import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.GraphGeometry.HitEvent import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.Gluing.FreshTrial import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.Criticality.BlockIndependence namespace OAI section section noncomputable section open Set MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped Classical ENNReal namespace CriticalPercolation.BondGraph open CriticalPercolation.BernoulliProduct variable {V E : Type*} (G : BondGraph V E) lemma countable_gluing_failure [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (o : V) (A T : Set V) (lam : ℝ) (ha : ∀ v∈A, 1-lam ≤ (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent v T)) : (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent o A \ G.hitEvent o T) ≤ lam * (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent o A) := by have h := G.countable_joint_gluing q o A T (1-lam) ha have he := measureReal_sdiff_add_inter (μ := BernoulliProduct.law q) (s := G.hitEvent o A) (G.measurableSet_hitEvent o T) nlinarith lemma countable_gluing_failure_le [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (o : V) (A T : Set V) (lam : ℝ) (hlam : 0≤lam) (ha : ∀ v∈A, 1-lam ≤ (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent v T)) : (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent o A \ G.hitEvent o T) ≤ lam := by have h := G.countable_gluing_failure q o A T lam ha have ht : (BernoulliProduct.law q).real (G.hitEvent o A)≤1 := measureReal_le_one nlinarith lemma measurableSet_randomHit [Countable V] [Countable E] (o : V) (A : Set E → Set V) (hA : ∀ v, MeasurableSet {ω : Set E | v∈A ω}) : MeasurableSet {ω : Set E | ω∈G.hitEvent o (A ω)} := by have he : {ω : Set E | ω∈G.hitEvent o (A ω)} = ⋃ v : V, ({ω : Set E | (G.openGraph ω).Reachable o v}∩{ω | v∈A ω}) := by ext ω simp only [hitEvent,cluster,Set.mem_ofPred_eq,Set.mem_iUnion,Set.mem_inter_iff, Set.Nonempty] rw [he] exact MeasurableSet.iUnion fun v => (G.measurable_reachable o v).setOf.inter (hA v) theorem random_relay_gluing [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (S : Set E) (o : V) (A : Set E → Set V) (T : Set V) (hA : ∀ v, MeasurableSet[blockSigma S] {σ : Set E | v∈A σ}) (lam : ℝ) (hlam : 0≤lam) (ha : ∀ σ v, v∈A σ → 1-lam ≤ (BernoulliProduct.law (pinnedParameters q S σ)).real (G.hitEvent v T)) : (BernoulliProduct.law q).real {ω : Set E | ω∈G.hitEvent o (A ω) ∧ ω∉G.hitEvent o T} ≤ lam := by let F := {ω : Set E | ω∈G.hitEvent o (A ω) ∧ ω∉G.hitEvent o T} have hmF : MeasurableSet F := (G.measurableSet_randomHit o A (fun v => (blockSigma_le S) _ (hA v))).inter (G.measurableSet_hitEvent o T).compl have hpin (σ : Set E) : blockProbability q S F σ = BernoulliProduct.law (pinnedParameters q S σ) (G.hitEvent o (A σ) \ G.hitEvent o T) := by rw [← forceOn_map_law,Measure.map_apply (measurable_forceOn S σ) ((G.measurableSet_hitEvent o _).diff (G.measurableSet_hitEvent o T))] unfold blockProbability congr 1 ext ω have hfixed : A (forceOn S σ ω)=A σ := by ext v exact block_event_forceOn S {τ : Set E | v∈A τ} (hA v) σ ω change (forceOn S σ ω∈G.hitEvent o (A (forceOn S σ ω)) ∧ forceOn S σ ω∉G.hitEvent o T) ↔ (forceOn S σ ω∈G.hitEvent o (A σ) ∧ forceOn S σ ω∉G.hitEvent o T) rw [hfixed] have hb (σ : Set E) : blockProbability q S F σ ≤ ENNReal.ofReal lam := by rw [hpin] apply (ENNReal.toReal_le_toReal (measure_ne_top _ _) ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top).mp rw [ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hlam] exact G.countable_gluing_failure_le _ o (A σ) T lam hlam (ha σ) have hint := lintegral_mono (μ := BernoulliProduct.law q) hb rw [lintegral_blockProbability q S F hmF,lintegral_const,measure_univ,mul_one] at hint have hh := ENNReal.toReal_mono ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top hint simpa only [ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hlam,Measure.real,F] using hh def seedHitEvent (B T : Set V) : Set (Set E) := ⋃ b∈B, G.hitEvent b T lemma measurableSet_seedHitEvent [Countable V] [Countable E] (B T : Set V) : MeasurableSet (G.seedHitEvent B T) := MeasurableSet.iUnion fun b => MeasurableSet.iUnion fun _ => G.measurableSet_hitEvent b T lemma seedHitEvent_upper (B T : Set V) : IsUpperSet (G.seedHitEvent B T) := by intro ω τ hωτ hω obtain ⟨b,hb,hω⟩ := Set.mem_iUnion₂.mp hω exact Set.mem_iUnion₂.mpr ⟨b,hb,G.hitEvent_mono_edges b T hωτ hω⟩ lemma seed_trial_connects (v : V) (B T : Set V) (F ω : Set E) (hF : F⊆ω) (hconnect : ∀ b∈B, (G.openGraph F).Reachable v b) (hB : ω∈G.seedHitEvent B T) : ω∈G.hitEvent v T := by obtain ⟨b,hb,x,hbx,hx⟩ := Set.mem_iUnion₂.mp hB exact ⟨x, ((hconnect b hb).mono (G.openGraph_mono hF)).trans hbx, hx⟩ lemma seed_trial_probability [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (S σ F : Set E) (v : V) (B T : Set V) (hFS : F⊆S) (hFσ : F⊆σ) (hconnect : ∀ b∈B, (G.openGraph F).Reachable v b) : (blockProbability q S (G.seedHitEvent B T) σ).toReal ≤ (BernoulliProduct.law (pinnedParameters q S σ)).real (G.hitEvent v T) := by rw [← forceOn_map_law,Measure.real,Measure.map_apply (measurable_forceOn S σ) (G.measurableSet_hitEvent v T)] apply ENNReal.toReal_mono (measure_ne_top _ _) apply measure_mono intro ω hω apply G.seed_trial_connects v B T F (forceOn S σ ω) ?_ hconnect hω intro e he simp only [mem_forceOn,ite_eq_left (hFS he)] exact hFσ he def goodRelay (q : E → unitInterval) (S : Set E) (L : Set V) (F : V → Set E) (B : V → Set V) (T : Set V) (lam : ℝ) (σ : Set E) : Set V := {v | v∈L ∧ F v⊆σ ∧ 1-lam≤(blockProbability q S (G.seedHitEvent (B v) T) σ).toReal} lemma goodRelay_measurable [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (S : Set E) (L : Set V) (F : V → Set E) (B : V → Set V) (T : Set V) (lam : ℝ) (hFS : ∀ v, F v⊆S) (v : V) : MeasurableSet[blockSigma S] {σ : Set E | v∈G.goodRelay q S L F B T lam σ} := by have hW : MeasurableSet[blockSigma S] (allOpen (F v)) := (blockSigma_mono (hFS v)) _ (measurable_allOpen_block (F v)) have hg := (measurable_blockProbability q S (G.seedHitEvent (B v) T) (G.measurableSet_seedHitEvent (B v) T)).ennreal_toReal exact MeasurableSet.inter (MeasurableSet.const _) (hW.inter (measurableSet_le measurable_const hg)) theorem goodRelay_gluing [Countable V] [Countable E] (q : E → unitInterval) (S : Set E) (L : Set V) (F : V → Set E) (B : V → Set V) (T : Set V) (hFS : ∀ v, F v⊆S) (hconnect : ∀ v∈L, ∀ b∈B v, (G.openGraph (F v)).Reachable v b) (o : V) (lam : ℝ) (hlam : 0≤lam) : (BernoulliProduct.law q).real {ω : Set E | ω∈G.hitEvent o (G.goodRelay q S L F B T lam ω) ∧ ω∉G.hitEvent o T}≤lam := by apply G.random_relay_gluing q S o _ T (G.goodRelay_measurable q S L F B T lam hFS) lam hlam intro σ v hv exact hv.2.2.trans (G.seed_trial_probability q S σ (F v) v (B v) T (hFS v) hv.2.1 (hconnect v hv.1)) end CriticalPercolation.BondGraph end end end end OAI