import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.Ballisticity.Estimates.IntegerMedian namespace OAI section section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology namespace DirectionalTransience def signedHeight {d : ℕ} (e : Direction d) (x : Lattice d) : ℤ := if e.2 then x e.1 else -x e.1 lemma signedHeight_projection {d : ℕ} (e : Direction d) (x : Lattice d) : dot (realPosition x) (realPosition (step e)) = (signedHeight e x : ℝ) := by rw [dot_signed_direction] simp only [signedCoordinate,signedHeight,Int.cast_ite,Int.cast_neg] lemma signedHeight_step_le {d : ℕ} (e : Direction d) (x : Lattice d) (f : Direction d) : signedHeight e (x+step f) ≤ signedHeight e x+1 := by simp only [signedHeight,Pi.add_apply,step] split <;> split <;> (try split) <;> omega theorem transverse_common_gaussian_marginal {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] (hue : UniformElliptic ν) (e f : Direction d) (hef : e.1 ≠ f.1) (htrans : DirectionallyTransient ν (realPosition (step e))) (r : ℕ → ℝ) (hr : IsGaussianSequence (independentConditionedPairLaw ν (realPosition (step e))) (commonIncrementProcess (realPosition (step e)) f 0) r) (τ : ℝ≥0) : letI : IsProbabilityMeasure (independentConditionedPairLaw ν (realPosition (step e))) := independentConditionedPairLaw_probability ν _ (ne_of_gt (noDrop_positive_of_directionallyTransient ν _ htrans)) TendstoInDistribution (fun i P => realPartialSum (fun k => commonIncrementProcess (realPosition (step e)) f k P) (⌊(τ:ℝ)*fluctuationScale (independentConditionedPairLaw ν (realPosition (step e))) (commonIncrementProcess (realPosition (step e)) f 0) (r i)⌋₊) / r i) atTop id (fun _ => independentConditionedPairLaw ν (realPosition (step e))) (gaussianReal 0 τ) := independent_common_gaussian_marginal ν hue _ (signed_direction_unit e) htrans (signedHeight e) (signedHeight_projection e) (signedHeight_step_le e) f (independent_commonWordIncrement_nonzero ν hue e f hef htrans) r hr τ lemma max_fourth_increment {m a : ℝ} : (max m |a|)^4-m^4 ≤ 2*|a| *((max m |a|)^3-m^3) := by by_cases h : |a| ≤ m · rw [max_eq_left h]; ring_nf; rfl · rw [max_eq_right (le_of_not_ge h)] have hp := mul_nonneg (mul_nonneg (abs_nonneg a) (sq_nonneg m)) (sub_nonneg.mpr (le_of_not_ge h)) nlinarith [sq_nonneg (|a|^2-m^2)] lemma partialSumMax_fourth_pathwise (X : ℕ → ℝ) (n : ℕ) : (partialSumMax X n)^4 ≤ 2*(partialSumMax X n)^3*|realPartialSum X n|- 2*∑ k ∈ Finset.range n, (partialSumMax X k)^3*absSlope (realPartialSum X k)*X k := by induction n with | zero => simp [partialSumMax] | succ n ih => have hincr := max_fourth_increment (m := partialSumMax X n) (a := realPartialSum X (n+1)) have hs := mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left (abs_supporting (realPartialSum X n) (X n)) (pow_nonneg (partialSumMax_nonneg X n) 3) rw [← realPartialSum_succ] at hs rw [Finset.sum_range_succ] change (max (partialSumMax X n) |realPartialSum X (n+1)|)^4 ≤ _ change _ ≤ 2*(max (partialSumMax X n) |realPartialSum X (n+1)|)^3 * |realPartialSum X (n+1)|-_ nlinarith lemma partialSumMax_fourth_pathwise_bound (X : ℕ → ℝ) (n : ℕ) : (partialSumMax X n)^4 ≤ 32*(realPartialSum X n)^4- 4*∑ k ∈ Finset.range n, (partialSumMax X k)^3*absSlope (realPartialSum