0).map (zeroEquiv I M.Y) instance (M : Object I base) : IsProbabilityMeasure M.localLaw := by dsimp [localLaw] exact (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable.aemeasurable noncomputable def parameter (M : Object I base) : Measure M.U := M.localLaw.map M.par instance (M : Object I base) : IsProbabilityMeasure M.parameter := (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) M.measurable_par.aemeasurable structure Extension (M N : Object I base) where state : N.Y → M.Y parameter : N.U → M.U measurable_state : Measurable state measurable_parameter : Measurable parameter time_state : state ∘ N.timeY = M.timeY ∘ state time_parameter : parameter ∘ N.timeU = M.timeU ∘ parameter state_x : M.x ∘ state = N.x state_par : M.par ∘ state = parameter ∘ N.par laws : ∀ n, (N.law n).map (amap state n) = M.law n namespace Extension def refl (M : Object I base) : Extension M M where state := id parameter := id measurable_state := measurable_id measurable_parameter := measurable_id time_state := rfl time_parameter := rfl state_x := rfl state_par := rfl laws n := by simp def comp {M N P : Object I base} (e : Extension M N) (f : Extension N P) : Extension M P where state := e.state ∘ f.state parameter := e.parameter ∘ f.parameter measurable_state := e.measurable_state.comp f.measurable_state measurable_parameter := e.measurable_parameter.comp f.measurable_parameter time_state := by rw [Function.comp_assoc, f.time_state, ← Function.comp_assoc, e.time_state, Function.comp_assoc] time_parameter := by rw [Function.comp_assoc, f.time_parameter, ← Function.comp_assoc, e.time_parameter, Function.comp_assoc] state_x := by rw [← Function.comp_assoc, e.state_x, f.state_x] state_par := by rw [← Function.comp_assoc, e.state_par, Function.comp_assoc, f.state_par, ← Function.comp_assoc] laws n := by rw [amap_comp, ← Measure.map_map (measurable_amap e.measurable_state n) (measurable_amap f.measurable_state n), f.laws, e.laws] lemma measurePreserving {M N : Object I base} (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) : MeasurePreserving (amap e.state n) (N.law n) (M.law n) := ⟨measurable_amap e.measurable_state n, e.laws n⟩ lemma localLaw_map {M N : Object I base} (e : Extension M N) : N.localLaw.map e.state = M.localLaw := by rw [localLaw, localLaw, Measure.map_map e.measurable_state (zeroEquiv I N.Y).measurable, ← e.laws 0, Measure.map_map (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable (measurable_amap e.measurable_state 0)] rfl lemma parameter_map {M N : Object I base} (e : Extension M N) : N.parameter.map e.parameter = M.parameter := by rw [Object.parameter, Object.parameter, Measure.map_map e.measurable_parameter N.measurable_par, ← e.state_par, ← Measure.map_map M.measurable_par e.measurable_state, e.localLaw_map] end Extension end Object end lemma condDistrib_condition_const {Ω E P : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace E] [StandardBorelSpace E] [Nonempty E] [MeasurableSpace P] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (f : Ω → E) (hf : Measurable f) (c : P) : condDistrib f (fun _ : Ω => c) μ c = μ.map f := by have h := condDistrib_comp_map (μ := μ) (X := fun _ : Ω => c) measurable_const.aemeasurable hf.aemeasurable simpa only [Measure.map_const, measure_univ, one_smul, Measure.dirac_bind (condDistrib f (fun _ : Ω => c) μ).measurable] using h noncomputable def trivialSpace : StandardSpace.{u} where α := PUnit.{u + 1} measurableSpace := inferInstance standardBorel := inferInstance nonempty := inferInstance variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} noncomputable def initialObject (base : InitialLaws I X T) : Object I base where Y := X U := trivialSpace timeY := T timeU := MeasurableEquiv.refl _ x := id par := fun _ => PUnit.unit measurable_x := measurable_id measurable_par := measurable_const time_x := rfl time_par := rfl law := base.law probability := base.probability invariant := base.invariant over_base n := by simp consistent := base.consistent proper := base.proper conditional n J hJ := by have hleft := condDistrib_condition_const (base.law (n + 1)) (planes n J) (measurable_planes n J) (fun _ : Index I (n + 1) => PUnit.unit) have hright := condDistrib_condition_const (base.law n) (id : Arr I X n → Arr I X n) measurable_id (fun _ : Index I n => PUnit.unit) apply Filter.Eventually.of_forall intro p have hp : p = fun _ => PUnit.unit := by funext v cases p v rfl subst p change condDistrib (planes n J) (fun _ => (fun _ : Index I (n + 1) => PUnit.unit)) (base.law (n + 1)) (fun _ => PUnit.unit) = _ rw [hleft, base.proper n J hJ] congr 1 funext j change base.law n = condDistrib id (fun _ => (fun _ : Index I n => PUnit.unit)) (base.law n) (fun _ => PUnit.unit) simpa using hright.symm local_independent := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure ((base.law 0).map (zeroEquiv I X)) := inferInstance exact indepFun_const_right id PUnit.unit end ArrayObjects open scoped InnerProductSpace namespace Saturation variable {𝕜 E H : Type*} [RCLike 𝕜] [NormedAddCommGroup E] [InnerProductSpace 𝕜 E] [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace 𝕜 H] theorem projection_difference_inner (J : E →ₗᵢ[𝕜] H) (P : Submodule 𝕜 E) (Q : Submodule 𝕜 H) [P.HasOrthogonalProjection] [Q.HasOrthogonalProjection] (hPQ : ∀ x ∈ P, J x ∈ Q) (v : E) : ⟪Q.starProjection (J v) - J (P.starProjection v), J (P.starProjection v)⟫_𝕜 = 0 := by have h₁ := Q.starProjection_inner_eq_zero (J v) (J (P.starProjection v)) (hPQ _ (P.starProjection_apply_mem v)) have h₂ := P.starProjection_inner_eq_zero v (P.starProjection v) (P.starProjection_apply_mem v) rw [inner_sub_left] at h₁ h₂ ⊢ rw [J.inner_map_map] at h₁ rw [J.inner_map_map, sub_eq_zero] at ⊢ exact (sub_eq_zero.mp h₁).symm.trans (sub_eq_zero.mp h₂) theorem projection_norm_difference (J : E →ₗᵢ[𝕜] H) (P : Submodule 𝕜 E) (Q : Submodule 𝕜 H) [P.HasOrthogonalProjection] [Q.HasOrthogonalProjection] (hPQ : ∀ x ∈ P, J x ∈ Q) (v : E) : ‖Q.starProjection (J v)‖ ^ 2 - ‖P.starProjection v‖ ^ 2 = ‖Q.starProjection (J v) - J (P.starProjection v)‖ ^ 2 := by have h := norm_add_sq_eq_norm_sq_add_norm_sq_of_inner_eq_zero (Q.starProjection (J v) - J (P.starProjection v)) (J (P.starProjection v)) (projection_difference_inner J P Q hPQ v) simp only [sub_add_cancel, J.norm_map] at h nlinarith theorem projection_eq_of_norm_eq (J : E →ₗᵢ[𝕜] H) (P : Submodule 𝕜 E) (Q : Submodule 𝕜 H) [P.HasOrthogonalProjection] [Q.HasOrthogonalProjection] (hPQ : ∀ x ∈ P, J x ∈ Q) (v : E) (h : ‖Q.starProjection (J v)‖ = ‖P.starProjection v‖) : Q.starProjection (J v) = J (P.starProjection v) := by have he := projection_norm_difference J P Q hPQ v rw [h, sub_self] at he exact sub_eq_zero.mp (norm_eq_zero.mp (sq_eq_zero_iff.mp he.symm)) theorem projection_norm_mono (J : E →ₗᵢ[𝕜] H) (P : Submodule 𝕜 E) (Q : Submodule 𝕜 H) [P.HasOrthogonalProjection] [Q.HasOrthogonalProjection] (hPQ : ∀ x ∈ P, J x ∈ Q) (v : E) : ‖P.starProjection v‖ ≤ ‖Q.starProjection (J v)‖ := by have he := projection_norm_difference J P Q hPQ v nlinarith [sq_nonneg ‖Q.starProjection (J v) - J (P.starProjection v)‖, norm_nonneg (P.starProjection v), norm_nonneg (Q.starProjection (J v))] end Saturation namespace ArrayObjects inductive DataKind (I : Type u) | parameter | outside (j : I) | enlarged (j : I) deriving Fintype namespace Object open scoped ENNReal variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} noncomputable abbrev data (M : Object I base) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) : MeasurableSpace (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := by classical exact match d with | .parameter => MeasurableSpace.comap (amap M.par (n + 1)) inferInstance | .outside j => MeasurableSpace.comap (planes n (Finset.univ.erase j)) inferInstance | .enlarged j => MeasurableSpace.comap (amap M.par (n + 1)) inferInstance ⊔ MeasurableSpace.comap (planes n (Finset.univ.erase j)) inferInstance lemma data_le (M : Object I base) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) : M.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) := by classical cases d with | parameter => exact (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).comap_le | outside j => exact (measurable_planes _ _).comap_le | enlarged j => exact sup_le ((measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).comap_le) ((measurable_planes _ _).comap_le) namespace Extension variable {M N P : Object I base} lemma data_comap_le (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) : MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (M.data n d) ≤ N.data n d := by classical have hp : MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (M.data n .parameter) ≤ N.data n .parameter := by change MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (MeasurableSpace.comap (amap M.par (n + 1)) inferInstance) ≤ _ rw [MeasurableSpace.comap_comp, ← amap_comp, e.state_par, amap_comp] rw [← MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] exact MeasurableSpace.comap_mono (measurable_amap e.measurable_parameter _).comap_le have ho (j : I) : MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (M.data n (.outside j)) ≤ N.data n (.outside j) := by change MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (MeasurableSpace.comap (planes n (Finset.univ.erase j)) inferInstance) ≤ _ rw [MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] have he : planes n (Finset.univ.erase j) ∘ amap e.state (n + 1) = (fun (z : (i : Finset.univ.erase j) → Arr I N.Y n) i => amap e.state n (z i)) ∘ planes n (Finset.univ.erase j) := rfl rw [he, ← MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] exact MeasurableSpace.comap_mono (Measurable.of_eval (fun i => (measurable_amap e.measurable_state n).comp (measurable_pi_apply i))).comap_le cases d with | parameter => exact hp | outside j => exact ho j | enlarged j => change MeasurableSpace.comap (amap e.state (n + 1)) (M.data n .parameter ⊔ M.data n (.outside j)) ≤ N.data n .parameter ⊔ N.data n (.outside j) rw [MeasurableSpace.comap_sup] exact sup_le_sup hp (ho j) noncomputable def pull (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law n) →ₗᵢ[ℂ] Lp ℂ 2 (N.law n) := Lp.compMeasurePreservingₗᵢ ℂ (amap e.state n) (e.measurePreserving n) lemma pull_comp (e : Extension M N) (f : Extension N P) (n : ℕ) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law n)) : (e.comp f).pull n F = f.pull n (e.pull n F) := Lp.compMeasurePreserving_comp_apply F (e.measurePreserving n) (f.measurePreserving n) lemma pull_data_mem (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))) (hF : F ∈ lpMeas ℂ ℂ (M.data n d) 2 (M.law (n + 1))) : e.pull (n + 1) F ∈ lpMeas ℂ ℂ (N.data n d) 2 (N.law (n + 1)) := by have hFm := lpMeas.aestronglyMeasurable (⟨F, hF⟩ : lpMeas ℂ ℂ (M.data n d) 2 (M.law (n + 1))) have hm : @Measurable _ _ (N.data n d) (M.data n d) (amap e.state (n + 1)) := measurable_iff_comap_le.mpr (e.data_comap_le n d) have hg := hFm.stronglyMeasurable_mk.comp_measurable hm have he := (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp hFm.ae_eq_mk have hp := Lp.coeFn_compMeasurePreserving F (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)) exact ⟨hFm.mk F ∘ amap e.state (n + 1), hg, hp.trans he⟩ end Extension end Object end ArrayObjects namespace ArrayObjects.Object open scoped ENNReal variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} noncomputable def project (M : Object I base) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1)) →L[ℂ] Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1)) := haveI : Fact (M.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)))) := ⟨M.data_le n d⟩ (lpMeas ℂ ℂ (M.data n d) 2 (M.law (n + 1))).starProjection lemma project_norm_le (M : Object I base) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))) : ‖M.project n d F‖ ≤ ‖F‖ := norm_condExpL2_coe_le (M.data_le n d) F namespace Extension variable {M N : Object I base} lemma project_norm_mono (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))) : ‖M.project n d F‖ ≤ ‖N.project n d (e.pull (n + 1) F)‖ := by let : Fact (M.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)))) := ⟨M.data_le n d⟩ let : Fact (N.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I N.Y (n + 1)))) := ⟨N.data_le n d⟩ exact Saturation.projection_norm_mono (e.pull (n + 1)) (lpMeas ℂ ℂ (M.data n d) 2 (M.law (n + 1))) (lpMeas ℂ ℂ (N.data n d) 2 (N.law (n + 1))) (e.pull_data_mem n d) F lemma project_eq_of_norm_le (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))) (h : ‖N.project n d (e.pull (n + 1) F)‖ ≤ ‖M.project n d F‖) : N.project n d (e.pull (n + 1) F) = e.pull (n + 1) (M.project n d F) := by let : Fact (M.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)))) := ⟨M.data_le n d⟩ let : Fact (N.data n d ≤ (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace (Arr I N.Y (n + 1)))) := ⟨N.data_le n d⟩ exact Saturation.projection_eq_of_norm_eq (e.pull (n + 1)) (lpMeas ℂ ℂ (M.data n d) 2 (M.law (n + 1))) (lpMeas ℂ ℂ (N.data n d) 2 (N.law (n + 1))) (e.pull_data_mem n d) F (le_antisymm h (e.project_norm_mono n d F)) end Extension def IsSaturated (M : Object I base) : Prop := ∀ (N : Object I base) (e : Extension M N) n d (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))), N.project n d (e.pull (n + 1) F) = e.pull (n + 1) (M.project n d F) end ArrayObjects.Object namespace KernelTests variable {Ω U B : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace U] [MeasurableSpace B] [StandardBorelSpace B] [Nonempty B] omit [Nonempty B] in lemma ae_eq_of_evaluations (ν : Measure U) [IsFiniteMeasure ν] (κ η : Kernel U B) [IsFiniteKernel κ] [IsFiniteKernel η] (h : ∀ S : Set B, MeasurableSet S → (fun u => κ u S) =ᵐ[ν] (fun u => η u S)) : κ =ᵐ[ν] η := by apply Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq apply Measure.ext_prod intro A S hA hS rw [Measure.compProd_apply_prod hA hS, Measure.compProd_apply_prod hA hS] exact lintegral_congr_ae ((h S hS).filter_mono ae_restrict_le) lemma hasCondDistrib_of_indicators (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (E : Ω → U) (O : Ω → B) (hE : Measurable E) (hO : Measurable O) (κ : Kernel U B) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (h : ∀ S : Set B, MeasurableSet S → μ⟦O ⁻¹' S | MeasurableSpace.comap E inferInstance⟧ =ᵐ[μ] fun ω => (κ (E ω)).real S) : HasCondDistrib O E κ μ := by have he : condDistrib O E μ =ᵐ[μ.map E] κ := by apply ae_eq_of_evaluations intro S hS apply (ae_map_iff hE.aemeasurable (measurableSet_eq_fun ((condDistrib O E μ).measurable_coe hS) (κ.measurable_coe hS))).mpr filter_upwards [condDistrib_ae_eq_condExp hE hO hS, h S hS] with ω h1 h2 exact (ENNReal.toReal_eq_toReal_iff' (measure_ne_top _ _) (measure_ne_top _ _)).mp (h1.trans h2) exact ⟨(hE.prodMk hO).aemeasurable, (compProd_map_condDistrib hE.aemeasurable hO.aemeasurable).symm.trans (Measure.compProd_congr he)⟩ end KernelTests namespace ArrayObjects.Object section open scoped ENNReal variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} {M N : Object I base} lemma project_ae_eq_condExp (M : Object I base) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (F : Lp ℂ 2 (M.law (n + 1))) : (M.project n d F : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → ℂ) =ᵐ[M.law (n + 1)] (M.law (n + 1))[F | M.data n d] := by have h := (Lp.memLp F).condExpL2_ae_eq_condExp (𝕜 := ℂ) (M.data_le n d) rw [Lp.toLp_coeFn] at h exact h lemma IsSaturated.condExp (hM : M.IsSaturated) (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (f : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → ℂ) (hf : MemLp f 2 (M.law (n + 1))) : (N.law (n + 1))[f ∘ amap e.state (n + 1) | N.data n d] =ᵐ[N.law (n + 1)] ((M.law (n + 1))[f | M.data n d] ∘ amap e.state (n + 1)) := by let F := hf.toLp f have hp := Lp.coeFn_compMeasurePreserving F (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)) have hp' := (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp hf.coeFn_toLp have hout := (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp ((M.project_ae_eq_condExp n d F).trans (condExp_congr_ae hf.coeFn_toLp)) have hi := N.project_ae_eq_condExp n d (e.pull (n + 1) F) have hh := hM N e n d F have hl := Lp.coeFn_compMeasurePreserving (M.project n d F) (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)) rw [hh] at hi exact (condExp_congr_ae (hp.trans hp')).symm.trans (hi.symm.trans (hl.trans hout)) lemma IsSaturated.indicator (hM : M.IsSaturated) (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) (S : Set (Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) (hS : MeasurableSet S) : (N.law (n + 1))⟦amap e.state (n + 1) ⁻¹' S | N.data n d⟧ =ᵐ[N.law (n + 1)] ((M.law (n + 1))⟦S | M.data n d⟧ ∘ amap e.state (n + 1)) := by let f : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → ℝ := S.indicator (fun _ => 1) have hf : Integrable f (M.law (n + 1)) := (integrable_const 1).indicator hS have hfeq : (fun y => (f y : ℂ)) = S.indicator (fun _ => (1 : ℂ)) := by funext y; by_cases hy : y ∈ S <;> simp [f, hy] have hg : MemLp (fun y => (f y : ℂ)) 2 (M.law (n + 1)) := by rw [hfeq] exact memLp_indicator_const (μ := M.law (n + 1)) 2 hS (1 : ℂ) (Or.inr (measure_ne_top _ _)) have h := hM.condExp e n d (fun y => (f y : ℂ)) hg have hnew := Complex.ofRealCLM.comp_condExp_comm (m := N.data n d) ((e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).integrable_comp_of_integrable hf) have hold := (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp (Complex.ofRealCLM.comp_condExp_comm (m := M.data n d) hf) have he := hnew.trans (h.trans hold.symm) have hpre : f ∘ amap e.state (n + 1) = (amap e.state (n + 1) ⁻¹' S).indicator (fun _ => (1 : ℝ)) := by funext y exact (Set.indicator_comp_right (s := S) (g := fun _ => (1 : ℝ)) (amap e.state (n + 1))).symm filter_upwards [he] with y hy have hr := Complex.ofReal_injective hy change (N.law (n + 1))[f ∘ amap e.state (n + 1) | N.data n d] y = _ at hr rw [hpre] at hr exact hr end variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} {M N : Object I base} lemma IsSaturated.hasCondDistrib (hM : M.IsSaturated) (e : Extension M N) (n : ℕ) (d : DataKind I) {A B C : Type*} [MeasurableSpace A] [MeasurableSpace B] [MeasurableSpace C] [StandardBorelSpace B] [Nonempty B] (E : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → A) (E' : Arr I N.Y (n + 1) → C) (F : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → B) (p : C → A) (hE : Measurable E) (hE' : Measurable E') (hF : Measurable F) (hp : Measurable p) (hdata : M.data n d = MeasurableSpace.comap E inferInstance) (hdata' : N.data n d = MeasurableSpace.comap E' inferInstance) (hobs : E ∘ amap e.state (n + 1) = p ∘ E') : HasCondDistrib (F ∘ amap e.state (n + 1)) E' ((condDistrib F E (M.law (n + 1))).comap p hp) (N.law (n + 1)) := by apply KernelTests.hasCondDistrib_of_indicators _ E' _ hE' (hF.comp (measurable_amap e.measurable_state _)) intro S hS have hi := hM.indicator e n d (F ⁻¹' S) (hF hS) rw [hdata, hdata'] at hi have ho := (e.measurePreserving (n + 1)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp (condDistrib_ae_eq_condExp (μ := M.law (n + 1)) hE hF hS) filter_upwards [hi, ho] with y h1 h2 exact h1.trans (h2.symm.trans (by change ((condDistrib F E (M.law (n + 1))) (E (amap e.state (n + 1) y))).real S = ((condDistrib F E (M.law (n + 1))) (p (E' y))).real S exact congrArg (fun a => ((condDistrib F E (M.law (n + 1))) a).real S) (congrFun hobs y))) end ArrayObjects.Object namespace ArrayObjects variable {I : Type u} def roll {Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) : Arr I Y (n + 1) ≃ᵐ Arr I (I → Y) n where toFun y w c := y (Fin.cons c w) invFun y v := y (Fin.tail v) (v 0) left_inv y := by funext v; simp right_inv y := by funext w c; simp measurable_toFun := by exact Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_pi_apply _)) measurable_invFun := by change Measurable (fun y : Arr I (I → Y) n => fun v : Fin (n + 1) → I => y (Fin.tail v) (v 0)) exact Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_pi_apply _)) lemma roll_amap {Y Z : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] (f : Y → Z) (n : ℕ) : roll (I := I) n ∘ amap f (n + 1) = amap (fun y c => f (y c)) n ∘ roll n := rfl lemma select_roll {Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) (a : I) : amap (Function.eval a) n ∘ roll (I := I) (Y := Y) n = plane n 0 a := by funext y w simp [amap, roll, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero'] lemma plane_roll {Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : plane n a i ∘ roll (I := I) (Y := Y) (n + 1) = roll n ∘ plane (n + 1) a.succ i := by funext y w c exact congrArg y (Fin.insertNth_succ_cons a i c w).symm lemma planes_roll {Y : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) : planes n J ∘ roll (I := I) (Y := Y) (n + 1) = (fun z j => roll n (z j)) ∘ planes (n + 1) J := by funext y j exact congrFun (plane_roll n (Fin.last n) (j : I)) y namespace Object variable [Fintype I] variable {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} variable (M : Object I base) namespace Rolled noncomputable abbrev State : StandardSpace.{u} where α := I → M.Y measurableSpace := inferInstance standardBorel := inferInstance nonempty := inferInstance noncomputable abbrev Parameter (R : Finset I) : StandardSpace.{u} where α := (I → M.U) × (R → M.Y) measurableSpace := inferInstance standardBorel := inferInstance nonempty := inferInstance def timeState : State M ≃ᵐ State M := MeasurableEquiv.piCongrRight (fun _ : I => M.timeY) def timeParameter (R : Finset I) : Parameter M R ≃ᵐ Parameter M R := (MeasurableEquiv.piCongrRight (fun _ : I => M.timeU)).prodCongr (MeasurableEquiv.piCongrRight (fun _ : R => M.timeY)) def parameter (R : Finset I) (y : State M) : Parameter M R := (fun c => M.par (y c), fun c => y c) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_parameter (R : Finset I) : Measurable (parameter M R) := by exact (Measurable.of_eval (fun c => M.measurable_par.comp (measurable_pi_apply c))).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun c => measurable_pi_apply (c : I))) lemma time_parameter (R : Finset I) : parameter M R ∘ timeState M = timeParameter M R ∘ parameter M R := by funext y apply Prod.ext · funext c; exact congrFun M.time_par (y c) · rfl noncomputable def law (n : ℕ) : Measure (Arr I (State M) n) := (M.law (n + 1)).map (roll n) instance law_probability (n : ℕ) : IsProbabilityMeasure (law M n) := (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) (roll n).measurable.aemeasurable lemma invariant (n : ℕ) : MeasurePreserving (amap (timeState M) n) (law M n) (law M n) := by refine ⟨measurable_amap (timeState M).measurable n, ?_⟩ dsimp only [law] rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_amap (timeState M).measurable n) (roll n).measurable] change (M.law (n + 1)).map (roll n ∘ amap M.timeY (n + 1)) = _ rw [← Measure.map_map (roll n).measurable (measurable_amap M.timeY.measurable _), (M.invariant (n + 1)).map_eq] lemma select_law (n : ℕ) (a : I) : (law M n).map (amap (Function.eval a) n) = M.law n := by dsimp only [law] rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_amap (measurable_pi_apply a) n) (roll n).measurable, select_roll, M.consistent] lemma over_base (n : ℕ) (a : I) : (law M n).map (amap (M.x ∘ Function.eval a) n) = base.law n := by rw [amap_comp, ← Measure.map_map (measurable_amap M.measurable_x n) (measurable_amap (measurable_pi_apply a) n), select_law, M.over_base] lemma consistent (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : (law M (n + 1)).map (plane n a i) = law M n := by dsimp only [law] rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_plane _ _ _) (roll _).measurable, plane_roll, ← Measure.map_map (roll _).measurable (measurable_plane _ _ _), M.consistent] lemma proper (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) : (law M (n + 1)).map (planes n J) = Measure.pi (fun _ : J => law M n) := by have hm : Measurable (fun z : (j : J) → Arr I M.Y (n + 1) => fun j => roll n (z j)) := Measurable.of_eval (fun j => (roll n).measurable.comp (measurable_pi_apply j)) dsimp only [law] rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_planes _ _) (roll _).measurable, planes_roll, ← Measure.map_map hm (measurable_planes _ _), M.proper _ _ hJ] exact Measure.pi_map_pi (fun _ : J => (roll n).measurable.aemeasurable) end Rolled end Object end ArrayObjects open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped ENNReal namespace FiniteKernel variable {ι X : Type*} {Y : ι → Type*} [Fintype ι] [MeasurableSpace X] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] noncomputable def pi (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] : Kernel X (∀ i, Y i) where toFun x := Measure.pi (fun i => κ i x) measurable' := by apply Measurable.measure_of_isPiSystem_of_isProbabilityMeasure generateFrom_pi.symm isPiSystem_pi rintro _ ⟨s, hs, rfl⟩ simp only [Measure.pi_pi] exact Finset.measurable_prod _ (fun i _ => (κ i).measurable_coe (hs i (Set.mem_univ i))) @[simp] theorem pi_apply (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (x : X) : pi κ x = Measure.pi (fun i => κ i x) := rfl instance (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] : IsMarkovKernel (pi κ) := ⟨fun _ => inferInstanceAs (IsProbabilityMeasure (Measure.pi _))⟩ @[simp] theorem pi_box (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (x : X) (s : ∀ i, Set (Y i)) : pi κ x (Set.pi Set.univ s) = ∏ i, κ i x (s i) := Measure.pi_pi _ _ theorem map_pi {Z : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Z i)] (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (f : ∀ i, Y i → Z i) (hf : ∀ i, Measurable (f i)) : letI : ∀ i, IsMarkovKernel ((κ i).map (f i)) := fun i => Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map (κ i) (hf i) (pi κ).map (fun y i => f i (y i)) = pi (fun i => (κ i).map (f i)) := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (by fun_prop)] simp only [pi_apply, Kernel.map_apply _ (hf _)] exact Measure.pi_map_pi (fun i => (hf i).aemeasurable) def zipEquiv (Y Z : ι → Type*) [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Z i)] : ((∀ i, Y i) × (∀ i, Z i)) ≃ᵐ (∀ i, Y i × Z i) where toFun p i := (p.1 i, p.2 i) invFun p := (fun i => (p i).1, fun i => (p i).2) left_inv _ := rfl right_inv _ := rfl measurable_toFun := by change Measurable (fun p : (∀ i, Y i) × (∀ i, Z i) => fun i => (p.1 i, p.2 i)) fun_prop measurable_invFun := by change Measurable (fun p : ∀ i, Y i × Z i => (fun i => (p i).1, fun i => (p i).2)) fun_prop theorem compProd_pi {Z : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Z i)] (μ : ∀ i, Measure (Y i)) [∀ i, IsProbabilityMeasure (μ i)] (κ : ∀ i, Kernel (Y i) (Z i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] : (Measure.pi μ ⊗ₘ pi (fun i => (κ i).comap (Function.eval i) (measurable_pi_apply i))).map (zipEquiv Y Z) = Measure.pi (fun i => μ i ⊗ₘ κ i) := by apply (Measure.pi_eq _).symm intro s hs rw [Measure.map_apply (zipEquiv Y Z).measurable (.univ_pi hs), Measure.compProd_apply ((zipEquiv Y Z).measurable (.univ_pi hs))] have hbox (y : ∀ i, Y i) : Prod.mk y ⁻¹' ((zipEquiv Y Z) ⁻¹' Set.pi Set.univ s) = Set.pi Set.univ (fun i => Prod.mk (y i) ⁻¹' s i) := rfl simp_rw [hbox, pi_box, Kernel.comap_apply] have hm (i : ι) : Measurable (fun y => κ i y (Prod.mk y ⁻¹' s i)) := (κ i).measurable_kernel_prodMk_left (hs i) rw [lintegral_prod_eq_prod_lintegral_of_indepFun Finset.univ _ (iIndepFun_pi fun i => (hm i).aemeasurable) (fun i => (hm i).comp (measurable_pi_apply i))] congr 1 funext i rw [(measurePreserving_eval μ i).lintegral_comp (hm i)] rw [← Measure.compProd_apply (hs i)] theorem pi_compProd {Z : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Z i)] (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (η : ∀ i, Kernel (X × Y i) (Z i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (η i)] : (pi κ ⊗ₖ pi (fun i => (η i).comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, Y i) => (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop))).map (zipEquiv Y Z) = pi (fun i => κ i ⊗ₖ η i) := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (zipEquiv Y Z).measurable, Kernel.compProd_apply_eq_compProd_sectR] have heq : Kernel.sectR (pi (fun i => (η i).comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, Y i) => (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop))) x = pi (fun i => (Kernel.sectR (η i) x).comap (Function.eval i) (measurable_pi_apply i)) := by ext y : 1 rfl rw [heq] simp only [pi_apply] rw [compProd_pi] simp only [Kernel.compProd_apply_eq_compProd_sectR] end FiniteKernel open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory namespace ConditionalScreens variable {Ω X Y Z : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {x : Ω → X} {y : Ω → Y} {z : Ω → Z} {κ : Kernel X Y} [IsMarkovKernel κ] {η : Kernel (X × Y) Z} [IsMarkovKernel η] omit [SFinite P] [IsMarkovKernel κ] [IsMarkovKernel η] in theorem chain (hy : HasCondDistrib y x κ P) (hz : HasCondDistrib z (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) η P) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => (y ω, z ω)) x (κ ⊗ₖ η) P := by refine ⟨hy.aemeasurable_fst.prodMk (hy.aemeasurable_snd.prodMk hz.aemeasurable_snd), ?_⟩ calc P.map (fun ω => (x ω, y ω, z ω)) = (P.map (fun ω => ((x ω, y ω), z ω))).map MeasurableEquiv.prodAssoc := by rw [AEMeasurable.map_map_of_aemeasurable (by fun_prop) hz.aemeasurable] rfl _ = ((P.map x ⊗ₘ κ) ⊗ₘ η).map MeasurableEquiv.prodAssoc := by rw [hz.map_eq, hy.map_eq] _ = P.map x ⊗ₘ (κ ⊗ₖ η) := Measure.compProd_assoc' theorem compProd_prodMkRight (κ : Kernel X Y) [IsSFiniteKernel κ] (l : Kernel X Z) [IsSFiniteKernel l] : κ ⊗ₖ l.prodMkRight Y = κ ×ₖ l := by ext a s hs rw [Kernel.compProd_apply hs, Kernel.prod_apply' _ _ _ hs] rfl theorem screening (hy : HasCondDistrib y x κ P) (l : Kernel X Z) [IsMarkovKernel l] (hz : HasCondDistrib z (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) (l.prodMkRight Y) P) : HasCondDistrib y (fun ω => (x ω, z ω)) (κ.prodMkRight Z) P := by have h := chain hy hz rw [compProd_prodMkRight] at h have h' := h.comp_left measurable_swap simp only [Function.comp_def, Prod.swap_prod_mk, Kernel.map_prod_swap] at h' rw [← compProd_prodMkRight] at h' exact h'.of_compProd end ConditionalScreens namespace ConditionalReveal open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped ENNReal variable {ι Y : Type*} [DecidableEq ι] [MeasurableSpace Y] def insertTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) (p : (S → Y) × Y) : ↥(insert i S) → Y := fun j => if h : j.val = i then p.2 else p.1 ⟨j.val, Finset.mem_of_mem_insert_of_ne j.property h⟩ theorem measurable_insertTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) : Measurable (insertTuple (Y := Y) S i) := by apply Measurable.of_eval intro j unfold insertTuple split_ifs · exact measurable_snd · exact (measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_fst theorem map_insertTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) (hi : i ∉ S) (μ : ι → Measure Y) [∀ i, IsProbabilityMeasure (μ i)] : ((Measure.pi (fun j : S => μ j)).prod (μ i)).map (insertTuple S i) = Measure.pi (fun j : ↥(insert i S) => μ j) := by apply (Measure.pi_eq _).symm intro s hs rw [Measure.map_apply (measurable_insertTuple S i) (.univ_pi hs)] have hpre : insertTuple S i ⁻¹' Set.pi Set.univ s = (Set.pi Set.univ (fun j : S => s ⟨j, Finset.mem_insert_of_mem j.property⟩)) ×ˢ s ⟨i, Finset.mem_insert_self i S⟩ := by ext p simp only [Set.mem_preimage, Set.mem_pi, Set.mem_univ, forall_const, Set.mem_prod] constructor · intro h constructor · intro j have hji : (j : ι) ≠ i := fun e => hi (e ▸ j.property) simpa only [insertTuple, dite_eq_right hji] using h ⟨j, Finset.mem_insert_of_mem j.property⟩ · simpa [insertTuple] using h ⟨i, Finset.mem_insert_self i S⟩ · rintro ⟨hp, hq⟩ j by_cases hji : (j : ι) = i · have ej : j = ⟨i, Finset.mem_insert_self i S⟩ := Subtype.ext hji rw [ej] simpa [insertTuple] using hq · simpa only [insertTuple, dite_eq_right hji] using hp ⟨j, Finset.mem_of_mem_insert_of_ne j.property hji⟩ rw [hpre, Measure.prod_prod, Measure.pi_pi] classical let g : ι → ℝ≥0∞ := fun j => if h : j ∈ insert i S then μ j (s ⟨j, h⟩) else 1 have hg (j : ↥(insert i S)) : g j = μ j (s j) := by simp only [g, dite_eq_left j.property] have hgS (j : S) : g j = μ j (s ⟨j, Finset.mem_insert_of_mem j.property⟩) := by exact dite_eq_left (Finset.mem_insert_of_mem j.property) simp_rw [← hg, ← hgS] rw [Finset.prod_coe_sort, Finset.prod_coe_sort, Finset.prod_insert hi] have hgi : g i = μ i (s ⟨i, Finset.mem_insert_self i S⟩) := dite_eq_left (Finset.mem_insert_self i S) rw [hgi] exact mul_comm _ _ def splitTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) (z : ↥(insert i S) → Y) : (S → Y) × Y := (fun j => z ⟨j, Finset.mem_insert_of_mem j.property⟩, z ⟨i, Finset.mem_insert_self i S⟩) theorem measurable_splitTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) : Measurable (splitTuple (Y := Y) S i) := by exact (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_pi_apply _)).prodMk (measurable_pi_apply _) omit [MeasurableSpace Y] in theorem split_insertTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) (hi : i ∉ S) : splitTuple (Y := Y) S i ∘ insertTuple S i = id := by funext p apply Prod.ext · funext j have hji : (j : ι) ≠ i := fun h => hi (h ▸ j.property) exact dite_eq_right hji · simp [splitTuple, insertTuple] theorem map_splitTuple (S : Finset ι) (i : ι) (hi : i ∉ S) (μ : ι → Measure Y) [∀ i, IsProbabilityMeasure (μ i)] : (Measure.pi (fun j : ↥(insert i S) => μ j)).map (splitTuple S i) = (Measure.pi (fun j : S => μ j)).prod (μ i) := by rw [← map_insertTuple S i hi μ, Measure.map_map (measurable_splitTuple S i) (measurable_insertTuple S i), split_insertTuple S i hi, Measure.map_id] theorem probability_eq_of_subsingleton {Z : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Z] [Subsingleton Z] (μ ν : Measure Z) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] : μ = ν := by ext s by_cases h : s.Nonempty · obtain ⟨z, hz⟩ := h have hs : s = Set.univ := Set.eq_univ_of_forall (fun w => (Subsingleton.elim z w) ▸ hz) simp [hs] · simp [Set.not_nonempty_iff_eq_empty.mp h] variable {Ω X : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] theorem finite_reveal (P : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure P] (E : Ω → X) (hE : Measurable E) (y : ι → Ω → Y) (κ : ι → Kernel X Y) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (R : Finset ι) (h : ∀ (S : Finset ι), S ⊆ R → ∀ i ∈ R, i ∉ S → HasCondDistrib (y i) (fun ω => (E ω, fun j : S => y j ω)) ((κ i).prodMkRight (S → Y)) P) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => fun j : R => y j ω) E (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) P := by classical revert h induction R using Finset.induction_on with | empty => intro _ let z : (∅ : Finset ι) → Y := fun i => False.elim (Finset.notMem_empty _ i.property) have hk : FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : (∅ : Finset ι) => κ j) = Kernel.deterministic (fun _ : X => z) measurable_const := by ext x : 1 exact probability_eq_of_subsingleton _ _ have hy : (fun ω => fun j : (∅ : Finset ι) => y j ω) = fun _ => z := by funext ω j exact False.elim (Finset.notMem_empty _ j.property) rw [hy, hk] refine ⟨(hE.prodMk measurable_const).