import Mathlib namespace OAI section section open Set MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open Real open Set Real open scoped Topology open scoped BigOperators open Set open Set MeasureTheory open scoped Classical namespace CriticalPercolation.Priority noncomputable def uniform01 : Measure ℝ := volume.restrict (Icc 0 1) instance : IsProbabilityMeasure uniform01 := by constructor simp [uniform01, Real.volume_Icc] variable {I : Type*} [Fintype I] noncomputable def law : Measure (I → ℝ) := Measure.pi fun _ => uniform01 instance : IsProbabilityMeasure (law (I := I)) := by unfold law infer_instance noncomputable def split (i : I) : (I → ℝ) ≃ᵐ (ℝ × ({j : I // j ≠ i} → ℝ)) where toEquiv := Equiv.funSplitAt i ℝ measurable_toFun := (measurable_pi_apply i).prodMk (Measurable.of_eval (fun coordinate => measurable_pi_apply coordinate.val)) measurable_invFun := by apply Measurable.of_eval intro j by_cases h : j = i · subst j simpa [Equiv.funSplitAt, Equiv.piSplitAt] using measurable_fst · simpa [Equiv.funSplitAt, Equiv.piSplitAt, h, Function.comp_def] using (measurable_pi_apply (⟨j,h⟩ : {j : I // j ≠ i})).comp measurable_snd omit [Fintype I] in lemma split_apply (i : I) (u : I → ℝ) : split i u = (u i, fun j : {j : I // j ≠ i} => u j.val) := rfl omit [Fintype I] in lemma split_symm_apply (i j : I) (u : ℝ × ({j : I // j ≠ i} → ℝ)) : (split i).symm u j = if h : j = i then u.1 else u.2 ⟨j,h⟩ := by simp only [split, MeasurableEquiv.symm_mk, Equiv.funSplitAt, Equiv.piSplitAt, MeasurableEquiv.coe_mk, Equiv.coe_fn_symm_mk] split_ifs with h · subst j; rfl · rfl lemma split_preserving (i : I) : MeasurePreserving (split i) law (uniform01.prod (law (I := {j : I // j ≠ i}))) := by apply MeasurePreserving.symm (split i).symm refine ⟨(split i).symm.measurable, ?_⟩ unfold law refine (Measure.pi_eq fun s _ => ?_).symm rw [MeasurableEquiv.map_apply] have he : (split i).symm ⁻¹' (Set.univ.pi s) = s i ×ˢ (Set.univ.pi fun j : {j : I // j ≠ i} => s j) := by ext x simp only [Set.mem_preimage, Set.mem_prod, Set.mem_pi, Set.mem_univ, forall_true_left] constructor · intro h constructor · simpa [split_symm_apply] using h i · intro j; simpa [split_symm_apply, j.property] using h j · rintro ⟨h₁,h₂⟩ j by_cases h : j = i · subst j; simpa [split_symm_apply] using h₁ · simpa [split_symm_apply, h] using h₂ ⟨j,h⟩ rw [he, Measure.prod_prod, Measure.pi_pi] have hprod := Fintype.prod_subtype_mul_prod_subtype (fun j : I => j = i) (fun j => uniform01 (s j)) simpa only [Fintype.prod_unique, (default : {j : I // j = i}).property] using hprod lemma uniform01_Ioi {t : ℝ} (ht : t ∈ Icc (0:ℝ) 1) : uniform01 (Ioi t) = ENNReal.ofReal (1-t) := by rw [uniform01, Measure.restrict_apply measurableSet_Ioi] have he : Ioi t ∩ Icc (0:ℝ) 1 = Ioc t 1 := by ext x simp only [Set.mem_inter_iff, Set.mem_Ioi, Set.mem_Icc, Set.mem_Ioc] constructor · intro h; exact ⟨h.1,h.2.2⟩ · intro h; exact ⟨h.1, ht.1.trans h.1.le, h.2⟩ rw [he, Real.volume_Ioc] lemma integral_survival (S : Finset I) {t : ℝ} (ht : t ∈ Icc (0:ℝ) 1) : (∫ u : I → ℝ, if ∀ j ∈ S, t < u j then (1:ℝ) else 0 ∂law) = (1-t)^S.card := by have he : {u : I → ℝ | ∀ j ∈ S, t < u j} = Set.univ.pi (fun j => if j ∈ S then Ioi t else Set.univ) := by ext x simp only [Set.mem_ofPred_eq, Set.mem_pi, Set.mem_univ, forall_true_left] constructor · intro h j; split_ifs with hj · exact h j hj · trivial · intro h j hj; simpa [hj] using h j have hf : (fun u : I → ℝ => if ∀ j ∈ S, t < u j then (1:ℝ) else 0) = ({u : I → ℝ | ∀ j ∈ S, t < u j}).indicator (fun _ => (1:ℝ)) := by funext u simp [Set.indicator] rw [hf] rw [integral_indicator] · rw [integral_const, smul_eq_mul, mul_one, measureReal_def, Measure.restrict_apply_univ, he, law, Measure.pi_pi] simp only [apply_ite, uniform01_Ioi ht, measure_univ, ENNReal.toReal_prod, apply_ite, ENNReal.toReal_ofReal (sub_nonneg.mpr ht.2), ENNReal.toReal_one] rw [Finset.prod_ite_mem Finset.univ S (fun _ => 1-t)] simp · rw [he] exact MeasurableSet.univ_pi fun j => by split_ifs <;> measurability end CriticalPercolation.Priority open Set MeasureTheory Real open scoped Interval end end end OAI