import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.Exploration.ClosedPivotWeight import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.Modular.Mass namespace OAI section section open Set MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open Set open scoped BigOperators open scoped Classical namespace CriticalPercolation.SearchTree open scoped Classical open FiniteProduct LazyDFS variable {E R : Type*} [Fintype E] [DecidableEq E] noncomputable def reverseGuess (T : SearchTree E R) (p : ℝ) (F : Set E → Prop) (w : E → Prop → ℝ) (ω : Set E) (s : ℝ) (e : E) : ℝ := (if openPivot F e ω then (1-p)*T.queryDelta F w ω e else 0) / (1+s+T.prefixScore p F w ω e)^2 noncomputable def reverseMass (T : SearchTree E R) (p : ℝ) (F : Set E → Prop) (w : E → Prop → ℝ) (ω : Set E) (s : ℝ) : ℝ := match T with | .done _ => 0 | .ask f l r => let b := if openPivot F f ω then (1-p)*delta w F f else 0 b/(1+s+b)^2 + if ω f then r.reverseMass p F (pin w f True) ω (s+b) else l.reverseMass p F (pin w f False) ω (s+b) lemma reverseMass_eq_sum (T : SearchTree E R) (used : Finset E) (hT : T.Valid used) (p : ℝ) (F : Set E → Prop) (w : E → Prop → ℝ) (ω : Set E) (s : ℝ) : T.reverseMass p F w ω s = ∑ e, T.reverseGuess p F w ω s e := by induction T generalizing used w s with | done _ => simp [reverseMass,reverseGuess,queryDelta,prefixScore] | ask f l r hl hr => let b := if openPivot F f ω then (1-p)*delta w F f else 0 have hsum (T' : SearchTree E R) (w' : E → Prop → ℝ) (hT' : T'.Valid (insert f used)) : (∑ e, (if openPivot F e ω then (1-p)*(if e = f then delta w F f else T'.queryDelta F w' ω e) else 0) / (1+s+(b+if e=f then 0 else T'.prefixScore p F w' ω e))^2) = b/(1+s+b)^2 + ∑ e, T'.reverseGuess p F w' ω (s+b) e := by have hz := queryDelta_zero_used T' _ hT' F w' ω f (Finset.mem_insert_self _ _) have heq (e : E) : (if openPivot F e ω then (1-p)*(if e = f then delta w F f else T'.queryDelta F w' ω e) else 0) / (1+s+(b+if e=f then 0 else T'.prefixScore p F w' ω e))^2 = (if e=f then b/(1+s+b)^2 else 0) + T'.reverseGuess p F w' ω (s+b) e := by by_cases he : e=f · subst e simp [reverseGuess,hz,b] · simp only [ite_eq_right he,reverseGuess,zero_add] congr 2; ring simp only [heq,Finset.sum_add_distrib] simp rw [reverseMass] by_cases hf : ω f · simp only [ite_eq_left hf] rw [hr _ hT.2.2 (pin w f True),← hsum r (pin w f True) hT.2.2] simp only [reverseGuess,queryDelta,prefixScore,ite_eq_left hf] rfl · simp only [ite_eq_right hf] rw [hl _ hT.2.1 (pin w f False),← hsum l (pin w f False) hT.2.1] simp only [reverseGuess,queryDelta,prefixScore,ite_eq_right hf] rfl lemma reverseMass_bound (T : SearchTree E R) (used : Finset E) (hT : T.Valid used) {p : ℝ} (hp : p ∈ Set.Ioo 0 1) (F : Set E → Prop) (hF : ∀ a b, a ⊆ b → F a → F b) (w : E → Prop → ℝ) (hw : ∀ e, ∑ b, w e b = 1) (hn : ∀ e b, 0 ≤ w e b) (hf : Fresh w p used) (ω : Set E) {s : ℝ} (hs : 0 ≤ s) : 0 ≤ T.reverseMass p F w ω s ∧ T.reverseMass p F w ω s ≤ 1/(1+s) := by induction T generalizing used w s with | done _ => exact ⟨le_rfl, div_nonneg zero_le_one (by linarith)⟩ | ask f l r hl hr => let b := if openPivot F f ω then (1-p)*delta w F f else 0 have hf0 : w f False ≠ 0 := by rw [(hf f hT.1).1]; linarith [hp.2] have hf1 : w f True ≠ 0 := by rw [(hf f hT.1).2]; exact hp.1.ne' have hb : 0 ≤ b := by dsimp [b] split_ifs · exact mul_nonneg (sub_nonneg.mpr hp.2.le) (delta_unit w hw hn f hf0 hf1 F hF).1 · exact le_rfl have hb' : 0 ≤ b/(1+s+b)^2 := div_nonneg hb (sq_nonneg _) have hs' : 0 ≤ s+b := add_nonneg hs hb have step {x : ℝ} (hx : 0 ≤ x ∧ x ≤ 1/(1+(s+b))) : 0 ≤ b/(1+s+b)^2+x ∧ b/(1+s+b)^2+x ≤ 1/(1+s) := by refine ⟨add_nonneg hb' hx.1, ?_⟩ calc _ ≤ b/(1+s+b)^2 + 1/(1+(s+b)) := add_le_add_right hx.2 _ _ ≤ _ := by simpa only [add_assoc] using ReverseGuess.step_bound hs hb simp only [reverseMass] by_cases hbit : ω f · simp only [ite_eq_left hbit] exact step (hr _ hT.2.2 _ (pin_normalized w hw f True) (pin_nonneg w hn f True) (fresh_pin w p used hf f True) hs') · simp only [ite_eq_right hbit] exact step (hl _ hT.2.1 _ (pin_normalized w hw f False) (pin_nonneg w hn f False) (fresh_pin w p used hf f False) hs') theorem reverseGuess_subprobability (T : SearchTree E R) (used : Finset E) (hT : T.Valid used) {p : ℝ} (hp : p ∈ Set.Ioo 0 1) (F : Set E → Prop) (hF : ∀ a b, a ⊆ b → F a → F b) (w : E → Prop → ℝ) (hw : ∀ e, ∑ b, w e b = 1) (hn : ∀ e b, 0 ≤ w e b) (hf : Fresh w p used) (ω : Set E) : (∀ e, 0 ≤ T.reverseGuess p F w ω 0 e) ∧ (∑ e, T.reverseGuess p F w ω 0 e) ≤ 1 := by constructor · intro e apply div_nonneg _ (sq_nonneg _) split_ifs · exact mul_nonneg (sub_nonneg.mpr hp.2.le) (queryDelta_nonneg T used hT hp F hF w hw hn hf ω e) · exact le_rfl · rw [← reverseMass_eq_sum T used hT] simpa using (reverseMass_bound T used hT hp F hF w hw hn hf ω (s := 0) le_rfl).2 end CriticalPercolation.SearchTree end end end OAI