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ rw [Measure.compProd_deterministic, Measure.map_map (by fun_prop) hE] rfl | @insert i S hi ih => intro h have hS := ih (fun A hA j hj hnot => h A (hA.trans (Finset.subset_insert i S)) j (Finset.mem_insert_of_mem hj) hnot) have hi' := h S (Finset.subset_insert i S) i (Finset.mem_insert_self i S) hi have hh := ConditionalScreens.chain hS hi' rw [ConditionalScreens.compProd_prodMkRight] at hh have hout := hh.comp_left (measurable_insertTuple S i) have hk : ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : S => κ j)) ×ₖ κ i).map (insertTuple S i) = FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : ↥(insert i S) => κ j) := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_insertTuple S i), Kernel.prod_apply] exact map_insertTuple S i hi (fun j => κ j x) rw [hk] at hout have hy : insertTuple S i ∘ (fun ω => ((fun j : S => y j ω), y i ω)) = (fun ω => fun j : ↥(insert i S) => y j ω) := by funext ω j simp only [Function.comp_def, insertTuple] split_ifs with hji · rw [hji] · rfl rwa [hy] at hout end ConditionalReveal open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory namespace ConditionalTransport variable {Ω Ω' A B C : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace Ω'] [MeasurableSpace A] [MeasurableSpace B] [MeasurableSpace C] theorem pullback {P : Measure Ω} {Q : Measure Ω'} {f : Ω → Ω'} {E : Ω' → A} {O : Ω' → B} {κ : Kernel A B} (hf : MeasurePreserving f P Q) (hE : Measurable E) (h : HasCondDistrib O E κ Q) : HasCondDistrib (O ∘ f) (E ∘ f) κ P := by have hh := h.comp hf.hasLaw have he : P.map (E ∘ f) = Q.map E := by rw [← Measure.map_map hE hf.measurable, hf.map_eq] change HasLaw (fun ω => (E (f ω), O (f ω))) (P.map (E ∘ f) ⊗ₘ κ) P rw [he] exact hh theorem recondition [StandardBorelSpace B] [Nonempty B] {P : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure P] {E : Ω → A} {D : Ω → C} {O : Ω → B} {κ : Kernel A B} [IsMarkovKernel κ] {η : Kernel C B} [IsMarkovKernel η] (hE : Measurable E) (hD : Measurable D) (hO : Measurable O) (h : HasCondDistrib O E κ P) (hfield : MeasurableSpace.comap E inferInstance = MeasurableSpace.comap D inferInstance) (hk : (fun ω => κ (E ω)) =ᵐ[P] fun ω => η (D ω)) : HasCondDistrib O D η P := by apply KernelTests.hasCondDistrib_of_indicators _ D O hD hO intro S hS have hc := ae_of_ae_map hE.aemeasurable (condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd hE.aemeasurable hO.aemeasurable h.map_eq) have hi := condDistrib_ae_eq_condExp (μ := P) hE hO hS rw [hfield] at hi filter_upwards [hc, hi, hk] with ω h1 h2 h3 exact h2.symm.trans (by rw [h1, h3]) omit [MeasurableSpace Ω] in theorem comap_le_of_factor {f : Ω → A} {g : Ω → C} {p : C → A} (hp : Measurable p) (h : f = p ∘ g) : MeasurableSpace.comap f inferInstance ≤ MeasurableSpace.comap g inferInstance := by rw [h, ← MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] exact MeasurableSpace.comap_mono hp.comap_le theorem of_indep {P : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure P] {E : Ω → A} {O : Ω → B} (hE : Measurable E) (hO : Measurable O) (h : IndepFun E O P) : HasCondDistrib O E (Kernel.const A (P.map O)) P := by refine ⟨(hE.prodMk hO).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ rw [Measure.compProd_const] exact h.map_prod_eq_prod_map_map hE.aemeasurable hO.aemeasurable theorem indep_of_const {P : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure P] {E : Ω → A} {O : Ω → B} (hE : Measurable E) (hO : Measurable O) (Q : Measure B) [IsProbabilityMeasure Q] (h : HasCondDistrib O E (Kernel.const A Q) P) : IndepFun E O P := by apply (indepFun_iff_map_prod_eq_prod_map_map hE.aemeasurable hO.aemeasurable).mpr rw [h.map_eq, h.hasLaw_of_const.map_eq, Measure.compProd_const] end ConditionalTransport namespace ConditionalReveal variable {ι Ω X Y Z : Type*} [DecidableEq ι] [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] theorem independent_image (P : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure P] (E : Ω → X) (hE : Measurable E) (y : ι → Ω → Y) (hy : ∀ i, Measurable (y i)) (κ : ι → Kernel X Y) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (R : Finset ι) (i : ι) (hi : i ∉ R) (f : Y → Z) (hf : Measurable f) (Q : Measure Z) [IsProbabilityMeasure Q] (h : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => fun j : ↥(insert i R) => y j ω) E (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : ↥(insert i R) => κ j)) P) (hk : (fun x => (κ i x).map f) =ᵐ[P.map E] fun _ => Q) : IndepFun (fun ω => (E ω, fun j : R => y j ω)) (f ∘ y i) P := by have hs := h.comp_left (measurable_splitTuple R i) have hsk : (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : ↥(insert i R) => κ j)).map (splitTuple R i) = (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) ×ₖ κ i := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_splitTuple R i), Kernel.prod_apply] exact map_splitTuple R i hi (fun j => κ j x) rw [hsk] at hs change HasCondDistrib (fun ω => ((fun j : R => y j ω), y i ω)) E ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) ×ₖ κ i) P at hs have hx := hs.comp_left (measurable_id.prodMap hf) rw [← Kernel.map_prod_map _ _ measurable_id hf, Kernel.map_id] at hx have hprod : ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) ×ₖ (κ i).map f) =ᵐ[P.map E] ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) ×ₖ Kernel.const X Q) := by filter_upwards [hk] with x hx rw [Kernel.prod_apply, Kernel.prod_apply, Kernel.map_apply _ hf, hx] rfl have hout : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => ((fun j : R => y j ω), f (y i ω))) E ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : R => κ j)) ×ₖ Kernel.const X Q) P := ⟨hx.aemeasurable, hx.map_eq.trans (Measure.compProd_congr hprod)⟩ rw [← ConditionalScreens.compProd_prodMkRight] at hout have hout' := hout.of_compProd have hc : (Kernel.const X Q).prodMkRight (R → Y) = Kernel.const (X × (R → Y)) Q := rfl rw [hc] at hout' exact ConditionalTransport.indep_of_const (hE.prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun j => hy j))) (hf.comp (hy i)) Q hout' end ConditionalReveal namespace ConditionalTransport variable {Ω Ω' A B : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace Ω'] [MeasurableSpace A] [MeasurableSpace B] lemma map_indep {P : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure P] {f : Ω → Ω'} {E : Ω' → A} {O : Ω' → B} (hf : Measurable f) (hE : Measurable E) (hO : Measurable O) (h : IndepFun (E ∘ f) (O ∘ f) P) : IndepFun E O (P.map f) := by apply (indepFun_iff_map_prod_eq_prod_map_map hE.aemeasurable hO.aemeasurable).mpr rw [Measure.map_map (hE.prodMk hO) hf, Measure.map_map hE hf, Measure.map_map hO hf] exact h.map_prod_eq_prod_map_map (hE.comp hf).aemeasurable (hO.comp hf).aemeasurable end ConditionalTransport namespace ArrayObjects.Object variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) noncomputable def ownKernel (n : ℕ) : Kernel (Arr I M.U n) (Arr I M.Y n) := condDistrib id (amap M.par n) (M.law n) instance ownKernel_markov (n : ℕ) : IsMarkovKernel (ownKernel M n) := by unfold ownKernel infer_instance lemma ownKernel_conditional (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib id (amap M.par n) (M.ownKernel n) (M.law n) := ⟨((measurable_amap M.measurable_par n).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable, (compProd_map_condDistrib (measurable_amap M.measurable_par n).aemeasurable measurable_id.aemeasurable).symm⟩ lemma planes_conditional (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) : HasCondDistrib (planes n J) (amap M.par (n + 1)) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : J => (M.ownKernel n).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.law (n + 1)) := by refine ⟨((measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).prodMk (measurable_planes _ _)).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ exact (compProd_map_condDistrib (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).aemeasurable (measurable_planes n J).aemeasurable).symm.trans (Measure.compProd_congr (M.conditional n J hJ)) lemma ownKernel_zero_image : (fun p => (M.ownKernel 0 p).map (M.x ∘ zeroEquiv I M.Y)) =ᵐ[ (M.law 0).map (amap M.par 0)] fun _ => M.localLaw.map M.x := by have h := ConditionalTransport.of_indep (P := M.localLaw) M.measurable_par M.measurable_x M.local_independent.symm have h0 := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (zeroEquiv I M.Y) (M.law 0) M.localLaw from ⟨(zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable, rfl⟩) M.measurable_par h have h1 := h0.measurableEquiv_comp_right (zeroEquiv I M.U).symm have hpar : (zeroEquiv I M.U).symm ∘ M.par ∘ zeroEquiv I M.Y = amap M.par 0 := by funext y w exact congrArg (fun v => M.par (y v)) (Subsingleton.elim _ _) rw [hpar] at h1 have h2 := (M.ownKernel_conditional 0).comp_left (M.measurable_x.comp (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable) have hk := Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq (h2.map_eq.symm.trans h1.map_eq) filter_upwards [hk] with p hp rw [← Kernel.map_apply _ (M.measurable_x.comp (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable)] exact hp namespace Rolled lemma local_independent [DecidableEq I] (R : Finset I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) (hR : insert a R ≠ Finset.univ) : IndepFun (M.x ∘ Function.eval a) (parameter M R) ((law M 0).map (zeroEquiv I (State M))) := by let E := amap (I := I) M.par 1 let y := fun c : I => plane 0 (Fin.last 0) c (Y := M.Y) let κ := fun c : I => (M.ownKernel 0).comap (plane 0 (Fin.last 0) c) (measurable_plane _ _ _) have hE : Measurable E := measurable_amap M.measurable_par 1 have hfield : MeasurePreserving (plane 0 (Fin.last 0) a) ((M.law 1).map E) ((M.law 0).map (amap M.par 0)) := by refine ⟨measurable_plane _ _ _, ?_⟩ rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_plane _ _ _) hE, plane_amap, ← Measure.map_map (measurable_amap M.measurable_par 0) (measurable_plane _ _ _), M.consistent] let Q := M.localLaw.map M.x have : IsProbabilityMeasure Q := (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) M.measurable_x.aemeasurable have hk := hfield.quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp M.ownKernel_zero_image have h := ConditionalReveal.independent_image (M.law 1) E hE y (fun c => measurable_plane 0 (Fin.last 0) c) κ R a ha (M.x ∘ zeroEquiv I M.Y) (M.measurable_x.comp (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable) Q (M.planes_conditional 0 (insert a R) hR) hk let e : Arr I M.U 1 × (R → Arr I M.Y 0) → Parameter M R := fun p => (fun c => p.1 (Fin.cons c Fin.elim0), fun c => zeroEquiv I M.Y (p.2 c)) have he : Measurable e := by exact (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_fst)).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (zeroEquiv I M.Y).measurable.comp ((measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_snd))) have hh := (h.comp he measurable_id).symm rw [law, Measure.map_map (zeroEquiv I (State M)).measurable (roll 0).measurable] apply ConditionalTransport.map_indep ((zeroEquiv I (State M)).measurable.comp (roll 0).measurable) (M.measurable_x.comp (measurable_pi_apply a)) (measurable_parameter M R) convert hh using 1 <;> funext z <;> simp [E, e, y, parameter, roll, zeroEquiv, plane, amap, Function.comp_def, Fin.insertNth_zero'] end Rolled end ArrayObjects.Object namespace ArrayObjects variable {I : Type u} lemma cons_snoc {n : ℕ} (c j : I) (v : Fin n → I) : (Fin.cons c (Fin.snoc (α := fun _ => I) v j) : Fin (n + 2) → I) = Fin.snoc (α := fun _ => I) (Fin.cons c v) j := by simpa only [show (Fin.last n).succ = Fin.last (n + 1) from rfl, Fin.insertNth_last'] using (Fin.insertNth_succ_cons (Fin.last n) j c v).symm namespace Object.Rolled variable [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) noncomputable abbrev Outside (j : I) : Finset I := by classical exact Finset.univ.erase j variable [DecidableEq I] abbrev RawData (n : ℕ) (j : I) := Arr I M.U (n + 2) × (Outside j → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) abbrev RevealData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) := RawData M n j × (R → Arr I M.Y n) abbrev RollData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) := Arr I (Parameter M R) (n + 1) × (Outside j → Arr I (State M) n) def rawData (n : ℕ) (j : I) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : RawData M n j := (amap M.par (n + 2) y, planes (n + 1) (Outside j) y) def missingRow (n : ℕ) (j c : I) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : Arr I M.Y n := plane n (Fin.last n) j (plane (n + 1) 0 c y) def revealData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : RevealData M R n j := (rawData M n j y, fun c => missingRow M n j c y) def rollData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (y : Arr I (State M) (n + 1)) : RollData M R n j := (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1) y, planes n (Outside j) y) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_rawData (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (rawData M n j) := (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).prodMk (measurable_planes _ _) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_missingRow (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : Measurable (missingRow M n j c) := (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_plane _ _ _) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_revealData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (revealData M R n j) := (measurable_rawData M n j).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun c => measurable_missingRow M n j c)) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_rollData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (rollData M R n j) := (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _).prodMk (measurable_planes _ _) def rollToReveal (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : RollData M R n j) : RevealData M R n j := ((fun v => (p.1 (Fin.tail v)).1 (v 0), fun k => (roll n).symm (p.2 k)), fun c v => (p.1 (Fin.snoc v j)).2 c) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_rollToReveal (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (rollToReveal M R n j) := by unfold rollToReveal fun_prop def revealToRoll (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : RevealData M R n j) : RollData M R n j := (fun w => (fun c => p.1.1 (Fin.cons c w), fun c => if h : w (Fin.last n) = j then p.2 c (Fin.init w) else p.1.2 ⟨w (Fin.last n), by simp [Outside, h]⟩ (Fin.cons c (Fin.init w))), fun k => roll n (p.1.2 k)) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_revealToRoll (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (revealToRoll M R n j) := by apply Measurable.prodMk · apply Measurable.of_eval intro w apply Measurable.prodMk · fun_prop · apply Measurable.of_eval intro c split_ifs <;> fun_prop · exact Measurable.of_eval (fun k => (roll n).measurable.comp ((measurable_pi_apply k).comp (measurable_snd.comp measurable_fst))) omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma rollToReveal_observation (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : rollToReveal M R n j ∘ rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1) = revealData M R n j := by funext y apply Prod.ext · apply Prod.ext · funext v simp [rollToReveal, rollData, revealData, rawData, amap, parameter, roll] · funext k change (roll n).symm ((planes n (Outside j) ∘ roll (n + 1)) y k) = _ rw [planes_roll] exact (roll n).symm_apply_apply _ · funext c v simp [rollToReveal, rollData, revealData, missingRow, amap, parameter, roll, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero', Fin.insertNth_last'] lemma revealToRoll_observation (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : revealToRoll M R n j ∘ revealData M R n j = rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1) := by funext y apply Prod.ext · funext w apply Prod.ext · rfl · funext c change (if h : w (Fin.last n) = j then missingRow M n j c y (Fin.init w) else planes (n + 1) (Outside j) y ⟨w (Fin.last n), by simp [Outside, h]⟩ (Fin.cons c (Fin.init w))) = _ split_ifs with h · simp only [missingRow, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero', Fin.insertNth_last'] rw [← h, Fin.snoc_init_self] rfl · simp only [planes, plane, Fin.insertNth_last'] rw [← cons_snoc, Fin.snoc_init_self] rfl · funext k exact congrFun (congrFun (planes_roll n (Outside j)) y) k |>.symm lemma comap_reveal_eq_rollData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : MeasurableSpace.comap (revealData M R n j) inferInstance = MeasurableSpace.comap (rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1)) inferInstance := by apply le_antisymm · rw [← rollToReveal_observation M R n j, ← MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] exact MeasurableSpace.comap_mono (measurable_rollToReveal M R n j).comap_le · rw [← revealToRoll_observation M R n j, ← MeasurableSpace.comap_comp] exact MeasurableSpace.comap_mono (measurable_revealToRoll M R n j).comap_le abbrev OldData (n : ℕ) (j : I) := Arr I M.U (n + 1) × (Outside j → Arr I M.Y n) def oldData (n : ℕ) (j : I) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) : OldData M n j := (amap M.par (n + 1) y, planes n (Outside j) y) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_oldData (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (oldData M n j) := (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).prodMk (measurable_planes _ _) def rowData (n : ℕ) (j c : I) (p : RawData M n j) : OldData M n j := (plane (n + 1) 0 c p.1, fun k => plane n 0 c (p.2 k)) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_rowData (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : Measurable (rowData M n j c) := ((measurable_plane _ _ _).comp measurable_fst).