X k)*X k := by have h := partialSumMax_fourth_pathwise X n have hy : 2*(partialSumMax X n)^3*|realPartialSum X n| ≤ (partialSumMax X n)^4/2+16*(realPartialSum X n)^4 := by nlinarith [sq_nonneg ((partialSumMax X n)^2-4*partialSumMax X n*|realPartialSum X n|), sq_nonneg ((partialSumMax X n)^2-8*(realPartialSum X n)^2), sq_abs (realPartialSum X n)] linarith lemma integrable_partialSumMax_pow {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsFiniteMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) {z : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hbound : ∀ k ω, |X k ω| ≤ z) (n p : ℕ) : Integrable (fun ω => (partialSumMax (fun k => X k ω) n)^p) μ := by apply integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ ((measurable_partialSumMax X hX n).pow_const p) ((n*z)^p) intro ω rw [abs_of_nonneg (pow_nonneg (partialSumMax_nonneg _ _) _)] exact pow_le_pow_left₀ (partialSumMax_nonneg _ _) (partialSumMax_bound _ hz (fun k => hbound k ω) n) p lemma integrable_realPartialSum_pow {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsFiniteMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) {z : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hbound : ∀ k ω, |X k ω| ≤ z) (n p : ℕ) : Integrable (fun ω => (realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n)^p) μ := by apply integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ ((measurable_realPartialSum X hX n).pow_const p) ((n*z)^p) intro ω rw [abs_pow] exact pow_le_pow_left₀ (abs_nonneg _) ((abs_partialSum_le_max _ _).trans (partialSumMax_bound _ hz (fun k => hbound k ω) n)) p lemma absSlope_cube (t : ℝ) : (absSlope t)^3 = absSlope t := by unfold absSlope split <;> norm_num lemma independent_max_cube_transform {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (n : ℕ) : IndepFun (fun ω => (partialSumMax (fun k => X k ω) n)^3*absSlope (realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n)) (X n) μ := by have hh := (independent_max_transform μ X hX hind n).comp (show Measurable (fun x : ℝ => x^3) by fun_prop) measurable_id simpa only [Function.comp_def,mul_pow,absSlope_cube,id_eq] using hh lemma integral_partialSumMax_fourth_le {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hmean : ∀ k, ∫ ω, X k ω ∂μ = 0) {z : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hbound : ∀ k ω, |X k ω| ≤ z) (n : ℕ) : (∫ ω, (partialSumMax (fun k => X k ω) n)^4 ∂μ) ≤ 32*∫ ω, (realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n)^4 ∂μ := by let C (k : ℕ) (ω : Ω) := (partialSumMax (fun j => X j ω) k)^3*absSlope (realPartialSum (fun j => X j ω) k) have hC (k : ℕ) : Measurable (C k) := ((measurable_partialSumMax X hX k).pow_const 3).mul (measurable_absSlope.comp (measurable_realPartialSum X hX k)) have hCI (k : ℕ) : Integrable (fun ω => C k ω*X k ω) μ := by apply integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ ((hC k).mul (hX k)) ((k*z)^3*z) intro ω dsimp [C] rw [abs_mul,abs_mul,abs_absSlope,mul_one,abs_of_nonneg (pow_nonneg (partialSumMax_nonneg _ _) _)] exact mul_le_mul (pow_le_pow_left₀ (partialSumMax_nonneg _ _) (partialSumMax_bound _ hz (fun j => hbound j ω) k) 3) (hbound k ω) (abs_nonneg _) (pow_nonneg (mul_nonneg (Nat.cast_nonneg _) hz) 3) have