import OAI.MeasureTheory.DyadicAvoidance.FiniteTableModel import OAI.MeasureTheory.DyadicAvoidance.FiniteTableFirstDefault import OAI.MeasureTheory.DyadicAvoidance.ConcreteLabelMeasures namespace OAI universe u_T noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory namespace Problem310.FiniteTableModel /-- Center-table coordinate in the bounded-address convention used by the first-default probability theorem. -/ def centerTableAddress {M d : ℕ} (b : Node M d → Fin M → ℕ) (x : ℝ) (a : FirstDefault.BoundedAddress M d) : SelectorAddress b := selectorAddress b ⟨a.1.1, a.2⟩ a.1.2 x lemma centerTableAddress_injective {M d : ℕ} (b : Node M d → Fin M → ℕ) (x : ℝ) : Function.Injective (centerTableAddress b x) := by intro a c h have hp := congrArg Sigma.fst h apply Subtype.ext apply Prod.ext · exact congrArg (fun z : Node M d × Fin M => z.1.val) hp · exact congrArg (fun z : Node M d × Fin M => z.2) hp /-- Exact no-default probability for the canonical spatial selector tables, at every real center and every choice of deterministic grid resolutions. -/ theorem measure_center_no_default {M d : ℕ} (b : Node M d → Fin M → ℕ) (ν : Measure Bool) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] (hfair : ∀ bit, ν {bit} = (2 : ENNReal)⁻¹) (x : ℝ) : (Measure.pi (fun _ : SelectorAddress b => ν)) (⋃ f : FirstDefault.Path M d, {ω | ∀ i : FirstDefault.Tests f, selectorValue b ω (FirstDefault.address f i).1 (FirstDefault.address f i).2 x = FirstDefault.requiredBit f i}) = (1 - ((2 : ENNReal)⁻¹) ^ M) ^ d := by have h := FirstDefault.measure_no_default_finite_table ν hfair (centerTableAddress b x) (centerTableAddress_injective b x) simpa only [centerTableAddress, FirstDefault.boundedAddress, selectorValue, dite_eq_left (FirstDefault.address_length_lt _ _)] using h /-- Adding the independent terminal tables does not change the center-path survival probability. This is the full outcome-space form used by repair. -/ theorem measure_center_no_default_prod {M d : ℕ} {T : Type u_T} [MeasurableSpace T] (τ : Measure T) [IsProbabilityMeasure τ] (b : Node M d → Fin M → ℕ) (ν : Measure Bool) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] (hfair : ∀ bit, ν {bit} = (2 : ENNReal)⁻¹) (x : ℝ) : ((Measure.pi (fun _ : SelectorAddress b => ν)).prod τ) (⋃ f : FirstDefault.Path M d, {ω : SelectorTable b × T | ∀ i : FirstDefault.Tests f, selectorValue b ω.1 (FirstDefault.address f i).1 (FirstDefault.address f i).2 x = FirstDefault.requiredBit f i}) = (1 - ((2 : ENNReal)⁻¹) ^ M) ^ d := by let E : Set (SelectorTable b) := ⋃ f : FirstDefault.Path M d, {ω | ∀ i : FirstDefault.Tests f, selectorValue b ω (FirstDefault.address f i).1 (FirstDefault.address f i).2 x = FirstDefault.requiredBit f i} have hE : MeasurableSet E := (Set.to_countable E).measurableSet have heq : (⋃ f : FirstDefault.Path M d, {ω : SelectorTable b × T | ∀ i : FirstDefault.Tests f, selectorValue b ω.1 (FirstDefault.address f i).1 (FirstDefault.address f i).2 x = FirstDefault.requiredBit f i}) = Prod.fst ⁻¹' E := by ext ω simp only [E, Set.mem_iUnion, Set.mem_ofPred_eq, Set.mem_preimage] rw [heq, measurePreserving_fst.measure_preimage hE.nullMeasurableSet] exact measure_center_no_default b ν hfair x /-- The survival estimate with all probability measures instantiated, including the Bernoulli terminal labels in the canonical complete outcome space. -/ theorem outcomeLaw_center_no_default {M d : ℕ} (bS : Node M d → Fin M → ℕ) (bT : Leaf M d → ℕ) (p : ℝ) (hp0 : 0 ≤ p) (hp1 : p ≤ 1) (x : ℝ) : (ConcreteLabels.outcomeLaw (SelectorAddress bS) (TerminalAddress bT) p hp0 hp1) (⋃ f : FirstDefault.Path M d, {ω : SelectorTable bS × TerminalTable bT | ∀ i : FirstDefault.Tests f, selectorValue bS ω.1 (FirstDefault.address f i).1 (FirstDefault.address f i).2 x = FirstDefault.requiredBit f i}) = (1 - ((2 : ENNReal)⁻¹) ^ M) ^ d := by exact measure_center_no_default_prod (ConcreteLabels.terminalLaw (TerminalAddress bT) p hp0 hp1) bS ConcreteLabels.fairLaw ConcreteLabels.fairLaw_singleton x end Problem310.FiniteTableModel end end OAI