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp ((measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_snd))) def selectData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j c : I) (p : RollData M R n j) : OldData M n j := (amap (fun q => q.1 c) (n + 1) p.1, fun k => amap (Function.eval c) n (p.2 k)) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_selectData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : Measurable (selectData M R n j c) := by unfold selectData fun_prop omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma selectData_observation (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : selectData M R n j c ∘ rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1) = rowData M n j c ∘ rawData M n j := by funext y apply Prod.ext · funext v simp [selectData, rollData, rowData, rawData, amap, parameter, roll, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero'] · funext k v simp [selectData, rollData, rowData, rawData, amap, roll, plane, planes, Fin.insertNth_zero', Fin.insertNth_last', cons_snoc] end Object.Rolled end ArrayObjects namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) def IsConditional (R : Finset I) : Prop := ∀ n (J : Finset I), J ≠ Finset.univ → condDistrib (planes n J) (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)) (law M (n + 1)) =ᵐ[(law M (n + 1)).map (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1))] fun p => Measure.pi (fun j : J => condDistrib (id : Arr I (State M) n → Arr I (State M) n) (amap (parameter M R) n) (law M n) (plane n (Fin.last n) j p)) noncomputable def makeObject (R : Finset I) (hc : IsConditional M R) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) (hR : insert a R ≠ Finset.univ) : Object I base where Y := State M U := Parameter M R timeY := timeState M timeU := timeParameter M R x := M.x ∘ Function.eval a par := parameter M R measurable_x := M.measurable_x.comp (measurable_pi_apply a) measurable_par := measurable_parameter M R time_x := by funext y; exact congrFun M.time_x (y a) time_par := time_parameter M R law := law M probability := law_probability M invariant := invariant M over_base := fun n => over_base M n a consistent := consistent M proper := proper M conditional := hc local_independent := local_independent M R a ha hR noncomputable def extension (R : Finset I) (hc : IsConditional M R) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) (hR : insert a R ≠ Finset.univ) : Extension M (makeObject M R hc a ha hR) where state := Function.eval a parameter := fun p => p.1 a measurable_state := measurable_pi_apply a measurable_parameter := (measurable_pi_apply a).comp measurable_fst time_state := rfl time_parameter := rfl state_x := rfl state_par := rfl laws n := select_law M n a noncomputable def rowKernel (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : Kernel (RawData M n j) (Arr I M.Y n) := (condDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (oldData M n j) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (rowData M n j c) (measurable_rowData M n j c) instance rowKernel_markov (n : ℕ) (j c : I) : IsMarkovKernel (rowKernel M n j c) := by unfold rowKernel infer_instance lemma parent_reveal (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hc : IsConditional M R) (c : I) (hcR : c ∉ R) (hR : insert c R ≠ Finset.univ) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (missingRow M n j c) (revealData M R n j) ((rowKernel M n j c).prodMkRight (R → Arr I M.Y n)) (M.law (n + 2)) := by let N := makeObject M R hc c hcR hR let ext := extension M R hc c hcR hR have hs := hM.hasCondDistrib ext n (.enlarged j) (oldData M n j) (rollData M R n j) (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (selectData M R n j c) (measurable_oldData M n j) (measurable_rollData M R n j) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_selectData M R n j c) (by unfold Object.data oldData Outside exact (MeasurableSpace.comap_prodMk (mβ := inferInstance) (mγ := inferInstance) (amap M.par (n + 1)) (planes n (Outside j))).symm) (by unfold Object.data rollData Outside makeObject exact (MeasurableSpace.comap_prodMk (mβ := inferInstance) (mγ := inferInstance) (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)) (planes n (Outside j))).symm) rfl have hp := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (roll (Y := M.Y) (n + 1)) (M.law (n + 2)) (N.law (n + 1)) from ⟨(roll (n + 1)).measurable, rfl⟩) (measurable_rollData M R n j) hs have hobs : (plane n (Fin.last n) j ∘ amap (Function.eval c) (n + 1)) ∘ roll (n + 1) = missingRow M n j c := by rw [Function.comp_assoc, select_roll] rfl change HasCondDistrib ((plane n (Fin.last n) j ∘ amap (Function.eval c) (n + 1)) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1)) _ (M.law _) at hp rw [hobs] at hp apply ConditionalTransport.recondition ((measurable_rollData M R n j).comp (roll (n + 1)).measurable) (measurable_revealData M R n j) (measurable_missingRow M n j c) hp (comap_reveal_eq_rollData M R n j).symm apply Filter.Eventually.of_forall intro y change (condDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (oldData M n j) (M.law (n + 1))) ((selectData M R n j c ∘ rollData M R n j ∘ roll (n + 1)) y) = (condDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (oldData M n j) (M.law (n + 1))) ((rowData M n j c ∘ rawData M n j) y) rw [selectData_observation] lemma parent_joint (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (ih : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun c : R => missingRow M n j c y) (rawData M n j) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun c : R => rowKernel M n j c)) (M.law (n + 2)) := by apply ConditionalReveal.finite_reveal _ _ (measurable_rawData M n j) intro S hS c hc hcS have hstrict : S ⊂ R := (Finset.ssubset_iff_subset_ne).mpr ⟨hS, by intro he; subst S; exact hcS hc⟩ have hproper : insert c S ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have hle : (insert c S).card ≤ R.card := Finset.card_le_card (Finset.insert_subset hc hS) rw [he, Finset.card_univ] at hle omega exact parent_reveal M hM S (ih S hstrict) c hcS hproper n j end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace LocalConditioning open FiniteKernel ConditionalScreens variable {Ω X Y A : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace A] noncomputable def observe (κ : Kernel X Y) (a : X × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) : Kernel X (A × Y) := (κ ⊗ₖ Kernel.deterministic a ha).map Prod.swap instance (κ : Kernel X Y) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (a : X × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) : IsMarkovKernel (observe κ a ha) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map _ measurable_swap theorem observe_apply (κ : Kernel X Y) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (a : X × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) (x : X) : observe κ a ha x = (κ x).map (fun y => (a (x, y), y)) := by rw [observe, Kernel.map_apply _ measurable_swap, Kernel.compProd_apply_eq_compProd_sectR] have heq : Kernel.sectR (Kernel.deterministic a ha) x = Kernel.deterministic (fun y => a (x, y)) (ha.comp measurable_prodMk_left) := by ext y : 1 rfl rw [heq, Measure.compProd_deterministic] rw [Measure.map_map measurable_swap (by fun_prop)] rfl theorem deterministic {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {x : Ω → X} (hx : AEMeasurable x P) (a : X → A) (ha : Measurable a) : HasCondDistrib (a ∘ x) x (Kernel.deterministic a ha) P := by refine ⟨hx.prodMk (ha.comp_aemeasurable hx), ?_⟩ rw [Measure.compProd_deterministic, AEMeasurable.map_map_of_aemeasurable (by fun_prop) hx] rfl theorem hasCondDistrib_observe {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {x : Ω → X} {y : Ω → Y} {κ : Kernel X Y} [IsMarkovKernel κ] (h : HasCondDistrib y x κ P) (a : X × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => (a (x ω, y ω), y ω)) x (observe κ a ha) P := by have h' := chain h (deterministic h.aemeasurable a ha) exact h'.comp_left measurable_swap variable {ι : Type*} [Fintype ι] {O C : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (O i)] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (C i)] theorem observe_pi (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (a : ∀ i, X × O i → C i) (ha : ∀ i, Measurable (a i)) : observe (pi κ) (fun p : X × (∀ i, O i) => fun i => a i (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop) = (pi (fun i => observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i))).map (zipEquiv C O).symm := by ext x : 1 rw [observe_apply, Kernel.map_apply _ (zipEquiv C O).symm.measurable] simp only [pi_apply, observe_apply] rw [← Measure.pi_map_pi (fun i => (show Measurable (fun o => (a i (x, o), o)) by fun_prop).aemeasurable), Measure.map_map (zipEquiv C O).symm.measurable (by fun_prop)] rfl theorem compProd_comap {E : Type*} [MeasurableSpace E] (κ : Kernel E A) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (η : Kernel (E × A) Y) [IsMarkovKernel η] (e : X → E) (he : Measurable e) : (κ ⊗ₖ η).comap e he = κ.comap e he ⊗ₖ η.comap (fun p : X × A => (e p.1, p.2)) (by fun_prop) := by ext x s hs simp only [Kernel.comap_apply, Kernel.compProd_apply hs] theorem observe_comap {E : Type*} [MeasurableSpace E] (κ : Kernel E Y) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (a : E × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) (e : X → E) (he : Measurable e) : observe (κ.comap e he) (fun p : X × Y => a (e p.1, p.2)) (by fun_prop) = (observe κ a ha).comap e he := by ext x : 1 simp only [observe_apply, Kernel.comap_apply] theorem disintegrate_pi (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (C i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (η : ∀ i, Kernel (X × C i) (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (η i)] : (pi (fun i => κ i ⊗ₖ η i)).map (zipEquiv C O).symm = pi κ ⊗ₖ pi (fun i => (η i).comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, C i) => (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop)) := by rw [← pi_compProd, ← Kernel.map_comp_right _ (zipEquiv C O).measurable (zipEquiv C O).symm.measurable] convert Kernel.map_id _ using 1 ext x i rfl theorem hasCondDistrib_update {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {x : Ω → X} {o : Ω → ∀ i, O i} (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (a : ∀ i, X × O i → C i) (ha : ∀ i, Measurable (a i)) (M : ∀ i, Kernel X (C i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (M i)] (Q : ∀ i, Kernel (X × C i) (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (Q i)] (hd : ∀ i, observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i) = M i ⊗ₖ Q i) (ho : HasCondDistrib o x (pi κ) P) : HasCondDistrib o (fun ω => (x ω, fun i => a i (x ω, o ω i))) (pi (fun i => (Q i).comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, C i) => (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop))) P := by have h := hasCondDistrib_observe ho (fun p : X × (∀ i, O i) => fun i => a i (p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop) have hpi : pi (fun i => observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i)) = pi (fun i => M i ⊗ₖ Q i) := by ext x : 1 simp only [pi_apply, hd] rw [observe_pi κ a ha, hpi, disintegrate_pi] at h exact h.of_compProd theorem hasCondDistrib_local_update {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {E : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (E i)] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace.CountablyGenerated (C i)] [∀ i, StandardBorelSpace (O i)] [∀ i, Nonempty (O i)] {x : Ω → X} {o : Ω → ∀ i, O i} (e : ∀ i, X → E i) (he : ∀ i, Measurable (e i)) (κ : ∀ i, Kernel (E i) (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (a : ∀ i, E i × O i → C i) (ha : ∀ i, Measurable (a i)) (ho : HasCondDistrib o x (pi (fun i => (κ i).comap (e i) (he i))) P) : HasCondDistrib o (fun ω => (x ω, fun i => a i (e i (x ω), o ω i))) (pi (fun i => (observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i)).condKernel.comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, C i) => (e i p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop))) P := by let M (i : ι) : Kernel X (C i) := (observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i)).fst.comap (e i) (he i) let Q (i : ι) : Kernel (X × C i) (O i) := (observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i)).condKernel.comap (fun p : X × C i => (e i p.1, p.2)) (by fun_prop) have hd (i : ι) : observe ((κ i).comap (e i) (he i)) (fun p : X × O i => a i (e i p.1, p.2)) (by fun_prop) = M i ⊗ₖ Q i := by rw [observe_comap] dsimp only [M, Q] rw [← compProd_comap, Kernel.disintegrate] have h := hasCondDistrib_update (fun i => (κ i).comap (e i) (he i)) (fun i => fun p : X × O i => a i (e i p.1, p.2)) (by intro i; fun_prop) M Q hd ho convert h using 1 ext x : 1 rfl theorem hasCondDistrib_posterior [MeasurableSpace.CountablyGenerated A] [StandardBorelSpace Y] [Nonempty Y] {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {x : Ω → X} {y : Ω → Y} {κ : Kernel X Y} [IsMarkovKernel κ] (ho : HasCondDistrib y x κ P) (a : X × Y → A) (ha : Measurable a) : HasCondDistrib y (fun ω => (x ω, a (x ω, y ω))) (observe κ a ha).condKernel P := by have h := hasCondDistrib_observe ho a ha rw [← Kernel.disintegrate (observe κ a ha) (observe κ a ha).condKernel] at h exact h.of_compProd theorem local_conditioning {P : Measure Ω} [SFinite P] {E : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (E i)] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace.CountablyGenerated (C i)] [∀ i, StandardBorelSpace (O i)] [∀ i, Nonempty (O i)] {B : Type*} [MeasurableSpace B] {x : Ω → X} {o : Ω → ∀ i, O i} {b : Ω → B} (e : ∀ i, X → E i) (he : ∀ i, Measurable (e i)) (κ : ∀ i, Kernel (E i) (O i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (a : ∀ i, E i × O i → C i) (ha : ∀ i, Measurable (a i)) (L : Kernel (X × (∀ i, C i)) B) [IsMarkovKernel L] (ho : HasCondDistrib o x (pi (fun i => (κ i).comap (e i) (he i))) P) (hb : HasCondDistrib b (fun ω => (x ω, o ω)) (L.comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, O i) => (p.1, fun i => a i (e i p.1, p.2 i))) (by fun_prop)) P) : HasCondDistrib o (fun ω => ((x ω, fun i => a i (e i (x ω), o ω i)), b ω)) ((pi (fun i => (observe (κ i) (a i) (ha i)).condKernel.comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, C i) => (e i p.1, p.2 i)) (by fun_prop))).prodMkRight B) P := by have hu := hasCondDistrib_local_update e he κ a ha ho let f : X × (∀ i, O i) → (X × (∀ i, C i)) × (∀ i, O i) := fun p => ((p.1, fun i => a i (e i p.1, p.2 i)), p.2) have hf : Measurable f := by dsimp [f]; fun_prop have heq : (L.prodMkRight (∀ i, O i)).comap f hf = L.comap (fun p : X × (∀ i, O i) => (p.1, fun i => a i (e i p.1, p.2 i))) (by fun_prop) := by ext p : 1 rfl have hb' : HasCondDistrib b (fun ω => (x ω, o ω)) ((L.prodMkRight (∀ i, O i)).comap f hf) P := by rw [heq]; exact hb exact screening hu L hb'.comp_right end LocalConditioning namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled section variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) def parameterEquiv (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Arr I (Parameter M R) n ≃ᵐ (Arr I M.U (n + 1) × (R → Arr I M.Y n)) where toFun p := (fun v => (p (Fin.tail v)).1 (v 0), fun c w => (p w).2 c) invFun p w := (fun c => p.1 (Fin.cons c w), fun c => p.2 c w) left_inv p := by funext w; rfl right_inv p := by apply Prod.ext <;> funext v <;> simp measurable_toFun := by exact (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_fst.comp (measurable_pi_apply _)))).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_snd.comp (measurable_pi_apply _))))) measurable_invFun := by exact Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_fst)).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp ((measurable_pi_apply _).comp measurable_snd)))) def parents (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) : R → Arr I M.Y n := fun c => plane n 0 c y @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_parents (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (parents M R n) := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_plane _ _ _) lemma parameterEquiv_observation (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : parameterEquiv M R n ∘ amap (parameter M R) n ∘ roll n = fun y => (amap M.par (n + 1) y, parents M R n y) := by funext y apply Prod.ext · funext v; simp [parameterEquiv, amap, parameter, roll] · funext c w; simp [parameterEquiv, amap, parameter, roll, parents, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero'] def posterior (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Kernel (Arr I M.U (n + 1) × (R → Arr I M.Y n)) (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := (LocalConditioning.observe (M.ownKernel (n + 1)) (fun p => parents M R n p.2) ((measurable_parents M R n).comp measurable_snd)).condKernel instance posterior_markov (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : IsMarkovKernel (posterior M R n) := by unfold posterior infer_instance def ownPosterior (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Kernel (Arr I (Parameter M R) n) (Arr I (State M) n) := ((posterior M R n).map (roll n)).comap (parameterEquiv M R n) (parameterEquiv M R n).measurable instance ownPosterior_markov (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : IsMarkovKernel (ownPosterior M R n) := by unfold ownPosterior let := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map (posterior M R n) (roll n).measurable infer_instance lemma roll_symm_preserving (n : ℕ) : MeasurePreserving (roll (I := I) (Y := M.Y) n).symm (law M n) (M.law (n + 1)) := by refine ⟨(roll n).symm.measurable, ?