hzero (k : ℕ) : ∫ ω, C k ω*X k ω ∂μ = 0 := by rw [(independent_max_cube_transform μ X hX hind k).integral_fun_mul_eq_mul_integral (hC k).aestronglyMeasurable (hX k).aestronglyMeasurable,hmean,mul_zero] have hm := integral_mono (integrable_partialSumMax_pow μ X hX hz hbound n 4) (((integrable_realPartialSum_pow μ X hX hz hbound n 4).const_mul 32).sub ((integrable_finsetSum (Finset.range n) (fun k _ => hCI k)).const_mul 4)) (fun ω => partialSumMax_fourth_pathwise_bound (fun k => X k ω) n) simp only [Pi.sub_apply] at hm rw [integral_sub ((integrable_realPartialSum_pow μ X hX hz hbound n 4).const_mul 32) ((integrable_finsetSum (Finset.range n) (fun k _ => hCI k)).const_mul 4), integral_const_mul,integral_const_mul,integral_finsetSum _ (fun k _ => hCI k)] at hm simpa only [hzero,Finset.sum_const_zero,mul_zero,sub_zero] using hm lemma independent_partialSum_current {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (n : ℕ) : IndepFun (fun ω => realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n) (X n) μ := by have hh := (independent_past_current μ X hX hind n).comp (show Measurable (fun v : Fin n → ℝ => ∑ k, v k) by fun_prop) measurable_id convert hh using 1 · funext ω exact (Fin.sum_univ_eq_sum_range (fun k => X k ω) n).symm · rfl lemma integrable_pow_mul_of_abs_bound {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsFiniteMeasure μ] (F G : Ω → ℝ) (hF : Measurable F) (hG : Measurable G) {a b : ℝ} (ha : ∀ ω, |F ω| ≤ a) (hb : ∀ ω, |G ω| ≤ b) (p q : ℕ) : Integrable (fun ω => F ω^p*G ω^q) μ := by apply integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ (by fun_prop) (a^p*b^q) intro ω rw [abs_mul,abs_pow,abs_pow] exact mul_le_mul (pow_le_pow_left₀ (abs_nonneg _) (ha ω) p) (pow_le_pow_left₀ (abs_nonneg _) (hb ω) q) (pow_nonneg (abs_nonneg _) _) (pow_nonneg ((abs_nonneg (F ω)).trans (ha ω)) _) lemma integral_independent_add_fourth {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (F G : Ω → ℝ) (hF : Measurable F) (hG : Measurable G) (hind : IndepFun F G μ) (hmF : ∫ ω, F ω ∂μ = 0) (hmG : ∫ ω, G ω ∂μ = 0) {a b : ℝ} (ha : ∀ ω, |F ω| ≤ a) (hb : ∀ ω, |G ω| ≤ b) : (∫ ω, (F ω+G ω)^4 ∂μ) = (∫ ω, F ω^4 ∂μ)+6*(∫ ω, F ω^2 ∂μ)*(∫ ω, G ω^2 ∂μ)+(∫ ω, G ω^4 ∂μ) := by have hI := integrable_pow_mul_of_abs_bound μ F G hF hG ha hb have hF4 : Integrable (fun ω => F ω^4) μ := by simpa using hI 4 0 have hG4 : Integrable (fun ω => G ω^4) μ := by simpa using hI 0 4 have h31 : Integrable (fun ω => 4*(F ω^3*G ω^1)) μ := (hI 3 1).const_mul 4 have h22 : Integrable (fun ω => 6*(F ω^2*G ω^2)) μ := (hI 2 2).const_mul 6 have h13 : Integrable (fun ω => 4*(F ω^1*G ω^3)) μ := (hI 1 3).const_mul 4 have hfactor (p q : ℕ) : (∫ ω, F ω^p*G ω^q ∂μ) = (∫ ω, F ω^p ∂μ)*(∫ ω, G ω^q ∂μ) := (hind.comp (by fun_prop : Measurable (fun x : ℝ => x^p)) (by fun_prop : Measurable (fun x : ℝ => x^q))).integral_fun_mul_eq_mul_integral (hF.pow_const p).aestronglyMeasurable (hG.pow_const q).aestronglyMeasurable have heq : (fun ω => (F ω+G ω)^4) = (fun ω => F ω^4+4*(F ω^3*G ω^1)+6*(F ω^2*G ω^2)+4*(F ω^1*G ω^3)+G ω^4) := by ext ω; ring have h12 : Integrable (fun ω => F ω^4+4*(F ω^3*G ω^1)) μ := hF4.add h31 have h123 : Integrable (fun ω => F ω^4+4*(F ω^3*G ω^1)+6*(F ω^2*G ω^2)) μ := h12.add