_⟩ rw [law, Measure.map_map (roll n).symm.measurable (roll n).measurable] simp lemma ownPosterior_conditional (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib id (amap (parameter M R) n) (ownPosterior M R n) (law M n) := by have h := LocalConditioning.hasCondDistrib_posterior (M.ownKernel_conditional (n + 1)) (fun p => parents M R n p.2) ((measurable_parents M R n).comp measurable_snd) change HasCondDistrib id (fun y => (amap M.par (n + 1) y, parents M R n y)) (posterior M R n) (M.law _) at h have h' := (h.comp_left (roll n).measurable).measurableEquiv_comp_right (parameterEquiv M R n).symm have hobs : (parameterEquiv M R n).symm ∘ (fun y => (amap M.par (n + 1) y, parents M R n y)) = amap (parameter M R) n ∘ roll n := by rw [← parameterEquiv_observation] funext y exact (parameterEquiv M R n).symm_apply_apply _ rw [hobs] at h' have hout := ConditionalTransport.pullback (roll_symm_preserving M n) ((measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) n).comp (roll n).measurable) h' simpa only [ownPosterior, MeasurableEquiv.symm_symm, Function.comp_assoc, MeasurableEquiv.self_comp_symm, Function.comp_id, Function.id_comp] using hout end variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) abbrev ParentOutside (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) := Arr I M.U (n + 2) × (Outside j → R → Arr I M.Y n) abbrev ScreenData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) := ParentOutside M R n j × (R → Arr I M.Y n) def parentOutside (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : RawData M n j) : ParentOutside M R n j := (p.1, fun k => parents M R n (p.2 k)) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_parentOutside (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (parentOutside M R n j) := by unfold parentOutside fun_prop def parentRow (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (c : R) (p : ParentOutside M R n j) : OldData M n j := (plane (n + 1) 0 c p.1, fun k => p.2 k c) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_parentRow (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (c : R) : Measurable (parentRow M R n j c) := by unfold parentRow fun_prop def parentsKernel (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Kernel (ParentOutside M R n j) (R → Arr I M.Y n) := FiniteKernel.pi (fun c : R => (condDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (oldData M n j) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (parentRow M R n j c) (measurable_parentRow M R n j c)) instance parentsKernel_markov (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : IsMarkovKernel (parentsKernel M R n j) := by unfold parentsKernel infer_instance omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma parentsKernel_comap (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : (parentsKernel M R n j).comap (parentOutside M R n j) (measurable_parentOutside M R n j) = FiniteKernel.pi (fun c : R => rowKernel M n j c) := by ext p : 1 rfl def screenData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : ScreenData M R n j := (parentOutside M R n j (rawData M n j y), fun c => missingRow M n j c y) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_screenData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (screenData M R n j) := by unfold screenData exact ((measurable_parentOutside M R n j).comp (measurable_rawData M n j)).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun c => measurable_missingRow M n j c)) def screenKernel (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Kernel (ScreenData M R n j) (Outside j → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := (FiniteKernel.pi (fun k : Outside j => (posterior M R n).comap (fun p : ParentOutside M R n j => (plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) k p.1, p.2 k)) (by fun_prop))).prodMkRight (R → Arr I M.Y n) instance screenKernel_markov (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : IsMarkovKernel (screenKernel M R n j) := by unfold screenKernel infer_instance lemma screen_conditional (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (ih : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (planes (n + 1) (Outside j)) (screenData M R n j) (screenKernel M R n j) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have hproper : Outside j ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have hj : j ∈ Outside j := he.symm ▸ Finset.mem_univ j simp [Outside] at hj have hb := parent_joint M hM R hR ih n j rw [← parentsKernel_comap] at hb exact LocalConditioning.local_conditioning (fun k : Outside j => plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) (k : I)) (fun _ => measurable_plane _ _ _) (fun _ => M.ownKernel (n + 1)) (fun _ => fun p => parents M R n p.2) (fun _ => (measurable_parents M R n).comp measurable_snd) (parentsKernel M R n j) (M.planes_conditional (n + 1) (Outside j) hproper) hb def screenEquiv (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Arr I (Parameter M R) (n + 1) ≃ᵐ ScreenData M R n j where toFun p := ((fun v => (p (Fin.tail v)).1 (v 0), fun k c v => (p (Fin.snoc v (k : I))).2 c), fun c v => (p (Fin.snoc v j)).2 c) invFun p w := (fun c => p.1.1 (Fin.cons c w), fun c => if h : w (Fin.last n) = j then p.2 c (Fin.init w) else p.1.2 ⟨w (Fin.last n), by simp [Outside, h]⟩ c (Fin.init w)) left_inv p := by funext w apply Prod.ext · rfl · funext c dsimp only split_ifs with h · rw [← h, Fin.snoc_init_self] · rw [Fin.snoc_init_self] right_inv p := by apply Prod.ext · apply Prod.ext · funext v; simp · funext k c v have hk : (k : I) ≠ j := @Finset.ne_of_mem_erase I (fun a b => Classical.propDecidable (a = b)) _ _ _ k.property simp [hk] · funext c v simp measurable_toFun := by exact ((Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_fst.comp (measurable_pi_apply _)))).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_snd.comp (measurable_pi_apply _))))))).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_pi_apply _).comp (measurable_snd.comp (measurable_pi_apply _))))) measurable_invFun := by apply Measurable.of_eval intro w apply Measurable.prodMk · fun_prop · apply Measurable.of_eval intro c split_ifs <;> fun_prop lemma screenEquiv_observation (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : screenEquiv M R n j ∘ amap (parameter M R) (n + 1) ∘ roll (n + 1) = screenData M R n j := by funext y apply Prod.ext · apply Prod.ext · funext v; simp [screenEquiv, screenData, parentOutside, rawData, amap, parameter, roll] · funext k c v simp [screenEquiv, screenData, parentOutside, rawData, parents, planes, plane, amap, parameter, roll, Fin.insertNth_zero', Fin.insertNth_last', cons_snoc] · funext c v simp [screenEquiv, screenData, amap, parameter, roll, missingRow, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero', Fin.insertNth_last'] lemma screen_plane_parameters (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : Arr I (Parameter M R) (n + 1)) (k : Outside j) : (plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) (k : I) (screenEquiv M R n j p).1.1, (screenEquiv M R n j p).1.2 k) = parameterEquiv M R n (plane n (Fin.last n) (k : I) p) := by apply Prod.ext · funext v obtain ⟨c, w, rfl⟩ := Fin.exists_cons v simp [screenEquiv, parameterEquiv, plane, Fin.insertNth_last', ← cons_snoc] · funext c w simp [screenEquiv, parameterEquiv, plane, Fin.insertNth_last'] lemma screenKernel_roll (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : ((screenKernel M R n j).map (fun z k => roll n (z k))).comap (screenEquiv M R n j) (screenEquiv M R n j).measurable = FiniteKernel.pi (fun k : Outside j => (ownPosterior M R n).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) k) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) := by ext p : 1 rw [Kernel.comap_apply] have hm : Measurable (fun z : Outside j → Arr I M.Y (n + 1) => fun k => roll n (z k)) := by fun_prop rw [Kernel.map_apply _ hm] change (Measure.pi (fun k : Outside j => posterior M R n (plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) (k : I) (screenEquiv M R n j p).1.1, (screenEquiv M R n j p).1.2 k))).map (fun z k => roll n (z k)) = _ rw [Measure.pi_map_pi (fun _ => (roll n).measurable.aemeasurable)] congr 1 funext k rw [screen_plane_parameters] change _ = ((posterior M R n).map (roll n)) _ rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (roll n).measurable] lemma outside_conditional (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (ih : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (planes n (Outside j)) (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun k : Outside j => (ownPosterior M R n).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) k) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (law M (n + 1)) := by have h := screen_conditional M hM R hR ih n j have h' := (h.comp_left (Measurable.of_eval (fun k => (roll n).measurable.comp (measurable_pi_apply k)))).measurableEquiv_comp_right (screenEquiv M R n j).symm change HasCondDistrib ((fun z k => roll n (z k)) ∘ planes (n + 1) (Outside j)) ((screenEquiv M R n j).symm ∘ screenData M R n j) (((screenKernel M R n j).map (fun z k => roll n (z k))).comap (screenEquiv M R n j) (screenEquiv M R n j).measurable) (M.law (n + 2)) at h' rw [screenKernel_roll, ← planes_roll] at h' have hobs : (screenEquiv M R n j).symm ∘ screenData M R n j = amap (parameter M R) (n + 1) ∘ roll (n + 1) := by rw [← screenEquiv_observation] funext y exact (screenEquiv M R n j).symm_apply_apply _ rw [hobs] at h' have hout := ConditionalTransport.pullback (roll_symm_preserving M (n + 1)) ((measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _).comp (roll (n + 1)).measurable) h' simpa only [Function.comp_assoc, MeasurableEquiv.self_comp_symm, Function.comp_id] using hout end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace FiniteKernel open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory lemma measure_pi_precomp {ι τ : Type*} [Fintype ι] [Fintype τ] {Y : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] (μ : ∀ i, Measure (Y i)) [∀ i, IsProbabilityMeasure (μ i)] (e : τ ↪ ι) : (Measure.pi μ).map (fun y i => y (e i)) = Measure.pi (fun i => μ (e i)) := by have hi : iIndepFun (fun i : ι => Function.eval i) (Measure.pi μ) := iIndepFun_pi (fun _ => measurable_id.aemeasurable) rw [(hi.precomp e.injective).map_fun_eq_pi_map (fun i => (measurable_pi_apply (e i)).aemeasurable)] congr 1 funext i exact (measurePreserving_eval μ (e i)).map_eq lemma pi_precomp {ι τ X : Type*} [Fintype ι] [Fintype τ] {Y : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] [MeasurableSpace X] (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (e : τ ↪ ι) : (pi κ).map (fun y i => y (e i)) = pi (fun i => κ (e i)) := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (by fun_prop)] exact measure_pi_precomp _ e end FiniteKernel namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) lemma proper_conditional (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (ih : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S) (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) : HasCondDistrib (planes n J) (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun k : J => (ownPosterior M R n).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) k) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (law M (n + 1)) := by have hj : ∃ j, j ∉ J := by by_contra! h exact hJ (Finset.eq_univ_of_forall h) obtain ⟨j, hj⟩ := hj let e : J ↪ Outside j := ⟨fun k => ⟨k, by have hk : (k : I) ≠ j := by intro he; exact hj (he ▸ k.property) simpa [Outside] using And.intro hk (Finset.mem_univ (k : I))⟩, fun x y h => Subtype.ext (show (x : I) = (y : I) from congrArg (fun v : Outside j => (v : I)) h)⟩ have h := (outside_conditional M hM R hR ih n j).comp_left (show Measurable (fun z : Outside j → Arr I (State M) n => fun k => z (e k)) by fun_prop) rw [FiniteKernel.pi_precomp] at h exact h omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma parameter_plane_preserving (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : MeasurePreserving (plane n (Fin.last n) j) ((law M (n + 1)).map (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1))) ((law M n).map (amap (parameter M R) n)) := by refine ⟨measurable_plane _ _ _, ?_⟩ rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _), plane_amap, ← Measure.map_map (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _) (measurable_plane _ _ _), consistent] lemma conditional_step (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (ih : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S) : IsConditional M R := by intro n J hJ have ho := condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd (ownPosterior_conditional M R n).aemeasurable_fst measurable_id.aemeasurable (ownPosterior_conditional M R n).map_eq have hp := condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd (proper_conditional M hM R hR ih n J hJ).aemeasurable_fst (measurable_planes n J).aemeasurable (proper_conditional M hM R hR ih n J hJ).map_eq have hplanes : ∀ᵐ p ∂(law M (n + 1)).map (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)), ∀ j : J, condDistrib id (amap (parameter M R) n) (law M n) (plane n (Fin.last n) j p) = ownPosterior M R n (plane n (Fin.last n) j p) := by rw [ae_all_iff] intro j exact (parameter_plane_preserving M R n j).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp ho filter_upwards [hp, hplanes] with p hp he exact hp.trans (congrArg Measure.pi (funext fun j => (he j).symm)) theorem isConditional (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) : IsConditional M R := by have hall : ∀ R : Finset I, R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I → IsConditional M R := by intro R refine Finset.strongInductionOn R ?_ intro R ih hc apply conditional_step M hM R hc intro S hS exact ih S hS (le_trans (Nat.add_le_add_right (Finset.card_le_card hS.1) 2) hc) exact hall R hR lemma insert_proper (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) : insert a R ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have h := congrArg Finset.card he rw [Finset.card_insert_of_notMem ha, Finset.card_univ] at h omega def object (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) : Object I base := makeObject M R (isConditional M hM R hR) a ha (insert_proper R hR a ha) def objectExtension (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) : Extension M (object M hM R hR a ha) := extension M R (isConditional M hM R hR) a ha (insert_proper R hR a ha) lemma row_reveal (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (fun y => (amap M.par (n + 2) y, parents M R (n + 1) y)) (((M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)).prodMkRight (R → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by let N := object M hM R hR a ha let e := objectExtension M hM R hR a ha let p : Arr I (Parameter M R) (n + 1) → Arr I M.U (n + 1) := amap (fun z => z.1 a) (n + 1) have hpm : Measurable p := measurable_amap ((measurable_pi_apply a).comp measurable_fst) _ have hs := hM.hasCondDistrib e n .parameter (amap M.par (n + 1)) (amap (parameter M R) (n + 1)) id p (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _) measurable_id hpm rfl rfl rfl have hp := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (roll (Y := M.Y) (n + 1)) (M.law (n + 2)) (N.law (n + 1)) from ⟨(roll (n + 1)).measurable, rfl⟩) (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _) hs have h := hp.measurableEquiv_comp_right (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)) change HasCondDistrib ((id ∘ amap (Function.eval a) (n + 1)) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1) ∘ amap (parameter M R) (n + 1) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (((M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap p hpm).comap (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm.measurable) (M.law (n + 2)) at h rw [Function.id_comp, select_roll, parameterEquiv_observation] at h have hk : (((M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap p hpm).comap (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm.measurable) = (((M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)).prodMkRight (R → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) := by ext z : 1 change M.ownKernel (n + 1) (p ((parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm z)) = M.ownKernel (n + 1) (plane (n + 1) 0 a z.1) congr 1 funext v change z.1 (Fin.cons a v) = z.1 ((0 : Fin (n + 2)).insertNth a v) rw [Fin.insertNth_zero'] rw [hk] at h exact h theorem rows_conditional (hM : M.IsSaturated) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun a : J => plane (n + 1) 0 (a : I) y) (amap M.par (n + 2)) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun a : J => (M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 (a : I)) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by apply ConditionalReveal.finite_reveal (M.law (n + 2)) (amap M.par (n + 2)) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (fun a : I => plane (n + 1) 0 a) (fun a : I => (M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) J intro R hRJ a ha haR have hstrict : R ⊂ J := (Finset.ssubset_iff_subset_ne).mpr ⟨hRJ, by intro he; subst R; exact haR ha⟩ have hcardR := Finset.card_lt_card hstrict have hcardJ := Finset.card_lt_card ((Finset.ssubset_iff_subset_ne).mpr ⟨Finset.subset_univ J, hJ⟩) rw [Finset.card_univ] at hcardJ exact row_reveal M hM R (by omega) a haR n theorem single_cell_locality (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (ha : a ∉ R) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (missingRow M 0 j a) (revealData M R 0 j) ((rowKernel M 0 j a).prodMkRight (R → Arr I M.Y 0)) (M.law 2) := parent_reveal M hM R (isConditional M hM R hR) a ha (insert_proper R hR a ha) 0 j end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace ConditionalReveal variable {Ω D B ι : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace D] [MeasurableSpace B] [StandardBorelSpace B] [Nonempty B] [DecidableEq ι] omit [MeasurableSpace Ω] [StandardBorelSpace B] [Nonempty B] in lemma comap_union_reveal (E : Ω → D) (y : ι → Ω → B) (P S : Finset ι) : MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => (E ω, fun i : ↥(P ∪ S) => y i ω)) inferInstance = MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => ((E ω, fun i : P => y i ω), fun i : S => y i ω)) inferInstance := by simp only [inferInstance, Prod.instMeasurableSpace, MeasurableSpace.comap_prodMk, MeasurableSpace.comap_process_pi] have hu : (⨆ i : ↥(P ∪ S), MeasurableSpace.comap (y i) inferInstance) = (⨆ i : P, MeasurableSpace.comap (y i) inferInstance) ⊔ (⨆ i : S, MeasurableSpace.comap (y i) inferInstance) := by apply le_antisymm · refine iSup_le (fun i => ?_) rcases Finset.mem_union.mp i.property with hi | hi · apply le_sup_of_le_left exact le_iSup_of_le (⟨i, hi⟩ : P) le_rfl · apply le_sup_of_le_right exact le_iSup_of_le (⟨i, hi⟩ : S) le_rfl · apply sup_le · exact iSup_le (fun i => le_iSup_of_le ⟨i, Finset.mem_union_left S i.property⟩ le_rfl) · exact iSup_le (fun i => le_iSup_of_le ⟨i, Finset.mem_union_right P i.property⟩ le_rfl) rw [hu, sup_assoc] theorem finite_reveal_with_parents (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (E : Ω → D) (hE : Measurable E) (y : ι → Ω → B) (hy : ∀ i, Measurable (y i)) (κ : ι → Kernel D B) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (P A : Finset ι) (h : ∀ S ⊆ A, ∀ i ∈ A, i ∉ S → HasCondDistrib (y i) (fun ω => (E ω, fun j : ↥(P ∪ S) => y j ω)) ((κ i).prodMkRight (↥(P ∪ S) → B)) μ) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => fun i : A => y i ω) (fun ω => (E ω, fun j : P => y j ω)) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun i : A => (κ i).prodMkRight (P → B))) μ := by apply finite_reveal μ (fun ω => (E ω, fun j : P => y j ω)) (hE.prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun j => hy j))) y (fun i => (κ i).prodMkRight (P → B)) A intro S hS i hi hiS apply ConditionalTransport.recondition (hE.prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun j : ↥(P ∪ S) => hy j))) ((hE.prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun j : P => hy j))).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun j : S => hy j))) (hy i) (h S hS i hi hiS) · exact comap_union_reveal E y P S · exact Filter.Eventually.of_forall (fun _ => rfl) end ConditionalReveal namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) theorem grouped_single_missing (hM : M.IsSaturated) (P A : Finset I) (hPA : Disjoint P A) (hcard : P.card + A.card + 1 ≤ Fintype.card I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun a : A => missingRow M n j a y) (revealData M P n j) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun a : A => (rowKernel M n j a).prodMkRight (P → Arr I M.Y n))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by apply ConditionalReveal.finite_reveal_with_parents (M.law (n + 2)) (rawData M n j) (measurable_rawData M n j) (fun a => missingRow M n j a) (fun a => measurable_missingRow M n j a) (fun a => rowKernel M n j a) P A intro S hSA a ha haS have haP : a ∉ P := fun hp => Finset.disjoint_left.mp hPA hp ha have hcS : S.card < A.card := Finset.card_lt_card ((Finset.ssubset_iff_subset_ne).mpr ⟨hSA, by intro he; subst S; exact haS ha⟩) have hcU := Finset.card_union_le P S have hc : (P ∪ S).card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I := by omega have haU : a ∉ P ∪ S := by simpa only [Finset.mem_union, not_or] using And.intro haP haS exact parent_reveal M hM (P ∪ S) (isConditional M hM (P ∪ S) hc) a haU (insert_proper _ hc a haU) n j end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace ConditionalScreens variable {Ω S Z O : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace S] [MeasurableSpace Z] [StandardBorelSpace Z] [Nonempty Z] [MeasurableSpace O] [StandardBorelSpace O] [Nonempty O] theorem reverse_screen {μ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] {s : Ω → S} {z : Ω → Z} {o : Ω → O} (hs : Measurable s) (hz : Measurable z) (ho : Measurable o) (f : Z → S) (hf : Measurable f) (g : O → S) (hg : Measurable g) (hsz : s = f ∘ z) (hso : s = g ∘ o) (κ : Kernel S O) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (l : Kernel S Z) [IsMarkovKernel l] (hκ : HasCondDistrib o s κ μ) (hl : HasCondDistrib z o (l.comap g hg) μ) : HasCondDistrib o z (κ.comap f hf) μ := by have hl' : HasCondDistrib z (fun ω => (s ω, o ω)) (l.prodMkRight O) μ := by apply ConditionalTransport.recondition ho (hs.prodMk ho) hz hl · apply le_antisymm · exact ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor measurable_snd rfl · apply ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor (hg.prodMk measurable_id) simpa only [Function.comp_def, id_eq] using congrArg (fun v => fun ω => (v ω, o ω)) hso · filter_upwards [] with ω change l (g (o ω)) = l (s ω) rw [hso]; rfl have hh := screening hκ l hl' apply ConditionalTransport.recondition (hs.prodMk hz) hz ho hh · apply le_antisymm · apply ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor (hf.prodMk measurable_id) simpa only [Function.comp_def, id_eq] using congrArg (fun v => fun ω => (v ω, z ω)) hsz · exact ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor measurable_snd rfl · filter_upwards [] with ω change κ (s ω) = κ (f (z ω)) rw [hsz]; rfl end ConditionalScreens namespace FiniteKernel variable {ι : Type*} [Fintype ι] {Y S : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] [∀ i, StandardBorelSpace (Y i)] [∀ i, Nonempty (Y i)] [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (S i)] theorem independent_observation (μ : ∀ i, Measure (Y i)) [∀ i, IsProbabilityMeasure (μ i)] (f : ∀ i, Y i → S i) (hf : ∀ i, Measurable (f i)) : HasCondDistrib (id : (∀ i, Y i) → (∀ i, Y i)) (fun y i => f i (y i)) (pi (fun i => (condDistrib id (f i) (μ i)).comap (Function.eval i) (measurable_pi_apply i))) (Measure.pi μ) := by refine ⟨((Measurable.of_eval (fun i => (hf i).comp (measurable_pi_apply i))).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ let (i : ι) : IsProbabilityMeasure ((μ i).map (f i)) := (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) (hf i).aemeasurable apply (zipEquiv S Y).measurableEmbedding.map_injective rw [Measure.pi_map_pi (fun i => (hf i).aemeasurable), compProd_pi] rw [Measure.map_map (zipEquiv S Y).measurable (by fun_prop)] change (Measure.pi μ).map (fun y i => (f i (y i), y i)) = Measure.pi (fun i => (μ i).map (f i) ⊗ₘ condDistrib id (f i) (μ i)) calc _ = Measure.pi (fun i => (μ i).map (fun y => (f i y, y))) := Measure.pi_map_pi (fun i => ((hf i).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable) _ = _ := ?_ congr 1 funext i exact (compProd_map_condDistrib (μ := μ i) (X := f i) (Y := id) (hf i).aemeasurable measurable_id.aemeasurable).symm end FiniteKernel namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) lemma outside_row_screen (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a j₀ : I) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀)) ((condDistrib id (planes n (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (fun o : Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y (n + 1) => fun j => plane n 0 a (o j)) (Measurable.of_eval (fun j => (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_pi_apply j)))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have hR : (∅ : Finset I).card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I := by simpa using hI let N := object M hM ∅ hR a (Finset.notMem_empty a) let e := objectExtension M hM ∅ hR a (Finset.notMem_empty a) let p : (Outside j₀ → Arr I (State M) n) → (Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y n) := fun o j => amap (Function.eval a) n (o j) have hpm : Measurable p := Measurable.of_eval (fun j => (measurable_amap (measurable_pi_apply a) n).comp (measurable_pi_apply j)) have hs := hM.hasCondDistrib e n (.outside j₀) (planes n (Outside j₀)) (planes (Y := State M) n (Outside j₀)) (id : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) p (measurable_planes _ _) (measurable_planes _ _) measurable_id hpm rfl rfl rfl have hp := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (roll (Y := M.Y) (n + 1)) (M.law (n + 2)) (N.law (n + 1)) from ⟨(roll (n + 1)).measurable, rfl⟩) (measurable_planes _ _) hs let E : (Outside j₀ → Arr I (State M) n) ≃ᵐ (Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := MeasurableEquiv.piCongrRight (fun _ => (roll n).symm) change HasCondDistrib ((id ∘ amap (Function.eval a) (n + 1)) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (planes (Y := State M) n (Outside j₀) ∘ roll (n + 1)) ((condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) (planes n (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 1))).comap p hpm) (M.law (n + 2)) at hp have h := hp.measurableEquiv_comp_right E change HasCondDistrib ((id ∘ amap (Function.eval a) (n + 1)) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (E ∘ planes n (Outside j₀) ∘ roll (n + 1)) (((condDistrib id (planes n (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 1))).comap p hpm).comap E.symm E.symm.measurable) (M.law (n + 2)) at h have he : E ∘ planes n (Outside j₀) ∘ roll (n + 1) = planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀) := by rw [planes_roll] funext y j change (roll n).symm (roll n (planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀) y j)) = _ exact (roll n).symm_apply_apply _ rw [Function.id_comp, select_roll, he] at h convert h using 1 ext o : 1 change condDistrib id (planes n (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 1)) (fun j => plane n 0 a (o j)) = condDistrib id (planes n (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 1)) (p (E.symm o)) congr 1 funext j exact (congrFun (select_roll n a) (o j)).symm omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma plane_first_last (n : ℕ) (a j : I) : plane (Y := M.Y) n 0 a ∘ plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) j = plane n (Fin.last n) j ∘ plane (n + 1) 0 a := by funext y v change y ((Fin.last (n + 1)).insertNth j ((0 : Fin (n + 1)).insertNth a v)) = y ((0 : Fin (n + 2)).insertNth a ((Fin.last n).insertNth j v)) simp only [Fin.insertNth_last', Fin.insertNth_zero'] rw [cons_snoc] theorem columns_given_row (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a j₀ : I) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀)) (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => (condDistrib id (plane n 0 a) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by let f : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y n := planes n (Outside j₀) let g : (Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) → Outside j₀ → Arr I M.Y n := fun o j => plane n 0 a (o j) have hf : Measurable f := measurable_planes _ _ have hg : Measurable g := Measurable.of_eval (fun j => (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_pi_apply j)) let κ := FiniteKernel.pi (fun _j : Outside j₀ => (condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) (plane n 0 a) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (Function.eval _j) (measurable_pi_apply _j)) let l := condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y (n + 1) → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) f (M.law (n + 1)) have hJ : Outside j₀ ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have hj : j₀ ∈ Outside j₀ := he ▸ Finset.mem_univ j₀ simp only [Outside, Finset.mem_erase, ne_eq, not_true_eq_false, false_and] at hj have ho : MeasurePreserving (planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀)) (M.law (n + 2)) (Measure.pi (fun _ : Outside j₀ => M.law (n + 1))) := ⟨measurable_planes _ _, M.proper _ _ hJ⟩ have hk := ConditionalTransport.pullback ho hg (FiniteKernel.independent_observation (fun _ : Outside j₀ => M.law (n + 1)) (fun _ => plane n 0 a) (fun _ => measurable_plane _ _ _)) have hs : g ∘ planes (n + 1) (Outside j₀) = f ∘ plane (n + 1) 0 a := by funext y j exact congrFun (plane_first_last M n a j) y have h := ConditionalScreens.reverse_screen (hg.comp (measurable_planes _ _)) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_planes _ _) f hf g hg hs rfl κ l hk (outside_row_screen M hM hI a j₀ n) convert h using 1 ext z : 1 rfl end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace FiniteKernel lemma map_eval {ι X : Type*} [Fintype ι] [MeasurableSpace X] {Y : ι → Type*} [∀ i, MeasurableSpace (Y i)] (κ : ∀ i, Kernel X (Y i)) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] (i : ι) : (pi κ).map (Function.eval i) = κ i := by ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_pi_apply i)] exact (measurePreserving_eval (fun j => κ j x) i).map_eq end FiniteKernel namespace ArrayObjects.Object variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma plane_conditional (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (n : ℕ) (a : I) : HasCondDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) a) (amap M.par (n + 1)) ((M.ownKernel n).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) (M.law (n + 1)) := by have hproper : ({a} : Finset I) ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have hc := congrArg Finset.card he simp only [Finset.card_singleton, Finset.card_univ] at hc omega have h := (M.planes_conditional n {a} hproper).comp_left (measurable_pi_apply (⟨a, Finset.mem_singleton_self a⟩ : ({a} : Finset I))) rw [FiniteKernel.map_eval] at h exact h omit [DecidableEq I] in noncomputable def parameterLaw (n : ℕ) : Measure (Arr I M.U n) := (M.law n).map (amap M.par n) omit [DecidableEq I] in instance parameterLaw_probability (n : ℕ) : IsProbabilityMeasure (M.parameterLaw n) := (fun mapMeasurable => (Measure.isProbabilityMeasure_map_iff mapMeasurable).mpr inferInstance) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par n).aemeasurable omit [DecidableEq I] in noncomputable def parameterCoordinateKernel (a : I) : Kernel (Arr I M.U 0) (Arr I M.U 1) := condDistrib id (plane 0 0 a) (M.parameterLaw 1) omit [DecidableEq I] in instance parameterCoordinateKernel_markov (a : I) : IsMarkovKernel (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a) := by unfold parameterCoordinateKernel infer_instance omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma column_parameter_given_cell (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) : HasCondDistrib (amap M.par 1) (plane 0 0 a) ((M.parameterCoordinateKernel a).comap (amap M.par 0) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par 0)) (M.law 1) := by have hc : HasCondDistrib (id : Arr I M.U 1 → Arr I M.U 1) (plane 0 0 a) (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a) (M.parameterLaw 1) := ⟨((measurable_plane _ _ _).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable, (compProd_map_condDistrib (by fun_prop) measurable_id.aemeasurable).symm⟩ have hq := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (amap M.par 1) (M.law 1) (M.parameterLaw 1) from ⟨measurable_amap M.measurable_par _, rfl⟩) (measurable_plane _ _ _) hc exact ConditionalScreens.reverse_screen (s := amap M.par 0 ∘ plane 0 0 a) (z := plane 0 0 a) (o := amap M.par 1) ((measurable_amap M.measurable_par 0).comp (measurable_plane _ _ _)) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (amap M.par 0) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (plane 0 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _) rfl rfl (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a) (M.ownKernel 0) hq (M.plane_conditional hI 0 a) omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma shared_parameter_kernel (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) : (fun s => (condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y 1 → Arr I M.Y 1) (plane 0 0 a) (M.law 1) s).map (amap M.par 1)) =ᵐ[M.law 0] fun s => M.parameterCoordinateKernel a (amap M.par 0 s) := by let κ := condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y 1 → Arr I M.Y 1) (plane 0 0 a) (M.law 1) have h : HasCondDistrib id (plane 0 0 a) κ (M.law 1) := ⟨((measurable_plane _ _ _).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable, (compProd_map_condDistrib (by fun_prop) measurable_id.aemeasurable).symm⟩ have hm := h.comp_left (measurable_amap M.measurable_par 1) have he := Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq (hm.map_eq.symm.trans (M.column_parameter_given_cell hI a).map_eq) rw [show (M.law 1).map (plane 0 0 a) = M.law 0 from M.consistent 0 0 a] at he exact he.mono (fun s hs => by simpa only [Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _), Kernel.comap_apply] using hs) end ArrayObjects.Object namespace ConditionalTransport variable {Ω Ω' A B : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace Ω'] [MeasurableSpace A] [MeasurableSpace B] theorem pushforward {P : Measure Ω} {Q : Measure Ω'} {f : Ω → Ω'} {E : Ω' → A} {O : Ω' → B} {κ : Kernel A B} (hf : MeasurePreserving f P Q) (hE : Measurable E) (hO : Measurable O) (h : HasCondDistrib (O ∘ f) (E ∘ f) κ P) : HasCondDistrib O E κ Q := by refine ⟨(hE.prodMk hO).