h22 have h1234 : Integrable (fun ω => F ω^4+4*(F ω^3*G ω^1)+6*(F ω^2*G ω^2)+4*(F ω^1*G ω^3)) μ := h123.add h13 rw [heq,integral_add h1234 hG4,integral_add h123 h13,integral_add h12 h22, integral_add hF4 h31] simp only [integral_const_mul] rw [hfactor 3 1,hfactor 2 2,hfactor 1 3] simp only [pow_one,hmF,hmG,mul_zero,zero_mul,add_zero] ring lemma integral_iid_partialSum_fourth_le {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (hmean : ∫ ω, X 0 ω ∂μ = 0) {z : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hbound : ∀ k ω, |X k ω| ≤ z) (n : ℕ) : (∫ ω, (realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n)^4 ∂μ) ≤ n*(∫ ω, (X 0 ω)^4 ∂μ)+3*(n:ℝ)^2*(∫ ω, (X 0 ω)^2 ∂μ)^2 := by have hmeans (k : ℕ) : ∫ ω, X k ω ∂μ = 0 := (hident k).integral_eq.trans hmean have hpows (k p : ℕ) : (∫ ω, (X k ω)^p ∂μ) = (∫ ω, (X 0 ω)^p ∂μ) := ((hident k).comp (u := fun x : ℝ => x^p) (by fun_prop)).integral_eq have hsq (n : ℕ) : (∫ ω, (realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n)^2 ∂μ) = n*(∫ ω, (X 0 ω)^2 ∂μ) := by rw [integral_partialSum_square_eq_sum μ X hX hind hmeans hbound] simp only [hpows,Finset.sum_const,Finset.card_range,nsmul_eq_mul] have hsummean (n : ℕ) : ∫ ω, realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n ∂μ = 0 := by rw [show (fun ω => realPartialSum (fun k => X k ω) n) = (fun ω => ∑ k ∈ Finset.range n, X k ω) from rfl, integral_finsetSum _ (fun k _ => integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ (hX k) z (hbound k))] simp only [hmeans,Finset.sum_const_zero] induction n with | zero => simp [realPartialSum] | succ n ih => simp only [realPartialSum_succ] rw [integral_independent_add_fourth μ _ _ (measurable_realPartialSum X hX n) (hX n) (independent_partialSum_current μ X hX hind n) (hsummean n) (hmeans n) (fun ω => (abs_partialSum_le_max _ _).trans (partialSumMax_bound _ hz (fun k => hbound k ω) n)) (hbound n),hsq] simp only [hpows] push_cast nlinarith [sq_nonneg (∫ ω, (X 0 ω)^2 ∂μ)] lemma integral_iid_truncated_max_fourth_le {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (hsym : IdentDistrib (X 0) (fun ω => -X 0 ω) μ μ) {z r : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hzr : z ≤ r) (n : ℕ) : (∫ ω, (partialSumMax (fun k => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω)) n)^4 ∂μ) ≤ 32*(n:ℝ)*z^2*truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r+ 96*(n:ℝ)^2*(truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r)^2 := by let Y := fun k ω => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω) have hY (k : ℕ) : Measurable (Y k) := (measurable_symmetricTruncate z).comp (hX k) have hYb := fun k ω => symmetricTruncate_bound hz (X k ω) have hYi : iIndepFun Y μ := hind.comp (fun _ => symmetricTruncate z) (fun _ => measurable_symmetricTruncate z) have hYid (k : ℕ) : IdentDistrib (Y k) (Y 0) μ μ := (hident k).comp (measurable_symmetricTruncate z) have hYm : ∫ ω, Y 0 ω ∂μ = 0 := integral_symmetricTruncate_zero μ (X 0) z hsym have hYmeans (k : ℕ) : ∫ ω, Y k ω ∂μ = 0 := (hYid k).integral_eq.trans hYm have hI (p : ℕ) : Integrable (fun ω => (Y 0 ω)^p) μ := by apply integrable_of_abs_bound μ _ ((hY 0).pow_const p) (z^p) intro ω rw [abs_pow] exact pow_le_pow_left₀ (abs_nonneg _) (hYb 0 ω) p