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ have he : P.map (E ∘ f) = Q.map E := by rw [← Measure.map_map hE hf.measurable, hf.map_eq] have hj : P.map (fun ω => (E (f ω), O (f ω))) = Q.map (fun ω => (E ω, O ω)) := by change P.map ((fun ω => (E ω, O ω)) ∘ f) = _ rw [← Measure.map_map (hE.prodMk hO) hf.measurable, hf.map_eq] rw [← he] exact hj.symm.trans h.map_eq end ConditionalTransport namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) theorem columns_parameter_given_row (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a j₀ : I) : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun j : Outside j₀ => amap M.par 1 (planes 1 (Outside j₀) y j)) (amap M.par 1 ∘ plane 1 0 a) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a).comap (plane 0 0 j) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.law 2) := by let κ := condDistrib (id : Arr I M.Y 1 → Arr I M.Y 1) (plane 0 0 a) (M.law 1) let η := FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a).comap (plane 0 0 j) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) have h := (columns_given_row M hM hI a j₀ 0).comp_left (Measurable.of_eval (fun j => (measurable_amap M.measurable_par 1).comp (measurable_pi_apply j))) simp only [Function.comp_def] at h rw [FiniteKernel.map_pi _ _ (fun _ => measurable_amap M.measurable_par 1)] at h have he : ∀ᵐ z ∂M.law 1, ∀ j : Outside j₀, (κ (plane 0 0 j z)).map (amap M.par 1) = M.parameterCoordinateKernel a (amap M.par 0 (plane 0 0 j z)) := by rw [ae_all_iff] intro j exact (show MeasurePreserving (plane 0 0 (j : I)) (M.law 1) (M.law 0) from ⟨measurable_plane _ _ _, M.consistent 0 0 j⟩).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae_eq_comp (M.shared_parameter_kernel hI a) have hk : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun j : Outside j₀ => amap M.par 1 (planes 1 (Outside j₀) y j)) (plane 1 0 a) (η.comap (amap M.par 1) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par 1)) (M.law 2) := by refine ⟨h.aemeasurable, h.map_eq.trans (Measure.compProd_congr ?_)⟩ rw [M.consistent 1 0 a] filter_upwards [he] with z hz change Measure.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => ((κ.comap (plane 0 (Fin.last 0) j) (measurable_plane _ _ _)).map (amap M.par 1)) z) = Measure.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => M.parameterCoordinateKernel a (plane 0 0 j (amap M.par 1 z))) congr 1 funext j rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _), Kernel.comap_apply, Fin.last_zero] exact hz j exact hk.comp_right theorem parameter_geometry_outside (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a j₀ : I) : HasCondDistrib (planes 1 (Outside j₀)) (plane 1 0 a) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : Outside j₀ => (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a).comap (plane 0 0 j) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.parameterLaw 2) := by apply ConditionalTransport.pushforward (show MeasurePreserving (amap M.par 2) (M.law 2) (M.parameterLaw 2) from ⟨measurable_amap M.measurable_par _, rfl⟩) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_planes _ _) exact columns_parameter_given_row M hM hI a j₀ theorem parameter_geometry (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (a : I) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) : HasCondDistrib (planes 1 J) (plane 1 0 a) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : J => (M.parameterCoordinateKernel a).comap (plane 0 0 j) (measurable_plane _ _ _))) (M.parameterLaw 2) := by have hex : ∃ j₀ : I, j₀ ∉ J := by by_contra he push Not at he exact hJ (Finset.eq_univ_iff_forall.mpr he) obtain ⟨j₀, hj₀⟩ := hex let e : J ↪ Outside j₀ := ⟨fun j => ⟨j, by simp only [Outside, Finset.mem_erase, Finset.mem_univ, and_true] exact fun he => hj₀ (he ▸ j.property)⟩, fun _ _ he => Subtype.ext (congrArg (fun z : Outside j₀ => (z : I)) he)⟩ have h := (parameter_geometry_outside M hM hI a j₀).comp_left (Measurable.of_eval (fun i => measurable_pi_apply (e i))) rw [FiniteKernel.pi_precomp] at h exact h end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace ConditionalScreens variable {Ω S Z O : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace S] [MeasurableSpace Z] [MeasurableSpace O] [StandardBorelSpace O] [Nonempty O] theorem joint_of_screen {μ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] {s : Ω → S} {z : Ω → Z} {o : Ω → O} (hs : Measurable s) (hz : Measurable z) (ho : Measurable o) (f : Z → S) (hf : Measurable f) (hsz : s = f ∘ z) (κ : Kernel S Z) [IsMarkovKernel κ] (l : Kernel S O) [IsMarkovKernel l] (hκ : HasCondDistrib z s κ μ) (hl : HasCondDistrib o z (l.comap f hf) μ) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => (z ω, o ω)) s (κ ×ₖ l) μ := by have hl' : HasCondDistrib o (fun ω => (s ω, z ω)) (l.prodMkRight Z) μ := by apply ConditionalTransport.recondition hz (hs.prodMk hz) ho hl · apply le_antisymm · exact ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor measurable_snd rfl · apply ConditionalTransport.comap_le_of_factor (hf.prodMk measurable_id) simpa only [Function.comp_def, id_eq] using congrArg (fun v => fun ω => (v ω, z ω)) hsz · filter_upwards [] with ω change l (f (z ω)) = l (s ω) rw [hsz]; rfl have h := chain hκ hl' rwa [compProd_prodMkRight] at h end ConditionalScreens namespace ArrayObjects.Object variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) lemma parameterLaw_consistent (n : ℕ) (a : Fin (n + 1)) (i : I) : (M.parameterLaw (n + 1)).map (plane n a i) = M.parameterLaw n := by unfold parameterLaw rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _), plane_amap, ← Measure.map_map (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (measurable_plane _ _ _), M.consistent] variable [DecidableEq I] theorem diagonal_parameter_product (hM : M.IsSaturated) (hI : 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (i : I) : HasCondDistrib (fun p => (plane 1 0 i p, plane 1 (Fin.last 1) i p)) (plane 0 0 i ∘ plane 1 0 i) ((M.parameterCoordinateKernel i) ×ₖ (M.parameterCoordinateKernel i)) (M.parameterLaw 2) := by have hproper : ({i} : Finset I) ≠ Finset.univ := by intro he have hc := congrArg Finset.card he simp only [Finset.card_singleton, Finset.card_univ] at hc omega have hcol := (Rolled.parameter_geometry M hM hI i {i} hproper).comp_left (measurable_pi_apply (⟨i, Finset.mem_singleton_self i⟩ : ({i} : Finset I))) rw [FiniteKernel.map_eval] at hcol have hc : HasCondDistrib (id : Arr I M.U 1 → Arr I M.U 1) (plane 0 0 i) (M.parameterCoordinateKernel i) (M.parameterLaw 1) := ⟨((measurable_plane _ _ _).prodMk measurable_id).aemeasurable, (compProd_map_condDistrib (by fun_prop) measurable_id.aemeasurable).symm⟩ have hrow := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (plane 1 0 i) (M.parameterLaw 2) (M.parameterLaw 1) from ⟨measurable_plane _ _ _, M.parameterLaw_consistent 1 0 i⟩) (measurable_plane _ _ _) hc exact ConditionalScreens.joint_of_screen (s := plane 0 0 i ∘ plane 1 0 i) (z := plane 1 0 i) (o := plane 1 (Fin.last 1) i) ((measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_plane _ _ _)) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (measurable_plane _ _ _) (plane 0 0 i) (measurable_plane _ _ _) rfl (M.parameterCoordinateKernel i) (M.parameterCoordinateKernel i) hrow hcol end ArrayObjects.Object namespace FiniteKernel variable {ι X Y : Type*} [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] theorem pi_split {S T W : Finset ι} (hS : S ⊆ W) (hT : T ⊆ W) (hST : Disjoint S T) (κ : ι → Kernel X Y) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] : (pi (fun i : W => κ i)).map (fun y => ((fun i : S => y ⟨i, hS i.property⟩), (fun i : T => y ⟨i, hT i.property⟩))) = (pi (fun i : S => κ i)) ×ₖ (pi (fun i : T => κ i)) := by let e : S ⊕ T ↪ W := ⟨Sum.elim (fun i : S => (⟨i, hS i.property⟩ : W)) (fun i : T => (⟨i, hT i.property⟩ : W)), by intro a b hab cases a with | inl a => cases b with | inl b => exact congrArg Sum.inl (Subtype.ext (congrArg (fun z : W => (z : ι)) hab)) | inr b => have he : (a : ι) = b := congrArg (fun z : W => (z : ι)) hab exact False.elim (Finset.disjoint_left.mp hST a.property (he ▸ b.property)) | inr a => cases b with | inl b => have he : (a : ι) = b := congrArg (fun z : W => (z : ι)) hab exact False.elim (Finset.disjoint_left.mp hST b.property (he ▸ a.property)) | inr b => exact congrArg Sum.inr (Subtype.ext (congrArg (fun z : W => (z : ι)) hab))⟩ ext x : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (by fun_prop), Kernel.prod_apply] change (Measure.pi (fun i : W => κ i x)).map _ = (Measure.pi (fun i : S => κ i x)).prod (Measure.pi (fun i : T => κ i x)) have he := measure_pi_precomp (fun i : W => κ i x) e have hh := (measurePreserving_sumPiEquivProdPi (fun i : S ⊕ T => κ (e i) x)).map_eq rw [← he, Measure.map_map (MeasurableEquiv.sumPiEquivProdPi (fun _ : S ⊕ T => Y)).measurable (Measurable.of_eval (fun i => measurable_pi_apply (e i)))] at hh exact hh end FiniteKernel namespace ConditionalReveal variable {ι Ω X Y : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] theorem disjoint_families (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (E : Ω → X) (y : ι → Ω → Y) (κ : ι → Kernel X Y) [∀ i, IsMarkovKernel (κ i)] {S T W : Finset ι} (hS : S ⊆ W) (hT : T ⊆ W) (hST : Disjoint S T) (h : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => fun i : W => y i ω) E (FiniteKernel.pi (fun i : W => κ i)) μ) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => fun i : T => y i ω) (fun ω => (E ω, fun i : S => y i ω)) ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun i : T => κ i)).prodMkRight (S → Y)) μ := by have hh := h.comp_left (show Measurable (fun z : W → Y => ((fun i : S => z ⟨i, hS i.property⟩), (fun i : T => z ⟨i, hT i.property⟩))) from by fun_prop) rw [FiniteKernel.pi_split hS hT hST κ, ← ConditionalScreens.compProd_prodMkRight] at hh exact hh.of_compProd end ConditionalReveal namespace ConditionalScreens variable {Ω X Y Z : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] [StandardBorelSpace Z] [Nonempty Z] theorem screened_marginal {μ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] {x : Ω → X} {y : Ω → Y} {z : Ω → Z} (hx : Measurable x) (hy : Measurable y) {κ η : Kernel X Z} [IsMarkovKernel κ] [IsMarkovKernel η] (h : HasCondDistrib z (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) (κ.prodMkRight Y) μ) (hη : HasCondDistrib z x η μ) : HasCondDistrib z (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) (η.prodMkRight Y) μ := by have hκ : HasCondDistrib z x κ μ := h.comp_right have hke : κ =ᵐ[μ.map x] η := (condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd hκ.aemeasurable_fst hκ.aemeasurable_snd hκ.map_eq).symm.trans (condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd hη.aemeasurable_fst hη.aemeasurable_snd hη.map_eq) refine ⟨h.aemeasurable, h.map_eq.trans (Measure.compProd_congr ?_)⟩ have hf : (μ.map (fun ω => (x ω, y ω))).map Prod.fst = μ.map x := by rw [Measure.map_map measurable_fst (hx.prodMk hy)] rfl rw [← hf] at hke exact ae_of_ae_map measurable_fst.aemeasurable hke end ConditionalScreens namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) abbrev ParentData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) := Arr I M.U (n + 2) × (R → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) def parentData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : ParentData M R n := (amap M.par (n + 2) y, parents M R (n + 1) y) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_parentData (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (parentData M R n) := (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).prodMk (measurable_parents M R _) def columnKernel (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Kernel (ParentData M R n) (Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := ((ownPosterior M R n).map (roll n).symm).comap (plane n (Fin.last n) j ∘ (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm) ((measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm.measurable) instance columnKernel_markov (R : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : IsMarkovKernel (columnKernel M R n j) := by unfold columnKernel have : IsMarkovKernel ((ownPosterior M R n).map (roll n).symm) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map _ (roll n).symm.measurable infer_instance theorem columns_with_parents (hM : M.IsSaturated) (R : Finset I) (hR : R.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (n : ℕ) (J : Finset I) (hJ : J ≠ Finset.univ) : HasCondDistrib (planes (n + 1) J) (parentData M R n) (FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : J => columnKernel M R n j)) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have hi : ∀ S : Finset I, S ⊂ R → IsConditional M S := by intro S hS apply isConditional M hM S have hc := Finset.card_lt_card hS omega have hc := proper_conditional M hM R hR hi n J hJ have hp := ConditionalTransport.pullback (show MeasurePreserving (roll (Y := M.Y) (n + 1)) (M.law (n + 2)) (law M (n + 1)) from ⟨(roll (n + 1)).measurable, rfl⟩) (measurable_amap (measurable_parameter M R) _) hc have hd := hp.measurableEquiv_comp_right (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)) have h := hd.comp_left (Measurable.of_eval (fun j : J => (roll n).symm.measurable.comp (measurable_pi_apply j))) have ho : (fun z : J → Arr I (State M) n => fun j => (roll n).symm (z j)) ∘ planes n J ∘ roll (n + 1) = planes (n + 1) J := by rw [planes_roll] funext y j exact (roll n).symm_apply_apply _ change HasCondDistrib ((fun z : J → Arr I (State M) n => fun j => (roll n).symm (z j)) ∘ planes n J ∘ roll (n + 1)) (parameterEquiv M R (n + 1) ∘ amap (parameter M R) (n + 1) ∘ roll (n + 1)) _ (M.law (n + 2)) at h rw [ho, parameterEquiv_observation] at h change HasCondDistrib (planes (n + 1) J) (parentData M R n) _ (M.law (n + 2)) at h convert h using 1 ext p : 1 rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (Measurable.of_eval (fun j : J => (roll n).symm.measurable.comp (measurable_pi_apply j)))] change Measure.pi (fun j : J => columnKernel M R n j p) = (Measure.pi (fun j : J => ownPosterior M R n (plane n (Fin.last n) j ((parameterEquiv M R (n + 1)).symm p)))).map _ simp only [Function.comp_def] rw [Measure.pi_map_pi (fun _ => (roll n).symm.measurable.aemeasurable)] simp only [columnKernel, Kernel.comap_apply, Function.comp_apply, Kernel.map_apply _ (roll n).symm.measurable] def cells (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : J → A → Arr I M.Y n := fun j a => missingRow M n j a y omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_cells (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (cells M A J n) := Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => measurable_missingRow M _ _ _)) def rowRestrict (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : A → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) : J → A → Arr I M.Y n := fun j a => plane n (Fin.last n) j (y a) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_rowRestrict (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (rowRestrict M A J n) := by unfold rowRestrict exact Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_pi_apply _))) def columnRestrict (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : J → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) : J → A → Arr I M.Y n := fun j a => plane n 0 a (y j) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_columnRestrict (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (columnRestrict M A J n) := by unfold columnRestrict exact Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => Measurable.of_eval (fun _ => (measurable_plane _ _ _).comp (measurable_pi_apply _))) omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma columnRestrict_planes (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : columnRestrict M A J n ∘ planes (n + 1) J = cells M A J n := by funext y j a exact congrFun (plane_first_last M n a j) y def rowFamilyKernel (A : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Kernel (Arr I M.U (n + 2)) (A → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) := FiniteKernel.pi (fun a : A => (M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) instance rowFamilyKernel_markov (A : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : IsMarkovKernel (rowFamilyKernel M A n) := by unfold rowFamilyKernel; infer_instance def groupMarginal (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Kernel (Arr I M.U (n + 2)) (J → A → Arr I M.Y n) := (rowFamilyKernel M A n).map (rowRestrict M A J n) instance groupMarginal_markov (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : IsMarkovKernel (groupMarginal M A J n) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map _ (measurable_rowRestrict M A J n) theorem group_marginal_with_parents (hM : M.IsSaturated) (P A J : Finset I) (hPA : Disjoint P A) (hproper : P ∪ A ≠ Finset.univ) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (cells M A J n) (parentData M P n) ((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (P → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have h := ConditionalReveal.disjoint_families (M.law (n + 2)) (amap M.par (n + 2)) (fun a => plane (n + 1) 0 a) (fun a => (M.ownKernel (n + 1)).comap (plane (n + 1) 0 a) (measurable_plane _ _ _)) Finset.subset_union_left Finset.subset_union_right hPA (rows_conditional M hM (P ∪ A) hproper n) have hh := h.comp_left (measurable_rowRestrict M A J n) rw [Kernel.map_prodMkRight] at hh exact hh theorem group_intermediate_marginal (hM : M.IsSaturated) (P A C J : Finset I) (hP : P.