have hvar : (∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^2 ∂μ) ≤ truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r := by apply integral_mono (hI 2) (integrable_truncated_square μ (X 0) (hX 0) r) intro ω exact (symmetricTruncate_sq_le z _).trans (min_le_min le_rfl (pow_le_pow_left₀ hz hzr 2)) have hfour : (∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^4 ∂μ) ≤ z^2*(∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^2 ∂μ) := by rw [← integral_const_mul] apply integral_mono (hI 4) ((hI 2).const_mul (z^2)) intro ω have hs : (Y 0 ω)^2 ≤ z^2 := by nlinarith [sq_abs (Y 0 ω),hYb 0 ω,abs_nonneg (Y 0 ω)] nlinarith [mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_right hs (sq_nonneg (Y 0 ω))] have hv0 : 0 ≤ ∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^2 ∂μ := integral_nonneg fun _ => sq_nonneg _ calc _ ≤ 32*(∫ ω, (realPartialSum (fun k => Y k ω) n)^4 ∂μ) := integral_partialSumMax_fourth_le μ Y hY hYi hYmeans hz hYb n _ ≤ 32*(n*(∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^4 ∂μ)+3*(n:ℝ)^2*(∫ ω, (Y 0 ω)^2 ∂μ)^2) := mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left (integral_iid_partialSum_fourth_le μ Y hY hYi hYid hYm hz hYb n) (by norm_num) _ ≤ 32*(n*(z^2*truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r)+3*(n:ℝ)^2*(truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r)^2) := by gcongr · exact hfour.trans (mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left hvar (sq_nonneg z)) _ = _ := by ring lemma measureReal_truncated_max_gt_le {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (hsym : IdentDistrib (X 0) (fun ω => -X 0 ω) μ μ) {z r a : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hzr : z ≤ r) (ha : 0 < a) (n : ℕ) : μ.real {ω | a < partialSumMax (fun k => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω)) n} ≤ (32*(n:ℝ)*z^2*truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r+ 96*(n:ℝ)^2*(truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r)^2) / a^4 := by let Y := fun k ω => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω) have hY (k : ℕ) : Measurable (Y k) := (measurable_symmetricTruncate z).comp (hX k) have hYb := fun k ω => symmetricTruncate_bound hz (X k ω) have hb := mul_meas_ge_le_integral_of_nonneg (Eventually.of_forall (fun ω => pow_nonneg (partialSumMax_nonneg (fun k => Y k ω) n) 4)) (integrable_partialSumMax_pow μ Y hY hz hYb n 4) (a^4) have hmono : μ.real {ω | a < partialSumMax (fun k => Y k ω) n} ≤ μ.real {ω | a^4 ≤ (partialSumMax (fun k => Y k ω) n)^4} := by apply measureReal_mono _ (measure_ne_top _ _) intro ω hω exact pow_le_pow_left₀ ha.le hω.le 4 apply (le_div_iff₀ (pow_pos ha 4)).mpr calc _ ≤ a^4*μ.real {ω | a^4 ≤ (partialSumMax (fun k => Y k ω) n)^4} := by simpa only [mul_comm] using mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left hmono (pow_nonneg ha.le 4) _ ≤ (∫ ω, (partialSumMax (fun k => Y k ω) n)^4 ∂μ) := hb _ ≤ _ := integral_iid_truncated_max_fourth_le μ X hX hind hident hsym hz hzr n lemma measureReal_iid_max_gt_fourth_bound {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (hsym : IdentDistrib (X 0) (fun ω => -X 0 ω) μ μ) {z r a : ℝ} (hz : 0 ≤ z) (hzr : z ≤ r) (ha : 0 < a) (n : ℕ) : μ.real {ω | a < partialSumMax (fun k => X k ω) n} ≤ n*μ.real {ω | z < |X 0 ω|}+ (32*(n:ℝ)*z^2*truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r+ 96*(n:ℝ)^2*(truncatedVariance μ (X 0) r)^2) / a^4 := by let A : ℕ → Set Ω := fun k => {ω | z < |X k ω|} let B : Set Ω := {ω | a < partialSumMax (fun k => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω)) n} have hsub : {ω | a < partialSumMax (fun k => X k ω) n} ⊆ (⋃ k ∈ Finset.range n, A k) ∪ B := by intro ω hω by_cases ht : ω ∈ ⋃ k ∈ Finset.range n, A k · exact Or.inl ht · right have hc : ∀ k < n, X k ω = symmetricTruncate z (X k ω) := by intro k hk have hnot : ¬ z < |X k ω| := fun h => ht (Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨k,Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨Finset.mem_range.mpr hk,h⟩⟩) simp only [symmetricTruncate,ite_eq_left (le_of_not_gt hnot)] change a < partialSumMax (fun k => symmetricTruncate z (X k ω)) n rwa [← partialSumMax_congr n hc] have htail (k : ℕ) : μ.real (A k) = μ.real (A 0) := by exact congrArg ENNReal.toReal ((hident k).measure_mem_eq (show MeasurableSet {x : ℝ | z < |x|} from measurableSet_lt measurable_const measurable_id.abs)) calc _ ≤ μ.real ((⋃ k ∈ Finset.range n, A k) ∪ B) := measureReal_mono hsub (measure_ne_top _ _) _ ≤ μ.real (⋃ k ∈ Finset.range n, A k)+μ.real B := measureReal_union_le _ _ _ ≤ (∑ k ∈ Finset.range n, μ.real (A k))+μ.real B := add_le_add (measureReal_biUnion_finset_le _ _) le_rfl _ = n*μ.real {ω | z < |X 0 ω|}+μ.real B := by simp only [htail,Finset.sum_const,Finset.card_range,nsmul_eq_mul,A] _ ≤ _ := add_le_add le_rfl (measureReal_truncated_max_gt_le μ X hX hind hident hsym hz hzr ha n) lemma gaussian_charFun_power_limit_count {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (S : Ω → ℝ) (hS : Measurable S) (hI : Integrable S μ) (hne : 0 < μ {x | S x ≠ 0}) (hsym : IdentDistrib S (fun x => -S x) μ μ) (r : ℕ → ℝ) (hr : IsGaussianSequence μ S r) (k : ℕ → ℕ) {τ : ℝ} (hk : Tendsto (fun i => (k i : ℝ)/fluctuationScale μ S (r i)) atTop (𝓝 τ)) (t : ℝ) : Tendsto (fun i => (charFun (μ.map S) (t/r i))^(k i)) atTop (𝓝 (Complex.exp (-(τ*t^2/2 : ℝ)))) := by have hn : Tendsto (fun i => fluctuationScale μ S (r i)) atTop atTop := (fluctuationScale_tendsto μ S hS hI hne).comp hr.1 have hd := gaussian_cosine_drift μ S hS hne r hr t have hzero : Tendsto (fun i => (∫ x, Real.cos (t*(S x/r i)) ∂μ)-1) atTop (𝓝 0) := by have hz := hd.mul (tendsto_inv_atTop_zero.comp hn) simp only [mul_zero] at hz apply hz.congr' filter_upwards [hn.eventually (eventually_gt_atTop (0:ℝ))] with i hi dsimp only [Function.comp_def] field_simp have ha : Tendsto (fun i => ∫ x, Real.cos (t*(S x/r i)) ∂μ) atTop (𝓝 1) := by simpa using hzero.add_const 1 have hdk : Tendsto (fun i => (k i : ℝ)* ((∫ x, Real.cos (t*(S x/r i)) ∂μ)-1)) atTop (𝓝 (-(τ*t^2/2))) := by have hc := hk.mul hd have he : τ * (-(t^2/2)) = -(τ*t^2/2) := by ring rw [he] at hc apply hc.congr' filter_upwards [hn.eventually (eventually_gt_atTop (0:ℝ))] with i hi field_simp convert (tendsto_pow_variable_of_drift ha hdk).ofReal using 1 · ext i rw [symmetric_charFun_cosine μ S hS hsym, ← Complex.ofReal_pow] congr 2 apply integral_congr_ae filter_upwards [] with x congr 1 ring · simp lemma charFun_independent_finite_blocks {Ω ι : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [Fintype ι] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (k : ι → ℕ) (g : (j : ι) → Fin (k j) → ℕ) (hg : Function.Injective (fun p : (j : ι) × Fin (k j) => g p.1 p.2)) (r : ℝ) (t : EuclideanSpace ℝ ι) : charFun (μ.map (fun ω => WithLp.toLp 2 (fun j => (∑ l, X (g j l) ω)/r))) t = ∏ j, (charFun (μ.map (X 0)) (t j/r))^(k j) := by classical let Y (p : (j : ι) × Fin (k j)) (ω : Ω) := (t p.1/r)*X (g p.1 p.2) ω have hY p : Measurable (Y p) := (hX _).const_mul _ have hiY : iIndepFun Y μ := (hind.precomp hg).comp (fun p x => (t p.1/r)*x) (fun _ => by fun_prop) have heq : charFun (μ.map (fun ω => WithLp.toLp 2 (fun j => (∑ l, X (g j l) ω)/r))) t = charFun (μ.map (fun ω => ∑ p, Y p ω)) 1 := by rw [charFun, charFun, integral_map (by fun_prop) (by fun_prop), integral_map (by fun_prop) (by fun_prop)] apply integral_congr_ae filter_upwards [] with ω congr 2 simp only [PiLp.inner_apply, RCLike.inner_apply, conj_trivial, one_mul, Fintype.sum_sigma, Y] congr 1 apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro j _ rw [← Finset.mul_sum] ring rw [heq,hiY.charFun_map_fun_sum_eq_prod (fun p => (hY p).aemeasurable)] simp only [Finset.prod_apply] rw [Fintype.prod_sigma] apply Finset.prod_congr rfl intro j _ have hterm (l : Fin (k j)) : charFun (μ.map (Y ⟨j,l⟩)) 1 = charFun (μ.map (X 0)) (t j/r) := by dsimp [Y] rw [charFun_map_mul_comp (hX _).aemeasurable,mul_one,(hident _).map_eq] simp only [hterm,Finset.prod_const,Finset.card_univ,Fintype.card_fin] theorem gaussian_iid_finite_block_limit {Ω ι : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [Fintype ι] (μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) (hX : ∀ k, Measurable (X k)) (hind : iIndepFun X μ) (hident : ∀ k, IdentDistrib (X k) (X 0) μ μ) (hI : Integrable (X 0) μ) (hne : 0 < μ {x | X 0 x ≠ 0}) (hsym : IdentDistrib (X 0) (fun x => -X 0 x) μ μ) (r : ℕ → ℝ) (hr : IsGaussianSequence μ (X 0) r) (k : ℕ → ι → ℕ) (g : (i : ℕ) → (j : ι) → Fin (k i j) → ℕ) (hg : ∀ i, Function.Injective (fun p : (j : ι) × Fin (k i j) => g i p.1 p.2)) (τ : ι → ℝ≥0) (hk : ∀ j, Tendsto (fun i => (k i j : ℝ)/fluctuationScale μ (X 0) (r i)) atTop (𝓝 (τ j : ℝ))) : TendstoInDistribution (fun i ω => WithLp.toLp 2 (fun j => (∑ l, X (g i j l) ω)/r i)) atTop (WithLp.toLp 2 : (ι → ℝ) → EuclideanSpace ℝ ι) (fun _ => μ) (Measure.pi (fun j => gaussianReal 0 (τ j))) where forall_aemeasurable _ := by fun_prop aemeasurable_limit := by fun_prop tendsto := by refine ProbabilityMeasure.tendsto_iff_tendsto_charFun.2 fun t => ?_ change Tendsto (fun i => charFun (μ.map (fun ω => WithLp.toLp 2 (fun j => (∑ l, X (g i j l) ω)/r i))) t) atTop (𝓝 (charFun ((Measure.pi (fun j => gaussianReal 0 (τ j))).map (WithLp.toLp 2)) t)) simp only [charFun_independent_finite_blocks μ X hX hind hident _ _ (hg _) _,charFun_pi] apply tendsto_finsetProd _ intro j _ simpa only [charFun_gaussianReal,Complex.ofReal_zero,mul_zero,zero_mul,zero_sub, Complex.ofReal_neg,Complex.ofReal_div,Complex.ofReal_mul,Complex.ofReal_pow, Complex.ofReal_ofNat] using gaussian_charFun_power_limit_count μ (X 0) (hX 0) hI hne hsym r hr (fun i => k i j) (hk j) (t j) end DirectionalTransience end end end OAI