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (hPA : Disjoint P A) (hproper : P ∪ A ≠ Finset.univ) (hCJ : Disjoint C J) (hcols : C ∪ J ≠ Finset.univ) (n : ℕ) : HasCondDistrib (cells M A J n) (fun y => (parentData M P n y, planes (n + 1) C y)) (((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (P → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))).prodMkRight (C → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have h := ConditionalReveal.disjoint_families (M.law (n + 2)) (parentData M P n) (fun j => plane (n + 1) (Fin.last (n + 1)) j) (columnKernel M P n) Finset.subset_union_left Finset.subset_union_right hCJ (columns_with_parents M hM P hP n (C ∪ J) hcols) have hk := h.comp_left (measurable_columnRestrict M A J n) rw [Kernel.map_prodMkRight] at hk change HasCondDistrib (columnRestrict M A J n ∘ planes (n + 1) J) (fun y => (parentData M P n y, planes (n + 1) C y)) (((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : J => columnKernel M P n j)).map (columnRestrict M A J n)).prodMkRight (C → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) (M.law (n + 2)) at hk rw [columnRestrict_planes] at hk have : IsMarkovKernel ((FiniteKernel.pi (fun j : J => columnKernel M P n j)).map (columnRestrict M A J n)) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map _ (measurable_columnRestrict M A J n) exact ConditionalScreens.screened_marginal (measurable_parentData M P n) (measurable_planes _ _) hk (group_marginal_with_parents M hM P A J hPA hproper n) abbrev GroupData (A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) := Arr I M.U (n + 2) × (C → A → Arr I M.Y n) abbrev WholeGroupData (P C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) := ParentData M P n × (C → Arr I M.Y (n + 1)) def groupData (A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : GroupData M A C n := (amap M.par (n + 2) y, cells M A C n y) def wholeGroupData (P C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (y : Arr I M.Y (n + 2)) : WholeGroupData M P C n := (parentData M P n y, planes (n + 1) C y) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_groupData (A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (groupData M A C n) := (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _).prodMk (measurable_cells M A C n) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_wholeGroupData (P C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (wholeGroupData M P C n) := (measurable_parentData M P n).prodMk (measurable_planes _ _) def groupSelect (P A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (p : WholeGroupData M P C n) : GroupData M A C n := (p.1.1, columnRestrict M A C n p.2) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_groupSelect (P A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (groupSelect M P A C n) := (measurable_fst.comp measurable_fst).prodMk ((measurable_columnRestrict M A C n).comp measurable_snd) omit [DecidableEq I] in lemma groupSelect_observation (P A C : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : groupSelect M P A C n ∘ wholeGroupData M P C n = groupData M A C n := by funext y apply Prod.ext · rfl · exact congrFun (columnRestrict_planes M A C n) y def revealParent (P : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : RevealData M P n j) : ParentData M P n := parameterEquiv M P (n + 1) (revealToRoll M P n j p).1 @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_revealParent (P : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (revealParent M P n j) := (parameterEquiv M P (n + 1)).measurable.comp (measurable_fst.comp (measurable_revealToRoll M P n j)) lemma revealParent_observation (P : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : revealParent M P n j ∘ revealData M P n j = parentData M P n := by change (parameterEquiv M P (n + 1) ∘ Prod.fst) ∘ (revealToRoll M P n j ∘ revealData M P n j) = _ rw [revealToRoll_observation] exact parameterEquiv_observation M P (n + 1) def revealSelect (P A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hC : C ⊆ Outside j) (hJ : J ⊆ Outside j) (p : RevealData M P n j) : WholeGroupData M P C n × (J → A → Arr I M.Y n) := ((revealParent M P n j p, fun c => p.1.2 ⟨c, hC c.property⟩), fun k a => plane n 0 a (p.1.2 ⟨k, hJ k.property⟩)) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_revealSelect (P A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hC : C ⊆ Outside j) (hJ : J ⊆ Outside j) : Measurable (revealSelect M P A C J n j hC hJ) := by unfold revealSelect exact ((measurable_revealParent M P n j).prodMk (by fun_prop)).prodMk (by fun_prop) lemma revealSelect_observation (P A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hC : C ⊆ Outside j) (hJ : J ⊆ Outside j) : revealSelect M P A C J n j hC hJ ∘ revealData M P n j = fun y => (wholeGroupData M P C n y, cells M A J n y) := by funext y apply Prod.ext · apply Prod.ext · exact congrFun (revealParent_observation M P n j) y · rfl · funext k a exact congrFun (plane_first_last M n a k) y def groupLastData (A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) (a : A) (p : GroupData M A C n × (J → A → Arr I M.Y n)) : OldData M n j := (plane (n + 1) 0 a p.1.1, fun k => if h : (k : I) ∈ C then p.1.2 ⟨k, h⟩ a else p.2 ⟨k, (Finset.mem_union.mp (hCJ.symm ▸ k.property)).resolve_left h⟩ a) @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_groupLastData (A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) (a : A) : Measurable (groupLastData M A C J n j hCJ a) := by unfold groupLastData apply Measurable.prodMk (by fun_prop) apply Measurable.of_eval intro k split_ifs <;> fun_prop def groupLastKernel (A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) : Kernel (GroupData M A C n × (J → A → Arr I M.Y n)) (A → Arr I M.Y n) := FiniteKernel.pi (fun a => (condDistrib (plane n (Fin.last n) j) (oldData M n j) (M.law (n + 1))).comap (groupLastData M A C J n j hCJ a) (measurable_groupLastData M A C J n j hCJ a)) instance groupLastKernel_markov (A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) : IsMarkovKernel (groupLastKernel M A C J n j hCJ) := by unfold groupLastKernel infer_instance def wholeLastSelect (P A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (p : WholeGroupData M P C n × (J → A → Arr I M.Y n)) : GroupData M A C n × (J → A → Arr I M.Y n) := (groupSelect M P A C n p.1, p.2) omit [DecidableEq I] in @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_wholeLastSelect (P A C J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) : Measurable (wholeLastSelect M P A C J n) := ((measurable_groupSelect M P A C n).comp measurable_fst).prodMk measurable_snd theorem grouped_missing_after_retain (hM : M.IsSaturated) (P A C J : Finset I) (hPA : Disjoint P A) (hcard : P.card + A.card + 1 ≤ Fintype.card I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) : HasCondDistrib (fun y => fun a : A => missingRow M n j a y) (fun y => (wholeGroupData M P C n y, cells M A J n y)) ((groupLastKernel M A C J n j hCJ).comap (wholeLastSelect M P A C J n) (measurable_wholeLastSelect M P A C J n)) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have hC : C ⊆ Outside j := hCJ ▸ Finset.subset_union_left have hJ : J ⊆ Outside j := hCJ ▸ Finset.subset_union_right have h := grouped_single_missing M hM P A hPA hcard n j have he : (FiniteKernel.pi (fun a : A => (rowKernel M n j a).prodMkRight (P → Arr I M.Y n))) = (((groupLastKernel M A C J n j hCJ).comap (wholeLastSelect M P A C J n) (measurable_wholeLastSelect M P A C J n)).comap (revealSelect M P A C J n j hC hJ) (measurable_revealSelect M P A C J n j hC hJ)) := by ext p : 1 change Measure.pi _ = Measure.pi _ congr 1 funext a change (condDistrib _ _ _) (rowData M n j a p.1) = (condDistrib _ _ _) (groupLastData M A C J n j hCJ a (wholeLastSelect M P A C J n (revealSelect M P A C J n j hC hJ p))) congr 1 apply Prod.ext · funext v simp [groupLastData, wholeLastSelect, groupSelect, revealSelect, rowData, revealParent, parameterEquiv, revealToRoll, plane, Fin.insertNth_zero'] · funext k simp only [groupLastData, wholeLastSelect, groupSelect, columnRestrict, revealSelect, rowData] split_ifs <;> rfl rw [he] at h have hh := h.comp_right rw [revealSelect_observation] at hh exact hh end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled namespace ConditionalScreens variable {Ω D E Y Z : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace D] [MeasurableSpace E] [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] lemma compProd_comap (κ : Kernel E Y) (η : Kernel (E × Y) Z) [IsMarkovKernel κ] [IsMarkovKernel η] (f : D → E) (hf : Measurable f) : κ.comap f hf ⊗ₖ η.comap (Prod.map f id) (hf.prodMap measurable_id) = (κ ⊗ₖ η).comap f hf := by ext d s hs rw [Kernel.compProd_apply hs] change (∫⁻ y, η (f d, y) (Prod.mk y ⁻¹' s) ∂κ (f d)) = (κ ⊗ₖ η) (f d) s exact (Kernel.compProd_apply hs κ η (f d)).symm theorem canonical_screen [StandardBorelSpace Y] [Nonempty Y] {μ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] {y : Ω → Y} {d : Ω → D} (hd : Measurable d) (f : D → E) (hf : Measurable f) {κ : Kernel E Y} [IsMarkovKernel κ] (h : HasCondDistrib y d (κ.comap f hf) μ) : HasCondDistrib y d ((condDistrib y (f ∘ d) μ).comap f hf) μ := by have hκ := h.comp_right have he : κ =ᵐ[μ.map (f ∘ d)] condDistrib y (f ∘ d) μ := (condDistrib_ae_eq_of_measure_eq_compProd hκ.aemeasurable_fst hκ.aemeasurable_snd hκ.map_eq).symm rw [← Measure.map_map hf hd] at he refine ⟨h.aemeasurable, h.map_eq.trans (Measure.compProd_congr ?_)⟩ exact ae_of_ae_map hf.aemeasurable he end ConditionalScreens namespace ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled variable {I : Type u} [Fintype I] [DecidableEq I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) def joinOutput (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (p : (J → A → Arr I M.Y n) × (A → Arr I M.Y n)) : ↥(insert j J) → A → Arr I M.Y n := fun k => if h : (k : I) = j then p.2 else p.1 ⟨k, (Finset.mem_insert.mp k.property).resolve_left h⟩ @[fun_prop] lemma measurable_joinOutput (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : Measurable (joinOutput M A J n j) := by unfold joinOutput apply Measurable.of_eval intro k split_ifs <;> fun_prop lemma joinOutput_observation (A J : Finset I) (n : ℕ) (j : I) : joinOutput M A J n j ∘ (fun y => (cells M A J n y, fun a : A => missingRow M n j a y)) = cells M A (insert j J) n := by funext y k a simp only [Function.comp_apply, joinOutput, cells] split_ifs with h · simp [h] · rfl theorem grouped_cell_locality (hM : M.IsSaturated) (P A C J : Finset I) (hP : P.card + 2 ≤ Fintype.card I) (hPA : Disjoint P A) (hcard : P.card + A.card + 1 ≤ Fintype.card I) (hproper : P ∪ A ≠ Finset.univ) (hdisj : Disjoint C J) (n : ℕ) (j : I) (hCJ : C ∪ J = Outside j) : HasCondDistrib (cells M A (insert j J) n) (wholeGroupData M P C n) ((condDistrib (cells M A (insert j J) n) (groupData M A C n) (M.law (n + 2))).comap (groupSelect M P A C n) (measurable_groupSelect M P A C n)) (M.law (n + 2)) := by have hcols : C ∪ J ≠ Finset.univ := by rw [hCJ] simp [Outside] have hW := group_intermediate_marginal M hM P A C J hP hPA hproper hdisj hcols n have hZ := grouped_missing_after_retain M hM P A C J hPA hcard n j hCJ have h := ConditionalScreens.chain hW hZ have hke : (((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (P → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))).prodMkRight (C → Arr I M.Y (n + 1))) = ((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (C → A → Arr I M.Y n)).comap (groupSelect M P A C n) (measurable_groupSelect M P A C n) := by ext p : 1 rfl rw [hke] at h change HasCondDistrib _ (wholeGroupData M P C n) (((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (C → A → Arr I M.Y n)).comap (groupSelect M P A C n) (measurable_groupSelect M P A C n) ⊗ₖ (groupLastKernel M A C J n j hCJ).comap (Prod.map (groupSelect M P A C n) id) ((measurable_groupSelect M P A C n).prodMap measurable_id)) _ at h rw [ConditionalScreens.compProd_comap] at h have hh := h.comp_left (measurable_joinOutput M A J n j) rw [joinOutput_observation, ← Kernel.comap_map_comm _ _ (measurable_joinOutput M A J n j)] at hh have : IsMarkovKernel (((groupMarginal M A J n).prodMkRight (C → A → Arr I M.Y n) ⊗ₖ groupLastKernel M A C J n j hCJ).map (joinOutput M A J n j)) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map _ (measurable_joinOutput M A J n j) have hv := ConditionalScreens.canonical_screen (measurable_wholeGroupData M P C n) (groupSelect M P A C n) (measurable_groupSelect M P A C n) hh rw [groupSelect_observation] at hv exact hv end ArrayObjects.Object.Rolled end section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory variable {Ω U : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace U] [MeasurableSpace.CountablyGenerated Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (u : Ω → U) (hu : Measurable u) (κ : Kernel U Ω) [IsMarkovKernel κ] include hu in lemma conditional_kernel_equivariant (hκ : HasCondDistrib id u κ μ) (T : Ω ≃ᵐ Ω) (S : U ≃ᵐ U) (hT : MeasurePreserving T μ μ) (hfactor : u ∘ T = S ∘ u) : κ.map T =ᵐ[μ.map u] κ.comap S S.measurable := by have h₁ : HasCondDistrib T (u ∘ T) κ μ := by refine ⟨(hu.comp T.measurable |>.prodMk T.measurable).aemeasurable,?_⟩ have hp : μ.map (u ∘ T) = μ.map u := by rw [←Measure.map_map hu T.measurable,hT.map_eq] rw [hp] calc μ.map (fun x => (u (T x),T x)) = (μ.map T).map (fun x => (u x,x)) := by exact (Measure.map_map (μ := μ) (hu.prodMk measurable_id) T.measurable).symm _ = μ.map u ⊗ₘ κ := by rw [hT.map_eq]; exact hκ.map_eq have h₂ := h₁.measurableEquiv_comp_right S.symm have hc : S.symm ∘ (u ∘ T) = u := by rw [hfactor] funext x exact S.symm_apply_apply _ rw [hc] at h₂ have h₃ := hκ.comp_left T.measurable exact Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq (h₃.map_eq.symm.trans h₂.map_eq) end namespace ArrayObjects open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory universe u variable {I Y Z : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Y] [MeasurableSpace Z] def amapEquiv (E : Y ≃ᵐ Z) (n : ℕ) : Arr I Y n ≃ᵐ Arr I Z n where toFun := amap E n invFun := amap E.symm n left_inv x := by funext a; exact E.symm_apply_apply _ right_inv x := by funext a; exact E.apply_symm_apply _ measurable_toFun := measurable_amap E.measurable n measurable_invFun := measurable_amap E.symm.measurable n namespace Object variable [Fintype I] {X : StandardSpace.{u}} {T : X ≃ᵐ X} {base : InitialLaws I X T} (M : Object I base) lemma parameterLaw_invariant (n : ℕ) : MeasurePreserving (amap M.timeU n) (M.parameterLaw n) (M.parameterLaw n) := by refine ⟨measurable_amap M.timeU.measurable n,?_⟩ change ((M.law n).map (amap M.par n)).map (amap M.timeU n) = _ rw [Measure.map_map (measurable_amap M.timeU.measurable _) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _)] have he : amap (I := I) M.timeU n ∘ amap M.par n = amap M.par n ∘ amap M.timeY n := by rw [←amap_comp,←amap_comp,M.time_par] rw [he,←Measure.map_map (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (measurable_amap M.timeY.measurable _), (M.invariant n).map_eq] rfl lemma ownKernel_time_equivariant (n : ℕ) : (M.ownKernel n).map (amap M.timeY n) =ᵐ[M.parameterLaw n] (M.ownKernel n).comap (amap M.timeU n) (measurable_amap M.timeU.measurable n) := by apply conditional_kernel_equivariant (M.law n) (amap M.par n) (measurable_amap M.measurable_par _) (M.ownKernel n) (M.ownKernel_conditional n) (amapEquiv M.timeY n) (amapEquiv M.timeU n) (M.invariant n) change amap M.par n ∘ amap M.timeY n = amap M.timeU n ∘ amap M.par n rw [←amap_comp,←amap_comp,M.time_par] lemma ownKernel_time_preserving (n : ℕ) : ∀ᵐ p ∂M.parameterLaw n, MeasurePreserving (amap M.timeY n) (M.ownKernel n p) (M.ownKernel n (amap M.timeU n p)) := by filter_upwards [M.ownKernel_time_equivariant n] with p hp exact ⟨measurable_amap M.timeY.measurable n, (Kernel.map_apply _ (measurable_amap M.timeY.measurable n) _).symm.trans hp⟩ end Object end ArrayObjects open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory namespace ConditionalFibres variable {Ω U X Y : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [MeasurableSpace U] [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y] [StandardBorelSpace X] [StandardBorelSpace Y] {μ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] {u : Ω → U} {x : Ω → X} {y : Ω → Y} {η : Kernel U Ω} [IsMarkovKernel η] {κ : Kernel (U × X) Y} [IsMarkovKernel κ] omit [StandardBorelSpace X] [StandardBorelSpace Y] [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] [IsMarkovKernel κ] in lemma chain {α : Kernel U X} [IsMarkovKernel α] (hx : HasCondDistrib x u α μ) (hy : HasCondDistrib y (fun ω => (u ω, x ω)) κ μ) : HasCondDistrib (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) u (α ⊗ₖ κ) μ := by refine ⟨hx.aemeasurable_fst.prodMk (hx.aemeasurable_snd.prodMk hy.aemeasurable_snd), ?_⟩ calc μ.map (fun ω => (u ω, x ω, y ω)) = (μ.map (fun ω => ((u ω, x ω), y ω))).map MeasurableEquiv.prodAssoc := by rw [AEMeasurable.map_map_of_aemeasurable (by fun_prop) hy.aemeasurable] rfl _ = ((μ.map u ⊗ₘ α) ⊗ₘ κ).map MeasurableEquiv.prodAssoc := by rw [hy.map_eq, hx.map_eq] _ = μ.map u ⊗ₘ (α ⊗ₖ κ) := Measure.compProd_assoc' theorem disintegrate (hx : Measurable x) (hy : Measurable y) (hη : HasCondDistrib id u η μ) (hκ : HasCondDistrib y (fun ω => (u ω, x ω)) κ μ) : ∀ᵐ a ∂μ.map u, HasCondDistrib y x (κ.sectR a) (η a) := by let : IsMarkovKernel (η.map x) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map η hx let : IsMarkovKernel (η.map (fun ω => (x ω, y ω))) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map η (hx.prodMk hy) have hpair := chain (hη.comp_left hx) hκ have hother := hη.comp_left (hx.prodMk hy) have he : η.map (fun ω => (x ω, y ω)) =ᵐ[μ.map u] (η.map x) ⊗ₖ κ := Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq (hother.map_eq.symm.trans hpair.map_eq) filter_upwards [he] with a ha refine ⟨(hx.prodMk hy).aemeasurable, ?_⟩ rw [Kernel.map_apply _ (hx.prodMk hy), Kernel.compProd_apply_eq_compProd_sectR, Kernel.map_apply _ hx] at ha exact ha theorem marginal (hx : Measurable x) (hη : HasCondDistrib id u η μ) {α : Kernel U X} [IsMarkovKernel α] (hα : HasCondDistrib x u α μ) : ∀ᵐ a ∂μ.map u, MeasurePreserving x (η a) (α a) := by let : IsMarkovKernel (η.map x) := Kernel.IsMarkovKernel.map η hx have he : η.map x =ᵐ[μ.map u] α := Kernel.ae_eq_of_compProd_eq ((hη.comp_left hx).map_eq.symm.trans hα.map_eq) filter_upwards [he] with a ha exact ⟨hx, (Kernel.map_apply η hx a).symm.trans ha⟩ end ConditionalFibres end Rokhlin end end OAI